SMT SwiftEdge PowerhouseSMT SwiftEdge Powerhouse: Precision Trading with Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and OTE Zones
The SMT SwiftEdge Powerhouse is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders identify high-probability entry points during the most active market sessions—London and New York. By combining Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zones, this script provides a unique and cohesive strategy for capturing market reversals with precision. Whether you're a scalper or a swing trader, this indicator offers clear visual signals to enhance your trading decisions on any timeframe.
What Does This Script Do?
This script integrates three key concepts to identify potential trading opportunities:
SMT Divergence:
SMT Divergence compares the price action of two correlated assets (e.g., Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures) to detect hidden market reversals. When one asset makes a higher high while the other makes a lower high (bearish divergence), or one makes a lower low while the other makes a higher low (bullish divergence), it signals a potential reversal. This technique leverages institutional "smart money" behavior to anticipate market shifts.
Liquidity Grabs:
Liquidity Grabs occur when price breaks above recent highs or below recent lows on higher timeframes (5m and 15m), often triggering stop-loss orders from retail traders. These breakouts are identified using pivot points and confirm institutional activity, setting the stage for a reversal. The script focuses on liquidity grabs during the London and New York sessions for maximum market activity.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zones:
OTE Zones are Fibonacci-based retracement areas (e.g., 61.8%) calculated after a liquidity grab. These zones highlight where price is likely to retrace before continuing in the direction of the reversal, offering a high-probability entry point. The script adjusts the width of these zones using the Average True Range (ATR) to adapt to market volatility.
By combining these components, the script identifies when institutional activity (liquidity grabs) aligns with market reversals (SMT divergence) and pinpoints precise entry points (OTE zones) during high-liquidity sessions.
Why Combine These Components?
The integration of SMT Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and OTE Zones creates a robust trading system for several reasons:
Synergy of Institutional Signals: SMT Divergence and Liquidity Grabs both reflect "smart money" behavior—divergence shows hidden reversals, while liquidity grabs confirm institutional intent to trap retail traders. Together, they provide a strong foundation for identifying high-probability setups.
Session-Based Precision: Focusing on the London and New York sessions ensures signals occur during periods of high volatility and liquidity, increasing their reliability.
Precision Entries with OTE: After confirming a setup with divergence and liquidity grabs, OTE zones provide a clear entry area, reducing guesswork and improving trade accuracy.
Adaptability: The script works on any timeframe, with adjustable settings for signal sensitivity, session times, and Fibonacci levels, making it versatile for different trading styles.
This combination makes the script unique by aligning institutional insights with actionable entry points, tailored to the most active market hours.
How to Use the Script
Setup:
Add the script to your chart (works on any timeframe, e.g., 1m, 5m, 15m).
Configure the settings in the indicator's inputs:
Session Settings: Adjust the start/end times for London and New York sessions (default: London 8-11 UTC, New York 13-16 UTC). You can disable session restrictions if desired.
Asset Settings: Set the primary and secondary assets for SMT Divergence (default: NQ1! and ES1!). Ensure the assets are correlated.
Signal Settings: Adjust the lookback period, ATR period, and signal sensitivity (Low/Medium/High) to control the frequency of signals.
OTE Settings: Choose the Fibonacci level for OTE zones (default: 61.8%).
Visual Settings: Enable/disable OTE zones, SMT labels, and debug labels for troubleshooting.
Interpreting Signals:
Blue Circles: Indicate a liquidity grab (price breaking a 5m or 15m pivot high/low), marking the start of a potential setup.
Blue OTE Zones: Appear after a liquidity grab, showing the retracement area (e.g., 61.8% Fibonacci level) where price is likely to enter for a reversal trade. The label "OTE Trigger 5m/15m" confirms the direction (Short/Long) and session.
Green/Red Entry Boxes: Mark precise entry points when price enters the OTE zone and confirms the SMT Divergence. Green boxes indicate a long entry, red boxes a short entry.
Trading Example:
On a 1m chart, a blue circle appears when price breaks a 5m pivot high during the London session.
A blue OTE zone forms, showing a retracement area (e.g., 61.8% Fibonacci level) with the label "OTE Trigger 5m/15m (Short, London)".
Price retraces into the OTE zone, and a red "Short Entry" box appears, confirming a bearish SMT Divergence.
Enter a short trade at the red box, with a stop-loss above the OTE zone and a take-profit at the next support level.
Originality and Utility
The SMT SwiftEdge Powerhouse stands out by merging SMT Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and OTE Zones into a single, session-focused indicator. Unlike traditional indicators that focus on one aspect of price action, this script combines institutional reversal signals with precise entry zones, tailored to the most active market hours. Its adaptability across timeframes, customizable settings, and clear visual cues make it a versatile tool for traders seeking to capitalize on smart money movements with confidence.
Tips for Best Results
Use on correlated assets like NQ1! (Nasdaq futures) and ES1! (S&P 500 futures) for accurate SMT Divergence.
Test on lower timeframes (1m, 5m) for scalping or higher timeframes (15m, 1H) for swing trading.
Adjust the "Signal Sensitivity" to "High" for more signals or "Low" for fewer, high-quality setups.
Enable "Show Debug Labels" if signals are not appearing as expected, to troubleshoot pivot points and liquidity grabs.
Cerca negli script per "reversal"
Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence - Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence Indicator
Advanced Divergence Detection for Traders. Unleash the power of divergence trading with this cutting-edge indicator that combines price and volume analysis to spot high-probability reversal signals.
🧠 What Is It?
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence Indicator is designed to identify bullish and bearish divergences between the price trend and the On Balance Volume (OBV) trend. Divergence occurs when the price of an asset and a technical indicator (in this case, OBV) move in opposite directions, signaling a potential reversal. This indicator uses linear regression slopes to calculate the trends of both price and OBV over a specified lookback period, detecting when these two metrics are diverging. When a divergence is detected, it highlights potential reversal points with visually striking aurora bands, orbs, and labels, making it easy for traders to spot key signals.
⚙️ Inputs & How to Use Them
The indicator is highly customizable, with inputs grouped under "⚡ DAFE Aurora Settings" for clarity. Here’s how each input works:
Lookback Period: Determines how many bars are used to calculate the price and OBV slopes. Higher values detect longer-term trends (e.g., 20 for 1H charts), while lower values are more responsive to short-term movements.
Price Slope Threshold: Sets the minimum slope value for the price to be considered in an uptrend or downtrend. A value of 0 allows all slopes to be considered, while higher values filter for stronger trends.
OBV Slope Threshold: Similar to the price slope threshold but for OBV. Helps filter out weak volume trends.
Aurora Band Width: Adjusts the width of the visual bands that highlight divergence areas. Wider bands make the indicator more visible but may clutter the chart.
Divergence Sensitivity: Scales the strength of the divergence signals. Higher values make the indicator more sensitive to smaller divergences.
Minimum Strength: Filters out weak signals by only showing divergences above this strength level. A default of 0.3 is recommended for beginners.
Signal Cooldown (Bars): Prevents multiple signals from appearing too close together. Default is 5 bars, reducing chart clutter and helping traders focus on significant signals.
These inputs allow traders to fine-tune the indicator to match their trading style and timeframe.
🚀 What Makes It Unique?
This indicator stands out with its innovative features:
Price-Volume Divergence: Combines price trend (slope) and OBV trend for more reliable signals than price-only divergences.
Aurora Bands: Dynamic visual bands that highlight divergence zones, making it easier to spot potential reversals at a glance.
Interactive Dashboard: Displays real-time information on trend direction, volume flow, signal type, strength, and recommended actions (e.g., "Consider Buying" or "Consider Selling").
Signal Cooldown: Ensures only the most significant divergences are shown, reducing noise and improving usability.
Alerts: Built-in alerts for both bullish and bearish divergences, allowing traders to stay informed even when not actively monitoring the chart.
Beginner Guide: Explains the indicator’s visuals (e.g., aqua orbs for bullish signals, fuchsia orbs for bearish signals), making it accessible for new users.
🎯 Why It Works
The indicator’s effectiveness lies in its use of price-volume divergence, a well-established concept in technical analysis. When the price trend and OBV trend diverge, it often signals a potential reversal because the underlying volume support (or lack thereof) is not aligning with the price action. For example:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price is making lower lows, but the OBV is making higher lows, indicating weakening selling pressure and potential upward reversal.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price is making higher highs, but the OBV is making lower highs, suggesting weakening buying pressure and potential downward reversal.
The use of linear regression ensures smooth and accurate trend calculations over the specified lookback period. The divergence strength is then normalized and filtered based on user-defined thresholds, ensuring only high-quality signals are displayed. Additionally, the cooldown period prevents signal overload, allowing traders to focus on the most significant opportunities.
🧬 Indicator Recommendation
Best For: Traders looking to identify potential trend reversals in any market, especially those where volume data is reliable (e.g., stocks, futures, forex).
Timeframes: Suitable for all timeframes. Adjust the lookback period accordingly—smaller values for shorter timeframes (e.g., 1H), larger for longer ones (e.g., 4H or daily).
Pair With: Support and resistance levels, trend lines, other oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for confirmation, and volume profile tools for deeper analysis.
Tips:
Look for divergences at key support/resistance levels for higher-probability setups.
Pay attention to signal strength; higher strength divergences are often more reliable.
Use the dashboard to quickly assess market conditions before entering a trade.
Set up alerts to catch divergences even when not actively watching the chart.
🧾 Credit & Acknowledgement
This indicator builds upon the classic concept of price-volume divergence, enhancing it with modern visualization techniques, advanced filtering, and user-friendly features. It is designed to provide traders with a powerful yet intuitive tool for spotting reversals.
📌 Final Thoughts
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence Indicator is more than just a divergence tool; it’s a comprehensive trading assistant that combines advanced calculations, intuitive visualizations, and actionable insights. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, this indicator can help you spot high-probability reversal points with confidence.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
-Dskyz
TMO (True Momentum Oscillator)TMO ((T)rue (M)omentum (O)scilator)
Created by Mobius V01.05.2018 TOS Convert to TV using Claude 3.7 and ChatGPT 03 Mini :
TMO calculates momentum using the delta of price. Giving a much better picture of trend, tend reversals and divergence than momentum oscillators using price.
True Momentum Oscillator (TMO)
The True Momentum Oscillator (TMO) is a momentum-based technical indicator designed to identify trend direction, trend strength, and potential reversal points in the market. It's particularly useful for spotting overbought and oversold conditions, aiding traders in timing their entries and exits.
How it Works:
The TMO calculates market momentum by analyzing recent price action:
Momentum Calculation:
For a user-defined length (e.g., 14 bars), TMO compares the current closing price to past open prices. It assigns:
+1 if the current close is greater than the open price of the past bar (indicating bullish momentum).
-1 if it's less (indicating bearish momentum).
0 if there's no change.
The sum of these scores gives a raw momentum measure.
EMA Smoothing:
To reduce noise and false signals, this raw momentum is smoothed using Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
First, the raw data is smoothed by an EMA over a short calculation period (default: 5).
Then, it undergoes additional smoothing through another EMA (default: 3 bars), creating the primary "Main" line of the indicator.
Lastly, a "Signal" line is derived by applying another EMA (also default: 3 bars) to the main line, adding further refinement.
Trend Identification:
The indicator plots two lines:
Main Line: Indicates current momentum strength and direction.
Signal Line: Acts as a reference line, similar to a moving average crossover system.
When the Main line crosses above the Signal line, it suggests strengthening bullish momentum. Conversely, when the Main line crosses below the Signal line, it indicates increasing bearish momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Levels:
The indicator identifies key levels based on the chosen length parameter:
Overbought zone (positive threshold): Suggests the market might be overheated, and a potential bearish reversal or pullback could occur.
Oversold zone (negative threshold): Suggests the market might be excessively bearish, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Clouds visually mark these overbought/oversold areas, making it easy to see potential reversal zones.
Trading Applications:
Trend-following: Traders can enter positions based on crossovers of the Main and Signal lines.
Reversals: The overbought and oversold areas highlight high-probability reversal points.
Momentum confirmation: Use TMO to confirm price action or other technical signals, improving trade accuracy and timing.
The True Momentum Oscillator provides clarity in identifying momentum shifts, making it a valuable addition to various trading strategies.
Uptrick: Volatility Reversion BandsUptrick: Volatility Reversion Bands is an indicator designed to help traders identify potential reversal points in the market by combining volatility and momentum analysis within one comprehensive framework. It calculates dynamic bands around a simple moving average and issues signals when price interacts with these bands. Below is a fully expanded description, structured in multiple sections, detailing originality, usefulness, uniqueness, and the purpose behind blending standard deviation-based and ATR-based concepts. All references to code have been removed to focus on the written explanation only.
Section 1: Overview
Uptrick: Volatility Reversion Bands centers on a moving average around which various bands are constructed. These bands respond to changes in price volatility and can help gauge potential overbought or oversold conditions. Signals occur when the price moves beyond certain thresholds, which may imply a reversal or significant momentum shift.
Section 2: Originality, Usefulness, Uniqness, Purpose
This indicator merges two distinct volatility measurements—Bollinger Bands and ATR—into one cohesive system. Bollinger Bands use standard deviation around a moving average, offering a baseline for what is statistically “normal” price movement relative to a recent mean. When price hovers near the upper band, it may indicate overbought conditions, whereas price near the lower band suggests oversold conditions. This straightforward construction often proves invaluable in moderate-volatility settings, as it pinpoints likely turning points and gauges a market’s typical trading range.
