CCI Threshold StrategyThe CCI Threshold Strategy is a trading approach that utilizes the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) as a momentum indicator to identify potential buy and sell signals in financial markets. The CCI is particularly effective in detecting overbought and oversold conditions, providing traders with insights into possible price reversals. This strategy is designed for use in various financial instruments, including stocks, commodities, and forex, and aims to capitalize on price movements driven by market sentiment.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI was developed by Donald Lambert in the 1980s and is primarily used to measure the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specified period.
The formula for CCI is as follows:
CCI=(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015MeanDeviation
CCI=MeanDeviation(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015
where:
Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
SMA = Simple Moving Average of the Typical Price
Mean Deviation = Average of the absolute deviations from the SMA
The CCI oscillates around a zero line, with values above +100 indicating overbought conditions and values below -100 indicating oversold conditions (Lambert, 1980).
Strategy Logic
The CCI Threshold Strategy operates on the following principles:
Input Parameters:
Lookback Period: The number of periods used to calculate the CCI. A common choice is 9, as it balances responsiveness and noise.
Buy Threshold: Typically set at -90, indicating a potential oversold condition where a price reversal is likely.
Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy allows for risk management through customizable stop loss and take profit points.
Entry Conditions:
A long position is initiated when the CCI falls below the buy threshold of -90, indicating potential oversold levels. This condition suggests that the asset may be undervalued and due for a price increase.
Exit Conditions:
The long position is closed when the closing price exceeds the highest price of the previous day, indicating a bullish reversal. Additionally, if the stop loss or take profit thresholds are hit, the position will be exited accordingly.
Risk Management:
The strategy incorporates optional stop loss and take profit mechanisms, which can be toggled on or off based on trader preference. This allows for flexibility in risk management, aligning with individual risk tolerances and trading styles.
Benefits of the CCI Threshold Strategy
Flexibility: The CCI Threshold Strategy can be applied across different asset classes, making it versatile for various market conditions.
Objective Signals: The use of quantitative thresholds for entry and exit reduces emotional bias in trading decisions (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974).
Enhanced Risk Management: By allowing traders to set stop loss and take profit levels, the strategy aids in preserving capital and managing risk effectively.
Limitations
Market Noise: The CCI can produce false signals, especially in highly volatile markets, leading to potential losses (Bollinger, 2001).
Lagging Indicator: As a lagging indicator, the CCI may not always capture rapid market movements, resulting in missed opportunities (Pring, 2002).
Conclusion
The CCI Threshold Strategy offers a systematic approach to trading based on well-established momentum principles. By focusing on overbought and oversold conditions, traders can make informed decisions while managing risk effectively. As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to backtest the approach and adapt it to individual trading styles and market conditions.
References
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Lambert, D. (1980). Commodity Channel Index. Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, 2, 3-5.
Pring, M. J. (2002). Technical Analysis Explained. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131.
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RVI Crossover Strategy[Kopottaja]Overview of the RVI Crossover Strategy
Strategy Name: RVI Crossover Strategy
Purpose: The RVI Crossover Strategy is based on the crossover signals between the Relative Vigor Index (RVI) and its moving average signal line. This strategy aims to identify potential buy and sell signals by evaluating the market’s directional trend.
Key Indicator Features
Relative Vigor Index (RVI): This indicator measures the momentum of price changes over a specified period and helps identify the market’s current trend. The RVI is based on the idea that prices generally close higher than they open in an uptrend (and lower in a downtrend). The RVI helps provide an indication of the strength and direction of a trend.
Signal Line: A moving average (e.g., SMA) is applied to the RVI values, creating a "signal line." When the RVI crosses above or below this line, it signals a potential trading opportunity.
Calculations and Settings
Calculating the RVI: The RVI is calculated by comparing the difference between the close and open prices to the difference between high and low prices. This provides information about the direction and momentum of price movement:
RVI= Sum(SWMA(high−low))Sum(SWMA(close−open))
where SWMA is a smoothed weighted moving average over a specified period.
Signal Line Calculation: The RVI value is smoothed by applying a simple moving average (SMA) to create the signal line. This signal line helps filter crossover signals for improved accuracy.
Buy and Sell Conditions: Buy and sell conditions are identified based on crossovers between the RVI and its signal line.
Buy Signal: A buy condition is triggered when the RVI crosses above the signal line, provided that the "Bearish" condition (trend confirmation) is met.
Sell Signal: A sell condition occurs when the RVI crosses below the signal line, alongside the "Bullish" trend confirmation.
Volume-Weighted Moving Averages (VWMA): VWMA indicators are used to assess price-volume relationships over different timeframes:
Fast VWMA: A short-period volume-weighted moving average.
Slow VWMA: A longer-period volume-weighted moving average. These values are used to strengthen the buy and sell conditions by confirming trend directions (Bullish or Bearish).
Disclaimer: This is an educational and informational tool. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always backtest before using in live markets
Shark Zone Day Machine V17### **Strategy Overview: Shark Zone Day Machine V14**
The "Shark Zone Day Machine V14" is a daily breakout trading strategy designed for traders who wish to capitalize on intraday price movements based on key levels from the previous day. The strategy operates on a daily timeframe, allowing traders to execute precise entries and manage their trades effectively. It includes both long and short trading capabilities, with user-friendly inputs for customization.
### **Key Features:**
1. **Daily Breakout Logic**:
- **Long Position**: The strategy opens a long position when the price breaks above the previous day's high, indicating potential upward momentum.
- **Short Position**: The strategy opens a short position when the price drops below the previous day's low, signaling possible downward pressure.
2. **Stop Loss Management**:
- The strategy uses a fixed stop loss of 50 points, which is set at the previous day's low for long trades and 50 points above the entry for short trades.
3. **Spread Adjustment**:
- Includes an adjustable spread input to account for bid-ask differences, ensuring entries and exits are accurately calculated.
4. **Activation Controls**:
- Traders can easily enable or disable long and short trading strategies independently using input toggles.
5. **Custom Alert Integration**:
- The strategy includes alert messages configured to work seamlessly with Pine Connector. These alerts can be set up to automatically send trade signals to MT4, enabling a fully automated trading experience.
### **Automated Trading Setup via Pine Connector to MT4**
To implement this strategy for automated trading between TradingView and MT4 using Pine Connector, follow these steps:
1. **Apply the Script on TradingView**:
- Load the "Shark Zone Day Machine V14" script onto your TradingView chart and adjust the input parameters as needed, including activation toggles, spread, and stop loss settings.
2. **Set Up Alerts on TradingView**:
- Click on the `Alerts` button in TradingView.
- Under "Condition," select the strategy and choose "Any alert() function call."
- For each alert, use the predefined messages:
- **Long Entry Alert**: `"BUY_SIGNAL_7683370025173"`
- **Long Exit Alert**: `"BUY_EXIT_SIGNAL_7683370025173"`
- **Short Entry Alert**: `"SELL_SIGNAL_7683370025173"`
- **Short Exit Alert**: `"SELL_EXIT_SIGNAL_7683370025173"`
- Ensure the alert actions are set to "Notify on app" and "Show pop-up" for immediate feedback.
3. **Configure Pine Connector**:
- Pine Connector should be installed and set up on your MT4 platform. Ensure the Pine Connector ID matches the alert messages from the TradingView script.
- Configure your MT4 EA to recognize these signals and execute trades accordingly. For example, a `"BUY_SIGNAL_7683370025173"` alert from TradingView will instruct MT4 to place a buy order.
4. **Test the Setup**:
- It’s essential to test the automation in a demo account first. Monitor how trades are opened and closed on MT4 when alerts are triggered from TradingView.
- Adjust the parameters on TradingView if needed for optimal performance and minimal slippage.
### **Benefits of Automated Trading with This Strategy**:
- **Consistency**: Eliminates the potential for human error by executing trades precisely as per the strategy’s logic.
- **Speed**: Rapid response to breakout conditions, ensuring you capture opportunities as soon as they arise.
- **Flexibility**: The ability to adjust stop loss, spread, and trading size allows for quick adaptation to different market conditions.
### **Important Notes**:
- Ensure your TradingView account remains active and has real-time data enabled for accurate alerts.
- Verify that Pine Connector and MT4 settings are configured correctly to prevent missed trades or incorrect lot sizes.
- Be mindful of market conditions, as breakout strategies may perform differently during high-volatility periods.
By following this guide, you'll be able to leverage the "Shark Zone Day Machine V14" strategy to its full potential, automating your trades and optimizing your trading efficiency.
Chill in WavesChill in Waves is a distinctive technical indicator that integrates both volume and price action, specifically designed to help traders identify key market trends and optimize entry/exit points. What sets this indicator apart is its ability to normalize data using Z-score techniques, making it highly adaptable and reliable across any timeframe, from short-term intraday trading to long-term position strategies.
