Savitzky Flow Bands [ChartPrime]An advanced trend-following tool that applies the Savitzky-Golay smoothing algorithm to price and dynamically adapts trend bands to visualize directional bias and trend strength.
savitzky_golay_filter_w_15_vectors(source) =>
float sum = 0.0
float polynomial = 0.0
float coefficients = array.new(16)
// Predefined 15 coefficients
for i = -4 to 4
coefficients.set(i + 4, i) // from -4 to 5
if i == 4
for j = 5 to -4
for g = 8 to 15
coefficients.set(g, j) // from 5 to -4
// Calculate normalization factor as the sum of absolute values of coefficients
float norm_factor = coefficients.sum()
// Loop through coefficients and calculate the weighted sum
for i = 0 to coefficients.size()-1
sum := sum + coefficients.get(i) * source
// Calculate the smoothed value
for i = 1 to length-1
polynomial := math.sum(sum / norm_factor, i) / i
polynomial
⯁ KEY FEATURES & HOW TO USE
Savitzky-Golay Filtered Line (Basis):
Smooths out price noise using the Savitzky-Golay method, offering a more refined trend path than traditional moving averages. This centerline acts as the trend anchor and visually changes color depending on its slope to reflect the active trend direction.
Dynamic Trend Bands (Upper/Lower):
Constructed from the filtered line with a dynamic offset based on recent price volatility (ATR). These bands shift based on price pressure and are locked once price closes beyond them.
Helpful for identifying breakout moments or exhaustion areas where reversals are likely.
Trend Direction Detection:
A directional signal is confirmed when price breaks and closes above the upper band (uptrend) or below the lower band (downtrend).
Provides a clear and systematic way to identify when a trend begins.
Trend Duration Counter (Visual Decay Line):
A fading overlay line shows how long a trend has been active since the last reversal. The longer the trend persists, the more transparent this extension becomes.
This visual fading effect helps traders anticipate potential trend exhaustion and prepare for reversals or take-profit zones.
Reversal Signals (Diamond Markers):
Diamond shapes are plotted at each market shift, allowing users to visually pinpoint when the trend has flipped.
These markers act as decision zones for entry, exit, or stop-loss adjustments based on directional flow changes.
Color-Based Bar and Candle Painting:
Candles are painted green in uptrends and orange in downtrends, providing an intuitive glance at trend state without needing to interpret numbers.
Helps users stay aligned with the trend visually and avoid counter-trend entries.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Savitzky Flow Bands indicator offers a modernized, visually rich way to track trend shifts using a scientific smoothing method. With dynamic trend envelopes, color-coded cues, and visual markers, it equips traders with a structured framework to follow the market's flow and make data-driven decisions. Ideal for swing traders, momentum strategists, or any trader looking to trade in sync with the prevailing trend.
Cerca negli script per "reversal"
123 Reversal Trading StrategyThe 123 Reversal Trading Strategy is a technical analysis approach that seeks to identify potential reversal points in the market by analyzing price patterns. This Pine Script™ code implements a version of this strategy, and here’s a detailed description:
Strategy Overview
Objective: The strategy aims to identify bullish reversal patterns using the 123 pattern and manage trades with a specified holding period and a 20-day moving average as an additional exit condition.
Key Components:
Holding Period: The number of days to hold a trade is adjustable, with the default set to 7 days.
Moving Average: A 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is used to determine an exitcondition based on the price crossing this average.
Pattern Recognition:
Condition 1: The low of the current day must be lower than the low of the previous day.
Condition 2: The low of the previous day must be lower than the low from three days ago.
Condition 3: The low two days ago must be lower than the low from four days ago.
Condition 4: The high two days ago must be lower than the high three days ago.
Entry Condition: All four conditions must be met for a buy signal.
Exit Condition: The position is closed either after the specified holding period or when the price reaches or exceeds the 200-day moving average.
Relevant Literature
Graham, B., & Dodd, D. L. (1934). Security Analysis. This classic work introduces fundamental analysis and technical analysis principles which are foundational to understanding patterns like the 123 reversal.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. Murphy provides an extensive overview of technical indicators and chart patterns, including reversal patterns similar to the 123 pattern.
Elder, A. (1993). Trading for a Living. Elder discusses various trading strategies and technical analysis techniques that complement the understanding of reversal patterns and their application in trading.
Risks and Considerations
Pattern Reliability: The 123 reversal pattern, like many technical patterns, is not foolproof. It can generate false signals, especially in volatile or trending markets. This may lead to losses if the pattern does not play out as expected.
Market Conditions: The strategy may perform differently under various market conditions. In strongly trending markets, reversal patterns might not be as reliable.
Lagging Indicators: The use of the 200-day moving average as an exit condition can be considered a lagging indicator. This means it reacts to price movements with a delay, which might result in late exits and missed profit opportunities.
Holding Period: The fixed holding period of 7 days may not be optimal for all market conditions or stocks. It is essential to adjust the holding period based on market dynamics and individual stock behavior.
Overfitting: The parameters used (like the number of days and moving average length) are set based on historical data. Overfitting can occur if these parameters are tailored too specifically to past data, leading to reduced performance in future scenarios.
Conclusion
The 123 Reversal Trading Strategy is designed to identify potential market reversals using specific conditions related to price lows and highs. While it offers a structured approach to trading, it is essential to be aware of its limitations and potential risks. As with any trading strategy, it should be tested thoroughly in various market conditions and adjusted according to the individual trading style and risk tolerance.
ICT KillZones + Pivot Points [TradingFinder] Support/Resistance 🟣 Introduction
Pivot Points are critical levels on a price chart where trading activity is notably high. These points are derived from the prior day's price data and serve as key reference markers for traders' decision-making processes.
Types of Pivot Points :
Floor
Woodie
Camarilla
Fibonacci
🔵 Floor Pivot Points
Widely utilized in technical analysis, floor pivot points are essential in identifying support and resistance levels. The central pivot point (PP) acts as the primary level, suggesting the trend's likely direction.
