Volume Orderbook (Expo)█ Overview
The Volume Orderbook indicator is a volume analysis tool that visually resembles an order book. It's used for displaying trading volume data in a way that may be easier to interpret or more intuitive for certain traders, especially those familiar with order book analysis.
This indicator aggregate and display the total trading volume at different price levels over the entire range of data available on the chart, similar to how an order book displays current buy and sell orders at different price levels. However, unlike a real-time order book, it only considers historical trading data, not current bid and ask orders. This provides a 'historical order book' of sorts, indicating where most trading activities have taken place.
Summary
This is a volume-based indicator that shows the volume traded at specific price levels, highlighting areas of high and low activity.
█ Calculations
The algorithm operates by calculating the cumulative volume traded in each specific price zone within the range of data displayed on the chart. The length of each horizontal bar corresponds to the total volume of trades that occurred within that particular price zone.
In essence, when the price is in a specific zone, the volume is added to the bar representing that zone. A thicker bar implies a larger price zone, meaning that more volume is accumulated within that bar. Therefore, the thickness of the bar visually indicates the amount of trading activity that took place within the associated price zone.
█ How to use
The Volume Orderbook indicator serves as a beneficial tool for traders by identifying key price levels with a significant amount of trading activity. These high-volume areas could represent potential support or resistance levels due to the large number of orders situated there. The indicator's ability to spotlight these zones might be particularly advantageous in pinpointing breakouts or breakdowns when prices move beyond these high-volume regions. Moreover, the indicator could also assist traders in recognizing anomalies, such as when an unusually large volume of trades occurs at unconventional price levels.
Identify Key Price Levels: The indicator highlights high-volume areas where a significant number of trades have occurred, which could act as potential support or resistance levels. This is based on the notion that many traders have established positions at these prices, so these levels may serve as significant areas for market activity in the future.
Volume Nodes: These are the peaks (high-volume areas) and troughs (low-volume areas) seen on the indicator. High-volume nodes represent price levels at which a large amount of volume has been traded, typically areas of strong support or resistance. Conversely, low-volume nodes, where very little volume has been traded, indicate price levels that traders have shown little interest in the past and could potentially act as barriers to price. It's important to note that while high trading volume can imply significant market interest, it doesn't always mean the price will stop or reverse at these levels. Sometimes, prices can quickly move through high-volume areas if there are no current orders (demand) to match with the new orders (supply).
Analyze Market Psychology: The distribution of volume across different price levels can provide insights into the market's psychology, revealing the balance of power between buyers and sellers.
Highlight Potential Reversal Points: The indicator can help identify price levels with high traded volume where the market might be more likely to reverse since these levels have previously attracted significant interest from traders.
Validate Breakouts or Breakdowns: If the price moves convincingly past a high-volume node, it could indicate a strong trend, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown. Conversely, if the price struggles to move past a high-volume node, it could suggest that the trend is weak and might potentially reverse.
Trade Reversals: High-volume areas could also indicate potential turning points in the market. If the price reaches these levels and then starts to move away, it might suggest a possible price reversal.
Confirm Other Signals: As with all technical indicators, the "Volume Orderbook" should ideally be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis to confirm signals and increase the odds of successful trades.
Summary
The Volume Orderbook indicator allows traders to identify key price levels, analyze market psychology, highlight potential reversal points, validate breakouts or breakdowns, confirm other trading signals, and anticipate possible trade reversals, thereby serving as a robust tool for trading analysis.
█ Settings
Source: The user can select the source, the default of which is "close." This implies that volume is added to the volume order book when the closing price falls within a specific zone. Users can modify this to any indicator present on their chart. For example, if it's set to an SMA (Simple Moving Average) of 20, the volume will be added to the volume order book when the SMA 20 falls within the specific zone.
Rows and width: These settings allow users to adjust the representation of volume order book zones. "ROWS" pertains to the number of volume order book zones displayed, while "WIDTH" refers to the breadth of each zone.
Table and Grid: These settings allow traders to customize the Volume order-book's position and appearance. By adjusting the "left" parameter, users can shift the position of the Volume order book on the chart; a higher value pushes the order book further to the right. Additionally, users can enable "Table Border" and "Table Grid" options to add gridlines or borders to the Volume order book for easier viewing and interpretation.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Cerca negli script per "reversal"
Directional ATROANDA:EURUSD
TLDR: A custom volatility indicator that combines Average True Range with candle direction.
The Directional ATR (DATR) is an indicator that enhances the traditional Average True Range (ATR) by incorporating the direction of the candle (bullish or bearish).
This indicator is designed to help traders identify trend strength, potential trend reversals, and market volatility.
Key Features:
Trend Confirmation: Positive and increasing DATR values suggest a bullish trend, while negative and decreasing values indicate a bearish trend. A higher absolute DATR value signifies a stronger trend.
Trend Reversal: A change in the direction of the DATR from positive to negative or vice versa may signal a potential trend reversal.
Volatility: Like the standard ATR, the DATR can be used to gauge market volatility, with larger absolute values indicating higher volatility and smaller values suggesting lower volatility.
Divergence: Divergence between the price and the DATR could signal a potential weakening of the trend and an upcoming reversal.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Extreme DATR values can be used to identify overbought or oversold market conditions, signaling potential reversals or corrections.
Please note that the Directional ATR is just an indicator, and the interpretations provided are based on its underlying logic.
It is essential to combine the DATR with other technical analysis tools and test the indicator on historical data before using it in your trading strategy. Additionally, consider other factors such as risk management, and your own trading style.
Traders Dynamic Index(RSI) w/ Bull&Bear Control ZonesMomentum (RSI) is one of the most commonly used indicators for trading, but the vast majority of traders who use it, simply apply it as an oscillator to measure overbought and oversold conditions. However, momentum is much more complex than that and using a basic RSI fails to highlight these complexities.
What this highlights are some of the areas/zones that many people may not even know about or are unaware what the RSI can actually reveal about a particular trend.
What this indicator is showing:
Fast moving RSI (Green) - 1 period
Slow moving RSI (Red) - 9 period
Bollinger Bands
Relative Strength: 1 - 100
Bearish Control Zone: 30(Below) - 45
Bullish Control Zone: 60 - 70 (Above)
How this identifies trends:
Bear Market(Bearish Control Zone):
-Support: 20(Below) - 30
-Resistance: 55 - 65
-Momentum will test resistance but will fail to hold support at 50
Bull Market(Bullish Control Zone):
-Support: 45 - 50
-Resistance: 80 - 90(Above)
-Momentum will test support but will not continue past the 45 support
How this identifies reversals:
If a market is bullish, but loses support at 45 and tests 30, it has begun reversal. If a market is bearish, but breaks 60 and tests 70, it has begun reversal.
-A bull market reversal is confirmed if it finds resistance at 60 after testing bearish support
-A bear market reversal is confirmed if it finds support at 50 after testing bullish resistance
Slow & Fast RSI w/ Boll Bands:
-The Slow and Fast RSI crossovers will act as Intermediate trends within the Macro trend - Fast crosses slow, bullish. Slow cross fast, bearish.
-Use in confluence with the Macro trend.
-While under Bearish Control, the Slow RSI will act as resistance for the Fast RSI.
-While under Bullish Control, the Slow RSI will act as support for the Fast RSI.
-The two will have an impulsive crossover when the Macro trend reverses.
-The Bollinger Bands will act as a volatility gauge for potential approaching tests of Support & Resistances. (Expansions & Contractions)
This is an analog of TDIGM (GoldMinds)
-Added Bullish/Bearish Control Zones.
-Changed Fast RSI to Green and Slow RSI to Red.
Stochastic MACDStochastic MACD Indicator: Quick Guide
This Pine Script indicator, "Stochastic MACD" (SMACD), blends MACD and Stochastic Oscillator principles to help you spot momentum shifts and potential reversals.
What it Shows:
SMACD Line: Tracks momentum.
Signal Line: Averages the SMACD line, creating crossovers.
Histogram: Visualizes momentum strength, changing color with direction.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: (Default 10 and -10) Help identify stretched market conditions. Adjustable in settings.
Visual Signals (Triangles):
Red Down Arrow (Overbought Signal): Appears when both SMACD and Signal lines are above the Overbought level (default 10) AND SMACD crosses the Signal line upwards. This suggests strong overbought conditions and a potential reversal down.
Green Up Arrow (Oversold Signal): Appears when both SMACD and Signal lines are below the Oversold level (default -10) AND SMACD crosses the Signal line upwards. This suggests potential buying opportunities from oversold conditions and a possible reversal up.
How to Use It:
Confirm Trends: Use the histogram and line directions.
Spot Reversals: Look for the red and green triangles for quick alerts.
Combine: Always use with other analysis like price action or support/resistance.
Important: This is an analytical tool, not financial advice. Trading involves risk.
Body Percentage of Range (Colored)Short Description:
This indicator measures the dominance of the candle's body relative to its total range (High - Low), providing a visual gauge of intra-candle strength versus indecision. Columns are colored based on whether the body constitutes more or less than a defined percentage (default 50%) of the candle's total height.
Detailed Description:
What it Does:
The "Body Percentage of Range" indicator calculates, for each candle, what percentage of the total price range (High minus Low) is occupied by the candle's body (absolute difference between Open and Close).
A value of 100% means the candle has no wicks (a Marubozu), indicating strong conviction during that period.
A value of 0% means the candle has no body (a Doji), indicating perfect indecision.
Values in between show the relative balance between the directional move (body) and the price exploration/rejection (wicks).
How to Interpret:
The indicator plots this percentage as columns:
Column Height: Represents the percentage of the body relative to the total range. Higher columns indicate a larger body dominance.
