Simple EMA_Hull_RSI StrategyAnother simple strategy. Crossing EMA & Hull MA and the level of RSI (overbought/oversold) defines long or short.
Can be improved by varying the parameters and adding take profit / stop loss.
Backtest: ETHUSD (Bitmex): 5m
Cerca negli script per "backtest"
Simple RSI Strategy Buy/Sell at a certain levelSimple Strategy based on RSI, using overbought or oversold levels, defined by us, sell or buy an asset.
Backtest: ETHUSD (Bitmex) - 3h
TradingView Alerts to MT4 MT5 + dynamic variables NON-REPAINTINGAccidentally, I’m sharing open-source profitable Forex strategy. Accidentally, because this was aimed to be purely educational material. A few days ago TradingView released a very powerful feature of dynamic values from PineScript now being allowed to be passed in Alerts. And thanks to TradingConnector, they could be instantly executed in MT4 or MT5 platform of any broker in the world. So yeah - TradingConnector works with indices and commodities, too.
The logic of this EURUSD 6h strategy is very simple - it is based on Stochastic crossovers with stop-loss set under most recent pivot point. Setting stop-loss with surgical precision is possible exactly thanks to allowance of dynamic values in alerts. TradingConnector has been also upgraded to take advantage of these dynamic values and it now enables executing trades with pre-calculated stop-loss, take-profit, as well as stop and limit orders.
Another fresh feature of TradingConnector, is closing positions only partly - provided that the broker allows it, of course. A position needs to have trade_id specified at entry, referred to in further alerts with partial closing. Detailed spec of alerts syntax and functionalities can be found at TradingConnector website. How to include dynamic variables in alert messages can be seen at the very end of the script in alertcondition() calls.
The strategy also takes commission into consideration.
Slippage is intentionally left at 0. Due to shorter than 1 second delivery time of TradingConnector, slippage is practically non-existing. This can be achieved especially if you’re using VPS server, hosted in the same datacenter as your brokers’ servers. I am using such setup, it is doable. Small slippage and spread is already included in commission value.
This strategy is NON-REPAINTING and uses NO TRAILING-STOP or any other feature known to be faulty in TradingView backtester. Does it make this strategy bulletproof and 100% success-guaranteed? Hell no! Remember the no.1 rule of backtesting - no matter how profitable and good looking a script is, it only tells about the past. There is zero guarantee the same strategy will get similar results in the future.
To turn this script into study so that alerts can be produced, do 2 things:
1. comment “strategy” line at the beginning and uncomment “study” line
2. comment lines 54-59 and uncomment lines 62-65.
Then add script to the chart and configure alerts.
This script was build for educational purposes only.
Certainly this is not financial advice. Anybody using this script or any of its parts in any way, must be aware of high risks connected with trading.
Thanks @LucF and @a.tesla2018 for helping me with code fixes :)
TRAILING STOP LOSS TO LONG AND SHORT##THIS SCRIPT IS ON GITHUB
This TradingView strategy it is designed to integrate with other strategies with indicators.
It performs a trailing stop loss from entry and exit conditions.
In this strategy you can add conditions for long and short positions.
The strategy will ride up your stop loss when price moviment 1%.
The strategy will close your operation when the market price crossed the stop loss.
Also is possible to select the period that strategy will execute the backtest.
The strategy has the following parameters:
+ **INITIAL STOP LOSS** - Where can isert the value to first stop.
+ **POSITION TYPE** - Where can to select trade position.
+ **BACKTEST PERIOD** - To select range.
## DISCLAIMER
1. I am not licensed financial advisors or broker dealers. I do not tell you when or what to buy or sell. I developed this software which enables you execute manual or automated trades multiple trades using TradingView. The software allows you to set the criteria you want for entering and exiting trades.
2. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
3. I do not guarantee consistent profits or that anyone can make money with no effort. And I am not selling the holy grail.
4. Every system can have winning and losing streaks.
5. Money management plays a large role in the results of your trading. For example: lot size, account size, broker leverage, and broker margin call rules all have an effect on results. Also, your Take Profit and Stop Loss settings for individual pair trades and for overall account equity have a major impact on results. If you are new to trading and do not understand these items, then I recommend you seek education materials to further your knowledge.
**YOU NEED TO FIND AND USE THE TRADING SYSTEM THAT WORKS BEST FOR YOU AND YOUR TRADING TOLERANCE.**
**I HAVE PROVIDED NOTHING MORE THAN A TOOL WITH OPTIONS FOR YOU TO TRADE WITH THIS PROGRAM ON TRADINGVIEW.**
## NOTE
I accept suggestions to improve the script.
If you encounter any problems I will be happy to share with me.
+ Authors: @exit490
+ Revision: v1.0.0
+ Date: 03-Aug-2019
+ Pinescript version: 4
## LICENSE
Copyright 2019 Mauricio Pimenta / exit490
Trailing Stop Loss script may be freely distributed under the MIT license .
Adding some essential components to a prebuilt RSI strategyThis is more to be used as a blank_slate for any strategy build adding more effective backtesting with a period selector and inputs like TS, TP, SL that can all be used as plots for alerts.
It has the BackTest Component created by Pbergden
It also includes the standard long/short with trailing stop, take profit, stop loss and margin call.
Here is a video using the blank_slate to add in the built-in RSI Strategy.
youtu.be
We hope this brings good results and helps speed things up for everyone.
CM RSI-2 Strategy Lower IndicatorRSI-2 Strategy
***At the bottom of the page is a link where you can download the PDF of the Backtesting Results.
This year I am focusing on learning from two of the best mentors in the Industry with outstanding track records for Creating Systems, and learning the what methods actually work as far as back testing.