Yet Bollinger Bands alone can falter in conditions marked by abrupt volatility spikes or sudden gaps that deviate from recent norms. Intraday news, earnings releases, or macroeconomic data can alter market behavior so swiftly that standard-deviation bands do not keep pace. This is where ATR (Average True Range) adds an important layer. ATR tracks recent highs, lows, and potential gaps to produce a dynamic gauge of how much price is truly moving from bar to bar. In quieter times, ATR contracts, reflecting subdued market activity. In fast-moving markets, ATR expands, exposing heightened volatility on each new bar.
By overlaying Bollinger Bands and ATR-based calculations, the indicator achieves a broader situational awareness. Bollinger Bands excel at highlighting relative overbought or oversold areas tied to an established average. ATR simultaneously scales up or down based on real-time market swings, signaling whether conditions are calm or turbulent. When combined, this means a price that barely crosses the Bollinger Band but also triggers a high ATR-based threshold is likely experiencing a volatility surge that goes beyond typical market fluctuations. Conversely, a price breach of a Bollinger Band when ATR remains low may still warrant attention, but not necessarily the same urgency as in a high-volatility regime.
The resulting synergy offers balanced, context-rich signals. In a strong trend, the ATR layer helps confirm whether an apparent price breakout really has momentum or if it is just a temporary spike. In a range-bound market, standard deviation-based Bollinger Bands define normal price extremes, while ATR-based extensions highlight whether a breakout attempt has genuine force behind it. Traders gain clarity on when a move is both statistically unusual and accompanied by real volatility expansion, thus carrying a higher probability of a directional follow-through or eventual reversion.
Practical advantages emerge across timeframes. Scalpers in fast-paced markets appreciate how ATR-based thresholds update rapidly, revealing if a sudden price push is routine or exceptional. Swing traders can rely on both indicators to filter out false signals in stable conditions or identify truly notable moves. By calibrating to changes in volatility, the merged system adapts naturally whether the market is trending, ranging, or transitioning between these phases.
In summary, combining Bollinger Bands (for a static sense of standard-deviation-based overbought/oversold zones) with ATR (for a dynamic read on current volatility) yields an adaptive, intuitive indicator. Traders can better distinguish fleeting noise from meaningful expansions, enabling more informed entries, exits, and risk management. Instead of relying on a single yardstick for all market conditions, this fusion provides a layered perspective, encouraging traders to interpret price moves in the broader context of changing volatility.
Section 3: Why Bollinger Bands and ATR are combined
Bollinger Bands provide a static snapshot of volatility by computing a standard deviation range above and below a central average. ATR, on the other hand, adapts in real time to expansions or contractions in market volatility. When combined, these measures offset each other’s limitations: Bollinger Bands add structure (overbought and oversold references), and ATR ensures responsiveness to rapid price shifts. This synergy helps reduce noisy signals, particularly during sudden market turbulence or extended consolidations.
Section 4: User Inputs
Traders can adjust several parameters to suit their preferences and strategies. These typically include:
1. Lookback length for calculating the moving average and standard deviation.
2. Multipliers to control the width of Bollinger Bands.
3. An ATR multiplier to set the distance for additional reversal bands.
4. An option to display weaker signals when the price merely approaches but does not cross the outer bands.
Section 5: Main Calculations
At the core of this indicator are four important steps:
1. Calculate a basis using a simple moving average.
2. Derive Bollinger Bands by adding and subtracting a product of the standard deviation and a user-defined multiplier.
3. Compute ATR over the same lookback period and multiply it by the selected factor.
4. Combine ATR-based distance with the Bollinger Bands to set the outer reversal bands, which serve as stronger signal thresholds.
Section 6: Signal Generation
The script interprets meaningful reversal points when the price:
1. Crosses below the lower outer band, potentially highlighting oversold conditions where a bullish reversal may occur.
2. Crosses above the upper outer band, potentially indicating overbought conditions where a bearish reversal may develop.
Section 7: Visualization
The indicator provides visual clarity through labeled signals and color-coded references:
1. Distinct colors for upper and lower reversal bands.
2. Markers that appear above or below bars to denote possible buying or selling signals.
3. A gradient bar color scheme indicating a bar’s position between the lower and upper bands, helping traders quickly see if the price is near either extreme.
Section 8: Weak Signals (Optional)
For those preferring early cues, the script can highlight areas where the price nears the outer bands. When weak signals are enabled:
1. Bars closer to the upper reversal zone receive a subtle marker suggesting a less robust, yet still noteworthy, potential selling area.
2. Bars closer to the lower reversal zone receive a subtle marker suggesting a less robust, yet still noteworthy, potential buying area.
Section 9: Simplicity, Effectiveness, and Lower Timeframes
Although combining standard deviation and ATR involves sophisticated volatility concepts, this indicator is visually straightforward. Reversal bands and gradient-colored bars make it easy to see at a glance when price approaches or crosses a threshold. Day traders operating on lower timeframes benefit from such clarity because it helps filter out minor fluctuations and focus on more meaningful signals.
Section 10: Adaptability across Market Phases
Because both the standard deviation (for Bollinger Bands) and ATR adapt to changing volatility, the indicator naturally adjusts to various environments:
1. Trending: The additional ATR-based outer bands help distinguish between temporary pullbacks and deeper reversals.
2. Ranging: Bollinger Bands often remain narrower, identifying smaller reversals, while the outer ATR bands remain relatively close to the main bands.
Section 11: Reduced Noise in High-Volatility Scenarios
By factoring ATR into the band calculations, the script widens or narrows the thresholds during rapid market fluctuations. This reduces the amount of false triggers typically found in indicators that rely solely on fixed calculations, preventing overreactions to abrupt but short-lived price spikes.
Section 12: Incorporation with Other Technical Tools
Many traders combine this indicator with oscillators such as RSI, MACD, or Stochastic, as well as volume metrics. Overbought or oversold signals in momentum oscillators can provide additional confirmation when price reaches the outer bands, while volume spikes may reinforce the significance of a breakout or potential reversal.
Section 13: Risk Management Considerations
All trading strategies carry risk. This indicator, like any tool, can and does produce losing trades if price unexpectedly reverses again or if broader market conditions shift rapidly. Prudent traders employ protective measures:
1. Stop-loss orders or trailing stops.
2. Position sizing that accounts for market volatility.
3. Diversification across different asset classes when possible.
Section 14: Overbought and Oversold Identification
Standard Bollinger Bands highlight regions where price might be overextended relative to its recent average. The extended ATR-based reversal bands serve as secondary lines of defense, identifying moments when price truly stretches beyond typical volatility bounds.
Section 15: Parameter Customization for Different Needs
Users can tailor the script to their unique preferences:
1. Shorter lookback settings yield faster signals but risk more noise.
2. Higher multipliers spread the bands further apart, filtering out small moves but generating fewer signals.
3. Longer lookback periods smooth out market noise, often leading to more stable but less frequent trading cues.
Section 16: Examples of Different Trading Styles
1. Day Traders: Often reduce the length to capture quick price swings.
2. Swing Traders: May use moderate lengths such as 20 to 50 bars.
3. Position Traders: Might opt for significantly longer settings to detect macro-level reversals.
Section 17: Performance Limitations and Reality Check
No technical indicator is free from false signals. Sudden fundamental news events, extreme sentiment changes, or low-liquidity conditions can render signals less reliable. Backtesting and forward-testing remain essential steps to gauge whether the indicator aligns well with a trader’s timeframe, risk tolerance, and instrument of choice.
Section 18: Merging Volatility and Momentum
A critical uniqueness of this indicator lies in how it merges Bollinger Bands (standard deviation-based) with ATR (pure volatility measure). Bollinger Bands provide a relative measure of price extremes, while ATR dynamically reacts to market expansions and contractions. Together, they offer an enhanced perspective on potential market turns, ideally reducing random noise and highlighting moments where price has traveled beyond typical bounds.
Section 19: Purpose of this Merger
The fundamental purpose behind blending standard deviation measures with real-time volatility data is to accommodate different market behaviors. Static standard deviation alone can underreact or overreact in abnormally volatile conditions. ATR alone lacks a baseline reference to normality. By merging them, the indicator aims to provide:
1. A versatile dynamic range for both typical and extreme moves.
2. A filter against frequent whipsaws, especially in choppy environments.
3. A visual framework that novices and experts can interpret rapidly.
Section 20: Summary and Practical Tips
Uptrick: Volatility Reversion Bands offers a powerful tool for traders looking to combine volatility-based signals with momentum-derived reversals. It emphasizes clarity through color-coded bars, defined reversal zones, and optional weak signal markers. While potentially useful across all major timeframes, it demands ongoing risk management, realistic expectations, and careful study of how signals behave under different market conditions. No indicator serves as a crystal ball, so integrating this script into an overall strategy—possibly alongside volume data, fundamentals, or momentum oscillators—often yields the best results.
Disclaimer and Educational Use
This script is intended for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice, nor does it guarantee trading success. Sudden economic events, low-liquidity times, and unexpected market behaviors can all undermine technical signals. Traders should use proper testing procedures (backtesting and forward-testing) and maintain disciplined risk management measures.
TechniTrend: CandleMetrics🟦 Overview
The TechniTrend: CandleMetrics Indicator is a powerful tool designed to give traders an in-depth analysis of candlestick structures. This indicator allows users to identify potential reversal points, trend continuations, and other crucial market behaviors by examining key ratios between candle components—such as body, shadow, and overall range—alongside volume conditions. The advanced filtering options offer flexibility for both novice and experienced traders, enabling tailored setups to suit different trading strategies.
🟦 Key Features
🔸Customizable Ratios: Set thresholds for Body-to-Range, Shadow-to-Range, Upper Shadow-to-Range, and Lower Shadow-to-Range ratios.
🔸Volume-Based Filters: Integrate volume conditions to strengthen the reliability of signals.
🔸Flexible Conditions: Choose whether filters should work independently or in combination, allowing for precise pattern identification.
🔸Visual Markers: Mark potential signals with a distinct background color and symbols on the chart.
🔸Alerts: Receive notifications for each selected condition, ensuring you never miss an opportunity.
🟦 How It Works
The CandleMetrics Indicator operates by analyzing the relationship between different components of each candlestick, combined with volume data to determine the strength of signals. Here’s a detailed breakdown of each feature:
🔸 Body to Range Ratio:
This filter compares the size of the candle's body to its total range (from high to low).
Example Setting: If you’re interested in spotting candles with small bodies relative to their total range, you might set the Body-to-Range Ratio to “Less than 0.3.”
🔸 Shadow to Range Ratio:
This examines the combined size of both shadows (upper and lower) relative to the entire candle range.
Example Setting: Use a Shadow-to-Range Ratio set to “More than 0.8” to find candles with significant wick lengths, suggesting market indecision.
🔸 Upper Shadow to Range Ratio:
This filter assesses the proportion of the upper shadow (wick) in relation to the candle’s full range.
Example Setting: “Less than 0.05” can help identify situations where the upper shadow is minimal, indicating strong downward pressure.
🔸 Lower Shadow to Range Ratio:
It measures the lower shadow compared to the entire candle range.
Example Setting: “More than 0.7” is useful for detecting potential rejection patterns at lower prices, hinting at a possible bullish reversal.
🔸 Volume Filter:
Integrates volume data to verify the reliability of each candle pattern.
Example Setting: Apply a Volume Filter Length of 100 with an SMA type to smooth volume data over a longer period, filtering out short-term noise and focusing on significant volume shifts.
🟦 Combining Filters
The indicator offers an option to Combine Filters. When this setting is enabled, all selected conditions must be met simultaneously for a candle to be marked. If disabled, each condition functions independently, allowing more flexibility in detecting diverse patterns.
🟦 Examples & Use Cases
🔸Example 1: Spotting Reversal Opportunities
I used the following configuration to find potential bullish reversals:
Upper Shadow to Range Ratio: “Less than 0.05” – Looking for candles with almost no upper shadow.
Lower Shadow to Range Ratio: “More than 0.7” – Highlighting candles with a significant lower shadow.
Volume Filter Length: 100 with SMA.
This setup effectively highlights candles where price rejection is happening at lower levels, suggesting a potential trend reversal to the upside.
🔸Example 2: Detecting Market Uncertainty
If you want to focus on candles showing market hesitation, try:
Shadow to Range Ratio: “More than 0.85” – Emphasizing long-wick candles that could indicate indecision.
Disable Combine Filters to allow flexibility, marking any candle meeting the above criteria.
🟦 Detailed Explanation of Each Option
Here’s a clear and concise breakdown of each option for a better understanding:
1. Body to Range Ratio
Purpose: This ratio shows how significant the candle's body is compared to its overall range. A smaller body-to-range ratio can indicate a potential reversal if the market appears indecisive.
How to Use: Increase the ratio to filter for stronger trend candles; decrease it to identify reversal or indecision candles.
2. Shadow to Range Ratio
Purpose: This filter captures the size of both shadows relative to the candle's total range. A larger ratio often points to market hesitation, while a smaller ratio suggests a decisive move.
How to Use: Adjust this filter to focus on candles with long wicks (indecision) or short wicks (decisiveness).
3. Upper Shadow to Range Ratio
Purpose: Helps to identify candles with strong downward moves by focusing on the upper wick length. A small upper shadow can imply sellers' dominance.