The additional resistance levels (R1, R2, R3) and support levels (S1, S2, S3) offer further insight into potential trend reversals or continuations.
🔵 Camarilla Pivot Points
Featuring eight distinct levels, Camarilla pivot points closely correspond with support and resistance, making them highly effective for setting stop-loss orders and profit targets.
🔵 Woodie Pivot Points
Similar to floor pivot points, Woodie pivot points differ by placing greater emphasis on the closing price, often resulting in different pivot levels compared to the floor method.
🔵 Fibonacci Pivot Points
Fibonacci pivot points combine the standard floor pivot points with Fibonacci retracement levels applied to the previous trading period's range. Common retracement levels used are 38.2%, 61.8%, and 100%.
🟣 Sessions
Financial markets are divided into specific time segments, known as sessions, each with unique characteristics and activity levels. These sessions are active at different times throughout the day.
The primary sessions in financial markets include :
Asian Session
European Session
New York Session
The timing of these major sessions in UTC is as follows :
Asian Session: 23:00 to 06:00
European Session: 07:00 to 14:25
New York Session: 14:30 to 22:55
🟣 Kill Zones
Kill zones are periods within a session marked by heightened trading activity. During these times, trading volume surges and price movements become more pronounced.
The timing of the major kill zones in UTC is :
Asian Kill Zone: 23:00 to 03:55
European Kill Zone: 07:00 to 09:55
New York Kill Zone: 14:30 to 16:55
Combining kill zones and pivot points in financial market analysis provides several advantages :
Enhanced Market Sentiment Analysis : Aligns key price levels with high-activity periods for a clearer market sentiment.
Improved Timing for Trade Entries and Exits : Helps better time trades based on when price movements are most likely.
Higher Probability of Successful Trades : Increases the accuracy of predicting market movements and placing profitable trades.
Strategic Stop-Loss and Profit Target Placement : Allows for precise risk management by strategically setting stop-loss and profit targets.
Versatility Across Different Time Frames : Effective in both short and long time frames, suitable for various trading strategies.
Enhanced Trend Identification and Confirmation : Confirms trends using both pivot levels and high-activity periods, ensuring stronger trend validation.
In essence, this integrated approach enhances decision-making, optimizes trading performance, and improves risk management.
🟣 How to Use
🔵 Two Approaches to Trading Pivot Points
There are two main strategies for trading pivot points: utilizing "pivot point breakouts" and "price reversals."
🔵 Pivot Point Breakout
When the price breaks through pivot lines, it signals a shift in market sentiment to the trader. In the case of an upward breakout, where the price crosses these pivot lines, a trader might enter a long position, placing their stop-loss just below the pivot point (P).
Conversely, if the price breaks downward, a short position can be initiated below the pivot point. When using the pivot point breakout strategy, the first and second support levels can serve as profit targets in an upward trend. In a downward trend, these roles are filled by the first and second resistance levels.
🔵 Price Reversal
An alternative method involves waiting for the price to reverse at the support and resistance levels. To implement this strategy, traders should take positions opposite to the prevailing trend as the price rebounds from the pivot point.
While this tool is commonly used in higher time frames, it tends to produce better results in shorter time frames, such as 1-hour, 30-minute, and 15-minute intervals.
Three Strategies for Trading the Kill Zone
There are three principal strategies for trading within the kill zone :
Kill Zone Hunt
Breakout and Pullback to Kill Zone
Trading in the Trend of the Kill Zone
🔵 Kill Zone Hunt
This strategy involves waiting until the kill zone concludes and its high and low lines are established. If the price reaches one of these lines within the same session and is strongly rejected, a trade can be executed.
🔵 Breakout and Pullback to Kill Zone
In this approach, once the kill zone ends and its high and low lines stabilize, a trade can be made if the price breaks one of these lines decisively within the same session and then pulls back to that level.
🔵 Trading in the Trend of the Kill Zone
Kill zones are characterized by high trading volumes and strong trends. Therefore, trades can be placed in the direction of the prevailing trend. For instance, if an upward trend dominates this area, a buy trade can be entered when the price reaches a demand order block.
MA Sabres [LuxAlgo]The "MA Sabres" indicator highlights potential trend reversals based on a moving average direction. Detected reversals are accompanied by an extrapolated "Sabre" looking shape that can be used as support/resistance and as a source of breakouts.
🔶 USAGE
If a selected moving average (MA) continues in the same direction for a certain time, a change in that direction could signify a potential reversal.
In this publication, when a trend change occurs, a sabre-shaped figure is drawn which can be used as support/resistance:
A sabre can be indicative of a direction, however, it can also act as a stop-loss when the price should go in the opposite direction:
Or show potential areas of interest:
🔶 DETAILS
This publication will look for a change in direction after the MA went in the same direction during x consecutive bars (settings: " Reversal after x bars in the same direction ").
Then a circle-shaped drawing will be drawn 1 bar back, at the previous high/low, dependable of the previous direction.
From there originates a sabre-shaped figure where the tip lies as far as the user-set MA length.
The angle of the "sabre" relies on the ATR of the previous 14 bars.
Less volatility will create a flatter sabre while the opposite is true when there is more volatility in the previous 14 bars.
The sabre is created by the latest feature, polylines , which enables us to connect several 'points', resulting in a polyline.new() object.
Do note that sabres are offset by one bar to the past to align their locations.
🔶 SETTINGS
MA Type: SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), HullMA, WMA, VWMA, DEMA, TEMA, NONE (off)
Length: this sets the length of MA, and the length of the sabre shape
Previous Trend Duration: After the MA direction is the same for x consecutive bars, the first time the direction changes, a sabre is drawn
Recursive Reversal Chart Patterns [Trendoscope]Caution: This algorithm is very heavy and bound to cause timeouts. If that happens, there are few settings you can change to reduce the load. (Will explain them in the description below)
🎲 Recursive Reversal Chart Patterns Indicator
Welcome to another exploration of Zigzag and Pattern ecosystem components. Previously we derived Pitchfork and Recursive Zigzag indicators. This indicator is designed to scan and highlight few popular "Reversal Chart Patterns". Similar to other indicators in the ecosystem, this too is built on recursive zigzags.
