On-Chain Signals [LuxAlgo]The On-Chain Signals indicator uses fundamental blockchain metrics to provide traders with an objective technical view of their favorite cryptocurrencies.
It uses IntoTheBlock datasets integrated within TradingView to generate four key signals: Net Network Growth, In the Money, Concentration, and Large Transactions.
Together, these four signals provide traders with an overall directional bias of the market. All of the data can be visualized as a gauge, table, historical plot, or average.
🔶 USAGE
The main goal of this tool is to provide an overall directional bias based on four blockchain signals, each with three possible biases: bearish, neutral, or bullish. The thresholds for each signal bias can be adjusted on the settings panel.
These signals are based on IntoTheBlock's On-Chain Signals.
Net network growth: Change in the total number of addresses over the last seven periods; i.e., how many new addresses are being created.
In the Money: Change in the seven-period moving average of the total supply in the money. This shows how many addresses are profitable.
Concentration: Change in the aggregate addresses of whales and investors from the previous period. These are addresses holding at least 0.1% of the supply. This shows how many addresses are in the hands of a few.
Large Transactions: Changes in the number of transactions over $100,000. This metric tracks convergence or divergence from the 21- and 30-day EMAs and indicates the momentum of large transactions.
All of these signals together form the blockchain's overall directional bias.
Bearish: The number of bearish individual signals is greater than the number of bullish individual signals.
Neutral: The number of bearish individual signals is equal to the number of bullish individual signals.
Bullish: The number of bullish individual signals is greater than the number of bearish individual signals.
If the overall directional bias is bullish, we can expect the price of the observed cryptocurrency to increase. If the bias is bearish, we can expect the price to decrease. If the signal is neutral, the price may be more likely to stay the same.
Traders should be aware of two things. First, the signals provide optimal results when the chart is set to the daily timeframe. Second, the tool uses IntoTheBlock data, which is available on TradingView. Therefore, some cryptocurrencies may not be available.
🔹 Display Mode
Traders have three different display modes at their disposal. These modes can be easily selected from the settings panel. The gauge is set by default.
🔹 Gauge
The gauge will appear in the center of the visible space. Traders can adjust its size using the Scale parameter in the Settings panel. They can also give it a curved effect.
The number of bars displayed directly affects the gauge's resolution: More bars result in better resolution.
The chart above shows the effect that different scale configurations have on the gauge.
🔹 Historical Data
The chart above shows the historical data for each of the four signals.
Traders can use this mode to adjust the thresholds for each signal on the settings panel to fit the behavior of each cryptocurrency. They can also analyze how each metric impacts price behavior over time.
🔹 Average
This display mode provides an easy way to see the overall bias of past prices in order to analyze price behavior in relation to the underlying blockchain's directional bias.
The average is calculated by taking the values of the overall bias as -1 for bearish, 0 for neutral, and +1 for bullish, and then applying a triangular moving average over 20 periods by default. Simple and exponential moving averages are available, and traders can select the period length from the settings panel.
🔶 DETAILS
The four signals are based on IntoTheBlock's On-Chain Signals. We gather the data, manipulate it, and build the signals depending on each threshold.
Net network growth
float netNetworkGrowthData = customData('_TOTALADDRESSES')
float netNetworkGrowth = 100*(netNetworkGrowthData /netNetworkGrowthData - 1)
In the Money
float inTheMoneyData = customData('_INOUTMONEYIN')
float averageBalance = customData('_AVGBALANCE')
float inTheMoneyBalance = inTheMoneyData*averageBalance
float sma = ta.sma(inTheMoneyBalance,7)
float inTheMoney = ta.roc(sma,1)
Concentration
float whalesData = customData('_WHALESPERCENTAGE')
float inverstorsData = customData('_INVESTORSPERCENTAGE')
float bigHands = whalesData+inverstorsData
float concentration = ta.change(bigHands )*100
Large Transactions
float largeTransacionsData = customData('_LARGETXCOUNT')
float largeTX21 = ta.ema(largeTransacionsData,21)
float largeTX30 = ta.ema(largeTransacionsData,30)
float largeTransacions = ((largeTX21 - largeTX30)/largeTX30)*100
🔶 SETTINGS
Display mode: Select between gauge, historical data and average.
Average: Select a smoothing method and length period.
🔹 Thresholds
Net Network Growth : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
In The Money : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
Concentration : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
Transactions : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard : Enable/disable dashboard display
Position : Select dashboard location
Size : Select dashboard size
🔹 Gauge
Scale : Select the size of the gauge
Curved : Enable/disable curved mode
Select Gauge colors for bearish, neutral and bullish bias
🔹 Style
Net Network Growth : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
In The Money : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
Concentration : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
Large Transacions : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
Cerca negli script per "profitable"
200 SMA (5%/-3% Buffer) for SPY & QQQ In my testing TQQQ is an absolute monster of an ETF that performs extremely well even from a buy and hold standpoint over long periods of time, its largest drawback is the massive drawdown exposure that it faces which can be easily sidestepped with this strategy.
This strategy is meant to basically abuse TQQQ's insane outperformance while augmenting the typical 200SMA strategy in a way that uses all of its strengths while avoiding getting whipsawed in sideways markets.
The strategy BUYS when price crosses 5% over the 200SMA and then SELLS when price drops 3% below the 200SMA. Between trades I'll be parking my entire account in SGOV.
So maximizing profit while minimizing risk.
You use the strategy based off of QQQ and then make the trades on TQQQ when it tells you to BUY/SELL.
Here are some reasons why I will be using this strategy:
Simple emotionless BUY and SELL signals where I don't care who the president is, what is happening in the world, who is bombing who, who the leadership team is, no attachment to individual companies and diversified across the NASDAQ.
~85% win percentage and when it does lose the loses are nothing compared to the wins and after a loss you're basically set up for a massive win in the next trade.
Max drawdown of around 53% when using TQQQ
You benefit massively when the market is doing well and when there is a recession you basically sit in SGOV for a year and then are set up for a monster recovery with a clear easy BUY signal. So as long as you're patient you win regardless of what happens.
The trades are often very long term resulting in you taking advantage of Long Term Capital Gains tax advantage which could mean saving up to 15-20% in taxes.
With only a few trades you can spend time doing other stuff and don't have to track or pay attention to anything that is happening.
Simple, easy, and massively profitable.
Candlestick Patterns Backtester [Optimized]Candlestick Patterns Backtester
What this is: This indicator is based on a really cool candlestick pattern backtester that I found (I'll update this later when I remember where I got it from or find the actual author). The original had this massive table showing win/loss ratios for a bunch of candlestick patterns, and according to the built-in backtester, it was actually profitable - which was pretty impressive.
The Problem: I played around with the original for a while but honestly wasn't really able to get it to work well at all for actual trading. It was still pretty cool to look at though! The main issues were:
It was just a big static table - hard to do anything useful with it
Couldn't send signals out to other strategies
The code was a monster - like 2,000+ lines of repetitive mess
What I Did: I completely refactored this thing and got it down from 2,000+ lines to just a few hundred lines. Much cleaner now! Here's what it does:
45+ Candlestick Patterns - All the classics are in there
Dynamic Filtering - Set your own requirements (minimum win rate, profit factor, total trades, etc.)
Flexible Logic - Choose AND/OR logic for your filters
Signal Generation - Creates actual buy/sell signals you can use with other strategies
Visual Badges - Shows pattern badges on chart when they meet your criteria
Active Patterns Table - Only shows patterns that are currently profitable based on your settings
Settings You Can Adjust:
Minimum win rate threshold
Minimum profit factor
Minimum number of trades required
Whether to use AND or OR logic for filtering
Colors, badge display, debug options
Reality Check: Trading these patterns really wasn't for me, but it was still a great learning experience. The backtesting results look good on paper, but as always, past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Use this as a research tool and educational resource more than anything else.
Credit: This is based on someone else's original work that I heavily modified and optimized. I'll update this description once I track down the original author to give proper credit where it's due.
This introduction captures your casual, honest tone while explaining the technical improvements you made and setting realistic expectations about the indicator's practical use.
Price Reaction Analysis by Day of WeekOverview
The "Price Reaction Analysis by Day of Week" indicator is a tool that enables traders to analyze historical price reaction patterns to technical indicator signals on a selected day of the week. It examines price behavior on a chosen candle (from 1 to 30) in the next day or subsequent days after a signal, depending on the timeframe, and provides success rate statistics to support data-driven trading decisions. The indicator is optimized for timeframes up to 1 day (e.g., 1D, 12H, 8H, 6H, 4H, 1H, 15M), as the analysis relies on day-of-week comparisons. Lower timeframes generate more signals due to the higher number of candles per day.
Key Features
1. Flexible Technical Indicator Selection
Users can choose one of four technical indicators: RSI, SMI, MA, or Bollinger Bands. Each indicator has configurable parameters, such as:
RSI length, oversold/overbought levels.
SMI length, %K and %D smoothing, signal levels.
MA length.
Bollinger Bands length and multiplier.
2. Day-of-Week Analysis
The indicator allows users to select a day of the week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday) for generating signals. It analyzes price reactions on a selected candle (from 1 to 30) in the next day or subsequent days after the signal. Examples:
On a daily timeframe, a signal on Monday can be analyzed for the first, fourth, or later candle (up to 30) in subsequent days (e.g., Tuesday, Wednesday).
On timeframes lower than 1 day (e.g., 12H, 8H, 6H, 4H, 1H, 15M), the analysis targets the selected candle in the next day or subsequent days. For example, on a 4H timeframe, you can analyze the second Tuesday candle following a Monday signal. The maximum timeframe is 1 day to ensure consistent day-of-week analysis.
3. Visual Signals
Signals for the analysis period are marked with background highlights in real-time when the indicator’s conditions are met. The last highlighted candle of the selected day is always analyzed. Arrows are displayed on the chart at the candle specified by the “Candles to Compare” setting (e.g., the first candle if set to 1):
Green upward triangles (below the candle) for successful buy signals (the closing price of the selected candle is higher than the signal candle’s close).
Red downward triangles (above the candle) for successful sell signals (the closing price of the selected candle is lower than the signal candle’s close).
Gray “x” marks for unsuccessful signals (no price reversal in the expected direction). Arrow positions are intuitive: buy signals below the candle, sell signals above. Highlights and arrows do not require waiting for future signals but are essential for calculating statistics.
Note: The first candle of the next day may appear shifted on the chart due to timezone differences, which can affect the timing of signal appearance.
4. Signal Conditions (Highlights) for Each Indicator
RSI: The oscillator is in oversold (buy) or overbought (sell) zones.
SMI: SMI returns from oversold (buy) or overbought (sell) zones.
MA: Price crosses the MA (upward for buy, downward for sell).