Column Color:
Green Columns: Appear when the body percentage is above the user-defined threshold (default 50%). This suggests that the directional move within the candle was stronger than the indecision (wicks). Often seen during trending moves or strong momentum candles.
Red Columns: Appear when the body percentage is at or below the user-defined threshold (default 50%). This suggests that wicks dominate the candle (body is 50% or less of the range), indicating significant indecision, struggle between buyers and sellers, or potential reversals. These are common in choppy, consolidating, or reversal market conditions.
Orange Line (Optional MA): A Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the body percentages is plotted to help smooth the readings and identify broader periods where candle structure indicates more trending (high MA) vs. ranging/indecisive (low MA) characteristics.
Potential Use Cases:
Identifying Choppy vs. Trending Markets: Sustained periods of low, predominantly red columns (and often a low/declining MA) can signal a choppy, range-bound market where trend-following strategies might underperform. Conversely, periods with frequent high, green columns suggest a more trending environment.
Confirming Breakouts/Momentum: High green columns appearing alongside increased volume during a breakout can add conviction to the move's strength.
Spotting Potential Exhaustion/Reversals: A very tall green column after a strong trend, followed immediately by a low red column (like a Doji or Spinning Top pattern appearing on the price chart), might signal potential exhaustion or a pending reversal, indicating indecision has suddenly entered the market.
Filtering Entries: Traders might avoid taking entries (especially trend-following ones) when the indicator shows a consistent pattern of low red columns, suggesting high market indecision.
Settings:
Color Threshold %: Allows you to set the percentage level above which columns turn green (default is 50%).
Smoothing MA Length: Adjusts the lookback period for the Simple Moving Average.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and should be used in conjunction with other methods (like price action, volume analysis, other indicators) and robust risk management. It does not provide direct buy/sell signals and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gradient Trend Filter STRATEGY [ChartPrime/PineIndicators]This strategy is based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator developed by ChartPrime. Full credit for the concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is designed to execute trades based on the trend analysis and filtering system provided by the Gradient Trend Filter indicator. It integrates a noise-filtered trend detection system with a color-gradient visualization, helping traders identify trend strength, momentum shifts, and potential reversals.
How the Gradient Trend Filter Strategy Works
1. Noise Filtering for Smoother Trends
To reduce false signals caused by market noise, the strategy applies a three-stage smoothing function to the source price. This function ensures that trend shifts are detected more accurately, minimizing unnecessary trade entries and exits.
The filter is based on an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)-style smoothing technique.
It processes price data in three successive passes, refining the trend signal before generating trade entries.
This filtering technique helps eliminate minor fluctuations and highlights the true underlying trend.
2. Multi-Layered Trend Bands & Color-Based Trend Visualization
The Gradient Trend Filter constructs multiple trend bands around the filtered trend line, acting as dynamic support and resistance zones.
The mid-line changes color based on the trend direction:
Green for uptrends
Red for downtrends
A gradient cloud is formed around the trend line, dynamically shifting colors to provide early warning signals of trend reversals.
The outer bands function as potential support and resistance, helping traders determine stop-loss and take-profit zones.
Visualization elements used in this strategy:
Trend Filter Line → Changes color between green (bullish) and red (bearish).
Trend Cloud → Dynamically adjusts color based on trend strength.
Orange Markers → Appear when a trend shift is confirmed.
Trade Entry & Exit Conditions
This strategy automatically enters trades based on confirmed trend shifts detected by the Gradient Trend Filter.
1. Trade Entry Rules
Long Entry:
A bullish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to green).
The filtered trend value crosses above zero, confirming upward momentum.
The strategy enters a long position.
Short Entry:
A bearish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to red).
The filtered trend value crosses below zero, confirming downward momentum.
The strategy enters a short position.
2. Trade Exit Rules
Closing a Long Position:
If a bearish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the long position.
Closing a Short Position:
If a bullish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the short position.
The trend shift markers (orange diamonds) act as a confirmation signal, reinforcing the validity of trade entries and exits.
Customization Options
This strategy allows traders to adjust key parameters for flexibility in different market conditions:
Trade Direction: Choose between Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short .
Trend Length: Modify the length of the smoothing function to adapt to different timeframes.
Line Width & Colors: Customize the visual appearance of trend lines and cloud colors.
Performance Table: Enable or disable the equity performance table that tracks historical trade results.
Performance Tracking & Reporting
A built-in performance table is included to monitor monthly and yearly trading performance.
The table calculates monthly percentage returns, displaying them in a structured format.
Color-coded values highlight profitable months (blue) and losing months (red).
Tracks yearly cumulative performance to assess long-term strategy effectiveness.
Traders can use this feature to evaluate historical performance trends and optimize their strategy settings accordingly.
How to Use This Strategy
Identify Trend Strength & Reversals:
Use the trend line and cloud color changes to assess trend strength and detect potential reversals.
Monitor Momentum Shifts:
Pay attention to gradient cloud color shifts, as they often appear before the trend line changes color.
This can indicate early momentum weakening or strengthening.
Act on Trend Shift Markers:
Use orange diamonds as confirmation signals for trend shifts and trade entry/exit points.
Utilize Cloud Bands as Support/Resistance:
The outer bands of the cloud serve as dynamic support and resistance, helping with stop-loss and take-profit placement.
Considerations & Limitations
Trend Lag: Since the strategy applies a smoothing function, entries may be slightly delayed compared to raw price action.
Volatile Market Conditions: In high-volatility markets, trend shifts may occur more frequently, leading to higher trade frequency.
Optimized for Trend Trading: This strategy is best suited for trending markets and may produce false signals in sideways (ranging) conditions.
Conclusion
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is a trend-following system based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator by ChartPrime. It integrates noise filtering, trend visualization, and gradient-based color shifts to help traders identify strong market trends and potential reversals.
By combining trend filtering with a multi-layered cloud system, the strategy provides clear trade signals while minimizing noise. Traders can use this strategy for long-term trend trading, momentum shifts, and support/resistance-based decision-making.
This strategy is a fully automated system that allows traders to execute long, short, or both directions, with customizable settings to adapt to different market conditions.
Credit for the original concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
Neural Pulse System [Alpha Extract]Neural Pulse System (NPS)
The Neural Pulse System (NPS) is a custom technical indicator that analyzes price action through a probabilistic lens, offering a dynamic view of bullish and bearish tendencies.
Unlike traditional binary classification models, NPS employs Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression with dynamically computed coefficients to produce a smooth probability output ranging from -1 to 1.
Paired with ATR-based bands, this indicator provides an intuitive and volatility-aware approach to trend analysis.
🔶 CALCULATION
The Neural Pulse System utilizes OLS regression to compute probabilities of bullish or bearish price action while incorporating ATR-based bands for volatility context:
Dynamic Coefficients: Coefficients are recalculated in real-time and scaled up to ensure the regression adapts to evolving market conditions.
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS): Uses OLS regression instead of gradient descent for more precise and efficient coefficient estimation.
ATR Bands: Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) bands serve as dynamic boundaries, framing the regression within market volatility.
Probability Output: Instead of a binary result, the output is a continuous probability curve (-1 to 1), helping traders gauge the strength of bullish or bearish momentum.
Formula:
OLS Regression = Line of best fit minimizing squared errors
Probability Signal = Transformed regression output scaled to -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands = Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) to frame price movements within market volatility
🔶 DETAILS
📊 Visual Features:
Probability Curve: Smooth probability signal ranging from -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands: Price action is constrained within volatility bands, preventing extreme deviations
Color-Coded Signals:
Blue to Green: Increasing probability of bullish momentum
Orange to Red: Increasing probability of bearish momentum
Interpretation:
Bullish Bias: Probability output consistently above 0 suggests a bullish trend.
Bearish Bias: Probability output consistently below 0 indicates bearish pressure.
Reversals: Extreme values near -1 or 1, followed by a move toward 0, may signal potential trend reversals.
🔶 EXAMPLES
📌 Trend Identification: Use the probability output to gauge trend direction.
📌Example: On a 1-hour chart, NPS moves from -0.5 to 0.8 as price breaks resistance, signaling a bullish trend.
Reversal Signals: Watch for probability extremes near -1 or 1 followed by a reversal toward 0.
Example: NPS hits 0.9, price touches the upper ATR band, then both retreat—indicating a potential pullback.
📌 Example snapshots:
Volatility Context: ATR bands help assess whether price action aligns with typical market conditions.
Example: During low volatility, the probability signal hovers near 0, and ATR bands tighten, suggesting a potential breakout.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
ATR Period – Defines lookback length for ATR calculation (shorter = more responsive, longer = smoother).
ATR Multiplier – Adjusts band width for better volatility capture.
Regression Length – Controls how many bars feed into the coefficient calculation (longer = smoother, shorter = more reactive).
Scaling Factor – Adjusts the strength of regression coefficients.
Output Smoothing – Option to apply a moving average for a cleaner probability curve
Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT)Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT) Indicator
The Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT) is a powerful momentum and breakout detection tool designed to identify consecutive bullish and bearish closes, potential reversals, and breakout points. By tracking consecutive candle closes and plotting key levels, this indicator provides traders with visual cues to recognize trend continuations, reversals, and breakout opportunities effectively.
🔹 Key Features of CCT
1️⃣ Consecutive Move Lines (Green/Red/Yellow Lines)
Tracks three consecutive bullish or bearish closes.
If the fourth candle confirms the trend, a green line (bullish) or red line (bearish) is drawn.
If the fourth candle fails to confirm, a yellow line is drawn, signaling potential indecision.
Helps traders spot trend continuations and exhaustion points.
2️⃣ Reversal Detection Lines (Cyan & Light Red)
Identifies bullish and bearish reversals based on three higher/lower closes followed by a reversal.
A cyan line indicates a bullish reversal, while a light red line signals a bearish reversal.