How to Use: Lower the ratio to detect candles with minimal upward rejection.
4. Lower Shadow to Range Ratio
Purpose: Targets candles with strong buying pressure by analyzing the lower shadow. A larger lower shadow may indicate a bullish reversal.
How to Use: Increase the ratio to spot rejection candles with significant lower shadows.
5. Volume Filter
Purpose: Adds a volume component to verify the validity of each candlestick pattern. Higher-than-average volume often signifies the strength of a move.
How to Use: Adjust the filter length and type to smooth out volume fluctuations based on your trading timeframe.
🟦 Indicator Alerts
Each filter has its own alert configuration, enabling traders to stay updated on market conditions that meet their selected criteria. You can customize alerts to trigger whenever a condition is met, helping to manage trades even when away from the screen.
Ema Z-score | viResearchEma Z-score | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Ema Z-score" indicator introduces a novel method of analyzing price deviations from the mean by combining the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a Z-score calculation. The Z-score is a statistical measure that quantifies how far a value deviates from the mean in terms of standard deviations. By applying the Z-score to an EMA, this indicator provides traders with insights into the strength and momentum of price movements relative to a smoothed average. This enables better detection of overbought and oversold conditions, as well as potential trend reversals.
The use of the Z-score helps filter out noise and provides more robust signals by highlighting extreme deviations from the mean, allowing traders to make more informed decisions in both trending and ranging markets.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Ema Z-score" script consists of two main components: the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Z-score calculation. The EMA is calculated over a user-defined length, smoothing price movements to provide a clearer trend line. The Z-score is then derived by measuring the deviation of the current EMA value from the mean of the EMA over a lookback period, divided by the standard deviation of the EMA during that same period.
For the Z-score calculation, the script first computes the mean EMA over the lookback period using the ta.ema function. It then calculates the standard deviation of the EMA over the same period using the ta.stdev function. The Z-score is determined by subtracting the mean EMA from the current EMA value and dividing by the standard deviation, producing a normalized measure of deviation from the average.
Features and User Inputs
The "Ema Z-score" script offers several customizable inputs that allow traders to adjust the indicator according to their strategies. The EMA Length controls the smoothing period of the EMA, while the Lookback Period defines how far back the script looks when calculating the mean and standard deviation for the Z-score. Customizable thresholds allow traders to define when the Z-score signals potential uptrends or downtrends, based on their chosen levels of deviation.
Practical Applications
The "Ema Z-score" indicator is designed for traders who want to better understand price deviations from the mean and use those insights to identify potential trading opportunities. This tool is particularly effective for:
Identifying Overbought and Oversold Conditions: The Z-score provides a quantitative measure of how far the price has deviated from the mean, helping traders spot extreme conditions that could lead to reversals. Detecting Trend Reversals: By monitoring when the Z-score crosses certain thresholds, traders can identify potential trend reversals early and adjust their positions accordingly. Confirming Trend Strength: The Z-score can help confirm whether a price move is backed by momentum or is likely to revert to the mean, providing additional context for trade entries and exits.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The "Ema Z-score" script offers a significant advantage by combining the smoothing effect of the EMA with the precision of Z-score analysis. This approach reduces the impact of market noise while highlighting meaningful deviations from the norm. The ability to quantify deviations in terms of standard deviations gives traders a statistical edge in identifying overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend shifts. This makes the "Ema Z-score" an effective tool for both trend-following and contrarian strategies.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes alert conditions to notify traders of key Z-score threshold crossings. The "Ema Z-score Long" alert is triggered when the Z-score exceeds the upper threshold, signaling a potential upward trend. Conversely, the "Ema Z-score Short" alert signals a possible downward trend when the Z-score falls below the lower threshold. Visual cues such as color changes in the bar chart and Z-score plot help traders easily identify these conditions on the chart.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Ema Z-score | viResearch" indicator offers a unique combination of EMA smoothing and Z-score analysis, giving traders a statistical measure of price deviations and improving their ability to detect overbought or oversold conditions, trend reversals, and trend confirmations. By incorporating this script into your trading strategy, you can better quantify price extremes and make more informed decisions in both volatile and stable markets. Whether you're focused on spotting early reversals or confirming ongoing trends, the "Ema Z-score" provides a reliable and customizable solution.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Uptrick: Momentum Channel Indicator
### 🌟 **Uptrick: Momentum Channel Indicator (MC_Ind)** 🌟
The **"Uptrick: Momentum Channel Indicator"** is a powerful tool designed to help traders gauge market momentum and identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator can be your compass 🧭 in the complex world of trading.
### 🎯 **Purpose of the Indicator**
The primary goal of the **Momentum Channel Indicator** is to measure the deviation of price from its moving average (the mid-point) and to smooth this deviation to identify momentum shifts. By plotting overbought and oversold levels, the indicator helps traders spot potential reversal points where the market might change direction, offering valuable entry or exit signals.
### 🔧 **Inputs & Parameters**
Let's break down the input parameters that you can adjust to tailor the indicator to your trading style:
1. **`length1` (Channel Length) 📏**: This is the period over which the moving average (mid-point) and price deviation are calculated. The default value is 14, meaning the last 14 bars are considered for calculations.
2. **`length2` (Smoothing Length) 🧘**: This parameter controls the smoothing of the channel index, with a default value of 28. The higher the value, the smoother the momentum line, reducing noise and making trends more visible.
3. **`overbought1` & `overbought2` (Overbought Levels) 🔴**: These levels, set at 70 and 65 by default, represent the threshold above which the market is considered overbought, potentially signaling a selling opportunity.
4. **`oversold1` & `oversold2` (Oversold Levels) 🟢**: Similarly, these levels, set at -70 and -65, mark the threshold below which the market is considered oversold, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
### 🛠️ **How the Indicator Works**
Now, let's dive into the mechanics of the Momentum Channel Indicator:
1. **Mid-Point Calculation 🏁**: The mid-point is calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) of the closing prices over the `length1` period. This mid-point acts as a reference line from which deviations are measured.
2. **Price Deviation 📊**: The price deviation is the absolute difference between the closing price and the mid-point, smoothed over the same period (`length1`). This represents the typical price movement away from the mid-point.
3. **Channel Index 📉**: The channel index is calculated by dividing the price deviation by a fraction (0.01) of the mid-point, providing a normalized measure of how far the price has deviated from the average.
4. **Smoothing of the Channel Index 🌊**: The smoothed index (`mci1`) is calculated by applying a smoothing filter (SMA) over the channel index using the `length2` parameter. This helps reduce noise and highlight the true momentum of the market.
5. **Momentum Lines 📈**:
- **`mci1`**: The main momentum line, representing the smoothed channel index.
- **`mci2`**: A secondary momentum line, which is a further smoothed version of `mci1` using a 6-period SMA.
6. **Signal Lines 🚦**:
- **Overbought & Oversold Levels**: Horizontal lines plotted at `overbought1`, `overbought2`, `oversold1`, and `oversold2` levels serve as visual cues for overbought and oversold conditions.
- **Zero Line**: A central reference line at 0, indicating neutral momentum.
### 📈 **How to Use the Indicator**
#### 1. **Day Traders ⚡**
For day traders, the Momentum Channel Indicator can be a quick signal generator for short-term trades. Here's how you can use it:
- **Identify Entry Points 🎯**: Look for a **bullish crossover** when `mci1` crosses above `mci2` from below the `oversold1` level. This signals a potential upward reversal.
- **Spot Exit Points 🏁**: Watch for a **bearish crossunder** when `mci1` crosses below `mci2` from above the `overbought1` level. This could indicate a downward reversal.
- **Scalping 🔄**: In a fast-moving market, use the indicator to scalp by entering and exiting trades at these crossover points, with a tight stop-loss strategy.
#### 2. **Swing Traders 🎢**
Swing traders benefit from using the Momentum Channel Indicator to identify potential reversal points over a longer period:
- **Trend Confirmation 📊**: Use the smoothing effect of `mci2` to confirm trends. If `mci2` remains consistently above 0, it indicates a strong bullish trend, and vice versa.
- **Overbought/Oversold Reversals 🚀**: Enter trades when the price approaches the overbought or oversold levels (`overbought1`, `oversold1`). Combine this with other indicators, such as RSI, for more reliable signals.
- **Hold Positions 🧗**: Let the momentum lines guide your hold strategy. If the momentum lines stay aligned (both `mci1` and `mci2` are moving in the same direction), consider holding the position until a crossover or reversal signal appears.
#### 3. **Long-Term Investors 🏦**
For long-term investors, the Momentum Channel Indicator helps in fine-tuning entry and exit points based on broader market momentum:
- **Divergence Analysis 📐**: Look for divergence between the price and the momentum lines. If the price makes new highs but the momentum lines do not, it could signal a weakening trend and a potential reversal.
- **Strategic Entry/Exit 🏹**: Use the `overbought2` and `oversold2` levels to strategically enter or exit positions. These secondary levels provide an early warning before the market reaches extreme conditions.
- **Risk Management 🛡️**: The indicator can also be used as part of a risk management strategy by identifying when to reduce exposure in overbought markets or increase exposure in oversold markets.
### 🖼️ **Visualization & Interpretation**
The Momentum Channel Indicator is visually intuitive, with each component providing key insights:
1. **Momentum Lines (MCI1 & MCI2) 📈**:
- **Blue Line (`mci1`)**: Represents the main momentum line, providing immediate insights into market direction.
- **Orange Line (`mci2`)**: A secondary momentum line, further smoothed to confirm trends.
2. **Overbought/Oversold Levels 🔴🟢**:
- **Solid & Dashed Lines**: These lines highlight overbought and oversold regions, guiding traders on when to consider entering or exiting trades.
3. **MCI Difference (Purple Area) 🌌**:
- **Shaded Area**: The difference between `mci1` and `mci2`, shaded in purple, helps visualize the strength of the momentum. The larger the shaded area, the stronger the momentum.
### 🚀 **Advanced Tips & Tricks**
For those looking to maximize the potential of the Momentum Channel Indicator, here are some advanced strategies:
1. **Combine with Volume Indicators 📊**: Use volume indicators like OBV (On-Balance Volume) or Volume Oscillator to confirm momentum signals. For instance, a bullish crossover combined with increasing volume can reinforce a buy signal.
2. **Multiple Timeframe Analysis 🕒**: Apply the Momentum Channel Indicator across multiple timeframes (e.g., daily and weekly) to get a more comprehensive view of the market. This can help in aligning short-term trades with long-term trends.
3. **Adjusting Parameters 🔄**: Depending on market conditions, tweak the `length1` and `length2` parameters. In a highly volatile market, shorter lengths might provide quicker signals, whereas in a stable market, longer lengths could smooth out noise.
4. **Divergence & Convergence 📐**: Watch for divergence between price and momentum lines as a leading indicator of potential reversals. Convergence (when the price and momentum move in sync) can confirm the strength of the trend.
### **Conclusion**
The **Uptrick: Momentum Channel Indicator** is a versatile tool that can be customized for various trading styles and market conditions. Whether you're trading in fast-paced environments or analyzing long-term trends, this indicator offers a clear and intuitive way to gauge market momentum, identify potential reversals, and make informed trading decisions.
By understanding and applying the principles outlined above, you can harness the full power of this indicator, transforming your trading strategy from good to great! 🌟
Sylvain Zig-Zag [MyTradingCoder]This Pine Script version of ZigZagHighLow is a faithful port of Sylvain Vervoort's original study, initially implemented in NinjaScript and later added to the thinkorswim standard library. This indicator identifies and connects swing points in price data, offering a clear visualization of market moves that exceed a specified threshold. Additionally, it now includes features for detecting and plotting support and resistance levels, enhancing its utility for technical analysis.
Overview
The Sylvain Zig-Zag study excels at highlighting significant price swings by plotting points where the price change, combined with volatility adjustments via the Average True Range (ATR), exceeds a user-defined percentage. It effectively smooths out minor fluctuations, allowing traders to focus on the primary market trends. This tool is particularly useful in identifying potential turning points, trends in price movements, and key support and resistance levels, making it a valuable addition to your technical analysis arsenal.
How It Works
The Sylvain Zig-Zag indicator works by detecting swing points in the price data and connecting them to form a zigzag pattern. A swing point is identified when the price moves a certain distance, defined by a combination of percentage change and ATR. This distance must be exceeded for a swing point to be plotted.
When the price moves upwards and exceeds the previous high by a specified percentage plus a factor of the ATR, a new high swing point is plotted. Conversely, a low swing point is plotted when the price moves downwards and exceeds the previous low by the same criteria. This ensures that only significant price moves are considered, filtering out minor fluctuations and providing a clear view of the overall market trend.
In addition to plotting zigzag lines, the indicator can now identify and draw support and resistance levels based on the detected swing points. These levels are crucial for identifying potential reversal areas and market structure.
Key Features
Swing Point Detection: Accurately identifies significant price swings by considering both percentage price change and volatility (via Average True Range).
Dynamic Support/Resistance: Automatically generates support and resistance lines based on the identified swing points, providing potential areas of price reversals.
Customizable Parameters: Tailor the indicator's sensitivity to your preferred trading style and market conditions. Adjust parameters like percentage reversal, ATR settings, and absolute/tick reversals.
Visual Clarity: Choose to display the ZigZag line, support/resistance levels, new trend icons, continuation icons, and even customize bar colors for easy visual analysis.
