Fundamental Fair Value RangeFundamental Fair Value Range (FFV Range)
Purpose:
This indicator aims to estimate a company's intrinsic fair value range based on its historical valuation patterns and current financial health. It analyzes multiple fundamental valuation metrics to provide a comprehensive perspective, helping traders identify potential overvaluation or undervaluation relative to the company's own historical norms.
How It Works:
Data Collection: The script gathers historical financial data for the company over a user-defined number of past quarters ( Number of Quarters to Average ). It retrieves key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Book Value Per Share (BVPS), Sales Per Share, Free Cash Flow (FCF) Per Share, Tangible Book Value Per Share (TBVPS), EBITDA, Operating Cash Flow (OCF) Per Share, Enterprise Value (EV), and Net Debt. It also pulls current TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) data, forward estimates (EPS, Sales), risk metrics (Debt-to-Equity, Altman Z-Score), and dividend yield.
Historical Ratio Calculation: For each of the past quarters where data is available, the script calculates standard valuation ratios (P/E, P/B, P/S, P/FCF, P/TBV, EV/EBITDA, P/CF) using the closing price at that time and the relevant financial data. Ratios are capped ( Maximum Ratio Cap ) to prevent extreme outliers from skewing results.
Central Tendency: The script calculates the historical central tendency (either the median or mean , selectable by the user) for each valuation ratio based on the collected historical data points. Median is generally preferred to reduce the impact of outliers, but the mean option is available.
Individual Metric Fair Values: Using the current financial data (TTM EPS, BVPS, Sales/Share, etc.) and the calculated historical average ratio , the script estimates a fair value based on each individual metric . For example:
P/E Fair Value = Current EPS * Historical Average P/E Ratio
P/S Fair Value = Current Sales Per Share * Historical Average P/S Ratio
(...and so on for P/B, P/FCF, P/TBV, and P/CF.)
Forward-Looking Adjustments & Blending:
P/E: Calculates fair value using both TTM EPS and Forward EPS estimates. These two values are then blended (averaged) to incorporate future expectations. If only one is available, that one is used.
EV/EBITDA: Calculates fair value based on TTM EBITDA and also based on estimated future EBITDA (derived from Sales Estimates and historical EBITDA margin). These are then blended . The calculation converts the Enterprise Value back to an estimated equity value per share by subtracting Net Debt.
P/S: Also calculates a forward-looking P/S fair value using Sales Estimates, which is considered alongside the TTM version when weighting.
Weighted Composite Fair Value:
The script combines the individual fair value estimates into a single composite value using a weighted average .
User-Defined Weights: You assign weights to each metric (P/E, P/S, P/FCF, P/B, P/TBV, EV/EBITDA, P/CF) via the script settings.
Dynamic Weighting: The weights for P/E, P/S, and P/FCF can be set differently depending on whether the company's current TTM EPS is positive or negative. This allows the model to emphasize sales or cash flow metrics more heavily for unprofitable companies, where P/E is less meaningful.
Risk Adjustment: The composite fair value is adjusted downwards (multiplied by 0.9 for each condition met) if:
Debt-to-Equity ratio exceeds 1.5 (indicating higher leverage risk).
Altman Z-Score is below 1.8 (indicating higher bankruptcy risk).
Dividend Adjustment: The risk-adjusted fair value is then potentially increased based on the company's dividend yield. The yield is added to the value (up to a maximum adjustment of 5% - MAX_DIV_ADJ ) to reflect the value returned to shareholders via dividends. Final Fair Value = Risk-Adjusted Value * (1 + Capped Dividend Yield) .
Confidence Range: A range is calculated around the Final Fair Value. This range is determined by the standard deviation of the individual fair value components that were actually used (had valid data and positive weights) in the composite calculation. A wider range suggests less agreement between the different valuation methods.
Valuation Signal: The script compares the current closing price to the calculated Final Fair Value and the Confidence Range, using Average True Range (ATR) based thresholds near the fair value:
Very Undervalued: Price is below the Lower Bound of the confidence range.
Undervalued: Price is below the Final Fair Value minus an ATR-based buffer.
Fairly Valued: Price is near the Final Fair Value (within the ATR buffer).
Overvalued: Price is above the Final Fair Value plus an ATR-based buffer.
Very Overvalued: Price is above the Upper Bound of the confidence range.
Features & Customization:
Multi-Metric Analysis: Incorporates P/E, P/B, P/S, P/FCF, P/TBV, EV/EBITDA, and P/CF.
Historical Basis: Choose Median or Mean for historical ratio calculation and set the lookback period (number of quarters).
Flexible Weighting: Customize the importance of each metric. Crucially, set different weights for P/E, P/S, and P/FCF based on profitability (EPS > 0 or EPS ≤ 0).
Forward Data Integration: Blends TTM and forward estimates for P/E and EV/EBITDA.
Risk & Dividend Adjustments: Automatically discounts for high debt/low Altman Z-score and premiums for dividend yield (capped).
Clear Visualization:
Plots the Final Fair Value line on the chart.
Plots the Upper and Lower Confidence Bounds (based on standard deviation).
Fills the area between bounds to show the Confidence Range.
Informative Data Table:
Displays the calculated fair value for key individual metrics, their historical average ratios, and current underlying financial values (like EPS, BVPS).
Shows risk metrics (Debt/Equity, Altman Z).
Clearly presents the Final Composite Fair Value, the Confidence Range, the current Valuation Signal (e.g., "Undervalued"), and the percentage difference between the current price and the fair value.
Simple/Full Mode: Option to display a condensed table with only the summary results or the full detailed breakdown.
Display Options: Adjust table position, text size, and switch between light/dark themes for better readability.
How to Use:
Apply the indicator to a stock chart on TradingView.
Configure Settings:
Go into the indicator settings ( Gear Icon ⚙️).
- Calculation Parameters: Set the Number of Quarters to Average (e.g., 20 for 5 years) and choose Use Mean Instead of Median if desired. Adjust Maximum Ratio Cap if needed.
- Valuation Weights: This is crucial. Adjust the weights based on the industry, company maturity, and your valuation philosophy. Consider giving higher weights to metrics commonly used for that sector. Use the separate weights for positive/negative EPS scenarios thoughtfully. For instance, for unprofitable tech stocks, you might assign zero weight to P/E and higher weights to P/S or EV/EBITDA (negative EPS weights).
- Display Options: Choose table mode, position, size, and theme.
Interpret the Output:
- Observe the plotted Fair Value line relative to the current price.
- Note the Confidence Range (shaded area). A wider range indicates more uncertainty or divergence between valuation methods.
- Check the Valuation status in the table (e.g., "Undervalued", "Overvalued").
- Use the % from Fair Value in the table for a quick gauge of deviation.
- Review the individual metric fair values in the full table mode to understand which factors are driving the composite value.
Considerations:
Historical Data Dependence: The model heavily relies on past valuation patterns repeating. Significant changes in a company's business model, market, or industry may make historical ratios less relevant.
Parameter Sensitivity: The calculated fair value is sensitive to the chosen weights and the historical lookback period. Experiment and use values that make sense for your analysis style and the specific stock.
Data Quality: The accuracy of the output depends entirely on the accuracy and availability of the underlying financial data provided by TradingView for the specific ticker. Data may be missing or contain errors for some stocks.
Not Financial Advice: This indicator provides a model-based estimation of fair value. It should be used as one tool among many in your investment decision-making process, not as a sole buy/sell signal. Always conduct thorough due diligence.
