FluxFilter Trend Strategy [BITsPIP]Hello fellow traders, I'm excited to share with you the FluxFilter Trend Strategy, a trading approach I've developed for those interested in exploring trend-following strategies. My goal was to create something straightforward and accessible, so traders looking to refine their portfolios can easily integrate its features. By the end of this guide, I hope you'll have a solid grasp of how the FluxFilter Trend Strategy functions, appreciate its benefits, understand its potential drawbacks, and see how it might fit into various trading contexts.
I) Overview
The FluxFilter Trend Strategy is tailored to align with the market's long-term trend. It examines the price data from the previous year to gauge the market's overall trajectory by employing moving averages. Subsequently, within shorter timeframes, the strategy utilizes a combination of modified Supertrend, Hull Suite, and various trend-following and filtering techniques to generate buy or sell signals. Although its advanced take profit and stop loss mechanisms might initially present a learning curve, they are integral to the strategy's effectiveness. They are designed to secure gains by capturing prevailing trends and mitigating the impact of false reversal signals.
II) Deep Backtesting
Deep backtesting stands as a cornerstone in the development of trading strategies, offering a robust method for traders to assess the performance of their strategy against historical data. This process yields a retrospective view, illustrating how the strategy might have navigated through past market fluctuations, thereby shedding light on its potential robustness and areas for refinement. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that a strategy's performance can be influenced by a myriad of factors including market dynamics, the chosen timeframe, and the inherent attributes of the traded asset. Consequently, it's advisable to conduct thorough backtesting under various conditions to ascertain the strategy's reliability before applying it to actual trading scenarios.
III) Benefits
A primary advantage of the FluxFilter Trend Strategy is its proficiency in discerning genuine market trends from mere price fluctuations, thereby avoiding premature or uncertain trades. Unlike approaches that take high risks on speculative trades, this strategy prioritizes a high degree of confidence in the direction of the trade. It meticulously waits for a clear confirmation of the market trend. Once this certainty is established, the strategy promptly generates trade signals, ensuring that traders are positioned to capitalize on optimal market entry points without delay. This approach not only enhances the potential for profit but also aligns with a disciplined and methodical trading ethos.
IV) Applications
FluxFilter Trend Strategy can be applied across various timeframes, with a particular efficacy in those under 15 minutes. Its adaptable framework means it can be customized to cater to a variety of asset classes, encompassing stocks, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies. Initially, the strategy was specifically calibrated for low-volatile cryptocurrencies, as reflected in the default settings for stop loss and take profit values. It's important to recognize that the unique volatility and trend patterns of your selected market necessitate careful adjustments to these parameters. This fine-tuning of profit targets and stop loss thresholds is crucial for aligning the strategy with the specific dynamics of your chosen market, which I will discuss shortly.
V) Strategy's Logic
1. Trend Identification: My conviction lies in the power of trend trading to yield long-term gains. Central to the FluxFilter Trend Strategy is the Hull Suite indicator, a tool developed by InSilico, serving as one of the confirmation indicators. This indicator acts as a compass for trend direction; a price residing above the Hull Suite line signals an uptrend, potentially marking an entry point for a buy position or confirming it. In contrast, a price positioned below this line suggests a downtrend, potentially indicating a strategic moment to sell or confirming the sell.
2. Noise Reduction: The financial markets are known for their 'noise'—short-lived price movements that can obscure the true market direction. The FluxFilter Trend Strategy is designed to sift through this noise, thereby facilitating more lucid and informed trading decisions. It employs a set of straightforward yet innovative techniques to single out significant misleading fluctuations. This is achieved by analyzing recent bars to spot bars with unusually large bodies, which often represent misleading market noise.
3. Risk Management: A key facet of the strategy is its emphasis on pragmatic risk management. Traders are empowered to establish practical stop-loss and take-profit levels, tailoring these crucial parameters to the specific market they are engaging in. This customization is instrumental in optimizing long-term profitability, ensuring that the strategy adapts fluidly to the unique characteristics and volatility patterns of different trading environments.
VI) Strategy's Input Settings and Default Values
1. Modified Supertrend
i. Factor: Serving as a multiplier in the Average True Range (ATR) calculation, this parameter adjusts the distance of the Supertrend line relative to the price chart. Elevating the factor value widens the gap between the Supertrend line and price, offering a more conservative stance. On the flip side, diminishing the factor value pulls the Supertrend line closer to the price action, heightening its sensitivity. While the preset value is 1, you have the flexibility to modify this to suit your trading approach.
ii. ATR Length: This defines the count of bars that are incorporated into the ATR computation, directly influencing the Supertrend's adaptability to market changes. With a default setting of 30 bars, it strikes a balance, smoothing over short-term fluctuations while maintaining a meaningful sensitivity to market trends. Adjusting this parameter allows you to tailor the indicator's responsiveness to suit your trading strategy, considering the volatility and behavioral patterns of the asset you are trading.
2. Hull Suite
i. Hull Suite Length: Designed for capturing long-term trends, the Hull Suite Length is configured at 1000. Functioning comparably to moving averages, the Hull Suite features upper and lower bands, though these are not employed in our current strategy.
ii. Length Multiplier: It's advisable to maintain a minimal value for the Length Multiplier, prioritizing the optimization of the Hull Suite Length. Presently, it is set to 1.
3. Filtering Indicators
i. Fluctuation Filtering Percentage: It's advisable to set this parameter to ten times the size of the average bar in your specific market, as this helps effectively mitigate the impact of market fluctuations. While the initial default is 0.4(%), based on the BTCUSDT market, it's crucial to adjust this figure to align with the characteristics of different assets or markets you're trading in.
ii. Fluctuation Filtering Bars: This parameter designates the count of preceding bars to consider when assessing market fluctuations. It's fully customizable, allowing you to tailor it based on your market insights. The preset default is 3, a balance chosen to minimize susceptibility to potentially misleading signals.
iii. Trend Confirmation Percentage: This metric is pivotal for verifying the viability of a trend post-entry. If the trade doesn't achieve this percentage in profit, it indicates a deviation from the expected trend. Under such circumstances, it may be prudent to exit the trade prematurely rather than awaiting the stop-loss trigger. It's recommended to set this parameter at half the size of the average candle body for the market you're analyzing. The initial default is set at 0.2(%).
4. StopLoss and TakeProfit
i. StopLoss and TakeProfit Settings: Two distinct approaches are available. Semi-Automatic StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting and Manual StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting. The Semi-Automatic mode streamlines the process by allowing you to input values for a 5-minute timeframe, subsequently auto-adjusting these values across various timeframes, both lower and higher. Conversely, the Manual mode offers full control, enabling you to meticulously define TakeProfit values for each individual timeframe.
ii. TakeProfit Threshold # and TakeProfit Value #: Imagine this mechanism as an ascending staircase. Each step represents a range, with the lower boundary (TakeProfit Value) designed to close the trade upon being reached, and the upper boundary (TakeProfit Threshold) upon being hit, propelling the trade to the next level, and forming a new range. This stair-stepping approach enhances risk management and has the potential to increase profitability. The pre-set configurations are tailored for volatile markets, such as BTCUSDT. It's advisable to devote time to tailoring these settings to your specific market, aiming to achieve optimal results based on backtesting.
iii. StopLoss Value: In line with its name, this value marks the limit of loss you're prepared to accept should the market trend go against your expectations. It's crucial to note that once your asset reaches the first TakeProfit range, the initial StopLoss value becomes obsolete, supplanted by the first TakeProfit Value. The default StopLoss value is pegged at 1.8(%), a figure worth considering in your trading strategy.
VII) Entry Conditions
The principal element that triggers the signal is the Modified Supertrend. Additional indicators serve as confirmatory tools. Nonetheless, to refine your strategy effectively, it's crucial to fine-tune the parameters. This involves adjusting input variables such as take profit levels, threshold parameters, and the filtering values discussed previously.
VIII) Exit Conditions
The strategy stipulates exit conditions primarily governed by stop loss and take profit parameters. On infrequent occasions, if the trend lacks confirmation post-entry, the strategy mandates an exit upon the issuance of a reverse signal (whether confirmed or unconfirmed) by the strategy itself.
Good Luck!!
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Ichimoku Clouds Strategy Long and ShortOverview:
The Ichimoku Clouds Strategy leverages the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technique to offer traders a range of innovative features, enhancing market analysis and trading efficiency. This strategy is distinct in its combination of standard methodology and advanced customization, making it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
Unique Features:
Enhanced Interpretation: The strategy introduces weak, neutral, and strong bullish/bearish signals, enabling detailed interpretation of the Ichimoku cloud and direct chart plotting.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Dual Trading Modes: Long and Short modes are available, allowing alignment with market trends.
Flexible Risk Management: Offers three styles in each mode, combining fixed risk management with dynamic indicator states for versatile trade management.
Indicator Line Plotting: Enables plotting of Ichimoku indicator lines on the chart for visual decision-making support.
Methodology:
The strategy utilizes the standard Ichimoku Kinko Hyo model, interpreting indicator values with settings adjustable through a user-friendly menu. This approach is enhanced by TradingView's built-in strategy tester for customization and market selection.
Risk Management:
Our approach to risk management is dynamic and indicator-centric. With data from the last year, we focus on dynamic indicator states interpretations to mitigate manual setting causing human factor biases. Users still have the option to set a fixed stop loss and/or take profit per position using the corresponding parameters in settings, aligning with their risk tolerance.
Backtest Results:
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.01.04. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Maximum Single Position Loss: -6.29%
Maximum Single Profit: 22.32%
Net Profit: +10 901.95 USDT (+109.02%)
Total Trades: 119 (51.26% profitability)
Profit Factor: 1.775
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 4 185.37 USDT (-22.87%)
Average Profit per Trade: 91.67 USDT (+0.7%)
Average Trade Duration: 56 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters. Backtest is calculated using deep backtest option in TradingView built-in strategy tester
How to Use:
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired chart and timeframe (optimal performance observed on the 1H chart, ForEx or cryptocurrency top-10 coins with quote asset USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
2Mars - MA / BB / SuperTrend
The 2Mars strategy is a trading approach that aims to improve trading efficiency by incorporating several simple order opening tactics. These tactics include moving average crossovers, Bollinger Bands, and SuperTrend.
Entering a Position with the 2Mars Strategy:
Moving Average Crossover: This method considers the crossing of moving averages as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Bollinger Bands: If the price crosses either the upper or lower Bollinger Band, it is seen as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Moving Average: If the price crosses the moving average, it is also considered a signal to enter a position.
SuperTrend and Bars confirm:
The SuperTrend indicator is used to provide additional confirmation for entering positions and setting stop loss levels. "Bars confirm" is used only for entry to positions.
Moving Average Crossover Strategy:
A moving average crossover refers to the point on a chart where there is a crossover of the signal or fast moving average, above or below the basis or slow moving average. This strategy also uses moving averages for additional orders #3.
Basis Moving Average Length: Ratio * Multiplier
Signal Moving Average Length: Multiplier
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands consist of three bands: an upper band, a lower band, and a basis moving average. However, the 2Mars strategy incorporates multiple upper and lower levels for position entry and take profit.
Basis +/- StdDev * 0.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 1.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 2.618
Additional Orders:
Additional Order #1 and #2: closing price crosses above or below the Bollinger Bands.
Additional Order #3: closing price crosses above or below the basis or signal moving average.
Take Profit:
The strategy includes three levels for taking profits, which are based on the Bollinger Bands. Additionally, a percentage of the position can be chosen to close long or short positions.
