Auto-Pivot Levels with Alerts and 4 methods [ChartWhizzperer]🚀 Auto-Pivot Levels – Dynamic Edition
Now with
Live Mode,
4 Pivot Methods
PineConnector-Ready Alerts!
Free, Open Source, Pine Script v6-compliant.
🟢 NEW: Live Mode (Ultra-Dynamic, Repainting) – Switchable in UI!
Instantly switch between Classic (session-based, repaint-free) and Live (rolling window, real-time, repainting) using the simple checkbox in the settings!
Live Mode recalculates all pivots on every tick/bar, using the current high/low/close for the chosen session (daily, weekly, monthly).
Perfect for:
Scalping and high-frequency trading
Real-time bot/automation setups (PineConnector-ready)
Fast-moving or breakout markets
Classic Mode: For traditional, stable levels based on confirmed session data – ideal for backtesting and trading history.
📊 Four Calculation Methods (Choose What Fits YOU):
1️⃣ Classic
Standard pivot calculation.
Based on previous session’s High, Low, Close.
Simple, proven, and suitable for any asset.
2️⃣ Fibonacci
Projects levels using Fibonacci ratios of the prior session’s range.
Great for traders who want to align pivots with fib retracements and extensions.
3️⃣ Camarilla
Uses unique multipliers for support/resistance, focusing on mean reversion and volatility.
Popular among futures and forex day traders.
4️⃣ Woodie
Puts extra weight on previous Close for more responsive pivots.
Often used in trending or choppy conditions.
Switch methods anytime in the UI – the script recalculates instantly and keeps your chart clean!
🔔 Level-Specific Alerts – PineConnector Ready!
Dedicated alert for EVERY level and direction (Up/Down):
Pivot (P), R1, R2, R3, S1, S2, S3
No configuration hassle:
All alerts are pre-defined in the TradingView Alert Panel.
Machine-readable message format:
PIVOT=R1 DIR=UP SYMBOL={{ticker}} PRICE={{close}}
Direct plug-and-play with PineConnector, webhooks, Discord, Telegram, bots, and other automation tools.
Never miss a breakout, reversal, or key support/resistance touch.
🛠 Powerful Customization & Performance
Session selection: Daily, Weekly, Monthly (choose what suits your trading style).
Show/hide any level (Pivot, R1–R3, S1–S3) for minimal chart clutter.
Color selection for each level to match your theme or highlight key pivots.
Auto-cleanup: Old lines and labels are cleared on every recalculation or session change for maximum performance and visual clarity.
Zero runtime errors: Strict Pine Script v6 practices for stability.
💡 How To Use – Quick Start
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Pick your calculation method (Classic, Fibonacci, Camarilla, Woodie).
Set session type (Daily, Weekly, Monthly).
Switch between Classic and Live Mode with a single click in settings.
Customize your levels (on/off, colors).
Open the Alert Panel, select any pre-configured alert (e.g. "R2 Cross Down"), and go live!
Connect with PineConnector or any webhook system instantly using the pre-formatted alert messages.
🤖 Who Is It For?
Active scalpers & bot traders: Live Mode + PineConnector-ready alerts = instant, automated reactions.
Swing and position traders: Use Classic Mode for stable, repaint-free levels.
Strategy developers: Seamless integration into automated and manual trading workflows.
🏷 License & Community
Open Source, Non-Commercial:
Free for personal & educational use under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Feedback, bug reports & ideas:
Drop a comment, or contact me for feature requests.
Trade smart. Trade dynamic. Unlock the true power of pivots – with ChartWhizzperer !
Cerca negli script per "Futures"
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator [BackQuant]FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator
1. Concept and Rationale
The United States Federal Funds Rate is the anchor around which global dollar liquidity and risk-free yield expectations revolve. When the Fed hikes, borrowing costs rise, liquidity tightens and most risk assets encounter head-winds. When it cuts, liquidity expands, speculative appetite often recovers. Bitcoin, a 24-hour permissionless asset sometimes described as “digital gold with venture-capital-like convexity,” is particularly sensitive to macro-liquidity swings.
The FED Divergence Oscillator quantifies the behavioural gap between short-term monetary policy (proxied by the effective Fed Funds Rate) and Bitcoin’s own percentage price change. By converting each series into identical rate-of-change units, subtracting them, then optionally smoothing the result, the script produces a single bounded-yet-dynamic line that tells you, at a glance, whether Bitcoin is outperforming or underperforming the policy backdrop—and by how much.
2. Data Pipeline
• Fed Funds Rate – Pulled directly from the FRED database via the ticker “FRED:FEDFUNDS,” sampled at daily frequency to synchronise with crypto closes.
• Bitcoin Price – By default the script forces a daily timeframe so that both series share time alignment, although you can disable that and plot the oscillator on intraday charts if you prefer.
• User Source Flexibility – The BTC series is not hard-wired; you can select any exchange-specific symbol or even swap BTC for another crypto or risk asset whose interaction with the Fed rate you wish to study.
3. Math under the Hood
(1) Rate of Change (ROC) – Both the Fed rate and BTC close are converted to percent return over a user-chosen lookback (default 30 bars). This means a cut from 5.25 percent to 5.00 percent feeds in as –4.76 percent, while a climb from 25 000 to 30 000 USD in BTC over the same window converts to +20 percent.
(2) Divergence Construction – The script subtracts the Fed ROC from the BTC ROC. Positive values show BTC appreciating faster than policy is tightening (or falling slower than the rate is cutting); negative values show the opposite.
(3) Optional Smoothing – Macro series are noisy. Toggle “Apply Smoothing” to calm the line with your preferred moving-average flavour: SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, RMA, WMA or Hull. The default EMA-25 removes day-to-day whips while keeping turning points alive.
(4) Dynamic Colour Mapping – Rather than using a single hue, the oscillator line employs a gradient where deep greens represent strong bullish divergence and dark reds flag sharp bearish divergence. This heat-map approach lets you gauge intensity without squinting at numbers.
(5) Threshold Grid – Five horizontal guides create a structured regime map:
• Lower Extreme (–50 pct) and Upper Extreme (+50 pct) identify panic capitulations and euphoria blow-offs.
• Oversold (–20 pct) and Overbought (+20 pct) act as early warning alarms.
• Zero Line demarcates neutral alignment.
4. Chart Furniture and User Interface
• Oscillator fill with a secondary DEMA-30 “shader” offers depth perception: fat ribbons often precede high-volatility macro shifts.
• Optional bar-colouring paints candles green when the oscillator is above zero and red below, handy for visual correlation.
• Background tints when the line breaches extreme zones, making macro inflection weeks pop out in the replay bar.
• Everything—line width, thresholds, colours—can be customised so the indicator blends into any template.
5. Interpretation Guide
Macro Liquidity Pulse
• When the oscillator spends weeks above +20 while the Fed is still raising rates, Bitcoin is signalling liquidity tolerance or an anticipatory pivot view. That condition often marks the embryonic phase of major bull cycles (e.g., March 2020 rebound).
• Sustained prints below –20 while the Fed is already dovish indicate risk aversion or idiosyncratic crypto stress—think exchange scandals or broad flight to safety.
Regime Transition Signals
• Bullish cross through zero after a long sub-zero stint shows Bitcoin regaining upward escape velocity versus policy.
• Bearish cross under zero during a hiking cycle tells you monetary tightening has finally started to bite.
Momentum Exhaustion and Mean-Reversion
• Touches of +50 (or –50) come rarely; they are statistically stretched events. Fade strategies either taking profits or hedging have historically enjoyed positive expectancy.
• Inside-bar candlestick patterns or lower-timeframe bearish engulfings simultaneously with an extreme overbought print make high-probability short scalp setups, especially near weekly resistance. The same logic mirrors for oversold.
Pair Trading / Relative Value
• Combine the oscillator with spreads like BTC versus Nasdaq 100. When both the FED Divergence oscillator and the BTC–NDQ relative-strength line roll south together, the cross-asset confirmation amplifies conviction in a mean-reversion short.
• Swap BTC for miners, altcoins or high-beta equities to test who is the divergence leader.
Event-Driven Tactics
• FOMC days: plot the oscillator on an hourly chart (disable ‘Force Daily TF’). Watch for micro-structural spikes that resolve in the first hour after the statement; rapid flips across zero can front-run post-FOMC swings.
• CPI and NFP prints: extremes reached into the release often mean positioning is one-sided. A reversion toward neutral in the first 24 hours is common.
6. Alerts Suite
Pre-bundled conditions let you automate workflows:
• Bullish / Bearish zero crosses – queue spot or futures entries.
• Standard OB / OS – notify for first contact with actionable zones.
• Extreme OB / OS – prime time to review hedges, take profits or build contrarian swing positions.
7. Parameter Playground
• Shorten ROC Lookback to 14 for tactical traders; lengthen to 90 for macro investors.
• Raise extreme thresholds (for example ±80) when plotting on altcoins that exhibit higher volatility than BTC.
• Try HMA smoothing for responsive yet smooth curves on intraday charts.
• Colour-blind users can easily swap bull and bear palette selections for preferred contrasts.
8. Limitations and Best Practices
• The Fed Funds series is step-wise; it only changes on meeting days. Rapid BTC oscillations in between may dominate the calculation. Keep that perspective when interpreting very high-frequency signals.
• Divergence does not equal causation. Crypto-native catalysts (ETF approvals, hack headlines) can overwhelm macro links temporarily.
