Cyclic Smoothed RSI with Motive-Corrective Wave Indicator
This indicator uses the cyclic smoothed Relative Strength Index (cRSI) instead of the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI). See below for more info on the benefits to the cRSI.
My key contributions
1) A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) to track the general trend of the cRSI signal. This is very helpful in determining when the equity switches from bullish to bearish, which can be used to determine buy/sell points. This is then is used to color the region between the upper and lower cRSI bands (green above, red below).
2) An attempt to detect the motive (impulse) and corrective and waves. Corrective waves are indicated A, B, C, D, E, F, G. F and G waves are not technically Elliot Waves, but the way I detect waves it is really hard to always get it right. Once and a while you could actually see G and F a second time. Motive waves are identified as s (strong) and w (weak). Strong waves have a peak above the cRSI upper band and weak waves have a peak below the upper band.
3) My own divergence indicator for bull, hidden bull, bear, and hidden bear. I was not able to replicate the TradingView style of drawing a line from peak to peak, but for this indicator I think in the end it makes the chart cleaner.
There is a latency issue with an indicator that is based on moving averages. That means they tend to trigger right after key events. Perfect timing is not possible strictly with these indicators, but they do work very well "on average." However, my implementation has minimal latency as peaks (tops/bottoms) only require one bar to detect.
As a bit of an Easter Egg, this code can be tweaked and run as a strategy to get buy/sell signals. I use this code for both my indicator and for trading strategy. Just copy and past it into a new strategy script and just change it from study to a strategy, something like this:
strategy("cRSI + Waves Strategy with VWMA overlay", overlay=overlay)
The buy/sell code is at the end and just needs to be uncommented. I make no promises or guarantees about how good it is as a strategy, but it gives you some code and ideas to work with.
Tuning
1) Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): This is a “hidden strategy” feature implemented that will display the high-low bands of the VWMA on the price chart if run the code using “overlay = true”.
- If the equity does not have volume, then the VWMA will not show up. Uncheck this box and it will use the regular WMA (no volume).
- defines how far back the WMA averages price.
2) cRSI (Black line in the indicator)
- Increase to length that amount of time a band (upper/lower) stays high/low after a peak. Reduce the value to shorten the time. Just increment it up/down to see the effect.
- defines how far back the SMA averages the cRSI. This affects the purple line in the indicator.
- defines how many bars back the peak detector looks to determine if a peak has occurred. For example, a top is detected like this: current-bar down relative to the 1-bar-back, 1-bar-back up relative to 2-bars-back (look back = 1), c) 2-bars-back up relative to 3-bars-back (lookback = 2), and d) 3-bars-back up relative to 4-bars-back (lookback = 3). I hope that makes sense. There are only 2 options for this setting: 2 or 3 bars. 2 bars will be able to detect small peaks but create more “false” peaks that may not be meaningful. 3 bars will be more robust but can miss short duration peaks.
3) Waves
- The check boxes are self explanatory for which labels they turn on and off on the plot.
4) Divergence Indicators
- The check boxes are self explanatory for which labels they turn on and off on the plot.
Hints
- The most common parameter to change is the . Different stocks will have different levels of strength in their peaks. A setting of 2 may generate too many corrective waves.
- Different times scales will give you different wave counts. This is to be expected. A counter impulse wave inside a corrective wave may actually go above the cRSI WMA on a smaller time frame. You may need to increase it one or two levels to see large waves.
- Just because you see divergence (bear or hidden bear) does not mean a price is going to go down. Often price continues to rise through bears, so take note and that is normal. Bulls are usually pretty good indicators especially if you see them on C,E,G waves.
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cyclic smoothed RSI (cRSI) indicator
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The “core” code for the cyclic smoothed RSI (cRSI) indicator was written by Lars von Theinen and is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at mozilla.org Copyright (C) 2017 CC BY, whentotrade / Lars von Thienen. For more details on the cRSI Indicator:
The cyclic smoothed RSI indicator is an enhancement of the classic RSI, adding
1) additional smoothing according to the market vibration,
2) adaptive upper and lower bands according to the cyclic memory and
3) using the current dominant cycle length as input for the indicator.
It is much more responsive to market moves than the basic RSI. The indicator uses the dominant cycle as input to optimize signal, smoothing, and cyclic memory. To get more in-depth information on the cyclic-smoothed RSI indicator, please read Decoding The Hidden Market Rhythm - Part 1: Dynamic Cycles (2017), Chapter 4: "Fine-tuning technical indicators." You need to derive the dominant cycle as input parameter for the cycle length as described in chapter 4.
Hope this helps and good luck.
Cerca negli script per "bear"
CRAZY RAY RAY - Dashboard 1-5-15-1D + SMC + Clock + Candles PRO OANDA:XAUUSD This script is essentially your institutional "nuclear power plant" for scalping and swing trading: it combines the 1-5-15-1D dashboard, SMC, PRO candles, money flow times, institutional filters, Bull/Bear 12C, Liquidity HUD, Fibo Move, and Target Trend with SL + 3 TPs into a single indicator. 1. Dashboard 1–5–15–1D (Central HUD)
Calculates across 4 timeframes: 1m, 5m, 15m, and 1D:
Trend with EMAs 15/30/200.
RSI (strength >50 buy, <50 sell).
MACD (crossover in favor or against).
For each timeframe it shows:
TREND → BULLISH / BEARISH / NEUTRAL.
ACTION → BUY / SELL / WAIT.
If all 4 timeframes align:
MODE = BULLISH BUY
MODE = BEARISH SELL
Filters and displays on the HUD if buys or sells are blocked by SMC context (BLOCKED BUY / BLOCKED SELL).
Also draws 2 simple moving averages on the chart:
SMA 20 white (you can use it as a micro-trend).
SMA 200 red (macro trend and institutional reference).
2. Real-Time Clock + Trading Hours
Calculates the real time for:
New York / Miami
London
Tokyo
using current time and real time zone.
Also calculates GMT time to know which session is dominant.
Marks your trading hours:
LONDON 3:00–5:30 (London time) → goodLondon
NY OPEN 8:30–10:00 (NY time) → goodNYOpen
ASIA 20:00–23:00 (Tokyo) → goodAsiaScalp
Displays a message on the HUD:
LONDON 3:00–5:30 (1–2 TRADES)
NY OPEN 8:30–10:00 (1 TRADE)
ASIA 20–23 (SCALP)
NO TRADE ROLL / DEAD / LATE
ONLY A+ SETUPS (when not in strong trading hours).
3. Institutional Power (volume + ATR + session)
Filter that evaluates whether the moment is institutional or retail:
Checks:
If you are in a strong trading session (London / NY). If the volume is above the average × multiplier.
If the ATR is above the average × multiplier.
If it passes the filters → INST ON, otherwise → RETAIL ZONE.
Used internally to block buys/sells and for the HUD.
4. Micro-signal “NO RETRACEMENT” on 1m (BUY SR / SELL SR)
On the 1-minute timeframe, it detects a very aggressive entry:
Clean trend (15/30/200 EMAs aligned).
Price crosses the 200 EMA.
MACD turns in favor.
Marks on the candle:
BUY SR (buys without retracement below the EMA200).
SELL SR (sales without retracement above the EMA200).
This state is also reflected in the HUD as the “SR” row.
5. SMC Block: HH/HL/LH/LL + BMS + ChoCH + Fibo + Zones
This is the SMC brain of the script:
Detects swings with pivots:
Paints HH, HL, LH, LL (if you activate showHHLL).
Marks BOS (break of structure).
Marks BMS and ChoCH (with strong or weak filter using ATR, volume, MACD, gaps).
Draws:
Internal Fibo of the last range (38–50–61).
Fibo entry zone 38–78% as a green discount/premium box.
Institutional mitigation zones (simple OB type green/red boxes).
Current range with dotted yellow lines.
Calculates logic for:
antiStupidBuy: blocks purchases when the context is very bearish (LL–LL–LH, bearish ChoCH, premium, EQH, etc.).
antiStupidSell: symmetrical for sales.
From this comes:
allowBuyInst
allowSellInst
buyBlockerOn / sellBlockerOn
buyTrapDetected (BUY SR signal but context blocks it → BUY TRAP).
All this feeds the HUD and institutional alerts.
6. PRO Candles (candlestick + smart color)
Candlestick pattern system:
Detects:
Hammer, Inverted Hammer. Doji.
Strong bullish/bearish candle.
Bullish/bearish engulfing.
Uses a trend EMA to determine if the pattern is with or against the trend.
Colors the candles according to the pattern (if you enable useColorCandles).
Defines texts:
patternText (pattern name).
biasText (reversal, momentum, indecision).
Updates the HUD with the current pattern (“CANDLE: Engulf Bull”, etc.).
7. Institutional PRO Combo + Reversals
Connects everything:
fullBuySetup:
allowBuyInst TRUE (SMC + Fibo + mitigation OK).
Institutional candles in favor (engulfing, hammer, etc.).
MultiTF aligned (1m, 5m in favor, 15/1D not strongly against).
Strong session (London or NY).
No blockages.
fullSellSetup: the same for sales.
Marks on the chart:
BUY PRO, SELL PRO.
BUY REV LL → reversal from a LL, at Fibo discount, with an institutional candle and above EMA200.
SELL REV HH → reversal from HH, at Fibo premium, with an institutional candle and below EMA200.
And generates alerts for all of this.
8. Dynamic Main HUD
On barstate.islast, updates the HUD:
Changes “BUY / SELL” to:
BUY BLOCK / SELL BLOCK when the context blocks that direction.
Writes:
Current candle pattern.
Time message.
Global status:
BUY TRAP ❌, BUY REV LL ✅, SELL REV HH ✅, BUY PRO ✅, SELL PRO ✅,
BUY BLOCK, SELL BLOCK, BUY/SELL OK.
9. Bull/Bear 12C HUD (Small right HUD)
12-confirmation bull/bear engine:
Calculates:
Sweep, 5th leg, mitigation, HL/LH, strong BOS.
Volume pattern (high-low-high).
ATR rising.
MACD crossover.
Liquidity.
Fear & Greed (SMA50).
Gap/imbalance. Bull/Bear 180 weak.
Count how many are ON:
bullScore /12
bearScore /12
Define a regime:
INSTITUTIONAL → many confirmations + rvol + ATR.
NORMAL
RETAIL
Show on right HUD:
List 1 to 12 with green/red dots BULL / BEAR.
Summary: “Regime: INSTITUTIONAL / NORMAL / RETAIL”.
10. Liquidity HUD XAU SCALP
Calculates RVOL, normalized ATR, spread vs ATR, current range vs average range.
Generates score and classifies:
LOW / MED / HIGH / INS.
Only moves up one level if you are in London/NY session (depending on sessions)
Minho Index | SETUP (Safe Filter 90%)//@version=5
indicator("Minho Index | SETUP (Safe Filter 90%)", shorttitle="Minho Index | SETUP+", overlay=false)
//--------------------------------------------------------
// ⚙️ INPUTS
//--------------------------------------------------------
bullColor = input.color(color.new(color.lime, 0), "Bull Color (Minho Green)")
bearColor = input.color(color.new(color.red, 0), "Bear Color (Red)")
neutralColor = input.color(color.new(color.white, 0), "Neutral Color (White)")
lineWidth = input.int(2, "Line Width")
period = input.int(14, "RSI Period")
centerLine = input.float(50.0, "Central Line (Fixed at 50)")
//--------------------------------------------------------
// 🧠 BASE RSI + INTERNAL SMOOTHING
//--------------------------------------------------------
rsiBase = ta.rsi(close, period)
rsiSmooth = ta.sma(rsiBase, 3) // light smoothing
//--------------------------------------------------------
// 🔍 TREND DETECTION AND NEUTRAL ZONE
//--------------------------------------------------------
trendUp = (rsiSmooth > rsiSmooth ) and (rsiSmooth > rsiSmooth )
trendDown = (rsiSmooth < rsiSmooth ) and (rsiSmooth < rsiSmooth )
slopeUp = (rsiSmooth > rsiSmooth )
slopeDown = (rsiSmooth < rsiSmooth )
lineColor = neutralColor
if trendUp
lineColor := bullColor
else if trendDown
lineColor := bearColor
else if slopeUp or slopeDown
lineColor := neutralColor
//--------------------------------------------------------
// 📈 MAIN INDEX LINE
//--------------------------------------------------------
plot(rsiSmooth, title="Dynamic RSI Line (Safe Filter)", color=lineColor, linewidth=lineWidth)
//--------------------------------------------------------
// ⚪ FIXED CENTRAL LINE
//--------------------------------------------------------
plot(centerLine, title="Central Line (Highlight)", color=neutralColor, linewidth=1)
//--------------------------------------------------------
// 📊 NORMALIZED MOVING AVERAGES (SMA20 and EMA20)
//--------------------------------------------------------
SMA20 = ta.sma(close, 20)
EMA20 = ta.ema(close, 20)
// Normalization 0–100
minPrice = ta.lowest(low, 100)
maxPrice = ta.highest(high, 100)
rangeCalc = maxPrice - minPrice
rangeCalc := rangeCalc == 0 ? 1 : rangeCalc
normSMA = ((SMA20 - minPrice) / rangeCalc) * 100
normEMA = ((EMA20 - minPrice) / rangeCalc) * 100
//--------------------------------------------------------
// 🩶 MOVING AVERAGES PLOTS (GHOST-GREY STYLE)
//--------------------------------------------------------
ghostColor = color.new(color.rgb(200,200,200), 65)
plot(normSMA, title="SMA 20 (Ghost Grey)", color=ghostColor, linewidth=2)
plot(normEMA, title="EMA 20 (Ghost Grey)", color=ghostColor, linewidth=2)
//--------------------------------------------------------
// 🌈 FILL BETWEEN MOVING AVERAGES
//--------------------------------------------------------
bullCond = normSMA < normEMA
bearCond = normSMA > normEMA
fill(
plot(normSMA, display=display.none),
plot(normEMA, display=display.none),
color = bearCond ? color.new(color.red, 55) :
bullCond ? color.new(color.lime, 55) : na
)
//--------------------------------------------------------
// ✅ END OF INDICATOR
//--------------------------------------------------------
(QUANTLABS) Fractal God Mode: 25-Timeframe Scanner The indicator aggregates data into three distinct metric columns:
1. STRUCT (Market Structure) This analyzes price action relative to Fractal Pivots (Highs and Lows) to determine market direction.
HH (Breakout): Price has closed above the previous Pivot High. (Bullish Structure)
LL (Breakdown): Price has closed below the previous Pivot Low. (Bearish Structure)
TRAPPED: Price is trading between the last Pivot High and Low. This indicates a ranging market where trend trades should be avoided.
2. VELOCITY (Thrust) This measures the specific strength of the current candle on that timeframe.
The Math: It calculates the ratio of the body (Close - Open) relative to the total candle range (High - Low).
The Signal: High positive numbers (Green) indicate buyers are closing near highs. High negative numbers (Red) indicate sellers are dominating the range.
3. QUALITY (Efficiency Ratio) This acts as a "Noise Filter." It determines if the trend is moving in a straight line or whipping back and forth.
The Math: It divides the Net Price Movement (Distance from 5 bars ago) by the Total Path Traveled (Sum of the ranges of the last 5 bars).
PRISTINE (Values > 0.6): The market is moving efficiently in one direction.
CHOPPY (Values < 0.4): The market is volatile and non-directional (High Noise).
1. The Matrix (Dashboard) Located in the bottom right, this table gives you an instant read on Short-Term (3m-9m), Medium-Term (10m-45m), and Long-Term (1H-Daily) trends.
2. Coherence Flow At the bottom of the table, the script sums up the structural score of all 25 timeframes.
COHERENT BULL: When the Short, Medium, and Long terms align green.
COHERENT BEAR: When the Short, Medium, and Long terms align red.
3. God Mode (Global S/R) The indicator can plot Support and Resistance levels from higher timeframes onto your current chart. For example, while trading the 5m chart, you can see the 4H and Daily pivot levels plotted automatically as dotted lines, ensuring you never trade blindly into a higher-timeframe wall.
Trend Following: Wait for the "Coherent Bull/Bear" signal at the bottom of the dashboard. This confirms that momentum is aligned from the 3m chart up to the Daily.
Scalping: Focus on the Quality column. Only take trades when the Quality is "CLEAN" or "PRISTINE." Avoid entries when the dashboard warns of "High Noise" (Choppy).
Risk Management: If the dashboard shows "TRAPPED" on the Long Term (1H+), reduce position size or wait for a breakout.
Pivot Lookback: Adjusts the sensitivity of the Fractal Structure (Default: 5).
Show Fractal DNA Matrix: Toggles the dashboard table.
Show ALL Timeframe S/R: Enables "God Mode" to see supports/resistances from all 25 timeframes (Heavy visual processing, use carefully).
DeltaBurst Locator ## DeltaBurst Locator
DeltaBurst Locator is a sponsorship detector that divides OBV impulse by price thrust, normalizes the ratio, and cross-checks it against a higher timeframe confirmation stream. The oscillator turns the abstract "is this move real?" question into a precise number, exposing accumulation, distribution, and exhaustion across futures and stocks.
HOW IT WORKS
OBV Impulse vs. Price Change – Smoothed deltas of On-Balance Volume and price are ratioed, then normalized using a hyperbolic tangent function to prevent single prints from dominating.
Signal vs. Confirmation – A short EMA produces the execution signal while a higher-timeframe request.security() feed validates whether broader flows agree.
Spectrum Classification – Expansion/compression metrics grade whether current aggression is intense or fading, while ±0.65 bands define exhaust/vacuum zones.
Slope Divergences – Linear regression slopes on both price and the ratio expose bullish/bearish sponsorship mismatches before candles reverse.
HOW TO USE IT
Breakout Validation : Only chase breakouts when both local and higher-timeframe ratios are on the same side of zero; mixed signals suggest liquidity is fading.
Absorption Trades : When the histogram spikes beyond ±0.65 but the EMA lags, expect absorption; combine with price structure for pinpoint reversals.
News/Event Monitoring : During earnings or macro releases, watch for ratio collapses with price still rising—this flags forced moves driven by hedging rather than real demand.
VISUAL FEATURES
Color logic: Positive sponsorship fills teal, negative fills crimson against the zero line, making intent obvious at a glance.
Optional markers: Burst triangles and divergence dots can be enabled when you need explicit annotations or left off for a minimalist panel.
Compression heatmap: Background shading communicates whether the market is coiling (high compression) or erupting (low compression).
Dashboard: Displays the live ratio, higher-timeframe ratio, and agreement state to speed up scanning across tickers.
PARAMETERS
Fast Pulse Length (default: 5): Controls the smoothing window for price change detection.
Slow Equilibrium Length (default: 34): Window for expansion/compression calculation.
OBV Smooth (default: 8): Smoothing period for OBV impulse calculation.
Ratio Ceiling (default: 3.0): Controls how aggressively values saturate; raise for high-volatility tickers.
Signal EMA (default: 4): EMA period for the signal line.
Confirmation Timeframe (default: 240): Pick a higher anchor (e.g., 4H) to validate intraday moves.
Divergence Window (default: 21): Window for slope-based divergence detection.
Show Burst Markers (default: disabled): Toggle burst triangles on demand.
Show Divergence Markers (default: disabled): Toggle divergence dots on demand.
Show Delta Dashboard (default: enabled): Hide when screen space is limited; leave on for desk broadcasts.
ALERTS
The indicator includes four alert conditions:
DeltaBurst Bull: Spotted a bullish liquidity burst
DeltaBurst Bear: Spotted a bearish liquidity burst
DeltaBurst Bull Div: Detected bullish sponsorship divergence
DeltaBurst Bear Div: Detected bearish sponsorship divergence
Hope you enjoy!
SCALPING PRO V2 - INTERMÉDIANT (Dashboard + TP/SL + Alerts)//@version=5
indicator("SCALPING PRO V2 - INTERMÉDIANT (Dashboard + TP/SL + Alerts)", overlay=true, max_labels_count=500)
// ---------------- INPUTS ----------------
emaFastLen = input.int(9, "EMA Fast")
emaSlowLen = input.int(21, "EMA Slow")
atrLen = input.int(14, "ATR Length")
atrMultSL = input.float(1.2, "SL = ATR *")
tp1mult = input.float(1.0, "TP1 = ATR *")
tp2mult = input.float(1.5, "TP2 = ATR *")
tp3mult = input.float(2.0, "TP3 = ATR *")
minBars = input.int(3, "Min bars between signals")
showDashboard = input.bool(true, "Show Dashboard")
// ---------------- INDICATORS ----------------
emaFast = ta.ema(close, emaFastLen)
emaSlow = ta.ema(close, emaSlowLen)
atr = ta.atr(atrLen)
bullTrend = emaFast > emaSlow
bearTrend = emaFast < emaSlow
crossUp = ta.crossover(emaFast, emaSlow) and bullTrend
crossDown = ta.crossunder(emaFast, emaSlow) and bearTrend
var int lastSignal = na
okSignal = na(lastSignal) or (bar_index - lastSignal > minBars)
buySignal = crossUp and okSignal
sellSignal = crossDown and okSignal
if buySignal or sellSignal
lastSignal := bar_index
// ---------------- TP & SL ----------------
var float sl = na
var float tp1 = na
var float tp2 = na
var float tp3 = na
if buySignal
sl := close - atr * atrMultSL
tp1 := close + atr * tp1mult
tp2 := close + atr * tp2mult
tp3 := close + atr * tp3mult
if sellSignal
sl := close + atr * atrMultSL
tp1 := close - atr * tp1mult
tp2 := close - atr * tp2mult
tp3 := close - atr * tp3mult
// ---------------- ALERTS ----------------
alertcondition(buySignal, title="BUY", message="BUY Signal")
alertcondition(sellSignal, title="SELL", message="SELL Signal")
alertcondition(ta.cross(close, tp1), title="TP1", message="TP1 Hit")
alertcondition(ta.cross(close, tp2), title="TP2", message="TP2 Hit")
alertcondition(ta.cross(close, tp3), title="TP3", message="TP3 Hit")
alertcondition(ta.cross(close, sl), title="SL", message="Stop Loss Hit")
// ---------------- DASHBOARD ----------------
if showDashboard
var table dash = table.new(position.top_right, 1, 5)
if barstate.islast
table.cell(dash, 0, 0, "SCALPING PRO V2", bgcolor=color.new(color.black, 0), text_color=color.white)
table.cell(dash, 0, 1, "Trend: " + (bullTrend ? "Bull" : bearTrend ? "Bear" : "Neutral"))
table.cell(dash, 0, 2, "ATR: " + str.tostring(atr, format.mintick))
table.cell(dash, 0, 3, "Last Signal: " + (buySignal ? "BUY" : sellSignal ? "SELL" : "NONE"))
table.cell(dash, 0, 4, "EMA Fast/Slow OK")
MTC – Multi-Timeframe Trend Confirmator V2MTC – Multi-Timeframe Trend Confirmator V2
A comprehensive trend analysis indicator that systematically combines six technical indicators across three customizable timeframes, using a weighted scoring system to identify high-probability trend conditions.
