5-Minute YEN Pivot Bars 1.0The 5-Minute YEN Pivot Bars indicator is designed to identify and highlight low-range pivot bars on 5-minute charts, specifically tailored for Yen-based pairs (e.g., GBPJPY, USDJPY). By focusing on precise pip thresholds, this tool helps traders detect potential pivot points within specific trading sessions, while avoiding inside bars and other noise often seen in low-volatility conditions. This can be particularly useful for trend traders and those looking to refine their entry points based on intraday reversals.
Key Features:
- Customized Pip Thresholds for Yen Pairs:
The indicator is pre-configured for Yen pairs, where 1 pip is typically represented by 0.01. It applies these thresholds:
- Limited Range: 4 pips or less between open and close prices.
- High/Low Directionality: At least 3 pips from the close/open to the bar's high or low.
- Open/Close Proximity: 4 pips or less between open and close.
- Inside Bar Tolerance: A tolerance of 3 pips for inside bars, helping reduce false signals from bars contained within the previous bar's range.
- Session-Specific Alerts:
- The indicator allows you to enable alerts for the European Session (6:00-12:00), American Session (12:00-17:00), and London Close (17:00-20:00). You can adjust these times based on your own trading hours or timezone preferences via a time-shift setting.
- Receive real-time alerts when a valid bullish or bearish pivot bar is identified within the chosen sessions, allowing you to respond to potential trade opportunities immediately.
- Time Shift Customization:
- Adjust the "Time Shift" parameter to account for different time zones, ensuring accurate session alignment regardless of your local time.
How It Works:
1. Pivot Bar Identification:
The indicator scans for bars where the difference between the open and close is within the "Limited Range" threshold, and both open and close prices are close to either the high or the low of the bar.
2. Directional Filtering:
It requires the bar to show strong directional bias by enforcing an additional distance between the open/close levels and the opposite end of the bar (high/low). Only bars with this directional structure are considered for highlighting.
3. Exclusion of Inside Bars:
Bars that are completely contained within the range of the previous bar are excluded (inside bars), as are consecutive inside bars. This filtering is essential to avoid marking bars that typically indicate consolidation rather than potential pivot points.
4. Session Alerts:
When a valid pivot bar appears within the selected sessions, an alert is triggered, notifying the trader of a potential trading signal. Bullish and bearish signals are differentiated based on whether the close is near the high or low.
How to Use:
- Trend Reversals: Use this indicator to spot potential trend reversals or pullbacks on a 5-minute chart, especially within key trading sessions.
- Entry and Exit Points: Highlighted bars can serve as potential entry points for traders looking to capitalize on short-term directional changes or continuation patterns.
- Combine with Other Indicators: Consider pairing this tool with momentum indicators or trendlines to confirm the signals, providing a comprehensive analysis framework.
Default Parameters:
- Limited Range: 4 Pips
- High/Low Directionality: 3 Pips
- Open/Close Proximity: 4 Pips
- Inside Bar Tolerance: 3 Pips
- Session Alerts: Enabled for European, American, and London Close sessions
- Time Shift: Default 6 (adjustable to align with different time zones)
This indicator is specifically optimized for Yen pairs on 5-minute charts due to its pip calculation.
Cerca negli script per "reversal"
Higher Time Frame Strat [QuantVue]The Higher Time Frame Strat Indicator is a tool that helps traders visualize and analyze price action from a higher timeframe (HTF) on their current chart. It applies the Strat method, a trading strategy focused on identifying key price action setups by observing how current price bars relate to previous ones. This helps in understanding the market's structure and determining potential trading opportunities based on higher timeframe data.
Key Concepts:
Strat Basics:
Type 1 Bar (Inside Bar): The current bar's high is lower than the previous bar's high, and its low is higher than the previous bar's low. This signifies a consolidation, or indecision, as the price is contained within the previous bar's range.
Type 2 Bar (Directional Bar): The current bar either breaks above the previous bar's high (bullish) or stays above the previous bar's low (bearish), indicating a continuation in the price direction.
Type 3 Bar (Outside Bar): The current bar breaks both above the previous bar's high and below the previous bar's low, showing volatility and a potential reversal.
Higher Timeframe Visualization:
The indicator uses a user-defined higher timeframe (default: 1 hour) and plots the last three higher timeframe candles on the current chart.
Strat Classification:
When a new higher timeframe candle forms, the indicator draws a semi-transparent box around the candle's range (high to low), along with the Strat type label. This provides a visual cue to the trader about the structure of the newly formed candle and how it fits into the overall market movement.
The script classifies each higher timeframe candle as one of the Strat types (1, 2, or 3). Based on the relationship between the current candle and the previous candle's high/low, it assigns a label ("1", "2", or "3"), helping traders quickly identify the price action setup on the higher timeframe.
How to Use the Indicator:
Trend Continuation: Look for Type 2 bars, which indicate a continuation in the current trend. For example, a Type 2 up suggests the price is breaking above the previous high, potentially signaling further upward movement.
Reversals: Type 3 bars show increased volatility, where the price breaks both above and below the previous bar's range. This could indicate a reversal, so be prepared for a potential change in direction.
Consolidation: Inside bars (Type 1) signify a tightening range and can signal the beginning of a breakout once the price moves outside of the previous bar's high or low.
By combining these price action concepts with the visualization of higher timeframe data, traders can potentially get earlier entry and exits as a higher timeframe set up forms.
PERFECT PIVOT RANGE DR ABIRAM SIVPRASAD (PPR)PERFECT PIVOT RANGE (PPR) by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad
The Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of key support and resistance levels based on pivot points across different timeframes. This versatile tool allows users to visualize daily, weekly, and monthly pivots along with high and low levels from previous periods, helping traders identify potential areas of price reversals or breakouts.
Features:
Multi-Timeframe Pivots:
Daily, weekly, and monthly pivot levels (Pivot Point, Support 1 & 2, Resistance 1 & 2).
Helps traders understand price levels across various timeframes, from short-term (daily) to long-term (monthly).
Previous High-Low Levels:
Displays the previous week, month, and day high-low levels to highlight key zones of historical support and resistance.
Traders can easily see areas of price action from prior periods, giving context for future price movements.
Customizable Options:
Users can choose which pivot levels and high-lows to display, allowing for flexibility based on trading preferences.
Visual settings can be toggled on and off to suit different trading strategies and timeframes.
Real-Time Data:
All pivot points and levels are dynamically calculated based on real-time price data, ensuring accurate and up-to-date information for decision-making.
How to Use:
Pivot Points: Use daily, weekly, or monthly pivot points to find potential support or resistance levels. Prices above the pivot suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below indicate bearishness.