Double Taps
Triple Taps
Cup and Handles
Head and Shoulders
Indicator however names the patterns separately for bullish and bearish formations. So, the actual names you see on the screen are
Double Top
Double Bottom
Triple Top
Triple Bottom
Cup and Handle
Inverted Cup and Handle
Head and Shoulders
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Here is a snapshot on how each category of patterns look on the chart.
🎲 Architecture
Many of you may be cursing me for publishing too many libraries. But, these are all preparations for something big. Like other indicators in the Zigzag and Patterns Ecosystem, this too uses a bunch of libraries.
🎯Major direct dependencies
ZigzagTypes
ZigzagMethods
ReversalChartPatternLibrary
🎯Indirect dependencies
DrawingTypes
DrawingMethods
🎯Minor dependencies
Utils
TradeTracker
🎲 Indicator Settings
🎯Generic and Zigzag Settings.
Note: In case of timeout, please decrease the value of depth parameter
🎯Pattern Selection
Having all the patterns selected on chart may also cause timeouts and will make the chart look messy. It is better to limit one or two patterns on the chart to have clear picture.
🎯Scanner Settings
🎯Indicators.
These are options to use indicators as secondary confirmation to calculate divergence. If selected, the patterns are shown only if the divergence data is inline. Option also available to plugin external indicator. These calculations are not straightforward and not easy to measure by manual inspection. This feature at present is purely experimental.
Have a go and let me know how you feel :)
1-2-3 Pattern (Expo)█ Overview
The 1-2-3 pattern is the most basic and important formation in the market. Almost every great market move has started with this formation. That is why you must use this pattern to detect the next big trend. In fact, every trader has used the 1-2-3 formation to detect a trend change without realizing it.
Our 1-2-3 Pattern (Expo) indicator helps traders quickly identify the 1-2-3 Reversal Pattern automatically. By analyzing the price action data, the indicator shows the pattern in real-time. When the pattern is discovered, the 1-2-3 Pattern (Expo) Indicator notifies you via its built-in alert feature! Catching the upcoming big move can't be that much simpler.
█ How to use
The 1-2-3 pattern is used to spot trend reversals. The pattern indicates that a trend is coming to an end and a new one is forming.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
PivotThis library was designed to create three different datasets using Bill Williams fractals. The goal is to spot trends in reversal data and ultimately use these datasets to help predict future price reversals.
First, the pivot() function is used to initialize and populate three separate arrays (high pivot , low pivot , all pivots ). Since each high/low price depends on the bar_index, the bar_index, pivot direction(high/low), and high/low values are compressed into a string to maintain the data's integrity ("__"). Once each string array is populated and organized by bar_index, all three are returned inside a tuple. The return value must be deconstructed H,L,A =pivot() for each array's values to be accessed using getPivot() . This boilerplate allows for data to be accessed more efficiently in a recursive environment. getPivot() was designed to be used inside of a for or while block to populate matrices for further analyses. Again, getPivot() return values must be exposed through deconstruction. x,d,y =getPivot(). See code for more details.
pivot(int XLR) initializes and populates arrays
Parameters
XLR - number of bars to the left and right that must be lower for a high to be considered a pivotHigh, or vice versa. This number will drastically change the size and scope of the returned datasets. smaller values will produce much larger datasets, which might model short term price activity well. In contrast, larger values will produce smaller datasets which might model longer term price activity well.
Returns - tuple [string ]
getPivot(string arrayID, int index) accesses array data
Parameters
arrayID - the variable name for one of the three arrays returned by pivot().
index - the index of the provided array, with 0 being the most recent pivot point. can be set to " i " in a loop to access values recursively
Returns - tuple
Volume Records + AlertContents
Overall Introduction
Settings menu parameters
Usage
How to use alerts
Limits
Overall Introduction
This indicator is a "volume analysis" tool for confirming the direction and strength of price trend and spotting trend reversals. This tool consists of two parts:
1- The colored graph is a custom volume oscillator which shows the relative changes in volume.
The darkening of the color of the bars is a sign of increasing volume.
2- Triangular labels that show trading volume records over different time periods based on the absolute values of the volume.
By creating an alert, you can be notified of new trading volume records. These records are:
Highest / lowest volume in one year,
Highest / lowest volume in six month
Highest / lowest volume in three month
Highest / lowest volume in one month
Highest / lowest volume in one week
Settings menu parameters
{Short Length} =>
The fast volume MA of the Volume Oscillator.
{Long Length} =>
The slow volume MA of the Volume Oscillator.
{Visual Parameters} =>
Parameters to personalize the appearance of the indicator.
{Alert Conditions Part 01: Highest Records ⏰ } =>
Parameters to customize the alert.
{Alert Conditions Part 02: Lowest Records ⏰ } =>
Parameters to customize the alert.
Usage
This indicator is a "volume analysis" tool for confirming the direction and strength of price trend and spotting trend reversals.
What Is Volume Analysis?
Volume analysis involves examining relative or absolute changes in an asset's trading volume in order to make inferences about future price movements.
A significant price increase along with a significant volume increase, for example, could be a credible sign of a continued bullish trend or a bullish reversal.
The gradual darkening of the bars is a sign of the strength of the trend.
Volume can be an indicator of market strength, as rising markets on increasing volume are typically viewed as strong and healthy.
How to use alerts
Note that by creating an alert, an instance of the indicator, with all your settings, will be activated on the site's server and alerts will be triggered by it.
After that, changing the indicator settings on the chart will no longer affect the alert.
Open the settings window and select the alert conditions as you wish
Click the Create Alert button (or press the A key while holding down the ALT key)
In the Condition section, select the name of the indicator.
Make the rest of the settings as you wish.
Finally, click on the Create button.
It's finished. After a few moments, your alert will be added to the Alerts menu.
Limits
The labels are displayed after the bars close.
Labels are displayed for the last 10,000 bars.