Useful for traders looking for trend reversals and key turning points.
3️⃣ Breakout Line (Dynamic Resistance/Support Level)
Automatically calculates a breakout level based on the previous timeframe’s open and close.
Can be customized to use different timeframes (e.g., hourly, daily, weekly).
Acts as a dynamic resistance or support level, helping traders determine breakout opportunities.
🔍 How to Use the Indicator?
✅ 1. Spotting Trend Continuations with Consecutive Move Lines
Green Line: Three consecutive bullish closes followed by a fourth higher close.
🚀 Indicates strong buying pressure & potential uptrend continuation.
Red Line: Three consecutive bearish closes followed by a fourth lower close.
📉 Indicates strong selling pressure & potential downtrend continuation.
Yellow Line: Three consecutive closes, but the fourth candle fails to confirm.
⚠️ Signals possible indecision or trend exhaustion.
🔥 Best Strategy:
If a green line appears near support, consider long entries.
If a red line appears near resistance, consider short entries.
If a yellow line appears, wait for further confirmation before entering a trade.
✅ 2. Identifying Trend Reversals with Reversal Lines
Cyan Line: A bearish trend with three consecutive lower closes, followed by a bullish candle → Possible uptrend reversal.
Light Red Line: A bullish trend with three consecutive higher closes, followed by a bearish candle → Possible downtrend reversal.
🔥 Best Strategy:
If a cyan line appears near a major support level, look for long entry opportunities.
If a light red line appears near resistance, prepare for a potential short entry.
Use these lines in combination with candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bars) for confirmation.
✅ 3. Using the Breakout Line for Key Entry & Exit Points
The breakout line represents a key dynamic level (midpoint of the previous timeframe’s open & close).
If price breaks above the breakout line, it suggests bullish momentum → Consider long trades.
If price breaks below the breakout line, it suggests bearish momentum → Consider short trades.
🔥 Best Strategy:
Use the breakout line in combination with support & resistance levels.
When price approaches the breakout line, watch for confirmation candles before entering a trade.
The breakout line can also act as a stop-loss or take-profit level.
🎯 How to Utilize CCT Effectively?
✅ For Intraday Traders
Use the consecutive close tracker on a 5M or 15M chart to catch short-term trends.
Watch for reversal lines near major intraday support/resistance for quick scalping opportunities.
Use the breakout line from the hourly chart to identify potential trend shifts.
✅ For Swing Traders
Apply the indicator on 1H, 4H, or daily charts to track medium-term trends.
Look for green/red lines near key Fibonacci retracement or pivot levels.
Use reversal lines to detect early trend reversals before bigger moves occur.
✅ For Breakout Traders
Focus on the breakout line on higher timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H, Daily) to identify strong momentum shifts.
If price crosses the breakout line with strong volume, enter trades with trend confirmation.
Place stop-loss just below the breakout level for controlled risk management.
🏆 Final Thoughts
The Consecutive Close Tracker (CCT) is a powerful momentum and reversal indicator that helps traders:
✅ Identify strong trend continuations (green/red lines).
✅ Detect early reversal points (cyan/light red lines).
✅ Use a dynamic breakout line for better trade entries & exits.
Whether you’re an intraday trader, swing trader, or breakout trader, this tool can enhance your market insights and improve your trading decisions. 📈🔥
🚀 Try it out, and integrate it with your strategy to maximize its potential! 🚀
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Uptrick Signal Density Cloud🟪 Introduction
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud is designed to track market direction and highlight potential reversals or shifts in momentum. It plots two smoothed lines on the chart and fills the space between them (often called a “cloud”). The bars on the chart change color depending on bullish or bearish conditions, and small triangles appear when certain reversal criteria are met. A metrics table displays real-time values for easy reference.
🟩 Why These Features Have Been Linked Together
1) Dual-Line Structure
Two separate lines represent shorter- and longer-term market tendencies. Linking them in one tool allows traders to view both near-term changes and the broader directional bias in a single glance.
2) Smoothed Averages
The script offers multiple smoothing methods—exponential, simple, hull, and an optimized approach—to reduce noise. Using more than one type of moving average can help balance responsiveness with stability.
3) Density Cloud Concept
Shading the region between the two lines highlights the gap or “thickness.” A wider gap typically signals stronger momentum, while a narrower gap could indicate a weakening trend or potential market indecision. When the cloud is too wide and crosses a certain threshold defined by the user, it indicates a possible reversal. When the cloud is too narrow it may indicate a potential breakout.
🟪 Why Use This Indicator
• Trend Visibility: The color-coded lines and bars make it easier to distinguish bullish from bearish conditions.
• Momentum Tracking: Thicker cloud regions suggest stronger separation between the faster and slower lines, potentially indicating robust momentum.
• Possible Reversal Alerts: Small triangles appear within thick zones when the indicator detects a crossover, drawing attention to key moments of potential trend change.
• Quick Reference Table: A metrics table shows line values, bullish or bearish status, and cloud thickness without needing to hover over chart elements.
🟩 Inputs
1) First Smoothing Length (length1)
Default: 14
Defines the lookback period for the faster line. Lower values make the line respond more quickly to price changes.
2) Second Smoothing Length (length2)
Default: 28
Defines the lookback period for the slower line or one of the moving averages in optimized mode. It generally responds more slowly than the faster line.
3) Extra Smoothing Length (extraLength)
Default: 50
A medium-term period commonly seen in technical analysis. In optimized mode, it helps add broader perspective to the combined lines.
4) Source (source)
Default: close
Specifies the price data (for example, open, high, low, or a custom source) used in the calculations.
5) Cloud Type (cloudType)
Options: Optimized, EMA, SMA, HMA
Determines the smoothing method used for the lines. “Optimized” blends multiple exponential averages at different lengths.
6) Cloud Thickness Threshold (thicknessThreshold)
Default: 0.5
Sets the minimum separation between the two lines to qualify as a “thick” zone, indicating potentially stronger momentum.
🟪 Core Components
1) Faster and Slower Lines
Each line is smoothed according to user preferences or the optimized technique. The faster line typically reacts more quickly, while the slower line provides a broader overview.
2) Filled Density Cloud
The space between the two lines is filled to visualize in which direction the market is trending.
3) Color-Coded Bars
Price bars adopt bullish or bearish colors based on which line is on top, providing an immediate sense of trend direction.
4) Reversal Triangles
When the cloud is thick (exceeding the threshold) and the lines cross in the opposite direction, small triangles appear, signaling a possible market shift.
5) Metrics Table
A compact table shows the current values of both lines, their bullish/bearish statuses, the cloud thickness, and whether the cloud is in a “reversal zone.”
🟩 Calculation Process
1) Raw Averages
Depending on the mode, standard exponential, simple, hull, or “optimized” exponential blends are calculated.
2) Optimized Averages (if selected)
The faster line is the average of three exponential moving averages using length1, length2, and extraLength.
The slower line similarly uses those same lengths multiplied by 1.5, then averages them together for broader smoothing.
3) Difference and Threshold
The absolute gap between the two lines is measured. When it exceeds thicknessThreshold, the cloud is considered thick.
4) Bullish or Bearish Determination
If sma1 (the faster line) is above sma2 (the slower line), conditions are deemed bullish; otherwise, they are bearish. This distinction is reflected in both bar colors and cloud shading.
5) Reversal Markers
In thick zones, a crossover triggers a triangle at the point of potential reversal, alerting traders to a possible trend change.
🟪 Smoothing Methods
1) Exponential (EMA)
Prioritizes recent data for quicker responsiveness.
2) Simple (SMA)
Takes a straightforward average of the chosen period, smoothing price action but often lagging more in volatile markets.
3) Hull (HMA)
Employs a specialized formula to reduce lag while maintaining smoothness.
4) Optimized (Blended Exponential)
Combines multiple EMA calculations to strike a balance between responsiveness and noise reduction.
🟩 Cloud Logic and Reversal Zones
Cloud thickness above the defined threshold typically signals exceeding momentum and can lead to a quick reversal. During these thick periods, if the width exceeds the defined threshold, small triangles mark potential reversal points. In order for the reversal shape to show, the color of the cloud has to be the opposite. So, for example, if the cloud is bearish, and exceeds momentum, defined by the user, a bullish signal appears. The opposite conditions for a bullish signal. This approach can help traders focus on notable changes rather than minor oscillations.
🟪 Bar Coloring and Layered Lines
Bars take on bullish or bearish tints, matching the faster line’s position relative to the slower line. The lines themselves are plotted multiple times with varying opacities, creating a layered, glowing look that enhances visibility without affecting calculations.
🟩 The Metrics Table
Located in the top-right corner of the chart, this table displays:
• SMA1 and SMA2 current values.
• Bullish or bearish alignment for each line.
• Cloud thickness.
• Reversal zone status (in or out of zone).
This numeric readout allows for a quick data check without hovering over the chart.
🟪 Why These Specific Moving Average Lengths Are Used
Default lengths of 14, 28, and 50 are common in technical analysis. Fourteen captures near-term price movement without overreacting. Twenty-eight, roughly double 14, provides a moderate smoothing level. Fifty is widely regarded as a medium-term benchmark. Multiplying each length by 1.5 for the slower line enhances separation when combined with the faster line.
🟩 Originality and Usefulness
• Multi-Layered Smoothing. The user can select from several moving average modes, including a unique “optimized” blend, possibly reducing random fluctuations in the market data.
• Combined Visual and Numeric Clarity. Bars, clouds, and a real-time table merge into a single interface, enabling efficient trend analysis.
• Focus on Significant Shifts. Thick cloud zones and triangles draw attention to potentially stronger momentum changes and plausible reversals.
• Flexible Across Markets. The adjustable lengths and threshold can be tuned to different asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto) and timeframes.