Bollinger Bands: Price returns inside the bands (from below for buy, from above for sell).
5. Success Rate Statistics
A table in the top-right corner of the chart displays:
The number of buy and sell signals for the selected day of the week.
The percentage of cases where the price of the selected candle in the next day or subsequent days reversed as expected (e.g., rising after a buy signal). Statistics are based on comparing the closing price of the signal candle with the closing price of the selected candle (e.g., first, fourth) in the next day or subsequent days.
Important: Statistics do not account for price movements within the candle or after its close. The price on the selected candle (e.g., fourth) may be lower than earlier candles but still higher than the signal candle, counting as a positive buy signal, though it does not guarantee profit.
6. Date Range
Users can specify the analysis date range, enabling strategy testing on historical data from a chosen period. Ensure the start and end dates are set correctly.
Applications
The indicator is designed for traders who want to leverage historical patterns for position planning. Examples:
On a 4-hour timeframe: If a sell signal highlight appears on Monday and statistics show an 80% chance that the fourth Tuesday candle is bearish, traders may consider playing a correction at the open of that candle.
On a daily timeframe: If a highlight indicates market overheating, traders may consider entering a position at the open of the first candle after the signal (e.g., Tuesday), provided statistics suggest an edge. Users can analyze the signal on the first candle and check later candles to validate results, increasing confidence in consistent patterns.
Key Settings
Indicator Type: Choose between RSI, SMI, MA, or Bollinger Bands.
Selected Day: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, or Friday.
Candles to Compare: The number of the candle in the next day or subsequent days (from 1 to 30).
Indicator Parameters: Lengths, levels (e.g., oversold/overbought for RSI).
Background Colors: Configurable highlights for buy and sell signals.
Notes
Timeframes: The indicator is optimized for timeframes up to 1 day (e.g., 1D, 12H, 8H, 6H, 4H, 1H, 15M), as the analysis relies on day-of-week patterns. Timeframes lower than 1 day generate more signals due to the higher number of candles per day.
Candle Shift: The first candle of the next day may appear shifted on the chart due to timezone differences, affecting the timing of signals across markets or platforms.
Statistical Limitations: Results are based on the closing prices of the selected candle, ignoring fluctuations in earlier candles, within the candle, or subsequent price movements. Traders must assess whether entering at the open or after the close of the selected candle is profitable.
Testing: Effectiveness depends on historical data and parameter settings. Testing different configurations across markets and timeframes is recommended.
Who Is It For?
Swing and position traders who base decisions on technical analysis and historical patterns.
Market analysts seeking patterns in price behavior by day of the week.
TradingView users of all experience levels, thanks to an intuitive interface and flexible settings.
Prev Week POC Buy/Sell Signals
Hi, I’m Edward. I created a straightforward strategy for swing traders (4hr or 8hr timeframe users). This strategy is for traders that are not interested to look at charts all day long, 2 times a day max, but still be profitable.
The indicator:
Print a buy signal when the price closes above the previous week's Point of Control (POC).
Stay in the trade until the price closes below the previous week's POC, then print a sell signal.
The indicator calculates the weekly POC using a basic volume profile method, then tracks the previous week's POC for signals.
Previous week POC is valid from Monday to Thursday. By close of business on Thursday, the current week trend and POC should be well established and should be used make buy or sell decisions. Enjoy!
Bilateral Filter For Loop [BackQuant]Bilateral Filter For Loop
The Bilateral Filter For Loop is an advanced technical indicator designed to filter out market noise and smooth out price data, thus improving the identification of underlying market trends. It employs a bilateral filter, which is a sophisticated non-linear filter commonly used in image processing and price time series analysis. By considering both spatial and range differences between price points, this filter is highly effective at preserving significant trends while reducing random fluctuations, ultimately making it suitable for dynamic trend-following strategies.
Please take the time to read the following:
Key Features
1. Bilateral Filter Calculation:
The bilateral filter is the core of this indicator and works by applying a weight to each data point based on two factors: spatial distance and price range difference. This dual weighting process allows the filter to preserve important price movements while reducing the impact of less relevant fluctuations. The filter uses two primary parameters:
Spatial Sigma (σ_d): This parameter adjusts the weight applied based on the distance of each price point from the current price. A larger spatial sigma means more smoothing, as further away values will contribute more heavily to the result.
Range Sigma (σ_r): This parameter controls how much weight is applied based on the difference in price values. Larger price differences result in smaller weights, while similar price values result in larger weights, thereby preserving the trend while filtering out noise.
The output of this filter is a smoothed version of the original price series, which eliminates short-term fluctuations, helping traders focus on longer-term trends. The bilateral filter is applied over a rolling window, adjusting the level of smoothing dynamically based on both the distance between values and their relative price movements.
2. For Loop Calculation for Trend Scoring:
A for-loop is used to calculate the trend score based on the filtered price data. The loop compares the current value to previous values within the specified window, scoring the trend as follows:
+1 for upward movement (when the filtered value is greater than the previous value).
-1 for downward movement (when the filtered value is less than the previous value).
The cumulative result of this loop gives a continuous trend score, which serves as a directional indicator for the market's momentum. By summing the scores over the window period, the loop provides an aggregate value that reflects the overall trend strength. This score helps determine whether the market is experiencing a strong uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement.
3. Long and Short Conditions:
Once the trend score has been calculated, it is compared against predefined threshold levels:
A long signal is generated when the trend score exceeds the upper threshold, indicating that the market is in a strong uptrend.
A short signal is generated when the trend score crosses below the lower threshold, signaling a potential downtrend or trend reversal.
These conditions provide clear signals for potential entry points, and the color-coding helps traders quickly identify market direction:
Long signals are displayed in green.
Short signals are displayed in red.
These signals are designed to provide high-confidence entries for trend-following strategies, helping traders capture profitable movements in the market.
4. Trend Background and Bar Coloring:
The script offers customizable visual settings to enhance the clarity of the trend signals. Traders can choose to:
Color the bars based on the trend direction: Bars are colored green for long signals and red for short signals.
Change the background color to provide additional context: The background will be shaded green for a bullish trend and red for a bearish trend. This visual feedback helps traders to stay aligned with the prevailing market sentiment.
These features offer a quick visual reference for understanding the market's direction, making it easier for traders to identify when to enter or exit positions.
5. Threshold Lines for Visual Feedback:
Threshold lines are plotted on the chart to represent the predefined long and short levels. These lines act as clear markers for when the market reaches a critical threshold, triggering a potential buy (long) or sell (short) signal. By showing these threshold lines on the chart, traders can quickly gauge the strength of the market and assess whether the trend is strong enough to warrant action.
These thresholds can be adjusted based on the trader's preferences, allowing them to fine-tune the indicator for different market conditions or asset behaviors.
6. Customizable Parameters for Flexibility:
The indicator offers several parameters that can be adjusted to suit individual trading preferences:
Window Period (Bilateral Filter): The window size determines how many past price values are used to calculate the bilateral filter. A larger window increases smoothing, while a smaller window results in more responsive, but noisier, data.
Spatial Sigma (σ_d) and Range Sigma (σ_r): These values control how sensitive the filter is to price changes and the distance between data points. Fine-tuning these parameters allows traders to adjust the degree of noise reduction applied to the price series.
Threshold Levels: The upper and lower thresholds determine when the trend score crosses into long or short territory. These levels can be customized to better match the trader's risk tolerance or asset characteristics.
Visual Settings: Traders can customize the appearance of the chart, including the line width of trend signals, bar colors, and background shading, to make the indicator more readable and aligned with their charting style.
7. Alerts for Trend Reversals:
The indicator includes alert conditions for real-time notifications when the market crosses the defined thresholds. Traders can set alerts to be notified when:
The trend score crosses the long threshold, signaling an uptrend.
The trend score crosses the short threshold, signaling a downtrend.
These alerts provide timely information, allowing traders to take immediate action when the market shows a significant change in direction.
Final Thoughts
The Bilateral Filter For Loop indicator is a robust tool for trend-following traders who wish to reduce market noise and focus on the underlying trend. By applying the bilateral filter and calculating trend scores, this indicator helps traders identify strong uptrends and downtrends, providing reliable entry signals with minimal market noise. The customizable parameters, visual feedback, and alerting system make it a versatile tool for traders seeking to improve their timing and capture profitable market movements.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
CRYPTO:SOLUSD
SuperTrade ST1 StrategyOverview
The SuperTrade ST1 Strategy is a long-only trend-following strategy that combines a Supertrend indicator with a 200-period EMA filter to isolate high-probability bullish trade setups. It is designed to operate in trending markets, using volatility-based exits with a strict 1:4 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio, meaning that each trade targets a profit 4× the size of its predefined risk.
This strategy is ideal for traders looking to align with medium- to long-term trends, while maintaining disciplined risk control and minimal trade frequency.
How It Works
This strategy leverages three key components:
Supertrend Indicator
A trend-following indicator based on Average True Range (ATR).
Identifies bullish/bearish trend direction by plotting a trailing stop line that moves with price volatility.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Filter
Trades are only taken when the price is above the EMA, ensuring participation only during confirmed uptrends.
Helps filter out counter-trend entries during market pullbacks or ranges.
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit
Each trade uses the ATR to calculate volatility-adjusted exit levels.
Stop Loss: 1× ATR below entry.
Take Profit: 4× ATR above entry (1:4 R:R).
This asymmetry ensures that even with a lower win rate, the strategy can remain profitable.
Entry Conditions
A long trade is triggered when:
Supertrend flips from bearish to bullish (trend reversal).
Price closes above the Supertrend line.
Price is above the 200 EMA (bullish market bias).
Exit Logic
Once a long position is entered:
Stop loss is set 1 ATR below entry.
Take profit is set 4 ATR above entry.
The strategy automatically exits the position on either target.
Backtest Settings
This strategy is configured for realistic backtesting, including:
$10,000 account size
2% equity risk per trade
0.1% commission
1 tick slippage
These settings aim to simulate real-world conditions and avoid overly optimistic results.
How to Use
Apply the script to any timeframe, though higher timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) often yield more reliable signals.
Works best in clearly trending markets (especially in crypto, stocks, indices).
Can be paired with alerts for live trading or analysis.
Important Notes
This version is long-only by design. No short positions are executed.
Ideal for swing traders or position traders seeking asymmetric returns.
Users can modify the ATR period, Supertrend factor, or EMA filter length based on asset behavior.
Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine ProDskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro:
Buckle up for the Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro, is a strategy that’s your ultimate edge for conquering futures markets like ES, MES, NQ, and MNQ. This isn’t just another script—it’s a quant-grade powerhouse, crafted with precision to adapt to market regimes, deliver multi-factor signals, and protect your capital with futures-tuned risk management. With its shimmering DAFE visuals, dual dashboards, and glowing watermark, it turns your charts into a cyberpunk command center, making trading as thrilling as it is profitable.
