YinYang RSI Volume Trend StrategyThere are many strategies that use RSI or Volume but very few that take advantage of how useful and important the two of them combined are. This strategy uses the Highs and Lows with Volume and RSI weighted calculations on top of them. You may be wondering how much of an impact Volume and RSI can have on the prices; the answer is a lot and we will discuss those with plenty of examples below, but first…
How does this strategy work?
It’s simple really, when the purchase source crosses above the inner low band (red) it creates a Buy or Long. This long has a Trailing Stop Loss band (the outer low band that's also red) that can be adjusted in the Settings. The Stop Loss is based on a % of the inner low band’s price and by default it is 0.1% lower than the inner band’s price. This Stop Loss is not only a stop loss but it can also act as a Purchase Available location.
You can get back into a trade after a stop loss / take profit has been hit when your Reset Purchase Availability After condition has been met. This can either be at Stop Loss, Entry or None.
It is advised to allow it to reset in case the stop loss was a fake out but the call was right. Sometimes it may trigger stop loss multiple times in a row, but you don’t lose much on stop loss and you gain lots when the call is right.
The Take Profit location is the basis line (white). Take Profit occurs when the Exit Source (close, open, high, low or other) crosses the basis line and then on a different bar the Exit Source crosses back over the basis line. For example, if it was a Long and the bar’s Exit Source closed above the basis line, and then 2 bars later its Exit Source closed below the basis line, Take Profit would occur. You can disable Take Profit in Settings, but it is very useful as many times the price will cross the Basis and then correct back rather than making it all the way to the opposing zone.
Longs:
If for instance your Long doesn’t need to Take Profit and instead reaches the top zone, it will close the position when it crosses above the inner top line (green).
Please note you can change the Exit Source too which is what source (close, open, high, low) it uses to end the trades.
The Shorts work the same way as the Long but just opposite, they start when the purchase source crosses under the inner upper band (green).
Shorts:
Shorts take profit when it crosses under the basis line and then crosses back.
Shorts will Stop loss when their outer upper band (green) is crossed with the Exit Source.
Short trades are completed and closed when its Exit Source crosses under the inner low red band.
So, now that you understand how the strategy works, let’s discuss why this strategy works and how it is profitable.
First we will discuss Volume as we deem it plays a much bigger role overall and in our strategy:
As I’m sure many of you know, Volume plays a huge factor in how much something moves, but it also plays a role in the strength of the movement. For instance, let’s look at two scenarios:
Bitcoin’s price goes up $1000 in 1 Day but the Volume was only 10 million
Bitcoin’s price goes up $200 in 1 Day but the Volume was 40 million
If you were to only look at the price, you’d say #1 was more important because the price moved x5 the amount as #2, but once you factor in the volume, you know this is not true. The reason why Volume plays such a huge role in Price movement is because it shows there is a large Limit Order battle going on. It means that both Bears and Bulls believe that price is a good time to Buy and Sell. This creates a strong Support and Resistance price point in this location. If we look at scenario #2, when there is high volume, especially if it is drastically larger than the average volume Bitcoin was displaying recently, what can we decipher from this? Well, the biggest take away is that the Bull’s won the battle, and that likely when that happens we will see bullish movement continuing to happen as most of the Bears Limit Orders have been fulfilled. Whereas with #2, when large price movement happens and Bitcoin goes up $1000 with low volume what can we deduce? The main takeaway is that Bull’s pressured the price up with Market Orders where they purchased the best available price, also what this means is there were very few people who were wanting to sell. This generally dictates that Whale Limit orders for Sells/Shorts are much higher up and theres room for movement, but it also means there is likely a whale that is ready to dump and crash it back down.
You may be wondering, what did this example have to do with YinYang RSI Volume Trend Strategy? Well the reason we’ve discussed this is because we use Volume multiple times to apply multiplications in our calculations to add large weight to the price when there is lots of volume (this is applied both positively and negatively). For instance, if the price drops a little and there is high volume, our strategy will move its bounds MUCH lower than the price actually dropped, and if there was low volume but the price dropped A LOT, our strategy will only move its bounds a little. We believe this reflects higher levels of price accuracy than just price alone based on the examples described above.
Don’t believe us?
Here is with Volume NOT factored in (VWMA = SMA and we remove our Volume Filter calculation):
Which produced -$2880 Profit
Here is with our Volume factored in:
Which produced $553,000 (55.3%)
As you can see, we wen’t from $-2800 profit with volume not factored to $553,000 with volume factored. That's quite a big difference! (Please note previous success does not predict future success we are simply displaying the $ amounts as example).
Now how about RSI and why does it matter in this strategy?
As I’m sure most of you are aware, RSI is one of the leading indicators used in trading. For this reason we figured it would only make sense to incorporate it into our calculations. We fiddled with RSI for quite awhile and sometimes what logically seems to be the right way to use it isn’t. Now, because of this, our RSI calculation is a little odd, but basically what we’re doing is we calculate the RSI, then turn it into a percentage (between 0-1) that can easily be multiplied to the price point we need. The price point we use is the difference between our high purchase zone and our low purchase zone. This allows us to see how much price movement there is between zones. We multiply our zone size with our RSI multiplication and we get the amount we will add +/- to our basis line (white line). This officially creates the NEW high and low purchase zones that we are actually using and displaying in our trades.
If you found that confusing, here are some examples to why it is an important calculation for this strategy:
Before RSI factored in:
Which produced 27.8% Profit
After RSI factored in:
Which produced 553% Profit
As you can see, the RSI makes not only the purchase zones more accurate, but it also greatly increases the profit the strategy is able to make. It also helps ensure an relatively linear profit slope so you know it is reliable with its trades.
This strategy can work on pretty much anything, but you should tweak the values a bit for each pair you are trading it with for best results.
We hope you can find some use out of this simple but effective strategy, if you have any questions, comments or concerns please let us know.
HAPPY TRADING!
Cerca negli script per "profitable"
Moving Average Rainbow (Stormer)This strategy is based and shown by trader and investor Alexandre Wolwacz "Stormer".
Overview
The strategy uses 12 moving averages (default EMA) to identify trends and generate trading signals opening positions.
Allowing to select the type of moving average and length to be used.
The conditions includes relationship between moving averages, the position of the current price relative to the moving averages, and the occurrence of certain price patterns.
Calculation
The mean moving averages is calculated by adding all the 12 moving averages and dividing by 12, the value is used to help to identify trend and possible condition to open position.
The 12 moving averages is spliced by 3 ranges, initial range (moving average lines 1 to 4), middle range (moving average lines 5 to 8) and end range (moving average lines 9 to 12). These ranges helps to identify potential trend and market turn over.
The moving average touch price is a relationship between the low price (uptrend) or high price (downtrend) with the moving average lines, it identifies where the price (low/high) has reached the the moving average line. Fetching the value to help for opening position, set stop loss and take profit.
