3M-10Y Yield Spread3M-10Y Yield Spread Indicator Description
What It Is:
This indicator calculates the difference (spread) between the 3-month and 10-year US Treasury yields, plotted as a line with a zero reference. The background turns red when the spread inverts (falls below zero), signaling when the 3-month yield exceeds the 10-year yield.
What It Helps Understand:
Economic Health: An inverted yield curve (spread < 0) often predicts recessions, as it reflects market expectations of future economic slowdown, typically preceding downturns by 6-18 months.
Fed Policy Impact: Fed rate hikes can push short-term yields (like the 3-month) higher, potentially causing inversion if long-term yields (10-year) don’t rise as much due to growth concerns. Conversely, Fed rate cuts can lower short-term yields, steepening the curve (spread > 0), signaling economic stimulus or recovery expectations.
Cerca negli script per "curve"
OBVX Conviction Bias🧮 The OBVX Conviction Bias overlay tracks the flow of directional volume using the classic On-Balance Volume calculation, then filters it through a layered moving average system to expose crowd commitment , pressure transitions , and momentum fatigue . The tool applies two smoothed averages to the OBV line—a fast curve and a longer-term baseline scaled using Euler’s constant (2.718)—and visualizes their relationship using a color-coded crossover ribbon and pressure fills. When used correctly, it reveals whether a move is being supported by meaningful volume, or whether the crowd is starting to disengage.
🚦 The core signal compares OBV to its fast moving average. When OBV climbs above the short average, it fills green—suggesting real directional effort. When OBV sinks below, the fill turns maroon—flagging fading conviction or pullback potential. A second fill between the short and long OBV moving averages captures the broader trend of volume intention. If the short is above the long, this space fills greenish, showing constructive pressure. If it flips, the fill fades red, signaling crowd hesitation, rotation, or early exhaustion.
⚖️ All smoothing is user-selectable, defaulting to VWMA for effort-sensitive structure. The long-term average is auto-scaled using the natural exponential multiplier (2.718), offering rhythm that reflects the curve of participation. OBVX Conviction Bias isn’t trying to predict—it’s trying to show you where the crowd is leaning , and whether that lean is gaining traction or losing strength.
🧐 Ideal Use-Cases:
• Detect divergence between volume flow and price action
• Confirm breakout validity with volume alignment
• Fade breakouts where OBV fails to follow through
• Time pullback entries when OBV pressure resumes in trend direction
🍷 Recommended Pairings:
• ZVOL to measure whether volume is statistically significant or just noise (as shown)
• RVOL Effort Matrix to validate crowd effort by tier and structure zone
• SUPeR TReND 2.718 and/or MA Ribbons for directional confluence
• ATR Turbulence to track volatility-phase alignment with volume intention
Fibonacci Circle Zones🟩 The Fibonacci Circle Zones indicator is a technical visualization tool, building upon the concept of traditional Fibonacci circles. It provides configurable options for analyzing geometric relationships between price and time, used to identify potential support and resistance zones derived from circle-based projections. The indicator constructs these Fibonacci circles based on two user-selected anchor points (Point A and Point B), which define the foundational price range and time duration for the geometric analysis.
Key features include multiple mathematical Circle Formulas for radius scaling and several options for defining the circle's center point, enabling exploration of complex, non-linear geometric relationships between price and time distinct from traditional linear Fibonacci analysis. Available formulas incorporate various mathematical constants (π, e, φ variants, Silver Ratio) alongside traditional Fibonacci ratios, facilitating investigation into different scaling hypotheses. Furthermore, selecting the Center point relative to the A-B anchors allows these circular time-price patterns to be constructed and analyzed from different geometric perspectives. Analysis can be further tailored through detailed customization of up to 12 Fibonacci levels, including their mathematical values, colors, and visibility..
📚 THEORY and CONCEPT 📚
Fibonacci circles represent an application of Fibonacci principles within technical analysis, extending beyond typical horizontal price levels by incorporating the dimension of time. These geometric constructions traditionally use numerical proportions, often derived from the Fibonacci sequence, to project potential zones of price-time interaction, such as support or resistance. A theoretical understanding of such geometric tools involves considering several core components: the significance of the chosen geometric origin or center point , the mathematical principles governing the proportional scaling of successive radii, and the fundamental calculation considerations (like chart scale adjustments and base radius definitions) that influence the resulting geometry and ensure its accurate representation.
⨀ Circle Center ⨀
The traditional construction methodology for Fibonacci circles begins with the selection of two significant anchor points on the chart, usually representing a key price swing, such as a swing low (Point A) and a subsequent swing high (Point B), or vice versa. This defined segment establishes the primary vector—representing both the price range and the time duration of that specific market move. From these two points, a base distance or radius is derived (this calculation can vary, sometimes using the vertical price distance, the time duration, or the diagonal distance). A center point for the circles is then typically established, often at the midpoint (time and price) between points A and B, or sometimes anchored directly at point B.
Concentric circles are then projected outwards from this center point. The radii of these successive circles are calculated by multiplying the base distance by key Fibonacci ratios and other standard proportions. The underlying concept posits that markets may exhibit harmonic relationships or cyclical behavior that adheres to these proportions, suggesting these expanding geometric zones could highlight areas where future price movements might decelerate, reverse, or find equilibrium, reflecting a potential proportional resonance with the initial defining swing in both price and time.
The Fibonacci Circle Zones indicator enhances traditional Fibonacci circle construction by offering greater analytical depth and flexibility: it addresses the origin point of the circles: instead of being limited to common definitions like the midpoint or endpoint B, this indicator provides a selection of distinct center point calculations relative to the initial A-B swing. The underlying idea is that the geometric source from which harmonic projections emanate might vary depending on the market structure being analyzed. This flexibility allows for experimentation with different center points (derived algorithmically from the A, B, and midpoint coordinates), facilitating exploration of how price interacts with circular zones anchored from various perspectives within the defining swing.
Potential Center Points Setup : This view shows the anchor points A and B , defined by the user, which form the basis of the calculations. The indicator dynamically calculates various potential Center points ( C through N , and X ) based on the A-B structure, representing different geometric origins available for selection in the settings.
Point X holds particular significance as it represents the calculated midpoint (in both time and price) between A and B. This 'X' point corresponds to the default 'Auto' center setting upon initial application of the indicator and aligns with the centering logic used in TradingView's standard Fibonacci Circle tool, offering a familiar starting point.
The other potential center points allow for exploring circles originating from different geometric anchors relative to the A-B structure. While detailing the precise calculation for each is beyond the scope of this overview, they can be broadly categorized: points C through H are derived from relationships primarily within the A-B time/price range, whereas points I through N represent centers projected beyond point B, extrapolating the A-B geometry. Point J, for example, is calculated as a reflection of the A-X midpoint projected beyond B. This variety provides a rich set of options for analyzing circle patterns originating from historical, midpoint, and extrapolated future anchor perspectives.
Default Settings (Center X, FibCircle) : Using the default Center X (calculated midpoint) with the default FibCircle . Although circles begin plotting only after Point B is established, their curvature shows they are geometrically centered on X. This configuration matches the standard TradingView Fib Circle tool, providing a baseline.
Centering on Endpoint B : Using Point B, the user-defined end of the swing, as the Center . This anchors the circular projections directly to the swing's termination point. Unlike centering on the midpoint (X) or start point (A), this focuses the analysis on geometric expansion originating precisely from the conclusion of the measured A-B move.
Projected Center J : Using the projected Point J as the Center . Its position is calculated based on the A-B swing (conceptually, it represents a forward projection related to the A-X midpoint relationship) and is located chronologically beyond Point B. This type of forward projection often allows complete circles to be visualized as price develops into the corresponding time zone.
Time Symmetry Projection (Center L) : Uses the projected Point L as the Center . It is located at the price level of the start point (A), projected forward in time from B by the full duration of the A-B swing . This perspective focuses analysis on temporal symmetry , exploring geometric expansions from a point representing a full time cycle completion anchored back at the swing's origin price level.
⭕ Circle Formula
Beyond the center point , the expansion of the projected circles is determined by the selected Circle Formula . This setting provides different mathematical methods, or scaling options , for scaling the circle radii. Each option applies a distinct mathematical constant or relationship to the base radius derived from the A-B swing, allowing for exploration of various geometric proportions.
eScaled
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by Euler's number ( e ≈ 2.718), the base of natural logarithms. This constant appears frequently in processes involving continuous growth or decay.
Enables investigation of market geometry scaled by e , exploring relationships potentially based on natural exponential growth applied to time-price circles, potentially relevant for analyzing phases of accelerating momentum or volatility expansion.
FibCircle
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius to align with TradingView’s built-in Fibonacci Circle Tool.
Provides a baseline circle size, potentially emulating scaling used in standard drawing tools, serving as a reference point for comparison with other options.
GoldenFib
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by the Golden Ratio (φ ≈ 1.618).
Explores the fundamental Golden Ratio proportion, central to Fibonacci analysis, applied directly to circular time-price geometry, potentially highlighting zones reflecting harmonic expansion or retracement patterns often associated with φ.
GoldenContour
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by a factor derived from Golden Ratio geometry (√(1 + φ²) / 2 ≈ 0.951). It represents a specific geometric relationship derived from φ.
Allows analysis using proportions linked to the geometry of the Golden Rectangle, scaled to produce circles very close to the initial base radius. This explores structural relationships often associated with natural balance or proportionality observed in Golden Ratio constructions.
SilverRatio
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by the Silver Ratio (1 + √2 ≈ 2.414). The Silver Ratio governs relationships in specific regular polygons and recursive sequences.
Allows exploration using the proportions of the Silver Ratio, offering a significant expansion factor based on another fundamental metallic mean for comparison with φ-based methods.
PhiDecay
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by φ raised to the power of -φ (φ⁻ᵠ ≈ 0.53). This unique exponentiation explores a less common, non-linear transformation involving φ.
Explores market geometry scaled by this specific phi-derived factor which is significantly less than 1.0, offering a distinct contractile proportion for analysis, potentially relevant for identifying zones related to consolidation phases or decaying momentum.
PhiSquared
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by φ squared, normalized by dividing by 3 (φ² / 3 ≈ 0.873).
Enables investigation of patterns related to the φ² relationship (a key Fibonacci extension concept), visualized at a scale just below 1.0 due to normalization. This scaling explores projections commonly associated with significant trend extension targets in linear Fibonacci analysis, adapted here for circular geometry.
PiScaled
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by Pi (π ≈ 3.141).
Explores direct scaling by the fundamental circle constant (π), investigating proportions inherent to circular geometry within the market's time-price structure, potentially highlighting areas related to natural market cycles, rotational symmetry, or full-cycle completions.
PlasticNumber
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by the Plastic Number (approx 1.3247), the third metallic mean. Like φ and the Silver Ratio, it is the solution to a specific cubic equation and relates to certain geometric forms.
Introduces another distinct fundamental mathematical constant for geometric exploration, comparing market proportions to those potentially governed by the Plastic Number.
SilverFib
Mathematical Basis: Scales the radius by the reciprocal Golden Ratio (1/φ ≈ 0.618).
Explores proportions directly related to the core 0.618 Fibonacci ratio, fundamental within Fibonacci-based geometric analysis, often significant for identifying primary retracement levels or corrective wave structures within a trend.
Unscaled
Mathematical Basis: No scaling applied.
Provides the base circle defined by points A/B and the Center setting without any additional mathematical scaling, serving as a pure geometric reference based on the A-B structure.
🧪 Advanced Calculation Settings
Two advanced settings allow further refinement of the circle calculations: matching the chart's scale and defining how the base radius is calculated from the A-B swing.
The Chart Scale setting ensures geometric accuracy by aligning circle calculations with the chart's vertical axis display. Price charts can use either a standard (linear) or logarithmic scale, where vertical distances represent price changes differently. The setting offers two options:
Standard : Select this option when the price chart's vertical axis is set to a standard linear scale.
Logarithmic : It is necessary to select this option if the price chart's vertical axis is set to a logarithmic scale. Doing so ensures the indicator adjusts its calculations to maintain correct geometric proportions relative to the visual price action on the log-scaled chart.
The Radius Calc setting determines how the fundamental base radius is derived from the A-B swing, offering two primary options:
Auto : This is the default setting and represents the traditional method for radius calculation. This method bases the radius calculation on the vertical price range of the A-B swing, focusing the geometry on the price amplitude.
Geometric : This setting provides an alternative calculation method, determining the base radius from the diagonal distance between Point A and Point B. It considers both the price change and the time duration relative to the chart's aspect ratio, defining the radius based on the overall magnitude of the A-B price-time vector.
This choice allows the resulting circle geometry to be based either purely on the swing's vertical price range ( Auto ) or on its combined price-time movement ( Geometric ).
🖼️ CHART EXAMPLES 🖼️
Default Behavior (X Center, FibCircle Formula) : This configuration uses the midpoint ( Center X) and the FibCircle scaling Formula , representing the indicator's effective default setup when 'Auto' is selected for both options initially. This is designed to match the output of the standard TradingView Fibonacci Circle drawing tool.
Center B with Unscaled Formula : This example shows the indicator applied to an uptrend with the Center set to Point B and the Circle Formula set to Unscaled . This configuration projects the defined levels (0.236, 0.382, etc.) as arcs originating directly from the swing's termination point (B) without applying any additional mathematical scaling from the formulas.
Visualization with Projected Center J : Here, circles are centered on the projected point J, calculated from the A-B structure but located forward in time from point B. Notice how using this forward-projected origin allows complete inner circles to be drawn once price action develops into that zone, providing a distinct visual representation of the expanding geometric field compared to using earlier anchor points. ( Unscaled formula used in this example).
PhiSquared Scaling from Endpoint B : The PhiSquared scaling Formula applied from the user-defined swing endpoint (Point B). Radii expand based on a normalized relationship with φ² (the square of the Golden Ratio), creating a unique geometric structure and spacing between the circle levels compared to other formulas like Unscaled or GoldenFib .
Centering on Swing Origin (Point A) : Illustrates using Point A, the user-defined start of the swing, as the circle Center . Note the significantly larger scale and wider spacing of the resulting circles. This difference occurs because centering on the swing's origin (A) typically leads to a larger base radius calculation compared to using the midpoint (X) or endpoint (B). ( Unscaled formula used).
Center Point D : Point D, dynamically calculated from the A-B swing, is used as the origin ( Center =D). It is specifically located at the price level of the swing's start point (A) occurring precisely at the time coordinate of the swing's end point (B). This offers a unique perspective, anchoring the geometric expansion to the initial price level at the exact moment the defining swing concludes. ( Unscaled formula shown).
Center Point G : Point G, also dynamically calculated from the A-B swing, is used as the origin ( Center =G). It is located at the price level of the swing's endpoint (B) occurring at the time coordinate of the start point (A). This provides the complementary perspective to Point D, anchoring the geometric expansion to the final price level achieved but originating from the moment the swing began . As observed in the example, using Point G typically results in very wide circle projections due to its position relative to the core A-B action. ( Unscaled formula shown).
Center Point I: Half-Duration Projection : Using the dynamically calculated Point I as the Center . Located at Point B's price level but projected forward in time by half the A-B swing duration , Point I's calculated time coordinate often falls outside the initially visible chart area. As the chart progresses, this origin point will appear, revealing large, sweeping arcs representing geometric expansions based on a half-cycle temporal projection from the swing's endpoint price. ( Unscaled formula shown).
Center Point M : Point M, also dynamically calculated from the A-B swing, serves as the origin ( Center =M). It combines the midpoint price level (derived from X) with a time coordinate projected forward from Point B by the full duration of the A-B swing . This perspective anchors the geometric expansion to the swing's balance price level but originates from the completion point of a full temporal cycle relative to the A-B move. Like other projected centers, using M allows for complete circles to be visualized as price progresses into its time zone. ( SilverFib formula shown).
Geometric Validation & Functionality : Comparing the indicator (red lines), using its default settings ( Center X, FibCircle Formula ), against TradingView's standard Fib Circle tool (green lines/white background). The precise alignment, particularly visible at the 1.50 and 2.00 levels shown, validates the core geometry calculation.