[blackcat] L1 Composite RSI-DMI Reversal IndicatorLevel: 1
Background
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) developed by J. Welles Wilder is a pulse oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI hovers between zero and 100. Traditionally, the RSI is considered overbought when it is above 70 and oversold when below 30. Signals can be generated by looking for divergences and error fluctuations. RSI can also be used to identify the general trend.
The Directional Movement Index (DMI) is an indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978 that indicates the direction in which the price of an asset is moving. The indicator compares previous highs and lows and draws two lines: a positive directional movement line (+ DI) and a negative directional movement line (-DI). An optional third line called Directional Movement (DX) shows the difference between the lines. When + DI is above -DI there is more upward pressure than downward pressure in price. When -DI is above + DI, the price continues to fall. This indicator can help traders estimate the direction of the trend. Crossovers between the lines are also sometimes used as trading signals to buy or sell.
Function
L1 Composite RSI-DMI Reversal Indicator combines J. Welles Wilder's RSI and DMI indicators together to identify trend reversals.
Key Signal
swinglow --> swing signal
trend --> trend signal to identify top reversal
Pros and Cons
Pros:
1. it exhibit leading character
2. it can disclose top and bottom reversals
Cons:
1. noise exists
2. depends on market and trading pairs
Remarks
Composite J. Welles Wilder indicator
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
Supertrend Screener LABELThis screens for Supertrend reversal's in 10 different securities. The main logic for the screener is taken from "Simple Custom Screener in Pinescript" by QuantNomad with his permission. If the label color is not visible due to the text in it being white colored, then choose a different color from settings. Also added a simple supertrend to it.
Terminology explanation:
Confirmed Reversal: Supertrend reversal that happened in the last bar and cannot be repainted.
Potential Reversal: Supertrend reversal that might happen in the current bar but can also not happen depending upon the timeframe closing price.
Uptrend/Downtrend : Shows all the tickers that are either currently in uptrend or downtrend.
Vortex Trend TrackerThough it may sound complex, the Vortex Indicator is essentially an uptrend line and a downtrend line. The vortex indicator can be used for a variety of purposes, including tracking the strength of trends, identifying/anticipating reversals, and generating entry/exit signals. It’s calculation is shown in the open-source code below.
To reduce the number of whipsaws produced by the indicator, we used an Exponential Moving Average of vmPlus and vmNegative values with a default length of 10. Decreasing this length will result in a more responsive vortex at the cost of more whipsaws and false signals.
The chart shows the absolute value of the difference between the uptrend and downtrend line displayed as the main histogram.
If the uptrend line is greater than the downtrend (thus indicating positive movement), then the histogram bars will be either light green or dark green. If the uptrend line has just now crossed the downtrend line, then the bar will be dark green. Bars will also be dark green when the uptrend line is greater than the downtrend line and the uptrend line is increasing. This means the trend is increasing in strength still. If the uptrend line is greater than the downtrend line, but is decreasing, then the bars will be light green. This means that the upwards trend is losing strength.
If the downtrend line is greater than the uptrend line, then there is a negative trend occurring and the bars will be either red or light red. If the downtrend line has just crossed over the uptrend line or is increasing in value, then the bar will be red. If the downtrend line is greater than the uptrend line, but is decreasing in value, then the bars will be light red (meaning the downtrend is weakening).
One way to trade using this vortex is to enter a long position when the bar color changes from red to light red. This would mean that the downtrend is decreasing in strength and an upwards reversal is likely to occur soon. Then, traders can exit their long position when the bars change from dark green to light green. When that color change occurs it means that the uptrend is running out of steam and price is unlikely to continue its upwards climb.
Traders can also choose to have the uptrend and downtrend lines plotted as well in the input menu. This may make it easier to visualize the Vortex and its usefulness in identifying reversals.
Mass IndexThis indicator was originally developed by Donald Dorsey (Stocks & Commodities, V.10:6 (June, 1992): "The Mass Index").
Specially for @AlexMayorov :
If indicator reaches 27 and then falls to below 26.5 then it could be a signal of potential trend reversal.
E9 Shark-32 PatternUnderstanding the Shark-32 Pattern and its Trading Applications
The Shark-32 Pattern is a bearish technical trading formation used to predict market reversals or trend continuations. It highlights a downward move followed by a corrective rally, signaling a potential resumption of the downtrend. Here’s a breakdown of how it works:
What is the Shark-32 Pattern?
The Shark-32 pattern is a five-wave structure typically observed in bearish markets:
Wave 0 to X: A significant price decline starts the pattern.
Wave X to A: A correction pushes the price slightly upward.
Wave A to B: The price drops again but doesn’t reach the initial low.
Wave B to C: A final sharp decline concludes the pattern.
Once Wave C is formed, it suggests that the market will continue to move downward, presenting a potential selling or shorting opportunity.
Using the Pattern in Trading
This pattern is valuable for traders seeking high-probability bearish setups. The goal is to capitalize on the continuation of a downtrend following the corrective rally (X to A). Identifying the Shark-32 pattern helps anticipate the next wave of selling pressure.
Trading Setup
Identify a Shark-32 pattern.
If the price closes above the pattern's high, buy at the open the next day.
If the price closes below the pattern's low, short at the open the next day.
Sell/cover when the price moves 7% in the direction of the breakout.
Close the trade for a loss if the price moves 7% in the opposite direction.
For example, in a bull market after an upward breakout from a Shark-32, the net gain was $69.55. The method won 56% of the time with 5,218 winning trades and an average gain of $714.07. Conversely, 44% of trades were losers, with an average loss of $747.33. The average holding period was 26 calendar days.
The gains and losses were closely aligned with the 7% threshold set for this test.
Key Target Levels
To enhance the strategy, use dotted projection lines as target levels:
Upper Target: Drawn above the high of the corrective rally (Wave A). If the price breaks above this line, it may signal further upward movement, indicating a potentially weaker downtrend.
Lower Target: Positioned below the low of Wave C, providing a target for bearish trades.
These lines help determine future price targets and assist in setting take-profit or stop-loss levels.
