Fibonacci-Trading-Indikator_3Daily (weekly, monthly) profits with the Fibonacci trading indicator_3
Quotes move in Fibonacci ratios in liquid markets. With this indicator you receive information for daily trades or for position trades based on a week or on a monthly basis, in which area you should ideally enter the market and where the minimum achievable price target is. This price target is 61.8% of yesterday's trading range, or the trading range of the previous week, or the trading range of the previous month, depending on the time frame for which the indicator should calculate the minimum achievable high / low. This is also where you realize your profit.
For this calculation, the following entries must be made in the properties window of the indicator:
• Preselection uptrend / downtrend.
• Time frame (day, week, ...) of the price bar for the possible high / low to be determined.
• Trading range of the previous day, or the previous week, or the previous month.
• Current lowest low of the selected time frame when trading has started and prices are rising.
• Current highest high of the selected time frame when trading has started and prices are falling.
Important areas for trading are:
• The entry range 0% - 23.6% for long or short.
• The target price level 61.8%.
Choose a suitable time frame to detect the direction of movement while the quotes are still moving in the entry area. The camelback indicator can be of great help. Also test the resolution setting of the camelback indicator. With a resolution of 1 hour in the 6 or 12 minute chart, you get a perspective for the broader direction. Movement patterns of corrections or consolidations, if they last more than a day or a week, also give clues to the coming direction of movement for the trade. So look back to see what happened yesterday, a week ago, or a month ago. Pay attention to the market anatomy, find out how the market works, count the price bars in consolidations and trends.
After entering the values the indicator will show the Fibonacci expansion price levels for the possible high or low for the selected time frame. Buy / sell within the entry range between 0% and 23.6% as the market moves towards the last long / or short entry point. This is the course range up to the 23.6% course level. The 61.8% price level is the minimum expected price target. We assume that the current bar will reach at least 61.8% of the trading range of the previous day, week or month. Depending on the set time frame. You should therefore realize the profits you have made with 50% of the position when the prices have reached the 61.8% level. With a suitable trailing stop you can be stopped with the rest of the position, but do not risk more than 50% of the profits.
With the quarter or year preselection and the corresponding entries, the minimum expected quarterly high / quarterly low or annual high / annual low can be determined.
The Fibonacci price levels can be shown and hidden. In the chart click on the gear wheel for “Chart Settings”. In the “Scaling” menu, the price levels can be displayed with the preselection “Label for indicator names” and “Label for last indicator value”. Slide the chart to the right to find possible support and resistance at the price levels that could provide confirmation of the target.
In the event of input errors or missing entries for a time frame, the indicator is hidden.
Pay attention to your trade management to avoid losses.
The new Fibonacci Trading Indicator_3 has the following additions and changes:
Area code for the quarter time frame has been added.
The entry area received a 23.6% and a 50% subdivision. Two envelope lines above the 23.6% entry level in the case of an upward trend and below the 23.6% entry level in the case of a downtrend, with a width of 23.6% and 14.6% of the entry level, are intended to indicate that the closing price is higher the quotations have broken out of the entry-level area.
A volatility stop for upward and downward trends can be activated.
A factor is added to the fluctuation range of each price bar for the stop. Then a moving average is calculated with an adjustable period. The period setting should be set between 5 and 10. The result can be smoothed adjustable.
Presetting:
Periods = 10
Factor = 1.4
Smoothing = 7
With the assumption that the market entry in an upward trend occurs when the prices break out above a bar high, the result of the stop calculation is subtracted from the bar high. In the case of a downward trend, the result of the stop calculation is added to the price bar low.
When entering the market, set the factor to 2.4. If inside bars follow a trend movement, the stop should be brought closer. Try the factor setting 0.4 or less. The smallest adjustable factor is 0.1.
For the entry into an established trend, as described in an idea contribution by me, there are two switchable moving averages. The application for the (MA_H) takes place on high and for the (MA_L) adjustable on high, low, shot, h + 1/2 etc. Period and offset (shift) are adjustable. With this idea, the entry into the market occurs between a 618% correction (the Fibonacci entry point) and the DEP (average entry point). The DEP in this case is the MA_H with period = 4 and an offset = 1 in the case of a downward trend, or the MA_L with the same setting and application to lows in an upward trend.
Also test the MA_L in trends with the settings (period, offset) 3.3 or 5, 3 or 7.5 and applying it to closing prices for a close encompassing of the highs / lows.
Tägliche (wöchentliche, monatliche) Gewinne mit dem Fibonacci-Trading Indikator_3
Kursnotierungen bewegen sich in liquiden Märkten in Fibonacci-Verhältnisse. Mit diesem Indikator erhalten Sie für Tagesgeschäfte, oder für Positionstrades auf Basis einer Woche, oder auf Basis eines Monats Informationen, in welchem Bereich Sie idealerweise in den Markt einsteigen sollten und wo das mindeste erreichbare Kursziel liegt. Dieses Kursziel liegt bei 61,8% der gestrigen Handelspanne, oder der Handelspanne der Vorwoche, oder der Handelspanne des Vormonats, also abhängig davon für welchen Zeitrahmen der Indikator das mindeste erreichbare Hoch/Tief berechnen soll. Dort realisieren Sie auch Ihren Gewinn.
Für diese Berechnung sind folgende Eingaben im Eigenschaftenfenster des Indikators einzustellen:
• Vorwahl Aufwärtstrend/ Abwärtstrend.
• Zeitrahmen (Tag, Woche, …) des Kursbalkens für das zu ermittelnde mögliche Hoch/ Tief.
• Handelspanne des vorherigen Tages, oder der vorherigen Woche, oder des vorherigen Monats.
• Aktuell tiefstes Tief des vorgewählten Zeitrahmens, wenn der Handel begonnen hat und die Notierungen steigen.
• Aktuell höchstes Hoch des vorgewählten Zeitrahmens, wenn der Handel begonnen hat und die Notierungen fallen.
Wichtige Bereiche für das Trading sind:
• Der Einstiegsbereich 0% - 23,6% für long oder short.
• Der Kursziellevel 61,8%.
Wählen Sie für die Erkennung der Bewegungsrichtung einen geeigneten Zeitrahmen, während sich die Notierungen noch im Einstiegsbereich bewegen. Der Camelback-Indikator kann eine gute Hilfe sein. Testen Sie auch die Auflösung-Einstellung des Camelback-Indikators. Mit der Auflösung 1 Stunde Im 6- oder 12 Minuten-Chart erhalten Sie einen Blickwinkel für die große Richtung. Auch Bewegungsmuster von Korrekturen oder Konsolidierungen, wenn sie mehr als einen Tag oder eine Woche andauern geben Hinweise auf die kommende Bewegungsrichtung für den Trade. Schauen Sie also zurück um zu prüfen, was sich gestern, vor einer Woche oder vor einem Monat abgespielt hat. Achten sie auf die Marktanatomie, finden Sie heraus wie der Markt funktioniert, zählen Sie Kursstäbe in Konsolidierungen und Trends.
Nach Eingabe der Werte zeigt der Indikator die Fibonacci-Ausweitungskurslevels für das mögliche Hoch oder Tief für den ausgewählten Zeitrahmen. Kaufen/ verkaufen Sie innerhalb des Einstiegsbereichs zwischen 0% und 23,6%, während sich der Markt in Richtung des letzten long-/ oder short-Einstiegspunktes bewegt. Das ist der Kursbereich bis zum 23,6%- Kurslevel. Der 61,8%-Kurslevel ist das mindeste erwartbare Kursziel. Wir gehen davon aus, dass der aktuelle Kursbalken mindestens 61,8% der Handelsspanne des vorherigen Tages, der vorherigen Woche oder des vorherigen Monats erreichen wird. Abhängig vom eingestellten Zeitrahmen. Realisieren Sie deshalb die angelaufenen Gewinne mit 50% der Position, wenn die Notierungen den 61,8% - Level erreicht haben. Mit einem geeigneten Trailing-Stopp lassen Sie sich mit der restlichen Position ausstoppen, riskieren Sie dafür aber nicht mehr als 50 % der angelaufenen Gewinne.
Mit der Vorwahl Quartal oder Jahr und den entsprechenden Eingaben kann auch das mindeste erwartbare Quartalshoch/ Quartalstief bzw. Jahreshoch/ Jahrestief ermittelt werden.
Die Fibonacci-Kurslevels lassen sich ein- und ausblenden. Klicken Sie im Chart auf das Zahnrad für „Chart Einstellungen“. Im Menü „Skalierungen“ kann mit der Vorwahl „Label für Indikatornahmen“ und „Label für letzten Indikatorwert“ die Kurslevels angezeigt werden. Schieben Sie den Chart nach rechts um mögliche Unterstützungen und Widerstände an den Kurslevels zu finden, die Bestätigung für das Ziel geben könnten.
