Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
Cerca negli script per "btc期权交割时间"
Realized PriceBitcoin Realized Price is a metric that determines the value of all bitcoins in circulation by dividing the total purchase price by the number of bitcoins. This provides traders with the average cost basis for all bitcoins in circulation, which is also known as Realized Price.
Unlike the current Market Price that reflects the current value of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , Realized Price shows the average purchase price of all bitcoins in circulation. It is essential to note that Realized Price values each UTXO based on the value when it last moved from one wallet to another, assuming that the movement represents the purchase of the bitcoins.
The significance of Bitcoin Realized Price lies in its ability to provide traders with an overall economic perspective of the Bitcoin market. When the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Market Price exceeds the Realized Price, the market participants are making a profit on average. Conversely, when the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Market Price is lower than the Realized Price, traders are incurring paper losses on average.
It's worth noting that Realized Price is a modification of Realized Cap, created in 2018 by Antoine Le Calvez.
In addition to BTC I have added LTC and ETH
NB!
Script is history data depended - use on charts with most history data
BTC -> BNC:BLX
ETH -> BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
LTC -> BITFINEX:LTCUSD
it plots realized price and its deviation - when price break out from these bands it explodes hard - near the realized price is good to accumulate the coin - it is fair price
Examples
BTC
ETH
LTC
Net Positions (Net Longs & Net Shorts) - By LeviathanThis script is an experimental indicator that visualizes the entering and exiting of long and short positions in the market. It also includes other useful tools, such as NL/NS Profile, NL/NS Delta, NL/NS Ratio, Volume Heatmap, Divergence finder, Relative Strength Index of Net Longs and Net Shorts, EMAs and VWMAs and more.
To avoid misinterpretation, it's important to understand some basics. The “real” ratio between net long and net short positions in a given market is always 1:1. A futures contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an underlying asset at an agreed-upon price. Each contract has a long side and a short side, with one party agreeing to buy (long) and the other party agreeing to sell (short) the asset at the agreed-upon price. The long position holder anticipates that the asset's price will rise, while the short position holder expects it to fall. Because every futures contract involves both a buyer and a seller, it is impossible to have more net longs than net shorts or vice versa (in terms of the net value). For every long position opened, there must be a corresponding short position taken by another market participant (and vice versa), thus maintaining the 1:1 ratio between longs and shorts. While there can be an imbalance in the number of traders/accounts holding long and short contracts, the net value of positions held on each side remains 1 to 1.
Open Interest (OI) is a metric that tracks the number of open (unsettled) contracts in a given market. For example, Open Interest of 100 BTC means that there are currently 100 BTC worth of longs and 100 BTC worth of shorts open in the market. There may be more traders on one side holding smaller positions, and fewer traders on the other side holding larger positions, but the net value of positions on one side is equal to the net value of positions on the other side → 100 BTC in longs and 100 BTC in shorts (1:1). Consider a scenario in which a trader decides to open a long position for 1 BTC at a price of HKEX:30 ,000. For this long order to be executed, a counterparty must take the opposite side of the contract by placing an order to short 1 BTC at the same price of HKEX:30 ,000. When both the long and short orders are matched and executed, the open interest increases by 1 BTC, reflecting the addition of this new contract to the market.
Changes in Open Interest essentially tell us 3 things:
- OI Increase - new positions entered the market (both longs and shorts!)
- OI Decrease - positions exited the market (both longs and shorts!)
- OI Flat - no change in open positions due to low activity or simply lots of transfers of contracts
However, different concepts can be used to analyze sentiment, aggressiveness, and activity in the market by analyzing data such as Open Interest, price, volume, etc. This indicator combines Open Interest data and price action to simplify the visualization of positions entering and exiting the market. It is based on the following concept:
Increase in Open Interest + Increase in price = Longs Opening
Decrease in Open Interest + Decrease in price = Longs Closing
Increase in Open Interest + Decrease in price = Shorts Opening
Decrease in Open Interest + Increase in price = Shorts Closing
When "Longs Opening" occurs, the OI Delta value is added to the running total of Net Longs, and when "Longs Closing" occurs, the OI Delta value is subtracted from the running total of Net Longs.
When "Shorts Opening" occurs, the OI Delta value is added to the running total of Net Shorts, and when "Shorts Closing" occurs, the OI Delta value is subtracted from the running total of Net Shorts.
To summarize:
Net Longs: Cumulative value of Longs Opening and Longs Closing (LO - LC)
Net Shorts: Cumulative value of Shorts Opening and Shorts Closing (SO - SC)
Net Delta: Net Longs - Net Shorts
Net Ratio: Net Longs / Net Shorts
This is the fundamental logic of how this script functions, but it also includes several other tools and options. Here is an overview of the settings:
Type:
- Net Positions (display values of Net Longs, Net Shorts, Net Delta, Net Ratio as described above)
- Relative Strength (display Net Longs, Net Shorts, Net Delta, Net Ratio in the form of a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of movements. Same logic as RSI for price)
Display as:
- Candles (display the data in the form of candlesticks)
- Lines (display the data in the form of candlesticks)
- Columns (display the data in the form of columns)
Cumulation:
- Visible Range (data is cumulated from the first visible bar on your chart)
- Full Data (data is cumulated from the beginning)
Quoted in:
- Base Currency (all data is presented in the pair’s base currency eg. BTC)
- Quote Currency (all data is presented in the pair’s quote currency eg USDT)
OI Sources
- Pick the sources from where the data is collected (if available).