Trading the Breakout
Look for breakouts once the Shark-32 pattern is identified:
Upward Breakout: If the price closes above the green line (high from two bars ago), it indicates a potential reversal to the upside.
Downward Breakout: If the price breaks below the red line (low from two bars ago), it confirms the bearish continuation.
Breakouts allow traders to adjust their positions based on market shifts.
Trading Tips
Continuation: The Shark-32 pattern acts as a continuation 60% of the time, confirming the ongoing trend.
Breakout Confirmation: Wait for the price to close above or below the pattern’s key levels before entering a trade.
Trade with the Trend: Since the Shark-32 is a continuation pattern, expect the breakout to align with the inbound price trend.
Symmetry: Patterns with symmetry often perform better. For more insights, refer to detailed trading literature.
Half-Staff: The Shark-32 can form midway in a trend, similar to flags and pennants.
Shark-32: Trading Performance
Based on an analysis of 23,369 trades, the following performance metrics were observed:
Bull Market with Upward Breakout: The average net profit was $69.55. This method won 56% of the time, with winning trades averaging $714.07. Losing trades, which constituted 44% of the total, had an average loss of $747.33. The average holding period was 26 calendar days.
Bull Market with Downward Breakout: The average net loss was $(76.36). This method won 43% of the time, with winning trades averaging $753.56. Losing trades, which constituted 57% of the total, had an average loss of $706.32. The average holding period was 23 calendar days.
Bear Market with Upward Breakout: The average net loss was $(89.13). This method won 46% of the time, with winning trades averaging $710.77. Losing trades, which constituted 54% of the total, had an average loss of $756.97. The average holding period was 16 calendar days.
Bear Market with Downward Breakout: The average net profit was $65.17. This method won 52% of the time, with winning trades averaging $781.62. Losing trades, which constituted 48% of the total, had an average loss of $722.41. The average holding period was 13 calendar days.
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal StrategyOverview
The MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal Strategy utilizes MACD indicator in conjunction with 1 day timeframe Stochastic indicators to obtain the high probability short-term trend reversal signals. The main idea is to wait until MACD line crosses up it’s signal line, at the same time Stochastic indicator on 1D time frame shall show the uptrend (will be discussed in methodology) and not to be in the oversold territory. Strategy works on time frames from 30 min to 4 hours and opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Higher time frame confirmation: Strategy utilizes 1D Stochastic to establish the major trend and confirm the local reversals with the higher probability.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
MACD line of MACD indicator shall cross over the signal line of MACD indicator.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line shall be above the D line.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line value shall be below 80 (not overbought)
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 3.25, value multiplied by ATR to be subtracted from position entry price to setup stop loss)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 4.25, value multiplied by ATR to be added to position entry price to setup trailing profit activation level)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20, period for EMA, when price reached trailing profit activation level EMA will stop out of position if price closes below it)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart, in our example we use default settings.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages 2 time frames analysis to have the high probability reversal setups on lower time frame in the direction of the 1D time frame trend. That’s why it’s recommended to use this strategy on 30 min – 4 hours time frames.
To have an approximation of 1D time frame trend strategy utilizes classical Stochastic indicator. The Stochastic Indicator is a momentum oscillator that compares a security's closing price to its price range over a specific period. It's used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and readings below 20 indicating oversold conditions.
It consists of two lines:
%K: The main line, calculated using the formula (CurrentClose−LowestLow)/(HighestHigh−LowestLow)×100 . Highest and lowest price taken for 14 periods.
%D: A smoothed moving average of %K, often used as a signal line.
Strategy logic assumes that on 1D time frame it’s uptrend in %K line is above the %D line. Moreover, we can consider long trade only in %K line is below 80. It means that in overbought state the long trade will not be opened due to higher probability of pullback or even major trend reversal. If these conditions are met we are going to our working (lower) time frame.
On the chosen time frame, we remind you that for correct work of this strategy you shall use 30min – 4h time frames, MACD line shall cross over it’s signal line. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a popular momentum and trend-following indicator used in technical analysis. It helps traders identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price.
The MACD consists of three components:
MACD Line: This is the difference between a short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a long-term EMA, typically calculated as: MACD Line=12-period EMA−26-period
Signal Line: This is a 9-period EMA of the MACD Line, which helps to identify buy or sell signals. When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it can be a bullish signal (suggesting a buy); when it crosses below, it can be a bearish signal (suggesting a sell).
Histogram: The histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line, visually representing the momentum of the trend. Positive histogram values indicate increasing bullish momentum, while negative values indicate increasing bearish momentum.
In our script we are interested in only MACD and signal lines. When MACD line crosses signal line there is a high chance that short-term trend reversed to the upside. We use this strategy on 45 min time frame.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.79%
Maximum Single Profit: +20.14%
Net Profit: +2361.33 USDT (+44.72%)
Total Trades: 123 (44.72% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.623
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 695.80 USDT (-5.48%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.20 USDT (+0.59%)
Average Trade Duration: 30 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe between 30 min and 4 hours and chart (optimal performance observed on 45 min BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Fibonacci Timing Pattern IIThe Fibonacci Timing Pattern II is a price-based counter that seeks to determine medium-term reversals in price action. It is based on the following set of conditions:
* For a bullish Fibonacci timing signal II: The current close must be lower than the close prices from one and two periods ago. Simultaneously, the close price from two periods ago must be lower than the close price from three periods ago, and the close price from three periods ago must be lower than the close price from five periods ago. The Fibonacci sequence continues until the close price from thirty four periods ago which must be above the close price from fifty five periods ago.
* For a bearish Fibonacci timing signal II: The current close must be higher than the close prices from one and two periods ago. Simultaneously, the close price from two periods ago must be higher than the close price from three periods ago, and the close price from three periods ago must be higher than the close price from five periods ago. The Fibonacci sequence continues until the close price from thirty four periods ago which must be lower the close price from fifty five periods ago.
The signals of the pattern are ideally used in a sideways market or used in tandem with the trend (bullish signals are taken in a bullish market and bearish signals are taken in a bearish market).