Limit Orders:
The strategy allows for entering a position using a limit order. The calculation for the limit order involves the Average True Range (ATR) for a specific period.
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Multiplier
Stop Loss:
To manage risk, the strategy recommends using stop loss options. The stop loss is updated with each entry order and take-profit level 3. When using the SuperTrend Confirmation, the stop loss requires confirmation of a trend change. It allows for flexible adjustment of the stop loss when the trend changes.
There are three options for setting the stop loss:
1. ATR (Average True Range):
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Short multiplier
2. SuperTrend + ATR:
For long positions: SuperTrend - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: SuperTrend + ATR * Short multiplier
3. StdDev:
For long positions: StdDev - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: StdDev + ATR * Short multiplier
Flexible Stop Loss:
There is also a flexible stop loss option for the ATR and StdDev methods. It is triggered when the SuperTrend or moving average trend changes unfavorably.
For long positions: Stop-loss price + (ATR * Long multiplier) * Multiplier
For short positions: Stop-loss price - (ATR * Short multiplier) * Multiplier
How configure:
Disable SuperTrend, take profit, stop loss, additional orders and begin setting up a strategy.
Pick soucre data
Number of bars for confirm
Pick up the ratio of the base moving average and the signal moving average.
Set up a SuperTrend
Time for set up of the Bollinger Bands and the take profit
And finaly set up of stop loss and limit orders
All done!
For OKX exchange:
Trend Confirmation StrategyThe profitability and uniqueness of a trading strategy depend on various factors including market conditions, risk management, and the strategy's ability to capitalize on price movements. I'll describe the strategy provided and highlight its potential benefits and differences compared to other strategies:
Strategy Overview:
The provided strategy combines three technical indicators: Supertrend, MACD, and VWAP. It aims to identify potential entry and exit points by confirming trend direction and considering the proximity to the VWAP level. The strategy also incorporates stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms, as well as a trailing stop.
Unique Aspects and Potential Benefits:
Trend Confirmation: The strategy uses both Supertrend and MACD to confirm the trend direction. This dual confirmation can increase the likelihood of accurate trend identification and filter out false signals.
VWAP Confirmation: The strategy considers the proximity of the price to the VWAP level. This dynamic level can act as a support or resistance and provide additional context for entry decisions.
Adaptive Stop Loss: The strategy sets a stop-loss range, which helps provide some tolerance for minor price fluctuations. This adaptive approach considers market volatility and helps prevent premature stop-loss triggers.
Trailing Stop: The strategy incorporates a trailing stop mechanism to lock in profits as the trade moves in the desired direction. This can potentially enhance profitability during strong trends.
Partial Profit Booking: While not explicitly implemented in the provided code, you could consider booking partial profits when the MACD shows a crossover in the opposite direction. This aspect could help secure gains while still keeping exposure to potential further price movements.
Key Differences from Other Strategies:
Dual Indicator Confirmation: The combination of Supertrend and MACD for trend confirmation is a unique aspect of this strategy. It adds an extra layer of filtering to enhance the accuracy of entry signals.
Dynamic VWAP: Incorporating the VWAP level into the decision-making process adds a dynamic element to the strategy. VWAP is often used by institutional traders, and its inclusion can provide insights into the market sentiment.
Adaptive Stop Loss and Trailing: The strategy's use of an adaptive stop-loss range and a trailing stop can help manage risk and protect profits more effectively during changing market conditions.
Partial Profit Booking: The suggestion to consider partial profit booking upon MACD crossovers in the opposite direction is a practical approach to secure gains while staying in the trade.
Caution and Considerations:
Backtesting: Before deploying any strategy in real trading, it's crucial to thoroughly backtest it on historical data to understand its performance under various market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy has built-in risk management mechanisms, it's essential to carefully manage position sizes and overall portfolio risk.
Market Conditions: No strategy works well in all market conditions. It's important to be flexible and adjust the strategy or refrain from trading during particularly volatile or unpredictable periods.
Continuous Monitoring: Even though the strategy includes automated components, continuous monitoring of the trades and market conditions is necessary.
Adaptability: Markets can change over time. Traders need to be prepared to adapt the strategy as necessary to stay aligned with evolving market dynamics.
Premium Smart Exit HMA [ByteBoost]The Premium Smart Exit HMA strategy is designed for fast-paced trend detection and is well-suited for small trades in highly volatile markets. It utilizes the Hull Moving Average (HMA) as a signal to execute trades and offers customizable inputs for price calculation, period settings, and stop loss/take profit levels. The strategy aims to reduce lag associated with traditional moving averages, allowing it to catch trends quickly.
Development Notes
This Strategy was developed with the PineScript language, version 5. The aim of the strategy is to provide a trading system that catches fast trend reversals and uses a modified version of the Hull Moving Average. The HMA adeptly adapts to swift variations in price movements while offering better smoothing and utilizes a user selected moving averages, mitigating the smoothing effect and is controlled with a custom weight design.
Features
Customizable trading periods.
Customizable stop loss and take profit levels.
Adjustable date range for backtesting.
Allows setting of initial capital, commission type and value.
Provides visual aids for better understanding of the market trends.
Customize the visuals of the strategy.
Strategy Description
The Smart Exit HMA strategy offers the flexibility to use various types of moving averages, allowing customization of inputs for price calculation, period settings, and stop loss/take profit levels. The strategy relies on the Hull Moving Average (HMA) as a signal to execute trades. However, you have control over the signal frequency by selecting your preferred period value, which determines the number of candles used in the average calculation. This allows you to adapt the strategy to market tendencies and increase its effectiveness during clear trends.
The Smart Exit HMA strategy is designed to minimize lag associated with traditional moving averages, enabling it to respond more quickly to recent price movements based on your chosen period. It's worth noting that the strategy plots two lines on the graph: the average line and the square root line. Buy and sell signals are generated when both lines intersect, indicating favorable trading opportunities.
Inputs/Settings
Capital - If using any leverage multiply the amount of money to invest by the leverage, else input the amount to be invested in every trade.
Start date - The date from which the strategy should begin its analysis. Leave unchanged to start from the earliest available date based on your account's plan.
End date - The date until which the strategy should conduct its analysis. Leave unchanged to continue until the current date.
Period - The lookback period for the moving average calculation, a longer period will translate into fewer trades that last longer.
Stop loss - Allows the use of a stop loss for all trades.
Take profit - Activates the use of a take profit for all trades.
Stop loss value - The distance from the entry price at which the strategy should exit to prevent further losses.
Take profit value - The distance from the entry price at which the strategy should exit to secure profits.
Take profit % - The percentage of the capital to take as profit.
Stop loss % - The percentage of the capital to set as the maximum loss.
Candles exit - The minimum number of candles before the strategy is allowed to close a trade.
Candles change - The minimum number of candles before the strategy is allowed to change the current trend.
Moving average type - Determines the preprocessing method applied prior to utilizing the HMA.
Custom weight - Enables the utilization of a personalized weighting system for the HMA. If chosen, ensure that the sum of all weights equals 1.
Open weight - Determines the weight assigned to the candle's open value.
Close weight - Specifies the weight assigned to the candle's close value.
High weight - Sets the weight attributed to the candle's high value.
Low weight - Determines the weight assigned to the candle's low value.
Highlighter - Light coloring between the trend and average price of each bar.
Signal labels - View the labels indicating a new long or short position.
Exit labels - Displays the labels indicating exit points.
Color long - Sets the color scheme for a new long position.
Color short - Sets the color scheme for a new short position.
Color exit - Decides the color scheme for the exit tag and cross shown.
Indicator Visuals
The strategy plots the two trendlines on the chart and changes its color based on its direction. It also plots shapes on the chart to denote potential buy (Long) and sell (Short) points where the signals of short and long will appear, as well as crosses for the exit points.
Strategy Alerts
The strategy does not include built-in alerts. However, alerts can be added using the TradingView interface based on the strategy's buy, sell and exit conditions. This way you will be able to receive notifications on your computer or phone when a new signal goes out.
Details
Repainting: It is important to mention that the strategy can mark an uptrend signal during a candle and disappear at the end of it, so please just put long or short when the buy/sell conditions are followed and marked by the strategy at the end of each candle.
Conclusion
The Premium Smart Exit HMA is a versatile strategy that combines the benefits of the Hull Moving Average with adjustable parameters to suit individual trading styles. It offers a combination of speed and smoothness, which can be beneficial in volatile markets.
Disclaimer
This strategy is provided as-is, with no guarantee of profits or responsibility for losses. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading.
Slight Swing Momentum Strategy.Introduction:
The Swing Momentum Strategy is a quantitative trading strategy designed to capture mid-term opportunities in the financial markets by combining swing trading principles with momentum indicators. It utilizes a combination of technical indicators, including moving averages, crossover signals, and volume analysis, to generate buy and sell signals. The strategy aims to identify market trends and capitalize on price momentum for profit generation.
Highlights:
The strategy offers several key highlights that make it unique and potentially attractive to traders:
Swing Trading with Momentum: The strategy combines the principles of swing trading, which aim to capture short-to-medium-term price swings, with momentum indicators that help identify strong price trends and potential breakout opportunities.
Technical Indicator Optimization: The strategy utilizes a selection of optimized technical indicators, including moving averages and crossover signals, to filter out the noise and focus on high-probability trading setups. This optimization enhances the strategy's ability to identify favourable entry and exit points.
Risk Management: The strategy incorporates risk management techniques, such as position sizing based on equity and dynamic stop loss levels, to manage risk exposure and protect capital. This helps to minimize drawdowns and preserve profits.
Buy Condition:
The buy condition in the strategy is determined by a combination of factors, including A1, A2, A3, XG, and weeklySlope. Let's break it down:
A1 Condition: The A1 condition checks for specific price relationships. It verifies that the ratio of the highest price to the closing price is less than 1.03, the ratio of the opening price to the lowest price is less than 1.03, and the ratio of the highest price to the previous day's closing price is greater than 1.06. This condition looks for a specific pattern indicating potential bullish momentum.
A2 Condition: The A2 condition checks for price relationships related to the closing price. It verifies that the ratio of the closing price to the opening price is greater than 1.05 or that the ratio of the closing price to the previous day's closing price is greater than 1.05. This condition looks for signs of upward price movement and momentum.
A3 Condition: The A3 condition focuses on volume. It checks if the current volume crosses above the highest volume over the last 60 periods. This condition aims to identify increased buying interest and potentially confirms the strength of the potential upward price movement.
XG Condition: The XG condition combines the A1 and A2 conditions and checks if they are true for both the current and previous bars. It also verifies that the ratio of the closing price to the 5-period EMA crosses above the 9-period SMA of the same ratio. This condition helps identify potential buy signals when multiple factors align, indicating a strong bullish momentum and potential entry point.
Weekly Trend Factor: The weekly slope condition calculates the slope of the 50-period SMA over a weekly timeframe. It checks if the slope is positive, indicating an overall upward trend on a weekly basis. This condition provides additional confirmation that the stock is in an upward trend.
When all of these conditions align, the buy condition is triggered, indicating a favourable time to enter a long position.
Sell Condition:
The sell condition is relatively straightforward in the strategy:
Sell Signal: The sell condition simply checks if the closing price crosses below the 10-period EMA. When this condition is met, it indicates a potential reversal or weakening of the upward price momentum, and a sell signal is generated.
Backtest Outcome:
The strategy was backtested over the period from January 22nd, 1999 to May 3rd, 2023, using daily candlestick charts for the NASDAQ: NVDA. The strategy used an initial capital of 1,000,000 USD, The order quantity is defined as 10% of the equity. The strategy allows for pyramiding with 1 order, and the transaction fee is set at 0.03% per trade. Here are the key outcomes of the backtest:
Net Profit: 539,595.84 USD, representing a return of 53.96%.