Key Features and What Makes it Unique:
1. Volume-Weighted Moving Averages (VWMA): At the core of Chill in Waves are two volume-weighted moving averages (VWMA), which highlight periods of strong price movement influenced by high trading volume. The use of VWMA ensures that market activity during times of increased volume has a greater influence on the signals generated. This provides a more accurate reflection of market sentiment compared to traditional moving averages.
2. Z-Score Normalization: One of the key innovations of Chill in Waves is its Z-score normalization of the difference between the fast and slow VWMAs. This normalization helps to smooth out the noise typically present in raw market data, allowing traders to better identify statistically significant deviations from historical price norms. By using normalized data, traders can confidently apply this indicator across all timeframes without the risk of distortion caused by extreme values or outliers. This is especially beneficial for traders who operate in volatile markets.
3. Versatility Across Timeframes: Unlike many indicators that are calibrated for specific timeframes, Chill in Waves is designed for use on all timeframes, from minute-by-minute charts to daily, weekly, and even monthly charts. The Z-score normalization ensures that signals are consistently reliable, no matter the timeframe you are trading in, providing traders with a flexible tool to adapt to any market conditions.
4. Clear Visual Cues for Buy/Sell Signals: Chill in Waves offers straightforward visual cues by plotting Z-scores with color-coded signals: green for potential bullish trends and red for bearish movements. This makes it easy for traders to quickly assess market conditions at a glance, without the need to interpret complex calculations.
5. Customizable Trailing Stop Feature: To further support effective risk management, Chill in Waves includes a customizable trailing stop feature, allowing traders to lock in profits while minimizing downside risk. The flexibility in adjusting the trailing stop percentage ensures that the indicator can be tailored to fit each trader’s risk tolerance and strategy.
Buy and Sell Logic:
Buy Logic: A long position is triggered when both the fast and slow VWMA Z-scores are trending upward, signaling a statistically significant shift toward bullish price action.
Sell Logic: Positions are closed when the trailing stop condition is met or after a predetermined period, ensuring traders can capture gains while limiting exposure to downside risk.
Customization Options:
VWMA Length: Traders can adjust the lengths of the fast and slow VWMA to better suit specific market conditions or individual asset classes.
Bar Color Customization: For additional visual clarity, you can enable an optional feature that changes the color of price bars based on the Z-score difference, providing further insight into market momentum.
Chill in Waves stands out as a flexible and robust indicator for traders across all timeframes, combining the power of volume-weighted moving averages with normalized data to produce accurate and adaptable buy/sell signals. Whether you're a short-term scalper or a long-term trend follower, this indicator offers you the calm confidence needed to ride the waves of market volatility.
MACD Enhanced Strategy MTF with Stop Loss [LTB]Test strategy for MACD
This strategy, named "MACD Enhanced Strategy MTF with Stop Loss ," is a modified Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) strategy with enhancements such as multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, custom scoring, and a dynamic stop loss mechanism. Let’s break down how to effectively use it:
Key Elements of the Strategy
MACD Indicator with Modifications:
The strategy uses MACD, a well-known momentum indicator, with customizable parameters:
fastLength, slowLength, and signalLength represent the standard MACD settings.
Instead of relying solely on MACD crossovers, it introduces scoring parameters for histogram direction (histside), indicator direction (indiside), and signal cross (crossscore). This allows for a more nuanced decision-making process when determining buy and sell signals.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTF):
The strategy compares the current timeframe's MACD score with that of a higher timeframe (HTF). It dynamically selects the higher timeframe based on the current timeframe. For example, if the current chart period is 1, it will select 5 as the higher timeframe.
This MTF approach aims to align trades with broader trends, filtering out false signals that could be present when analyzing only a single timeframe.
Scoring System:
A custom scoring system (count() function) is used to evaluate buy and sell signals. This includes calculations based on the direction and momentum of MACD (indi) and the histogram. The score is used to determine the strength of signals.
Positive scores indicate bullish sentiment, while negative scores indicate bearish sentiment.
This scoring mechanism aims to reduce the influence of noise and provide more reliable entries.
Entry Conditions:
Long Condition: When the Result value (a combination of MTF and current MACD analysis) changes and becomes positive, a long entry is triggered.
Short Condition: When the Result changes and becomes negative, a short entry is initiated.
Stop Loss Mechanism:
The countstop() function calculates dynamic stop loss values for both long and short trades. It is based on the Average True Range (ATR) multiplied by a factor (Mult), providing adaptive stop loss levels depending on market volatility.
The stop loss is plotted on the chart to show potential risk levels for open trades, with the line appearing only if shotsl is enabled.
How to Use the Strategy
To properly use the strategy, follow these steps:
Parameter Optimization:
Adjust the input parameters such as fastLength, slowLength, and signalLength to tune the MACD indicator to the specific asset you’re trading. The values provided are typical defaults, but optimizing these values based on backtesting can help improve performance.
Customize the scoring parameters (crossscore, indiside, histside) to balance how much weight you want to put on the direction, histogram, and cross events of the MACD indicator.
Select Appropriate Timeframes:
This strategy employs a multi-timeframe (MTF) approach, so it's important to understand how the higher timeframe (HTF) is selected based on the current timeframe. For instance, if you are trading on a 5-minute chart, the higher timeframe will be 15 minutes, which helps filter out lower timeframe noise.
Ensure you understand the relationship between the timeframe you’re using and the HTF it automatically selects. The strategy’s effectiveness can vary depending on how these timeframes align with the asset’s overall volatility.
Run Backtests:
Always backtest the strategy over historical data to determine its reliability for the asset and timeframes you’re interested in. Note that the MTF approach may require substantial data to capture how different timeframes interact.
Use the backtest results to adjust the scoring parameters or the Stop Loss Factor (Mult) for better risk management.
Stop Loss Usage:
The stop loss is calculated dynamically using ATR, which means that it adjusts with changing volatility. This can be useful to avoid being stopped out too often during periods of increased volatility.
The shotsl parameter can be set to true to visualize the stop loss line on the chart. This helps to monitor the protection level and make better decisions regarding holding or closing a trade manually.
Entry Signals and Trade Execution:
Look for changes in the Result value to determine entry points. For a long position, the Result needs to become positive, and for a short position, it must be negative.
Note that the strategy's entries are more conservative because it waits for the Result to confirm the direction using multiple factors, which helps filter out false breakouts.
Risk Management:
The adaptive stop loss mechanism reduces the risk by basing the stop level on market volatility. However, you must still consider additional risk management practices such as position sizing and profit targets.
Given the scoring mechanism, it might not enter trades frequently, which means using this strategy may result in fewer but potentially more accurate trades. It’s important to be patient and not force trades that don’t align with the calculated results.
Real-Time Monitoring:
Make sure to monitor trades actively. Since the strategy recalculates the score on each bar, real-time changes in the Result value could provide exit opportunities even if the stop loss isn't triggered.
Summary
The "MACD Enhanced Strategy MTF with Stop Loss " is a sophisticated version of the MACD strategy, enhanced with multi-timeframe analysis and adaptive stop loss. Properly using it involves optimizing MACD and scoring parameters, selecting suitable timeframes, and actively managing entries and exits based on a combination of scoring and volatility-based stop losses. Always conduct thorough backtesting before applying it in a live environment to ensure the strategy performs well on the asset you're trading.
KAMA Cloud STIndicator:
Description:
The KAMA Cloud indicator is a sophisticated trading tool designed to provide traders with insights into market trends and their intensity. This indicator is built on the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA), which dynamically adjusts its sensitivity to filter out market noise and respond to significant price movements. The KAMA Cloud leverages multiple KAMAs to gauge trend direction and strength, offering a visual representation that is easy to interpret.
How It Works:
The KAMA Cloud uses twenty different KAMA calculations, each set to a distinct lookback period ranging from 5 to 100. These KAMAs are calculated using the average of the open, high, low, and close prices (OHLC4), ensuring a balanced view of price action. The relative positioning of these KAMAs helps determine the direction of the market trend and its momentum.
By measuring the cumulative relative distance between these KAMAs, the indicator effectively assesses the overall trend strength, akin to how the Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility. This cumulative measure helps in identifying the trend’s robustness and potential sustainability.
The visualization component of the KAMA Cloud is particularly insightful. It plots a 'cloud' formed between the base KAMA (set at a 100-period lookback) and an adjusted KAMA that incorporates the cumulative relative distance scaled up. This cloud changes color based on the trend direction — green for upward trends and red for downward trends, providing a clear, visual representation of market conditions.