RSI Momentum Acceleration by TartigradiaPlots the momentum acceleration oscillators from price and RSI, rescaled and with areas above/below highlighted.
Usage: in a nutshell, when the background is yellow, it's bearish (RSI decelerates faster than price), whereas when the background is green, it's bullish (RSI accelerates faster than price). It appears to detect early some reversals that are otherwise difficult to detect.
Note: it supports using any other indicator's output as the second source input, instead of RSI. PineScript does not allow for more than one source to receive input from other indicators, all the others must only use price as an input.
This indicator uses the core routine to calculate Momentum Acceleration Oscillators by DGT:
This indicator is based on the idea of stinkbug : "RSI is a good momentum indicator showing how excited ppl are on a move, this is why divergences on it work so well. I would like to see the change accelerating or slowing on a move up or down.."
Aurora Flow Oscillator [QuantAlgo]The Aurora Flow Oscillator is an advanced momentum-based technical indicator designed to identify market direction, momentum shifts, and potential reversal zones using adaptive filtering techniques. It visualizes price momentum through a dynamic oscillator that quantifies trend strength and direction, helping traders and investors recognize momentum shifts and trading opportunities across various timeframes and asset class.
🟢 Technical Foundation
The Aurora Flow Oscillator employs a sophisticated mathematical approach with adaptive momentum filtering to analyze market conditions, including:
Price-Based Momentum Calculation: Calculates logarithmic price changes to measure the rate and magnitude of market movement
Adaptive Momentum Filtering: Applies an advanced filtering algorithm to smooth momentum calculations while preserving important signals
Acceleration Analysis: Incorporates momentum acceleration to identify shifts in market direction before they become obvious
Signal Normalization: Automatically scales the oscillator output to a range between -100 and 100 for consistent interpretation across different market conditions
The indicator processes price data through multiple filtering stages, applying mathematical principles including exponential smoothing with adaptive coefficients. This creates an oscillator that dynamically adjusts to market volatility while maintaining responsiveness to genuine trend changes.
🟢 Key Features & Signals
1. Momentum Flow and Extreme Zone Identification
The oscillator presents market momentum through an intuitive visual display that clearly indicates both direction and strength:
Above Zero: Indicates positive momentum and potential bullish conditions
Below Zero: Indicates negative momentum and potential bearish conditions
Slope Direction: The angle and direction of the oscillator provide immediate insight into momentum strength
Zero Line Crossings: Signal potential trend changes and new directional momentum
The indicator also identifies potential overbought and oversold market conditions through extreme zone markings:
Upper Zone (>50): Indicates strong bullish momentum that may be approaching exhaustion
Lower Zone (<-50): Indicates strong bearish momentum that may be approaching exhaustion
Extreme Boundaries (±95): Mark potentially unsustainable momentum levels where reversals become increasingly likely
These zones are displayed with gradient intensity that increases as the oscillator moves toward extremes, helping traders and investors:
→ Identify potential reversal zones
→ Determine appropriate entry and exit points
→ Gauge overall market sentiment strength
2. Customizable Trading Style Presets
The Aurora Flow Oscillator offers pre-configured settings for different trading approaches:
Default (80,150): Balanced configuration suitable for most trading and investing situations.
Scalping (5,80): Highly responsive settings for ultra-short-term trades. Generates frequent signals and catches quick price movements. Best for 1-15min charts when making many trades per day.
Day Trading (8,120): Optimized for intraday movements with faster response than default settings while maintaining reasonable signal quality. Ideal for 5-60min or 4h-12h timeframes.
Swing Trading (10,200): Designed for multi-day positions with stronger noise filtering. Focuses on capturing larger price swings while avoiding minor fluctuations. Works best on 1-4h and daily charts.
Position Trading (14,250): For longer-term position traders/investors seeking significant market trends. Reduces false signals by heavily filtering market noise. Ideal for daily or even weekly charts.
Trend Following (16,300): Maximum smoothing that prioritizes established directional movements over short-term fluctuations. Best used on daily and weekly charts, but can also be used for lower timeframe trading.
Countertrend (7,100): Tuned to detect potential reversals and exhaustion points in trends. More sensitive to momentum shifts than other presets. Effective on 15min-4h charts, as well as daily and weekly charts.
Each preset automatically adjusts internal parameters for optimal performance in the selected trading context, providing flexibility across different market approaches without requiring complex manual configuration.
🟢 Practical Usage Tips
1/ Trend Analysis and Interpretation
→ Direction Assessment: Evaluate the oscillator's position relative to zero to determine underlying momentum bias
→ Momentum Strength: Measure the oscillator's distance from zero within the -100 to +100 range to quantify momentum magnitude
→ Trend Consistency: Monitor the oscillator's path for sustained directional movement without frequent zero-line crossings
→ Reversal Detection: Watch for oscillator divergence from price and deceleration of movement when approaching extreme zones
2/ Signal Generation Strategies
Depending on your trading approach, multiple signal strategies can be employed:
Trend Following Signals:
Enter long positions when the oscillator crosses above zero
Enter short positions when the oscillator crosses below zero
Add to positions on pullbacks while maintaining the overall trend direction
Countertrend Signals:
Look for potential reversals when the oscillator reaches extreme zones (±95)
Enter contrary positions when momentum shows signs of exhaustion
Use oscillator divergence with price as additional confirmation
Momentum Shift Signals:
Enter positions when oscillator changes direction after establishing a trend
Exit positions when oscillator direction reverses against your position
Scale position size based on oscillator strength percentage
3/ Timeframe Optimization
The indicator can be effectively applied across different timeframes with these considerations:
Lower Timeframes (1-15min):
Use Scalping or Day Trading presets
Focus on quick momentum shifts and zero-line crossings
Be cautious of noise in extreme market conditions
Medium Timeframes (30min-4h):
Use Default or Swing Trading presets
Look for established trends and potential reversal zones
Combine with support/resistance analysis for entry/exit precision
Higher Timeframes (Daily+):
Use Position Trading or Trend Following presets
Focus on major trend identification and long-term positioning
Use extreme zones for position management rather than immediate reversals
🟢 Pro Tips
Price Momentum Period:
→ Lower values (5-7) increase sensitivity to minor price fluctuations but capture more market noise
→ Higher values (10-16) emphasize sustained momentum shifts at the cost of delayed response
→ Adjust based on your timeframe (lower for shorter timeframes, higher for longer timeframes)
Oscillator Filter Period:
→ Lower values (80-120) produce more frequent directional changes and earlier response to momentum shifts
→ Higher values (200-300) filter out shorter-term fluctuations to highlight dominant market cycles
→ Match to your typical holding period (shorter holding time = lower filter values)
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
→ Compare oscillator readings across different timeframes for confluence
→ Look for alignment between higher and lower timeframe signals
→ Use higher timeframe for trend direction, lower for earlier entries
Volatility-Adaptive Trading:
→ Use oscillator strength to adjust position sizing (stronger = larger)
→ Consider reducing exposure when oscillator reaches extreme zones
→ Implement tighter stops during periods of oscillator acceleration
Combination Strategies:
→ Pair with volume indicators for confirmation of momentum shifts
→ Use with support/resistance levels for strategic entry and exit points
→ Combine with volatility indicators for comprehensive market context
Trending Market Toolkit [LuxAlgo]The Trending Market Toolkit focuses exclusively on trending market structures and high-confluence, high-risk-to-reward entry models. It is designed to complement discretionary trading by offering different entry strategies based on market structure.