🛠️ CONFIGURATION AND SETTINGS 🛠️
The Fibonacci Circle Zones indicator offers a range of configurable settings to tailor its functionality and visual representation. These options allow customization of the circle origin, scaling method, level visibility, visual appearance, and input points.
Center and Formula
Settings for selecting the circle origin and scaling method.
Center : Dropdown menu to select the origin point for the circles.
Auto : Automatically uses point X (the calculated midpoint between A and B).
Selectable points including start/end (A, B), midpoint (X), plus various points derived from or projected beyond the A-B swing (C-N).
Circle Formula : Dropdown menu to select the mathematical method for scaling circle radii.
Auto : Automatically selects a default formula ('FibCircle' if Center is 'X', 'Unscaled' otherwise).
Includes standard Fibonacci scaling ( FibCircle, GoldenFib ), other mathematical constants ( PiScaled, eScaled ), metallic means ( SilverRatio ), phi transformations ( PhiDecay, PhiSquared ), and others.
Fib Levels
Configuration options for the 12 individual Fibonacci levels.
Advanced Settings
Settings related to core calculation methods.
Radius Calc : Defines how the base radius is calculated (e.g., 'Auto' for vertical price range, 'Geometric' for diagonal price-time distance).
Chart Scale : Aligns circle calculations with the chart's vertical axis setting ('Standard' or 'Logarithmic') for accurate visual proportions.
Visual Settings
Settings controlling the visual display of the indicator elements.
Plots : Dropdown controlling which parts of the calculated circles are displayed ( Upper , All , or Lower ).
Labels : Dropdown controlling the display of the numerical level value labels ( All , Left , Right , or None ).
Setup : Dropdown controlling the visibility of the initial setup graphics ( Show or Hide ).
Info : Dropdown controlling the visibility of the small information table ( Show or Hide ).
Text Size : Adjusts the font size for all text elements displayed by the indicator (Value ranges from 0 to 36).
Line Width : Adjusts the width of the circle plots (1-10).
Time/Price
Inputs for the anchor points defining the base swing.
These settings define the start (Point A) and end (Point B) of the price swing used for all calculations.
Point A (Time, Price) : Input fields for the exact time coordinate and price level of the swing's starting point (A).
Point B (Time, Price) : Input fields for the exact time coordinate and price level of the swing's ending point (B).
Interactive Adjustment : Points A and B can typically be adjusted directly by clicking and dragging their markers on the chart (if 'Setup' is set to 'Show'). Changes update settings automatically.
📝 NOTES 📝
Fibonacci circles begin plotting only once the time corresponding to Point B has passed and is confirmed on the chart. While potential center locations might be visible earlier (as shown in the setup graphic), the final circle calculations require the complete geometry of the A-B swing. This approach ensures that as new price bars form, the circles are accurately rendered based on the finalized A-B relationship and the chosen center and scaling.
The indicator's calculations are anchored to user-defined start (A) and end (B) points on the chart. When switching between charts with significantly different price scales (e.g., from an index at 5,000 to a crypto asset at $0.50), it is typically necessary to adjust these anchor points to ensure the circle elements are correctly positioned and scaled.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
The Fibonacci Circle Zones indicator is a visual analysis tool designed to illustrate Fibonacci relationships through geometric constructions incorporating curved lines, providing a structured framework for identifying potential areas of price interaction. Like all technical and visual indicators, these visual representations may visually align with key price zones in hindsight, reflecting observed price dynamics. It is not intended as a predictive or standalone trading signal indicator.
The indicator calculates levels and projections using user-defined anchor points and Fibonacci ratios. While it aims to align with TradingView’s standard Fibonacci circle tool by employing mathematical and geometric formulas, no guarantee is made that its calculations are identical to TradingView's proprietary methods.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
The Fibonacci Circle Zones indicator, like other xxattaxx indicators , is designed with education and community collaboration in mind. Its open-source nature encourages exploration, experimentation, and the development of new Fibonacci and grid calculation indicators and tools. We hope this indicator serves as a framework and a starting point for future Innovation and discussions.
ML Deep Regression Pro (TechnoBlooms)ML Deep Regression Pro is a machine-learning-inspired trading indicator that integrates Polynomial Regression, Linear Regression and Statistical Deviation models to provide a powerful, data-driven approach to market trend analysis.
Designed for traders, quantitative analysts and developers, this tool transforms raw market data into predictive trend insights, allowing for better decision-making and trend validation.
By leveraging statistical regression techniques, ML Deep Regression Pro eliminates market noise and identifies key trend shifts, making it a valuable addition to both manual and algorithmic trading strategies.
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
Regression is a statistical modeling technique used in machine learning and data science to identify patterns and relationships between variables. In trading, it helps detect price trends, reversals and volatility changes by fitting price data into a predictive model.
1. Linear Regression -
The most widely used regression model in trading, providing a best-fit plotted line to track price trends.
2. Polynomial Regression -
A more advanced form of regression that fits curved price structures, capturing complex market cycles and improving trend forecasting accuracy.
3. Standard Deviation Bands -
Based on regression calculations, these bands measure price dispersion and identify overbought/ oversold conditions, similar to Bollinger Bands. By default, these lines are hidden and user can make it visible through Settings.
KEY FEATURES :-
✅ Hybrid Regression Engine – Combines Linear and Polynomial Regression to detect market trends with greater accuracy.
✅ Dynamic Trend Bias Analysis – Identifies bullish & bearish market conditions using real-time regression models.
✅ Standard Deviation Bands – Measures price volatility and potential reversals with an advanced deviation model.
✅ Adaptive EMA Crossover Signals – Generates buy/sell signals when price momentum shifts relative to the regression trend.
MA CloudThis indicator plots a Moving Average (MA) cloud with ultra-smooth visuals, designed to help traders identify trend direction, momentum, and volatility in a clear and intuitive way.
Features:
Multiple MA types: choose between EMA, SMA, WMA, or RMA
Adaptive cloud width: based on standard deviation of price to visualize volatility
Smoothing controls: post-processed smoothing gives a silky, curved appearance
Multi-Timeframe (MTF) support: default to chart timeframe, or override to any custom timeframe (e.g. 1H, 1D, etc.)
Custom styling: adjustable colours, line thickness, and cloud opacity
Use cases:
Quickly assess trend strength and direction
Use cloud thickness as a volatility proxy
Spot pullback entries during trending conditions
Combine with price action or support/resistance for confluence
Settings:
MA Type – select your preferred moving average method
MA Length – period for the average
Cloud Width Factor – adjusts the distance of the cloud edges
Smoothing Length – softens the output for a polished look
Timeframe – optional override to analyse data from a higher or lower timeframe
Bradley SiderographThis indicator functions as a Planetary Barometer, bringing the Bradley-Siderograph directly onto your TradingView chart. Designed for tracking the algebraic sum of planetary aspects and declination values in relation to market movements, it analyzes sidereal potential, long-term and mid-term planetary aspects, and the declination factor to provide insight into potential shifts in mass psychology. The built-in gauges act like a barometer, visually measuring the intensity and range of the components.
As Donald Bradley states in Stock Market Prediction:
" The siderograph is nothing more than a time chart showing a wavy line, which represents the algebraic total of the declination factor, the long terms, and the middle terms. It can be computed for any period—past or future—for which an ephemeris is available. Every aspect, whether long or middle term, is assigned a theoretical value of 10 at its peak. The value of the declination factor is half the algebraic sum of the given declinations of Venus and Mars, with northern declination considered positive and southern declination negative. "
How the Bradley-Siderograph Works:
The Siderograph assigns positive and negative valencies based on the transits of inner and outer planets, categorized into long-term and mid-term aspects.
Each aspect (15° orb) is given a theoretical value, with the peak set at ±10. The approach and separation phases influence the weighting of each aspect leading up to its peak.
The sign of the valency depends on the type of aspect:
Squares and oppositions are assigned negative values
Trines and sextiles are assigned positive values
Conjunctions can be either positive or negative, depending on the planetary combination
Formula Used:
The Siderograph is computed as follows:
𝑃 = 𝑋 (𝐿 + 𝐷) + 𝑀
Where:
P = Sidereal Potential (final computed value)
X = Multiplier (to weight long-term aspects)
L = Long-term aspects (10 aspect combinations)
D = Declination factor (half the sum of Venus and Mars declinations)
M = Mid-term aspects
The long-term component (L + D) can be multiplied by a chosen factor (X) to emphasize its influence relative to the mid-term aspects.
How to Use the Indicator:
Once applied, the Siderograph line overlays on the chart, using the left-side scale for reference.
The indicator provides separate plots for:
Sidereal potential
Long-term aspects
Mid-term aspects
Declination factor
Each component can be toggled on or off for deeper analysis.
Gauges "provided by @faiyaz7283 library" display the high and low range for each curve, allowing quick identification of extreme values.
The indicator also marks the yearly high and low of the current year’s sidereal potential, providing a reference for when the market is trading above or below key levels. This feature was inspired by an observation made by Bradley in his book, which I wanted to incorporate here.
Users can fully customize the indicator by:
Switching between geocentric and heliocentric views.
Adjusting the orb of planetary transits to refine aspect sensitivity.
Multiplier (to weight long-term aspects)
Explore the Bradley-Siderograph and experiment with its settings.
Main Use Case
The Siderograph can be thought of as a psychological wind sock, gauging shifts in mass sentiment in response to planetary influences. Rather than forecasting market direction outright, it serves as an early warning system, signaling when conditions may be primed for changes in collective psychology.
As Donald Bradley notes in Stock Market Prediction:
" A limitation of the siderograph is that it cannot be construed as a forecast of secular trend. In statistical terminology, 'lines of regression' fitted to the market course and to the potential should not be expected to completely agree, for reasons obvious to everybody with keen business sense or commercial training. However, the siderograph may be depended upon to reward its analyst with foreknowledge of coming conditions in general, so that the non-psychological factors may be evaluated accordingly. By this, we mean that the potential will afford one with clues as to how the mass mind will 'take' the other mechanical or governmental vicissitudes affecting high finance. The siderograph may be thought of as a principle 'symptom' in diagnosing current market circumstances and as a sounding-board for prognoses concerning further developments. "
Planned Improvement:
While Bradley did not construct the Siderograph for direct forecasting, an enhancement to this indicator would be the ability to project each curve forward in time, providing a clearer view of how upcoming planetary aspects.
This indicator is being released as open source with the hope of further refining and expanding its capabilities—particularly in developing future plots that improve visualization and analysis. Contributions and feedback are encouraged to enhance its usability and advance the study of planetary influences in market behavior.
Credits & Acknowledgments:
Inspired by Donald Bradley and his work in Stock Market Prediction: The Planetary Barometer and How to Use It.
Built using Astrolib, developed by @BarefootJoey
Built using Gauges, developed by @faiyaz7283
Fibonacci Cycle Finder🟩 Fibonacci Cycle Finder is an indicator designed to explore Fibonacci-based waves and cycles through visualization and experimentation, introducing a trigonometric approach to market structure analysis. Unlike traditional Fibonacci tools that rely on static horizontal levels, this indicator incorporates the dynamic nature of market cycles, using adjustable wavelength, phase, and amplitude settings to visualize the rhythm of price movements. By applying a sine function, it provides a structured way to examine Fibonacci relationships in a non-linear context.
Fibonacci Cycle Finder unifies Fibonacci principles with a wave-based method by employing adjustable parameters to align each wave with real-time price action. By default, the wave begins with minimal curvature, preserving the structural familiarity of horizontal Fibonacci retracements. By adjusting the input parameters, the wave can subtly transition from a horizontal line to a more pronounced cycle,visualizing cyclical structures within price movement. This projective structure extends potential cyclical outlines on the chart, opening deeper exploration of how Fibonacci relationships may emerge over time.
Fibonacci Cycle Finder further underscores a non-linear representation of price by illustrating how wave-based logic can uncover shifts that are missed by static retracement tools. Rather than imposing immediate oscillatory behavior, the indicator encourages a progressive approach, where the parameters may be incrementally modified to align wave structures with observed price action. This refinement process deepens the exploration of Fibonacci relationships, offering a systematic way to experiment with non-linear price dynamics. In doing so, it revisits fundamental Fibonacci concepts, demonstrating their broader adaptability beyond fixed horizontal retracements.
🌀 THEORY & CONCEPT 🌀
What if Fibonacci relationships could be visualized as dynamic waves rather than confined to fixed horizontal levels? Fibonacci Cycle Finder introduces a trigonometric approach to market structure analysis, offering a different perspective on Fibonacci-based cycles. This tool provides a way to visualize market fluctuations through cyclical wave motion, opening the door to further exploration of Fibonacci’s role in non-linear price behavior.
Traditional Fibonacci tools, such as retracements and extensions, have long been used to identify potential support and resistance levels. While valuable for analyzing price trends, these tools assume linear price movement and rely on static horizontal levels. However, market fluctuations often exhibit cyclical tendencies , where price follows natural wave-like structures rather than strictly adhering to fixed retracement points. Although Fibonacci-based tools such as arcs, fans, and time zones attempt to address these patterns, they primarily apply geometric projections. The Fibonacci Cycle Finder takes a different approach by mapping Fibonacci ratios along structured wave cycles, aligning these relationships with the natural curvature of market movement rather than forcing them onto rigid price levels.
Rather than replacing traditional Fibonacci methods, the Fibonacci Cycle Finder supplements existing Fibonacci theory by introducing an exploratory approach to price structure analysis. It encourages traders to experiment with how Fibonacci ratios interact with cyclical price structures, offering an additional layer of insight beyond static retracements and extensions. This approach allows Fibonacci levels to be examined beyond their traditional static form, providing deeper insights into market fluctuations.
📊 FIBONACCI WAVE IMPLEMENTATION 📊
The Fibonacci Cycle Finder uses two user-defined swing points, A and B, as the foundation for projecting these Fibonacci waves. It first establishes standard horizontal levels that correspond to traditional Fibonacci retracements, ensuring a baseline reference before wave adjustments are applied. By default, the wave is intentionally subtle— Wavelength is set to 1 , Amplitude is set to 1 , and Phase is set to 0 . In other words, the wave starts as “stretched out.” This allows a slow, measured start, encouraging users to refine parameters incrementally rather than producing abrupt oscillations. As these parameters are increased, the wave takes on more distinct sine and cosine characteristics, offering a flexible approach to exploring Fibonacci-based cyclicity within price action.
Three parameters control the shape of the Fibonacci wave:
1️⃣ Wavelength Controls the horizontal spacing of the wave along the time axis, determining the length of one full cycle from peak to peak (or trough to trough). In this indicator, Wavelength acts as a scaling input that adjusts how far the wave extends across time, rather than a strict mathematical “wavelength.” Lower values further stretch the wave, increasing the spacing between oscillations, while higher values compress it into a more frequent cycle. Each full cycle is divided into four quarter-cycle segments, a deliberate design choice to minimize curvature by default. This allows for subtle oscillations and smoother transitions, preventing excessive distortion while maintaining flexibility in wave projections. The wavelength is calculated relative to the A-B swing, ensuring that its scale adapts dynamically to the selected price range.
2️⃣ Amplitude Defines the vertical displacement of the wave relative to the baseline Fibonacci level. Higher values increase the height of oscillations, while lower values reduce the height, Negative values will invert the wave’s initial direction. The amplitude is dynamically applied in relation to the A-B swing direction, ensuring that an upward swing results in upward oscillations and a downward swing results in downward oscillations.
3️⃣ Phase Shifts the wave’s starting position along its cycle, adjusting alignment relative to the swing points. A phase of 0 aligns with a sine wave, where the cycle starts at zero and rises. A phase of 25 aligns with a cosine wave, starting at a peak and descending. A phase of 50 inverts the sine wave, beginning at zero but falling first, while a phase of 75 aligns with an inverted cosine , starting at a trough and rising. Intermediate values between these phases create gradual shifts in wave positioning, allowing for finer alignment with observed market structures.