By integrating multiple technical concepts—cloud-based trend detection, color coding, reversal markers, and an immediate reference table—the Uptrick Signal Density Cloud aims to streamline chart reading and decision-making.
🟪 Additional Considerations
• Timeframes. Intraday, daily, and weekly charts each yield different signals. Adjust the smoothing lengths and threshold to suit specific trading horizons.
• Market Types. Though applicable across asset classes, parameters might need tweaking to address the volatility of commodities, forex pairs, or cryptocurrencies.
• Confirmation Tools. Pairing this indicator with volume studies or support/resistance analysis can improve the reliability of signals.
• Potential Limitations. No indicator is foolproof; sudden market shifts or choppy conditions may reduce accuracy. Cautious position sizing and risk management remain essential.
🟩 Disclaimers
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud relies on historical price data and may lag sudden moves or provide false positives in ranging conditions. Always combine it with other analytical techniques and sound risk management. This script is offered for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
🟪 Conclusion
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud blends trend identification, momentum assessment, and potential reversal alerts in a single, user-friendly tool. With customizable smoothing methods and a focus on cloud thickness, it visually highlights important market conditions. While it cannot guarantee predictive accuracy, it can serve as a comprehensive reference for traders seeking both a quick snapshot of the current trend and deeper insights into market dynamics.
[blackcat] L2 Kiosotto IndicatorOVERVIEW
The Kiosotto Indicator is a versatile technical analysis tool designed for forex trading but applicable to other financial markets. It excels in detecting market reversals and trends without repainting, ensuring consistent and reliable signals. The indicator has evolved over time, with different versions focusing on specific aspects of market analysis.
KEY FEATURES
Reversal Detection: Identifies potential market reversals, crucial for traders looking to capitalize on turning points.
Trend Detection: Earlier versions focused on detecting trends, useful for traders who prefer to follow the market direction.
Non-Repainting: Signals remain consistent on the chart, providing reliable and consistent signals.
Normalization: Later versions, such as Normalized Kiosotto and Kiosotto_2025, incorporate normalization to assess oversold and overbought conditions, enhancing interpretability.
VERSIONS AND EVOLUTION
Early Versions: Focused on trend detection, useful for following market direction.
2 in 1 Kiosotto: Emphasizes reversal detection and is considered an improvement by users.
Normalized Versions (e.g., Kiosotto_2025, Kiosotto_3_2025): Introduce normalization to assess oversold and overbought conditions, enhancing interpretability.
HOW TO USE THE KIOSOTTO INDICATOR
Understanding Signals:
Reversals: Look for the indicator's signals that suggest a potential reversal, indicated by color changes, line crossings, or other visual cues.
Trends: Earlier versions might show stronger trending signals, indicated by the direction or slope of the indicator's lines.
Normalization Interpretation (for normalized versions):
Oversold: When the indicator hits the lower boundary, it might indicate an oversold condition, suggesting a potential buy signal.
Overbought: Hitting the upper boundary could signal an overbought condition, suggesting a potential sell signal.
PINE SCRIPT IMPLEMENTATION
The provided Pine Script code is a version of the Kiosotto indicator. Here's a detailed explanation of the code:
//@version=5
indicator(" L2 Kiosotto Indicator", overlay=false)
//Pine version of Kiosotto 2015 v4 Alert ms-nrp
// Input parameters
dev_period = input.int(150, "Dev Period")
alerts_level = input.float(15, "Alerts Level")
tsbul = 0.0
tsber = 0.0
hpres = 0.0
lpres = 9999999.0
for i = 0 to dev_period - 1
rsi = ta.rsi(close , dev_period)
if high > hpres
hpres := high
tsbul := tsbul + rsi * close
if low < lpres
lpres := low
tsber := tsber + rsi * close
buffer1 = tsber != 0 ? tsbul / tsber : 0
buffer2 = tsbul != 0 ? tsber / tsbul : 0
// Plotting
plot(buffer1, color=color.aqua, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram)
plot(buffer2, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram)
hline(alerts_level, color=color.silver)
EXPLANATION OF THE CODE
Indicator Definition:
indicator(" L2 Kiosotto Indicator", overlay=false): Defines the indicator with the name " L2 Kiosotto Indicator" and specifies that it should not be overlaid on the price chart.
Input Parameters:
dev_period = input.int(150, "Dev Period"): Allows users to set the period for the deviation calculation.
alerts_level = input.float(15, "Alerts Level"): Allows users to set the level for alerts.
Initialization:
tsbul = 0.0: Initializes the tsbul variable to 0.0.
tsber = 0.0: Initializes the tsber variable to 0.0.
hpres = 0.0: Initializes the hpres variable to 0.0.
lpres = 9999999.0: Initializes the lpres variable to a very high value.
Loop for Calculation:
The for loop iterates over the last dev_period bars.
rsi = ta.rsi(close , dev_period): Calculates the RSI for the current bar.
if high > hpres: If the high price of the current bar is greater than hpres, update hpres and add the product of RSI and close price to tsbul.
if low < lpres: If the low price of the current bar is less than lpres, update lpres and add the product of RSI and close price to tsber.
Buffer Calculation:
buffer1 = tsber != 0 ? tsbul / tsber : 0: Calculates the first buffer as the ratio of tsbul to tsber if tsber is not zero.
buffer2 = tsbul != 0 ? tsber / tsbul : 0: Calculates the second buffer as the ratio of tsber to tsbul if tsbul is not zero.
Plotting:
plot(buffer1, color=color.aqua, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram): Plots the first buffer as a histogram with an aqua color.
plot(buffer2, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram): Plots the second buffer as a histogram with a fuchsia color.
hline(alerts_level, color=color.silver): Draws a horizontal line at the alerts_level with a silver color.
FUNCTIONALITY
The Kiosotto indicator calculates two buffers based on the RSI and price levels over a specified period. The buffers are plotted as histograms, and a horizontal line is drawn at the alerts level. The indicator helps traders identify potential reversals and trends by analyzing the relationship between the RSI and price levels.
ALGORITHMS
RSI Calculation:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the speed and change of price movements. It is calculated using the formula:
RSI=100− (1+RS) / 100
where RS is the ratio of the average gain to the average loss over the specified period.
Buffer Calculation:
The buffers are calculated as the ratio of the sum of RSI multiplied by the close price for high and low price conditions. This helps in identifying the balance between buying and selling pressure.
Signal Generation:
The indicator generates signals based on the values of the buffers and the alerts level. Traders can use these signals to make informed trading decisions, such as entering or exiting trades based on potential reversals or trends.
APPLICATION SCENARIOS
Reversal Trading: Traders can use the Kiosotto indicator to identify potential reversals by looking for significant changes in the buffer values or crossings of the alerts level.
Trend Following: The indicator can also be used to follow trends by analyzing the direction and slope of the buffer lines.
Oversold/Overbought Conditions: For normalized versions, traders can use the indicator to identify oversold and overbought conditions, which can provide buy or sell signals.
THANKS
Special thanks to the TradingView community and the original developers for their contributions and support in creating and refining the Kiosotto Indicator.
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy leverages the combination of Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator(AC), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Acceleration/Deceleration shall create one of two types of long signals (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created long signal.
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one long signal, another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about Acceleration/Deceleration signals. AC indicator is calculated using the Awesome Oscillator, so let's first of all briefly explain what is Awesome Oscillator and how it can be calculated. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO), where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now we can explain which AC signal types are used in this strategy. The first type of long signal is when AC value is below zero line. In this cases we need to see three rising bars on the histogram in a row after the falling one. The second type of signals occurs above the zero line. There we need only two rising AC bars in a row after the falling one to create the signal. The signal bar is the last green bar in this sequence. The strategy places the buy stop order one tick above the candle's high, which corresponds to the signal bar on AC indicator.
After that we can have the following scenarios:
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower high. If current AC bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AC bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next AC signal.
If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. All open trades are closed when the trend shifts to a downtrend, as determined by the combination of the Alligator and Fractals described earlier.
Why we use AC signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC bars after period of falling AC bars indicates the high probability of local pull back end and there is a high chance to open long trade in the direction of the most likely main uptrend. The numbers of rising bars are different for the different AC values (below or above zero line). This is needed because if AC below zero line the local downtrend is likely to be stronger and needs more rising bars to confirm that it has been changed than if AC is above zero.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next AC signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.15%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.57%
Net Profit: +2108.85 USDT (+21.09%)
Total Trades: 111 (36.94% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.391
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 367.61 USDT (-2.97%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.00 USDT (+1.78%)
Average Trade Duration: 75 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Fibonacci & Bollinger Bands StrategyThis strategy combines Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci retracement/extension levels to identify potential entry and exit points in the market. Here’s a breakdown of each component and how the strategy works:
1. Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands consist of a simple moving average (SMA) and two standard deviations (upper and lower bands) plotted above and below the SMA. The bands expand and contract based on market volatility.
Purpose in Strategy:
The lower band represents an area where the market might be oversold.
The upper band represents an area where the market might be overbought.
The price crossing these bands suggests overextended market conditions, which can be used to identify potential reversals.
2. Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels:
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where price might find support or resistance as it retraces some of its previous movement. Common retracement levels are 61.8% and 78.6%.
Fibonacci extension levels are used to project areas where the price might extend after completing a retracement. These levels can help determine potential targets after a significant price movement.
Purpose in Strategy:
The strategy calculates the most recent swing high (fibHigh) and swing low (fibLow) over a lookback period. It then plots Fibonacci retracement and extension levels based on this range.
The Fibonacci levels are used as key support and resistance areas. The price approaching or touching these levels signals potential turning points in the market.
3. Entry Criteria:
A long position (buy) is triggered when:
The price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating an oversold condition.