🔶 USAGE
In the chart above we can see how the tool detects several reversals, draws the broken trendlines, the reversal areas from which the tool starts looking for a trigger, and when it finally happens, a potential trade with risk and reward areas and the risk/reward ratio.
🔹 Detection Mode
Traders can choose between three different modes: trend only, reversal only, or both.
If both are active, reversals have priority over trends, so the tool will not detect a trend if a reversal is active.
In the chart above we can see all three modes.
🔹 Detection on Higher Timeframes
Traders can choose to identify structures on the chart timeframe or on a higher timeframe.
In the chart above, we have the SP500 futures on the 5m timeframe with different settings: chart timeframe, 30m, and 1H.
🔹 Risk And Targets
Depending on whether the high-risk/reward parameter is enabled, traders can choose between three different targets and two different stops.
The chart above shows how different choices affect the risk/reward ratio for the same potential trade on the Gold Futures 2m chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
Show: Traders can choose between Trends, Reversals or Both.
🔹 Structures
Swing Length: Number of candles to confirm a swing high or swing low. A higher number detects larger swings.
Custom Timeframe: Traders can make use of the current chart timeframe, or choose a custom timeframe.
Reversal Area Threshold: A higher number increases the reversal area.
🔹 Trades
Trade Trigger Length: Number of candles to confirm an internal high or internal low. A lower number detects smaller swings. It must be the same size or smaller than the swing length.
Target: Traders can choose between the default target (0) or two extended targets (0.27 or 0.618).
Risk to Reward Threshold: Set the minimum risk-to-reward ratio to detect trades. Use the 0 value to detect all trades.
High Risk to Reward: Enable/Disable the high risk to reward mode.
Consecutive Bearish Candle Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Consecutive Bearish Candle Strategy" is a momentum-based strategy designed to identify potential reversals after a sustained bearish move. It enters a long position when a specific number of consecutive bearish candles occur and exits when the price shows strength by exceeding the previous bar's high. This strategy is optimized for use on various timeframes and instruments.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY
A Buy Signal is triggered when:
The close price has been lower than the previous close for at least `Lookback` consecutive bars. This indicates a sustained bearish move, suggesting a potential reversal.
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
A Sell Signal is generated when the current closing price exceeds the high of the previous bar (`close > high `). This indicates that the price has shown strength, potentially confirming the reversal and prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Lookback: The number of consecutive bearish bars required to trigger a Buy Signal. Default is 3.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for markets with frequent momentum shifts.
It performs best in volatile conditions where price movements are significant.
Backtesting results should be analysed to optimize the `Lookback` parameter for specific instruments.
FVG Channel [LuxAlgo]The FVG Channel indicator displays a channel constructed from the averages of unmitigated historical fair value gaps (FVG), allowing to identify trends and potential reversals in the market.
Users can control the amount of FVGs to consider for the calculation of the channels, as well as their degree of smoothness through user settings.
🔶 USAGE
The FVG Channel is constructed by averaging together recent unmitigated Bullish FVGs (contributing to the creation of the upper bands), and Bearish unmitigated FVGs (contributing to the creation of the lower bands) within a lookback determined by the user. A higher lookback will return longer-term indications from the indicator.
The channel includes 5 bands, with one upper and one lower outer extremities, as well as an inner series of values determined using the Fibonacci ratios (respectively 0.786, 0.5, 0.236) from the channel's outer extremities.
An uptrend can be identified by price holding above the inner upper band (obtained from the 0.786 ratio), this band can also provide occasional support when the price retraces to it while in an uptrend.
Breaking below the inner upper band with an unwillingness to reach above again is a clear sign of hesitation in the market and can be indicative of an upcoming consolidation or reversal.
This can directly be applied to downtrends as well, below are examples displaying both scenarios.
Uptrend Example:
Downtrend Example:
🔹 Breakout Levels
When the price mitigates all FVGs in a single direction except for 1, the indicator will display a "Breakout Level". This is the level that price will need to cross in order for all FVGs in that direction to be mitigated, because of this they can also be aptly called "Last Stand Levels".
These levels can be considered as potential support and resistance levels, however, should always be monitored for breakouts since a substantial push above or below these points would indicate strong momentum.
🔹 Signals
The indicator includes Bullish and Bearish Signals, these signals fire when all FVGs for a single direction have been mitigated and an engulfing candle occurs in the opposite direction. These are reversal signals and should be used alongside other indicators to appropriately manage risk.
Note: When all FVGs in a single direction have been mitigated, the candles will change colors accordingly.