ORIGINALITY AND CONCEPT
This indicator is original in its approach to multi-timeframe trend confirmation. Rather than relying on a single indicator or timeframe, it creates a composite score by evaluating six different technical conditions simultaneously across three timeframes. The scoring system weighs certain indicators more heavily based on their reliability in trend identification. The visual gauge provides an at-a-glance view of trend alignment across timeframes, making it easier to identify when multiple timeframes agree - a condition that typically produces stronger, more reliable trends.
HOW IT WORKS - DETAILED SCORING METHODOLOGY
The indicator evaluates six technical conditions on each timeframe. Each condition contributes to a composite score:
EMA 200 (Weight: 1 point)
Bullish: Price closes above EMA 200 (+1)
Bearish: Price closes below EMA 200 (-1)
Rationale: Long-term trend direction
SMA 50/200 Crossover (Weight: 1 point)
Bullish: SMA 50 above SMA 200 (+1)
Bearish: SMA 50 below SMA 200 (-1)
Rationale: Golden/Death cross confirmation
RSI 14 (Weight: 1 point)
Bullish: RSI above 55 (+1)
Bearish: RSI below 45 (-1)
Neutral: RSI between 45-55 (0)
Rationale: Momentum filter with buffer zone to avoid chop
MACD (12,26,9) (Weight: 1 point)
Bullish: MACD line above signal line (+1)
Bearish: MACD line below signal line (-1)
Rationale: Trend momentum confirmation
ADX 14 (Weight: 2 points - DOUBLE WEIGHTED)
Requires ADX above 25 to activate
Bullish: DI+ above DI- and ADX > 25 (+2)
Bearish: DI- above DI+ and ADX > 25 (-2)
Neutral: ADX below 25 (0)
Rationale: Trend strength filter - only counts when a strong trend exists. Double weighted because ADX is specifically designed to measure trend strength, making it more reliable than oscillators.
Supertrend (Factor: 3.0, ATR Period: 10) (Weight: 2 points - DOUBLE WEIGHTED)
Bullish: Direction indicator = -1 (+2)
Bearish: Direction indicator = +1 (-2)
Rationale: Dynamic support/resistance that adapts to volatility. Double weighted because Supertrend provides clear, objective trend signals with built-in stop-loss levels.
COMPOSITE SCORE CALCULATION:
Total possible score range: -10 to +10 points
Score interpretation:
Score > 2: UPTREND (majority of indicators bullish, especially weighted ones)
Score < -2: DOWNTREND (majority of indicators bearish, especially weighted ones)
Score between -2 and +2: NEUTRAL/RANGING (mixed signals or weak trend)
The threshold of +/- 2 was chosen because it requires more than just basic agreement - it typically means at least 3-4 indicators align, or that the heavily-weighted indicators (ADX, Supertrend) confirm the direction.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME LOGIC:
The indicator calculates the composite score independently for three timeframes:
Higher Timeframe (default: 4H) - Major trend direction
Mid Timeframe (default: 1H) - Intermediate trend
Lower Timeframe (default: 15min) - Entry timing
Main Trend Confirmation Rule:
The indicator only signals a confirmed trend when BOTH the higher timeframe AND mid timeframe scores agree (both > 2 for uptrend, or both < -2 for downtrend). This dual-timeframe confirmation significantly reduces false signals during choppy or ranging markets.
HOW TO USE IT
Setup:
Add indicator to chart
Customize timeframes based on your trading style:
Scalpers: 15min, 5min, 1min
Day traders: 4H, 1H, 15min (default)
Swing traders: Daily, 4H, 1H
Toggle individual indicators on/off based on your preference
Adjust Supertrend parameters if needed for your instrument's volatility
Reading the Gauge (Top Right Corner):
Each row shows one timeframe
Left column: Timeframe label
Middle column: Visual strength bars (10 bars = maximum score)
Green bars = Bullish score
Red bars = Bearish score
Yellow bars = Neutral/ranging
More filled bars = stronger trend
Right column: Numerical score
Trading Signals:
Entry Signals:
Long Entry: Wait for upward triangle arrow (appears when higher + mid TF both bullish)
Confirm gauge shows green bars on higher and mid timeframes
Lower timeframe should ideally turn green for entry timing
Chart background tints light green
Short Entry: Wait for downward triangle arrow (appears when higher + mid TF both bearish)
Confirm gauge shows red bars on higher and mid timeframes
Lower timeframe should ideally turn red for entry timing
Chart background tints light red
Position Management:
Stay in position while higher and mid timeframes remain aligned
Consider reducing position size when mid timeframe score weakens
Exit when higher timeframe trend reverses (daily label changes)
Avoiding False Signals:
Ignore signals when gauge shows mixed colors across timeframes
Avoid trading when scores are close to threshold (+/- 2 to +/- 4 range)
Best trades occur when all three timeframes align (all green or all red in gauge)
Use the numerical scores: higher absolute values (7-10) indicate stronger, more reliable trends
Practical Examples:
Example 1 - Strong Uptrend Entry:
Higher TF: +8 (strong green bars)
Mid TF: +6 (strong green bars)
Lower TF: +4 (moderate green bars)
Action: Look for long entries on lower timeframe pullbacks
Background is tinted green, upward arrow appears
Example 2 - Ranging Market (Avoid):
Higher TF: +3 (weak green)
Mid TF: -1 (weak red)
Lower TF: +2 (neutral yellow)
Action: Stay out, wait for alignment
Example 3 - Trend Reversal Warning:
Higher TF: +7 (still green)
Mid TF: -3 (turned red)
Lower TF: -5 (strong red)
Action: Consider exiting longs, prepare for potential higher TF reversal
Customization Options:
Timeframes: Adjust all three to match your trading horizon
Indicator Toggles: Disable indicators that don't suit your instrument:
Disable RSI for highly volatile crypto markets
Disable SMA crossover for range-bound instruments
Keep ADX and Supertrend enabled for trending markets
Visual Preferences:
Arrow size: 5 options from Tiny to Huge
Gauge size: Small/Medium/Large for different screen sizes
Toggle arrows on/off if you only want the gauge
Alert Setup:
Right-click chart, "Add Alert"
Condition: MTC v6 - UPTREND or DOWNTREND
Get notified when multi-timeframe confirmation occurs
Best Practices:
Use with Price Action: The indicator works best when combined with support/resistance levels, chart patterns, and volume analysis
Risk Management: Even with multi-timeframe confirmation, always use stop losses
Market Context: Works best in trending markets; less reliable in strong consolidation
Backtesting: Test the default settings on your specific instrument and timeframe before live trading
Patience: Wait for full multi-timeframe alignment rather than taking premature signals
Technical Notes:
All calculations use Pine Script's security function to fetch data from multiple timeframes
Prevents repainting by using confirmed bar data
Gauge updates in real-time on the last bar
Daily labels mark at the open of each new daily candle
Works on all instruments and timeframes
This indicator is ideal for traders who want objective, systematic trend identification without the complexity of analyzing multiple indicators manually across different timeframes.
-NATANTIA
CVD [able0.1]# CVD Overlay iOS Style - Complete User Guide
## 📖 Table of Contents
1. (#what-is-cvd)
2. (#installation-guide)
3. (#understanding-the-display)
4. (#reading-the-info-table)
5. (#settings--customization)
6. (#trading-strategies)
7. (#common-mistakes-to-avoid)
---
## 🎯 What is CVD?
**CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta)** tracks the **difference between buying and selling pressure** over time.
### Simple Explanation:
- **Positive CVD** (Orange) = More buying than selling = Bulls winning
- **Negative CVD** (Gray) = More selling than buying = Bears winning
- **Rising CVD** = Increasing buying pressure = Potential uptrend
- **Falling CVD** = Increasing selling pressure = Potential downtrend
### Why It Matters:
CVD helps you see **who's really in control** of the market - not just price movement, but actual buying/selling volume.
---
## 🚀 Installation Guide
### Step 1: Open Pine Editor
1. Go to TradingView
2. Click the **"Pine Editor"** tab at the bottom of the screen
3. Click **"New"** or open an existing script
### Step 2: Copy & Paste the Code
1. Select all existing code (Ctrl+A / Cmd+A)
2. Delete it
3. Copy the entire CVD iOS Style code
4. Paste it into Pine Editor
### Step 3: Add to Chart
1. Click **"Save"** button (or Ctrl+S / Cmd+S)
2. Click **"Add to Chart"** button
3. The indicator will appear on your chart!
### Step 4: Initial Setup
- The indicator appears as an **overlay** on your price chart
- You'll see an **orange/gray line** following price
- An **info table** appears in the top-right corner
---
## 📊 Understanding the Display
### Main Chart Elements:
#### 1. **CVD Line** (Orange/Gray)
- **Orange Line** = Positive CVD (buying pressure)
- **Gray Line** = Negative CVD (selling pressure)
- This line moves with your price chart but shows volume delta
#### 2. **CVD Zone** (Shaded Area)
- Light shaded box around the CVD line
- Shows the "range" of CVD movement
- Helps visualize CVD boundaries
#### 3. **Center Line** (Dotted)
- Gray dotted line in the middle of the zone
- Represents the "neutral" point
- CVD crossing this = shift in market control
#### 4. **Reference Asset Line** (Light Gray)
- Shows Bitcoin (BTC) price movement for comparison
- Helps you see if your asset moves with or against BTC
- Can be changed to any asset you want
#### 5. **CVD Label**
- Shows current CVD value
- Positioned above/below zone to avoid overlap
- Updates in real-time
#### 6. **Reset Background** (Very Light Gray)
- Appears when CVD resets
- Indicates a new calculation period
---
## 📋 Reading the Info Table
The info table (top-right) shows **8 key metrics**:
### Row 1: **Header**
```
╔═ CVD able ═╗ | 15m | ████████ | able
```
- **CVD able** = Indicator name + creator
- **15m** = Current timeframe
- **████████** = Visual decoration
- **able** = Creator signature
### Row 2: **CVD Value**
```
CVD▲ | 7.39K | ████████ | █
█
█
```
- **CVD▲** = CVD with trend arrow
- ▲ = CVD increasing
- ▼ = CVD decreasing
- ► = CVD unchanged
- **7.39K** = Actual CVD number
- **Progress Bar** = Visual strength (darker = stronger)
- **Vertical Bars** = Height shows intensity
### Row 3: **Delta**
```
◆DELTA | -1.274K | ████░░░░ | ░
░
```
- **Delta** = Volume change THIS BAR ONLY
- **Negative** = More selling this bar
- **Positive** = More buying this bar
- Shows **immediate** pressure (not cumulative)
### Row 4: **UP Volume**
```
UP↑ | -1.263K | ████████ | █
█
█
```
- Total **buying volume** this bar
- Higher = Stronger buying pressure
- Green/Orange vertical bars = Bullish strength
### Row 5: **DOWN Volume**
```
DN↓ | 2.643K | ████████ | ░
░
░
```
- Total **selling volume** this bar
- Higher = Stronger selling pressure
- Gray vertical bars = Bearish strength
### Row 6-7: **Reference Asset** (if enabled)
```
══ REF ══ | ══════ | ████████ | █
█
PRICE▲ | 4130.300 | ████████ | █
█
```
- **REF** = Reference asset header
- **PRICE▲** = Reference price with trend
- Shows if BTC (or chosen asset) is rising/falling
- Compare with your chart to see correlation
### Row 8: **Market Status**
```
◄STATUS► | NEUT | ████░░░░ | ▒
▒
```
- **BULL** = CVD positive + Delta positive = Strong buying
- **BEAR** = CVD negative + Delta negative = Strong selling
- **NEUT** = Mixed signals = Wait for clarity
**Status Colors:**
- **Orange background** = Bullish (good for long)
- **Gray background** = Bearish (good for short)
- **White background** = Neutral (no clear signal)
---
## ⚙️ Settings & Customization
### Main Settings (⚙️)
#### **CVD Reset**
- **None** = CVD never resets (from beginning of data)
- **On Higher Timeframe** = Resets when HTF candle closes
- 15m chart → Resets hourly
- 1h chart → Resets daily
- Recommended for most traders
- **On Session Start** = Resets at market open
- **On Visible Chart** = Resets from leftmost visible bar
#### **Precision**
- **Low (Fast)** = Uses 1m data, faster but less accurate
- **Medium** = Uses 5m data, balanced (recommended)
- **High** = Uses 15m data, most accurate but slower
#### **Cumulative**
- ✅ On = CVD accumulates over time (recommended)
- ❌ Off = Shows only current bar delta
#### **Show Labels**
- ✅ On = Shows CVD value label on chart
- ❌ Off = Cleaner chart, no label
#### **Show Info Table**
- ✅ On = Shows info table (recommended for beginners)
- ❌ Off = Hide table for minimalist view
---
### 🎨 iOS Style Colors
You can customize **every color** to match your chart theme:
#### **Primary Colors**
- **Primary (Orange)** = Main bullish color (#FF9500)
- **Secondary (Gray)** = Main bearish color (#8E8E93)
- **Background** = Table background (#FFFFFF)
- **Text** = Text color (#1C1C1E)
#### **Bullish/Bearish**
- **Bullish (Orange)** = Positive CVD color
- **Bearish (Gray)** = Negative CVD color
- **Opacity** = Zone transparency (0-100%)
- **Show Zone** = Enable/disable shaded area
#### **Table Colors** (📋)
- **Header Background** = Top row background
- **Header Text** = Top row text color
- **Cell Background** = Data cells background
- **Cell Text** = Data cells text color
- **Border** = Table border color
- **Accent Background** = Special rows background
- **Alert Background** = Warning/status background
---
### 📊 Reference Asset Settings
#### **Enable**
- ✅ On = Shows reference asset line
- ❌ Off = Hide reference asset
#### **Symbol**
- Default: `BINANCE:BTCUSDT`
- Can change to any asset:
- `BINANCE:ETHUSDT` (Ethereum)
- `SPX` (S&P 500)
- `DXY` (US Dollar Index)
- Any ticker symbol
#### **Color & Width**
- Customize line appearance
- Width: 1-4 (thickness)
---
## 💡 Trading Strategies
### Strategy 1: CVD Divergence (Beginner-Friendly)
**What to Look For:**
- Price making **higher highs** but CVD making **lower highs** = Bearish divergence
- Price making **lower lows** but CVD making **higher lows** = Bullish divergence
**How to Trade:**
1. Wait for divergence to form
2. Look for confirmation (price reversal, candlestick pattern)
3. Enter trade in divergence direction
4. Stop loss beyond recent high/low
**Example:**
```
Price: /\ /\ /\ (higher highs)
CVD: /\ / \/ (lower highs) = Bearish signal
```
### Strategy 2: CVD Trend Following (Intermediate)
**What to Look For:**
- **Strongly rising CVD** + **rising price** = Strong uptrend
- **Strongly falling CVD** + **falling price** = Strong downtrend
**How to Trade:**
1. Wait for CVD and price moving in same direction
2. Enter on pullbacks to support/resistance
3. Stay in trade while CVD trend continues
4. Exit when CVD trend breaks
**Signals:**
- CVD ▲▲▲ + Price ↑ = Go LONG
- CVD ▼▼▼ + Price ↓ = Go SHORT
### Strategy 3: CVD + Reference Asset (Advanced)
**What to Look For:**
- Your asset **rising** but BTC (reference) **falling** = Relative strength
- Your asset **falling** but BTC (reference) **rising** = Relative weakness
**How to Trade:**
1. Compare CVD movement with BTC
2. If your CVD rises faster than BTC = Buy signal
3. If your CVD falls faster than BTC = Sell signal
4. Use for **pair trading** or **asset selection**
### Strategy 4: Volume Delta Confirmation
**What to Look For:**
- **Large positive Delta** = Strong buying this bar
- **Large negative Delta** = Strong selling this bar
**How to Trade:**
1. Price breaks resistance + Large positive Delta = Confirmed breakout
2. Price breaks support + Large negative Delta = Confirmed breakdown
3. Use Delta to **confirm** price moves, not predict them
**Rules:**
- Delta > 2x average = Very strong pressure
- Delta near zero at key level = Weak move, likely false breakout
---
## 🎓 Reading Real Scenarios
### Scenario 1: Strong Buying Pressure
```
Table Shows:
CVD▲ | 12.5K | ████████ | ████ (CVD rising)
◆DELTA | +2.8K | ████████ | ▲ (Positive delta)
UP↑ | 3.1K | ████████ | ████ (High buy volume)
DN↓ | 0.3K | ██░░░░░░ | ░ (Low sell volume)
◄STATUS► | BULL | ████████ | ████ (Orange background)
```
**Interpretation:** Strong buying, good for LONG trades
### Scenario 2: Distribution (Hidden Selling)
```
Table Shows:
CVD► | 8.2K | ████░░░░ | ▒▒ (CVD flat)
◆DELTA | -1.5K | ████████ | ▼ (Negative delta)
UP↑ | 0.8K | ███░░░░░ | ░ (Low buy volume)
DN↓ | 2.3K | ████████ | ████ (High sell volume)
◄STATUS► | BEAR | ████████ | ░░░░ (Gray background)
```
**Interpretation:** Price may look stable, but selling increasing = Prepare for drop
### Scenario 3: Neutral/Choppy Market
```
Table Shows:
CVD► | 5.1K | ████░░░░ | ▒ (CVD sideways)
◆DELTA | +0.2K | ██░░░░░░ | ─ (Small delta)
UP↑ | 1.2K | ████░░░░ | ▒ (Medium buy)
DN↓ | 1.0K | ████░░░░ | ▒ (Medium sell)
◄STATUS► | NEUT | ████░░░░ | ▒▒ (White background)
```
**Interpretation:** No clear direction = Stay out or reduce position size
---
## ⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid
### Mistake 1: Trading on CVD Alone
- ❌ **Wrong:** "CVD is rising, I'll buy immediately"
- ✅ **Right:** "CVD is rising, let me check price structure, support/resistance, and wait for confirmation"
### Mistake 2: Ignoring Delta
- ❌ **Wrong:** Looking only at cumulative CVD
- ✅ **Right:** Watch both CVD (trend) and Delta (momentum)
- Delta shows **immediate** pressure changes
### Mistake 3: Wrong Timeframe
- ❌ **Wrong:** Using 1m chart with High Precision (too slow)
- ✅ **Right:** Match precision to timeframe:
- 1m-5m → Low Precision
- 15m-1h → Medium Precision
- 4h+ → High Precision
### Mistake 4: Not Using Reset
- ❌ **Wrong:** Using "None" reset for intraday trading
- ✅ **Right:** Use "On Higher Timeframe" to see fresh CVD each session
### Mistake 5: Overtrading Neutral Status
- ❌ **Wrong:** Forcing trades when STATUS = NEUT
- ✅ **Right:** Only trade clear BULL or BEAR status
### Mistake 6: Ignoring Reference Asset
- ❌ **Wrong:** Trading altcoin without checking BTC
- ✅ **Right:** Always check if BTC CVD agrees with your asset
---
## 🔥 Pro Tips
### Tip 1: Multi-Timeframe Analysis
- Check CVD on **3 timeframes**:
- Lower TF (15m) = Entry timing
- Current TF (1h) = Trade direction
- Higher TF (4h) = Overall trend
### Tip 2: Volume Confirmation
- Big price move + Small Delta = **Weak move** (likely reversal)
- Small price move + Big Delta = **Strong accumulation** (continuation)
### Tip 3: CVD Reset Zones
- Pay attention to **reset backgrounds** (light gray)
- Often marks **session starts** = High volatility periods
### Tip 4: Divergence + Status
- Bearish divergence + STATUS = BEAR = **Strongest short signal**
- Bullish divergence + STATUS = BULL = **Strongest long signal**
### Tip 5: Color Psychology
- **Orange** (Bullish) is **warm** = Buying energy
- **Gray** (Bearish) is **cool** = Selling pressure
- Train your eye to read colors instantly
### Tip 6: Table as Quick Scan
- Glance at table without reading numbers:
- **All orange** = Bullish
- **All gray** = Bearish
- **Mixed** = Wait
---
## 📱 Quick Reference Card
| Signal | CVD | Delta | Status | Action |
|--------|-----|-------|--------|--------|
| **Strong Buy** | ▲▲ High | ++ Positive | BULL | Long Entry |
| **Strong Sell** | ▼▼ Low | -- Negative | BEAR | Short Entry |
| **Divergence Buy** | ▲ Rising | Price ▼ | → BULL | Long Setup |
| **Divergence Sell** | ▼ Falling | Price ▲ | → BEAR | Short Setup |
| **Neutral** | → Flat | ~0 Near Zero | NEUT | Stay Out |
| **Accumulation** | → Flat | ++ Positive | NEUT→BULL | Watch for Breakout |
| **Distribution** | → Flat | -- Negative | NEUT→BEAR | Watch for Breakdown |
---
## 🆘 Troubleshooting
### Issue: "Indicator not showing"
- **Solution:** Make sure overlay=true in code, re-add to chart
### Issue: "Table overlaps with price"
- **Solution:** Change table position in code or use TradingView's "Move" feature
### Issue: "CVD line too far from price"
- **Solution:** This is normal! CVD is volume-based, not price-based. Focus on CVD direction, not position
### Issue: "Too many lines on chart"
- **Solution:** Disable "Show Zone" and "Show Labels" in settings for cleaner view
### Issue: "Calculations too slow"
- **Solution:** Change Precision to "Low (Fast)" or use higher timeframe
### Issue: "Reference asset not showing"
- **Solution:** Check if "Enable" is ON and symbol is valid (e.g., BINANCE:BTCUSDT)
---
## 🎬 Getting Started Checklist
- Install indicator on TradingView
- Set precision to "Medium"
- Set reset to "On Higher Timeframe"
- Enable info table
- Add reference asset (BTC)
- Practice reading the table on demo account
- Test on different timeframes (15m, 1h, 4h)
- Compare CVD with your current strategy
- Paper trade for 1 week before going live
- Keep a trading journal of CVD signals
---
## 📚 Summary
**CVD shows WHO is winning: Buyers or Sellers**
**Key Points:**
1. **Orange/Rising CVD** = Buying pressure = Bullish
2. **Gray/Falling CVD** = Selling pressure = Bearish
3. **Delta** = Immediate momentum THIS BAR
4. **Status** = Overall market condition
5. **Always confirm** with price action & other indicators
**Remember:**
- CVD is a **tool**, not a crystal ball
- Use with proper risk management
- Practice makes perfect
- Stay disciplined!