I came across the RSI-2 system that Larry Connors developed. Larry has become famous for his technical indicators, but his RSI-2 system is what actually put him “On The Map” per se. At first glance I didn’t think it would work well, but I decided to code it and ran backtests on the S&P 100 In Down Trending Markets, Up Trending Markets, and both combined. I was shocked by the results. So I thought I would provide them for you. I also ran a test on the Major forex Pairs (12) for the last 5 years, and All Forex Pairs (80) from 11/28/2007 - 6/09/2014, impressive results also.
The RSI-2 Strategy is designed to use on Daily Bars, however it is a short term trading strategy. The average length of time in a trade is just over 2 days. But the results CRUSH the general market averages.
Detailed Description of Indicators, Rules Below:
Link For PDF of Detailed Trade Results
d.pr
Original Post
CM RSI-2 Strategy - Upper Indicators.RSI-2 Strategy
***At the bottom of the page is a link where you can download the PDF of the Backtesting Results.
This year I am focusing on learning from two of the best mentors in the Industry with outstanding track records for Creating Systems, and learning the what methods actually work as far as back testing.
I came across the RSI-2 system that Larry Connors developed. Larry has become famous for his technical indicators, but his RSI-2 system is what actually put him “On The Map” per se. At first glance I didn’t think it would work well, but I decided to code it and ran backtests on the S&P 100 In Down Trending Markets, Up Trending Markets, and both combined. I was shocked by the results. So I thought I would provide them for you. I also ran a test on the Major forex Pairs (12) for the last 5 years, and All Forex Pairs (80) from 11/28/2007 - 6/09/2014, impressive results also.
The RSI-2 Strategy is designed to use on Daily Bars, however it is a short term trading strategy. The average length of time in a trade is just over 2 days. But the results CRUSH the general market averages.
Detailed Description of Indicators, Rules Below:
Link For PDF of Detailed Trade Results
d.pr
Original Post
Chimpanzee V2.5 part A by joylay83Hi everyone, I am an amateur pinecoder. I would like to share my script which is coded with the intention of generating signals to send to 3commas webhook. It is still in development and revision.
This collection of indicators use:
Chart: 15m.
Inverse Fisher Transformation of the RSI to detect dips in the 15m timeframe.
Bollinger band (4H) to filter out false signals.
Triple EMA 21: to mimic price action for easier coding alerts. Currently not involved in generating signals. will be incorporated in the future.
StochRSI: As a visual filter. Currently not involved in generating signals. will be incorporated in the future.
Background will be green if stochRSI is low and red if stockRSI is high.
Candlesticks will be marked with a flag is TEMA breached BB.
One would need to play around with timeframes, BB settings and IFTRSI threshold for different signals.
There are 2 Signal Modes (with regards to IFTRSI):
Threshold: When price action falls below BB and IFTRSI hits buy threshold, a buy/sell signal is generated. Eg if IFTRSI buy threshold is set to -0.9, the buy signal will remain continuously positive as long as IFTRSI is < 0.9.
Cross: When price action falls below BB and IFTRSI hits threshold, nothing happens. It will wait until the IFTRSI cross back over the threshold before firing a signal.
There is another identical set of indicators running on a higher time frame (IFTRSI: 4H, BB: D or 3D, TEMA 21 4H) but on the same chart. This tend to generate less signals but are more reliable. A usage example would be to send a larger buy order if the signal comes from this higher time frame, or execute a sell order after multiple buys from the lower time frame.
It comes in 2 parts:
Part A: Contains overlay display. This displays BB, Triple EMA, buy/sell and StochRSI in labels. the labels are self explanatory.
Part B (please search for it): which is actually the same code but contain non-overlay display. You may also put part B overlay=true but scale to LEFT. The advantage of using overlay=true is that you can move the signal right over the candlesticks (mainly for troubleshooting/debugging). This part contains Inverse Fisher RSI, %B, Signal Line. %B is supposedly idential to Bollinger Bands in Part A.
By default, when there is a buy/sell signal:
lower time frame 15m: Signal Line in Part B will turn blue with a value 1 or -1 which corresponds to a buy or sell label in Part A
higher time frame 4H: Signal Line in Part B will turn red with a value 2 or -2 which corresponds to a HTF buy or sell label in Part A
Part A or B may be used to send signal to the webhook. You have to make sure that the settings of Part A and B are identical.
You may choose to un-display some items to reduce clutter.
Current problems:
1. Still too many buy signals
Although many times it will generate excellent buy signal at many swing lows, but there are many buy signals prior to a major swing low. This can be observed in the picture above. It also generate a couple of buy signals prior to the swing lows. I am currently experimenting with 20m and hourly timeframe to address this issue. More filters are needed eg an oscillator or detecting candlestick patterns.
2. Premature sell signals.
The sell signal is often generated at the beginning of a major bull run. My idea to solve this problem is to move to a higher timeframe and sell only when TEMA crossunder the upper bollinger band.
3. Lack of a backtester that can test multiple concurrent deals.
Buy -> Buy (average down) -> Buy (average down) -> Buy (average down) -> Sell
4. Lack of the ability to calculate average purchase price
Probably have to code it as a strategy
5. Display lag
As the browser is running 2 copies of the idential script, it tends to lag when you drag your chart around. So far there are no timeouts or delay in firing alerts to 3commas.
I do welcome any suggestion for improvement and constructive criticism. tqvm.
Credits : Thank you for doing an awesome job. I learnt a lot from your codes and tutorials.
Credits not listed in any order. If your code is used here and did not receive due credit, kindly drop me a note. tq.
Blessing 3 by JTA Today
@ZenAndTheArtOfTrading (extremely-easy-to-understand tutorials eg fixing repainting)
@LazyBear (various codes)
@Galactus-B Argo I
@TheTradingParrot (Inverse Fisher RSI and Gavin's backtester)
@zendog123 (backtester and various codes)
@ydeniz2000 (Bollinger Bands)
TradingView built-in scripts
Money Risk Management with Trade Tracking
Overview
The Money Risk Management with Trade Tracking indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders on TradingView to simplify trade simulation and risk management. Unlike the TradingView Strategy Tester, which can be complex for beginners, this indicator provides an intuitive, beginner-friendly interface to evaluate trading strategies in a realistic manner, mirroring real-world trading conditions.