Since the stop loss is based and set from the previous moving average touch price value, when position is about to be open and setting the stop loss value, there is a verification to check both current and previous moving average touch price to recalculate the stop loss value.
The turnover trend checks for a possible market turnover event, setting up a new profit target, this setting when enabled is to be helpful when a turnover occurs against the position to exit position with some profit based on highest high price if long or lowest low price if short.
The turnover signal is similar to turnover trend. The difference is that when this setting is enabled and it triggers, it simply exit the current position and opens up a reverse position, long goes short and short goes long. And there is an complement optional that checks current price exit profitable.
Entry Position
Long Position:
Price is higher than the mean moving averages. Meaning possible uptrend.
The lines of the middle range from the moving averages are in increasing order. Meaning possible uptrend.
The current high pierced up previous high.
Fetch the previous value of the moving average touch price. Meaning the low price has touched one of the moving average lines, which that value is conditioning to open position.
Short Position:
Price is lower than the mean moving averages. Meaning possible downtrend.
The lines of the middle range from the moving averages are in decreasing order. Meaning possible downtrend.
The current low pierced down previous low.
Fetch the previous value of the moving average touch price. Meaning the high price has touched one of the moving average lines, which that value is conditioning to open position.
Risk Management
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is based from the previous moving average touch price value, high price for short and low price for long or occurs an verification to check for both current and previous moving average touch price value and a recalculation is done to set the stop loss.
Take Profit:
According to the author, the profit target should be at least 1:1.6 the risk, so to have the strategy mathematically positive.
The profit target is configured input, can be increased or decreased.
It calculates the take profit based on the price of the stop loss with the profit target input.
Turnover Trend
Long Position:
The moving averages initial range lines signals a possible market turnover. Meaning long might be going short.
Fetches the highest high hit since the opening of the position, setting that value to the new profit target.
Short Position:
The moving averages initial range lines signals a possible market turnover. Meaning short might be going long.
Fetches the lowest low hit since the opening of the position, setting that value to the new profit target.
Historical Volatility Scale [ChartPrime]This indicator outputs a visual scale representing the level of volatility in the market relative to the timeframe selected on the users chart. The method of volatility used is "historical volatility" which is calculated by taking the standard deviation of a series of "x" length which contains the current closing price divided by the previous closing price for all nodes. The output of the volatility is standardized by also running an additional percentrank calculation over the raw volatility values to allow the volatility scale to oscillate properly between its minimum of 0 and maximum of 100.
📗 SETTINGS
Length: The length determines how many bars/nodes should be considered when calculating the standard deviation. In simple terms, the higher the length, the less sensitive and less reactive the scale will be to current price action, and larger moves would be required to trigger the scale.
🧰 UTILITY
The arrow or "The Pin" will move upwards towards the "fire" emoji when the volatility is higher than the majority of values for the amount of bars back that you set the "length" setting to. Vise Versa for when the pin is lowering towards the "snooze" emoji, the volatility is less than the majority of nodes/values for the past "length" amount of values.
When the volatility is low, a trader could consider utilizing more leading indicators to make their trading decisions as opposed to lagging indicator such as trend indicators. When the volatility is low, the price action is consolidation which would be bad for a trend following strategy. Vise Versa for trend strategies, having a higher volatility may be better for such strategies.
Its important to remember that this indicator itself is a lagging indicator, in that it relies on historical data to showcase the current state of the markets volatility. This means that although the recommendation in the previous paragraph may make logical sense, it is not a guarantee that if the volatility is showcasing a trending market, that your trend strategies will necessarily be profitable.
Crypto McClellan Oscillator (SLN Fix)This is an adaption of the Mcclellan Oscillator for crypto. Instead of tracking the S&P500 it tracks a selection of cryptos to make sure the indicator follows this sector instead.
Full credit goes to the creator of this indicator: Fadior. It has since been fixed by SLN.
The following description explains the standard McClellan Oscillator. Full credit to Investopedia , my fav source of financial explanations.
The same principles applies to its use in the crypto sector, but please be cautious of the last point, the limitations. Since crypto is more volatile, that could amplify choppy behavior.
This is not financial advice, please be extremely cautious. This indicator is only suitable as a confirmation signal and needs support of other signals to be profitable.
This indicator usually produces the best signals on slightly above daily time frame. I personally like 2 or 3 day, but you have to find the settings suitable for your trading style.
What Is the McClellan Oscillator?
The McClellan Oscillator is a market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on a stock exchange, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ.
The indicator is used to show strong shifts in sentiment in the indexes, called breadth thrusts. It also helps in analyzing the strength of an index trend via divergence or confirmation.
The McClellan Oscillator formula can be applied to any stock exchange or group of stocks.
A reading above zero helps confirm a rise in the index, while readings below zero confirm a decline in the index.
When the index is rising but the oscillator is falling, that warns that the index could start declining too. When the index is falling and the oscillator is rising, that indicates the index could start rising soon. This is called divergence.
A significant change, such as moving 100 points or more, from a negative reading to a positive reading is called a breadth thrust. It may indicate a strong reversal from downtrend to uptrend is underway on the stock exchange.
How to Calculate the McClellan Oscillator
To get the calculation started, track Advances - Declines on a stock exchange for 19 and 39 days. Calculate a simple average for these, not exponential moving average (EMA).
Use these simple values as the Prior Day EMA values in the 19- and 39-day EMA formulas.
Calculate the 19- and 39-day EMAs.
Calculate the McClellan Oscillator value.
Now that the value has been calculated, on the next calculation use this value for the Prior Day EMA. Start calculating EMAs for the formula instead of simple averages.
If using the adjusted formula, the steps are the same, except use ANA instead of using Advances - Declines.
What Does the McClellan Oscillator Tell You?
The McClellan Oscillator is an indicator based on market breadth which technical analysts can use in conjunction with other technical tools to determine the overall state of the stock market and assess the strength of its current trend.
Since the indicator is based on all the stocks in an exchange, it is compared to the price movements of indexes that reflect that exchange, or compared to major indexes such as the S&P 500.
Positive and negative values indicate whether more stocks, on average, are advancing or declining. The indicator is positive when the 19-day EMA is above the 39-day EMA, and negative when the 19-day EMA is below the 39-day EMA.
A positive and rising indicator suggests that stocks on the exchange are being accumulated. A negative and falling indicator signals that stocks are being sold. Typically such action confirms the current trend in the index.
Crossovers from positive to negative, or vice versa, may signal the trend has changed in the index or exchange being tracked. When the indicator makes a large move, typically of 100 points or more, from negative to positive territory, that is called a breadth thrust.
It means a large number of stocks moved up after a bearish move. Since the stock market tends to rise over time, this a positive signal and may indicate that a bottom in the index is in and prices are heading higher overall.
When index prices and the indicator are moving in different directions, then the current index trend may lack strength. Bullish divergence occurs when the oscillator is rising while the index is falling. This indicates the index could head higher soon since more stocks are starting to advance.
Bearish divergence is when the index is rising and the indicator is falling. This means fewer stocks are keeping the advance going and prices may start to head lower.