Unlike generic scripts clogging up the space, the Adaptive Regime is a DAFE original, built from the ground up to tackle the chaos of futures trading. It identifies market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) using ADX, Bollinger Bands, and HTF indicators, then fires trades based on a weighted scoring system that blends candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and more. Add in dynamic stops, trailing exits, and a 5% drawdown circuit breaker, and you’ve got a system that’s as safe as it is aggressive. Whether you’re a newbie or a prop desk pro, this strat’s your ticket to outsmarting the markets. Let’s break down every detail and see why it’s a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a gauntlet—fast moves, volatility spikes (like the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop), and institutional traps that punish the unprepared. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with low-effort scripts that recycle old ideas with zero innovation. The Adaptive Regime stands tall, offering:
Adaptive Intelligence: Detects market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) to optimize signals, unlike one-size-fits-all scripts.
Multi-Factor Precision: Combines candlestick patterns, MA trends, RSI, MACD, volume, and HTF confirmation for high-probability trades.
Futures-Optimized Risk: Calculates position sizes based on $ risk (default: $300), with ATR or fixed stops/TPs tailored for ES/MES.
Bulletproof Safety: 5% daily drawdown circuit breaker and trailing stops keep your account intact, even in chaos.
DAFE Visual Mastery: Pulsing Bollinger Band fills, dynamic SL/TP lines, and dual dashboards (metrics + position) make signals crystal-clear and charts a work of art.
Original Craftsmanship: A DAFE creation, built with community passion, not a rehashed clone of generic code.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, adaptive system that blends quant smarts, user-friendly design, and DAFE flair. It’s your edge to trade with confidence, cut through market noise, and leave the copycats in the dust.
Strategy Components
1. Market Regime Detection
The strategy’s brain is its ability to classify market conditions into five regimes, ensuring signals match the environment.
How It Works:
Trending (Regime 1): ADX > 20, fast/slow EMA spread > 0.3x ATR, HTF RSI > 50 or MACD bullish (htf_trend_bull/bear).
Range (Regime 2): ADX < 25, price range < 3% of close, no HTF trend.
Volatile (Regime 3): BB width > 1.5x avg, ATR > 1.2x avg, HTF RSI overbought/oversold.
Quiet (Regime 4): BB width < 0.8x avg, ATR < 0.9x avg.
Other (Regime 5): Default for unclear conditions.
Indicators: ADX (14), BB width (20), ATR (14, 50-bar SMA), HTF RSI (14, daily default), HTF MACD (12,26,9).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Regime detection adapts signals to market context, boosting win rates in trending or volatile conditions.
HTF RSI/MACD add a big-picture filter, rare in basic scripts.
Visualized via gradient background (green for Trending, orange for Range, red for Volatile, gray for Quiet, navy for Other).
2. Multi-Factor Signal Scoring
Entries are driven by a weighted scoring system that combines candlestick patterns, trend, momentum, and volume for robust signals.
Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish: Engulfing (0.5), hammer (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), morning star (0.2), piercing (0.2), double bottom (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near support (low ≤ 1.01x 20-bar low) with volume spike (>1.5x 20-bar avg).
Bearish: Engulfing (0.5), shooting star (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), evening star (0.2), dark cloud (0.2), double top (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near resistance (high ≥ 0.99x 20-bar high) with volume spike.
Logic: Patterns are weighted higher in specific regimes (e.g., hammer in Range, double bottom in Volatile).
Additional Factors:
Trend: Fast EMA (20) > slow EMA (50) + 0.5x ATR (trend_bull, +0.2); opposite for trend_bear.
RSI: RSI (14) < 30 (rsi_bull, +0.15); > 70 (rsi_bear, +0.15).
MACD: MACD line > signal (12,26,9, macd_bull, +0.15); opposite for macd_bear.
Volume: ATR > 1.2x 50-bar avg (vol_expansion, +0.1).
HTF Confirmation: HTF RSI < 70 and MACD bullish (htf_bull_confirm, +0.2); RSI > 30 and MACD bearish (htf_bear_confirm, +0.2).
Scoring:
bull_score = sum of bullish factors; bear_score = sum of bearish. Entry requires score ≥ 1.0.
Example: Bullish engulfing (0.5) + trend_bull (0.2) + rsi_bull (0.15) + htf_bull_confirm (0.2) = 1.05, triggers long.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Multi-factor scoring ensures signals are confirmed by multiple market dynamics, reducing false positives.
Regime-specific weights make patterns more relevant (e.g., hammers shine in Range markets).
HTF confirmation aligns with the big picture, a quant edge over simplistic scripts.
3. Futures-Tuned Risk Management
The risk system is built for futures, calculating position sizes based on $ risk and offering flexible stops/TPs.
Position Sizing:
Logic: Risk per trade (default: $300) ÷ (stop distance in points * point value) = contracts, capped at max_contracts (default: 5). Point value = tick value (e.g., $12.5 for ES) * ticks per point (4) * contract multiplier (1 for ES, 0.1 for MES).
Example: $300 risk, 8-point stop, ES ($50/point) → 0.75 contracts, rounded to 1.
Impact: Precise sizing prevents over-leverage, critical for micro contracts like MES.
Stops and Take-Profits:
Fixed: Default stop = 8 points, TP = 16 points (2:1 reward/risk).
ATR-Based: Stop = 1.5x ATR (default), TP = 3x ATR, enabled via use_atr_for_stops.
Logic: Stops set at swing low/high ± stop distance; TPs at 2x stop distance from entry.
Impact: ATR stops adapt to volatility, while fixed stops suit stable markets.
Trailing Stops:
Logic: Activates at 50% of TP distance. Trails at close ± 1.5x ATR (atr_multiplier). Longs: max(trail_stop_long, close - ATR * 1.5); shorts: min(trail_stop_short, close + ATR * 1.5).
Impact: Locks in profits during trends, a game-changer in volatile sessions.
Circuit Breaker:
Logic: Pauses trading if daily drawdown > 5% (daily_drawdown = (max_equity - equity) / max_equity).
Impact: Protects capital during black swan events (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES slippage).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Futures-specific inputs (tick value, multiplier) make it plug-and-play for ES/MES.
Trailing stops and circuit breaker add pro-level safety, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
Flexible stops (ATR or fixed) suit different trading styles.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
Entries and exits are precise, driven by bull_score/bear_score and protected by drawdown checks.
Entry Conditions:
Long: bull_score ≥ 1.0, no position (position_size <= 0), drawdown < 5% (not pause_trading). Calculates contracts, sets stop at swing low - stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Short: bear_score ≥ 1.0, position_size >= 0, drawdown < 5%. Stop at swing high + stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Logic: Tracks entry_regime for PNL arrays. Closes opposite positions before entering.
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Hits stop or TP (strategy.exit).
Trailing Stop: Activates at 50% TP, trails by ATR * 1.5.
Emergency Exit: Closes if price breaches stop (close < long_stop_price or close > short_stop_price).
Reset: Clears stop/TP prices when flat (position_size = 0).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Score-based entries ensure multi-factor confirmation, filtering out weak signals.
Trailing stops maximize profits in trends, unlike static exits in basic scripts.
Emergency exits add an extra safety layer, critical for futures volatility.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are pure DAFE magic, blending function with cyberpunk flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Shimmering Bollinger Band Fill:
Display: BB basis (20, white), upper/lower (green/red, 45% transparent). Fill pulses (30–50 alpha) by regime, with glow (60–95 alpha) near bands (close ≥ 0.995x upper or ≤ 1.005x lower).
Purpose: Highlights volatility and key levels with a futuristic glow.
Visuals make complex regimes and signals instantly clear, even for newbies.
Pulsing effects and regime-specific colors add a DAFE signature, setting it apart from generic scripts.
BB glow emphasizes tradeable levels, enhancing decision-making.
Chart Background (Regime Heatmap):
Green — Trending Market: Strong, sustained price movement in one direction. The market is in a trend phase—momentum follows through.
Orange — Range-Bound: Market is consolidating or moving sideways, with no clear up/down trend. Great for mean reversion setups.
Red — Volatile Regime: High volatility, heightened risk, and larger/faster price swings—trade with caution.
Gray — Quiet/Low Volatility: Market is calm and inactive, with small moves—often poor conditions for most strategies.
Navy — Other/Neutral: Regime is uncertain or mixed; signals may be less reliable.
Bollinger Bands Glow (Dynamic Fill):
Neon Red Glow — Warning!: Price is near or breaking above the upper band; momentum is overstretched, watch for overbought conditions or reversals.
Bright Green Glow — Opportunity!: Price is near or breaking below the lower band; market could be oversold, prime for bounce or reversal.
Trend Green Fill — Trending Regime: Fills between bands with green when the market is trending, showing clear momentum.
Gold/Yellow Fill — Range Regime: Fills with gold/aqua in range conditions, showing the market is sideways/oscillating.
Magenta/Red Fill — Volatility Spike: Fills with vivid magenta/red during highly volatile regimes.
Blue Fill — Neutral/Quiet: A soft blue glow for other or uncertain market states.
Moving Averages:
Display: Blue fast EMA (20), red slow EMA (50), 2px.
Purpose: Shows trend direction, with trend_dir requiring ATR-scaled spread.
Dynamic SL/TP Lines:
Display: Pulsing colors (red SL, green TP for Trending; yellow/orange for Range, etc.), 3px, with pulse_alpha for shimmer.
Purpose: Tracks stops/TPs in real-time, color-coded by regime.
6. Dual Dashboards
Two dashboards deliver real-time insights, making the strat a quant command center.
Bottom-Left Metrics Dashboard (2x13):
Metrics: Mode (Active/Paused), trend (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral), ATR, ATR avg, volume spike (YES/NO), RSI (value + Oversold/Overbought/Neutral), HTF RSI, HTF trend, last signal (Buy/Sell/None), regime, bull score.
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish).
Purpose: Consolidates market context and signal strength.
Top-Right Position Dashboard (2x7):
Metrics: Regime, position side (Long/Short/None), position PNL ($), SL, TP, daily PNL ($).
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (lime for Long, red for Short).
Purpose: Tracks live trades and profitability.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Dual dashboards cover market context and trade status, a rare feature.
Color-coding and concise metrics guide beginners (e.g., green “Buy” = go).
Real-time PNL and SL/TP visibility empower disciplined trading.
7. Performance Tracking
Logic: Arrays (regime_pnl_long/short, regime_win/loss_long/short) track PNL and win/loss by regime (1–5). Updated on trade close (barstate.isconfirmed).
