Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMADescription of the Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA Pine Script
This Pine Script, titled "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA", is a custom technical indicator designed for TradingView to help traders analyze market cycles and identify potential buy or sell opportunities. It combines an Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO) with multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), displayed as colorful, wavy lines, and includes features like buy/sell signals and divergence detection. Below is a beginner-friendly explanation of how the script works, adhering to TradingView's Script Publishing Rules.
What This Indicator Does
The Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA helps you:
Visualize market cycles using an oscillator that adapts to price movements.
Track trends with seven EMAs of different lengths, plotted as a rainbow of wavy lines.
Identify potential buy or sell signals when the oscillator crosses predefined thresholds.
Spot divergences between the oscillator and price to anticipate reversals.
Use customizable settings to adjust the indicator to your trading style.
Note: This is a technical analysis tool and does not guarantee profits. Always combine it with other analysis methods and practice risk management.
Step-by-Step Explanation for New Users
1. Understanding the Indicator
Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO): The ACO analyzes price data (based on high, low, and close prices, or HLC3) to detect market cycles. It smooths price movements to create an oscillator that swings between overbought and oversold levels.
EMAs: Seven EMAs of different lengths are applied to the ACO and scaled based on the market's dominant cycle. These EMAs are plotted as colorful, wavy lines to show trend direction.
Buy/Sell Signals: The script generates signals when the ACO crosses above or below user-defined thresholds, indicating potential entry or exit points.
Divergence Detection: The script identifies bullish or bearish divergences between the ACO and the fastest EMA, which may signal potential reversals.
Visual Style: The indicator uses a rainbow of seven colors (red, orange, yellow, green, blue, indigo, violet) for the EMAs, with wavy lines for a unique visual effect. Static levels (zero, overbought, oversold) are also wavy for consistency.
2. How to Add the Indicator to Your Chart
Open TradingView and load the chart of any asset (e.g., stock, forex, crypto).
Click on the Indicators button at the top of the chart.
Search for "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA" (or paste the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor if you have access to it).
Click to add the indicator to your chart. It will appear in a separate panel below the price chart.
3. Customizing the Indicator
The script offers several input options to tailor it to your needs:
Base Cycle Length (Default: 20): Sets the initial period for calculating the dominant cycle. Higher values make the indicator slower; lower values make it more sensitive.
Alpha Smoothing (Default: 0.07): Controls how much the ACO smooths price data. Smaller values produce smoother results.
Show Buy/Sell Signals (Default: True): Toggle to display green triangles (buy) and red triangles (sell) on the chart.
Threshold (Default: 0.0): Defines overbought (above threshold) and oversold (below threshold) levels. Adjust to widen or narrow signal zones.
EMA Base Length (Default: 10): Sets the starting length for the fastest EMA. Other EMAs are incrementally longer (12, 14, 16, etc.).
Divergence Lookback (Default: 14): Determines how far back the script looks to detect divergences.
To adjust these:
Right-click the indicator on your chart and select Settings.
Modify the inputs in the pop-up window.
Click OK to apply changes.
4. Reading the Indicator
Oscillator and EMAs: The ACO and seven EMAs are plotted in a separate panel. The EMAs (colored lines) move in a wavy pattern:
Red (fastest) to Violet (slowest) represent different response speeds.
When the faster EMAs (e.g., red, orange) are above slower ones (e.g., blue, violet), it suggests bullish momentum, and vice versa.
Zero Line: A gray wavy line at zero acts as a neutral level. The ACO above zero indicates bullish conditions; below zero indicates bearish conditions.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Red (overbought) and green (oversold) wavy lines mark threshold levels. Extreme ACO values near these lines may suggest reversals.
Buy/Sell Signals:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Appears when the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold, suggesting a potential buy.
Red Triangle (Top): Appears when the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold, suggesting a potential sell.
Divergences:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Indicates a bullish divergence (price makes a lower low, but the EMA makes a higher low), hinting at a potential upward reversal.
Red Triangle (Top): Indicates a bearish divergence (price makes a higher high, but the EMA makes a lower high), hinting at a potential downward reversal.
5. Using Alerts
You can set alerts for key events:
Right-click the indicator and select Add Alert.
Choose a condition (e.g., "ACO Buy Signal", "Bullish Divergence").
Configure the alert settings (e.g., notify via email, app, or pop-up).
Click Create to activate the alert.
Available alert conditions:
ACO Buy Signal: When the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold.
ACO Sell Signal: When the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold.
Bullish Divergence: When a potential upward reversal is detected.
Bearish Divergence: When a potential downward reversal is detected.
6. Tips for Using the Indicator
Combine with Other Tools: Use the indicator alongside support/resistance levels, candlestick patterns, or other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for confirmation.
Test on Different Timeframes: The indicator works on any timeframe (e.g., 1-minute, daily). Shorter timeframes may produce more signals but with more noise.
Practice Risk Management: Never rely solely on this indicator. Set stop-losses and position sizes to manage risk.
Backtest First: Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester (if you convert the script to a strategy) to evaluate performance on historical data.
Compliance with TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules
This description adheres to TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules (as outlined in the provided link):
No Performance Claims: The description avoids promising profits or specific results, emphasizing that the indicator is a tool for analysis.
Clear Instructions: It provides step-by-step guidance for adding, customizing, and using the indicator.
Risk Disclaimer: It notes that trading involves risks and the indicator should be used with other analysis methods.
No Misleading Terms: Terms like “buy” and “sell” are used to describe signals, not guaranteed actions.
Transparency: The description explains the indicator’s components (ACO, EMAs, signals, divergences) without exaggerating its capabilities.
No External Links: The description avoids linking to external resources or soliciting users.
Educational Tone: It focuses on educating users about the indicator’s functionality.
Limitations
Not a Standalone System: The indicator is not a complete trading strategy. It provides insights but requires additional analysis.
Lagging Nature: As with most oscillators and EMAs, signals may lag behind price movements, especially in fast markets.
False Signals: Signals and divergences may not always lead to successful trades, particularly in choppy markets.
Market Dependency: Performance varies across assets and market conditions (e.g., trending vs. ranging markets).
Cerca negli script per "profit"
Wavelet-Trend ML Integration [Alpha Extract]Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality Indicator
The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality (AVQ) Indicator provides traders with deep insights into market volatility by measuring the directional strength of price movements. This sophisticated momentum-based tool helps identify overbought and oversold conditions, offering actionable buy and sell signals based on volatility trends and standard deviation bands.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator processes volatility quality data through a series of analytical steps:
Bar Range Calculation: Measures true range (TR) to capture price volatility.
Directional Weighting: Applies directional bias (positive for bullish candles, negative for bearish) to the true range.
VQI Computation: Uses an exponential moving average (EMA) of weighted volatility to derive the Volatility Quality Index (VQI).
Smoothing: Applies an additional EMA to smooth the VQI for clearer signals.
Normalization: Optionally normalizes VQI to a -100/+100 scale based on historical highs and lows.
Standard Deviation Bands: Calculates three upper and lower bands using standard deviation multipliers for volatility thresholds.
Signal Generation: Produces overbought/oversold signals when VQI reaches extreme levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Formula:
Bar Range = True Range (TR)
Weighted Volatility = Bar Range × (Close > Open ? 1 : Close < Open ? -1 : 0)
VQI Raw = EMA(Weighted Volatility, VQI Length)
VQI Smoothed = EMA(VQI Raw, Smoothing Length)
VQI Normalized = ((VQI Smoothed - Lowest VQI) / (Highest VQI - Lowest VQI) - 0.5) × 200
Upper Band N = VQI Smoothed + (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
Lower Band N = VQI Smoothed - (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features:
VQI Plot: Displays VQI as a line or histogram (lime for positive, red for negative).
Standard Deviation Bands: Plots three upper and lower bands (teal for upper, grayscale for lower) to indicate volatility thresholds.
Reference Levels: Horizontal lines at 0 (neutral), +100, and -100 (in normalized mode) for context.
Zone Highlighting: Overbought (⋎ above bars) and oversold (⋏ below bars) signals for extreme VQI levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Candle Coloring: Optional candle overlay colored by VQI direction (lime for positive, red for negative).
Interpretation:
VQI ≥ 200 (Normalized): Overbought condition, strong sell signal.
VQI 100–200: High volatility, potential selling opportunity.
VQI 0–100: Neutral bullish momentum.
VQI 0 to -100: Neutral bearish momentum.
VQI -100 to -200: High volatility, strong bearish momentum.
VQI ≤ -200 (Normalized): Oversold condition, strong buy signal.
🔶 EXAMPLES
Overbought Signal Detection: When VQI exceeds 200 (normalized), the indicator flags potential market tops with a red ⋎ symbol.
Example: During strong uptrends, VQI reaching 200 has historically preceded corrections, allowing traders to secure profits.
Oversold Signal Detection: When VQI falls below -200 (normalized), a lime ⋏ symbol highlights potential buying opportunities.
Example: In bearish markets, VQI dropping below -200 has marked reversal points for profitable long entries.
Volatility Trend Tracking: The VQI plot and bands help traders visualize shifts in market momentum.
Example: A rising VQI crossing above zero with widening bands indicates strengthening bullish momentum, guiding traders to hold or enter long positions.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: Standard deviation bands act as dynamic volatility thresholds during price movements.
Example: Price reversals often occur near the third standard deviation bands, providing reliable entry/exit points during volatile periods.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
VQI Length: Adjust the EMA period for VQI calculation (default: 14, range: 1–50).
Smoothing Length: Set the EMA period for smoothing (default: 5, range: 1–50).
Standard Deviation Multipliers: Customize multipliers for bands (defaults: 1.0, 2.0, 3.0).
Normalization: Toggle normalization to -100/+100 scale and adjust lookback period (default: 200, min: 50).
Display Style: Switch between line or histogram plot for VQI.
Candle Overlay: Enable/disable VQI-colored candles (lime for positive, red for negative).