Net Positions:
- NET LONGS (show/hide Net Longs plot, choose candle colors, choose line color)
- NET SHORTS (show/hide Net Shorts plot, choose candle colors, choose line color)
- NET DELTA (show/hide Net Delta plot, choose candle colors, choose line color)
- NET RATIO (show/hide Net Ratio plot, choose candle colors, choose line color)
Moving Averages:
- Type (choose between EMA and Volume Weighted Moving Average)
- NET LONGS (show/hide NL moving average plot, choose length, choose color)
- NET SHORTS (show/hide NS moving average plot, choose length, choose color)
- NET DELTA (show/hide ND moving average plot, choose length, choose color)
- NET RATIO (show/hide NR moving average plot, choose length, choose color)
Profile:
- Profile Data (choose the source data of the profile)
- Value Area % (set the percentage width of profile’s value area)
- Positions (set the position of the profile to left or right of the visible range)
- Node Size (set the relative size of nodes to make them appear smaller or larger)
- Rows (select the amount of rows displayed by the profile to control granularity)
- POC (show/hide POC- Point Of Control and select its color)
- VA (show/hide VA- Value Area and select its color)
Divergence finder
- Source (choose the source data used by the script to compare it with price pivot points)
- Maximum distance (the maximum distance between two divergent pivot points)
- Lookback Bars Left (the number of bars to the left of the current bar that the function will consider when looking for a pivot point)
- Lookback Bars Right (the number of bars to the right of the current bar that the function will consider when looking for a pivot point)
Stats:
- Show/Hide the Stats table
- Bars Back (choose the length of data analyzed for stats in number of bars)
- Position (choose the position of the Stats table)
- Select Data you want to display in the Stats table
Additional Settings:
- Volume Heatmap (show/hide volume heatmap and select its color)
- Label Offset (select how much the plot label is shifted to the right
- Position Relative Strength Length (select the length used in the calculation)
- Value Label (show/hide OI Delta values when candles are displayed)
- Plot Labels (show/hide the labels next to the plot)
- Wicks (show/hide wick when candles are displayed)
Code used for generating profiles is taken from @KioseffTrading's "Profile Any Indicator" script (used with author's permission)
Bitcoin cme gap indicators, BINANCE vs CME exchanges premium gap
# CME BTC Premium Indicator Documentation CME:BTC1!
## 1. Overview
Indicator Name: CME BTC Premium
Platform: TradingView (Pine Script v6)
Type: Premium / Gap Analysis
Purpose:
* Visualize the CME BTC futures premium/discount relative to Binance BTCUSDT spot price.
* Detect gap-up or gap-down events on the daily chart.
* Assess short-term market sentiment and potential volatility through price discrepancies.
## 2. Key Features
1. CME Premium Calculation
* Formula:
CME Premium(%) = ((CME Price - Binance Price) / Binance Price) X 100
* Positive premium: CME futures are higher than spot → Color: Blue
* Negative premium: CME futures are lower than spot → Color: Purple
2. Premium Visualization Options
* `Column` (default)
* `Line`
3. Daily Gap Detection (Daily Chart Only)
* Gap Up: CME open > previous high × 1.0001 (≥ 0.01%)
* Gap Down: CME open < previous low × 0.9999 (≤ 0.01%)
* Visualization:
* Bar Color:
* Gap Up → Yellow (semi-transparent)
* Gap Down → Blue (semi-transparent)
* Background Color:
* Gap Up → Yellow (semi-transparent)
* Gap Down → Blue (semi-transparent)
4. Label Display
* If `Show CME Label` is enabled, the last bar displays a premium percentage label.
* Label color matches premium color; text color: Black.
* Style: `style_label_upper_left`, Size: `small`.
## 3. User Inputs
| Option Name | Description | Type / Default |
| -------------- | ------------------------- | --------------------------------------- |
| Show CME Label | Display CME premium label | Boolean / true |
| CME Plot Type | CME premium chart style | String / Column (Options: Column, Line) |
## 4. Data Sources
| Data Item | Symbol | Description |
| ------------- | ---------------- | ----------------------------- |
| Binance Price | BINANCE\:BTCUSDT | Spot BTC price |
| CME Price | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures closing price |
| CME Open | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures open price |
| CME Low | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures low price |
| CME High | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures high price |
## 5. Chart Display
1. Premium Column/Line
* Displays the CME premium percentage in real-time.
* Color: Premium ≥ 0 → Blue, Premium < 0 → Purple
2. Zero Line
* Indicates CME futures are at parity with spot for quick visual reference.
3. Gap Highlight
* Applied only on daily charts.
* Gap-up or gap-down is highlighted using bar and background colors.
4. Label
* Shows the latest CME premium percentage for quick monitoring.
## 6. Use Cases
* Analyze spot-futures premium to gauge CME market sentiment.
* Identify short-term volatility and potential trend reversals through daily gaps.
* Combine premium and gap analysis to support altcoin trend analysis and position strategy.
## 7. Limitations
* This indicator does not provide investment advice or trading recommendations; it is for informational purposes only.
* Data delays, API restrictions, or exchange differences may result in calculation discrepancies.
* Gap detection is meaningful only on daily charts; other timeframes may not provide valid signals.
MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing SignalMSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal
## Overview
The **MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal** is a custom TradingView indicator designed to help investors dynamically allocate between two YieldMax ETFs: **MSTY** (YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF) and **WNTR** (YieldMax Short MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF). These ETFs are tied to MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, which is heavily influenced by Bitcoin's price due to MSTR's significant Bitcoin holdings.
MSTY benefits from upward movements in MSTR (and thus Bitcoin) through a covered call strategy that generates income but caps upside potential. WNTR, on the other hand, provides inverse exposure, profiting from MSTR declines but losing in rallies. This indicator uses Bitcoin's momentum and MSTR's relative strength to signal when to hold MSTY (bullish phases), WNTR (bearish phases), or stay neutral, aiming to optimize returns by switching allocations at key turning points.
Inspired by strategies discussed in crypto communities (e.g., X posts analyzing MSTR-linked ETFs), this indicator promotes an active rebalancing approach over a "set and forget" buy-and-hold strategy. In simulated backtests over the past 12 months (as of August 4, 2025), the optimized version has shown potential to outperform holding 100% MSTY or 100% WNTR alone, with an illustrative APY of ~125% vs. ~6% for MSTY and ~-15% for WNTR in one scenario.
**Important Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult a financial advisor. Trading involves risk, and you could lose money. The indicator is for educational and informational purposes only.
## Key Features
- **Momentum-Based Signals**: Uses a Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Bitcoin's price to detect bullish (price > SMA) or bearish (price < SMA) trends.
- **RSI Confirmation**: Incorporates MSTR's Relative Strength Index (RSI) to filter signals, avoiding overbought conditions for MSTY and oversold for WNTR.
- **Visual Cues**:
- Green upward triangle for "Hold MSTY".
- Red downward triangle for "Hold WNTR".
- Yellow cross for "Switch" signals.
- Background color: Green for MSTY, red for WNTR.
- **Information Panel**: A table in the top-right corner displays real-time data: BTC Price, SMA value, MSTR RSI, and current Allocation (MSTY, WNTR, or Neutral).
- **Alerts**: Configurable alerts for holding MSTY, holding WNTR, or switching.
- **Optimized Parameters**: Defaults are tuned (SMA: 10 days, RSI: 15 periods, Overbought: 80, Oversold: 20) based on simulations to reduce whipsaws and capture trends effectively.
## How It Works
The indicator's logic is straightforward yet effective for volatile assets like Bitcoin and MSTR:
1. **Primary Trigger (Bitcoin Momentum)**:
- Calculate the SMA of Bitcoin's closing price (default: 10-day).