Trading Applications
Trend Identification: Easily visualize the prevailing market trend using the direction of the ZigZag line and support/resistance levels.
Entry/Exit Signals: Potential entry points can be identified when the price interacts with the dynamic support/resistance levels.
Stop-Loss Placement: Use recent swing points as logical places for setting stop-loss orders.
Profit Targets: Project potential price targets based on the distance between previous swing points.
Input Parameters
Several input parameters can be adjusted to customize the behavior of the Sylvain Zig-Zag indicator. These parameters allow traders to fine-tune the detection of swing points and support/resistance levels to better suit their trading strategy and the specific market conditions they are analyzing.
High Source and Low Source:
These inputs define the price points used for detecting high and low swing points, respectively. You can choose between high, low, open, or close prices for these calculations.
Percentage Reversal:
This input sets the minimum percentage change in price required for a swing to be detected. A higher percentage value will result in fewer but more significant swing points, while a lower value will detect more frequent, smaller swings.
Absolute Reversal:
This parameter allows for an additional fixed value to be added to the minimum price change and ATR change. This can be useful for increasing the distance between swing points in volatile markets.
ATR Length:
This input defines the period used for calculating the ATR, which is a measure of market volatility. A longer ATR period will smooth out the ATR calculation, while a shorter period will make it more sensitive to recent price changes.
ATR Multiplier:
This factor is applied to the ATR value to adjust the sensitivity of the swing point detection. A higher multiplier will increase the required price movement for a swing point to be plotted, reducing the number of detected swings.
Tick Reversal:
This input allows for an additional value in ticks to be added to the minimum price change and ATR change, providing further customization in the swing point detection process.
Support and Resistance:
Show S/R: Enable or disable the plotting of support and resistance levels.
Max S/R Levels: Set the maximum number of support and resistance levels to display.
S/R Line Width: Adjust the width of the support and resistance lines.
Visual Settings
The Sylvain Zig-Zag indicator also includes visual settings to enhance the clarity of the plotted swing points and trends. You can customize the color and width of the zigzag line, and enable icons to indicate new trends and continuation patterns. Additionally, the bars can be colored based on the detected trend, aiding in quick visual analysis.
Conclusion
This port of the ZigZagHighLow study from NinjaScript to Pine Script preserves the essence of Sylvain Vervoort’s methodology while adding new features for support and resistance. It provides traders with a powerful tool for technical analysis. The combination of price changes and ATR ensures that you have a robust and adaptable tool for identifying key market movements and structural levels. Customize the settings to match your trading style and gain a clearer picture of market trends, turning points, and support/resistance areas. Enjoy improved market analysis and more informed trading decisions with the Sylvain Zig-Zag indicator.
Multiple (12) Strong Buy/Sell Signals + Momentum
Indicator Manual: "Multiple (12) Strong Buy/Sell Signals + Momentum"
This indicator is designed to identify strong buy and sell signals based on 12 configurable conditions, which include a variety of technical analysis methods such as trend-following indicators, pattern recognition, volume analysis, and momentum oscillators. It allows for customizable alerts and visual cues on the chart. The indicator helps traders spot potential entry and exit points by displaying buy and sell signals based on the selected conditions.
Key Observations:
• The script integrates multiple indicators and pattern recognition methods to provide comprehensive buy/sell signals.
• Trend-based indicators like EMAs and MACD are combined with pattern recognition (flags, triangles) and momentum-based signals (RSI, ADX, and volume analysis).
• User customization is a core feature, allowing adjustments to the conditions and thresholds for more tailored signals.
• The script is designed to be responsive to market conditions, with multiple conditions filtering out noise to generate reliable signals.
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Key Features:
1. 12 Combined Buy/Sell Signal Conditions: This indicator incorporates a diverse set of conditions based on trend analysis, momentum, and price patterns.
2. Minimum Conditions Input: You can adjust the threshold of conditions that need to be met for the buy/sell signals to appear.
3. Alert Customization: Set alert thresholds for both buy and sell signals.
4. Dynamic Visualization: Buy and sell signals are shown as triangles on the chart, with momentum signals highlighted as circles.
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Detailed Description of the 12 Conditions:
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
o Conditions: The indicator uses EMAs with periods 3, 8, and 13 for quick trend-following signals.
o Bullish Signal: EMA3 > EMA8 > EMA13 (Bullish stack).
o Bearish Signal: EMA3 < EMA8 < EMA13 (Bearish stack).
o Reversal Signal: The crossing over or under of these EMAs can signify trend reversals.
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
o Fast MACD (2, 7, 3) is used to confirm trends quickly.
o Bullish Signal: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line.
o Bearish Signal: When the MACD line crosses below the signal line.
3. Donchian Channel:
o Tracks the highest high and lowest low over a given period (default 20).
o Breakout Signal: Price breaking above the upper band is bullish; breaking below the lower band is bearish.
4. VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price):
o Above VWAP: Bullish condition (price above VWAP).
o Below VWAP: Bearish condition (price below VWAP).
5. EMA Stacking & Reversal:
o Tracks the order of EMAs (3, 8, 13) to confirm strong trends and reversals.
o Bullish Reversal: EMA3 < EMA8 < EMA13 followed by a crossing to bullish.
o Bearish Reversal: EMA3 > EMA8 > EMA13 followed by a crossing to bearish.
6. Bull/Bear Flags:
o Bull Flag: Characterized by a strong price movement (flagpole) followed by a pullback and breakout.
o Bear Flag: Similar to Bull Flag but in the opposite direction.
7. Triangle Patterns (Ascending and Descending):
o Detects ascending and descending triangles using pivot highs and lows.
o Ascending Triangle: Higher lows and flat resistance.
o Descending Triangle: Lower highs and flat support.
8. Volume Sensitivity:
o Identifies price moves with significant volume increases.
o High Volume: When current volume is significantly above the moving average volume (set to 1.2x of the average).
9. Momentum Indicators:
o RSI (Relative Strength Index): Confirms overbought and oversold levels with thresholds set at 65 (overbought) and 35 (oversold).
o ADX (Average Directional Index): Confirms strong trends when ADX > 28.
o Momentum Up: Momentum is upward with strong volume and bullish RSI/ADX conditions.
o Momentum Down: Momentum is downward with strong volume and bearish RSI/ADX conditions.
10. Bollinger & Keltner Squeeze:
o Squeeze Condition: A contraction in both Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels indicates low volatility, signaling a potential breakout.
o Squeeze Breakout: Price breaking above or below the squeeze bands.
11. 3 Consecutive Candles Condition:
o Bullish: Price rises for three consecutive candles with higher highs and lows.
o Bearish: Price falls for three consecutive candles with lower highs and lows.
12. Williams %R and Stochastic RSI:
o Williams %R: A momentum oscillator with signals when the line crosses certain levels.
o Stochastic RSI: Provides overbought/oversold levels with smoother signals.
o Combined Signals: You can choose whether to require both WPR and StochRSI to signal a buy/sell.
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User Inputs (Inputs Tab):
1. Minimum Conditions for Buy/Sell:
o min_conditions: Number of conditions required to trigger a buy/sell signal on the chart (1 to 12).
o Alert_min_conditions: User-defined alert threshold (how many conditions must be met before an alert is triggered).
2. Donchian Channel Settings:
o Show Donchian: Toggle visibility of the Donchian channel.
o Donchian Length: The length of the Donchian Channel (default 20).
3. Bull/Bear Flag Settings:
o Bull Flag Flagpole Strength: ATR multiplier to define the strength of the flagpole.
o Bull Flag Pullback Length: Length of pullback for the bull flag pattern.
o Bull Flag EMA Length: EMA length used to confirm trend during bull flag pattern.
Similar settings exist for Bear Flag patterns.
4. Momentum Indicators:
o RSI Length: Period for calculating the RSI (default 9).
o RSI Overbought: Overbought threshold for the RSI (default 65).
o RSI Oversold: Oversold threshold for the RSI (default 35).
5. Bollinger/Keltner Squeeze Settings:
o Squeeze Width Threshold: The maximum width of the Bollinger and Keltner Bands for squeeze conditions.
6. Stochastic RSI Settings:
o Stochastic RSI Length: The period for calculating the Stochastic RSI.
7. WPR Settings:
o WPR Length: Period for calculating Williams %R (default 14).
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User Inputs (Style Tab):
1. Signal Plotting:
o Control the display and colors of the buy/sell signals, momentum indicators, and pattern signals on the chart.
o Buy/Sell Signals: Can be customized with different colors and shapes (triangle up for buys, triangle down for sells).
o Momentum Signals: Custom circle placement for momentum-up or momentum-down signals.
2. Donchian Channel:
o Show Donchian: Toggle visibility of the Donchian upper, lower, and middle bands.
o Band Colors: Choose the color for each band (upper, lower, middle).
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How to Use the Indicator:
1. Adjust Minimum Conditions: Set the minimum number of conditions that must be met for a signal to appear. For example, set it to 5 if you want only stronger signals.
2. Set Alert Threshold: Define the number of conditions needed to trigger an alert. This can be different from the minimum conditions for visual signals.
3. Customize Appearance: Modify the colors and styles of the signals to match your preferences.
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Conclusion:
This comprehensive trading indicator uses a combination of trend-following, pattern recognition, and momentum-based conditions to help you spot potential buy and sell opportunities. By adjusting the input settings, you can fine-tune it to match your specific trading strategy, making it a versatile tool for different market conditions.
Signal Reliability Based on Condition Count
The reliability of the buy/sell signals increases as more conditions are met. Here's a breakdown of the probabilities:
1. 1-3 Conditions Met: Lower Probability
o Signals that meet only 1-3 conditions tend to have lower reliability and are considered less probable. These signals may represent false positives or weaker market movements, and traders should approach them with caution.
2. 4 Conditions Met: More Reliable Signal
o When 4 conditions are met, the signal becomes more reliable. This indicates that multiple indicators or market patterns are aligning, increasing the likelihood of a valid buy/sell opportunity. While not foolproof, it's a stronger indication that the market may be moving in a particular direction.
3. 5-6 Conditions Met: Strong Signal
o A signal meeting 5-6 conditions is considered a strong signal. This indicates a well-confirmed move, with several technical indicators and market factors aligning to suggest a higher probability of success. These are the signals that traders often prioritize.
4. 7+ Conditions Met: Rare and High-Confidence Signal
o Signals that meet 7 or more conditions are rare and should be considered high-confidence signals. These represent a significant alignment of multiple factors, and while they are less frequent, they are highly reliable when they do occur. Traders can be more confident in acting on these signals, but they should still monitor market conditions for confirmation.
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You can adjust the number of conditions as needed, but this breakdown should give a clear structure on how the signal strength correlates with the number of conditions met!
MERCURY-PRO by DrAbhiramSivprasd“MERCURYPRO”
The MERCURYPRO indicator is a custom technical analysis tool designed to provide dynamic trend signals based on a combination of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) and Standard Deviation (StDev). This indicator helps traders identify trend reversals or continuation based on the behavior of the price and momentum.
Key Features:
• Source Input: The indicator works with any price data, with the default set to close, which represents the closing price of each bar.
• Length Input: A period (default value 9) is used to determine the calculation window for the Chande Momentum Oscillator and Standard Deviation.
• Fixed CMO Length Option: Users can choose whether to use a fixed CMO length of 9 or adjust the length to the user-defined pds value.
• Calculation Method: The indicator allows switching between using the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) or Standard Deviation (StDev) for the momentum calculation.
• Alpha: The smoothing factor used in the calculation of the MERCURYPRO value, which is based on the length of the period input (pds).
Core Calculation:
1. Momentum Calculation: The script calculates the momentum by determining the change in the source price (e.g., close) from one period to the next.
2. Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO): The positive and negative momentum components are calculated and then summed over the specified period. This value is normalized to a percentage to determine the momentum strength.
3. K Value Calculation: The script selects either the CMO or Standard Deviation (depending on the user setting) to calculate the k value, which represents the dynamic price momentum.
4. MERCURYPRO Line: The final output of the indicator, MERCURYPRO, is computed using a weighted average of the k value and the previous MERCURYPRO value. The line is smoothed using the Alpha parameter.
Plot and Signal Generation:
• Color Coding: The line is color-coded based on the direction of MERCURYPRO:
• Blue: The trend is bullish (MERCURYPRO is rising).
• Maroon: The trend is bearish (MERCURYPRO is falling).
• Default Blue: Neutral or sideways market conditions.
• Plotting: The MERCURYPRO line is plotted with varying colors depending on the trend direction.
Alerts:
• Color Change Alert: The indicator has an alert condition based on when the MERCURYPRO line crosses its previous value. This helps traders stay informed about potential trend reversals or continuation signals.
Use Case:
• Trend Confirmation: Traders can use the MERCURYPRO indicator to identify whether the market is in a strong trend or not.
• Signal for Entries/Exits: The color change and crossovers of the MERCURYPRO line can be used as entry or exit signals, depending on the trader’s strategy.
Overall Purpose:
The MERCURYPRO indicator combines momentum analysis with smoothing techniques to offer a dynamic, responsive tool for identifying market trends and potential reversals. It is particularly useful in conjunction with other technical indicators to provide confirmation for trade setups.