Previous High-Low: The high-low levels from previous days, weeks, or months can serve as critical zones where price may reverse or break through, indicating potential trade entries or exits.
Confluence: When pivot points or high-low levels overlap across multiple timeframes, they become even stronger levels of support or resistance.
This indicator is suitable for all types of traders (scalpers, swing traders, and long-term investors) looking to enhance their technical analysis and make more informed trading decisions.
Here are three detailed trading strategies for using the Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator for options, stocks, and commodities:
1. Options Buying Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Buying Call and Put Options Based on Pivot Breakouts
Objective: To capitalize on sharp price movements when key pivot levels are breached, leading to high returns with limited risk in options trading.
Timeframe: 15-minute to 1-hour chart for intraday option trading.
Steps:
Identify the Key Levels:
Use weekly pivots for intraday trading, as they provide more significant levels for options.
Enable the "Previous Week High-Low" to gauge support and resistance from the previous week.
Call Option Setup (Bullish Breakout):
Condition: If the price breaks above the weekly pivot point (PP) with high momentum (indicated by a strong bullish candle), it signifies potential bullishness.
Action: Buy Call Options at the breakout of the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Check if the price is sustaining above the pivot with a minimum of 1-2 candles (depending on timeframe) and the first resistance (R1) isn’t too far away.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous week’s high can be your target for exiting the trade.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the pivot point (PP) to limit risk.
Put Option Setup (Bearish Breakdown):
Condition: If the price breaks below the weekly pivot (PP) with strong bearish momentum, it’s a signal to expect a downward move.
Action: Buy Put Options on a breakdown below the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Ensure that the price is closing below the pivot, and check for declining volumes or bearish candles.
Target: The first support (S1) or the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just above the pivot point (PP).
Example:
Let’s say the weekly pivot point (PP) is at 1500, the price breaks above and sustains at 1510. You buy a Call Option with a strike price near 1500, and the target will be the first resistance (R1) at 1530.
2. Stock Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Swing Trading Using Pivot Points and Previous High-Low Levels
Objective: To capture mid-term stock price movements using pivot points and historical high-low levels for better trade entries and exits.
Timeframe: 1-day or 4-hour chart for swing trading.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Start by determining the overall trend of the stock using the weekly pivots. If the price is consistently above the pivot point (PP), the trend is bullish; if below, the trend is bearish.
Buy Setup (Bullish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the stock bounces off the weekly pivot point (PP) or previous week’s low, it signals a bullish reversal.
Action: Enter a long position near the pivot or previous week’s low.
Confirmation: Look for a bullish candle pattern or increasing volumes.
Target: Set your first target at the first resistance (R1) or the previous week’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just below the previous week’s low or support (S1).
Sell Setup (Bearish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the price hits the weekly resistance (R1) or previous week’s high and starts to reverse downwards, it’s an opportunity to short-sell the stock.
Action: Enter a short position near the resistance.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volume at the resistance.
Target: Your first target would be the weekly pivot point (PP), with the second target as the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just above the resistance (R1).
Use Previous High-Low Levels:
The previous week’s high and low are key levels where price reversals often occur, so use them as reference points for potential entry and exit.
Example:
Stock XYZ is trading at 200. The previous week’s low is 195, and it bounces off that level. You enter a long position with a target of 210 (previous week’s high) and place a stop-loss at 193.
3. Commodity Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Trend Continuation and Reversal in Commodities
Objective: To capitalize on the strong trends in commodities by using pivot points as key support and resistance levels for trend continuation and reversal.
Timeframe: 1-hour to 4-hour charts for commodities like Gold, Crude Oil, Silver, etc.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Use monthly pivots for long-term commodities trading since commodities often follow macroeconomic trends.
The monthly pivot point (PP) will give an idea of the long-term trend direction.
Trend Continuation Setup (Bullish Commodity):
Condition: If the price is consistently trading above the monthly pivot and pulling back towards the pivot without breaking below it, it indicates a bullish continuation.
Action: Enter a long position when the price tests the monthly pivot (PP) and starts moving up again.
Confirmation: Look for a strong bullish candle or an increase in volume to confirm the continuation.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous month’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the monthly pivot (PP).
Trend Reversal Setup (Bearish Commodity):
Condition: When the price reverses from the monthly resistance (R1) or previous month’s high, it’s a signal for a bearish reversal.
Action: Enter a short position at the resistance level.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volumes at the resistance.
Target: Set your first target as the monthly pivot (PP) or the first support (S1).
Stop-Loss: Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance level.
Using Previous High-Low for Swing Trades:
The previous month’s high and low are important in commodities. They often act as barriers to price movement, so traders should look for breakouts or reversals near these levels.
Example:
Gold is trading at $1800, with a monthly pivot at $1780 and the previous month’s high at $1830. If the price pulls back to $1780 and starts moving up again, you enter a long trade with a target of $1830, placing your stop-loss below $1770.
Key Points Across All Strategies:
Multiple Timeframes: Always use a combination of timeframes for confirmation. For example, a daily chart may show a bullish setup, but the weekly pivot levels can provide a larger trend context.
Volume: Volume is key in confirming the strength of price movement. Always confirm breakouts or reversals with rising or declining volume.
Risk Management: Set tight stop-loss levels just below support or above resistance to minimize risk and lock in profits at pivot points.
Each of these strategies leverages the powerful pivot and high-low levels provided by the PPR indicator to give traders clear entry, exit, and risk management points across different markets
Swiss Knife [MERT]Introduction
The Swiss Knife indicator is a comprehensive trading tool designed to provide a multi-dimensional analysis of the market. By integrating a wide array of technical indicators across multiple timeframes, it offers traders a holistic view of market sentiment, momentum, and potential reversal points. This indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to combine trend analysis, momentum indicators, volume data, and price action into a single, easy-to-read format.
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Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Analysis : Evaluates indicators on Daily , 4-Hour , 1-Hour , and 15-Minute timeframes.
Comprehensive Indicator Suite : Incorporates MACD , Awesome Oscillator (AO) , Parabolic SAR , SuperTrend , DPO , RSI , Stochastic Oscillator , Bollinger Bands , Ichimoku Cloud , Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) , Donchian Channels , ADX , volume-based momentum indicators, Fractals , and divergence detection.
Market Sentiment Scoring : Aggregates signals from multiple indicators to provide an overall sentiment score.
Visual Aids : Displays EMA lines, trendlines, divergence signals, and a sentiment table directly on the chart.
Super Trend Reversal Signals : Identifies potential market reversal points by assessing the momentum of automated trading bots.
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Explanation of Each Indicator
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
- Purpose : Measures the relationship between two moving averages of price.