The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality Indicator empowers traders with a robust tool to navigate market volatility. By combining directional price range analysis with smoothed volatility metrics, it identifies overbought and oversold conditions, offering clear buy and sell signals. The customizable standard deviation bands and optional normalization provide precise context for market conditions, enabling traders to make informed decisions across various market cycles.
Long/Short/Exit/Risk management Strategy # LongShortExit Strategy Documentation
## Overview
The LongShortExit strategy is a versatile trading system for TradingView that provides complete control over entry, exit, and risk management parameters. It features a sophisticated framework for managing long and short positions with customizable profit targets, stop-loss mechanisms, partial profit-taking, and trailing stops. The strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals for visual feedback on the current trading state.
## Key Features
### General Settings
- **Trading Direction**: Choose to trade long positions only, short positions only, or both.
- **Max Trades Per Day**: Limit the number of trades per day to prevent overtrading.
- **Bars Between Trades**: Enforce a minimum number of bars between consecutive trades.
### Session Management
- **Session Control**: Restrict trading to specific times of the day.
- **Time Zone**: Specify the time zone for session calculations.
- **Expiration**: Optionally set a date when the strategy should stop executing.
### Contract Settings
- **Contract Type**: Select from common futures contracts (MNQ, MES, NQ, ES) or custom values.
- **Point Value**: Define the dollar value per point movement.
- **Tick Size**: Set the minimum price movement for accurate calculations.
### Visual Signals
- **Continuous Position Signals**: Implement 0 to 1 visual signals to track position states.
- **Signal Plotting**: Customize color and appearance of position signals.
- **Clear Visual Feedback**: Instantly see when entry conditions are triggered.
### Risk Management
#### Stop Loss and Take Profit
- **Risk Type**: Choose between percentage-based, ATR-based, or points-based risk management.
- **Percentage Mode**: Set SL/TP as a percentage of entry price.
- **ATR Mode**: Set SL/TP as a multiple of the Average True Range.
- **Points Mode**: Set SL/TP as a fixed number of points from entry.
#### Advanced Exit Features
- **Break-Even**: Automatically move stop-loss to break-even after reaching specified profit threshold.
- **Trailing Stop**: Implement a trailing stop-loss that follows price movement at a defined distance.
- **Partial Profit Taking**: Take partial profits at predetermined price levels:
- Set first partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- Set second partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- **Time-Based Exit**: Automatically exit a position after a specified number of bars.
#### Win/Loss Streak Management
- **Streak Cutoff**: Automatically pause trading after a series of consecutive wins or losses.
- **Daily Reset**: Option to reset streak counters at the start of each day.
### Entry Conditions
- **Source and Value**: Define the exact price source and value that triggers entries.
- **Equals Condition**: Entry signals occur when the source exactly matches the specified value.
### Performance Analytics
- **Real-Time Stats**: Track important performance metrics like win rate, P&L, and largest wins/losses.
- **Visual Feedback**: On-chart markers for entries, exits, and important events.
### External Integration
- **Webhook Support**: Compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts for automated trading.
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to external trading systems and notification platforms.
- **Custom Order Execution**: Implement advanced order flows through external services.
## How to Use
### Setup Instructions
1. Add the script to your TradingView chart.
2. Configure the general settings based on your trading preferences.
3. Set session trading hours if you only want to trade specific times.
4. Select your contract specifications or customize for your instrument.
5. Configure risk parameters:
- Choose your preferred risk management approach
- Set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels
- Enable advanced features like break-even, trailing stops, or partial profit taking as needed
6. Define entry conditions:
- Select the price source (such as close, open, high, or an indicator)
- Set the specific value that should trigger entries
### Entry Condition Examples
- **Example 1**: To enter when price closes exactly at a whole number:
- Long Source: close
- Long Value: 4200 (for instance, to enter when price closes exactly at 4200)
- **Example 2**: To enter when an indicator reaches a specific value:
- Long Source: ta.rsi(close, 14)
- Long Value: 30 (triggers when RSI equals exactly 30)
### Best Practices
1. **Always backtest thoroughly** before using in live trading.
2. **Start with conservative risk settings**:
- Small position sizes
- Reasonable stop-loss distances
- Limited trades per day
3. **Monitor and adjust**:
- Use the performance table to track results
- Adjust parameters based on how the strategy performs
4. **Consider market volatility**:
- Use ATR-based stops during volatile periods
- Use fixed points during stable markets
## Continuous Position Signals Implementation
The LongShortExit strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals to provide visual feedback about the current position state. These signals can help you track when the strategy is in a long or short position.
### Adding Continuous Position Signals
Add the following code to implement continuous position signals (0 to 1):
```pine
// Continuous position signals (0 to 1)
var float longSignal = 0.0
var float shortSignal = 0.0
// Update position signals based on your indicator's conditions
longSignal := longCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := shortCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
// Plot continuous signals
plot(longSignal, title="Long Signal", color=#00FF00, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
plot(shortSignal, title="Short Signal", color=#FF0000, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
```
### Benefits of Continuous Position Signals
- Provides clear visual feedback of current position state (long/short)
- Signal values stay consistent (0 or 1) until condition changes
- Can be used for additional calculations or alert conditions
- Makes it easier to track when entry conditions are triggered
### Using with Custom Indicators
You can adapt the continuous position signals to work with any custom indicator by replacing the condition with your indicator's logic:
```pine
// Example with moving average crossover
longSignal := fastMA > slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := fastMA < slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
```
## Webhook Integration
The LongShortExit strategy is fully compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts, allowing you to connect your strategy to external trading platforms, brokers, or custom applications for automated trading execution.
### Setting Up Webhooks
1. Create an alert on your chart with the LongShortExit strategy
2. Enable the "Webhook URL" option in the alert dialog
3. Enter your webhook endpoint URL (from your broker or custom trading system)
4. Customize the alert message with relevant information using TradingView variables
### Webhook Message Format Example
```json
{
"strategy": "LongShortExit",
"action": "{{strategy.order.action}}",
"price": "{{strategy.order.price}}",
"quantity": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"time": "{{time}}",
"ticker": "{{ticker}}",
"position_size": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"position_value": "{{strategy.position_value}}",
"order_id": "{{strategy.order.id}}",
"order_comment": "{{strategy.order.comment}}"
}
```
### TradingView Alert Condition Examples
For effective webhook automation, set up these alert conditions:
#### Entry Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} != {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Exit Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} < {{strategy.position_size}} or {{strategy.position_size}} > {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Partial Take Profit Alert
```
strategy.order.comment contains "Partial TP"
```
### Benefits of Webhook Integration
- **Automated Trading**: Execute trades automatically through supported brokers
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to custom trading bots and applications
- **Real-Time Notifications**: Receive trade signals on external platforms
- **Data Collection**: Log trade data for further analysis
- **Custom Order Management**: Implement advanced order types not available in TradingView
### Compatible External Applications
- Trading bots and algorithmic trading software
- Custom order execution systems
- Discord, Telegram, or Slack notification systems
- Trade journaling applications
- Risk management platforms
### Implementation Recommendations
- Test webhook delivery using a free service like webhook.site before connecting to your actual trading system
- Include authentication tokens or API keys in your webhook URL or payload when required by your external service
- Consider implementing confirmation mechanisms to verify trade execution
- Log all webhook activities for troubleshooting and performance tracking
## Strategy Customization Tips
### For Scalping
- Set smaller profit targets (1-3 points)
- Use tighter stop-losses
- Enable break-even feature after small profit
- Set higher max trades per day
### For Day Trading
- Use moderate profit targets
- Implement partial profit taking
- Enable trailing stops
- Set reasonable session trading hours
### For Swing Trading
- Use longer-term charts
- Set wider stops (ATR-based often works well)
- Use higher profit targets
- Disable daily streak reset
## Common Troubleshooting
### Low Win Rate
- Consider widening stop-losses
- Verify that entry conditions aren't triggering too frequently
- Check if the equals condition is too restrictive; consider small tolerances
### Missing Obvious Trades
- The equals condition is extremely precise. Price must exactly match the specified value.
- Consider using floating-point precision for more reliable triggers
### Frequent Stop-Outs
- Try ATR-based stops instead of fixed points
- Increase the stop-loss distance
- Enable break-even feature to protect profits
## Important Notes
- The exact equals condition is strict and may result in fewer trade signals compared to other conditions.
- For instruments with decimal prices, exact equality might be rare. Consider the precision of your value.
- Break-even and trailing stop calculations are based on points, not percentage.
- Partial take-profit levels are defined in points distance from entry.
- The continuous position signals (0 to 1) provide valuable visual feedback but don't affect the strategy's trading logic directly.
- When implementing continuous signals, ensure they're aligned with the actual entry conditions used by the strategy.
---
*This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Always test thoroughly before using with real funds.*
TradePlanner ProPlan smarter. Trade with precision.
TradePlanner Pro is a professional-grade overlay tool designed to streamline your trading decisions by visually organizing your trade plans directly on the chart. Built for traders who value preparation and clarity, this script enables precise entry planning, risk management, and target visualization—all tailored per symbol.
Core Purpose
TradePlanner Pro helps you map out potential trades using pre-defined symbol-based presets. It dynamically calculates position sizes based on your account size or fixed risk, then visualizes key trade levels (Entry, Take Profits, Stop Loss) with profit/loss metrics in both dollar and percentage terms. It's the perfect companion for traders who prepare their setups in advance and want their plans clearly represented on the chart.
Key Features
🔹 Per-Symbol Presets: Define entries, up to 3 take-profit levels, and stop-losses for each ticker.
🔹 Dynamic Risk Sizing: Choose between percentage-based risk or fixed dollar risk per trade.
🔹 Visual Trade Mapping: Automatically plots Entry, TP1–TP3, and SL lines on your chart.
🔹 Real-Time P&L Labels: Displays profit/loss amounts and percentages, with optional R/R ratios.