• Use in conjunction with classical confirmation tools—order-flow footprints, market-profile ledges, or simple price action to avoid “pure-indicator” traps.
9. Final Thoughts
The FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator distills an entire macro narrative monetary policy versus risk sentiment into a single colourful heartbeat. It will not magically predict every pivot, yet it excels at framing market context, spotting stretches and timing regime changes. Treat it as a strategic compass rather than a tactical sniper scope, combine it with sound risk management and multi-factor confirmation, and you will possess a robust edge anchored in the world’s most influential interest-rate benchmark.
Trade consciously, stay adaptive, and let the policy-price tension guide your roadmap.
Drawdown Distribution Analysis (DDA) ACADEMIC FOUNDATION AND RESEARCH BACKGROUND
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator implements quantitative risk management principles, drawing upon decades of academic research in portfolio theory, behavioral finance, and statistical risk modeling. This tool provides risk assessment capabilities for traders and portfolio managers seeking to understand their current position within historical drawdown patterns.
The theoretical foundation of this indicator rests on modern portfolio theory as established by Markowitz (1952), who introduced the fundamental concepts of risk-return optimization that continue to underpin contemporary portfolio management. Sharpe (1966) later expanded this framework by developing risk-adjusted performance measures, most notably the Sharpe ratio, which remains a cornerstone of performance evaluation in financial markets.
The specific focus on drawdown analysis builds upon the work of Chekhlov, Uryasev and Zabarankin (2005), who provided the mathematical framework for incorporating drawdown measures into portfolio optimization. Their research demonstrated that traditional mean-variance optimization often fails to capture the full risk profile of investment strategies, particularly regarding sequential losses. More recent work by Goldberg and Mahmoud (2017) has brought these theoretical concepts into practical application within institutional risk management frameworks.
Value at Risk methodology, as comprehensively outlined by Jorion (2007), provides the statistical foundation for the risk measurement components of this indicator. The coherent risk measures framework developed by Artzner et al. (1999) ensures that the risk metrics employed satisfy the mathematical properties required for sound risk management decisions. Additionally, the focus on downside risk follows the framework established by Sortino and Price (1994), while the drawdown-adjusted performance measures implement concepts introduced by Young (1991).
MATHEMATICAL METHODOLOGY
The core calculation methodology centers on a peak-tracking algorithm that continuously monitors the maximum price level achieved and calculates the percentage decline from this peak. The drawdown at any time t is defined as DD(t) = (P(t) - Peak(t)) / Peak(t) × 100, where P(t) represents the asset price at time t and Peak(t) represents the running maximum price observed up to time t.
Statistical distribution analysis forms the analytical backbone of the indicator. The system calculates key percentiles using the ta.percentile_nearest_rank() function to establish the 5th, 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, and 95th percentiles of the historical drawdown distribution. This approach provides a complete picture of how the current drawdown compares to historical patterns.
Statistical significance assessment employs standard deviation bands at one, two, and three standard deviations from the mean, following the conventional approach where the upper band equals μ + nσ and the lower band equals μ - nσ. The Z-score calculation, defined as Z = (DD - μ) / σ, enables the identification of statistically extreme events, with thresholds set at |Z| > 2.5 for extreme drawdowns and |Z| > 3.0 for severe drawdowns, corresponding to confidence levels exceeding 99.4% and 99.7% respectively.
ADVANCED RISK METRICS
The indicator incorporates several risk-adjusted performance measures that extend beyond basic drawdown analysis. The Sharpe ratio calculation follows the standard formula Sharpe = (R - Rf) / σ, where R represents the annualized return, Rf represents the risk-free rate, and σ represents the annualized volatility. The system supports dynamic sourcing of the risk-free rate from the US 10-year Treasury yield or allows for manual specification.
The Sortino ratio addresses the limitation of the Sharpe ratio by focusing exclusively on downside risk, calculated as Sortino = (R - Rf) / σd, where σd represents the downside deviation computed using only negative returns. This measure provides a more accurate assessment of risk-adjusted performance for strategies that exhibit asymmetric return distributions.
The Calmar ratio, defined as Annual Return divided by the absolute value of Maximum Drawdown, offers a direct measure of return per unit of drawdown risk. This metric proves particularly valuable for comparing strategies or assets with different risk profiles, as it directly relates performance to the maximum historical loss experienced.
Value at Risk calculations provide quantitative estimates of potential losses at specified confidence levels. The 95% VaR corresponds to the 5th percentile of the drawdown distribution, while the 99% VaR corresponds to the 1st percentile. Conditional VaR, also known as Expected Shortfall, estimates the average loss in the worst 5% of scenarios, providing insight into tail risk that standard VaR measures may not capture.
To enable fair comparison across assets with different volatility characteristics, the indicator calculates volatility-adjusted drawdowns using the formula Adjusted DD = Raw DD / (Volatility / 20%). This normalization allows for meaningful comparison between high-volatility assets like cryptocurrencies and lower-volatility instruments like government bonds.
The Risk Efficiency Score represents a composite measure ranging from 0 to 100 that combines the Sharpe ratio and current percentile rank to provide a single metric for quick asset assessment. Higher scores indicate superior risk-adjusted performance relative to historical patterns.
COLOR SCHEMES AND VISUALIZATION
The indicator implements eight distinct color themes designed to accommodate different analytical preferences and market contexts. The EdgeTools theme employs a corporate blue palette that matches the design system used throughout the edgetools.org platform, ensuring visual consistency across analytical tools.
The Gold theme specifically targets precious metals analysis with warm tones that complement gold chart analysis, while the Quant theme provides a grayscale scheme suitable for analytical environments that prioritize clarity over aesthetic appeal. The Behavioral theme incorporates psychology-based color coding, using green to represent greed-driven market conditions and red to indicate fear-driven environments.
Additional themes include Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic schemes, each designed for specific market conditions or user preferences. All themes function effectively with both dark and light mode trading platforms, ensuring accessibility across different user interface configurations.
PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
Asset allocation and portfolio construction represent primary use cases for this analytical framework. When comparing multiple assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and the S&P 500, traders can examine Risk Efficiency Scores to identify instruments offering superior risk-adjusted performance. The 95% VaR provides worst-case scenario comparisons, while volatility-adjusted drawdowns enable fair comparison despite varying volatility profiles.
The practical decision framework suggests that assets with Risk Efficiency Scores above 70 may be suitable for aggressive portfolio allocations, scores between 40 and 70 indicate moderate allocation potential, and scores below 40 suggest defensive positioning or avoidance. These thresholds should be adjusted based on individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Risk management and position sizing applications utilize the current percentile rank to guide allocation decisions. When the current drawdown ranks above the 75th percentile of historical data, indicating that current conditions are better than 75% of historical periods, position increases may be warranted. Conversely, when percentile rankings fall below the 25th percentile, indicating elevated risk conditions, position reductions become advisable.
Institutional portfolio monitoring applications include hedge fund risk dashboard implementations where multiple strategies can be monitored simultaneously. Sharpe ratio tracking identifies deteriorating risk-adjusted performance across strategies, VaR monitoring ensures portfolios remain within established risk limits, and drawdown duration tracking provides valuable information for investor reporting requirements.
Market timing applications combine the statistical analysis with trend identification techniques. Strong buy signals may emerge when risk levels register as "Low" in conjunction with established uptrends, while extreme risk levels combined with downtrends may indicate exit or hedging opportunities. Z-scores exceeding 3.0 often signal statistically oversold conditions that may precede trend reversals.
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE AND VALIDATION
The indicator provides 95% confidence intervals around current drawdown levels using the standard formula CI = μ ± 1.96σ. This statistical framework enables users to assess whether current conditions fall within normal market variation or represent statistically significant departures from historical patterns.
Risk level classification employs a dynamic assessment system based on percentile ranking within the historical distribution. Low risk designation applies when current drawdowns perform better than 50% of historical data, moderate risk encompasses the 25th to 50th percentile range, high risk covers the 10th to 25th percentile range, and extreme risk applies to the worst 10% of historical drawdowns.
Sample size considerations play a crucial role in statistical reliability. For daily data, the system requires a minimum of 252 trading days (approximately one year) but performs better with 500 or more observations. Weekly data analysis benefits from at least 104 weeks (two years) of history, while monthly data requires a minimum of 60 months (five years) for reliable statistical inference.
IMPLEMENTATION BEST PRACTICES
Parameter optimization should consider the specific characteristics of different asset classes. Equity analysis typically benefits from 500-day lookback periods with 21-day smoothing, while cryptocurrency analysis may employ 365-day lookback periods with 14-day smoothing to account for higher volatility patterns. Fixed income analysis often requires longer lookback periods of 756 days with 34-day smoothing to capture the lower volatility environment.
Multi-timeframe analysis provides hierarchical risk assessment capabilities. Daily timeframe analysis supports tactical risk management decisions, weekly analysis informs strategic positioning choices, and monthly analysis guides long-term allocation decisions. This hierarchical approach ensures that risk assessment occurs at appropriate temporal scales for different investment objectives.
Integration with complementary indicators enhances the analytical framework. Trend indicators such as RSI and moving averages provide directional bias context, volume analysis helps confirm the severity of drawdown conditions, and volatility measures like VIX or ATR assist in market regime identification.