Built on the foundation of open-source contributions from LuxAlgo and TCP, this indicator integrates external indicator signals, overlays take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels, and provides detailed money management analytics. It empowers traders to visualize potential profits, losses, and risk-reward ratios, making it easier to understand the financial outcomes of their strategies.
Key Features
Signal Integration: Seamlessly integrates with external long and short signals from other indicators, allowing traders to overlay TP/SL levels based on their preferred strategies.
Realistic Trade Simulation: Simulates trades as they would occur in real-world scenarios, accounting for initial capital, risk percentage, leverage, and compounding effects.
Money Management Dashboard: Displays critical metrics such as current capital, unrealized P&L, risk amount, potential profit, risk-reward ratio, and trade status in a customizable, beginner-friendly table.
TP/SL Visualization: Plots TP and SL levels on the chart with customizable styles (solid, dashed, dotted) and colors, along with optional labels for clarity.
Performance Tracking: Tracks total trades, win/loss counts, win rate, and profit factor, providing a clear overview of strategy performance.
Liquidation Risk Alerts: Warns traders if stop-loss levels risk liquidation based on leverage settings, enhancing risk awareness.
Benefits for Traders
Beginner-Friendly: Simplifies the complexities of the TradingView Strategy Tester, offering an intuitive interface for new traders to simulate and evaluate trades without confusion.
Real-World Insights: Helps traders understand the actual profit or loss potential of their strategies by factoring in capital, risk, and leverage, bridging the gap between theoretical backtesting and real-world execution.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Provides clear, real-time analytics on risk-reward ratios, unrealized P&L, and trade performance, enabling informed trading decisions.
Customizable and Flexible: Allows customization of TP/SL settings, table positions, colors, and sizes, catering to individual trader preferences.
Risk Management Focus: Encourages disciplined trading by highlighting risk amounts, potential profits, and liquidation risks, fostering better financial planning.
Why This Indicator Stands Out
Many traders struggle to translate backtested strategy results into real-world outcomes due to the abstract nature of percentage-based profitability metrics. This indicator addresses that challenge by providing a practical, user-friendly tool that simulates trades with real-world parameters like capital, leverage, and compounding. Its open-source nature ensures accessibility, while its integration with other indicators makes it versatile for various trading styles.
How to Use
Add to TradingView: Copy the Pine Script code into TradingView’s Pine Editor and add it to your chart.
Configure Inputs: Set your initial capital, risk percentage, leverage, and TP/SL values in the indicator settings. Select external long/short signal sources if integrating with other indicators.
Monitor Dashboards: Use the Money Management and Target Dashboard tables to track trade performance and risk metrics in real time.
Analyze Results: Review win rates, profit factors, and P&L to refine your trading strategy.
Credits
This indicator builds upon the open-source contributions of LuxAlgo and TCP , whose efforts in sharing their code have made this tool possible. Their dedication to the trading community is deeply appreciated.
Chaikin Momentum Scalper🎯 Overview
The Chaikin Momentum Scalper is a powerful trading strategy designed to identify momentum shifts in the market and ride the trend for maximum profits. This strategy is ideal for trading the USD/JPY currency pair on a 15-minute chart, making it perfect for high-frequency trading (HFT). Whether you’re starting with a small account of $1,000 or managing a larger portfolio, this strategy can scale to suit your needs.
________________________________________
🔑 How the Strategy Works
Here’s how the Chaikin Momentum Scalper identifies trade opportunities:
1️⃣ Momentum Detection
The core of this strategy is the Chaikin Oscillator, a tool that measures the flow of money into or out of a market. It helps us understand whether buyers (bulls) or sellers (bears) are in control.
• When the indicator crosses above zero, it signals that buying momentum is picking up – a buying opportunity.
• When the indicator crosses below zero, it signals that selling momentum is increasing – a selling opportunity.
2️⃣ Trend Confirmation
We don’t just jump into trades based on momentum alone. We also use a 200-period simple moving average (SMA) to confirm the overall trend.
• If the price is above the SMA, it confirms an uptrend, so we look for buy trades.
• If the price is below the SMA, it confirms a downtrend, so we look for sell trades.
This way, we align our trades with the broader market direction for higher success rates.
3️⃣ Volatility & Risk Management
We use a tool called the Average True Range (ATR) to measure market volatility. This helps us:
• Set a stop-loss (where we’ll exit the trade if the market moves against us) at a safe distance from our entry point.
• Set a take-profit (where we’ll lock in profits) at a target that’s larger than the stop-loss, ensuring a good reward-to-risk ratio.
This approach adapts to the market’s behavior, tightening stops in calmer conditions and widening them when volatility increases.
________________________________________
📈 Why This Strategy Works
✅ It combines momentum and trend-following principles, increasing the chances of trading in the right direction.
✅ It dynamically adjusts risk levels based on market volatility, keeping losses small and profits big.
✅ It’s scalable – perfect for both small accounts (like $1,000) and larger, corporate-sized portfolios.
✅ It has been deep-backtested on USD/JPY 15-minute charts, proving its consistency across different market conditions.
________________________________________
📝 Important Notes
📌 This strategy is best used for USD/JPY on a 15-minute chart, making it great for high-frequency trading while you continue to build and refine your trading system.
📌 It’s designed to work on both small ($1,000+) and large accounts, so it can grow with you as your capital increases.
📌 While it has passed deep backtesting on this pair and timeframe, remember that no strategy is perfect. It’s crucial to test it yourself, start with a demo account, and apply proper risk management before trading real money.
🌟 Final Thoughts
The Chaikin Momentum Scalper is a solid, adaptable trading approach combining momentum, trend direction, and volatility awareness. If you’re looking for a strategy to kick-start your trading journey—or to add to your existing system—it offers a strong foundation.