Cerca negli script per "range"
Candle Range-BarsThe Candle Range Bars indicator visually represents the range of each candlestick in either pips or ticks, depending on your preference. It plots vertical bars to show the size of each candle, making it easy to identify periods of high or low volatility. The indicator also displays the exact range value (in pips or ticks) above each bar, with customizable text size and color for better readability.
Key Features
Pips or Ticks Mode:
Choose to display the candle range in pips (for forex traders) or ticks (for other instruments).
Customizable Text:
Adjust the text color and text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large) to suit your chart style.
Clear Visuals:
Bars are colored green for bullish candles and red for bearish candles, making it easy to distinguish between up and down moves.
Flexible Use:
Ideal for analyzing volatility, identifying consolidation zones, and comparing candle ranges across different timeframes.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Customize the settings:
Choose between pips or ticks.
Adjust the text color and text size for the range values.
Observe the bars and their corresponding range values to analyze market volatility.
Why Use This Indicator?:
Simplify Range Analysis: Quickly see the size of each candlestick without manual calculations.
Customizable: Tailor the appearance to match your trading style.
Versatile: Works on any instrument and timeframe.
Settings:
Show Pips (Otherwise Ticks): Toggle between pips and ticks mode.
Text Color: Choose the color of the range value text.
Text Size: Select the size of the range value text (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large).
Ideal For:
Forex, stocks, commodities, and crypto traders.
Traders who focus on volatility and range analysis.
Anyone looking for a clear and customizable way to visualize candle ranges.
This description highlights the key features, benefits, and usability of your indicator, making it appealing to other TradingView members. Let me know if you'd like to tweak it further! 😊
ATR Range Accumulation by Standard Deviation and Volume [SS]So, this is an indicator/premise I have been experimenting with, which mixes ATR with Z-Score and Volume metrics.
What does the indicator do?
The indicator, on the lower timeframes, uses an ATR approach to determine short-term ranges. It takes the average ATR range over a designated lookback period and plots out the levels like so:
It then calculates the Z-Score for these ATR targets (shown in the chart above) and calculates, over the designated lookback period, how often price accumulates at that standard deviation level.
The indicator is essentially a hybrid of my Z-Score Support and Resistance indicator and my frequency distribution indicator. It combines both concepts into one.
You also have the option of sorting by volume accumulation. This will display the accumulation of the ranges by volume accumulation, like so:
Larger Timeframes:
If you want to see the accumulation by volume or standard deviation on the larger timeframes, you can. Simply toggle on your preferred setting:
Show Total Accumulation Breakdown:
This will break down the levels, over the lookback period, by standard deviation. This is similar to the Z-Score support and resistance indicator. It will then show you how often price accumulates at these various standard deviation levels. Here is an example on the daily timeframe using the 1D chart settings:
Inversely, you can repeat this, with the Z-Score levels, but show accumulation by volume. This will print 5 boxes, which are between +3 Standard Deviations and -3 Standard Deviations, like so:
Here we can see that 61% of volume accumulation is between -1 and 1 standard deviation.
Using it to Trade:
For swing trading, I suggest using the larger timeframe information. However, for both swing and day traders, it is also helpful to use the ATR display. You can modify the ATR display to show the levels on any timeframe by selecting which timeframe you would like to see ATR ranges for. If you are trading on the 1 or 5-minute chart, I suggest leaving the levels at no shorter than a 60-minute timeframe.
You can also use these levels on the daily for the weekly levels, etc.
The accumulation being shown will be based on the current chart timeframe. This is a function of Pinescript, but in this case, it's actually advantageous because if you are trading on the shorter timeframe, and a level has 0% recent accumulation, it's unlikely we will see that level soon or overly quickly. Intraday retracements will generally happen to areas of high accumulation.
How this indicator is different:
The difference in this indicator comes from its focus on accumulation in relation to Standard Deviation. There is one thing that is consistent among retail traders, algorithms, market makers, and funds, and that is looking at the market in terms of standard deviation. Each person, market maker, and algorithm may be slightly nuanced in how it conceptualizes standard deviation (whether it be since the inception of the ticker (or IPO), or the previous 500 days, or the previous 100 days, etc.), but the premise remains consistent. Standard Deviation is a really important, if not the most important, metric to pay attention to. Another important metric is volume. Thus, the premise is that combining volume accumulation with standard deviation should, theoretically, be telling. We can see the extent of buying at various standard deviations and whether a stock is really a buy or not.
And that's the indicator! Hope you enjoy it. Leave your comments and questions below.
Safe trades!
Mastering Market Structure"Market structure first, always" - Mr. Anderson aka TrueCrypto28 right before he went on to master Kung-Fu
Understanding and identifying market structure is essential for successful and consistent profitability. No system is perfect, but trading in the direction of the prevailing market structure can reduce the likelihood of being caught severely offsides and can yield trades with tighter invalidations and greater risk-to-reward potential.
This script will automatically identify and plot the following:
Market Structure
Pivot highs and lows using the lookback left and right lengths are analyzed to identify major swing highs and lows to identify the current trading range.
Bullish structure is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Bearish Structure is characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
Structure breaks when a bar closes outside the current trading range. Major swing highs and lows will update following these breaks to continue following the current price action
Current market structure bias, bullish or bearish, can be displayed in a table in the location of your choosing.
Structure is fractal, so seeing low time frame structure shift against the high time frame structure can identify the beginning of a pullback. When it realigns with the high timeframe structure, it can identify the beginning of the high time frame trend continuation. You can choose to analyze structure on any timeframe with this script and even add multiple copies of it to your chart each analyzing different a timeframes to easily find high quality trade opportunities.
Fibonacci Levels of the current trading range
These are included to help identify areas of interest for trade execution and profit levels.
We want to buy at a discount and sell at a premium. The "Wholesale Zone" can be considered below the 50% retracement level in bullish structure, or above it in a bearish structure.
When in a bullish structure, "discount" buy opportunities can be found below the 50% retracement level with the expectation of trend continuation.
In a bearish structure, more ideal "premium' sell opportunities can be found above the 50% retracement with the expectation of trend continuation.
Optimal trade entry (OTE) zone, between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement can offer a great risk-to-reward ratio for execution of a new position in trending environments.
When trading sideways in a range, opening new buy positions near the bottom of the range or new sell positions from the top of the range are preferred. Midrange 50% level commonly sees some reaction and can be used as a primary target with further targets either being the opposite end of the range or lower support levels (see order block section).
Order Blocks
New Bullish and bearish order blocks are created and plotted with every respective market structure break. They identify the price level from which the most recent leg of price action that yielded the structure break began.
In strong trending environments, these levels should continue to support or resist price. They are great areas to look to enter new positions.
Order blocks can also be used as targets for your trades to avoid giving back unrealized profits as price tends to react off of these levels.
To keep your chart clean and the order blocks relevant, an order block will be automatically deleted if price trades through and closes beyond it. Otherwise, printed order blocks will remain on your chart until either it's origin bar is out of TradingView's maximum bar history allowance or their maximum box count allowance.
Pairing these with fibonacci levels, retracements into order blocks that are in the Wholesale Zone or even the OTE zone offer higher probability trades with more favorable risk-to-reward potential.
Swing Failure
Swing failure patterns (SFPs) arise when a candle takes out a swing high or low, but fails to close beyond it.
Again, pairing these with other features of this script like range boundaries, wholesale zones, OTE zones, and order blocks can help traders identify the best times to actually execute their trade as SFPs are commonly seen at points of inflection in price action.
Moving Averages
Up to 4 moving averages from the current time frame are available. MA type and lengths can be adjusted to your preference.