How to Use the MERCURYPRO Indicator:
The MERCURYPRO indicator is designed to help traders identify trend reversals and market conditions. Here are a few ways you can use it:
1. Trend Confirmation (Bullish or Bearish)
• Bullish Trend: When the MERCURYPRO line is colored Blue, it indicates a rising trend, suggesting that the market is bullish.
• Action: You can consider entering long positions when the line turns blue, or holding your existing positions if you’re already long.
• Bearish Trend: When the MERCURYPRO line is colored Maroon, it signals a downward trend, indicating a bearish market.
• Action: You may consider entering short positions or closing any long positions when the line turns maroon.
2. Trend Reversal Alerts
• Color Change: The MERCURYPRO indicator changes color when there’s a trend reversal. The alert condition triggers when the MERCURYPRO crosses above or below its previous value, signaling a potential shift in the trend.
• Action: You can use this alert as a signal to monitor potential entry or exit points for trades. For example, a crossover from maroon to blue could indicate a potential buying opportunity, while a crossover from blue to maroon could suggest a selling opportunity.
3. Use with Other Indicators for Confirmation
• While the MERCURYPRO provides valuable trend insights, it’s often more effective when used in combination with other indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD, or moving averages to confirm signals.
• Example: If MERCURYPRO turns blue and RSI is above 50, it may signal a strong bullish trend, enhancing the confidence to enter a long trade.
4. Divergence
• Watch for divergence between the MERCURYPRO line and the price chart:
• Bullish Divergence: If the price makes new lows while MERCURYPRO is showing higher lows, it suggests a potential bullish reversal.
• Bearish Divergence: If the price makes new highs while MERCURYPRO is showing lower highs, it suggests a potential bearish reversal.
Example of Use:
• Example 1: If the MERCURYPRO line changes from maroon to blue, you might enter a long position. After the MERCURYPRO line turns blue, use an alert to monitor the price action. If other indicators (like RSI) also suggest strength, your confidence in the trade will increase.
• Example 2: If the MERCURYPRO line shifts from blue to maroon, it could be a signal to close long positions and consider shorting the market if other conditions align (e.g., moving averages also turn bearish).
Warning for Using the MERCURYPRO Indicator:
1. Lagging Indicator:
• The MERCURYPRO is a lagging indicator, meaning it responds to price changes after they have occurred. This may delay entry and exit signals, and it’s crucial to combine it with other leading indicators to get timely information.
2. False Signals in Range-bound Markets:
• In choppy or sideways markets, the MERCURYPRO line can produce false signals, flipping between blue and maroon frequently without showing a clear trend. It’s important to avoid trading based on these false signals when the market is not trending.
3. Overreliance on One Indicator:
• Relying solely on MERCURYPRO can be risky. Always confirm signals with additional tools like volume analysis, price action, or other indicators to increase the accuracy of your trades.
4. Market Conditions Matter:
• The indicator may work well in trending markets, but in highly volatile or news-driven environments, it may provide misleading signals. Ensure that you take market fundamentals and external news events into consideration before acting on the indicator’s signals.
5. Risk Management:
• As with any technical indicator, MERCURYPRO is not infallible. Always use appropriate risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders to protect your capital. Never risk more than you can afford to lose on a trade.
6. Backtest First:
• Before implementing MERCURYPRO in live trading, make sure to backtest it on historical data. Test the strategy with various market conditions to assess its effectiveness and identify any potential weaknesses.
By considering these guidelines and warnings, you can use the MERCURYPRO indicator more effectively and mitigate potential risks in your trading strategy.
Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation [QuantAlgo]Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation by QuantAlgo 📈✨
Introducing the Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation , a comprehensive trend-following indicator designed to combine the smoothness of an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with the volatility adjustments of Average True Range (ATR) and Standard Deviation. This synergy allows traders and investors to better identify market trends while accounting for volatility, delivering clearer signals in both trending and volatile market conditions. This indicator is suitable for traders and investors seeking to balance trend detection and volatility management, offering a robust and adaptable approach across various asset classes and timeframes.
💫 Core Concept and Innovation
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation brings together the trend-smoothing properties of the EMA and the volatility sensitivity of ATR and Standard Deviation. By using the EMA to track price movements over time, the indicator smooths out minor fluctuations while still providing valuable insights into overall market direction. However, market volatility can sometimes distort simple moving averages, so the ATR and Standard Deviation components dynamically adjust the trend signals, offering more nuanced insights into trend strength and reversals. This combination equips traders with a powerful tool to navigate unpredictable markets while minimizing false signals.
📊 Technical Breakdown and Calculations
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation relies on three key technical components:
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The EMA forms the base of the trend detection. Unlike a Simple Moving Average (SMA), the EMA gives more weight to recent price changes, allowing it to react more quickly to new data. Users can adjust the length of the EMA to make it more or less responsive to price movements.
2. Standard Deviation Bands: These bands are calculated from the standard deviation of the EMA and represent dynamic volatility thresholds. The upper and lower bands expand or contract based on recent price volatility, providing more accurate signals in both calm and volatile markets.
3. ATR-Based Volatility Filter: The Average True Range (ATR) is used to measure market volatility over a user-defined period. It helps refine the trend signals by filtering out false positives caused by minor price swings. The ATR filter ensures that the indicator only signals significant market movements.
⚙️ Step-by-Step Calculation:
1. EMA Calculation: First, the indicator calculates the EMA over a specified period based on the chosen price source (e.g., close, high, low).
2. Standard Deviation Bands: Then, it computes the standard deviation of the EMA and applies a multiplier to create upper and lower bands around the EMA. These bands adjust dynamically with the level of market volatility.
3. ATR Filtering: In addition to the standard deviation bands, the ATR is applied as a secondary filter to help refine the trend signals. This step helps eliminate signals generated by short-term price spikes or corrections, ensuring that the signals are more reliable.
4. Trend Detection: When the price crosses above the upper band, a bullish trend is identified, while a move below the lower band signals a bearish trend. The system accounts for both the standard deviation and ATR bands to generate these signals.
✅ Customizable Inputs and Features
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation provides a range of customizable options to fit various trading/investing styles:
📈 Trend Settings:
1. Price Source: Choose the price type (e.g., close, high, low) to base the EMA calculation on, influencing how the trend is tracked.
2. EMA Length: Adjust the length to control how quickly the EMA reacts to price changes. A shorter length provides a more responsive EMA, while a longer period smooths out short-term fluctuations.
🌊 Volatility Controls:
1. Standard Deviation Multiplier: This parameter controls the sensitivity of the trend detection by adjusting the distance between the upper and lower bands from the EMA.
2. TR Length and Multiplier: Fine-tune the ATR settings to control how volatility is filtered, adjusting the indicator’s responsiveness during high or low volatility phases.
🎨 Visualization and Alerts:
1. Bar Coloring: Select different colors for uptrends and downtrends, providing a clear visual cue when trends change.
2. Alerts: Set up alerts to notify you when the price crosses the upper or lower bands, signaling a potential long or short trend shift. Alerts can help you stay informed without constant chart monitoring.
📈 Practical Applications
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation is ideal for traders and investors looking to balance trend-following strategies with volatility management. Key uses include:
Detecting Trend Reversals: The dynamic bands help identify when the market shifts direction, providing clear signals when a trend reversal is likely.
Filtering Market Noise: By applying both Standard Deviation and ATR filtering, the indicator helps reduce false signals during periods of heightened volatility.
Volatility-Based Risk Management: The adaptability of the bands ensures that traders can manage risk more effectively by responding to shifts in volatility while keeping focus on long-term trends.
⭐️ Comprehensive Summary
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation is a highly customizable indicator that provides traders with clearer signals for trend detection and volatility management. By dynamically adjusting its calculations based on market conditions, it offers a powerful tool for navigating both trending and volatile markets. Whether you're looking to detect early trend reversals or avoid false signals during periods of high volatility, this indicator gives you the flexibility and accuracy to improve your trading and investing strategies.
Note: The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation is designed to enhance your market analysis but should not be relied upon as the sole basis for trading or investing decisions. Always combine it with other analytical tools and practices. No statements or signals from this indicator constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Options Series - P_SAR And Supertrend
The provided PineScript combines two well-known indicators—Parabolic SAR (P_SAR) and Supertrend—to create a comprehensive trading tool. Here are some powerful insights and the importance of this script:
⭐ 1. Supertrend Indicator:
What it does: The Supertrend indicator is based on the Average True Range (ATR) and is used to identify trend direction. When the price is above the Supertrend line, it suggests an uptrend, and when below, a downtrend.
Insights:
Trend Following: By adjusting the ATR length (atrPeriod) and the multiplier (factor), you can fine-tune the sensitivity of the Supertrend. A smaller ATR or factor results in more frequent trend changes, whereas larger values make the indicator more robust but slower to react.
Trend Visualization: The script highlights trends with the help of green and red lines, offering a clear visual cue for traders. The uptrend is filled with a translucent green and the downtrend with red, allowing quick identification of market momentum.
⭐ 2. Parabolic SAR (P_SAR):
What it does: The Parabolic SAR is a time/price-based indicator that helps identify potential reversals in the market. The dots (SAR) follow the price and move closer to it as the trend progresses.
Insights:
Trailing Stops: This is commonly used by traders to trail stop losses, as the SAR moves closer to price as the trend strengthens.
Combining with Supertrend: The SAR dots in this script act as an additional confirmation for trend direction. For instance, when the price is above both the SAR and Supertrend, it strongly suggests an uptrend.
⭐ 3. Bar Coloring Based on Trend Confirmation:
What it does: The script calculates conditions based on whether the price is above or below both the Supertrend and SAR values.
Insights:
Bullish/Bearish Confirmation: The combination of these two indicators provides a stronger confirmation of trend direction compared to using either one alone. For example:
Green Bars: If the price is above both the Supertrend and SAR, it signals a strong uptrend (bullish).
Red Bars: If the price is below both, it suggests a strong downtrend (bearish).
Visual Alerts: The candle colors are adjusted based on these conditions, providing a quick visual alert for traders to take action.
⭐ 4. Importance of Using Both Supertrend and P_SAR:
Multiple Confirmations: Combining the Supertrend and Parabolic SAR increases the accuracy of trend-following strategies. Each indicator has its strengths: Supertrend is good for identifying the overall trend, while the SAR excels at identifying potential reversals.
Risk Management: This script can help you not only identify trends but also manage your positions more effectively. The Parabolic SAR, for example, can serve as a dynamic stop-loss level, while the Supertrend can help you stay in trades longer by smoothing out noise in the market.
⭐ 5. Customizable Inputs:
Adaptability: The user can adjust the ATR period, factor, start, increment, and maximum values, tailoring the script to different market conditions and timeframes. This flexibility is essential, as each asset class or market may require different parameter settings.
⭐ 6. Practical Application in Trading:
Entry and Exit Signals: The script can be used to generate entry and exit signals. For instance:
Buy Signal: When the bar turns green (price is above Supertrend and SAR), it could be a signal to go long.
Sell Signal: When the bar turns red (price is below Supertrend and SAR), it could be a signal to go short or exit a long position.
Stop-Loss Placement: The Parabolic SAR dots can act as trailing stop-loss levels, helping traders lock in profits as trends progress.
Trend Continuation vs. Reversal: The Supertrend provides a broader view of the trend, while the Parabolic SAR provides pinpoint entry/exit signals for reversals.
🚀 Conclusion:
This script is a robust combination of trend-following and reversal indicators, making it a versatile tool for traders. The dual confirmation from Supertrend and Parabolic SAR reduces false signals, and the color-coded bars provide quick insights into market conditions. When used properly, this can greatly improve your ability to catch trends early, exit at the right moment, and manage risk effectively.
Lsma For Loop | viResearchLsma For Loop | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Lsma For Loop" indicator offers a unique combination of the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) with a dynamic scoring system based on a loop function. By comparing the current LSMA value with historical values over a user-defined range, this indicator generates a detailed score that helps detect trend strength and potential reversals. This approach provides traders with a more nuanced analysis of price action, allowing them to identify trends earlier and with more accuracy.
The LSMA, which minimizes lag compared to traditional moving averages, is ideal for detecting trends as it provides a smooth and quick-to-respond line. When combined with the loop-based scoring system, traders can benefit from a powerful tool for analyzing market momentum and capturing profitable trends.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Lsma For Loop" script features two essential components:
Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA): The LSMA is calculated over a user-defined length using a linear regression model. It provides a smooth line that follows price trends more closely, reducing the noise that is often present in simple moving averages.
For Loop Scoring System: This system evaluates the LSMA over a range of previous values, generating a score based on whether the current LSMA is higher or lower than its previous values within the specified range. The resulting score reflects the strength of the trend, with higher scores indicating a stronger uptrend and lower scores signaling a downtrend.
Key Calculations:
LSMA Calculation: The LSMA is derived from the closing price over the selected period (len), providing a smooth moving average that fits the price data closely.
For Loop Scoring:
The loop iterates over a range of previous LSMA values, comparing the current LSMA to each past value.
If the current LSMA is higher than a previous value, a positive score is added; if it is lower, a negative score is added. The sum of these comparisons forms the overall score.
Features and User Inputs
The "Lsma For Loop" script offers a range of customization options, allowing traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies and market conditions:
LSMA Length: Adjust the length of the LSMA, controlling the smoothness of the indicator and how quickly it reacts to price changes.
Loop Range (From and To): Define the range over which the for loop evaluates LSMA values. This provides flexibility in assessing momentum over different timeframes.