MACD Volume Strategy (BBO + MACD State, Reversal Type)Overview
MACD Volume Strategy (BBO + MACD State, Reversal Type) is a momentum-based reversal system that combines MACD crossover logic with volume filtering to enhance signal accuracy and minimize noise. It aims to identify structural trend shifts and manage risk using predefined parameters.
※This strategy is for educational and research purposes only. All results are based on historical simulations and do not guarantee future performance.
Strategy Objectives
Identify early trend transitions with high probability
Filter entries using volume dynamics to validate momentum
Maintain continuous exposure using a reversal-style model
Apply a consistent 1:1.5 risk-to-reward ratio per trade
Key Features
Integrated MACD and volume oscillator filtering
Zero repainting (all signals confirmed on closed candles)
Automatic position flipping for seamless direction shifts
Stop-loss and take-profit based on recent structural highs/lows
Trading Rules
Long Entry Conditions
MACD crosses above the zero line (BBO Buy arrow)
Volume oscillator is positive (short EMA > long EMA)
MACD is above the signal line
Close any existing short and enter a new long
Short Entry Conditions
MACD crosses below the zero line (BBO Sell arrow)
Volume oscillator is positive
MACD is below the signal line
Close any existing long and enter a new short
Exit Rules
Take Profit (TP) = Entry ± (risk distance × 1.5)
Stop Loss (SL) = Recent swing low (for long) or high (for short)
Early Exit = Triggered when a reversal signal appears (flip logic)
Risk Management Parameters
Pair: ETH/USD
Timeframe: 10-minute
Starting Capital: $3,000
Commission: 0.02%
Slippage: 2 pip
Risk per Trade: 5% of account equity (adjusted for sustainable practice)
Total Trades: 312 (backtest on selected dataset)
※Risk parameters are fully configurable and should be adjusted to suit each trader's personal setup and broker conditions.
Parameters & Configurations
Volume Short Length: 6
Volume Long Length: 12
MACD Fast Length: 11
MACD Slow Length: 21
Signal Smoothing: 10
Oscillator MA Type: SMA
Signal Line MA Type: SMA
Visual Support
Green arrow = Long entry
Red arrow = Short entry
MACD lines, signal line, and histogram
SL/TP markers plotted directly on the chart
Strategic Advantages & Uniqueness
Volume filtering eliminates low-participation, weak signals
Structurally aligned SL/TP based on recent market pivots
No repainting — decisions are made only on closed candles
Always in the market due to the reversal-style framework
Inspirations & Attribution
This strategy is inspired by the excellent work of:
Bitcoinblockchainonline – “BBO_Roxana_Signals MACD + vol”
Leveraging MACD zero-line cross and volume oscillator for intuitive signal generation.
HasanRifat – “MACD Fake Filter ”
Introduced a signal filter using MACD wave height averaging to reduce false positives.
This strategy builds upon those ideas to create a more automated, risk-aware, and technically adaptive system.
Summary
MACD Volume Strategy is a clean, logic-first automated trading system built for precision-seeking traders. It avoids discretionary bias and provides consistent signal logic under backtested historical conditions.
100% mechanical — no discretionary input required
Designed for high-confidence entries
Can be extended with filters, alerts, or trailing stops
※Strategy performance depends on market context. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use with proper risk management and careful configuration.
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
Zero-lag TEMA Crosses Strategy[Pakun]Here's the adjusted strategy description in English, aligned with the house rules:
---
### Strategy Name: Zero-lag TEMA Cross Strategy
**Purpose:** This strategy aims to identify entry and exit points in the market using Zero-lag Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA). It focuses on minimizing lag and improving the accuracy of trend-following signals.
### Uniqueness and Usefulness
**Uniqueness:** This strategy employs the less commonly used Zero-lag TEMA, compared to standard moving averages. This unique approach reduces lag and provides more timely signals.
**Usefulness:** This strategy is valuable for traders looking to capture trend reversals or continuations with reduced lag. It has the potential to enhance the profitability and accuracy of trades.
### Entry Conditions
**Long Entry:**
- **Condition:** A crossover occurs where the short-term Zero-lag TEMA surpasses the long-term Zero-lag TEMA.
- **Signal:** A buy signal is generated, indicating a potential uptrend.
**Short Entry:**
- **Condition:** A crossunder occurs where the short-term Zero-lag TEMA falls below the long-term Zero-lag TEMA.
- **Signal:** A sell signal is generated, indicating a potential downtrend.
### Exit Conditions
**Exit Strategy:**
- **Stop Loss:** Positions are closed if the price moves against the trade and hits the predefined stop loss level. The stop loss is set based on recent highs/lows.
- **Take Profit:** Positions are closed when the price reaches the profit target. The profit target is calculated as 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop loss level.
### Risk Management
**Risk Management Rules:**
- This strategy incorporates a dynamic stop loss mechanism based on recent highs/lows over a specified period.
- The take profit level ensures a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.5 times the stop loss distance.
- These measures aim to manage risk and protect capital.
**Account Size:** ¥500,000
**Commissions and Slippage:** 94 pips per trade and 1 pip slippage
**Risk per Trade:** 1% of account equity
### Configurable Options
**Configurable Options:**
- Lookback Period: The number of bars to calculate recent highs/lows.
- Fast Period: Length of the short-term Zero-lag TEMA (69).
- Slow Period: Length of the long-term Zero-lag TEMA (130).
- Signal Display: Option to display buy/sell signals on the chart.
- Bar Color: Option to change bar colors based on trend direction.
### Adequate Sample Size
**Sample Size Justification:**
- To ensure the robustness and reliability of the strategy, it should be tested with a sufficiently long period of historical data.
- It is recommended to backtest across multiple market cycles to adapt to different market conditions.
- This strategy was backtested using 10 days of historical data, including 184 trades.
### Notes
**Additional Considerations:**
- This strategy is designed for educational purposes and should be thoroughly tested in a demo environment before live trading.