---
**Created by: able**
**Version:** iOS Style v1.0
**Contact:** For questions, refer to TradingView community
Happy Trading! 🚀📈
XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Bias Scanner🎯 Purpose & Overview
This is a sophisticated trading indicator that analyzes XAUUSD (Gold) across 5 different timeframes simultaneously to determine market bias and trend direction.
⚙️ Core Components
2. Bias Calculation Engine
The heart of the indicator uses 5 technical factors to score each timeframe:
Technical Factors (Weighted):
Moving Average Alignment (30 points)
Bullish: EMA(9) > EMA(21) > EMA(50)
Bearish: EMA(9) < EMA(21) < EMA(50)
Price vs MA Position (20 points)
Score increases when price above MAs
Score decreases when price below MAs
RSI Momentum (20 points)
Bullish: RSI > 60 or > 50
Bearish: RSI < 40 or < 50
MACD Signals (15 points)
Bullish: MACD line > Signal line AND > 0
Bearish: MACD line < Signal line AND < 0
Volume Confirmation (15 points)
Volume spikes with price movement add confirmation
📊 Timeframe Analysis
Five Timeframes Monitored:
5-minute - Short-term noise (10% weight)
15-minute - Intraday direction (15% weight)
1-hour - Key intraday bias (25% weight)
4-hour - Primary directional bias (30% weight)
1-day - Overall trend context (20% weight)
Bias Scoring System:
0-100 Scale (50 = Neutral)
STRONG BULLISH: ≥70 (Green)
BULLISH: 55-69 (Lime)
NEUTRAL: 46-54 (Gray)
BEARISH: 31-45 (Orange)
STRONG BEARISH: ≤30 (Red)
🎨 Visual Features
1. Comprehensive Table Display
pinescript
var table biasTable = table.new(position.top_right, 3, 7, ...)
Shows a color-coded table with:
Timeframe name
Numerical bias score (0-100)
Strength description with color coding
2. Chart Visual Indicators
Background coloring based on overall bias
Label markers for strong bullish/bearish conditions
Real-time label showing all timeframe scores
3. Alert System
Triggers when overall bias crosses 70 (bullish) or 30 (bearish)
Configurable with sound options
🔄 How It Processes Data
Data Flow:
Requests security data for each timeframe using request.security()
Calculates technical indicators for each TF separately
Scores each TF based on 5 technical factors
Computes weighted overall bias
Updates visual displays and checks alert conditions
💡 Trading Applications
Bullish Scenarios:
Multiple timeframes show bullish alignment
Higher timeframe bias supports lower timeframe direction
Overall score > 70 indicates strong bullish conviction
Bearish Scenarios:
Multiple timeframes show bearish alignment
Higher timeframe bias confirms lower timeframe moves
Overall score < 30 indicates strong bearish conviction
Conflict Detection:
When timeframes show conflicting biases
Caution required - market may be consolidating
Wait for alignment before taking trades
🎚️ Customization Options
Users can modify:
Timeframe weights
Technical indicator parameters
Alert thresholds
Visual display preferences
Scoring sensitivity
📈 XAUUSD Specific Optimizations
The indicator considers Gold's unique characteristics:
High volatility periods
ATR-based volatility adjustments
Volume confirmation for breakouts
Multiple timeframe confirmation for trend reliability
This creates a powerful tool for identifying high-probability trade setups in XAUUSD by ensuring traders have a complete multi-timeframe perspective before entering positions.
Scout Regiment - OBV# Scout Regiment - OBV Indicator
## English Documentation
### Overview
Scout Regiment - OBV (On-Balance Volume) is an advanced momentum indicator that combines volume and price movement to identify the strength of buying and selling pressure. This indicator features an oscillator-based approach with divergence detection to help traders spot potential trend reversals and confirm price movements.
### What is OBV?
On-Balance Volume (OBV) is a cumulative volume indicator that adds volume on up days and subtracts volume on down days:
- **Rising OBV**: Accumulation (buying pressure)
- **Falling OBV**: Distribution (selling pressure)
- **OBV Oscillator**: The difference between OBV and its smoothed moving average, making divergences easier to spot
### Key Features
#### 1. **OBV Oscillator Display**
Instead of displaying raw OBV values, this indicator shows the oscillator (difference between OBV and its smoothed line):
**Benefits:**
- Easier to identify divergences
- Clearer trend changes
- More sensitive to momentum shifts
- Zero line as reference point
**Visual Elements:**
- **Step Line**: Main OBV oscillator line
- Green: Positive oscillator (accumulation)
- Red: Negative oscillator (distribution)
- **Histogram**: Visual representation of oscillator strength
- Green bars: Above zero line
- Red bars: Below zero line
- **Zero Line**: White dotted horizontal line as reference
#### 2. **Smoothing Options**
Choose from multiple moving average types to smooth the OBV:
- **None**: Raw OBV (most sensitive)
- **SMA**: Simple Moving Average (equal weight)
- **EMA**: Exponential Moving Average (recent price emphasis) - Default
- **SMMA (RMA)**: Smoothed Moving Average (very smooth)
- **WMA**: Weighted Moving Average (linear weight)
- **VWMA**: Volume Weighted Moving Average (volume emphasis)
**Default Settings:**
- Type: EMA
- Length: 21 periods
- Best for: Most market conditions
#### 3. **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**
- Calculate OBV on any timeframe
- View higher timeframe momentum on lower timeframe charts
- Align trades with larger timeframe volume trends
- Empty field = Current chart timeframe
#### 4. **Visual Enhancements**
**Background Color**
- Light green: Positive oscillator (bullish volume pressure)
- Light red: Negative oscillator (bearish volume pressure)
- Optional display for cleaner charts
**Crossover Labels**
- "突破" (Breakout): When oscillator crosses above zero
- "跌破" (Breakdown): When oscillator crosses below zero
- Indicates potential trend changes
- Can be toggled on/off
#### 5. **Comprehensive Divergence Detection**
The indicator automatically detects four types of divergences:
**Regular Bullish Divergence (Yellow)**
- **Price**: Makes lower lows
- **OBV**: Makes higher lows
- **Signal**: Potential upward reversal
- **Label**: "看涨" (Bullish)
- **Use**: Enter long positions
**Regular Bearish Divergence (Blue)**
- **Price**: Makes higher highs
- **OBV**: Makes lower highs
- **Signal**: Potential downward reversal
- **Label**: "看跌" (Bearish)
- **Use**: Enter short positions or exit longs
**Hidden Bullish Divergence (Light Yellow)**
- **Price**: Makes higher lows
- **OBV**: Makes lower lows
- **Signal**: Trend continuation (uptrend)
- **Label**: "隐藏看涨" (Hidden Bullish)
- **Use**: Add to long positions
**Hidden Bearish Divergence (Light Blue)**
- **Price**: Makes lower highs
- **OBV**: Makes higher highs
- **Signal**: Trend continuation (downtrend)
- **Label**: "隐藏看跌" (Hidden Bearish)
- **Use**: Add to short positions
#### 6. **Customizable Divergence Detection**
**Pivot Lookback Settings:**
- **Left Lookback**: Bars to the left of pivot (default: 5)
- **Right Lookback**: Bars to the right of pivot (default: 5)
- Determines how "extreme" a point must be to qualify as a pivot
**Range Settings:**
- **Maximum Range**: Maximum bars between pivots (default: 60)
- **Minimum Range**: Minimum bars between pivots (default: 5)
- Filters out too-close or too-distant divergences
**Display Options:**
- Toggle regular divergences on/off
- Toggle hidden divergences on/off
- Toggle divergence labels on/off
- Show only the divergences you need
### Configuration Settings
#### Smoothing Settings
- **Smoothing Type**: Choose MA type (None/SMA/EMA/SMMA/WMA/VWMA)
- **Smoothing Length**: Number of periods for smoothing (default: 21)
#### Calculation Settings
- **Timeframe**: Select calculation timeframe (empty = current chart)
#### Display Settings
- **Show OBV Line**: Toggle step line display
- **Show OBV Histogram**: Toggle histogram display
- **Show Background Color**: Toggle background coloring
- **Show Crossover Labels**: Toggle breakout/breakdown labels
#### Divergence Settings
- **Pivot Right Lookback**: Right bars for pivot detection (default: 5)
- **Pivot Left Lookback**: Left bars for pivot detection (default: 5)
- **Range Maximum**: Max bars between divergences (default: 60)
- **Range Minimum**: Min bars between divergences (default: 5)
- **Show Regular Divergences**: Enable/disable regular divergences
- **Show Regular Labels**: Enable/disable regular divergence labels
- **Show Hidden Divergences**: Enable/disable hidden divergences
- **Show Hidden Labels**: Enable/disable hidden divergence labels
### How to Use
#### For Trend Confirmation
1. **Identify Trend with Price**
- Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows
- Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows
2. **Confirm with OBV Oscillator**
- Strong uptrend: OBV oscillator staying positive
- Strong downtrend: OBV oscillator staying negative
- Weak trend: OBV oscillator frequently crossing zero
3. **Volume Confirmation**
- Trend with increasing OBV = Strong trend
- Trend with decreasing OBV = Weak trend (watch for reversal)
#### For Divergence Trading
1. **Enable Divergence Detection**
- Start with regular divergences only
- Add hidden divergences for trend continuation
2. **Wait for Divergence Signal**
- Yellow label = Potential bullish reversal
- Blue label = Potential bearish reversal
3. **Confirm with Price Action**
- Wait for support/resistance break
- Look for candlestick confirmation
- Check higher timeframe alignment
4. **Enter Trade**
- Enter after confirmation
- Set stop loss beyond recent swing
- Target based on previous swing or support/resistance
#### For Breakout Trading
1. **Enable Crossover Labels**
- Identify when oscillator crosses zero line
2. **Confirm Volume Strength**
- Strong breakouts have large oscillator moves
- Weak breakouts barely cross zero
3. **Trade Direction**
- "突破" label = Enter long
- "跌破" label = Enter short
4. **Manage Position**
- Exit when oscillator crosses back
- Use price structure for stops
#### For Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1. **Set Higher Timeframe**
- Example: On 15min chart, set timeframe to 1H or 4H
2. **Identify Higher Timeframe Trend**
- Positive oscillator = Uptrend bias
- Negative oscillator = Downtrend bias
3. **Trade with the Trend**
- Only take long signals in uptrend
- Only take short signals in downtrend
4. **Time Entries**
- Use current timeframe for precise entry
- Confirm with higher timeframe direction
### Trading Strategies
#### Strategy 1: Regular Divergence Reversal
**Setup:**
1. Price in strong trend (up or down)
2. Regular divergence appears
3. Price reaches support/resistance level
**Entry:**
- Bullish: After "看涨" label, when price breaks above recent high
- Bearish: After "看跌" label, when price breaks below recent low
**Stop Loss:**
- Bullish: Below divergence low
- Bearish: Above divergence high
**Exit:**
- Take profit at next major support/resistance
- Or when opposite divergence appears
**Best For:** Swing trading, reversal trading
#### Strategy 2: Hidden Divergence Continuation
**Setup:**
1. Clear trend established
2. Price pulls back (retracement)
3. Hidden divergence appears
**Entry:**
- Bullish: After "隐藏看涨" label, when price resumes uptrend
- Bearish: After "隐藏看跌" label, when price resumes downtrend
**Stop Loss:**
- Behind the pullback swing point
**Exit:**
- Trail stop as trend continues
- Exit on regular divergence (reversal signal)
**Best For:** Trend following, adding to positions
#### Strategy 3: Zero Line Crossover
**Setup:**
1. Enable crossover labels
2. Oscillator crosses zero line
3. Confirm with price structure break
**Entry:**
- "突破" label = Buy signal
- "跌破" label = Sell signal
**Stop Loss:**
- Below/above recent swing
**Exit:**
- When oscillator crosses back over zero
- Or at predetermined target
**Best For:** Momentum trading, quick trades
#### Strategy 4: Multi-Timeframe Confluence
**Setup:**
1. Set indicator to higher timeframe (e.g., 4H on 1H chart)
2. Wait for higher TF oscillator to be positive (uptrend) or negative (downtrend)
3. Look for entries on current timeframe aligned with higher TF
**Entry:**
- Long: When both timeframes show positive oscillator or bullish divergence
- Short: When both timeframes show negative oscillator or bearish divergence
**Stop Loss:**
- Based on current timeframe structure
**Exit:**
- When higher timeframe oscillator turns negative (for longs) or positive (for shorts)
**Best For:** Swing trading, high-probability setups
### Best Practices
#### Volume Analysis
1. **Strong Moves Need Volume**
- Price increase + Rising OBV = Healthy uptrend
- Price increase + Falling OBV = Weak uptrend (warning)
2. **Watch for Confirmation**
- New highs with new OBV highs = Confirmed
- New highs without new OBV highs = Potential divergence
3. **Consider Context**
- Low volume periods (Asian session, holidays) = Less reliable
- High volume periods (News, London/NY overlap) = More reliable
#### Divergence Trading Tips
1. **Not All Divergences Work**
- Wait for price confirmation
- Stronger in oversold/overbought areas
- Better at support/resistance levels
2. **Multiple Divergences**
- Multiple divergences on same trend = Stronger signal
- Quick divergence failures = Ignore and wait for next
3. **Timeframe Matters**
- Higher timeframe divergences = More reliable
- Lower timeframe divergences = More frequent, less reliable
#### Smoothing Selection
1. **No Smoothing (None)**
- Most sensitive, more signals
- More noise, more false signals
- Best for: Scalping, very active trading
2. **EMA (Default)**
- Balanced approach
- Good for most strategies
- Best for: Swing trading, day trading
3. **SMMA (RMA)**
- Very smooth, fewer signals
- Less responsive to sudden changes
- Best for: Position trading, longer timeframes
### Indicator Combinations
**With Moving Averages:**
- Use EMAs for trend direction
- OBV for volume confirmation
- Enter when both align
**With RSI:**
- RSI for overbought/oversold
- OBV for volume confirmation
- Divergences on both = Stronger signal
**With Price Action:**
- Support/resistance for levels
- OBV for strength confirmation
- Breakouts with positive OBV = More likely to succeed
**With Bias Indicator:**
- Bias for price deviation
- OBV for volume confirmation
- Both showing divergence = High probability reversal
### Common Patterns
1. **Accumulation**: OBV rising while price consolidates (breakout likely)
2. **Distribution**: OBV falling while price consolidates (breakdown likely)
3. **Confirmation**: OBV and price both making new highs/lows (trend strong)
4. **Divergence**: OBV and price moving opposite directions (reversal warning)
5. **False Breakout**: Price breaks but OBV doesn't confirm (likely to fail)
### Performance Tips
- Disable unused display features for faster loading
- Start with regular divergences only, add hidden later
- Use histogram for quick visual reference
- Enable crossover labels for clear entry signals
- Test different smoothing lengths for your market
### Alert Conditions
The indicator includes alerts for:
- Regular bullish divergence detected
- Regular bearish divergence detected
- Hidden bullish divergence detected
- Hidden bearish divergence detected
**How to Set Alerts:**
1. Click on the indicator name
2. Select "Add Alert"
3. Choose condition
4. Configure notification method
---
## 中文说明文档
### 概述
Scout Regiment - OBV（能量潮）是一个高级动量指标，结合成交量和价格变动来识别买卖压力的强度。该指标采用振荡器方法并具有背离检测功能，帮助交易者发现潜在的趋势反转并确认价格走势。
### 什么是OBV？
能量潮（OBV）是一个累积成交量指标，在上涨日累加成交量，在下跌日减去成交量：
- **上升的OBV**：积累（买入压力）
- **下降的OBV**：派发（卖出压力）
- **OBV振荡器**：OBV与其平滑移动平均线之间的差值，使背离更容易识别
### 核心功能
#### 1. **OBV振荡器显示**
该指标不显示原始OBV值，而是显示振荡器（OBV与其平滑线之间的差值）：
**优势：**
- 更容易识别背离
- 趋势变化更清晰
- 对动量变化更敏感
- 零线作为参考点
**视觉元素：**
- **阶梯线**：主OBV振荡器线
- 绿色：正振荡器（积累）
- 红色：负振荡器（派发）
- **柱状图**：振荡器强度的可视化表示
- 绿色柱：零线以上
- 红色柱：零线以下
- **零线**：白色虚线作为参考
#### 2. **平滑选项**
选择多种移动平均类型来平滑OBV：
- **None**：原始OBV（最敏感）
- **SMA**：简单移动平均（等权重）
- **EMA**：指数移动平均（强调近期价格）- 默认
- **SMMA (RMA)**：平滑移动平均（非常平滑）
- **WMA**：加权移动平均（线性权重）
- **VWMA**：成交量加权移动平均（强调成交量）
**默认设置：**
- 类型：EMA
- 长度：21周期
- 适合：大多数市场状况
#### 3. **多时间框架分析**
- 在任何时间框架上计算OBV
- 在低时间框架图表上查看高时间框架动量
- 使交易与更大时间框架的成交量趋势保持一致
- 空字段 = 当前图表时间框架
#### 4. **视觉增强**
**背景颜色**
- 浅绿色：正振荡器（看涨成交量压力）
- 浅红色：负振荡器（看跌成交量压力）
- 可选显示，图表更清爽
**穿越标签**
- "突破"：振荡器向上穿越零线
- "跌破"：振荡器向下穿越零线
- 指示潜在趋势变化
- 可开关
#### 5. **全面的背离检测**
指标自动检测四种类型的背离：
**常规看涨背离（黄色）**
- **价格**：创新低
- **OBV**：创更高的低点
- **信号**：潜在向上反转
- **标签**："看涨"
- **用途**：进入多头仓位
**常规看跌背离（蓝色）**
- **价格**：创新高
- **OBV**：创更低的高点
- **信号**：潜在向下反转
- **标签**："看跌"
- **用途**：进入空头仓位或退出多头
**隐藏看涨背离（浅黄色）**
- **价格**：创更高的低点
- **OBV**：创更低的低点
- **信号**：趋势延续（上升趋势）
- **标签**："隐藏看涨"
- **用途**：加仓多头
**隐藏看跌背离（浅蓝色）**
- **价格**：创更低的高点
- **OBV**：创更高的高点
- **信号**：趋势延续（下降趋势）
- **标签**："隐藏看跌"
- **用途**：加仓空头
#### 6. **可自定义的背离检测**
**枢轴回溯设置：**
- **左侧回溯**：枢轴点左侧K线数（默认：5）
- **右侧回溯**：枢轴点右侧K线数（默认：5）
- 决定一个点要多"极端"才能成为枢轴点
**范围设置：**
- **最大范围**：枢轴点之间最大K线数（默认：60）
- **最小范围**：枢轴点之间最小K线数（默认：5）
- 过滤太近或太远的背离
**显示选项：**
- 开关常规背离
- 开关隐藏背离
- 开关背离标签
- 只显示需要的背离
### 配置设置
#### 平滑设置
- **平滑类型**：选择MA类型（None/SMA/EMA/SMMA/WMA/VWMA）
- **平滑长度**：平滑周期数（默认：21）
#### 计算设置
- **时间周期**：选择计算时间框架（空 = 当前图表）
#### 显示设置
- **显示OBV点线**：切换阶梯线显示
- **显示OBV柱状图**：切换柱状图显示
- **显示背景颜色**：切换背景着色
- **显示突破标签**：切换突破/跌破标签
#### 背离设置
- **枢轴右侧回溯**：枢轴检测右侧K线数（默认：5）
- **枢轴左侧回溯**：枢轴检测左侧K线数（默认：5）
- **回看范围最大值**：背离之间最大K线数（默认：60）
- **回看范围最小值**：背离之间最小K线数（默认：5）
- **显示常规背离**：启用/禁用常规背离
- **显示常规背离标签**：启用/禁用常规背离标签
- **显示隐藏背离**：启用/禁用隐藏背离
- **显示隐藏背离标签**：启用/禁用隐藏背离标签
### 使用方法
#### 趋势确认
1. **用价格识别趋势**
- 上升趋势：更高的高点和更高的低点
- 下降趋势：更低的高点和更低的低点
2. **用OBV振荡器确认**
- 强劲上升趋势：OBV振荡器保持正值
- 强劲下降趋势：OBV振荡器保持负值
- 弱势趋势：OBV振荡器频繁穿越零线
3. **成交量确认**
- 趋势伴随上升的OBV = 强趋势
- 趋势伴随下降的OBV = 弱趋势（注意反转）
#### 背离交易
1. **启用背离检测**
- 先从常规背离开始
- 添加隐藏背离用于趋势延续
2. **等待背离信号**
- 黄色标签 = 潜在看涨反转
- 蓝色标签 = 潜在看跌反转
3. **用价格行为确认**
- 等待支撑/阻力突破
- 寻找K线确认
- 检查更高时间框架对齐
4. **进入交易**
- 确认后进入
- 在近期波动之外设置止损
- 基于前一波动或支撑/阻力设定目标
#### 突破交易
1. **启用穿越标签**
- 识别振荡器何时穿越零线
2. **确认成交量强度**
- 强突破有大振荡器移动
- 弱突破勉强穿越零线
3. **交易方向**
- "突破"标签 = 进入多头
- "跌破"标签 = 进入空头
4. **管理仓位**
- 振荡器反向穿越时退出
- 使用价格结构设置止损
#### 多时间框架分析
1. **设置更高时间框架**
- 例如：在15分钟图上，设置时间框架为1H或4H
2. **识别更高时间框架趋势**
- 正振荡器 = 上升趋势偏向
- 负振荡器 = 下降趋势偏向
3. **顺趋势交易**
- 仅在上升趋势中接受多头信号
- 仅在下降趋势中接受空头信号
4. **把握入场时机**
- 使用当前时间框架进行精确进入
- 用更高时间框架方向确认
### 交易策略
#### 策略1：常规背离反转
**设置：**
1. 价格处于强趋势（上涨或下跌）
2. 出现常规背离
3. 价格到达支撑/阻力水平
**入场：**
- 看涨：在"看涨"标签后，价格突破近期高点时
- 看跌：在"看跌"标签后，价格跌破近期低点时
**止损：**
- 看涨：背离低点之下
- 看跌：背离高点之上
**退出：**
- 在下一个主要支撑/阻力获利
- 或出现相反背离时
**适合：**波段交易、反转交易
#### 策略2：隐藏背离延续
**设置：**
1. 建立明确趋势
2. 价格回调（回撤）
3. 出现隐藏背离
**入场：**
- 看涨：在"隐藏看涨"标签后，价格恢复上升趋势时
- 看跌：在"隐藏看跌"标签后，价格恢复下降趋势时
**止损：**
- 在回调波动点之后
**退出：**
- 随着趋势延续移动止损
- 出现常规背离（反转信号）时退出
**适合：**趋势跟随、加仓
#### 策略3：零线穿越
**设置：**
1. 启用穿越标签
2. 振荡器穿越零线
3. 用价格结构突破确认
**入场：**
- "突破"标签 = 买入信号
- "跌破"标签 = 卖出信号
**止损：**
- 近期波动之下/之上
**退出：**
- 振荡器反向穿越零线时
- 或在预定目标
**适合：**动量交易、快速交易
#### 策略4：多时间框架汇合
**设置：**
1. 设置指标到更高时间框架（例如，在1H图上设置4H）
2. 等待更高TF振荡器为正（上升趋势）或负（下降趋势）
3. 在当前时间框架上寻找与更高TF一致的入场机会
**入场：**
- 多头：两个时间框架都显示正振荡器或看涨背离时
- 空头：两个时间框架都显示负振荡器或看跌背离时
**止损：**
- 基于当前时间框架结构
**退出：**
- 更高时间框架振荡器变为负（多头）或正（空头）时
**适合：**波段交易、高概率设置
### 最佳实践
#### 成交量分析
1. **强势波动需要成交量**
- 价格上涨 + 上升的OBV = 健康上升趋势
- 价格上涨 + 下降的OBV = 弱上升趋势（警告）
2. **注意确认**
- 新高伴随新OBV高点 = 已确认
- 新高没有新OBV高点 = 潜在背离
3. **考虑背景**
- 低成交量期（亚洲时段、假期）= 可靠性较低
- 高成交量期（新闻、伦敦/纽约重叠）= 更可靠
#### 背离交易技巧
1. **不是所有背离都有效**
- 等待价格确认
- 在超卖/超买区域更强
- 在支撑/阻力水平更好
2. **多重背离**
- 同一趋势上多个背离 = 更强信号
- 背离快速失败 = 忽略并等待下一个
3. **时间框架重要**
- 更高时间框架背离 = 更可靠
- 更低时间框架背离 = 更频繁，可靠性较低
#### 平滑选择
1. **无平滑（None）**
- 最敏感，更多信号
- 更多噪音，更多假信号
- 适合：剥头皮、非常活跃的交易
2. **EMA（默认）**
- 平衡方法
- 适合大多数策略
- 适合：波段交易、日内交易
3. **SMMA (RMA)**
- 非常平滑，更少信号
- 对突然变化响应较慢
- 适合：仓位交易、更长时间框架
### 指标组合
**与移动平均线配合：**
- 使用EMA确定趋势方向
- OBV确认成交量
- 两者一致时进入
**与RSI配合：**
- RSI用于超买超卖
- OBV用于成交量确认
- 两者都背离 = 更强信号
**与价格行为配合：**
- 支撑/阻力确定水平
- OBV确认强度
- 正OBV的突破 = 更可能成功
**与Bias指标配合：**
- Bias用于价格偏离
- OBV用于成交量确认
- 两者都显示背离 = 高概率反转
### 常见形态
1. **积累**：OBV上升而价格盘整（突破可能）
2. **派发**：OBV下降而价格盘整（跌破可能）
3. **确认**：OBV和价格都创新高/新低（趋势强劲）
4. **背离**：OBV和价格反向移动（反转警告）
5. **假突破**：价格突破但OBV不确认（可能失败）
### 性能提示
- 禁用未使用的显示功能以加快加载
- 先从常规背离开始，稍后添加隐藏背离
- 使用柱状图快速视觉参考
- 启用穿越标签以获得清晰的入场信号
- 为您的市场测试不同的平滑长度
### 警报条件
指标包含以下警报：
- 检测到常规看涨背离
- 检测到常规看跌背离
- 检测到隐藏看涨背离
- 检测到隐藏看跌背离
**如何设置警报：**
1. 点击指标名称
2. 选择"添加警报"
3. 选择条件
4. 配置通知方法
---
## Technical Support
For questions or issues, please refer to the TradingView community or contact the indicator creator.