Thresholds: Customizable threshold levels are used to define when the score indicates an uptrend or downtrend. This allows traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to market movements.
Practical Applications
The "Lsma For Loop" is a versatile tool for traders who want to leverage the advantages of LSMA smoothing while gaining a more detailed view of trend strength. This indicator is particularly useful for:
Identifying Trend Reversals: The loop-based scoring system provides an early indication of potential trend reversals, allowing traders to react before major market movements.
Confirming Trend Strength: By evaluating the LSMA against a range of previous values, the script helps confirm whether a trend is strengthening or weakening.
Enhanced Market Positioning: The customizable range and thresholds enable traders to adapt the script to different market conditions, whether they are day trading or swing trading.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The primary advantage of the "Lsma For Loop" script lies in its ability to provide a more granular analysis of LSMA behavior through the use of the for loop. This dynamic approach reduces the likelihood of false signals and offers greater accuracy in detecting trends. The indicator’s versatility makes it a valuable tool for both short-term and long-term trading strategies.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes built-in alert conditions to notify traders of key trend changes:
Lsma For Loop Long: Indicates a potential upward trend when the score exceeds the upper threshold.
Lsma For Loop Short: Signals a potential downward trend when the score falls below the lower threshold.
Additionally, visual cues such as background color changes highlight when the score crosses certain key levels, providing an easy-to-read representation of market trends directly on the chart.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Lsma For Loop | viResearch" indicator provides traders with a powerful tool that combines LSMA smoothing with a dynamic loop-based scoring system for trend detection. Incorporating this script into your trading strategy can help improve trend identification and enhance decision-making around entries and exits. Whether you are trading in trending markets or looking for early reversal signals, this script offers a reliable and flexible solution.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Volume Orderbook (Expo)█ Overview
The Volume Orderbook indicator is a volume analysis tool that visually resembles an order book. It's used for displaying trading volume data in a way that may be easier to interpret or more intuitive for certain traders, especially those familiar with order book analysis.
This indicator aggregate and display the total trading volume at different price levels over the entire range of data available on the chart, similar to how an order book displays current buy and sell orders at different price levels. However, unlike a real-time order book, it only considers historical trading data, not current bid and ask orders. This provides a 'historical order book' of sorts, indicating where most trading activities have taken place.
Summary
This is a volume-based indicator that shows the volume traded at specific price levels, highlighting areas of high and low activity.
█ Calculations
The algorithm operates by calculating the cumulative volume traded in each specific price zone within the range of data displayed on the chart. The length of each horizontal bar corresponds to the total volume of trades that occurred within that particular price zone.
In essence, when the price is in a specific zone, the volume is added to the bar representing that zone. A thicker bar implies a larger price zone, meaning that more volume is accumulated within that bar. Therefore, the thickness of the bar visually indicates the amount of trading activity that took place within the associated price zone.
█ How to use
The Volume Orderbook indicator serves as a beneficial tool for traders by identifying key price levels with a significant amount of trading activity. These high-volume areas could represent potential support or resistance levels due to the large number of orders situated there. The indicator's ability to spotlight these zones might be particularly advantageous in pinpointing breakouts or breakdowns when prices move beyond these high-volume regions. Moreover, the indicator could also assist traders in recognizing anomalies, such as when an unusually large volume of trades occurs at unconventional price levels.
Identify Key Price Levels: The indicator highlights high-volume areas where a significant number of trades have occurred, which could act as potential support or resistance levels. This is based on the notion that many traders have established positions at these prices, so these levels may serve as significant areas for market activity in the future.
Volume Nodes: These are the peaks (high-volume areas) and troughs (low-volume areas) seen on the indicator. High-volume nodes represent price levels at which a large amount of volume has been traded, typically areas of strong support or resistance. Conversely, low-volume nodes, where very little volume has been traded, indicate price levels that traders have shown little interest in the past and could potentially act as barriers to price. It's important to note that while high trading volume can imply significant market interest, it doesn't always mean the price will stop or reverse at these levels. Sometimes, prices can quickly move through high-volume areas if there are no current orders (demand) to match with the new orders (supply).
Analyze Market Psychology: The distribution of volume across different price levels can provide insights into the market's psychology, revealing the balance of power between buyers and sellers.
Highlight Potential Reversal Points: The indicator can help identify price levels with high traded volume where the market might be more likely to reverse since these levels have previously attracted significant interest from traders.
Validate Breakouts or Breakdowns: If the price moves convincingly past a high-volume node, it could indicate a strong trend, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown. Conversely, if the price struggles to move past a high-volume node, it could suggest that the trend is weak and might potentially reverse.
Trade Reversals: High-volume areas could also indicate potential turning points in the market. If the price reaches these levels and then starts to move away, it might suggest a possible price reversal.
Confirm Other Signals: As with all technical indicators, the "Volume Orderbook" should ideally be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis to confirm signals and increase the odds of successful trades.
Summary
The Volume Orderbook indicator allows traders to identify key price levels, analyze market psychology, highlight potential reversal points, validate breakouts or breakdowns, confirm other trading signals, and anticipate possible trade reversals, thereby serving as a robust tool for trading analysis.
█ Settings
Source: The user can select the source, the default of which is "close." This implies that volume is added to the volume order book when the closing price falls within a specific zone. Users can modify this to any indicator present on their chart. For example, if it's set to an SMA (Simple Moving Average) of 20, the volume will be added to the volume order book when the SMA 20 falls within the specific zone.
Rows and width: These settings allow users to adjust the representation of volume order book zones. "ROWS" pertains to the number of volume order book zones displayed, while "WIDTH" refers to the breadth of each zone.
Table and Grid: These settings allow traders to customize the Volume order-book's position and appearance. By adjusting the "left" parameter, users can shift the position of the Volume order book on the chart; a higher value pushes the order book further to the right. Additionally, users can enable "Table Border" and "Table Grid" options to add gridlines or borders to the Volume order book for easier viewing and interpretation.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Body Percentage of Range (Colored)Short Description:
This indicator measures the dominance of the candle's body relative to its total range (High - Low), providing a visual gauge of intra-candle strength versus indecision. Columns are colored based on whether the body constitutes more or less than a defined percentage (default 50%) of the candle's total height.
Detailed Description:
What it Does:
The "Body Percentage of Range" indicator calculates, for each candle, what percentage of the total price range (High minus Low) is occupied by the candle's body (absolute difference between Open and Close).
A value of 100% means the candle has no wicks (a Marubozu), indicating strong conviction during that period.
A value of 0% means the candle has no body (a Doji), indicating perfect indecision.
Values in between show the relative balance between the directional move (body) and the price exploration/rejection (wicks).
How to Interpret:
The indicator plots this percentage as columns:
Column Height: Represents the percentage of the body relative to the total range. Higher columns indicate a larger body dominance.
Column Color:
Green Columns: Appear when the body percentage is above the user-defined threshold (default 50%). This suggests that the directional move within the candle was stronger than the indecision (wicks). Often seen during trending moves or strong momentum candles.
Red Columns: Appear when the body percentage is at or below the user-defined threshold (default 50%). This suggests that wicks dominate the candle (body is 50% or less of the range), indicating significant indecision, struggle between buyers and sellers, or potential reversals. These are common in choppy, consolidating, or reversal market conditions.
Orange Line (Optional MA): A Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the body percentages is plotted to help smooth the readings and identify broader periods where candle structure indicates more trending (high MA) vs. ranging/indecisive (low MA) characteristics.
Potential Use Cases:
Identifying Choppy vs. Trending Markets: Sustained periods of low, predominantly red columns (and often a low/declining MA) can signal a choppy, range-bound market where trend-following strategies might underperform. Conversely, periods with frequent high, green columns suggest a more trending environment.
Confirming Breakouts/Momentum: High green columns appearing alongside increased volume during a breakout can add conviction to the move's strength.
Spotting Potential Exhaustion/Reversals: A very tall green column after a strong trend, followed immediately by a low red column (like a Doji or Spinning Top pattern appearing on the price chart), might signal potential exhaustion or a pending reversal, indicating indecision has suddenly entered the market.
Filtering Entries: Traders might avoid taking entries (especially trend-following ones) when the indicator shows a consistent pattern of low red columns, suggesting high market indecision.
Settings:
Color Threshold %: Allows you to set the percentage level above which columns turn green (default is 50%).
Smoothing MA Length: Adjusts the lookback period for the Simple Moving Average.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and should be used in conjunction with other methods (like price action, volume analysis, other indicators) and robust risk management. It does not provide direct buy/sell signals and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gradient Trend Filter STRATEGY [ChartPrime/PineIndicators]This strategy is based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator developed by ChartPrime. Full credit for the concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is designed to execute trades based on the trend analysis and filtering system provided by the Gradient Trend Filter indicator. It integrates a noise-filtered trend detection system with a color-gradient visualization, helping traders identify trend strength, momentum shifts, and potential reversals.
How the Gradient Trend Filter Strategy Works
1. Noise Filtering for Smoother Trends
To reduce false signals caused by market noise, the strategy applies a three-stage smoothing function to the source price. This function ensures that trend shifts are detected more accurately, minimizing unnecessary trade entries and exits.
The filter is based on an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)-style smoothing technique.
It processes price data in three successive passes, refining the trend signal before generating trade entries.
This filtering technique helps eliminate minor fluctuations and highlights the true underlying trend.
2. Multi-Layered Trend Bands & Color-Based Trend Visualization
The Gradient Trend Filter constructs multiple trend bands around the filtered trend line, acting as dynamic support and resistance zones.
The mid-line changes color based on the trend direction:
Green for uptrends
Red for downtrends
A gradient cloud is formed around the trend line, dynamically shifting colors to provide early warning signals of trend reversals.
The outer bands function as potential support and resistance, helping traders determine stop-loss and take-profit zones.
Visualization elements used in this strategy:
Trend Filter Line → Changes color between green (bullish) and red (bearish).
Trend Cloud → Dynamically adjusts color based on trend strength.
Orange Markers → Appear when a trend shift is confirmed.
Trade Entry & Exit Conditions
This strategy automatically enters trades based on confirmed trend shifts detected by the Gradient Trend Filter.
1. Trade Entry Rules
Long Entry:
A bullish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to green).
The filtered trend value crosses above zero, confirming upward momentum.
The strategy enters a long position.
Short Entry:
A bearish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to red).
The filtered trend value crosses below zero, confirming downward momentum.
The strategy enters a short position.
2. Trade Exit Rules
Closing a Long Position:
If a bearish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the long position.
Closing a Short Position:
If a bullish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the short position.
The trend shift markers (orange diamonds) act as a confirmation signal, reinforcing the validity of trade entries and exits.
Customization Options
This strategy allows traders to adjust key parameters for flexibility in different market conditions:
Trade Direction: Choose between Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short .
Trend Length: Modify the length of the smoothing function to adapt to different timeframes.
Line Width & Colors: Customize the visual appearance of trend lines and cloud colors.
Performance Table: Enable or disable the equity performance table that tracks historical trade results.
Performance Tracking & Reporting
A built-in performance table is included to monitor monthly and yearly trading performance.
The table calculates monthly percentage returns, displaying them in a structured format.
Color-coded values highlight profitable months (blue) and losing months (red).
Tracks yearly cumulative performance to assess long-term strategy effectiveness.
Traders can use this feature to evaluate historical performance trends and optimize their strategy settings accordingly.
How to Use This Strategy
Identify Trend Strength & Reversals:
Use the trend line and cloud color changes to assess trend strength and detect potential reversals.
Monitor Momentum Shifts:
Pay attention to gradient cloud color shifts, as they often appear before the trend line changes color.
This can indicate early momentum weakening or strengthening.
Act on Trend Shift Markers:
Use orange diamonds as confirmation signals for trend shifts and trade entry/exit points.
Utilize Cloud Bands as Support/Resistance:
The outer bands of the cloud serve as dynamic support and resistance, helping with stop-loss and take-profit placement.
Considerations & Limitations
Trend Lag: Since the strategy applies a smoothing function, entries may be slightly delayed compared to raw price action.
Volatile Market Conditions: In high-volatility markets, trend shifts may occur more frequently, leading to higher trade frequency.
Optimized for Trend Trading: This strategy is best suited for trending markets and may produce false signals in sideways (ranging) conditions.
Conclusion
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is a trend-following system based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator by ChartPrime. It integrates noise filtering, trend visualization, and gradient-based color shifts to help traders identify strong market trends and potential reversals.
By combining trend filtering with a multi-layered cloud system, the strategy provides clear trade signals while minimizing noise. Traders can use this strategy for long-term trend trading, momentum shifts, and support/resistance-based decision-making.
This strategy is a fully automated system that allows traders to execute long, short, or both directions, with customizable settings to adapt to different market conditions.
Credit for the original concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
Neural Pulse System [Alpha Extract]Neural Pulse System (NPS)
The Neural Pulse System (NPS) is a custom technical indicator that analyzes price action through a probabilistic lens, offering a dynamic view of bullish and bearish tendencies.
Unlike traditional binary classification models, NPS employs Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression with dynamically computed coefficients to produce a smooth probability output ranging from -1 to 1.
Paired with ATR-based bands, this indicator provides an intuitive and volatility-aware approach to trend analysis.