By fine-tuning these parameters, users can adapt Fibonacci waves to better reflect observed market behaviors. The wave structure integrates with price movements rather than simply overlaying static levels, allowing for a more dynamic representation of cyclical price tendencies. This indicator serves as an exploratory tool for understanding potential market rhythms, encouraging traders to test and visualize how Fibonacci principles extend beyond their traditional applications.
🖼️ CHART EXAMPLES 🖼️
Following this downtrend, price interacts with curved Fibonacci levels, highlighting resistance at the 0.236 and 0.382 levels, where price stalls before pulling back. Support emerges at the 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 levels, where price finds stability and rebounds
In this Fibonacci retracement, price initially finds support at the 1.0 level, following the natural curvature of the cycle. Resistance forms at 0.786, leading to a pullback before price breaks through and tests 0.618 as resistance. Once 0.618 is breached, price moves upward to test 0.5, illustrating how Fibonacci-based cycles may align with evolving market structure beyond static, horizontal retracements.
Following this uptrend, price retraces downward and interacts with the Fibonacci levels, demonstrating both support and resistance at key levels such as 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618.
With only the 0.5 and 1.0 levels enabled, this chart remains uncluttered while still highlighting key price interactions. The short cycle length results in a mild curvature, aligning smoothly with market movement. Price finds resistance at the 0.5 level while showing strong support at 1.0, which follows the natural flow of the market. Keeping the focus on fewer levels helps maintain clarity while still capturing how price reacts within the cycle.
🛠️ CONFIGURATION AND SETTINGS 🛠️
Wave Parameters
Wavelength : Stretches or compresses the wave along the time axis, determining the length of one full cycle. Higher values extend the wave across more bars, while lower values compress it into a shorter time frame.
Amplitude : Expands or contracts the wave along the price axis, determining the height of oscillations relative to Fibonacci levels. Higher values increase the vertical range, while negative values invert the wave’s initial direction.
Phase : Offsets the wave along the time axis, adjusting where the cycle begins. Higher values shift the starting position forward within the wave pattern.
Fibonacci Levels
Levels : Enable or disable specific Fibonacci levels (0.0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, 1.0) to focus on relevant price zones.
Color : Modify level colors for enhanced visual clarity.
Visibility
Trend Line/Color : Toggle and customize the trend line connecting swing points A and B.
Setup Lines : Show or hide lines linking Fibonacci levels to projected waves.
A/B Labels Visibility : Control the visibility of swing point labels.
Left/Right Labels : Manage the display of Fibonacci level labels on both sides of the chart.
Fill % : Adjust shading intensity between Fibonacci levels (0% = no fill, 100% = maximum fill).
A and B Points (Time/Price):
These user-defined anchor points serve as the basis for Fibonacci wave calculations and can be manually set. A and B points can also be adjusted directly on the chart, with automatic synchronization to the settings panel, allowing for seamless modifications without needing to manually input values.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
The Fibonacci Cycle Finder is a visual analysis tool designed to illustrate Fibonacci relationships and serve as a supplement to traditional Fibonacci tools. While the indicator employs mathematical and geometric principles, no guarantee is made that its calculations will align with other Fibonacci tools or proprietary methods. Like all technical and visual indicators, the Fibonacci levels generated by this tool may appear to visually align with key price zones in hindsight. However, these levels are not intended as standalone signals for trading decisions. This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes, complementing other tools and methods of market analysis.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
Fibonacci Cycle Finder is the latest indicator in the Fibonacci Geometry Series. Building on the concepts of the Fibonacci Time-Price Zones and the Fibonacci 3-D indicators, this tool introduces a trigonometric approach to market structure analysis.
The Fibonacci Cycle Finder indicator, like other xxattaxx indicators , is designed to encourage both education and community engagement. Your feedback and insights are invaluable to refining and enhancing the Fibonacci Cycle Finder indicator. We look forward to the creative applications, observations, and discussions this tool inspires within the trading community.
Accurate Bollinger Bands mcbw_ [True Volatility Distribution]The Bollinger Bands have become a very important technical tool for discretionary and algorithmic traders alike over the last decades. It was designed to give traders an edge on the markets by setting probabilistic values to different levels of volatility. However, some of the assumptions that go into its calculations make it unusable for traders who want to get a correct understanding of the volatility that the bands are trying to be used for. Let's go through what the Bollinger Bands are said to show, how their calculations work, the problems in the calculations, and how the current indicator I am presenting today fixes these.
--> If you just want to know how the settings work then skip straight to the end or click on the little (i) symbol next to the values in the indicator settings window when its on your chart <--
--------------------------- What Are Bollinger Bands ---------------------------
The Bollinger Bands were formed in the 1980's, a time when many retail traders interacted with their symbols via physically printed charts and computer memory for personal computer memory was measured in Kb (about a factor of 1 million smaller than today). Bollinger Bands are designed to help a trader or algorithm see the likelihood of price expanding outside of its typical range, the further the lines are from the current price implies the less often they will get hit. With a hands on understanding many strategies use these levels for designated levels of breakout trades or to assist in defining price ranges.
--------------------------- How Bollinger Bands Work ---------------------------
The calculations that go into Bollinger Bands are rather simple. There is a moving average that centers the indicator and an equidistant top band and bottom band are drawn at a fixed width away. The moving average is just a typical moving average (or common variant) that tracks the price action, while the distance to the top and bottom bands is a direct function of recent price volatility. The way that the distance to the bands is calculated is inspired by formulas from statistics. The standard deviation is taken from the candles that go into the moving average and then this is multiplied by a user defined value to set the bands position, I will call this value 'the multiple'. When discussing Bollinger Bands, that trading community at large normally discusses 'the multiple' as a multiplier of the standard deviation as it applies to a normal distribution (gaußian probability). On a normal distribution the number of standard deviations away (which trades directly use as 'the multiple') you are directly corresponds to how likely/unlikely something is to happen:
1 standard deviation equals 68.3%, meaning that the price should stay inside the 1 standard deviation 68.3% of the time and be outside of it 31.7% of the time;
2 standard deviation equals 95.5%, meaning that the price should stay inside the 2 standard deviation 95.5% of the time and be outside of it 4.5% of the time;
3 standard deviation equals 99.7%, meaning that the price should stay inside the 3 standard deviation 99.7% of the time and be outside of it 0.3% of the time.
Therefore when traders set 'the multiple' to 2, they interpret this as meaning that price will not reach there 95.5% of the time.
---------------- The Problem With The Math of Bollinger Bands ----------------
In and of themselves the Bollinger Bands are a great tool, but they have become misconstrued with some incorrect sense of statistical meaning, when they should really just be taken at face value without any further interpretation or implication.
In order to explain this it is going to get a bit technical so I will give a little math background and try to simplify things. First let's review some statistics topics (distributions, percentiles, standard deviations) and then with that understanding explore the incorrect logic of how Bollinger Bands have been interpreted/employed.
---------------- Quick Stats Review ----------------
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(If you are comfortable with statistics feel free to skip ahead to the next section)
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-------- I: Probability distributions --------
When you have a lot of data it is helpful to see how many times different results appear in your dataset. To visualize this people use "histograms", which just shows how many times each element appears in the dataset by stacking each of the same elements on top of each other to form a graph. You may be familiar with the bell curve (also called the "normal distribution", which we will be calling it by). The normal distribution histogram looks like a big hump around zero and then drops off super quickly the further you get from it. This shape (the bell curve) is very nice because it has a lot of very nifty mathematical properties and seems to show up in nature all the time. Since it pops up in so many places, society has developed many different shortcuts related to it that speed up all kinds of calculations, including the shortcut that 1 standard deviation = 68.3%, 2 standard deviations = 95.5%, and 3 standard deviations = 99.7% (these only apply to the normal distribution). Despite how handy the normal distribution is and all the shortcuts we have for it are, and how much it shows up in the natural world, there is nothing that forces your specific dataset to look like it. In fact, your data can actually have any possible shape. As we will explore later, economic and financial datasets *rarely* follow the normal distribution.
-------- II: Percentiles --------
After you have made the histogram of your dataset you have built the "probability distribution" of your own dataset that is specific to all the data you have collected. There is a whole complicated framework for how to accurately calculate percentiles but we will dramatically simplify it for our use. The 'percentile' in our case is just the number of data points we are away from the "middle" of the data set (normally just 0). Lets say I took the difference of the daily close of a symbol for the last two weeks, green candles would be positive and red would be negative. In this example my dataset of day by day closing price difference is:
week 1:
week 2:
sorting all of these value into a single dataset I have:
I can separate the positive and negative returns and explore their distributions separately:
negative return distribution =
positive return distribution =
Taking the 25th% percentile of these would just be taking the value that is 25% towards the end of the end of these returns. Or akin the 100%th percentile would just be taking the vale that is 100% at the end of those:
negative return distribution (50%) = -5
positive return distribution (50%) = +4
negative return distribution (100%) = -10
positive return distribution (100%) = +20
Or instead of separating the positive and negative returns we can also look at all of the differences in the daily close as just pure price movement and not account for the direction, in this case we would pool all of the data together by ignoring the negative signs of the negative reruns
combined return distribution =
In this case the 50%th and 100%th percentile of the combined return distribution would be:
combined return distribution (50%) = 4
combined return distribution (100%) = 10
Sometimes taking the positive and negative distributions separately is better than pooling them into a combined distribution for some purposes. Other times the combined distribution is better.
Most financial data has very different distributions for negative returns and positive returns. This is encapsulated in sayings like "Price takes the stairs up and the elevator down".
-------- III: Standard Deviation --------
The formula for the standard deviation (refereed to here by its shorthand 'STDEV') can be intimidating, but going through each of its elements will illuminate what it does. The formula for STDEV is equal to:
square root ( (sum ) / N )
Going back the the dataset that you might have, the variables in the formula above are:
'mean' is the average of your entire dataset
'x' is just representative of a single point in your dataset (one point at a time)
'N' is the total number of things in your dataset.
Going back to the STDEV formula above we can see how each part of it works. Starting with the '(x - mean)' part. What this does is it takes every single point of the dataset and measure how far away it is from the mean of the entire dataset. Taking this value to the power of two: '(x - mean) ^ 2', means that points that are very far away from the dataset mean get 'penalized' twice as much. Points that are very close to the dataset mean are not impacted as much. In practice, this would mean that if your dataset had a bunch of values that were in a wide range but always stayed in that range, this value ('(x - mean) ^ 2') would end up being small. On the other hand, if your dataset was full of the exact same number, but had a couple outliers very far away, this would have a much larger value since the square par of '(x - mean) ^ 2' make them grow massive. Now including the sum part of 'sum ', this just adds up all the of the squared distanced from the dataset mean. Then this is divided by the number of values in the dataset ('N'), and then the square root of that value is taken.
There is nothing inherently special or definitive about the STDEV formula, it is just a tool with extremely widespread use and adoption. As we saw here, all the STDEV formula is really doing is measuring the intensity of the outliers.
--------------------------- Flaws of Bollinger Bands ---------------------------
The largest problem with Bollinger Bands is the assumption that price has a normal distribution. This is assumption is massively incorrect for many reasons that I will try to encapsulate into two points:
Price return do not follow a normal distribution, every single symbol on every single timeframe has is own unique distribution that is specific to only itself. Therefore all the tools, shortcuts, and ideas that we use for normal distributions do not apply to price returns, and since they do not apply here they should not be used. A more general approach is needed that allows each specific symbol on every specific timeframe to be treated uniquely.
The distributions of price returns on the positive and negative side are almost never the same. A more general approach is needed that allows positive and negative returns to be calculated separately.
In addition to the issues of the normal distribution assumption, the standard deviation formula (as shown above in the quick stats review) is essentially just a tame measurement of outliers (a more aggressive form of outlier measurement might be taking the differences to the power of 3 rather than 2). Despite this being a bit of a philosophical question, does the measurement of outlier intensity as defined by the STDEV formula really measure what we want to know as traders when we're experiencing volatility? Or would adjustments to that formula better reflect what we *experience* as volatility when we are actively trading? This is an open ended question that I will leave here, but I wanted to pose this question because it is a key part of what how the Bollinger Bands work that we all assume as a given.
Circling back on the normal distribution assumption, the standard deviation formula used in the calculation of the bands only encompasses the deviation of the candles that go into the moving average and have no knowledge of the historical price action. Therefore the level of the bands may not really reflect how the price action behaves over a longer period of time.
------------ Delivering Factually Accurate Data That Traders Need------------
In light of the problems identified above, this indicator fixes all of these issue and delivers statistically correct information that discretionary and algorithmic traders can use, with truly accurate probabilities. It takes the price action of the last 2,000 candles and builds a huge dataset of distributions that you can directly select your percentiles from. It also allows you to have the positive and negative distributions calculated separately, or if you would like, you can pool all of them together in a combined distribution. In addition to this, there is a wide selection of moving averages directly available in the indicator to choose from.
Hedge funds, quant shops, algo prop firms, and advanced mechanical groups all employ the true return distributions in their work. Now you have access to the same type of data with this indicator, wherein it's doing all the lifting for you.
------------------------------ Indicator Settings ------------------------------
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---- Moving average ----
Select the type of moving average you would like and its length
---- Bands ----
The percentiles that you enter here will be pulled directly from the return distribution of the last 2,000 candles. With the typical Bollinger Bands, traders would select 2 standard deviations and incorrectly think that the levels it highlights are the 95.5% levels. Now, if you want the true 95.5% level, you can just enter 95.5 into the percentile value here. Each of the three available bands takes the true percentile you enter here.
---- Separate Positive & Negative Distributions----
If this box is checked the positive and negative distributions are treated indecently, completely separate from each other. You will see that the width of the top and bottom bands will be different for each of the percentiles you enter.
If this box is unchecked then all the negative and positive distributions are pooled together. You will notice that the width of the top and bottom bands will be the exact same.
---- Distribution Size ----
This is the number of candles that the price return is calculated over. EG: to collect the price return over the last 33 candles, the difference of price from now to 33 candles ago is calculated for the last 2,000 candles, to build a return distribution of 2000 points of price differences over 33 candles.
NEGATIVE NUMBERS(<0) == exact number of candles to include;
EG: setting this value to -20 will always collect volatility distributions of 20 candles
POSITIVE NUMBERS(>0) == number of candles to include as a multiple of the Moving Average Length value set above;
EG: if the Moving Average Length value is set to 22, setting this value to 2 will use the last 22*2 = 44 candles for the collection of volatility distributions
MORE candles being include will generally make the bands WIDER and their size will change SLOWER over time.
I wish you focus, dedication, and earnest success on your journey.
Happy trading :)
NVOL Normalized Volume & VolatilityOVERVIEW
Plots a normalized volume (or volatility) relative to a given bar's typical value across all charted sessions. The concept is similar to Relative Volume (RVOL) and Average True Range (ATR), but rather than using a moving average, this script uses bar data from previous sessions to more accurately separate what's normal from what's anomalous. Compatible on all timeframes and symbols.
Having volume and volatility processed within a single indicator not only allows you to toggle between the two for a consistent data display, it also allows you to measure how correlated they are. These measurements are available in the data table.
DATA & MATH
The core formula used to normalize each bar is:
( Value / Basis ) × Scale
Value
The current bar's volume or volatility (see INPUTS section). When set to volume, it's exactly what you would expect (the volume of the bar). When set to volatility, it's the bar's range (high - low).
Basis
A statistical threshold (Mean, Median, or Q3) plus a Sigma multiple (standard deviations). The default is set to the Mean + Sigma × 3 , which represents 99.7% of data in a normal distribution. The values are derived from the current bar's equivalent in other sessions. For example, if the current bar time is 9:30 AM, all previous 9:30 AM bars would be used to get the Mean and Sigma. Thus Mean + Sigma × 3 would represent the Normal Bar Vol at 9:30 AM.
Scale
Depends on the Normalize setting, where it is 1 when set to Ratio, and 100 when set to Percent. This simply determines the plot's scale (ie. 0 to 1 vs. 0 to 100).