- Interpretation : A positive histogram suggests bullish momentum; a negative histogram indicates bearish momentum.
Awesome Oscillator (AO)
- Purpose : Gauges market momentum by comparing recent market movements to historic ones.
- Interpretation : Above zero indicates bullish momentum; below zero indicates bearish momentum.
Parabolic SAR (SAR)
- Purpose : Identifies potential reversal points in price direction.
- Interpretation : Dots below price suggest an uptrend; dots above price suggest a downtrend.
SuperTrend
- Purpose : Determines the prevailing market trend.
- Interpretation : Provides buy or sell signals based on price movements relative to the SuperTrend line.
Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO)
- Purpose : Removes trend from price to identify cycles.
- Interpretation : Values above zero suggest price is above the moving average; values below zero indicate it is below.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Purpose : Measures the speed and change of price movements.
- Interpretation : Values above 50 indicate bullish momentum; values below 50 indicate bearish momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator
- Purpose : Compares a particular closing price to a range of its prices over a certain period.
- Interpretation : Values above 50 indicate bullish conditions; values below 50 indicate bearish conditions.
Bollinger Bands (BB)
- Purpose : Measures market volatility and provides relative price levels.
- Interpretation : Price above the middle band suggests bullishness; below the middle band suggests bearishness.
Ichimoku Cloud
- Purpose : Provides support and resistance levels, trend direction, and momentum.
- Interpretation : Bullish signals when price is above the cloud; bearish signals when price is below the cloud.
Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)
- Purpose : Measures momentum on both up and down days.
- Interpretation : Values above 50 indicate strong upward momentum; values below -50 indicate strong downward momentum.
Donchian Channels
- Purpose : Identifies volatility and potential breakouts.
- Interpretation : Price above the upper band suggests bullish breakout; below the lower band suggests bearish breakout.
Average Directional Index (ADX)
- Purpose : Measures the strength of a trend.
- Interpretation : DI+ above DI- indicates bullish trend; DI- above DI+ indicates bearish trend.
Volume Momentum Indicators (VolMom, CumVolMom, POCMom)
- Purpose : Analyze volume to assess buying and selling pressure.
- Interpretation : Positive values suggest bullish volume momentum; negative values indicate bearish volume momentum.
Fractals
- Purpose : Identify potential reversal points in the market.
- Interpretation : Up fractals may indicate a future downtrend; down fractals may indicate a future uptrend.
Divergence Detection
- Purpose : Identifies divergences between price and various indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, OBV, MFI, A/D Line).
- Interpretation : Bullish divergences suggest potential upward reversal; bearish divergences suggest potential downward reversal.
- Note : This functionality utilizes the library from Divergence Indicator .
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Coloring Scheme
Background Color
- Purpose : Reflects the overall market sentiment by combining sentiment scores from all indicators across different timeframes.
- Interpretation :
- Green Shades : Indicate bullish market sentiment.
- Red Shades : Indicate bearish market sentiment.
- Intensity : The strength of the color corresponds to the strength of the sentiment score.
Sentiment Table
- Purpose : Displays the status of each indicator across different timeframes.
- Interpretation :
- Green Cell : The indicator suggests a bullish signal.
- Red Cell : The indicator suggests a bearish signal.
- Percentage Score : Indicates the overall bullish or bearish sentiment on that timeframe.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
- Purpose : Provide dynamic support and resistance levels.
- Colors :
- EMA 10 : Lime
- EMA 20 : Yellow
- EMA 50 : Orange
- EMA 100 : Red
- EMA 200 : Purple
Trendlines
- Purpose : Visual representation of support and resistance levels based on pivot points.
- Interpretation :
- Upward Trendlines : Colored green , indicating support levels.
- Downward Trendlines : Colored red , indicating resistance levels.
- Note : Trendlines are drawn using the library from Simple Trendlines .
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Utility of Market Sentiment
The indicator aggregates signals from multiple technical indicators across various timeframes to compute an overall market sentiment score . This comprehensive approach helps traders understand the prevailing market conditions by:
Confirming Trends : Multiple indicators pointing in the same direction can confirm the strength of a trend.
Identifying Reversals : Divergences and fractals can signal potential turning points.
Timeframe Alignment : Aligning signals across different timeframes can enhance the probability of successful trades.
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Divergences
Divergence occurs when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, suggesting a potential reversal.
- Bullish Divergence : Price makes a lower low, but the indicator makes a higher low.
- Bearish Divergence : Price makes a higher high, but the indicator makes a lower high.
The indicator detects divergences for:
RSI
MACD
Stochastic Oscillator
On-Balance Volume (OBV)
Money Flow Index (MFI)
Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line)
By identifying these divergences, traders can spot early signs of trend reversals and adjust their strategies accordingly.
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Trendlines
Trendlines are essential tools for identifying support and resistance levels. The indicator automatically draws trendlines based on pivot points:
- Upward Trendlines (Support) : Connect higher lows, indicating an uptrend.
- Downward Trendlines (Resistance) : Connect lower highs, indicating a downtrend.
These trendlines help traders visualize the trend direction and potential breakout or reversal points.
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Super Trend Reversals (ST Reversal)
The core idea behind the Super Trend Reversals indicator is to assess the momentum of automated trading bots (often referred to as 'Supertrend bots') that enter the market during critical turning points. Specifically, the indicator is tuned to identify when the market is nearing bottoms or peaks, just before it shifts direction based on the triggered Supertrend signals. This approach helps traders:
Engage Early : Enter the market as reversal momentum builds up.
Optimize Entries and Exits : Enter under favorable conditions and exit before momentum wanes.
By capturing these reversal points, traders can enhance their trading performance.
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Conclusion
The Swiss Knife indicator serves as a versatile tool that combines multiple technical analysis methods into a single, comprehensive indicator. By assessing various aspects of the market—including trend direction, momentum, volume, and price action—it provides traders with valuable insights to make informed trading decisions.
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Citations
- Divergence Detection Library : Divergence Indicator by DevLucem
- Trendline Drawing Library : Simple Trendlines by HoanGhetti
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Note : This indicator is intended for informational purposes and should be used in conjunction with other analysis techniques. Always perform due diligence before making trading decisions.
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Entropy Indicator [CHE]Entropy in Technical Analysis Using TradingView
Slide 1: Title
Entropy in Technical Analysis Using TradingView
Introduction to the concept of entropy
Application in technical analysis
Understanding the use of entropy as a market indicator
Slide 2: What is Entropy?
Definition and Origins:
Entropy originates from thermodynamics and information theory.
In thermodynamics, entropy describes the degree of disorder or randomness in a system.
In information theory, entropy quantifies the uncertainty or unpredictability of information content.