🔶 CALCULATION
The Neural Pulse System utilizes OLS regression to compute probabilities of bullish or bearish price action while incorporating ATR-based bands for volatility context:
Dynamic Coefficients: Coefficients are recalculated in real-time and scaled up to ensure the regression adapts to evolving market conditions.
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS): Uses OLS regression instead of gradient descent for more precise and efficient coefficient estimation.
ATR Bands: Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) bands serve as dynamic boundaries, framing the regression within market volatility.
Probability Output: Instead of a binary result, the output is a continuous probability curve (-1 to 1), helping traders gauge the strength of bullish or bearish momentum.
Formula:
OLS Regression = Line of best fit minimizing squared errors
Probability Signal = Transformed regression output scaled to -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands = Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) to frame price movements within market volatility
🔶 DETAILS
📊 Visual Features:
Probability Curve: Smooth probability signal ranging from -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands: Price action is constrained within volatility bands, preventing extreme deviations
Color-Coded Signals:
Blue to Green: Increasing probability of bullish momentum
Orange to Red: Increasing probability of bearish momentum
Interpretation:
Bullish Bias: Probability output consistently above 0 suggests a bullish trend.
Bearish Bias: Probability output consistently below 0 indicates bearish pressure.
Reversals: Extreme values near -1 or 1, followed by a move toward 0, may signal potential trend reversals.
🔶 EXAMPLES
📌 Trend Identification: Use the probability output to gauge trend direction.
📌Example: On a 1-hour chart, NPS moves from -0.5 to 0.8 as price breaks resistance, signaling a bullish trend.
Reversal Signals: Watch for probability extremes near -1 or 1 followed by a reversal toward 0.
Example: NPS hits 0.9, price touches the upper ATR band, then both retreat—indicating a potential pullback.
📌 Example snapshots:
Volatility Context: ATR bands help assess whether price action aligns with typical market conditions.
Example: During low volatility, the probability signal hovers near 0, and ATR bands tighten, suggesting a potential breakout.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
ATR Period – Defines lookback length for ATR calculation (shorter = more responsive, longer = smoother).
ATR Multiplier – Adjusts band width for better volatility capture.
Regression Length – Controls how many bars feed into the coefficient calculation (longer = smoother, shorter = more reactive).
Scaling Factor – Adjusts the strength of regression coefficients.
Output Smoothing – Option to apply a moving average for a cleaner probability curve
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Uptrick Signal Density Cloud🟪 Introduction
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud is designed to track market direction and highlight potential reversals or shifts in momentum. It plots two smoothed lines on the chart and fills the space between them (often called a “cloud”). The bars on the chart change color depending on bullish or bearish conditions, and small triangles appear when certain reversal criteria are met. A metrics table displays real-time values for easy reference.
🟩 Why These Features Have Been Linked Together
1) Dual-Line Structure
Two separate lines represent shorter- and longer-term market tendencies. Linking them in one tool allows traders to view both near-term changes and the broader directional bias in a single glance.
2) Smoothed Averages
The script offers multiple smoothing methods—exponential, simple, hull, and an optimized approach—to reduce noise. Using more than one type of moving average can help balance responsiveness with stability.
3) Density Cloud Concept
Shading the region between the two lines highlights the gap or “thickness.” A wider gap typically signals stronger momentum, while a narrower gap could indicate a weakening trend or potential market indecision. When the cloud is too wide and crosses a certain threshold defined by the user, it indicates a possible reversal. When the cloud is too narrow it may indicate a potential breakout.
🟪 Why Use This Indicator
• Trend Visibility: The color-coded lines and bars make it easier to distinguish bullish from bearish conditions.
• Momentum Tracking: Thicker cloud regions suggest stronger separation between the faster and slower lines, potentially indicating robust momentum.
• Possible Reversal Alerts: Small triangles appear within thick zones when the indicator detects a crossover, drawing attention to key moments of potential trend change.
• Quick Reference Table: A metrics table shows line values, bullish or bearish status, and cloud thickness without needing to hover over chart elements.
🟩 Inputs
1) First Smoothing Length (length1)
Default: 14
Defines the lookback period for the faster line. Lower values make the line respond more quickly to price changes.
2) Second Smoothing Length (length2)
Default: 28
Defines the lookback period for the slower line or one of the moving averages in optimized mode. It generally responds more slowly than the faster line.
3) Extra Smoothing Length (extraLength)
Default: 50
A medium-term period commonly seen in technical analysis. In optimized mode, it helps add broader perspective to the combined lines.
4) Source (source)
Default: close
Specifies the price data (for example, open, high, low, or a custom source) used in the calculations.
5) Cloud Type (cloudType)
Options: Optimized, EMA, SMA, HMA
Determines the smoothing method used for the lines. “Optimized” blends multiple exponential averages at different lengths.
6) Cloud Thickness Threshold (thicknessThreshold)
Default: 0.5
Sets the minimum separation between the two lines to qualify as a “thick” zone, indicating potentially stronger momentum.
🟪 Core Components
1) Faster and Slower Lines
Each line is smoothed according to user preferences or the optimized technique. The faster line typically reacts more quickly, while the slower line provides a broader overview.
2) Filled Density Cloud
The space between the two lines is filled to visualize in which direction the market is trending.
3) Color-Coded Bars
Price bars adopt bullish or bearish colors based on which line is on top, providing an immediate sense of trend direction.
4) Reversal Triangles
When the cloud is thick (exceeding the threshold) and the lines cross in the opposite direction, small triangles appear, signaling a possible market shift.
5) Metrics Table
A compact table shows the current values of both lines, their bullish/bearish statuses, the cloud thickness, and whether the cloud is in a “reversal zone.”
🟩 Calculation Process
1) Raw Averages
Depending on the mode, standard exponential, simple, hull, or “optimized” exponential blends are calculated.
2) Optimized Averages (if selected)
The faster line is the average of three exponential moving averages using length1, length2, and extraLength.
The slower line similarly uses those same lengths multiplied by 1.5, then averages them together for broader smoothing.
3) Difference and Threshold
The absolute gap between the two lines is measured. When it exceeds thicknessThreshold, the cloud is considered thick.
4) Bullish or Bearish Determination
If sma1 (the faster line) is above sma2 (the slower line), conditions are deemed bullish; otherwise, they are bearish. This distinction is reflected in both bar colors and cloud shading.
5) Reversal Markers
In thick zones, a crossover triggers a triangle at the point of potential reversal, alerting traders to a possible trend change.
🟪 Smoothing Methods
1) Exponential (EMA)
Prioritizes recent data for quicker responsiveness.
2) Simple (SMA)
Takes a straightforward average of the chosen period, smoothing price action but often lagging more in volatile markets.
3) Hull (HMA)
Employs a specialized formula to reduce lag while maintaining smoothness.
4) Optimized (Blended Exponential)
Combines multiple EMA calculations to strike a balance between responsiveness and noise reduction.
🟩 Cloud Logic and Reversal Zones
Cloud thickness above the defined threshold typically signals exceeding momentum and can lead to a quick reversal. During these thick periods, if the width exceeds the defined threshold, small triangles mark potential reversal points. In order for the reversal shape to show, the color of the cloud has to be the opposite. So, for example, if the cloud is bearish, and exceeds momentum, defined by the user, a bullish signal appears. The opposite conditions for a bullish signal. This approach can help traders focus on notable changes rather than minor oscillations.
🟪 Bar Coloring and Layered Lines
Bars take on bullish or bearish tints, matching the faster line’s position relative to the slower line. The lines themselves are plotted multiple times with varying opacities, creating a layered, glowing look that enhances visibility without affecting calculations.
🟩 The Metrics Table
Located in the top-right corner of the chart, this table displays:
• SMA1 and SMA2 current values.
• Bullish or bearish alignment for each line.
• Cloud thickness.
• Reversal zone status (in or out of zone).
This numeric readout allows for a quick data check without hovering over the chart.
🟪 Why These Specific Moving Average Lengths Are Used
Default lengths of 14, 28, and 50 are common in technical analysis. Fourteen captures near-term price movement without overreacting. Twenty-eight, roughly double 14, provides a moderate smoothing level. Fifty is widely regarded as a medium-term benchmark. Multiplying each length by 1.5 for the slower line enhances separation when combined with the faster line.
🟩 Originality and Usefulness
• Multi-Layered Smoothing. The user can select from several moving average modes, including a unique “optimized” blend, possibly reducing random fluctuations in the market data.
• Combined Visual and Numeric Clarity. Bars, clouds, and a real-time table merge into a single interface, enabling efficient trend analysis.
• Focus on Significant Shifts. Thick cloud zones and triangles draw attention to potentially stronger momentum changes and plausible reversals.
• Flexible Across Markets. The adjustable lengths and threshold can be tuned to different asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto) and timeframes.
By integrating multiple technical concepts—cloud-based trend detection, color coding, reversal markers, and an immediate reference table—the Uptrick Signal Density Cloud aims to streamline chart reading and decision-making.
🟪 Additional Considerations
• Timeframes. Intraday, daily, and weekly charts each yield different signals. Adjust the smoothing lengths and threshold to suit specific trading horizons.
• Market Types. Though applicable across asset classes, parameters might need tweaking to address the volatility of commodities, forex pairs, or cryptocurrencies.
• Confirmation Tools. Pairing this indicator with volume studies or support/resistance analysis can improve the reliability of signals.
• Potential Limitations. No indicator is foolproof; sudden market shifts or choppy conditions may reduce accuracy. Cautious position sizing and risk management remain essential.
🟩 Disclaimers
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud relies on historical price data and may lag sudden moves or provide false positives in ranging conditions. Always combine it with other analytical techniques and sound risk management. This script is offered for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
🟪 Conclusion
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud blends trend identification, momentum assessment, and potential reversal alerts in a single, user-friendly tool. With customizable smoothing methods and a focus on cloud thickness, it visually highlights important market conditions. While it cannot guarantee predictive accuracy, it can serve as a comprehensive reference for traders seeking both a quick snapshot of the current trend and deeper insights into market dynamics.
Salience Theory Crypto Returns (AiBitcoinTrend)The Salience Theory Crypto Returns Indicator is a sophisticated tool rooted in behavioral finance, designed to identify trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency market. Based on research by Bordalo et al. (2012) and extended by Cai and Zhao (2022), it leverages salience theory—the tendency of investors, particularly retail traders, to overemphasize standout returns.
In the crypto market, dominated by sentiment-driven retail investors, salience effects are amplified. Attention disproportionately focused on certain cryptocurrencies often leads to temporary price surges, followed by reversals as the market stabilizes. This indicator quantifies these effects using a relative return salience measure, enabling traders to capitalize on price reversals and trends, offering a clear edge in navigating the volatile crypto landscape.
👽 How the Indicator Works
Salience Measure Calculation :
👾 The indicator calculates how much each cryptocurrency's return deviates from the average return of all cryptos over the selected ranking period (e.g., 21 days).
👾 This deviation is the salience measure.
👾 The more a return stands out (salient outcome), the higher the salience measure.
Ranking:
👾 Cryptos are ranked in ascending order based on their salience measures.
👾 Rank 1 (lowest salience) means the crypto is closer to the average return and is more predictable.
👾 Higher ranks indicate greater deviation and unpredictability.
Color Interpretation:
👾 Green: Low salience (closer to average) – Trending or Predictable.
👾 Red/Orange: High salience (far from average) – Overpriced/Unpredictable.
👾 Text Gradient (Teal to Light Blue): Helps visualize potential opportunities for mean reversion trades (i.e., cryptos that may return to equilibrium).
👽 Core Features
Salience Measure Calculation
The indicator calculates the salience measure for each cryptocurrency by evaluating how much its return deviates from the average market return over a user-defined ranking period. This measure helps identify which assets are trending predictably and which are likely to experience a reversal.
Dynamic Ranking System
Cryptocurrencies are dynamically ranked based on their salience measures. The ranking helps differentiate between:
Low Salience Cryptos (Green): These are trending or predictable assets.
High Salience Cryptos (Red): These are overpriced or deviating significantly from the average, signaling potential reversals.
👽 Deep Dive into the Core Mathematics
Salience Theory in Action
Salience theory explains how investors, particularly in the crypto market, tend to prefer assets with standout returns (salient outcomes). This behavior often leads to overpricing of assets with high positive returns and underpricing of those with standout negative returns. The indicator captures these deviations to anticipate mean reversions or trend continuations.
Salience Measure Calculation
// Calculate the average return
avgReturn = array.avg(returns)
// Calculate salience measure for each symbol
salienceMeasures = array.new_float()
for i = 0 to array.size(returns) - 1
ret = array.get(returns, i)
salienceMeasure = math.abs(ret - avgReturn) / (math.abs(ret) + math.abs(avgReturn) + 0.1)
array.push(salienceMeasures, salienceMeasure)
Dynamic Ranking
Cryptos are ranked in ascending order based on their salience measures:
Low Ranks: Cryptos with low salience (predictable, trending).
High Ranks: Cryptos with high salience (unpredictable, likely to revert).
👽 Applications
👾 Trend Identification
Identify cryptocurrencies that are currently trending with low salience measures (green). These assets are likely to continue their current direction, making them good candidates for trend-following strategies.
👾 Mean Reversion Trading
Cryptos with high salience measures (red to light blue) may be poised for a mean reversion. These assets are likely to correct back towards the market average.
👾 Reversal Signals
Anticipate potential reversals by focusing on high-ranked cryptos (red). These assets exhibit significant deviation and are prone to price corrections.