Up to 4 MTF MAs. By Default this is an EMA 200 as it is commonly used for trend identification and support/resistance.
These are included for confluence of trend direction and strength.
They can also act as dynamic support and resistance and so can be useful for trade execution if price bounces or rejects off of them or targets as price may do so when it reaches them.
Additionally, alerts have been coded for the following scenarios:
MS Break alerts will trigger on bar close when a break in market structure has been confirmed.
SFP alerts will trigger on bar close when the swing failure pattern has been confirmed.
Entering OB alerts will trigger as soon as price touches the closest order block.
Entering Wholesale Zone alerts will trigger as soon as price cross the 50% retracement level. This can be used as an early alert to identify assets that have undergone a significant pullback before potential continuation in the direction of the main trend.
Entering OTE Zone alerts will trigger as soon as price crosses into the Optimal Trade Entry zone between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement.
This script is unique in the way that it tracks market structure, automatically updates as price action continues to develop, presents high quality areas of interest, and SFPs for trend reversal and continuation. Traders will no longer need to constantly monitor their charts or exhaustively update their alerts to find good trade opportunities. This script takes care of all of it automatically. Collectively, all of the included features can be used to build a complete trading system.
RSI - Dynamic Overbought/Oversold RangeDefault overbought/oversold levels of RSI does not hold good for instruments which are trending well. It happens often that instruments keep trading in single half of the range for prolonged time without even touching the other half. This also came up often in tradingview pine chat discussions where I participate regularly.
Hence, thought of creating this script to help other scriptors in finding different methods to derive dynamic high/low range of RSI. This can also be adopted for other range bound oscillators - though not inlcuded in this script.
⬜ Method
▶ Derive multitimeframe RSI. Parameters - Resolution, Source and Length are pretty straight forward. Repaint when unchecked uses previous bar value.
▶ Dynamic range detection follows below steps.
Get highest and lowest of the oscillator source for Range Length period.
Use Detection method further to refine the highest and lowest range. If detection method is "highlow", then it looks for lowest value for high range and highest value for low range. If not, uses moving average.
◽Note: Detection range length is used only for finding highest and lowest of Oscillator value ranges. Further detection range method of highlow and other moving average types use Oscillator length.
Williams %RHi! WPR is the Williams percentage range indicator in my design. The main idea is that the intersection of the indicator and the moving average in the overbought and oversold zones + color highlighting gives more clear visual signals for making trading decisions based on this indicator.
ICT Time RangesICT Time Ranges is a concept around the fact that price likes to show volatility spikes in certain times of the day.
Although there are many other scripts such as that revolve around this concept, the difference between this one and some of the others out there is the fact that this code specifically focuses on the ranges like New York, London, Asia, and ICTs concept behind having a "True Day Range". Also, prior scripts draw horizontal lines to delineate the High and Low of the Day. Although this is useful in some cases, I find it to clutter up the chart too much for my liking, so this script negates any of that and simply prints a box in the parameters given within the settings pop-up. This also allows you the fact of having a shape and letter(s) marker for when a new day starts at 0:00.
With this script, you can enable / disable times of the day for:
- London Session
- New York Session
- London Close Session
- Asia Session
- "IPDA" True Day
You can also change the times that these sessions will update to, along with the opacity and color that they print to mark out these times / ranges. The same can be said with the "Day of Week" markers, which can be color coded and show different shapes / formats to your liking.
I find that putting the Session boxes opacity to 7-8% and the day of week markers to 20% is best as this makes them visible enough to see while also keeping it easy on your eyes to analyze your charts.
Overall, this script was based around specific concepts I liked from other individuals' scripts such as @BryceWH and @AvniPiro , but that are tweaked to what I personally find as most beneficial. To see others scripts like this one, you can search for "ICT Killzones" in the public script library!
Sideways Money - Bitcoin BeatsHello, Hello, Hello,
And welcome back to Bitcoin Beats.
This is another version of my previous script, "Range Indicator - Bitcoin Beats".
Designed initially for breakouts but shows adaptive ranges and consolidation in XBTUSD(Haven't tested other assets but should do the same thing).
If we are consolidating (which is most of the time) a good strategy to trade would be to trade ranges. However, as soon as you spot the range it can feel like the range has changed so you lose out on making the monies.
This indicator plots out the average range in a consolidation.
It also shows you when the range has broken in a direction that it previously hasn't broken in. This essentially signifies the the trend changing and gives warning that trading the range may no longer be valid.
There are a few ways to trade this indicator and I will explain 2 of them here.
PLEASE TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK. YOUR FUNDS ARE YOUR RESPONSIBILITY.
IF YOU TRADE WITH THESE STRATEGIES, YOU ARE TO BLAME FOR YOUR OWN LOSSES.
BY USING THIS INDICATOR YOU AGREE THAT I WILL NOT BE HELD LIABLE IN THE CASE OF YOU LOSING FUNDS.
Strategy 1:
- Have 2 bitmex accounts open.
- Use on the 30m, 1h, 3h or 12h.
- Long AND Short on both accounts when we hit the middle area. This is called the "Reload Zone".
- When we hit the edge of each side of the plotted range, close the positions in profit.
- You will then have 1 trade underwater.
- If the range is solid, the price will move back to the Reload Zone in which you reload you position that you took profit with.
- You then have both a Long AND Short open after 1 profitable trade.
- Rinse and repeat until you get the "STRATEGY CAUTION" message signifying that the range will most likely break soon.
Strategy 2(least profitable):
- When the "STRATEGY CAUTION" Message appears, you can long or short depending on which side it breaks toward.
- If we break down, short.
- If we break up, Long.
I wouldn't advise this second strategy if you are a beginner as the results are inconclusive and it's more of a hybrid trading strategy, meaning you have to know how to trade with price action flowing.
Usually if it is appearing volatile, you can go to a higher time frame and find the exact range it's catering to, adjusting your strategy accordingly.
See you soon,
Goodbye, from Bitcoin Beats.
Balanced Price Range | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Balanced Price Range (BPR) indicator! A Balanced Price Range is a trading concept used by price action traders. It is detected by finding overlapping area between two contrary Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). These areas can be used as entry points during market pullbacks. For more information about the process, please check the "HOW DOES IT WORK ?" section.
Balanced Price Range Features :
Balanced Price Range Detection : Identifies areas where bullish and bearish FVGs overlap, suggesting a zone of price equilibrium.
Customizable FVG & BPR Detection : You can fine-tune FVG detection and sensitivity for BPR detection to your liking.
Retest Labels : Bullish & Bearish retest labels will be rendered for BPRs.
Alerts : You can set alerts for Bullish & Bearish BPR detection and their retests.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator doesn't just detect standard FVGs but specifically looks for areas where bullish and bearish IFVGs (Invalidated Fair Value Gaps) overlap, defining a Balanced Price Range. It also actively manages and updates identified BPR zones, removing them when they are invalidated or remain untouched for a specified period. It highlights and alerts users to retests of established BPR zones, signaling potential trading opportunities. Users can tailor the appearance of the BPR zones and retest markers, as well as configure specific alerts for new BPR formations and retests.
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
A Fair Value Gap generally occur when there is an imbalance in the market. They can be detected by specific formations within the chart. The indicator first detects bullish & bearish FVG zones according to their formations on chart. Then, they are dynamically tracked and flagged as invalidated if the price crosses them, turning them into IFVGs. When a FVG & IFVG of the same type overlaps, the indicator combines them into a single BPR of corresponding type. The detected BPR is updated as new data comes in, and renders retests labels as they occur. A bullish BPR can be used to find long trade entry opportunities, while a bearish BPR can be used to find short trade entry opportunities. Retests can also indicate potential movements in the corresponding direction of the BPR. Users can set-up alerts for BPR detection & BPR retests and will get notified as they occur.