## 技术支持
如有问题，请参考TradingView社区或联系指标创建者。
VWAP Diario + VWAP 08:00-12:00 ventanas NYWhat it plots
Daily VWAP (main line)
Anchored to the current trading day and only visible between 19:00 and 16:50 New York (UTC-5) to prevent any “ghost” segments.
Dynamic color: turns green when price closes above (bullish bias) and red when price closes below (bearish bias).
Optional standard-deviation/percentage bands (off by default).
08:00–12:00 VWAP (morning line)
Resets at 08:00 NY and shows until 12:00 NY only.
Acts as a morning value guide for early direction and pullbacks.
Clean rendering: Both lines use strict time masks and line breaks, so nothing is drawn outside their windows. You can toggle either line on/off.
How to Read It
Daily VWAP ≈ “fair value” of the whole session; use it for directional bias and confluence.
08:00–12:00 VWAP ≈ “fair value” of the morning; helps refine entries during the open.
Alignment:
Bullish environment: price and 08–12 VWAP sit above the Daily VWAP.
Rotation/mixed: price oscillates between the two lines.
Bearish: price and 08–12 VWAP sit below the Daily VWAP.
Two Mechanical Playbooks
Recommended charts: 1-minute for entries, 5-minute for context on NQ/Nasdaq100.
Primary execution window: 09:30–12:00 NY.
A) Trend Play (Break → Pullback to VWAP)
Goal: Join the day’s impulse with value confirmation.
Rules
Bias filter before 09:30
Bullish: 08–12 VWAP ≥ Daily VWAP; Bearish: 08–12 ≤ Daily.
First push 09:30–09:45 breaks the initial range high (bull) or low (bear).
Entry (pullback into confluence)
Wait for a pullback that tags/wicks the 08–12 VWAP or the Daily VWAP in the direction of bias.
Go long on bullish rejection (close back above); short on bearish rejection.
Stop-loss
Beyond the rejection wick or the touched VWAP (e.g., 1–1.5× ATR(1m/5m)).
Take-profit
TP1 = 1R (scale 50%); TP2 = 2–3R or day extremes (HOD/LOD).
If bands are on, consider exiting on a clean tag of the opposite band.
Management
Move to breakeven at 1R; exit early if price reclaims the opposite side of Daily VWAP.
Avoid when the morning is choppy and price sits glued between the two VWAPs.
B) Mean-Reversion Play (Controlled Reversal at Daily VWAP)
Goal: Capture a return to value after an overstretch and a clean rejection.
Rules
Stretch condition
Fast move away from Daily VWAP (3–5 bars) or beyond Band #1/#2 if enabled.
Rejection signal at Daily VWAP
A bar that touches Daily VWAP and closes back on the opposite side (pin/engulfing/strong close).
Entry
Long if a selloff rejects above Daily VWAP.
Short if a rally rejects below Daily VWAP.
Stop-loss
Just beyond the rejection wick or ~1× ATR(1m).
Take-profit
TP1 = 1R or the 08–12 VWAP; TP2 = 2–3R or a prior consolidation.
Management
If price crosses and holds on the other side of Daily VWAP (2 closes), cut the idea.
Avoid during high-impact news or when the session is strongly trending (prefer Play A).
Quality Filters
Volatility: Ensure ATR(14, 1m) or the 09:30–09:45 range exceeds your minimum.
Spread/liquidity: Skip abnormal spreads at the open.
News: If a red-level release is imminent, wait 2–3 bars after the print.
Coherence: Prefer trades when 08–12 and Daily VWAP don’t conflict.
Risk & Trade Management
Risk per trade: 0.25%–0.5% account risk.
Daily cap: 2–3 trades; stop for the day at –1R to –1.5R.
No over-reentry: Don’t chase if price is sitting exactly on a VWAP; wait for separation.
Log your metrics: setup type (A/B), confluences, distance to VWAP at trigger, time, R multiple.
Quick Pre-Trade Checklist
Bias aligned? (price vs Daily and 08–12 VWAP)
Choose Trend or Mean-Reversion play
Clear confluence at the VWAP line?
Realistic stop (≤ ~1.5× ATR 1m)?
Any imminent news?
TP plan: TP1 = 1R → BE, TP2 = 2–3R.
EPS Estimate Profile [SS]This is the EPS Estimate Profile indicator.
What it does
This indicator
Collects all EPS estimates over the course of a lookback and BINS them (sorts them into 10 equal sized categories).
Analyzes the returns from earnings releases based on the EPS estimate and the reaction.
Calculates the number of bullish vs bearish responses that transpired based on the EPS estimate profile.
Calculates the expected Open to High and Open to Low ATR based on the EPS estimate using regression.
Toggle to actual EPS release to compare once earnings results are released.
How to Use it
This indicator can be used to gain insight into whether an earnings release will be received bullishly or bearishly based on the company's EPS estimate.
The indicator allows you to see all historic estimates and how the market generally responded to those estimates, as well as a breakdown of how many times estimates in those ranges produced a bullish response or a bearish response to earnings.
Examples
Let's look at some examples:
Here is MSFT. MSFT's last EPS estimate was 3.672.
If we consult the table, we can see the average return associated with this estimate range is -4%.
Now let's flip to the Daily timeframe and take a look:
MSFT ended the day red and continued to sell into the coming days.
Let's look at another example:
MCDs. Last earnings estimate was 3.327, putting it at the top of the range with an average positive return of 4%.
Let's look on the daily:
We can see that the earnings had a huge, bullish effect on MCD, despite them coming in below their estimates.
If we toggle the indicator to "Actual" EPS release, to see the profile of Actual earnings releases vs response, we get this:
Since MCD under-performed, they were still at the top of the profile; but, we can see that the expected returns are more muted now, though still positive. And indeed, the reaction was still positive.
Distinguishing % Bullish/Bearish to Avg Returns
You will see the profile table displays both the average returns and the percent of bullish/bearish responses. In some cases, you will see that, despite a negative return, the profile reveals more bullish reactions than bearish.
What does this mean?
It means, despite there being more bullish responses, when bearish responses happen they tend to be more severe and profound, vs bullish responses likely are muted.
This can alert you to potential downside risk and help you manage risk accordingly should you elect to trade the earnings release.
ATR Prediction
You will notice in the bottom right corner of the screen a secondary table that lists the predicted open to high ATR and open to low ATR.
This is done using RAW EPS estimates (or raw ACTUAL estimates depending on which you select) and performing a regression to determine the expected ATR.
This is only for reference, the analysis should focus around the historic profile of return estimates and actual return values.
IMPORTANT NOTE: You MUST be on the Monthly timeframe to use this. Otherwise, you will get an error. If, on certain tickers with a huge history, such as MSFT and XOM or OXY, you get an error, you can simply reduce the lookback length to 80 and this will resolve the issue.
Conclusion
And that's the indicator!
A blend of some light math and fundamentals! A real joy honestly.
Hope you enjoy it!
Range Trading StrategyOVERVIEW
The Range Trading Strategy is a systematic trading approach that identifies price ranges
from higher timeframe candles or trading sessions, tracks pivot points, and generates
trading signals when range extremes are mitigated and confirmed by pivot levels.
CORE CONCEPT
The strategy is based on the principle that when a candle (or session) closes within the
range of the previous candle (or session), that previous candle becomes a "range" with
identifiable high and low extremes. When price breaks through these extremes, it creates
trading opportunities that are confirmed by pivot levels.
RANGE DETECTION MODES
1. HTF (Higher Timeframe) Mode:
Automatically selects a higher timeframe based on the current chart timeframe
Uses request.security() to fetch HTF candle data
Range is created when an HTF candle closes within the previous HTF candle's range
The previous HTF candle's high and low become the range extremes
2. Sessions Mode:
- Divides the trading day into 4 sessions (UTC):
* Session 1: 00:00 - 06:00 (6 hours)
* Session 2: 06:00 - 12:00 (6 hours)
* Session 3: 12:00 - 20:00 (8 hours)
* Session 4: 20:00 - 00:00 (4 hours, spans midnight)
- Tracks high, low, and close for each session
- Range is created when a session closes within the previous session's range
- The previous session's high and low become the range extremes
PIVOT DETECTION
Pivots are detected based on candle color changes (bullish/bearish transitions):
1. Pivot Low:
Created when a bullish candle appears after a bearish candle
Pivot low = minimum of the current candle's low and previous candle's low
The pivot bar is the actual bar where the low was formed (current or previous bar)
2. Pivot High:
Created when a bearish candle appears after a bullish candle
Pivot high = maximum of the current candle's high and previous candle's high
The pivot bar is the actual bar where the high was formed (current or previous bar)
IMPORTANT: There is always only ONE active pivot high and ONE active pivot low at any
given time. When a new pivot is created, it replaces the previous one.
RANGE CREATION
A range is created when:
(HTF Mode) An HTF candle closes within the previous HTF candle's range AND a new HTF
candle has just started
(Sessions Mode) A session closes within the previous session's range AND a new session
has just started
Or Range Can Be Created when the Extreme of Another Range Gets Mitigated and We Have a Pivot low Just Above the Range Low or Pivot High just Below the Range High
Range Properties:
rangeHigh: The high extreme of the range
rangeLow: The low extreme of the range
highStartTime: The timestamp when the range high was actually formed (found by looping
backwards through bars)
lowStartTime: The timestamp when the range low was actually formed (found by looping
backwards through bars)
highMitigated / lowMitigated: Flags tracking whether each extreme has been broken
isSpecial: Flag indicating if this is a "special range" (see Special Ranges section)
RANGE MITIGATION
A range extreme is considered "mitigated" when price interacts with it:
High is mitigated when: high >= rangeHigh (any interaction at or above the level)
Low is mitigated when: low <= rangeLow (any interaction at or below the level)
Mitigation can happen:
At the moment of range creation (if price is already beyond the extreme)
At any point after range creation when price touches the extreme
SIGNAL GENERATION
1. Pending Signals:
When a range extreme is mitigated, a pending signal is created:
a) BEARISH Pending Signal:
- Triggered when: rangeHigh is mitigated
- Confirmation Level: Current pivotLow
- Signal is confirmed when: close < pivotLow
- Stop Loss: Current pivotHigh (at time of confirmation)
- Entry: Short position
Signal Confirmation
b) BULLISH Pending Signal:
- Triggered when: rangeLow is mitigated
- Confirmation Level: Current pivotHigh
- Signal is confirmed when: close > pivotHigh
- Stop Loss: Current pivotLow (at time of confirmation)
- Entry: Long position
IMPORTANT: There is only ever ONE pending bearish signal and ONE pending bullish signal
at any given time. When a new pending signal is created, it replaces the previous one
of the same type.
2. Signal Confirmation:
- Bearish: Confirmed when price closes below the pivot low (confirmation level)
- Bullish: Confirmed when price closes above the pivot high (confirmation level)
- Upon confirmation, a trade is entered immediately
- The confirmation line is drawn from the pivot bar to the confirmation bar
TRADE EXECUTION
When a signal is confirmed:
1. Position Management:
- Any existing position in the opposite direction is closed first
- Then the new position is entered
2. Stop Loss:
- Bearish (Short): Stop at pivotHigh
- Bullish (Long): Stop at pivotLow
3. Take Profit:
- Calculated using Risk:Reward Ratio (default 2:1)
- Risk = Distance from entry to stop loss
- Target = Entry ± (Risk × R:R Ratio)
- Can be disabled with "Stop Loss Only" toggle
4. Trade Comments:
- "Range Bear" for short trades
- "Range Bull" for long trades
SPECIAL RANGES
Special ranges are created when:
- A range high is mitigated AND the current pivotHigh is below the range high
- A range low is mitigated AND the current pivotLow is above the range low
In these cases:
- The pivot value is stored in an array (storedPivotHighs or storedPivotLows)
- A "special range" is created with only ONE extreme:
* If pivotHigh < rangeHigh: Creates a range with rangeHigh = pivotLow, rangeLow = na
* If pivotLow > rangeLow: Creates a range with rangeLow = pivotHigh, rangeHigh = na
- Special ranges can generate signals just like normal ranges
- If a special range is mitigated on the creation bar or the next bar, it is removed
entirely without generating signals (prevents false signals)
Special Ranges
REVERSE ON STOP LOSS
When enabled, if a stop loss is hit, the strategy automatically opens a trade in the
opposite direction:
1. Long Stop Loss Hit:
- Detects when: position_size > 0 AND position_size <= 0 AND low <= longStopLoss
- Action: Opens a SHORT position
- Stop Loss: Current pivotHigh
- Trade Comment: "Reverse on Stop"
2. Short Stop Loss Hit:
- Detects when: position_size < 0 AND position_size >= 0 AND high >= shortStopLoss
- Action: Opens a LONG position
- Stop Loss: Current pivotLow
- Trade Comment: "Reverse on Stop"
The reverse trade uses the same R:R ratio and respects the "Stop Loss Only" setting.
VISUAL ELEMENTS
1. Range Lines:
- Drawn from the time when the extreme was formed to the mitigation point (or current
time if not mitigated)
- High lines: Blue (or mitigated color if mitigated)
- Low lines: Red (or mitigated color if mitigated)
- Style: SOLID
- Width: 1
2. Confirmation Lines:
- Drawn when a signal is confirmed
- Extends from the pivot bar to the confirmation bar
- Bearish: Red, solid line
- Bullish: Green, solid line
- Width: 1
- Can be toggled on/off
STRATEGY SETTINGS
1. Range Detection Mode:
- HTF: Uses higher timeframe candles
- Sessions: Uses trading session boundaries
2. Auto HTF:
- Automatically selects HTF based on current chart timeframe
- Can be disabled to use manual HTF selection
3. Risk:Reward Ratio:
- Default: 2.0 (2:1)
- Minimum: 0.5
- Step: 0.5
4. Stop Loss Only:
- When enabled: Trades only have stop loss (no take profit)
- Trades close on stop loss or when opposite signal confirms
5. Reverse on Stop Loss:
- When enabled: Hitting a stop loss opens opposite trade with stop at opposing pivot
6. Max Ranges to Display:
- Limits the number of ranges kept in memory
- Oldest ranges are purged when limit is exceeded
KEY FEATURES
1. Dynamic Pivot Tracking:
- Pivots update on every candle color change
- Always maintains one high and one low pivot
2. Range Lifecycle:
- Ranges are created when price closes within previous range
- Ranges are tracked until mitigated
- Mitigation creates pending signals
- Signals are confirmed by pivot levels
3. Signal Priority:
- Only one pending signal of each type at a time
- New signals replace old ones
- Confirmation happens on close of bar
4. Position Management:
- Closes opposite positions before entering new trades
- Tracks stop loss levels for reverse functionality
- Respects pyramiding = 1 (only one position per direction)
5. Time-Based Drawing:
- Uses time coordinates instead of bar indices for line drawing
- Prevents "too far from current bar" errors
- Lines can extend to any historical point
USAGE NOTES
- Best suited for trending and ranging markets
- Works on any timeframe, but HTF mode adapts automatically
- Sessions mode is ideal for intraday trading
- Pivot detection requires clear candle color changes
- Range detection requires price to close within previous range
- Signals are generated on bar close, not intra-bar
The strategy combines range identification, pivot tracking, and signal confirmation to
create a systematic approach to trading breakouts and reversals based on price structure, past performance does not in any way predict future performance
v2.0—Tristan's Multi-Indicator Reversal Strategy🎯 Multi-Indicator Reversal Strategy - Optimized for High Win Rates
A powerful confluence-based strategy that combines RSI, MACD, Williams %R, Bollinger Bands, and Volume analysis to identify high-probability reversal points . Designed to let winners run with no stop loss or take profit - positions close only when opposite signals occur.
Also, the 3 hour timeframe works VERY well—just a lot less trades.
📈 Proven Performance
This strategy has been backtested and optimized on multiple blue-chip stocks with 80-90%+ win rates on 1-hour timeframes from Aug 2025 through Oct 2025:
✅ V (Visa) - Payment processor
✅ MSFT (Microsoft) - Large-cap tech
✅ WMT (Walmart) - Retail leader
✅ IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) - Small-cap index
✅ NOW (ServiceNow) - Enterprise software
✅ WM (Waste Management) - Industrial services
These stocks tend to mean-revert at extremes, making them ideal candidates for this reversal-based approach. I only list these as a way to show you the performance of the script. These values and stock choices may change over time as the market shifts. Keep testing!
🔑 How to Use This Strategy Successfully
Step 1: Apply to Chart
Open your desired stock (V, MSFT, WMT, IWM, NOW, WM recommended)
Set timeframe to 1 Hour
Apply this strategy
Check that the Williams %R is set to -20 and -80, and "Flip All Signals" is OFF (can flip this for some stocks to perform better.)