👽 Why It Works in Crypto
The cryptocurrency market is dominated by retail investors prone to sentiment-driven behavior. This leads to exaggerated price movements, making the salience effect a powerful predictor of reversals.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Ranking Period : Number of bars used to calculate the average return and salience measure.
Higher Values: Smooth out short-term volatility.
Lower Values: Make the ranking more sensitive to recent price movements.
👾 Number of Quantiles : Divide ranked assets into quantile groups (e.g., quintiles).
Higher Values: More detailed segmentation (deciles, percentiles).
Lower Values: Broader grouping (quintiles, quartiles).
👾 Portfolio Percentage : Percentage of the portfolio allocated to each selected asset.
Enter a percentage (e.g., 20 for 20%), automatically converted to a decimal (e.g., 0.20).
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy leverages the combination of Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator(AC), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Acceleration/Deceleration shall create one of two types of long signals (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created long signal.
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one long signal, another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about Acceleration/Deceleration signals. AC indicator is calculated using the Awesome Oscillator, so let's first of all briefly explain what is Awesome Oscillator and how it can be calculated. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO), where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now we can explain which AC signal types are used in this strategy. The first type of long signal is when AC value is below zero line. In this cases we need to see three rising bars on the histogram in a row after the falling one. The second type of signals occurs above the zero line. There we need only two rising AC bars in a row after the falling one to create the signal. The signal bar is the last green bar in this sequence. The strategy places the buy stop order one tick above the candle's high, which corresponds to the signal bar on AC indicator.
After that we can have the following scenarios:
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower high. If current AC bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AC bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next AC signal.
If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. All open trades are closed when the trend shifts to a downtrend, as determined by the combination of the Alligator and Fractals described earlier.
Why we use AC signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC bars after period of falling AC bars indicates the high probability of local pull back end and there is a high chance to open long trade in the direction of the most likely main uptrend. The numbers of rising bars are different for the different AC values (below or above zero line). This is needed because if AC below zero line the local downtrend is likely to be stronger and needs more rising bars to confirm that it has been changed than if AC is above zero.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next AC signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.15%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.57%
Net Profit: +2108.85 USDT (+21.09%)
Total Trades: 111 (36.94% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.391
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 367.61 USDT (-2.97%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.00 USDT (+1.78%)
Average Trade Duration: 75 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Easy CotHow to Use the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report for Market Analysis
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that breaks down the open interest in various futures markets. It categorizes traders into three main groups: Commercials, Non-Commercials, and Retail Traders (Non-Reportable positions). Understanding and analyzing the COT report can provide insights into market sentiment and potential reversals, especially in commodity, currency, and stock index futures.
Key Components of the COT Report
Commercials (Hedgers)
These are entities involved in the production or consumption of the underlying asset. For example, oil producers might hedge by selling oil futures to lock in prices, while airlines might buy futures to hedge against rising prices.
Commercials typically act as hedgers, so their positions can indicate the need for protection rather than speculative intent. Because they are less price-sensitive, their positions are usually opposite to the trend near market reversals.
Non-Commercials (Large Speculators)
This group includes hedge funds, asset managers, and large traders who take speculative positions to profit from price movements.
Non-Commercials are often trend-followers, meaning they increase long positions in an uptrend and short positions in a downtrend. When Non-Commercials become extremely bullish or bearish, it may signal a potential market reversal.
Retail Traders (Non-Reportable Positions)
These are smaller individual traders whose positions are too small to be reported individually.
Retail traders tend to be less experienced and are often on the wrong side of major market moves, so extreme positions by retail traders can sometimes signal a market turning point.
How to Interpret the COT Data
1. Identify Extreme Positions
Extreme Long or Short Positions: When a group reaches a historically extreme level of long or short positions, it often signals a potential reversal. For instance, if Non-Commercials are overwhelmingly long, it may indicate that the uptrend is overextended, and a reversal could be near.
Contrarian Indicator: Since Retail Traders are often on the wrong side, you may look for signals where they are extremely long or short, indicating a possible reversal in the opposite direction.
2. Look for Divergences
Divergence Between Groups: If Non-Commercials (speculators) and Retail Traders are moving in opposite directions, it could indicate that a trend is losing momentum and a reversal is possible.
Commercials vs. Non-Commercials: Commercials are often positioned opposite to Non-Commercials. If there’s a divergence where Non-Commercials are highly bullish, but Commercials are increasingly bearish, it might suggest a coming reversal.
3. Trend Confirmation and Reversal Signals
Trend Confirmation: If both Non-Commercials and Retail Traders are aligned in one direction, it might confirm the trend. However, keep in mind that such alignment may signal the later stages of a trend.
Reversal Signals: Look for signs when Non-Commercials are reaching a peak in one direction while Retail Traders peak in the opposite. Such situations can often indicate that the current trend is close to exhaustion.
Using the COT Report in Trading Strategies
Contrarian Trading Strategy
Extreme Positions as Reversal Signals: Use COT data to identify extreme positions. For instance, if Non-Commercials have a very high long position in a commodity, it might suggest that a bullish trend is overextended and a bearish reversal could be near.
Retail Trader Extremes: If Retail Traders are heavily long or short, consider taking the opposite position once you have additional confirmation signals (e.g., technical indicators).
Following the Trend with Large Speculators
Non-Commercials tend to be trend-followers, so if you see them increasingly long (or short) on an asset, it could be a signal to follow the trend until extreme levels are reached.
Using Divergences for Entry and Exit Points
Entry: If Non-Commercials are long, but Retail Traders are heavily short, consider entering a long position as it may confirm the trend.
Exit: If Non-Commercials begin to reduce their positions while Retail Traders increase theirs, it might be time to consider exiting, as the trend could be losing momentum.
$TUBR: 7-25-99 Moving Average7, 25, and 99 Period Moving Averages
This indicator plots three moving averages: the 7-period, 25-period, and 99-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA). These moving averages are widely used to smooth out price action and help traders identify trends over different time frames. Let's break down the significance of these specific moving averages from both supply and demand perspectives and a price action perspective.
1. Supply and Demand Perspective:
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term) :
The 7-period moving average represents the short-term sentiment in the market. It captures the rapid fluctuations in price and is heavily influenced by recent supply and demand changes. Traders often look to the 7-period SMA for immediate price momentum, with price moving above or below this line signaling short-term strength or weakness.
- Bullish Supply/Demand : When price is above the 7-period SMA, it suggests that buyers are currently in control and demand is higher than supply. Conversely, price falling below this line indicates that supply is overpowering demand, leading to a short-term downtrend.
Is current price > average price in past 7 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in short term.
- Key Supply/Demand Zones : The 7-period SMA often acts as dynamic support or resistance in a trending market, where traders might use it to enter or exit positions based on how price interacts with this level.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term) :
The 25-period SMA smooths out more of the noise compared to the 7-period, providing a more stable indication of intermediate trends. This moving average is often used to gauge the market's supply and demand balance over a broader timeframe than the short-term 7-period SMA.
- Supply/Demand Balance : The 25-period SMA reflects the medium-term equilibrium between supply and demand. A crossover between the price and the 25-period SMA may indicate a shift in this balance. When price sustains above the 25-period SMA, it shows that demand is strong enough to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, if the price stays below it, supply is likely exceeding demand.
Is current price > average price in past 25 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in mid term.
- Momentum Shift : Crossovers between the 7-period and 25-period SMAs can indicate momentum shifts between short-term and medium-term demand. For example, if the 7-period crosses above the 25-period, it often signifies growing short-term demand relative to the medium-term trend, signaling potential buy opportunities. What this crossover means is that if 7MA > 25MA that means in past 7 candles average price is more than past 25 candles.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term):
The 99-period SMA represents the long-term trend and reflects the market's supply and demand over an extended period. This moving average filters out short-term fluctuations and highlights the market's overall trajectory.
- Long-Term Supply/Demand Dynamics : The 99-period SMA is slower to react to changes in supply and demand, providing a more stable view of the market's overall trend. Price staying above this line shows sustained demand dominance, while price consistently staying below reflects ongoing supply pressure.
Is current price > average price in past 99 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in long term.
- Market Trend Confirmation : When both the 7-period and 25-period SMAs are above the 99-period SMA, it signals a strong bullish trend with demand outweighing supply across all timeframes. If all three SMAs are below the 99-period SMA, it points to a bear market where supply is overpowering demand in both the short and long term.
2. Price Action Perspective :
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term Trends):
The 7-period moving average closely tracks price action, making it highly responsive to quick shifts in price. Traders often use it to confirm short-term reversals or continuations in price action. In an uptrend, price typically stays above the 7-period SMA, whereas in a downtrend, price stays below it.
- Short-Term Price Reversals : Crossovers between the price and the 7-period SMA often indicate short-term reversals. When price breaks above the 7-period SMA after staying below it, it suggests a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a price breakdown below the 7-period SMA could signal a bearish reversal.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term Trends) :
The 25-period SMA helps identify the medium-term price action trend. It balances short-term volatility and longer-term stability, providing insight into the more persistent trend. Price pullbacks to the 25-period SMA during an uptrend can act as a buying opportunity for trend traders, while pullbacks during a downtrend may offer shorting opportunities.
- Pullback and Continuation: In trending markets, price often retraces to the 25-period SMA before continuing in the direction of the trend. For instance, if the price is in a bullish trend, traders may look for support at the 25-period SMA for potential continuation trades.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term Trend and Market Sentiment ):
The 99-period SMA is the most critical for identifying the overall market trend. Price consistently trading above the 99-period SMA indicates long-term bullish momentum, while price staying below the 99-period SMA suggests bearish sentiment.
- Trend Confirmation : Price action above the 99-period SMA confirms long-term upward momentum, while price action below it confirms a downtrend. The space between the shorter moving averages (7 and 25) and the 99-period SMA gives a sense of the strength or weakness of the trend. Larger gaps between the 7 and 99 SMAs suggest strong bullish momentum, while close proximity indicates consolidation or potential reversals.
- Price Action in Trending Markets : Traders often use the 99-period SMA as a dynamic support/resistance level. In strong trends, price tends to stay on one side of the 99-period SMA for extended periods, with breaks above or below signaling major changes in market sentiment.
Why These Numbers Matter:
7-Period MA : The 7-period moving average is a popular choice among short-term traders who want to capture quick momentum changes. It helps visualize immediate market sentiment and is often used in conjunction with price action to time entries or exits.
- 25-Period MA: The 25-period MA is a key indicator for swing traders. It balances sensitivity and stability, providing a clearer picture of the intermediate trend. It helps traders stay in trades longer by filtering out short-term noise, while still being reactive enough to detect reversals.
- 99-Period MA : The 99-period moving average provides a broad view of the market's direction, filtering out much of the short- and medium-term noise. It is crucial for identifying long-term trends and assessing whether the market is bullish or bearish overall. It acts as a key reference point for longer-term trend followers, helping them stay with the broader market sentiment.
Conclusion:
From a supply and demand perspective, the 7, 25, and 99-period moving averages help traders visualize shifts in the balance between buyers and sellers over different time horizons. The price action interaction with these moving averages provides valuable insight into short-term momentum, intermediate trends, and long-term market sentiment. Using these three MAs together gives a more comprehensive understanding of market conditions, helping traders align their strategies with prevailing trends across various timeframes.
------------- RULE BASED SYSTEM ---------------
Overview of the Rule-Based System:
This system will use the following moving averages:
7-period MA: Represents short-term price action.
25-period MA: Represents medium-term price action.
99-period MA: Represents long-term price action.
1. Trend Identification Rules:
Bullish Trend:
The 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This structure shows that short, medium, and long-term trends are aligned in an upward direction, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bearish Trend:
The 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This suggests that the market is in a downtrend, with bearish momentum dominating across timeframes.
Neutral/Consolidation:
The 7-period MA and 25-period MA are flat or crossing frequently with the 99-period MA, and they are close to each other.
This indicates a sideways or consolidating market where there’s no strong trend direction.
2. Entry Rules:
Bullish Entry (Buy Signals):
Primary Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new upward trend, with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Buy Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains above the 25-period MA.
This indica
tes that the pullback is a temporary correction in an uptrend, and buyers may re-enter the market as price approaches the 25-period MA.
You can further confirm the signal by waiting for price action (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns) at the 25-period MA level.
Breakout Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also both above the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bullish breakout after consolidation or a long-term downtrend.
Bearish Entry (Sell Signals):
Primary Sell Signal:
The price crosses below the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new downtrend with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Sell Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains below the 25-period MA.
This indicates that the pullback is a temporary retracement in a downtrend, providing an opportunity to sell as price meets resistance at the 25-period MA.
Breakdown Sell Signal:
The price breaks below the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also below the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bearish breakdown after consolidation or a long-term uptrend reversal.
3. Exit Rules:
Bullish Exit (for long positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes below the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing below the 25-period MA.
This indicates weakening momentum in the uptrend, suggesting an exit from the long position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price falls below the 99-period MA, signaling the breakdown of the long-term trend.
This can act as a final exit signal to minimize losses if the long-term uptrend is invalidated.
Bearish Exit (for short positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes above the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing above the 25-period MA.
This indicates a potential weakening of the downtrend and signals an exit from the short position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price breaks above the 99-period MA, invalidating the bearish trend.
This signals that the market may be reversing to the upside, and exiting short positions would be prudent.