Percent Profitable: 48.82%
Total Closed Trades: 127
Profit Factor: 2.331
Max Drawdown: 68,422.70 USD
Average Trade: 4,248.79 USD
Average Number of Bars in Trades: 11, indicating the average duration of the trades.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the Swing Momentum Strategy is a quantitative trading approach that combines swing trading principles with momentum indicators to identify and capture mid term trading opportunities. The strategy has demonstrated promising results during backtesting, including a significant net profit and a favourable profit factor.
Seer's HutThis is a strategy based on Exponential Moving Averages or Volume Weighted Moving Averages against Adaptive fib resistance / support level and profit percentage which can be definetly defined by user and targeting small profits(profits will be raised by leverages).
In this strategy, there are predefined values which are collected one by one with statistical background and backtests. This gives an advantage to see which ratios are working better for each symbol. Also this statistics are re-evaluated monthly and if there is a need they are going to be changed with the help of libraries. Also IT IS RECOMMENDED TO USE IN DAILY INTERVAL GRAPHICS!!!!
When we deep dive to strategy, it is based on profit percentages. it is similar to the MOST system. MOST only changes the way with default value of %2. But this hardcoded strategy is not working well with each Symbol.
So this is the point where DC and ADR Statistics are involved.
For Ex. while BTC is suits well with %2, it does not do wonders for RSR or RUNE which is 4-5% for each.
There is 3 options for setting the statistical usage of this indicator.
1. Auto calculated based on 1000 days of ADR and DC
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2. Using Library where statistical values are stored.
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3. User-defined values used. Yeah you read it right. Fully on-demand changes are supported. Which gives freedom to users for setup their own Adaptive FIB and Profit Percentages.
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Based on this 3 options, TP and SL points are calculated on bar closures. Strategy Orders are also shown / raised with the closures.
Ok, system calculates these values but how to read / use them. what is this strategy based on ?
This strategy is mostly looking for minimizing the LOSS in case of any stop. So because of this, in each TP, system gives order signal to close half of the remaining open position.
There are 7 type of orders
OL : Open Long (Close Short and Open Long if in position)
CL 50 : Close Long - %50 of Open Position
CL 100 : Close Long - Close all position
OS : Open Short (Close Long and Open Short if in position)
CL 50 : Close Short - %50 of Open Position
CL 100 : Close Short - Close all position
TP5 : Highest TP reached. Close all position.
Script checks cross of EMA / VWMA and adFib to decide open a position. In reversal / crosses, adFib line had been set to defined Fib. Percentage (FP) level.
For creating the TP points, Profit Percentage (PP) parameter had been used which I briefly introduce at the beginning with the options.
One important topic about this strategy, it is not stacking / pyramiding the positions. Which means, it always calculate one way position. For example we are in the long position after OL signal.
We reached TP values and take profits. Later on due to FP crossing EMA, OS order signal given. This means you have to close all long position and open short position.
But beware. These calculated points are based on given values or calculated regarding to average ADR / DC ratings. For supporting strategy, several methods also had been included in the options.
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These are:
1. MA plotting (Optional 4 EMA, 1WMA) - checking for Golden and Death Cross
2. Bollinger Bands (Length 25 and Multiplier 2.5 set as default. Used in correlation with TEMA)
3. Kama 2 / Kama 5 - Crossing speaks of Trend way
4. TEMA (TEMA 50, VWMA 25 calculations and plotting. Used for TEMA 50 / VWMA 25 / SMA 25 cross checks for weakening or strengthening trend analysis)
5. ATR plotting
6. Chandelier Exit plotting (Widely used for calculating Stop levels in market)
7. PSAR (Widely used for indicating trend reversal)
Also for the ease of use, if the users does not want to plot any values on the graph and just want to see the values there is couple of tables also included.
1. EMA info
2. KAMA info
3. Order info
4. TP/SL info
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Some important notes:
1. To minimize the stop just after the order opening candle in volatile grounds, system prevents to raise new order signals if there is a signal already raised in last 4 candle.
2. if system reach and give close order in one of the TP points (For Ex TP1.), then index goes down and goes up again same TP (above TP1 in scenario) after 4 candle, system gives a close order signal again in the same TP.
3. There is a Profit Factor value had been shown at Order Info table. This information shows how profitable is the setup regarding to given FP and PP values.
In general market conditions, A Profit Factor above 1.50 is considered good enough and above 2.0 it is considered ideal. A strategy with profit factor less than 1.20 suggests too bigger a risk taken for making money.
In some cases automatic ADR and DC calculations are not good enough. so if you want to find a good Profit Factor value, you can change the system automatic calculation to manual value entering and you can see the results directly with in this field.
The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)
Are you tired of manually analyzing charts and trying to find profitable trading opportunities? Look no further! Our algorithmic trading strategy, "Flash," is here to simplify your trading process and maximize your profits.
Flash is an advanced trading algorithm that combines three powerful indicators to generate highly selective and accurate trading signals. The Momentum-RSI, Super-Trend Analysis and EMA-Strategy indicators are used to identify the strength and direction of the underlying trend.
The Momentum-RSI signals the strength of the trend and only generates trading signals in confirmed upward or downward trends. The Super-Trend Analysis confirms the trend direction and generates signals when the price breaks through the super-trend line. The EMA-Strategy is used as a qualifier for the generation of trading signals, where buy signals are generated when the EMA crosses relevant trend lines.
Flash is highly selective, as it only generates trading signals when all three indicators align. This ensures that only the highest probability trades are taken, resulting in maximum profits.
Our trading strategy also comes with two profit management options. Option 1 uses the so-called supertrend-indicator which uses the dynamic ATR as a key input, while option 2 applies pre-defined, fixed SL and TP levels.
The settings for each indicator can be customized, allowing you to adjust the length, limit value, factor, and source value to suit your preferences. You can also set the time period in which you want to run the backtest and how many dollar trades you want to open in each position for fully automated trading.
Choose your preferred trade direction and stop-loss/take-profit settings, and let Flash do the rest. Say goodbye to manual chart analysis and hello to consistent profits with Flash. Try it now!
General Comments
This Flash Strategy has been developed in cooperation between Baby_whale_to_moon and JS-TechTrading. Cudos to Baby_whale_to_moon for doing a great job in transforming sophisticated trading ideas into pine scripts.
Detailed Description
The “Flash” script considers the following indicators for the generation of trading signals:
1. Momentum-RSI
2. ‘Super-Trend’-Analysis
3. EMA-Strategy
1. Momentum-RSI
• This indicator signals the strength of the underlying upward- or downward-trend.
• The signal range of this indicator is from 0 to 100. Values > 60 indicate a confirmed upward- or downward-trend.
• The strategy will only generate trading signals in case the stock (or any other financial security) is in a confirmed upward- (long entry signals) or downward-trend (short entry signals).
• This indicator provides information with regards to the strength of the underlying trend and it does not give any insight with regard to the direction of the trend. Therefore, this strategy also considers other indicators which provide technical confirmation with regards to the direction of the underlying trend.
Graph 1 shows this concept:
• The Momentum-RSI indicator gives lower readings during consolidation phases and no trading signals are generated during these periods.
Example (graph 2):
2. Super-Trend Analysis
• The red line in the graph below represents the so-called super-trend-line. Trading signals are only generated in case the price action breaks through this super-trend-line indicating a new confirmed upward-trend (or downward-trend, respectively).
• If that happens, the super trend-line changes its color from red to green, giving confirmation that the trend changed from bearish to bullish and long-entries can be considered.
• The vice-versa approach can be considered for short entries.
Graph 3 explains this concept:
3. Exponential Moving Average / EMA-Strategy
The functionality of this EMA-element of the strategy has been programmed as follows:
• The exponential moving average and two other trend lines are being used as qualifiers for the generation of trading-signals.
• Buy-signals for long-entries are only considered in case the EMA (yellow line in the graph below) crosses the red line.
• Sell-signals for short-entries are only considered in case the EMA (yellow line in the graph below) crosses the green line.
An example is shown in graph 4 below:
We use this indicator to determine the new trend direction that may occur by using the data of the price's past movement.
4. Bringing it all together
This section describes in detail, how this strategy combines the Momentum-RSI, the super-trend analysis and the EMA-strategy.
The strategy only generates trading-signals in case all of the following conditions and qualifiers are being met:
1. Momentum-RSI is higher than the set value of this strategy. The standard and recommended value is 60 (graph 5):
2. The super-trend analysis needs to indicate a confirmed upward-trend (for long-entry signals) or a confirmed downward-trend (for short-entry signals), respectively.
3. The EMA-strategy needs to indicate that the stock or financial security is in a confirmed upward-trend (long-entries) or downward-trend (short-entries), respectively.
The strategy will only generate trading signals if all three qualifiers are being met. This makes this strategy highly selective and is the key secret for its success.
Example for Long-Entry (graph 6):
When these conditions are met, our Long position is opened.
Example for Short-Entry (graph 7):
Trade Management Options (graph 8)
Option 1
In this dynamic version, the so-called supertrend-indicator is being used for the trade exit management. This supertrend-indicator is a sophisticated and optimized methodology which uses the dynamic ATR as one of its key input parameters.
The following settings of the supertrend-indicator can be changed and optimized (graph 9):
The dynamic SL/TP-lines of the supertrend-indicator are shown in the charts. The ATR-length and the supertrend-factor result in a multiplier value which can be used to fine-tune and optimize this strategy based on the financial security, timeframe and overall market environment.
Option 2 (graph 10):
Option 2 applies pre-defined, fixed SL and TP levels which will appear as straight horizontal lines in the chart.
Settings options (graph 11):
The following settings can be changed for the three elements of this strategy:
1. (Length Mom-Rsi): Length of our Mom-RSI indicator.
2. Mom-RSI Limit Val: the higher this number, the more momentum of the underlying trend is required before the strategy will start creating trading signals.
3. The length and factor values of the super trend indicator can be adjusted:ATR Length SuperTrend and Factor Super Trend
4. You can set the source value used by the ema trend indicator to determine the ema line: Source Ema Ind
5. You can set the EMA length and the percentage value to follow the price: Length Ema Ind and Percent Ema Ind
6. The backtesting period can be adjusted: Start and End time of BackTest
7. Dollar cost per position: this is relevant for 100% fully automated trading.
8. Trade direction can be adjusted: LONG, SHORT or BOTH
9. As we explained above, we can determine our stop-loss and take-profit levels dynamically or statically. (Version 1 or Version 2 )
Display options on the charts graph 12):
1. Show horizontal lines for the Stop-Loss and Take-profit levels on the charts.
2. Display relevant Trend Lines, including color setting options for the supertrend functionality. In the example below, green lines indicate a confirmed uptrend, red lines indicate a confirmed downtrend.
Other comments
• This indicator has been optimized to be applied for 1 hour-charts. However, the underlying principles of this strategy are supply and demand in the financial markets and the strategy can be applied to all timeframes. Daytraders can use the 1min- or 5min charts, swing-traders can use the daily charts.
• This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
• The combination of the qualifiers results in a highly selective strategy which only considers the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
• Consequently, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
Kioseff Trading - AI-Powered Strategy Optimizer Introducing the Kioseff Trading AI-Powered Strategy Optimizer
Optimize and build your trading strategy with ease, no matter your experience level. The Kioseff Trading AI-Powered Strategy Optimizer allows traders to efficiently test and refine strategies with thousands of different profit targets and stop loss settings. Integrated with TradingView's backtester, this tool simplifies strategy optimization, strategy testing, and alert setting, enabling you to enhance your strategy with AI-driven insights.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Testing : Simultaneously test thousands of profit targets and stop losses to fine-tune your strategy.