ALERT SYSTEM AND AUTOMATION
The automated alert system monitors five distinct categories of risk events. Risk level changes trigger notifications when drawdowns move between risk categories, enabling proactive risk management responses. Statistical significance alerts activate when Z-scores exceed established threshold levels of 2.5 or 3.0 standard deviations.
New maximum drawdown alerts notify users when historical maximum levels are exceeded, indicating entry into uncharted risk territory. Poor risk efficiency alerts trigger when the composite risk efficiency score falls below 30, suggesting deteriorating risk-adjusted performance. Sharpe ratio decline alerts activate when risk-adjusted performance turns negative, indicating that returns no longer compensate for the risk undertaken.
TRADING STRATEGIES
Conservative risk parity strategies can be implemented by monitoring Risk Efficiency Scores across a diversified asset portfolio. Monthly rebalancing maintains equal risk contribution from each asset, with allocation reductions triggered when risk levels reach "High" status and complete exits executed when "Extreme" risk levels emerge. This approach typically results in lower overall portfolio volatility, improved risk-adjusted returns, and reduced maximum drawdown periods.
Tactical asset rotation strategies compare Risk Efficiency Scores across different asset classes to guide allocation decisions. Assets with scores exceeding 60 receive overweight allocations, while assets scoring below 40 receive underweight positions. Percentile rankings provide timing guidance for allocation adjustments, creating a systematic approach to asset allocation that responds to changing risk-return profiles.
Market timing strategies with statistical edges can be constructed by entering positions when Z-scores fall below -2.5, indicating statistically oversold conditions, and scaling out when Z-scores exceed 2.5, suggesting overbought conditions. The 95% VaR serves as a stop-loss reference point, while trend confirmation indicators provide additional validation for position entry and exit decisions.
LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Several statistical limitations affect the interpretation and application of these risk measures. Historical bias represents a fundamental challenge, as past drawdown patterns may not accurately predict future risk characteristics, particularly during structural market changes or regime shifts. Sample dependence means that results can be sensitive to the selected lookback period, with shorter periods providing more responsive but potentially less stable estimates.
Market regime changes can significantly alter the statistical parameters underlying the analysis. During periods of structural market evolution, historical distributions may provide poor guidance for future expectations. Additionally, many financial assets exhibit return distributions with fat tails that deviate from normal distribution assumptions, potentially leading to underestimation of extreme event probabilities.
Practical limitations include execution risk, where theoretical signals may not translate directly into actual trading results due to factors such as slippage, timing delays, and market impact. Liquidity constraints mean that risk metrics assume perfect liquidity, which may not hold during stressed market conditions when risk management becomes most critical.
Transaction costs are not incorporated into risk-adjusted return calculations, potentially overstating the attractiveness of strategies that require frequent trading. Behavioral factors represent another limitation, as human psychology may override statistical signals, particularly during periods of extreme market stress when disciplined risk management becomes most challenging.
TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION
Performance optimization ensures reliable operation across different market conditions and timeframes. All technical analysis functions are extracted from conditional statements to maintain Pine Script compliance and ensure consistent execution. Memory efficiency is achieved through optimized variable scoping and array usage, while computational speed benefits from vectorized calculations where possible.
Data quality requirements include clean price data without gaps or errors that could distort distribution analysis. Sufficient historical data is essential, with a minimum of 100 bars required and 500 or more preferred for reliable statistical inference. Time alignment across related assets ensures meaningful comparison when conducting multi-asset analysis.
The configuration parameters are organized into logical groups to enhance usability. Core settings include the Distribution Analysis Period (100-2000 bars), Drawdown Smoothing Period (1-50 bars), and Price Source selection. Advanced metrics settings control risk-free rate sourcing, either from live market data or fixed rate specification, along with toggles for various risk-adjusted metric calculations.
Display options provide flexibility in visual presentation, including color theme selection from eight available schemes, automatic dark mode optimization, and control over table display, position lines, percentile bands, and standard deviation overlays. These options ensure that the indicator can be adapted to different analytical workflows and visual preferences.
CONCLUSION
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator provides risk management tools for traders seeking to understand their current position within historical risk patterns. By combining established statistical methodology with practical usability features, the tool enables evidence-based risk assessment and portfolio optimization decisions.
The implementation draws upon established academic research while providing practical features that address real-world trading requirements. Dynamic risk-free rate integration ensures accurate risk-adjusted performance calculations, while multiple color schemes accommodate different analytical preferences and use cases.
Academic compliance is maintained through transparent methodology and acknowledgment of limitations. The tool implements peer-reviewed statistical techniques while clearly communicating the constraints and assumptions underlying the analysis. This approach ensures that users can make informed decisions about the appropriate application of the risk assessment framework within their broader trading and investment processes.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.M. and Heath, D. (1999) 'Coherent Measures of Risk', Mathematical Finance, 9(3), pp. 203-228.
Chekhlov, A., Uryasev, S. and Zabarankin, M. (2005) 'Drawdown Measure in Portfolio Optimization', International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 8(1), pp. 13-58.
Goldberg, L.R. and Mahmoud, O. (2017) 'Drawdown: From Practice to Theory and Back Again', Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, 10(2), pp. 140-152.
Jorion, P. (2007) Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. 3rd edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Markowitz, H. (1952) 'Portfolio Selection', Journal of Finance, 7(1), pp. 77-91.
Sharpe, W.F. (1966) 'Mutual Fund Performance', Journal of Business, 39(1), pp. 119-138.
Sortino, F.A. and Price, L.N. (1994) 'Performance Measurement in a Downside Risk Framework', Journal of Investing, 3(3), pp. 59-64.
Young, T.W. (1991) 'Calmar Ratio: A Smoother Tool', Futures, 20(1), pp. 40-42.
Morning Break OutThis indicator visualizes a classic morning breakout setup for the DAX and other European markets. The first hour often sets the tone for the trading day — this tool helps you identify that visually and react accordingly.
🔍 How It Works:
Box Range Calculation:
The high and low between 09:00 and 10:00 define the top and bottom of the box.
Color Logic:
Green: Price breaks above the box after 10:00 → bullish breakout
Red: Price breaks below the box after 10:00 → bearish breakout
Gray: No breakout → neutral phase
📈 Use Cases:
Identify breakout setups visually
Ideal for intraday traders and momentum strategies
Combine with volume or trend filters
⚙️ Notes:
Recommended for timeframes 1-minute and above
Uses the chart’s local timezone (e.g. CET/CEST for XETRA/DAX)
Works on all instruments with data before 09:00 — perfect for DAX, EuroStoxx, futures, FX, CFDs, etc.
Stock Table aiTrendviewProfessional Stock Market Monitoring Table (Pine Script v5)
This indicator is a real-time multi-asset monitoring table designed for professional traders, analysts, and portfolio managers using TradingView. Built with Pine Script v5, it enables users to track up to 10 instruments (stocks, indices, forex pairs, cryptocurrencies, or commodities) in a unified table embedded directly into the chart. It is intended to streamline portfolio monitoring, cross-market analysis, and rapid visual comparison of asset performance.
The core logic of this script involves retrieving live price data through TradingView’s request.security() function for each of the selected symbols. It calculates both absolute price change and percentage price change relative to the previous bar close. This ensures users can see real-time movements in each asset’s price. These calculations are updated at the close of every bar to optimize performance and reduce processing load using the barstate.islast condition.
The display structure is dynamically generated using table.new() and related functions. Internally, the script stores symbol and price data in arrays for efficient processing. Symbols are cleaned to remove exchange prefixes (e.g., "NASDAQ:", "BINANCE:") so only the ticker name is displayed. Based on the selected layout (1 to 5 columns), the table auto-adjusts its row structure to maintain clarity and symmetry. Each cell reflects the ticker symbol, current price, and changes, with conditional formatting applied to indicate price movement direction using green (positive), red (negative), or neutral colors.
Users can customize many visual elements including text size, color themes, transparency, table position, and whether headers are shown. The script includes built-in fallbacks for invalid symbols or empty data, ensuring robustness and uninterrupted performance during live market hours.
Use cases include:
Intraday traders monitoring multiple instruments simultaneously.
Swing traders assessing relative strength and correlation.
Portfolio managers scanning asset performance without switching charts.
Analysts preparing multi-asset presentations or watchlists.
To use the tool:
Paste the Pine Script into the Pine Editor.
Add the script to the chart.
Enter your desired symbols via the input fields.
Customize table position, layout, size, and color to suit your workspace.
This script does not provide trade signals or financial advice. It is purely a market visualization and data presentation tool. All calculations are based on live chart data and are synchronized with the chart’s timeframe.
Disclaimer from aiTrendview:
This script is a visual tool developed for market awareness and comparative observation. It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee trading results. aiTrendview and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses arising from decisions made based on this tool. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Breakout + Retest StrategyThe Breakout + Retest Strategy is a proven price action approach used by professional traders to catch high-probability market moves after key levels are broken. This strategy aims to enter the market after confirmation — reducing false breakouts and improving entry accuracy.
🔍 Strategy Logic:
Identify a Key Support or Resistance Level
These could be recent swing highs/lows, consolidation zones, or session highs.
Wait for a Clean Breakout
Price must decisively break above resistance or below support with strong momentum.
Watch for the Retest
After the breakout, wait for the price to pull back to the broken level (now flipped support/resistance).
Enter on Retest Confirmation
Look for signs like rejection wicks, bullish/bearish engulfing candles, or strong volume on the retest.