⚙️ SETTINGS
Show Historic Zones: If enabled, invalidated or expired BPR zones will remain visible on the chart.
Balanced Price Range:
FVG Detection Method: Determines the criteria for the bar types forming the initial FVG.
Same: All three bars forming the FVG must be of the same type (all bullish or all bearish).
Mixed: The bar types must vary (a mix of bullish and bearish bars).
All: Bar types can vary or be the same.
FVG Invalidation Method: Determines which part of the candle (wick or close) invalidates the initial FVG.
BPR Invalidation Method: Determines which part of the candle (wick or close) invalidates the Balanced Price Range.
Sensitivity: Adjusts the sensitivity of FVG detection. Higher values may identify fewer, larger BPRs, while lower values may detect more, smaller BPRs.
Labels: Toggles the display of text labels on the identified zones.
Retests: Enables or disables the detection and visualization of BPR retests.
Trading Sessions [BigBeluga]
This indicator brings Smart Money Concept (ICT) session logic to life by plotting key global trading sessions with volume and delta analytics. It not only highlights session ranges but also tracks their midpoints — which often act as intraday support/resistance levels.
🔵 KEY FEATURES
Visual session boxes: Plots boxes for Tokyo, London, New York, and Sydney sessions based on user-defined UTC+0 time ranges.
Volume & delta metrics: Displays total volume and delta volume (buy–sell difference) within each session.
Mid, High & Low Range Extension: Once a session ends, the high, low, and midpoint levels automatically extend — ideal for detecting SR zones.
Session labels: Each box includes a label with session name, time, volume, and delta for quick reference.
Custom session control: Enable or disable sessions individually and configure start/end times.
Clean aesthetics: Transparent shaded boxes with subtle borders make it easy to overlay without clutter.
Sessions Dashboard: Shows the time range of each session and tells you whether the session is currently active.
🔵 USAGE
Enable the sessions you want to monitor (e.g., New York or Tokyo) from the settings.
Use session volume and delta values to gauge the strength and direction of institutional activity.
Watch for price interaction with the extended range — it often acts as dynamic support/resistance after the session ends.
Overlay it with liquidity tools or breaker blocks for intraday strategy alignment.
🔵 EXAMPLES
Extended Future Range acted as resistance/support.
Delta value helped confirm bullish pressure during New York open.
Multiple sessions helped identify kill zone overlaps and high-volume turns.
Trading Sessions is more than just a visual scheduler — it's a precision tool for traders who align with session-based volume dynamics and ICT methodology. Use it to define high-probability zones, confirm volume shifts, and read deeper into the true intent behind market structure.
StatPivot- Dynamic Range Analyzer - indicator [PresentTrading]Hello everyone! In the following few open scripts, I would like to share various statistical tools that benefit trading. For this time, it is a powerful indicator called StatPivot- Dynamic Range Analyzer that brings a whole new dimension to your technical analysis toolkit.
This tool goes beyond traditional pivot point analysis by providing comprehensive statistical insights about price movements, helping you identify high-probability trading opportunities based on historical data patterns rather than subjective interpretations. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or position trader, StatPivot's real-time percentile rankings give you a statistical edge in understanding exactly where current price action stands within historical contexts.
Welcome to share your opinions! Looking forward to sharing the next tool soon!
█ Introduction and How it is Different
StatPivot is an advanced technical analysis tool that revolutionizes retracement analysis. Unlike traditional pivot indicators that only show static support/resistance levels, StatPivot delivers dynamic statistical insights based on historical pivot patterns.
Its key innovation is real-time percentile calculation - while conventional tools require new pivot formations before updating (often too late for trading decisions), StatPivot continuously analyzes where current price stands within historical retracement distributions.
Furthermore, StatPivot provides comprehensive statistical metrics including mean, median, standard deviation, and percentile distributions of price movements, giving traders a probabilistic edge by revealing which price levels represent statistically significant zones for potential reversals or continuations. By transforming raw price data into statistical insights, StatPivot helps traders move beyond subjective price analysis to evidence-based decision making.
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Pivot Point Detection and Analysis
The core of StatPivot's functionality begins with identifying significant pivot points in the price structure. Using the parameters left and right, the indicator locates pivot highs and lows by examining a specified number of bars to the left and right of each potential pivot point:
Copyp_low = ta.pivotlow(low, left, right)
p_high = ta.pivothigh(high, left, right)
For a point to qualify as a pivot low, it must have left higher lows to its left and right higher lows to its right. Similarly, a pivot high must have left lower highs to its left and right lower highs to its right. This approach ensures that only significant turning points are recognized.
🔶 Percentage Change Calculation
Once pivot points are identified, StatPivot calculates the percentage changes between consecutive pivot points:
For drops (when a pivot low is lower than the previous pivot low):
CopydropPercent = (previous_pivot_low - current_pivot_low) / previous_pivot_low * 100
For rises (when a pivot high is higher than the previous pivot high):
CopyrisePercent = (current_pivot_high - previous_pivot_high) / previous_pivot_high * 100
These calculations quantify the magnitude of each market swing, allowing for statistical analysis of historical price movements.
🔶 Statistical Distribution Analysis
StatPivot computes comprehensive statistics on the historical distribution of drops and rises:
Average (Mean): The arithmetic mean of all recorded percentage changes
CopyavgDrop = array.avg(dropValues)
Median: The middle value when all percentage changes are arranged in order
CopymedianDrop = array.median(dropValues)
Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersion of percentage changes from the average
CopystdDevDrop = array.stdev(dropValues)
Percentiles (25th, 75th): Values below which 25% and 75% of observations fall
Copyq1 = array.get(sorted, math.floor(cnt * 0.25))
q3 = array.get(sorted, math.floor(cnt * 0.75))
VaR95: The maximum expected percentage drop with 95% confidence
Copyvar95D = array.get(sortedD, math.floor(nD * 0.95))
Coefficient of Variation (CV): Measures relative variability
CopycvD = stdDevDrop / avgDrop
These statistics provide a comprehensive view of market behavior, enabling traders to understand the typical ranges and extreme moves.
🔶 Real-time Percentile Ranking
StatPivot's most innovative feature is its real-time percentile calculation. For each current price, it calculates:
The percentage drop from the latest pivot high:
CopycurrentDropPct = (latestPivotHigh - close) / latestPivotHigh * 100
The percentage rise from the latest pivot low:
CopycurrentRisePct = (close - latestPivotLow) / latestPivotLow * 100
The percentile ranks of these values within the historical distribution:
CopyrealtimeDropRank = (count of historical drops <= currentDropPct) / total drops * 100
This calculation reveals exactly where the current price movement stands in relation to all historical movements, providing crucial context for decision-making.
🔶 Cluster Analysis
To identify the most common retracement zones, StatPivot performs a cluster analysis by dividing the range of historical drops into five equal intervals:
CopyrangeSize = maxVal - minVal
For each interval boundary:
Copyboundaries = minVal + rangeSize * i / 5
By counting the number of observations in each interval, the indicator identifies the most frequently occurring retracement zones, which often serve as significant support or resistance areas.
🔶 Expected Price Targets
Using the statistical data, StatPivot calculates expected price targets:
CopytargetBuyPrice = close * (1 - avgDrop / 100)
targetSellPrice = close * (1 + avgRise / 100)
These targets represent statistically probable price levels for potential entries and exits based on the average historical behavior of the market.