Dual Strategy Optimization : Adjust and optimize both long and short strategies for balanced performance.
AI Integration : Elevate your strategy with heuristic-based adaptive learning, turning it into a smart, AI-assisted system.
Detailed Analysis : View critical metrics like profit factor, win rate, max drawdown, and equity curve, presented in a strategy script format.
Customizable Alerts : Set alerts for the best version of your strategy.
Flexible Risk Management : Optimize various stop loss types, including profit targets, limit orders, OCO orders, trailing stops, and fixed stops.
Targeted Goals : Choose optimization goals like highest win rate, maximum net profit, or most efficient profit.
Indicator Compatibility : Integrate any strategy/indicator, whether it’s your creation, a favorite author’s, or any public TradingView indicator.
Accessible Design : Navigate a user-friendly interface suitable for traders of all skill levels. No code required.
Precision Lock-In : “Lock” your optimal profit target or stop loss to drill down into precision testing of other variables.
How it works
It's important to remember that merely having the AI-Powered Strategy Optimizer on your chart doesn't automatically provide you with the best strategy. You need to follow the AI's guidance through an iterative process to discover the optimal settings for your strategy.
The Trading Strategy Optimizer is a versatile tool tailored for both non-coding traders and seasoned algorithmic trading professionals. Let's start with no-code-required instructions on how to use the optimizer.
Instructions: How To Optimize Your Strategy Without Code
1. Build your strategy in the settings
The image above shows explanations for each key setting.
Note: This example uses the RSI indicator to initiate a long trade whenever it dips below the 30 mark.
Ensure that the indicator you wish to optimize is already applied to your chart . This enables the Trading Strategy Optimizer to interact with the indicator and finetune profit targets and stop losses effectively.
Because the indicator is plotted on the chart I can access the indicator with the Trading Strategy Optimizer and optimize profit targets and stop losses for it.
2. Leverage AI Recommendations
Optimization Prompt: After you load your strategy, the tool advises you on new TP and SL levels that could be more profitable.
When your strategy is set, the tool gives you tips for where to set your profit goal (TP) and your stop loss to help you optimize your strategy. It'll tell you if there's a better range for these settings based on past results.
Follow Suggestions: Keep updating your TP and SL according to the tool's suggestions until it says "Best Found".
Final Result: The last image shows the best settings found by the indicator.
(Optional Step 3)
3. Lock the profit target or stop loss to further fine tune your strategy
Continue following the AI’s suggestion until “Best Found” is displayed.
Note: you can select lock either your stop loss or profit target for fine tuning. For this demonstration we will lock our profit target.
Code-Required Instructions (Optional)
You can backtest more code-intensive strategies, such as harmonic patterns, traditional chart patterns, candlestick patterns, Elliot wave, etc., by coding the entry condition in your own script and loading it into the Trading Strategy Optimizer. Let's dial in on how to achieve this!
1. You must create an integer variable in your script with an initial value of "0".
2. Define your entry condition in the code. Once complete, assign the value "1" to the variable you created if the entry condition is fulfilled.
3. Plot your variable.
4. Select the plotted variable in the settings for the Trading Strategy Optimizer
The image above shows a coded entry condition for the linear regression channel (which can be any indicator). When price crosses under and closes below the lower line our variable "strategyEntryVariable" is assigned the value "1".
The Trading Strategy Optimizer will treat this change in value from "0" to "1" as an entry signal and enter long/short up to 1000 times at the price where the entry condition was fulfilled.
5. Test Your Strategy
The image above shows the completion of the process! Keep applying the steps we described. Stick with the AI's recommendations until you see “Best Found” show up.
By following these instructions, you can build, test, and optimize almost any trading indicator or strategy!
So, just note that the Trading Strategy Optimizer considers a change in value of a plotted variable from "0" to "1" as an entry signal! So long as you follow this rule you should be able to test and optimize any conceivable, Pine Script compatible strategy!
AI Mode
AI Mode incorporates Heuristic-Based Adaptive Learning to fine-tune trading strategies in a continuous manner. This feature consists of two main components:
Heuristic-Based Decision Making: The algorithm evaluates multiple versions of your strategy using specific metrics such as Profit and Loss (PNL), Win Rate, and Most Efficient Profit. These metrics act as heuristics to assist the algorithm in identifying suitable profit targets and stop losses for trade execution.
Online Learning: The algorithm updates the performance evaluations of each strategy based on incoming market data. This enables the system to adapt to current market conditions.
Incorporating both heuristic-based decision-making and online learning, this feature aims to provide a framework for trading strategy optimization.
Settings
AI Mode Aggressiveness:
Description: The "AI Mode Aggressiveness" setting allows you to fine-tune the AI's trading behavior. This setting ranges from "Low" To "High, with higher aggressiveness indicating a more assertive trading approach.
Functionality: This feature filters trading strategies based on a proprietary evaluation method. A higher setting narrows down the strategies that the AI will consider, leaning towards more aggressive trading. Conversely, a lower setting allows for a more conservative approach by broadening the pool of potential strategies.
Adaptive Learning Aggressiveness:
Description: When Adaptive Learning is enabled, the "Adaptive Learning Aggressiveness" setting controls how dynamically the AI adapts to market conditions using selected performance metrics.
Functionality: This setting impacts the AI's responsiveness to shifts in strategy performance. By adjusting this setting, you can control how quickly the AI moves away from strategies that may have been historically successful but are currently underperforming, towards strategies that are showing current promise.
Additional Settings
Optimization
Trading system optimization is immensely advantageous when executed with prudence.
Technical-oriented, mechanical trading systems work when a valid correlation is methodical to the extent that an objective, precisely-defined ruleset can consistently exploit it. If no such correlation exists, or a technical-oriented system is erroneously designed to exploit an illusory correlation (absent predictive utility), the trading system will fail.
Evaluate results practically and test parameters rigorously after discovery. Simply mining the best-performing parameters and immediately trading them is unlikely a winning strategy. Put as much effort into testing strong-performing parameters and building an accompanying system as you would any other trading strategy. Automated optimization involves curve fitting - it's the responsibility of the trader to validate a replicable sequence or correlation and the trading system that exploits it.
Kioseff Trading - AI-Optimized RSIAI-Optimized RSI
Introducing AI-Optimized RSI: a streamlined solution for traders of any skill level seeking to rapidly test and optimize RSI. Capable of analyzing thousands of strategies, this tool cuts through the complexity to identify the most profitable, reliable, or efficient approaches.
Paired with TradingView's native backtesting capabilities, the AI-Optimized RSI learns from historical performance data. Set up is easy for all skill levels, and it makes fine-tuning trading alerts and RSI straightforward.
Features
Purpose : Uncover optimal RSI settings and entry levels with precision. Say goodbye to random guesses and arbitrary indicator use—this tool provides clear direction based on data.
Target Performance : You set the goal, and AI-RSI seeks it out, whether it's maximizing profits, efficient trading, or achieving the highest win rate.
AI-Powered : With intelligent AI recommendations, the tool dynamically fine-tunes your RSI approach, steering you towards ideal strategy performance.
Rapid Testing : Evaluate thousands of RSI strategies.
Dual Direction : Perfect both long and short RSI strategies with equal finesse.
Deep Insights : Access detailed metrics including profit factor, PnL, win rate, trade counts, and more, all within a comprehensive strategy script.
Instant Alerts : Set alerts and trade.
Full Customization : Test and optimize all RSI settings, including cross levels, profit targets and stop losses.
Simulated Execution : Explore the impact of limit orders and other trade types through simulation.
Integrative Capability : Combine your own custom indicators or others from the TradingView community for a personalized optimization experience.
Flexible Timeframes : Set your optimization and backtesting to any date range.
Key Settings
The image above shows explanations for a list of key settings for the optimizer.
Direction : This setting controls trade direction: Long or Short.
Entry Condition : Define RSI entry: Select whether to trigger trades on RSI crossunders or crossovers.
RSI Lengths Range : Choose the range of RSI periods to test and find the best one.The AI will find the best RSI period for you.
RSI Cross Range : Set the range for RSI levels where crosses trigger trade signals. The AI will find the best level for you.
Combinations : Select how many RSI strategies to compare.
Optimization Type : Choose the goal for optimization and the AI: profit, win rate, or efficiency.
Profit Target : Set your profit target with this setting.
Stop Loss : Decide your maximum allowable loss (stop loss) per trade.
Limit Order : Specify whether to include limit orders in the strategy.
Stop Type : Choose your stop strategy: a fixed stop loss or a trailing stop.
How to: Find the best RSI for trading
It's important to remember that merely having the AI-Optimized RSI on your chart doesn't automatically provide you with the best strategy. You need to follow the AI's guidance through an iterative process to discover the optimal RSI settings and strategy.
1.Starting Your Strategy Setup
Begin by deciding your goals for each trade: your profit target and stop loss. You'll also choose how to manage your stops – whether they stay put (fixed) or move with the price (trailing), and whether you want to exit trades at a specific price (limit orders). Keep the initial settings for RSI lengths and cross ranges at their default to give the tool a broad testing field. The AI's guidance will refine these settings to pinpoint the most effective ones through a process of comprehensive testing.
The image above shows our chart prior to any optimization efforts.
Note: the settings shown above in the key settings section will be used to start our demonstration.
2. Follow AI’s suggestions
Optimization Prompt: After loading your strategy, the indicator will prompt you to change the RSI length range and RSI level range to a better performing range.
Continue changing the RSI length range and RSI level range to match the indicator's suggestions until "Best Found" is displayed!
The image above shows results after we applied the tool’s suggestions. New suggestions have appeared, and we will continue to apply them.
Continue to adjust settings as recommended by the optimizer. If no better options are found, the optimizer will suggest increasing the number of combinations. Repeat this process until the optimizer indicates that the optimal setting has been identified.
Success! With the "Best Found" notification, an optimized RSI is now active. The AI will keep refining the strategy based on ongoing performance, ensuring continuous optimization.
AI Mode
AI Mode incorporates Heuristic-Based Adaptive Learning to fine-tune trading strategies in a continuous manner. This feature consists of two main components:
Heuristic-Based Decision Making: The algorithm evaluates multiple RSI-based trading strategies using specific metrics such as Profit and Loss (PNL), Win Rate, and Most Efficient Profit. These metrics act as heuristics to assist the algorithm in identifying suitable strategies for trade execution.
Online Learning: The algorithm updates the performance evaluations of each strategy based on incoming market data. This enables the system to adapt to current market conditions.
Incorporating both heuristic-based decision-making and online learning, this feature aims to provide a framework for trading strategy optimization.
Settings
AI Mode Aggressiveness:
Description: The "AI Mode Aggressiveness" setting allows you to fine-tune the AI's trading behavior. This setting ranges from “Low” to “High”, with “High” indicating a more assertive trading approach.
Functionality: This feature filters trading strategies based on a proprietary evaluation method. A higher setting narrows down the strategies that the AI will consider, leaning towards more aggressive trading. Conversely, a lower setting allows for a more conservative approach by broadening the pool of potential strategies.
Adaptive Learning Aggressiveness:
Description: When Adaptive Learning is enabled, the "Adaptive Learning Aggressiveness" setting controls how dynamically the AI adapts to market conditions using selected performance metrics.
Functionality: This setting impacts the AI's responsiveness to shifts in strategy performance. By adjusting this setting, you can control how quickly the AI moves away from strategies that may have been historically successful but are currently underperforming, towards strategies that are showing current promise.