INPUTS
While the default configuration is recommended for a majority of use cases (see BEST PRACTICES), settings should be adjusted so most of the Normalized Plot and Linear Regression are below the Signal Zone. Only the most extreme values should exceed this area.
Normalize
Allows you to specify what should be normalized (Volume or Volatility) and how it should be measured (as a Ratio or Percentage). This sets the value and scale in the core formula.
Basis
Specifies the statistical threshold (Mean, Median, or Q3) and how many standard deviations should be added to it (Sigma). This is the basis in the core formula.
Mean is the sum of values divided by the quantity of values. It's what most people think of when they say "average."
Median is the middle value, where 50% of the data will be lower and 50% will be higher.
Q3 is short for Third Quartile, where 75% of the data will be lower and 25% will be higher (think three quarters).
Sample
Determines the maximum sample size.
All Charted Bars is the default and recommended option, and ignores the adjacent lookback number.
Lookback is not recommended, but it is available for comparisons. It uses the adjacent lookback number and is likely to produce unreliable results outside a very specific context that is not suitable for most traders. Normalization is not a moving average. Unless you have a good reason to limit the sample size, do not use this option and instead use All Charted Bars .
Show Vol. name on plot
Overlays "VOLUME" or "VOLATILITY" on the plot (whichever you've selected).
Lin. Reg.
Polynomial regressions are great for capturing non-linear patterns in data. TradingView offers a "linear regression curve", which this script uses as a substitute. If you're unfamiliar with either term, think of this like a better moving average.
You're able to specify the color, length, and multiple (how much to amplify the value). The linear regression derives its value from the normalized values.
Norm. Val.
This is the color of the normalized value of the current bar (see DATA & MATH section). You're able to specify the default, within signal, and beyond signal colors. As well as the plot style.
Fade in colors between zero and the signal
Programmatically adjust the opacity of the primary plot color based on it's normalized value. When enabled, values equal to 0 will be fully transparent, become more opaque as they move away from 0, and be fully opaque at the signal. Adjusting opacity in this way helps make difference more obvious.
Plot relative to bar direction
If enabled, the normalized value will be multiplied by -1 when a bar's open is greater than the bar's close, mirroring price direction.
Technically volume and volatility are directionless. Meaning there's really no such thing as buy volume, sell volume, positive volatility, or negative volatility. There is just volume (1 buy = 1 sell = 1 volume) and volatility (high - low). Even so, visually reflecting the net effect of pricing pressure can still be useful. That's all this setting does.
Sig. Zone
Signal zones make identifying extremes easier. They do not signal if you should buy or sell, only that the current measurement is beyond what's normal. You are able to adjust the color and bounds of the zone.
Int. Levels
Interim levels can be useful when you want to visually bracket values into high / medium / low. These levels can have a value anywhere between 0 and 1. They will automatically be multiplied by 100 when the scale is set to Percent.
Zero Line
This setting allows you to specify the visibility of the zero line to best suit your trading style.
Volume & Volatility Stats
Displays a table of core values for both volume and volatility. Specifically the actual value, threshold (mean, median, or Q3), sigma (standard deviation), basis, normalized value, and linear regression.
Correlation Stats
Displays a table of correlation statistics for the current bar, as well as the data set average. Specifically the coefficient, R2, and P-Value.
Indices & Sample Size
Displays a table of mixed data. Specifically the current bar's index within the session, the current bar's index within the sample, and the sample size used to normalize the current bar's value.
BEST PRACTICES
NVOL can tell you what's normal for 9:30 AM. RVOL and ATR can only tell you if the current value is higher or lower than a moving average.
In a normal distribution (bell curve) 99.7% of data occurs within 3 standard deviations of the mean. This is why the default basis is set to "Mean, 3"; it includes the typical day-to-day fluctuations, better contextualizing what's actually normal, minimizing false positives.
This means a ratio value greater than 1 only occurs 0.3% of the time. A series of these values warrants your attention. Which is why the default signal zone is between 1 and 2. Ratios beyond 2 would be considered extreme with the default settings.
Inversely, ratio values less than 1 (the normal daily fluctuations) also tell a story. We should expect most values to occur around the middle 3rd, which is why interim levels default to 0.33 and 0.66, visually simplifying a given move's participation. These can be set to whatever you like and only serve as visual aids for your specific trading style.
It's worth noting that the linear regression oscillates when plotted directionally, which can help clarify short term move exhaustion and continuation. Akin to a relative strength index (RSI), it may be used to inform a trading decision, but it should not be the only factor.
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones🟩 Fibonacci Time-Price Zones is a chart visualization tool that combines Fibonacci ratios with time-based and price-based geometry to analyze market behavior. Unlike typical Fibonacci indicators that focus solely on horizontal price levels, this indicator incorporates time into the analysis, providing a more dynamic perspective on price action.
The indicator offers multiple ways to visualize Fibonacci relationships. Drawing segmented circles creates a unique perspective on price action by incorporating time into the analysis. These segmented circles, similar to TradingView's built-in Fibonacci Circles, are derived from Fibonacci time and price levels, allowing traders to identify potential turning points based on the dynamic interaction between price and time.
As another distinct visualization method, the indicator incorporates orthogonal patterns, created by the intersection of horizontal and vertical Fibonacci levels. These intersections form L-shaped connections on the chart, derived from key Fibonacci price and time intervals, highlighting potential areas of support or resistance at specific points in time.
In addition to these geometric approaches, another option is sloped lines, which project Fibonacci levels that account for both time and price along the trendline. These projections derive their angles from the interplay between Fibonacci price levels and Fibonacci time intervals, creating dynamic zones on the chart. The slope of these lines reflects the direction and angle of the trend, providing a visual representation of price alignment with market direction, while maintaining the time-price relationship unique to this indicator
The indicator also includes horizontal Fibonacci levels similar to traditional retracement and extension tools. However, unlike standard tools, traders can display retracement levels, extension levels, or both simultaneously from a single instance of the indicator. These horizontal levels maintain consistency with the chosen visualization method, automatically scaling and adapting whether used with circles, orthogonal patterns, or slope-based analysis.
By combining these distinct methods—circles, orthogonal patterns, sloped projections, and horizontal levels—the indicator provides a comprehensive approach to Fibonacci analysis based on both time and price relationships. Each visualization method offers a unique perspective on market structure while maintaining the core principle of time-price interaction.
⭕ THEORY AND CONCEPT ⭕
While traditional Fibonacci tools excel at identifying potential support and resistance levels through price-based ratios (0.236, 0.382, 0.618), they do not incorporate the dimension of time in market analysis. Extensions and retracements effectively measure price relationships within trends, yet markets move through both price and time dimensions simultaneously.
Fibonacci circles represent an evolution in technical analysis by incorporating time intervals alongside price levels. Based on the mathematical principle that markets often move in circular patterns proportional to Fibonacci ratios, these circles project potential support and resistance zones as partial circles radiating from significant price points. However, traditional circle-based tools can create visual complexity that obscures key market relationships. The integration of time into Fibonacci analysis reveals how price movements often respect both temporal and price-based ratios, suggesting a deeper geometric structure to market behavior.
The Fibonacci Time-Price Zones indicator advances these concepts by providing multiple geometric approaches to visualize time-price relationships. Each shape option—circles, orthogonal patterns, slopes, and horizontal levels—represents a different mathematical perspective on how Fibonacci ratios manifest across both dimensions. This multi-faceted approach allows traders to observe how price responds to Fibonacci-based zones that account for both time and price movements, potentially revealing market structure that purely price-based tools might miss.
Shape Options
The indicator employs four distinct geometric approaches to analyze Fibonacci relationships across time and price dimensions:
Circular : Represents the cyclical nature of market movements through partial circles, where each radius is scaled by Fibonacci ratios incorporating both time and price components. This geometry suggests market movements may follow proportional circular paths from significant pivot points, reflecting the harmonic relationship between time and price.
Orthogonal : Constructs L-shaped patterns that separate the time and price components of Fibonacci relationships. The horizontal component represents price levels, while the vertical component measures time intervals, allowing analysis of how these dimensions interact independently at key market points.
Sloped : Projects Fibonacci levels along the prevailing trend, incorporating both time and price in the angle of projection. This approach suggests that support and resistance levels may maintain their relationship to price while adjusting to the temporal flow of the market.
Horizontal : Provides traditional static Fibonacci levels that serve as a reference point for comparing price-only analysis with the dynamic time-price relationships shown in the other three shapes. This baseline approach allows traders to evaluate how the incorporation of time dimension enhances or modifies traditional Fibonacci analysis.
By combining these geometric approaches, the Fibonacci Time-Price Zones indicator creates a comprehensive analytical framework that bridges traditional and advanced Fibonacci analysis. The horizontal levels serve as familiar reference points, while the dynamic elements—circular, orthogonal, and sloped projections—reveal how price action responds to temporal relationships. This multi-dimensional approach enables traders to study market structure through various geometric lenses, providing deeper insights into time-price symmetry within technical analysis. Whether applied to retracements, extensions, or trend analysis, the indicator offers a structured methodology for understanding how markets move through both price and time dimensions.
🛠️ CONFIGURATION AND SETTINGS 🛠️
The Fibonacci Time-Price Zones indicator offers a range of configurable settings to tailor its functionality and visual representation to your specific analysis needs. These options allow you to customize zone visibility, structures, horizontal lines, and other features.
Important Note: The indicator's calculations are anchored to user-defined start and end points on the chart. When switching between charts with significantly different price scales (e.g., from Bitcoin at $100,000 to Silver at $30), adjustment of these anchor points is required to ensure correct positioning of the Fibonacci elements.
Fibonacci Levels
The indicator allows users to customize Fibonacci levels for both retracement and extension analysis. Each level can be individually configured with the following options:
Visibility : Toggle the visibility of each level to focus on specific areas of interest.
Level Value : Set the Fibonacci ratio for the level, such as 0.618 or 1.000, to align with your analysis needs.
Color : Customize the color of each level for better visual clarity.
Line Thickness : Adjust the line thickness to emphasize critical levels or maintain a cleaner chart.
Setup
Zone Type : Select which Fibonacci zones to display:
- Retracement : Shows potential pull back levels within the trend
- Extension : Projects levels beyond the trend for potential continuation targets
- Both : Displays both retracement and extension zones simultaneously
Shape : Choose from four visualization methods:
- Circular : Time-price based semicircles centered on point B
- Orthogonal : L-shaped patterns combining time and price levels
- Sloped : Trend-aligned projections of Fibonacci levels
- Horizontal : Traditional horizontal Fibonacci levels
Visual Settings
Fill % : Adjusts the fill intensity of zones:
0% : No fill between levels
100% : Maximum fill between levels
Lines :
Trendline : The base A-B trend with customizable color
Extension : B-C projection line
Retracement : B-D pullback line
Labels :
Points : Show/hide A, B, C, D markers
Levels : Show/hide Fibonacci percentages
Time-Price Points
Set the time and price for the points that define the Fibonacci zones and horizontal levels. These points are defined upon loading the chart. These points can be configured directly in the settings or adjusted interactively on the live chart.
A and B Points : These user-defined time and price points determine the basis for calculating the semicircles and Fibonacci levels. While the settings panel displays their exact values for fine-tuning, the easiest way to modify these points is by dragging them directly on the chart for quick adjustments.
Interactive Adjustments : Any changes made to the points on the chart will automatically synchronize with the settings panel, ensuring consistency and precision.
🖼️ CHART EXAMPLES 🖼️
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones using the 'Circular' Shape option. Note the price interaction at the 0.786 level, which acts as a support zone. Additional points of interest include resistance near the 0.618 level and consolidation around the 0.5 level, highlighting the utility of both horizontal and semicircular Fibonacci projections in identifying key price areas.
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones using the 'Sloped' Shape option. The chart displays price retracing along the sloped Fibonacci levels, with blue arrows highlighting potential support zones at 0.618 and 0.786, and a red arrow indicating potential resistance at the 1.0 level. This visual representation aligns with the prevailing downtrend, suggesting potential selling pressure at the 1.0 Fibonacci level.
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones using the 'Orthogonal' Shape option. The chart demonstrates price action interacting with vertical zones created by the orthogonal lines at the 0.618, 0.786, and 1.0 Fibonacci levels. Blue arrows highlight potential support areas, while red arrows indicate potential resistance areas, revealing how the orthogonal lines can identify distinct points of price interaction.
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones using the 'Circular' Shape option. The chart displays price action in relation to segmented circles emanating from the starting point (point A). The circles represent different Fibonacci ratios (0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786) and their intersections with the price axis create potential zones of support and resistance. This approach offers a visually distinct way to analyze potential turning points based on both price and time.
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones using the 'Sloped' Shape option. The sloped Fibonacci levels (0.786, 0.618, 0.5) create zones of potential support and resistance, with price finding clear interaction within these areas. The ellipses highlight this price action, particularly the support between 0.786 and 0.618, which aligns closely with the trend.
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones using the 'Circular' Shape option. The price action appears to be ‘hugging’ the 0.5 Fibonacci level, suggesting potential resistance. This demonstrates how the circular zones can identify potential turning points and areas of consolidation which might not be seen with linear analysis.
Fibonacci Time-Price Zones using the 'Sloped' Shape option with Point D marker enabled. The chart demonstrates clear price action closely following along the sloped Retracement line until the orthogonal intersection at the 0.618 levels where the trend is broken and price dips throughout the 0.618 to 0.786 horizontal zone. Price jumps back to the retracement slope at the start of the 0.786 horizontal zone and continues to the 1.0 horizontal zone. The aqua-colored retracement line is enabled to further emphasize this retracement slope .
Geometric validation using TradingView's built-in Fibonacci Circle tool (overlaid). The alignment at the 0.5 and 1.0 levels demonstrates the indicator's consistent approximation of Fibonacci Circles.
Comparison of Fibonacci Time-Price Zones (Shape: Horizontal) with TradingView's Built-in Retracement and Extension Tools (overlaid): This example demonstrates how the Horizontal structure aligns with TradingView’s retracement and extension levels, allowing users to integrate multiple tools seamlessly. The Fibonacci circle connects retracement and extension zones, highlighting the potential relationship between past retracements and future extensions.
📐 GEOMETRIC FOUNDATIONS 📐
This indicator integrates circular and straight representations of Fibonacci levels, specifically the Circular , Orthogonal , Sloped , and Horizontal shape options. The geometric principles behind these shapes differ significantly, requiring distinct scaling methods for accurate representation. The Circular shape employs logarithmic scaling with radial expansion, where the distance from a central point determines the level's position, creating partial circles that align with TradingView's built-in Fibonacci Circle tool. The other three shapes utilize geometric progression scaling for linear extension from a starting point, resulting in straight lines that align with TradingView's built-in Fibonacci retracement and extension tools. Due to these distinct geometric foundations and scaling methods, perfectly aligning both the partial circles and straight lines simultaneously is mathematically constrained, though any differences are typically visually imperceptible.
The Circular shape's partial circles are calculated and scaled to align with TradingView's built-in Fibonacci Circles. These circles are plotted from the second swing point onward. This approach ensures consistent and accurate visualization across all market types, including those with gaps or closed sessions, which unlike 24/7 markets, do not have a direct one-to-one correspondence between bar indices and time. To maintain accurate geometric proportions across varying chart scales, the indicator calculates an aspect ratio by normalizing the proportional difference between vertical (price) and horizontal (time) distances of the swing points. This normalization factor ensures geometric shapes maintain their mathematical properties regardless of price scale magnitude or time period span, while maintaining the correct proportions of the geometric constructions at any chart zoom level.
The indicator automatically applies the appropriate scaling factor based on the selected shape option, optimizing either circular proportions and proper radius calculations for each Fibonacci level, or straight-line relationships between Fibonacci levels. These distinct scaling approaches maintain mathematical integrity while preserving the essential characteristics of each geometric representation, ensuring optimal visualization accuracy whether using circular or linear shapes.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
The Fibonacci Time-Price Zones indicator is a visual analysis tool designed to illustrate Fibonacci relationships through geometric constructions incorporating both curved and straight lines, providing a structured framework for identifying potential areas of price interaction. It is not intended as a predictive or standalone trading signal indicator.