How the Strategy Works:
The KAMA Cloud ST strategy employs multiple KAMA calculations with varying lengths to capture the nuances of market trends. It measures the relative distances between these KAMAs to determine the trend's direction and strength, much like the original indicator. The strategy enhances decision-making by plotting a 'cloud' formed between the base KAMA (set to a 100-period lookback) and an adjusted KAMA that scales according to the cumulative relative distance of all KAMAs.
Key Components of the Strategy:
Multiple KAMA Layers: The strategy calculates KAMAs for periods ranging from 5 to 100 to analyze short to long-term market trends.
Dynamic Cloud: The cloud visually represents the trend’s strength and direction, updating in real-time as the market evolves.
Signal Generation: Trade signals are generated based on the orientation of the cloud relative to a smoothed version of the upper KAMA boundary. Long positions are initiated when the market trend is upward, and the current cloud value is above its smoothed average. Conversely, positions are closed when the trend reverses, indicated by the cloud falling below the smoothed average.
Suggested Usage:
Market: Stocks, not cryptocurrency
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Indicator:
XAU/USD Strategy with Correct ADX and Bollinger Bands Fill1. *Indicators Used*:
- *Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)*: Two EMAs (20-period and 50-period) are used to identify the trend direction and potential entry points based on crossovers.
- *Relative Strength Index (RSI)*: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It identifies overbought and oversold conditions.
- *Bollinger Bands*: These consist of a middle line (simple moving average) and two outer bands (standard deviations away from the middle). They help to identify price volatility and potential reversal points.
- *Average Directional Index (ADX)*: This indicator quantifies trend strength. It's derived from the Directional Movement Index (DMI) and helps confirm the presence of a strong trend.
- *Average True Range (ATR)*: Used to calculate position size based on volatility, ensuring that trades align with the trader's risk tolerance.
2. *Entry Conditions*:
- *Long Entry*:
- The 20 EMA crosses above the 50 EMA (indicating a potential bullish trend).
- The RSI is below the oversold level (30), suggesting the asset may be undervalued.
- The price is below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating potential price reversal.
- The ADX is above a specified threshold (25), confirming that there is sufficient trend strength.
- *Short Entry*:
- The 20 EMA crosses below the 50 EMA (indicating a potential bearish trend).
- The RSI is above the overbought level (70), suggesting the asset may be overvalued.
- The price is above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential price reversal.
- The ADX is above the specified threshold (25), confirming trend strength.
3. *Position Sizing*:
- The script calculates the position size dynamically based on the trader's risk per trade (expressed as a percentage of the total capital) and the ATR. This ensures that the trader does not risk more than the specified percentage on any single trade, adjusting the position size according to market volatility.
4. *Exit Conditions*:
- The strategy uses a trailing stop-loss mechanism to secure profits as the price moves in the trader's favor. The trailing stop is set at a percentage (1.5% by default) below the highest price reached since entry for long positions and above the lowest price for short positions.
- Additionally, if the RSI crosses back above the overbought level while in a long position or below the oversold level while in a short position, the position is closed to prevent losses.
5. *Alerts*:
- Alerts are set to notify the trader when a buy or sell condition is met based on the strategy's rules. This allows for timely execution of trades.
### Summary
This strategy aims to capture significant price movements in the XAU/USD market by combining trend-following (EMAs, ADX) and momentum indicators (RSI, Bollinger Bands). The dynamic position sizing based on ATR helps manage risk effectively. By implementing trailing stops and alert mechanisms, the strategy enhances the trader's ability to act quickly on opportunities while mitigating potential losses.
Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-based Stop Loss and Take ProfitThe "Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit" is designed to identify buying opportunities after the German and US markets open. It combines various technical indicators to filter entry signals, focusing on breakout moments following price lateralization periods.
Key Components and Their Interaction:
Bollinger Bands (BB):
Description: Uses BB with a 14-period length and standard deviation multiplier of 1.5, creating narrower bands for lower timeframes.
Role in the Strategy: Identifies low volatility phases (lateralization). The lateralization condition is met when the price is near the simple moving average of the BB, suggesting an imminent increase in volatility.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
10-period EMA: Quickly detects short-term trend direction.
200-period EMA: Filters long-term trends, ensuring entries occur in a bullish market.
Interaction: Positions are entered only if the price is above both EMAs, indicating a consolidated positive trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Description: 7-period RSI with a threshold above 30.
Role in the Strategy: Confirms the market is not oversold, supporting the validity of the buy signal.
Average Directional Index (ADX):
Description: 7-period ADX with 7-period smoothing and a threshold above 10.
Role in the Strategy: Assesses trend strength. An ADX above 10 indicates sufficient momentum to justify entry.
Average True Range (ATR) for Dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Description: 14-period ATR with multipliers of 2.0 for Stop Loss and 4.0 for Take Profit.
Role in the Strategy: Adjusts exit levels based on current volatility, enhancing risk management.
Resistance Identification and Breakout:
Description: Analyzes the highs of the last 20 candles to identify resistance levels with at least two touches.
Role in the Strategy: A breakout above this level signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Time Filters and Market Conditions:
Trading Hours: Operates only during the opening of the German market (8:00 - 12:00) and US market (15:30 - 19:00).
Panic Candle: The current candle must close negative, leveraging potential emotional reactions in the market.
Avoiding Entry During Pullbacks:
Description: Checks that the two previous candles are not both bearish.
Role in the Strategy: Avoids entering during a potential pullback, improving trade success probability.
Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit
The "Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit" is designed to identify buying opportunities after the German and US markets open. It combines various technical indicators to filter entry signals, focusing on breakout moments following price lateralization periods.
Key Components and Their Interaction:
Bollinger Bands (BB):
Description: Uses BB with a 14-period length and standard deviation multiplier of 1.5, creating narrower bands for lower timeframes.
Role in the Strategy: Identifies low volatility phases (lateralization). The lateralization condition is met when the price is near the simple moving average of the BB, suggesting an imminent increase in volatility.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
10-period EMA: Quickly detects short-term trend direction.
200-period EMA: Filters long-term trends, ensuring entries occur in a bullish market.
Interaction: Positions are entered only if the price is above both EMAs, indicating a consolidated positive trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Description: 7-period RSI with a threshold above 30.
Role in the Strategy: Confirms the market is not oversold, supporting the validity of the buy signal.
Average Directional Index (ADX):
Description: 7-period ADX with 7-period smoothing and a threshold above 10.
Role in the Strategy: Assesses trend strength. An ADX above 10 indicates sufficient momentum to justify entry.
Average True Range (ATR) for Dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Description: 14-period ATR with multipliers of 2.0 for Stop Loss and 4.0 for Take Profit.
Role in the Strategy: Adjusts exit levels based on current volatility, enhancing risk management.
Resistance Identification and Breakout:
Description: Analyzes the highs of the last 20 candles to identify resistance levels with at least two touches.
Role in the Strategy: A breakout above this level signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Time Filters and Market Conditions:
Trading Hours: Operates only during the opening of the German market (8:00 - 12:00) and US market (15:30 - 19:00).
Panic Candle: The current candle must close negative, leveraging potential emotional reactions in the market.
Avoiding Entry During Pullbacks:
Description: Checks that the two previous candles are not both bearish.
Role in the Strategy: Avoids entering during a potential pullback, improving trade success probability.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
Long Entry:
The price breaks above the identified resistance.
The market is in a lateralization phase with low volatility.
The price is above the 10 and 200-period EMAs.
RSI is above 30, and ADX is above 10.
No short-term downtrend is detected.
The last two candles are not both bearish.
The current candle is a "panic candle" (negative close).
Order Execution: The order is executed at the close of the candle that meets all conditions.
Exit from Position:
Dynamic Stop Loss: Set at 2 times the ATR below the entry price.
Dynamic Take Profit: Set at 4 times the ATR above the entry price.
The position is automatically closed upon reaching the Stop Loss or Take Profit.
How to Use the Strategy:
Application on Volatile Instruments:
Ideal for financial instruments that show significant volatility during the target market opening hours, such as indices or major forex pairs.
Recommended Timeframes:
Intraday timeframes, such as 5 or 15 minutes, to capture significant post-open moves.
Parameter Customization:
The default parameters are optimized but can be adjusted based on individual preferences and the instrument analyzed.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Backtesting is recommended to evaluate performance and make adjustments if necessary.
Risk Management:
Ensure position sizing respects risk management rules, avoiding risking more than 1-2% of capital per trade.
Originality and Benefits of the Strategy:
Unique Combination of Indicators: Integrates various technical metrics to filter signals, reducing false positives.
Volatility Adaptability: The use of ATR for Stop Loss and Take Profit allows the strategy to adapt to real-time market conditions.