The price is near or above a Fibonacci extension level (calculated based on the most recent price swing).
This suggests that the price is potentially reaching a strong support area, where a reversal is likely.
4. Exit Criteria:
The long position is closed (exit trade) when either:
The price touches or crosses the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition.
The price reaches a Fibonacci retracement level or exceeds the recent swing high (fibHigh), indicating a potential exhaustion point or a reversal area.
5. General Strategy Logic:
The strategy takes advantage of market volatility (captured by the Bollinger Bands) and key support/resistance levels (determined by Fibonacci retracement and extension levels).
By combining these two techniques, the strategy identifies potential entry points at oversold levels with the expectation that the market will retrace or reverse upward, especially when near key Fibonacci extension levels.
Exit points are identified by potential overbought levels (Bollinger upper band) or key Fibonacci retracement levels, where the price might reverse downward.
6. Conditions to Execute the Strategy:
The Fibonacci levels are only calculated once the price has made a significant movement, establishing a recent high and low over a 50-bar period (which you can adjust). This ensures the Fibonacci levels are based on meaningful swings.
The entry and exit signals are filtered using both Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci levels to ensure that trades are not taken solely based on one indicator, thus reducing false signals.
Key Features of the Strategy:
Trend-following with reversal: It tries to catch reversals when the price hits extreme levels (Bollinger Bands) while respecting important Fibonacci levels.
Dynamic market adaptation: The strategy adapts to market conditions as it recalculates Fibonacci levels based on recent price swings and adjusts the Bollinger Bands for market volatility.
Confirmation through multiple indicators: It uses both the volatility-based signals from Bollinger Bands and the price structure from Fibonacci levels to confirm trade entries and exits.
Summary of the Strategy:
The strategy looks to buy low and sell high based on oversold/overbought signals from Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci levels that indicate key support and resistance zones.
By combining these two technical indicators, the strategy aims to reduce risk and increase accuracy by only entering trades when both indicators suggest favorable conditions.
ARIMA Indicator with Optional SmoothingOverview
The ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) Indicator is a powerful tool used to forecast future price movements by combining differencing, autoregressive, and moving average components. This indicator is designed to help traders identify trends and potential reversal points by analyzing the historical price data.
Key Features
AutoRegressive Component (AR): Utilizes past values to predict future prices.
Moving Average Component (MA): Averages past price differences to smooth out noise.
Differencing: Reduces non-stationarity in the time series data.
Optional Smoothing: Applies EMA to the ARIMA output for a smoother signal.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust AR and MA orders, differencing periods, and smoothing lengths.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
Differencing: Subtracts previous prices from current prices to remove trends and seasonality, making the data stationary.
AutoRegressive Component (AR): Predicts future prices based on a linear combination of past values.
Moving Average Component (MA): Uses past forecast errors to refine future predictions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Applies more weight to recent prices, providing a smoother and more responsive signal.
How It Works
The ARIMA Indicator first calculates the differenced series to achieve stationarity. Then, it computes the simple moving average (SMA) of this differenced series. The indicator uses the AR and MA components to adjust the SMA, creating an approximation of the ARIMA model. Finally, an optional smoothing step using EMA can be applied to the ARIMA approximation to produce a smoother signal.
How Traders Can Use It
Traders can use the ARIMA Indicator to:
Identify Trends: Detect emerging trends by observing the direction of the ARIMA line.
Spot Reversals: Look for divergences between the ARIMA line and the price to identify potential reversal points.
Generate Trading Signals: Use crossovers between the ARIMA line and the price to generate buy or sell signals.
Filter Noise: Enable the optional smoothing to filter out market noise and focus on significant price movements.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the ARIMA Indicator to your chart.
Adjust the input parameters to suit your trading strategy:
Set the SMA Length (e.g., 14).
Choose the Differencing Period (e.g., 1).
Define the AR Order (p) and MA Order (q) (e.g., 1).
Configure the Smoothing Length if smoothing is desired (e.g., 5).
Enable or disable smoothing as needed.
Observe the ARIMA line (blue) and compare it to the price chart.
Use the ARIMA line to identify trends and potential reversals.
Implement trading decisions based on the ARIMA line’s behavior relative to the price.
Divergence Toolkit (Real-Time)The Divergence Toolkit is designed to automatically detect divergences between the price of an underlying asset and any other @TradingView built-in or community-built indicator or script. This algorithm provides a comprehensive solution for identifying both regular and hidden divergences, empowering traders with valuable insights into potential trend reversals.
🔲 Methodology
Divergences occur when there is a disagreement between the price action of an asset and the corresponding indicator. Let's review the conditions for regular and hidden divergences.
Regular divergences indicate a potential reversal in the current trend.
Regular Bullish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a lower low.
Indicator - Forms a higher low.
Interpretation - Suggests that while the price is making new lows, the indicator is showing increasing strength, signaling a potential upward reversal.
Regular Bearish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a higher high.
Indicator - Forms a lower high.
Interpretation - Indicates that despite the price making new highs, the indicator is weakening, hinting at a potential downward reversal.
Hidden divergences indicate a potential continuation of the existing trend.
Hidden Bullish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a higher low.
Indicator - Forms a lower low.
Interpretation - Suggests that even though the price is retracing, the indicator shows increasing strength, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Hidden Bearish Divergence
Price Action - Forms a lower high.
Indicator - Forms a higher high.
Interpretation - Indicates that despite a retracement in price, the indicator is still strong, signaling a potential continuation of the downward trend.
In both regular and hidden divergences, the key is to observe the relationship between the price action and the indicator. Divergences can provide valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations.
The methodology employed in this script involves the detection of divergences through conditional price levels rather than relying on detected pivots. Traditionally, divergences are created by identifying pivots in both the underlying asset and the oscillator. However, this script employs a trailing stop on the oscillator to detect potential swings, providing a real-time approach to identifying divergences, you may find more info about it here (SuperTrend Toolkit) . We detect swings or pivots simply by testing for crosses between the indicator and its trailing stop.
type oscillator
float o = Oscillator Value
float s = Trailing Stop Value
oscillator osc = oscillator.new()
bool l = ta.crossunder(osc.o, osc.s) => Utilized as a formed high
bool h = ta.crossover (osc.o, osc.s) => Utilized as a formed low
// Note: these conditions alone could cause repainting when they are met but canceled at a later time before the bar closes. Hence, we wait for a confirmed bar.
// The script also includes the option to immediately alert when the conditions are met, if you choose so.
By testing for conditional price levels, the script achieves similar outcomes without the delays associated with pivot-based methods.
type bar
float o = open
float h = high
float l = low
float c = close
bar b = bar.new()
bool hi = b.h < b.h => A higher price level has been created
bool lo = b.l > b.l => A lower price level has been created
// Note: These conditions do not check for certain price swings hence they may seldom result in inaccurate detection.
🔲 Setup Guide
A simple example on one of my public scripts, Standardized MACD
🔲 Utility
We may auto-detect divergences to spot trend reversals & continuations.
🔲 Settings
Source - Choose an oscillator source of which to base the Toolkit on.
Zeroing - The Mid-Line value of the oscillator, for example RSI & MFI use 50.
Sensitivity - Calibrates the sensitivity of which Divergencies are detected, higher values result in more detections but less accuracy.
Lifetime - Maximum timespan to detect a Divergence.
Repaint - Switched on, the script will trigger Divergencies as they happen in Real-Time, could cause repainting when the conditions are met but canceled at a later time before bar closes.
🔲 Alerts
Bearish Divergence
Bullish Divergence
Bearish Hidden Divergence
Bullish Hidden Divergence
As well as the option to trigger 'any alert' call.
The Divergence Toolkit provides traders with a dynamic tool for spotting potential trend reversals and continuations. Its innovative approach to real-time divergence detection enhances the timeliness of identifying market opportunities.
Swing based support and resistanceThis indicator provided here is for identifying swing-based support and resistance levels. It uses two swing lengths, which can be adjusted by the user, to identify swings in the price data. For each swing length, the script calculates the support level as the low of the swing if the trend is up, or the high of the swing if the trend is down. It then plots the support and resistance levels on the chart, along with buy and sell signals.
The buy and sell signals are generated by comparing the current closing price to the support and resistance levels. If the closing price is above the support level, the script plots a buy signal. If the closing price is below the level, the script plots a sell signal.
To use the script, you would first need to add it to your trading platform. Once it is added, you can configure the swing lengths and other parameters to suit your trading style. You can then apply the script to a chart and begin using the support and resistance levels and buy and sell signals to make trading decisions.
Points to be noted while using the indicator:
# The script is designed to be used on a daily chart. However, you can also use it on other timeframes, such as weekly or monthly charts.
# The swing lengths that you choose will depend on your trading style. If you are a swing trader, you may want to use longer swing lengths. If you are a day trader, you may want to use shorter swing lengths.
# Remember, the support and resistance levels generated by the script are not exact price points. They are rather zones where demand and supply can change. Therefore, you should always use other technical analysis tools and indicators to confirm your trading decisions.
# Overall, the script is a useful tool for identifying swing-based support and resistance levels. It can be used by traders of all experience levels to generate trading ideas and improve their trading performance.
To use the swing-based support and resistance indicator with respect to price, you can follow these steps:
=> Identify the support and resistance levels that have been generated by the indicator.
=> Look for price action that is taking place near these levels.
=> If the price is above the level, look for bullish reversals or continuations.
=> If the price is below the level, look for bearish reversals or continuations.
For Example,
=> Bullish reversal: The price is above the level and forms a bullish candlestick pattern, such as a bullish hammer or engulfing pattern.
=> Bullish continuation: The price is above the level and bounces off of the level.
=> Bearish reversal: The price is below the level and forms a bearish candlestick pattern, such as a bearish hammer or engulfing pattern.