Mathematical Definition:
Entropy measures the unpredictability of a system.
The basic idea: Higher entropy means more randomness; lower entropy indicates more predictability.
Formula: Entropy is calculated using the probabilities of different outcomes, based on how frequently certain price levels are reached.
Slide 3: Entropy in Financial Markets
Why Entropy Matters:
Market Uncertainty: Entropy can measure the level of uncertainty or randomness in financial markets.
Volatility Indicator: High entropy may indicate a volatile, unpredictable market, while low entropy suggests a stable, predictable market.
Applications in Trading:
Trend Analysis: Identifying periods of high entropy can help detect potential trend reversals or periods of market consolidation.
Risk Management: Using entropy to adjust trading strategies based on the perceived level of market uncertainty.
Slide 4: How Entropy is Calculated in Trading
Step-by-Step Process:
Data Collection:
The first step is to gather the relevant price data over a specific period, such as 200 closing prices. This data forms the basis of the entropy calculation, representing the market's recent behavior.
Defining Bins:
The price range within the collected data is divided into a fixed number of bins or intervals. These bins represent different price levels. For instance, if you choose 5 bins, the price range will be split into 5 equal segments.
Assigning Data to Bins:
The next step is to assign each price within the data to one of these bins. This step helps in understanding how frequently the price falls within specific ranges, indicating the distribution of prices over the period.
Calculating Probabilities:
After assigning the data to bins, calculate the probability for each bin by dividing the number of data points in each bin by the total number of data points. These probabilities reflect how often prices fall into each range.
Computing Entropy:
Entropy is then calculated based on the distribution of these probabilities. The formula involves summing the products of each probability and the logarithm of that probability. This calculation tells us how evenly the prices are distributed across the bins.
Interpretation for Traders:
High entropy indicates that the prices are spread evenly across the bins, suggesting a highly random and uncertain market. Low entropy, on the other hand, shows that prices are concentrated in fewer bins, indicating more predictable and stable market conditions.
Slide 5: Implementing and Using Entropy in TradingView
How It Works in TradingView:
Data Period: Typically, entropy is calculated over a specific number of bars (e.g., 200), representing recent market activity. The longer the period, the broader the market behavior considered.
Bin Division: The price range during this period is divided into a set number of bins. These bins help to categorize price levels and assess how spread out the market’s activity is.
Entropy Calculation: The indicator evaluates the spread of prices across these bins to determine the level of market disorder. This is visualized on the chart as an entropy line, helping traders to see fluctuations in market uncertainty.
Practical Application:
As a trader, you can use the entropy indicator to gauge when the market is in a state of high uncertainty (high entropy) or low uncertainty (low entropy). This insight can inform decisions on when to take riskier trades or when to stay conservative.
Slide 6: Interpreting the Entropy Indicator
High Entropy:
Characteristics:
Indicates a high level of market disorder, where price movements are more random and less predictable.
Suggests volatile or unpredictable market conditions.
Implications for Traders:
During periods of high entropy, traders might need to exercise greater caution, reduce position sizes, or employ more defensive trading strategies.
High entropy could signal potential trend reversals or significant market movements, making it a critical period to watch closely.
Low Entropy:
Characteristics:
Suggests that the market is more predictable, with prices showing less variation and more consistent trends.
Typically associated with trending markets where price movement is more orderly.
Implications for Traders:
In a low entropy environment, traders might favor trend-following strategies, as the market shows clearer directional movement.
Low entropy can also suggest more reliable trading opportunities, where the risk of sudden, unpredictable price swings is reduced.
Slide 7: Use Cases and Strategy Integration
Practical Use Cases:
Trend Reversals: Use entropy to identify potential points where a market may shift from trending to consolidating, or vice versa. A sudden increase in entropy might indicate the end of a stable trend and the start of a more volatile period.
Volatility Detection: Detect periods of increased market volatility by observing spikes in entropy. These periods can be critical for adjusting your trading strategy, either by scaling back or by taking advantage of the increased movement.
Strategy Integration:
Risk Management: Incorporate entropy into your risk management strategy by adjusting position sizes, leverage, or stop-loss levels based on the current entropy reading. In high entropy conditions, it might be wise to take smaller, more conservative positions.
Combining Indicators: Entropy can be effectively combined with other indicators, such as moving averages or RSI, to provide a more comprehensive view of market conditions. For example, using entropy alongside a trend indicator can help confirm whether a trend is strong and likely to continue, or if it's weakening and at risk of reversal.
Slide 8: Advantages and Limitations of Entropy
Advantages:
Unique Perspective: Entropy offers a unique way to measure market uncertainty that complements traditional volatility measures. It provides traders with insights into the randomness and predictability of price movements, which can be crucial for strategic decision-making.
Dynamic Analysis: Entropy adapts to changes in market conditions, offering real-time insights into the level of market disorder. This makes it a valuable tool for traders who need to stay responsive to the market's evolving dynamics.
Limitations:
Complex Interpretation: Unlike more straightforward indicators, entropy requires a deeper understanding to interpret correctly. Traders need to be familiar with how entropy levels relate to market behavior and what actions to take in response.
Sensitivity to Parameters: The results can vary significantly depending on the number of bins and the data period chosen, requiring careful parameter selection. Traders may need to experiment with different settings to find the most informative configuration for their specific market or trading style.
Slide 9: Conclusion
Key Takeaways:
Entropy as a Tool: Provides a unique perspective on market dynamics by measuring unpredictability. This can help traders better understand the nature of market conditions and tailor their strategies accordingly.
Practical Application: Can enhance trading strategies, particularly in volatile markets, by helping to identify periods of high uncertainty and adjusting risk management practices.
Further Exploration: Experimenting with different bin sizes and periods can help fine-tune the entropy indicator for specific markets and trading strategies. Traders are encouraged to combine entropy with other indicators to build a more robust trading framework.
Final Thoughts:
Entropy is a powerful concept that, when applied correctly, can offer valuable insights into market behavior. It should be used in conjunction with other tools and indicators to make informed trading decisions, particularly in markets where unpredictability plays a significant role.
This presentation provides a comprehensive overview of entropy, its significance in financial markets, and how it can be practically applied as an indicator in TradingView. The focus is on how traders can use entropy to enhance their trading strategies and improve their understanding of market conditions.
Best regards
Chervolino
Dynamic Bollinger Bands with Momentum and Volume (DBBMV)Overview
The Dynamic Bollinger Bands with Momentum and Volume (DBBMV) indicator enhances the traditional Bollinger Bands by dynamically adjusting their width and position based on momentum and volume. This provides a more responsive and context-aware indication of price volatility and potential reversals.