Optimization
Trading system optimization is immensely advantageous when executed with prudence.
Technical-oriented, mechanical trading systems work when a valid correlation is methodical to the extent that an objective, precisely-defined ruleset can consistently exploit it. If no such correlation exists, or a technical-oriented system is erroneously designed to exploit an illusory correlation (absent predictive utility), the trading system will fail.
Evaluate results practically and test parameters rigorously after discovery. Simply mining the best-performing parameters and immediately trading them is unlikely a winning strategy. Put as much effort into testing strong-performing parameters and building an accompanying system as you would any other trading strategy. Automated optimization involves curve fitting - it's the responsibility of the trader to validate a replicable sequence or correlation and the trading system that exploits it.
Channels Strategy [JoseMetal]============
ENGLISH
============
- Description:
This strategy is based on Bollinger Bands / Keltner Channel price "rebounds" (the idea of price bouncing from one band to another).
The strategy has several customizable options, which allows you to refine the strategy for your asset and timeframe.
You can customize settings for ALL indicators, Bollinger Bands (period and standard deviation), Keltner Channel (period and ATR multiplier) and ATR (period).
- AVAILABLE INDICATORS:
You can pick Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels for the strategy, the chosen indicator will be plotted as well.
- CUSTOM CONDITIONS TO ENTER A POSITION:
1. Price breaks the band (low below lower band for LONG or high above higher band for SHORT).
2. Same as 1 but THEN (next candle) price closes INSIDE the bands.
3. Price breaks the band AND CLOSES OUT of the band (lower band for LONG and higher band for SHORT).
4. Same as 3 but THEN (next candle) price closes INSIDE the bands.
- STOP LOSS OPTIONS:
1. Previous wick (low of previous candle if LONG and high or previous candle if SHORT).
2. Extended band, you can customize settings for a second indicator with larger values to use it as STOP LOSS, for example, Bollinger Bands with 2 standard deviations to open positions and 3 for STOP LOSS.
3. ATR: you can pick average true ratio from a source (like closing price) with a multiplier to calculate STOP LOSS.
- TAKE PROFIT OPTIONS:
1. Opposite band (top band for LONGs, bottom band for SHORTs).
2. Moving average: Bollinger Bands simple moving average or Keltner Channel exponential moving average .
3. ATR: you can pick average true ratio from a source (like closing price) with a multiplier to calculate TAKE PROFIT.
- OTHER OPTIONS:
You can pick to trade only LONGs, only SHORTs, both or none (just indicator).
You can enable DYNAMIC TAKE PROFIT, which updates TAKE PROFIT on each candle, for example, if you pick "opposite band" as TAKE PROFIT, it'll update the TAKE PROFIT based on that, on every single new candle.
- Visual:
Bands shown will depend on the chosen indicator and it's settings.
ATR is only printed if used as STOP LOSS and/or TAKE PROFIT.
- Recommendations:
Recommended on DAILY timeframe , it works better with Keltner Channels rather than Bollinger Bands .
- Customization:
As you can see, almost everything is customizable, for colors and plotting styles check the "Style" tab.
Enjoy!
============
ESPAÑOL
============
- Descripción:
Esta estrategia se basa en los "rebotes" de precios en las Bandas de Bollinger / Canal de Keltner (la idea de que el precio rebote de una banda a otra).
La estrategia tiene varias opciones personalizables, lo que le permite refinar la estrategia para su activo y temporalidad favoritas.
Puedes personalizar la configuración de TODOS los indicadores, Bandas de Bollinger (periodo y desviación estándar), Canal de Keltner (periodo y multiplicador ATR) y ATR (periodo).
- INDICADORES DISPONIBLES:
Puedes elegir las Bandas de Bollinger o los Canales de Keltner para la estrategia, el indicador elegido será mostrado en pantalla.
- CONDICIONES PERSONALIZADAS PARA ENTRAR EN UNA POSICIÓN:
1. El precio rompe la banda (mínimo por debajo de la banda inferior para LONG o máximo por encima de la banda superior para SHORT).
2. Lo mismo que en el punto 1 pero ADEMÁS (en la siguiente vela) el precio cierra DENTRO de las bandas.
3. El precio rompe la banda Y CIERRA FUERA de la banda (banda inferior para LONG y banda superior para SHORT).
4. Igual que el 3 pero ADEMÁS (siguiente vela) el precio cierra DENTRO de las bandas.
- OPCIONES DE STOP LOSS:
1. Mecha anterior (mínimo de la vela anterior si es LONGy máximo de la vela anterior si es SHORT).
2. Banda extendida, puedes personalizar la configuración de un segundo indicador con valores más extensos para utilizarlo como STOP LOSS, por ejemplo, Bandas de Bollinger con 2 desviaciones estándar para abrir posiciones y 3 para STOP LOSS.
3. ATR: puedes elegir el average true ratio de una fuente (como el precio de cierre) con un multiplicador para calcular el STOP LOSS.
- OPCIONES DE TAKE PROFIT:
1. Banda opuesta (banda superior para LONGs, banda inferior para SHORTs).
2. Media móvil: media móvil simple de las Bandas de Bollinger o media móvil exponencial del Canal de Keltner .
3. ATR: se puede escoger el average true ratio de una fuente (como el precio de cierre) con un multiplicador para calcular el TAKE PROFIT.
- OTRAS OPCIONES:
Puedes elegir operar sólo con LONGs, sólo con SHORTs, ambos o ninguno (sólo el indicador).
Puedes activar el TAKE PROFIT DINÁMICO, que actualiza el TAKE PROFIT en cada vela, por ejemplo, si eliges "banda opuesta" como TAKE PROFIT, actualizará el TAKE PROFIT basado en eso, en cada nueva vela.
- Visual:
Las bandas mostradas dependerán del indicador elegido y de su configuración.
El ATR sólo se muestra si se utiliza como STOP LOSS y/o TAKE PROFIT.
- Recomendaciones:
Recomendada para temporalidad de DIARIO, funciona mejor con los Canales de Keltner que con las Bandas de Bollinger .
- Personalización:
Como puedes ver, casi todo es personalizable, para los colores y estilos de dibujo comprueba la pestaña "Estilo".
¡Que lo disfrutes!
PIVOT STRATEGY [INDIAN MARKET TIMING]
A Back-tested Profitable Strategy for Free!!
A PIVOT INTRADAY STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that also explains the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above ema1 ,indicated by pivot highest line in green color .
2) Price crosses below ema1 ,indicated by pivot lowest line in red color .
3) Candle high crosses above pivot highest , is the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below pivot lowest , is the Short condition .
5) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
6) Default_qty_size is set to 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size .
7) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
Leftbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Rightbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition
ATR LONG —————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions
ATR SHORT —————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions
RISK —————> Maximum Risk per trade for the day
The strategy was back-tested on RELIANCE ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below .
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings
↓
properties
↓
order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 25 .
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm .
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm, at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 103 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:RELIANCE
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 128 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better back-test results.
The strategy applied to NIFTY ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 60 ) gives us 60% profitability y , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.45 ,net Profit of 21,500Rs profit .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.311
Sortino Ratio : 0.727
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits .
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) Leftbars ————————> 3
2) Rightbars ————————> 5
3) Price Cross Ema ——————> 150
4) ATR LONG ————————> 2.7
5) ATR SHORT ———————> 2.9
6) RISK —————————> 2500
7) Default qty size ——————> 60
NSE:RELIANCE
Save it to favorites.
Apply it to your charts Now !!
↓
FOLLOW US FOR MORE !
Thank me later ;)
LONG SAZB $This strategy combines the use of:
-The MTF EMA to detect trends.
-The MACD to create Long and Short Buy signals.
-The ATR for setting Stop Losses and Take Profits.
This works well with many different crypto and fiat pairs, but it must be optimized for the certain behavior of the currency pair. Its optimal use is strong trends, not so profitable when sideways.
This strategy was developed with the 5-minute Bitcoin / TetherUS Perpetual futures for Binance (Crypto trading platform).
This is the first version, updates will come.
MTF EMA
The MTF EMA (Multi-TimeFrame Exponential Moving Average ) is a great indicator to see the overall trend of an asset, you can see the status of a moving average for all timeframes on one chart.
Normally when you check a moving average of the price it's on some specific timeframe. The MTF EMA allows you to see moving average status for all timeframes in a single place. You can simplify your visual representation and know if an asset or a pair is overall bullish or bearish , with this improving your entry and exit signal decisions.
This strategy uses the 1 hour and 15 min EMA with different values. Experimenting with these is important to understand the currency pairs.
Up trend:
Price (source) > 1h MTF and 1h MTF < 15m MTF
Down trend:
Price (source) < 1h MTF and 1h MTF > 15m MTF
MACD
Using MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) as a reference, the strategy identifies when the MACD line crosses over (a factor in a buy signal) and under (a factor in a Sell signal) the Signal line. This shows a shift in positive (cross over) and negative (cross under) of a security.
This strategy uses values of 12 on the Fast MA, 26 on the Slow MA, and 9 in the Signal Line MA.
The optional ribbon is for a more visual representation of the MACD .
The MACD and Signal line have the option to have a crossover limit to cancel buy signals depending on the value they crossed at according to the 0 line of the MACD . This is to avoid fake signals.
ATR TP/SL
Using ATR to define the stop loss and take profit is that it should allow you to set them at a realistic distance from price. Simply put, a pair experiencing a high level of volatility has a higher ATR, and a low volatility stock has a lower ATR.
The indicator does not indicate the price direction; rather it is used primarily to measure volatility caused by gaps and limit up or down moves. All this is used to allow the Stop Loss “breathing space” so trades don't get unnecessarily stopped, and allow the Take Profit to be at a more realistic, flexible, and profitable price.
This strategy uses different values for Longs and Shorts depending on the market behavior, optionally analyzes swing lows and highs according to the value of the candle lookback and sets the ATR depending on them, they must be tested to optimum. Also the ATR has a multiplicator to find the most efficient price levels.
Trade Setup
Shorts and Longs can be turned OFF and ON.
There is an optional maximum % loss for trades, the trade is closed when the high-low average of a candle is over this %.
Longs
This strategy indicates a Long Buy signal when these conditions are met:
- Uptrend signal from MTF EMA .
- MACD Crossover of Signal ( MACD > Signal) while being under the MACD crossover limit.
A Long exit signal is indicated when:
- Price crosses over the ATR Take Profit limit.
- Price crosses under the ATR Stop Loss limit.
- Price crosses under optional max % long loss.
Shorts
This strategy indicates a Long Buy signal when these conditions are met:
- Downtrend signal from MTF EMA .
- Signal Crossover of MACD ( MACD < Signal) while being over the MACD crossover limit.
A Short exit signal is indicated when:
- Price crosses under the ATR Take Profit limit.
- Price crosses over the ATR Stop Loss limit.
- Price crosses over optional max % short loss.
Disclaimer
1. I am not a licensed financial advisor or broker dealer. I do not tell you when or what to buy or sell. I developed this software which enables you to execute manual or automated trades multiple trades using TradingView. The software allows you to set the criteria you want for entering and exiting trades.
2. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
3. I do not guarantee consistent profits or that anyone can make money with no effort. I am not selling the holy grail.
4. Every system can have winning and losing streaks.
5. Money management plays a large role in the results of your trading. For example: lot size, account size, broker leverage, and broker margin call rules all have an effect on results. Also, your Take Profit and Stop Loss settings for individual pair trades and for overall account equity have a major impact on results. If you are new to trading and do not understand these items, then I recommend you seek education materials to further your knowledge.