Limitations of Using the McClellan Oscillator
The indicator tends to produce lots of signals. Breadth thrusts, divergence, and crossovers all occur with some frequency, but not all these signals will result in the price/index moving in the expected direction.
The indicator is prone to producing false signals and therefore should be used in conjunction with price action analysis and other technical indicators.
The indicator can also be quite choppy, moving between positive and negative territory rapidly. Such action indicates a choppy market, but this isn't evident until the indicator has made this whipsaw move a few times.
Good luck and a big thanks to Fadior!
[ChasinAlts]Top-Wicked Good S/R LinesHello Tradeurs, as per usual, I hope everyone is having a FAN-FRIGGIN-TASTIC day. With the soon incoming bull market approaching fast(Nov 7, 2022), there are a few ideas that I've really been trying to push out to help nail a few coins as they are near their bottom peak of this closing Bear Market. This one may seem very similar to the last one I posted but I think this one takes the cake...esp when you see the next script from my 'Market Overview' series that I will be publishing shortly after this one as it is utilizing this new script for a market scanner that will be SUPER legit and profitable. Though it is alway nice to be noticed, I'm glad that I'm relatively unpopular so the few people that are now following me can have some time to make some money with some of these scripts I'm trying to pump out for the benefit of the community. I will rarely give my full analysis of how I take in and utilize these scripts but I can tell you, QUITE A FEW of them are money in the bank. Esp these last few I've done/am doing and even more-so the ones that are soon to come (I'm speaking of about the next 3-4 that I will be attempting to pump out in this next VERY IMPORTANT week.). One more thing I'll add before going to the script is a little alpha(Im pretty certain this is the way it is going but NOTHING is EVERY 100% in life). What I believe should be realized is the bottoming out of MANY of the crypto coins at the VERY bottom of a LONG TERM Cup and Handle (so it seems but shat can still change in the blink of an eye). Thus there are quite a few coins that I believe have already bottomed and wont be returning to said bottom for a few years or so but there are also quite a few still at the brink of the bottomest part before the real market breakout occurs. My goal with these scripts coming out this week to help you all find those coins that have yet to hit their very bottom (thus the ATH/ATL script recently published). Going back in history looking for the lowest points of long term Cup & Handles I will point out 2 key things. Near the center/bottomest part of these historical CnH you will see either Double Bottoms OR a Huge dump and then its V-shaped recovery. After these print the point of no return has occurred where only a few coins will be going lower than these Double Bottoms/V-Shaped recoveries. So the time is at hand. Now that many coins are seemingly pumping after this long consolidation, I believe we need to keep a keen eye out for THE FINAL RUG PULL (as soon as enough degenerates are leveraging Long their entire savings.). What Im saying is be ready for this final rug pull to finally be seeing these Double Bottoms/V-Shaped recoveries VERY soon. DO NOT waste all your capital yet and MAKE SURE to use stop losses or else rather than stop losses you will be burdened with MUCH WORSE losses. Im currently not even in the market bc I am waiting on said rug pull. Ok for the Script now.
This script is similar to the last one but with the previous one, one general set of settings can produce VASTLY different results (might have 2 S/R lines on one coin and 80 on another). I wanted to fix that with this script, turn it into a "Market Overview" Scanner and create alerts for the MO Scanner to be able to get alerted any time a coin is passing its largest wick S/R levels bc DULY NOTE...it is VERY rare that a coin will blow past it if it hasn't approached it recently. That means that a small retrace of 3-5%(or more) is EASY to acquire (with leverage that can really add up with how many coins are in the Kucoin Margin Coin list that I have in my scanners). Now, once price does shoot through a level you best be sure to be looking down the line for a retest of the S/R level it blew past before as they are MANY times the retest level and price will be coming back to it before continuing
in the direction it was going. Depending on the TF your using this could be a few hours to a few days to a few weeks...you get it. With this script you can choose to draw S/R lines 2 ways: 1) by having it plot S/R lines on the end of the largest 2(3,4,5..however many you choose) wicks that the chart has access to. For the scanner ill just be putting the largest 2-3 wicks and set alerts when coming up to them/crossing them & 2) having it draw S/R lines on the ends of the largest X% of wicks. it will be erasing the lines and drawing new ones on each new candle occurrence so the same general settings will no longer be producing VASTLY diff amounts of S/R lines and will be way more consistent amongst the coins for better utilization with the scanner (when I publish it). There is also a Wick Max Cutoff % so for those coins that had it's first few hours printing 100% sized wicks...you can choose to ignore them so they are not taking up one of your top spots for the S/R lines. There is similarly a Wick % min Size that can be selected so if you’re using the top % setting, it will help decrease those coins that can be still plotting 30 lines even though the top 3% of the largest wicks are set in the settings. Hope Im being clear but it's easy enough. I believe in you and your capabilities of comprehending it all and getting it all figured out. So this script is for a visualization for the scanner that I will be uploading soon-after. It's always nice to get a few comments if my ideas/scripts have been helpful to you and please don't hold back if you have something to tell me that I screwed up on (I am still rather new to this coding thing but I like to think I at least have some fresh ideas that aren’t out there in the public library). Talk to you soon and may the force be with your trades. Peace and love people...peace and love. -ChasinAlts out.
CROCEUsing free cash flow instead of ebit, to be able to evaluate stocks that are not yet profitable.
the formulas are
fcf ttm / (not financial operating working capital - Cash + Net Property Plant and Equipment)
and
fcf yield on Enterprice Value
Example CRWD negative ebit, but cash creation, in this case the expenses in research and development go to affect the ebit.
ADX W. Wilders(DI+, DI-, DX, ADXR, Equilibrium Point)The reason for publishing the script was the lack of display of important components in the standard ADX indicator, such as DI+, DI-, DX , ADXR, and the absence of a choice of methods for calculating moving averages in the indicator.
According to the book by the author of the ADX indicator, W. Wilder, the indicator components were calculated using the SMA formula, however, the RMA moving average is used in the code of the built-in indicator in TradingView, which shows excellent results, but this is not a classic calculation method. In addition to SMA and RMA, there are also EMA , HMA , WMA , VWMA moving averages to choose from. Added the ability to display lines ADX , ADXR , DX , DI+, DI- and Equilibrium points (when DI+ and DI- are equal or intersect).
ADX Trading Rules
1. Trade the intersections of DI+ and DI-
2. Extreme Point Rule(EPR). EPR is formed when DI+, DI- (Equilibrium point) crosses, forming a trend reversal point at the extremum of the current bar. In the example on the ADX RMA chart, the DI- line is above DI+. Being in a short position at the reverse intersection of the DI- and DI + lines, it is necessary to take the high price of the crossing bar for the reversal point, upon breakdown of which, turn to long. In this example, the breakdown did not take place and the short position remained active, despite the intersection of the DI+ lines over DI-. This rule is an excellent filter that removes unnecessary transactions in the trading system.