█ Trade Direction
StatPivot functions as an analytical tool rather than a direct trading signal generator, providing statistical insights that can be applied to various trading strategies. However, the data it generates can be interpreted for different trade directions:
For Long Trades:
Entry considerations: Look for price drops that reach the 70-80th percentile range in the historical distribution, suggesting a statistically significant retracement
Target setting: Use the Expected Sell price or consider the average rise percentage as a reasonable target
Risk management: Set stop losses below recent pivot lows or at a distance related to the statistical volatility (standard deviation)
For Short Trades:
Entry considerations: Look for price rises that reach the 70-80th percentile range, indicating an unusual extension
Target setting: Use the Expected Buy price or average drop percentage as a target
Risk management: Set stop losses above recent pivot highs or based on statistical measures of volatility
For Range Trading:
Use the most common drop and rise clusters to identify probable reversal zones
Trade bounces between these statistically significant levels
For Trend Following:
Confirm trend strength by analyzing consecutive higher pivot lows (uptrend) or lower pivot highs (downtrend)
Use lower percentile retracements (20-30th percentile) as entry opportunities in established trends
█ Usage
StatPivot offers multiple ways to integrate its statistical insights into your trading workflow:
Statistical Table Analysis: Review the comprehensive statistics displayed in the data table to understand the market's behavior. Pay particular attention to:
Average drop and rise percentages to set reasonable expectations
Standard deviation to gauge volatility
VaR95 for risk assessment
Real-time Percentile Monitoring: Watch the real-time percentile display to see where the current price movement stands within the historical distribution. This can help identify:
Extreme movements (90th+ percentile) that might indicate reversal opportunities
Typical retracements (40-60th percentile) that might continue further
Shallow pullbacks (10-30th percentile) that might represent continuation opportunities in trends
Support and Resistance Identification: Utilize the plotted pivot points as key support and resistance levels, especially when they align with statistically significant percentile ranges.
Target Price Setting: Use the expected buy and sell prices calculated from historical averages as initial targets for your trades.
Risk Management: Apply the statistical measurements like standard deviation and VaR95 to set appropriate stop loss levels that account for the market's historical volatility.
Pattern Recognition: Over time, learn to recognize when certain percentile levels consistently lead to reversals or continuations in your specific market, and develop personalized strategies based on these observations.
█ Default Settings
The default settings of StatPivot have been carefully calibrated to provide reliable statistical analysis across a variety of markets and timeframes, but understanding their effects allows for optimal customization:
Left Bars (30) and Right Bars (30): These parameters determine how pivot points are identified. With both set to 30 by default:
A pivot low must be the lowest point among 30 bars to its left and 30 bars to its right
A pivot high must be the highest point among 30 bars to its left and 30 bars to its right
Effect on performance: Larger values create fewer but more significant pivot points, reducing noise but potentially missing important market structures. Smaller values generate more pivot points, capturing more nuanced movements but potentially including noise.
Table Position (Top Right): Determines where the statistical data table appears on the chart.
Effect on performance: No impact on analytical performance, purely a visual preference.
Show Distribution Histogram (False): Controls whether the distribution histogram of drop percentages is displayed.
Effect on performance: Enabling this provides visual insight into the distribution of retracements but can clutter the chart.
Show Real-time Percentile (True): Toggles the display of real-time percentile rankings.
Effect on performance: A critical setting that enables the dynamic analysis of current price movements. Disabling this removes one of the key advantages of the indicator.
Real-time Percentile Display Mode (Label): Chooses between label display or indicator line for percentile rankings.
Effect on performance: Labels provide precise information at the current price point, while indicator lines show the evolution of percentile rankings over time.
Advanced Considerations for Settings Optimization:
Timeframe Adjustment: Higher timeframes generally benefit from larger Left/Right values to identify truly significant pivots, while lower timeframes may require smaller values to capture shorter-term swings.
Volatility-Based Tuning: In highly volatile markets, consider increasing the Left/Right values to filter out noise. In less volatile conditions, lower values can help identify more potential entry and exit points.
Market-Specific Optimization: Different markets (forex, stocks, commodities) display different retracement patterns. Monitor the statistics table to see if your market typically shows larger or smaller retracements than the current settings are optimized for.
Trading Style Alignment: Adjust the settings to match your trading timeframe. Day traders might prefer settings that identify shorter-term pivots (smaller Left/Right values), while swing traders benefit from more significant pivots (larger Left/Right values).
By understanding how these settings affect the analysis and customizing them to your specific market and trading style, you can maximize the effectiveness of StatPivot as a powerful statistical tool for identifying high-probability trading opportunities.
Volume & Range Spike DiamondVolume & Range Spike Diamond
Detect significant volume and price range breakouts directly on your chart with this intuitive indicator.
This TradingView indicator highlights bullish and bearish breakout opportunities by analyzing both volume and price range spikes. Perfect for identifying strong market movements in real-time.
Key Features:
Volume Increase Threshold (%): Customize the percentage increase in volume required to trigger a spike.
Price Range Increase Threshold (%): Define the percentage increase in the price range for additional precision.
Volume Lookback Period: Set the number of bars to calculate the average volume for comparison.
Bullish and Bearish Signals: Highlights bullish spikes below bars and bearish spikes above bars using colored diamonds.
Detailed Labels: Optionally display labels with percentage increases for volume and range.
Alerts Integration: Receive notifications for bullish and bearish breakout conditions.
How It Works:
The indicator compares the current bar's volume to the average volume of previous bars over the specified lookback period.
It also evaluates the price range (high - low) of the current bar against the previous bar.
If both volume and price range exceed their respective thresholds, a breakout condition is flagged.
Bullish spikes are displayed with upward-pointing diamonds below the bars, while bearish spikes use downward-pointing diamonds above the bars.
Optional labels show detailed percentage increases for both metrics.
Customization Options:
// Inputs
volumeIncreaseThreshold = input.float(50, "Volume Increase Threshold (%)", minval=0, step=5)
rangeIncreaseThreshold = input.float(200, "Price Range Increase Threshold (%)", minval=0, step=5)
lookbackPeriod = input.int(5, "Volume Lookback Period", minval=1, maxval=50)
showLastLabel = input.bool(false, "Show Only Last Label")
Alerts Configuration:
Bullish Volume Breakout: Triggered when a bullish spike is detected.
Bearish Volume Breakout: Triggered when a bearish spike is detected.
Enhance your trading strategy by detecting high-probability breakout opportunities with this reliable indicator!
Price Range Volume Profile [Pt]█ Introduction
The Price Range Volume Profile (PRVP) is a revolutionary indicator. This tool stands out from its peers due to its unique ability to capture the entire price chart history, thus providing a comprehensive volume profile of the entire asset's trading history, as available on TradingView chart. It's worth noting that I believe this tool is the first of its kind to accomplish such a feat. A much recommended tool if you are a volume profile trader.
█ Main Features
► Historical Lookback: This feature dives deep into the past, grasping all the historical data of an asset. It's equipped to handle up to 20,000 bars, although users without a premium TradingView account are advised to keep it at a maximum of 10,000 bars, or just use the "Full Historical Lookback" feature.
► Volume Profile / POC: Displays the distribution of volume across price levels for the selected price range. The Point of Control (POC), which is the price level with the highest traded volume, is also highlighted.
► Customization: Users have the flexibility to adjust the profile's appearance, including profile width, horizontal offset, and the option to fill the background of the profile range.
► Time Weighting: This feature allows users to give more weight to recent trading activity, which can be especially useful for intraday traders or during times of high volatility. Note that this feature will impact the volume profile and POC level.