Bei Eingabefehlern oder fehlenden Eingaben zu einem Zeitrahmen wird der Indikator ausgeblendet.
Achten Sie zur Vermeidung von Verlusten auf ihr Handelsmanagement.
Der neue Fibonacci-Trading-Indikator_3 besitz folgende Zusätze und Änderungen:
Vorwahl für den Zeitrahmen Quartal wurde hinzugefügt.
Der Einstiegsbereich erhielt eine 23,6% und eine 50% Unterteilung. Zwei Umschlagslinien über dem 23,6%-Einstiegslevel bei einem Aufwärtstrend, bzw. unter dem 23,6%-Einstiegslevel bei einem Abwärtstrend, mit der Breite 23,6% und 14,6% vom Einstiegsbereich, sollen bei höherem Schlusskurs signalisieren, dass die Notierungen aus dem Einstiegsbereich ausgebrochen sind.
Ein Volatilitätsstopp jeweils für Aufwärts- und Abwärtstrend kann zugeschaltet werden.
Für den Stopp wird die Schwankungsbreite jedes Kursbalkens wird mit einem Faktor beaufschlagt. Danach erfolgt die Berechnung eines gleitenden Durchschnitts mit einstellbarer Periode. Die Periodeneinstellung sollte zwischen 5 und 10 eingestellt werden. Das Ergebnis kann einstellbar geglättet werden.
Voreinstellung:
Perioden = 10
Faktor = 1,4
Glättung = 7
Mit der Annahme, dass der Markteinstieg in einem Aufwärtstrend bei Ausbruch der Notierungen über ein Kursbalkenhoch erfolgt, wird das Ergebnis der Stoppberechnung vom Kursbalkenhoch subtrahiert. Bei einem Abwärtstrend wird das Ergebnis der Stoppberechnung zum Kursbalkentief addiert.
Stellen Sie bei Markteintritt den Faktor auf 2,4. Folgen nach einer Trendbewegung Innenstäbe sollte der Stopp näher herangeführt werden. Probieren Sie die Faktoreinstellung 0,4 oder kleiner. Der kleinste einstellbare Faktor ist 0,1.
Für den Einstieg in einen etablierten Trend, wie in einem Ideenbeitrag von mir beschrieben, gibt es zwei zuschaltbare gleitende Durchschnitte. Die Anwendung für den (MA_H) erfolgt auf Hochs und für den (MA_L) einstellbar auf Hoch, Tief, Schuss, h+l/2 usw.. Periode und Offset (Verschiebung) sind einstellbar. Bei dieser Idee erfolgt der Einstieg in den Markt zwischen einer 618%-Korrektur (dem Fibonacci-Einstiegspunkt) und dem DEP (Durchschnittlicher Einstiegspunkt). Der DEP ist in diesem Fall der MA_H mit Periode = 4 und einem Offset = 1, bei einem Abwärtstrend, oder der MA_L mit identischer Einstellung und Anwendung auf Tiefs in einem Aufwärtstrend.
Testen Sie den MA_L auch in Trends mit den Einstellungen (Periode, Offset) 3,3 oder 5, 3 oder 7,5 und Anwendung auf Schlusskurse für eine enge Umfassung der Hochs/ Tiefs.
Cerca negli script per "profit"
Grid System With Fake MartingaleThe proposed strategy is based on a grid system with a money management that tries to replicate the effect of a martingale without having to double your position size after each loss, hence the name "fake martingale". Note that a balance using this strategy is still subject to exponential decay, the risk is not minimized, as such, it would be dangerous to use this strategy.
For more information on the martingale and grid systems see:
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the security you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, generating fewer trades as a result.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after each win.
How It Works
Let's illustrate how we replicate a martingale without doubling our exposure with a simple casino example. Imagine you are playing roulette, and that you are betting on colors (black/red), your payout is 1 to 1, in the case you win, you will have your initial stake back plus a profit equal to your initial stake.
If your strategy is to recover any previous losses, you can double your stake each time you lose, once you win you will get back the previous losses plus a profit equal to your original stake, this is the martingale system. So how can we win back previous losses without having to double our stake? We could do that by doubling the payout ratio after a loss, so after a loss, we must use a payout ratio of 2:1, if we lose once again we must use a payout of 4:1...etc, our payout ratio would be subject to exponential growth instead of our stake.
Of course, the payout ratio is fixed with casino games, but in trading, we can manipulate the position of our take profit in order to replicate such effect, this is what this strategy is doing. So after a loss, we place our take profit such that a win recover our losses back plus generate a profit.
Advantages
The advantage of this approach is that unlike the martingale we don't double our position size, which instead can remain constant, this is a huge advantage as a martingale will require a significant capital in order to tank a series of losses.
Disadvantages
The main disadvantage of this method is that the price might never reach our take profit after a long losing streak, our balance would remain in the red and we couldn't do anything about it except reset the strategy.
Frictional costs are still a disadvantage, as such, we would need to place our take profits in order to account for them, while this is still better than purchasing additional shares, it minimizes the chances of the price reaching the take profit.
Conclusions
An alternative money management system replicating the effect of a martingale as been presented, we can see that such a system is far from being perfect, and it would be foolish to use it, however, it stills offer a convenient alternative to less aggressive progressive position sizing systems.
I have been receiving some messages from users criticizing me for exposing the martingale money management system, and I understand why but I can't agree, talking about it allow me to warn users against it, the grid-martingale methodology is will create more harm than anything else, the reward is only one side of the story and should always be compared against the risk, so always take a look at all the statics in a backtest.
Thanks for reading!
Shout-Out
This post was made possible thanks to my patrons:
@Happymono, @AmariMars, @kkhaial, @Nugehe, @LucF, @Nosmok, @iflostio, @DankBeans, @ecletv, @Neverstorm, @alex.crown.jr, @uk503, @xkingshotss, @vsov, @jbelka, @yatrader2, @hughza, @ganh
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Underworld Hunter Backtesting AlgorhitmThis strategy is built to prove the profitability of my Underworld Hunter indicator . It tests two different strategies. I won't be going into the calculation again since it is part of the original script. I just made a few adjustments.
First one is clearly visual. It plots slimmer twin-coloured lines now and has a different colour for every extreme level. Second is less obvious - I switched Relative Strength Index for Commodity Channel Index.
Extreme levels are as follows: green 100 -► 120, yellow 120 -► 140, orange 140 -► 160, red 160 -► 180 and purple above 180, I will have a special separate algorithm for testing optimal CCI levels someday, in this script, these values are only meant to help you with manual operations and do not influence results of the strategy in any way.
#Trending strategy
The trending strategy opens a position whenever the price leaves the bands and holds it until two consecutive bars are closed within the bands. The picture shows one winning position that hasn't yet been resulted. It also shows a few fakeouts. For this strategy, you want to keep the length below 110, the deviation should be below 2 and you probably want to play lower timeframes.
#Within the bands
The second strategy is pretty much the opposite. It opens a position when the price reaches outer bands and holds it until two consecutive bars are closed within the bands and current bar closes below previous bars low in case of long. It is working on hourly timeframes and you need higher length and deviation to succeed. The picture shows a few positions on EURUSD. Each of them is profitable but would be much higher if you closed it manually when it was time. You need to enable this strategy, which automatically disables the other one.
When using my script, you need to bear in mind that the first strategy doesn't detect optimal levels to close the price. A trend is often followed by a less volatile and boring correction which causes bands to shrink and lower your profits if you don't close manually as it will take longer till bands are reached.
On the other hand, second script literally has no stop-loss. As long as the price is outside the range, it will never close which will cause major drawdowns, unless you control the trade manually. CCI is here to help you with both.
I also recommend combining this with Market Profile (on TW, there is only Volume Profile, which can be used in a similar way) and trading day theory (trending with multiple distributions, trending day, normal day, a variation on a normal day, non-trending day or neutral day). Always keep in mind that it is up to traders to be profitable, indicators can support a good trader, but they will not fix a bad one.
Patient Trendfollower (7)(alpha)Patient Trendfollower consists of 21 and 55 EMA, Commodity Channel Index and Supertrend indicator. It confirms a trend and gives you a signal on a pullback. Original creation worked on 1h EURUSD chart.
►Long setup:
• 21 EMA is above 55 EMA, which is above the Supertrend indicator.
• Commodity Channel Index is an oscillator, which prints into the chart if extreme levels are reached. Green is for a level above 100 or below -100, red is above 140 or below -140 and black is above 180 or below -180.
• If 21 EMA > 55EMA > Supertrend and an oversold signal appear, you can buy into the trend.
• When backtesting on 1h EURUSD, profit target 400 pips worked best with a stop-loss below Supertrend's bottom and the size of your spread.