Key Features
Momentum Adjusted Bands: Adjusts the bands' width based on the momentum indicator, reflecting the rate of change in price.
Volume Weighted Bands: Further adjusts the bands based on trading volume to reflect market activity and price volatility.
Signal Alerts: Provides buy and sell signals based on price action relative to the dynamic bands, helping traders identify entry and exit points.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust the lookback period, momentum sensitivity, and volume weighting for personalized analysis.
How It Works
The DBBMV indicator starts with the traditional Bollinger Bands, which are calculated using a moving average and standard deviation of the selected price source. The width of these bands is then adjusted based on the momentum of the price, making them more sensitive to price changes. Further adjustments are made based on trading volume, which ensures that the bands accurately reflect current market conditions. This results in a set of dynamic Bollinger Bands that provide more nuanced insights into price volatility and potential reversals.
Usage Instructions
Identify Volatile Periods: Use the dynamically adjusted bands to identify periods of high and low volatility in the market.
Spot Reversals: Look for buy signals when the price crosses above the lower band and sell signals when the price crosses below the upper band.
Adjust Sensitivity: Customize the lookback period, momentum sensitivity, and volume weighting to fine-tune the indicator to your specific trading strategy and market conditions.
Enhance Analysis: Combine the DBBMV indicator with other technical analysis tools for a more comprehensive market analysis.
Volume Confirmation: Use the volume-weighted adjustments to confirm the strength of price movements and potential breakouts.
The Dynamic Bollinger Bands with Momentum and Volume (DBBMV) indicator provides traders with a powerful tool to understand market dynamics better and make informed trading decisions based on adjusted volatility and market activity.
Gaussian Price Filter [BackQuant]Gaussian Price Filter
Overview and History of the Gaussian Transformation
The Gaussian transformation, often associated with the Gaussian (normal) distribution, is a mathematical function characteristically prominent in statistics and probability theory. The bell-shaped curve of the Gaussian function, expressing the normal distribution, is ubiquitously employed in various scientific and engineering disciplines, including financial market analysis. This transformation's core utility in trading and economic forecasting is derived from its efficacy in smoothing data series and highlighting underlying trends, which are pivotal for making strategic trading decisions.
The Gaussian filter, specifically, is a type of data-smoothing algorithm that mitigates the random "noise" of market price data, thus enhancing the visibility of crucial trend changes and patterns. Historically, this concept was adapted from fields such as signal processing and image editing, where precise extraction of useful information from noisy environments is critical.
1. What is a Gaussian Transformation?
A Gaussian transformation involves the application of a Gaussian function to a set of data points. The function is applied as a filter in the context of trading algorithms to smooth time series data, which helps in identifying the intrinsic trends obscured by market volatility. The transformation is characterized by its parameter, sigma (σ), representing the standard deviation, which determines the width of the Gaussian bell curve. The breadth of this curve impacts the degree of smoothing: a wider curve (higher sigma value) results in more smoothing, beneficial for longer-term trend analysis.
2. Filtering Price with Gaussian Transformation and its Benefits
In the provided Script, the Gaussian transformation is utilized to filter price data. The filtering process involves convolving the price data with Gaussian weights, which are calculated based on the chosen length (the number of data points considered) and sigma. This convolution process smooths out short-term fluctuations and highlights longer-term movements, facilitating a clearer analysis of market trends.
Benefits:
Reduces noise: It filters out minor price movements and random fluctuations, which are often misleading.
Enhances trend recognition: By smoothing the data, it becomes easier to identify significant trends and reversals.
Improves decision-making: Traders can make more informed decisions by focusing on substantive, smoothed data rather than reacting to random noise.
3. Potential Limitations and Issues
While Gaussian filters are highly effective in smoothing data, they are not without limitations:
Lag introduction: Like all moving averages, the Gaussian filter introduces a lag between the actual price movements and the output signal, which can delay decision-making.
Feature blurring: Over-smoothing might obscure significant price movements, especially if a large sigma is used.
Parameter sensitivity: The choice of length and sigma significantly affects the output, requiring optimization and backtesting to determine the best settings for specific market conditions.
4. Extending Gaussian Filters to Other Indicators
The methodology used to filter price data with a Gaussian filter can similarly be applied to other technical indicators, such as RSI (Relative Strength Index) or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). By smoothing these indicators, traders can reduce false signals and enhance the reliability of the indicators' outputs, leading to potentially more accurate signals and better timing for entering or exiting trades.
5. Application in Trading
In trading, the Gaussian Price Filter can be strategically used to:
Spot trend reversals: Smoothed price data can more clearly indicate when a trend is starting to change, which is crucial for catching reversals early.
Define entry and exit points: The filtered data points can help in setting more precise entry and exit thresholds, minimizing the risk and maximizing the potential return.
Filter other data streams: Apply the Gaussian filter on volume or open interest data to identify significant changes in market dynamics.
6. Functionality of the Script
The script is designed to:
Calculate Gaussian weights (f_gaussianWeights function): Generates the weights used for the Gaussian kernel based on the provided length and sigma.
Apply the Gaussian filter (f_applyGaussianFilter function): Uses the weights to compute the smoothed price data.
Conditional Trend Detection and Coloring: Determines the trend direction based on the filtered price and colors the price bars on the chart to visually represent the trend.
7. Specific Actions of This Code
The Pine Script provided by BackQuant executes several specific actions:
Input Handling: It allows users to specify the source data (src), kernel length, and sigma directly in the chart settings.
Weight Calculation and Normalization: Computes the Gaussian weights and normalizes them to ensure their sum equals one, which maintains the original data scale.
Filter Application: Applies the normalized Gaussian kernel to the price data to produce a smoothed output.
Trend Identification and Visualization: Identifies whether the market is trending upwards or downwards based on the smoothed data and colors the bars green (up) or red (down) to indicate the trend direction.
Swing IdentifierThe "Swing Identifier" is a custom Pine Script indicator designed for use in the TradingView platform. It serves to visually identify and mark swing highs and swing lows on a trading chart, which are key concepts in technical analysis. This script is comprehensive and customizable, making it a useful tool for traders looking to pinpoint potential trend reversals and support or resistance areas.
**Key Features of the 'Swing Identifier' Indicator:**
1. **Swing Range Input:**
- This input determines the number of bars to the left and right of the current bar that the script will examine to identify a swing high or low. A larger value will look for swings over a broader range, potentially identifying more significant swings but at the expense of sensitivity.
2. **Swing Strength Input:**
- The swing strength is set as a percentage and is used to filter out insignificant price movements. A swing high or low is only considered valid if the percentage change from the last swing is greater than this input value. This feature helps in avoiding false signals in sideways or less volatile markets.