► Settings Table: A settings table is displayed on the chart for users to quickly reference their input parameters.
█ Input Parameters
► Lookback Timeframe: Determines the period for which the volume profile is generated.
► Price Range: The percentage distance to consider for the profile, adjusted above and below the current closing price.
► Profile Step size: The granularity of the volume profile. Users can opt for automatic step size based on a predefined calculation or set their preferred tick step size.
► Historical Bars Lookback: Determines the number of bars to include in the volume profile calculation.
► Profile Visuals: Adjust the appearance and layout of the volume profile on the chart.
► Extra: Additional settings including the display of a settings table and its location.
█ Basic Understanding of Volume Profile - How to use PRVP?
Volume Profile is a valuable tool for traders who want insights into where the majority of trading activity has occurred. Here are some tips to make the most of it:
► Understand the Basics: Before using the Volume Profile, ensure you understand the difference between it and the standard volume histogram. While both represent volume, the former displays it against price while the latter shows it against time.
► Identify High Volume Nodes (HVN) and Low Volume Nodes (LVN):
◊ HVN: Areas where there's a lot of trading activity and where the price has spent a lot of time. These areas can act as strong support or resistance.
◊ LVN: Areas where there's a lack of trading activity. Prices might move quickly through these areas, and they can act as potential breakpoints or accelerators for price movement.
► Locate the Point of Control (POC): This is the price level with the highest traded volume for a specified period. It often acts as a magnet for price, and it can serve as a pivot or reference point.
► Trend Confirmation: A shift in the volume profile from one price level to another can confirm a trend. For instance, if higher volume starts to build at higher price levels, it may indicate a strong uptrend.
► Watch for Volume Gaps: If there's a significant gap in the volume profile, prices may move quickly through these levels as there's little historical trading activity to act as support or resistance.
█ Other Usage Tips
◊ For optimal performance, ensure that the chosen timeframe aligns closely with the chart timeframe. Differences in timeframes may lead to minor discrepancies in the volume profile.
◊ To address any errors arising from too many levels displayed on the volume profile, consider increasing the Profile Step size or reducing the Price Range.
Squeeze Range: Bollinger Bands / Keltner Channels [Whvntr]Presenting Squeeze Range: Bollinger Bands / Keltner Channels
TTMSqueeze method is a volatility and momentum indicator introduced by John Carter of Simpler Trading, which capitalizes on the tendency for price to break out strongly after consolidating in a tight trading range.
How did I make this indicator? The Bollinger Bands & Keltner Channels base scripts are from the standard indicators of their class in the Technicals section... I made this indicator first then noticed there were 3 others with a similar concept, but this differs in it's unique features and application of the TTMSqueeze strategy. This indicator plots the True Range of the Keltner Channel (Customizable in 'Bands Style" in the Inputs Menu) the instances the Bollinger Bands are within the range of the Keltner channel (the market just entered a squeeze).
Featuring: customizable Moving Averages
1. Exponential (Default for both BB & KC)
2. Simple
3. RMA (MA used in RSI )
Keltner channels have a multiplier of 2 & 3 on the Chart (3 being the outer).
How do I use this indicator? Once the teal dots are inside the solid red lines this would indicate that TTMperiod of low market volatility (the market is preparing itself for an explosive move up or down). Do some research and study how to use the TTMSqueeze method by John Carter. Disclaimer: not a guarantee of future favorable results.
SuperTrendRange by DGTSuperTrendRange study attempts to determine the state of the market
• whether a well-established bull/bear trend is present
• whether the market is trading in a range
SuperTrendRange (STR) takes into account the volatility of the market - further details regarding volatility can be found in the description of “Volatility Bands by DGT” study
Due to its similarities to SupertTrend (ST) and Parabolic SAR (SAR), I will try to explain by stating differences between them
SuperTrendRange uses both the ATR (Average True Range) and STDEV (Standard Deviation) as part of its calculations - unlike ST and SAR where they use only ATR
Sensitivity of the indicator is adjusted using the multiplier setting of both ATR and STDEV
Additionally, unlike ST, the source of the basis of SuperTrendRange can be selected among the assets price value or its moving average
Source and Length are adjustable too
The SuperTrendRange, like Parabolic SAR indicator, appears on a chart as a series of dots, either above, below or unlike Parabolic SAR both above and below of the asset's price
A dot placed
- below the price when the market is trending upward
- above the price when it is trending downward
- both above and below when the price starts moving sideways – this is a feature that both SuperTrend and Parabolic SAR misses, where they are known to produce false signals and losing trades, whereas SuperTrendRange emphasis the zones of the ranges occurring and in most cases are considered no trade recommended zones. Please note that the range width may vary depending on how the market is volatile. It is up to the users to trade if it fits their trading strategies
Dots plotted above and below can be assumed as Support and Resistance levels
Example usages – with trading opportunities
Gold Monthly Chart
Bitcoin Daily Chart
Disclaimer:
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
CUSTOM PRO RANGE V2.0 with AlertsCore Functions
Tracks High/Low Ranges
Daily (DR) or Initial (IDR) ranges within custom time windows (e.g., 9:30 AM–4:00 PM).
Optional extended hours (e.g., overnight).
Visual Tools
Draws boxes/lines for range boundaries, midpoints, and opening prices.
Custom colors/styles for clarity.
Smart Alerts
Notifies when price breaks high/low/mid of the range.
Avoids spam with once-per-bar alerts.
Flexible Timeframes
Works for intraday, daily, or even quarterly ranges with minor tweaks.
🎯 Who It Helps
Day Traders: Spot breakouts/reversals.
Swing Traders: Identify key support/resistance.
Analysts: Study price behavior in specific sessions.
Peak Reaction Zones [BigBeluga]Peak Reaction Zones is an advanced Smart Money Concept (SMC) indicator that identifies the most recent swing high and swing low zones, helping traders determine premium and discount areas for optimal trade positioning.
🔵 Key Features:
Swing High & Low Zones:
Automatically detects the latest swing high and swing low levels.
Helps traders identify key reaction points where price is likely to respond.
Premium & Discount Concept:
The high zone represents a premium area, where price is overextended and may reverse.
The low zone represents a discount area, where price is undervalued and may bounce.
The midline dynamically marks the equilibrium of the range.
Adjustable Zone Width:
Users can fine-tune the width of the zones to match their trading style.
Wider zones capture broader reaction ranges, while narrower zones focus on precise levels.
Zone Retest Signals:
Blue markers appear when price retests the lower reaction zone, signaling potential support.
Orange markers appear when price retests the upper reaction zone, indicating possible resistance.
Price Labels for Key Levels:
Displays the price value of the swing high, swing low, and midline for quick reference.
Helps traders recognize major reaction points at a glance.
🔵 Usage:
Smart Money Trading: Utilize the premium and discount concept to align trades with institutional order flow.
Zone Reactions: Watch for price tests of reaction zones and use the retest signals to confirm potential reversals.
Midline Confirmation: If price holds above or below the midline, it can indicate directional bias.
Scalping & Swing Trading: Short-term traders can look for zone rejections, while swing traders can use the levels for trend continuation setups.
Peak Reaction Zones is a must-have tool for traders looking to trade with Smart Money Concepts, allowing for precise entries and exits based on key liquidity areas and market structure.
Timed Ranges [mktrader]The Timed Ranges indicator helps visualize price ranges that develop during specific time periods. It's particularly useful for analyzing market behavior in instruments like NASDAQ, S&P 500, and Dow Jones, which often show reactions to sweeps of previous ranges and form reversals.