• A picture shows two valid entries.
: This part still malfunctions and shows red dots over some green ones. It is important to disable red ones in the settings to see green ones.
Some more long signals:
Some short signals:
►Backtesting data with default settings and trading only green CCI signals with mentioned risk management strategy:
• 212 closed trades
• 58.96% profitable with average win trade 348 USD and average loss trade 263 USD when only green signals are followed.
• Profit factor 1.903, Sharpee 0.792
• 20 bars is average for all trades, short trades were 18 bars long on average.
With given data, you can see the strategy is profitable by itself. However, original risk management settings do work only on 1h charts of EURUSD and would need to be adjusted for other instruments based on average volatility.
Even though the profitability is low, you can increase your odds by a great margin, if you properly use price action (impulsive and corrective moves, patterns, bar analysis), if you trade when major exchanges are open, you may also use wave analysis such as Elliot Waves or Market Profiles to predict whether the next day might be a trending day. My backtesting program didn't consider these ideas.
Unfortunately, I won't be making backtesting strategy public with it anytime soon, because it still has some parts that do not work. I am ok with that since I understand the code and know what does malfunction and how. Then, there are parts which I am not sure how to fix yet. This is why the indicator is still considered alpha.
In the future when a strategy is published, you will also be able to set your own overbought/oversold values without entering the code itself and probably some other features. But I am not in a hurry for that. You can give me feedback on UX and try to figure out the best setups for other symbols, it might help to improve the automatic testing script when I know what I should achieve. My main point is to make this public for friends who can already be using it on EURUSD at least.
Close doesn't always have to be 400 pips, you might want to close on a logical level such as strong resistance or a trendline too.
Thanks to:
• @everget for providing Supertrend solution.
• Satik FX who hand-tested the system by hand and reported results in this article . He is my main inspiration for creating the complete indicator as one because I want to be able to show and hide it with a single click. My future scripts will also work as a whole strategy each by itself.
• The number in the script's name comes from Satik's numbering. A mentioned article was his seventh shared strategy.
Efficient PriceTrading The Movements That Matters
Inspired by the Price Volume Trend indicator the Efficient Price aim to create a better version of the price containing only the information a trend trader must need.
Calculation
This indicator use the Efficiency Ratio as a smoothing constant, it is calculated as follow :
ER = abs(change(close,length))/sum(abs(change(close)),length)
The goal of the Efficiency Ratio is to show if the market is trending or ranging.If ER is high then the market is considered to be trending, if ER is low then the market is considered to be ranging.
Then the Efficient Price is calculated :
EP = cum(change(close)*ER)
When the price is trending, the indicator will show movements of the price with unchanged volatility, but if the price is not trending then the indicator will flatten those movements.Think of this indicator as both a filter and a compressor and the Efficient Price as some kind of threshold.
The Efficient Price As Input For Indicators/Strategies
If the indicator show the movement of the trending price, it can be interesting to use it as input in order to reduce the number of false signals in a strategy.
We will test 2 MACD strategy provided by tradingview, one using the closing price (In Red) and one with the efficient price (In White) as input
with both the following parameters :
fastLength = 50
slowlength = 200
MACDLength = 20
length = 50
Where length is the parameter of the Efficient Price.A spread of 2 pips is used.
Without Efficient Price : 26.88% of profitability, 69 pips of profit.
With Efficient Price : 38.46% of profitability, 336 pips of profit.
The difference of profitability is of 11.58%, the strategy with the Efficient Price made few trades and its equity have a lower variance than the equity of the MACD strategy using closing price.
Smoothed Version
It is possible to smooth the indicator output by using the following code :
EP = cum(change(close,length)*ER)
Hope you enjoy
For any questions/demands feel free to pm me, i would be happy to help you
Gold/Silver 30m Only Strategy Buy/Sell SignalsIn my free time I felt like coding this strategy, and after backtesting it, it appears that the 30m time frame is the most profitable.
I only have been working on it for gold, but it should work similarly for silver as well.
This includes no pyramiding, and with pyramiding orders of 5, this strategy is upwards of 100% profitable.
Buy order - when price is above the 162 day EMA and RSI is less than 35
Sell order - when price is below the 162 day EMA and RSI is greater than 65
I will probably be adjusting it to increase the profitability and %success rate.
Best SMA FinderThis script, Best SMA Finder, is a tool designed to identify the most robust simple moving average (SMA) length for a given chart, based on historical backtest performance. It evaluates hundreds of SMA values (from 10 to 1000) and selects the one that provides the best balance between profitability, consistency, and trade frequency.
What it does:
The script performs individual backtests for each SMA length using either "Long Only" or "Buy & Sell" logic, as selected by the user. For each tested SMA, it computes:
- Total number of trades
- Profit Factor (total profits / total losses)
- Win Rate
- A composite Robustness Score, which integrates Profit Factor, number of trades (log-scaled), and win rate.
Only SMA configurations that meet the user-defined minimum trade count are considered valid. Among all valid candidates, the script selects the SMA length with the highest robustness score and plots it on the chart.
How to use it:
- Choose the strategy type: "Long Only" or "Buy & Sell"
- Set the minimum trade count to filter out statistically irrelevant results
- Enable or disable the summary stats table (default: enabled)
The selected optimal SMA is plotted on the chart in blue. The optional table in the top-right corner shows the corresponding SMA length, trade count, Profit Factor, Win Rate, and Robustness Score for transparency.
Key Features:
- Exhaustive SMA optimization across 991 values
- Customizable trade direction and minimum trade filters
- In-chart visualization of results via table and plotted optimal SMA
- Uses a custom robustness formula to rank SMA lengths
Use cases:
Ideal for traders who want to backtest and auto-select a historically effective SMA without manual trial-and-error. Useful for swing and trend-following strategies across different timeframes.
📌 Limitations:
- Not a full trading strategy with position sizing or stop-loss logic
- Only one entry per direction at a time is allowed
- Designed for exploration and optimization, not as a ready-to-trade system
This script is open-source and built entirely from original code and logic. It does not replicate any closed-source script or reuse significant external open-source components.
MÈGAS ALGO : CNA (Cognitio Analysis) [INDICATOR]Overview
The CNA (Cognitio Analysis) is a comprehensive financial analysis tool designed to evaluate the overall health and potential of a market or company based on fundamental metrics. It aggregates data across five key metric groups—**Growth**, **Profitability**, **Cash Flow**, **Income**, and **Valuation**—to provide a final interpretation of market conditions. The indicator dynamically adapts to the selected fiscal period (Quarter, Year, or Trailing Twelve Months) and delivers insights into dominant trends and conflicting signals.
Key Features
1. Customizable Fiscal Period:
- Users can select between "Quarter", "Year", or "Trailing Twelve Months" (TTM) to analyze data for their desired timeframe.
2. Dynamic Table Visualization:
- Displays raw metric values, aggregated scores, and the final interpretation in an intuitive
table.
- Highlights the final interpretation with dynamic background colors (`color.teal` for bullish,
`color.red` for bearish, etc.).
3. Comprehensive Data Integration:
- Pulls financial data using TradingView's `request.financial()` function for metrics like
revenue, earnings, margins, and valuation ratios.
4. Normalization and Scoring:
- Normalizes data to create a consistent scoring system, ensuring accurate comparisons across
metrics.
How It Works
1. Metric Group Analysis
- Growth Metrics: Measures revenue growth, earnings per share (EPS) growth, and tax
efficiency.
- Profitability Metrics: Analyzes net profit margin, return on equity (ROE), and EBITDA margin.
- Cash Metrics: Assesses operating cash flow margin, free cash flow to operating cash flow
ratio, and cash flow coverage.
- Income Metrics: Examines gross profit margin, operating profit margin, and EBIT margin.
- Valuation Metrics: Evaluates price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and enterprise
value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA).
2. Dynamic Scoring System
- Metrics are normalized to ensure consistency across different scales.
- A geometric mean is used to calculate scores for each metric group, ensuring that all metrics
within a group contribute equally to the final score.
3. Dominant Trend Identification
- Scores from all five metric groups are aggregated to determine the **dominant trend** of the
market.
- The dominant trend is categorized as:
- Bullish: Strong fundamentals across most metrics.
- Bearish: Weak fundamentals across most metrics.
- Neutral: Balanced conditions with no clear direction.
- Unclear: Mixed signals dominate, requiring further monitoring.
4. Conflicting Signals Interpretation
- The indicator identifies scenarios where metrics conflict (e.g., high growth but low valuation).
- These conflicting signals provide nuanced insights into market conditions, highlighting rare opportunities or potential risks.
How to Use the Indicator
1. Select Fiscal Period:
- Choose between "FQ", "FY", or "TTM" to analyze data for the desired timeframe.