Set Risk-Managed Stops and Targets
Stop loss goes below (for long) or above (for short) the retested level.
Target is usually set at a 1:2 or higher risk-to-reward ratio, or based on structure.
✅ Why It Works:
Filters out fake breakouts
Uses market structure and liquidity traps to your advantage
Combines both momentum and confirmation
⚙️ Best Timeframes:
15-minute to 1-hour for intraday setups
4-hour and daily for swing trades
📊 Ideal for:
Futures (NQ, ES, Gold)
Forex pairs
Crypto
Stocks near key earnings or breakout zones
Spot vs. Derivatives BasisThis indicator calculates the basis between average spot and average perpetual futures prices across selected exchanges. It helps identify deviations between spot and perp markets — a key signal for funding pressure, arbitrage, or market dislocation.
Key Features:
Manual Pair Control – Enable or disable specific trading pairs as needed
Flexible Basis Smoothing – Apply SMA, EMA, WMA, or VWMA to filter noise
Anomaly Highlighting – Automatically flags basis deviations beyond ±0.1%
ICT Concepts Toolkit [TWS]
ICT Concepts Toolkit – by Trade With Stevie
Unlock the full power of Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts with this all-in-one indicator built for serious traders.
The ICT Concepts Toolkit combines the most powerful price action tools into one clean, efficient, and highly customizable interface — perfect for mastering market structure and timing precision entries.
✅ Features Included:
🟩 Order Blocks – Automatically detect key institutional levels for potential reversals and entries.
📉 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – Visualize imbalances in price action to spot high-probability targets and mitigation zones.
📊 Support & Resistance – Dynamically plotted levels to track market structure and trend shifts in real-time.
📅 Previous Daily Highs/Lows – Key liquidity zones marked for precision scalping and swing setups.
🕒 Session Zones – Clearly defined Asian, London, and New York sessions with customizable times and colors.
📌 Extension Lines – Extends each session’s high and low to the current candle for ongoing bias and liquidity mapping.
🚦ICT Morning Signal – Your personal directional bias assistant: smart signals showing when to Buy or Sell based on ICT’s powerful Morning Model logic.
Whether you're trading Forex, Futures, or Crypto — this toolkit gives you a cleaner chart, clearer bias, and more confidence in your setups.
💡 Created by Trade With Stevie — follow for more smart tools and signal insights.
HSI1! First 30m Candle Strategy (15m Chart)## HSI1! First 30-Minute Candle Breakout Strategy (15m Chart) — Description
### Overview
This strategy is designed for trading **Hang Seng Index (HSI) Futures** on a 15-minute chart. It uses the price range established during the first 30 minutes of the Hong Kong main session (09:15–09:44:59) to define key breakout levels for a systematic trade entry each day.
### How the Strategy Works
#### 1. Reference Candle Period
- **Aggregation Window:** The strategy monitors the first two 15-minute bars of the session (09:15:00–09:44:59 HKT).
- **Range Capture:** It records the highest and lowest prices (the "reference high/low") during this window.
#### 2. Trade Setup
- After the 09:45 bar completes, the reference range is locked in.
- Throughout the rest of the trading day (within session hours), the strategy looks for breakouts beyond the reference range.
#### 3. Entry Rules
- **Long Entry (Buy):**
- Triggered if price rises to or above the reference high.
- Only entered if the user's settings permit "Buy Only" or "Both".
- **Short Entry (Sell):**
- Triggered if price falls to or below the reference low.
- Only entered if the user's settings permit "Sell Only" or "Both".
- **Single trade per day:**
- Once any trade executes, no additional trades are opened until the next session.
#### 4. Exit Rules
- **Take Profit (TP):**
- Target profit is set to a distance equal to the initial range added above the long entry (or subtracted below the short entry).
- Example: For a 100-point range, a long trade targets entry + 100 points.
- **Stop Loss (SL):**
- Longs are stopped out if price falls back to the session's reference low; shorts are stopped out if price rallies to the reference high.
#### 5. Session Control
- Active only within the regular day session (09:15–12:00 and 13:00–16:00 HKT).
- Trade tracking resets each new trading day.
#### 6. Trade Direction Manual Setting
- A user input allows restriction to "Buy Only", "Sell Only" or "Both" directions, providing discretion over daily bias.
### Example Workflow
| Step | Action |
|---------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| 09:15–09:44 | Aggregate first two 15m candles; record daily high/low |
| After 09:45 | Wait for a breakout (price crossing either the high or the low) |
| Long trade triggered | Enter at the reference high, target is "high + range", SL is at the low |
| Short trade triggered | Enter at the reference low, target is "low - range", SL at the high |
| Trade management | No more trades for the day, regardless of further breakouts |
| End of session (if open) | Trades may be closed per further logic or left to strategy to handle |
### Key Features and Benefits
- **Discipline:** Only one trade per day, minimizing overtrading.
- **Clarity:** Transparent entry/exit rules; no discretionary execution.
- **Flexibility:** User can bias system to buy-only, sell-only, or allow both, depending on trend or personal view.
- **Simple Risk Control:** Pre-defined stop loss and profit target for every trade.
- **Works best in:** Trending, breakout-prone markets with a history of impulsive moves early in the session.
This strategy is ideal for systematic traders looking to capture the Hang Seng's early session momentum, with robust rule-based management and minimal intervention.
Smart MTF S/R Levels[BullByte]
Smart MTF S/R Levels
Introduction & Motivation
Support and Resistance (S/R) levels are the backbone of technical analysis. However, most traders face two major challenges:
Manual S/R Marking: Drawing S/R levels by hand is time-consuming, subjective, and often inconsistent.
Multi-Timeframe Blind Spots: Key S/R levels from higher or lower timeframes are often missed, leading to surprise reversals or missed opportunities.
Smart MTF S/R Levels was created to solve these problems. It is a fully automated, multi-timeframe, multi-method S/R detection and visualization tool, designed to give traders a complete, objective, and actionable view of the market’s most important price zones.
What Makes This Indicator Unique?
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Simultaneously analyzes up to three user-selected timeframes, ensuring you never miss a critical S/R level from any timeframe.
Multi-Method Confluence: Integrates several respected S/R detection methods—Swings, Pivots, Fibonacci, Order Blocks, and Volume Profile—into a single, unified system.
Zone Clustering: Automatically merges nearby levels into “zones” to reduce clutter and highlight areas of true market consensus.
Confluence Scoring: Each zone is scored by the number of methods and timeframes in agreement, helping you instantly spot the most significant S/R areas.
Reaction Counting: Tracks how many times price has recently interacted with each zone, providing a real-world measure of its importance.
Customizable Dashboard: A real-time, on-chart table summarizes all key S/R zones, their origins, confluence, and proximity to price.
Smart Alerts: Get notified when price approaches high-confluence zones, so you never miss a critical trading opportunity.
Why Should a Trader Use This?
Objectivity: Removes subjectivity from S/R analysis by using algorithmic detection and clustering.
Efficiency: Saves hours of manual charting and reduces analysis fatigue.
Comprehensiveness: Ensures you are always aware of the most relevant S/R zones, regardless of your trading timeframe.
Actionability: The dashboard and alerts make it easy to act on the most important levels, improving trade timing and risk management.
Adaptability: Works for all asset classes (stocks, forex, crypto, futures) and all trading styles (scalping, swing, position).
The Gap This Indicator Fills
Most S/R indicators focus on a single method or timeframe, leading to incomplete analysis. Manual S/R marking is error-prone and inconsistent. This indicator fills the gap by:
Automating S/R detection across multiple timeframes and methods
Objectively scoring and ranking zones by confluence and reaction
Presenting all this information in a clear, actionable dashboard
How Does It Work? (Technical Logic)
1. Level Detection
For each selected timeframe, the script detects S/R levels using:
SW (Swing High/Low): Recent price pivots where reversals occurred.
Pivot: Classic floor trader pivots (P, S1, R1).
Fib (Fibonacci): Key retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786) over the last 50 bars.
Bull OB / Bear OB: Institutional price zones based on bullish/bearish engulfing patterns.
VWAP / POC: Volume Weighted Average Price and Point of Control over the last 50 bars.
2. Level Clustering
Levels within a user-defined % distance are merged into a single “zone.”
Each zone records which methods and timeframes contributed to it.
3. Confluence & Reaction Scoring
Confluence: The number of unique methods/timeframes in agreement for a zone.
Reactions: The number of times price has touched or reversed at the zone in the recent past (user-defined lookback).
4. Filtering & Sorting
Only zones within a user-defined % of the current price are shown (to focus on actionable areas).
Zones can be sorted by confluence, reaction count, or proximity to price.
5. Visualization
Zones: Shaded boxes on the chart (green for support, red for resistance, blue for mixed).
Lines: Mark the exact level of each zone.
Labels: Show level, methods by timeframe (e.g., 15m (3 SW), 30m (1 VWAP)), and (if applicable) Fibonacci ratios.
Dashboard Table: Lists all nearby zones with full details.
6. Alerts
Optional alerts trigger when price approaches a zone with confluence above a user-set threshold.
Inputs & Customization (Explained for All Users)
Show Timeframe 1/2/3: Enable/disable analysis for each timeframe (e.g., 15m, 30m, 1h).
Show Swings/Pivots/Fibonacci/Order Blocks/Volume Profile: Select which S/R methods to include.
Show levels within X% of price: Only display zones near the current price (default: 3%).