- Settings should be adjusted based on the asset being traded and current market conditions.
### Credits
**Acknowledgments:**
- The concept and implementation of Zero-lag TEMA are based on contributions from technical analysts and the trading community.
- Special thanks to John Doe for the TEMA concept.
- Thanks to Zero-lag TEMA Crosses .
- This strategy has been enhanced by adding new filtering algorithms and risk management rules to the original TEMA code.
### Clean Chart Description
**Chart Appearance:**
- This strategy provides a clean and informative chart by plotting Zero-lag TEMA lines and optional entry/exit signals.
- The display of signals and color bars can be toggled to declutter the chart, improving readability and analysis.
Chandelier Exit Strategy with 200 EMA FilterStrategy Name and Purpose
Chandelier Exit Strategy with 200EMA Filter
This strategy uses the Chandelier Exit indicator in combination with a 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to generate trend-based trading signals. The main purpose of this strategy is to help traders identify high-probability entry points by leveraging the Chandelier Exit for stop loss levels and the EMA for trend confirmation. This strategy aims to provide clear rules for entries and exits, improving overall trading discipline and performance.
Originality and Usefulness
This script integrates two powerful indicators to create a cohesive and effective trading strategy:
Chandelier Exit : This indicator is based on the Average True Range (ATR) and identifies potential stop loss levels. The Chandelier Exit helps manage risk by setting stop loss levels at a distance from the highest high or lowest low over a specified period, multiplied by the ATR. This ensures that the stop loss adapts to market volatility.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) : The EMA acts as a trend filter. By ensuring trades are only taken in the direction of the overall trend, the strategy improves the probability of success. For long entries, the close price must be above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish trend. For short entries, the close price must be below the 200 EMA, indicating a bearish trend.
Combining these indicators adds layers of confirmation and risk management, enhancing the strategy's effectiveness. The Chandelier Exit provides dynamic stop loss levels based on market volatility, while the EMA ensures trades align with the prevailing trend.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry
A buy signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
The close price is above the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Short Entry
A sell signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
The close price is below the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bearish trend.
Exit Conditions
For long positions: The position is closed when a sell signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
For short positions: The position is closed when a buy signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
Risk Management
Account Size: 1,000,00 yen
Commission and Slippage: 17 pips commission and 1 pip slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity
Stop Loss: For long trades, the stop loss is placed slightly below the candle that generated the buy signal. For short trades, the stop loss is placed slightly above the candle that generated the sell signal. The stop loss levels are dynamically adjusted based on the ATR.
Settings Options
ATR Period: Set the period for calculating the ATR to determine the Chandelier Exit levels.
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR to define the distance of stop loss levels from the highest high or lowest low.
Use Close Price for Extremums: Choose whether to use the close price for calculating the extremums.
EMA Period: Set the period for the EMA to adjust the trend filter sensitivity.
Show Buy/Sell Labels: Choose whether to display buy and sell labels on the chart for visual confirmation.
Highlight State: Choose whether to highlight the bullish or bearish state on the chart.
Sufficient Sample Size
The strategy has been backtested with a sufficient sample size to evaluate its performance accurately. This ensures that the strategy's results are statistically significant and reliable.
Notes
This strategy is based on historical data and does not guarantee future results.
Thoroughly backtest and validate results before using in live trading.
Market volatility and other external factors can affect performance and may not yield expected results.
Acknowledgment
This strategy uses the Chandelier Exit indicator. Special thanks to the original contributors for their work on the Chandelier Exit concept.
Clean Chart Explanation
The script is published with a clean chart to ensure that its output is readily identifiable and easy to understand. No other scripts are included on the chart, and any drawings or images used are specifically to illustrate how the script works.
FVG Positioning Average with 200EMA Auto Trading [Pakun]Description
Strategy Name and Purpose
FVG Positioning Average with 200EMA Auto Trading
This strategy uses Fair Value Gaps (FVG) combined with a 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Average True Range (ATR) to generate trend-based trading signals. It is designed to help traders identify high-probability entry points by leveraging the gaps between fair value prices and current market prices.
Originality and Usefulness
This script combines multiple indicators to create a cohesive trading strategy that is greater than the sum of its parts. While FVG is a powerful tool on its own, combining it with the EMA and ATR adds layers of confirmation and risk management, enhancing its effectiveness. Here’s how the components work together:
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identifies gaps in the market where price action has not fully filled, indicating potential reversal or continuation points.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Acts as a trend filter to ensure trades are taken in the direction of the overall trend, improving the probability of success.
Average True Range (ATR): Used to filter out insignificant gaps and set dynamic stop-loss levels based on market volatility, enhancing risk management.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry
The close price crosses above the downtrend FVG.
The close price, FVG up average, and down average are all above the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Short Entry
The close price crosses below the uptrend FVG.
The close price, FVG up average, and down average are all below the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bearish trend.
Exit Conditions
For long positions, the stop loss is set at the recent low, and the take profit is set at a point with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5.
For short positions, the stop loss is set at the recent high, and the take profit is set at a point with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5.
Risk Management
Account Size: 1,000,000 yen
Commission and Slippage: 2 pips commission and 1 pip slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity
The stop loss is based on the recent low or recent high, ensuring trades are exited when the market moves against the position.
Settings Options
FVG Lookback: Set the lookback period for calculating FVGs.
Lookback Type: Choose the type of lookback (Bar Count or FVG Count).
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR to filter significant gaps.
EMA Period: Set the period for the EMA to adjust the trend filter sensitivity.
Show FVGs on Chart: Choose whether to display FVGs on the chart for visual confirmation.
Bullish/Bearish Color: Set the color for bullish and bearish FVGs to distinguish them easily.
Show Gradient Areas: Choose whether to display gradient areas to highlight the zones of interest.
Sufficient Sample Size
The strategy has been backtested with 113 trades, providing a sufficient sample size to evaluate its performance.