Step 2: Understand the Signals
🟢 Green Triangle (BUY) Below Candle:
Multiple indicators (RSI, Williams %R, MACD, Bollinger Bands) show oversold conditions
Enter LONG position
Strategy will pyramid up to 10 entries if more buy signals occur
Hold until red triangle appears
🔴 Red Triangle (SELL) Above Candle:
Multiple indicators show overbought conditions
Enter SHORT position (or close existing long)
Strategy will pyramid up to 10 entries if more sell signals occur
Hold until green triangle appears
🟣 Purple Labels (EXIT):
Shows when positions close
Displays count if multiple entries were pyramided (e.g., "Exit Long x5")
Step 3: Let the Strategy Work
Key Success Principles:
✅ Be Patient - Signals don't occur every day, wait for quality setups
✅ Trust the Process - Don't manually close positions, let opposite signals exit
✅ Watch Pyramiding - The strategy can add up to 10 positions in the same direction
✅ No Stop Loss - Positions ride through drawdowns until reversal confirmed
✅ Session Filter - Only trades during NY session (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)
⚙️ Winning Settings (Already Set as Defaults)
INDICATOR SETTINGS:
- RSI Length: 14
- RSI Overbought: 70
- RSI Oversold: 30
- MACD: 12, 26, 9 (standard)
- Williams %R Length: 14
- Williams %R Overbought: -20 ⭐ (check this! And adjust to your liking)
- Williams %R Oversold: -80 ⭐ (check this! And adjust to your liking)
- Bollinger Bands: 20, 2.0
- Volume MA: 20 periods
- Volume Multiplier: 1.5x
SIGNAL REQUIREMENTS:
- Min Indicators Aligned: 2
- Require Divergence: OFF
- Require Volume Spike: OFF
- Require Reversal Candle: OFF
- Flip All Signals: OFF ⭐
RISK MANAGEMENT:
- Use Stop Loss: OFF ⭐⭐⭐
- Use Take Profit: OFF ⭐⭐⭐
- Allow Pyramiding: ON ⭐⭐⭐
- Max Pyramid Entries: 10 ⭐⭐⭐
SESSION FILTER:
- Trade Only NY Session: ON
- NY Session: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
**⭐ = Critical settings for success**
## 🎓 Strategy Logic Explained
### **How It Works:**
1. **Multi-Indicator Confluence**: Waits for at least 2 out of 4 technical indicators to align before generating signals
2. **Oversold = Buy**: When RSI < 30, Williams %R < -80, price below lower Bollinger Band, and/or MACD turning bullish → BUY signal
3. **Overbought = Sell**: When RSI > 70, Williams %R > -20, price above upper Bollinger Band, and/or MACD turning bearish → SELL signal
4. **Pyramiding Power**: As trend continues and more signals fire in the same direction, adds up to 10 positions to maximize gains
5. **Exit Only on Reversal**: No arbitrary stops or targets - only exits when opposite signal confirms trend change
6. **Session Filter**: Only trades during liquid NY session hours to avoid overnight gaps and low-volume periods
### **Why No Stop Loss Works:**
Traditional reversal strategies fail because they:
- Get stopped out too early during normal volatility
- Miss the actual reversal that happens later
- Cut winners short with tight take profits
This strategy succeeds because it:
- ✅ Rides through temporary noise
- ✅ Captures full reversal moves
- ✅ Uses multiple indicators for confirmation
- ✅ Pyramids into winning positions
- ✅ Only exits when technical picture completely reverses
---
## 📊 Understanding the Display
**Live Indicator Counter (Top Corner / end of current candles):**
Bull: 2/4
Bear: 0/4
(STANDARD)
Shows how many indicators currently align bullish/bearish
"STANDARD" = normal reversal mode (buy oversold, sell overbought)
"FLIPPED" = momentum mode if you toggle that setting
Visual Indicators:
🔵 Blue background = NY session active (trading window)
🟡 Yellow candle tint = Volume spike detected
💎 Aqua diamond = Bullish divergence (price vs RSI)
💎 Fuchsia diamond = Bearish divergence
⚡ Advanced Tips
Optimizing for Different Stocks:
If Win Rate is Low (<50%):
Try toggling "Flip All Signals" to ON (switches to momentum mode)
Increase "Min Indicators Aligned" to 3 or 4
Turn ON "Require Divergence"
Test on different timeframe (4-hour or daily)
If Too Few Signals:
Decrease "Min Indicators Aligned" to 2
Turn OFF all requirement filters
Widen Williams %R bands to -15 and -85
If Too Many False Signals:
Increase "Min Indicators Aligned" to 3 or 4
Turn ON "Require Divergence"
Turn ON "Require Volume Spike"
Reduce Max Pyramid Entries to 5
Stock Selection Guidelines:
Best Suited For:
Large-cap stable stocks (V, MSFT, WMT)
ETFs (IWM, SPY, QQQ)
Stocks with clear support/resistance
Mean-reverting instruments
Avoid:
Ultra low-volume penny stocks
Extremely volatile crypto (try traditional settings first)
Stocks in strong one-directional trends lasting months
🔄 The "Flip All Signals" Feature
If backtesting shows poor results on a particular stock, try toggling "Flip All Signals" to ON:
STANDARD Mode (OFF):
Buy when oversold (reversal strategy)
Sell when overbought
May work best for: V, MSFT, WMT, IWM, NOW, WM
FLIPPED Mode (ON):
Buy when overbought (momentum strategy)
Sell when oversold
May work best for: Strong trending stocks, momentum plays, crypto
Test both modes on your stock to see which performs better!
📱 Alert Setup
Create alerts to notify you of signals:
📊 Performance Expectations
With optimized settings on recommended stocks:
Typical results we are looking for:
Win Rate: 70-90%
Average Winner: 3-5%
Average Loser: 1-3%
Signals Per Week: 1-3 on 1-hour timeframe
Hold Time: Several hours to days
Remember: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
Tristan's Multi-Indicator Reversal StrategyMulti-Indicator Reversal Strategy - Buy Low, Sell High
A comprehensive reversal detection system that combines multiple proven technical indicators to identify high-probability entry points for catching reversals at market extremes.
📊 Strategy Overview
This strategy is designed for traders who want to buy at lows and sell at highs by detecting when stocks are overextended and ready to reverse. It works by requiring multiple technical indicators to align before generating a signal, significantly reducing false entries.
Best Used On:
Timeframe: 1-hour charts (also works on 15min, 30min, 4hour)
Session: NY Trading Session (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)
Assets: Stocks, ETFs, Crypto (particularly volatile tech stocks like ZM, TSLA, AAPL)
Trading Style: Swing trading, Intraday reversals
🔧 Technical Components
The strategy combines FIVE powerful technical indicators:
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
3. Williams %R
4. Bollinger Bands
5. Volume Analysis
6. Divergence Detection (Optional)
🎨 Visual Signals
Entry Signals:
🟢 Green Triangle (below candle) = BUY LONG signal
🔴 Red Triangle (above candle) = SELL SHORT signal
Exit Signals:
🟣 Purple Label = Position closed (shows "x2", "x3" if multiple entries)
Additional Indicators:
💎 Aqua Diamond = Bullish divergence detected
💎 Fuchsia Diamond = Bearish divergence detected
🔵 Blue Background = NY Session active
🟡 Yellow Bar Tint = Volume spike detected
⚪ Small Circles = Near-signal conditions (2+ indicators aligned)
Live Counter:
Top corner shows: "Bull: X/4" and "Bear: X/4"
Indicates how many indicators currently align
⚙️ How to Use This Strategy
For Beginners (More Signals):
Set "Min Indicators Aligned" to 2
Turn OFF "Require Divergence"
Turn OFF "Require Volume Spike"
Turn OFF "Require Reversal Candle Pattern"
Keep "Allow Multiple Entries" OFF
This gives you more frequent signals to learn from.
For Advanced Traders (High Probability):
Set "Min Indicators Aligned" to 3 or 4
Turn ON "Require Divergence"
Turn ON "Require Volume Spike"
Turn ON "Require Reversal Candle Pattern"
Adjust stop loss to your risk tolerance
This filters for only the highest-quality setups.
Recommended Settings for 1-Hour Charts:
Min Indicators Aligned: 3
Stop Loss: 2.5%
Take Profit: 5.0%
RSI Length: 14
Williams %R Length: 14
Volume Multiplier: 1.5x
Session: NY only (for stocks)
BUY SIGNAL generated when:
2-4 indicators show oversold/bullish conditions:
RSI < 30 and turning up
MACD crossing bullish or histogram positive
Williams %R < -80 and turning up
Price at/below lower Bollinger Band
Optional confirmations (if enabled):
Bullish divergence detected
Volume spike present
Bullish reversal candle pattern
Session filter: Signals only during NY trading hours
SELL SIGNAL Generated When:
2-4 indicators show overbought/bearish conditions:
RSI > 70 and turning down
MACD crossing bearish or histogram negative
Williams %R > -20 and turning down
Price at/above upper Bollinger Band
Optional confirmations (if enabled):
Bearish divergence detected
Volume spike present
Bearish reversal candle pattern
🛡️ Risk Management Features
Automatic Stop Loss: Protects capital (default 2.5%)
Take Profit Target: Locks in gains (default 5.0%)
Pyramiding Control: Toggle to prevent position stacking
Session Filter: Avoids overnight risk and low-liquidity periods
Position Flipping: Automatically reverses when opposite signal appears
💡 Best Practices
✅ DO:
Wait for candle close before entering (built into strategy)
Use on volatile assets with clear trends
Combine with your own analysis and risk management
Backtest on your specific assets and timeframes
Start with paper trading to learn the signals
Adjust indicator requirements based on market conditions
❌ DON'T:
Use on very low timeframes (<5 min) without adjustment
Ignore the session filter on stocks
Use maximum leverage - these are reversal trades
Trade during major news events or earnings
Expect 100% win rate - focus on risk/reward ratio
📊 Performance Notes
This strategy prioritizes quality over quantity. With default settings, you may see:
2-5 signals per week on 1-hour charts
Higher win rate with stricter settings (3-4 indicators aligned)
Best performance during trending markets with clear reversals
Reduced performance in choppy, sideways markets
Tip: Adjust "Min Indicators Aligned" based on market conditions:
Trending markets: Use 3-4 (fewer but stronger signals)
Range-bound markets: Use 2 (more signals, but watch for false breakouts)
GTI BGTI: RSI Suite (Standard • Stochastic • Smoothed)
A three-layer momentum and trend toolkit that combines Standard RSI, Stochastic RSI, and a Smoothed/“Macro” RSI to help you read intraday swings, trend transitions, and high-probability reversal/continuation spots.
All in one pane with intuitive coloring and optional divergence markers and alerts.
Why this works
* Stochastic RSI (K/D) visualizes fast momentum swings and timing.
* Standard RSI moves more gradually, helping confirm trend transitions that may span several Stochastic cycles.
* Smoothed RSI (Average → Macro) adds a second-pass filter and slope persistence to reveal the macro direction while suppressing noise.
Used together, Stochastic guides entries/exits around local highs/lows, while the RSI layers improve confidence when a small swing is likely part of a larger turn.
What you’ll see
* Standard RSI (yellow; pink above Bull line, aqua below Bear line).
* Stochastic RSI (K/D) with contextual colors:
* Greens when RSI is weak/oversold (bearish conditions → watch for bullish reversals/continuations).
* Reds when RSI is strong/overbought (bullish conditions → watch for bearish reversals/continuations).
* Smoothed (Macro) RSI with trend color:
* Red when macro is ascending (bullish),
* Aqua when macro is descending (bearish).
* Divergences (optional markers):
* Bearish: RSI Lower High + Price Higher High (red ⬇).
* Bullish: RSI Higher Low + Price Lower Low (green ⬆).
* No repaint: pivots confirm after the chosen right-bars window.
How to use it
* Bullish Reversal
* Macro RSI is reversing at a higher low after price has been in a overall downtrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from green to red in an overall downtrend
* Bullish Oversold
* Macro RSI is reversing from a significantly low level after price has a short but strong dip during an overall uptrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from green to red in an overall uptrend
* Bullish Continuation
* Macro RSI is ascending with a strong slope or forming a higher low above the 50 line
* Stochastic RSI is reaching a bottom but still painted red
* Bearish Reversal
* Macro RSI is reversing at a lower high after price has been in a overall uptrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from red to green in an overall uptrend
* Bearish Overbought
* Macro RSI is reversing from a significantly high level after price has a short but strong jump during an overall downtrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from red to green in an overall downtrend
* Bearish Continuation
* Macro RSI is descending with a strong slope or forming a lower high below the 50 line
* Stochastic RSI is reaching a top but still painted green
* Divergences: Use as signals of exhaustion—best when aligned with Macro RSI color/slope and key levels (e.g., Bull/Bear lines, 50 midline).
*** IMPORTANT ***
* Stack confluence, don’t single-signal trade. Look for:
* 1) Macro RSI color & slope (red = ascending/bullish, aqua = descending/bearish)
* 2) Standard RSI location (above/below Bull/Bear lines or 50)
* 3) Stoch flip + direction
* 4) Price structure (HH/HL vs LH/LL)
* 5) Divergence type (regular vs hidden) at meaningful levels
* Trade with the macro
* Prioritize longs when Macro RSI is red or just flipped up
* Prioritize shorts when Macro RSI is aqua or just flipped down
* Counter-trend setups = smaller size and faster management.
* Location > signal
* The same crossover/divergence is higher quality near Bull (~60)/Bear(~40) or extremes than in the mid-range chop around 50.
* Early vs confirmed
* Use the early pivot heads-up for anticipation, but scale in only after the confirmed pivot (right-bars complete). If early signal fails to confirm, stand down.
* Define invalidation upfront
* For divergence entries, place stops beyond the pivot extreme (LL/HH). If Macro RSI flips against your trade or RSI breaks back through 50 with slope, exit or tighten.
* Multi-timeframe alignment
* Best results come when entry timeframe (e.g., 1H) aligns with higher-TF macro (e.g., 4H/D). If they disagree, treat it as mean-reversion only.
* Avoid common traps
* Skip: isolated Stochastic flips without RSI support, divergences without price HH/LL confirmation, and serial divergences when Macro RSI slope is strong against the idea.
* Parameter guidance
* Start with defaults; then tune: confirmBars 3–7, minSlope 0.05–0.15 RSI pts/bar, pivot left/right tighter for faster but noisier signals, wider for cleaner but fewer.
* Alerts = workflow, not auto-trades
* Use Macro Flip + Divergence alerts as a checklist trigger; enter only when your confluence rules are met and risk is defined.
Key inputs (tweak to your market/timeframe)
* RSI / Stochastic lengths and K/D smoothing.
* Bull / Bear Lines (default 61.1 / 43.6).
* Average RSI Method/Length (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA) + Macro Smooth Length.
* Trend confirmation: bars of persistence and minimum slope to reduce flip noise.
* Pivot look-back (left/right) for divergence confirmation strictness.
Alerts included
* Macro Flip Up / Down (Smoothed RSI regime change).
* RSI Bullish/Bearish Divergence (confirmed at pivot).
* Stochastic RSI continuation/divergence (optional).
Tips
* Level + Slope matter. High/low RSI level flags conditions; slope confirms impulse/continuation.
* Let Stochastic time the swing; let Macro RSI filter the trend.
* Tighten or loosen pivot windows to trade fewer/cleaner vs. more/faster signals.
OBV with Divergence (SMA Smoother)Title: OBV Divergence with SMA Smoothing
Description:
This indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify regular (reversal) and hidden (continuation) On-Balance Volume (OBV) divergences against price action. It uses a modified OBV calculation (an OBV Oscillator) and integrates pivot analysis to automatically highlight potential turning points or trend continuations directly on your chart.
Key Features
Advanced Divergence Detection: Automatically detects and labels four types of divergences:
Regular Bullish/Bearish: Signals potential trend reversals.
Regular Bullish: Price makes a Lower Low (LL) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Higher Low (HL).
Regular Bearish: Price makes a Higher High (HH) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Lower High (LH).
Hidden Bullish/Bearish: Signals potential trend continuations.
Hidden Bullish: Price makes a Higher Low (HL) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Lower Low (LL).
Hidden Bearish: Price makes a Lower High (LH) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Higher High (HH).
OBV Oscillator: Instead of plotting the raw OBV, this script uses the difference between the OBV and its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This technique centers the indicator around zero, making it easier to visualize volume momentum shifts and clearly identify peaks and troughs for divergence analysis.
Optional SMA Smoothing Line (New Feature): An added Simple Moving Average (SMA) line can be toggled on to further smooth the OBV Oscillator. Traders can use this line for crossover signals or to confirm the underlying trend of the volume momentum, reducing whipsaws.
Customizable Lookback: The indicator allows you to define the lookback periods (Pivot Lookback Left/Right) for price and oscillator pivots, giving you precise control over sensitivity. The Max/Min of Lookback Range helps filter out divergences that are too close or too far apart.
ZS Master Vision Pro - Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading SystemZS MASTER VISION PRO - PROFESSIONAL TRADING SUITE
Created by Zakaria Safri
A comprehensive, all-in-one trading system combining multiple proven technical analysis methods into a single, powerful indicator. Designed for traders who demand precision, clarity, and actionable signals across all timeframes.
KEY FEATURES
CORE TREND ALGORITHM
Adaptive ATR-based trend detection with dynamic support and resistance zones. Features Type A and Type B signal modes for different trading styles, strong signal detection in key reversal zones, and optional EMA source smoothing for noise reduction.
MULTI-LAYER EMA CLOUD SYSTEM
Five customizable EMA cloud layers for multi-timeframe analysis with theme-adaptive color coding across five professional themes. Optional line display for detailed MA tracking with configurable periods from scalping to position trading.
WAVE TREND OSCILLATOR
Advanced momentum oscillator with channel-based calculations featuring smart reversal detection at extreme overbought and oversold levels. Includes directional strength confirmation and customizable sensitivity with adjustable reaction periods.
DIVERGENCE SCANNER
Detects four types of divergence automatically:
- Regular Bullish: Price making lower lows while oscillator making higher lows
- Regular Bearish: Price making higher highs while oscillator making lower highs
- Hidden Bullish: Trend continuation signals in uptrends
- Hidden Bearish: Trend continuation signals in downtrends
Automatic fractal-based detection with clear visual labels on chart.
MARKET BIAS INDICATOR
Heikin Ashi-based trend strength analysis with real-time bias calculation showing Bullish or Bearish combined with Strong or Weak conditions. Smoothed for cleaner signals and perfect for trend confirmation.
MOMENTUM SYSTEM
Proprietary momentum calculation using adaptive smoothing with growing and falling state detection. Normalized values for consistent interpretation and responsive to rapid market changes.
DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Automatic pivot-based support and resistance level detection with adjustable left and right bar lookback. Non-repainting levels with visual clarity through color-coded lines.
LIVE INFORMATION DASHBOARD
Real-time market analysis panel displaying current trend direction, market bias based on Heikin Ashi, Wave Trend status and value, and momentum trend with state. Customizable display options with theme-adaptive colors.
VISUAL CUSTOMIZATION
FIVE PROFESSIONAL COLOR THEMES:
Pro - Modern green and red color scheme (default)
Classic - Traditional teal and red combination
Cyberpunk - Neon cyan and magenta contrast
Ocean - Blue and orange contrast
Sunset - Gold and red warmth
SIGNAL STYLES:
Labels with emoji indicators (BUY with rocket, SELL with bear, STRONG with lightning)
Arrows for clean minimal appearance
Triangles for classic approach
DISPLAY OPTIONS:
Color-coded candles following trend direction
Trend background highlighting for instant trend recognition
Optional EMA line display for detailed analysis
Adjustable transparency levels for personal preference
SMART ALERTS
Pre-configured alert conditions for all major signals:
Buy signals for standard entry opportunities
Sell signals for standard exit or short opportunities
Strong buy signals for high-confidence long entries
Strong sell signals for high-confidence short entries
Bullish divergence detection alerts
Bearish divergence detection alerts
Alert messages automatically include ticker symbol, current price, and specific signal type for quick decision making.
HOW TO USE
FOR TREND TRADERS:
Enable EMA Clouds with focus on Cloud 5 featuring 50 and 200 period moving averages. Wait for trend background color change to confirm direction. Enter on STRONG signals aligned with higher timeframe trend direction. Use support and resistance levels for strategic exits.
FOR SWING TRADERS:
Enable Wave Trend Oscillator information display. Look for oversold and overbought reversal setups. Confirm potential reversals with divergence scanner. Enter on smart reversal signals with proper risk management.
FOR SCALPERS:
Use Type B signal mode for more frequent trading signals. Enable Cloud 1 with 5 and 13 periods for quick trend confirmation. Focus on momentum growing and falling states for entry timing. Take quick entries on regular buy and sell signals.
FOR POSITION TRADERS:
Use Type A mode with higher ATR multiplier set to 3.0 or above. Enable only Cloud 5 with 50 and 200 periods for major trend confirmation. Only take STRONG signals for highest probability setups. Hold positions through minor pullbacks and noise.
RECOMMENDED SETTINGS
STOCKS ON DAILY TIMEFRAME:
Trend Period: 180
ATR Period: 155
ATR Multiplier: 2.1
Signal Mode: Type A
FOREX ON HOURLY AND 4-HOUR TIMEFRAMES:
Trend Period: 150
ATR Period: 120
ATR Multiplier: 2.5
Signal Mode: Type A
CRYPTOCURRENCY ON 15-MINUTE AND 1-HOUR TIMEFRAMES:
Trend Period: 100
ATR Period: 80
ATR Multiplier: 3.0
Signal Mode: Type B
SCALPING ON 1-MINUTE AND 5-MINUTE TIMEFRAMES:
Trend Period: 50
ATR Period: 40
ATR Multiplier: 2.0
Signal Mode: Type B
WHAT IS INCLUDED
Trend Analysis using ATR-based adaptive algorithm
Five EMA Cloud Layers for multi-timeframe confluence
Wave Trend Oscillator for momentum and reversal detection
Divergence Scanner detecting four types of divergence
Market Bias using Heikin Ashi-based trend strength
Momentum System with advanced momentum tracking
Support and Resistance Levels with automatic pivot detection
Live Dashboard showing real-time market analysis
Smart Alerts featuring six pre-configured alert types
Five Color Themes offering professional visual options
TECHNICAL DETAILS
CALCULATION METHODS:
Average True Range (ATR) for volatility adaptation
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) for trend smoothing
Wave Trend channel oscillator for momentum analysis
Fractal-based divergence detection algorithm
Heikin Ashi transformation for bias calculation
Logarithmic momentum calculation for precision
PERFORMANCE CHARACTERISTICS:
Optimized for maximum speed and efficiency
No repainting signals ensuring reliability
Works on all timeframes from 1 minute to monthly
Compatible with all instruments including stocks, forex, crypto, and futures
RISK DISCLAIMER
This indicator is a technical analysis tool and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Combine with other analysis methods and practice on demo accounts first. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading carries substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
SUPPORT AND UPDATES
Regular updates and continuous improvements
Based on proven technical analysis principles
Developed following Pine Coders best practices and standards
Clean, well-documented, and optimized code structure
WHY CHOOSE ZS MASTER VISION PRO
All-in-one solution eliminating the need for multiple indicators
Highly customizable to adapt to your specific trading style
Professional grade analysis with institutional-quality standards
Clean interface that is not cluttered or confusing
Works everywhere across all markets and all timeframes
Smart signals filtered for quality over quantity
Beautiful design featuring five professional color themes
Active development with regular improvements and updates
Transform your trading with ZS Master Vision Pro today.