### Key Features
- Visualizes time-based ranges with customizable lengths (30 minutes, 90 minutes, etc.)
- Tracks high/low range development within specified time periods
- Shows multiple cycles per day for pattern recognition
- Supports historical analysis across multiple days
### Parameters
#### Settings
- **First Cycle (HHMM-HHMM)**: Define the time range of your first cycle. The duration of this range determines the length of all subsequent cycles (e.g., "0930-1000" creates 30-minute cycles)
- **Number of Cycles per Day**: How many consecutive cycles to display after the first cycle (1-20)
- **Maximum Days to Display**: Number of historical days to show the ranges for (1-50)
- **Timezone**: Select the appropriate timezone for your analysis
#### Style
- **Box Transparency**: Adjust the transparency of the range boxes (0-100)
### Usage Example
To track 30-minute ranges starting at market open:
1. Set First Cycle to "0930-1000" (creates 30-minute cycles)
2. Set Number of Cycles to 5 (will show ranges until 11:30)
3. The indicator will display:
- Range development during each 30-minute period
- Visual progression of highs and lows
- Color-coded cycles for easy distinction
### Use Cases
- Identify potential reversal points after range sweeps
- Track regular time-based support and resistance levels
- Analyze market structure within specific time windows
- Monitor range expansions and contractions during key market hours
### Tips
- Use in conjunction with volume analysis for better confirmation
- Pay attention to breaks and sweeps of previous ranges
- Consider market opens and key session times when setting cycles
- Compare range sizes across different time periods for volatility analysis
Alans Date Range CalculatorOverview
Setting a date range for backtesting enables you to evaluate your trading strategy under various market conditions. Traders can test a strategy’s performance during specific periods, such as economic downturns, bull markets, or periods of high volatility. This helps assess the trading strategy’s robustness and adaptability across different scenarios.
Specifying years of data instead of just inputting specific start and end dates offers several advantages:
1. **Consistency**: Using a fixed number of years ensures that the testing period is consistent across different strategies or iterations. This makes it easier to compare performance metrics and draw meaningful conclusions.
2. **Flexibility**: Specifying years allows for automatic adjustment of the start date based on the current date or selected end date. This is particularly useful when new data becomes available or when testing on different assets with varying historical data lengths.
3. **Efficiency**: It simplifies updating and retesting strategies. Instead of recalculating specific start dates each time, traders can quickly adjust the number of years to process, making it easier to test strategies over different timeframes.
4. **Comprehensive Analysis**: Broader timeframes defined by years help you evaluate how your strategy performs over multiple market cycles, providing insights into long-term viability and potential weaknesses.
Defining a date range by specifying years allows for more thorough and systematic backtesting, helping traders develop more reliable and effective trading systems.
Alan's Date Range Calculator: A TradingView Pine Script Indicator
Purpose
This Pine Script indicator calculates and displays a date range for backtesting trading strategies. It allows users to specify the number of years to analyze and an end date, then calculates the corresponding start date. Most importantly, users can copy the inputs and function into their own strategies to quickly add a time span feature for backtesting.
Key Features
User-defined input for the number of years to analyze
Customizable end date with a calendar input
Automatic calculation of the start date
Visual display of both start and end dates on the chart
How It Works
User Inputs
Years of Data to Process: An integer input allowing users to specify the number of years for analysis (default: 20, range: 1-100)
End Date: A calendar input for selecting the end date of the analysis period (default: December 31, 2024)
Date Calculation
The script uses a custom function calcStartDate() to determine the start date. It subtracts the specified number of years from the end date's year and sets the start date to January 1st of that year.
Visual Output
The indicator displays two labels on the chart:
Start Date Label: Shows the calculated start date
End Date Label: Displays the user-specified end date
Both labels are positioned horizontally at the bottom of the chart, with the end date label to the right of the start date label.
Applications
This indicator is particularly useful for traders who want to:
Define specific date ranges for backtesting strategies
Quickly visualize the time span of their analysis
Ensure consistent testing periods across different strategies or assets
Customization
Users can easily adjust the analysis period by changing the number of years or selecting a different end date. This flexibility allows for testing strategies across various market conditions and time frames.
Gauss IndicatorGauss Indicator
Class : oscillator
Trading type : any
Time frame : any
Purpose : reversal trading
Level of aggressiveness : any
About Gauss Indicator
Time series forecasting is quite a scientific task, for which specific econometrical models and methods have been developed.
Who is Gauss and Why his Curve is So Important
Johann Gauss was one of the best mathematicians of all times and he gave us a very specific curve (Gaussian Curve) to explain specifics of random variable behavior (so called Normal Distribution)
Gaussian curve has quite interesting property usually called “3 Sigmas Rule”: in a normal distribution: 68%, 95%, and 99.7% of the values lie within one, two, and three standard deviations of the mean, respectively.
But Does It Work in the Financial Markets?
Normal Distribution is extremely typical for price behavior in financial markets: FOREX, stock Market, Commodities, Cryptocurrency market.
How can we forecast future prices based on “3 Sigmas Rule”?
If we know past prices (we actually know), we can calculate Mean and Standard Deviation.
After that following “3 Sigmas Rules” we can calculate the fluctuations range for the present day with a known probability (!).
• If we add 1 sigma to mean we can get the price value that wouldn’t be exceeded with a probability of 68%.
• If we add 2 sigmas to mean we can get the price value that wouldn’t be exceeded with a probability of 95%.
• If we add 3 sigmas to mean we can get the price value that wouldn’t be exceeded with a probability of 99%.
How Can I Get This Information?
Gauss indicator is a practical implementation of “3 sigmas rule” in trading.
Gauss allows to predict the ranges of price fluctuations for the selected time frames (week, day, hour, etc) with certain probabilities: 68%, 95% and 99%.
Gauss can be used to generate Trading signals, Stop-loss parameters, Take-profit parameters, Synthetic Levels (both Support and Resistance).
Actually, ALL information you need to trade.
Structure of the Gauss Indicator
1. Three blue lines – synthetic support lines. They describe 3 different buy zones with certain probabilities of success:
- First blue line (Buy zone #1) - the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%;
- Second blue line (Buy zone #2) - the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%;
- Third blue line (Buy zone #3) - the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%.
2. Three red lines – synthetic resistance lines. They describe 3 different sell zones with certain probabilities of success:
- First red line (Sell zone #1) - the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%;
- Second red line (Sell zone #2) - the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%;
- Third red line (Sell zone #3) - the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%.
3. Green line – shows current price. When it gets close to the red/blue line sell/buy signals are generated.
Trading rules
General rules are as follows: buy at the blue lines, sell at the red lines.
Take-profits for sells are set at the nearest blue line, for buys – at the nearest red line. Stop-losses for sells are set above the last red line, for buys – below the last blue line.
Time Range### Indicator Name: **Time Range**
#### Description:
The **Time Range** indicator allows users to highlight specific time ranges on a chart for each day of the week. It uses customizable time inputs for every day (Monday to Sunday), allowing the user to define trading sessions or any time-based range. These sessions are visualized by shading the background of the chart within the defined periods.
#### Key Features:
- **Custom Sessions**: For each day of the week (Monday to Sunday), the user can define a unique time session by specifying the start time using the input fields.
- **Day-wise Session Activation**: The user can toggle the activation of sessions for each day by using checkboxes. If the session for a particular day is disabled, no background shading will appear for that day.
- **Background Highlighting**: When a session is active, the background of the chart during the specified session period will be shaded in gray with a 70% transparency. This helps the user visually identify active time ranges across multiple days.