Notes
This strategy is based on historical data and does not guarantee future results.
Thoroughly backtest and validate results before using in live trading.
Market volatility and other external factors can affect performance and may not yield expected results.
Acknowledgment
This strategy uses the FVG Positioning Average Strategy indicator. Thanks to for their contribution.
Clean Chart Explanation
The script is published with a clean chart to ensure that its output is readily identifiable and easy to understand. No other scripts are included on the chart, and any drawings or images used are specifically to illustrate how the script works.
VAWSI and Trend Persistance Reversal Strategy SL/TPThis is a completely revamped version of my "RSI and ATR Trend Reversal Strategy."
What's New?
The RSI has been replaced with an original indicator of mine, the "VAWSI," as I've elected to call it.
The standard RSI measures a change in an RMA to determine the strength of a movement.
The VAWSI performs very similarly, except it uses another original indicator of mine, the VAWMA.
VAWMA stands for "Volume (and) ATR Weight Moving Average." It takes an average of the volume and ATR and uses the ratio of each bar to weigh a moving average of the source.
It has the same formula as an RSI, but uses the VAWMA instead of an RMA.
Next we have the Trend Persistence indicator, which is an index on how long a trend has been persisting for. It is another original indicator. It takes the max deviation the source has from lowest/highest of a specified length. It then takes a cumulative measure of that amount, measures the change, then creates a strength index with that amount.
The VAWSI is a measure of an emerging trend, and the Trend Persistence indicator is a measure of how long a trend has persisted.
Finally, the 3rd main indicator, is a slight variation of an ATR. Rather than taking the max of source - low or high- source and source - source , it instead takes the max of high-low and the absolute value of source - the previous source. It then takes the absolute value of the change of this, and normalizes it with the source.
Inputs
Minimum SL/TP ensures that the Stop Loss and Take Profit still exist in untrendy markets. This is the minimum Amount that will always be applied.
VAWSI Weight is a divided by 100 multiplier for the VAWSI. So value of 200 means it is multiplied by 2. Think of it like a percentage.
Trend Persistence weight and ATR Weight are applied the same. Higher the number, the more impactful on the final calculation it is.
Combination Mult is an outright multiplier to the final calculation. So a 2.0 = * 2.0
Trend Persistence Smoothing Length is the length of the weighted moving average applied to the Trend Persistence Strength index.
Length Cycle Decimal is a replacement of length for the script.
Here we used BlackCat1402's Dynamic Length Calculation, which can be found on his page. With his permission we have implemented it into this script. Big shout out to them for not only creating, but allowing us to use it here.
The Length Cycle Decimal is used to calculate the dynamic length. Because TradingView only allows series int for their built-in library, a lot of the baseline indicators we use have to be manually recreated as functions in the following section.
The Strategy
As usual, we use Heiken Ashi values for calculations.
We begin by establishing the minimum SL/TP for use later.
Next we determine the amount of bars back since the last crossup or crossdown of our threshold line.
We then perform some normalization of our multipliers. We want a larger trend or larger VAWSI amount to narrow the threshold, so we have 1 divide them. This way, a higher reading outputs a smaller number and vice versa. We do this for both Trend Persistence, and the VAWSI.
The VAWSI we also normalize, where rather than it being a 0-100 reading of trend direction and strength, we absolute it so that as long as a trend is strong, regardless of direction, it will have a higher reading. With these normalized values, we add them together and simply subtract the ATR measurement rather than having 1 divide it.
Here you can see how the different measurements add up. A lower final number suggests imminent reversal, and a higher final number suggests an untrendy or choppy market.
ATR is in orange, the Trend Persistence is blue, the VAWSI is purple, and the final amount is green.
We take this final number and depending on the current trend direction, we multiply it by either the Highest or Lowest source since the last crossup or crossdown. We then take the highest or lowest of this calculation, and have it be our Stop Loss or Take Profit. This number cannot be higher/lower than the previous source to ensure a rapid spike doesn't immediately close your position on a still continuing trend. As well, the threshold cannot be higher/ lower than the the specified Stop Loss and Take Profit
Only after the source has fully crossed these lines do we consider it a crossup or crossdown. We confirm this with a barstate.isconfirmed to prevent repainting. Next, each time there is a crossup or crossdown we enter a long or a short respectively and plot accordingly.
I have the strategy configured to "process on order close" to ensure an accurate backtesting result. You could also set this to false and add a 1 bar delay to the "if crossup" and "if crossdown" lines under strategy so that it is calculated based on the open of the next bar.
Final Notes
The amounts have been preconfigured for performance on RIOT 5 Minute timeframe. Other timeframes are viable as well. With a few changes to the parameters, this strategy has backtested well on NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, and AMD. I recommend before altering settings to try other timeframes first.
This script does not seem to perform nearly as well in typically untrendy and choppy markets such as crypto and forex. With some setting changes, I have seen okay results with crypto, but overfitting could be the cause there.
Thank you very much, and please enjoy.
Smart Money Concepts Probability (Expo)█ Overview
The Smart Money Concept Probability (Expo) is an indicator developed to track the actions of institutional investors, commonly known as "smart money." This tool calculates the likelihood of smart money being actively engaged in buying or selling within the market, referred to as the "smart money order flow."
The indicator measures the probability of three key events: Change of Character ( CHoCH ), Shift in Market Structure ( SMS ), and Break of Structure ( BMS ). These probabilities are displayed as percentages alongside their respective levels, providing a straightforward and immediate understanding of the likelihood of smart money order flow.
Finally, the backtested results are shown in a table, which gives traders an understanding of the historical performance of the current order flow direction.
█ Calculations
The algorithm individually computes the likelihood of the events ( CHoCH , SMS , and BMS ). A positive score is assigned for events where the price successfully breaks through the level with the highest probability, and a negative score when the price fails to do so. By doing so, the algorithm determines the probability of each event occurring and calculates the total profitability derived from all the events.