3. DI+ > ADX and DI- > ADX. Stop trading trend-following systems.
4. If ADXR > 25, the trading system will be profitable. With ADXR < 20, trend-following systems need to stop trading. Many mistakenly use ADX values instead of ADXR . The author explicitly pointed to ADXR in his book.
5. Equilibrium Point - balance points. The accumulation of these points on the chart means the presence of a flat in the market. Accumulation often appears on a declining ADX after a top has been established on the ADX indicator. The smaller the distance between the points, the less significant movements occurred in the market.
6. For intraday trading of cryptocurrencies use can the following ADX settings:
DI Length = 100
ADX Smoothing = 14
MA Type = VWMA
Flat Zone = 30
P.S. Fragment from an interview with W. Wilder:
OH: You are probably best known for inventing the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ), Average Directional Index ( ADX ) and Average True Range (ATR). Which of these is the most powerful tool for a trader?
WW: The ADX .
OH: Is it the indicator you are most proud of?
WW: I guess so.
VIDYA Trend StrategyOne of the most common messages I get is people reaching out asking for quantitative strategies that trade cryptocurrency. This has compelled me to write this script and article, to help provide a quantitative/technical perspective on why I believe most strategies people write for crypto fail catastrophically, and how one might build measures within their strategies that help reduce the risk of that happening. For those that don't trade crypto, know that these approaches are applicable to any market.
I will start off by qualifying up that I mainly trade stocks and ETFs, and I believe that if you trade crypto, you should only be playing with money you are okay with losing. Most published crypto strategies I have seen "work" when the market is going up, and fail catastrophically when it is not. There are far more people trying to sell you a strategy than there are people providing 5-10+ year backtest results on their strategies, with slippage and commissions included, showing how they generated alpha and beat buy/hold. I understand that this community has some really talented people that can create some really awesome things, but I am saying that the vast majority of what you find on the internet will not be strategies that create alpha over the long term.
So, why do so many of these strategies fail?
There is an assumption many people make that cryptocurrency will act just like stocks and ETFs, and it does not. ETF returns have more of a Gaussian probability distribution. Because of this, ETFs have a short term mean reverting behavior that can be capitalized on consistently. Many technical indicators are built to take advantage of this on the equities market. Many people apply them to crypto. Many of those people are drawn down 60-70% right now while there are mean reversion strategies up YTD on equities, even though the equities market is down. Crypto has many more "tail events" that occur 3-4+ standard deviations from the mean.
There is a correlation in many equities and ETF markets for how long an asset continues to do well when it is currently doing well. This is known as momentum, and that correlation and time-horizon is different for different assets. Many technical indicators are built based on this behavior, and then people apply them to cryptocurrency with little risk management assuming they behave the same and and on the same time horizon, without pulling in the statistics to verify if that is actually the case. They do not.
People do not take into account the brokerage commissions and slippage. Brokerage commissions are particularly high with cryptocurrency. The irony here isn't lost to me. When you factor in trading costs, it blows up most short-term trading strategies that might otherwise look profitable.
There is an assumption that it will "always come back" and that you "HODL" through the crash and "buy more." This is why Three Arrows Capital, a $10 billion dollar crypto hedge fund is now in bankruptcy, and no one can find the owners. This is also why many that trade crypto are drawn down 60-70% right now. There are bad risk practices in place, like thinking the martingale gambling strategy is the same as dollar cost averaging while also using those terms interchangeably. They are not the same. The 1st will blow up your trade account, and the 2nd will reduce timing risk. Many people are systematically blowing up their trade accounts/strategies by using martingale and calling it dollar cost averaging. The more risk you are exposing yourself too, the more important your risk management strategy is.
There is an odd assumption some have that you can buy anything and win with technical/quantitative analysis. Technical analysis does not tell you what you should buy, it just tells you when. If you are running a strategy that is going long on an asset that lost 80% of its value in the last year, then your strategy is probably down. That same strategy might be up on a different asset. One might consider a different methodology on choosing assets to trade.
Lastly, most strategies are over-fit, or curve-fit. The more complicated and more parameters/settings you have in your model, the more likely it is just fit to historical data and will not perform similar in live trading. This is one of the reasons why I like simple models with few parameters. They are less likely to be over-fit to historical data. If the strategy only works with 1 set of parameters, and there isn't a range of parameters around it that create alpha, then your strategy is over-fit and is probably not suitable for live trading.
So, what can I do about all of this!?
I created the VIDYA Trend Strategy to provide an example of how one might create a basic model with a basic risk management strategy that might generate long term alpha on a volatile asset, like cryptocurrency. This is one (of many) risk management strategies that can reduce the volatility of your returns when trading any asset. I chose the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA) for this example because it's calculation filters out some market noise by taking into account the volatility of the underlying asset. I chose a trend following strategy because regressions are capturing behaviors that are not just specific to the equities market.
The more volatile an asset, the more you have to back-off the short term price movement to effectively trend-follow it. Otherwise, you are constantly buying into short term trends that don't represent the trend of the asset, then they reverse and loose money. This is why I am applying a trend following strategy to a 4 hour chart and not a 4 minute chart. It is also important to note that following these long term trends on a volatile asset exposes you to additional risk. So, how might one mitigate some of that risk?
One of the ways of reducing timing risk is scaling into a trade. This is different from "doubling down" or "trippling down." It is really a basic application of dollar cost averaging to reduce timing risk, although DCA would typically happen over a longer time period. If it is really a trend you are following, it will probably still be a trend tomorrow. Trend following strategies have lower win rates because the beginning of a trend often reverses. The more volatile the asset, the more likely that is to happen. However, we can reduce risk of buying into a reversal by slowly scaling into the trend with a small % of equity per trade.
Our example "VIDYA Trend Strategy" executes this by looking at a medium-term, volatility adjusted trend on a 4 hour chart. The script scales into it with 4% of the account equity every 4-hours that the trend is still up. This means you become fully invested after 25 trades/bars. It also means that early in the trade, when you might be more likely to experience a reversal, most of your account equity is not invested and those losses are much smaller. The script sells 100% of the position when it detects a trend reversal. The slower you scale into a trade, the less volatile your equity curve will be. This model also includes slippage and commissions that you can adjust under the "settings" menu.
This fundamental concept of reducing timing risk by scaling into a trade can be applied to any market.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
2x take profit, move stop loss to entryTwo take profit targets moving stop loss to entry after first take profit hit
This strategy shows a method to achieve the following trade management:
1) Open a position with two take profit targets
2) When first take profit is hit, move the stop loss to entry price
3) Position is closed when either second take profit is hit or position is stopped out at entry
Trading Conditions
The trading conditions used in this script are for illustrative purposes only and are not meant to be profitable.
Bollinger Bands
Used to show areas where price is moving outside of the normal range
Stochastic
Used to show overbought and oversold conditions.
Green dots are plotted when the K line crosses over its SMA. Red dots are plotted when the K line crosses under its SMA.