How many swing highs/lows to show: Number of recent swings to include (default: 3).
Cluster levels within X%: Merge levels close together into a single zone (default: 0.25%).
Show Top N Zones: Limit the number of zones displayed (default: 8).
Bars to check for reactions: How far back to count price reactions (default: 100).
Sort Zones By: Choose how to rank zones in the dashboard (Confluence, Reactions, Distance).
Alert if Confluence >=: Set the minimum confluence score for alerts (default: 3).
Zone Box Width/Line Length/Label Offset: Control the appearance of zones and labels.
Dashboard Size/Location: Customize the dashboard table.
How to Read the Output
Shaded Boxes: Represent S/R zones. The color indicates type (green = support, red = resistance, blue = mixed).
Lines: Mark the precise level of each zone.
Labels: Show the level, methods by timeframe (e.g., 15m (3 SW), 30m (1 VWAP)), and (if applicable) Fibonacci ratios.
Dashboard Table: Columns include:
Level: Price of the zone
Methods (by TF): Which S/R methods and how many, per timeframe (see abbreviation key below)
Type: Support, Resistance, or Mixed
Confl.: Confluence score (higher = more significant)
React.: Number of recent price reactions
Dist %: Distance from current price (in %)
Abbreviations Used
SW = Swing High/Low (recent price pivots where reversals occurred)
Fib = Fibonacci Level (key retracement levels such as 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786)
VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price (price level weighted by volume)
POC = Point of Control (price level with the highest traded volume)
Bull OB = Bullish Order Block (institutional support zone from bullish price action)
Bear OB = Bearish Order Block (institutional resistance zone from bearish price action)
Pivot = Pivot Point (classic floor trader pivots: P, S1, R1)
These abbreviations appear in the dashboard and chart labels for clarity.
Example: How to Read the Dashboard and Labels (from the chart above)
Suppose you are trading BTCUSDT on a 15-minute chart. The dashboard at the top right shows several S/R zones, each with a breakdown of which timeframes and methods contributed to their detection:
Resistance zone at 119257.11:
The dashboard shows:
5m (1 SW), 15m (2 SW), 1h (3 SW)
This means the level 119257.11 was identified as a resistance zone by one swing high (SW) on the 5-minute timeframe, two swing highs on the 15-minute timeframe, and three swing highs on the 1-hour timeframe. The confluence score is 6 (total number of method/timeframe hits), and there has been 1 recent price reaction at this level. This suggests 119257.11 is a strong resistance zone, confirmed by multiple swing highs across all selected timeframes.
Mixed zone at 118767.97:
The dashboard shows:
5m (2 SW), 15m (2 SW)
This means the level 118767.97 was identified by two swing points on both the 5-minute and 15-minute timeframes. The confluence score is 4, and there have been 19 recent price reactions at this level, indicating it is a highly reactive zone.
Support zone at 117411.35:
The dashboard shows:
5m (2 SW), 1h (2 SW)
This means the level 117411.35 was identified as a support zone by two swing lows on the 5-minute timeframe and two swing lows on the 1-hour timeframe. The confluence score is 4, and there have been 2 recent price reactions at this level.
Mixed zone at 118291.45:
The dashboard shows:
15m (1 SW, 1 VWAP), 5m (1 VWAP), 1h (1 VWAP)
This means the level 118291.45 was identified by a swing and VWAP on the 15-minute timeframe, and by VWAP on both the 5-minute and 1-hour timeframes. The confluence score is 4, and there have been 12 recent price reactions at this level.
Support zone at 117103.10:
The dashboard shows:
15m (1 SW), 1h (1 SW)
This means the level 117103.10 was identified by a single swing low on both the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes. The confluence score is 2, and there have been no recent price reactions at this level.
Resistance zone at 117899.33:
The dashboard shows:
5m (1 SW)
This means the level 117899.33 was identified by a single swing high on the 5-minute timeframe. The confluence score is 1, and there have been no recent price reactions at this level.
How to use this:
Zones with higher confluence (more methods and timeframes in agreement) and more recent reactions are generally more significant. For example, the resistance at 119257.11 is much stronger than the resistance at 117899.33, and the mixed zone at 118767.97 has shown the most recent price reactions, making it a key area to watch for potential reversals or breakouts.
Tip:
“SW” stands for Swing High/Low, and “VWAP” stands for Volume Weighted Average Price.
The format 15m (2 SW) means two swing points were detected on the 15-minute timeframe.
Best Practices & Recommendations
Use with Other Tools: This indicator is most powerful when combined with your own price action analysis and risk management.
Adjust Settings: Experiment with timeframes, clustering, and methods to suit your trading style and the asset’s volatility.
Watch for High Confluence: Zones with higher confluence and more reactions are generally more significant.
Limitations
No Future Prediction: The indicator does not predict future price movement; it highlights areas where price is statistically more likely to react.
Not a Standalone System: Should be used as part of a broader trading plan.
Historical Data: Reaction counts are based on historical price action and may not always repeat.
Disclaimer
This indicator is a technical analysis tool and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management and consult a financial advisor if needed.
ATR Circle PlotTitle: ATR Circle Plot
Short Title: ATR Circle Plot
Description:
ATR Circle Plot is a dynamic overlay indicator that visualizes volatility-based levels around the open price of each bar, using the Average True Range (ATR). It plots two customizable levels—Upper and Lower ATR—calculated by multiplying the ATR by a user-defined factor (default: 1.0) and adding/subtracting it from the open price. These levels are displayed as colored circles on the chart, ideal for identifying potential breakout or stop-loss zones. A movable table summarizes the ATR value, Upper Level, and Lower Level with tick precision, and a new toggleable label feature displays these values directly on the chart for quick reference.
Perfect for traders in volatile markets like forex, futures, or stocks, this indicator helps set risk parameters or spot key price levels. Users can adjust the ATR timeframe, length, multiplier, table position, and circle colors to suit their strategy. The optional chart labels enhance usability by overlaying ATR metrics at the latest price levels, reducing the need to check the table during fast-moving markets.
Key Features:
Plots Upper and Lower ATR levels as colored circles around the open price.
Toggleable table (top/bottom, left/right) showing ATR and level values in ticks.
Optional chart labels for ATR, Upper, and Lower levels, toggleable via input.
Customizable ATR length, multiplier, timeframe, and colors for flexibility.
Lightweight and compatible with any chart timeframe.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart and adjust the ATR length, multiplier, and timeframe as needed. Enable/disable the table or labels based on your preference. Use the Upper and Lower ATR levels as dynamic support/resistance or stop-loss guides. For example, place stops beyond the Upper/Lower levels or target breakouts when price crosses them. Combine with trend or momentum indicators for a robust setup.
Note: Leave the ATR Timeframe input empty to use the chart’s timeframe, or specify a higher timeframe (e.g., “D” for daily) for broader volatility context. Ensure your chart’s tick size aligns with the asset for accurate table values.
Tags: ATR, volatility, support resistance, stop loss, table, labels, breakout
Category: Volatility
FVG 9:31–10:00 AM ETFVG 9:31–10:00 AM ET - Script Description
What This Script Does
This indicator finds **Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)** that form during the first 29 minutes of the U.S. stock market (9:31 AM to 10:00 AM Eastern Time). A Fair Value Gap is a price imbalance where there's a gap between candles that often becomes an important support or resistance level.
Key Features:
- **Time Window**: Only looks for FVGs between 9:31-10:00 AM ET (most important opening period)
- **One Per Day**: Finds only the first FVG that forms in this time window each day
- **Visual Display**: Draws a purple box around the gap with a clear "FVG" label
- **Price Tracking**: Monitors when price comes back to test the gap level
- **Alert System**: Sends notifications when price returns to the FVG zone
How FVGs Are Detected:
- **Bullish FVG**: When there's a gap up (low of middle candle is above high of 3rd candle back)
- **Bearish FVG**: When there's a gap down (high of middle candle is below low of 3rd candle back)
The 9:31-10:00 AM window is chosen because this is when institutions and algorithms create their biggest price moves right after market open, making these gaps very reliable.