Purpose: Prepares for future adaptive thresholds (e.g., adjust bull_score min based on regime performance).
Why It’s Brilliant: Lays the groundwork for self-optimizing logic, a quant edge over static scripts.
Key Features
Regime-Adaptive: Optimizes signals for Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet markets.
Futures-Optimized: Precise sizing for ES/MES with tick-based risk inputs.
Multi-Factor Signals: Candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and HTF confirmation for robust entries.
Dynamic Exits: ATR/fixed stops, 2:1 TPs, and trailing stops maximize profits.
Safe and Smart: 5% drawdown breaker and emergency exits protect capital.
DAFE Visuals: Shimmering BB fill, pulsing SL/TP, and dual dashboards.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min ES/MES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Set instrument (ES/MES), tick value ($12.5/$1.25), multiplier (1/0.1), risk ($300 default). Enable ATR stops for volatility.
Monitor Dashboards: Bottom-left for regime/signals, top-right for position/PNL.
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to compare regimes.
Live Trade: Connect to Tradovate or similar. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Try April 28, 2025 NQ drop to see regime shifts and stops.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtest results may differ from live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Slippage: 3
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro is more than a strategy—it’s a revolution. Crafted with DAFE’s signature precision, it rises above generic scripts with adaptive regimes, quant-grade signals, and visuals that make trading a thrill. Whether you’re scalping MES or swinging ES, this system empowers you to navigate markets with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s dominate the futures game!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master
Introducing the Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master , a strategy that’s your secret weapon for mastering futures markets like MNQ, NQ, MES, and ES. Born from the legendary Aurora Divergence indicator, this fully automated system transforms raw divergence signals into a quant-grade trading machine, blending precision, risk management, and cyberpunk DAFE visuals that make your charts glow like a neon skyline. Crafted with care and driven by community passion, this strategy stands out in a sea of generic scripts, offering traders a unique edge to outsmart institutional traps and navigate volatile markets.
The Aurora Divergence indicator was a cult favorite for spotting price-OBV divergences with its aqua and fuchsia orbs, but traders craved a system to act on those signals with discipline and automation. This strategy delivers, layering advanced filters (z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, session), dynamic risk controls (kill switches, adaptive stops/TPs), and a real-time dashboard to turn insights into profits. Whether you’re a newbie dipping into futures or a pro hunting reversals, this strat’s got your back with a beginner guide, alerts, and visuals that make trading feel like a sci-fi mission. Let’s dive into every detail and see why this original DAFE creation is a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a battlefield—fast-paced, volatile, and riddled with institutional games that can wipe out undisciplined traders. From the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop to sneaky ES slippage, the stakes are high. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with unoriginal, low-effort scripts that promise the moon but deliver noise. The Aurora Divergence – Quant Master rises above, offering:
Unmatched Originality: A bespoke system built from the ground up, with custom divergence logic, DAFE visuals, and quant filters that set it apart from copycat clutter.
Automation with Precision: Executes trades on divergence signals, eliminating emotional slip-ups and ensuring consistency, even in chaotic sessions.
Quant-Grade Filters: Z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, and session checks filter out noise, targeting high-probability reversals.
Robust Risk Management: Daily loss and rolling drawdown kill switches, plus ATR-based stops/TPs, protect your capital like a fortress.
Stunning DAFE Visuals: Aqua/fuchsia orbs, aurora bands, and a glowing dashboard make signals intuitive and charts a work of art.
Community-Driven: Evolved from trader feedback, this strat’s a labor of love, not a recycled knockoff.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, original system that blends accessibility, sophistication, and style. It’s your edge to trade smarter, not harder, in a market full of traps and imitators.
1. Divergence Detection (Core Signal Logic)
The strategy’s core is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences between price and On-Balance Volume (OBV), pinpointing reversals with surgical accuracy.
How It Works:
Price Slope: Uses linear regression over a lookback (default: 9 bars) to measure price momentum (priceSlope).
OBV Slope: OBV tracks volume flow (+volume if price rises, -volume if falls), with its slope calculated similarly (obvSlope).
Bullish Divergence: Price slope negative (falling), OBV slope positive (rising), and price above 50-bar SMA (trend_ma).
Bearish Divergence: Price slope positive (rising), OBV slope negative (falling), and price below 50-bar SMA.
Smoothing: Requires two consecutive divergence bars (bullDiv2, bearDiv2) to confirm signals, reducing false positives.
Strength: Divergence intensity (divStrength = |priceSlope * obvSlope| * sensitivity) is normalized (0–1, divStrengthNorm) for visuals.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Divergences catch hidden momentum shifts, often exploited by institutions, giving you an edge on reversals.
- The 50-bar SMA filter aligns signals with the broader trend, avoiding choppy markets.
- Adjustable lookback (min: 3) and sensitivity (default: 1.0) let you tune for different instruments or timeframes.
2. Filters for Precision
Four advanced filters ensure signals are high-probability and market-aligned, cutting through the noise of volatile futures.
Z-Score Filter:
Logic: Calculates z-score ((close - SMA) / stdev) over a lookback (default: 50 bars). Blocks entries if |z-score| > threshold (default: 1.5) unless disabled (useZFilter = false).
Impact: Avoids trades during extreme price moves (e.g., blow-off tops), keeping you in statistically safe zones.
ATR Percentile Volatility Filter:
Logic: Tracks 14-bar ATR in a 100-bar window (default). Requires current ATR > 80th percentile (percATR) to trade (tradeOk).
Impact: Ensures sufficient volatility for meaningful moves, filtering out low-volume chop.
Multi-Timeframe (HTF) Trend Filter:
Logic: Uses a 50-bar SMA on a higher timeframe (default: 60min). Longs require price > HTF MA (bullTrendOK), shorts < HTF MA (bearTrendOK).
Impact: Aligns trades with the bigger trend, reducing counter-trend losses.
US Session Filter:
Logic: Restricts trading to 9:30am–4:00pm ET (default: enabled, useSession = true) using America/New_York timezone.
Impact: Focuses on high-liquidity hours, avoiding overnight spreads and erratic moves.
Evolution:
- These filters create a robust signal pipeline, ensuring trades are timed for optimal conditions.
- Customizable inputs (e.g., zThreshold, atrPercentile) let traders adapt to their style without compromising quality.
3. Risk Management
The strategy’s risk controls are a masterclass in balancing aggression and safety, protecting capital in volatile markets.
Daily Loss Kill Switch:
Logic: Tracks daily loss (dayStartEquity - strategy.equity). Halts trading if loss ≥ $300 (default) and enabled (killSwitch = true, killSwitchActive).
Impact: Caps daily downside, crucial during events like April 27, 2025 ES slippage.
Rolling Drawdown Kill Switch:
Logic: Monitors drawdown (rollingPeak - strategy.equity) over 100 bars (default). Stops trading if > $1000 (rollingKill).
Impact: Prevents prolonged losing streaks, preserving capital for better setups.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit:
Logic: Stops = entry ± ATR * multiplier (default: 1.0x, stopDist). TPs = entry ± ATR * 1.5x (profitDist). Longs: stop below, TP above; shorts: vice versa.
Impact: Adapts to volatility, keeping stops tight but realistic, with TPs targeting 1.5:1 reward/risk.
Max Bars in Trade:
Logic: Closes trades after 8 bars (default) if not already exited.
Impact: Frees capital from stagnant trades, maintaining efficiency.
Kill Switch Buffer Dashboard:
Logic: Shows smallest buffer ($300 - daily loss or $1000 - rolling DD). Displays 0 (red) if kill switch active, else buffer (green).
Impact: Real-time risk visibility, letting traders adjust dynamically.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Kill switches and ATR-based exits create a safety net, rare in generic scripts.
- Customizable risk inputs (maxDailyLoss, dynamicStopMult) suit different account sizes.
- Buffer metric empowers disciplined trading, a DAFE signature.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
The entry/exit rules are precise, filtered, and adaptive, ensuring trades are deliberate and profitable.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: bullDiv2, cooldown passed (canSignal), ATR filter passed (tradeOk), in US session (inSession), no kill switches (not killSwitchActive, not rollingKill), z-score OK (zOk), HTF trend bullish (bullTrendOK), no existing long (lastDirection != 1, position_size <= 0). Closes shorts first.
Short Entry: Same, but for bearDiv2, bearTrendOK, no long (lastDirection != -1, position_size >= 0). Closes longs first.
Adaptive Cooldown: Default 2 bars (cooldownBars). Doubles (up to 10) after a losing trade, resets after wins (dynamicCooldown).
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Set per trade (ATR-based). Exits on stop/TP hits.
Other Exits: Closes if maxBarsInTrade reached, ATR filter fails, or kill switch activates.
Position Management: Ensures no conflicting positions, closing opposites before new entries.
Built To Be Reliable and Consistent:
- Multi-filtered entries minimize false signals, a stark contrast to basic scripts.
- Adaptive cooldown prevents overtrading, especially after losses.
- Clean position handling ensures smooth execution, even in fast markets.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are a DAFE hallmark, blending function with clean flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Aurora Bands:
Display: Bands around price during divergences (bullish: below low, bearish: above high), sized by ATR * bandwidth (default: 0.5).
Colors: Aqua (bullish), fuchsia (bearish), with transparency tied to divStrengthNorm.
Purpose: Highlights divergence zones with a glowing, futuristic vibe.
Divergence Orbs:
Display: Large/small circles (aqua below for bullish, fuchsia above for bearish) when bullDiv2/bearDiv2 and canSignal. Labels show strength (0–1).
Purpose: Pinpoints entries with eye-catching clarity.
Gradient Background:
Display: Green (bullish), red (bearish), or gray (neutral), 90–95% transparent.
Purpose: Sets the market mood without clutter.
Strategy Plots:
- Stop/TP Lines: Red (stops), green (TPs) for active trades.
- HTF MA: Yellow line for trend context.
- Z-Score: Blue step-line (if enabled).
- Kill Switch Warning: Red background flash when active.
What Makes This Next-Level?:
- Visuals make complex signals (divergences, filters) instantly clear, even for beginners.
- DAFE’s unique aesthetic (orbs, bands) sets it apart from generic scripts, reinforcing originality.
- Functional plots (stops, TPs) enhance trade management.
6. Metrics Dashboard
The top-right dashboard (2x8 table) is your command center, delivering real-time insights.
Metrics:
Daily Loss ($): Current loss vs. day’s start, red if > $300.
Rolling DD ($): Drawdown vs. 100-bar peak, red if > $1000.
ATR Threshold: Current percATR, green if ATR exceeds, red if not.
Z-Score: Current value, green if within threshold, red if not.
Signal: “Bullish Div” (aqua), “Bearish Div” (fuchsia), or “None” (gray).