3. **Use Wicks Option:**
- Users can choose whether to consider the wicks of the candles or just the closing prices in identifying swings. This feature adds flexibility, allowing the script to be tailored to different trading styles and strategies.
4. **Line Color Customization:**
- The color of the lines marking the swings can be customized, enhancing the visual appeal and readability of the chart.
**Operational Mechanics:**
1. **Identification of Swing Highs and Lows:**
- The script uses the `ta.pivothigh` and `ta.pivotlow` functions to identify swing highs and lows. Whether it uses the high/low of the candles or their closing prices is determined by the user's choice in the "Use Wicks" option.
2. **Drawing and Updating Lines:**
- When a new swing high or low is identified, and it meets the percentage change criteria from the previous swing, a line is drawn from the last swing low to the current high (or vice versa). If a new swing high (or low) is identified that is higher (or lower) than the previous one, the old line is deleted, and a new line is drawn.
3. **Swing Update Logic:**
- The script maintains a toggle mechanism to look alternatively for highs and lows. This ensures that it sequentially identifies a high and then a low (or vice versa), which aligns with how actual market swings behave.
**Usage in Trading:**
1. **Identifying Trend Reversals:**
- By marking swing highs and lows, the script helps traders identify potential trend reversals. A break of a swing low in an uptrend or a swing high in a downtrend could signal a change in the prevailing trend.
2. **Support and Resistance:**
- Swing highs and lows often act as levels of support and resistance. Traders can use these levels for setting entry or exit points, stop losses, and take profit orders.
3. **Customization for Strategy:**
- The customizable nature of the script allows traders to adjust the parameters according to their trading strategy, time frame, and asset volatility.
In summary, the "Swing Identifier" is a versatile and customizable tool that aids in visually identifying crucial price swing points, thereby assisting traders in making informed decisions based on technical analysis principles.
OBV Oscillator Volume FilterOBV Oscillator Volume Filter
Introduction
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) is a widely-used technical indicator that aims to relate price and volume in trading. Price and volume are two of the most basic and yet crucial concepts in price movement. Together, they can reveal a lot about the instruments trends and the market's sentiment. This On Balance Volume (OBV) Oscillator incorporates enhanced features like a volume filter using a rolling window to detect outliers in accumulated volume, making it an advanced and more refined version of the standard OBV.
Interpreting the OBV Indicator
The primary function of the OBV is to accumulate volume. In simpler terms:
When the market closes higher than the previous candle, all of that candle's volume is considered 'up-volume'.
Conversely, when the market closes lower than the previous day, all of that candle's volume is considered 'down-volume'.
A rising OBV suggests that volume is being accumulated, indicating bullish market sentiment. A declining OBV, on the other hand, points to a bearish sentiment.
Features of the Script
1. Moving Averages Selection:
The script provides users with the option to select among six types of moving averages (EMA, DEMA, TEMA, SMA, WMA, HMA) to calculate the OBV. This feature offers flexibility and enables traders to choose an MA type they're most comfortable with or find the most effective.
2. Smoothing Option:
To reduce the inherent noise in the indicator, there's an option to apply smoothing. It uses a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to produce a clearer signal, making it easier for traders to interpret and respond to. If you don't want to use smoothing, just simply change the input length of smoothing to 1 in the settings.
3. Outlier Detection:
One of the standout features is the use of a rolling window to detect volume outliers. This ensures that the OBV only reacts to significant volume changes and isn't overly influenced by random spikes or drops. The volume filter is calculated based on a % of the highest OBV volume of X number of bars back. Users can adjust the time (# bars) and the sensitivity (%) of the volume filter. A longer timeperiode (# bars) and a higher % (sensitivity) in the settings result to less signals presented by the indicator.
4. Divergence Detection:
The script automatically highlights both regular and hidden divergences on the chart. Divergences can be a powerful signal of potential price reversals. This feature aids traders in spotting potential buy or sell opportunities based on divergences between price and OBV.
Regular Bullish Divergence: When the price makes lower lows, but the OBV makes higher lows.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: When the price makes higher lows, but the OBV makes lower lows.
Regular Bearish Divergence: When the price makes higher highs, but the OBV makes lower highs.
Hidden Bearish Divergence: When the price makes lower highs, but the OBV makes higher highs.
5. Alerts for Trend Reversals:
The script incorporates alerts that notify traders when the OBV indicates potential trend reversals. This feature can be instrumental in catching early entries or exits.
Disclaimer
It's crucial to understand that no single indicator should be used in isolation. To increase the probability of making accurate market predictions, always use the OBV Oscillator in conjunction with other indicators and tools. Remember that all trading involves risk, and it's possible to lose your invested capital. Always seek advice from a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. By enhancing the OBV with features like the volume filter, multiple MA types, smoothing, and divergence detection, this script becomes a potent tool in a trader's arsenal. Use it wisely, and always ensure to maintain proper risk management.
SuperBollingerTrend (Expo)█ Overview
The SuperBollingerTrend indicator is a combination of two popular technical analysis tools, Bollinger Bands, and SuperTrend. By fusing these two indicators, SuperBollingerTrend aims to provide traders with a more comprehensive view of the market, accounting for both volatility and trend direction. By combining trend identification with volatility analysis, the SuperBollingerTrend indicator provides traders with valuable insights into potential trend changes. It recognizes that high volatility levels often accompany stronger price momentum, which can result in the formation of new trends or the continuation of existing ones.
█ How Volatility Impacts Trends
Volatility can impact trends by expanding or contracting them, triggering trend reversals, leading to breakouts, and influencing risk management decisions. Traders need to analyze and monitor volatility levels in conjunction with trend analysis to gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
█ How to use
Trend Reversals: High volatility can result in more dramatic price fluctuations, which may lead to sharp trend reversals. For example, a sudden increase in volatility can cause a bullish trend to transition into a bearish one, or vice versa, as traders react to significant price swings.
Volatility Breakouts: Volatility can trigger breakouts in trends. Breakouts occur when the price breaks through a significant support or resistance level, indicating a potential shift in the trend. Higher volatility levels can increase the likelihood of breakouts, as they indicate stronger market momentum and increased buying or selling pressure. This indicator triggers when the volatility increases, and if the price is near a key level when the indicator alerts, it might trigger a great trend.
█ Features
Peak Signal Move
The indicator calculates the peak price move for each ZigZag and displays it under each signal. This highlights how much the market moved between the signals.
Average ZigZag Move
All price moves between two signals are stored, and the average or the median is calculated and displayed in a table. This gives traders a great idea of how much the market moves on average between two signals.