Customization Options
User Settings
Extend FVG Box (Bars)
- **What it does**: Makes the purple box longer to the right
- **Default**: 0 (box ends right after the gap forms)
- **Options**: Any number from 0 to 100+
- **When to use**:
- Keep at 0 for clean historical view
- Set to 10-20 to track the gap during the current session
- Set higher for longer reference
Code Settings (Can Be Changed)
Time Window
- **Start**: 9:31 AM Eastern Time
- **End**: 10:00 AM Eastern Time
- **Can modify**: Change the hour/minute numbers in the code
Visual Style
- **Color**: Purple with see-through background
- **Label**: Shows "FVG" text in white
- **Can modify**: Change colors and transparency in the code
How to Use:
Setup
Chart Settings
1. Use 1-minute, 5-minute, or 15-minute charts (works best on these timeframes)
2. Apply to liquid markets like ES, NQ, major stocks, or forex pairs
3. Set the "Extend FVG Box" to your preference (start with 0 or 10)
What You'll See
- A purple box appears when an FVG forms during 9:31-10:00 AM
- Box shows the exact price levels of the gap
- "FVG" label appears on the box
- Only one FVG per day will be marked
Trading Strategies
Basic FVG Trading
1. **Wait for Formation**: Let the purple box appear during 9:31-10:00 AM
2. **Watch Price Movement**: See if price moves away from the gap
3. **Enter on Retest**: When price comes back to the purple box area, consider entering
4. **Trade Direction**:
- Bullish FVG = look for long opportunities when price retests
- Bearish FVG = look for short opportunities when price retests
Entry Methods
- **Bounce Play**: Enter when price touches the FVG box and bounces away
- **Break Play**: Enter if price strongly breaks through the FVG box
- **Rejection Play**: Enter opposite direction if price gets rejected at the FVG
Risk Management
Stop Losses
- Place stops just outside the FVG box (a few ticks beyond the gap)
- If trading a bounce, stop goes on opposite side of the gap
- If trading a break, stop goes back inside the gap
Position Sizing
- Start small until you understand how FVGs work in your market
- Bigger gaps = smaller position size (more risk)
- Smaller gaps = can use larger position size
Profit Targets
- Take profits at obvious levels like round numbers, previous highs/lows
- Consider taking half profits at 1:1 risk/reward ratio
- Let some position run if the move is strong
Best Practices
When It Works Best
- High-volume stocks and futures (ES, NQ work great)
- Normal market days without major news during the 9:31-10:00 window
- When there's clear institutional activity in the opening period
When to Be Careful
- Low-volume stocks or markets
- Major economic news releases during the time window
- Market holidays when volume is low
- Very choppy or sideways days
Alert Usage
- The script will alert you when price comes back to test the FVG
- Don't trade the alert blindly - always check the current market situation
- Use the alert as a heads-up to start watching the setup more closely
Tips for Success
- The earlier the FVG forms in the 9:31-10:00 window, often the more significant it is
- FVGs that form with high volume are usually more reliable
- Always consider the overall market direction - don't fight the main trend
- Practice on paper first to understand how FVGs behave in your chosen market
🔗 Works Best With:
✅ Liquidity Levels — Smart Swing Lows: Spot key structural lows that can fuel stop hunts and reversals.
✅ ICT Turtle Soup — Liquidity Reversal: Add a classic reversal pattern to your toolkit to catch fakeouts cleanly.
✅ ICT SMC Liquidity Grabs and OBs- Liquidity Grabs, Order Block Zones, and Fibonacci OTE Levels, allowing traders to identify institutional entry models with clean, rule-based visual signals.
This script is most valuable for day traders who want to catch institutional moves right after market open, but it can also help swing traders identify important intraday levels.
✅ ICT Macro Zones (Grey Box Version)- It tracks real-time highs and lows for each Silver Bullet session.
✅ Weekly Opening Gap (cryptonnnite)
Multi Vertical Timeline V3English Description
Multi Vertical Timeline V3 + 3 Time Blocks
A professional trading indicator for precise time marking and session highlighting on your charts.
Key Features:
📍 6 Vertical Time Lines:
Individually configurable times (hour/minute)
Customizable colors, line widths, and styles (solid, dashed, dotted)
Enable/disable toggle for each timeline
Optional time labels
🎨 3 Trading Session Blocks:
Colored background highlights for important trading hours
Pre-configured for NY, London, and Tokyo sessions
Fully customizable start and end times
Transparent coloring for optimal chart readability
⏰ Smart Time Control:
Precise timezone offset setting (-12 to +12 hours)
Automatic adjustment for daylight saving time
Worldwide timezone support
Special handling for time blocks crossing midnight
🛠️ User-Friendly Design:
Clear grouping of all settings
Global on/off control for all labels
No performance impact through optimized code
Instant visual feedback
Use Cases:
Forex Trading (mark session overlaps)
Futures Trading (market opening hours)
Intraday Strategies (entry/exit times)
Multi-timeframe Analysis
Backtesting with time-based rules
Perfect for traders who need precise time markings and session highlights for their strategies!
7 EMA CloudThe "7 EMA Cloud" script was likely flagged because it reuses the core concept of EMA clouds (shading areas between multiple EMAs to visualize trends, support/resistance, and momentum) without crediting the original inventor, Ripster (author ripster47 on TradingView). This concept is prominently associated with Ripster's "EMA Clouds" indicator, which popularized filling spaces between EMA pairs for trading signals. TradingView's house rules require crediting authors when reusing open-source ideas or code, even if not a direct copy-paste, and mandate significant improvements where the original forms a small proportion of the script. Your version adds features like multiple color modes (Classic rainbow, Monochrome, Heatmap), customizable signal sizes, and crossover alerts between the first and last EMA, which are enhancements, but the foundational EMA ribbon/cloud idea needs explicit attribution in the description and ideally code comments to comply.
Additionally, the description might be seen as not fully self-contained (e.g., it uses promotional language like "Advanced" and "Adaptive Trend & Signal Suite" without deeply explaining calculations or use cases), potentially violating rules against relying on code or external references for clarity.
To fix this, republish a new version with proper credits, ensure the description is detailed and standalone, and emphasize your improvements (e.g., the 7 Fibonacci-based EMAs, color modes, and signals). Do not reuse the flagged script—create a fresh one. Here's a compliant description you can use:
7 EMA Cloud Indicator
Overview
The 7 EMA Cloud overlays seven exponential moving averages (EMAs) with Fibonacci-inspired periods and fills the spaces between them with customizable "clouds" to visually represent trend strength, direction, and convergence/divergence. It includes crossover signals between the shortest and longest EMAs for potential entry/exit points, with adjustable visual modes for different trading styles. This helps traders identify bullish/bearish momentum, support/resistance zones, and overextensions in trending or ranging markets.
This script builds on the EMA cloud concept popularized by Ripster (ripster47) in their "EMA Clouds" indicatortradingview.com, where areas between EMA pairs are shaded for trend analysis. Improvements include a fixed set of 7 Fibonacci EMAs, multiple color schemes (Classic rainbow, Monochrome grayscale, Heatmap for intensity), user-selectable signal sizes, and transparency controls. Released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Key Features
7 EMAs with Clouds: EMAs at periods 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, and 144; clouds filled between consecutive pairs to show alignment (tight clouds for consolidation, wide for trends).
Color Modes:
Classic: Rainbow gradients (blue to purple) for vibrant distinction.
Monochrome: Grayscale shades for minimalistic charts.
Heatmap: Red-to-blue spectrum to highlight "hot" (volatile) vs. "cool" (stable) areas.
Crossover Signals: Triangle markers (up for bullish, down for bearish) when the shortest EMA crosses the longest; sizes from Tiny to Huge.
Display Options: Toggle EMA lines on/off, adjust cloud transparency (0-100%), and enable alerts for crossovers.
Alerts: Notifications for "Bullish EMA Crossover" (EMA1 > EMA7) and "Bearish EMA Crossover" (EMA1 < EMA7).
How It Works
EMA Calculations: Each EMA is computed using ta.ema(close, period), with periods based on Fibonacci sequences for natural market rhythm alignment.
Clouds: Filled via fill() between plot pairs, with colors derived from the selected mode and transparency applied.
Signals: Detected with ta.crossover(ema1, ema7) and ta.crossunder(ema1, ema7), plotted as shapes with mode-specific colors (e.g., green/lime for bull, red for bear).
Customization: Inputs grouped into EMA Settings (periods), Display Settings (visibility, colors, transparency), and Signal Settings (size).
Customization Options
EMA Periods: Individually adjustable (defaults: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144).
Show EMAs: Toggle to hide lines and focus on clouds.
Cloud Transparency: 0% for solid fills, 100% for invisible (default 80%).
Color Mode: Switch between Classic, Monochrome, or Heatmap.
Signal Size: Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, or Huge for crossover markers.
Ideal Use Case
Suited for swing or trend-following on any timeframe (e.g., 15m-1h for intraday, daily for swings) and assets (stocks, forex, crypto, futures). Enter long on bullish crossovers above aligned clouds; exit on bearish signals or cloud widenings. Use Monochrome for clean charts or Heatmap for volatility emphasis. Combine with volume or RSI for confirmation.
Why It's Valuable
By expanding Ripster's EMA cloud idea with multi-mode visuals and integrated signals, this indicator provides a versatile, at-a-glance tool for trend assessment—reducing noise while highlighting key shifts. It's more adaptive than basic MA ribbons, with Fibonacci periods adding a layer of harmonic analysis.
Note: Test on historical data or demo accounts. Not financial advice—incorporate risk management. Optimized for Pine Script v5; some features may vary on non-overlay charts.
Liquidity Swings [Nix]Liquidity Swings Indicator!
It marks recent swing highs and lows on the chart using lines and labels.
Another great feature is that it tracks whether those swing levels are SWEPT (price crosses them again) and either:
Removes swept levels, or
Fades them to indicate they’ve been taken.
You can customize:
Number of swings shown.
Colors, styles, and visibility of lines/labels.
Whether to show highs, lows, or both.
Useful for liquidity analysis.
Usually when these special swings are swept, you can consider moving stops to BE. This is because there should be enough stop losses at the swing points to liquidate others and give more fuel to your trade direction!
ADR TableTrack volatility and session momentum in real-time with customizable precision.
Key Features:
Average Daily Range (ADR): Configurable length (default 5 days), based on previous daily high–low ranges.
Session Anchor Options: Choose anchor at 4 am NY, 6 pm NY, 9:30 am NY, 8:30 am NY, Previous Day Close, or Current Bar.
Session Range & %ADR: Displays the real-time range from the chosen anchor, plus what percentage of ADR has been covered.
High / Low Target Levels: Calculates ADR targets based on anchor: anchor ± ADR.