The option to use overbought/oversold thresholds is again illustrative.
Customizable OCC Non Repainting Scalper Bot v7.0bThis strategy is intended to be used on an automated trading platform and should be run on a one minute chart for fastest confirmations and signal relay to crypto automation platform. The strategy has been modded to only go long at this time to focus on profitability for one direction. The open long and close long text fields allow you to use your own webhook message for this purpose.
I have spent quite a bit of time and I figured I would put it out to the community to share the work and also get some feedback.
Ok, so let me say that I have done absolutely everything I can to make the strategy not repaint while still maintaining it's profitability. It has been a challenge so I am publishing this to the community to help test this.
What I have observed: the strategy will not repaint in real time. That is, if you have the chart open and keep it open, the signals are the same as the ones that are sent out by the strategy. In certain cases, when I reload the chart- the signals might be off from what was sent. In some ways, that is repainting, but it is repainting based on losing the real time data and recalculating from a different set of bars- since I am running it on a one minute chart then the start becomes different when you refresh.
To address repainting while keeping the strategy calculating as quickly as possibly I have altered the logic in the following ways:
I have made an assumption which might not work for everyone- at the first tick of the next bar, you can almost safefly assume in crypto that if you are looking at the previous bar for information, the open of the current bar was the close of the previous bar. This for the most part holds true in crypto with good liquidity. If you are trading a pair that jumps around due to low volume- this might not be the strategy to use. I might publish a different version with a different logic.
I have altered the security repaint to use isbarconfirmed, so at the very end of the bar (as soon as the bar is confirmed), we recalculate to the higher time frames. So as soon as the data is available, it is at that point that we can then safely calculate higher time frames. This is unique and experimental, but seems to do well at creating good signals for entry.
I have employed my own intervals by utilizing the resolution as an integer (used by the previous authors)- but in this case, I use the interval to take a snapshot of the higher time frame. With open close cross, the different moving averages can cause the repainting as they change to show the exact point of the cross. The interval feature I created minimizes this by utilizing the previous bar info until the interval is closed and then we recalculate the variants. You can use the interval offset feature to denote which minute is the one that starts and ends the interval. So for instance, Trading View uses minue 1 and minute 31 for 30 minute intervals. If you offset your 30 minute interval would start on minute 16 and do its calculations based on the last 30 minutes,
As with most of my scripts, I have started using filters and a "show data" feature that will give you the ability to see the values of indicators that you cannot plot in the overlay. This allows you to figure out how to filter losing trades or market conditions.
I have also added a trailing stop and created a fixed stop loss as seems to perform better than the original occ strategy. The original one seemed to repaint enough that it would close too quickly and not give the posiition enough time to become profitable. In certain cases where there was a large move, it would perform well, but for the most part the trades would not close profitably even though the backtest said that it did - probably due to the delay in execution and pinescript not having a confirmation on what the actual position price was.
This is still in beta mode, so please forward test first and use at your own risk.
If you spot repaint issues, please send me a message and try to explain the situation.
Oversold RSI with tight SL Strategy (by Coinrule)This is one of the best strategies that can be used to get familiar with technical indicators and start to include them in your trading bot rules.
ENTRY
1. This trading system uses the RSI ( Relative Strength Index ) to anticipate good points to enter positions. RSI is a technical indicator frequently used in trading. It works by measuring the speed and change of price movements to determine whether a coin is oversold (indicating a good entry point) or overbought (indicating a point of exit/entry for a short position). The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100 and is traditionally considered overbought when over 70 and oversold when below 30.
2. To pick the right moment to buy, the strategy enters a trade when the RSI falls below 30 indicating the coin is oversold and primed for a trend reversal.
EXIT
The strategy then exits the position when the price appreciates 7% from the point of entry. The position also maintains a tight stop-loss and closes the position if the price depreciates 1% from the entry price. The idea behind this is to cut your losing trades fast and let your winners ride.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our backtesting data is the daily. Shorter time frames can also work well on certain coins, however in our experience, the daily works best. Feel free to experiment with this script and test it on a variety of your coins! With our backtesting data a trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume. In the example shown, this strategy made a handsome net profit of 39.31% on Chainlink with 61.54% of trades being profitable.
Oversold RSI with Tight Stop-Loss Strategy (by Coinrule)KRAKEN:LINKUSD
This is one of the best strategies that can be used to get familiar with technical indicators and start to include them in your rules on Coinrule .
ENTRY
1. This trading system uses the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to anticipate good points to enter positions. RSI is a technical indicator frequently used in trading. It works by measuring the speed and change of price movements to determine whether a coin is oversold (indicating a good entry point) or overbought (indicating a point of exit/entry for a short position). The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100 and is traditionally considered overbought when over 70 and oversold when below 30.
2. To pick the right moment to buy, the strategy enters a trade when the RSI falls below 30 indicating the coin is oversold and primed for a trend reversal.
EXIT
The strategy then exits the position when the price appreciates 7% from the point of entry. The position also maintains a tight stop-loss and closes the position if the price depreciates 1% from the entry price. The idea behind this is to cut your losing trades fast and let your winners ride.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our back testing data is the daily. Shorter time frames can also work well on certain coins, however in our experience, the daily works best. Feel free to experiment with this script and test it on a variety of your coins! With our back testing data a trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume. In the example shown, this strategy made a handsome net profit of 52.6% on Chainlink with 66.67% of trades being profitable.
You can execute this strategy on your favorite exchanges with Coinrule .
Ranging Market Detector [AstrideUnicorn]Determining if the market is in a trend or a range regime is a very complex problem. And knowing the answer can be, in some situations, the real holy grail. If the trader knows when the market is in a range regime, they can avoid overtrading and make moving average crossover strategies more profitable. A regime switch from a trend to a range can be a signal to close open positions. It can also be helpful when trading such instruments as short-term binary options. When the market is ranging directional moves are not expected, and the trader should be careful as opening a position in such conditions is, by some degree, a random outcome game. Range breakouts trading is one more example when knowing the market regime is critical.
We have created an indicator that predicts the current market regime. It smooths the price using the Kalman filter and analyzes the curve's slope. If the absolute value of the slope is low, then the market is in range mode and vice versa. To distinguish between the two regimes, the algorithm compares the absolute value of the slope with its long-term average.
HOW TO USE
The indicator shows the difference between the absolute slope value and its long-term average as a histogram. When a bar of the histogram is higher than the threshold level presented by the red line, the market is in a trending regime. In this regime, the background of the indicator is blue. When the market is in a range regime, the indicator background turns red.
The threshold level helps to control the lag. The greater it is, the more lagging the indicator will be. By default, this value is set to a negative value. It means that the indicator switches from range to trend a little bit earlier than the slope gets higher than the average slope. You can use the value of zero or low negative values to find the optimal tradeoff between the strength of the signals and their lag.
SETTINGS
The indicator has one input parameter called Threshold. It sets the threshold level described above. Its value should be close to zero. The less the value is, the less is the indicator's lag, but at the same time, the less confirmed the regime-switching signals are.