🔹 Custom Investment Display: Shows how much capital is allocated per trade.
🔹 Clean, Configurable UI: Adjust label positions, font sizes, opacity, and label visibility to match your style.
Whether you're swing trading or day trading, TradePlanner Pro helps you stay disciplined, organized, and confident in your execution.
How to Use TradePlanner Pro – Step-by-Step Guide
TradePlanner Pro is designed to be easy to set up while giving you full control over how your trades are visualized and calculated. Here’s how to get started:
1. Start with Default Settings
By default, the script assumes:
Account Size: $10,000
Max Money per Trade (%): 1.0%
Max Risk (USD): 0 (disabled; only percentage risk is used)
This means the script will size each trade to risk 1% of your account balance per trade unless you override it with a fixed USD risk amount.
2. Set Up Your Symbol Presets
The "Symbol Presets" input is a flexible text area where you define trade setups for each ticker.
Format (one per line):
SYMBOL:Entry,TP1 ,SL
Example:
AAPL:250,260,270,240
MSFT:100,110,90
TSLA:180,200,170
You can include 1 to 3 take-profit levels.
The script will only activate for the current chart’s symbol, matching what's listed.
3. Customize Risk Parameters
You can use:
Account % Risk – Based on account size and % risk.
Fixed USD Risk – When a dollar amount is entered (>0), it takes priority and calculates share size based on the risk per share.
There's also an option to round share quantities down to whole units, which is useful for stock or crypto trading platforms that only allow whole-number units.
4. Choose What to Display
Toggle on/off these elements as needed:
Show Entry/TP/SL Lines
Show P&L Labels – Profit/loss amounts at each target and SL.
Show Amount Invested – Includes total dollar value in the quantity label.
Show Percentages – Adds % gain/loss to each label.
Show Risk/Reward Ratios – Optionally displayed beside or below TP labels.
You can further adjust:
Font size and label opacity
Label position offset – In percent of price range, so they don’t overlap the actual levels.
5. Read the Visual Outputs
Once the preset matches the current chart symbol:
Lines will appear for Entry, TP1-TP3, and Stop Loss.
Labels will display your:
Trade quantity (and invested amount)
Dollar and % profit at each target
Total loss at stop loss
Optional R/R ratios
Everything updates dynamically and adjusts to your current chart scale and bar availabilit
X-Day Capital Efficiency ScoreThis indicator helps identify the Most Profitable Movers for Your fixed Capital (ie, which assets offer the best average intraday profit potential for a fixed capital).
Unlike traditional volatility indicators (like ATR or % change), this script calculates how much real dollar profit you could have made each day over a custom lookback period — assuming you deployed your full capital into that ticker daily.
How it works:
Calculates the daily intraday range (high − low)
Filters for clean candles (where body > 60% of the candle range)
Assumes you invested the full amount of capital ($100K set as default) on each valid day
Computes an average daily profit score based on price action over the selected period (default set to 20 days)
Plots the score in dollars — higher = more efficient use of capital
Why It’s Useful:
Compare tickers based on real dollar return potential — not just % volatility
Spot low-priced, high-volatility stocks that are better suited for intraday or momentum trading
Inputs:
Capital ($): Amount you're hypothetically deploying (e.g., 100,000)
Look Back Period: Number of past days to average over (e.g., 20)
Volatility Quality [Alpha Extract]The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality (AVQ) Indicator provides traders with deep insights into market volatility by measuring the directional strength of price movements. This sophisticated momentum-based tool helps identify overbought and oversold conditions, offering actionable buy and sell signals based on volatility trends and standard deviation bands.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator processes volatility quality data through a series of analytical steps:
Bar Range Calculation: Measures true range (TR) to capture price volatility.
Directional Weighting: Applies directional bias (positive for bullish candles, negative for bearish) to the true range.
VQI Computation: Uses an exponential moving average (EMA) of weighted volatility to derive the Volatility Quality Index (VQI).
vqiRaw = ta.ema(weightedVol, vqiLen)
Smoothing: Applies an additional EMA to smooth the VQI for clearer signals.
Normalization: Optionally normalizes VQI to a -100/+100 scale based on historical highs and lows.
Standard Deviation Bands: Calculates three upper and lower bands using standard deviation multipliers for volatility thresholds.
vqiStdev = ta.stdev(vqiSmoothed, vqiLen)
upperBand1 = vqiSmoothed + (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier1)
upperBand2 = vqiSmoothed + (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier2)
upperBand3 = vqiSmoothed + (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier3)
lowerBand1 = vqiSmoothed - (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier1)
lowerBand2 = vqiSmoothed - (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier2)
lowerBand3 = vqiSmoothed - (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier3)
Signal Generation: Produces overbought/oversold signals when VQI reaches extreme levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Formula:
Bar Range = True Range (TR)
Weighted Volatility = Bar Range × (Close > Open ? 1 : Close < Open ? -1 : 0)
VQI Raw = EMA(Weighted Volatility, VQI Length)
VQI Smoothed = EMA(VQI Raw, Smoothing Length)
VQI Normalized = ((VQI Smoothed - Lowest VQI) / (Highest VQI - Lowest VQI) - 0.5) × 200
Upper Band N = VQI Smoothed + (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
Lower Band N = VQI Smoothed - (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features:
VQI Plot: Displays VQI as a line or histogram (lime for positive, red for negative).
Standard Deviation Bands: Plots three upper and lower bands (teal for upper, grayscale for lower) to indicate volatility thresholds.
Reference Levels: Horizontal lines at 0 (neutral), +100, and -100 (in normalized mode) for context.
Zone Highlighting: Overbought (⋎ above bars) and oversold (⋏ below bars) signals for extreme VQI levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Candle Coloring: Optional candle overlay colored by VQI direction (lime for positive, red for negative).
Interpretation:
VQI ≥ 200 (Normalized): Overbought condition, strong sell signal.
VQI 100–200: High volatility, potential selling opportunity.
VQI 0–100: Neutral bullish momentum.
VQI 0 to -100: Neutral bearish momentum.
VQI -100 to -200: High volatility, strong bearish momentum.
VQI ≤ -200 (Normalized): Oversold condition, strong buy signal.
🔶 EXAMPLES
Overbought Signal Detection: When VQI exceeds 200 (normalized), the indicator flags potential market tops with a red ⋎ symbol.
Example: During strong uptrends, VQI reaching 200 has historically preceded corrections, allowing traders to secure profits.
Oversold Signal Detection: When VQI falls below -200 (normalized), a lime ⋏ symbol highlights potential buying opportunities.
Example: In bearish markets, VQI dropping below -200 has marked reversal points for profitable long entries.
Volatility Trend Tracking: The VQI plot and bands help traders visualize shifts in market momentum.
Example: A rising VQI crossing above zero with widening bands indicates strengthening bullish momentum, guiding traders to hold or enter long positions.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: Standard deviation bands act as dynamic volatility thresholds during price movements.
Example: Price reversals often occur near the third standard deviation bands, providing reliable entry/exit points during volatile periods.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
VQI Length: Adjust the EMA period for VQI calculation (default: 14, range: 1–50).
Smoothing Length: Set the EMA period for smoothing (default: 5, range: 1–50).
Standard Deviation Multipliers: Customize multipliers for bands (defaults: 1.0, 2.0, 3.0).
Normalization: Toggle normalization to -100/+100 scale and adjust lookback period (default: 200, min: 50).
Display Style: Switch between line or histogram plot for VQI.
Candle Overlay: Enable/disable VQI-colored candles (lime for positive, red for negative).
The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality Indicator empowers traders with a robust tool to navigate market volatility. By combining directional price range analysis with smoothed volatility metrics, it identifies overbought and oversold conditions, offering clear buy and sell signals. The customizable standard deviation bands and optional normalization provide precise context for market conditions, enabling traders to make informed decisions across various market cycles.
Zero Lag MACD + Kijun-sen + EOM StrategyThis strategy offers a robust approach to identifying high-probability trading opportunities in the fast-paced cryptocurrency markets, particularly on lower timeframes (e.g., 5-minute). It leverages the synergistic power of three distinct indicators to confirm entries, ensuring a disciplined approach to risk management.
Key Components:
Zero Lag MACD Enhanced Version 1.2: This core momentum indicator is used to identify precise shifts in trend and momentum, offering reduced lag compared to traditional MACD. Entry signals are filtered based on the histogram's position (below for buys, above for sells) to enhance signal reliability.
Kijun-sen (Ichimoku Cloud): Acting as a dynamic support/resistance and trend filter, the Kijun-sen line confirms the prevailing market direction. Long entries are confirmed when price is above Kijun-sen, and short entries when price is below.
Ease of Movement (EoM): This volume-based oscillator provides crucial confirmation of price movements by measuring the ease with which price changes. Positive EoM confirms buying pressure, while negative confirms selling pressure, adding an essential layer of validation to trade setups.
How it Works:
The strategy generates entry signals only when all three indicators align simultaneously:
For Long Entries: A Zero Lag MACD buy signal (crossover below histogram) must coincide with price trading above the Kijun-sen, and the Ease of Movement indicator being above its zero line.
For Short Entries: A Zero Lag MACD sell signal (crossover above histogram) must coincide with price trading below the Kijun-sen, and the Ease of Movement indicator being below its zero line.
Entries are executed at the open of the candle immediately following the signal confirmation.
Risk Management:
Disciplined risk management is paramount to this strategy:
Dynamic Stop-Loss: An Average True Range (ATR) based stop-loss is implemented, set at 2.5 times the current ATR. This adapts the stop-loss distance to market volatility, ensuring sensible risk sizing.
Fixed Take-Profit: A consistent Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio of 1:1.2 is applied for all trades, promoting stable profit realization.