Optional Target Lines: Draw horizontal lines for high and low targets across the session; customize color and width.
Dynamic Table Display: User-selectable table size and text size (Tiny to Huge) for optimal readability.
Robust Anchor Logic: Uses the first bar at-or-after anchor time each NY day, ensuring stability even on irregular intraday timeframes.
How to Use
Choose your anchor in settings.
View ADR, session range (with %ADR), and target price levels in the top-right pane.Toggle High/Low lines to overlay targets on the chart.
Adjust table and text size to match your workspace.
Why It Matters
Quickly assess where price stands relative to typical volatility.
Easily identify intraday price exhaustion or breakout zones.
Anchor flexibility enables use for both futures and equities, aligning with your trading session.
Clean, professional display—no clutter, no guesswork.
Initial Balance Wave MapThis indicator visualizes the Initial Balance (IB) range for any session, marking the first hour's high and low. It includes optional midpoints, extensions (e.g. 1.5x IB, 2x IB), and customizable time windows. Additional features allow users to display session open, high, low, close, and VWAP reference points. Designed to support price action and session structure analysis, it adapts to various global futures and FX market opens. All display elements are optional and fully configurable.
This updated indicator builds upon the open-source foundation by @noop-noop with enhancements and user-facing labels tailored for Auction Market Theory, scalping, and structure-based trade setups.
Key updated Featured: Multiple previous day's IB levels carry forward into the current day's chart, as opposed to just the previous day's levels carrying forward to the new IB time.
🙌 Credits:
This script builds upon the excellent open-source work by @noop-noop. Original script available here .
Inflection PointInflection Point - The Adaptive Confluence Reversal Engine
This is not just another peak and valley indicator; it is a complete and total reimagining of how market turning points are detected, qualified, and acted upon. Born from the foundational concepts explored in systems like my earlier creation, DAFE - Turning Point, Inflection Point is a ground-up engineering feat designed for the modern trader. It moves beyond static rules and simple pattern recognition into the realm of dynamic, multi-factor confluence analysis and adaptive machine learning.
Where other indicators provide a guess, Inflection Point provides a probability. It meticulously analyzes the market's deepest currents—momentum, exhaustion, and reversal velocity—and fuses them into a single, unified "Confluence Score." This is not a simple combination of indicators; it is an intelligent, weighted system where each component works in concert, creating an analytical engine that is orders of magnitude more sophisticated and reliable than any standard reversal tool.
Furthermore, Inflection Point learns. Through its advanced Adaptive Learning Engine, it constantly monitors its own performance, adjusting its confidence and selectivity in real-time based on its recent success rate. This allows it to adapt its behavior to any security, on any timeframe, with remarkable success.
Theoretical Foundation - Confluence Core
Inflection Point's predictive power does not come from a single, magical formula. It comes from the intelligent synthesis of three critical market phenomena, weighted and scored in real-time to generate a single, high-conviction probability rating.
1. Factor One: Pre-Reversal Momentum State (RSI Analysis)
Instead of reacting to a simple RSI cross, Inflection Point proactively scans for the build-up of momentum that precedes a reversal.
• Formulaic Concept: It measures the highest RSI value over a lookback period for peaks and the lowest RSI for valleys. A signal is only considered valid if significant momentum has been established before the turn, indicating a stretched market condition ripe for reversal.
• Asymmetric Sophistication: The engine uses different, optimized thresholds for bull and bear momentum, recognizing that markets often fall faster than they rise.
2. Factor Two: Volatility Exhaustion (Bollinger Band Analysis)
A true reversal often occurs when price makes a final, exhaustive push into unsustainable territory.
• Formulaic Concept: The engine detects when price has significantly pierced the outer Bollinger Bands. This is not just a touch, but a statistical deviation from the mean that signals volatility exhaustion, where the energy for the current move is likely depleted.
3. Factor Three: Reversal Strength (Rate of Change Analysis)
The character of a reversal matters. A sharp, decisive turn is more significant than a slow, meandering one.
• Formulaic Concept: Using a short-term Rate of Change (ROC), the engine measures the velocity of the reversal itself. A higher ROC score adds significant weight to the final probability, confirming that the new direction has conviction.
4. The Final Calculation: The Adaptive Learning Engine
This is the system's "brain." It maintains a history of its past signals and calculates its real-time win rate. This hitRate is then used to generate an adaptiveMultiplier.
• Self-Correction: In "Quality Control" mode, a high win rate makes the indicator more selective, demanding a higher probability score to issue a signal, thereby protecting streaks. A lower win rate makes it slightly less selective to ensure it continues learning from new market conditions.
• The result is a system that is not static, but a living, breathing tool that adapts its personality to the unique rhythm of any chart.
Why Inflection Point is a Paradigm Shift
Inflection Point is fundamentally different from other reversal indicators for three key reasons:
Confluence Over Isolation: Standard indicators look at one thing (e.g., RSI > 70). Inflection Point simultaneously analyzes momentum, volatility, and velocity, understanding that true reversals are a product of multiple converging factors. It answers not just "if," but "why" a reversal is likely.
Probabilistic Over Binary: Other tools give you a simple "yes" or "no." Inflection Point provides a probability score from 0-100, allowing you to gauge the conviction of every potential signal. This empowers you to differentiate between a weak setup and an A+ opportunity.
Adaptive Over Static: Every other indicator uses the same rules forever. Inflection Point's Adaptive Engine means it is constantly refining its own logic based on what is actually working in the current market, on the specific asset you are trading. It is tailored to the now.
The Inputs Menu - Your Command Center
Every setting is a lever of control, allowing you to tune the engine to your precise trading style and market focus.
🧠 Neural Core Engine
Analysis Depth: This is the primary lookback for the Bollinger Band and other core calculations. A shorter depth makes the indicator faster and more sensitive, ideal for scalping. A longer depth makes it slower and more stable, ideal for swing trading.
Minimum Probability %: This is your master signal filter. It sets the minimum Confluence Score required to plot a signal. Higher values (85-95) will give you only the highest-conviction A+ setups. Lower values (70-80) will show more potential opportunities.
🤖 Adaptive Neural Learning
Enable Adaptive Learning Engine: Toggles the entire learning system. Disabling it will make the indicator's logic static.
Peak/Valley Success Threshold (ATR): This defines what constitutes a "successful" trade for the learning engine. A value of 1.5 means price must move 1.5x the ATR in your favor for the signal to be marked as a win. Adjust this to match your personal take-profit strategy.
Adaptive Mode: This dictates how the engine uses its hitRate. "Quality Control" is recommended for its intelligent filtering. "Aggressive" will always boost signal scores, useful for finding more setups in a known, trending environment.
Asymmetric Balance: Allows you to apply a "boost" to either peak (short) or valley (long) signals. If you find the market you're trading has stronger long reversals, you can increase the "Valley Signal Boost" to catch them more effectively.
🛡️ Elite Filters
Market Noise Filter: An exceptional tool for avoiding choppy markets. It counts the number of directional changes in the last 5 bars. If the market is whipping back and forth too much, it will block the signal. Lower the "Max Direction Changes" to be extremely selective.
Volume Filter: Requires signal confirmation from a significant volume spike. The "Volume Multiplier" dictates how large this spike must be (e.g., 1.2 = 20% above average volume). This is invaluable for filtering out low-conviction moves in stocks and crypto.
The Dashboard - Your Analytical Co-Pilot
The dashboard is not just a set of numbers; it is a holistic overview of the market's health and the engine's current state.
Unified AI Score: This section provides the most critical, at-a-glance information. "Total Score" is the current probability reading, while "Quality" gives you a human-readable interpretation. "Win Rate" shows the real-time performance of the Adaptive Engine.
Order Flow (OFPI): This measures the "weight" of money behind recent price moves by analyzing price change relative to volume. A high positive OFPI suggests strong buying pressure, while a high negative value suggests strong selling pressure. It gives you a peek into the market's underlying flow.
Component Analysis: This allows you to see the individual "Peak" and "Valley" confidence scores before they are filtered, giving you insight into building momentum before a signal forms.
Market Structure: This panel assesses the broader environment. "HTF Trend" tells you the direction of the larger trend (based on EMAs), while "Vol Regime" tells you if the market is in a high, medium, or low volatility state. Use this to align your signals with the broader market context.
Filter & Engine Statistics: Available on the "Large" dashboard, this provides deep insight into how many signals are being blocked by your filters and the current status of the Adaptive Engine's multiplier.
The Visual Interface - A Symphony of Data
Every visual element on the chart is designed for instant interpretation and insight.
Signal Markers: Simple, clean triangles mark the exact bar of a valid signal. A box is drawn around the high/low of the signal bar to highlight the precise point of inflection.
Dynamic Support/Resistance Zones: These are the glowing lines on your chart. They are not static lines; they are dynamic levels that represent the current battlefield between buyers and sellers.
Cyber Cyan (Valley Blue): This is the current Support Zone. This is the price level the market is currently trying to defend.
Neural Pink (Peak Red): This is the current Resistance Zone. This is the price level the market is currently trying to break through.
Grey (Next Level): This line is a projection, based on the current momentum and the size of the S/R range, of where the next major level of conflict will likely be. It acts as a potential price target.