Version 2.0 | Created by Zakaria Safri | Pine Script Version 5
Mythical EMAs + Dynamic VWAP BandThis indicator titled "Mythical EMAs + Dynamic VWAP Band." It overlays several volatility-adjusted Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the chart, along with a Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) line and a dynamic band around it.
Additionally, it uses background coloring (clouds) to visualize bullish or bearish trends, with intensity modulated by the price's position relative to the VWAP.
The EMAs are themed with mythical names (e.g., Hermes for the 9-period EMA), but this is just stylistic flavoring and doesn't affect functionality.
I'll break it down section by section, explaining what each part does, how it works, and its purpose in the context of technical analysis. This indicator is designed for traders to identify trends, momentum, and price fairness relative to volume-weighted averages, with volatility adjustments to make the EMAs more responsive in volatile markets.
### 1. **Volatility Calculation (ATR)**
```pine
atrLength = 14
volatility = ta.atr(atrLength)
```
- **What it does**: Calculates the Average True Range (ATR) over 14 periods (a common default). ATR measures market volatility by averaging the true range (the greatest of: high-low, |high-previous close|, |low-previous close|).
- **Purpose**: This volatility value is used later to dynamically adjust the EMAs, making them more sensitive in high-volatility conditions (e.g., during market swings) and smoother in low-volatility periods. It helps the indicator adapt to changing market environments rather than using static EMAs.
### 2. **Custom Mythical EMA Function**
```pine
mythical_ema(src, length, base_alpha, vol_factor) =>
alpha = (2 / (length + 1)) * base_alpha * (1 + vol_factor * (volatility / src))
ema = 0.0
ema := na(ema ) ? src : alpha * src + (1 - alpha) * ema
ema
```
- **What it does**: Defines a custom function to compute a modified EMA.
- It starts with the standard EMA smoothing factor formula: `2 / (length + 1)`.
- Multiplies it by a `base_alpha` (a user-defined multiplier to tweak responsiveness).
- Adjusts further for volatility: Adds a term `(1 + vol_factor * (volatility / src))`, where `vol_factor` scales the impact, and `volatility / src` normalizes ATR relative to the source price (making it scale-invariant).
- The EMA is then calculated recursively: If the previous EMA is NA (e.g., at the start), it uses the current source value; otherwise, it weights the current source by `alpha` and the prior EMA by `(1 - alpha)`.
- **Purpose**: This creates "adaptive" EMAs that react faster in volatile markets (higher alpha when volatility is high relative to price) without overreacting in calm periods. It's an enhancement over standard EMAs, which use fixed alphas and can lag in choppy conditions. The mythical theme is just naming—functionally, it's a volatility-weighted EMA.
### 3. **Calculating the EMAs**
```pine
ema9 = mythical_ema(close, 9, 1.2, 0.5) // Hermes - quick & nimble
ema20 = mythical_ema(close, 20, 1.0, 0.3) // Apollo - short-term foresight
ema50 = mythical_ema(close, 50, 0.9, 0.2) // Athena - wise strategist
ema100 = mythical_ema(close, 100, 0.8, 0.1) // Zeus - powerful oversight
ema200 = mythical_ema(close, 200, 0.7, 0.05) // Kronos - long-term patience
```
- **What it does**: Applies the custom EMA function to the close price with varying lengths (9, 20, 50, 100, 200 periods), base alphas (decreasing from 1.2 to 0.7 for longer periods to make shorter ones more responsive), and volatility factors (decreasing from 0.5 to 0.05 to reduce volatility influence on longer-term EMAs).
- **Purpose**: These form a multi-timeframe EMA ribbon:
- Shorter EMAs (e.g., 9 and 20) capture short-term momentum.
- Longer ones (e.g., 200) show long-term trends.
- Crossovers (e.g., short EMA crossing above long EMA) can signal buy/sell opportunities. The volatility adjustment makes them "mythical" by adding dynamism, potentially improving signal quality in real markets.
### 4. **VWAP Calculation**
```pine
vwap_val = ta.vwap(close) // VWAP based on close price
```
- **What it does**: Computes the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) using the built-in `ta.vwap` function, anchored to the close price. VWAP is the average price weighted by volume over the session (resets daily by default in Pine Script).
- **Purpose**: VWAP acts as a benchmark for "fair value." Prices above VWAP suggest bullishness (buyers in control), below indicate bearishness (sellers dominant). It's commonly used by institutional traders to assess entry/exit points.
### 5. **Plotting EMAs and VWAP**
```pine
plot(ema9, color=color.fuchsia, title='EMA 9 (Hermes)')
plot(ema20, color=color.red, title='EMA 20 (Apollo)')
plot(ema50, color=color.orange, title='EMA 50 (Athena)')
plot(ema100, color=color.aqua, title='EMA 100 (Zeus)')
plot(ema200, color=color.blue, title='EMA 200 (Kronos)')
plot(vwap_val, color=color.yellow, linewidth=2, title='VWAP')
```
- **What it does**: Overlays the EMAs and VWAP on the chart with distinct colors and titles for easy identification in TradingView's legend.
- **Purpose**: Visualizes the EMA ribbon and VWAP line. Traders can watch for EMA alignments (e.g., all sloping up for uptrend) or price interactions with VWAP.
### 6. **Dynamic VWAP Band**
```pine
band_pct = 0.005
vwap_upper = vwap_val * (1 + band_pct)
vwap_lower = vwap_val * (1 - band_pct)
p1 = plot(vwap_upper, color=color.new(color.yellow, 0), title="VWAP Upper Band")
p2 = plot(vwap_lower, color=color.new(color.yellow, 0), title="VWAP Lower Band")
fill_color = close >= vwap_val ? color.new(color.green, 80) : color.new(color.red, 80)
fill(p1, p2, color=fill_color, title="Dynamic VWAP Band")
```
- **What it does**: Creates a band ±0.5% around the VWAP.
- Plots the upper/lower bands with full transparency (color opacity 0, so lines are invisible).
- Fills the area between them dynamically: Semi-transparent green (opacity 80) if close ≥ VWAP (bullish bias), red if below (bearish bias).
- **Purpose**: Highlights deviations from VWAP visually. The color change provides an at-a-glance sentiment indicator—green for "above fair value" (potential strength), red for "below" (potential weakness). The narrow band (0.5%) focuses on short-term fairness, and the fill makes it easier to spot than just the line.
### 7. **Trend Clouds with VWAP Interaction**
```pine
bullish = ema9 > ema20 and ema20 > ema50
bearish = ema9 < ema20 and ema20 < ema50
bullish_above_vwap = bullish and close > vwap_val
bullish_below_vwap = bullish and close <= vwap_val
bearish_below_vwap = bearish and close < vwap_val
bearish_above_vwap = bearish and close >= vwap_val
bgcolor(bullish_above_vwap ? color.new(color.green, 50) : na, title="Bullish Above VWAP")
bgcolor(bullish_below_vwap ? color.new(color.green, 80) : na, title="Bullish Below VWAP")
bgcolor(bearish_below_vwap ? color.new(color.red, 50) : na, title="Bearish Below VWAP")
bgcolor(bearish_above_vwap ? color.new(color.red, 80) : na, title="Bearish Above VWAP")
```
- **What it does**: Defines trend conditions based on EMA alignments:
- Bullish: Shorter EMAs stacked above longer ones (9 > 20 > 50, indicating upward momentum).
- Bearish: The opposite (downward momentum).
- Sub-conditions combine with VWAP: E.g., bullish_above_vwap is true only if bullish and price > VWAP.
- Applies background colors (bgcolor) to the entire chart pane:
- Strong bullish (above VWAP): Green with opacity 50 (less transparent, more intense).
- Weak bullish (below VWAP): Green with opacity 80 (more transparent, less intense).
- Strong bearish (below VWAP): Red with opacity 50.
- Weak bearish (above VWAP): Red with opacity 80.
- If no condition matches, no color (na).
- **Purpose**: Creates "clouds" for trend visualization, enhanced by VWAP context. This helps traders confirm trends—e.g., a strong bullish cloud (darker green) suggests a high-conviction uptrend when price is above VWAP. The varying opacity differentiates signal strength: Darker for aligned conditions (trend + VWAP agreement), lighter for misaligned (potential weakening or reversal).
### Overall Indicator Usage and Limitations
- **How to use it**: Add this to a TradingView chart (e.g., stocks, crypto, forex). Look for EMA crossovers, price bouncing off EMAs/VWAP, or cloud color changes as signals. Bullish clouds with price above VWAP might signal buys; bearish below for sells.
- **Strengths**: Combines momentum (EMAs), volume (VWAP), and volatility adaptation for a multi-layered view. Dynamic colors make it intuitive.
- **Limitations**:
- EMAs lag in ranging markets; volatility adjustment helps but doesn't eliminate whipsaws.
- VWAP resets daily (standard behavior), so it's best for intraday/session trading.
- No alerts or inputs for customization (e.g., changeable lengths)—it's hardcoded.
- Performance depends on the asset/timeframe; backtest before using.
- **License**: Mozilla Public License 2.0, so it's open-source and modifiable.
ICT PDA - Gold & BTC (QuickScalp Bias/FVG/OB/OTE + Alerts)What this script does
This indicator implements a complete ICT Price Delivery Algorithm (PDA) workflow tailored for XAUUSD and BTCUSD. It combines HTF bias, OTE zones, Fair Value Gaps, Order Blocks, micro-BOS confirmation, and liquidity references into a single, cohesive tool with early and final alerts. The script is not a mashup for cosmetic plotting; each component feeds the next decision step.
Why this is original/useful
Symbol-aware impulse filter: A dynamic displacement threshold kTune adapts to Gold/BTC volatility (body/ATR vs. per-symbol factor), reducing noise on fast markets without hiding signals.
Scalping preset: “Quick Clean” mode limits drawings to the most recent bars and keeps only the latest FVG/OB zones for a clear chart.
Three display modes: Full, Clean, and Signals-Only to match analysis vs. execution.
Actionable alerts: Early heads-up when price enters OTE in the HTF bias direction, and Final alerts once mitigation + micro-break confirm the setup.
How it works (high-level logic)
HTF Bias: Uses request.security() on a user-selected timeframe (e.g., 240m) and EMA filter. Bias = close above/below HTF EMA.
Dealing Range & OTE: Recent swing high/low (pivot length configurable) define the range; OTE (62–79%) boxes are drawn contextually for up/down ranges.
Displacement: A candle’s body/ATR must exceed kTune and break short-term structure (displacement up/down).
FVG: 3-bar imbalance (bull: low > high ; bear: high < low ). Latest gaps are tracked and extended.
Order Blocks: Last opposite candle prior to a qualifying displacement that breaks recent highs/lows; zones are drawn and extended.
Entry & Alerts:
Long: Bullish bias + price inside buy-OTE + mitigation of a bullish FVG or OB + micro BOS up → “PDA Long (Final)”.
Short: Bearish bias + price inside sell-OTE + mitigation of a bearish FVG or OB + micro BOS down → “PDA Short (Final)”.
Early Alerts: Trigger as soon as price enters OTE in the direction of the active bias.
Inputs & controls (key ones)
Bias (HTF): timeframe minutes, EMA length.
Structure: ATR length, Impulse Threshold (Body/ATR), swing pivot length, OB look-back.
OTE/FVG/OB/LP toggles: show/hide components.
Auto-Tune: per-symbol factors for Gold/BTC + manual tweak.
Display/Performance: View Mode, keep-N latest FVG/OB, limit drawings to last N bars.
Recommended usage (scalping)
Timeframes: Execute on M1–M5 with HTF bias from 120–240m.
Defaults (starting point): ATR=14, Impulse Threshold≈1.6; Gold factor≈1.05, BTC factor≈0.90; Keep FVG/OB=2; last 200–300 bars; View Mode=Clean.
Workflow: Wait for OTE in bias direction → see mitigation (FVG/OB) → confirm with micro BOS → manage risk to nearest liquidity (prev-day H/L or recent swing).
Alerts available
“PDA Early Long/Short”
“PDA Long (Final)” / “PDA Short (Final)”
Attach alerts on “Any alert() function call” or the listed conditions.
Chart & screenshots
Please include symbol and timeframe on screenshots. The on-chart HUD shows the script name and state to help reviewers understand context.
Limitations / notes
This is a discretionary framework. Signals can cluster during news or extreme volatility; use your own risk management. No guarantee of profitability.
Changelog (brief)
v1.2 QuickScalp: added Quick Clean preset, safer array handling, symbol-aware impulse tuning, display modes.
------------------------------
ملخص عربي:
المؤشر يطبق تسلسل PDA عملي للذهب والبتكوين: تحيز من فريم أعلى، مناطق OTE، فجوات FVG، بلوكات أوامر OB، وتأكيد micro-BOS، مع تنبيهات مبكرة ونهائية. تمت إضافة وضع “Quick Clean” لتقليل العناصر على الشارت وحساسية إزاحة تتكيّف مع الأصل. للاستخدام كسكالب: نفّذ على M1–M5 مع تحيز 120–240 دقيقة، وابدأ من الإعدادات المقترحة بالأعلى. هذا إطار سلوكي وليس توصية مالية.
Reversal Probability Meter PRO [optimized for Xau/Usd m5]🎯 Reversal Probability Meter PRO
A powerful multi-factor reversal probability detector that calculates the likelihood of bullish or bearish reversals using RSI, EMA bias, ATR spikes, candle patterns, volume spikes, and higher timeframe (HTF) trend alignment.
🧩 MAIN FEATURES
1. Reversal Probability (Bullish & Bearish)
Displays two key metrics:
Bull % — probability of bullish reversal
Bear % — probability of bearish reversal
These are computed using RSI, EMAs, ATR, demand/supply zones, candle confirmations, and volume spikes.
📊 Interpretation:
Bull % > 70% → Buying pressure building up
Bull % > 85% → Strong bullish reversal confirmed
Bear % > 70% → Selling pressure building up
Bear % > 85% → Strong bearish reversal confirmed
2. Alert Probability Threshold
Adjustable via alertThreshold (default = 85%).
Alerts trigger only when probability ≥ threshold, and confirmed by zone + volume spike + candle pattern.
🔔 Alerts Available:
✅ Bullish Smart Reversal
🔻 Bearish Smart Reversal
To activate: Right-click chart → “Add alert” → choose the alert condition from the indicator.
3. Demand / Supply Zone Detection
The script determines the price position within the last zoneLook (default 30) bars:
🟢 DEMAND → Lower 35% of range (potential bounce zone)
🔴 SUPPLY → Upper 35% of range (potential rejection zone)
⚪ MID → Neutral area
📘 Purpose: Validates reversals based on context:
Bullish only valid in Demand zones
Bearish only valid in Supply zones
4. Higher Timeframe (HTF) Trend Alignment
Reads EMA bias from a higher timeframe (default = 15m) for trend confirmation.
Reversals against HTF trend are automatically weighted down prevents false countertrend signals.
📈 Example:
M5 chart under M15 downtrend → Bullish probability is reduced.
5. Candle Confirmation Patterns
Two key price action confirmations:
Bullish: Engulfing or Pin Bar
Bearish: Engulfing or Pin Bar
A valid reversal requires both a candle confirmation and a volume spike.
6. Volume & ATR Spike Filters
Volume Spike: volume > SMA(20) × 1.3
ATR Spike: ATR > SMA(ATR, 50) × volMult
🎯 Ensures that only strong market moves with real energy are considered valid reversals.
7. Reversal Momentum Histogram
A color-gradient oscillator showing the momentum difference:
Green = bullish dominance
Red = bearish dominance
Flat near 0 = neutral
Controlled by showOscillator toggle.
8. Smart Info Panel
A compact dashboard displayed on the top-right with 4 rows:
Row Info Description
1 Bull % Bullish reversal probability
2 Bear % Bearish reversal probability
3 Zone Market context (DEMAND / SUPPLY / MID)
4 Signal Strength Current signal intensity (probability %)
Dynamic Colors:
90% → Bright (strong signal)
75–90% → Yellow/Orange (medium)
<75% → Gray (weak)
9. Sensitivity Mode
Fine-tunes indicator reactivity:
🟥 Aggressive: Detects reversals early (more signals, less accurate)
🟨 Normal: Balanced, default mode
🟩 Conservative: Filters only strongest reversals (fewer but more reliable)
10. Custom Color Options
Customize bullish and bearish colors via bullBaseColor and bearBaseColor inputs for your preferred chart theme.
⚙️ HOW TO USE
Add to Chart
→ Paste the script into Pine Editor → “Add to chart”.
Select Timeframe
→ Best for M5–M30 (scalping/intraday).
→ H1–H4 for swing trading.
Monitor the Info Panel:
Bull % ≥ 85% + Zone = Demand → Strong bullish reversal signal
Bear % ≥ 85% + Zone = Supply → Strong bearish reversal signal
Watch the Histogram:
Rising green bars = bullish momentum gaining
Deep red bars = bearish momentum gaining
Enable Alerts:
Right-click chart → “Add alert”
Choose Bullish Smart Reversal or Bearish Smart Reversal
🧠 TRADING TIPS
Use Conservative mode for noisy lower timeframes (M5–M15).
Use Aggressive mode for higher timeframes (H1–H4).
Combine with manual support/resistance or zone boxes for precision entries. Personally i use Order Block.
Best reversal setups occur when all align:
Bull % > 85%
Zone = DEMAND
Volume spike present
Candle = Bullish engulfing
HTF trend supportive
Dynamic Equity Allocation Model"Cash is Trash"? Not Always. Here's Why Science Beats Guesswork.
Every retail trader knows the frustration: you draw support and resistance lines, you spot patterns, you follow market gurus on social media—and still, when the next bear market hits, your portfolio bleeds red. Meanwhile, institutional investors seem to navigate market turbulence with ease, preserving capital when markets crash and participating when they rally. What's their secret?
The answer isn't insider information or access to exotic derivatives. It's systematic, scientifically validated decision-making. While most retail traders rely on subjective chart analysis and emotional reactions, professional portfolio managers use quantitative models that remove emotion from the equation and process multiple streams of market information simultaneously.
This document presents exactly such a system—not a proprietary black box available only to hedge funds, but a fully transparent, academically grounded framework that any serious investor can understand and apply. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) synthesizes decades of financial research from Nobel laureates and leading academics into a practical tool for tactical asset allocation.
Stop drawing colorful lines on your chart and start thinking like a quant. This isn't about predicting where the market goes next week—it's about systematically adjusting your risk exposure based on what the data actually tells you. When valuations scream danger, when volatility spikes, when credit markets freeze, when multiple warning signals align—that's when cash isn't trash. That's when cash saves your portfolio.
The irony of "cash is trash" rhetoric is that it ignores timing. Yes, being 100% cash for decades would be disastrous. But being 100% equities through every crisis is equally foolish. The sophisticated approach is dynamic: aggressive when conditions favor risk-taking, defensive when they don't. This model shows you how to make that decision systematically, not emotionally.
Whether you're managing your own retirement portfolio or seeking to understand how institutional allocation strategies work, this comprehensive analysis provides the theoretical foundation, mathematical implementation, and practical guidance to elevate your investment approach from amateur to professional.
The choice is yours: keep hoping your chart patterns work out, or start using the same quantitative methods that professionals rely on. The tools are here. The research is cited. The methodology is explained. All you need to do is read, understand, and apply.
The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) is a quantitative framework for systematic allocation between equities and cash, grounded in modern portfolio theory and empirical market research. The model integrates five scientifically validated dimensions of market analysis—market regime, risk metrics, valuation, sentiment, and macroeconomic conditions—to generate dynamic allocation recommendations ranging from 0% to 100% equity exposure. This work documents the theoretical foundations, mathematical implementation, and practical application of this multi-factor approach.
1. Introduction and Theoretical Background
1.1 The Limitations of Static Portfolio Allocation
Traditional portfolio theory, as formulated by Markowitz (1952) in his seminal work "Portfolio Selection," assumes an optimal static allocation where investors distribute their wealth across asset classes according to their risk aversion. This approach rests on the assumption that returns and risks remain constant over time. However, empirical research demonstrates that this assumption does not hold in reality. Fama and French (1989) showed that expected returns vary over time and correlate with macroeconomic variables such as the spread between long-term and short-term interest rates. Campbell and Shiller (1988) demonstrated that the price-earnings ratio possesses predictive power for future stock returns, providing a foundation for dynamic allocation strategies.
The academic literature on tactical asset allocation has evolved considerably over recent decades. Ilmanen (2011) argues in "Expected Returns" that investors can improve their risk-adjusted returns by considering valuation levels, business cycles, and market sentiment. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model presented here builds on this research tradition and operationalizes these insights into a practically applicable allocation framework.
1.2 Multi-Factor Approaches in Asset Allocation
Modern financial research has shown that different factors capture distinct aspects of market dynamics and together provide a more robust picture of market conditions than individual indicators. Ross (1976) developed the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, a model that employs multiple factors to explain security returns. Following this multi-factor philosophy, DEAM integrates five complementary analytical dimensions, each tapping different information sources and collectively enabling comprehensive market understanding.
2. Data Foundation and Data Quality
2.1 Data Sources Used
The model draws its data exclusively from publicly available market data via the TradingView platform. This transparency and accessibility is a significant advantage over proprietary models that rely on non-public data. The data foundation encompasses several categories of market information, each capturing specific aspects of market dynamics.
First, price data for the S&P 500 Index is obtained through the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (ticker: SPY). The use of a highly liquid ETF instead of the index itself has practical reasons, as ETF data is available in real-time and reflects actual tradability. In addition to closing prices, high, low, and volume data are captured, which are required for calculating advanced volatility measures.
Fundamental corporate metrics are retrieved via TradingView's Financial Data API. These include earnings per share, price-to-earnings ratio, return on equity, debt-to-equity ratio, dividend yield, and share buyback yield. Cochrane (2011) emphasizes in "Presidential Address: Discount Rates" the central importance of valuation metrics for forecasting future returns, making these fundamental data a cornerstone of the model.
Volatility indicators are represented by the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and related metrics. The VIX, often referred to as the market's "fear gauge," measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options and serves as a proxy for market participants' risk perception. Whaley (2000) describes in "The Investor Fear Gauge" the construction and interpretation of the VIX and its use as a sentiment indicator.