=> Bearish continuation: The price is below the level and rejects the level.
$$ You can also use the indicator to identify potential trading entry and exit points. For example, you could enter a long trade when the price breaks above a resistance level and exit the trade when the price retraces to the resistance level. Or, you could enter a short trade when the price breaks below a support level and exit the trade when the price rallies to the support level.
This swing-based support and resistance indicator is just one tool that you can use to trade. You should always use other technical analysis tools and indicators, such as price action and trend analysis, to confirm your trading decisions.
Additionally:
=> Be aware of the overall trend direction. If the trend is up, you should be looking for bullish reversals or continuations. If the trend is down, you should be looking for bearish reversals or continuations.
=> Use a stop loss order to limit your risk on each trade.
=> Consider using a position sizing strategy to manage your risk.
=> Do your own research and backtest any trading strategy before using it in a live trading environment.
Follow us for timely updates regarding future indicators and give it a like if you appreciate the indicator.
Price Exhaustion IndicatorThe Price Exhaustion Indicator (PE) is a powerful tool designed to identify trends weakening and strengthening in the financial markets. It combines the concepts of Average True Range (ATR), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Stochastic Oscillator to provide a comprehensive assessment of trend exhaustion levels. By analyzing these multiple indicators together, traders and investors can gain valuable insights into potential price reversals and long-term market highs and lows.
The aim of combining the ATR, MACD, and Stochastic Oscillator, is to provide a comprehensive analysis of trend exhaustion. The ATR component helps assess the volatility and range of price movements, while the MACD offers insights into the convergence and divergence of moving averages. The Stochastic Oscillator measures the current price in relation to its range, providing further confirmation of trend exhaustion. The exhaustion value is derived by combining the MACD, ATR, and Stochastic Oscillator. The MACD value is divided by the ATR value, and then multiplied by the Stochastic Oscillator value. This calculation results in a single exhaustion value that reflects the combined influence of these three indicators.
Application
The Price Exhaustion Indicator utilizes a unique visual representation by incorporating a gradient color scheme. The exhaustion line dynamically changes color, ranging from white when close to the midline (40) to shades of purple as it approaches points of exhaustion (overbought at 100 and oversold at -20). As the exhaustion line approaches the color purple, this represents extreme market conditions and zones of weakened trends where reversals may occur. This color gradient serves as a visual cue, allowing users to quickly gauge the strength or weakness of the prevailing trend.
To further enhance its usability, the Price Exhaustion Indicator also includes circle plots that signify potential points of trend reversion. These plots appear when the exhaustion lines cross or enter the overbought and oversold zones. Red circle plots indicate potential short entry points, suggesting a weakening trend and the possibility of a downward price reversal. Conversely, green circle plots represent potential long entry points, indicating a strengthening trend and the potential for an upward price reversal.
Traders and investors can leverage the Price Exhaustion Indicator in various ways. It can be utilized as a trend-following tool, or a mean reversion tool. When the exhaustion line approaches the overbought or oversold zones, it suggests a weakening trend and the possibility of a price reversal, helping identify potential market tops and bottoms. This can guide traders in timing their entries or exits in anticipation of a trend shift.
Utility
The Price Exhaustion Indicator is particularly useful for long-term market analysis, as it focuses on identifying long-term market highs and lows. By capturing the gradual weakening or strengthening of a trend, it assists investors in making informed decisions about portfolio allocation, trend continuation, or potential reversals.
In summary, the Price Exhaustion Indicator is a comprehensive and visually intuitive tool that combines ATR, MACD, and Stochastic Oscillator to identify trend exhaustion levels. By utilizing a gradient color scheme and circle plots, it offers traders and investors valuable insights into potential trend reversals and long-term market highs and lows. Its unique features make it a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit, providing a deeper understanding of market dynamics and assisting in decision-making processes. Please note that future performance of any trading strategy is fundamentally unknowable, and past results do not guarantee future performance.
Moving Average Contrarian IndicatorThis indicator is designed to identify potential turning points in the market. By measuring the distance between the price and a moving average, and normalizing it, the MACI provides valuable insights into market sentiment and potential reversals. In this article, we will explore the calculation, interpretation, and practical applications of the MACI, along with its potential limitations.
The MACI is calculated in several steps. First, a moving average is computed using a user-defined length, representing the average price over the specified period. The distance between the current price and the moving average is then determined. This distance is normalized using the highest and lowest distances observed within the chosen length, resulting in a value between 0 and 100. Higher MACI values indicate that the price is relatively far from the moving average, potentially signaling an overextension, while lower values suggest price consolidation or convergence with the moving average.
Altering the parameters of the Moving Average Contrarian Indicator can provide traders with additional flexibility and adaptability to suit different market conditions and trading styles. By adjusting the length parameter, traders can customize the sensitivity of the indicator to price movements. A shorter length may result in more frequent and responsive signals, which can be useful for short-term traders aiming to capture quick price reversals. On the other hand, a longer length may provide smoother signals, suited for traders who prefer to focus on longer-term trends and are less concerned with minor fluctuations. Experimenting with different parameter values allows traders to fine-tune the indicator to align with their preferred trading timeframes and risk tolerance. However, it is essential to strike a balance and avoid excessive parameter adjustments that may lead to over-optimization or curve fitting. Regular evaluation and optimization based on historical data and real-time market observations can help identify the most suitable parameter values for optimal performance.
The coloration of the Moving Average Contrarian Indicator provides visual cues that assist traders in interpreting its signals. The background color, set based on the indicator's values, adds an additional layer of context to the chart. When the indicator is indicating bullish conditions, the background color is set to lime, suggesting a favorable environment for long positions. Conversely, when the indicator signals bearish conditions, the background color is set to fuchsia, indicating a potential advantage for short positions. In neutral or transitional periods, the background color is set to yellow, indicating caution and the absence of a clear bias.
The bar color complements the histogram and provides additional visual clarity. When the MACI value is greater than the MACI SMA value and exceeds the threshold of 30, the bars are colored lime, signaling potential bullish conditions. Conversely, when the MACI value is below the MACI SMA value and falls below the threshold of 70, the bars are colored fuchsia, indicating potential bearish conditions. For values that fall between these thresholds, the bars are colored yellow, highlighting a neutral or transitional state.
Practical Uses and Strategies:
The MACI offers traders and analysts valuable insights into market dynamics and potential reversal points. When the MACI is above its moving average and above a predefined threshold (e.g., 30), it suggests that prices have deviated significantly from the average and may be overbought. This could serve as an early indication for potential short-selling opportunities or taking profits on existing long positions. Conversely, when the MACI is below its moving average and below a predefined threshold (e.g., 70), it suggests oversold conditions, potentially signaling a buying opportunity. Traders can combine MACI with other technical indicators or price patterns to further refine their trading strategies.
The MACI can be a powerful tool for identifying potential market reversals. When the MACI reaches extreme levels, such as above 70 or below 30, it indicates overbought or oversold conditions, respectively. Traders can use these signals to anticipate price reversals and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. For example, when the MACI enters the overbought zone, traders may consider initiating short positions or tightening stop-loss levels on existing long positions. Conversely, when the MACI enters the oversold zone, it may indicate a buying opportunity, prompting traders to consider initiating long positions or loosening stop-loss levels.
The MACI can also be used in conjunction with price action to identify potential divergence patterns. Divergence occurs when the MACI and price move in opposite directions. For instance, if the price is making higher highs while the MACI is making lower highs, it suggests a bearish divergence, indicating a potential trend reversal. Conversely, if the price is making lower lows while the MACI is making higher lows, it suggests a bullish divergence, signaling a potential trend reversal to the upside. Traders can use these divergence patterns as additional confirmation signals when making trading decisions.
Limitations:
-- Sideways and Choppy Markets : The MACI performs best in trending markets where price movements are more pronounced. In sideways or choppy markets with limited directional bias, the MACI may generate false signals or provide less reliable indications. Traders should exercise caution when relying solely on the MACI in such market conditions and consider incorporating additional analysis techniques or filters to confirm potential signals.
-- Lagging Indicator : The MACI is a lagging indicator, as it relies on moving averages and historical price data. It may not provide timely signals for very short-term trading or capturing rapid price movements. Traders should be aware that there may be a delay between the occurrence of a signal and its confirmation by the MACI.
-- False Signals : Like any technical indicator, the MACI is not immune to false signals. It is essential to use the MACI in conjunction with other technical indicators, chart patterns, or fundamental analysis to increase the probability of accurate predictions. Combining multiple confirmation signals can help filter out false signals and enhance the overall reliability of trading decisions.
-- Market Conditions : It's important to consider that the effectiveness of the MACI may vary across different markets and asset classes. Each market has its own characteristics, and what works well in one market may not work as effectively in another. Traders should evaluate the performance of the MACI within their specific trading environment and adapt their strategies accordingly.
This indicator can be a valuable addition to a trader's toolkit, offering insights into potential entry and exit points. However, it should be used in conjunction with other analysis techniques and should not be relied upon as a standalone trading signal. Understanding its calculation, interpreting its values, and considering its limitations will empower traders to make more informed decisions in their pursuit of trading success.
SMT DivergenceSMT Divergence Indicator
This powerful indicator identifies high-probability reversal points by detecting SMT (Smart Money Technique) divergences between two correlated assets. It spots subtle shifts in market momentum, revealing when one asset fails to confirm the price action of another—often signaling an impending trend change.
Key Features:
Inter-Market Divergence Detection: Automatically compares the price action of the main symbol with a second user-defined asset.
Identifies Key Reversals: Pinpoints both bullish and bearish SMT divergences, highlighting hidden strength in downtrends and underlying weakness in uptrends.
Customizable Pivot Detection: Allows fine-tuning of the pivot length to adjust sensitivity for different market conditions and timeframes.