Take Profit
The Take Profit line is placed at the average or the median price move and gives traders a great idea of what they can expect in average profit from the latest signals.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
HARSI PRO v2 - Advanced Adaptive Heikin-Ashi RSI OscillatorThis script is a fully re-engineered and enhanced version of the original Heikin-Ashi RSI Oscillator created by JayRogers. While it preserves the foundational concept and visual structure of the original indicatorusing Heikin-Ashi-style candles to represent RSI movementit introduces a range of institutional-grade engines and real-time analytics modules.
The core idea behind HARSI is to visualize the internal structure of RSI behavior using candle representations. This gives traders a clearer sense of trend continuity, exhaustion, and momentum inflection. In this upgraded version, the system is extended far beyond basic visualization into a comprehensive diagnostic and context-tracking tool.
Core Enhancements and Features
1. Heikin-Ashi RSI Candles
The base HARSI logic transforms RSI values into open, high, low, and close components, which are plotted as Heikin-Ashi-style candles. The open values are smoothed with a user-controlled bias setting, and the high/low are calculated from zero-centered RSI values.
2. Smoothed RSI Histogram and Plot
A secondary RSI plot and histogram are available for traditional RSI interpretation, optionally smoothed using a custom midpoint EMA process.
3. Dynamic Stochastic RSI Ribbon
The indicator optionally includes a smoothed Stochastic RSI ribbon with directional fill to highlight acceleration and reversal zones.
4. Real-Time Meta-State Engine
This engine determines the current market environmentneutral, breakout, or reversalbased on multiple adaptive conditions including volatility compression, momentum thrust, volume behavior, and composite reversal scoring.
5. Adaptive Overbought/Oversold Zone Engine
Instead of using fixed RSI thresholds, this engine dynamically adjusts OB/OS boundaries based on recent RSI range and normalized price volatility. This makes the OB/OS levels context-sensitive and more accurate across different instruments and regimes.
6. Composite Reversal Score Engine
A real-time score between 0 and 5 is generated using four components:
* OB/OS proximity (zone score)
* RSI slope behavior
* Volume state (burst or exhaustion)
* Trend continuation penalty based on position versus trend bias
This score allows for objective filtering of reversal zones and breakout traps.
7. Kalman Velocity Filter
A Kalman-style adaptive smoothing filter is applied to RSI for calculating velocity and acceleration. This allows for real-time detection of stalls and thrusts in RSI behavior.
8. Predictive Breakout Estimator
Uses ATR compression and RSI thrusting conditions to detect likely breakout environments. This logic contributes to the Meta-State Engine and the Breakout Risk dashboard metric.
9. Volume Acceleration Model
Real-time detection of volume bursts and fades based on VWMA baselines. Volume exhaustion warnings are used to qualify or disqualify reversals and breakouts.
10. Trend Bias and Regime Detection
Uses RSI slope, HARSI body impulse, and normalized ATR to classify the current trend state and directional bias. This forms the basis for filtering false reversals during strong trends.
11. Dashboard with Tooltips
A clean, table displays six key metrics in real time:
* Meta State
* Reversal Score
* Trend Bias
* Volume State
* Volatility Regime
* Breakout Risk
Each cell includes a descriptive tooltip explaining why the value is being shown based on internal state calculations.
How It Works Internally
* The system calculates a zero-centered RSI and builds candle structures using high, low, and smoothed open/close values.
* Volatility normalization is used throughout the script, including ATR-based thresholds and dynamic scaling of OB/OS zones.
* Momentum is filtered through smoothed slope calculations and HARSI body size measurements.
* Volume activity is compared against VWMA using configurable multipliers to detect institutional-level activity or exhaustion.
* Each regime detection module contributes to a centralized metaState classifier that determines whether the environment is conducive to reversal, breakout, or neutral action.
* All major signal and context values are continuously updated in a dashboard table with logic-driven color coding and tooltips.
Based On and Credits
This script is based on the original Heikin-Ashi RSI Oscillator by JayRogers . All visual elements from the original version, including candle plotting and color configurations, have been retained and extended. Significant backend enhancements were added by AresIQ for the 2025 release. The script remains open-source under the original attribution license. Credit to JayRogers is preserved and required for any derivative versions.
Candle/Keltner Channels BUY SELLWhy Use Candlesticks?
They help traders visualize price action
Used in technical analysis and price pattern recognition (e.g., Doji, Engulfing, Hammer)
Assist in determining entry and exit points
Why Traders Use Keltner Channels?
Keltner Channels are widely used by traders for identifying trends, detecting volatility, and spotting trade opportunities.
1. Trend Identification
The middle line (EMA) shows the general trend.
If price consistently stays above the middle line, it indicates a strong uptrend.
If price stays below, it signals a downtrend.
Use: Traders follow the trend direction to enter trades in line with momentum.
2. Volatility Measurement
The width of the channel expands and contracts based on Average True Range (ATR).
Wider channels = high volatility, tighter channels = low volatility.
Use: Helps traders decide when to expect breakouts or calm periods.
3. Breakout Signals
A break above the upper band can signal a bullish breakout.
A break below the lower band can signal a bearish breakout.
Use: Traders use this for momentum trading and breakout entries.
4. Overbought/Oversold Conditions
Price touching or crossing the upper band may suggest it's overbought.
Price touching or crossing the lower band may suggest it's oversold.
Use: Traders combine this with RSI or MACD to confirm reversal setups.
5. Trade Entry and Exit
When price pulls back to the middle EMA during a trend, it may present a buy/sell opportunity.
Exits can also be planned if price returns inside the bands after a breakout.
Use: Helps with precise entry and exit timing.
6. Combines Well With Other Indicators
Commonly used with:
RSI (for confirmation)
MACD (for momentum)
Candlestick patterns (for price action signals)
Combining Candlestick Patterns with Keltner Channels gives traders a powerful method to confirm entries, spot reversals, and improve accuracy. Here’s why this combination works so well:
1. Context for Candlestick Signals
Candlestick patterns (like doji, engulfing, or pin bars) show potential price reversals, but they need context to be reliable. Keltner Channels provide that context:
A bullish candlestick near the lower band suggests a stronger buy signal.
A bearish candlestick near the upper band strengthens a sell signal.
2. Filtering False Signals
Candlestick patterns occur frequently, and not all are meaningful.
The location within the Keltner Channel helps filter out weak or false patterns.
Example: A bullish engulfing candle outside the lower band = high-probability reversal.
3. Improved Entry Timing
Traders wait for a candlestick pattern confirmation when price touches or crosses a Keltner band.
This avoids premature entries and allows tighter stop-losses.
4. Better Risk-Reward Setup
Candlestick entry near channel extremes (upper/lower band) lets traders place stop-losses just beyond recent highs/lows.
The target can be the opposite side of the channel or the middle EMA.