Focus on Post-Lateralization Breakout: Aims to capitalize on significant moves following consolidation periods, often associated with strong directional trends.
Important Notes:
Commissions and Slippage: Include commissions and slippage in settings for more realistic simulations.
Capital Size: Use a realistic trading capital for the average user.
Number of Trades: Ensure backtesting covers a sufficient number of trades to validate the strategy (ideally more than 100 trades).
Warning: Past results do not guarantee future performance. The strategy should be used as part of a comprehensive trading approach.
With this strategy, traders can identify and exploit specific market opportunities supported by a robust set of technical indicators and filters, potentially enhancing their trading decisions during key times of the day.
ICT Indicator with Paper TradingThe strategy implemented in the provided Pine Script is based on **ICT (Inner Circle Trader)** concepts, particularly focusing on **order blocks** to identify key levels for potential reversals or continuations in the market. Below is a detailed description of the strategy:
### 1. **Order Block Concept**
- **Order blocks** are price levels where large institutional orders accumulate, often leading to a reversal or continuation of price movement.
- In this strategy, **order blocks** are identified when:
- The high of the current bar crosses above the high of the previous bar (for bullish order blocks).
- The low of the current bar crosses below the low of the previous bar (for bearish order blocks).
### 2. **Buy and Sell Signal Generation**
The core of the strategy revolves around identifying the **breakout** of order blocks, which is interpreted as a signal to either enter or exit trades:
- **Buy Signal**:
- Generated when the closing price crosses **above** the last identified bullish order block (i.e., the highest point during the last upward crossover of highs).
- This signals a potential upward trend, and the strategy enters a long position.
- **Sell Signal**:
- Generated when the closing price crosses **below** the last identified bearish order block (i.e., the lowest point during the last downward crossover of lows).
- This signals a potential downward trend, and the strategy exits any open long positions.
### 3. **Strategy Execution**
The strategy is executed using the `strategy.entry()` and `strategy.close()` functions:
- **Enter Long Positions**: When a buy signal is generated, the strategy opens a long position (buying).
- **Exit Positions**: When a sell signal is generated, the strategy closes the long position.
### 4. **Visual Indicators on the Chart**
To make the strategy easier to follow visually, buy and sell signals are marked directly on the chart:
- **Buy signals** are indicated with a green upward-facing triangle above the bar where the signal occurred.
- **Sell signals** are indicated with a red downward-facing triangle below the bar where the signal occurred.
### 5. **Key Elements of the Strategy**
- **Trend Continuation and Reversals**: This strategy is attempting to capture trends based on the breakout of important price levels (order blocks). When the price breaks above or below a significant order block, it is expected that the market will continue in that direction.
- **Order Block Strength**: Order blocks are considered strong areas where price action could reverse or accelerate, based on how institutional investors place large orders.
### 6. **Paper Trading**
This script uses **paper trading** to simulate trades without actual money being involved. This allows users to backtest the strategy, seeing how it would have performed in historical market conditions.
### 7. **Basic Strategy Flow**
1. **Order Block Identification**: The script constantly monitors price movements to detect bullish and bearish order blocks.
2. **Buy Signal**: If the closing price crosses above the last order block high, the strategy interprets it as a sign of bullish momentum and enters a long position.
3. **Sell Signal**: If the closing price crosses below the last order block low, it signals a bearish momentum, and the strategy closes the long position.
4. **Visual Representation**: Buy and sell signals are displayed on the chart for easy identification.
### **Advantages of the Strategy:**
- **Simple and Clear Rules**: The strategy is based on clearly defined rules for identifying order blocks and trade signals.
- **Effective for Trend Following**: By focusing on breakouts of order blocks, this strategy attempts to capture strong trends in the market.
- **Visual Aids**: The plot of buy/sell signals helps traders to quickly see where trades would have been placed.
### **Limitations:**
- **No Shorting**: This strategy only enters long positions (buying). It does not account for shorting opportunities.
- **No Risk Management**: There are no built-in stop losses, trailing stops, or profit targets, which could expose the strategy to large losses during adverse market conditions.
- **Whipsaws in Range Markets**: The strategy could produce false signals in sideways or choppy markets, where breakouts are short-lived and prices quickly reverse.
### **Overall Strategy Objective:**
The goal of the strategy is to enter into long positions when the price breaks above a significant order block, and exit when it breaks below. The strategy is designed for trend-following, with the assumption that price will continue in the direction of the breakout.
Let me know if you'd like to enhance or modify this strategy further!
Larry Conners Vix Reversal II Strategy (approx.)This Pine Script™ strategy is a modified version of the original Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy, designed for short-term trading in market indices like the S&P 500. The strategy utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the VIX (Volatility Index) to identify potential overbought or oversold market conditions. The logic is based on the assumption that extreme levels of market volatility often precede reversals in price.
How the Strategy Works
The strategy calculates the RSI of the VIX using a 25-period lookback window. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is often used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in assets.
Overbought Signal: When the RSI of the VIX rises above 61, it signals a potential overbought condition in the market. The strategy looks for a RSI downtick (i.e., when RSI starts to fall after reaching this level) as a trigger to enter a long position.
Oversold Signal: Conversely, when the RSI of the VIX drops below 42, the market is considered oversold. A RSI uptick (i.e., when RSI starts to rise after hitting this level) serves as a signal to enter a short position.
The strategy holds the position for a minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 12 days, after which it exits automatically.
Larry Connors: Background
Larry Connors is a prominent figure in quantitative trading, specializing in short-term market strategies. He is the co-author of several influential books on trading, such as Street Smarts (1995), co-written with Linda Raschke, and How Markets Really Work. Connors' work focuses on developing rules-based systems using volatility indicators like the VIX and oscillators such as RSI to exploit mean-reversion patterns in financial markets.
Risks of the Strategy
While the Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy can capture reversals in volatile market environments, it also carries significant risks:
Over-Optimization: This modified version adjusts RSI levels and holding periods to fit recent market data. If market conditions change, the strategy might no longer be effective, leading to false signals.
Drawdowns in Trending Markets: This is a mean-reversion strategy, designed to profit when markets return to a previous mean. However, in strongly trending markets, especially during extended bull or bear phases, the strategy might generate losses due to early entries or exits.
Volatility Risk: Since this strategy is linked to the VIX, an instrument that reflects market volatility, large spikes in volatility can lead to unexpected, fast-moving market conditions, potentially leading to larger-than-expected losses.
Scientific Literature and Supporting Research
The use of RSI and VIX in trading strategies has been widely discussed in academic research. RSI is one of the most studied momentum oscillators, and numerous studies show that it can capture mean-reversion effects in various markets, including equities and derivatives.
Wong et al. (2003) investigated the effectiveness of technical trading rules such as RSI, finding that it has predictive power in certain market conditions, particularly in mean-reverting markets .
The VIX, often referred to as the “fear index,” reflects market expectations of volatility and has been a focal point in research exploring volatility-based strategies. Whaley (2000) extensively reviewed the predictive power of VIX, noting that extreme VIX readings often correlate with turning points in the stock market .
Modified Version of Original Strategy
This script is a modified version of Larry Connors' original VIX Reversal II strategy. The key differences include:
Adjusted RSI period to 25 (instead of 2 or 4 commonly used in Connors’ other work).
Overbought and oversold levels modified to 61 and 42, respectively.
Specific holding period (7 to 12 days) is predefined to reduce holding risk.
These modifications aim to adapt the strategy to different market environments, potentially enhancing performance under specific volatility conditions. However, as with any system, constant evaluation and testing in live markets are crucial.
References
Wong, W. K., Manzur, M., & Chew, B. K. (2003). How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 13(7), 543-551.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
Nifty scalping 3 minutes options on Dhan
Strategy Description for Publishing: Nifty Scalping 3 Minutes Options on Dhan
Overview:
The Nifty Scalping 3 Minutes Options on Dhan strategy is an enhanced version tailored for trading Nifty Options, building on the core logic used in the previously published Nifty Scalping 3 Minutes Strategy. This strategy provides automated order execution via JSON alerts for seamless integration with the Dhan platform, enabling hands-free options trading.
This system is designed to capture short-term market moves using a combination of technical indicators like the Jurik Moving Average (JMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Bollinger Bands, while also allowing traders to manage risk effectively with custom inputs for maximum loss per lot and partial profit booking.
For more details on the core logic and performance of the strategy, please refer to our earlier published strategy:
Nifty Scalping 3 Minutes Strategy
Key Features:
JMA and EMA Crossovers: Trades are executed when the Jurik Moving Average (JMA) crosses over (for long trades) or under (for short trades) the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), signaling trend direction.