🔶 DETAILS
The script uses a typical identification method for FVGs. Once identified, the script collects and stores the mitigation levels of the respective bullish and bearish FVGs:
For Bullish FVGs this is the bottom of the FVG.
For Bearish FVGs this is the top of the FVG.
The data is managed to only consider a specific amount of FVG mitigation levels, determined by the set "Unmitigated FVG Lookback". If an FVG is mitigated, it frees up a spot in the memory for a new FVG, however, if the memory is full, the oldest will be deleted.
The averages displayed (Channel Upper and Lower) are created from 2 calculation steps, the first step involves taking the raw average of the FVG mitigation levels, and the second step applies a simple moving average (SMA) smoothing of the precedent obtained averages.
Note: To view the mitigation levels average obtained in the first step, the "Smoothing Length" can be set to 1.
🔶 SETTINGS
Unmitigated FVG Lookback: Sets the maximum number of Unmitigated FVG mitigation levels that the script will use to calculate the channel.
Smoothing Length: Sets the smoothing length for the channel to reduce noise from the raw data.
Change in State of Delivery CISD ICT [TradingFinder] Liquidity 1🔵 Introduction
🟣 What is CISD ?
Change in State of Delivery (CISD) is a key concept in technical analysis, similar to Change of Character (ChoCh) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) in the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) and Smart Money trading styles. Like ChoCh and MSS, CISD helps traders identify critical changes in market structure and make timely entries into trades.
To determine the CISD Level, traders typically review the last 1 to 4 candles to identify the first positive or negative candle. The CISD Level is then set using the opening price of the next candle.
In this version of the indicator, support and resistance levels are defined based on liquidity, which includes patterns such as SFP (Swing Failure Pattern), fake breakout, and false breakout.
Bullish CISD :
Bearish CISD :
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Bullish CISD (Change in State of Delivery Upward)
In Bullish CISD, the trend shifts from bearish to bullish after the price hits a liquidity zone, typically indicated by patterns such as SFP, fake breakout, or false breakout.
The steps to identify Bullish CISD are as follow s:
Identify the liquidity zone (SFP, fake breakout).
Review the candles and find the first positive candle.
Set the CISD Level using the opening price of the next candle after the positive candle.
Confirm the change in state of delivery when the price closes above the CISD Level.
Enter the trade after CISD confirmation.
🟣 Bearish CISD (Change in State of Delivery Downward)
In Bearish CISD, the trader looks for a shift from a bullish to a bearish trend. This change typically occurs when the price hits a liquidity level, indicated by patterns such as SFP or false breakout.
The steps to identify Bearish CISD are :
Identify the liquidity zone.
Review the candles and find the first negative candle.
Set the CISD Level using the opening price of the next candle after the negative candle.
Confirm the change in state of delivery when the price closes below the CISD Level.
Enter a short trade after CISD confirmation.
🟣 CISD Compared to ChoCh and MSS (CISD Vs ChoCh/ MSS)
CISD, ChoCh, and MSS are all tools for identifying trend changes in the market, but they have some differences :
CISD: Focuses on a change in the state of delivery and uses liquidity patterns (SFP, fake breakout) and key candles to confirm trend reversals.
ChoCh: Identifies a change in the market’s character, often signaling rapid shifts in trend direction.
MSS: Focuses on changes in market structure and identifies the breaking of key levels as a signal of trend shifts.
🔵 Settings
🟣 CISD Logical settings
Bar Back Check : Determining the return of candles to identify the CISD level.
CISD Level Validity : CISD level validity period based on the number of candles.
🟣 SFP Logical settings
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
🟣 CISD Display settings
Displaying or not displaying swings and setting the color of labels and lines.
🟣 SFP Display settings
Displaying or not displaying swings and setting the color of labels and lines.
🔵 Conclusion
CISD is a powerful tool for identifying trend reversals using liquidity patterns and key candle analysis. Traders can use the CISD Level to detect trend changes and find optimal entry and exit points.
This concept is similar to ChoCh and MSS but stands out with its focus on confirming trend changes through liquidity and specific patterns. With the right approach, CISD helps traders capitalize on market movements more effectively.
MTF Williams Vix Market Bottoms [CryptoSea]MTF Williams Vix Fix Indicator is a dynamic tool tailored for traders looking to capture market extremes with high precision. This multi-timeframe indicator leverages the concept of the Williams Vix Fix to spot potential reversals before they occur.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Provides simultaneous visibility across multiple timeframes, enabling traders to assess market conditions comprehensively from a single chart.
Advanced Volatility Detection: Utilizes a modified Vix Fix formula to highlight extreme price deviations, which often precede significant market reversals.
Customizable Settings: Offers extensive input options to tweak the lookback periods, percentile thresholds, and visibility settings, aligning with various trading strategies.
Visual Band Indicators: Features upper bands and range highs that signal potential overbought and oversold conditions, enhancing trading decision-making.
Below, you can see how the indicator performs across different timeframes, providing valuable insights into market behavior.
How it Works
Vix Fix Calculation: Determines the worst-case 'panic' sell-offs in price as a percentage of the high, capturing the emotional extremes of the market.
Statistical Bands: Employs Bollinger bands over the Vix Fix values to define normal and extreme volatility conditions.
Color-Coded Indicators: Uses color differentiation to instantly highlight when readings surpass critical upper band or range high thresholds, signaling key trading opportunities.
For instance, in the analysis provided below, notice how the indicator flags significant market moves, allowing traders to anticipate potential entry or exit points.
Application
Risk Management: Aids in identifying extreme market conditions where prices may revert, helping in effective position sizing and risk management.
Strategic Planning: Enhances strategic trading plans by identifying not only when but also where market extremes may occur, considering multiple timeframes.
Customization: Adapts seamlessly to different market environments with adjustable settings for volatility thresholds and visual display preferences.
The MTF Williams Vix Fix Indicator by is an essential tool for traders aiming to leverage market volatility for optimal entry and exit, ensuring they are well-equipped to handle market extremes with confidence.