#### Use Cases:
- **Highlighting Trading Sessions**: Traders can use this indicator to easily visualize specific market sessions such as the New York or London trading sessions.
- **Visualizing Custom Time Blocks**: Can be used to highlight any custom time blocks that are important for the trader, such as key trading hours, news release periods, or other time-based strategies.
#### Customizable Parameters:
- **Day Toggles**: Checkboxes to activate or deactivate sessions for each day of the week.
- **Time Range Inputs**: Time range inputs allow the user to set start times for each session, which are applied based on the user's selection for the day.
This indicator helps streamline chart analysis by giving clear visual markers for time-based events or trading windows.
ATR Gerchik LightAverage True Range ( ATR ) is a technical analysis indicator that measures volatility in the market. ATR is a moving average of the true range over a period of time.
ATR calculation procedure:
1. Determine the true maximum - this is the highest of the current maximum and yesterday's closing price of the day.
2. Determine the true minimum - this is the smallest of the current minimum and yesterday's closing price.
3. Determine the true range - this is the distance between the true maximum and minimum.
4. We exclude extremely large candles (> x2 ATR) and extremely small ones (< 0.5 ATR) from the obtained true ranges.
5. We calculate the average for the selected period based on the remaining range.
6. We calculate the percentage of the current True Range relative to the average ATR value for the previous period.
Description:
If you analyze it yourself, you will see that 75-80% of the time, the instrument moves only 1 ATR per day. You must understand that if an instrument has, for example, moved 80% of its daily range, it is not advisable to purchase it. This is comparable to a car's fuel tank: if the tank is almost empty, the car won't go far. Most indicators that calculate ATR include anomalous candles, which give unreliable results and lead to incorrect decisions. Because of this, many traders prefer to calculate ATR on their own.
However, the Gerchik ATR indicator accounts for anomalous candles and filters out extremely large candles (> 2x ATR) and extremely small ones (< 0.5x ATR). Additionally, this indicator immediately shows the consumed “fuel” of the instrument as a percentage, so you don't have to calculate the distance traveled yourself. This allows you to make quick, informed decisions. If we see that the tank is almost empty, it is logical not to get into that car today. When building any strategy, you must rely on the average movement.
Key Features:
Anomalous Candle Filtering: Excludes extremely large and small candles to provide more reliable ATR values.
Consumed Fuel Indicator: Shows the percentage of the ATR consumed, helping traders quickly assess the remaining potential movement.
Daily Timeframe Focus: Designed specifically for use on daily charts for accurate long-term analysis.
Practical Applications:
Entry and Exit Points: Use the ATR to determine optimal entry and exit points by assessing market volatility and potential price movement.
Stop-Loss Placement: Calculate stop-loss levels based on ATR to ensure they are placed at appropriate distances, accounting for current market volatility.
Trend Confirmation: Use the percentage of ATR consumed to confirm the strength of a trend and decide whether to enter or exit trades.
Examples of Use:
Trend Following: During strong trends, ATR helps identify periods of increased volatility, signaling potential breakouts or reversals.
Range Trading: In ranging markets, ATR can highlight periods of low volatility, indicating consolidation and potential breakout zones.
Note: The indicator is displayed and works only on the daily timeframe!
The indicator was created according to the instructions, description of the functionality, and strategy of Mr. Gerchik. Thank you so much, Chief!
________________________
Average True Range ( ATR , средний истинный диапазон) – это индикатор технического анализа, который измеряет волатильность на рынке. ATR представляет собой скользящее среднее истинного диапазона за определенный период времени.
Порядок расчета ATR:
1. Определяем истинный максимум – это наивысшее из текущего максимума и вчерашней цены закрытия дня.
2. Определяем истинный минимум – это наименьшее из текущего минимума и вчерашней цены закрытия.
3. Определяем истинный диапазон – это расстояние между истинным максимумом и минимумом.
4. Исключаем из полученных истинных диапазонов экстремально большие свечи (> x2 ATR) и экстремально маленькие (< 0.5 ATR).
5. Рассчитываем среднее за выбранный период исходя из оставшегося диапазона.
6 . Рассчитываем процент текущего истинного диапазона (True Range) относительно среднего значения ATR за предыдущий период.
Описание:
Если вы сами проанализируете, то увидите, что 75-80% времени инструмент ходит только 1 ATR. И вы должны понимать, что если инструмент внутри дня прошел, к примеру, 80% своего движения, то этот инструмент больше нельзя покупать. Это можно сравнить с баком машины: если бак почти пустой, машина далеко не уедет. Большинство индикаторов, которые рассчитывают ATR, производят расчет с паранормальными свечами. Это дает недостоверный результат и приводит к неверным решениям. Многие трейдеры из-за этого не используют готовые индикаторы и предпочитают считать ATR самостоятельно. Но индикатор ATR Gerchik учитывает паранормальные свечи и фильтрует экстремально большие свечи (> x2 ATR) и экстремально маленькие (< 0.5 ATR). Также этот индикатор сразу показывает израсходованный "бензин" инструмента в процентах. И вам не надо самостоятельно высчитывать пройденный путь. Вы можете быстро принимать правильные решения. Если мы видим, что бак почти пустой, логично не садиться в эту машину сегодня. Когда вы строите какую-то стратегию, вы должны обязательно полагаться на среднестатистическое движение.
Существует много стратегий, завязанных на ATR, которые учитывают волатильность инструмента, запас хода, точки разворота, места выставления стоп-лоссов (SL) и тейк-профитов (TP) и другие факторы. Я не буду останавливаться на них, так как каждый может найти описание этих стратегий и использовать их на свой выбор.
Индикатор отображается и работает только на дневном таймфрейме!
Индикатор создан по наставлениям, описанию функционала и стратегии господина Герчика. Огромное спасибо, Шеф!
Taylor True Ranges - deviationsDescription:
The Taylor True Ranges - Deviations indicator in Pine Script 5.0 computes various price levels and averages based on Taylor's trading principles. It provides insights into potential buying and selling opportunities by analyzing deviations from average price movements. The indicator calculates and visualizes critical levels such as Decline Average, Buying Under Average, Pivot Brake Sell, Rally Average, Buying High Average, and Pivot Brake Buy. These levels are derived from historical price data and help traders identify key support and resistance zones, trend reversals, and breakout points.
Key Features:
Taylor's Trading Principles: The indicator implements Taylor's methodology to analyze price movements and identify trading opportunities based on deviations from average ranges.
Multiple Price Levels: It calculates and displays various price levels, including Decline Average, Buying Under Average, Pivot Brake Sell, Rally Average, Buying High Average, and Pivot Brake Buy.
Customizable Visualization: Traders can customize the visualization by toggling the display of individual price levels and adjusting the appearance settings such as line style, color, and text size.
Daily Lookback: The indicator supports a customizable daily lookback period, allowing traders to analyze historical price movements over a specified timeframe.
Usage:
Apply the Taylor True Ranges - Deviations indicator to your chart to analyze deviations from average price movements and identify potential trading opportunities.
Customize the indicator settings, including the daily lookback period, line style, color, and text size, to suit your trading preferences and analysis requirements.
Use the calculated price levels and averages as part of your technical analysis to make informed trading decisions, including identifying support and resistance levels, trend reversals, and breakout points.
Example:
Traders can use the Taylor True Ranges - Deviations indicator to analyze deviations from average price movements and identify key support and resistance levels. For instance, observing a Pivot Brake Sell level crossing above the current price might indicate a potential selling opportunity, while a Pivot Brake Buy level crossing below the price could signal a buying opportunity.