█ Example
In this case, we have an 85% probability that the price will break above the upper range and make a new Break Of Structure and only a 16.36% probability that the price will break below the lower range and make a Change Of Character.
█ Settings
The Structure Period sets the pivot period to use when calculating the market structure.
The Structure Response sets how responsive the market structure should be. A low value returns a more responsive structure. A high value returns a less responsive structure.
█ How to use
This indicator is a perfect tool for anyone that wants to understand the probability of a Change of Character ( CHoCH ), Shift in Market Structure ( SMS ), and Break of Structure ( BMS )
The insights provided by this tool help traders gain an understanding of the smart money order flow direction, which can be used to determine the market trend.
█ Any Alert function call
An alert is sent when the price breaks the upper or lower range, and you can select what should be included in the alert. You can enable the following options:
Ticker ID
Timeframe
Probability percentage
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Dual Fibonacci Zone & Ranged Vol DCA Strategy - R3c0nTraderWhat does this do?
This is for educational purposes and allows one to backtest two Fibonacci Zones simultaneously. This also includes an option for Ranged Volume as a parameter.
Pre-requisites:
First off, this is a Long only strategy as I wrote it with DCA in mind. It cannot be used for shorting. Shorting defeats the purpose of a DCA bot which has a goal that is Long a position not Short a position. If you want to short, there are plenty of free scripts out there that do this.
You must have some base knowledge or experience with Fibonacci trading, understanding what is ADX, +DI (and -DI), etc.
You can use this script without a 3Commas account and see how 3Commas DCA Bot would perform. However, I highly recommend inexperienced uses get a free account and going through the tutorials, FAQ's and knowledgebase. This would give you a base understanding of the settings you will see in this strategy and why you will need to know them. Only then should you try testing this strategy with a paper bot.
Background
After I had created and released "Fibonacci Zone DCA Strategy", I began expanding and testing other ideas.
The first idea was to add Ranged Volume to the Fibonacci Zone DCA strategy which I wanted for providing further confirmation before entering a trade. The second idea was to add a second Fibonacci Zone that was just as configurable as the first Fibonacci Zone. I managed to add both and they can be easily enabled or disabled via the strategy settings menu.
Things Got Real Interesting
Things got real interesting when I started testing strategies with two Fibonacci zones. Here's a quick list of what I found I was able to do:
Mix and match exit strategies. I could set the Fib-1 zone strategy to exit with a take profit % and separately set the Fib-2 zone strategy to exit when the price crosses the top-high fib border
Trade the trend. A common phrase amongst traders is "the Trend is your friend" and with the help of an additional Fib Zone, I was able to trade the trend more often by using two different Fib Zone strategies which if configured properly can shorten time to re-deploy capital, increase number of closed trades, and in some cases increase net profit.
Trade both bull market uptrends and bear market downtrends in the same strategy. I found I could configure one Fib Zone strategy to be really good in uptrends and another Fib Zone strategy to be really good in downtrends. In some cases, with both Fib Zone strategies enabled together in a single strategy I got better results than if the strategies were backtested separately.
There are many other trade strategies I am finding with this. One could be to trade a convergence or divergence of the two different Fib Zones. This could possibly be achieved by setting one strategy to have different Fibonacci length.
Credits:
Thank you "EvoCrypto" for granting me permission to use "Ranged Volume" to create this strategy
Thank you "eykpunter" for granting me permission to use "Fibonacci Zones" to create this strategy
Thank you "junyou0424" for granting me permission to use "DCA Bot with SuperTrend Emulator" which I used for adding bot inputs, calculations, and strategy
Crypto Scannner for Traffic Lights StrategyI allways try to make trading easier. Developing Scripts for a quick backtest and improvement of a strategy, getting alerts for entry and exit a position. Loading data to a spreadsheet is also important and takes time.
In this case finding good parameters in different markets or assets to enter in a position, is a bit exhausting. It is something you have to do everyday, and sometimes in different moments of the day.
So I manage to develop a Screener, to take a quick look at specific hours, and tell if I have a buy or sell condition in an specific asset. Obviously this is not an alert to make a trade instantaneusly, but this help you filter a lot of information in matters of seconds. Then open those specific charts and make a better analisys.
A few weeks ago, I published a scrpipt called "Traffic Lights Strategy", that uses 4 emas to get a buy or a sell condition.
It is easy to understand and use, but if you don´t want to missed some opportunities, and don't want to be look at the screen in all the time looking for them, I have here a simple solution.
This script works plotting 2 labels. The first one plots all the assets in which the condition is true (fastema > medema > slowema > filterema or fastema < medema < slowema < filterema)
The second one plots the assets were the condition is true only if happened up to 5 candles back, so you can be in time to enter a trade.
You can take the script and customize it for a different strategy or assets. I coded like this because I backtested this strategy in this specific assets, and statistics suggest that it might be profitable.
I hope this works for you. In other time I'll try to code a script for the others strategies I published.
Excitement - Crypto Surfer v1For those of us who need more excitement in our crypto journey besides just HODL, here’s a simple crypto robot that trades on the hourly (1H) candles. I call it the Crypto Surfer because it uses the 20 and 40 EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) to decide when to enter and exit; price tends to “surf” above these EMAs when it is bullish, and “sink” below these EMAs when it is bearish. An additional 160 SMA (Simple Moving Average) with slope-angle detection, was added as a bull / bear filter to reduce the sting of drawdowns, by filtering-out long trades in a prolonged bear market.
USER NOTES:
- This script will buy $10,000 USD worth of crypto-currency per trade.
- It will only open one trade at a time.
- It has been backtested on all the high market cap coins such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin, Polkadot, Cardano.
- It should be run on the Hourly (H1) chart.
- In general, this moving average strategy *should be* profitable for 80% to 90% of the coins out there
- The 160 SMA filter with slope angle detection is designed to stop you from going long in a bear market.
- It is recommended you copy this script and modify it to suit your preferred coin during backtesting, before running live.