**YOU NEED TO FIND AND USE THE TRADING SYSTEM THAT WORKS BEST FOR YOU AND YOUR TRADING TOLERANCE.**
**I HAVE PROVIDED NOTHING MORE THAN A TOOL WITH OPTIONS FOR YOU TO TRADE WITH THIS PROGRAM ON TRADINGVIEW.**
I am 100 % open to suggestions to improve the script.
If you encounter any problems or would like to see the script, share them with me at "steven17zmuda@gmail.com".
Items in this description text may not be written directly by me, but may be taken from education sites.
Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)This strategy is oriented towards shorting during downside moves, whilst ensuring the asset is trading in a higher timeframe downtrend, and exiting after further downside.
This script can work well on coins you are planning to hodl for long-term and works especially well whilst using an automated bot that can execute your trades for you. It allows you to hedge your investment by allocating a % of your coins to trade with, whilst not risking your entire holding. This mitigates unrealised losses from hodling as it provides additional cash from the profits made. You can then choose to hodl this cash, or use it to reinvest when the market reaches attractive buying levels. Alternatively, you can use this when trading contracts on futures markets where there is no need to already own the underlying asset prior to shorting it.
ENTRY
This script utilises the MACD indicator accompanied by the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 450 to enter trades. The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator and provides identification of short-term trend direction. In this variation it utilises the 11-period as the fast and 26-period as the slow length EMAs, with signal smoothing set at 9.
The EMA 450 is used as additional confirmation to prevent the script from shorting when price is above this long-term moving average. Once price is above the EMA 450 the script will not open any shorts - preventing the rule from attempting to short uptrends. Due to this, this strategy is ideal for setting and forgetting.
The script will enter trades based on two conditions:
1) When the MACD signals a bearish cross. This occurs when the EMA 11 crosses below the EMA 26 within the MACD signalling the start of a potential downtrend.
2) Price has closed below the EMA 450. Price closing below this long-term EMA signals that the asset is in a sustained downtrend. Price breaking above this could indicate a bullish strength in which shorting would not be profitable.
EXIT
This script utilises a set take-profit and stop-loss from the entry of the trade. The take profit is set at 8% and the stop loss of 4%, providing a risk reward ratio of 2. This indicates the script will be profitable if it has a win ratio greater than 33%.
Take-Profit Exit: -8% price decrease from entry price.
OR
Stop-Loss Exit: +4% price increase from entry price.
Based on backtesting results across a selection of assets, the 45-minute and 1-hour timeframes are the best for this strategy.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
The backtesting data was recorded from December 1st 2021, just as the market was beginning its downtrend. We therefore recommend analysing the market conditions prior to utilising this strategy as it operates best on weak coins during downtrends and bearish conditions, however the EMA 450 condition should mitigate entries during bullish market conditions.
Swing Trader-Pro V2The strategy- what is it?
This indicator is designed from a theory created by myself in order to distinguish a correction from an impulse. This comes down to the ability to compare "x" range of candles to "y" range of candles and highlight key differences to then correctly portray that the most recent move in price will be (or is) a correction.
Following this theory, we all understand that corrections don't go with the trend right? So this means at some point, there is a high probability of a rejection somewhere in this most recent move, that will ultimately push price higher or lower as it continues back with the trend. Therefore, through extensive quantitative research and back-testing, we are able to highlight areas of high-probability rejections within these supposed corrections.
How does it work?
Firstly, we need to establish a high and low point (using pivots ) that help us decide what the state is of the recent move between the high and low (we call this "point A" and "point B"). So we can only consider whether the recent move in price was an impulse or a correction until the move from "point B" to "point C" is made. But before that, once we have identified "Point A" and "point B", we use 2 (supposedly) strong levels which help integrate a box onscreen and thus, indicate this area of high liquidity. This box will continue to adjust according to the change of pivots (if price keeps creating HH's & HL's or LH's & LL's depending on market trend). But if we establish a strong high and low and price stays within this range, then the box will remain in place.
The default color of the box is red; the only time the color of the box will change is when:
- Price retraces from the high/low back to the box (price has to touch the box)
AND
-If any of our confirmations indicate a successful correction based on our theory.
So the box color varies:
- Red = very weak (or) no entry = no confirmations were made
- Yellow = weak entry = some but not all confirmations were made
- Green = strong entry = all confirmations have indicated that the move from "point B" to "point C" (remember that "point C" is where the box is) is a correction when compared with the move from "point A" to "point B"
These confirmations are all validated on the same candle during live candle activity (not when the candle has closed on the box). As this happens, the confirmations will determine the state of entry quality as soon as price touches the box.
In this time, we will see a new orange label highlighting what indicators have confirmed a successful correction and what haven't.
The label shows the different confirmation indicators in which we have provided different names (as this is the secret we intend to keep). So we have:
- "CC"
- "B1/B2"
- "B3"
Usually, we will see either an "OK" or "NOT OK" next to each confirmation indicator. This just tells us whether they have confirmed or not. Please note that this "point C" label does not stay permanently, regardless of the state of entry quality. The label will in fact stay on the screen until the next box has been generated, which is usually a few candles after the entry has been triggered.
Entries, SL's and TP's
This indicator shows the user an area of high-probability rejection. So in terms of specifying a precise entry, you're completely free to enter on the following:
- the moment price touches the box (depending on what color it is of course)
- the other end of the box (if you would like to catch a "sniper entry")
- or if price pierces the entire box and is still green, you can wait to see if price comes back through the box (which indicates a false breakout).
As for Stop-losses, i would recommend:
- Long entries: set your SL at the recent low (this should be "point A")
- Short entries: set your SL to the recent high (this should be "point A" as well, because if you're switching from the "long entry" setting to the "short entry" setting, the indicator labels flip around and are the opposite of what they are for long entries).
For Take profits, this is entirely up to the user. Because some entries will allow you to have great RR ratios depending on how you manage the active trades. Some recommendations below:
- Set TP to "point B" pivot
- Use trailing stop function or something similar if available
- Add other indicators such as the RSI and close when price reaches key levels
- When price shows signs of exhaustion or early stages of reversal then just close
Additional information and recommendations
- This works on any time frame and on any financial market, whether you prefer Forex, stocks, crypto, commodities , etc.
- In regards to trade direction, you can change in the settings to look for either long or short positions in the market. I would recommend using it in favor of the overall trend of the markets because you will find a lot better entries. Although, this does work against the trend at times as well. Additionally, this tool also works in consolidating markets which is beneficial.
- After becoming used to the script, i would say to apply it twice to your screen and have one looking for Long entries and the other looking for Short entries.
- As the user, you have the ability to remove the labels in the parameter settings (because it does look quite messy onscreen, especially if you have both long and short entries on at the same time). I would only personally show the labels when price hits the current box to see what confirmations have been identified.
- I will also provide the best parameters to use. You will only need one set of parameters for each long and short setting, as these parameters are universal for any time frame and any financial market.
FIRST UPDATE
After extensive back testing using our first version, we found that in fact, there are some great opportunities being wasted as the entry box stays red. This is due to some series of market structure that don't always fit our theory of continuations within the market. We found that although our theory is accurate, the amount of times the market fits this is more rare than times when price follows sequences. When we look for sequences in the market instead of specifying differences between impulses and corrections, we actually see areas of serious repetitiveness, thanks to how our indicator initially generates. Not how it confirms. So, understanding this new theory through one component of our previous indicator, we are still able to keep boxes at the same area yet accurately confirm more profitable entries external to our full previous strategy.
Moving towards the practical side of things:
-Make sure "add extra confirmation" parameter is selected, as this will allow the indicator to search for more valid entries rather than just our normal confirmations. (this is a tick box).
- Default parameters are already set for both C1 and C2
In a simple sense, this update is added to find more confirmations to turn more red boxes into green boxes based on other theories outside of our original one. How we do this exactly is part of the mystery.
SECOND UPDATE
- Fibonacci based moving average: using elements of the Fibonacci sequence and its relevance to being a hot-spot in price activity, we have integrated this into a moving average which is stronger than your usual MA. Here, you will notice it showing stronger signs of rejecting price, especially when trending. Hence, this is extremely useful to implement into your strategy as part of the trend identification. When price is consolidating, depending on how volatile or close-in the waves are during these periods, the FMA is similar to your typical MA, so therefore not so good. But the overall intention of this is to enhance your conclusion to whether price is trending and whether price is bullish or bearish.
- This is now a strategy, not just an indicator: So now we can choose from a huge variety of parameters in accordance to what ones work best with what pair, or time frame. The typical parameters to change would be the entry points, stop losses and take profits. We have also added in a "SL to entry" option. ALL PARAMETERS ARE FIBONACCI LEVELS AS THIS MAKES IT UNIVERSAL TO ANY PAIR/ TIME FRAME.
- Move the entry boxes : So this is very useful for certain pairs and mainly to help the user understand key sequences on a quantitative level. Sometimes we can notice that pairs spike higher than the typical entry (0.618) so we have allowed flexibility to the point where you can alter the box appearance to either the 0.618 level (default), 0.786 and the 0.9 level.
- Back-testing: Now the user can back-test the strategy and see the performance within any financial market you add this to! Please note that according to the strategy, once a trade is placed, it wont enter any more trades when the current one is still active. I have requested to change this, but it is out of our development team's reach. However, this doesn't discredit what the system can help you achieve, as you will still be able to find profitable parameters within the financial markets.
Strategy default properties
Backtest start: this date is when you would like to start the backtest, however, the indicator will go as far as the data can be read
Backtest end: choose your date to end the back test.
Trade session: choose the trading session you want this strategy to work on.
Filter by session: you can filter the backtested results depending on whether you want the strategy to take trades within the chosen trading session.
Filter by Fibonacci moving average: select this if you would like for the back tested results to consider whether the valid trade setups are in accordance to what the FMA displays (Bullish or Bearish). This is deselected.
Fibonacci Moving Average Timeframe: here you can select what timeframe you would like the FMA to work on, default is the “same as chart” button/ option.
TraderDirection: choose whether you would like LONG or SHORT entries for the indicator to find.
Max risk per trade: choose the risk setting per trade, i would suggest lowering this to 1% ((MODERATOR) This is the default setting!)
EntryFib: choose between the options as to where you would like the strategy to enter positions, the default is the 0.618 zone which is the closest side of the box to price. You will also see that when you choose to change this, the boxes on your screen will move accordingly. A very helpful function!
StopFib: choose your Stop Loss based on the same Fibonacci level as what you choose for your entry, remember that the higher the fib level, the higher (or safer) your Stop Loss is from price spiking. It all comes down to preference.
TakeProfitFib: choose your Take Profit based on the same Fibonacci level as what you choose for your entry, remember that the lower the fib level, the higher your Take Profit is again, It all comes down to preference.
BreakevenFib: the default setting is on “disabled” however when you select a certain Fibonacci level, once price reaches there during the active trade, your Stop Loss will be set to entry, this function is designed to stop volatile price fluctuations rendering your in-profit trade result to hitting your Stop Loss and losing when it closes out.
MACD/RVSI/Stoch/RSI/EXP(Drawdown)I have been trying for several months to get a script to work on the 1min and this one gives some good backtest results. This script will also work on higher timeframes however, I've not extensively tested on higher timeframes. My aim was to get results on about 20 crypto coins then run the 1min bots in parallel looking for small frequent profits across all the coins. If you would like me to try and fit backtest results to any coin or pair on any timeframe please do get in touch anytime.