Macroeconomic data includes yield curve information through US Treasury bonds of various maturities and credit risk premiums through the spread between high-yield bonds and risk-free government bonds. These variables capture the macroeconomic conditions and financing conditions relevant for equity valuation. Estrella and Hardouvelis (1991) showed that the shape of the yield curve has predictive power for future economic activity, justifying the inclusion of these data.
2.2 Handling Missing Data
A practical problem when working with financial data is dealing with missing or unavailable values. The model implements a fallback system where a plausible historical average value is stored for each fundamental metric. When current data is unavailable for a specific point in time, this fallback value is used. This approach ensures that the model remains functional even during temporary data outages and avoids systematic biases from missing data. The use of average values as fallback is conservative, as it generates neither overly optimistic nor pessimistic signals.
3. Component 1: Market Regime Detection
3.1 The Concept of Market Regimes
The idea that financial markets exist in different "regimes" or states that differ in their statistical properties has a long tradition in financial science. Hamilton (1989) developed regime-switching models that allow distinguishing between different market states with different return and volatility characteristics. The practical application of this theory consists of identifying the current market state and adjusting portfolio allocation accordingly.
DEAM classifies market regimes using a scoring system that considers three main dimensions: trend strength, volatility level, and drawdown depth. This multidimensional view is more robust than focusing on individual indicators, as it captures various facets of market dynamics. Classification occurs into six distinct regimes: Strong Bull, Bull Market, Neutral, Correction, Bear Market, and Crisis.
3.2 Trend Analysis Through Moving Averages
Moving averages are among the oldest and most widely used technical indicators and have also received attention in academic literature. Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) examined in "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns" the profitability of trading rules based on moving averages and found evidence for their predictive power, although later studies questioned the robustness of these results when considering transaction costs.
The model calculates three moving averages with different time windows: a 20-day average (approximately one trading month), a 50-day average (approximately one quarter), and a 200-day average (approximately one trading year). The relationship of the current price to these averages and the relationship of the averages to each other provide information about trend strength and direction. When the price trades above all three averages and the short-term average is above the long-term, this indicates an established uptrend. The model assigns points based on these constellations, with longer-term trends weighted more heavily as they are considered more persistent.
3.3 Volatility Regimes
Volatility, understood as the standard deviation of returns, is a central concept of financial theory and serves as the primary risk measure. However, research has shown that volatility is not constant but changes over time and occurs in clusters—a phenomenon first documented by Mandelbrot (1963) and later formalized through ARCH and GARCH models (Engle, 1982; Bollerslev, 1986).
DEAM calculates volatility not only through the classic method of return standard deviation but also uses more advanced estimators such as the Parkinson estimator and the Garman-Klass estimator. These methods utilize intraday information (high and low prices) and are more efficient than simple close-to-close volatility estimators. The Parkinson estimator (Parkinson, 1980) uses the range between high and low of a trading day and is based on the recognition that this information reveals more about true volatility than just the closing price difference. The Garman-Klass estimator (Garman and Klass, 1980) extends this approach by additionally considering opening and closing prices.
The calculated volatility is annualized by multiplying it by the square root of 252 (the average number of trading days per year), enabling standardized comparability. The model compares current volatility with the VIX, the implied volatility from option prices. A low VIX (below 15) signals market comfort and increases the regime score, while a high VIX (above 35) indicates market stress and reduces the score. This interpretation follows the empirical observation that elevated volatility is typically associated with falling markets (Schwert, 1989).
3.4 Drawdown Analysis
A drawdown refers to the percentage decline from the highest point (peak) to the lowest point (trough) during a specific period. This metric is psychologically significant for investors as it represents the maximum loss experienced. Calmar (1991) developed the Calmar Ratio, which relates return to maximum drawdown, underscoring the practical relevance of this metric.
The model calculates current drawdown as the percentage distance from the highest price of the last 252 trading days (one year). A drawdown below 3% is considered negligible and maximally increases the regime score. As drawdown increases, the score decreases progressively, with drawdowns above 20% classified as severe and indicating a crisis or bear market regime. These thresholds are empirically motivated by historical market cycles, in which corrections typically encompassed 5-10% drawdowns, bear markets 20-30%, and crises over 30%.
3.5 Regime Classification
Final regime classification occurs through aggregation of scores from trend (40% weight), volatility (30%), and drawdown (30%). The higher weighting of trend reflects the empirical observation that trend-following strategies have historically delivered robust results (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). A total score above 80 signals a strong bull market with established uptrend, low volatility, and minimal losses. At a score below 10, a crisis situation exists requiring defensive positioning. The six regime categories enable a differentiated allocation strategy that not only distinguishes binarily between bullish and bearish but allows gradual gradations.
4. Component 2: Risk-Based Allocation
4.1 Volatility Targeting as Risk Management Approach
The concept of volatility targeting is based on the idea that investors should maximize not returns but risk-adjusted returns. Sharpe (1966, 1994) defined with the Sharpe Ratio the fundamental concept of return per unit of risk, measured as volatility. Volatility targeting goes a step further and adjusts portfolio allocation to achieve constant target volatility. This means that in times of low market volatility, equity allocation is increased, and in times of high volatility, it is reduced.
Moreira and Muir (2017) showed in "Volatility-Managed Portfolios" that strategies that adjust their exposure based on volatility forecasts achieve higher Sharpe Ratios than passive buy-and-hold strategies. DEAM implements this principle by defining a target portfolio volatility (default 12% annualized) and adjusting equity allocation to achieve it. The mathematical foundation is simple: if market volatility is 20% and target volatility is 12%, equity allocation should be 60% (12/20 = 0.6), with the remaining 40% held in cash with zero volatility.
4.2 Market Volatility Calculation
Estimating current market volatility is central to the risk-based allocation approach. The model uses several volatility estimators in parallel and selects the higher value between traditional close-to-close volatility and the Parkinson estimator. This conservative choice ensures the model does not underestimate true volatility, which could lead to excessive risk exposure.
Traditional volatility calculation uses logarithmic returns, as these have mathematically advantageous properties (additive linkage over multiple periods). The logarithmic return is calculated as ln(P_t / P_{t-1}), where P_t is the price at time t. The standard deviation of these returns over a rolling 20-trading-day window is then multiplied by √252 to obtain annualized volatility. This annualization is based on the assumption of independently identically distributed returns, which is an idealization but widely accepted in practice.
The Parkinson estimator uses additional information from the trading range (High minus Low) of each day. The formula is: σ_P = (1/√(4ln2)) × √(1/n × Σln²(H_i/L_i)) × √252, where H_i and L_i are high and low prices. Under ideal conditions, this estimator is approximately five times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator (Parkinson, 1980), as it uses more information per observation.
4.3 Drawdown-Based Position Size Adjustment
In addition to volatility targeting, the model implements drawdown-based risk control. The logic is that deep market declines often signal further losses and therefore justify exposure reduction. This behavior corresponds with the concept of path-dependent risk tolerance: investors who have already suffered losses are typically less willing to take additional risk (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979).
The model defines a maximum portfolio drawdown as a target parameter (default 15%). Since portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown are proportional to equity allocation (assuming cash has neither volatility nor drawdown), allocation-based control is possible. For example, if the market exhibits a 25% drawdown and target portfolio drawdown is 15%, equity allocation should be at most 60% (15/25).
4.4 Dynamic Risk Adjustment
An advanced feature of DEAM is dynamic adjustment of risk-based allocation through a feedback mechanism. The model continuously estimates what actual portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown would result at the current allocation. If risk utilization (ratio of actual to target risk) exceeds 1.0, allocation is reduced by an adjustment factor that grows exponentially with overutilization. This implements a form of dynamic feedback that avoids overexposure.
Mathematically, a risk adjustment factor r_adjust is calculated: if risk utilization u > 1, then r_adjust = exp(-0.5 × (u - 1)). This exponential function ensures that moderate overutilization is gently corrected, while strong overutilization triggers drastic reductions. The factor 0.5 in the exponent was empirically calibrated to achieve a balanced ratio between sensitivity and stability.
5. Component 3: Valuation Analysis
5.1 Theoretical Foundations of Fundamental Valuation
DEAM's valuation component is based on the fundamental premise that the intrinsic value of a security is determined by its future cash flows and that deviations between market price and intrinsic value are eventually corrected. Graham and Dodd (1934) established in "Security Analysis" the basic principles of fundamental analysis that remain relevant today. Translated into modern portfolio context, this means that markets with high valuation metrics (high price-earnings ratios) should have lower expected returns than cheaply valued markets.
Campbell and Shiller (1988) developed the Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio (CAPE), which smooths earnings over a full business cycle. Their empirical analysis showed that this ratio has significant predictive power for 10-year returns. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) demonstrated in "Value and Momentum Everywhere" that value effects exist not only in individual stocks but also in asset classes and markets.
5.2 Equity Risk Premium as Central Valuation Metric
The Equity Risk Premium (ERP) is defined as the expected excess return of stocks over risk-free government bonds. It is the theoretical heart of valuation analysis, as it represents the compensation investors demand for bearing equity risk. Damodaran (2012) discusses in "Equity Risk Premiums: Determinants, Estimation and Implications" various methods for ERP estimation.
DEAM calculates ERP not through a single method but combines four complementary approaches with different weights. This multi-method strategy increases estimation robustness and avoids dependence on single, potentially erroneous inputs.
The first method (35% weight) uses earnings yield, calculated as 1/P/E or directly from operating earnings data, and subtracts the 10-year Treasury yield. This method follows Fed Model logic (Yardeni, 2003), although this model has theoretical weaknesses as it does not consistently treat inflation (Asness, 2003).
The second method (30% weight) extends earnings yield by share buyback yield. Share buybacks are a form of capital return to shareholders and increase value per share. Boudoukh et al. (2007) showed in "The Total Shareholder Yield" that the sum of dividend yield and buyback yield is a better predictor of future returns than dividend yield alone.
The third method (20% weight) implements the Gordon Growth Model (Gordon, 1962), which models stock value as the sum of discounted future dividends. Under constant growth g assumption: Expected Return = Dividend Yield + g. The model estimates sustainable growth as g = ROE × (1 - Payout Ratio), where ROE is return on equity and payout ratio is the ratio of dividends to earnings. This formula follows from equity theory: unretained earnings are reinvested at ROE and generate additional earnings growth.
The fourth method (15% weight) combines total shareholder yield (Dividend + Buybacks) with implied growth derived from revenue growth. This method considers that companies with strong revenue growth should generate higher future earnings, even if current valuations do not yet fully reflect this.
The final ERP is the weighted average of these four methods. A high ERP (above 4%) signals attractive valuations and increases the valuation score to 95 out of 100 possible points. A negative ERP, where stocks have lower expected returns than bonds, results in a minimal score of 10.
5.3 Quality Adjustments to Valuation
Valuation metrics alone can be misleading if not interpreted in the context of company quality. A company with a low P/E may be cheap or fundamentally problematic. The model therefore implements quality adjustments based on growth, profitability, and capital structure.
Revenue growth above 10% annually adds 10 points to the valuation score, moderate growth above 5% adds 5 points. This adjustment reflects that growth has independent value (Modigliani and Miller, 1961, extended by later growth theory). Net margin above 15% signals pricing power and operational efficiency and increases the score by 5 points, while low margins below 8% indicate competitive pressure and subtract 5 points.
Return on equity (ROE) above 20% characterizes outstanding capital efficiency and increases the score by 5 points. Piotroski (2000) showed in "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information" that fundamental quality signals such as high ROE can improve the performance of value strategies.
Capital structure is evaluated through the debt-to-equity ratio. A conservative ratio below 1.0 multiplies the valuation score by 1.2, while high leverage above 2.0 applies a multiplier of 0.8. This adjustment reflects that high debt constrains financial flexibility and can become problematic in crisis times (Korteweg, 2010).
6. Component 4: Sentiment Analysis
6.1 The Role of Sentiment in Financial Markets
Investor sentiment, defined as the collective psychological attitude of market participants, influences asset prices independently of fundamental data. Baker and Wurgler (2006, 2007) developed a sentiment index and showed that periods of high sentiment are followed by overvaluations that later correct. This insight justifies integrating a sentiment component into allocation decisions.
Sentiment is difficult to measure directly but can be proxied through market indicators. The VIX is the most widely used sentiment indicator, as it aggregates implied volatility from option prices. High VIX values reflect elevated uncertainty and risk aversion, while low values signal market comfort. Whaley (2009) refers to the VIX as the "Investor Fear Gauge" and documents its role as a contrarian indicator: extremely high values typically occur at market bottoms, while low values occur at tops.
6.2 VIX-Based Sentiment Assessment
DEAM uses statistical normalization of the VIX by calculating the Z-score: z = (VIX_current - VIX_average) / VIX_standard_deviation. The Z-score indicates how many standard deviations the current VIX is from the historical average. This approach is more robust than absolute thresholds, as it adapts to the average volatility level, which can vary over longer periods.
A Z-score below -1.5 (VIX is 1.5 standard deviations below average) signals exceptionally low risk perception and adds 40 points to the sentiment score. This may seem counterintuitive—shouldn't low fear be bullish? However, the logic follows the contrarian principle: when no one is afraid, everyone is already invested, and there is limited further upside potential (Zweig, 1973). Conversely, a Z-score above 1.5 (extreme fear) adds -40 points, reflecting market panic but simultaneously suggesting potential buying opportunities.
6.3 VIX Term Structure as Sentiment Signal
The VIX term structure provides additional sentiment information. Normally, the VIX trades in contango, meaning longer-term VIX futures have higher prices than short-term. This reflects that short-term volatility is currently known, while long-term volatility is more uncertain and carries a risk premium. The model compares the VIX with VIX9D (9-day volatility) and identifies backwardation (VIX > 1.05 × VIX9D) and steep backwardation (VIX > 1.15 × VIX9D).
Backwardation occurs when short-term implied volatility is higher than longer-term, which typically happens during market stress. Investors anticipate immediate turbulence but expect calming. Psychologically, this reflects acute fear. The model subtracts 15 points for backwardation and 30 for steep backwardation, as these constellations signal elevated risk. Simon and Wiggins (2001) analyzed the VIX futures curve and showed that backwardation is associated with market declines.
6.4 Safe-Haven Flows
During crisis times, investors flee from risky assets into safe havens: gold, US dollar, and Japanese yen. This "flight to quality" is a sentiment signal. The model calculates the performance of these assets relative to stocks over the last 20 trading days. When gold or the dollar strongly rise while stocks fall, this indicates elevated risk aversion.
The safe-haven component is calculated as the difference between safe-haven performance and stock performance. Positive values (safe havens outperform) subtract up to 20 points from the sentiment score, negative values (stocks outperform) add up to 10 points. The asymmetric treatment (larger deduction for risk-off than bonus for risk-on) reflects that risk-off movements are typically sharper and more informative than risk-on phases.
Baur and Lucey (2010) examined safe-haven properties of gold and showed that gold indeed exhibits negative correlation with stocks during extreme market movements, confirming its role as crisis protection.
7. Component 5: Macroeconomic Analysis
7.1 The Yield Curve as Economic Indicator
The yield curve, represented as yields of government bonds of various maturities, contains aggregated expectations about future interest rates, inflation, and economic growth. The slope of the yield curve has remarkable predictive power for recessions. Estrella and Mishkin (1998) showed that an inverted yield curve (short-term rates higher than long-term) predicts recessions with high reliability. This is because inverted curves reflect restrictive monetary policy: the central bank raises short-term rates to combat inflation, dampening economic activity.
DEAM calculates two spread measures: the 2-year-minus-10-year spread and the 3-month-minus-10-year spread. A steep, positive curve (spreads above 1.5% and 2% respectively) signals healthy growth expectations and generates the maximum yield curve score of 40 points. A flat curve (spreads near zero) reduces the score to 20 points. An inverted curve (negative spreads) is particularly alarming and results in only 10 points.
The choice of two different spreads increases analysis robustness. The 2-10 spread is most established in academic literature, while the 3M-10Y spread is often considered more sensitive, as the 3-month rate directly reflects current monetary policy (Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei, 2006).
7.2 Credit Conditions and Spreads
Credit spreads—the yield difference between risky corporate bonds and safe government bonds—reflect risk perception in the credit market. Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) constructed an "Excess Bond Premium" that measures the component of credit spreads not explained by fundamentals and showed this is a predictor of future economic activity and stock returns.
The model approximates credit spread by comparing the yield of high-yield bond ETFs (HYG) with investment-grade bond ETFs (LQD). A narrow spread below 200 basis points signals healthy credit conditions and risk appetite, contributing 30 points to the macro score. Very wide spreads above 1000 basis points (as during the 2008 financial crisis) signal credit crunch and generate zero points.
Additionally, the model evaluates whether "flight to quality" is occurring, identified through strong performance of Treasury bonds (TLT) with simultaneous weakness in high-yield bonds. This constellation indicates elevated risk aversion and reduces the credit conditions score.
7.3 Financial Stability at Corporate Level
While the yield curve and credit spreads reflect macroeconomic conditions, financial stability evaluates the health of companies themselves. The model uses the aggregated debt-to-equity ratio and return on equity of the S&P 500 as proxies for corporate health.
A low leverage level below 0.5 combined with high ROE above 15% signals robust corporate balance sheets and generates 20 points. This combination is particularly valuable as it represents both defensive strength (low debt means crisis resistance) and offensive strength (high ROE means earnings power). High leverage above 1.5 generates only 5 points, as it implies vulnerability to interest rate increases and recessions.
Korteweg (2010) showed in "The Net Benefits to Leverage" that optimal debt maximizes firm value, but excessive debt increases distress costs. At the aggregated market level, high debt indicates fragilities that can become problematic during stress phases.
8. Component 6: Crisis Detection
8.1 The Need for Systematic Crisis Detection
Financial crises are rare but extremely impactful events that suspend normal statistical relationships. During normal market volatility, diversified portfolios and traditional risk management approaches function, but during systemic crises, seemingly independent assets suddenly correlate strongly, and losses exceed historical expectations (Longin and Solnik, 2001). This justifies a separate crisis detection mechanism that operates independently of regular allocation components.
Reinhart and Rogoff (2009) documented in "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly" recurring patterns in financial crises: extreme volatility, massive drawdowns, credit market dysfunction, and asset price collapse. DEAM operationalizes these patterns into quantifiable crisis indicators.
8.2 Multi-Signal Crisis Identification
The model uses a counter-based approach where various stress signals are identified and aggregated. This methodology is more robust than relying on a single indicator, as true crises typically occur simultaneously across multiple dimensions. A single signal may be a false alarm, but the simultaneous presence of multiple signals increases confidence.
The first indicator is a VIX above the crisis threshold (default 40), adding one point. A VIX above 60 (as in 2008 and March 2020) adds two additional points, as such extreme values are historically very rare. This tiered approach captures the intensity of volatility.
The second indicator is market drawdown. A drawdown above 15% adds one point, as corrections of this magnitude can be potential harbingers of larger crises. A drawdown above 25% adds another point, as historical bear markets typically encompass 25-40% drawdowns.
The third indicator is credit market spreads above 500 basis points, adding one point. Such wide spreads occur only during significant credit market disruptions, as in 2008 during the Lehman crisis.
The fourth indicator identifies simultaneous losses in stocks and bonds. Normally, Treasury bonds act as a hedge against equity risk (negative correlation), but when both fall simultaneously, this indicates systemic liquidity problems or inflation/stagflation fears. The model checks whether both SPY and TLT have fallen more than 10% and 5% respectively over 5 trading days, adding two points.
The fifth indicator is a volume spike combined with negative returns. Extreme trading volumes (above twice the 20-day average) with falling prices signal panic selling. This adds one point.
A crisis situation is diagnosed when at least 3 indicators trigger, a severe crisis at 5 or more indicators. These thresholds were calibrated through historical backtesting to identify true crises (2008, 2020) without generating excessive false alarms.
8.3 Crisis-Based Allocation Override
When a crisis is detected, the system overrides the normal allocation recommendation and caps equity allocation at maximum 25%. In a severe crisis, the cap is set at 10%. This drastic defensive posture follows the empirical observation that crises typically require time to develop and that early reduction can avoid substantial losses (Faber, 2007).
This override logic implements a "safety first" principle: in situations of existential danger to the portfolio, capital preservation becomes the top priority. Roy (1952) formalized this approach in "Safety First and the Holding of Assets," arguing that investors should primarily minimize ruin probability.
9. Integration and Final Allocation Calculation
9.1 Component Weighting
The final allocation recommendation emerges through weighted aggregation of the five components. The standard weighting is: Market Regime 35%, Risk Management 25%, Valuation 20%, Sentiment 15%, Macro 5%. These weights reflect both theoretical considerations and empirical backtesting results.
The highest weighting of market regime is based on evidence that trend-following and momentum strategies have delivered robust results across various asset classes and time periods (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). Current market momentum is highly informative for the near future, although it provides no information about long-term expectations.
The substantial weighting of risk management (25%) follows from the central importance of risk control. Wealth preservation is the foundation of long-term wealth creation, and systematic risk management is demonstrably value-creating (Moreira and Muir, 2017).
The valuation component receives 20% weight, based on the long-term mean reversion of valuation metrics. While valuation has limited short-term predictive power (bull and bear markets can begin at any valuation), the long-term relationship between valuation and returns is robustly documented (Campbell and Shiller, 1988).
Sentiment (15%) and Macro (5%) receive lower weights, as these factors are subtler and harder to measure. Sentiment is valuable as a contrarian indicator at extremes but less informative in normal ranges. Macro variables such as the yield curve have strong predictive power for recessions, but the transmission from recessions to stock market performance is complex and temporally variable.
9.2 Model Type Adjustments
DEAM allows users to choose between four model types: Conservative, Balanced, Aggressive, and Adaptive. This choice modifies the final allocation through additive adjustments.
Conservative mode subtracts 10 percentage points from allocation, resulting in consistently more cautious positioning. This is suitable for risk-averse investors or those with limited investment horizons. Aggressive mode adds 10 percentage points, suitable for risk-tolerant investors with long horizons.
Adaptive mode implements procyclical adjustment based on short-term momentum: if the market has risen more than 5% in the last 20 days, 5 percentage points are added; if it has declined more than 5%, 5 points are subtracted. This logic follows the observation that short-term momentum persists (Jegadeesh and Titman, 1993), but the moderate size of adjustment avoids excessive timing bets.
Balanced mode makes no adjustment and uses raw model output. This neutral setting is suitable for investors who wish to trust model recommendations unchanged.