Customization & Optimization:
The strategy is built with fully customizable input parameters for each indicator (MACD lengths, Kijun-sen period, ATR period, ATR multiplier, and Risk-to-Reward ratio). This allows users to fine-tune the strategy for different assets, timeframes, and market conditions, facilitating robust backtesting and optimization.
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Always use proper risk management and conduct your own due diligence.
Donchian x WMA Crossover (2025 Only, Adjustable TP, Real OHLC)Short Description:
Long-only breakout system that goes long when the Donchian Low crosses up through a Weighted Moving Average, and closes when it crosses back down (with an optional take-profit), restricted to calendar year 2025. All signals use the instrument’s true OHLC data (even on Heikin-Ashi charts), start with 1 000 AUD of capital, and deploy 100 % equity per trade.
Ideal parameters configured for Temple & Webster on ASX 30 minute candles. Adjust parameter to suit however best to download candle interval data and have GPT test the pine script for optimum parameters for your trading symbol.
Detailed Description
1. Strategy Concept
This strategy captures trend-driven breakouts off the bottom of a Donchian channel. By combining the Donchian Low with a WMA filter, it aims to:
Enter when volatility compresses and price breaks above the recent Donchian Low while the longer‐term WMA confirms upward momentum.
Exit when price falls back below that same WMA (i.e. when the Donchian Low crosses back down through WMA), but only if the WMA itself has stopped rising.
Optional Take-Profit: you can specify a profit target in decimal form (e.g. 0.01 = 1 %).
2. Timeframe & Universe
In-sample period: only bars stamped between Jan 1 2025 00:00 UTC and Dec 31 2025 23:59 UTC are considered.
Any resolution (e.g. 30 m, 1 h, D, etc.) is supported—just set your preferred timeframe in the TradingView UI.
3. True-Price Execution
All indicator calculations (Donchian Low, WMA, crossover checks, take-profit) are sourced from the chart’s underlying OHLC via request.security(). This guarantees that:
You can view Heikin-Ashi or other styled candles, but your strategy will execute on the real OHLC bars.
Chart styling never suppresses or distorts your backtest results.
4. Position Sizing & Equity
Initial capital: 1 000 AUD
Size per trade: 100 % of available equity
No pyramiding: one open position at a time
5. Inputs (all exposed in the “Inputs” tab):
Input Default Description
Donchian Length 7 Number of bars to calculate the Donchian channel low
WMA Length 62 Period of the Weighted Moving Average filter
Take Profit (decimal) 0.01 Exit when price ≥ entry × (1 + take_profit_perc)
6. How It Works
Donchian Low: ta.lowest(low, DonchianLength) over the specified look-back.
WMA: ta.wma(close, WMALength) applied to true closes.
Entry: ta.crossover(DonchianLow, WMA) AND barTime ∈ 2025.
Exit:
Cross-down exit: ta.crossunder(DonchianLow, WMA) and WMA is not rising (i.e. momentum has stalled).
Take-profit exit: price ≥ entry × (1 + take_profit_perc).
Calendar exit: barTime falls outside 2025.
7. Usage Notes
After adding to your chart, open the Strategy Tester tab to review performance metrics, list of trades, equity curve, etc.
You can toggle your chart to Heikin-Ashi for visual clarity without affecting execution, thanks to the real-OHLC calls.
Kaufman Trend Strategy# ✅ Kaufman Trend Strategy – Full Description (Script Publishing Version)
**Kaufman Trend Strategy** is a dynamic trend-following strategy based on Kaufman Filter theory.
It detects real-time trend momentum, reduces noise, and aims to enhance entry accuracy while optimizing risk.
⚠️ _For educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results._
---
## 🎯 Strategy Objective
- Smooth price noise using Kaufman Filter smoothing
- Detect the strength and direction of trends with a normalized oscillator
- Manage profits using multi-stage take-profits and adaptive ATR stop-loss logic
---
## ✨ Key Features
- **Kaufman Filter Trend Detection**
Extracts directional signal using a state space model.
- **Multi-Stage Profit-Taking**
Automatically takes partial profits based on color changes and zero-cross events.
- **ATR-Based Volatility Stops**
Stops adjust based on swing highs/lows and current market volatility.
---
## 📊 Entry & Exit Logic
**Long Entry**
- `trend_strength ≥ 60`
- Green trend signal
- Price above the Kaufman average
**Short Entry**
- `trend_strength ≤ -60`
- Red trend signal
- Price below the Kaufman average
**Exit (Long/Short)**
- Blue trend color → TP1 (50%)
- Oscillator crosses 0 → TP2 (25%)
- Trend weakens → Final exit (25%)
- ATR + swing-based stop loss
---
## 💰 Risk Management
- Initial capital: `$3,000`
- Order size: `$100` per trade (realistic, low-risk sizing)
- Commission: `0.002%`
- Slippage: `2 ticks`
- Pyramiding: `1` max position
- Estimated risk/trade: `~0.1–0.5%` of equity
> ⚠️ _No trade risks more than 5% of equity. This strategy follows TradingView script publishing rules._
---
## ⚙️ Default Parameters
- **1st Take Profit**: 50%
- **2nd Take Profit**: 25%
- **Final Exit**: 25%
- **ATR Period**: 14
- **Swing Lookback**: 10
- **Entry Threshold**: ±60
- **Exit Threshold**: ±40
---
## 📅 Backtest Summary
- **Symbol**: USD/JPY
- **Timeframe**: 1H
- **Date Range**: Jan 3, 2022 – Jun 4, 2025
- **Trades**: 924
- **Win Rate**: 41.67%
- **Profit Factor**: 1.108
- **Net Profit**: +$1,659.29 (+54.56%)
- **Max Drawdown**: -$1,419.73 (-31.87%)
---
## ✅ Summary
This strategy uses Kaufman filtering to detect market direction with reduced lag and increased smoothness.
It’s built with visual clarity and strong trade management, making it practical for both beginners and advanced users.
---
## 📌 Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Use with proper risk controls and always test in a demo environment before live trading.
Grid TLong V1The “Grid TLong V1” strategy is based on the classic Grid strategy, but in the mode of buying and selling in favor of the trend and only on Long. This allows to take advantage of large uptrend movements to maximize profits in bull markets. For this reason, excessively sideways or bearish markets may not be very conducive to this strategy.
Like our Grid strategies in favor of the trend, you can enter and exit with the balance with controlled risk, as the distance between each grid functions as a natural and adaptable stop loss and take profit. What differentiates it from bidirectional strategies is that Short uses a minimum amount of follow-through, so that the percentage distance between the grids is maintained.
In this version of the script the entries and exits can be chosen at market or limit , and are based on the profit or loss of the current position, not on the percentage change in price.
The user may also notice that the strategy setup is risk-controlled, because it risks 5% on each trade, has a fairly standard commission and modest initial capital, all in order to protect the strategy user from unrealistic results.
As with all strategies, it is strongly recommended to optimize the parameters for the strategy to be effective for each asset and for each time frame.
Crypto Long RSI Entry with AveragingIndicator Name:
04 - Crypto Long RSI Entry with Averaging + Info Table + Lines (03 style lines)
Description:
This indicator is designed for crypto trading on the long side only, using RSI-based entry signals combined with a multi-step averaging strategy and a visual information panel. It aims to capture price rebounds from oversold RSI levels and manage position entries with two staged averaging points, optimizing the average entry price and take-profit targets.
Key Features:
RSI-Based Entry: Enters a long position when the RSI crosses above a defined oversold level (default 25), with an optional faster entry if RSI crosses above 20 after being below it.
Two-Stage Averaging: Allows up to two averaging entries at user-defined price drop percentages (default 5% and 14%), increasing position size to improve average entry price.
Dynamic Take Profit: Adjusts take profit targets after each averaging stage, with customizable percentage levels.
Visual Signals: Marks entries, averaging points, and exits on the chart using colored labels and lines for easy tracking.
Info Table: Displays current trade status, averaging stages, total profit, number of wins, and maximum drawdown percentage in a table on the chart.
Graphical Lines: Shows horizontal lines for entry price, take profit, and averaging prices to visually track trade management.
RSI SwingRadar🧠 Strategy Overview
This long-only strategy combines RSI/MA crossovers with ATR-based risk management, designed for cleaner entries during potential bounce phases — especially tuned for assets like XMR/USDT.
🔍 Core Logic:
- RSI Crossover: Entry occurs when the 14-period RSI crosses above its 14-period SMA, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
- Oversold Filter: The RSI must have been below a user-defined oversold threshold (default: 35) on the previous candle, filtering for bounce setups after a pullback.
- ATR-Based Stop/Target: Stop-loss is placed below the low by a user-adjustable ATR multiplier (default: 0.5×). Take-profit is calculated with a Risk:Reward multiplier (default: 4×).
These elements work in tandem — RSI crossovers give momentum confirmation, oversold filtering adds context, and ATR-based exits adapt to volatility, creating a compact yet responsive strategy.
📉 Visuals:
- Dynamic Bands: The chart displays the active stop-loss, entry price, and take-profit as colored bands for easy visual tracking.
- Clean Overlay: Designed with simplicity — only confirmed setups are shown, keeping noise low.
✅ Suggested Use:
- Works best on XMR/USDT or similarly trending assets.
- Best suited for pullback entries during broader uptrends.
- Adjustable for different volatility conditions and asset behaviors.
⚠️ Disclaimer
- This strategy is for educational and research purposes only.
- It does not guarantee profitability in any market.
- Always backtest, forward-test, and understand your own risk tolerance before using any
strategy in a live environment.
- Past performance is not indicative of future results.
- This script is not financial advice.
CAFX Liquidity Pro V1CAFX Liquidity Pro Indicator
Precision Engineered for Smart Profit-Taking
The CAFX Liquidity Pro Indicator is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders pinpoint high-probability liquidity zones, making it ideal for setting accurate and strategic take profit levels. By identifying where institutional interest is likely to reside, this indicator highlights the areas where price is most likely to react, reverse, or pause—giving you the edge in locking in profits before the market shifts.