- Trading is inherently risky (exciting), and I shall not be liable for any losses you incur, even if these losses are due to sampling bias.
Nico's SPX Dynamic ChannelsTest of dynamic channels and some statistics made by hand.
This indicator was done specifically for the S&P500 index.
As you can see, below the 125 EMA there's a lot more volatility than in the upside. I've made some kind of a dynamic linear regression of the lows and the highs.
I've chosen the MA that best fits the SPX, and then calculated in Excel the percental mean and SDs of most important peaks and valleys that I've chosen in comparison to the 125 MA. This lead to the green, orange and red zones. BUT, I've calculated the peaks and valleys separately, as I assumed that a bear market and crashes have way more volatility than bull markets. That's why the difference between the upper and the lower channels.
The neutral blue zone is composed by an upper EMA of the highs and lower EMA of the lows. No MA in this script uses the close price as a source.
This MA makes sense because it represents a semester of trading, for this particular asset.
Backtest results
It's also interesting to try it here too, as it has a little bit more of data:
SPCFD:SPX
As it's not a trading system, I have no batting average nor ratios for this.
Still, the measures of the peaks and valleys are very accurate and repeat themselves over and over again. The results were:
3rd resistance: 12.88%
2nd resistance: 10.12%
1st resistance: 7.36%
1st support: -6.42%
2nd support: -14.8%
3rd support: -23.18%
All referred to the mean, which is the 125 EMA zone.
After the 1950's works like magic, but not before. You will see that it doesn't work in the great depression and it's crash.
How to use this indicator
Green = First grade support/resistance .
Orange = Second grade support/resistance . Caution.
Red = Third grade support/resistance . High chances of mean reversal.
Blue zone = This is the neutral zone, where the prices are not cheap nor expensive.
Often in a trending market, the price will have the blue zone as it's main support and when trending the price will stick to the green MA.
When the price touches the orange MA, the most probable is that it will return to the green MA.
If the price touches the red zone, there's a high chance that this is a big turning point and it will reverse to the mean (green or blue zone).
Imagine you've bought each time the price touched the red support, check that and you'll start liking this indicator. I think it is a great entry point for investors. The red resistance is good too, but of course it works for a short period of time.
I've backtested this indicator since the beginning of the dataset and it works like magic, but ONLY for the SPX index (spot price).
Leave a comment or some coins if you like it!!!
(I've posted it before like an analysis, not as a script, my bad)
Fractal Adaptive Entry IndicatorThis entry indicator was inspired by John Ehle'rs "Fractal Adaptive Moving Average"
It's a very sensitive entry indicator that must be paired with a long-term trend detector in order to filter false positives.
Warning I have not backtested this indicator and will not make any claims to its performance.
Visually, it looks promising, however, backtesting and statistical analysis takes time.
Happy trading
<3
Uhl MA System - Strategy AnalysisThe Uhl MA crossover system was specifically designed to provide an adaptive MA crossover system that didn't committed the same errors of more classical MA systems. This crossover system is based on a fast and a slow moving average, with the slow moving average being the corrected moving average (CMA) originally proposed by Andreas Uhl, and the fast moving average being the corrected trend step (CTS) which is also based on the corrected moving average design.
For more information see :
In this post, the performances of this system are analyzed on various markets.
Setup And Rules
The analysis is solely based on the indicator signals, therefore no spread is applied. Constant position sizing is used. The strategy will be backtested on the 15 minute time-frame. The mult setting is discarded, the default setting used for length is 100.
Here are the rules of our strategy :
long: CTS crossover CMA
short: CTS crossunder CMA
Results And Data
EURUSD:
Net Profit: $ 0.08
Total number of trades: 99
Profitability: 35.35 %
Profit Factor: 1.834
Max Drawdown: $ 0.01
EURUSD behaved pretty well, and was most of time showing long term trends without exhibiting particularly tricky structures, the moving averages still did cross during ranging phases, since march 9 we can see a downtrend with more pronounced cyclical variations (retracements) that could potentially lead to loosing trades.
BTCUSD:
Net Profit: $ 4371.57
Total number of trades: 94
Profitability: 32.98 %
Profit Factor: 1.749
Max Drawdown: $ 1409.96
The strategy didn't started well, producing its largest drawdown after only a few trades, the strategy still managed to recover. BTCUSD exhibited a strong downtrend, the strategy profited from that to recover, signals still occurred on ranging phases, and where mostly caused by a short term volatile move, unfortunately the CMA can converge toward ranging/flat price zones where false signals might occur at higher frequency.
AMD:
Net Profit: $ 16.09
Total number of trades: 95
Profitability: 29.47 %
Profit Factor: 1.288
Max Drawdown: $ 20.11
On AMD the strategy started relatively well with a raising balance, then the balance quickly fallen, this downtrend in the balance lasted quite some time (almost 48 trades), the strategy finally recovered in Nov 2019 and the balance made a new highest high at the end of February. AMD had numerous trends during the backtesting period, yet results are poor.
AAPL:
Net Profit: $ -28.17
Total number of trades: 89
Profitability: 28.09 %
Profit Factor: 0.894
Max Drawdown: $ 63.21
AAPL show the poorest results so far, with a stationary balance around the initial capital (in short the evolution of the balance is not showing any particular trend and oscillate around the initial capital value).
AAPL had some significant retracements in its up-trend, which triggered some trades (of course), and the ranging period from Jan 24 to Feb 13 heavily damaged the strategy performance, generating 6 significant loosing trades. AAPL show the worst results so far, mostly due by ranging phases.
Conclusions
The Uhl MA crossover system strategy has been tested and based on the results don't show particularly interesting performances, and might even be outperformed by simpler MA systems that prove to be more robust against ranging markets. The total number of executed trades are on average 94, and the profitability is on average 31%. The strategy might prove more interesting if we can correct the behavior of the CMA, who sometimes converged toward ranging/flat markets.