- Bullish: Current BTC price > SMA → Potential MSTY hold.
- Bearish: Current BTC price < SMA → Potential WNTR hold.
2. **Secondary Filter (MSTR RSI Confirmation)**:
- Compute RSI on MSTR stock (default: 15-period).
- For bullish signals: If RSI > Overbought (80), signal Neutral (avoid overextended rallies).
- For bearish signals: If RSI < Oversold (20), signal Neutral (avoid capitulation bottoms).
3. **Allocation Rules**:
- Hold 100% MSTY if bullish and not overbought.
- Hold 100% WNTR if bearish and not oversold.
- Neutral otherwise (e.g., during choppy or extreme markets) – consider holding cash or avoiding trades.
4. **Rebalancing**:
- Switch signals trigger when the hold changes (e.g., from MSTY to WNTR).
- Recommended frequency: Weekly reviews or on 5% BTC moves to minimize trading costs (aim for 4-6 trades/year).
This approach leverages Bitcoin's influence on MSTR while mitigating the risks of MSTY's covered call drag during downtrends and WNTR's losses in uptrends.
## Setup and Usage
1. **Chart Requirements**:
- Apply this indicator to a Bitcoin chart (e.g., BTCUSD on Binance or Coinbase, daily timeframe recommended).
- Ensure MSTR stock data is accessible (TradingView supports it natively).
2. **Adding to TradingView**:
- Open the Pine Editor.
- Paste the script code.
- Save and add to your chart.
- Customize inputs if needed (e.g., adjust SMA/RSI lengths for different timeframes).
3. **Interpretation**:
- **Green Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to MSTY – Bitcoin is in an uptrend, MSTR not overbought.
- **Red Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to WNTR – Bitcoin in downtrend, MSTR not oversold.
- **Yellow Switch Cross**: Rebalance your portfolio immediately.
- **Neutral (No Signal)**: Panel shows "Neutral" – Hold cash or previous position; reassess weekly.
- Monitor the panel for key metrics to validate signals manually.
4. **Backtesting and Strategy Integration**:
- Convert to a strategy script by changing `indicator()` to `strategy()` and adding entry/exit logic for automated testing.
- In simulations (e.g., using Python or TradingView's backtester), it has outperformed buy-and-hold in volatile markets by ~100-200% relative APY, but results vary.
- Factor in fees: ETF expense ratios (~0.99%), trading commissions (~$0.40/trade), and slippage.
5. **Risk Management**:
- Use with a diversified portfolio; never allocate more than you can afford to lose.
- Add stop-losses (e.g., 10% trailing) to protect against extreme moves.
- Rebalance sparingly to avoid over-trading in sideways markets.
- Dividends: Reinvest MSTY/WNTR payouts into the current hold for compounding.
## Performance Insights (Simulated as of August 4, 2025)
Based on synthetic backtests modeling the last 12 months:
- **Optimized Strategy APY**: ~125% (by timing switches effectively).
- **Hold 100% MSTY APY**: ~6% (gains from BTC rallies offset by downtrends).
- **Hold 100% WNTR APY**: ~-15% (losses in bull phases outweigh bear gains).
In one scenario with stronger volatility, the strategy achieved ~4533% APY vs. 10% for MSTY and -34% for WNTR, highlighting its potential in dynamic markets. However, these are illustrative; real results depend on actual BTC/MSTR movements. Test thoroughly on historical data.
## Limitations and Considerations
- **Data Dependency**: Relies on accurate BTC and MSTR data; delays or gaps can affect signals.
- **Market Risks**: Bitcoin's volatility can lead to false signals (whipsaws); the RSI filter helps but isn't perfect.
- **No Guarantees**: This indicator doesn't predict the future. MSTR's correlation to BTC may change (e.g., due to regulatory events).
- **Not for All Users**: Best for intermediate/advanced traders familiar with ETFs and crypto. Beginners should paper trade first.
- **Updates**: As of August 4, 2025, this is version 1.0. Future updates may include volume filters or EMA options.
If you find this indicator useful, consider leaving a like or comment on TradingView. Feedback welcome for improvements!
Altcoin Reversal or Correction DetectionINDICATOR OVERVIEW: Altcoin Reversal or Correction Detection
Altcoin Reversal or Correction Detection is a powerful crypto-specific indicator designed exclusively for altcoins by analyzing their RSI values across multiple timeframes alongside Bitcoin’s RSI. Since BTC's price movements have a strong influence on altcoins, this tool helps traders better understand whether a reversal or correction signal is truly reliable or just noise. Even if an altcoin appears oversold or overbought, it may continue trending with BTC—so this indicator gives you the full picture.
The indicator is optimized for CRYPTO MARKETS only. Not suitable for BTC itself—this is a precision tool built only for ALTCOINS only.
This indicator is not only for signals but also serves as a tool for observing all the information from different timeframes of BTC and altcoins collectively.
How the Calculation Works: Algorithm Overview
The Altcoin Reversal or Correction Detection indicator relies on an algorithm that compares the RSI values of the altcoin across multiple timeframes with Bitcoin's RSI values. This allows the indicator to identify key market moments where a reversal or correction might occur.
BTC-Altcoin RSI Correlation: The algorithm looks for the correlation between Bitcoin's price movements and the altcoin's price actions, as BTC often influences the direction of altcoins. When both Bitcoin and the altcoin show either overbought or oversold conditions in a significant number of timeframes, the indicator signals the potential for a reversal or correction.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Unlike traditional indicators that may focus on a single timeframe, this tool checks multiple timeframes for both BTC and the altcoin. When the same overbought/oversold conditions are met across multiple timeframes, it confirms the likelihood of a trend reversal or correction, providing a more reliable signal. The more timeframes that align with this pattern, the stronger the signal becomes.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions & Extreme RSI Values: The algorithm also takes into account the size of the RSI values, especially focusing on extreme overbought and oversold levels. The greater the RSI values are in these extreme regions, the stronger the potential reversal or correction signal. This means that not only do multiple timeframes need to confirm the condition, but the magnitude of the overbought or oversold RSI level plays a crucial role in determining the strength of the signal.
Signal Strength Levels: The signals are classified into three levels:
Early Signal
Strong Signal
Very Strong Signal
By taking into account the multi-timeframe analysis of both BTC and the altcoin RSI values, along with the magnitude of these RSI values, the indicator offers a highly reliable method for detecting potential reversals and corrections.
Who Is This Indicator Suitable For?