Whether you're scalping, day trading, or swing trading, the CAFX Liquidity Pro provides clear visual cues that simplify your decision-making process and enhance your trade management. With a focus on precision and reliability, it helps you avoid emotional exits and instead base your take profits on real market behavior and liquidity dynamics.
Use CAFX Liquidity Pro to stay one step ahead—because knowing where to exit is just as important as knowing when to enter.
Trailing Stop Loss [TradingFinder] 4 Machine Learning Methods🔵 Introduction
The trailing stop indicator dynamically adjusts stop-loss (SL) levels to lock in profits as price moves favorably. It uses pivot levels and ATR to set optimal SL points, balancing risk and reward.
Trade confirmation filters, a key feature, ensure entries align with market conditions, reducing false signals. In 2023 a study showed filtered entries improve win rates by 15% in forex. This enhances trade precision.
SL settings, ranging from very tight to very wide, adapt to volatility via ATR calculations. These settings anchor SL to previous pivot levels, ensuring alignment with market structure. This caters to diverse trading styles, from scalping to swing trading.
The indicator colors the profit zone between the entry point (EP) and SL, using light green for buy trades and light red for sell trades. This visual cue highlights profit potential. It’s ideal for traders seeking dynamic risk management.
A table displays real-time trade details, including EP, SL, and profit/loss (PNL). Backtests show trailing stops cut losses by 20% in trending markets. This transparency aids decision-making.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 SL Levels
The trailing stop indicator sets SL based on pivot levels and ATR, offering four options: very tight, tight, wide, or very wide. Very tight SLs suit scalpers, while wide SLs fit swing traders. Select the base level to match your strategy.
If price hits the SL, the trade closes, and the indicator evaluates the next trade using the selected filter. This ensures disciplined trade management. The cycle restarts with a new confirmed entry.
Very tight SLs, set near recent pivots, trigger exits early to minimize risk but limit profits in volatile markets. Wide SLs, shown as farther lines, allow more price movement but increase exposure to losses. Adjust based on ATR and conditions, noting SL breaches open new positions.
🟣 Visualization
The indicator’s visual cues, like colored profit zones, simplify monitoring, with light green showing the profit area from EP to trailed SL. Dashed lines mark entry points, while solid lines track the trailed SL, triggering new positions when breached.
When price moves into profit, the area between EP and SL is colored—light green for longs, light red for shorts. This highlights the profit zone visually. The SL trails price, locking in gains as the trade progresses.
🟣 Filters
Upon trade entry, the indicator requires confirmation via filters like SMA 2x or ADX to validate momentum. Filters reduce false entries, though no guarantee exists for improved outcomes. Monitor price action post-entry for trade validity.
Filters like Momentum or ADX assess trend strength before entry. For example, ADX above 25 confirms strong trends. Choose “none” for unfiltered entries.
🟣 Bullish Alert
For a bullish trade, the indicator opens a long position with a green SL Line (after optional filters), trailing the SL below price. Set alerts to On in the settings for notifications, or Off to monitor manually.
🟣 Bearish Alert
In a bearish trade, the indicator opens a short position with a red SL Line post-confirmation, trailing the SL above price. With alerts On in the settings, it notifies the potential reversal.
🟣 Panel
A table displays all trades’ details, including Win Rates, PNL, and trade status. This real-time data aids in tracking performance. Check the table to assess trade outcomes instantly.
Review the table regularly to evaluate trade performance and adjust settings. Consistent monitoring ensures alignment with market dynamics. This maximizes the indicator’s effectiveness.
🔵 Settings
Length (Default: 10) : Sets the pivot period for calculating SL levels, balancing sensitivity and reliability.
Base Level : Options (“Very tight,” “Tight,” “Wide,” “Very wide”) adjust SL distance via ATR.
Show EP Checkbox : Toggles visibility of the entry point on the chart.
Show PNL : Displays profit/loss data for active and closed trades.
Filter : Options (“none,” “SMA 2x,” “Momentum,” “ADX”) validate trade entries.
🔵 Conclusion
The trailing stop indicator, a dynamic risk management tool, adjusts SLs using pivot levels and ATR. Its confirmation filters reduce false entries, boosting precision. Backtests show 20% loss reduction in trending markets.
Customizable SL settings and visual profit zones enhance usability across trading styles. The real-time table provides clear trade insights, streamlining analysis. It’s ideal for forex, stocks, or crypto.
While filters like ADX improve entry accuracy, no setup guarantees success in all conditions. Contextual analysis, like trend strength, is key. This indicator empowers disciplined, data-driven trading.
Bear Market Probability Model# Bear Market Probability Model: A Multi-Factor Risk Assessment Framework
The Bear Market Probability Model represents a comprehensive quantitative framework for assessing systemic market risk through the integration of 13 distinct risk factors across four analytical categories: macroeconomic indicators, technical analysis factors, market sentiment measures, and market breadth metrics. This indicator synthesizes established financial research methodologies to provide real-time probabilistic assessments of impending bear market conditions, offering institutional-grade risk management capabilities to retail and professional traders alike.
## Theoretical Foundation
### Historical Context of Bear Market Prediction
Bear market prediction has been a central focus of financial research since the seminal work of Dow (1901) and the subsequent development of technical analysis theory. The challenge of predicting market downturns gained renewed academic attention following the market crashes of 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008, leading to the development of sophisticated multi-factor models.
Fama and French (1989) demonstrated that certain financial variables possess predictive power for stock returns, particularly during market stress periods. Their three-factor model laid the groundwork for multi-dimensional risk assessment, which this indicator extends through the incorporation of real-time market microstructure data.
### Methodological Framework
The model employs a weighted composite scoring methodology based on the theoretical framework established by Campbell and Shiller (1998) for market valuation assessment, extended through the incorporation of high-frequency sentiment and technical indicators as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2006) in their seminal work on investor sentiment.
The mathematical foundation follows the general form:
Bear Market Probability = Σ(Wi × Ci) / ΣWi × 100
Where:
- Wi = Category weight (i = 1,2,3,4)
- Ci = Normalized category score
- Categories: Macroeconomic, Technical, Sentiment, Breadth
## Component Analysis
### 1. Macroeconomic Risk Factors
#### Yield Curve Analysis
The inclusion of yield curve inversion as a primary predictor follows extensive research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who demonstrated that the term spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury securities has historically preceded all major recessions since 1969. The model incorporates both the 2Y-10Y and 3M-10Y spreads to capture different aspects of monetary policy expectations.
Implementation:
- 2Y-10Y Spread: Captures market expectations of monetary policy trajectory
- 3M-10Y Spread: Traditional recession predictor with 12-18 month lead time
Scientific Basis: Harvey (1988) and subsequent research by Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei (2006) established the theoretical foundation linking yield curve inversions to economic contractions through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.
#### Credit Risk Premium Assessment
High-yield credit spreads serve as a real-time gauge of systemic risk, following the methodology established by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) in their excess bond premium research. The model incorporates the ICE BofA High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread as a proxy for credit market stress.
Threshold Calibration:
- Normal conditions: < 350 basis points
- Elevated risk: 350-500 basis points
- Severe stress: > 500 basis points
#### Currency and Commodity Stress Indicators
The US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum serves as a risk-off indicator, while the Gold-to-Oil ratio captures commodity market stress dynamics. This approach follows the methodology of Akram (2009) and Beckmann, Berger, and Czudaj (2015) in analyzing commodity-currency relationships during market stress.
### 2. Technical Analysis Factors
#### Multi-Timeframe Moving Average Analysis
The technical component incorporates the well-established moving average convergence methodology, drawing from the work of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), who provided empirical evidence for the profitability of technical trading rules.
Implementation:
- Price relative to 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages
- Moving average convergence/divergence analysis
- Multi-timeframe MACD assessment (daily and weekly)
#### Momentum and Volatility Analysis
The model integrates Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis following Wilder's (1978) original methodology, combined with maximum drawdown analysis based on the work of Magdon-Ismail and Atiya (2004) on optimal drawdown measurement.
### 3. Market Sentiment Factors
#### Volatility Index Analysis
The VIX component follows the established research of Whaley (2009) and subsequent work by Bekaert and Hoerova (2014) on VIX as a predictor of market stress. The model incorporates both absolute VIX levels and relative VIX spikes compared to the 20-day moving average.
Calibration:
- Low volatility: VIX < 20
- Elevated concern: VIX 20-25
- High fear: VIX > 25
- Panic conditions: VIX > 30
#### Put-Call Ratio Analysis
Options flow analysis through put-call ratios provides insight into sophisticated investor positioning, following the methodology established by Pan and Poteshman (2006) in their analysis of informed trading in options markets.
### 4. Market Breadth Factors
#### Advance-Decline Analysis
Market breadth assessment follows the classic work of Fosback (1976) and subsequent research by Brown and Cliff (2004) on market breadth as a predictor of future returns.
Components:
- Daily advance-decline ratio
- Advance-decline line momentum
- McClellan Oscillator (Ema19 - Ema39 of A-D difference)
#### New Highs-New Lows Analysis
The new highs-new lows ratio serves as a market leadership indicator, based on the research of Zweig (1986) and validated in academic literature by Zarowin (1990).