It's based on several indicators which are combined and then a newish way for the stop loss to implement based on an exponential rising which limits the time in each trade unless the price moves in the direction of the trade. The other useful feature is drawdown minimization which previously made all of my 1minute bot attempts non-practical due to differences between backtesting and actually running the bot(s) live.
Its possible at the top to paste in strategy comments which can be used through web-hooks for auto trading bots. Leaving these blank just defaults to the pre-programmed comments that provide some indication of why a trade was exited.
It is possible to select for Short and/or Long trades. Note however, that there are exponential markers on the charts for both long and short trades in any setting. I found that this way the bot worked well with regards to timing.
The next part of the user interface settings gets a bit tricky so try and use the sample parameters provided below. For example, select a crypto coin then try some of the options below until a reasonable backtest result in obtained (or select the best from the parameter groups tested) then move down the settings interface to optimise with the remaining settings.
So 'Use MACD/RVSI', 'RSI clause' and 'Use Stochastic' are set to true for the below sample settings (1min timeframe).
MACD/RVSI Confluence Resolution (1min, 2min, 5min, 10min, 1hour)
Timeframe RSI (1min, 2min, 3min, 15min, 1hour)
FastStoch, SlowStoch (1min, 45min: 5min, 30min: 1min, 1hour: 5min, 1hour)
Eg. for FTX:ETHPERP (MACD/RVSI Confluence Resolution=1hour, Timeframe RSI= 1min, FastStoch = 1min, SlowStoch = 45min)
Setting the timings is tricky - there is a lot going on. Have a look at the chart and select/deselect the options. The MACD/RVSI Confluence Resolution shows red and green vertical regions on the chart background. The Timeframe RSI colors the candle bodies red and green. These go green if the RSI crossed over 31% or red in the RSI crossed under 69%. The MACD/RVSI Confluence Resolution is explained in more detail in one of my other scripts. Then the Slow Stoch colors above and below the price action with red or green lines depending if on an uptrend or downtrend (approximately). Where there is also an up/down trend on the faster timeframe stoch there are vertical shaded fill regions between the slow stop above/below lines.
With all the above conditions selected to represent the data (looking at strategy backtest results whilst adjusting) there is a reasonable approximation to a credible trade.
So once an ok backtest result is obtained by selecting timing settings. Its ontot the Stop Ramp Settings. This is an exponential line which rises rapidly after a period of time thus exiting the trade or going upwards with the trade. It kind of limits the maximum time a trade will stay in position which forms part of the timing aspect of this bot. Look at the chart exponential red lines and adjust the settings, along with the backtest results to select a good timing.
Then its the Drawdown Catcher and the Take Profit Setting. Start with the drawdown catcher disabled i.e. set to zero. Put in a conservative Take Profit, for example if a Take Profit at 6% gives the best backtest results, go for 4% to account for differences between backtest results and actual live bot performance.
Then start to increase the Drawdown Catcher. This shades a lime region where the bot will not enter a trade. I found that with most trades using this bot, if the price action moved in the direction of the trade (long or short) at the onset - this gave most of the good results (high probability of positive trade). Also if a trade entered at the start price and when south, the accumilated drawdown from these failing trades made all previous 1min bot attempt non=profitable in practice (even with good backtest results). The exp timing and also this drawdown reduction strategies seem to be the thing which makes this approach credible.
Try to go for settings that give a very high change of positive trade. For example, an 85% profitable trades will probably provide say 55% positive trades in practice as its always highly possible to just fit the parameters to the exact position/trade timings - and in reality going forwards these don't play out the same. Also a Profit Factor of 2 is about the minimum I would accept - again this provides for example a Profit Factor of 1.2 in practive.
However all being said - I think its possible with this bot on the 1min across lots of coins - with regularly updating settings - to make profits. (Not financial advice)
Please do get in touch if you would like me to fit this bot to anytimeframe to any trade.
MoonFlag PhD
FCMS - Time in x Timing - The Market - StudyTime in x Timing - The Market
█ DISCLAIMER
THIS IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE
The use of strategy functions doesn't compile recurring investments/contributions as used in this study, so disregard the results of the strategy tester.
As seen in the style/plots lists, I calculate the results in internal variables to analyze historical results.
prnt.sc
Anyway, this is only a historical study and past performance is no guarantee of future results
█ CONCEPTS
There is a discussion about Timing x Time in the market.
The point of this discussion is between buying in the better moment, against exposing yourself to the market as soon as possible.
Anyone who argues that the most important factor is the time exposed to the asset, no matter when, is usually based on the SP500 asset.
As shown in the image above, a hypothetical investor who made a single investment of US $ 1500.00 in December 1999, was trapped by a volatility of approximately 10% in the period, followed by a loss of around 50% in the following years. In December 2012, this investment was finally positive, and after 20 years it accumulated a gain of 180% - without reducing inflation in the period.
█ Timing the news
When an asset reaches a new historic high, the idea of "time in the market is the best strategy" gains momentum, after all, at this "moment" everyone previously exposed to the asset is making a profit, regardless of inflation or any benchmark.
█ Time in the market
Considering using this strategy, we can define 3 points for a brief analysis:
1. Asset
SPX is used as a reference for this type of statement due to the difficulty of finding another one with such consistency, liquidity, ease of access and time of history.
2. Long Term
We cannot consider it a long term strategy, as it never has a predetermined term
3. Recurring contributions.
To generate an average cost spread over periods of high and low, opening the possibility to realize positions with profit in eventual needs.
As shown in the image below, if this hypothetical investor made monthly contributions since the date of the first contributions, he would have the possibility of making profits between the period from October 2004 to September 2008, returning to the loss until October 2010, and then with a profit of 100% over the total amount invested.
Below, an example of an asset in a downtrend with the final balance returning below the total volume invested.
█ First Conclusion
> Recurring contributions (3) to an asset (1) during a downtrend will increase the loss for an indefinite period (2).
> Recurring contributions (3) to an asset (1) during an uptrend are more important than immediate exposure to the asset, regardless of the term (2).
> Recurring contributions (3) in an asset (1) in a region of possible long-term top (2), will negatively affect profitability even considering the resumption of the upward trend in an indefinite period.
█ Timing the market
As shown in the image below, following the strategy above: a single contribution in the amount of US$ 1000.00 at the worst moment (Dec / 2017), the hypothetical investor would have hold a loss of over 80%. At the moment it accumulates 89% of profit, having reached the maximum of 200% at the beginning of the year.
By making monthly contributions since the date of the first contribution, this investor would have the possibility to make profits from May 2019, accumulating 335% profit at the moment.
Adding the condition of buying the maximum cost of 10% above the average price of the last 200 days, the final result is little affected, and reduces losses in the initial investment period.
Adding the condition of taking profit of 50% of the position when the price is above the average of the last 200 days, and reinvesting 50% of the cash obtained in the next purchase opportunity (paying a maximum of 10% above the average of the last 200 days), the profit cumulative final price drops to 270%, but the realized profit already exceeds the total amount invested, which eliminates future risk of the operation. (favorable risk-return ratio)
Adding the condition to reinvest 50% of the cash flow, with the condition to buy when the price is below 20% away from the average of the last 200 days, the final result would be more than 400% of retained earnings, and realized profit in cash greater than the total amount invested.
█ Other Assets
It's possible to analyze other assets, including dividend yield and earnings for the equity formula. This way we can analyse assets more fairly.
ITSA4
BOVA11
█ Final Conclusion
> Exposing yourself early to a good opportunity may be good, but the risk of doing so at the wrong time could delay your projects indefinitely.
> Investment recurrence is the main driver for your future results.
> Setting a maximum value for making entries reduces short-term fluctuation but, in the long run, the effect is almost imperceptible.
> The realization of profits at favorable times considerably reduces the risk and volatility of the balance, in addition to providing cash for better opportunities in the short and medium term.
> Taking advantage of part of this cash flow for purchases in moments of opportunity, enhances future earnings.
Even an extremely simple strategy like the one used in the examples above, offers a better risk return for the investor compared to the immediate exposure to an asset.
Thus arises the desire to study more sophisticated strategies, as we will see in the future
█ Challenges
Time in the market
- Find good assets (1) to make recurring contributions (3) for an indeterminate period (2).
Timing the market
- Reading the markets to position yourself in favor of the more probable trends at certain times with predetermined terms.
Scalping Dips On Trend (by Coinrule)Coinrule's Community is an excellent source of inspiration for our trading strategies.
In these months of Bull Market, our traders opted mostly on buy-the-dips strategies, which resulted in great returns recently. But there has been an element that turned out to be the cause for deep division among the Community.
Is it advisable or not to use a stop-loss during a Bull Market?
This strategy comes with a large stop-loss to offer a safer alternative for those that are not used to trade with a downside protection.
Entry
The strategy buys only when the price is above the Moving Average 50 , making it less risky to buy the dip, which is set to 2%.
The preferred time frame is 1-hour.
The stop-loss is set to be quite loose to increase the chances of closing the trade in profit, yet protecting from unexpected larger drawdowns that could undermine the allocation's liquidity.
Exit
Stop loss: 10%
Take Profit: 3%
In times of Bull Market, such a trading system has a very high percentage of trades closed in profit (ranging between 70% to 80%), which makes it still overall profitable to have a stop-loss three times larger than the take profit.
Pro tip: use a larger stop-loss only when you expect to close in profit most of the trades!
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital and opens a trade at a time. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account.
Pinescript v4 - The Holy Grail (Trailing Stop)After studying several other scripts, I believe I have found the Holy Grail! (Or perhaps I've just found a bug with Tradingview's Pinescript v4 language) Anyhow, I'm publishing this script in the hope that someone smarter than myself could shed some light on the fact that adding a trailing stop to any strategy seems to make it miraculously...no that's an understatement...incredulously, stupendously, mind-bendingly profitable. I'm talking about INSANE profit factors, higher than 200x, with drawdowns of <10%. Sounds too good to be true? Maybe it is...or you could hook it up to your LIVE broker, and pray it doesn't explode. This is an upgraded version of my original Pin Bar Strategy.
Recommended Chart Settings:
Asset Class: Forex
Time Frame: H1
Long Entry Conditions:
a) Exponential Moving Average Fan up trend
b) Presence of a Bullish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces the Exponential Moving Average Fan
Short Entry Conditions:
a) Exponential Moving Average down trend
b) Presence of a Bearish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces the Exponential Moving Average Fan
Exit Conditions:
a) Trailing stop is hit
b) Moving Averages cross-back (optional)
c) It's the weekend
Default Robot Settings:
Equity Risk (%): 3 //how much account balance to risk per trade
Stop Loss (x*ATR, Float): 0.5 //stoploss = x * ATR, you can change x
Stop Loss Trail Points (Pips): 1 //the magic sauce, not sure how this works
Stop Loss Trail Offset (Pips): 1 //the magic sauce, not sure how this works
Slow SMA (Period): 50 //slow moving average period
Medium EMA (Period): 18 //medium exponential moving average period
Fast EMA (Period): 6 //fast exponential moving average period
ATR (Period): 14 // average true range period
Cancel Entry After X Bars (Period): 3 //cancel the order after x bars not triggered, you can change x
Backtest Results (2019 to 2020, H1, Default Settings):
AUDUSD - 1604% profit, 239.6 profit factor, 4.9% drawdown (INSANE)
NZDUSD - 1688.7% profit, 100.3 profit factor, 2.5% drawdown
GBPUSD - 1168.8% profit, 98.7 profit factor, 0% drawdown
USDJPY - 900.7% profit, 93.7 profit factor, 4.9% drawdown
USDCAD - 819% profit, 31.7 profit factor, 8.1% drawdown
EURUSD - 685.6% profit, 26.8 profit factor, 5.9% drawdown
USDCHF - 1008% profit, 18.7 profit factor, 8.6% drawdown
GBPJPY - 1173.4% profit, 16.1 profit factor, 7.9% drawdown
EURAUD - 613.3% profit, 14.4 profit factor, 9.8% drawdown
AUDJPY - 1619% profit, 11.26 profit factor, 9.1% drawdown
EURJPY - 897.2% profit, 6 profit factor, 13.8% drawdown
EURGBP - 608.9% profit, 5.3 profit factor, 9.8% drawdown (NOT TOO SHABBY)
As you can clearly see above, this forex robot is projected by the Tradingview backtester to be INSANELY profitable for all common forex pairs. So what was the difference between this strategy and my previous strategies? Check my code and look for "trail_points" and "trail_offset"; you can even look them up in the PineScript v4 documentation. They specify a trailing stop as the exit condition, which automatically closes the trade if price reverses against you.
I however suspect that the backtester is not properly calculating intra-bar price movement, and is using a simplified model. With this simplfied approach, the trailing stop code becomes some sort of "holy grail" generator, making every trade entered profitable.
Risk Warning:
This is a forex trading strategy that involves high risk of equity loss, and backtest performance will not equal future results. You agree to use this script at your own risk.
Hint:
To get more realistic results, and *maybe* overcome the intrabar simulation error, change the settings to: "Stop Loss Trail Points (pips)": 100
I am not sure if this eradicates the bug, but the entries and exits look more proper, and the profit factors are more believable.
Low volatility Buy w/ TP & SL (Coinrule)The compression of volatility usually leads to expansion. When the breakout comes, it can ignite strong trends. One way to catch a coin trading in an accumulation area is to spot three moving averages with values close to each other. The strategy uses a combination of Moving Averages to spot the best time to buy a coin before its breakout.
Buy Condition
The MA200 is greater than the MA100
The MA50 is greater than the MA100
According to backtesting results, the 1-hour time frame is the best to run this strategy.
Sell Condition
Take Profit: the price increases 8% from the entry price
Stop Loss: the price drops 4% from the entry price
The strategy has a profitability of 40-60% (depending on the market conditions). Having a ratio of two between Take profit and Stop Loss helps keeping the strategy profitable in the long term.
Kairos [Backtester]Kairos bot looks for the opportune time to buy low and sell high at targets
It provides signals to open and close trades, and indicates favorable positions for a stop loss and profit taking
The Kairos bot can be used on any chart and on any time frame
---BACKTESTER---
Using the backtester script the user can look at a chart's history between selected dates to find optimal bot settings and optimal time frames
The backtester is based on general percentages for profit taking as indicated below:
-------------T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 CLOSE
1 Target: 50% 50%
2 Targets: 50% 25% 25%
3 Targets: 40% 30% 20% 10%
4 Targets: 40% 25% 20% 10% 5%
5 Targets: 35% 25% 20% 10% 5% 5%
6 Targets: 30% 25% 20% 10% 5% 5% 5%
ie: If 2 targets are selected:
- 50% of investment will be taken at target 1
- 25% of investment will be taken at target 2
- and the remainder 25% will be taken when the trade is closed on a close signal
However, it is up to the user's own risk appetite to determine where and how much profit to take
Note that the backtester does not have any on screen indicators other than OPEN and CLOSE, however profit taking can be indicated by ticking the Style -> Trades on Chart tick box on the settings userform
---SIGNALS---
The signals script can be used for automation and can indicate up to 6 potential Profit Targets, as well as a Stop Loss based on how many bars back needs to be taken into consideration
The signals (Open/Close) can be automated using TradingView alerts, however the Stop Loss and Profit Taking are only indicators and are for the users own interpretation
The user does not have to place a Stop Loss or take profit at the Targets if so wished, the bot can be used to simply buy on an OPEN signal and sell on a CLOSE signal, however, the backtester will indicate that it is far more profitable to take profits.
It is advised to take profits just below indicated Targets as these are potentially high selling zones and price action can sometimes turn down just short of these targets.
---INVITE-ONLY SCRIPT---
This is an invite-only script, so if you would like to try out Kairos Bot, send me a message
kiska clouds backtest editionkiska clouds: crypto twitter's next cloud meme
Crypto is a fast-paced, highly-volatile asset, therefore, many traditional strategies are thrown out of the window when applied to cryptocurrency markets. In trading, there are only two things known for sure: price and volume . Price and volume data is then manipulated using various math equations in an effort to discover patterns and/or make predictions. kiska clouds are no different.
The kiska clouds are a simple crossover strategy. The clouds are different because of the unique averages being used and the embedded momentum indicator .
To use the clouds is simple:
When the green line crosses above the pink line, you buy/long.
When the green line crosses below the pink line, you sell/short.
The clouds are indicative of the trend's momentum. Using the power of math, the larger the cloud indicates a higher amount of buying/selling pressure. As the cloud thins, momentum is slowing, and the trend may be reversing.
At the time of testing, the strategy had a profitability of 54.55% accuracy with 1133.41% net profit. While I think this could be automated into a bot, adding a human element with stop losses and further analysis will significantly improve the accuracy/profitability.
This indicator is the backtest version of the kiska clouds (). For a trial or to purchase this indicator, send me a message on Twitter @moonkiska or here on TradingView. You will be granted a 2-3 day trial period to the backtesting strategy.
Renkomonster, v. 5.0RenkoMonster Elite
A radical redesign of our other approaches, RenkoMonster uses deep algorithmic and pattern tracking against standard systems to produce trade logic with the quietest, most actionable, signal-to-noise certainty. Designing around the right parameters brings the best results, and for investment instruments, that means focusing on market-mirroring mathematics that produce profits. Note, however, that focus on profits also means building an engine that maximizes for return, not some abstract percentage of right guesses. RenkoMonster is therefore built to enter every high-probability trade, then evaluate ongoing metrics to stay with a winner as long as possible, but also recognizing the need to exit quickly as soon as high-probability failure signals arise. The result: consistent winning trades, but, more importantly, immense profit-to-loss ratios that bring a superior payoff. RenkoMonster keeps you in the game to catch the huge runs that bring the big returns. (see Results Chart below) A premium trading system for the discerning investor seeking robust, effortless results across a range of asset classes, contact us for a free trial to test RenkoMonster on your favorite charts.
Results Chart
The backtests below show 1-year returns against a Buy and Hold (B+H) approach for 40 of the world’s top traded instruments (as measured by price volume or similar indicator). The RenkoMonster system was run on the top 10 instruments in four major markets: Equities, ETFs, Cryptocurrencies, and Forex. All tests were on a 30min chart, set to Renko “Traditional” blocks (because TradingView does not support realtime alerts from ATR-based charts). Block size was set proportionately to price to give the instrument positive results, but there was no “cherry-picking”. (In fact, changing time frames would have produced even better returns in some cases, but it seemed best to use a consistent measure.) Subscribers to the system receive a full, step-by-step breakdown on how to customize the parameters to get the best from their favorite markets.
(For each instrument, you see listed its Symbol (name), Profit % (annual return using RenkoMonster), Winning Trade % (being “right”), ProfitFactor (Ratio of money won to money lost), Max Draw Down % (point of worst % loss during the year), and B+H (how much the asset would have returned with no trades, via "buy-and-hold" )...)
RenkoMonste
Settings: 30 min, Traditional Renko box, over 1 year (June 1, 2018 - June 1, 2019)
EQUITIES
Symbol._.Profit Profit %._.Trade %._.Pf Max DrDn._.B + H
AMZN._.._.9,935._.._.._.._.66._.._..9.4._.._.._.1._.._.._.7
AAPL._.._.._318._.._.._.._.54._.._.._7.4._.._.._.2._.._.._.5
TSLA._.._32,777._.._.._.._.60._.._.._7.8._.._.._.2._.._.(-38)
FB._.._.._.._371._.._.._.._.46._.._.._5.4._.._.._.3._.._..(-7)
BABA._.._.._671._.._.._.._.55._.._.._6.3._.._.._.2._.._.(-23)
BYND._.._.._499._.._.._.._.67._.._..24._.._.._.._1._.._.140
MSFT._.._.._.271._.._.._.._.52._.._.._6.5._.._.._.2._.._..28
AMD._.._.._..539._.._.._.._.48._.._.._4.1._.._...13._.._.._0
NFLX._.._..8,695._.._.._.._.57._.._.._.7.4._.._.._2._.._.(-5)
BA._.._.._.1,448._.._.._.._..57._.._.._7.9._.._.._1._.._..97
ETFs
Symbol._.Profit %._.Trade %._.Pf._.Max DrDn._.B + H
SPY._.._.._.775._.._..66._.._..9.7._.._.1._.._.._.4
QQQ._.._.2,918._.._..66._.._.11._.._..1._.._.._.5
EEM._.._.._.463._.._..60._.._..7.1._.._.1._.._.._0
IWM._.._..2,060._.._..62._.._..9.1._.._.1._.._.(-3)
HYG._.._.._..18._.._..45._.._..2.2._.._.1._.._.._0.5
EWZ._.._.10,426._.._..62._...11._.._.._1._.._..26
LQD._.._.._..12._.._.._45._.._.2.3._.._.1._.._.._6
EFA._.._.._.236._.._.._52._.._.6.2._.._.1._.._..(-7)
FXI._.._.._..900._.._.._62._.._.8.3._.._.1._.._.(-15)
XLF._.._.._..393._.._...60._.._.6.8._.._.1._.._..(-3)
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Symbol._.._.Profit %._.._.Trade %._.Pf._.Max DrDn._.B + H
BTC/USD._.100 million._.._.58._.._.12._.._.2._.._.._.(-8)
ETH/USD._.232 million._.._.54._.._..6.2._..4._.._.._(-54)
XRP/USD._.840 million._.._.52._.._..7._.._.4._.._.._(-21)
LTC/USD._.14 million._.._..51._.._..6.5._..5._.._.._..13
BCH/USD._.17 million._.._.51._.._..6._.._15._.._.._.(-5)
EOS/USD._.5 million._.._..49._.._..5.3._.._7._.._.._..13
BNB/USDT._.4 billion._.._..56._...15._.._..4.._.._.._128
BSV/USD._.299,000._.._.._.67._..109._.._..2._.._.._.(-8)
XLM/USD._.94 billion._.._..64._.._11._.._..3._.._.._..34
ADA/USD._.647,000._.._.._75._.._34._.._..1._.._.._.._3
FOREX PAIRS
Symbol._.._.Profit %._.Trade %._.Pf._.Max DrDn._.B + H
EUR/USD._.._.17._.._.._.37._.._.1.5._.._.2._.._.._.(-4)
USD/JPY._.._..9._.._.._..34._.._.1.2._.._.3._.._.._.(-1)
AUD/USD._.._.35._.._.._.45._.._.2.1._.._.2._.._.._.10
USD/CAD._.._.13._.._.._.35._.._.1.4._.._.3._.._.._..3
GBP/USD._.._.46._.._.._.38._.._.1.8._.._.3._.._.._.(-5)
NZD/USD._.._.39._.._.._.50._.._.2.6._.._.1._.._.._.(-6)
GBP/JPY._.._.66._.._.._.39._.._.1.9._.._.2._.._.._.(-6)
EUR/JPY._.._.25._.._.._.45._.._.2.1._.._.3._.._.._.(-5)
AUD/JPY._.._.65._.._.._.36._.._.1.9._.._.2._.._.._(-10)
EUR/GBP._.._.25._.._.._.45._.._.2.1._.._.3._.._.._..0.1