The use cases can be very different. And as the code is open, you can also use the indicator as a building block for your custom trading strategies.
Let us know your thoughts and suggestions!
Crypto Scannner for Traffic Lights StrategyI allways try to make trading easier. Developing Scripts for a quick backtest and improvement of a strategy, getting alerts for entry and exit a position. Loading data to a spreadsheet is also important and takes time.
In this case finding good parameters in different markets or assets to enter in a position, is a bit exhausting. It is something you have to do everyday, and sometimes in different moments of the day.
So I manage to develop a Screener, to take a quick look at specific hours, and tell if I have a buy or sell condition in an specific asset. Obviously this is not an alert to make a trade instantaneusly, but this help you filter a lot of information in matters of seconds. Then open those specific charts and make a better analisys.
A few weeks ago, I published a scrpipt called "Traffic Lights Strategy", that uses 4 emas to get a buy or a sell condition.
It is easy to understand and use, but if you don´t want to missed some opportunities, and don't want to be look at the screen in all the time looking for them, I have here a simple solution.
This script works plotting 2 labels. The first one plots all the assets in which the condition is true (fastema > medema > slowema > filterema or fastema < medema < slowema < filterema)
The second one plots the assets were the condition is true only if happened up to 5 candles back, so you can be in time to enter a trade.
You can take the script and customize it for a different strategy or assets. I coded like this because I backtested this strategy in this specific assets, and statistics suggest that it might be profitable.
I hope this works for you. In other time I'll try to code a script for the others strategies I published.
Silen's Financials P/E & P/S[x10] RatesThis script aims to give a better visualization of P/E and P/S rates compared to the build-in "Price to earnings ratio" and "Price to sales ratio" in the "Financials" Section of Tradingview. For those of you don't know, those rates compare earnings and sales with your share price in regard to market cap and outstanding shares.
The scripts differs to the build-in versions in the following points:
- P/E & P/S rates are combined in one indicator
- Negative P/E rates are displayed better: Positive P/E rates are green, Negative P/E rates are red
- For visualization reasons, the indicator will cap positive and negative P/E rates at 100. (P/E rates above those levels are not siginificant either way)
- P/E & P/S rate are directly displayed on the graph
- Both P/E and P/S rates are combined on one left scale
- For visualization reasons, P/S rate is showing 10x the actual P/S rate. Using the standard P/S rate would result in hard-to-recognize changes of the P/S line.
To sum up:
- Positive P/E rates are green
- Negative P/E rate are red
- P/S rates are multiplied by 1 0
- P/S rates are yellow
How to use P/E and P/S rates:
The US market average for P/E rates is roughly ~18 in the US right now (10/2022) while the market average for P/S rates is roughly ~3 in the US. Note that average P/E and P/S can change when the market situation changes.
P/E and P/S rates help you value your stock better and help you decide whether your stock is undervalued or overvalued compared to the market or the industry when it comes to earnings and sales. If you compare to Market averages, a positive P/E of less than 18 means that your stock is likely unvervalued. A P/S rate below 3 (30 in the chart!) means that your stock is likely undervalued as well. If your stock shows rates above those, it is likely that it is overvalued compared to market averages.
Please note that P/E and P/S rates are not the only factors that make up a stock valuation. Valuations are complex and subjective.
A positive P/E rate also means that your company is profitable.
A Negative P/E rate means that your company is unprofitable.
If you have any questions or feedback let me know!
Disclaimer: This script doesn't show the actual P/S rate. It shows the P/S rate multiplied by 10, due to visualization issues. Positive P/E Rates above 100 are displayed as 100. Positive P/E rates are green, Negative P/E rates are red and multiplied by -1.
Disclaimer2: @Tradingview_Team: I couldn't find the right category for this script but categories are mandatory. I assume that "Breadth Indicators" is still the closest there is. Please let me know if you want me to change the category.
Disclaimer3: For visualization, the opacity of the displayed image is 70%. The standard opacity for the P/E and P/S lines is 50% and can be changed in the indicator settings. I found this setting more useful when working together with other indicators on the same chart
Disclaimer4: Earnings Per Share, Total Revenue used are TTM. Total Shares Outstanding used are FQ.
Crypto momentum strategyThis strategy is based on LazyBear's Squeeze Momentum indicator. It analyzes when the trend in the momentum is shifting, locating the peaks and the valleys, and takes those as sell and buy signals respectively. This is a long strategy, so it also takes into consideration the 50 period Exponential Moving Average to identify upward trends. If the closing price of the candle is above the 50EMA, and the slope of the 50EMA is trending upwards, then the buy signal is executed. If these conditions are not met, the buy signal is ignored.
This strategy works well with crypto trading on the day/week charts.
It has a profit ratio of 4:1 on average, and roughly half of the trades are profitable.
72s Strat: Backtesting Adaptive HMA+ pt.1This is a follow up to my previous publication of Adaptive HMA+ few months ago, as a mean to provide some kind of initial backtesting tools. Which can be use to explore many possible strategies, optimise its settings to better conform user's pair/tf, and hopefully able to help tweaking your general strategy.
If you haven't read the study or use the indicator, kindly go here first to get the overall idea.
The first strategy introduce in this backtest is one most basic already described in the study; buy/sell is when movement is there and everything is on the right side; When RSI has turned to other side, we can use it as exit point (if in profit of course, else just let it hit our TP/SL, why would we exit before profit). Also, base on RSI when we make entry, we can further differentiate type of signals. --Please check all comments in code directly where the signals , entries , and exits section are.
Second additional strategy to check; is when we also use second faster Adaptive HMA+ for exit. So this is like a double orders on a signal but with different exit-rule (/more on this on snapshots below). Alternatively, you can also work the code so to only use this type of exit.
There's also an additional feature which you can enable its visuals, the Distance Zone , is to help measuring price distance to our xHMA+. It's just a simple atr based envelope really, I already put the sample code in study's comment section, but better gonna update it there directly for non-coder too, after this.
In this sample I use Lot for order quantity size just because that's what I use on my broker. Also what few friends use while we forward-testing it since the study is published, so we also checked/compared each profit/loss report by real number. To use default or other unit of measurement, change the entry code accordingly.
If you change your order size, you should also change the commission in Properties Tab. My broker commission is 5 USD per order/lot, so in there with example order size 0.1 lot I put commission 0.5$ per order (I'll put 2.5$ for 0.5 lot, 10$ for 2 lot, and so on). Crypto usually has higher charge. --It is important that you should fill it base on your broker.
SETTINGS
I'm trying to keep it short. Please explore it further again. (Beginner should also first get acquaintance with terms use here.)
ORDERS:
Base Minimum Profit Before Exit:
The number is multiplier of ongoing ATR. Means that when basic exit condition is met, algo will check whether you're already in minimum profit or not, if not, let it still run to TP or SL, or until it meets subsequent exit condition, then it will check again.