Flexible Display Modes: Choose between clean 'Lines' connecting the diverging pivots or precise 'Labels' marking the exact high/low points.
Full Visual Customization: Complete control over the colors and line thickness for seamless integration with your existing chart layout.
Built-in Alerts: Stay notified of every potential opportunity with alerts for both bullish and bearish signals.
Settings:
Core Parameters:
Comparison Symbol: Select the second asset to compare against for divergence analysis (e.g., NQ1! if you are charting ES1!).
Pivot Length: Defines the number of bars to the left and right required to confirm a pivot high or low.
Visual Settings:
Display Style: Choose to visualize divergences as 'Lines' or 'Labels'.
Bearish/Bullish Color: Set custom colors for bearish and bullish divergence indicators.
Line Width: Adjust the thickness of the divergence lines for optimal visibility.
Perfect for traders who utilize inter-market analysis to confirm trade ideas. The SMT Divergence indicator provides a crucial edge by exposing non-confirmations between related assets, allowing for earlier and more confident entries into potential market reversals.
Murrey Math Lines v6Murrey Math Lines v6
This is not just another Murrey Math indicator. It's a complete, ground-up modernization of the classic concept, rebuilt with the latest Pine Script features for unparalleled performance, accuracy, and usability. While preserving the core mathematical genius of T.H. Murrey's system, this version introduces a suite of modern tools designed for today's trader.
What are Murrey Math Lines?
Murrey Math Lines (MML) are a powerful system of support and resistance based on geometric formulas developed by T.H. Murrey. As a derivation of W.D. Gann's observations, Murrey's geometry simplifies Gann's theories into a more accessible application. The core principle is that price action tends to trend and retrace in 1/8th intervals.
These intervals create a "trading octave" with distinct levels, each having its own characteristic behavior:
& - Ultimate Resistance & Support: These lines are the hardest to break. They represent the top and bottom of the expected price range and are prime areas for reversals.
- Major Pivot: This is the most significant level, offering the strongest support and resistance within the octave. Price has a high probability of stopping and reversing here.
& - Strong Pivot/Reversal: These are strong, secondary pivot points where price often struggles to pass through.
& - The Trading Range: The price tends to consolidate between these two lines about 50% of the time. A decisive break outside this range often signals the start of a new trend.
& - Weak Support/Resistance: These levels are weaker, but when price moves too quickly towards them, they can act as initial stopping points or areas for a minor reversal.
& - Extended Octave: These lines show extreme overbought and oversold conditions beyond the primary 0/8 to 8/8 octave.
Modern Enhancements in This Version
Session-Locked Precision: Anchor the Murrey Lines to the start of a specific trading session (e.g., NYSE open). The levels remain constant for the entire session, providing a stable and reliable framework for your daily analysis.
Visual Trading & Reversal Zones: Instead of just lines, this indicator can fill the key trading range (3/8 to 5/8) and reversal zones (0/8-1/8 & 7/8-8/8) with color, giving you an instant visual reference of market sentiment.
Dynamic "Closest Price" Labels: Declutter your chart! The indicator can intelligently display only the label for the Murrey level closest to the current price, keeping your view clean while providing critical information at a glance.
Integrated Alert System: Never miss a key level touch again. Set up alerts for when the price approaches major lines, the trading range, or all lines, customized to your trading style.
Advanced Pine Script Engine: Built on a modern codebase using User-Defined Types and dynamic drawing objects (line, box, label). This ensures the indicator is fast, efficient, and non-repainting, even on lower timeframes.
Intuitive User Interface: Settings are neatly organized into collapsible groups with clear tooltips, making it incredibly easy to customize every aspect of the indicator, from calculation parameters to colors.
A Note on Accuracy
Some of the other Murrey Math indicators on TradingView use different formulas and therefore produce varying results. This version has been carefully checked against MML indicators on other professional platforms to ensure its calculations are accurate and reliable.
Credits
This indicator is a complete overhaul and modernization of the original "MM Lines " script. Full credit for the original calculation logic and concept goes to its author, JRL_6.
WaveTrend Divergences, Candle Colouring and TP Signal [LuciTech]WaveTrend is a momentum-based oscillator designed to track trend strength, detect divergences, and highlight potential take-profit zones using Bollinger Bands. It provides a clear visualization of market conditions to help traders identify trend shifts and exhaustion points.
The WaveTrend Oscillator consists of a smoothed momentum line (WT Line) and a signal line, which work together to indicate trend direction and possible reversals. When the WT Line crosses above the signal line, it suggests bullish momentum, while crossing below signals bearish momentum.
Candle colouring changes dynamically based on WaveTrend crossovers. If the WT Line crosses above the signal line, candles turn bullish. If the WT Line crosses below the signal line, candles turn bearish. This provides an immediate visual cue for trend direction.
Divergence Detection identifies when price action contradicts the WaveTrend movement.
Bullish Divergence appears when price makes a lower low, but the WT Line forms a higher low, suggesting weakening bearish pressure.
Bearish Divergence appears when price makes a higher high, but the WT Line forms a lower high, indicating weakening bullish pressure.
Plus (+) Divergences are stronger signals that occur when the first pivot of the divergence happens at an extreme level—above +60 for bearish divergence or below -60 for bullish divergence. These levels suggest the market is overbought or oversold, making the divergence more significant.
Bollinger Band Signals highlight potential take-profit zones by detecting when the WT Line moves beyond its upper or lower Bollinger Band.
If the WT Line crosses above the upper band, it signals stretched bullish momentum, suggesting a possible pullback or reversal.
If the WT Line crosses below the lower band, it indicates stretched bearish momentum, warning of a potential bounce.
How It Works
The WaveTrend momentum calculation is based on an EMA-smoothed moving average to filter out noise and provide a more reliable trend indication.
The WT Line (momentum line) fluctuates based on market momentum.
The signal line smooths out the WT Line to help identify trend shifts.
When the WT Line crosses above the signal line, it suggests buying pressure, and when it crosses below, it indicates selling pressure.
Divergences are detected by comparing pivot highs and lows in price with pivot highs and lows in the WT Line.
A pivot forms when a local high or low is confirmed after a certain number of bars.
The indicator tracks whether price action and the WT Line are making opposite movements.
If a divergence occurs and the first pivot was beyond ±60, it is marked as a Plus Divergence, making it a stronger reversal signal.
Bollinger Bands are applied directly to the WT Line instead of price, identifying when the WT Line moves outside its volatility range. This helps traders recognize when momentum is overstretched and a potential reversal or retracement is likely.
Settings
Channel Length (default: 8) controls the period used to calculate the WT Line.
Average Length (default: 16) smooths the WT Line for better trend detection.
Divergences (on/off) enables or disables divergence plotting.
Candle colouring (on/off) applies or removes trend-based candle colour changes.
Bollinger Band Signals (on/off) toggles take-profit signals when the WT Line crosses the bands.
Bullish/Bearish colours allow customization of divergence and signal colours.
Interpretation
The WaveTrend Oscillator helps traders assess market momentum and trend strength.
Crossovers between the WT Line and signal line indicate potential trend reversals.
Divergences warn of weakening momentum and possible reversals, with Plus Divergences acting as stronger signals.
Bollinger Band Crosses highlight areas where momentum is overstretched, signaling potential profit-taking opportunities.
Uptrick: FRAMA Matrix RSIUptrick: FRAMA Matrix RSI
Introduction
The Uptrick: FRAMA Matrix RSI is a momentum-based indicator that integrates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with the Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA). By applying FRAMA's adaptive smoothing to RSI—and further refining it with a Zero-Lag Moving Average (ZLMA)—this script creates a refined and reliable momentum oscillator. The indicator now includes enhanced divergence detection, potential reversal signals, customizable buy/sell signal options, an internal stats table, and a fully customizable bar coloring system for an enhanced visual trading experience.
Why Combine RSI with FRAMA
Traditional RSI is a well-known momentum indicator but has several limitations. It is highly sensitive to price fluctuations, often generating false signals in choppy or volatile markets. FRAMA, in contrast, adapts dynamically to price changes by adjusting its smoothing factor based on market conditions.
By integrating FRAMA into RSI calculations, this indicator reduces noise while preserving RSI's ability to track momentum, adapts to volatility by reducing lag in trending markets and smoothing out choppiness in ranging conditions, enhances trend-following capability for more reliable momentum shifts, and refines overbought and oversold signals by adjusting to the current market structure.
With the new enhancements, such as a manual alpha input, noise filtering, divergence detection, and multiple buy/sell signal options, the indicator offers even greater flexibility and precision for traders. This combination improves the standard RSI by making it more adaptive and responsive to market changes.
Originality
This indicator is unique because it applies FRAMA's adaptive smoothing technique to RSI, creating a dynamic momentum oscillator that adjusts to different market conditions. Many traditional RSI-based indicators either use fixed smoothing methods like exponential moving averages or employ basic RSI calculations without adjusting for volatility.
This script stands out by integrating several elements, including the fractal dimension-based smoothing of FRAMA to reduce noise while retaining responsiveness, the use of Zero-Lag Moving Average smoothing to enhance trend sensitivity and reduce lag, divergence detection to highlight mismatches between price action and RSI momentum, a noise filter and manual alpha option to prevent minor fluctuations from generating false signals, customizable buy/sell signal options that let traders choose between ZLMA-based or FRAMA RSI-based signals, an internal stats table displaying real-time FRAMA calculations such as fractal dimension and the adaptive alpha factor, and a fully customizable bar coloring system to visually distinguish bullish, bearish, and neutral conditions.
Features
Adaptive FRAMA RSI
The indicator applies FRAMA to RSI values, making the momentum oscillator adaptive to volatility while filtering out noise. Unlike a traditional RSI that reacts equally to all price movements, FRAMA RSI adjusts its smoothing factor based on market structure, making it more effective for identifying true momentum shifts.