Action: “Consider Buying”/“Consider Selling” (signal color) or “Wait” (gray).
Kill Switch Buffer ($): Smallest buffer to kill switch, green if > 0, red if 0.
Why This Is Important?:
- Consolidates critical data, making decisions effortless.
- Color-coded metrics guide beginners (e.g., green action = go).
- Buffer metric adds transparency, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
7. Beginner Guide
Beginner Guide: Middle-right table (shown once on chart load), explains aqua orbs (bullish, buy) and fuchsia orbs (bearish, sell).
Key Features:
Futures-Optimized: Tailored for MNQ, NQ, MES, ES with point-value adjustments.
Highly Customizable: Inputs for lookback, sensitivity, filters, and risk settings.
Real-Time Insights: Dashboard and visuals update every bar.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
User-Friendly: Guide, visuals, and dashboard make it accessible yet powerful.
Original Design: DAFE’s unique logic and visuals stand out from generic scripts.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min MNQ/ES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Adjust instrument, filters, or risk (defaults optimized for MNQ).
Monitor Dashboard: Watch signals, actions, and risk metrics (top-right).
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to evaluate performance.
Live Trade: Connect to a broker (e.g., Tradovate) for automation. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Use bar replay (e.g., April 28, 2025 NQ drop) to test volatility handling.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Backtest results may not reflect live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master isn’t just a strategy—it’s a movement. Crafted with originality and driven by community passion, it rises above the flood of generic scripts to deliver a system that’s as powerful as it is beautiful. With its quant-grade logic, DAFE visuals, and robust risk controls, it empowers traders to tackle futures with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s outsmart the markets together!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade fast, trade bold.
BTC Trading RobotOverview
This Pine Script strategy is designed for trading Bitcoin (BTC) by placing pending orders (BuyStop and SellStop) based on local price extremes. The script also implements a trailing stop mechanism to protect profits once a position becomes sufficiently profitable.
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Inputs and Parameter Setup
1. Trading Profile:
o The strategy is set up specifically for BTC trading.
o The systemType input is set to 1, which means the strategy will calculate trade parameters using the BTC-specific inputs.
2. Common Trading Inputs:
o Risk Parameters: Although RiskPercent is defined, its actual use (e.g., for position sizing) isn’t implemented in this version.
o Trading Hours Filter:
SHInput and EHInput let you restrict trading to a specific hour range. If these are set (non-zero), orders will only be placed during the allowed hours.
3. BTC-Specific Inputs:
o Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) Percentages:
TPasPctBTC and SLasPctBTC are used to determine the TP and SL levels as a percentage of the current price.
o Trailing Stop Parameters:
TSLasPctofTPBTC and TSLTgrasPctofTPBTC determine when and by how much a trailing stop is applied, again as percentages of the TP.
4. Other Parameters:
o BarsN is used to define the window (number of bars) over which the local high and low are calculated.
o OrderDistPoints acts as a buffer to prevent the entry orders from being triggered too early.
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Trade Parameter Calculation
• Price Reference:
o The strategy uses the current closing price as the reference for calculations.
• Calculation of TP and SL Levels:
o If the systemType is set to BTC (value 1), then:
Take Profit Points (Tppoints) are calculated by multiplying the current price by TPasPctBTC.
Stop Loss Points (Slpoints) are calculated similarly using SLasPctBTC.
A buffer (OrderDistPoints) is set to half of the take profit points.
Trailing Stop Levels:
TslPoints is calculated as a fraction of the TP (using TSLTgrasPctofTPBTC).
TslTriggerPoints is similarly determined, which sets the profit level at which the trailing stop will start to activate.
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Time Filtering
• Session Control:
o The current hour is compared against SHInput (start hour) and EHInput (end hour).
o If the current time falls outside the allowed window, the script will not place any new orders.
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Entry Orders
• Local Price Extremes:
o The strategy calculates a local high and local low using a window of BarsN * 2 + 1 bars.
• Placing Stop Orders:
o BuyStop Order:
A long entry is triggered if the current price is less than the local high minus the order distance buffer.
The BuyStop order is set to trigger at the level of the local high.
o SellStop Order:
A short entry is triggered if the current price is greater than the local low plus the order distance buffer.
The SellStop order is set to trigger at the level of the local low.
Note: Orders are only placed if there is no current open position and if the session conditions are met.
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Trailing Stop Logic
Once a position is open, the strategy monitors profit levels to protect gains:
• For Long Positions:
o The script calculates the profit as the difference between the current price and the average entry price.
o If this profit exceeds the TslTriggerPoints threshold, a trailing stop is applied by placing an exit order.
o The stop price is set at a distance below the current price, while a limit (profit target) is also defined.
• For Short Positions:
o The profit is calculated as the difference between the average entry price and the current price.
o A similar trailing stop exit is applied if the profit exceeds the trigger threshold.
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Summary
In essence, this strategy works by:
• Defining entry levels based on recent local highs and lows.
• Placing pending stop orders to enter the market when those levels are breached.
• Filtering orders by time, ensuring trades are only taken during specified hours.
• Implementing a trailing stop mechanism to secure profits once the trade moves favorably.
This approach is designed to automate BTC trading based on price action and dynamic risk management, although further enhancements (like dynamic position sizing based on RiskPercent) could be added for a more complete risk management system.
IU BBB(Big Body Bar) StrategyDESCRIPTION
The IU BBB (Big Body Bar) Strategy is a price action-based trading strategy that identifies high-momentum candles with significantly larger body sizes compared to the average. It enters trades when a strong bullish or bearish move occurs and manages risk using an ATR-based trailing stop-loss system.
USER INPUTS:
- Big Body Threshold – Defines how many times larger the candle body should be compared to the average body ( default is 4 ).
- ATR Length – The period for the Average True Range (ATR) used in the trailing stop-loss calculation ( default is 14 ).
- ATR Factor – Multiplier for ATR to determine the trailing stop distance ( default is 2 ).
LONG CONDITION:
- The current candle’s body is greater than the average body size multiplied by the Big Body Threshold.
- The closing price is higher than the opening price (bullish candle).
SHORT CONDITION:
- The current candle’s body is greater than the average body size multiplied by the Big Body Threshold.
- The closing price is lower than the opening price (bearish candle).
LONG EXIT:
- ATR-based trailing stop-loss dynamically adjusts, locking in profits as the price moves higher.
SHORT EXIT:
- ATR-based trailing stop-loss dynamically adjusts, securing profits as the price moves lower.
WHY IT IS UNIQUE:
- Unlike traditional momentum strategies, this system adapts to volatility by filtering trades based on relative candle size.
- It incorporates an ATR-based trailing stop-loss, ensuring risk management and profit protection.
- The strategy avoids choppy market conditions by only trading when significant momentum is present.
HOW USERS CAN BENEFIT FROM IT:
- Catch Strong Price Moves – The strategy helps traders enter trades when the market shows decisive momentum.
- Effective Risk Management – The ATR-based trailing stop ensures that winning trades remain profitable.
- Works Across Markets – Can be applied to stocks, forex, crypto, and indices with proper optimization.
- Fully Customizable – Users can adjust sensitivity settings to match their trading style and time frame.
Divergence IQ [TradingIQ]Hello Traders!
Introducing "Divergence IQ"
Divergence IQ lets traders identify divergences between price action and almost ANY TradingView technical indicator. This tool is designed to help you spot potential trend reversals and continuation patterns with a range of configurable features.
Features
Divergence Detection
Detects both regular and hidden divergences for bullish and bearish setups by comparing price movements with changes in the indicator.
Offers two detection methods: one based on classic pivot point analysis and another that provides immediate divergence signals.
Option to use closing prices for divergence detection, allowing you to choose the data that best fits your strategy.
Normalization Options:
Includes multiple normalization techniques such as robust scaling, rolling Z-score, rolling min-max, or no normalization at all.
Adjustable normalization window lets you customize the indicator to suit various market conditions.
Option to display the normalized indicator on the chart for clearer visual comparison.
Allows traders to take indicators that aren't oscillators, and convert them into an oscillator - allowing for better divergence detection.
Simulated Trade Management:
Integrates simulated trade entries and exits based on divergence signals to demonstrate potential trading outcomes.
Customizable exit strategies with options for ATR-based or percentage-based stop loss and profit target settings.
Automatically calculates key trade metrics such as profit percentage, win rate, profit factor, and total trade count.
Visual Enhancements and On-Chart Displays:
Color-coded signals differentiate between bullish, bearish, hidden bullish, and hidden bearish divergence setups.
On-chart labels, lines, and gradient flow visualizations clearly mark divergence signals, entry points, and exit levels.
Configurable settings let you choose whether to display divergence signals on the price chart or in a separate pane.
Performance Metrics Table:
A performance table dynamically displays important statistics like profit, win rate, profit factor, and number of trades.
This feature offers an at-a-glance assessment of how the divergence-based strategy is performing.
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a bullish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a bearish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a hidden bullish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a hidden bearish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The performance table is designed to provide a clear summary of simulated trade results based on divergence setups. You can easily review key metrics to assess the strategy’s effectiveness over different time periods.
Customization and Adaptability
Divergence IQ offers a wide range of configurable settings to tailor the indicator to your personal trading approach. You can adjust the lookback and lookahead periods for pivot detection, select your preferred method for normalization, and modify trade exit parameters to manage risk according to your strategy. The tool’s clear visual elements and comprehensive performance metrics make it a useful addition to your technical analysis toolbox.
The image above shows Divergence IQ identifying divergences between price action and OBV with no normalization technique applied.
While traders can look for divergences between OBV and price, OBV doesn't naturally behave like an oscillator, with no definable upper and lower threshold, OBV can infinitely increase or decrease.
With Divergence IQ's ability to normalize any indicator, traders can normalize non-oscillator technical indicators such as OBV, CVD, MACD, or even a moving average.
In the image above, the "Robust Scaling" normalization technique is selected. Consequently, the output of OBV has changed and is now behaving similar to an oscillator-like technical indicator. This makes spotting divergences between the indicator and price easier and more appropriate.
The three normalization techniques included will change the indicator's final output to be more compatible with divergence detection.
This feature can be used with almost any technical indicator.
Stop Type
Traders can select between ATR based profit targets and stop losses, or percentage based profit targets and stop losses.
The image above shows options for the feature.
Divergence Detection Method
A natural pitfall of divergence trading is that it generally takes several bars to "confirm" a divergence. This makes trading the divergence complicated, because the entry at time of the divergence might look great; however, the divergence wasn't actually signaled until several bars later.
To circumvent this issue, Divergence IQ offers two divergence detection mechanisms.
Pivot Detection
Pivot detection mode is the same as almost every divergence indicator on TradingView. The Pivots High Low indicator is used to detect market/indicator highs and lows and, consequently, divergences.