Price-Volume Spike Detection: Ensures that trades are executed only when significant market activity is detected, avoiding low-momentum conditions. Price-volume relationships are monitored to confirm the strength of market movements.
Bollinger Band Noise Filter: Filters out low-volatility periods by executing trades only when prices break through the upper or lower Bollinger Bands, confirming high volatility.
Customizable Risk Management: Traders can set their own maximum risk per lot (e.g., ₹650), and the strategy adjusts the stop-loss accordingly to ensure that no trade exceeds this threshold.
Partial Profit Booking: A predefined percentage (e.g., 60%) of the position can be booked as profit once the first profit target is reached, with the remaining position trailed using an ATR-based stop.
STBT/BTST Support: The strategy offers the flexibility to carry trades overnight, supporting Sell Today, Buy Tomorrow (STBT) and Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow (BTST).
Time-Based Exit: The strategy automatically closes any open positions by 3:20 PM to avoid the volatile end-of-day market conditions.
Inputs for Traders:
Option Quantity: Select the number of contracts to trade (e.g., 10).
Maximum Risk Per Lot: Set your maximum allowable loss per lot (e.g., ₹650), ensuring that your risk is managed effectively.
Partial Profit Booking Percentage: Define what percentage of your position to book as profit (e.g., 60%) when the first target is hit.
STBT/BTST Option: Choose whether to allow positions to be carried overnight.
Alert Secret Key: Input your secret key for the Dhan platform to trigger automated orders via JSON alerts.
Option Expiry Date: Specify the expiry date for the options being traded.
Trade Logic:
Long Trades: Triggered when JMA crosses above EMA, supported by filters like price-volume spikes and Bollinger Band breakouts. The strategy waits for momentum confirmation before entering long trades, with stop-loss and profit-taking mechanisms in place.
Short Trades: Triggered when JMA crosses below EMA, with confirmation through additional filters to ensure strong market trends before entering short positions.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: A dynamic stop-loss is placed for each trade based on the trader's maximum risk per lot. The stop-loss adapts to market conditions using ATR trailing stops to capture further gains as the trade progresses.
Partial Profit Booking: Once the first profit target is hit (2.1x risk for long trades and 2.5x risk for short trades), a percentage of the position is booked as profit, and the remainder is trailed using an ATR stop.
Automation via JSON Alerts:This strategy sends automated JSON alerts to the Dhan platform for seamless execution of orders. The alerts support multi-leg orders for both entry and exit, ensuring that trades are executed efficiently without manual intervention.
Why Use This Strategy?
The Nifty Scalping 3 Minutes Options on Dhan strategy is perfect for traders who want to capitalize on quick market moves in options, backed by strong risk management and automation. With automated alerts, customizable inputs, and advanced technical filters, this strategy is ideal for traders looking to engage in high-probability options trades with minimal effort.
For more detailed information about the underlying logic, you can refer to the previously published Nifty Scalping 3 Minutes Strategy here.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is provided as an educational tool, and we are not affiliated with or sponsored by Dhan. The strategy integrates with the Dhan platform for automated trading, but there is no formal relationship between this strategy and Dhan.
Averaging Down Strategy1. Averaging Down:
Definition: "Averaging Down" is a strategy in which an investor buys more shares of a declining asset, thus lowering the average purchase price. The main idea is that, by averaging down, the investor can recover faster when the price eventually rebounds.
Risk Considerations: This strategy assumes that the asset will recover in value. If the price continues to decline, however, the investor may suffer larger losses. Academic research highlights the psychological bias of loss aversion that often leads investors to engage in averaging down, despite the increased risk (Barberis & Huang, 2001).
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Definition: The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. A reading below 30 (or in this case, 35) typically indicates an oversold condition, which might suggest a potential buying opportunity (Wilder, 1978).
Risk Considerations: RSI-based strategies can produce many false signals in range-bound or choppy markets, where prices do not exhibit strong trends. This can lead to multiple losing trades and an overall negative performance (Gencay, 1998).
3. Combination of RSI and Price Movement:
Approach: The combination of RSI for entry signals and price movement (previous day's high) for exit signals aims to capture short-term market reversals. This hybrid approach attempts to balance momentum with price confirmation.
Risk Considerations: While this combination can work well in trending markets, it may struggle in volatile or sideways markets. Additionally, a significant risk of averaging down is that the trader may continue adding to a losing position, which can exacerbate losses if the price keeps falling.
Risk Warnings:
Increased Losses Through Averaging Down:
Averaging down involves buying more of a falling asset, which can increase exposure to downside risk. Studies have shown that this approach can lead to larger losses when markets continue to decline, especially during prolonged bear markets (Statman, 2004).
A key risk is that this strategy may lead to significant capital drawdowns if the price of the asset does not recover as expected. In the worst-case scenario, this can result in a total loss of the invested capital.
False Signals with RSI:
RSI-based strategies are prone to generating false signals, particularly in markets that do not exhibit strong trends. For example, Gencay (1998) found that while RSI can be effective in certain conditions, it often fails in choppy or range-bound markets, leading to frequent stop-outs and drawdowns.
Psychological Bias:
Behavioral finance research suggests that the "Averaging Down" strategy may be influenced by loss aversion, a bias where investors prefer to avoid losses rather than achieve gains (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This can lead to poor decision-making, as investors continue to add to losing positions in the hope of a recovery.
Empirical Studies:
Gencay (1998): The study "The Predictability of Security Returns with Simple Technical Trading Rules" found that technical indicators like RSI can provide predictive value in certain markets, particularly in volatile environments. However, they are less reliable in markets that lack clear trends.
Barberis & Huang (2001): Their research on behavioral biases, including loss aversion, explains why investors are often tempted to average down despite the risks, as they attempt to avoid realizing losses.
Statman (2004): In "The Diversification Puzzle," Statman discusses how strategies like averaging down can increase risk exposure without necessarily improving long-term returns, especially if the underlying asset continues to perform poorly.
Conclusion:
The "Averaging Down Strategy with RSI" combines elements of technical analysis with a psychologically-driven averaging down approach. While the strategy may offer opportunities in trending or oversold markets, it carries significant risks, particularly in volatile or declining markets. Traders should be cautious when using this strategy, ensuring they manage risk effectively and avoid overexposure to a losing position.
Price-Volume w Trendline - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Price-Volume with Trendline Strategy is an innovative strategy that combines volume profile analysis, price-based Z-scores, and dynamic trendline filtering to identify optimal entry and exit points in the market. What sets this strategy apart is the integration of volume concentration (Point of Control or PoC) with dynamic volatility thresholds. Additionally, this strategy introduces a multi-step take profit (TP) mechanism that adjusts based on predefined levels, allowing traders to exit trades progressively while capitalizing on market momentum.
BTCUSD 6hr LS Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The combination of multiple indicators and methodologies serves to create a more robust and reliable trading system. Each element is carefully chosen for its complementary role in providing accurate signals while minimizing false entries and exits. Here’s why the different components were chosen and how they work together:
- PoC and Z-Scores: The volume profile identifies key price areas, while the Z-score measures deviations from the mean. Together, they highlight points where the market is likely to react. For example, when the Z-score indicates an oversold condition near a PoC support level, it increases the probability of a reversal, providing a clear entry signal.
- Trendlines and Z-Scores: Trendlines serve as a secondary filter to ensure that price deviations identified by Z-scores align with broader market trends. This ensures that trades are only entered when the price has both deviated from its average and broken through a significant trendline level, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
- Multi-Step TP and Risk Management: Finally, the multi-step take profit logic works in tandem with the entry signals generated by the PoC, Z-scores, and trendlines. As the price moves in favor of the trade, profits are gradually locked in, ensuring the trader captures gains while still leaving room for further upside.
🔶 Point of Control (PoC) and Volume Profile Analysis
The PoC identifies the price level with the highest volume concentration within a specified lookback period. This price level represents where the most trading activity has occurred, often acting as a strong support or resistance. By breaking down the range into several rows (bins), the strategy identifies how much volume was traded at each price level.
🔶 Z-Score Calculation
The Z-score is a statistical metric that measures how far the current price is from its mean, expressed in terms of standard deviations. This is calculated both for price deviation and PoC-based deviation.
🔶 Trendline Breakout Filtering
The trendline filtering is a crucial aspect that refines entry signals by confirming trend continuation or reversals. It calculates trendlines based on pivot highs and lows using the selected method (e.g., ATR or standard deviation).
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit
The multi-step take profit mechanism allows the strategy to take partial profits at several predefined levels. For example, when the price reaches 3%, 8%, 14%, or 21% above (or below) the entry price, it exits portions of the position. This is a useful technique for locking in profits as the market moves favorably.