This indicator can also be used to detect reversal points, but it is especially effective for scalping. It highlights potential correction points, making it perfect for quick entries during smaller market pullbacks or short-term trend shifts, which is more suitable for scalpers looking to capitalize on short-term movements
Integration with other tools
Use this tool alongside key Support and Resistance zones to further enhance your trade by filtering for even better quality entries and focusing only on high-quality reversal or correction setups. It can be also used with other indicators and suitable with other personalised strategies.
Real-Time Price Comparator→ La version française se trouve plus bas ←
Real-Time Price Spread Comparator
This indicator allows you to compare the real-time price difference (spread) between two assets. It is particularly useful for spotting arbitrage opportunities or price discrepancies between different markets.
💡 Why is this useful?
This tool is especially practical for monitoring the gap between CME futures and the spot market. If the spread becomes too large, we can expect the market to rebalance, which can help anticipate potential price movements.
📌 Features:
✅ Compare two assets of your choice (default: BTC CME vs. BTC OANDA).
✅ Displays the spread as a real-time value on the chart.
✅ Customizable threshold for alerts when the spread exceeds a certain value.
✅ Visual alert: The label changes color and an alert icon appears when the threshold is exceeded.
✅ Adjustable label position to avoid obstructing candlestick wicks.
🛠️ How to Use:
1️⃣ Choose the asset to compare (for example, BTC CME).
2️⃣ Select the main chart (the one you are currently viewing, such as BTC OANDA).
3️⃣ Set the alert threshold (the spread value that will trigger an alert).
4️⃣ Adjust the label position using the offset settings if needed.
5️⃣ When the spread exceeds the threshold, an alert will be displayed!
-------------------------------------------------
Comparateur de Spread en Temps Réel
Cet indicateur permet de comparer en temps réel la différence de prix (spread) entre deux actifs. Il est particulièrement utile pour détecter des opportunités d’arbitrage ou des écarts de prix entre différents marchés.
💡 Pourquoi c'est utile ?
Cet outil est pratique pour surveiller l’écart entre les contrats à terme CME et le marché spot. Si l’écart devient trop important, on peut s’attendre à ce que le marché s’équilibre, ce qui peut nous orienter sur les futurs mouvements du prix.
📌 Fonctionnalités :
✅ Comparez deux actifs de votre choix (par défaut : BTC CME vs. BTC OANDA).
✅ Affiche le spread en temps réel directement sur le graphique.
✅ Définissez un seuil d’alerte pour être notifié visuellement sur le graphique si le spread dépasse une certaine valeur.
✅ Alerte visuelle : le label change de couleur et une icône d’alerte apparaît en cas de dépassement.
✅ Ajustez la position du label pour éviter qu’il ne cache les mèches des bougies.
🛠️ Comment l’utiliser :
1️⃣ Choisissez l’actif à comparer (exemple : BTC CME).
2️⃣ Sélectionnez ensuite l’actif affiché sur votre graphique principal (exemple : BTC OANDA).
3️⃣ Définissez le seuil d’alerte (valeur du spread qui déclenchera une alerte).
4️⃣ Ajustez la position du label grâce aux options d’offset si nécessaire.
5️⃣ Si le spread dépasse le seuil, une alerte visuelle apparaîtra !
Mayer Multiple Zones (Crypto)Enhanced Mayer Multiple Zones
Advanced crypto valuation zones with ETH/BTC context
Key Features
Shows 6 price zones based on MA200 multiples (bubble, take profit, fair value, accumulation, value buy, strong buy)
Adds ETH/BTC ratio context for stronger signals
Works on any crypto with sufficient price history ( ETH , SOL , AAVE , etc)
Color intensity changes based on market conditions
How to Read
Color Zones : Price relative to its MA200 history
Zone Opacity : Stronger color = stronger signal (influenced by ETH/BTC context)
Status Box : Shows current "Enhanced Status" combining price level with ETH/BTC context
Context Line : Explains why the signal is strong or weak
Buy/Sell Signals
Strong Buy Signals :
• " EXTREME VALUE " (blue zone + BTC dominance)
• " STRONG VALUE BUY " (cyan zone + BTC preference)
Take Profit Signals :
• " CONFIRMED BUBBLE " (purple zone + altcoin dominance)
• " APPROACHING BUBBLE " (red zone + rising altcoin strength)
Customization
Adjust multiple thresholds (0.6x, 0.8x, 2.0x, 2.5x, 3.0x)
Toggle ETH/BTC context analysis
Configure ETH/BTC thresholds for market bias
Change MA length from default 200
This indicator helps identify optimal entry and exit points by watching the vertical color streaks on your chart. Look for deep blue/cyan zones with high opacity for strong buying opportunities, and intense purple/red zones for potential exits. The darker the color intensity, the stronger the signal—no complex interpretation needed!
Major and Minor Trend Indicator by Nikhil34aScript Description:
This script is designed to provide a visual indication of the major and minor trends of an asset, along with potential buy and sell signals. It calculates two Simple Moving Averages (SMA): a longer-term 200-period SMA (Major SMA) and a shorter-term 20-period SMA (Minor SMA). The script determines whether the asset's closing price is above or below these moving averages to identify the major and minor trends. It also detects potential buying and selling opportunities based on the intersection of the asset's price with the SMA lines.
Usefulness:
This script can be useful for traders and investors who follow trend-based strategies and want to monitor the major and minor trends of an asset. By visually displaying the trends and potential buy and sell signals, it helps traders make informed decisions about entering or exiting positions.
Simple Explanation on BTC Chart:
In the context of a BTC chart, let's consider the following scenario:
BTC is currently trading above the 200-period SMA (Simple Moving Average), which is located at 29,059.
BTC is trading below the 20-period SMA, positioned at 30,178.
The current price of BTC is 29,916.
Based on this information, we can conclude that:
The major trend is bullish since BTC is trading above the 200-period SMA.
The minor trend is bearish as BTC is trading below the 20-period SMA.
The intersection of the price with the moving averages indicates a potential selling opportunity.
Traders using this script would observe that BTC is in a bullish major trend, a bearish minor trend, and there is a possibility of a sell signal. They may consider these factors when making trading decisions, such as adjusting their positions or taking profits.
Remember to conduct your own analysis and consider additional factors before making any trading decisions.
Open Interest Profile [Fixed Range] - By LeviathanThis script generates an aggregated Open Interest profile for any user-selected range and provides several other features and tools, such as OI Delta Profile, Positive Delta Levels, OI Heatmap, Range Levels, OIWAP, POC and much more.
The indicator will help you find levels of interest based on where other market participants are opening and closing their positions. This provides a deeper insight into market activity and serves as a foundation for various different trading strategies (trapped traders, supply and demand, support and resistance, liquidity gaps, imbalances,liquidation levels, etc). Additionally, this indicator can be used in conjunction with other tools such as Volume Profile.