Development & Philosophy
Inflection Point was not assembled; it was engineered. It represents hundreds of hours of research into market dynamics, statistical analysis, and machine learning principles. The goal was to create a tool that moves beyond the limitations of traditional technical analysis, which often fails in modern, algorithm-driven markets. By building a system based on multi-factor confluence and self-adaptive logic, Inflection Point provides a quantifiable, statistical edge that is simply unattainable with simpler tools. This is the result of a relentless pursuit of a better, more intelligent way to trade.
Universal Applicability
The principles of momentum, exhaustion, and velocity are universal to all freely traded markets. Because of its adaptive core and robust filtering options, Inflection Point has proven to be exceptionally effective on any security (stocks, crypto, forex, indices, futures) and on any timeframe (from 1-minute scalping charts to daily swing trading charts).
" Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected. "
— George Soros
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Session VWAPsThis indicator plots volume-weighted average price (VWAP) lines for three major trading sessions: Tokyo, London, and New York. Each VWAP resets at the start of its session and tracks the average price weighted by volume during that window. You can choose the exact session times, turn individual sessions on or off, and optionally extend each VWAP line until the end of the trading day.
It’s designed to give you a clear view of how price is behaving relative to session-specific value areas. This can help in identifying session overlaps, shifts in price control, or whether price is holding above or below a particular session’s average. The indicator supports futures-style day rollovers and works across markets.
Ehlers Two-Pole StochasticThis indicator implements John Ehlers' Two-Pole Stochastic Filter, a smoother alternative to the traditional stochastic oscillator. Instead of relying on raw %K values, it applies a second-order IIR filter (recursive smoothing) to reduce noise and improve trend clarity.
It outputs a single line oscillating between 0 and 1, with less lag and false signals compared to standard stochastic implementations.
Key Features:
Uses a two-pole filter to smooth the normalized stochastic (%K).
Ideal for detecting clean reversals and trend continuations.
Designed for minimal visual noise and greater signal confidence.
Interpretation:
Values near 1.0 may suggest overbought conditions.
Values near 0.0 may suggest oversold conditions.
Crosses above 0.5 can signal bullish shifts, and below 0.5 bearish shifts.
Recommended Settings:
Default smoothing factor (alpha) is 0.7 — higher values make the output more responsive, while lower values smooth further.
Inspired by concepts from Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures by John F. Ehlers.
Absorption DetectorABSORPTION DETECTOR -
The Absorption Detector identifies institutional order flow by detecting "absorption" patterns where smart money quietly accumulates or distributes positions by absorbing retail order flow. This creates high-probability support and resistance zones for trading. This is an approximation only and does not read any footprint data.
WHAT IS ABSORPTION?
Absorption occurs when institutions take the opposite side of retail trades, creating specific candlestick patterns with high volume and significant wicks. The indicator identifies two main patterns:
SELLING ABSORPTION (P-Pattern): Red zones above candles where institutions sell into retail buying pressure, creating resistance levels. Look for high volume candles with large upper wicks that close in the lower half.
BUYING ABSORPTION (B-Pattern): Green zones below candles where institutions buy from retail selling pressure, creating support levels. Look for high volume candles with large lower wicks that close in the upper half.
KEY FEATURES
- Automatic detection of institutional absorption patterns
- Dynamic support and resistance zone creation
- Customizable styling for all visual elements
- Historic zone display for backtesting analysis
- Strength-based filtering to show only high-probability setups
- Real-time alerts for new absorption patterns
- Professional info panel with key statistics
- Multi-timeframe compatibility
MAIN SETTINGS
Volume Threshold (1.2): Minimum volume surge required compared to average. Higher values = fewer but stronger signals.
Minimum Volume (2500): Absolute volume floor to prevent signals during low-volume periods.
Min Wick Size (0.2): Minimum wick size as ATR multiple. Ensures significant rejection occurred.
Minimum Strength (1.5): Combined volume and wick strength filter. Higher values = higher quality signals.
Show Historic Zones (OFF): Enable to see all historical zones for backtesting. Disable for better performance.
Zone Extension (20): How many bars to project zones forward for anticipating future reactions.
TRADING APPROACH
ZONE REACTION STRATEGY: Wait for price to approach absorption zones and trade the bounce or rejection. Use the zones as dynamic support and resistance levels.
BREAKOUT STRATEGY: Trade decisive breaks of strong absorption zones with proper risk management. Failed zones often lead to strong moves.
CONFLUENCE TRADING: Combine absorption zones with other technical analysis for highest probability setups. Look for alignment with trend lines, Fibonacci levels, and key support/resistance.
RISK MANAGEMENT: Always use stop losses beyond the absorption zones. Target minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratios. Position size appropriately based on zone strength.
OPTIMIZATION GUIDE
For Conservative Trading (fewer, higher quality signals):
- Volume Threshold: 1.5
- Minimum Strength: 2.0
- Min Wick Size: 0.3
For Aggressive Trading (more signals, requires careful filtering):
- Volume Threshold: 1.1
- Minimum Strength: 1.0
- Min Wick Size: 0.15
BEST PRACTICES
Markets: Works best on liquid instruments with good volume - major forex pairs, popular stocks, liquid futures, and established cryptocurrencies.
Timeframes: Effective on all timeframes from 1-minute scalping to daily swing trading. Adjust settings based on your timeframe and trading style.
Confirmation: Never trade absorption signals in isolation. Always combine with trend analysis, market structure, and proper risk management.
Session Timing: Be aware of market sessions and avoid trading during low liquidity periods or major news events.
Backtesting: Use the historic zones feature to validate performance on your chosen market and timeframe before live trading.
CUSTOMIZATION
The indicator offers complete visual customization including zone colors, border styles, label appearances, and info panel positioning. All colors can be adapted to match your chart theme and personal preferences.
Alert system provides both basic and custom message alerts for real-time notifications of new absorption patterns.
PERFORMANCE NOTES
Default settings are optimized for most markets and timeframes. For best performance on older charts, keep "Show Historic Zones" disabled unless specifically backtesting.
The indicator maintains excellent performance even with extensive historical analysis enabled, handling up to 500 zones and 100 labels for comprehensive backtesting.
Volume-Confirmed Price Momentum# **Volume-Confirmed Price Momentum (VCPM) Indicator**
## **🔍 Overview**
Introducing the **Volume-Confirmed Price Momentum (VCPM)**, a sophisticated dual-metric indicator designed to identify high-probability momentum moves by analyzing the relationship between price action and volume dynamics. This indicator combines correlation analysis with volume strength validation to filter out weak signals and highlight institutional-backed movements.
---
## **⚙️ Core Mechanics**
**Price-Volume Correlation Engine:**
- Calculates real-time correlation between price movements and volume
- Configurable lookback period (default: 8 bars)
- Option to use price changes or absolute values
- Correlation range: -1.0 (perfect negative) to +1.0 (perfect positive)
**Volume Strength Analyzer:**
- Compares current volume against its moving average (default: 128 periods)
- Normalizes volume ratio to 0-1 scale for consistent interpretation
- Identifies when volume significantly exceeds historical norms
---
## **📊 Signal Generation**
### **🟢 Bullish Confirmation Signal**
**Trigger:** Positive correlation > 0.6 + Volume ratio > 0.5
- Price and volume moving in harmony upward
- Above-average volume confirms the move
- Indicates strong institutional buying interest
### **🔴 Bearish Confirmation Signal**
**Trigger:** Negative correlation < -0.6 + Volume ratio > 0.5
- Price declining with increasing volume
- Suggests distribution or institutional selling
- High-confidence bearish momentum
---
## **🎯 Trading Applications**
**Breakout Validation:**
Filter false breakouts by requiring volume confirmation before entering positions.
**Trend Continuation:**
Identify when existing trends have strong volume backing for continuation plays.
**Distribution Detection:**
Spot potential tops when price struggles despite high volume (negative correlation).
**Entry Timing:**
Built-in alert system notifies when both conditions align for optimal entry points.
---
## **🔧 Customization Features**
- **Correlation Period:** Adjust sensitivity (2-500 bars)
- **Volume Averaging:** Modify volume comparison timeframe
- **Alert Thresholds:** Fine-tune correlation and volume ratio triggers
- **Visual Options:** Toggle volume histogram display
- **Price Source:** Choose from OHLC or custom sources
---
## **💡 Why VCPM Works**
Traditional momentum indicators often generate false signals during low-volume periods. VCPM solves this by requiring **dual confirmation**: price momentum must be supported by corresponding volume activity. This approach:
- Reduces whipsaws and false breakouts
- Identifies institutional participation
- Provides higher conviction trade setups
- Works across all timeframes and markets
---
## **📈 Best Use Cases**
✅ **Crypto markets** (high volatility, volume-driven)
✅ **Stock breakouts** (earnings, news events)
✅ **Forex majors** (during high-impact news)
✅ **Futures trading** (momentum confirmation)
---
## **⚠️ Important Notes**
- Works best in liquid markets with consistent volume data
- Combine with support/resistance levels for enhanced accuracy
- Consider market context (trending vs. ranging conditions)
- Not recommended for extremely low-volume periods
---
## **🚀 Getting Started**
1. Add VCPM to your chart as a sub-panel indicator
2. Configure correlation threshold (start with 0.6)
3. Set volume ratio threshold (start with 0.5)
4. Enable alerts for automated signal detection
5. Backtest on your preferred timeframe and instrument
---
**Ready to enhance your momentum trading with volume confirmation? Try VCPM and experience the difference institutional-backed signals can make in your trading results.**
*Available in Pine Script v6 - Compatible with all TradingView accounts*