The indicator calculates levels and projections using user-defined anchor points and Fibonacci ratios. While it aims to align with TradingView’s Fibonacci extension, retracement, and circle tools by employing mathematical and geometric formulas, no guarantee is made that its calculations are identical to TradingView's proprietary methods.
Like all technical and visual indicators, these visual representations may visually align with key price zones in hindsight, reflecting observed price dynamics. However, these visualizations are not standalone signals for trading decisions and should be interpreted as part of a broader analytical approach.
This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes, complementing other tools and methods of market analysis. Users are encouraged to integrate it into a comprehensive trading strategy, customizing its settings to suit their specific needs and market conditions.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
The Fibonacci Time-Price Zones indicator is designed to encourage both education and community engagement. By integrating time-sensitive geometry with Fibonacci-based frameworks, it bridges traditional grid-based analysis with dynamic time-price relationships. The inclusion of semicircles, horizontal levels, orthogonal structures, and sloped trends provides users with versatile tools to explore the interaction between price movements and temporal intervals while maintaining clarity and adaptability.
As an open-source tool, the indicator invites exploration, experimentation, and customization. Whether used as a standalone resource or alongside other technical strategies, it serves as a practical and educational framework for understanding market structure and Fibonacci relationships in greater depth.
Your feedback and contributions are essential to refining and enhancing the Fibonacci Time-Price Zones indicator. We look forward to the creative applications, adaptations, and insights this tool inspires within the trading community.
Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday ClockThe **Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday Clock** is a composite indicator that evaluates multiple market conditions to determine financial risk levels. It combines four key metrics: market volatility (via VIX), yield curve spread, stock market momentum, and credit risk (via high-yield spread). Each metric contributes to a weighted "risk score," scaled between 0 and 100, which helps gauge the probability of a financial crisis. Here's a breakdown of how it works:
### 1. **Market Volatility (VIX)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Uses the VIX index, which represents expected market volatility.
- Applies two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to smooth out the data—one fast and one slow.
- Triggers a signal if the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA and VIX exceeds a defined threshold (default is 30).
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 35% of the total risk score when active.
### 2. **Yield Curve Spread**
- **How it's measured:**
- Takes the difference between the yields of 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds (inversion indicates recession risk).
- If the spread drops below a certain threshold (default is 0.2), it signals a potential recession.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 25% of the risk score.
### 3. **Stock Market Momentum**
- **How it's measured:**
- Analyzes the S&P 500 (SPY) using a 20-day EMA for price momentum.
- Checks for a cross under the 20-day EMA and if the 5-day rate of change (ROC) is less than -2.
- This combination signals bearish market momentum.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the risk score.
### 4. **Credit Risk (High Yield Spread)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Assesses high-yield corporate bond spreads using EMAs, similar to the VIX logic.
- A crossover of the fast EMA above the slow EMA combined with spreads exceeding a defined threshold (default is 5.0) indicates increased credit risk.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the total risk score.
### 5. **Risk Score Calculation**
- The final **risk score** ranges from 0 to 100 and is calculated using the weighted sum of the four indicators.
- The score is smoothed to minimize false signals and maintain stability.
### 6. **Risk Zones**
- **Extreme Risk:** If the risk score is ≥ 75, indicating a severe crisis warning.
- **High Risk:** If the risk score is between 15 and 75, signaling heightened risk.
- **Moderate Risk:** If the risk score is between 10 and 15, representing potential concerns.
- **Low Risk:** If the risk score is < 10, suggesting stable conditions.
### 7. **Visual & Alerts**
- The indicator plots the risk score on a chart with color-coded backgrounds to indicate risk levels: green (low), yellow (moderate), orange (high), and red (extreme).
- Alert conditions are set for each risk zone, notifying users when the risk level transitions into a higher zone.
This indicator aims to quickly detect potential financial crises by aggregating signals from key market factors, making it a versatile tool for traders, analysts, and risk managers.
Cosine-Weighted MA ATR [InvestorUnknown]The Cosine-Weighted Moving Average (CWMA) ATR (Average True Range) indicator is designed to enhance the analysis of price movements in financial markets. By incorporating a cosine-based weighting mechanism , this indicator provides a unique approach to smoothing price data and measuring volatility, making it a valuable tool for traders and investors.
Cosine-Weighted Moving Average (CWMA)
The CWMA is calculated using weights derived from the cosine function, which emphasizes different data points in a distinctive manner. Unlike traditional moving averages that assign equal weight to all data points, the cosine weighting allocates more significance to values at the edges of the data window. This can help capture significant price movements while mitigating the impact of outlier values.
The weights are shifted to ensure they remain non-negative, which helps in maintaining a stable calculation throughout the data series. The normalization of these weights ensures they sum to one, providing a proportional contribution to the average.
// Function to calculate the Cosine-Weighted Moving Average with shifted weights
f_Cosine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float cosine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(cosine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.cos((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length) + 1 // Shift by adding 1
array.push(cosine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(cosine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(cosine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(cosine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Cosine-Weighted Moving Average
cwma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
cwma := cwma + array.get(cosine_weights, i) * close
cwma
Cosine-Weighted ATR Calculation
The ATR is an essential measure of volatility, reflecting the average range of price movement over a specified period. The Cosine-Weighted ATR uses a similar weighting scheme to that of the CWMA, allowing for a more nuanced understanding of volatility. By emphasizing more recent price movements while retaining sensitivity to broader trends, this ATR variant offers traders enhanced insight into potential price fluctuations.
// Function to calculate the Cosine-Weighted ATR with shifted weights
f_Cosine_Weighted_ATR(simple int length) =>
var float cosine_weights_atr = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(cosine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.cos((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length) + 1 // Shift by adding 1
array.push(cosine_weights_atr, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights_atr = array.sum(cosine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight_atr = array.get(cosine_weights_atr, i) / sum_weights_atr
array.set(cosine_weights_atr, i, norm_weight_atr)
// Calculate Cosine-Weighted ATR using true ranges
cwatr = 0.0
tr = ta.tr(true) // True Range
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
cwatr := cwatr + array.get(cosine_weights_atr, i) * tr
cwatr
Signal Generation
The indicator generates long and short signals based on the relationship between the price (user input) and the calculated upper and lower bands, derived from the CWMA and the Cosine-Weighted ATR. Crossover conditions are used to identify potential entry points, providing a systematic approach to trading decisions.
// - - - - - CALCULATIONS - - - - - //{
bar b = bar.new()
float src = b.calc_src(cwma_src)
float cwma = f_Cosine_Weighted_MA(src, ma_length)
// Use normal ATR or Cosine-Weighted ATR based on input
float atr = atr_type == "Normal ATR" ? ta.atr(atr_len) : f_Cosine_Weighted_ATR(atr_len)
// Calculate upper and lower bands using ATR
float cwma_up = cwma + (atr * atr_mult)
float cwma_dn = cwma - (atr * atr_mult)
float src_l = b.calc_src(src_long)
float src_s = b.calc_src(src_short)
// Signal logic for crossovers and crossunders
var int signal = 0
if ta.crossover(src_l, cwma_up)
signal := 1
if ta.crossunder(src_s, cwma_dn)
signal := -1
//}
Backtest Mode and Equity Calculation
To evaluate its effectiveness, the indicator includes a backtest mode, allowing users to test its performance on historical data:
Backtest Equity: A detailed equity curve is calculated based on the generated signals over a user-defined period (startDate to endDate).
Buy and Hold Comparison: Alongside the strategy’s equity, a Buy-and-Hold equity curve is plotted for performance comparison.
Visualization and Alerts
The indicator features customizable plots, allowing users to visualize the CWMA, ATR bands, and signals effectively. The colors change dynamically based on market conditions, with clear distinctions between long and short signals.
Alerts can be configured to notify users of crossover events, providing timely information for potential trading opportunities.
Sine-Weighted MA ATR [InvestorUnknown]The Sine-Weighted MA ATR is a technical analysis tool designed to emphasize recent price data using sine-weighted calculations , making it particularly well-suited for analyzing cyclical markets with repetitive patterns . The indicator combines the Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA) and a Sine-Weighted Average True Range (SWATR) to enhance price trend detection and volatility analysis.
Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA):
Unlike traditional moving averages that apply uniform or exponentially decaying weights, the SWMA applies Sine weights to the price data.
Emphasis on central data points: The Sine function assigns more weight to the middle of the lookback period, giving less importance to the beginning and end points. This helps capture the main trend more effectively while reducing noise from recent volatility or older data.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted Moving Average
f_Sine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(sine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(sine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(sine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted Moving Average
swma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swma := swma + array.get(sine_weights, i) * close
swma
Sine-Weighted ATR:
This is a variation of the Average True Range (ATR), which measures market volatility. Like the SWMA, the ATR is smoothed using Sine-based weighting, where central values are more heavily considered compared to the extremities. This improves sensitivity to changes in volatility while maintaining stability in highly volatile markets.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted ATR
f_Sine_Weighted_ATR(simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights_atr = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights_atr, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights_atr = array.sum(sine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight_atr = array.get(sine_weights_atr, i) / sum_weights_atr
array.set(sine_weights_atr, i, norm_weight_atr)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted ATR using true ranges
swatr = 0.0
tr = ta.tr(true) // True Range
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swatr := swatr + array.get(sine_weights_atr, i) * tr
swatr
ATR Bands:
Upper and lower bands are created by adding/subtracting the Sine-Weighted ATR from the SWMA. These bands help identify overbought or oversold conditions, and when the price crosses these levels, it may generate long or short trade signals.
// - - - - - CALCULATIONS - - - - - //{
bar b = bar.new()
float src = b.calc_src(swma_src)
float swma = f_Sine_Weighted_MA(src, ma_length)
// Use normal ATR or Sine-Weighted ATR based on input
float atr = atr_type == "Normal ATR" ? ta.atr(atr_len) : f_Sine_Weighted_ATR(atr_len)
// Calculate upper and lower bands using ATR
float swma_up = swma + (atr * atr_mult)
float swma_dn = swma - (atr * atr_mult)
float src_l = b.calc_src(src_long)
float src_s = b.calc_src(src_short)
// Signal logic for crossovers and crossunders
var int signal = 0
if ta.crossover(src_l, swma_up)
signal := 1
if ta.crossunder(src_s, swma_dn)
signal := -1
//}
Signal Logic:
Long/Short Signals are triggered when the price crosses above or below the Sine-Weighted ATR bands
Backtest Mode and Equity Calculation
To evaluate its effectiveness, the indicator includes a backtest mode, allowing users to test its performance on historical data:
Backtest Equity: A detailed equity curve is calculated based on the generated signals over a user-defined period (startDate to endDate).
Buy and Hold Comparison: Alongside the strategy’s equity, a Buy-and-Hold equity curve is plotted for performance comparison.
Alerts
The indicator includes built-in alerts for both long and short signals, ensuring users are promptly notified when market conditions meet the criteria for an entry or exit.
Global Liquidity Index and DEMA1001. Global Liquidity Index:
The code calculates global liquidity from economic data from multiple countries and regions. Specifically, it aggregates money supply data from major economies such as the United States, Europe, China, and Japan, and sums and adjusts them to get a global liquidity index.
This index is calculated by summing data from different sources and subtracting the impact of some financial instruments (such as reverse repurchase agreements, etc.), and then converting the result into a number in trillions. This can help analyze the liquidity conditions in global money markets.
2. ROC SMA (Simple Moving Average of Rate of Change):
The code calculates the rate of change (ROC) of the global liquidity index, which is a way to measure the speed of change of the index.
Then, a simple moving average (SMA) is applied to the rate of change, which helps smooth the data and identify trends.
The ROC SMA curve is displayed in yellow to help users observe the trend of liquidity changes.
3. DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average):
DEMA is a more complex moving average that attempts to reduce the lag of the moving average and provide a more sensitive trend response.
The calculation method is to first calculate a standard exponential moving average (EMA), then calculate the EMA of this EMA, and use these two results to calculate DEMA.
The code allows users to set the period length of DEMA (default is 100), which can adjust the speed of DEMA's response to price changes.
The DEMA curve is displayed in blue, helping users to more accurately capture the trends and changes of global liquidity indicators.
DrawingLibrary "Drawing"
User Defined types and methods for basic drawing structure. Consolidated from the earlier libraries - DrawingTypes and DrawingMethods
method get_price(this, bar)
get line price based on bar
Namespace types: Line
Parameters:
this (Line) : (series Line) Line object.
bar (int) : (series/int) bar at which line price need to be calculated
Returns: line price at given bar.
method init(this)
Namespace types: PolyLine
Parameters:
this (PolyLine)
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/Point object to string representation
Namespace types: chart.point
Parameters:
this (chart.point) : DrawingTypes/Point object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/Point
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/LineProperties object to string representation
Namespace types: LineProperties
Parameters:
this (LineProperties) : DrawingTypes/LineProperties object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/LineProperties
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/Line object to string representation
Namespace types: Line
Parameters:
this (Line) : DrawingTypes/Line object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/Line
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/LabelProperties object to string representation
Namespace types: LabelProperties
Parameters:
this (LabelProperties) : DrawingTypes/LabelProperties object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/LabelProperties
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/Label object to string representation
Namespace types: Label
Parameters:
this (Label) : DrawingTypes/Label object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/Label
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/Linefill object to string representation
Namespace types: Linefill
Parameters:
this (Linefill) : DrawingTypes/Linefill object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/Linefill
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/BoxProperties object to string representation
Namespace types: BoxProperties
Parameters:
this (BoxProperties) : DrawingTypes/BoxProperties object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/BoxProperties
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/BoxText object to string representation
Namespace types: BoxText
Parameters:
this (BoxText) : DrawingTypes/BoxText object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/BoxText
method tostring(this, sortKeys, sortOrder, includeKeys)
Converts DrawingTypes/Box object to string representation
Namespace types: Box
Parameters:
this (Box) : DrawingTypes/Box object
sortKeys (bool) : If set to true, string output is sorted by keys.
sortOrder (int) : Applicable only if sortKeys is set to true. Positive number will sort them in ascending order whreas negative numer will sort them in descending order. Passing 0 will not sort the keys
includeKeys (array) : Array of string containing selective keys. Optional parmaeter. If not provided, all the keys are considered
Returns: string representation of DrawingTypes/Box
method delete(this)
Deletes line from DrawingTypes/Line object
Namespace types: Line
Parameters:
this (Line) : DrawingTypes/Line object
Returns: Line object deleted
method delete(this)
Deletes label from DrawingTypes/Label object
Namespace types: Label
Parameters:
this (Label) : DrawingTypes/Label object
Returns: Label object deleted
method delete(this)
Deletes Linefill from DrawingTypes/Linefill object
Namespace types: Linefill
Parameters:
this (Linefill) : DrawingTypes/Linefill object
Returns: Linefill object deleted
method delete(this)
Deletes box from DrawingTypes/Box object
Namespace types: Box
Parameters:
this (Box) : DrawingTypes/Box object
Returns: DrawingTypes/Box object deleted
method delete(this)
Deletes lines from array of DrawingTypes/Line objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Line objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Line objects
method delete(this)
Deletes labels from array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
method delete(this)
Deletes linefill from array of DrawingTypes/Linefill objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Linefill objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Linefill objects
method delete(this)
Deletes boxes from array of DrawingTypes/Box objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Box objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Box objects
method clear(this)
clear items from array of DrawingTypes/Line while deleting underlying objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : array
Returns: void
method clear(this)
clear items from array of DrawingTypes/Label while deleting underlying objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : array
Returns: void
method clear(this)
clear items from array of DrawingTypes/Linefill while deleting underlying objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : array
Returns: void
method clear(this)
clear items from array of DrawingTypes/Box while deleting underlying objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : array
Returns: void
method draw(this)
Creates line from DrawingTypes/Line object
Namespace types: Line
Parameters:
this (Line) : DrawingTypes/Line object
Returns: line created from DrawingTypes/Line object
method draw(this)
Creates lines from array of DrawingTypes/Line objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Line objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Line objects
method draw(this)
Creates label from DrawingTypes/Label object
Namespace types: Label
Parameters:
this (Label) : DrawingTypes/Label object
Returns: label created from DrawingTypes/Label object
method draw(this)
Creates labels from array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
method draw(this)
Creates linefill object from DrawingTypes/Linefill
Namespace types: Linefill
Parameters:
this (Linefill) : DrawingTypes/Linefill objects
Returns: linefill object created
method draw(this)
Creates linefill objects from array of DrawingTypes/Linefill objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Linefill objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Linefill used for creating linefills
method draw(this)
Creates box from DrawingTypes/Box object
Namespace types: Box
Parameters:
this (Box) : DrawingTypes/Box object
Returns: box created from DrawingTypes/Box object
method draw(this)
Creates labels from array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
this (array) : Array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Label objects
method createLabel(this, lblText, tooltip, properties)
Creates DrawingTypes/Label object from DrawingTypes/Point
Namespace types: chart.point
Parameters:
this (chart.point) : DrawingTypes/Point object
lblText (string) : Label text
tooltip (string) : Tooltip text. Default is na
properties (LabelProperties) : DrawingTypes/LabelProperties object. Default is na - meaning default values are used.