Open Interest (OI) is a key metric in derivatives markets that refers to the total number of unsettled or open contracts. A contract is a mutual agreement between two parties to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price. Each contract consists of a long side and a short side, with one party consenting to buy (long) and the other agreeing to sell (short). The party holding the long position will profit from an increase in the asset's price, while the one holding the short position will profit from the price decline. Every long position opened requires a corresponding short position by another market participant, and vice versa. Although there might be an imbalance in the number of accounts or traders holding long and short contracts, the net value of positions held on each side remains balanced at a 1:1 ratio. For instance, an Open Interest of 100 BTC implies that there are currently 100 BTC worth of longs and 100 BTC worth of shorts open in the market. There might be more traders on one side holding smaller positions, and fewer on the other side with larger positions, but the net value of positions on both sides is equivalent - 100 BTC in longs and 100 BTC in shorts (1:1). Consider a scenario where a trader decides to open a long position for 1 BTC at a price of $30k. For this long order to be executed, a counterparty must take the opposite side of the contract by placing a short order for 1 BTC at the same price of $30k. When both long and short orders are matched and executed, the Open Interest increases by 1 BTC, indicating the introduction of this new contract to the market.
The meaning of fluctuations in Open Interest:
- OI Increase - signifies new positions entering the market (both longs and shorts).
- OI Decrease - indicates positions exiting the market (both longs and shorts).
- OI Flat - represents no change in open positions due to low activity or a large number of contract transfers (contracts changing hands instead of being closed).
Typically, we monitor Open Interest in the form of its running value, either on a chart or through OI Delta histograms that depict the net change in OI for each price bar. This indicator enhances Open Interest analysis by illustrating the distribution of changes in OI on the price axis rather than the time axis (akin to Volume Profiles). While Volume Profile displays the volume that occurred at a given price level, the Open Interest Profile offers insight into where traders were opening and closing their positions.
How to use the indicator?
1. Add the script to your chart
2. A prompt will appear, asking you to select the “Start Time” (start of the range) and the “End Time” (end of the range) by clicking anywhere on your chart.
3. Within a few seconds, a profile will be generated. If you wish to alter the selected range, you can drag the "Start Time" and "End Time" markers accordingly.
4. Enjoy the script and feel free to explore all the settings.
To learn more about each input in indicator settings, please read the provided tooltips. These can be accessed by hovering over or clicking on the ( i ) symbol next to the input.
Bitcoin Miner Extreme SellingThis script is for identifying extreme selling. Judging by the chart, Bitcoin miners often (not always) sell hard for two reasons: to take profit into parabolic price rises, or to stay solvent when the price is very low.
Extreme selling thus often coincides with long-term tops and bottoms in Bitcoin price. This can be a useful EXTRA data point when trying to time long-term Bitcoin spot or crypto equity investment (NOT advice, you remain responsible, etc). The difference between selling measured in BTC and in USD gives a reasonable idea of whether miners are selling to make a profit or to stay solvent.
CREDITS
The idea for using the ratio of miner outflows to reserves comes from the "Bitcoin Miner Sell Pressure" script by the pioneering capriole_charles.
The two request.security calls are identical. Another similarity is that you have to sum the outflows to make it make sense. But it doesn't make much difference, it turns out from testing, to use an average of the reserves, so I didn't. All other code is different.
The script from capriole_charles uses Bollinger bands to highlight periods when sell pressure is high, uses a rolling 30-day sum, and only uses the BTC metrics.
My script uses a configurable 2-6 week rolling sum (there's nothing magical about one month), uses different calculations, and uses BTC, USD, and composite metrics.
INPUTS
Rolling Time Basis : Determines how much data is rolled up. At the lowest level, daily data is too volatile. If you choose, e.g., 1 week, then the indicator displays the relative selling on a weekly basis. Longer time periods, obviously, are smoother but delayed, while shorter time periods are more reactive. There is no "real" time period, only an explicit interpretation.
Show Data > Outflows : Displays the relative selling data, along with a long-term moving average. You might use this option if you want to compare the "real" heights of peaks across history.
Show Data > Delta (the default): Only the difference between the relative selling and the long-term moving average is displayed, along with an average of *that*. This is more signal and less noise.
Base Currency : Configure whether the calculations use BTC or USD as the metric. This setting doesn't use the BTC price at all; it switches the data requested from INTOTHEBLOCK.
If you choose Composite (the default), the script combines BTC and USD together in a relative way (you can't simply add them, as USD is a much bigger absolute value).
In Composite mode, the peaks are coloured red if BTC selling is higher than USD, which usually indicates forced selling, and green if USD is higher, which usually indicates profit-taking. This categorisation is not perfectly accurate but it is interesting insomuch as it is derived from block data and not Bitcoin price.
In BTC or USD mode, a gradient is used to give a rough visual idea of how far from the average the current value is, and to make it look pretty.
USAGE NOTES
Because of the long-term moving averages, the length of the chart does make a difference. I recommend running the script on the longest Bitcoin chart, ticker BLX.
To use it to compare selling with pivots in crypto equities, use a split chart: one BLX with the indicator applied, and one with the equity of your choice. Sync Interval, Crosshair, Time, and Date Range, but not Symbol.
RouterOrdersIronLibrary "RouterOrdersIron"
Library for routing orders to the Binance exchange.
MsgDoLongMKT(id, symbol, balance)
Returns json for Iron to buy a symbol for the amount of the balance with market order.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
MsgDoShortMKT(id, symbol, balance)
Returns json for Iron to sell a symbol for the amount of the balance with market order.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
MsgDoLongLR(id, symbol, balance)
Returns json for Iron to buy a symbol for the amount of the balance. It is set at the best price and is re-set each time if a new price has risen before the application.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
MsgDoShortLR(id, symbol, balance)
Returns json for Iron to sell a symbol for the amount of the balance. It is set at the best price and is re-set each time if a new price has risen before the application.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
DoLongMKT(id, symbol, balance)
Buy a symbol for the amount of the balance. It is send market order to Iron.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
DoShortMKT(id, symbol, balance)
Sell a symbol for the amount of the balance. It is send market order to Iron.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
DoLongLR(id, symbol, balance)
Buy a symbol for the amount of the balance. It is set at the best price and is re-set each time if a new price has risen before the application.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
DoShortLR(id, symbol, balance)
Sell a symbol for the amount of the balance. It is set at the best price and is re-set each time if a new price has risen before the application.