2. Review Metric Scores:
- Examine the scores for each metric group (Growth, Profitability, Cash, Income, Valuation) to
understand the underlying performance.
3. Interpret Final Output:
- The final interpretation provides a summary of the dominant trend and conflicting signals,
helping users make informed decisions.
4. Dynamic Coloring:
- Use the dynamic background colors in the table to quickly identify market sentiment
(bullish, bearish, neutral, or mixed).
Applications
- Identifying Opportunities:
- Look for bullish dominant trends combined with undervalued growth opportunities for
potential long positions.
- Avoiding Risks:
- Watch out for bearish dominant trends with overvaluation alerts to avoid potential losses.
- Monitoring Neutral Markets:
- Use the indicator to identify neutral markets and wait for clearer signals before making
decisions.
Conclusion
The CNA (Cognitio Analysis) is a powerful tool for traders and investors seeking to make informed decisions based on fundamental analysis. By combining detailed metric evaluations, dynamic scoring, and sentiment-based interpretations, this indicator provides a comprehensive view of market conditions. Whether you're identifying undervalued opportunities, avoiding overvalued risks, or monitoring neutral markets, this indicator equips you with the insights needed to navigate complex financial landscapes.
Please Note:
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and it should not be considered a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any financial instrument. Trading involves significant risks, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
The results and images provided are based on algorithms and historical/paid real-time market data but do not guarantee future results or accuracy. Use this tool at your own risk, and understand that past performance is not indicative of future outc
Heiken Ashi Supertrend ADXHeiken Ashi Supertrend ADX Indicator
Overview
This indicator combines the power of Heiken Ashi candles, Supertrend indicator, and ADX filter to identify strong trend movements across multiple timeframes. Designed primarily for the cryptocurrency market but adaptable to any tradable asset, this system focuses on capturing momentum in established trends while employing a sophisticated triple-layer stop loss mechanism to protect capital and secure profits.
Strategy Mechanics
Entry Signals
The strategy uses a unique blend of technical signals to identify high-probability trade entries:
Heiken Ashi Candles: Looks specifically for Heiken Ashi candles with minimal or no wicks, which signal strong momentum and trend continuation. These "full-bodied" candles represent periods where price moved decisively in one direction with minimal retracement. These are overlayed onto normal candes for more accuarte signalling and plotting
Supertrend Filter: Confirms the underlying trend direction using the Supertrend indicator (default factor: 3.0, ATR period: 10). Entries are aligned with the prevailing Supertrend direction.
ADX Filter (Optional) : Can be enabled to focus only on stronger trending conditions, filtering out choppy or ranging markets. When enabled, trades only trigger when ADX is above the specified threshold (default: 25).
Exit Signals
Positions are closed when either:
An opposing signal appears (Heiken Ashi candle with no wick in the opposite direction)
Any of the three stop loss mechanisms are triggered
Triple-Layer Stop Loss System
The strategy employs a sophisticated three-tier stop loss approach:
ATR Trailing Stop: Adapts to market volatility and locks in profits as the trend extends. This stop moves in the direction of the trade, capturing profit without exiting too early during normal price fluctuations.
Swing Point Stop: Uses natural market structure (recent highs/lows over a lookback period) to place stops at logical support/resistance levels, honoring the market's own rhythm.
Insurance Stop: A percentage-based safety net that protects against sudden adverse moves immediately after entry. This is particularly valuable when the swing point stop might be positioned too far from entry, providing immediate capital protection.
Optimization Features
Customizable Filters : All components (Supertrend, ADX) can be enabled/disabled to adapt to different market conditions
Adjustable Parameters : Fine-tune ATR periods, Supertrend factors, and ADX thresholds
Flexible Stop Loss Settings : Each of the three stop loss mechanisms can be individually enabled/disabled with customizable parameters
Best Practices for Implementation
[Recommended Timeframes : Works best on 4-hour charts and above, where trends develop more reliably
Market Conditions: Performs well across various market conditions due to the ADX filter's ability to identify meaningful trends
Performance Characteristics
When properly optimized, this has demonstrated profit factors exceeding 3 in backtesting. The approach typically produces generous winners while limiting losses through its multi-layered stop loss system. The ATR trailing stop is particularly effective at capturing extended trends, while the insurance stop provides immediate protection against adverse moves.
The visual components on the chart make it easy to follow the strategy's logic, with position status, entry prices, and current stop levels clearly displayed.
This indicator represents a complete trading system with clearly defined entry and exit rules, adaptive stop loss mechanisms, and built-in risk management through position sizing.
Heiken Ashi Supertrend ADX - StrategyHeiken Ashi Supertrend ADX Strategy
Overview
This strategy combines the power of Heiken Ashi candles, Supertrend indicator, and ADX filter to identify strong trend movements across multiple timeframes. Designed primarily for the cryptocurrency market but adaptable to any tradable asset, this system focuses on capturing momentum in established trends while employing a sophisticated triple-layer stop loss mechanism to protect capital and secure profits.
Strategy Mechanics
Entry Signals
The strategy uses a unique blend of technical signals to identify high-probability trade entries:
Heiken Ashi Candles: Looks specifically for Heiken Ashi candles with minimal or no wicks, which signal strong momentum and trend continuation. These "full-bodied" candles represent periods where price moved decisively in one direction with minimal retracement.
Supertrend Filter : Confirms the underlying trend direction using the Supertrend indicator (default factor: 3.0, ATR period: 10). Entries are aligned with the prevailing Supertrend direction.
ADX Filter (Optional) : Can be enabled to focus only on stronger trending conditions, filtering out choppy or ranging markets. When enabled, trades only trigger when ADX is above the specified threshold (default: 25).
Exit Signals
Positions are closed when either:
An opposing signal appears (Heiken Ashi candle with no wick in the opposite direction)
Any of the three stop loss mechanisms are triggered
Triple-Layer Stop Loss System
The strategy employs a sophisticated three-tier stop loss approach:
ATR Trailing Stop: Adapts to market volatility and locks in profits as the trend extends. This stop moves in the direction of the trade, capturing profit without exiting too early during normal price fluctuations.
Swing Point Stop : Uses natural market structure (recent highs/lows over a lookback period) to place stops at logical support/resistance levels, honoring the market's own rhythm.
Insurance Stop: A percentage-based safety net that protects against sudden adverse moves immediately after entry. This is particularly valuable when the swing point stop might be positioned too far from entry, providing immediate capital protection.
Optimization Features
Customizable Filters: All components (Supertrend, ADX) can be enabled/disabled to adapt to different market conditions
Adjustable Parameters: Fine-tune ATR periods, Supertrend factors, and ADX thresholds
Flexible Stop Loss Settings: Each of the three stop loss mechanisms can be individually enabled/disabled with customizable parameters
Best Practices for Implementation
Recommended Timeframes: Works best on 4-hour charts and above, where trends develop more reliably
Market Conditions: Performs well across various market conditions due to the ADX filter's ability to identify meaningful trends
Position Sizing: The strategy uses a percentage of equity approach (default: 3%) for position sizing
Performance Characteristics
When properly optimized, this strategy has demonstrated profit factors exceeding 3 in backtesting. The approach typically produces generous winners while limiting losses through its multi-layered stop loss system. The ATR trailing stop is particularly effective at capturing extended trends, while the insurance stop provides immediate protection against adverse moves.
The visual components on the chart make it easy to follow the strategy's logic, with position status, entry prices, and current stop levels clearly displayed.
This strategy represents a complete trading system with clearly defined entry and exit rules, adaptive stop loss mechanisms, and built-in risk management through position sizing.
DI+/- Cross Strategy with ATR SL and 2% TPDI+/- Cross Strategy with ATR Stop Loss and 2% Take Profit
📝 Script Description for Publishing:
This strategy is based on the directional movement of the market using the Average Directional Index (ADX) components — DI+ and DI- — to generate entry signals, with clearly defined risk and reward targets using ATR-based Stop Loss and Fixed Percentage Take Profit.
🔍 How it works:
Buy Signal: When DI+ crosses above 40, signaling strong bullish momentum.
Sell Signal: When DI- crosses above 40, indicating strong bearish momentum.
Stop Loss: Dynamically calculated using ATR × 1.5, to account for market volatility.
Take Profit: Fixed at 2% above/below the entry price, for consistent reward targeting.
🧠 Why it’s useful:
Combines momentum breakout logic with volatility-based risk management.
Works well on trending assets, especially when combined with higher timeframe filters.
Clean BUY and SELL visual labels make it easy to interpret and backtest.
✅ Tips for Use:
Use on assets with clear trends (e.g., major forex pairs, trending stocks, crypto).
Best on 30m – 4H timeframes, but can be customized.
Consider combining with other filters (e.g., EMA trend direction or Bollinger Bands) for even better accuracy.
RSI VWAP POC [Uncle Sam Trading]Category: Oscillators, Volume, Market Profile
Timeframe: Suitable for all timeframes
Markets: Crypto, Forex, Stocks, Commodities
Overview
The RSI VWAP POC indicator is a powerful and innovative oscillator that combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP), and Point of Control (POC) from market profile analysis. Designed to provide traders with clear, high-probability trading signals, this indicator helps you identify key market levels, spot overbought/oversold conditions, and time your entries and exits with precision. Whether you’re a day trader, swing trader, or scalper, this free tool adds significant value to your trading strategy by offering a unique blend of momentum, volume, and market profile insights.
How It Works
This indicator integrates three core components to deliver actionable insights:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures momentum to identify overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) conditions, helping you anticipate potential reversals.
VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): Calculates a volume-weighted price benchmark, which is used to compute a more accurate, volume-sensitive RSI. This ensures the indicator reflects true market dynamics.
POC (Point of Control): Derived from market profile analysis, the POC represents the price level with the highest traded volume in a session, acting as a critical support or resistance level.
The indicator plots a smoothed RSI based on VWAP, overlaid with market profile data on a user-defined higher timeframe (default: 4H). The POC is displayed as a red line, with aqua bars indicating the value area where the majority of trading volume occurred. When the RSI crosses the POC, the indicator generates clear buy and sell signals:
Strong Buy (SBU): RSI crosses above the POC in an oversold zone.
Strong Sell (SBD): RSI crosses below the POC in an overbought zone.
Additional features include:
Background colors to highlight bullish (green) or bearish (red) trends.
Shaded zones for overbought (70/60) and oversold (30/40) levels.
Customizable settings to fit your trading style and timeframe.
How This Indicator Adds Value
The RSI VWAP POC indicator offers several key benefits that enhance your trading performance:
High-Probability Signals: By combining RSI, VWAP, and POC, this indicator identifies trades at key market levels where price is likely to react, increasing your win rate.
Improved Timing: Clear buy and sell signals, such as ‘SBU’ and ‘SBD’, help you enter and exit trades at optimal points, maximizing profitability.
Risk Management: Overbought/oversold zones and trend confirmation via background colors help you avoid false signals, protecting your capital.
Versatility: Suitable for all markets (crypto, forex, stocks) and timeframes, making it a valuable tool for traders of all experience levels.
Time Efficiency: The indicator does the heavy lifting by analyzing momentum, volume, and market profile data, allowing you to focus on executing trades.
Real-World Performance Example: On a 1-hour Bitcoin chart with a 4-hour higher timeframe, this indicator identified a strong sell signal on April 6th at 12:00 ($82,000), leading to a 9% drop to $74,600. A subsequent strong buy signal on April 7th at 04:00 ($76,200) captured a 6% rise to $81,200 – a potential 25% profit with 5x leverage if exited at 5%.
How to Use
Add the Indicator: Search for “RSI VWAP POC ” in TradingView’s indicator library and add it to your chart.
Set Your Timeframe: The indicator works on any timeframe but is optimized for a 1-hour chart with a 4-hour higher timeframe (set in the settings).
Interpret Signals:
Look for ‘SBU’ (strong buy) labels when the RSI crosses above the POC in an oversold zone, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Look for ‘SBD’ (strong sell) labels when the RSI crosses below the POC in an overbought zone, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
Use the background colors (green for bullish, red for bearish) to confirm the trend.
Combine with Your Strategy: Use the indicator alongside your existing analysis (e.g., support/resistance, candlestick patterns) for best results.
Settings and Customization
The indicator is highly customizable to suit your trading needs:
RSI Length (Default: 14): Adjust the sensitivity of the RSI. Use a shorter length (e.g., 10) for scalping, or a longer length (e.g., 20) for smoother signals.
EMA Smoothing Length (Default: 3): Smooths the RSI line. Increase to 5 or 7 for less choppy signals in volatile markets.
Higher Timeframe (Default: 240 minutes): Set to 240 (4 hours) for a 1-hour chart. Adjust based on your chart’s timeframe (e.g., 60 minutes for a 15-minute chart).
Value Area Percentage (Default: 100%): Defines the size of the value area around the POC. Lower to 70% for a tighter focus on key levels.
Overbought/Oversold Thresholds (Defaults: 70/30): Adjust these levels to match market conditions (e.g., 80/20 for trending markets).
Show POC Line (Default: True): Toggle the red POC line on or off.
Show Buy/Sell Signals: Enable ‘Show Strong Breakup Signals’ and ‘Show Strong Breakdown Signals’ to focus on high-probability trades.
Why Choose This Indicator?
The RSI VWAP POC indicator stands out by offering a unique combination of momentum, volume, and market profile analysis in a single, easy-to-use tool. It’s designed to help traders of all levels make informed decisions, reduce risk, and increase profitability. Whether you’re trading Bitcoin, forex pairs, or stocks, this indicator provides the clarity and precision you need to succeed.
Portfolio Monitor - DolphinTradeBot1️⃣ Overview
▪️This indicator unifies the value of all your investments—whether stocks, currencies, or cryptocurrencies—in your chosen currency. This tool not only provides a clear snapshot of your overall portfolio performance but also highlights the individual growth of each asset with intuitive visualizations and an easy-to-understand performance report.
2️⃣ What sets this indicator apart
▪️is its ability to convert values from various currency pairs into any currency you choose. This means you can monitor your portfolio's performance against any currency pair you prefer, offering a flexible and comprehensive view of your investments.
3️⃣ How Is It Work ?
🔍The indicator can be analyzed under two main categories: visual representations and tables.
1- Visual representations ;
The indicator includes three different types of lines:
1. 1 - Reference Line → This represents the cost of all assets we hold, based on the selected date.
1. 2 - Total Assets Line → Displays the real-time value of all assets in our possession, including cash value, in the selected trading pair.
The area between the reference line is filled with green and red. The section above the reference line is represented in green, while the section below is shown in red.
1. 3 - Performance Lines → These visualize the performance of the assets, starting from the reference line and taking into account their weights in the portfolio. (Note: The lines are scaled for visualization purposes, so their absolute values should not be considered.)
"The names of the lines are shown in the image below."⤵️
2- Tables
The indicator includes three different types of tables:
2. 1 - Analysis Table : It provides a superficial overview of wallet statistics and values.
▪️TOTAL ASSETS → The current equivalent of all assets in the target currency
▪️CASH VALUE → The current value of the amount "Cash Value", in the target currency.
▪️PORTFOLIO VALUE → The total value of assets excluding Cash, in the target currency.
▪️POSTFOLIO COST → The cost of assets excluding Cash, in the target currency.
▪️PORTFOLIO ABSOLUTE RETURN → It shows the profit or loss relative to the cost of assets
▪️PORTFOLIO RETURN % →It shows the profit or loss relative to the cost of assets on a percentage basis
2. 2 - Performance Table : It displays the names of assets excluding Cash and their profit amounts, sorted from highest to lowest profit. If "Show as Percentage" is selected in the settings, it shows the percentage profit or loss relative to the cost. Profits are represented in green, while losses are represented in red.
"You can see the visual showing the tables below"⤵️
4️⃣How to Use ?
1- Choose the date on which the visualization will begin (📌The start date only affects the exchange rate used for calculating the reference line in the target currency.)
2- If you have cash holdings, enter the amount and specify the currency.
3- Select the currency in which your portfolio value will be displayed.(Default value is USD)
4- To set up your portfolio;
SYMBOLS - QUANTITY - PURCHASE PRICE
Enter the symbols of your assets - the number of units you hold - and their cost levels.
5- If you have cash, be sure to include your cash balance. If you also hold other currencies, enter them as separate assets with their corresponding quantities and purchase prices.
6- If you want to see the percentage returns of the assets in the performance table relative to their cost, select the "Show as Percent" option.
7- If you want to see the performance visuals of the assets, click on the "Show Asset Performance" option.
You can find an image of the settings section where the numbers above are used as references below.⤵️
📌 NOTE → By default, a few assets and their values have been pre-added in the initial settings. This is to ensure that you don’t see an empty screen when adding the indicator to the chart. Please remember to enter your own assets and values. The default settings are only provided as an example.
AI Trend Momentum SniperThe AI Trend Momentum Sniper is a powerful technical analysis tool designed for day trading. This strategy combines multiple momentum and trend indicators to identify high-probability entry and exit points. The indicator utilizes a combination of Supertrend, MACD, RSI, ATR (Average True Range), and On-Balance Volume (OBV) to generate real-time signals for buy and sell opportunities.
Key Features:
Supertrend for detecting market direction (bullish or bearish).
MACD for momentum confirmation, highlighting changes in market momentum.
RSI to filter out overbought/oversold conditions and ensure high-quality trades.
ATR as a volatility filter to adjust for changing market conditions.
OBV (On-Balance Volume) to confirm volume strength and trend validity.
Dynamic Stop-Loss & Take-Profit based on ATR to manage risk and lock profits.
This indicator is tailored for intraday traders looking for quick market moves, especially in volatile and high liquidity assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It helps traders capture short-term trends with efficient risk management tools.
How to Apply:
Set Your Chart: Apply the AI Trend Momentum Sniper to a 5-minute (M5) or 15-minute (M15) chart for optimal performance.
Buy Signal: When the indicator generates a green arrow below the bar, it indicates a buy signal based on positive trend and momentum alignment.
Sell Signal: A red arrow above the bar signals a sell condition when the trend and momentum shift bearish.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: The indicator automatically calculates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the ATR value for each trade, ensuring proper risk management.
Alerts: Set up custom alerts for buy or sell signals, and get notified instantly when opportunities arise.
Best Markets for Use:
BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT – High liquidity and volatility.
Major altcoins with sufficient volume.
Avoid using it on low-liquidity assets where price action may become erratic.
Timeframes:
This indicator is best suited for lower timeframes (5-minute to 15-minute charts) to capture quick price movements in trending markets.
Enhanced Fuzzy SMA Analyzer (Multi-Output Proxy) [FibonacciFlux]EFzSMA: Decode Trend Quality, Conviction & Risk Beyond Simple Averages
Stop Relying on Lagging Averages Alone. Gain a Multi-Dimensional Edge.
The Challenge: Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) tell you where the price was , but they fail to capture the true quality, conviction, and sustainability of a trend. Relying solely on price crossing an average often leads to chasing weak moves, getting caught in choppy markets, or missing critical signs of trend exhaustion. Advanced traders need a more sophisticated lens to navigate complex market dynamics.
The Solution: Enhanced Fuzzy SMA Analyzer (EFzSMA)
EFzSMA is engineered to address these limitations head-on. It moves beyond simple price-average comparisons by employing a sophisticated Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) that intelligently integrates multiple critical market factors:
Price deviation from the SMA ( adaptively normalized for market volatility)
Momentum (Rate of Change - ROC)
Market Sentiment/Overheat (Relative Strength Index - RSI)
Market Volatility Context (Average True Range - ATR, optional)
Volume Dynamics (Volume relative to its MA, optional)
Instead of just a line on a chart, EFzSMA delivers a multi-dimensional assessment designed to give you deeper insights and a quantifiable edge.
Why EFzSMA? Gain Deeper Market Insights
EFzSMA empowers you to make more informed decisions by providing insights that simple averages cannot:
Assess True Trend Quality, Not Just Location: Is the price above the SMA simply because of a temporary spike, or is it supported by strong momentum, confirming volume, and stable volatility? EFzSMA's core fuzzyTrendScore (-1 to +1) evaluates the health of the trend, helping you distinguish robust moves from noise.
Quantify Signal Conviction: How reliable is the current trend signal? The Conviction Proxy (0 to 1) measures the internal consistency among the different market factors analyzed by the FIS. High conviction suggests factors are aligned, boosting confidence in the trend signal. Low conviction warns of conflicting signals, uncertainty, or potential consolidation – acting as a powerful filter against chasing weak moves.
// Simplified Concept: Conviction reflects agreement vs. conflict among fuzzy inputs
bullStrength = strength_SB + strength_WB
bearStrength = strength_SBe + strength_WBe
dominantStrength = max(bullStrength, bearStrength)
conflictingStrength = min(bullStrength, bearStrength) + strength_N
convictionProxy := (dominantStrength - conflictingStrength) / (dominantStrength + conflictingStrength + 1e-10)
// Modifiers (Volatility/Volume) applied...
Anticipate Potential Reversals: Trends don't last forever. The Reversal Risk Proxy (0 to 1) synthesizes multiple warning signs – like extreme RSI readings, surging volatility, or diverging volume – into a single, actionable metric. High reversal risk flags conditions often associated with trend exhaustion, providing early warnings to protect profits or consider counter-trend opportunities.
Adapt to Changing Market Regimes: Markets shift between high and low volatility. EFzSMA's unique Adaptive Deviation Normalization adjusts how it perceives price deviations based on recent market behavior (percentile rank). This ensures more consistent analysis whether the market is quiet or chaotic.
// Core Idea: Normalize deviation by recent volatility (percentile)
diff_abs_percentile = ta.percentile_linear_interpolation(abs(raw_diff), normLookback, percRank) + 1e-10
normalized_diff := raw_diff / diff_abs_percentile
// Fuzzy sets for 'normalized_diff' are thus adaptive to volatility
Integrate Complexity, Output Clarity: EFzSMA distills complex, multi-factor analysis into clear, interpretable outputs, helping you cut through market noise and focus on what truly matters for your decision-making process.
Interpreting the Multi-Dimensional Output
The true power of EFzSMA lies in analyzing its outputs together:
A high Trend Score (+0.8) is significant, but its reliability is amplified by high Conviction (0.9) and low Reversal Risk (0.2) . This indicates a strong, well-supported trend.
Conversely, the same high Trend Score (+0.8) coupled with low Conviction (0.3) and high Reversal Risk (0.7) signals caution – the trend might look strong superficially, but internal factors suggest weakness or impending exhaustion.
Use these combined insights to:
Filter Entry Signals: Require minimum Trend Score and Conviction levels.
Manage Risk: Consider reducing exposure or tightening stops when Reversal Risk climbs significantly, especially if Conviction drops.
Time Exits: Use rising Reversal Risk and falling Conviction as potential signals to take profits.
Identify Regime Shifts: Monitor how the relationship between the outputs changes over time.
Core Technology (Briefly)
EFzSMA leverages a Mamdani-style Fuzzy Inference System. Crisp inputs (normalized deviation, ROC, RSI, ATR%, Vol Ratio) are mapped to linguistic fuzzy sets ("Low", "High", "Positive", etc.). A rules engine evaluates combinations (e.g., "IF Deviation is LargePositive AND Momentum is StrongPositive THEN Trend is StrongBullish"). Modifiers based on Volatility and Volume context adjust rule strengths. Finally, the system aggregates these and defuzzifies them into the Trend Score, Conviction Proxy, and Reversal Risk Proxy. The key is the system's ability to handle ambiguity and combine multiple, potentially conflicting factors in a nuanced way, much like human expert reasoning.
Customization
While designed with robust defaults, EFzSMA offers granular control:
Adjust SMA, ROC, RSI, ATR, Volume MA lengths.
Fine-tune Normalization parameters (lookback, percentile). Note: Fuzzy set definitions for deviation are tuned for the normalized range.
Configure Volatility and Volume thresholds for fuzzy sets. Tuning these is crucial for specific assets/timeframes.
Toggle visual elements (Proxies, BG Color, Risk Shapes, Volatility-based Transparency).
Recommended Use & Caveats
EFzSMA is a sophisticated analytical tool, not a standalone "buy/sell" signal generator.
Use it to complement your existing strategy and analysis.
Always validate signals with price action, market structure, and other confirming factors.
Thorough backtesting and forward testing are essential to understand its behavior and tune parameters for your specific instruments and timeframes.
Fuzzy logic parameters (membership functions, rules) are based on general heuristics and may require optimization for specific market niches.
Disclaimer
Trading involves substantial risk. EFzSMA is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. No guarantee of profit is made or implied. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use rigorous risk management practices.
IU Bigger than range strategyDESCRIPTION
IU Bigger Than Range Strategy is designed to capture breakout opportunities by identifying candles that are significantly larger than the previous range. It dynamically calculates the high and low of the last N candles and enters trades when the current candle's range exceeds the previous range. The strategy includes multiple stop-loss methods (Previous High/Low, ATR, Swing High/Low) and automatically manages take-profit and stop-loss levels based on user-defined risk-to-reward ratios. This versatile strategy is optimized for higher timeframes and assets like BTC but can be fine-tuned for different instruments and intervals.
USER INPUTS:
Look back Length: Number of candles to calculate the high-low range. Default is 22.
Risk to Reward: Sets the target reward relative to the stop-loss distance. Default is 3.
Stop Loss Method: Choose between:(Default is "Previous High/Low")
- Previous High/Low
- ATR (Average True Range)
- Swing High/Low
ATR Length: Defines the length for ATR calculation (only applicable when ATR is selected as the stop-loss method) (Default is 14).
ATR Factor: Multiplier applied to the ATR to determine stop-loss distance(Default is 2).
Swing High/Low Length: Specifies the length for identifying swing points (only applicable when Swing High/Low is selected as the stop-loss method).(Default is 2)
LONG CONDITION:
The current candle’s range (absolute difference between open and close) is greater than the previous range.
The closing price is higher than the opening price (bullish candle).
SHORT CONDITIONS:
The current candle’s range exceeds the previous range.
The closing price is lower than the opening price (bearish candle).
LONG EXIT:
Stop-loss:
- Previous Low
- ATR-based trailing stop
- Recent Swing Low
Take-profit:
- Defined by the Risk-to-Reward ratio (default 3x the stop-loss distance).
SHORT EXIT:
Stop-loss:
- Previous High
- ATR-based trailing stop
- Recent Swing High
Take-profit:
- Defined by the Risk-to-Reward ratio (default 3x the stop-loss distance).
ALERTS:
Long Entry Triggered
Short Entry Triggered
WHY IT IS UNIQUE:
This strategy dynamically adapts to different market conditions by identifying candles that exceed the previous range, ensuring that it only enters trades during strong breakout scenarios.
Multiple stop-loss methods provide flexibility for different trading styles and risk profiles.
The visual representation of stop-loss and take-profit levels with color-coded plots improves trade monitoring and decision-making.
HOW USERS CAN BENEFIT FROM IT:
Ideal for breakout traders looking to capitalize on momentum-driven price moves.
Provides flexibility to customize stop-loss methods and fine-tune risk management parameters.
Helps minimize drawdowns with a strong risk-to-reward framework while maximizing profit potential.
Liquidity + Internal Market Shift StrategyLiquidity + Internal Market Shift Strategy
This strategy combines liquidity zone analysis with the internal market structure, aiming to identify high-probability entry points. It uses key liquidity levels (local highs and lows) to track the price's interaction with significant market levels and then employs internal market shifts to trigger trades.
Key Features:
Internal Shift Logic: Instead of relying on traditional candlestick patterns like engulfing candles, this strategy utilizes internal market shifts. A bullish shift occurs when the price breaks previous bearish levels, and a bearish shift happens when the price breaks previous bullish levels, indicating a change in market direction.
Liquidity Zones: The strategy dynamically identifies key liquidity zones (local highs and lows) to detect potential reversal points and prevent trades in weak market conditions.
Mode Options: You can choose to run the strategy in "Both," "Bullish Only," or "Bearish Only" modes, allowing for flexibility based on market conditions.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Customizable stop-loss and take-profit levels are integrated to manage risk and lock in profits.
Time Range Control: You can specify the time range for trading, ensuring the strategy only operates during the desired period.
This strategy is ideal for traders who want to combine liquidity analysis with internal structure shifts for precise market entries and exits.
This description clearly outlines the strategy's logic, the flexibility it provides, and how it works. You can adjust it further to match your personal trading style or preferences!
Pivot Point Calculator PPC V2 by [KhedrFx]📈 Trade Smarter with the Pivot Point Calculator (PPC) by KhedrFx
Want to spot key price levels and make better trading decisions? The Pivot Point Calculator (PPC) by KhedrFx is your go-to TradingView tool for identifying potential support and resistance zones. Whether you’re a Scalper trader, day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this script helps you plan precise entries and exits with confidence.
🔹 How to Use Pivot Points in Trading
📊 Step 1: Identify Key Levels
The PPC automatically plots:
Pivot Point (P): The main level where sentiment shifts between bullish and bearish.
Support Levels (S1, S2, S3): Areas where price may bounce higher.
Resistance Levels (R1, R2, R3): Areas where price may face selling pressure.
These levels act as dynamic price zones, helping you anticipate potential market movements.
🔥 Step 2: Choose Your Trading Strategy
1️⃣ Breakout Trading
Buy when the price breaks above the pivot point (P) with strong momentum.
Sell when the price drops below the pivot point (P) with strong momentum.
Use R1, R2, or R3 as profit targets in an uptrend and S1, S2, or S3 in a downtrend.
2️⃣ Reversal (Bounce) Trading
Buy when the price pulls back to S1, S2, or S3 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., candlestick patterns like a bullish engulfing or hammer).
Sell when the price rallies to R1, R2, or R3 and shows bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks or a bearish engulfing pattern).
🎯 Step 3: Set Smart Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Levels
Stop-Loss: Place it slightly below support (for buy trades) or above resistance (for sell trades).
Take-Profit: Use the next pivot level as a target.
Extreme Zones: R3 and S3 often signal strong reversals or breakouts—watch them closely!
🚀 How to Get Started
1️⃣ Add the PPC script to your TradingView chart.
2️⃣ Choose a timeframe that fits your strategy (5m, 15m, 30m, 1H, 4H, Daily, or Weekly).
3️⃣ Use the pivot points and support/resistance levels to fine-tune your trade entries, exits, and risk management.
⚠️ Trade Responsibly
This tool helps you analyze the market, but it’s not a guarantee of profits. Always do your own research, manage risk, and trade with caution.
💡 Ready to take your trading to the next level? Try the Pivot Point Calculator (PPC) by KhedrFx and start trading with confidence today! 🚀
IU BBB(Big Body Bar) StrategyDESCRIPTION
The IU BBB (Big Body Bar) Strategy is a price action-based trading strategy that identifies high-momentum candles with significantly larger body sizes compared to the average. It enters trades when a strong bullish or bearish move occurs and manages risk using an ATR-based trailing stop-loss system.
USER INPUTS:
- Big Body Threshold – Defines how many times larger the candle body should be compared to the average body ( default is 4 ).
- ATR Length – The period for the Average True Range (ATR) used in the trailing stop-loss calculation ( default is 14 ).
- ATR Factor – Multiplier for ATR to determine the trailing stop distance ( default is 2 ).
LONG CONDITION:
- The current candle’s body is greater than the average body size multiplied by the Big Body Threshold.
- The closing price is higher than the opening price (bullish candle).
SHORT CONDITION:
- The current candle’s body is greater than the average body size multiplied by the Big Body Threshold.
- The closing price is lower than the opening price (bearish candle).
LONG EXIT:
- ATR-based trailing stop-loss dynamically adjusts, locking in profits as the price moves higher.
SHORT EXIT:
- ATR-based trailing stop-loss dynamically adjusts, securing profits as the price moves lower.
WHY IT IS UNIQUE:
- Unlike traditional momentum strategies, this system adapts to volatility by filtering trades based on relative candle size.
- It incorporates an ATR-based trailing stop-loss, ensuring risk management and profit protection.
- The strategy avoids choppy market conditions by only trading when significant momentum is present.
HOW USERS CAN BENEFIT FROM IT:
- Catch Strong Price Moves – The strategy helps traders enter trades when the market shows decisive momentum.
- Effective Risk Management – The ATR-based trailing stop ensures that winning trades remain profitable.
- Works Across Markets – Can be applied to stocks, forex, crypto, and indices with proper optimization.
- Fully Customizable – Users can adjust sensitivity settings to match their trading style and time frame.
Simple APF Strategy Backtesting [The Quant Science]Simple backtesting strategy for the quantitative indicator Autocorrelation Price Forecasting. This is a Buy & Sell strategy that operates exclusively with long orders. It opens long positions and generates profit based on the future price forecast provided by the indicator. It's particularly suitable for trend-following trading strategies or directional markets with an established trend.
Main functions
1. Cycle Detection: Utilize autocorrelation to identify repetitive market behaviors and cycles.
2. Forecasting for Backtesting: Simulate trades and assess the profitability of various strategies based on future price predictions.
Logic
The strategy works as follow:
Entry Condition: Go long if the hypothetical gain exceeds the threshold gain (configurable by user interface).
Position Management: Sets a take-profit level based on the future price.
Position Sizing: Automatically calculates the order size as a percentage of the equity.
No Stop-Loss: this strategy doesn't includes any stop loss.
Example Use Case
A trader analyzes a dayli period using 7 historical bars for autocorrelation.
Sets a threshold gain of 20 points using a 5% of the equity for each trade.
Evaluates the effectiveness of a long-only strategy in this period to assess its profitability and risk-adjusted performance.
User Interface
Length: Set the length of the data used in the autocorrelation price forecasting model.
Thresold Gain: Minimum value to be considered for opening trades based on future price forecast.
Order Size: percentage size of the equity used for each single trade.
Strategy Limit
This strategy does not use a stop loss. If the price continues to drop and the future price forecast is incorrect, the trader may incur a loss or have their capital locked in the losing trade.
Disclaimer!
This is a simple template. Use the code as a starting point rather than a finished solution. The script does not include important parameters, so use it solely for educational purposes or as a boilerplate.
FVG Breakout Lite by tradingbauhausExplanation of "FVG Breakout Lite by tradingbauhaus"
This script is a trading strategy built for TradingView that helps you spot and trade "Fair Value Gaps" (FVGs)—price areas where the market moved quickly, leaving a gap that might act as support or resistance later. It’s designed to catch breakout opportunities when the price moves strongly in one direction, with extra filters to make trades more reliable. Here’s how it works and how you can use it:
What It Does
1. Finds Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
A "Bullish FVG" happens when the price jumps up quickly, leaving a gap below where it didn’t trade much (e.g., today’s low is higher than the high from two bars ago).
A "Bearish FVG" is the opposite: the price drops fast, leaving a gap above (e.g., today’s high is lower than the low from two bars ago).
The script draws colored boxes on your chart to show these gaps: green for bullish, red for bearish.
2. Spots Breakouts:
It looks for "strong" FVGs by comparing them to a trend (based on the highest highs and lowest lows over a set period).
If a bullish gap forms above the recent highs, or a bearish gap below the recent lows, it’s marked as a breakout opportunity.
3. Adds a Volume Check:
Trades only happen if the market’s volume is higher than usual (e.g., 1.2x the average volume over the last 20 bars). This helps ensure the breakout has real momentum behind it.
4. Trades Automatically:
Long Trades (Buy): If a bullish breakout FVG forms and volume is high, it buys at the current price.
Short Trades (Sell): If a bearish breakout FVG forms with high volume, it sells short.
Each trade comes with a stop loss (to limit losses) and a take profit (to lock in gains), both adjustable by you.
5. Shows Mitigation Lines (Optional):
If you turn on "Display Mitigation Zones," it draws lines at the edge of each breakout FVG. These lines show where the price might return to "fill" the gap later, helping you see key levels.
6. Includes Webull Costs:
The script factors in real trading fees from Webull, like tiny SEC and FINRA fees for selling, and a daily margin cost if you’re borrowing money to trade. These don’t show up on the chart but affect the strategy’s performance in backtesting.
How to Use It
1. Add to Your Chart:
Copy the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor, click "Add to Chart," and it’ll start drawing FVGs and running the strategy.
2. Customize Settings:
Trend Period (Default: 25): How many bars it looks back to define the trend. Longer periods mean fewer but stronger signals.
Volume Lookback (Default: 20) & Volume Threshold (Default: 1.2): Adjust how it measures "high volume." Increase the threshold for stricter trades.
Stop Loss % (Default: 1.5%) & Take Profit % (Default: 3%): Set how much you’re willing to lose or aim to gain per trade.
Margin Rate % (Default: 8.74%): Webull’s rate for borrowing money—lower it if your account qualifies for a better rate.
Display Mitigation Zones (Default: On): Toggle this to see or hide the gap lines.
Colors: Change the green (bullish) and red (bearish) shades to suit your chart.
3. Backtest It:
Go to the "Strategy Tester" tab in TradingView to see how it performs on past data. It’ll show trades, profits, losses, and Webull fees included.
4. Watch It Work:
Green boxes mean bullish FVGs; red boxes mean bearish FVGs. If volume spikes and the price breaks out, you’ll see trades happen automatically.
What to Expect
Visuals: You’ll see colored boxes for FVGs and optional lines showing where they start. These help you spot key price zones even if you’re not trading.
Trades: It’s selective—only trades when FVGs align with a breakout and volume confirms it. Expect fewer trades but with higher potential.
Risk: The stop loss keeps losses in check, while the take profit aims for a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio by default (3% gain vs. 1.5% loss).
Costs: Webull’s fees are small but baked into the results, so you’re seeing a realistic picture of profits.
Tips for Users
Test it on a small timeframe (like 5-minute charts) for day trading or a larger one (like daily) for swing trading.
Play with the volume threshold—if you get too few trades, lower it (e.g., 1.1); if too many, raise it (e.g., 1.5).
Watch how price reacts to the mitigation lines—they’re often support or resistance zones traders target.
This strategy is lightweight, focused, and built for traders who like breakouts with a bit of confirmation. It’s not foolproof (no strategy is!), but it gives you a clear way to trade FVGs with some smart filters.
Aggressive Strategy for High IV Market### Strategic background
In a volatile high IV market, prices are volatile and market expectations of future uncertainty are high. This environment provides opportunities for aggressive trading strategies, but also comes with a high level of risk. In pursuit of a high Sharpe ratio (i.e., risk-adjusted return), we need to design a strategy that captures the benefits of market volatility while effectively controlling risk. Based on daily line cycles, I choose a combination of trend tracking and volatility filtering for highly volatile assets such as stocks, futures or cryptocurrencies.
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### Strategy framework
#### Data
- Use daily data, including opening, closing, high and low prices.
- Suitable for highly volatile markets such as technology stocks, cryptocurrencies or volatile index futures.
#### Core indicators
1. ** Trend Indicators ** :
Fast Exponential Moving Average (EMA_fast) : 10-day EMA, used to capture short-term trends.
- Slow Exponential Moving Average (EMA_slow) : 30-day EMA, used to determine the long-term trend.
2. ** Volatility Indicators ** :
Average true Volatility (ATR) : 14-day ATR, used to measure market volatility.
- ATR mean (ATR_mean) : A simple moving average of the 20-day ATR that serves as a volatility benchmark.
- ATR standard deviation (ATR_std) : The standard deviation of the 20-day ATR, which is used to judge extreme changes in volatility.
#### Trading logic
The strategy is based on a trend following approach of double moving averages and filters volatility through ATR indicators, ensuring that trading only in a high-volatility environment is in line with aggressive and high sharpe ratio goals.
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### Entry and exit conditions
#### Admission conditions
- ** Multiple entry ** :
- EMA_fast Crosses EMA_slow (gold cross), indicating that the short-term trend is turning upward.
-ATR > ATR_mean + 1 * ATR_std indicates that the current volatility is above average and the market is in a state of high volatility.
- ** Short Entry ** :
- EMA_fast Crosses EMA_slow (dead cross) downward, indicating that the short-term trend turns downward.
-ATR > ATR_mean + 1 * ATR_std, confirming high volatility.
#### Appearance conditions
- ** Long show ** :
- EMA_fast Enters the EMA_slow (dead cross) downward, and the trend reverses.
- or ATR < ATR_mean-1 * ATR_std, volatility decreases significantly and the market calms down.
- ** Bear out ** :
- EMA_fast Crosses the EMA_slow (gold cross) on the top, and the trend reverses.
- or ATR < ATR_mean-1 * ATR_std, the volatility is reduced.
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### Risk management
To control the high risk associated with aggressive strategies, set up the following mechanisms:
1. ** Stop loss ** :
- Long: Entry price - 2 * ATR.
- Short: Entry price + 2 * ATR.
- Dynamic stop loss based on ATR can adapt to market volatility changes.
2. ** Stop profit ** :
- Fixed profit target can be selected (e.g. entry price ± 4 * ATR).
- Or use trailing stop losses to lock in profits following price movements.
3. ** Location Management ** :
- Reduce positions appropriately in times of high volatility, such as dynamically adjusting position size according to ATR, ensuring that the risk of a single trade does not exceed 1%-2% of the account capital.
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### Strategy features
- ** Aggressiveness ** : By trading only in a high ATR environment, the strategy takes full advantage of market volatility and pursues greater returns.
- ** High Sharpe ratio potential ** : Trend tracking combined with volatility filtering to avoid ineffective trades during periods of low volatility and improve the ratio of return to risk.
- ** Daily line Cycle ** : Based on daily line data, suitable for traders who operate frequently but are not too complex.
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### Implementation steps
1. ** Data Preparation ** :
- Get the daily data of the target asset.
- Calculate EMA_fast (10 days), EMA_slow (30 days), ATR (14 days), ATR_mean (20 days), and ATR_std (20 days).
2. ** Signal generation ** :
- Check EMA cross signals and ATR conditions daily to generate long/short signals.
3. ** Execute trades ** :
- Enter according to the signal, set stop loss and profit.
- Monitor exit conditions and close positions in time.
4. ** Backtest and Optimization ** :
- Use historical data to backtest strategies to evaluate Sharpe ratios, maximum retracements, and win rates.
- Optimize parameters such as EMA period and ATR threshold to improve policy performance.
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### Precautions
- ** Trading costs ** : Highly volatile markets may result in frequent trading, and the impact of fees and slippage on earnings needs to be considered.
- ** Risk Control ** : Aggressive strategies may face large retracements and need to strictly implement stop losses.
- ** Scalability ** : Additional metrics (such as volume or VIX) can be added to enhance strategy robustness, or combined with machine learning to predict trends and volatility.
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### Summary
This is a trend following strategy based on dual moving averages and ATR, designed for volatile high IV markets. By entering into high volatility and exiting into low volatility, the strategy combines aggressive and risk-adjusted returns for traders seeking a high sharpe ratio. It is recommended to fully backtest before implementation and adjust the parameters according to the specific market.