## Dynamic Threshold Methodology
The model incorporates adaptive thresholds based on rolling volatility and trend analysis, following the methodology established by Pagan and Sossounov (2003) for business cycle dating. This approach allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing market conditions.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
- Warning Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.0)
- Danger Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.5)
- Bounds: ±10-20 points from base threshold
## Professional Implementation
### Institutional Usage Patterns
Professional risk managers typically employ multi-factor bear market models in several contexts:
#### 1. Portfolio Risk Management
- Tactical Asset Allocation: Reducing equity exposure when probability exceeds 60-70%
- Hedging Strategies: Implementing protective puts or VIX calls when warning thresholds are breached
- Sector Rotation: Shifting from growth to defensive sectors during elevated risk periods
#### 2. Risk Budgeting
- Value-at-Risk Adjustment: Incorporating bear market probability into VaR calculations
- Stress Testing: Using probability levels to calibrate stress test scenarios
- Capital Requirements: Adjusting regulatory capital based on systemic risk assessment
#### 3. Client Communication
- Risk Reporting: Quantifying market risk for client presentations
- Investment Committee Decisions: Providing objective risk metrics for strategic decisions
- Performance Attribution: Explaining defensive positioning during market stress
### Implementation Framework
Professional traders typically implement such models through:
#### Signal Hierarchy:
1. Probability < 30%: Normal risk positioning
2. Probability 30-50%: Increased hedging, reduced leverage
3. Probability 50-70%: Defensive positioning, cash building
4. Probability > 70%: Maximum defensive posture, short exposure consideration
#### Risk Management Integration:
- Position Sizing: Inverse relationship between probability and position size
- Stop-Loss Adjustment: Tighter stops during elevated risk periods
- Correlation Monitoring: Increased attention to cross-asset correlations
## Strengths and Advantages
### 1. Comprehensive Coverage
The model's primary strength lies in its multi-dimensional approach, avoiding the single-factor bias that has historically plagued market timing models. By incorporating macroeconomic, technical, sentiment, and breadth factors, the model provides robust risk assessment across different market regimes.
### 2. Dynamic Adaptability
The adaptive threshold mechanism allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing volatility conditions, reducing false signals during low-volatility periods and maintaining sensitivity during high-volatility regimes.
### 3. Real-Time Processing
Unlike traditional academic models that rely on monthly or quarterly data, this indicator processes daily market data, providing timely risk assessment for active portfolio management.
### 4. Transparency and Interpretability
The component-based structure allows users to understand which factors are driving risk assessment, enabling informed decision-making about model signals.
### 5. Historical Validation
Each component has been validated in academic literature, providing theoretical foundation for the model's predictive power.
## Limitations and Weaknesses
### 1. Data Dependencies
The model's effectiveness depends heavily on the availability and quality of real-time economic data. Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) updates may have lags that could impact model responsiveness during rapidly evolving market conditions.
### 2. Regime Change Sensitivity
Like most quantitative models, the indicator may struggle during unprecedented market conditions or structural regime changes where historical relationships break down (Taleb, 2007).
### 3. False Signal Risk
Multi-factor models inherently face the challenge of balancing sensitivity with specificity. The model may generate false positive signals during normal market volatility periods.
### 4. Currency and Geographic Bias
The model focuses primarily on US market indicators, potentially limiting its effectiveness for global portfolio management or non-USD denominated assets.
### 5. Correlation Breakdown
During extreme market stress, correlations between risk factors may increase dramatically, reducing the model's diversification benefits (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002).
## References
Akram, Q. F. (2009). Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar. Energy Economics, 31(6), 838-851.
Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M. (2006). What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? Journal of Econometrics, 131(1-2), 359-403.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.
Beckmann, J., Berger, T., & Czudaj, R. (2015). Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach. Economic Modelling, 48, 16-24.
Bekaert, G., & Hoerova, M. (2014). The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 183(2), 181-192.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1998). Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(2), 11-26.
Dow, C. H. (1901). Scientific stock speculation. The Magazine of Wall Street.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261.
Fosback, N. G. (1976). Stock market logic: A sophisticated approach to profits on Wall Street. The Institute for Econometric Research.
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012). Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations. American Economic Review, 102(4), 1692-1720.
Harvey, C. R. (1988). The real term structure and consumption growth. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(2), 305-333.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Magdon-Ismail, M., & Atiya, A. F. (2004). Maximum drawdown. Risk, 17(10), 99-102.
Nickerson, R. S. (1998). Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises. Review of General Psychology, 2(2), 175-220.
Pagan, A. R., & Sossounov, K. A. (2003). A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 23-46.
Pan, J., & Poteshman, A. M. (2006). The information in option volume for future stock prices. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 871-908.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. Random House.
Whaley, R. E. (2009). Understanding the VIX. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(3), 98-105.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
Zarowin, P. (1990). Size, seasonality, and stock market overreaction. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25(1), 113-125.
Zweig, M. E. (1986). Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books.
Momentum Long + Short Strategy (BTC 3H)Momentum Long + Short Strategy (BTC 3H)
🔍 How It Works, Step by Step
Detect the Trend (📈/📉)
Calculate two moving averages (100-period and 500-period), either EMA or SMA.
For longs, we require MA100 > MA500 (uptrend).
For shorts, we block entries if MA100 exceeds MA500 by more than a set percentage (to avoid fading a powerful uptrend).
Apply Momentum Filters (⚡️)
RSI Filter: Measures recent strength—only allow longs when RSI crosses above its smoothed average, and shorts when RSI dips below the oversold threshold.
ADX Filter: Gauges trend strength—ensures we only enter when a meaningful trend exists (optional).
ATR Filter: Confirms volatility—avoids choppy, low-volatility conditions by requiring ATR to exceed its smoothed value (optional).
Confirm Entry Conditions (✅)
Long Entry:
Price is above both MAs
Trend alignment & optional filters pass ✅
Short Entry:
Price is below both MAs and below the lower Bollinger Band
RSI is sufficiently oversold
Trend-blocker & ATR filter pass ✅
Position Sizing & Risk (💰)
Each trade uses 100 % of account equity by default.
One pyramid addition allowed, so you can scale in if the move continues.
Commission and slippage assumptions built in for realistic backtests.
Stops & Exits (🛑)
Long Stop-Loss: e.g. 3 % below entry.
Long Auto-Exit: If price falls back under the 500-period MA.
Short Stop-Loss: e.g. 3 % above entry.
Short Take-Profit: e.g. 4 % below entry.
🎨 Why It’s Powerful & Customizable
Modular Filters: Turn on/off RSI, ADX, ATR filters to suit different market regimes.
Adjustable Thresholds: Fine-tune stop-loss %, take-profit %, RSI lengths, MA gaps and more.
Multi-Timeframe Potential: Although coded for 3 h BTC, you can adapt it to stocks, forex or other cryptos—just recalibrate!
Backtest Fine-Tuned: Default settings were optimized via backtesting on historical BTC data—but they’re not guarantees of future performance.
⚠️ Warning & Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only and designed for a toy fund. Crypto markets are highly volatile—you can lose 100 % of your capital. It is not a predictive “holy grail” but a rules-based framework using past data. The parameters have been fine-tuned on historical data and are not valid for future trades without fresh calibration. Always practice with paper-trading first, use proper risk management, and do your own research before risking real money. 🚨🔒
Good luck exploring and experimenting! 🚀📊
Big Mover Catcher BTC 4h🧠 Big Mover Catcher (BTC 4H Strategy) — Educational Tool
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This script is for educational and testing purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading is highly volatile and involves significant risk. You can lose all of your invested capital.
📌 Overview
The Big Mover Catcher strategy is a work-in-progress trading system designed for Bitcoin (BTC) on the 4-hour chart. It aims to identify strong breakout moves by combining multiple technical indicators and conditions, allowing for high customization and filter-based confirmations.
This script is part of a personal project to learn Pine Script and backtesting on TradingView. It is currently in the testing and research phase.
🎯 Strategy Objective
Catch large, high-momentum breakout moves in the BTC market using:
Bollinger Band breakouts for entry signals
Momentum, volatility, and trend filters for trade confirmation
🧰 Features & Filters
The script provides a flexible set of filters that can be turned ON/OFF and adjusted directly from the settings panel:
✅ Entry Conditions
Price must break above or below Bollinger Bands
All selected filters must align before entry
🧪 Available Filters:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) with EMA/SMA smoothing
Average Directional Index (ADX) with EMA/SMA smoothing
Average True Range (ATR) with EMA/SMA smoothing
MACD Signal above or below zero
EMA 350 trend filter
ATR / ADX / RSI Threshold toggles for added control
🔥 Additional Feature:
Force Take Profit: Optionally closes the trade immediately if a candle closes with more than a defined % movement (default: 5%). This can help lock in quick profits during high volatility moves.
⚙️ Customizable Inputs
You can configure:
Stop loss percentage
All indicator lengths
Smoothing types (EMA/SMA)
Threshold activation toggles
Individual filter ON/OFF switches
This makes the strategy highly adaptable for educational exploration and optimization.
📊 Best Used For
Learning Pine Script and strategy structure
Testing filter combinations for BTC on the 4H timeframe
Understanding how different indicators interact in live markets
⚠️ Note: ❌ Short trades are currently disabled by default, as short-side logic is still under development.
❗ Final Reminder
This script is not financial advice. It is an educational tool. Use it to learn and explore trading logic. Trading cryptocurrencies carries high risk — only invest what you can afford to lose.
EMA Pullback Speed Strategy 📌 **Overview**
The **EMA Pullback Speed Strategy** is a trend-following approach that combines **price momentum** and **Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)**.
It aims to identify high-probability entry points during brief pullbacks within ongoing uptrends or downtrends.
The strategy evaluates **speed of price movement**, **relative position to dynamic EMA**, and **candlestick patterns** to determine ideal timing for entries.
One of the key concepts is checking whether the price has **“not pulled back too much”**, helping focus only on situations where the trend is likely to continue.
⚠️ This strategy is designed for educational and research purposes only. It does not guarantee future profits.
🧭 **Purpose**
This strategy addresses the common issue of **"jumping in too late during trends and taking unnecessary losses."**
By waiting for a healthy pullback and confirming signs of **trend resumption**, traders can enter with greater confidence and reduce false entries.