This method generally finds the "best looking" divergences, but will always take additional time to confirm the divergence.
Immediate Detection
Immediate detection mode attempts to reduce lag between the divergence and its confirmation to as little as possible while avoiding repainting.
Immediate detection mode still uses the Pivots Detection model to find the first high/low of a divergence. However, the most recent high/low does not utilize the Pivot Detection model, and instead immediately looks for a divergence between price and an indicator.
Immediate Detection Mode will always signal a divergence one bar after it's occurred, and traders can set alerts in this mode to be alerted as soon as the divergence occurs.
TradingView Backtester Integration
Divergence IQ is fully compatible with the TradingView backtester!
Divergence IQ isn’t designed to be a “profitable strategy” for users to trade. Instead, the intention of including the backtester is to let users backtest divergence-based trading strategies between the asset on their chart and almost any technical indicator, and to see if divergences have any predictive utility in that market.
So while the backtester is available in Divergence IQ, it’s for users to personally figure out if they should consider a divergence an actionable insight, and not a solicitation that Divergence IQ is a profitable trading strategy. Divergence IQ should be thought of as a Divergence backtesting toolkit, not a full-feature trading strategy.
Strategy Properties Used For Backtest
Initial Capital: $1000 - a realistic amount of starting capital that will resonate with many traders
Amount Per Trade: 5% of equity - a realistic amount of capital to invest relative to portfolio size
Commission: 0.02% - a conservative amount of commission to pay for trade that is standard in crypto trading, and very high for other markets.
Slippage: 1 tick - appropriate for liquid markets, but must be increased in markets with low activity.
Once more, the backtester is meant for traders to personally figure out if divergences are actionable trading signals on the market they wish to trade with the indicator they wish to use.
And that's all!
If you have any cool features you think can benefit Divergence IQ - please feel free to share them!
Thank you so much TradingView community!
SMA Crossover with RSI ConfirmationThis is a sniper entry indicator that provides Buy and Sell signals using other Indicators to give the best possible Entries
Moving Average Crossovers:
The indicator uses two moving averages: a short-term SMA (Simple Moving Average) and a long-term SMA.
When the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it generates a buy signal (indicating potential upward momentum).
When the short-term SMA crosses below the long-term SMA, it generates a sell signal (indicating potential downward momentum).
RSI Confirmation:
The indicator incorporates RSI (Relative Strength Index) to confirm the buy and sell signals generated by the moving average crossovers.
RSI is used to gauge the overbought and oversold conditions of the market.
A buy signal is confirmed if RSI is below a specified overbought level, indicating potential buying opportunity.
A sell signal is confirmed if RSI is above a specified oversold level, indicating potential selling opportunity.
Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss:
The indicator calculates dynamic take profit and stop loss levels based on the Average True Range (ATR).
ATR is used to gauge market volatility, and the take profit and stop loss levels are adjusted accordingly.
This feature helps traders to manage their risk effectively by setting appropriate profit targets and stop loss levels.
Combining the information provided by these, the indicator will provide an entry point with a provided take profit and stop loss. The indicator can be applied to different asset classes. Risk management must be applied when using this indicator as it is not 100% guaranteed to be profitable.
ADX for BTC [PineIndicators]The ADX Strategy for BTC is a trend-following system that uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) to determine market strength and momentum shifts. Designed for Bitcoin trading, this strategy applies a customizable ADX threshold to confirm trend signals and optionally filters entries using a Simple Moving Average (SMA). The system features automated entry and exit conditions, dynamic trade visualization, and built-in trade tracking for historical performance analysis.
⚙️ Core Strategy Components
1️⃣ Average Directional Index (ADX) Calculation
The ADX indicator measures trend strength without indicating direction. It is derived from the Positive Directional Movement (+DI) and Negative Directional Movement (-DI):
+DI (Positive Directional Index): Measures upward price movement.
-DI (Negative Directional Index): Measures downward price movement.
ADX Value: Higher values indicate stronger trends, regardless of direction.
This strategy uses a default ADX length of 14 to smooth out short-term fluctuations while detecting sustainable trends.
2️⃣ SMA Filter (Optional Trend Confirmation)
The strategy includes a 200-period SMA filter to validate trend direction before entering trades. If enabled:
✅ Long Entry is only allowed when price is above a long-term SMA multiplier (5x the standard SMA length).
✅ If disabled, the strategy only considers the ADX crossover threshold for trade entries.
This filter helps reduce entries in sideways or weak-trend conditions, improving signal reliability.
📌 Trade Logic & Conditions
🔹 Long Entry Conditions
A buy signal is triggered when:
✅ ADX crosses above the threshold (default = 14), indicating a strengthening trend.
✅ (If SMA filter is enabled) Price is above the long-term SMA multiplier.
🔻 Exit Conditions
A position is closed when:
✅ ADX crosses below the stop threshold (default = 45), signaling trend weakening.
By adjusting the entry and exit ADX levels, traders can fine-tune sensitivity to trend changes.
📏 Trade Visualization & Tracking
Trade Markers
"Buy" label (▲) appears when a long position is opened.
"Close" label (▼) appears when a position is exited.
Trade History Boxes
Green if a trade is profitable.
Red if a trade closes at a loss.
Trend Tracking Lines
Horizontal lines mark entry and exit prices.
A filled trade box visually represents trade duration and profitability.
These elements provide clear visual insights into trade execution and performance.
⚡ How to Use This Strategy
1️⃣ Apply the script to a BTC chart in TradingView.
2️⃣ Adjust ADX entry/exit levels based on trend sensitivity.
3️⃣ Enable or disable the SMA filter for trend confirmation.
4️⃣ Backtest performance to analyze historical trade execution.
5️⃣ Monitor trade markers and history boxes for real-time trend insights.
This strategy is designed for trend traders looking to capture high-momentum market conditions while filtering out weak trends.
Cash And Carry Arbitrage BTC Compare Month 6 by SeoNo1Detailed Explanation of the BTC Cash and Carry Arbitrage Script
Script Title: BTC Cash And Carry Arbitrage Month 6 by SeoNo1
Short Title: BTC C&C ABT Month 6
Version: Pine Script v5
Overlay: True (The indicators are plotted directly on the price chart)
Purpose of the Script
This script is designed to help traders analyze and track arbitrage opportunities between the spot market and futures market for Bitcoin (BTC). Specifically, it calculates the spread and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) from a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy until a specific expiry date (in this case, June 27, 2025).
The strategy helps identify profitable opportunities when the futures price of BTC is higher than the spot price. Traders can then buy BTC in the spot market and short BTC futures contracts to lock in a risk-free profit.
1. Input Settings
Spot Symbol: The real-time BTC spot price from Binance (BTCUSDT).
Futures Symbol: The BTC futures contract that expires in June 2025 (BTCUSDM2025).
Expiry Date: The expiration date of the futures contract, set to June 27, 2025.
These inputs allow users to adjust the symbols or expiry date according to their trading needs.
2. Price Data Retrieval
Spot Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC from the spot market.
Futures Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC futures.
Spread: The difference between the futures price and the spot price (futures_price - spot_price).
The spread indicates how much higher (or lower) the futures price is compared to the spot market.
3. Time to Maturity (TTM) and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) Calculation
Current Date: Gets the current timestamp.
Time to Maturity (TTM): The number of days left until the futures contract expires.
APY Calculation:
Formula:
APY = ( Spread / Spot Price ) x ( 365 / TTM Days ) x 100
This represents the annualized return from holding a cash-and-carry arbitrage position if the trader buys BTC at the spot price and sells BTC futures.
4. Display Information Table on the Chart
A table is created on the chart's top-right corner showing the following data:
Metric: Labels such as Spread and APY
Value: Displays the calculated spread and APY
The table automatically updates at the latest bar to display the most recent data.
5. Alert Condition
This sets an alert condition that triggers every time the script runs.
In practice, users can modify this alert to trigger based on specific conditions (e.g., APY exceeds a threshold).
6. Plotting the APY and Spread
APY Plot: Displays the annualized yield as a blue line on the chart.
Spread Plot: Visualizes the futures-spot spread as a red line.
This helps traders quickly identify arbitrage opportunities when the spread or APY reaches desirable levels.
How to Use the Script
Monitor Arbitrage Opportunities:
A positive spread indicates a potential cash-and-carry arbitrage opportunity.
The larger the APY, the more profitable the arbitrage opportunity could be.
Timing Trades:
Execute a buy on the BTC spot market and simultaneously sell BTC futures when the APY is attractive.
Close both positions upon futures contract expiry to realize profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you have sufficient margin to hold both positions until expiry.
Monitor funding rates and volatility, which could affect returns.
Conclusion
This script is an essential tool for traders looking to exploit price discrepancies between the BTC spot market and futures market through a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy. It provides real-time data on spreads, annualized returns (APY), and visual alerts, helping traders make informed decisions and maximize their profit potential.
Smart MA Crossover BacktesterSmart MA Crossover Backtester - Strategy Overview
Strategy Name: Smart MA Crossover Backtester
Published on: TradingView
Applicable Markets: Works well on crypto (tested profitably on ETH)
Strategy Concept
The Smart MA Crossover Backtester is an improved Moving Average (MA) crossover strategy that incorporates a trend filter and an ATR-based stop loss & take profit mechanism for better risk management. It aims to capture trends efficiently while reducing false signals by only trading in the direction of the long-term trend.
Core Components & Logic
Moving Averages (MA) for Entry Signals
Fast Moving Average (9-period SMA)
Slow Moving Average (21-period SMA)
A trade signal is generated when the fast MA crosses the slow MA.
Trend Filter (200-period SMA)
Only enters long positions if price is above the 200-period SMA (bullish trend).
Only enters short positions if price is below the 200-period SMA (bearish trend).
This helps in avoiding counter-trend trades, reducing whipsaws.
ATR-Based Stop Loss & Take Profit
Uses the Average True Range (ATR) with a multiplier of 2 to calculate stop loss.
Risk-Reward Ratio = 1:2 (Take profit is set at 2x ATR).
This ensures dynamic stop loss and take profit levels based on market volatility.
Trading Rules
✅ Long Entry (Buy Signal):
Fast MA (9) crosses above Slow MA (21)
Price is above the 200 MA (bullish trend filter active)
Stop Loss: Below entry price by 2× ATR
Take Profit: Above entry price by 4× ATR
✅ Short Entry (Sell Signal):
Fast MA (9) crosses below Slow MA (21)
Price is below the 200 MA (bearish trend filter active)
Stop Loss: Above entry price by 2× ATR
Take Profit: Below entry price by 4× ATR
Why This Strategy Works Well for Crypto (ETH)?
🔹 Crypto markets are highly volatile – ATR-based stop loss adapts dynamically to market conditions.