Returns: DrawingTypes/Label object
method createLine(this, other, properties)
Creates DrawingTypes/Line object from one DrawingTypes/Point to other
Namespace types: chart.point
Parameters:
this (chart.point) : First DrawingTypes/Point object
other (chart.point) : Second DrawingTypes/Point object
properties (LineProperties) : DrawingTypes/LineProperties object. Default set to na - meaning default values are used.
Returns: DrawingTypes/Line object
method createLinefill(this, other, fillColor, transparency)
Creates DrawingTypes/Linefill object from DrawingTypes/Line object to other DrawingTypes/Line object
Namespace types: Line
Parameters:
this (Line) : First DrawingTypes/Line object
other (Line) : Other DrawingTypes/Line object
fillColor (color) : fill color of linefill. Default is color.blue
transparency (int) : fill transparency for linefill. Default is 80
Returns: Array of DrawingTypes/Linefill object
method createBox(this, other, properties, textProperties)
Creates DrawingTypes/Box object from one DrawingTypes/Point to other
Namespace types: chart.point
Parameters:
this (chart.point) : First DrawingTypes/Point object
other (chart.point) : Second DrawingTypes/Point object
properties (BoxProperties) : DrawingTypes/BoxProperties object. Default set to na - meaning default values are used.
textProperties (BoxText) : DrawingTypes/BoxText object. Default is na - meaning no text will be drawn
Returns: DrawingTypes/Box object
method createBox(this, properties, textProperties)
Creates DrawingTypes/Box object from DrawingTypes/Line as diagonal line
Namespace types: Line
Parameters:
this (Line) : Diagonal DrawingTypes/PoLineint object
properties (BoxProperties) : DrawingTypes/BoxProperties object. Default set to na - meaning default values are used.
textProperties (BoxText) : DrawingTypes/BoxText object. Default is na - meaning no text will be drawn
Returns: DrawingTypes/Box object
LineProperties
Properties of line object
Fields:
xloc (series string) : X Reference - can be either xloc.bar_index or xloc.bar_time. Default is xloc.bar_index
extend (series string) : Property which sets line to extend towards either right or left or both. Valid values are extend.right, extend.left, extend.both, extend.none. Default is extend.none
color (series color) : Line color
style (series string) : Line style, valid values are line.style_solid, line.style_dashed, line.style_dotted, line.style_arrow_left, line.style_arrow_right, line.style_arrow_both. Default is line.style_solid
width (series int) : Line width. Default is 1
Line
Line object created from points
Fields:
start (chart.point) : Starting point of the line
end (chart.point) : Ending point of the line
properties (LineProperties) : LineProperties object which defines the style of line
object (series line) : Derived line object
LabelProperties
Properties of label object
Fields:
xloc (series string) : X Reference - can be either xloc.bar_index or xloc.bar_time. Default is xloc.bar_index
yloc (series string) : Y reference - can be yloc.price, yloc.abovebar, yloc.belowbar. Default is yloc.price
color (series color) : Label fill color
style (series string) : Label style as defined in Tradingview Documentation. Default is label.style_none
textcolor (series color) : text color. Default is color.black
size (series string) : Label text size. Default is size.normal. Other values are size.auto, size.tiny, size.small, size.normal, size.large, size.huge
textalign (series string) : Label text alignment. Default if text.align_center. Other allowed values - text.align_right, text.align_left, text.align_top, text.align_bottom
text_font_family (series string) : The font family of the text. Default value is font.family_default. Other available option is font.family_monospace
Label
Label object
Fields:
point (chart.point) : Point where label is drawn
lblText (series string) : label text
tooltip (series string) : Tooltip text. Default is na
properties (LabelProperties) : LabelProperties object
object (series label) : Pine label object
Linefill
Linefill object
Fields:
line1 (Line) : First line to create linefill
line2 (Line) : Second line to create linefill
fillColor (series color) : Fill color
transparency (series int) : Fill transparency range from 0 to 100
object (series linefill) : linefill object created from wrapper
BoxProperties
BoxProperties object
Fields:
border_color (series color) : Box border color. Default is color.blue
bgcolor (series color) : box background color
border_width (series int) : Box border width. Default is 1
border_style (series string) : Box border style. Default is line.style_solid
extend (series string) : Extend property of box. default is extend.none
xloc (series string) : defines if drawing needs to be done based on bar index or time. default is xloc.bar_index
BoxText
Box Text properties.
Fields:
boxText (series string) : Text to be printed on the box
text_size (series string) : Text size. Default is size.auto
text_color (series color) : Box text color. Default is color.yellow.
text_halign (series string) : horizontal align style - default is text.align_center
text_valign (series string) : vertical align style - default is text.align_center
text_wrap (series string) : text wrap style - default is text.wrap_auto
text_font_family (series string) : Text font. Default is
Box
Box object
Fields:
p1 (chart.point) : Diagonal point one
p2 (chart.point) : Diagonal point two
properties (BoxProperties) : Box properties
textProperties (BoxText) : Box text properties
object (series box) : Box object created
PolyLineProperties
Fields:
curved (series bool)
closed (series bool)
xloc (series string)
lineColor (series color)
fillColor (series color)
lineStyle (series string)
lineWidth (series int)
PolyLine
Fields:
points (array)
properties (PolyLineProperties)
object (series polyline)
Multiple Naked LevelsPURPOSE OF THE INDICATOR
This indicator autogenerates and displays naked levels and gaps of multiple types collected into one simple and easy to use indicator.
VALUE PROPOSITION OF THE INDICATOR AND HOW IT IS ORIGINAL AND USEFUL
1) CONVENIENCE : The purpose of this indicator is to offer traders with one coherent and robust indicator providing useful, valuable, and often used levels - in one place.
2) CLUSTERS OF CONFLUENCES : With this indicator it is easy to identify levels and zones on the chart with multiple confluences increasing the likelihood of a potential reversal zone.
THE TYPES OF LEVELS AND GAPS INCLUDED IN THE INDICATOR
The types of levels include the following:
1) PIVOT levels (Daily/Weekly/Monthly) depicted in the chart as: dnPIV, wnPIV, mnPIV.
2) POC (Point of Control) levels (Daily/Weekly/Monthly) depicted in the chart as: dnPoC, wnPoC, mnPoC.
3) VAH/VAL STD 1 levels (Value Area High/Low with 1 std) (Daily/Weekly/Monthly) depicted in the chart as: dnVAH1/dnVAL1, wnVAH1/wnVAL1, mnVAH1/mnVAL1
4) VAH/VAL STD 2 levels (Value Area High/Low with 2 std) (Daily/Weekly/Monthly) depicted in the chart as: dnVAH2/dnVAL2, wnVAH2/wnVAL2, mnVAH1/mnVAL2
5) FAIR VALUE GAPS (Daily/Weekly/Monthly) depicted in the chart as: dnFVG, wnFVG, mnFVG.
6) CME GAPS (Daily) depicted in the chart as: dnCME.
7) EQUILIBRIUM levels (Daily/Weekly/Monthly) depicted in the chart as dnEQ, wnEQ, mnEQ.
HOW-TO ACTIVATE LEVEL TYPES AND TIMEFRAMES AND HOW-TO USE THE INDICATOR
You can simply choose which of the levels to be activated and displayed by clicking on the desired radio button in the settings menu.
You can locate the settings menu by clicking into the Object Tree window, left-click on the Multiple Naked Levels and select Settings.
You will then get a menu of different level types and timeframes. Click the checkboxes for the level types and timeframes that you want to display on the chart.
You can then go into the chart and check out which naked levels that have appeared. You can then use those levels as part of your technical analysis.
The levels displayed on the chart can serve as additional confluences or as part of your overall technical analysis and indicators.
In order to back-test the impact of the different naked levels you can also enable tapped levels to be depicted on the chart. Do this by toggling the 'Show tapped levels' checkbox.
Keep in mind however that Trading View can not shom more than 500 lines and text boxes so the indocator will not be able to give you the complete history back to the start for long duration assets.
In order to clean up the charts a little bit there are two additional settings that can be used in the Settings menu:
- Selecting the price range (%) from the current price to be included in the chart. The default is 25%. That means that all levels below or above 20% will not be displayed. You can set this level yourself from 0 up to 100%.
- Selecting the minimum gap size to include on the chart. The default is 1%. That means that all gaps/ranges below 1% in price difference will not be displayed on the chart. You can set the minimum gap size yourself.
BASIC DESCRIPTION OF THE INNER WORKINGS OF THE INDICTATOR
The way the indicator works is that it calculates and identifies all levels from the list of levels type and timeframes above. The indicator then adds this level to a list of untapped levels.
Then for each bar after, it checks if the level has been tapped. If the level has been tapped or a gap/range completely filled, this level is removed from the list so that the levels displayed in the end are only naked/untapped levels.
Below is a descrition of each of the level types and how it is caluclated (algorithm):
PIVOT
Daily, Weekly and Monthly levels in trading refer to significant price points that traders monitor within the context of a single trading day. These levels can provide insights into market behavior and help traders make informed decisions regarding entry and exit points.
Traders often use D/W/M levels to set entry and exit points for trades. For example, entering long positions near support (daily close) or selling near resistance (daily close).
Daily levels are used to set stop-loss orders. Placing stops just below the daily close for long positions or above the daily close for short positions can help manage risk.
The relationship between price movement and daily levels provides insights into market sentiment. For instance, if the price fails to break above the daily high, it may signify bearish sentiment, while a strong breakout can indicate bullish sentiment.
The way these levels are calculated in this indicator is based on finding pivots in the chart on D/W/M timeframe. The level is then set to previous D/W/M close = current D/W/M open.
In addition, when price is going up previous D/W/M open must be smaller than previous D/W/M close and current D/W/M close must be smaller than the current D/W/M open. When price is going down the opposite.
POINT OF CONTROL
The Point of Control (POC) is a key concept in volume profile analysis, which is commonly used in trading.
It represents the price level at which the highest volume of trading occurred during a specific period.
The POC is derived from the volume traded at various price levels over a defined time frame. In this indicator the timeframes are Daily, Weekly, and Montly.
It identifies the price level where the most trades took place, indicating strong interest and activity from traders at that price.
The POC often acts as a significant support or resistance level. If the price approaches the POC from above, it may act as a support level, while if approached from below, it can serve as a resistance level. Traders monitor the POC to gauge potential reversals or breakouts.
The way the POC is calculated in this indicator is by an approximation by analysing intrabars for the respective timeperiod (D/W/M), assigning the volume for each intrabar into the price-bins that the intrabar covers and finally identifying the bin with the highest aggregated volume.
The POC is the price in the middle of this bin.
The indicator uses a sample space for intrabars on the Daily timeframe of 15 minutes, 35 minutes for the Weekly timeframe, and 140 minutes for the Monthly timeframe.
The indicator has predefined the size of the bins to 0.2% of the price at the range low. That implies that the precision of the calulated POC og VAH/VAL is within 0.2%.
This reduction of precision is a tradeoff for performance and speed of the indicator.
This also implies that the bigger the difference from range high prices to range low prices the more bins the algorithm will iterate over. This is typically the case when calculating the monthly volume profile levels and especially high volatility assets such as alt coins.
Sometimes the number of iterations becomes too big for Trading View to handle. In these cases the bin size will be increased even more to reduce the number of iterations.
In such cases the bin size might increase by a factor of 2-3 decreasing the accuracy of the Volume Profile levels.
Anyway, since these Volume Profile levels are approximations and since precision is traded for performance the user should consider the Volume profile levels(POC, VAH, VAL) as zones rather than pin point accurate levels.
VALUE AREA HIGH/LOW STD1/STD2
The Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL) are important concepts in volume profile analysis, helping traders understand price levels where the majority of trading activity occurs for a given period.
The Value Area High/Low is the upper/lower boundary of the value area, representing the highest price level at which a certain percentage of the total trading volume occurred within a specified period.
The VAH/VAL indicates the price point above/below which the majority of trading activity is considered less valuable. It can serve as a potential resistance/support level, as prices above/below this level may experience selling/buying pressure from traders who view the price as overvalued/undervalued
In this indicator the timeframes are Daily, Weekly, and Monthly. This indicator provides two boundaries that can be selected in the menu.
The first boundary is 70% of the total volume (=1 standard deviation from mean). The second boundary is 95% of the total volume (=2 standard deviation from mean).
The way VAH/VAL is calculated is based on the same algorithm as for the POC.
However instead of identifying the bin with the highest volume, we start from range low and sum up the volume for each bin until the aggregated volume = 30%/70% for VAL1/VAH1 and aggregated volume = 5%/95% for VAL2/VAH2.
Then we simply set the VAL/VAH equal to the low of the respective bin.
FAIR VALUE GAPS
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) is a concept primarily used in technical analysis and price action trading, particularly within the context of futures and forex markets. They refer to areas on a price chart where there is a noticeable lack of trading activity, often highlighted by a significant price movement away from a previous level without trading occurring in between.
FVGs represent price levels where the market has moved significantly without any meaningful trading occurring. This can be seen as a "gap" on the price chart, where the price jumps from one level to another, often due to a rapid market reaction to news, events, or other factors.
These gaps typically appear when prices rise or fall quickly, creating a space on the chart where no transactions have taken place. For example, if a stock opens sharply higher and there are no trades at the prices in between the two levels, it creates a gap. The areas within these gaps can be areas of liquidity that the market may return to “fill” later on.
FVGs highlight inefficiencies in pricing and can indicate areas where the market may correct itself. When the market moves rapidly, it may leave behind price levels that traders eventually revisit to establish fair value.
Traders often watch for these gaps as potential reversal or continuation points. Many traders believe that price will eventually “fill” the gap, meaning it will return to those price levels, providing potential entry or exit points.
This indicator calculate FVGs on three different timeframes, Daily, Weekly and Montly.
In this indicator the FVGs are identified by looking for a three-candle pattern on a chart, signalling a discrete imbalance in order volume that prompts a quick price adjustment. These gaps reflect moments where the market sentiment strongly leans towards buying or selling yet lacks the opposite orders to maintain price stability.
The indicator sets the gap to the difference from the high of the first bar to the low of the third bar when price is moving up or from the low of the first bar to the high of the third bar when price is moving down.
CME GAPS (BTC only)
CME gaps refer to price discrepancies that can occur in charts for futures contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). These gaps typically arise from the fact that many futures markets, including those on the CME, operate nearly 24 hours a day but may have significant price movements during periods when the market is closed.
CME gaps occur when there is a difference between the closing price of a futures contract on one trading day and the opening price on the following trading day. This difference can create a "gap" on the price chart.
Opening Gaps: These usually happen when the market opens significantly higher or lower than the previous day's close, often influenced by news, economic data releases, or other market events occurring during non-trading hours.
Gaps can result from reactions to major announcements or developments, such as earnings reports, geopolitical events, or changes in economic indicators, leading to rapid price movements.
The importance of CME Gaps in Trading is the potential for Filling Gaps: Many traders believe that prices often "fill" gaps, meaning that prices may return to the gap area to establish fair value.
This can create potential trading opportunities based on the expectation of gap filling. Gaps can act as significant support or resistance levels. Traders monitor these levels to identify potential reversal points in price action.
The way the gap is identified in this indicator is by checking if current open is higher than previous bar close when price is moving up or if current open is lower than previous day close when price is moving down.
EQUILIBRIUM
Equilibrium in finance and trading refers to a state where supply and demand in a market balance each other, resulting in stable prices. It is a key concept in various economic and trading contexts. Here’s a concise description:
Market Equilibrium occurs when the quantity of a good or service supplied equals the quantity demanded at a specific price level. At this point, there is no inherent pressure for the price to change, as buyers and sellers are in agreement.
Equilibrium Price is the price at which the market is in equilibrium. It reflects the point where the supply curve intersects the demand curve on a graph. At the equilibrium price, the market clears, meaning there are no surplus goods or shortages.
In this indicator the equilibrium level is calculated simply by finding the midpoint of the Daily, Weekly, and Montly candles respectively.
NOTES
1) Performance. The algorithms are quite resource intensive and the time it takes the indicator to calculate all the levels could be 5 seconds or more, depending on the number of bars in the chart and especially if Montly Volume Profile levels are selected (POC, VAH or VAL).
2) Levels displayed vs the selected chart timeframe. On a timeframe smaller than the daily TF - both Daily, Weekly, and Monthly levels will be displayed. On a timeframe bigger than the daily TF but smaller than the weekly TF - the Weekly and Monthly levels will be display but not the Daily levels. On a timeframe bigger than the weekly TF but smaller than the monthly TF - only the Monthly levels will be displayed. Not Daily and Weekly.
CREDITS
The core algorithm for calculating the POC levels is based on the indicator "Naked Intrabar POC" developed by rumpypumpydumpy (https:www.tradingview.com/u/rumpypumpydumpy/).
The "Naked intrabar POC" indicator calculates the POC on the current chart timeframe.
This indicator (Multiple Naked Levels) adds two new features:
1) It calculates the POC on three specific timeframes, the Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes - not only the current chart timeframe.
2) It adds functionaly by calculating the VAL and VAH of the volume profile on the Daily, Weekly, Monthly timeframes .
All Harmonic Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws and sends alerts for all of the harmonic patterns in my public library as they occur. The patterns included are as follows:
• Bearish 5-0
• Bullish 5-0
• Bearish ABCD
• Bullish ABCD
• Bearish Alternate Bat
• Bullish Alternate Bat
• Bearish Bat
• Bullish Bat
• Bearish Butterfly
• Bullish Butterfly
• Bearish Cassiopeia A
• Bullish Cassiopeia A
• Bearish Cassiopeia B
• Bullish Cassiopeia B
• Bearish Cassiopeia C
• Bullish Cassiopeia C
• Bearish Crab
• Bullish Crab
• Bearish Deep Crab
• Bullish Deep Crab
• Bearish Cypher
• Bullish Cypher
• Bearish Gartley
• Bullish Gartley
• Bearish Shark
• Bullish Shark
• Bearish Three-Drive
• Bullish Three-Drive
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Measurement Tolerances
Tolerance refers to the allowable variation or deviation from a specific value or dimension. It is the range within which a particular measurement is considered to be acceptable or accurate. I have applied this concept in my pattern detection logic and have set default tolerances where applicable, as perfect patterns are, needless to say, very rare.
Chart Patterns
Generally speaking price charts are nothing more than a series of swing highs and swing lows. When demand outweighs supply over a period of time prices swing higher and when supply outweighs demand over a period of time prices swing lower. These swing highs and swing lows can form patterns that offer insight into the prevailing supply and demand dynamics at play at the relevant moment in time.
‘Let us assume… that you the reader, are not a member of that mysterious inner circle known to the boardrooms as “the insiders”… But it is fairly certain that there are not nearly so many “insiders” as amateur trader supposes and… It is even more certain that insiders can be wrong… Any success they have, however, can be accomplished only by buying and selling… hey can do neither without altering the delicate poise of supply and demand that governs prices. Whatever they do is sooner or later reflected on the charts where you… can detect it. Or detect, at least, the way in which the supply-demand equation is being affected… So, you do not need to be an insider to ride with them frequently… prices move in trends. Some of those trends are straight, some are curved; some are brief and some are long and continued… produced in a series of action and reaction waves of great uniformity. Sooner or later, these trends change direction; they may reverse (as from up to down), or they may be interrupted by some sort of sideways movement and then, after a time, proceed again in their former direction… when a price trend is in the process of reversal… a characteristic area or pattern takes shape on the chart, which becomes recognisable as a reversal formation… Needless to say, the first and most important task of the technical chart analyst is to learn to know the important reversal formations and to judge what they may signify in terms of trading opportunities’ (Edwards & Magee, 1948).
This is as true today as it was when Edwards and Magee were writing in the first half of the last Century, study your patterns and make judgements for yourself about what their implications truly are on the markets and timeframes you are interested in trading.
Over the years, traders have come to discover a multitude of chart and candlestick patterns that are supposed to pertain information on future price movements. However, it is never so clear cut in practice and patterns that where once considered to be reversal patterns are now considered to be continuation patterns and vice versa. Bullish patterns can have bearish implications and bearish patterns can have bullish implications. As such, I would highly encourage you to do your own backtesting.
There is no denying that chart patterns exist, but their implications will vary from market to market and timeframe to timeframe. So it is down to you as an individual to study them and make decisions about how they may be used in a strategic sense.
Harmonic Patterns
The concept of harmonic patterns in trading was first introduced by H.M. Gartley in his book "Profits in the Stock Market", published in 1935. Gartley observed that markets have a tendency to move in repetitive patterns, and he identified several specific patterns that he believed could be used to predict future price movements. The bullish and bearish Gartley patterns are the oldest recognized harmonic patterns in trading and all the other harmonic patterns are modifications of the original Gartley patterns. Gartley patterns are fundamentally composed of 5 points, or 4 waves.
Since then, many other traders and analysts have built upon Gartley's work and developed their own variations of harmonic patterns. One such contributor is Larry Pesavento, who developed his own methods for measuring harmonic patterns using Fibonacci ratios. Pesavento has written several books on the subject of harmonic patterns and Fibonacci ratios in trading. Another notable contributor to harmonic patterns is Scott Carney, who developed his own approach to harmonic trading in the late 1990s and also popularised the use of Fibonacci ratios to measure harmonic patterns. Carney expanded on Gartley's work and also introduced several new harmonic patterns, such as the Shark pattern and the 5-0 pattern.
█ INPUTS
• Change pattern and label colours
• Show or hide patterns individually
• Adjust pattern tolerances
• Set or remove alerts for individual patterns
█ NOTES
You can test the patterns with your own strategies manually by applying the indicator to your chart while in bar replay mode and playing through the history. You could also automate this process with PineScript by using the conditions from my swing and pattern libraries as entry conditions in the strategy tester or your own custom made strategy screener.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
█ SOURCES
Edwards, R., & Magee, J. (1948) Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (10th edn). Reprint, Boca Raton, Florida: Taylor and Francis Group, CRC Press: 2013.
All Chart Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws and sends alerts for all of the chart patterns in my public library as they occur. The patterns included are as follows:
• Ascending Broadening
• Broadening
• Descending Broadening
• Double Bottom
• Double Top
• Triple Bottom
• Triple Top
• Bearish Elliot Wave
• Bullish Elliot Wave
• Bearish Alternate Flag
• Bullish Alternate Flag
• Bearish Flag
• Bullish Flag
• Bearish Ascending Head and Shoulders
• Bullish Ascending Head and Shoulders
• Bearish Descending Head and Shoulders
• Bullish Descending Head and Shoulders
• Bearish Head and Shoulders
• Bullish Head and Shoulders
• Bearish Pennant
• Bullish Pennant
• Ascending Wedge
• Descending Wedge
• Wedge
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Measurement Tolerances
Tolerance refers to the allowable variation or deviation from a specific value or dimension. It is the range within which a particular measurement is considered to be acceptable or accurate. I have applied this concept in my pattern detection logic and have set default tolerances where applicable, as perfect patterns are, needless to say, very rare.
Chart Patterns
Generally speaking price charts are nothing more than a series of swing highs and swing lows. When demand outweighs supply over a period of time prices swing higher and when supply outweighs demand over a period of time prices swing lower. These swing highs and swing lows can form patterns that offer insight into the prevailing supply and demand dynamics at play at the relevant moment in time.
‘Let us assume… that you the reader, are not a member of that mysterious inner circle known to the boardrooms as “the insiders”… But it is fairly certain that there are not nearly so many “insiders” as amateur trader supposes and… It is even more certain that insiders can be wrong… Any success they have, however, can be accomplished only by buying and selling… hey can do neither without altering the delicate poise of supply and demand that governs prices. Whatever they do is sooner or later reflected on the charts where you… can detect it. Or detect, at least, the way in which the supply-demand equation is being affected… So, you do not need to be an insider to ride with them frequently… prices move in trends. Some of those trends are straight, some are curved; some are brief and some are long and continued… produced in a series of action and reaction waves of great uniformity. Sooner or later, these trends change direction; they may reverse (as from up to down), or they may be interrupted by some sort of sideways movement and then, after a time, proceed again in their former direction… when a price trend is in the process of reversal… a characteristic area or pattern takes shape on the chart, which becomes recognisable as a reversal formation… Needless to say, the first and most important task of the technical chart analyst is to learn to know the important reversal formations and to judge what they may signify in terms of trading opportunities’ (Edwards & Magee, 1948).
This is as true today as it was when Edwards and Magee were writing in the first half of the last Century, study your patterns and make judgements for yourself about what their implications truly are on the markets and timeframes you are interested in trading.
Over the years, traders have come to discover a multitude of chart and candlestick patterns that are supposed to pertain information on future price movements. However, it is never so clear cut in practice and patterns that where once considered to be reversal patterns are now considered to be continuation patterns and vice versa. Bullish patterns can have bearish implications and bearish patterns can have bullish implications. As such, I would highly encourage you to do your own backtesting.
There is no denying that chart patterns exist, but their implications will vary from market to market and timeframe to timeframe. So it is down to you as an individual to study them and make decisions about how they may be used in a strategic sense.
█ INPUTS
• Change pattern and label colours
• Show or hide patterns individually
• Adjust pattern ratios and tolerances
• Set or remove alerts for individual patterns
█ NOTES
I have decided to rename some of my previously published patterns based on the way in which the pattern completes. If the pattern completes on a swing high then the pattern is considered bearish, if the pattern completes on a swing low then it is considered bullish. This may seem confusing but it makes sense when you come to backtesting the patterns and want to use the most recent peak or trough prices as stop losses. Patterns that can complete on both a swing high and swing low are for such reasons treated as neutral, namely all broadening and wedge variations. I trust that it is quite self-evident that double and triple bottom patterns are considered bullish while double and triple top patterns are considered bearish, so I did not feel the need to rename those.
The patterns that have been renamed and what they have been renamed to, are as follows:
• Ascending Elliot Waves to Bearish Elliot Waves
• Descending Elliot Waves to Bullish Elliot Waves
• Ascending Head and Shoulders to Bearish Ascending Head and Shoulders
• Descending Head and Shoulders to Bearish Descending Head and Shoulders
• Head and Shoulders to Bearish Head and Shoulders
• Ascending Inverse Head and Shoulders to Bullish Ascending Head and Shoulders
• Descending Inverse Head and Shoulders to Bullish Descending Head and Shoulders
• Inverse Head and Shoulders to Bullish Head and Shoulders
You can test the patterns with your own strategies manually by applying the indicator to your chart while in bar replay mode and playing through the history. You could also automate this process with PineScript by using the conditions from my swing and pattern libraries as entry conditions in the strategy tester or your own custom made strategy screener.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
█ SOURCES
Edwards, R., & Magee, J. (1948) Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (10th edn). Reprint, Boca Raton, Florida: Taylor and Francis Group, CRC Press: 2013.
Nasan Moving Average with ForecastThe "Nasan Moving Average with Forecast" indicator is a technical analysis forecasting tool that combines the principles of historical data analysis and random walk theory. It calculates a customized moving average (Nasan Moving Average) by integrating price data and statistical measures and projects future price points by generating forecast values within calculated volatility bounds, creating a dynamic and insightful visualization of potential market movements. This indicator to blend past market behavior with probabilistic future trends to enhance forecasting.
Input Parameters:
len: Differencing length (default 21, Use a minimum of 5 and for lower time frames less than 15 min use values between 300 -3000)
len1: Correction Factor Length 1 (default 21, this determines the length of the MA you want , eg. 10 MA, 50 MA, 100 MA, )
len2: Correction Factor Length 2 (default 9, this works best if it is ~ </=1/2 of len1 )
len3: Smoothing Length (default 5, I would not change this and only use if I want to introduce lag where you want to use it for cross over strategies).
forecast_points: Number of points to forecast (default 30).
m: Multiplier for standard deviation (default 2.5).
bl: Block length for calculating max/min values (default 100).
use_calculated_max_min: Boolean to decide whether to use calculated max/min values.
Nasan Moving Average Calculation:
Calculates the simple moving average (mean) and standard deviation (sd) of the typical price (hlc3).
Computes intermediate variables (a, b, c, etc.) based on log transformation and cumulative sum.
Applies weighted moving averages (wma) to these intermediate variables to smooth them and derive the final value c6.
Plots c6 as the Nasan Moving Average if the bar is confirmed. To learn more see Nasan Moving Average.
Forecast Points Calculation:
Calculates maximum (max_val) and minimum (min_val) values for the forecast, either using a fixed value or based on standard deviation and a multiplier.
Initializes an array to store forecast values and creates polyline objects for plotting.
If the current bar is one of the last three bars and confirmed:
Clears and reinitializes the polyline.
Initializes the first forecast value from the cumulative sum c.
Generates subsequent forecast values using a random value within the range .
Updates the forecast array and plots the forecast points as an orange curved polyline.
Plotting Max/Min Values:
Plots max_val and min_val as green and red lines, respectively, to indicate the bounds of the forecast range.
Components of the Forecasting Model
Historical Dependence:
Nasan Moving Average Calculation: The script calculates a custom moving average (c6) that incorporates historical price data (hlc3), standard deviations (sd), and weighted moving averages (wma). This part of the code processes historical data to create a smoothed representation of the price trend.
Max/Min Value Calculation: The maximum (max_val) and minimum (min_val) values for the forecast can be calculated based on the historical standard deviation of a transformed variable b over a block length (bl). This introduces historical volatility into the bounds for the forecast.
Random Walk Model:
Random Value Generation: Within the forecast points calculation, a random value (random_val) is generated for each forecast point within the range . This random value introduces stochasticity into the model, characteristic of a random walk process.
Cumulative Sum for Forecasting: The script uses a cumulative sum (prev_f + random_val) to generate the next forecast point (next_f). This is a typical approach in random walk models where each new point is based on the previous point plus some random noise.
Explanation of the Forecast Model
Random Walk Characteristics: Each new forecast point is generated by adding a random value to the previous point, making the model a random walk with drift, where the drift is influenced by historical correction factors (c1, c4).
Historical and Statistical Dependence: The bounds of the random values and the initial conditions are derived from historical data, ensuring that the forecast respects historical volatility and trends.
The forecasting model in the script is a hybrid approach: It uses a random walk to generate future points, characterized by adding random values to the previous forecasted value.
The historical and statistical dependence is incorporated through initial conditions, scaling factors, and bounds derived from historical price data and its statistical properties.
This combination ensures that the forecasts are not purely stochastic but are grounded in historical price behavior, making the model more robust and potentially more accurate in reflecting market conditions.
Drawing toolThis indicator is a simple drawing tool without changing the code!