🎯 **Strategy Objectives**
* Enter in the direction of the prevailing trend to increase win rate
* Filter out false signals using pullback depth, speed, and candlestick confirmations
* Predefine Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels for safer, rule-based trading
✨ **Key Features**
* **Dynamic EMA**: Reacts faster when price moves quickly, slower when market is calm – adapting to current momentum
* **Pullback Filter**: Avoids trades when price pulls back too far (e.g., more than 5%), indicating a trend may be weakening
* **Speed Check**: Measures how strongly the price returns to the trend using candlestick body speed (open-to-close range in ticks)
📊 **Trading Rules**
**■ Long Entry Conditions:**
* Current price is above the dynamic EMA (indicating uptrend)
* Price has pulled back toward the EMA (a "buy the dip" situation)
* Pullback depth is within the threshold (not excessive)
* Candlesticks show consecutive bullish closes and break the previous high
* Price speed is strong (positive movement with momentum)
**■ Short Entry Conditions:**
* Current price is below the dynamic EMA (indicating downtrend)
* Price has pulled back up toward the EMA (a "sell the rally" setup)
* Pullback is within range (not too deep)
* Candlesticks show consecutive bearish closes and break the previous low
* Price speed is negative (downward momentum confirmed)
**■ Exit Conditions (TP/SL):**
* **Take-Profit (TP):** Fixed 1.5% target above/below entry price
* **Stop-Loss (SL):** Based on recent price volatility, calculated using ATR × 4
💰 **Risk Management Parameters**
* Symbol & Timeframe: BTCUSD on 1-hour chart (H1)
* Test Capital: \$3000 (simulated account)
* Commission: 0.02%
* Slippage: 2 ticks (minimal execution lag)
* Max risk per trade: 5% of account balance
* Backtest Period: Aug 30, 2023 – May 9, 2025
* Profit Factor (PF): 1.965 (Net profit ÷ Net loss, including spreads & fees)
⚙️ **Trading Parameters & Indicator Settings**
* Maximum EMA Length: 50
* Accelerator Multiplier: 3.0
* Pullback Threshold: 5.0%
* ATR Period: 14
* ATR Multiplier (SL distance): 4.0
* Fixed TP: 1.5%
* Short-term EMA: 21
* Long-term EMA: 50
* Long Speed Threshold: ≥ 1000.0 (ticks)
* Short Speed Threshold: ≤ -1000.0 (ticks)
⚠️Adjustments are based on BTCUSD.
⚠️Forex and other currency pairs require separate adjustments.
🔧 **Strategy Improvements & Uniqueness**
Unlike basic moving average crossovers or RSI triggers, this strategy emphasizes **"momentum-supported pullbacks"**.
By combining dynamic EMA, speed checks, and candlestick signals, it captures trades **as if surfing the wave of a trend.**
Its built-in filters help **avoid overextended pullbacks**, which often signal the trend is ending – making it more robust than traditional trend-following systems.
✅ **Summary**
The **EMA Pullback Speed Strategy** is easy to understand, rule-based, and highly reproducible – ideal for both beginners and intermediate traders.
Because it shows **clear visual entry/exit points** on the chart, it’s also a great tool for practicing discretionary trading decisions.
⚠️ Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Always respect your Stop-Loss levels and manage your position size according to your risk tolerance.
Ind JDV 2.2 PRO🛡️ Ind JDV 2.0 PRO – Chandelier Exit + FVG + EMA (Precise Entry)
Description:
Ind JDV 2.0 PRO is an advanced indicator that combines three powerful confirmations to find the best trading opportunities:
Chandelier Exit: Filters trade direction based on volatility breakouts controlled by ATR.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Detects price inefficiency zones at their very first appearance.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Acts as a trend filter to ensure trading with the dominant market flow.
🔍 Key Features:
Marks only one precise signal on the candle where the FVG starts.
Confirms the trend using a 150-period EMA (fully adjustable).
Optionally draws Take Profit and Stop Loss target lines for clear visual guidance.
Background color changes (green or red) to reflect the active market trend.
Built-in automatic alerts for buy or sell opportunities.
Optimized code for maximum speed across all timeframes.
✅ Perfect for trading indices, forex, cryptocurrencies, and stocks.
✅ Compatible with all timeframes (5m, 15m, 1H, 4H, Daily).
✅ Fully customizable to fit scalping, intraday, or swing trading styles.
⚙️ Default Parameters:
ATR Period: 10
ATR Multiplier: 3.0
EMA Period: 150
FVG Lookback: 3 candles
Take Profit: 100 points
Stop Loss: 50 points
(All values are adjustable in settings.)
📈 How it works:
The indicator analyzes price structure.
Detects a valid Fair Value Gap (FVG) formation.
Confirms the breakout with a Chandelier Exit signal.
Verifies price alignment with the EMA trend.
Triggers a single entry signal (BUY or SELL) exactly on the first candle that meets all conditions.
🚀 Optimize your trading by focusing on high-probability zones, supported by solid confirmations and clean visual signals.
Add Ind JDV 2.0 PRO to your trading arsenal and take your strategy to the next level! 🔥
TCP | Money Management indicator | Crypto Version📌 TCP | Money Management Indicator | Crypto Version
A robust, multi-target risk and capital management indicator tailored for crypto traders. Whether you're trading spot, perpetual futures, or leverage tokens, this tool empowers you with precise control over risk, reward, and position sizing—directly on your chart. Eliminate guesswork and trade with confidence.
🔰 Introduction: Master Your Capital, Master Your Trades
Poor money management is the number one reason traders lose their accounts, even with solid strategies. The TCP Money Management Indicator, built by Trade City Pro (TCP), solves this problem by providing a structured, rule-based approach to capital allocation.
Want to dive deeper into the concept of money management? Check out our comprehensive tutorial on TradingView, " TradeCityPro Academy: Money Management ", to understand the principles that power this indicator and transform your trading mindset.
This indicator equips you to:
• Calculate optimal position sizes based on your capital, risk percentage, and leverage
• Set up to 5 customizable take-profit targets with partial close percentages
• Access real-time metrics like Risk-to-Reward (R/R), USD profit, and margin usage
• Trade with discipline, avoiding emotional or inconsistent decisions
💸 Money Management Formula
The indicator uses a professional capital allocation model:
Position Size = (Capital × Risk %) ÷ (Stop Loss % × Leverage)
From this, it calculates:
• Total risk amount in USD
• Optimal position size for your trade
• Margin required for each take-profit target
• Adjusted R/R for each target, accounting for partial position closures
🛠 How to Use
Enter Trade Parameters: Input your capital, risk %, leverage, entry price, and stop-loss price.
Set Take-Profit Targets: Enable 1 to 5 take-profit levels and specify the percentage of the position to close at each.
Real-Time Calculations: The indicator automatically computes:
• R/R ratio for each target
• Profit in USD for each partial close
• Margin used per target (in % and USD)
Visualize Your Trade:
• Price levels for entry, stop-loss, and take-profits are plotted on the chart.
• A dynamic info panel on the left side displays all key metrics.
🔄 Dynamic Adjustments: As each take-profit target is hit and a portion of the position is closed, the indicator recalculates the remaining position size, expected profit, R/R, and margin for subsequent targets. This ensures accuracy and reflects real-world trade behavior.
📊 Table Overview
The left-side panel provides a clear snapshot:
• Trade Setup: Capital, entry price, stop-loss, risk amount, and position size
• Per Target: Percentage closed, R/R, profit in USD, and margin used
• Summary: Total expected profit across all targets
⚙️ Settings Panel
• Total Capital ($): Your account size for the trade
• Risk per Trade (%): The percentage of capital you’re willing to risk
• Leverage: The leverage applied to the trade
• Entry/Stop-Loss Prices: Define your trade’s risk zone
• Take-Profit Targets (1–5): Set price levels and percentage to close at each
🔍 Use Case Example
Imagine you have $1,000 capital, risking 1%, using 10x leverage:
• Entry: $100 | Stop-Loss: $95
• TP1: $110 (close 50%) | TP2: $115 (close 50%)
The indicator calculates the exact position size, profit at each target, and margin allocation in real time, with all metrics displayed on the chart.
✅ Why Traders Love It
• Precision: No more manual calculations or guesswork
• Versatility: Works on all crypto pairs (BTC, ETH, altcoins, etc.)
• Flexibility: Perfect for scalping, swing trading, or futures strategies
• Universal: Compatible with all timeframes
• Transparency: Fully manual, with clear and reliable outputs
🧩 Built by Trade City Pro (TCP)
Developed by TCP, a trusted name in trading tools, used by over 150,000 traders worldwide. This indicator is coded in Pine Script v5, ensuring compatibility with TradingView’s platform.
🧾 Final Notes
• No Auto-Trading: This is a manual tool for disciplined traders
• No Repainting: All calculations are accurate and non-repainting
• Tested: Rigorously validated across major crypto pairs
• Publish-Ready: Built for seamless use on TradingView
🔗 Resources
• Money Management Tutorial: Learn the fundamentals of capital management with our detailed guide: TradeCityPro Academy: Money Management
• TradingView Profile: Explore more tools by TCP on TradingView
Extended Altman Z-Score ModelThe Extended Altman Z-Score Model represents a significant advancement in financial analysis and risk assessment, building upon the foundational work of Altman (1968) while incorporating contemporary data analytics approaches as proposed by Fung (2023). This sophisticated model enhances the traditional bankruptcy prediction framework by integrating additional financial metrics and modern analytical techniques, offering a more comprehensive approach to identifying financially distressed companies.
The model's architecture is built upon two distinct yet complementary scoring systems. The traditional Altman Z-Score components form the foundation, including Working Capital to Total Assets (X1), which measures a company's short-term liquidity and operational efficiency. Retained Earnings to Total Assets (X2) provides insight into the company's historical profitability and reinvestment capacity. EBIT to Total Assets (X3) evaluates operational efficiency and earning power, while Market Value of Equity to Total Liabilities (X4) assesses market perception and leverage. Sales to Total Assets (X5) measures asset utilization efficiency.