Local
█ Usage
The Price-Volume with Trendline Strategy can be applied to various asset classes, including stocks, cryptocurrencies, and commodities. It is particularly effective in volatile markets where price deviations and volume concentrations signal potential reversals or trend continuations. By adjusting the settings for volatility and the lookback period, this strategy can be tailored to both short-term intraday trades and longer-term swing trades.
█ Default Settings
The default settings in the strategy play a vital role in shaping its performance.
- POC_lookbackLength (144): This defines the number of bars used to calculate the PoC. A longer lookback captures more data, leading to a more stable PoC, but may result in delayed signals. A shorter lookback increases responsiveness but may introduce noise.
- priceDeviationLength (200): This determines the period for calculating the standard deviation of price. A higher length smooths out the volatility, reducing the likelihood of false signals. Shorter lengths make the strategy more sensitive to sudden price movements.
- TL_length (14): Controls the swing detection period for trendline calculation. A shorter length will generate more frequent trendline breakouts, while a longer length captures only significant moves.
- Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy offers both fixed and SuperTrend-based stop losses. SuperTrend is adaptive to volatility, while fixed stop losses provide simpler risk control. The multi-step take profit ensures that profits are secured progressively, which can improve performance in trending markets by reducing the risk of full reversals.
Each of these settings can significantly affect the strategy’s risk-reward balance. For instance, increasing the stop loss level or the take profit percentages allows the strategy to stay in trades longer, potentially increasing profit per trade but at the cost of larger drawdowns. Conversely, tighter stops and smaller profit targets result in more frequent trades with lower average profit per trade.
Fractal Proximity MA Aligment Scalping StrategyFractal Analysis
Fractals in trading help identify potential reversal points by marking significant price changes. Our strategy calculates a "fractal value" by comparing the current price to recent high and low fractal points. This is done by evaluating the sum of distances from the current closing price to the recent highs and lows. A positive fractal value suggests proximity to recent lows, hinting at upward momentum. Conversely, a negative value indicates closeness to recent highs, signaling potential downward movement.
Moving Averages for Confirmation
We use a series of 20 moving averages ranging from 5 to 100 to confirm trend directions indicated by fractal analysis. An entry signal is considered bullish when shorter-term moving averages are all above a long-term moving average, aligning with a positive fractal value.
Exit Strategy
The strategy employs dynamic stop-loss levels set at various moving averages, allowing for partial exits when the price crosses below specific thresholds. This helps manage the trade by locking in profits gradually. A full exit might be triggered by strong reversal signals suggested by both fractal values and moving average trends.
This open-source strategy is available for the community to test, adapt, and utilize. Your feedback and modifications are welcome as we refine the approach based on collective user experiences.
Negroni Opening Range StrategyStrategy Summary:
This tool can be used to help identify breakouts from a range during a time-zone of your choosing. It plots a pre-market range, an opening range, it also includes moving average levels that can be used as confluence, as well as plotting previous day SESSION highs and lows.
There are several options on how you wish to close out the trades, all described in more detail below.
Back-testing Inputs:
You define your timezone.
You define how many trades to open on any given day.
You decide to go: long only, short only, or long & short (CAREFUL: "Long & Short" can open trades that effectively closes-out existing ones, for better AND worse!)
You define between which times the strategy will open trades.
You define when it closes any open trades (preventing overnight trades, or leaving trades open into US data times!!).
This hopefully helps make back-testing reflect YOUR trading hours.
NOTE: Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts
For ALL strategies, don’t use Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts unless you know EXACTLY the implications.
Specific to my strategy, using a renko chart can make this 85-90% profitable (I wish it was!!) Although they can be useful, renko charts don’t always capture real wicks, so the renko chart may show your trade up-only but your broker (who is not using renko!!) will have likely stopped you out on a wick somewhere along the line.
NOTE: TradingView ‘Deep backtesting’
For ALL strategies, be cynical of all backtesting (e.g. repainting issues etc) as well as ‘Deep backtesting’ results.
Specific to this strategy, the default settings here SHOULD BE OK, but unfortunately at the time of writing, we can’t see on the chart what exactly ‘deep backtesting’ is calculating. In the past I have noted a number of trades that were not closed at the end of the day, despite my ‘end of day’ trade closing being enabled, so there were big winners and losers that would not have materialized otherwise. As I say, this seems ok at these settings but just always be cynical!!
Opening Range Inputs
You define a pre-market range (example: 08:00 - 09:00).
You define an opening range (example: 09:00 - 09:30).
The strategy will give an update at the close of the opening range to let you know if the opening range has broken out the pre-market range (OR Breakout), or if it has remained inside (OR Inside). The label appears at the end of the opening range NOT at the bar that ‘broke-out’.
This is just a visual cue for you, it has no bearing on what the strategy will do.
The strategy default will trade off the pre-market range, but you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range.
Opening Trades:
Strategy goes long when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-over the ‘pre-market’ high (not the ‘opening range’ high); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Strategy goes short when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-under the ‘pre-market’ low (not the ‘opening range low); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Remember, you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range instead.
NOTES:
Using momentum indicators can help (RSI and MACD): especially to trade range plays in failed breakouts, when momentum shifts… but the strategy won’t do this for you!
Using an anchored vwap at the session open can also provide nice confluence, as well as take-profit levels at the upper/lower of 3x standard deviation.
CLOSING TRADES:
You have 6 take-profit (TP) options:
1) Full TP: uses ATR Multiplier - Full TP at the ATR parameters as defined in inputs.
2) Take Partial profits: ATR Multiplier - Takes partial profits based on parameters as defined in inputs (i.e close 40% of original trade at TP1, close another 40% of original trade at TP2, then the remainder at Full TP as set in option 1.).
3) Full TP: Trailing Stop - Applies a Trailing Stop at the number of points, as defined in inputs.
4) Full TP: MA cross - Takes profit when price crosses ‘Trend MA’ as defined in inputs.
5) Scalp: Points - closes at a set number of points, as defined in inputs.
6) Full TP: PMKT Multiplier - places a SL at opposite pre-market Hi/Low (we go long at a break-out of the pre-market high, 50% would place a SL at the pre-market range mid-point; 100% would place a SL at the pre-market low)'. This takes profit at the input set in option 1).
TASC 2024.08 Volume Confirmation For A Trend System█ OVERVIEW
This script demonstrates the use of volume data to validate price movements based on the techniques Buff Pelz Dormeier discusses in his "Volume Confirmation For A Trend System" article from the August 2024 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . It presents a trend-following system implementation that utilizes a combination of three indicators: the Average Directional Index (ADX), the Trend Thrust Indicator (TTI), and the Volume Price Confirmation Indicator (VPCI).
█ CONCEPTS
In his article, Buff Pelz Dormeier recounts his search for an optimal trend-following strategy enhanced with volume data, starting with a simple system combining the ADX , MACD , and OBV indicators. Even in these early tests, the author observed that the volume confirmation from OBV notably improved trading performance. Subsequently, the author replaced OBV with his VPCI, which considers the proportional weights of volume and price, to enhance the validation of trend momentum. Lastly, the author explored the inclusion of his TTI, a modified MACD that features volume-based enhancements, as a strategy component for improved trend-following performance.
According to the author's research, the ADX+TTI+VPCI system outperformed similar strategies he tested in the article, yielding significantly higher returns and enhanced perceived reliability. Because the system's design revolves around catching pronounced trends, it performs best with a portfolio of individual stocks. The author applies the system in the article by allocating 5% of the equity to long positions in S&P 500 components that meet the ADX+TTI+VPCI entry criteria (see the Calculations section below for details). He uses the proceeds from closing positions to enter new positions in other stocks meeting the screening criteria, holding any excess proceeds in cash.
█ CALCULATIONS
The TTI is similar to the MACD. Its calculation entails the following steps:
Calculate fast (short-term) and slow (long-term) volume-weighted moving averages (VWMAs).
Compute the volume multiple (VM) as the square of the ratio of the fast VWMA to the slow VWMA.
Adjust these averages by multiplying the fast VWMA by the VM and dividing the slow VWMA by the VM.
Calculate the difference between the adjusted VWMAs to determine the TTI value, and take the average of that series to determine the signal line value.
The VPCI utilizes differences and ratios between VWMAs and corresponding simple moving averages (SMAs) to provide an alternative volume-price confirmation tool. Its calculation is as follows:
Subtract the slow SMA from the VWMA of the same length to calculate the volume-price confirmation/contradiction (VPC) value.
Divide the fast VWMA by the corresponding fast SMA to determine the volume-price ratio (VPR).
Divide the short-term VWMA by the long-term VWMA to calculate the VM.