You need:
1. activate the display of coordinates (Show coordinate input)
You will see a 17 by 17 table with indexes of intersection points, in the format: (x,y)
2. activate the Enable custom drawing input
3. enter the sequence of points that you want to connect into the Coordinate for drawing input in the format: (x,y);(x,y)....
4. select line color and fill color
5. if necessary, activate Curved and Closed
In addition, you can look at some examples
Danger Signals from The Trading MindwheelThe " Danger Signals " indicator, a collaborative creation from the minds at Amphibian Trading and MARA Wealth, serves as your vigilant lookout in the volatile world of stock trading. Drawing from the wisdom encapsulated in "The Trading Mindwheel" and the successful methodologies of legends like William O'Neil and Mark Minervini, this tool is engineered to safeguard your trading journey.
Core Features:
Real-Time Alerts: Identify critical danger signals as they emerge in the market. Whether it's a single day of heightened risk or a pattern forming, stay informed with specific danger signals and a tally of signals for comprehensive decision-making support. The indicator looks for over 30 different signals ranging from simple closing ranges to more complex signals like blow off action.
Tailored Insights with Portfolio Heat Integration: Pair with the "Portfolio Heat" indicator to customize danger signals based on your current positions, entry points, and stops. This personalized approach ensures that the insights are directly relevant to your trading strategy. Certain signals can have different meanings based on where your trade is at in its lifecycle. Blow off action at the beginning of a trend can be viewed as strength, while after an extended run could signal an opportunity to lock in profits.
Forward-Looking Analysis: Leverage the 'Potential Danger Signals' feature to assess future risks. Enter hypothetical price levels to understand potential market reactions before they unfold, enabling proactive trade management.
The indicator offers two different modes of 'Potential Danger Signals', Worst Case or Immediate. Worst Case allows the user to input any price and see what signals would fire based on price reaching that level, while the Immediate mode looks for potential Danger Signals that could happen on the next bar.
This is achieved by adding and subtracting the average daily range to the current bars close while also forecasting the next values of moving averages, vwaps, risk multiples and the relative strength line to see if a Danger Signal would trigger.
User Customization: Flexibility is at your fingertips with toggle options for each danger signal. Tailor the indicator to match your unique trading style and risk tolerance. No two traders are the same, that is why each signal is able to be turned on or off to match your trading personality.
Versatile Application: Ideal for growth stock traders, momentum swing traders, and adherents of the CANSLIM methodology. Whether you're a novice or a seasoned investor, this tool aligns with strategies influenced by trading giants.
Validation and Utility:
Inspired by the trade management principles of Michael Lamothe, the " Danger Signals " indicator is more than just a tool; it's a reflection of tested strategies that highlight the importance of risk management. Through rigorous validation, including the insights from "The Trading Mindwheel," this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with an informed, strategic approach.
Whether you're contemplating a new position or evaluating an existing one, the " Danger Signals " indicator is designed to provide the clarity needed to avoid potential pitfalls and capitalize on opportunities with confidence. Embrace a smarter way to trade, where awareness and preparation open the door to success.
Let's dive into each of the components of this indicator.
Volume: Volume refers to the number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period. It is a measure of the total trading activity and liquidity, indicating the overall interest in a stock or market.
Price Action: the analysis of historical prices to inform trading decisions, without the use of technical indicators. It focuses on the movement of prices to identify patterns, trends, and potential reversal points in the market.
Relative Strength Line: The RS line is a popular tool used to compare the performance of a stock, typically calculated as the ratio of the stock's price to a benchmark index's price. It helps identify outperformers and underperformers relative to the market or a specific sector. The RS value is calculated by dividing the close price of the chosen stock by the close price of the comparative symbol (SPX by default).
Average True Range (ATR): ATR is a market volatility indicator used to show the average range prices swing over a specified period. It is calculated by taking the moving average of the true ranges of a stock for a specific period. The true range for a period is the greatest of the following three values:
The difference between the current high and the current low.
The absolute value of the current high minus the previous close.
The absolute value of the current low minus the previous close.
Average Daily Range (ADR): ADR is a measure used in trading to capture the average range between the high and low prices of an asset over a specified number of past trading days. Unlike the Average True Range (ATR), which accounts for gaps in the price from one day to the next, the Average Daily Range focuses solely on the trading range within each day and averages it out.
Anchored VWAP: AVWAP gives the average price of an asset, weighted by volume, starting from a specific anchor point. This provides traders with a dynamic average price considering both price and volume from a specific start point, offering insights into the market's direction and potential support or resistance levels.
Moving Averages: Moving Averages smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price over a specific period of time. It helps traders identify trends by flattening out the fluctuations in price data.
Stochastic: A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a certain period of time. The theory behind the stochastic oscillator is that in a market trending upwards, prices will tend to close near their high, and in a market trending downwards, prices close near their low.
While each of these components offer unique insights into market behavior, providing sell signals under specific conditions, the power of combining these different signals lies in their ability to confirm each other's signals. This in turn reduces false positives and provides a more reliable basis for trading decisions
These signals can be recognized at any time, however the indicators power is in it's ability to take into account where a trade is in terms of your entry price and stop.
If a trade just started, it hasn’t earned much leeway. Kind of like a new employee that shows up late on the first day of work. It’s less forgivable than say the person who has been there for a while, has done well, is on time, and then one day comes in late.
Contextual Sensitivity:
For instance, a high volume sell-off coupled with a bearish price action pattern significantly strengthens the sell signal. When the price closes below an Anchored VWAP or a critical moving average in this context, it reaffirms the bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is likely to continue downwards.
By considering the relative strength line (RS) alongside volume and price action, the indicator can differentiate between a normal retracement in a strong uptrend and a when a stock starts to become a laggard.
The integration of ATR and ADR provides a dynamic framework that adjusts to the market's volatility. A sudden increase in ATR or a character change detected through comparing short-term and long-term ADR can alert traders to emerging trends or reversals.
The "Danger Signals" indicator exemplifies the power of integrating diverse technical indicators to create a more sophisticated, responsive, and adaptable trading tool. This approach not only amplifies the individual strengths of each indicator but also mitigates their weaknesses.
Portfolio Heat Indicator can be found by clicking on the image below
Danger Signals Included
Price Closes Near Low - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Weekly Low - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Daily Low on Heavy Volume - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Price Closes Near Weekly Low on Heavy Volume - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Weeks
Price Closes Below Moving Average - Price Closes Below One of 5 Selected Moving Averages
Price Closes Below Swing Low - Price Closes Below Most Recent Swing Low
Price Closes Below 1.5 ATR - Price Closes Below Trailing ATR Stop Based on Highest High of Last 10 Days
Price Closes Below AVWAP - Price Closes Below Selected Anchored VWAP (Anchors include: High of base, Low of base, Highest volume of base, Custom date)
Price Shows Aggressive Selling - Current Bars High is Greater Than Previous Day's High and Closes Near the Lows on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Outside Reversal Bar - Price Makes a New High and Closes Near the Lows, Lower Than the Previous Bar's Low
Price Shows Signs of Stalling - Heavy Volume with a Close of Less than 1%
3 Consecutive Days of Lower Lows - 3 Days of Lower Lows
Close Lower than 3 Previous Lows - Close is Less than 3 Previous Lows
Character Change - ADR of Last Shorter Length is Larger than ADR of Longer Length
Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic - Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic
Fast & Slow Stochastic Curved Down - Both Stochastic Lines Close Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
Lower Lows & Lower Highs Intraday - Lower High and Lower Low on 30 Minute Timeframe
Moving Average Crossunder - Selected MA Crosses Below Other Selected MA
RS Starts Curving Down - Relative Strength Line Closes Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
RS Turns Negative Short Term - RS Closes Below RS of 7 Days Ago
RS Underperforms Price - Relative Strength Line Not at Highs, While Price Is
Moving Average Begins to Flatten Out - First Day MA Doesn't Close Higher
Price Moves Higher on Lighter Volume - Price Makes a New High on Light Volume and 15 Day Average Volume is Less than 50 Day Average
Price Hits % Target - Price Moves Set % Higher from Entry Price
Price Hits R Multiple - Price hits (Entry - Stop Multiplied by Setting) and Added to Entry
Price Hits Overhead Resistance - Price Crosses a Swing High from a Monthly Timeframe Chart from at Least 1 Year Ago
Price Hits Fib Level - Price Crosses a Fib Extension Drawn From Base High to Low
Price Hits a Psychological Level - Price Crosses a Multiple of 0 or 5
Heavy Volume After Significant Move - Above Average and Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days 35 Bars or More from Breakout
Moving Averages Begin to Slope Downward - Moving Averages Fall for 2 Consecutive Days
Blow Off Action - Highest Volume, Largest Spread, Multiple Gaps in a Row 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Late Buying Frenzy - ANTS 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Exhaustion Gap - Gap Up 5% or Higher with Price 125% or More Above 200sma
Interest Rate DifferentialInterest Rate Differential Indicator
Description:
This Pine Script indicator displays the interest rate spread between two countries, illustrating the differential in 10-year bond yields (or other maturities on the curve). By default, it compares the 10-year bond yield of Germany (DE10Y) with that of the United States (US10Y), for EUR/USD pair analysis. Change the yields to compare other pairs. The spread between the rates of the curve of two countries provides traders and analysts with insights into the carry cost and interest rate dynamics between these economies. The indicator is crucial for assessing the relative strength of the bond market and the economic outlook (including inflation expectations and risk premium) of the selected countries, aiding in trade decisions and market analysis.
Tradução para Português Brasileiro
Título: Indicador de Diferencial de Juros (DE10Y-US10Y)
Descrição:
Este indicador em Pine Script exibe o spread de juros entre dois países, mostrando o diferencial de yields dos títulos de 10 anos (ou de outro vencimento na curva). Por padrão, ele compara o rendimento do título de 10 anos da Alemanha (DE10Y) com o dos Estados Unidos (US10Y), para análise do par EUR/USD. Mude os yields para outros pares. O spread entre as taxas do curva entre 2 países proporciona aos traders e analistas uma visão do custo de carrego e da dinâmica das taxas de juros entre estas economias. O indicador é fundamental para avaliar a força relativa do mercado de títulos e a perspectiva econômica (assim como expectativa de inflação e prêmio de risco) entre os países dos yields selecionados, auxiliando em decisões de trade e análise de mercado.
Fourier Smoothed Hybrid Volume Spread AnalysisIndicator id:
USER;91bdff47320b4284a375f428f683b21e
(only relevant to those that use API requests)
MEANINGFUL DESCRIPTION:
The Fourier Smoothed Hybrid Volume Spread Analysis (FSHVSA) indicator is an innovative trading tool designed to fuse volume analysis with trend detection capabilities, offering traders a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
This indicator stands apart by integrating the principles of the Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) and volume spread analysis, enhanced with a layer of Fourier smoothing to distill market noise and highlight trend directions with unprecedented clarity.
This smoothing process allows traders to discern the true underlying patterns in volume and price action, stripped of the distractions of short-term fluctuations and noise.
The core functionality of the FSHVSA revolves around the innovative combination of volume change analysis, spread determination (calculated from the open and close price difference), and the strategic use of the EMA (default 10) to fine-tune the analysis of spread by incorporating volume changes.
Trend direction is validated through a moving average (MA) of the histogram, which acts analogously to the Volume MA found in traditional volume indicators. This MA serves as a pivotal reference point, enabling traders to confidently engage with the market when the histogram's movement concurs with the trend direction, particularly when it crosses the Trend MA line, signalling optimal entry points.
It returns 0 when MA of the histogram and EMA of the Price Spread are not align.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR:
The FSHVSA plots a positive trend when a positive Volume smoothed Spread and EMA of Volume smoothed price is above 0, and a negative when negative Volume smoothed Spread and EMA of Volume smoothed price is below 0. When this conditions are not met it plots 0.
ORIGINALITY & USEFULNESS:
The FSHVSA is unique because it applies DFT for data smoothing, effectively filtering out the minor fluctuations and leaving traders with a clear picture of the market's true movements. The DFT's ability to break down market signals into constituent frequencies offers a granular view of market dynamics, highlighting the amplitude and phase of each frequency component. This, combined with the strategic application of Ehler's Universal Oscillator principles via a histogram, furnishes traders with a nuanced understanding of market volatility and noise levels, thereby facilitating more informed trading decisions.
DETAILED DESCRIPTION:
My detailed description of the indicator and use cases which I find very valuable.
What is the meaning of price spread?
In finance, a spread refers to the difference between two prices, rates, or yields. One of the most common types is the bid-ask spread, which refers to the gap between the bid (from buyers) and the ask (from sellers) prices of a security or asset.
We are going to use Open-Close spread.
What is Volume spread analysis?
Volume spread analysis (VSA) is a method of technical analysis that compares the volume per candle, range spread, and closing price to determine price direction.
What does this mean?
We need to have a positive Volume Price Spread and a positive Moving average of Volume price spread for a positive trend. OR via versa a negative Volume Price Spread and a negative Moving average of Volume price spread for a negative trend.
What if we have a positive Volume Price Spread and a negative Moving average of Volume Price Spread ?
It results in a neutral, not trending price action.
Thus the indicator returns 0.
In the next Image you can see that trend is negative on 4h, neutral on 12h and neutral on 1D. That means trend is negative .
I am sorry, the chart is a bit messy. The idea is to use the indicator over more than 1 Timeframe.
What is approximation and smoothing?
They are mathematical concepts for making a discrete set of numbers a
continuous curved line.
Fourier and Euler approximation of a spread are taken from aprox library.
Key Features:
Noise Reduction leverages Euler's White noise capabilities for effective Volume smoothing, providing a cleaner and more accurate representation of market dynamics.
Choose between the innovative Double Discrete Fourier Transform (DTF32) and Regular Open & Close price series.
Mathematical equations presented in Pinescript:
Fourier of the real (x axis) discrete:
x_0 = array.get(x, 0) + array.get(x, 1) + array.get(x, 2)
x_1 = array.get(x, 0) + array.get(x, 1) * math.cos( -2 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) - array.get(y, 1) * math.sin( -2 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(x, 2) * math.cos( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) - array.get(y, 2) * math.sin( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 )
x_2 = array.get(x, 0) + array.get(x, 1) * math.cos( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) - array.get(y, 1) * math.sin( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(x, 2) * math.cos( -8 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) - array.get(y, 2) * math.sin( -8 * math.pi * _dir / 3 )
Fourier of the imaginary (y axis) discrete:
y_0 = array.get(x, 0) + array.get(x, 1) + array.get(x, 2)
y_1 = array.get(x, 0) + array.get(x, 1) * math.sin( -2 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(y, 1) * math.cos( -2 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(x, 2) * math.sin( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(y, 2) * math.cos( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 )
y_2 = array.get(x, 0) + array.get(x, 1) * math.sin( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(y, 1) * math.cos( -4 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(x, 2) * math.sin( -8 * math.pi * _dir / 3 ) + array.get(y, 2) * math.cos( -8 * math.pi * _dir / 3 )
Euler's Smooth with Discrete Furrier approximated Volume.
a = math.sqrt(2) * math.pi / _devided
b = math.cos(math.sqrt(2) * 180 / _devided)
c2 = 2 * math.pow(a, 2) * b
c3 = math.pow(a, 4)
c1 = 1 - 2 * math.pow(a, 2) * math.cos(b) + math.pow(a, 4)
filt := na(filt ) ? 0 : c1 * (w + nz(w )) / 2.0 + c2 * nz(filt ) + c3 * nz(filt )
Usecase:
First option:
Leverage the script to identify Bullish and Bearish trends, shown with green and red triangle.
Combine Different Timeframes to accurately determine market trend.
Second option:
Pull the data with API sockets to automate your trading journey.
plot(close, title="ClosePrice", display=display.status_line)
plot(open, title="OpenPrice", display=display.status_line)
plot(greencon ? 1 : redcon ? -1 : 0, title="position", display=display.status_line)
Use ClosePrice, OpenPrice and "position" titles to easily read and backtest your strategy utilising more than 1 Time Frame.
Indicator id:
USER;91bdff47320b4284a375f428f683b21e
(only relevant to those that use API requests)