These traditional components are enhanced by extended metrics introduced by Fung (2023), which provide additional layers of financial analysis. The Cash Ratio (X6) offers insights into immediate liquidity and financial flexibility. Asset Composition (X7) evaluates the quality and efficiency of asset utilization, particularly in working capital management. The Debt Ratio (X8) provides a comprehensive view of financial leverage and long-term solvency, while the Net Profit Margin (X9) measures overall profitability and operational efficiency.
The scoring system employs a sophisticated formula that combines the traditional Z-Score with weighted additional metrics. The traditional Z-Score is calculated as 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + 1.0X5, while the extended components are weighted as follows: 0.5 * X6 + 0.3 * X7 - 0.4 * X8 + 0.6 * X9. This enhanced scoring mechanism provides a more nuanced assessment of a company's financial health, incorporating both traditional bankruptcy prediction metrics and modern financial analysis approaches.
The model categorizes companies into three distinct risk zones, each with specific implications for financial stability and required actions. The Safe Zone (Score > 3.0) indicates strong financial health, with low probability of financial distress and suitability for conservative investment strategies. The Grey Zone (Score between 1.8 and 3.0) suggests moderate risk, requiring careful monitoring and additional fundamental analysis. The Danger Zone (Score < 1.8) signals high risk of financial distress, necessitating immediate attention and potential risk mitigation strategies.
In practical application, the model requires systematic and regular monitoring. Users should track the Extended Score on a quarterly basis, monitoring changes in individual components and comparing results with industry benchmarks. Component analysis should be conducted separately, identifying specific areas of concern and tracking trends in individual metrics. The model's effectiveness is significantly enhanced when used in conjunction with other financial metrics and when considering industry-specific factors and macroeconomic conditions.
The technical implementation in Pine Script v6 provides real-time calculations of both traditional and extended scores, offering visual representation of risk zones, detailed component breakdowns, and warning signals for critical values. The indicator automatically updates with new financial data and provides clear visual cues for different risk levels, making it accessible to both technical and fundamental analysts.
However, as noted by Fung (2023), the model has certain limitations that users should consider. It may not fully account for industry-specific factors, requires regular updates of financial data, and should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools. The model's effectiveness can be enhanced by incorporating industry-specific benchmarks and considering macroeconomic factors that may affect financial performance.
References:
Altman, E.I. (1968) 'Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy', The Journal of Finance, 23(4), pp. 589-609.
Li, L., Wang, B., Wu, Y. and Yang, Q., 2020. Identifying poorly performing listed firms using data analytics. Journal of Business Research, 109, pp.1–12. doi.org
Liquid Pulse Liquid Pulse by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems
Liquid Pulse is a trading algo built by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems for futures markets like NQ1!, designed to snag high-probability trades with tight risk control. it fuses a confluence system—VWAP, MACD, ADX, volume, and liquidity sweeps—with a trade scoring setup, daily limits, and VIX pauses to dodge wild volatility. visuals include simple signals, VWAP bands, and a dashboard with stats.
Core Components for Liquid Pulse
Volume Sensitivity (volumeSensitivity) controls how much volume spikes matter for entries. options: 'Low', 'Medium', 'High' default: 'High' (catches small spikes, good for active markets) tweak it: 'Low' for calm markets, 'High' for chaos.
MACD Speed (macdSpeed) sets the MACD’s pace for momentum. options: 'Fast', 'Medium', 'Slow' default: 'Medium' (solid balance) tweak it: 'Fast' for scalping, 'Slow' for swings.
Daily Trade Limit (dailyTradeLimit) caps trades per day to keep risk in check. range: 1 to 30 default: 20 tweak it: 5-10 for safety, 20-30 for action.
Number of Contracts (numContracts) sets position size. range: 1 to 20 default: 4 tweak it: up for big accounts, down for small.
VIX Pause Level (vixPauseLevel) stops trading if VIX gets too hot. range: 10 to 80 default: 39.0 tweak it: 30 to avoid volatility, 50 to ride it.
Min Confluence Conditions (minConditions) sets how many signals must align. range: 1 to 5 default: 2 tweak it: 3-4 for strict, 1-2 for more trades.
Min Trade Score (Longs/Shorts) (minTradeScoreLongs/minTradeScoreShorts) filters trade quality. longs range: 0 to 100 default: 73 shorts range: 0 to 100 default: 75 tweak it: 80-90 for quality, 60-70 for volume.
Liquidity Sweep Strength (sweepStrength) gauges breakouts. range: 0.1 to 1.0 default: 0.5 tweak it: 0.7-1.0 for strong moves, 0.3-0.5 for small.
ADX Trend Threshold (adxTrendThreshold) confirms trends. range: 10 to 100 default: 41 tweak it: 40-50 for trends, 30-35 for weak ones.
ADX Chop Threshold (adxChopThreshold) avoids chop. range: 5 to 50 default: 20 tweak it: 15-20 to dodge chop, 25-30 to loosen.
VWAP Timeframe (vwapTimeframe) sets VWAP period. options: '15', '30', '60', '240', 'D' default: '60' (1-hour) tweak it: 60 for day, 240 for swing, D for long.
Take Profit Ticks (Longs/Shorts) (takeProfitTicksLongs/takeProfitTicksShorts) sets profit targets. longs range: 5 to 100 default: 25.0 shorts range: 5 to 100 default: 20.0 tweak it: 30-50 for trends, 10-20 for chop.
Max Profit Ticks (maxProfitTicks) caps max gain. range: 10 to 200 default: 60.0 tweak it: 80-100 for big moves, 40-60 for tight.
Min Profit Ticks to Trail (minProfitTicksTrail) triggers trailing. range: 1 to 50 default: 7.0 tweak it: 10-15 for big gains, 5-7 for quick locks.
Trailing Stop Ticks (trailTicks) sets trail distance. range: 1 to 50 default: 5.0 tweak it: 8-10 for room, 3-5 for fast locks.
Trailing Offset Ticks (trailOffsetTicks) sets trail offset. range: 1 to 20 default: 2.0 tweak it: 1-2 for tight, 5-10 for loose.
ATR Period (atrPeriod) measures volatility. range: 5 to 50 default: 9 tweak it: 14-20 for smooth, 5-9 for reactive.
Hardcoded Settings volLookback: 30 ('Low'), 20 ('Medium'), 11 ('High') volThreshold: 1.5 ('Low'), 1.8 ('Medium'), 2 ('High') swingLen: 5
Execution Logic Overview trades trigger when confluence conditions align, entering long or short with set position sizes. exits use dynamic take-profits, trailing stops after a profit threshold, hard stops via ATR, and a time stop after 100 bars.
Features Multi-Signal Confluence: needs VWAP, MACD, volume, sweeps, and ADX to line up.
Risk Control: ATR-based stops (capped 15 ticks), take-profits (scaled by volatility), and trails.
Market Filters: VIX pause, ADX trend/chop checks, volatility gates. Dashboard: shows scores, VIX, ADX, P/L, win %, streak.
Visuals Simple signals (green up triangles for longs, red down for shorts) and VWAP bands with glow. info table (bottom right) with MACD momentum. dashboard (top right) with stats.
Chart and Backtest:
NQ1! futures, 5-minute chart. works best in trending, volatile conditions. tweak inputs for other markets—test thoroughly.
Backtesting: NQ1! Frame: Jan 19, 2025, 09:00 — May 02, 2025, 16:00 Slippage: 3 Commission: $4.60
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Disclaimer this is for education only. past results don’t predict future wins. trading’s risky—only use money you can lose. backtest and validate before going live. (expect moderators to nitpick some random chart symbol rule—i’ll fix and repost if they pull it.)
About the Author Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems crafts killer trading algos. Liquid Pulse is pure research and grit, built for smart, bold trading. Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter. I’ll keep dropping badass strategies ‘til i build a brand or someone signs me up.
2025 Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Reverse Keltner Channel StrategyReverse Keltner Channel Strategy
Overview
The Reverse Keltner Channel Strategy is a mean-reversion trading system that capitalizes on price movements between Keltner Channels. Unlike traditional Keltner Channel strategies that trade breakouts, this system takes the contrarian approach by entering positions when price returns to the channel after overextending.
Strategy Logic
Long Entry Conditions:
Price crosses above the lower Keltner Channel from below
This signals a potential reversal after an oversold condition
Position is entered at market price upon signal confirmation
Long Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: Price reaches the upper Keltner Channel
Stop Loss: Placed at half the channel width below entry price
Short Entry Conditions:
Price crosses below the upper Keltner Channel from above
This signals a potential reversal after an overbought condition
Position is entered at market price upon signal confirmation
Short Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: Price reaches the lower Keltner Channel
Stop Loss: Placed at half the channel width above entry price
Key Features
Mean Reversion Approach: Takes advantage of price tendency to return to mean after extreme moves
Adaptive Stop Loss: Stop loss dynamically adjusts based on market volatility via ATR
Visual Signals: Entry points clearly marked with directional triangles
Fully Customizable: All parameters can be adjusted to fit various market conditions
Customizable Parameters
Keltner EMA Length: Controls the responsiveness of the channel (default: 20)
ATR Multiplier: Determines channel width/sensitivity (default: 2.0)
ATR Length: Affects volatility calculation period (default: 10)
Stop Loss Factor: Adjusts risk management aggressiveness (default: 0.5)
Best Used On
This strategy performs well on:
Currency pairs with defined ranging behavior
Commodities that show cyclical price movements
Higher timeframes (4H, Daily) for more reliable signals
Markets with moderate volatility
Risk Management
The built-in stop loss mechanism automatically adjusts to market conditions by calculating position risk relative to the current channel width. This approach ensures that risk remains proportional to potential reward across varying market conditions.
Notes for Optimization
Consider adjusting the EMA length and ATR multiplier based on the specific asset and timeframe:
Lower values increase sensitivity and generate more signals
Higher values produce fewer but potentially more reliable signals
As with any trading strategy, thorough backtesting is recommended before live implementation.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always practice sound risk management.