Default Target Profit:
Multiplier of ATR at signal. If reached before any eligible exit condition is met, exit TP.
Base StopLoss Point:
You can change directly in code to use other like ATR Trailing SL, fix percent SL, or whatever. In the sample, 4 options provided.
Maximum StopLoss:
This is like a safety-net, that if at some point your chosen SL point from input above happens to be exceeding this maximum input that you can tolerate, then this max point is the one will be use as SL.
Activate 2nd order...:
The additional doubling of certain buy/sell with different exits as described above. If enable, you should also set pyramiding to at least: 2. If not, it does nothing.
ADAPTIVE HMA+ PERIOD
Many users already have their own settings for these. So in here I only sample the default as first presented in the study. Make it to your adaptive.
MARKET MOVEMENT
(1) Now you can check in realtime how much slope degree is best to define your specific pair/tf is out of congestion (yellow) area. And (2) also able to check directly what ATR lengths are more suitable defining your pair's volatility.
DISTANCE ZONE
Distance Multiplier. Each pair/tf has its own best distance zone (in xHMA+ perspective). The zone also determine whether a signal should appear or not. (Or what type of signal, if you wanna go more detail in constructing your strategy)
USAGE
(Provided you already have your own comfortable settings for minimum-maximum period of Adaptive HMA+. Best if you already have backtested it manually too and/or apply as an add-on to your working strategy)
1. In our experiences, first most important to define is both elements in the Market Movement Settings . These also tend to be persistent for whole season since it's kinda describing that pair/tf overall behaviour. Don't worry if you still get a low Profit Factor here, but by tweaking you should start to see positive changes in one of Max Drawdown and Net Profit, or Percent Profitable.
2. Afterwards, find your pair/tf Distance Zone . When optimising this, what we seek is just a "not to bad" equity curves to start forming. At least Max Drawdown should lessen more. Doesn't have to be great already, but should be better, no red in Net Profit.
3. Then go manage the "Trailing Minimum Profit", TP, SL, and max SL.
4. Repeat 1,2,3. 👻
5. Manage order size, commission, and/or enable double-order (need pyramiding) if you like. Check if your equity can handle max drawdown before margin call.
6. After getting an acceptable backtest result, go to List of Trades tab and find the biggest loss or when many sequencing loss in a row happened. Click on it to go to exact point on chart, observe why the signal failed and get at least general idea how it can be prevented . The rest is yours, you should know your pair/tf more than other.
You can also re-explore your minimum-maximum period for both Major and minor xHMA+.
Keep in mind that all numbers in Setting are conceptually in a form of range . You don't want to get superb equity curves but actually a "fragile" , means one can easily turn it to disaster just by changing only a fraction in one/two of the setting.
---
If you just wanna test the strength of the indicator alone, you can disable "Use StopLoss" temporarily while optimising settings.
Using no SL might be tempting in overall result data in some cases, but NOTE: It is not recommended to not using SL, don't forget that we deliberately enter when it's in high volatility. If want to add flexibility or trading for long-term, just maximise your SL. ie.: chose SL Point>ATR only and set it maximum. (Check your max drawdown after this).
I think this is quite important specially for beginners, so here's an example; Hypothetically in below scenario, because of some settings, the buy order after the loss sell signal didn't appear. Let's say if our initial capital only 1000$ using leverage and order size 0,5 lot (risky position sizing already), moreover if this happens at the beginning of your trading season, that's half of account gone already in one trade . Your max SL should've made you exit after that pumping bar.
The Trailing Minimum Profit is actually look like this. Search in the code if you want to plot it. I just don't like too many lines on chart.
To maximise profit we can try enabling double-order. The only added rule coded is: RSI should rising when buy and falling when sell. 2nd signal will appears above or below default buy/sell signal. (Of course it's also prone to double-loss, re-check your max drawdown after. Profit factor play its part in here for a long run). Snapshot in comparison:
Two default sell signals on left closed at RSI exit, the additional sell signal closed later on when price crossover minor xHMA+. On buy side, price haven't met our minimum profit when first crossunder minor xHMA+. If later on we hit SL on this "+buy" signal, at least we already profited from default buy signal. You can also consider/treat this as multiple TP points.
For longer-term trading, what you need to maximise is the Minimum Profit , so it won't exit whenever an exit condition happened, it can happen several times before reaching minimum profit. Hopefully this snapshot can explain:
Notice in comparison default sell and buy signal now close in average after 3 days. What's best is when we also have confirmation from higher TF. It's like targeting higher TF by entering from smaller TF.
As also mention in the study, we can still experiment via original HMA by putting same value for minimum-maximum period setting. This is experimental EU 1H with Major xHMA+: 144-144, Flat market 13, Distance multiplier 3.6, with 2nd order activated.
Kiwi was a bit surprising for me. It's flat market is effectively below 6, with quite far distance zone of 3.5. Probably because I'm using big numbers in adaptive period.
---
The result you see in strategy tester report below for EURUSD 15m is using just default settings you see in code, as follow:
0,1 lot for each order (which is the smallest allowed by my broker).
No pyramiding. Commission: 0.5 usd per order. Slippage: 3
Opening position is only using basic strategy #1 (RSI exit). Additional exit not activated.
Minimum Profit: 1. TP: 3.
SL use: Half-distance zone. Max SL: 4.5.
Major xHMA+: 172-233. minor xHMA+: 89-121
Distance Zone Multiplier: 2.7
RSI: Standard 14.
(From our forward-testing, the difference we get from net profit is because of the spread, our entry isn't exactly at the close/open price. Not so much though, but not the same. If somebody can direct me to any example where we can code our entry via current bid/ask price, that would be awesome!)
It's already a long post (sorry), think I'm gonna pause here. Check out the code :)
---
DISCLAIMER: Past performance is no guarantee of future results , and so on.. you know the drill ;)
Please read whole description first before using, don't take 1-2 paragraph and claim it's the whole logic, you are responsible of your own actions and understanding.
CUT MY LOSSESS - Levereged Stop loss + R / R ratio checker Hello traders!
We have heard many times that keep your losses small and allow your profits to grow. But what happens is that we often make the mistake of doing high-margin trades that we cannot afford to lose. The main reason for this problem, in my opinion, is the rush to open a position and not paying attention to how much acceptable loss in each trade is for us? Is our stop loss point compatible with the loss we are willing to accept?
Many of the losses we incur are not due to our erroneous analysis but to the wrong trading strategy, miscalculation of Stop Loss and failure to calculate the Risk/Reward for each trade. At least for most novice traders, these mistakes happen .
This script does not have complicated logic and is designed only as a help for those who are not interested in working with calculators !! I hope that sometimes that we are very excited to buy, looking at this script can give us a serious flip to avoid risk .
This is a basic script that helps us to intuitively check our stop loss in according to our leverage and to guess the approximate risk/reward of our trade. This script assumes that you always trade with half of your total capital. It is also assumed that you routinely use up to ten percent of your capital for each trade. Therefore, the first variable in this script is the amount of tolerable loss in each trade for you, which is set to 25% by default. So if you follow the previous assumptions, each trade will endanger 2.5% of your capital.