🔹 Long-term trend filter (200 MA) ensures trading in the dominant direction, reducing false signals.
🔹 Risk-reward ratio of 1:2 allows for profitable trades even with a lower win rate.
This strategy has been tested on Ethereum (ETH) and has shown profitable performance, making it a strong choice for crypto traders looking for trend-following setups with solid risk management. 🚀
Emergent Rays - NovaTheMachineEmergent Rays
An emergent ray is a refracted ray of light that exits a medium or channel. Emergent rays can be created when light passes through a prism, glass slab, or mirror
This visual indicator has been designed to aid in developing psychological understanding of price action. Many traders often struggle with developing strategy that they can act on, repeatedly. The difference between gambling and trading successfully comes down to following a plan, that you have tested and determined to be profitable over the long term.
Some traders experience anxiety when trading trends, trying to time a reversal, or entering a trade based on emotions and are unsure where they should place a stop - if they bother to place one at all.
I developed this indicator to help traders practice responsible trading practices and develop discipline. When applied to a chart an array of light rays will be plotted, similarly to those that are emitted from light passing through a medium such as a prism. These rays are a series of EMAs high & low values, filled with an assigned color.
The indicator does not suggest an entry or exit, it allows for freedom of user interpretation, however - when in a trending market you may notice that the rays are tested multiple times when the market is trending in the same direction. When trading trends it makes sense to enter at the discounted value (pullbacks) and exit on extensions. There are two main reasons for this; first is manage risk, second is to profit from a successful trade.
To practice discipline and remove emotions from trading, one must be willing to accept the outcome of a trade - regardless of whether it was profitable or not, based on their strategy.
The visual gradient of the rays signifies the pullback to stoploss risk. As price expands it is clear to see that the distance from red to blue rays increases, which means entering a trade on a touch of the red ray requires a larger stoploss than entering a pullback to the green or blue rays. When price closes on the opposite side of a ray from where it was trending - we accept the trend may have ended and must wait for the next trend cycle. If the price action is range bound we will notice the rays melting together to create a grey ray that signifies this is not the best place to be trading any type of trend following strategy.
Using this indicator in an uptrend (price expansion upwards), we look to enter long positions of retests (pullbacks) into the rays - with a stoploss set below the lowest rays; as we do not believe the uptrend is over until the trend has been broken.
Using this indicator in a downtrend (price expansion downwards), we look to enter short positions of retests (pullbacks) into the rays - with a stoploss set below the lowest rays; as we do not believe the uptrend is over until the trend has been broken.
When price is range bound or consolidating, we do not enter trades; wait for clear trend to be established.
By practicing discipline, we are able to overcome the emotions involved with trading, remove hesitation, and trade our plans more confidently through appropriate risk management and radical acceptance.
Bollinger Bands Reversal Strategy Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is a versatile trading tool designed to help traders identify potential reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands. It provides visual signals, performance metrics, and a detailed table to analyze the effectiveness of reversal-based strategies over a user-defined lookback period.
█ KEY FEATURES
Bollinger Bands Calculation
The indicator calculates the standard Bollinger Bands, consisting of:
A middle band (basis) as the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing price.
An upper band as the basis plus a multiple of the standard deviation.
A lower band as the basis minus a multiple of the standard deviation.
Users can customize the length of the Bollinger Bands and the multiplier for the standard deviation.
Reversal Signals
The indicator identifies potential reversal signals based on the interaction between the price and the Bollinger Bands.
Two entry strategies are available:
Revert Cross: Waits for the price to close back above the lower band (for longs) or below the upper band (for shorts) after crossing it.
Cross Threshold: Triggers a signal as soon as the price crosses the lower band (for longs) or the upper band (for shorts).
Trade Direction
Users can select a trade bias:
Long: Focuses on bullish reversal signals.
Short: Focuses on bearish reversal signals.
Performance Metrics
The indicator calculates and displays the performance of trades over a user-defined lookback period ( barLookback ).
Metrics include:
Win Rate: The percentage of trades that were profitable.
Mean Return: The average return across all trades.
Median Return: The median return across all trades.
These metrics are calculated for each bar in the lookback period, providing insights into the strategy's performance over time.
Visual Signals
The indicator plots buy and sell signals on the chart:
Buy Signals: Displayed as green triangles below the price bars.
Sell Signals: Displayed as red triangles above the price bars.
Performance Table
A customizable table is displayed on the chart, showing the performance metrics for each bar in the lookback period.
The table includes:
Win Rate: Highlighted with gradient colors (green for high win rates, red for low win rates).
Mean Return: Colored based on profitability (green for positive returns, red for negative returns).
Median Return: Colored similarly to the mean return.
Time Filtering
Users can define a specific time window for the indicator to analyze trades, ensuring that performance metrics are calculated only for the desired period.
Customizable Display
The table's font size can be adjusted to suit the user's preference, with options for "Auto," "Small," "Normal," and "Large."
█ PURPOSE
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is designed to:
Help traders identify high-probability reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands.
Provide actionable insights into the performance of reversal-based strategies.
Enable users to backtest and optimize their trading strategies by analyzing historical performance metrics.
█ IDEAL USERS
Swing Traders: Looking for reversal opportunities within a trend.
Mean Reversion Traders: Interested in trading price reversals to the mean.
Strategy Developers: Seeking to backtest and refine Bollinger Bands-based strategies.
Performance Analysts: Wanting to evaluate the effectiveness of reversal signals over time.
Bitcoin Reversal PredictorOverview
This indicator displays two lines that, when they cross, signal a potential reversal in Bitcoin's price trend. Historically, the high or low of a bull market cycle often occurs near the moment these lines intersect. The lines consist of an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a logarithmic regression line fitted to all of Bitcoin's historical data.
Inspiration
The inspiration for this indicator came from the PI Cycle Top indicator, which has accurately predicted past bull market peaks. However, I believe the PI Cycle Top indicator may not be as effective in the future. In that indicator, two lines cross to mark the top, but the extent of the cross has been diminishing over time. This was especially noticeable in the 2021 cycle, where the lines barely crossed. Because of this, I created a new indicator that I think will continue to provide reliable reversal signals in the future.
How It Works
The logarithmic regression line is fitted to the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart using two key factors: the 'a' factor (slope) and the 'b' factor (intercept). This results in a steadily decreasing line. The EMA oscillates above and below this regression line. Each time the two lines cross, a vertical colored bar appears, indicating that Bitcoin's price momentum is likely to reverse.
Use Cases
- Price Bottoming:
Bitcoin often bottoms out when the EMA crosses below the logarithmic regression line.
- Price Topping:
In contrast, Bitcoin often peaks when the EMA crosses above the logarithmic regression line.
- Profitable Strategy:
Trading at the crossovers of these lines can be a profitable strategy, as these moments often signal significant price reversals.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression BandsOverview
This indicator displays logarithmic regression bands for Bitcoin. Logarithmic regression is a statistical method used to model data where growth slows down over time. I initially created these bands in 2019 using a spreadsheet, and later coded them in TradingView in 2021. Over time, the bands proved effective at capturing Bitcoin's bull market peaks and bear market lows. In 2024, I decided to share this indicator because I believe these logarithmic regression bands offer the best fit for the Bitcoin chart.
How It Works
The logarithmic regression lines are fitted to the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart using two key factors: the 'a' factor (slope) and the 'b' factor (intercept). The two lines in the upper and lower bands share the same 'a' factor, but I adjust the 'b' factor by 0.2 to more accurately capture the bull market peaks and bear market lows. The formula for logaritmic regression is 10^((a * ln) - b).
How to Use the Logarithmic Regression Bands
1. Lower Band (Support Band):
The two lines in the lower band create a potential support area for Bitcoin’s price. Historically, Bitcoin’s price has always found its lows within this band during past market cycles. When the price is within the lower band, it suggests that Bitcoin is undervalued and could be set for a rebound.
2. Upper Band (Resistance Band):
The two lines in the upper band create a potential resistance area for Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin has consistently reached its highs in this band during previous market cycles. If the price is within the upper band, it indicates that Bitcoin is overvalued, and a potential price correction may be imminent.
Use Cases
- Price Bottoming:
Bitcoin tends to bottom out at the lower band before entering a prolonged bull market or a period of sideways movement.
- Price Topping:
In reverse, Bitcoin tends to top out at the upper band before entering a bear market phase.
- Profitable Strategy:
Buying at the lower band and selling at the upper band can be a profitable trading strategy, as these bands often indicate key price levels for Bitcoin’s market cycles.
AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker [CHE]AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker
Efficiently Identify Top Performers and Underperformers Among 40 Crypto Assets at a Glance
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency trading, staying ahead requires the ability to quickly assess the performance of multiple assets simultaneously. AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker is an advanced Pine Script™ indicator designed for TradingView that empowers traders to effortlessly monitor and evaluate 40 different crypto assets in real-time.
This tool is my Christmas gift to all traders. I wish you all a Merry Christmas and successful trades in the coming year!
Why It’s Important to Identify Winners and Losers Among 40 Assets at a Glance:
1. Time Efficiency: Managing a diverse portfolio can be overwhelming. With AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker, traders can swiftly identify which assets are performing exceptionally well (winners) and which are underperforming (losers) without the need to analyze each asset individually.
2. Informed Decision-Making: By having a clear overview of top gainers and losers, traders can make strategic decisions such as reallocating investments, taking profits, or cutting losses, thereby optimizing their trading strategies.
3. Risk Management: Quickly spotting underperforming assets helps in mitigating potential losses and adjusting positions to maintain a balanced and profitable portfolio.
4. Opportunity Identification: Recognizing top-performing assets allows traders to capitalize on emerging trends and maximize their returns by focusing on the most promising opportunities.
Key Features of AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker :
- Comprehensive Asset Tracking: Monitors 40 crypto assets simultaneously, providing a broad view of the market landscape.
- Max Gain and Adjusted Max Loss Calculations: Utilizes a 14-bar (configurable) period to calculate the highest gains and the adjusted maximum losses for each asset, offering insights into potential profitability and risk.
- Dynamic Ranking: Automatically sorts and ranks assets based on their performance, highlighting the top 10 gainers and top 10 losers for easy comparison.
- Customizable Display:
- Table Settings: Adjust the size, position, and colors of the performance table to fit your chart layout.
- Interactive Tooltips: Hover over asset names to view detailed tooltips, enhancing usability and information accessibility.
- Visual Alerts: Changes in asset performance are visually indicated through background color updates, allowing for immediate recognition of significant shifts.
- User-Friendly Interface: Intuitive table layout with clear headers and organized data presentation, making it easy for traders of all levels to interpret the information.
How It Works:
1. Data Calculation: For each of the 40 tracked assets, AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker calculates the maximum gain and adjusted maximum loss over the defined trading period.