Parameters:
id : ID of your Iron router.
symbol : Symbol for a trade, BTC example
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: true
GetQty(price, balance)
Get Qty for strategy on balance
Parameters:
price : Order price
balance : The amount for which to carry out the transaction.
Returns: Qty for strategy order TV
Bitcoin Risk Metric IIThesis: Bitcoin's price movements can be (dubiously) characterized by functional relationships between moving averages and standard deviations. These movements can be normalized into a risk metric through normalization functions of time. This risk metric may be able to quantify a long term "buy low, sell high" strategy.
This risk metric is the average of three normalized metrics:
1. (btc - 4 yma)/ (std dev)
2. ln(btc / 20 wma)
3. (50 dma)/(50 wma)
* btc = btc price
* yma = yearly moving average of btc, wma = weekly moving average of btc, dma = daily moving average of btc
* std dev = std dev of btc
Important note:
Historical data for this metric is only shown back until 2014, because of the nature of the 1st mentioned metric. The other two metrics produce a value back until 2011. A previous, less robust, version of metric 2 is posted on my TradingView as well.
Volume $A 1 BTC volume at 50.000 $/BTC is quite different from a 1 BTC volume at 20.000 $/BTC
It is a bit tricky to evaluate volume, especially at higher TF's, where BTC price can fluctuate a lot.
Therefore this script, where volume of the currency is multiplied by the currency's price.
Currency's can be:
- BTC
- ETH
- BNB
- TRX
- XRP
If it is not one of these currency's, the normal 'volume' will show
Some examples and differences between my 'Vol $' and regular 'Vol':
REV/BTC
s3.tradingview.com
DBC/BTC
s3.tradingview.com
AGI/ETH
s3.tradingview.com
BAX/ETH
s3.tradingview.com
ALGO/BNB
s3.tradingview.com
Cheers!
Noro's Bands Strategy v1.0Recomended:
- H1 timeframe
- Any crypto ("BTC/USD", "XRP/BTC", "Govnocoin/Govnocoin")
- Period = 20
- Color = true
Backtests (default):
"BTC/USD", BitFinex, H1, strategy = profit +7.818%
"BTC/USD", BitFinex, H1, buy and hold = profit +662%
"ETH/USD", BitFinex, H1, strategy = profit +14.189%
"ETH/USD", BitFinex, H1, buy and hold = profit +9.239%
"XRP/USD, BitFinex, H1, strategy = profit +17.342%
"XRP/USD, BitFinex, H1, buy and hold = profit +124%
"ETH/BTC", BitFinex, H1, strategy = profit +7.842%
"ETH/BTC", BitFinex, H1, buy and hold = profit +998%
"XRP/BTC", BitFinex, H1, strategy = profit -23% 0
"XRP/BTC", BitFinex, H1, buy and hold = profit -41%
Liquidity-Weighted Business Cycle (Satoshi Global Base)🌍 BTC-Affinity Global Liquidity Business Cycle (MACD Model)
This indicator models Bitcoin’s macroeconomic business cycle using a BTC-weighted global liquidity index as its foundation. It adapts a MACD-based framework to visualize expansions and contractions in fiat liquidity across major economies with high Bitcoin affinity.
🔍 What It Does:
🧠 Constructs a Global M2 Liquidity Index from the top 10 most BTC-relevant fiat currencies
(USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, INR, CNY, KRW, BRL, CAD, AUD)
— each weighted by its Bitcoin adoption score and FX-converted into USD.
📊 Applies a MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) signal to the index to detect macro liquidity trends.
🟢 Plots a histogram of business cycle momentum (red = expansion, green = contraction).
🔴 Marks potential cycle peaks, useful for macro trading alignment.
⚖️ BTC Affinity-Weighted Countries:
🇺🇸 United States
🇪🇺 Eurozone
🇯🇵 Japan
🇬🇧 United Kingdom
🇮🇳 India
🇨🇳 China
🇰🇷 South Korea
🇧🇷 Brazil
🇨🇦 Canada
🇦🇺 Australia
Weights are user-adjustable to reflect evolving capital controls, regulation, and real-world BTC adoption trends.
✅ Use Cases:
Confirm macro risk-on vs risk-off regimes for BTC and crypto.
Identify ideal entry and exit zones in macro pair trades (e.g., MSTR vs MSTY).
Monitor how global monetary expansion feeds into BTC valuations.
Crypto Risk-Weighted Allocation SuiteCrypto Risk-Weighted Allocation Suite
This indicator is designed to help users explore dynamic portfolio allocation frameworks for the crypto market. It calculates risk-adjusted allocation weights across major crypto sectors and cash based on multi-factor momentum and volatility signals. Best viewed on INDEX:BTCUSD 1D chart. Other charts and timeframes may give mixed signals and incoherent allocations.
🎯 How It Works
This model systematically evaluates the relative strength of:
BTC Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D)
Represents Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market. Rising dominance typically indicates defensive market phases or BTC-led trends.
ETH/BTC Ratio (BINANCE:ETHBTC)
Gauges Ethereum’s relative performance versus Bitcoin. This provides insight into whether ETH is leading risk appetite.
SOL/BTC Ratio (BINANCE:SOLBTC)
Measures Solana’s performance relative to Bitcoin, capturing mid-cap layer-1 strength.
Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES)
Represents Altcoins as a broad category, reflecting appetite for higher-risk assets.
Each of these series is:
✅ Converted to a momentum slope over a configurable lookback period.
✅ Standardized into Z-scores to normalize changes relative to recent behavior.
✅ Smoothed optionally using a Hull Moving Average for cleaner signals.
✅ Divided by ATR-based volatility to create a risk-weighted score.
✅ Scaled to proportionally allocate exposure, applying user-configured minimum and maximum constraints.
🪙 Dynamic Allocation Logic
All signals are normalized to sum to 100% if fully confident.
An overall confidence factor (based on total signal strength) scales the allocation up or down.
Any residual is allocated to cash (unallocated capital) for conservative exposure.
The script automatically avoids “all-in” bias and prevents negative allocations.
📊 Outputs
The indicator displays:
Market Phase Detection (which asset class is currently leading)
Risk Mode (Risk On, Neutral, Risk Off)
Dynamic Allocations for BTC, ETH, SOL, Alts, and Cash
Optional momentum plots for transparency
🧠 Why This Is Unique
Unlike simple dominance indicators or crossovers, this model:
Integrates multiple cross-asset signals (BTC, ETH, SOL, Alts)
Adjusts exposure proportionally to signal strength
Normalizes by volatility, dynamically scaling risk
Includes configurable constraints to reflect your own risk tolerance
Provides a cash fallback allocation when conviction is low
Is entirely non-repainting and based on daily closing data
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice and should not be relied upon to make investment decisions.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Always consult a qualified financial advisor before acting on any information derived from this tool.
🛠 Recommended Use
As a framework to visualize relative momentum and risk-adjusted allocations
For research and backtesting ideas on portfolio allocation across crypto sectors
To help build your own risk management process
This script is not a turnkey strategy and should be customized to fit your goals.
✅ Enjoy exploring dynamic crypto allocations responsibly!
Currency ComparatorIndicator Description
This script helps you compare the price changes of various cryptocurrencies against each other.
While TradingView provides some pairs like ETH/BTC or BNB/BTC, it lacks support for comparing lower-market-cap coins against BTC or other currencies. That’s where this script comes in, allowing you to easily view ratios like DOGS/BTC, LSD/BTC, and more.
You can also analyze the relationship between two high-market-cap assets, such as ETH/SOL, which is often not available directly on TradingView.
Additionally, this indicator enables you to view the changes of two cryptocurrencies alongside a base currency. For example, you can observe how Bitcoin's rise impacts LSD and whether it strengthens or weakens relative to BTC.
Features
Maximized View: You can open the indicator in a maximized chart view and use it like any other chart for your technical analysis.
Customizable Comparisons: Compare any two assets with ease by configuring the indicator inputs.
Important Notes
1.Preserving Drawings:
Drawings and tools applied to the indicator chart are not tied to the indicator’s settings. This means changing the inputs won’t affect them. To avoid losing your work:
Open the chart of the base asset (e.g., LSD/USDT) where you want to analyze a specific pair (e.g., LSD/BTC).
Use the indicator there. This way, whenever you want to revisit your analysis, you only need to open the base chart (e.g., LSD/USDT) and update the indicator inputs to the desired pair (e.g., LSD/BTC).
2.Deleting the Indicator:
Removing the indicator from the chart will also delete all your drawings. If you need to keep them, do not delete the indicator.
3.Precision Settings:
By default, the indicator displays up to 12 decimal places (precision). For pairs where such precision isn’t required, you can adjust it in the settings under the "Style" section to your preferred value. If you need higher precision again, simply reset it to the default value.
CB BTCUSD PremiumThis indicator is designed for cryptocurrency traders and analysts who wish to compare the spot price of Bitcoin (BTC) on Coinbase (BTC/USD) against Binance (BTC/USDT), highlighting the premium or discount between these two major exchanges in real-time. Additionally, it incorporates a moving average of the premium, allowing users to identify trends over their selected timeframe.
Features:
Spot Price Comparison: Calculates the real-time difference (premium or discount) between the BTC/USD spot price on Coinbase and the BTC/USDT spot price on Binance.
Premium Indicator: Displays the premium as columns on the chart, using green to indicate a premium (Coinbase > Binance) and red to indicate a discount (Coinbase < Binance).
Moving Average Trend: Includes a simple moving average (SMA) of the premium over a user-defined period, plotted as a blue line, to help users identify trends in the premium over time.
Customizable MA Period: Users can adjust the moving average period to suit their analysis needs, with a default setting of 14 periods.
Usage Instructions:
Adding the Indicator: Search for "Coinbase to Binance BTC Spot Premium with Moving Average" in the TradingView indicators and strategies library and add it to your chart.
Customizing the MA Period: To adjust the moving average period, click on the indicator's settings (gear icon) and navigate to the "Inputs" tab. Enter your desired period for the moving average.
Ideal for: Traders and analysts focusing on arbitrage opportunities, market depth analysis, and those interested in the comparative performance of BTC across different exchanges.
Note: This indicator does not constitute financial advice. It's a tool designed to provide analytical insights. Users should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
.srb suite vol & infoThe volume indicator
what can replace the built-in volume indicator and It also has some useful features.
and designed to work as overlay in the same pane with open-source indicator by default.
Regular volume Indicator
Volume SMA plot
Large Volume ! emphasize by color & mark.
Ultra Volume ! overlay marking ; x2 x4 x6 lager than regular average volume. it will help you can take the reversal
BTC-agg. Volume
4 BTC-spot & 4 BTC-PERP volume aggregated.
It might helps you don't miss out on important volume flows.
Weighted to spot trading volume when using PERP+spot volume.
If enabled, BTC-agg.Vol automatically applied when selecting BTC-pair.
Information panel (optimized for crypto-currency)
BTC-PERP price & delta (when Binance:BTCUSDT selected)
BTC dominance, Binance:BTCUSDTPERP OI
Symbol, Price, Daily up/down
ATR14 (for checking current volatility)
Recommended setup for .srb suite
tradingview | chart setting > Appearance > Top margin 0%, Bottom margin 0% for optimized screen usage
tradingview | chart setting > Appearance > Right margin 57
.srb suite vol & info --> Visual Order > Bring to Front
.srb suite vol & info --> Pin to scale > No scale (Full-screen)
USDT PremiumThis is a simple script that aggregates the USDTUSD pairs available on TradingView and shows the average price of (USDTUSD - 1).
Heavy buying of BTC on USD exchanges (read: Coinbase) will result in a positive USDT premium
Heavy selling of BTC on USD exchanges (read: Coinbase) will result in a negative USDT premium
Heavy buying of BTC on USDT exchanges result in a negative USDT premium
Heavy selling of BTC on USDT exchanges will result in a positive USDT premium
Here is a quote about USDT premiums from Zhao Dong, one of China's largest OTC traders, from the article "Chinese Bitcoin Billionaire Argues USDT Premium is Caused by USD Inflow, Not Tether Inflation":
"So let me tell you a little bit about where the plus or minus premium for usdt comes from. Right
The biggest exchange in America is coinbase, which trades in dollars. In addition to coinbase, most exchanges with large trading volume are usdt trading. Since BTC and usdt can flow freely between exchanges, the price difference is very small.
Assuming that the market is stable, there is no difference between the prices of usd and usdt. Btcusd = btcusdt
At some point the market starts to recover, goes up, and the otc money starts to come into the market. Coinbase is a compliance exchange, so the usd deposit is very smooth, while the usd deposit through usdt needs to be converted into usdt first and then deposited into the exchange, so the usdt will be slightly delayed in price transmission, so the usd exchange price is higher than the usdt exchange price. If there is a lot of dollars to buy, coinbase goes up first and usdt goes up later.
At this point, the coinbase price is higher than the usdt exchange price. If btcusd>btcusdt, because BTC is free flowing, that means usdt is in a positive premium to usd.
This arbitrage space will prompt the brick moving party to sell BTC from coinbase to usd, and then use usd to buy usdt, thus facilitating the issuance of usdt.
A negative usdt premium would prompt Tether to take back the usdt and destroy it."
Includes an option for repainting -- default value is true, meaning the script will repaint the current bar.
False = Not Repainting = Value for the current bar is not repainted, but all past values are offset by 1 bar.
True = Repainting = Value for the current bar is repainted, but all past values are correct and not offset by 1 bar.
In both cases, all of the historical values are correct, it is just a matter of whether you prefer the current bar to be realistically painted and the historical bars offset by 1, or the current bar to be repainted and the historical data to match their respective price bars.
As explained by TradingView,`f_security()` is for coders who want to offer their users a repainting/no-repainting version of the HTF data.
Setup Cripto EMA + Volume//@version=5 indicator("Sinais Multi-Cripto – EMA+Volume (BTC/ETH/BNB/SOL/XRP)", overlay=false)
// Inputs emaFast = input.int(50, "EMA Curta") emaSlow = input.int(200, "EMA Longa") emaPull = input.int(20, "EMA Pullback") volLen = input.int(20, "Média Volume")
symBTC = input.symbol(defval="BINANCE:BTCUSDT", title="BTC") symETH = input.symbol(defval="BINANCE:ETHUSDT", title="ETH") symBNB = input.symbol(defval="BINANCE:BNBUSDT", title="BNB") symSOL = input.symbol(defval="BINANCE:SOLUSDT", title="SOL") symXRP = input.symbol(defval="BINANCE:XRPUSDT", title="XRP")
f_sig(sym) => c = request.security(sym, timeframe.period, close) v = request.security(sym, timeframe.period, volume) e50 = ta.ema(c, emaFast) e200 = ta.ema(c, emaSlow) e20 = ta.ema(c, emaPull) vma = ta.sma(v, volLen) long = (e50 > e200) and (c > e20) and (v > vma) short = (e50 < e200) and (c < e20) and (v > vma)
= f_sig(symBTC) = f_sig(symETH) = f_sig(symBNB) = f_sig(symSOL) = f_sig(symXRP)
// Exibição plotchar(btcL, title="BTC Long", char="▲", location=location.top) plotchar(btcS, title="BTC Short", char="▼", location=location.bottom) plotchar(ethL, title="ETH Long", char="▲", location=location.top) plotchar(ethS, title="ETH Short", char="▼", location=location.bottom) plotchar(bnbL, title="BNB Long", char="▲", location=location.top) plotchar(bnbS, title="BNB Short", char="▼", location=location.bottom) plotchar(solL, title="SOL Long", char="▲", location=location.top) plotchar(solS, title="SOL Short", char="▼", location=location.bottom) plotchar(xrpL, title="XRP Long", char="▲", location=location.top) plotchar(xrpS, title="XRP Short", char="▼", location=location.bottom)
Correlation Coefficient [Giang]### **Introduction to the "Correlation Coefficient" Indicator**
#### **Idea behind the Indicator**
The "Correlation Coefficient" indicator was developed to analyze the linear relationship between Bitcoin (**BTCUSD**) and other important economic indices or financial assets, such as:
- **SPX** (S&P 500 Index): Represents the U.S. stock market.
- **DXY** (Dollar Index): Reflects the strength of the USD against major currencies.
- **SPY** (ETF representing the S&P 500): A popular trading instrument.
- **GOLD** (Gold price): A traditional safe-haven asset.
The correlation between these assets can help traders understand how Bitcoin reacts to market movements of traditional financial instruments, providing opportunities for more effective trading decisions.
Additionally, the indicator allows users to **customize asset symbols for comparison**, not limited to the default indices (SPX, DXY, SPY, GOLD). This flexibility enables traders to tailor their analysis to specific goals and portfolios.
---
#### **Significance and Use of Correlation in Trading**
**Correlation** is a measure of the linear relationship between two data series. In the context of this indicator:
- **The correlation coefficient ranges from -1 to 1**:
- **1**: Perfect positive relationship (both increase or decrease together).
- **0**: No linear relationship.
- **-1**: Perfect negative relationship (one increases while the other decreases).
- **Use in trading**:
- Identify **strong relationships or unusual divergences** between Bitcoin and other assets.
- Help determine **market sentiment**: For example, if Bitcoin has a negative correlation with DXY, traders might expect Bitcoin to rise when the USD weakens.
- Provide a foundation for hedging strategies or investments based on inter-asset relationships.
---
#### **Components of the Indicator**
The "Correlation Coefficient" indicator consists of the following key components:
1. **Main Data (BTCUSD)**:
- The closing price of Bitcoin is used as the central asset for calculations.
2. **Comparison Data**:
- Users can select different asset symbols for comparison. By default, the indicator supports:
- **SPX**: Stock market index.
- **DXY**: Dollar Index.
- **SPY**: Popular ETF.
- **GOLD**: Gold price.
3. **Correlation Coefficients**:
- Calculated between BTC and each comparison index, based on a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) over a user-defined period.
4. **Graphical Representation**:
- Displays individual correlation coefficients with each comparison index, making it easier for traders to track and analyze.
---
#### **How to Analyze and Use the Indicator**
**1. Identify Key Correlations:**
- Observe the correlation lines between BTC and the indices to determine positive or negative relationships.
- Example:
- If the **Correlation Coefficient (BTC-DXY)** sharply declines to -1, this indicates that when USD strengthens, Bitcoin tends to weaken.
**2. Analyze the Strength of Correlations:**
- **Strong Correlations**: If the coefficient is close to 1 or -1, the relationship between the two assets is very clear.
- **Weak Correlations**: If the coefficient is near 0, Bitcoin may be influenced by other factors outside the compared index.
**3. Develop Trading Strategies:**
- Use correlations to predict Bitcoin's price movements:
- If BTC has an inverse relationship with **DXY**, traders might consider selling BTC when the USD strengthens.
- If BTC and **SPX** are strongly correlated, traders can monitor the stock market to predict Bitcoin's trend.
**4. Evaluate Changes Over Time:**
- Use different timeframes (daily, weekly) to track the correlation's fluctuations.
- Look for unusual signals, such as a breakdown or shift from positive to negative relationships.
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#### **Conclusion**
The "Correlation Coefficient" indicator is a powerful tool that helps traders analyze the relationship between Bitcoin and major financial indices. The ability to customize asset symbols for comparison makes the indicator flexible and suitable for various trading strategies. When used correctly, this indicator not only provides insights into market sentiment but also supports the development of intelligent trading strategies and optimized profits.