Since not all analyzes are ever accurate, we need to enter into positions that have good Risk/Reward ratio, so that even if half of our analysis fails, we will profitable. Therefore, the second variable in this script is the acceptable Risk/Reward ratio for us, which is set to 1:4 by default.
Also, to check the efficiency of the stop-loss with different trading leverage, I add five leverage by default from 1 to 5 as lines on the side of your stop-loss point.
LeV A (Lowest Leverage-WHITE): 1 by default
LeV B (AQUA): 2 by default
LeV C (YELLOW): 3 by default
LeV D (ORANGE): 4 by default
LeV E (Highest Leverage-RED):5 by default
You can change all these leverages and Acceptable margin loss and R/R ratio according to your needs.
You can also hide the leverage lines you are not dealing with through the script settings .
You will also see lines on the side of your target point to check your risk/reward ,so you can approximate your target according to your trading leverage and the risk/reward you accept. you can also hide these R/R lines from the setting.
Important Note: This script is not designed to give you a stop loss point or take profit point.
To find these points, you must use technical analysis methods , and then use this script to check the coordination of these points with your trading strategy.
Using the script is simple, but I will try to explain it with a few examples.
Stochastic with MACD filter + SL/TP + AlertsLong Arrow : close of the candle is above ema + Stochastic is oversold + MACD is below 0 + Stochastic cross up
Short Arrow : close of candle is below ema + Stochastic is overbought + MACD is above 0 + Stochastic cross down
Also added SL, 1:1 and TP where SL can be varied by ATR value and TP is set to 2:1 RR but it can be varied too.
It is not meant to take every single trade even though that might already be profitable.
For higher winrate look for the higher timeframe trend for example when trading the 15min look if the Daily 8ema is going up or down.
Also only take trades when there is either a hidden divergence on RSI or a smaller normal divergence.
The I take the normal divergenes alo when there is no higher high like an M or lower low for longs like a W these tend to work out pretty good too.
Alerts are in it too.
Have Fun :)
Floor Pivots With CPR and Camarilla 3 LevelsThis script plots floor pivots with the central pivot range and camarilla R3/S3 pivots, to spot with ease the Golden Pivot Zone (GPZ). As described in the book *Secret of a pivot Boss* by Franklin Ochoa, the Golden Pivot Zone occurs when R3 or S3 pivot from the Camarilla Equation or from lies within the central pivot range. This combination can be simply profitable.
A bearish GPZ occurs when R3 of the Camarilla Equation is mixed within the central pivot range, therefore we should look for sells in that zone.
A bullish GPZ occurs when S3 of the Camarilla Equation is mixed within the central pivot range, therefore we should look for buys in that zone.
Here are some examples on Gold
Good luck !
Ps* i got part of the code from @cristian.d script
scalping against trapped countertrendAbstract
This script attempts to find the end of countertrend.
This script uses oscillators to measure long term and short period trends. When the long term trend keeps positive and clear short term period is over, this script provides a buy signal.
This script does not contain pullback, cut loss and re-enter. You need to add it manually.
Introduction
Many traders want to buy when long term trend is bullish and short term pullback is over.
This is because we can take advantage to the emotion of countertrend traders.
Countertrend traders realizes their profit is finite and therefore want to protect their profit well and limit their loss.
This script is inspired by a searchable trading strategy video.
The video mentioned 4 points.
(1) long term trend. The video did not spend much ink on this point. You can use any method to observe.
(2) clear pullback bar (at least 50% body)
(3) weak bar after clear pullback
(4) entry trigger buy stop
This script attempts to quantize these points to determine trading direction.
This script is originally designed for timeframes lower than examples in the video but you can apply it on any timeframe.
Computing and Adjusting
(1) long term trend
This script uses smoothed stochastic.
(2) clear pullback bar
Since this script is originally designed for timeframes lower than examples in the video, so the condition becomes:
RSI is low enough
(3) weak bar after clear pullback
RSI goes back from low level.
(4) entry trigger buy stop
This script does not include this condition.
You can decide enter when buy stop or pullback.
Parameters
x_src : the value for computing oscillators
x_len_a : how many bars for measuring short term trend
x_len_b : how many bars for measuring long term trend
x_k_b : smooth long term trend, the average value of stochastic values
x_changk = check if clear short term pullback appears recently. 1 means do not use, larger numbers means how long of periods to check.
x_rsi_ct : threshold of short term pullback clear
x_rsi_ft : threshold of short term pullback end
Reading numbers in Strategy Tester
Most possible loss :
(1) to find rational pullback. Generally 1/3 to 2/3 atr.
(2) to find cut loss distance. Generally 1 to 2 atr.
Most possible profit :
to find if trading the opposite direction against this script is profitable.
Conclusion
This script can suggest us trading direction.
Waiting for pullback can reduce risk, compared to buy stop.
This script does not provide good signals in sideways markets.
Reference
A searchable trading strategy video
Follow the Trend - Trade PullbacksKindly follow the rules stated below for entry, exit and stop loss. Not every Buy / Sell signal will be profitable.
Timeframe of the chart acts as current timeframe. You need to choose 2 more as middle and higher timeframes.
This indicator is based on candlesticks, ATR and CCI indicators and the logic provides buy / sell signals at the pullbacks of the trend depicted by higher timeframe, that must be respected throughout.
Enter the long / short trade respectively when the indicator gives buy / sell signal after price has gone below the green / above the red line for higher timeframe.
Stop loss shall be low / high of recent swing. Exit when the price closes below / above the middle timeframe, to be used as trailing target.
Use it for any instrument for any timeframe of your choice.
For example, check the shared chart. It is a 1 min intraday, but the indicator can be used for short or long term positional trades as well.
Enter long at 14102, with stop loss 14077. Trailing target is achieved at 14156 giving a Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2.
Another Buy signal is observed around same level and uptrend continues till day end, again for a Risk:Reward ratio of approx. 1:2.
Rules to follow for Long trades -
Enter long position at Buy signal given after price has moved below green line of higher timeframe.
Exit the position when price closes below orange / blue line of middle timeframe.
Stop loss must be at low of recent swing, appearing just before the Buy signal.
Rules to follow for Short trades -
Enter short position at Sell signal given after price has moved above red line of higher timeframe.
Exit the position when price closes above orange / blue line of middle timeframe.
Stop loss must be at high of recent swing, appearing just before the Sell signal.
Ehlers 2 Pole Super Smoother Filter V2 [CC]The 2 Pole Super Smoother Filter was created by John Ehlers (Cycle Analytics For Traders pg 32) and this follows the price very closely and very useful because it is consistent with uptrends and falls sharply during a sudden downtrend so it should be able to help you stay more profitable. Buy when the indicator line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are other indicators you would like to see me publish or if you want something custom done!