Compute the VPCI as the product of the VPC, VPR, and VM values.
The long entry criteria of the ADX+TTI+VPCI system are as follows:
The ADX is above 30.
The TTI crosses above its signal line.
The VPCI is above 0, confirming the trend.
Signals to close positions occur when the VPCI is below 0, indicating a contradiction .
NOTE: Unlike in the article, this script applies the ADX+TTI+VPCI system to one stock at a time , not a portfolio of S&P 500 constituents.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the trading system outlined by the TASC article. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script.
Moving Average Crossover Swing StrategyMoving Average Crossover Swing Strategy
**Overview:**
The basic concept of this strategy is to generate a signal when a faster/shorter length moving average crosses over (for Longs) or crosses under (for Shorts) a medium/longer length moving average. All of which are customizable. This strategy can work on any timeframe, however the daily is the timeframe used for the default settings and screenshots, as it was designed to be a multi-day swing strategy. Once a signal has been confirmed with a candle close, based on user options, the strategy will enter the trade on the open of the next candle.
The crossover strategy is nothing new to trading, but what can make this strategy unique and helpful, is the addition of further confirmation points, ATR based stop loss and take profit targets, optional early exit criteria, customizable to your needs and style, and just about everything visual can be toggled on/off. This strategy is based on a Trend (MA) indicator and a Momentum (MACD) indicator. While a Volume-based indicator is not shown here, one could consider using their favorite from that category to further compliment the signal idea.
It should be noted that depending on the time frame, direction(s) chosen, the signal options, confirmation options, and exit options selected, that a ticker may not produce more than 100 trades on the back test. Depending on your style and frequency, one could consider adjusting options and/or testing multiple tickers. It should also be noted that this strategy simply tests the underlying stock prices, not options contracts. And of course, testing this strategy against historical data does not assume that the same results will occur in future price action.
Shoutout given to Ripster's Clouds Indicator as pieces of that code were taken and modified to create both the Cloud visualization effects, and the Moving Average Pair Plots that are implemented in this strategy.
BASIC DEFAULTS
All can be changed as normal
Initial capital = 10,000
Order Sizing = 25% of equity (use the "Inputs" tab to modify this)
Pyramiding = 0
Commission = 0.65 USD per order
Price Verification = 1 tick
Slippage = 1 tick
RISK MANAGMENT
You will notice two different percentage options and ATR multipliers. This strategy will adjust position sizing by not exceeding either one of those % values based on the ATR (Average True Range) of the symbol and the multipliers selected, should the stock hit the stop loss price.
For Example, lets assume these values are true:
Account size = $10,000,
Max Risk = 1% of account size
Max Position Size = 25% of the account size
Stock Price = 23.45
ATR = 3.5
ATR Stop Loss Multiplier = 1.4
Then the formulas would be:
ACCT_SIZE * MaxRisk_% = 10000 * .01 = $100 (MaxCashRisk)
-----
MaxCashRisk / (ATR * ATR_SL_MULTIPLIER) = 100 / (3.5 * 1.4) = 20.4 Shares based on Max Cash Risk
-----
(ACCT_SIZE * MaxEquity_%) / STOCK_PRICE = (10000 * .25) / 23.45 = 106.61 Shares based on Max Equity Allocation
The minimum value of each of those options is then used, which in this case would be to purchase 20 shares so as not to exceed the max dollar risk should the stock reach the stop loss target. Likewise, if the ATR were to be much lower, say 0.48 cents, and all else the same, then the strategy would purchase the 106 shares based on Max Equity Allocation because the Max Cash Risk would require 149.25 shares.
MOVING AVERAGE OPTIONS
Select between and change the length & type of up to 5 pairs (10 total) of moving averages
The "Show Cloud-x" option will display a fill color between the "a" and "b" pairs
All moving averages lines can be toggled on/off in the "Style" tab, as well as adjusting their colors.
Visualization features do not affect calculations, meaning you could have all or nothing on the chart and the strategy will still produce results
SIGNAL CHOICES
Choose the fast/shorter length MA and the medium/longer length MA to determine the entry signal
CONFIRMATION OPTIONS
Both of these have customizable values and can be toggled on/off
A candle close over a slower/much longer length moving average
An additional cross-over (cross-under for Shorts) on the MACD indicator using default MACD values. While the MACD indicator is not necessary to have on the chart, it can help to add that for visualization. The calculations will perform whether the indicator is on the chart or not.
EARLY EXIT CRITERIA
Both can be toggled on/off with customizable values
MA Cross Exit will exit the trade early if the select moving averages cross-under (for longs) or cross-over (for shorts), indicating a potential reversal.
Max Bars in Trades will act as a last-resort exit by simply calculating the amount of full bars the trade has been open, and exiting on the opening of the next bar. For example: the default value is 8 bars, so after 8 full bars in the trade, if no other exit has been triggered (Stop Loss, Take Profit, or MA Cross(if enabled)), then the trade will exit at the opening of the 9th bar.
Finally, there is a table displaying the amount of trades taken for each side, and the amount & percent of both early exits. This table can be turned off in the "Style" tab
ADDITIONAL PLOTS
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence):
- The MACD is an optional confirmation indicator for this strategy.
- Plotting the indicator is not necessary for the strategy to work, but it can be helpful to visually see the status and position of the MACD if this feature is enabled in the strategy
- This helps to identify if there is also momentum behind the entry signal
CCI and MACD Auto Trading Strategy with Risk/RewardOverview:
This strategy combines the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators to automate trading decisions. It dynamically sets stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent lows and highs, ensuring a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.5. This script aims to leverage trend and momentum signals while maintaining effective risk management.
Originality and Usefulness:
This script is not just a simple mashup of CCI and MACD indicators; it incorporates dynamic risk management by setting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent price action. This approach helps traders to:
・Identify potential trend reversals using the combination of CCI and MACD signals.
・Manage trades effectively by setting realistic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent market data.
・Maintain a balanced risk/reward ratio, which is essential for sustainable trading.
Indicators Used:
・CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
・Measures the deviation of the price from its average over a specified period, typically ranging from -100 to +100.
・Helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
・MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
・Utilizes the difference between short-term and long-term moving averages to indicate trend strength and direction.
・Provides momentum signals that can be used for timing entries and exits.
How It Works:
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
・The MACD histogram is above zero.
・The CCI crosses above the -100 line.
Short Entry:
・The MACD histogram is below zero.
・The CCI crosses below the +100 line.
Exit Conditions:
Long Positions:
・The stop-loss is set at the recent low.
・The take-profit is set at 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss.
Short Positions:
・The stop-loss is set at the recent high.
・The take-profit is set at 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss.
Risk Management:
・The script dynamically adjusts stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent market data, ensuring that the risk/reward ratio is maintained at 1:1.5.
・This approach helps in managing the risk effectively while aiming for consistent profits.
Strategy Properties:
・Account Size: Configured for a realistic account size suitable for the average trader.
・Commission and Slippage: Includes settings for realistic commission and slippage to reflect real market conditions.
・Risk per Trade: Designed to risk no more than 5-10% of equity per trade, aligning with sustainable trading practices.
・Backtesting Results: Configured to generate a sufficient sample size (ideally more than 100 trades) for reliable backtesting results.
Revised Backtesting Settings
Ensure that your backtesting settings are realistic:
・Account Size: Set a realistic initial capital suitable for the average trader.
・Commission and Slippage: Include realistic commission fees and slippage.
・Risk Management: Ensure that each trade risks no more than 5-10% of the account equity.
・Sufficient Sample Size: Choose a dataset that will generate more than 100 trades to provide a robust sample size.
KumoTrade Ichimoku StrategyThe KumoTrade Ichimoku Strategy is an advanced trading strategy designed to help users identify market trends and potential trading opportunities using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technical analysis indicator. This strategy leverages the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) along with other crucial indicators such as the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines to generate strong signals.
Main Components of the Strategy:
Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): Indicates the short-term direction of the price, typically calculated as the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 9 periods.
Kijun-sen (Base Line): Indicates the medium-term direction of the price, usually calculated as the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 26 periods.
Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B: These two lines form the cloud (Kumo), which projects future support and resistance levels.
Chikou Span (Lagging Span): Plots the current closing price 26 periods back to measure the market's momentum.
Strategy Rules:
Bullish Bias (Bias Bull): Indicates that the prices are in a long-term uptrend. In this strategy, this is confirmed if the low prices are above the daily EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
Kijun Sen Touch Down: Occurs when prices cross below the Kijun-sen line and then close back above it, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Tenkan-Kijun Cross Up: A bullish signal generated when the Tenkan-sen line crosses above the Kijun-sen line.
Close Over Tenkan and Kijun: A strong bullish signal when the close price crosses above both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines.
Trading Setups:
Long Setup: Generated when the Kijun-sen is above the highest point of the Kumo (senkou_max) and the closing price is below the lowest point of the Kumo (senkou_min). This setup is checked over the last 21 bars.
Short Setup: Generated when the Kijun-sen is below the lowest point of the Kumo (senkou_min) and the closing price is above the highest point of the Kumo (senkou_max). This setup is also checked over the last 21 bars. (Not avalible yet)
Entry Conditions:
Ultra Long Entry: This condition checks for a bullish bias, the Tenkan-Kijun cross up or Kijun Sen touch down, high volume, and that the price is not within the Kumo cloud.
Main Long Entry: This condition requires the closing price to be above the Kumo cloud, a green Kumo cloud, a bullish bias, the Tenkan rule, and that the price is not within the Kumo cloud.
Exit Conditions:
A trailing stop loss is implemented to protect profits. The stop loss level is dynamically updated based on the highest high of the last 5 bars minus three times the ATR (Average True Range) value.
Visuals on the Chart:
The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are plotted for visual reference.
The Kumo cloud is displayed with different colors indicating bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions.
Entry points are marked on the chart, and the trailing stop loss levels are plotted as well.
The KumoTrade Ichimoku Strategy aims to provide a comprehensive approach to trading by combining multiple aspects of the Ichimoku indicator to generate reliable trading signals and manage risk effectively.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy [TradeDots]"The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy" is a trend-following system that leverages the adaptive qualities of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This strategy is distinguished by its ability to adjust dynamically to market volatility, enhancing trading accuracy by minimizing the effects of false and delayed signals often associated with the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy is centered around use of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) indicator, which refines the principles of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a superior smoothing technique.
KAMA distinguishes itself by its responsiveness to changes in market prices through an "Efficiency Ratio (ER)." This ratio is computed by dividing the recent absolute net price change by the cumulative sum of the absolute price changes over a specified period. The resulting ER value ranges between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates high market noise and 1 reflects stronger market momentum.
Using ER, we could get the smoothing constant (SC) for the moving average derived using the following formula:
fastest = 2/(fastma_length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowma_length + 1)
SC = math.pow((ER * (fastest-slowest) + slowest), 2)
The KAMA line is then calculated by applying the SC to the difference between the current price and the previous KAMA.
APPLICATION
For entering long positions, this strategy initializes when there is a sequence of 10 consecutive rising KAMA lines. Conversely, a sequence of 10 consecutive falling KAMA lines triggers sell orders for long positions. The same logic applies inversely for short positions.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Trend Crawler with Dynamic TP and Trailing Stop### Description of "Trend Crawler with Dynamic TP and Trailing Stop"
#### Overview
The "Trend Crawler with Dynamic TP and Trailing Stop" is a comprehensive trading strategy designed for medium-frequency trading on various timeframes and markets. It utilizes a combination of trend identification and volatility analysis to determine optimal entry and exit points, aiming to maximize profitability by adapting to changing market conditions.
#### Strategy Mechanics
1. **Moving Averages**: Users can select between Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to define the trend. The strategy uses two moving averages (fast and slow) to identify the trend direction. A crossover of the fast MA above the slow MA signals a potential bullish trend, while a crossunder signals a bearish trend.
2. **Volume Analysis**: The strategy incorporates volume analysis to confirm the strength of the trend. It calculates a standard deviation of volume from its moving average to detect significant increases in trading activity, which supports the trend direction indicated by the MAs.
3. **Price Spread and RSI**: It uses the price spread (difference between the close and open of each bar) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to filter entries based on market momentum and overbought/oversold conditions. This helps in refining the entries to avoid weak or overly extended moves.
4. **Dynamic Take Profit and Trailing Stop**:
- **Trailing Stop**: As the position moves into profit, the strategy adjusts the stop loss dynamically to protect gains, using a trailing stop mechanism.
- **Dynamic Take Profit**: The take profit levels are adjusted based on the volatility (measured by the standard deviation of the price spread) to capture maximum profit from significant moves.
#### Usage
To use the strategy:
- Set the desired moving average type and lengths according to the asset and timeframe being traded.
- Adjust the RSI thresholds to match the market's volatility and trading style.
- Set the base take profit and stop loss levels along with the trailing stop distance based on risk tolerance and trading objectives.
#### Justification for Originality
While the use of moving averages, RSI, and volume analysis may be common, the integration of these elements with dynamic adjustments for take profit and trailing stops based on real-time volatility analysis offers a unique approach. The strategy adapts not just to trend direction but also to the market's momentum and volatility, providing a tailored trading solution that goes beyond standard indicator-based strategies.
#### Strategy Results and Settings
Backtesting should be conducted with realistic account sizes and include considerations for commission and slippage to ensure that the results are not misleading. Risk per trade should be kept within a sustainable range (ideally less than 5% of account equity), and the strategy should be tested over a sufficient sample size (at least 100 trades) to validate its effectiveness.
#### Chart Presentation
The script’s output includes:
- Colored backgrounds to indicate bullish or bearish market conditions.
- Plots of trailing stops to visually manage risk.
- Entry points are marked with shapes on the chart, providing clear visual cues for trading decisions.
#### Conclusion
This strategy offers traders a robust framework for trend following with enhanced risk management through dynamic adjustments based on real-time market analysis. It's designed to be versatile and adaptable to a wide range of markets and trading styles, providing traders with a tool that not only follows trends but also adapts to market changes to secure profits and reduce losses.
Brilliance Academy Secret StrategyThe Brilliance Academy Secret Strategy is a powerful trading strategy designed to identify potential trend reversals and optimize entry and exit points in the market. This strategy incorporates a combination of technical indicators, including Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Pivot Points, and Bollinger Bands.
Key Features:
MACD Indicator: A momentum oscillator that helps identify changes in trend strength and direction.
RSI Indicator: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, indicating potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Pivot Points: Key levels used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels in the market, aiding in trend reversal identification.
Bollinger Bands: Volatility bands placed above and below a moving average, indicating potential market volatility and overbought or oversold conditions.
How to Use:
Long Signals: Look for long signals when the market price is above the 200-period moving average, MACD line crosses below the signal line, RSI is above 30, and price is above the lower Bollinger Band or at a pivot low.
Short Signals: Look for short signals when the market price is below the 200-period moving average, MACD line crosses above the signal line, RSI is below 70, and price is below the upper Bollinger Band or at a pivot high.
Exit Strategy: Long trades are closed when the next short signal occurs or when the profit reaches a fixed take profit percentage (3% above entry price). Short trades are closed when the next long signal occurs or when the profit reaches a fixed take profit percentage (3% below entry price).
Big RunnerPresenting the "Big Runner" technique, dubbed "Sprinter," which is intended to help traders looking for momentum chances recognise important market swings. This approach maximises profit potential while controlling risk by using trend ribbons and moving averages to identify entry and exit locations.
Important characteristics:
Moving Averages: To determine the direction of the underlying trend, moving averages, both rapid and slow, are used. Depending on their preferred trading strategy, traders can alter the duration of these averages.
Trend Ribbon: Shows phases of bullish and bearish momentum by using a ribbon indicator to visualise the strength of the trend. Trend transitions are simple to spot for traders so they can make wise decisions.
Buy and Sell Signals: This tool generates buy and sell signals that indicate possible entry and exit opportunities based on the crossing and crossunder of moving averages.
Stop Loss/Take Profit Management: This feature enables traders to successfully apply risk management methods by giving them the ability to set stop loss and take profit levels as a percentage of the entry price.
Dynamic Position Sizing: Optimises capital allocation for every trade by dynamically calculating position size depending on leverage and portfolio proportion.
Implementation:
Long Entry: Started when a bullish trend is indicated by a price cross above the fast and slow moving averages. To control risk and lock in earnings, stop loss and take profit thresholds are established appropriately.
Short Entry: Indicates a bearish trend when the price crosses below both moving averages. The concepts of risk management are similar, with dynamic calculations used to determine take-profit and stop-loss levels.
Extra Personalisation:
Take Profit/Stop Loss Management: Provides the ability to select a take profit and stop loss
API Integration: This feature improves execution flexibility and efficiency by enabling traders to include custom parameters for automated trading.
Notice:
Trading entails risk, and performances in the past do not guarantee future outcomes. Before making any trades with this approach, careful analysis and risk management are necessary.
In summary:
By integrating risk management procedures with technical indicators, the "Big Runner" strategy provides a thorough method for identifying noteworthy market changes and achieving the best possible trading results. Traders can adjust parameters to suit their interests and style of trading, giving them the confidence to traverse volatile market situations.