Zero-Lag Moving Average (ZLMA)
A smoothing technique that minimizes lag while preserving the responsiveness of price movements. It is applied to the FRAMA RSI to further refine signals and ensure smoother trend detection.
Bullish and Bearish Threshold Crossovers
This system compares FRAMA RSI to a user-defined threshold (default is 50). When FRAMA RSI moves above the threshold, it indicates bullish momentum, while movement below signals bearish conditions. The enhanced noise filter ensures that only significant moves trigger signals.
Noise Filter and Manual Alpha
A new noise filter input prevents tiny fluctuations from triggering false signals. In addition, a manual alpha option allows traders to override the automatically computed smoothing factor with a custom value, providing extra control over the indicator’s sensitivity.
Divergence Detection
The indicator identifies divergence patterns by comparing FRAMA RSI pivots to price action. Bullish divergence occurs when price makes a lower low while FRAMA RSI makes a higher low, and bearish divergence occurs when price makes a higher high while FRAMA RSI makes a lower high. These signals can help traders anticipate potential reversals.
Reversal Signals
Labels appear on the chart when FRAMA RSI confirms classic RSI overbought (70) or oversold (30) conditions, providing visual cues for potential trend reversals.
Buy and Sell Signal Options
Traders can now choose between two signal-generation methods. ZLMA-based signals trigger when the ZLMA of FRAMA RSI crosses key overbought (70) or oversold (30) levels, while FRAMA RSI-based signals trigger when FRAMA RSI itself crosses these levels. This added flexibility allows users to tailor the indicator to their preferred trading style.
ZLMA:
FRAMA:
Customizable Alerts
Alerts notify traders when FRAMA RSI crosses key levels, divergence signals occur, reversal conditions are met, or buy/sell signals trigger. This ensures that important trading events are not missed.
Fully Customizable Bar Coloring System
Users can color bars based on different conditions, enhancing visual clarity. Bar coloring modes include: FRAMA RSI threshold (bars change color based on whether FRAMA RSI is above or below the threshold), ZLMA crossover (bars change when ZLMA crosses overbought or oversold levels), buy/sell signals (bars change when official signals trigger), divergence (bars highlight when bullish or bearish divergence is detected), and reversals (bars indicate when RSI reaches overbought or oversold conditions confirmed by FRAMA RSI). The system also remembers the last applied bar color, ensuring a smooth visual transition.
Input Parameters and Features
Core Inputs
RSI Length (default: 14) defines the period for RSI calculations.
FRAMA Lookback (default: 16) determines the length for the FRAMA smoothing function.
RSI Bull Threshold (default: 50) sets the level above which the market is considered bullish and below which it is bearish.
Noise Filter (default: 1.0) ensures that small fluctuations do not trigger false bullish or bearish signals.
Additional Features
Show Bull and Bear Alerts (default: true) enables notifications when FRAMA RSI crosses the threshold.
Enable Divergence Detection (default: false) highlights bullish and bearish divergences based on price and FRAMA RSI pivots.
Show Potential Reversal Signals (default: false) identifies overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels as possible trend reversal points.
Buy and Sell Signal Option (default: ZLMA) allows traders to choose between ZLMA-based signals or FRAMA RSI-based signals for trade entry.
ZLMA Enhancements
ZLMA Length (default: 14) determines the period for the Zero-Lag Moving Average applied to FRAMA RSI.
Visualization Options
Show Internal Stats Table (default: false) displays real-time FRAMA calculations, including fractal dimension and the adaptive alpha smoothing factor.
Show Threshold FRAMA Signals (default: false) plots buy and sell labels when FRAMA RSI crosses the threshold level.
How It Works
FRAMA Calculation
FRAMA dynamically adjusts smoothing based on the price fractal dimension. The alpha smoothing factor is derived from the fractal dimension or can be set manually to maintain responsiveness.
RSI with FRAMA Smoothing
RSI is calculated using the user-defined lookback period. FRAMA is then applied to the RSI to make it more adaptive to volatility. Optionally, ZLMA is applied to further refine the signals and reduce lag.
Bullish and Bearish Threshold Crosses
A bullish condition occurs when FRAMA RSI crosses above the threshold, while a bearish condition occurs when it falls below. The noise filter ensures that only significant trend shifts generate signals.
Buy and Sell Signal Options
Traders can choose between ZLMA crossovers or FRAMA RSI crossovers as the basis for buy and sell signals, offering flexibility in trade entry timing.
Divergence Detection
The indicator identifies divergences where price action and FRAMA RSI momentum do not align, potentially signaling upcoming reversals.
Reversal Signal Labels
When classic RSI overbought or oversold levels are confirmed by FRAMA RSI conditions, reversal labels are added on the chart to highlight potential exhaustion points.
Bar Coloring System
Bars are dynamically colored based on various conditions such as RSI thresholds, ZLMA crossovers, buy/sell signals, divergence, and reversals, allowing traders to quickly interpret market sentiment.
Alerts and Internal Stats
Customizable alerts notify traders of key events, and an optional internal stats table displays real-time calculations (fractal dimension, alpha value, and RSI values) to help users understand the underlying dynamics of the indicator.
Summary
The Uptrick: FRAMA Matrix RSI offers an enhanced approach to momentum analysis by combining RSI with adaptive FRAMA smoothing and additional layers of signal refinement. The indicator now includes adaptive RSI smoothing to reduce noise and improve responsiveness, Zero-Lag Moving Average filtering to minimize lag, divergence and reversal detection to identify potential turning points, customizable buy/sell signal options that let traders choose between different signal methodologies, a fully customizable bar coloring system to visually distinguish market conditions, and an internal stats table for real-time insight into FRAMA calculation parameters.
Whether used for trend confirmation, divergence detection, or momentum-based strategies, this indicator provides a powerful and adaptive approach to trading.
Disclaimer
This script is for informational and educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct proper research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Awesome Oscillator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Awesome Oscillator shall create the "Saucer" long signal (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created "Saucer signal".
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one "Saucer" signal another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's go through all concepts used in this strategy to understand how they works together. Let's start from the easies one, the EMA. Let's briefly explain what is EMA. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). It is commonly used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. It can be calculated with the following steps:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy uses EMA an initial long term trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
Let's go to the next, short-term trend filter which consists of Alligator and Fractals. Let's briefly explain what do these indicators means. The Williams Alligator, developed by Bill Williams, is a technical indicator designed to spot trends and potential market reversals. It uses three smoothed moving averages, referred to as the jaw, teeth, and lips:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When these lines diverge and are properly aligned, the "alligator" is considered "awake," signaling a strong trend. Conversely, when the lines overlap or intertwine, the "alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator assists traders in identifying when to act on or avoid trades.
The Williams Fractals, another tool introduced by Bill Williams, are used to pinpoint potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms when there are at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar displaying the highest high (for an up fractal) or the lowest low (for a down fractal), relative to the two bars on either side.
Key Points:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often combine fractals with other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, improving the accuracy of trading decisions.
How we use their combination in this strategy? Let’s consider an uptrend example. A breakout above an up fractal can be interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating a high likelihood that an uptrend is beginning. Here's the reasoning: an up fractal represents a potential shift in market behavior. When the fractal forms, it reflects a pullback caused by traders selling, creating a temporary high. However, if the price manages to return to that fractal’s high and break through it, it suggests the market has "changed its mind" and a bullish trend is likely emerging.
The moment of the breakout marks the potential transition to an uptrend. It’s crucial to note that this breakout must occur above the Alligator's teeth line. If it happens below, the breakout isn’t valid, and the downtrend may still persist. The same logic applies inversely for down fractals in a downtrend scenario.
So, if last up fractal breakout was higher, than Alligator's teeth and it happened after last down fractal breakdown below teeth, algorithm considered current trend as an uptrend. During this uptrend long trades can be opened if signal was flashed. If during the uptrend price breaks down the down fractal below teeth line, strategy considered that uptrend is finished with the high probability and strategy closes all current long trades. This combination is used as a short term trend filter increasing the probability of opening profitable long trades in addition to EMA filter, described above.
Now let's talk about Awesome Oscillator's "Sauser" signals. Briefly explain what is the Awesome Oscillator. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
Now we know what is AO, but what is the "Saucer" signal? This concept was introduced by Bill Williams, let's briefly explain it and how it's used by this strategy. Initially, this type of signal is a combination of the following AO bars: we need 3 bars in a row, the first one shall be higher than the second, the third bar also shall be higher, than second. All three bars shall be above the zero line of AO. The price bar, which corresponds to third "saucer's" bar is our signal bar. Strategy places buy stop order one tick above the price bar which corresponds to signal bar.
After that we can have the following scenarios.
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower low. If current AO bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AO bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next "Saucer" signal.
If long trades has been opened strategy use all the next signals until number of trades doesn't exceed 5. All trades are closed when the trend changes to downtrend according to combination of Alligator and Fractals described above.
Why we use "Saucer" signals? If AO above the zero line there is a high probability that price now is in uptrend if we take into account our two trend filters. When we see the decreasing bars on AO and it's above zero it's likely can be considered as a pullback on the uptrend. When we see the stop of AO decreasing and the first increasing bar has been printed there is a high probability that this local pull back is finished and strategy open long trade in the likely direction of a main trend.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next saucer signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.10%
Maximum Single Profit: +22.80%
Net Profit: +2838.58 USDT (+28.39%)
Total Trades: 107 (42.99% win rate)
Profit Factor: 3.364
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 373.43 USDT (-2.98%)
Average Profit per Trade: 26.53 USDT (+2.40%)
Average Trade Duration: 78 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