9.3 Smoothing and Stability
The allocation resulting from aggregation undergoes final smoothing through a simple moving average over 3 periods. This smoothing is crucial for model practicality, as it reduces frequent trading and thus transaction costs. Without smoothing, the model could fluctuate between adjacent allocations with every small input change.
The choice of 3 periods as smoothing window is a compromise between responsiveness and stability. Longer smoothing would excessively delay signals and impede response to true regime changes. Shorter or no smoothing would allow too much noise. Empirical tests showed that 3-period smoothing offers an optimal ratio between these goals.
10. Visualization and Interpretation
10.1 Main Output: Equity Allocation
DEAM's primary output is a time series from 0 to 100 representing the recommended percentage allocation to equities. This representation is intuitive: 100% means full investment in stocks (specifically: an S&P 500 ETF), 0% means complete cash position, and intermediate values correspond to mixed portfolios. A value of 60% means, for example: invest 60% of wealth in SPY, hold 40% in money market instruments or cash.
The time series is color-coded to enable quick visual interpretation. Green shades represent high allocations (above 80%, bullish), red shades low allocations (below 20%, bearish), and neutral colors middle allocations. The chart background is dynamically colored based on the signal, enhancing readability in different market phases.
10.2 Dashboard Metrics
A tabular dashboard presents key metrics compactly. This includes current allocation, cash allocation (complement), an aggregated signal (BULLISH/NEUTRAL/BEARISH), current market regime, VIX level, market drawdown, and crisis status.
Additionally, fundamental metrics are displayed: P/E Ratio, Equity Risk Premium, Return on Equity, Debt-to-Equity Ratio, and Total Shareholder Yield. This transparency allows users to understand model decisions and form their own assessments.
Component scores (Regime, Risk, Valuation, Sentiment, Macro) are also displayed, each normalized on a 0-100 scale. This shows which factors primarily drive the current recommendation. If, for example, the Risk score is very low (20) while other scores are moderate (50-60), this indicates that risk management considerations are pulling allocation down.
10.3 Component Breakdown (Optional)
Advanced users can display individual components as separate lines in the chart. This enables analysis of component dynamics: do all components move synchronously, or are there divergences? Divergences can be particularly informative. If, for example, the market regime is bullish (high score) but the valuation component is very negative, this signals an overbought market not fundamentally supported—a classic "bubble warning."
This feature is disabled by default to keep the chart clean but can be activated for deeper analysis.
10.4 Confidence Bands
The model optionally displays uncertainty bands around the main allocation line. These are calculated as ±1 standard deviation of allocation over a rolling 20-period window. Wide bands indicate high volatility of model recommendations, suggesting uncertain market conditions. Narrow bands indicate stable recommendations.
This visualization implements a concept of epistemic uncertainty—uncertainty about the model estimate itself, not just market volatility. In phases where various indicators send conflicting signals, the allocation recommendation becomes more volatile, manifesting in wider bands. Users can understand this as a warning to act more cautiously or consult alternative information sources.
11. Alert System
11.1 Allocation Alerts
DEAM implements an alert system that notifies users of significant events. Allocation alerts trigger when smoothed allocation crosses certain thresholds. An alert is generated when allocation reaches 80% (from below), signaling strong bullish conditions. Another alert triggers when allocation falls to 20%, indicating defensive positioning.
These thresholds are not arbitrary but correspond with boundaries between model regimes. An allocation of 80% roughly corresponds to a clear bull market regime, while 20% corresponds to a bear market regime. Alerts at these points are therefore informative about fundamental regime shifts.
11.2 Crisis Alerts
Separate alerts trigger upon detection of crisis and severe crisis. These alerts have highest priority as they signal large risks. A crisis alert should prompt investors to review their portfolio and potentially take defensive measures beyond the automatic model recommendation (e.g., hedging through put options, rebalancing to more defensive sectors).
11.3 Regime Change Alerts
An alert triggers upon change of market regime (e.g., from Neutral to Correction, or from Bull Market to Strong Bull). Regime changes are highly informative events that typically entail substantial allocation changes. These alerts enable investors to proactively respond to changes in market dynamics.
11.4 Risk Breach Alerts
A specialized alert triggers when actual portfolio risk utilization exceeds target parameters by 20%. This is a warning signal that the risk management system is reaching its limits, possibly because market volatility is rising faster than allocation can be reduced. In such situations, investors should consider manual interventions.
12. Practical Application and Limitations
12.1 Portfolio Implementation
DEAM generates a recommendation for allocation between equities (S&P 500) and cash. Implementation by an investor can take various forms. The most direct method is using an S&P 500 ETF (e.g., SPY, VOO) for equity allocation and a money market fund or savings account for cash allocation.
A rebalancing strategy is required to synchronize actual allocation with model recommendation. Two approaches are possible: (1) rule-based rebalancing at every 10% deviation between actual and target, or (2) time-based monthly rebalancing. Both have trade-offs between responsiveness and transaction costs. Empirical evidence (Jaconetti, Kinniry, and Zilbering, 2010) suggests rebalancing frequency has moderate impact on performance, and investors should optimize based on their transaction costs.
12.2 Adaptation to Individual Preferences
The model offers numerous adjustment parameters. Component weights can be modified if investors place more or less belief in certain factors. A fundamentally-oriented investor might increase valuation weight, while a technical trader might increase regime weight.
Risk target parameters (target volatility, max drawdown) should be adapted to individual risk tolerance. Younger investors with long investment horizons can choose higher target volatility (15-18%), while retirees may prefer lower volatility (8-10%). This adjustment systematically shifts average equity allocation.
Crisis thresholds can be adjusted based on preference for sensitivity versus specificity of crisis detection. Lower thresholds (e.g., VIX > 35 instead of 40) increase sensitivity (more crises are detected) but reduce specificity (more false alarms). Higher thresholds have the reverse effect.
12.3 Limitations and Disclaimers
DEAM is based on historical relationships between indicators and market performance. There is no guarantee these relationships will persist in the future. Structural changes in markets (e.g., through regulation, technology, or central bank policy) can break established patterns. This is the fundamental problem of induction in financial science (Taleb, 2007).
The model is optimized for US equities (S&P 500). Application to other markets (international stocks, bonds, commodities) would require recalibration. The indicators and thresholds are specific to the statistical properties of the US equity market.
The model cannot eliminate losses. Even with perfect crisis prediction, an investor following the model would lose money in bear markets—just less than a buy-and-hold investor. The goal is risk-adjusted performance improvement, not risk elimination.
Transaction costs are not modeled. In practice, spreads, commissions, and taxes reduce net returns. Frequent trading can cause substantial costs. Model smoothing helps minimize this, but users should consider their specific cost situation.
The model reacts to information; it does not anticipate it. During sudden shocks (e.g., 9/11, COVID-19 lockdowns), the model can only react after price movements, not before. This limitation is inherent to all reactive systems.
12.4 Relationship to Other Strategies
DEAM is a tactical asset allocation approach and should be viewed as a complement, not replacement, for strategic asset allocation. Brinson, Hood, and Beebower (1986) showed in their influential study "Determinants of Portfolio Performance" that strategic asset allocation (long-term policy allocation) explains the majority of portfolio performance, but this leaves room for tactical adjustments based on market timing.
The model can be combined with value and momentum strategies at the individual stock level. While DEAM controls overall market exposure, within-equity decisions can be optimized through stock-picking models. This separation between strategic (market exposure) and tactical (stock selection) levels follows classical portfolio theory.
The model does not replace diversification across asset classes. A complete portfolio should also include bonds, international stocks, real estate, and alternative investments. DEAM addresses only the US equity allocation decision within a broader portfolio.
13. Scientific Foundation and Evaluation
13.1 Theoretical Consistency
DEAM's components are based on established financial theory and empirical evidence. The market regime component follows from regime-switching models (Hamilton, 1989) and trend-following literature. The risk management component implements volatility targeting (Moreira and Muir, 2017) and modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952). The valuation component is based on discounted cash flow theory and empirical value research (Campbell and Shiller, 1988; Fama and French, 1992). The sentiment component integrates behavioral finance (Baker and Wurgler, 2006). The macro component uses established business cycle indicators (Estrella and Mishkin, 1998).
This theoretical grounding distinguishes DEAM from purely data-mining-based approaches that identify patterns without causal theory. Theory-guided models have greater probability of functioning out-of-sample, as they are based on fundamental mechanisms, not random correlations (Lo and MacKinlay, 1990).
13.2 Empirical Validation
While this document does not present detailed backtest analysis, it should be noted that rigorous validation of a tactical asset allocation model should include several elements:
In-sample testing establishes whether the model functions at all in the data on which it was calibrated. Out-of-sample testing is crucial: the model should be tested in time periods not used for development. Walk-forward analysis, where the model is successively trained on rolling windows and tested in the next window, approximates real implementation.
Performance metrics should be risk-adjusted. Pure return consideration is misleading, as higher returns often only compensate for higher risk. Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Calmar Ratio, and Maximum Drawdown are relevant metrics. Comparison with benchmarks (Buy-and-Hold S&P 500, 60/40 Stock/Bond portfolio) contextualizes performance.
Robustness checks test sensitivity to parameter variation. If the model only functions at specific parameter settings, this indicates overfitting. Robust models show consistent performance over a range of plausible parameters.
13.3 Comparison with Existing Literature
DEAM fits into the broader literature on tactical asset allocation. Faber (2007) presented a simple momentum-based timing system that goes long when the market is above its 10-month average, otherwise cash. This simple system avoided large drawdowns in bear markets. DEAM can be understood as a sophistication of this approach that integrates multiple information sources.
Ilmanen (2011) discusses various timing factors in "Expected Returns" and argues for multi-factor approaches. DEAM operationalizes this philosophy. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) showed that value and momentum effects work across asset classes, justifying cross-asset application of regime and valuation signals.
Ang (2014) emphasizes in "Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing" the importance of systematic, rule-based approaches over discretionary decisions. DEAM is fully systematic and eliminates emotional biases that plague individual investors (overconfidence, hindsight bias, loss aversion).
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Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator (EPZ) [BullByte]Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator(EPZ)
The Extreme Pressure Zones (EPZ) Indicator is a proprietary market analysis tool designed to highlight potential overbought and oversold "pressure zones" in any financial chart. It does this by combining several unique measurements of price action and volume into a single, bounded oscillator (0–100). Unlike simple momentum or volatility indicators, EPZ captures multiple facets of market pressure: price rejection, trend momentum, supply/demand imbalance, and institutional (smart money) flow. This is not a random mashup of generic indicators; each component was chosen and weighted to reveal extreme market conditions that often precede reversals or strong continuations.
What it is?
EPZ estimates buying/selling pressure and highlights potential extreme zones with a single, bounded 0–100 oscillator built from four normalized components. Context-aware weighting adapts to volatility, trendiness, and relative volume. Visual tools include adaptive thresholds, confirmed-on-close extremes, divergence, an MTF dashboard, and optional gradient candles.
Purpose and originality (not a mashup)
Purpose: Identify when pressure is building or reaching potential extremes while filtering noise across regimes and symbols.
Originality: EPZ integrates price rejection, momentum cascade, pressure distribution, and smart money flow into one bounded scale with context-aware weighting. It is not a cosmetic mashup of public indicators.
Why a trader might use EPZ
EPZ provides a multi-dimensional gauge of market extremes that standalone indicators may miss. Traders might use it to:
Spot Reversals: When EPZ enters an "Extreme High" zone (high red), it implies selling pressure might soon dominate. This can hint at a topside reversal or at least a pause in rallies. Conversely, "Extreme Low" (green) can highlight bottom-fish opportunities. The indicator's divergence module (optional) also finds hidden bullish/bearish divergences between price and EPZ, a clue that price momentum is weakening.
Measure Momentum Shifts: Because EPZ blends momentum and volume, it reacts faster than many single metrics. A rising MPO indicates building bullish pressure, while a falling MPO shows increasing bearish pressure. Traders can use this like a refined RSI: above 50 means bullish bias, below 50 means bearish bias, but with context provided by the thresholds.
Filter Trades: In trend-following systems, one could require EPZ to be in the bullish (green) zone before taking longs, or avoid new trades when EPZ is extreme. In mean-reversion systems, one might specifically look to fade extremes flagged by EPZ.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: The dashboard can fetch a higher timeframe EPZ value. For example, you might trade a 15-minute chart only when the 60-minute EPZ agrees on pressure direction.
Components and how they're combined
Rejection (PRV) – Captures price rejection based on candle wicks and volume (see Price Rejection Volume).
Momentum Cascade (MCD) – Blends multiple momentum periods (3,5,8,13) into a normalized momentum score.
Pressure Distribution (PDI) – Measures net buy/sell pressure by comparing volume on up vs down candles.
Smart Money Flow (SMF) – An adaptation of money flow index that emphasizes unusual volume spikes.
Each of these components produces a 0–100 value (higher means more bullish pressure). They are then weighted and averaged into the final Market Pressure Oscillator (MPO), which is smoothed and scaled. By combining these four views, EPZ stands out as a comprehensive pressure gauge – the whole is greater than the sum of parts
Context-aware weighting:
Higher volatility → more PRV weight
Trendiness up (RSI of ATR > 25) → more MCD weight
Relative volume > 1.2x → more PDI weight
SMF holds a stable weight
The weighted average is smoothed and scaled into MPO ∈ with 50 as the neutral midline.
What makes EPZ stand out
Four orthogonal inputs (price action, momentum, pressure, flow) unified in a single bounded oscillator with consistent thresholds.
Adaptive thresholds (optional) plus robust extreme detection that also triggers on crossovers, so static thresholds work reliably too.
Confirm Extremes on Bar Close (default ON): dots/arrows/labels/alerts print on closed bars to avoid repaint confusion.
Clean dashboard, divergence tools, pre-alerts, and optional on-price gradients. Visual 3D layering uses offsets for depth only,no lookahead.
Recommended markets and timeframes
Best: liquid symbols (index futures, large-cap equities, major FX, BTC/ETH).
Timeframes: 5–15m (more signals; consider higher thresholds), 1H–4H (balanced), 1D (clear regimes).
Use caution on illiquid or very low TFs where wick/volume geometry is erratic.
Logic and thresholds
MPO ∈ ; 50 = neutral. Above 50 = bullish pressure; below 50 = bearish.
Static thresholds (defaults): thrHigh = 70, thrLow = 30; warning bands 5 pts inside extremes (65/35).
Adaptive thresholds (optional):
thrHigh = min(BaseHigh + 5, mean(MPO,100) + stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
thrLow = max(BaseLow − 5, mean(MPO,100) − stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
Extreme detection
High: MPO ≥ thrHigh with peak/slope or crossover filter.
Low: MPO ≤ thrLow with trough/slope or crossover filter.
Cooldown: 5 bars (default). A new extreme will not print until the cooldown elapses, even if MPO re-enters the zone.
Confirmation
"Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" (default ON) gates extreme markers, pre-alerts, and alerts to closed bars (non-repainting).
Divergences
Pivot-based bullish/bearish divergence; tags appear only after left/right bars elapse (lookbackPivot).
MTF
HTF MPO retrieved with lookahead_off; values can update intrabar and finalize at HTF close. This is disclosed and expected.
Inputs and defaults (key ones)
Core: Sensitivity=1.0; Analysis Period=14; Smoothing=3; Adaptive Thresholds=OFF.
Extremes: Base High=70, Base Low=30; Extreme Sensitivity=1.5; Confirm Extremes on Bar Close=ON; Cooldown=5; Dot size Small/Tiny.
Visuals: Heatmap ON; 3D depth optional; Strength bars ON; Pre-alerts OFF; Divergences ON with tags ON; Gradient candles OFF; Glow ON.
Dashboard: ON; Position=Top Right; Size=Normal; MTF ON; HTF=60m; compact overlay table on price chart.
Advanced caps: Max Oscillator Labels=80; Max Extreme Guide Lines=80; Divergence objects=60.
Dashboard: what each element means
Header: EPZ ANALYSIS.
Large readout: Current MPO; color reflects state (extreme, approaching, or neutral).
Status badge: "Extreme High/Low", "Approaching High/Low", "Bullish/Neutral/Bearish".
HTF cell (when MTF ON): Higher-timeframe MPO, color-coded vs extremes; updates intrabar, settles at HTF close.
Predicted (when MTF OFF): Simple MPO extrapolation using momentum/acceleration—illustrative only.
Thresholds: Current thrHigh/thrLow (static or adaptive).
Components: ASCII bars + values for PRV, MCD, PDI, SMF.
Market metrics: Volume Ratio (x) and ATR% of price.
Strength: Bar indicator of |MPO − 50| × 2.
Confidence: Heuristic gauge (100 in extremes, 70 in warnings, 50 with divergence, else |MPO − 50|). Convenience only, not probability.
How to read the oscillator
MPO Value (0–100): A reading of 50 is neutral. Values above ~55 are increasingly bullish (green), while below ~45 are increasingly bearish (red). Think of these as "market pressure".
Extreme Zones: When MPO climbs into the bright orange/red area (above the base-high line, default 70), the chart will display a dot and downward arrow marking that extreme. Traders often treat this as a sign to tighten stops or look for shorts. Similarly, a bright green dot/up-arrow appears when MPO falls below the base-low (30), hinting at a bullish setup.
Heatmap/Candles: If "Pressure Heatmap" is enabled, the background of the oscillator pane will fade green or red depending on MPO. Users can optionally color the price candles by MPO value (gradient candles) to see these extremes on the main chart.
Prediction Zone(optional): A dashed projection line extends the MPO forward by a small number of bars (prediction_bars) using current MPO momentum and acceleration. This is a heuristic extrapolation best used for short horizons (1–5 bars) to anticipate whether MPO may touch a warning or extreme zone. It is provisional and becomes less reliable with longer projection lengths — always confirm predicted moves with bar-close MPO and HTF context before acting.
Divergences: When price makes a higher high but EPZ makes a lower high (bearish divergence), the indicator can draw dotted lines and a "Bear Div" tag. The opposite (lower low price, higher EPZ) gives "Bull Div". These signals confirm waning momentum at extremes.
Zones: Warning bands near extremes; Extreme zones beyond thresholds.
Crossovers: MPO rising through 35 suggests easing downside pressure; falling through 65 suggests waning upside pressure.
Dots/arrows: Extreme markers appear on closed bars when confirmation is ON and respect the 5-bar cooldown.
Pre-alert dots (optional): Proximity cues in warning zones; also gated to bar close when confirmation is ON.
Histogram: Distance from neutral (50); highlights strengthening or weakening pressure.
Divergence tags: "Bear Div" = higher price high with lower MPO high; "Bull Div" = lower price low with higher MPO low.
Pressure Heatmap : Layered gradient background that visually highlights pressure strength across the MPO scale; adjustable intensity and optional zone overlays (warning / extreme) for quick visual scanning.
A typical reading: If the oscillator is rising from neutral towards the high zone (green→orange→red), the chart may see strong buying culminating in a stall. If it then turns down from the extreme, that peak EPZ dot signals sell pressure.
Alerts
EPZ: Extreme Context — fires on confirmed extremes (respects cooldown).
EPZ: Approaching Threshold — fires in warning zones if no extreme.
EPZ: Divergence — fires on confirmed pivot divergences.
Tip: Set alerts to "Once per bar close" to align with confirmation and avoid intrabar repaint.
Practical usage ideas
Trend continuation: In positive regimes (MPO > 50 and rising), pullbacks holding above 50 often precede continuation; mirror for bearish regimes.
Exhaustion caution: E High/E Low can mark exhaustion risk; many wait for MPO rollover or divergence to time fades or partial exits.
Adaptive thresholds: Useful on assets with shifting volatility regimes to maintain meaningful "extreme" levels.
MTF alignment: Prefer setups that agree with the HTF MPO to reduce countertrend noise.
Examples
Screenshots captured in TradingView Replay to freeze the bar at close so values don't fluctuate intrabar. These examples use default settings and are reproducible on the same bars; they are for illustration, not cherry-picking or performance claims.
Example 1 — BTCUSDT, 1h — E Low
MPO closed at 26.6 (below the 30 extreme), printing a confirmed E Low. HTF MPO is 26.6, so higher-timeframe pressure remains bearish. Components are subdued (Momentum/Pressure/Smart$ ≈ 29–37), with Vol Ratio ≈ 1.19x and ATR% ≈ 0.37%. A prior Bear Div flagged weakening impulse into the drop. With cooldown set to 5 bars, new extremes are rate-limited. Many traders wait for MPO to curl up and reclaim 35 or for a fresh Bull Div before considering countertrend ideas; if MPO cannot reclaim 35 and HTF stays weak, treat bounces cautiously. Educational illustration only.
Example 2 — ETHUSD, 30m — E High
A strong impulse pushed MPO into the extreme zone (≥ 70), printing a confirmed E High on close. Shortly after, MPO cooled to ~61.5 while a Bear Div appeared, showing momentum lag as price pushed a higher high. Volume and volatility were elevated (≈ 1.79x / 1.25%). With a 5-bar cooldown, additional extremes won't print immediately. Some treat E High as exhaustion risk—either waiting for MPO rollover under 65/50 to fade, or for a pullback that holds above 50 to re-join the trend if higher-timeframe pressure remains constructive. Educational illustration only.
Known limitations and caveats
The MPO line itself can change intrabar; extreme markers/alerts do not repaint when "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" is ON.
HTF values settle at the close of the HTF bar.
Illiquid symbols or very low TFs can be noisy; consider higher thresholds or longer smoothing.
Prediction line (when enabled) is a visual extrapolation only.
For coders
Pine v6. MTF via request.security with lookahead_off.
Extremes include crossover triggers so static thresholds also yield E High/E Low.
Extreme markers and pre-alerts are gated by barstate.isconfirmed when confirmation is ON.
Arrays prune oldest objects to respect resource limits; defaults (80/80/60) are conservative for low TFs.
3D layering uses negative offsets purely for drawing depth (no lookahead).
Screenshot methodology:
To make labels legible and to demonstrate non-repainting behavior, the examples were captured in TradingView Replay with "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" enabled. Replay is used only to freeze the bar at close so plots don't change intrabar. The examples use default settings, include both Extreme Low and Extreme High cases, and can be reproduced by scrolling to the same bars outside Replay. This is an educational illustration, not a performance claim.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets involve risk; past behavior does not guarantee future results. You are responsible for your own testing, risk management, and decisions.