2. Sorting and Ranking: The assets are sorted based on their maximum gains and adjusted maximum losses, automatically updating to reflect the latest market movements.
3. Real-Time Display: The top 10 gainers and losers are displayed in a neatly organized table directly on your TradingView chart, providing immediate visual insights.
4. Customization: Users can tailor the tracking period, select specific assets to monitor, and adjust the table’s appearance to match their trading style and preferences.
Conclusion:
AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker is an essential tool for cryptocurrency traders seeking to enhance their market analysis and decision-making processes. By providing a comprehensive and customizable overview of multiple assets, it enables traders to efficiently identify profitable opportunities and manage risks effectively. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker equips you with the insights needed to navigate the dynamic crypto market with confidence.
Get Started Today:
Integrate AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker into your TradingView setup and take control of your crypto trading strategy with unparalleled clarity and precision.
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
License Information:
This Pine Script™ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0. You can view the full license (mozilla.org).
© chervolino
S&P 100 Option Expiration Week StrategyThe Option Expiration Week Strategy aims to capitalize on increased volatility and trading volume that often occur during the week leading up to the expiration of options on stocks in the S&P 100 index. This period, known as the option expiration week, culminates on the third Friday of each month when stock options typically expire in the U.S. During this week, investors in this strategy take a long position in S&P 100 stocks or an equivalent ETF from the Monday preceding the third Friday, holding until Friday. The strategy capitalizes on potential upward price pressures caused by increased option-related trading activity, rebalancing, and hedging practices.
The phenomenon leveraged by this strategy is well-documented in finance literature. Studies demonstrate that options expiration dates have a significant impact on stock returns, trading volume, and volatility. This effect is driven by various market dynamics, including portfolio rebalancing, delta hedging by option market makers, and the unwinding of positions by institutional investors (Stoll & Whaley, 1987; Ni, Pearson, & Poteshman, 2005). These market activities intensify near option expiration, causing price adjustments that may create short-term profitable opportunities for those aware of these patterns (Roll, Schwartz, & Subrahmanyam, 2009).
The paper by Johnson and So (2013), Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks, provides empirical evidence supporting this strategy. The study analyzes the impact of option expiration on S&P 100 stocks, showing that these stocks tend to exhibit abnormal returns and increased volume during the expiration week. The authors attribute these patterns to intensified option trading activity, where demand for hedging and arbitrage around options expiration causes temporary price adjustments.
Scientific Explanation
Research has found that option expiration weeks are marked by predictable increases in stock returns and volatility, largely due to the role of options market makers and institutional investors. Option market makers often use delta hedging to manage exposure, which requires frequent buying or selling of the underlying stock to maintain a hedged position. As expiration approaches, their activity can amplify price fluctuations. Additionally, institutional investors often roll over or unwind positions during expiration weeks, creating further demand for underlying stocks (Stoll & Whaley, 1987). This increased demand around expiration week typically leads to temporary stock price increases, offering profitable opportunities for short-term strategies.
Key Research and Bibliography
Johnson, T. C., & So, E. C. (2013). Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(11), 4226-4240.
This study specifically examines the S&P 100 stocks and demonstrates that option expiration weeks are associated with abnormal returns and trading volume due to increased activity in the options market.
Stoll, H. R., & Whaley, R. E. (1987). Program Trading and Expiration-Day Effects. Financial Analysts Journal, 43(2), 16-28.
Stoll and Whaley analyze how program trading and portfolio insurance strategies around expiration days impact stock prices, leading to temporary volatility and increased trading volume.
Ni, S. X., Pearson, N. D., & Poteshman, A. M. (2005). Stock Price Clustering on Option Expiration Dates. Journal of Financial Economics, 78(1), 49-87.
This paper investigates how option expiration dates affect stock price clustering and volume, driven by delta hedging and other option-related trading activities.
Roll, R., Schwartz, E., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2009). Options Trading Activity and Firm Valuation. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(3), 519-534.
The authors explore how options trading activity influences firm valuation, finding that higher options volume around expiration dates can lead to temporary price movements in underlying stocks.
Cao, C., & Wei, J. (2010). Option Market Liquidity and Stock Return Volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(2), 481-507.
This study examines the relationship between options market liquidity and stock return volatility, finding that increased liquidity needs during expiration weeks can heighten volatility, impacting stock returns.
Summary
The Option Expiration Week Strategy utilizes well-researched financial market phenomena related to option expiration. By positioning long in S&P 100 stocks or ETFs during this period, traders can potentially capture abnormal returns driven by option market dynamics. The literature suggests that options-related activities—such as delta hedging, position rollovers, and portfolio adjustments—intensify demand for underlying assets, creating short-term profit opportunities around these key dates.
Flashtrader´s Statistical BandwidthsThe vast majority of traders exclusively concern
themselves with trend-following in all its facets. Scoring
points with trends on a regular basis is a difficult task
since prices do not constantly move in one direction
or another. In the case of the DAX future, for example,
only about 30 per cent of all trading days in a year are
trend days. And of these, there are x percent long ones
and x per cent short ones. Catching the very days when
prices rise or fall from the opening to the close is a major
challenge for a trader who also needs to have previously
recognised the corresponding direction.
However, there are also other ways of profit-taking
every day – for example, by using the mean reversion
strategy. The idea behind this is the fact that prices reach
a high and a low every day – but very rarely close at the
high or the low. This means that prices always move
away from these extreme points and the closing price is
somewhere in between. A profitable trading strategy can
be developed out of this.
But how can you know where the high and the low
will be tomorrow? Is it possible for you to know this in
advance? No – because no one can predict the future. Or
can they? At least it can be statistically determined how
high or low prices could go tomorrow. There is a high
degree of probability that one of the two possibilities
will materialise. It will then be necessary to act.
Calculation
Classic pivot points for the following day are calculated
from the high, low and closing price. But does it really
make sense to use such a mix? I don’t think so and
use a different calculation for this strategy. In a first step,
only the differences between the start and the high or low
are calculated on a daily basis. To avoid being dependent
on individual days and outliers, it is advisable to calculate,
in a second step, the average of these differences over
the past five days. Finally, this average will then be added
at the opening price of the current trading day for the
upper statistical bandwidth and subtracted for the lower
bandwidth.
upper bandwidth = oSTB (violet dashed line in the chart)
lower bandwidth = uSTB (violet dashedline in the chart)
The second interesting question is, if the previous day's high has been exceeded, how much further can the price rise from a mathematical/statistical point of view?
These calculated previous day highs expansions are shown as red dashed lines
Previous day's high expansion = VTHA
Previous day's low expansion = VTTA
For further orientation, the previous day's high (VTH) and the previous day's low (VTT) are shown in light blue dashed lines
And as a supplement, the previous day's close in the DAX Future at 10:00 p.m. VTSA in violet solid lines and the previous day's close in the cash register at 5:30 p.m. VTSN in yellow solid lines
Reaching the calculated extreme values does not mean that the trend has to change immediately, but there is at least temporary exhaustion potential with which you can earn a few points every day in the area of scalping.
Example for cheap entry long:
Example for cheap entry short:
Deutsch:
Die Masse der Trader beschäftigt sich ausschließlich mit Trendfolge in all ihren Facetten. Mit Trends regelmäßig zu punkten ist ein schwieriges Unterfangen, da die Kurse nicht ständig in die eine oder andere Richtung laufen. Beim DAX-Future zum Beispiel sind von allen Börsentagen im Jahr lediglich zirka 30 Prozent Trendtage. Davon sind dann auch noch x Prozent Long und x Prozent Short. Hier genau die Tage abzupassen, an denen die Kurse von Börsenbeginn bis zum Schluss steigen beziehungsweise fallen, ist eine große Herausforderung – wobei der Trader zuvor noch die entsprechende Richtung erkannt haben muss. Es gibt jedoch auch noch andere Methoden täglich Gewinne mitzunehmen, zum Beispiel mit der Mean-Reversion-Strategie (Mittelwertumkehr).
Hintergrund ist die Tatsache, dass die Kurse jeden Tag ein Hoch und ein Tief erreichen – aber sehr selten am Hoch oder am Tief schließen. Das bedeutet, dass die Preise sich immer wie der von diesen Extrempunkten wegbewegen und der Schlusskurs irgendwo dazwischen liegt. Hieraus lässt sich eine profitable Handelsstrategie entwickeln. Aber woher kannst Du wissen, wo morgen das Hoch und das Tief sein wird? Kannst Du das vorher schon wissen? Nein – denn niemand kann die Zukunft vorhersagen. Oder doch? Statistisch lässt sich zumindest bestimmen, wie hoch und wie tief die Kurse morgen steigen oder fallen könnten. Eine Seite wird mit sehr hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit ein treffen. Dann gilt es zu handeln.
Berechnung Klassischer Pivot-Punkte für den folgenden Tag werden aus Hoch, Tief und Schlusskurs berechnet. Aber ist es wirklich sinnvoll, einen solchen Mix zu verwenden? Ich finde das nicht und verwenden für diese Strategie eine andere Berechnung. Im ersten Schritt werden täglich die Differenzen nur vom Start bis zum Hoch beziehungsweise Tief errechnet. Um nicht von einzelnen Tagen und Ausreißern abhängig zu sein, empfiehlt es sich, in einem zweiten Schritt den Durchschnitt dieser Differenzen über die letzten fünf Tage zu errechnen. Zuletzt wird dann dieser Durchschnitt zum Eröffnungskurs des aktuellen Handelstages für die obere statistische Bandbreite addiert und für die untere Bandbreite subtrahiert.
Obere statistische Bandbreite = oSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Untere statistische Bandbreite = uSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Die zweite interessante Frage ist, wenn das Vortageshoch überschritten wurde, wie weit kann der Kurs dann noch steigen aus mathematisch/statistischer Sicht?
Diese berechneten Vortagesextremausdehnungen sind als rote gestrichelte Linien dargestellt
Vortageshochausdehnung = VTHA
Vortagestiefausdehnung = VTTA
Für die weitere Orientierung sind die Vortageshochs (VTH) und die Vortagestiefs (VTT) als hellblaue gestrichelte Linien abgebildet.
Als Ergänzung wird noch der Vortages Schluss im Dax Future um 22:00 Uhr VTSA mit einer violetten durchgezogenen Linie und der Kassamarktschluss um 17:30 Uhr mit einer gelben durchgezogenen Linie gezeigt.
Das Erreichen der berechneten Extremwerte bedeutet nicht, das der Trend sofort drehen muss, aber es sind zumindest temporäre Erschöpfungspotentiale mit denen sich im Bereich scalping täglich einige Punkte verdienen lassen.
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Long:
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Short:
