Extreme Trend Reversal Points [HeWhoMustNotBeNamed]Using moving average crossover for identifying the change in trend is very common. However, this method can give lots of false signals during the ranging markets. In this algorithm, we try to find the extreme trend by looking at fully aligned multi-level moving averages and only look at moving average crossover when market is in the extreme trend - either bullish or bearish. These points can mean long term downtrend or can also cause a small pullback before trend continuation. In this discussion, we will also check how to handle different scenarios.
🎲 Components
🎯 Recursive Multi Level Moving Averages
Multi level moving average here refers to applying moving average on top of base moving average on multiple levels. For example,
Level 1 SMA = SMA(source, length)
Level 2 SMA = SMA(Level 1 SMA, length)
Level 3 SMA = SMA(Level 2 SMA, length)
..
..
..
Level n SMA = SMA(Level (n-1) SMA, length)
In this script, user can select how many levels of moving averages need to be calculated. This is achieved through " recursive moving average " algorithm. Requirement for building such algorithm was initially raised by @loxx
While I was able to develop them in minimal code with the help of some of the existing libraries built on arrays and matrix , I also thought why not extend this to find something interesting.
Note that since we are using variable levels - we will not be able to plot all the levels of moving average. (This is because plotting cannot be done in the loop). Hence, we are using lines to display the latest moving average levels in front of the last candle. Lines are color coded in such a way that least numbered levels are greener and higher levels are redder.
🎯 Finding the trend and range
Strength of fully aligned moving average is calculated based on position of each level with respect to other levels.
For example, in a complete uptrend, we can find
source > L(1)MA > L(2)MA > L(3)MA ...... > L(n-1)MA > L(n)MA
Similarly in a complete downtrend, we can find
source < L(1)MA < L(2)MA < L(3)MA ...... < L(n-1)MA < L(n)MA
Hence, the strength of trend here is calculated based on relative positions of each levels. Due to this, value of strength can range from 0 to Level*(Level-1)/2
0 represents the complete downtrend
Level*(Level-1)/2 represents the complete uptrend.
Range and Extreme Range are calculated based on the percentile from median. The brackets are defined as per input parameters - Range Percentile and Extreme Range Percentile by using Percentile History as reference length.
Moving average plot is color coded to display the trend strength.
Green - Extreme Bullish
Lime - Bullish
Silver - range
Orange - Bearish
Red - Extreme Bearish
🎯 Finding the trend reversal
Possible trend reversals are when price crosses the moving average while in complete trend with all the moving averages fully aligned. Triangle marks are placed in such locations which can help observe the probable trend reversal points. But, there are possibilities of trend overriding these levels. An example of such thing, we can see here:
In order to overcome this problem, we can employ few techniques.
1. After the signal, wait for trend reversal (moving average plot color to turn silver) before placing your order.
2. Place stop orders on immediate pivot levels or support resistance points instead of opening market order. This way, we can also place an order in the direction of trend. Whichever side the price breaks out, will be the direction to trade.
3. Look for other confirmations such as extremely bullish and bearish candles before placing the orders.
🎯 An example of using stop orders
Let us take this scenario where there is a signal on possible reversal from complete uptrend.
Create a box joining high and low pivots at reasonable distance. You can also chose to add 1 ATR additional distance from pivots.
Use the top of the box as stop-entry for long and bottom as stop-entry for short. The other ends of the box can become stop-losses for each side.
After few bars, we can see that few more signals are plotted but, the price is still within the box. There are some candles which touched the top of the box. But, the candlestick patterns did not represent bullishness on those instances. If you have placed stop orders, these orders would have already filled in. In that case, just wait for position to hit either stop or target.
For bullish side, targets can be placed at certain risk reward levels. In this case, we just use 1:1 for bullish (trend side) and 1:1.5 for bearish side (reversal side)
In this case, price hit the target without any issue:
Wait for next reversal signal to appear before placing another order :)
Cerca negli script per "reversal"
Wavetrend DivergencesCreated for the MarketCipher Community and friends :)
This indicator is partly based on Wavetrend Oscillator by LazyBear / blue momentum waves on MarketCipher B.
The Wavetrend indicator is a combination of 2 oscillator lines that signals the short term direction of the price once the lines cross. The Wavetrend indicator is useful but only once a divergence has been identified based on the crosses and the price which is what this strategy partly uses to open trades. This indicator signals divergences in the wavetrend, both regular and hidden divergences.
This indicator utilizes support and resistances to make sure that the indicator only signals high probability winning divergences. Supports represents a low level a stock price reaches over time, while resistance represents a high level a stock price reaches over time. Support materializes when a stock price drops to a level that prompts traders to buy. This reactionary buying causes a stock price to stop dropping and start rising and this is where the indicator will be looking for a divergence at a price point of your choosing.
To make it easier i have added a support and resistance drawing indicator that will help you find price points on the chart that the price is likely to get a reaction from. There are right now only 4 support or resistances that can be drawn at one time so make sure to update the levels as the market changes.
I have helped update and modify from the original script. Here it is:
On top of these indicators i have added my own indicator that will signal a short term trend reversal that is based on pivot points and moving averages. This will usually signal reversals earlier than divergences and is very effective when following the trend and using support and resistances and can be used as an extra confirmation that there will be a reaction from the support or resistance and that the divergence will play out like you want it to. These trend reversal dots can also be used to take profit.
Trade setup example:
As seen in the picture below price comes down to a previously drawn support line, then there is a trend reversal dot that signal a potential reversal and finally a divergence is signalled once there is a clear reaction to the support. When all these signals come together there is a high probability that the trade will end up in profit. To take profit in this trade setup you can use the trend reversal dots, the drawn resistances or your own intuition and technical analysis with Marketcipher B and DBSI. A stop loss in this trade setup could be at the swing low, below the blue or teal line.
There are alerts for everything so that you wont miss a trade setup. Hope you like it :)
I have some ideas on how to improve the indicator so there will be updates in the future.
Kase Peak Oscillator w/ Divergences [Loxx]Kase Peak Oscillator is unique among first derivative or "rate-of-change" indicators in that it statistically evaluates over fifty trend lengths and automatically adapts to both cycle length and volatility. In addition, it replaces the crude linear mathematics of old with logarithmic and exponential models that better reflect the true nature of the market. Kase Peak Oscillator is unique in that it can be applied across multiple time frames and different commodities.
As a hybrid indicator, the Peak Oscillator also generates a trend signal via the crossing of the histogram through the zero line. In addition, the red/green histogram line indicates when the oscillator has reached an extreme condition. When the oscillator reaches this peak and then turns, it means that most of the time the market will turn either at the present extreme, or (more likely) at the following extreme.
This is both a reversal and breakout/breakdown indicator. Crosses above/below zero line can be used for breakouts/breakdowns, while the thick green/red bars can be used to detect reversals
The indicator consists of three indicators:
The PeakOscillator itself is rendered as a gray histogram.
Max is a red/green solid line within the histogram signifying a market extreme.
Yellow line is max peak value of two (by default, you can change this with the deviations input settings) standard deviations of the Peak Oscillator value
White line is the min peak value of two (by default, you can change this with the deviations input settings) standard deviations of the PeakOscillator value
The PeakOscillator is used two ways:
Divergence: Kase Peak Oscillator may be used to generate traditional divergence signals. The difference between it and traditional divergence indicators lies in its accuracy.
PeakOut: The second use is to look for a Peak Out. A Peak Out occurs when the histogram breaks beyond the PeakOut line and then pulls back. A Peak Out through the maximum line will be displayed magenta. A Peak Out, which only extends through the Peak Min line is called a local Peak Out, and is less significant than a normal Peak Out signal. These local Peak Outs are to be relied upon more heavily during sideways or corrective markets. Peak Outs may be based on either the maximum line or the minimum line. Maximum Peak Outs, however, are rarer and thus more significant than minimum Peak Outs. The magnitude of the price move may be greater following the maximum Peak Out, but the likelihood of the break in trend is essentially the same. Thus, our research indicates that we should react equally to a Peak Out in a trendy market and a Peak Min in a choppy or corrective market.
Included:
Bar coloring
Alerts
Multi-TimeFrame Extremum Points Support/ResistanceIntroduction
This is my newest Support/Resistance indicator based on the idea of my previous script which had been featured in Editors' Picks .
Everyone seems to have their own idea of how you should measure support and resistance levels. This code finds the exact highest and lowest price points (Extrema) on the chart and then draws the support and resistance levels on them.
In my opinion, the advantage of this method is that the most powerful resistance/support levels which usually cover the supply/demand areas would be formed on these extremum points, as the following facts state.
Facts
1. Support and resistance levels are one of the key concepts used by technical analysts and form the basis of a wide variety of technical analysis tools. Technical analysts use support and resistance levels to identify price points on a chart where the probabilities favor a pause or reversal of a prevailing trend.
2. Supply and demand zones are natural support and resistance levels and a popular analysis technique used in day trading. The zones are the periods of sideways price action that come before explosive price moves. A supply zone forms before a downtrend and a demand zone forms before an uptrend. When the price leaves the supply/demand zone and starts trending, the strong imbalance between buyers and sellers leads to strong and explosive price movements.
3. Based on Dow Theory, trends persist until a clear reversal occurs. A reversal is a change in the price direction of an asset. Reversals typically refer to large price changes, where the trend changes direction.
Challenges
The most challenging part in implementing a S/R indicator which draws all the levels on the chart is the problem of congestion!
But we should notice two other facts:
1. The more times the price tests a support or resistance area, the more significant the level becomes.
2. A previous support level will sometimes become a resistance level when the price attempts to move back up, and conversely, a resistance level will become a support level as the price temporarily falls back.
So, I solved the problem using these two approaches:
Merging nearby levels and showing the role of the levels in colors and numbers
Avoiding many weaker levels by checking higher time frames
Settings and Usage
There are some options in the indicator settings as described below:
Calculations Time Frame: By changing the time frame, user could keep only the stronger S/R levels on the chart.
Level Colors: By default, lowest points (Supports) are green, highest points (Resistances) are red and merged levels are blue. Note that the transparency of the colors would be calculated automatically; The more opaque the color is, the stronger the level is!
Lines Style and Width: The style of the levels could be solid, dashed or dotted and user could also change the lines width in pixels.
Length of the lines: This option is based on the count of bars, but user could simply choose to extend the levels
Merge Nearby Levels: The proximity of the levels would be calculated automatically based on ATR (Average True Range) and the default length of the formula could be changed.
Labels: Each level could have a label consisting the count of merged levels into one, the percentage of merged supports/resistances and the price of the level. Note that if user choose to see the percentage of S/R roles, the color of each label changes automatically based on the main role of corresponding merged level (e.g., a blue level with a red label means that the level more acted as resistance).
I think the users of my previous S/R indicators could check this one
That's it for now! Feel free to send me your thoughts!
[UPRIGHT] Bulls-V-Bears Tug-of-War SquidGame [Premium] (cc)Hello Traders,
Today I'm updating the Bull V. Bears with a Premium version. (Note: the other version is shown below the Premium on the chart above)
……"The game is Tug of War, the side that pulls the rope from the middle to their side wins. Let the game begin."……
How it works:
This indicator is not a typical one.
1) It shows visually when Bull volume or Bear volume is ‘pulling the rope to their side’.
2) It uses several different formulas to get an accurate read on the level of volume , but still keeps peaks and troughs within 100 for easy reading.
3) Update: It was originally meant to be used strictly with other indicators, but it can now be used as a standalone indicator.
__________________________________
Legend:
1) The top line signals give the major signals –
a. Red cross = Bearish volume strength and continuation.
b. Green cross = Bullish volume strength and continuation.
i. + Green Dot inside enhances signal.
ii. + Red Dot inside weakens signal.
c. Blue circle = Can indicate the beginning of a reversal to the upside or downside.
d. Pink circle = Can indicate the beginning of a reversal to the downside.
2) The Bottom signals are triggered when one circle-rope crosses over the other, these signals give confirmation to the top line signals – Red bearish / Green bullish .
3) As shown on the chart, the Reversal setup usually consists of a blue circle, followed by a red or green cross, then confirmation from the bottom signal.
4) Without the signals: green obviously is Bullish especially above the threshold set --Red bearish . The regular rope gives trend indication.
I've added tooltips to make it easy to understand, feel free to leave a comment if you still have a question!
__________________________________
Features:
-Tooltips (hover over - Info) for understanding.
-Works well on all timeframes; even 5min, I made a tooltip for recommended lengths.
-Customizable Signals; with the ability to turn on and off.
-Reversal signals: Pink and Blue circles can indicate reversals coming.
-Works well as a leading standalone indicator.
-Adjustable top signal row.
-Background Highlights.
-Alerts
-Rules added (hover over).
__________________________________
Premium :
-Better signal algo (will likely be updated again soon)
-Reversal Signal added (Large Circle)
-Improved Scaling and Organization - Now easier to see large moves/signals on Multiple timeframes.
Chart should look like:
Cheers,
Mike
(UPRIGHT Trading)
Elder Force Index With ATR Channels [loxx]Elder Force Index With ATR Channels, adaptive from original script by Dr. Alexander Elder
What it does
-EFI is used to sport reversals mainly on the weekly time frame
-When EFI spikes over 3 x ATR calculated on the signal line, price is said to have exhausted and you can start looking for reversals
Features
-Change all inputs
-Truncate EFI at 4 x ATR so as to not squish the indicator
-Open source, use code as you wish. If you use this code, shoot me a line and tell me how you're using it
M.Right Bulls-V-Bears -Tug-of-War- SquidGame Themed(cc)Hello Traders,
I've decided to finally release an indicator I've spent several hours working to get just right and as far as I know, there isn’t one as accurate. And.... decided to add a little Squid Game theme to it just for fun.
……"The game is Tug of War, the side that pulls the rope from the middle to their side wins. Let the game begin."……
This indicator is not a typical one.
1) It shows visually when Bull volume or Bear volume is ‘pulling the rope to their side’.
2) It uses several different formulas to get an accurate read on the level of volume, but still keeps peaks and troughs within 100 for easy reading.
3) Update: It was originally meant to be used strictly with other indicators, but it can now be used as a standalone indicator.
Legend:
1) The top line signals give the major signals –
a. Red cross = Bearish volume strength and continuation.
b. Green cross = Bullish volume strength and continuation.
i. + Green Dot inside enhances signal.
ii. + Red Dot inside weakens signal.
c. Blue circle = Can indicate the beginning of a reversal to the upside or downside.
d. Pink circle = Can indicate the beginning of a reversal to the downside.
2) The Bottom signals are triggered when one circle-rope crosses over the other, these signals give confirmation to the top line signals – Red bearish / Green bullish.
3) As shown on the chart, the Reversal setup usually consists of a blue circle, followed by a red or green cross, then confirmation from the bottom signal.
4) Without the signals: green obviously is Bullish especially above the threshold set --Red bearish. The regular rope gives trend indication.
I've added tooltips to make it easy to understand, feel free to leave a comment if you still have a question!
Features:
-Tooltips (hover over - Info) for understanding.
-Works well on all timeframes; even 5min, I made a tooltip for recommended lengths.
-Customizable Signals; with the ability to turn on and off.
-Reversal signals: Pink and Blue circles can indicate reversals coming.
-Works well as a leading standalone indicator.
-Adjustable top signal row.
-Highlight background.
-Alerts
-Rules added (hover over).
Cheers,
Mike
Break/Reversal/Touch [Intromoto]This script shows the engulfing breaks, touches and potential reversals for when prices arrives at certain time frame closes.
On publishing it shows the crossovers of the 6 hour, Daily, Weekly, and Monthly time frames.
The candle main signals are contingent on crossing over the closing level, and engulfing the previous candle. Secondary signals occur when the candle low or high touch the closing levels, in the directional color, i.e. you'll get a bearish touch signal if the candle high touches the level, and it's a red candle. Reversals occur when the subsequent candle breaks a closing level, but the current candle engulfs the previous candle in the opposing direction.
If a candles low or high hits a daily, weekly, or monthly close level it also will plot a "D/W/M Touch" in the according direction.
Thanks
Peak Reversal v2This is a brand new version of my Peak Reversal indicator. As with the older version, the idea behind this indicator is simple: identify potential price reversal areas, and identifying markets which are trending. In this new version I focused on improving on the old concept, but introduced a bunch of features heavily inspired by Adam Grimes' ideas from The Art and Science of Trading. (I also blatantly stole the way he colors candles outside of the bands. Sorry.)
As you can see below this indicator gives traders a plethora of tools to judge whether a market is trending, and might be mean reverting soon.
Follow me, join my group, like the script. You know the drill.
Basic functions:
You have a triplet of Keltner (ATR-based) bands in Peak Reversal. They are defined by a multiplier and an EMA, which is referred to as "the mean". There's a tight, normal, and an extreme band. The multiplier defines how far apart your bands are. By default the indicator uses 1.125, 2.25, and 3.375. The tight band is off by default, but you can turn it on in the options. The mean is also off by default. This is more a personal preference thing for me, because I happen to use a different indicator to show a couple of moving averages.
Band crosses:
Peak Reversal can indicate whenever price crosses one of the bands. This can help traders identify points where a mean reversal play could be an option. Triangles indicate these crosses. New in version 2 is the ability to choose which of the bands to use to show these crosses. If you are more of an aggressive trader, you might find it better to show tight band crosses. If you are looking for more extreme market conditions, then choose extreme. The default is "normal".
Free bars:
Indicating free bars is also a concept from the book. A "free bar" is one which stands "freely" above the bands, which means its low price is completely outside of the bands. It can be argued that a freely standing bar is an even more extreme mean deviation, than just a band cross. Traders can gain an additional advantage studying the markets this way. Free bars are not shown by default, when on, a star shape on the candles indicates free bars. Both band crosses and free bars can be shown at the same time, but there might be overlap.
Deviations:
Also based on a concept from The Art and Science of Trading, is an indication of price "deviations". You will notice that when a candle "touches" a band (high and close above band), its colored. The idea here is to show traders when a market is in motion, but also when a mean reversal might be coming next. To accomplish this, the more colors deviate, the darker the color is. The idea here is also simple, the more price deviates off the mean, the likelier it is to return to it. This uses three different shades to show these deviations. 1-2 is one shade, 3-4 another, and upwards of 5 there's only the darkest shade. I didn't make extensive studies, which color for how many candles would be appropriate to use, but I do believe it doesn't matter that much in usage. It's clear what traders gain from using this information: more deviation, the likelier a snapback becomes.
Advanced mode:
Last but not least, I decided to add an advanced mode for advanced traders. This does nothing more than flip all colors and shapes upside down. Everything that is red, becomes green. The idea is where some traders say "buy low, sell high" (standard mode), other traders might say "buy high, sell higher" (advanced mode). See for yourself, which one you like better.
The WWG Plan Indicator V2█ OVERALL
This indicator was specifically created for the Walsh Wealth Group.
In short it is a fusion of some of the most basic and widely used indicators to show overbought patterns and trend reversals.
Its best usage is with LTF scalping and agressive profit taking but can also be used to find HTF dips and buy-zones.
█ FEATURES
Buy Signal (Buy):
Printed only with all confirmations triggered
Small Buy Signal (B1 & B2)
Printed if some of the confirmations are triggered and can be treated as DCA entries or for further
confirmation with other indicators and basic TA.
Crayons (Color Bars):
Blue: RSI is oversold
Olive: RSI and Stoch RSI are oversold
Yellow: RSI, Stoch RSI are oversold and lower Bollinger Bands are crossed by Low
Orange: RSI, Stoch RSI and CCI are oversold
Trailing SL:
If activated in the config, a trailing SL can be displayed on the chart based on ATR.
█ SETTINGS
The underlying indicators used are RSI, Stoch RSI, Bollinger Bands, MACD and CCI.
All possible configs can be changed in the config settings.
█ GENERAL INFORMATION
Depending on the settings, the indicator performance will be highly affected.
This indicator is only displaying highly oversold areas and events of trend reversal it is not a *God*-Signal and will print false positives.
█ ALERTS
An alert for the main buy-signal is implemented and can be used via the TV alert functionality.
Peak ReversalThis indicator is supposed to help traders identify potential market reversal points. Please note this is not a buy/sell indicator!
Peak Reversal is an indicator, which can be used as an early identification for a reversal, or a reversion to the mean. In mean reversion we try to find the bar where we can be certain a reversal is in play, as opposed to the proverbial knife catch. Peak Reversal helps by identifying the bar that actually reversed trend. As you can see it is often accurate, but as you can tell, one has to be careful applying this indicator to their trading, as the trend can just continue onwards.
Additionally Peak Reversal uses the same Keltner channels it uses to identify reversals also as breakouts. By default the breakout indication is off, because the chart gets messy otherwise. You can turn it on manually in the settings. When these triangles appear, you can interpret the bars as potentially starting a strong trend. What you don't want to see is a rejection X followed by a breakout triangle obviously.
Note that by default the coloring is very subdued. That's just a personal preference. You can adjust to yours in the settings.
The Ultimate Frank Ochoa Trading Setup by YesuThis trading set up will show the Frank Ochoa's 4 reversal candles with the 'RSI and volume filters' along with the necessary pivots. You will be able to select the RSI and volume filters individually for all the 4 setups. It will also show the colored RSI candle when the RSI conditions met. You can also set the Initial Balance based on your preference. Lot more features that you can explore. A must have for pivot traders. This is the trading set up which I am using from the past 15 months
Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI)This is the Beta release of the Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI), expect an update by the end of year.
The Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI) is an advanced script for professional traders who have taken the time to learn all its functions. It is a time based indicator that anticipates the ending of trends based on the momentum in price movement. As an important secondary element, MRI also suggests when a trend might be starting or continuing, which a trader can certainly take advantage of. It is useful across all assets and all time frames but is ideal in more liquid assets on Daily & Weekly time frames.
Since this is an Invite Only Script, I will not be making the code public nor explain the math logic of the code here in TradingView. TradingView also limits any external links, but those interested in details or access should be resourceful enough to find all the information they need on my website. However, I will try and explain the usefulness of the MRI indicator with the following images.
MRI will display a downwards red arrow above the candle when the bullish trend is ending and an upwards green arrow above the candle when the bearish trend is ending. The candle before the MRI top/bottom is marked by an orange arrow warning you that the trend might be ending on the next candle. (It's common that the trend ends on the candle before or after this MRI signal, I personally like to use single candlestick reversals for confirmation like Shooting Stars, Hammers and Doji). The orange arrow will disappear if a green or red arrow shows up, but will remain on the chart if on the following candle, the conditions needed to make the MRI signal are not met. See NYSE:UBER chart below:
When the number above the arrow is something other than a 1, it indicates a strong trend and the number represents consecutive instances of hitting that MRI extreme condition. These consecutive instances have been known to cause major changes in trend and the larger the number, the bigger the move might be. Here is a recent example of the daily chart hitting a 3 on the MRI, with the market falling 6.5% in the following 3 days and 10% over the next 3 weeks (you can see this in the image used to publish this script)
The biggest number I have seen is a 5, this occurred on the weekly chart of AMEX:CBOE as it was followed by a 30% correction over the next two weeks.
Following an MRI Top/Bottom there are three different Extensions of trend if the price continues to move in the same direction and does not reverse with the MRI. It’s up to the trader to decide which of the three they find most relevant, for me it’s B & C, and there are settings you can use to remove what you don't care for from display. They have a different but similar rule set which is explained to those serious about the indicator and purchase access, which comes with full explanations in a video. Here is a recent chart of NASDAQ:AMZN for an example:
And here is a weekly chart of NYSE:GM topping on Extension C with the MRI warning (Orange Arrow). Extensions A & B also provided good profit takes after a big run up
These Extensions are particularly useful when they occur on (or right around) an MRI Top/Bottom. Here is an example where it timed the 2018 stock market SPCFD:SPX top perfectly leading directly into an MRI Bottom two weeks later (Also notice how we can show multiple timeframes hitting MRI levels)
In addition to Extensions, an MRI Top/Bottom generates a Resistance/Support line (dotted) and a Breakout Line (solid). The Support/Resistance not only has a tendency to reverse the price but also increases the probability of the MRI leading to a full reversal if the line is not broken. By breaking this dotted line, you increase the probability of entering the Extension of Trend. The Breakout line tends to notify the trader that the trend is very strong and continuing. As an example of Support line, here is a recent 1 hour BITSTAMP:BTCUSD chart
Here is FX_IDC:EURUSD as of today on a daily chart which shows the Extension of trends once these critical support/resistance and breakout lines are taken out.
The indicator also shows you if the MRI is hitting critical levels on higher level time frames. We have set the defaults to Hourly (H), Daily (D), Weekly (W), Monthly (M) and Yearly (Y). You can turn these off in settings and you can also add up to 3 additional custom timeframes of your choice to the display list. When MRI lines up across several time frames it has a history of causing significant moves, here is an example of NSE:TITAN which fell 25% after aligning with the Daily, Weekly and Monthly timeframes for a top.
The recent top in TVC:GOLD came on a Friday which had a Daily Extension B & C top. The following Monday kicked off a weekly MRI Top and a week later was the start of September, which happens to be a Monthly MRI Top. Gold is still trending lower as of today and is down 11% since this top less than 2 months ago.
One final note on the multi-timeframe is that if you have the Hourly (H) set to display on a chart that only has end of day data, the Indicator will not work so make sure to uncheck all timeframes that can't be identified in the settings.
Here are additional charts that show the power of MRI including cryptocurrencies:
Recent 25% crash in BINANCE:BNBBTC
Of course we have to mention BITSTAMP:BTCUSD here is how MRI called the time period around the big crash in March 2020. There was a very timely MRI Top several weeks prior and once the Support line broke, it went right down into a nice MRI Bottom.
Volatility Index Weekly & Daily as of today CBOE:VIX
Here is the current look at the weekly USD chart TVC:DXY you can see how it tops on Extension C in March and seems to have bottomed with the MRI in late August.
One more look at a stock chart, here we have the Weekly NASDAQ:SBUX as of today, it perfectly oscillates between the MRI calls the last two years.
Disclaimer : Trading is risky and using MRI (like any other indicator) does not guarantee positive returns. It does not blindly provide Buy/Sell/Short calls and the trader will need to evaluate every alert.
“The average man doesn’t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What he desires is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. He wants to get something for nothing. He does not wish to work. He doesn’t even wish to have to think.” - Jesse Livermore
Personal Note: I would like to credit the following people that all lead to the knowledge needed to build the MRI: Larry Williams, Tom DeMark, Tyler Jenks, Martin Armstrong & Kevin O’Dowd (most of whom I have met or interacted with)
Thank you everyone, if this indicator interests you, you know what to do...
Good Luck Trader,
Tone Vays
Upside ReversalsUpside reversal is noticed when a stock first dips below the prior week's low, then rallies in heavy trade to close either with a gain or with a much-reduced loss. Upside reversal can be identified with following condition:
A stock falls in heavy volume but bounces back, ending up for the day or week
OR
A stock falls in heavy volume but at least it finishes in the upper 60% of its trading range for the day or week
Upside reversal can be applied on day or week but if it is on weekly, it is a strong indication that institutions may be pumping money as they think stock is a bargain. This script is the approximate conversion of Richard Moglen's TC2000 scripts in TradingView. Search YouTube for his video on 'Upside Reversal'
This indicator, evaluates following conditions and print the arrow down label with percentage of reversal
Stoc(1,1) should be higher than 60%;
AND today's close is above 60% range;
AND today's low is lesser than yesterday;
AND Stoc(5,2,1) is lesser than 65
You can change inputs from Stoc(5,2,1) to Stoc(10,4,1) based on your need.
NOTE:
1) I still see some false positives so be aware of it.
2) It is absolutely possible to have an Upside reversal on down trend also. Please look for confirmation following day on the trend before act on it.
3) Volume level is not validated in the indicator, so you need to include it in the chart and check it.
4) This is still an experimental script & published for educational purpose only
Smart Envelope - Running Away From The TrendIntroduction
Envelopes indicators consist in displaying one upper and one lower extremity on the price chart. They are most of the time built by adding/subtracting a volatility estimator (rolling stdev, atr, range...etc) to a central tendency estimator (SMA, EMA, LSMA...etc) . Their interpretation is often subject to debate amongst technical analyst, some will use a support and resistance methodology, where price will start a downtrend once it cross the upper extremity, and a down trend once it cross the lower one. Others will prefer a breakout methodology, where price will reach higher highs once it cross the upper extremity, and lower lows when it cross the lower one. Because of price non stationarity its hard to select the best methodology, the support and resistance one will mostly work on ranging markets, while the breakout methodology mostly work on trending ones.
Therefore new methods where proposed, instead of using moving averages with a high lag, faster filters where used, such as the least squares moving average or zero lag exponential moving average, other band indicators where also created using adaptive filters, but improvements remain relatively low. The most difficult task would be to make extremities with the ability to return accurate support and resistances levels, and today i want to provide a new way to construct such extremities by using the recursive bands framework that allow extremely creative and efficient indicators.
The Main Idea
With classical bands indicators, the upper and lower extremity will still be correlated with the main trend, the problem behind such method is that we can't use a support and resistance methodology with trending markets, the fact that reversals exist tells us that our extremities will always be crossed by the main trend, here is an example :
Here the support is correlated with the main trend, in order for it to be accurate we must assume the trend will go on for ever, and will only detect higher lows, this is what we expect with the orange line, but we can see that a severe down trend totally destroy our plan.
In short we need to give some headroom to our extremities, and thus one extremity can't be correlated with the main trend.
The proposed Indicator
We want to minimize the correlation between the extremities, so if the upper extremity rise, the lower one must fall. This allow to give some headroom and allow the user to anticipate larger movements, this is how bands seeking to give support and resistances points should work.
The indicator has a length setting that control the wideness of the extremities, unlike other indicators low values such as 14 can still create really wide bands, take that into account.
length = 5. Lower length values allow for more motion from the extremities, but does not necessarily involve detecting shorter terms support and resistances levels. The factor setting is not that important, but it allow to return extremities with more motion when high, and really wide bands when below 1 and greater than 0.
Central Tendency Estimator
Something fun with the recursive band framework is that the bands are no longer based on the central tendency estimator but its the central tendency estimator who is based on the bands. The central tendency estimator can also provide support and resistances points with the price, like classical moving averages, altho its lack of motion is this time a downside.
Conclusion
Altho the extremities are more accurate than other band indicators, the problem remain the same, larger trend will always break the extremities and continue creating higher/lower highs/lows, at this point our stop loss would certainly be triggered. This is a huge downsides of contrarian strategy, we sure might anticipate reversals earlier, but we are exposed to larger price movements, therefore the risk is extreme.
But the proposed methodology might still prove useful to develop more robust support and resistances levels based on envelopes indicators.
Thanks for reading !
ALPHA: ReversalWhat is a divergence?
In the case of strength and momentum indicators, it is when the price deviates from the movement of the oscillator, it can have significant implications for trade management.
Divergences in an uptrend occurs when the price makes a higher high but the indicator does not. In a downtrend, divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the indicator does not. When a divergence is spotted, there is a higher probability of a price reversal.
Divergences helps the trader recognize and react appropriately to a change in price action. It tells us something is changing and the trader must make a decision, such as tighten the stop-loss or take profit. Seeing divergences increases profitability by alerting the trader to protect profits or open a position.
Divergences indicate that something is changing, but it does not automatically mean the trend will reverse. It signals the trader must consider holding, tightening the stop loss, opening a position or take profit.
Introduction
The Alpha: Reversal is an indicator based off of the Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Momentum indicator. Its sole purpose is to be able to identify divergences when they matter and identify high probability reversal areas. The formula used between the three indicators will be kept proprietary, in addition to the slight changes made on the Stochastic formula. The indicator plots the histogram with a divergence formula within a 14 period look-back on default. Additionally, there is a moving average of the histograms movement to identify the divergences when they matter.
Divergences exist on just about every candle, most of the time they are at a minuscule level. Rarely do the price and oscillator movement collude, the question becomes when do these divergences matter?
With that in mind I approached the task of finding a reliable reversal model. On default, the indicator has a moving average that measures the past histogram (the formula of the three indicators) movement to identify when a high potential trend shift may happen.
Keeping volatility in mind there is a feature called "Fixed Threshold" in settings. Various assets move at different speeds, so the indicator needs the ability to adjust to fit the assets speed. This "Threshold" option does not have a set of rules to use for each asset, the option is there though, so it may be adjusted by the analyst manually if the histogram moving average seems inaccurate due to volatility or lack thereof. In future publications (or possibly indicator updates) I plan on expanding on a fixed set of rules for various assets. This will take considerable time to research and backtest the various values needed for an asset's speed, so for now the default MA can be used until you are comfortable with adjusting the threshold level manually.
The look-back period on the histogram and threshold MA can be adjusted to whichever time period you would like. However, the default 14 is typically what is best considering the inputs of the three underlying indicators.
Analysis
The indicator is actually quite simple to read. When the price spikes blue, there is a high probability of reversal, same goes for red but in the opposite fashion. Now as always, you should use this indicator as an analysis tool and not rely on it by itself. Many times Cryptocurrencies couldn't care less about strength or oversold/overbought and volume explodes out of nowhere, I highly recommend you use price action in addition to Alpha: Exhaustion and Alpha: Volume with this tool. Oh wait, Alpha: Volume is not out yet.... SOON. :)
Point is, use proper analysis techniques with this indicator, nothing is perfect. NOTHING. But the Alpha: Reversal is a great tool to use for not only the beginner trader, but the advanced also. There is a ton of ways to use this indicator beyond the high probability reversal areas, I am discovering some really neat patterns within my new formula that I plan on expanding on in future publications, i.e. dead cat bounces and relief candles plus a few more.
Conclusion
The Alpha: Reversal is a great analysis tool that I now use on all my charts, as time goes on I plan on holding classes for its users on a regular basis to expand on the various techniques that can be implemented in addition to publishing research relevant to its purpose.
Access to the indicator can be purchased on my site www.thetradingwizard.com with either a monthly option for this & the Alpha: Exhaustion (), or a lifetime subscription independently. All updates and changes will be done automatically and included for every user. The Alpha series is designed to help you make your analysis easier to comprehend and more accurate, I really think this one will be enjoyed by many for years to come, I have enjoyed designing and using this immensely. As always, please make your own decisions when trading and use proper analysis techniques.
Note: The options within the Alpha: Reversal allow the indicator to be used on any timeframe & any asset. As with any indicator, the higher the timeframe, the higher the accuracy.
Disclaimer
Nothing in this post is to be used or construed as financial advice. This post is meant as an educational post to explain the functions of the indicator.
Knoxville DivergenceOverlays Knoxville Divergence on your Chart
These don't occur very often but when they do they are best used in conjunction with Rob Booker Reversal Tabs
PivotBoss Wick Reversal SetupPATTERN SUMMARY
1. The body is used to determine the size oftlle reversal wick. A wick tllat is between 2.5 to 3.5 times larger than
the size of the body is ideal.
2. For a bullish reversal wick to exist, tlle close ofthe bar should fall witllin tlle top 35 percent of the overall range
of the candle.
3. For a bearish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the bottom 35 percent of the overall
range of the candle.
PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
Figure 2-4 shows several types of bullish and bearish reversal wick candlesticks that can all signal
profitable reversal opportunities in the market, especially if these patterns are paired with key pivot levels. In
traditional candlestick jargon, these particular candlesticks would have names ranging from hammer , hanging
man, inverted hammer , shooting star , gravestone doji , or dragonfly doji , depending on where the candle is
placed in a trend. Now you can see why I simply call these candlesticks wicks, or even tails. Instead of fumbling
over the proper naming of these candlesticks , I believe it is more important to know what these patterns
represent. What are they telling you?
Types of Candlestick Reversal Wicks
When the market has been trending lower then suddenly forms a reversal wick candlestick , the likelihood of
a reversal increases since buyers have finally begun to overwhelm the sellers. Selling pressure rules the decline,
but responsive buyers entered the market due to perceived undervaluation. For the reversal wick to open near the
high of the candle, sell off sharply intra-bar, and then rally back toward the open of the candle is bullish , as it
signifies that the bears no longer have control since they were not able to extend the decline of the candle, or the
trend. Instead, the bulls were able to rally price from the lows of the candle and close the bar near the top of its
range, which is bullish - at least for one bar, which hadn't been the case during the bearish trend (see Figure 2.5).
The Stages of a Reversal Wick
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
Essentially, when a reversal wick forms at the extreme of a trend, the market is telling you that the trend
either has stalled or is on the verge of a reversal. Remember, the market auctions higher in search of sellers, and
lower in search of buyers. When the market over-extends itself in search of market participants, it will find itself
out of value, which means responsive market participants will look to enter the market to push price back toward
an area of perceived value. This will help price find a value area for two-sided trade to take place. When the
market finds itself too far out of value, responsive market participants will sometimes enter the market with
force, which aggressively pushes price in the opposite direction, essentially forming reversal wick candlesticks .
This pattern is perhaps the most telling and common reversal setup, but requires steadfast confirmation in order
to capitalize on its power. Understanding the psychology behind these formations and learning to identify them
quickly will allow you to enter positions well ahead of the crowd, especially if you've spotted these patterns at
potentially overvalued or undervalued areas.
VDUB BB %B REVERSAL_v4.2 revised by JustUncleLThis is an revised Open Public version of Vdub Bollinger Band %B reversal indicator. This version includes optional Divergence Finder with selectable channel width, optional Market Session time highlighting and optional Binary Option expiry markers.
VDUB BB %B REVERSAL_v1VDUB BB %B REVERSAL_v1
* i am un able to highlight back ground, so I've merged std & custom together
std & on chart BB settings -
21 / 1.8
Copper Oracle™ – Industrial Macro Reversal EngineCopper Oracle™ – Industrial Macro Reversal Engine for Copper Futures
Script Purpose
This indicator is tailored to detect macro-institutional turning points and major swing opportunities in the copper futures market HG1!. It focuses on the structural behavior of copper as an industrial commodity, analyzing the interaction between volume absorption, candle microstructure, and pressure-based pattern triggers. It’s designed to anticipate cyclical reversals within broader industrial and economic flows.
How It Works
* Scans for inflection patterns specific to copper’s price action dynamics
* Highlights chart zones where institutional rejection or continuation pressure is likely
* Tracks directional buildup using tailored volume filters and structured time-based triggers
* Visualizes key chart moments when technical and institutional pressure conditions converge
* Supports dual-language Mentor Mode (English/Spanish) with contextual guidance per timeframe
* Uses adaptive filters based on timeframe: 15-minute for structural shifts, 1-hour for macro setups
Customization Options
* Toggle visibility of chart markers and Mentor Mode
* Set preferred session filter (New York, Europe, Asia, or Global)
* Configure visual/sound alerts and color preferences
* Language selector for Mentor Mode: English or Spanish
Recommended Use
* Apply to HG1!, COPPER, or copper futures (e.g., HGN25, HGU25, HGZ25)
* Built specifically for 15-minute and 1-hour charts
* Ideal for swing traders and macro-aware analysts seeking to track copper under real institutional pressure
* Not intended for use on unsupported timeframes (a warning will appear if used outside 15m or 1h)
Instructions
1. Add the script to your chart
2. Select timeframe (15m or 1h) and configure session filter
3. Enable Mentor Mode and alerts as desired
4. Use visual zones and timing cues as part of your discretionary macro-technical framework
Note
This script does not execute trades or provide buy/sell advice. It is a visual tool for structured market observation. Use only as part of a broader trading plan.