5. Visual Simplicity
Keltner Channels + Candles are visually intuitive.
Even beginner traders can easily recognize:
Overextended candles near channel edges.
Confirmed breakouts or reversals.
This Timeframe 5 min : XAUUSD
Bober XM v2.0# ₿ober XM v2.0 Trading Bot Documentation
**Developer's Note**: While our previous Bot 1.3.1 was removed due to guideline violations, this setback only fueled our determination to create something even better. Rising from this challenge, Bober XM 2.0 emerges not just as an update, but as a complete reimagining with multi-timeframe analysis, enhanced filters, and superior adaptability. This adversity pushed us to innovate further and deliver a strategy that's smarter, more agile, and more powerful than ever before. Challenges create opportunity - welcome to Cryptobeat's finest work yet.
## !!!!You need to tune it for your own pair and timeframe and retune it periodicaly!!!!!
## Overview
The ₿ober XM v2.0 is an advanced dual-channel trading bot with multi-timeframe analysis capabilities. It integrates multiple technical indicators, customizable risk management, and advanced order execution via webhook for automated trading. The bot's distinctive feature is its separate channel systems for long and short positions, allowing for asymmetric trade strategies that adapt to different market conditions across multiple timeframes.
### Key Features
- **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Analyze price data across multiple timeframes simultaneously
- **Dual Channel System**: Separate parameter sets for long and short positions
- **Advanced Entry Filters**: RSI, Volatility, Volume, Bollinger Bands, and KEMAD filters
- **Machine Learning Moving Average**: Adaptive prediction-based channels
- **Multiple Entry Strategies**: Breakout, Pullback, and Mean Reversion modes
- **Risk Management**: Customizable stop-loss, take-profit, and trailing stop settings
- **Webhook Integration**: Compatible with external trading bots and platforms
### Strategy Components
| Component | Description |
|---------|-------------|
| **Dual Channel Trading** | Uses either Keltner Channels or Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA) with separate settings for long and short positions |
| **MLMA Implementation** | Machine learning algorithm that predicts future price movements and creates adaptive bands |
| **Pivot Point SuperTrend** | Trend identification and confirmation system based on pivot points |
| **Three Entry Strategies** | Choose between Breakout, Pullback, or Mean Reversion approaches |
| **Advanced Filter System** | Multiple customizable filters with multi-timeframe support to avoid false signals |
| **Custom Exit Logic** | Exits based on OBV crossover of its moving average combined with pivot trend changes |
### Note for Novice Users
This is a fully featured real trading bot and can be tweaked for any ticker — SOL is just an example. It follows this structure:
1. **Indicator** – gives the initial signal
2. **Entry strategy** – decides when to open a trade
3. **Exit strategy** – defines when to close it
4. **Trend confirmation** – ensures the trade follows the market direction
5. **Filters** – cuts out noise and avoids weak setups
6. **Risk management** – controls losses and protects your capital
To tune it for a different pair, you'll need to start from scratch:
1. Select the timeframe (candle size)
2. Turn off all filters and trend entry/exit confirmations
3. Choose a channel type, channel source and entry strategy
4. Adjust risk parameters
5. Tune long and short settings for the channel
6. Fine-tune the Pivot Point Supertrend and Main Exit condition OBV
This will generate a lot of signals and activity on the chart. Your next task is to find the right combination of filters and settings to reduce noise and tune it for profitability.
### Default Strategy values
Default values are tuned for: Symbol BITGET:SOLUSDT.P 5min candle
Filters are off by default: Try to play with it to understand how it works
## Configuration Guide
### General Settings
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Long Positions** | Enable or disable long trades | Enabled |
| **Short Positions** | Enable or disable short trades | Enabled |
| **Risk/Reward Area** | Visual display of stop-loss and take-profit zones | Enabled |
| **Long Entry Source** | Price data used for long entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
| **Short Entry Source** | Price data used for short entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
The bot allows you to trade long positions, short positions, or both simultaneously. Each direction has its own set of parameters, allowing for fine-tuned strategies that recognize the asymmetric nature of market movements.
### Multi-Timeframe Settings
1. **Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Toggle 'Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis' in the Multi-Timeframe Settings section
2. **Configure Timeframes**: Set appropriate higher timeframes based on your trading style:
- Timeframe 1: Default is now 15 minutes (intraday confirmation)
- Timeframe 2: Default is 4 hours (trend direction)
3. **Select Sources per Indicator**: For each indicator (RSI, KEMAD, Volume, etc.), choose:
- The desired timeframe (current, mtf1, or mtf2)
- The appropriate price type (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
### Entry Strategies
- **Breakout**: Enter when price breaks above/below the channel
- **Pullback**: Enter when price pulls back to the channel
- **Mean Reversion**: Enter when price is extended from the channel
You can enable different strategies for long and short positions.
### Core Components
### Risk Management
- **Position Size**: Control risk with percentage-based position sizing
- **Stop Loss Options**:
- Fixed: Set a specific price or percentage from entry
- ATR-based: Dynamic stop-loss based on market volatility
- Swing: Uses recent swing high/low points
- **Take Profit**: Multiple targets with percentage allocation
- **Trailing Stop**: Dynamic stop that follows price movement
## Advanced Usage Strategies
### Moving Average Type Selection Guide
- **SMA**: More stable in choppy markets, good for higher timeframes
- **EMA/WMA**: More responsive to recent price changes, better for entry signals
- **VWMA**: Adds volume weighting for stronger trends, use with Volume filter
- **HMA**: Balance between responsiveness and noise reduction, good for volatile markets
### Multi-Timeframe Strategy Approaches
- **Trend Confirmation**: Use higher timeframe RSI (mtf2) for overall trend, current timeframe for entries
- **Entry Precision**: Use KEMAD on current timeframe with volume filter on mtf1
- **False Signal Reduction**: Apply RSI filter on mtf1 with strict KEMAD settings
### Market Condition Optimization
| Market Condition | Recommended Settings |
|------------------|----------------------|
| **Trending** | Use Breakout strategy with KEMAD filter on higher timeframe |
| **Ranging** | Use Mean Reversion with strict RSI filter (mtf1) |
| **Volatile** | Increase ATR multipliers, use HMA for moving averages |
| **Low Volatility** | Decrease noise parameters, use pullback strategy |
## Webhook Integration
The strategy features a professional webhook system that allows direct connectivity to your exchange or trading platform of choice through third-party services like 3commas, Alertatron, or Autoview.
The webhook payload includes all necessary parameters for automated execution:
- Entry price and direction
- Stop loss and take profit levels
- Position size
- Custom identifier for webhook routing
## Performance Optimization Tips
1. **Start with Defaults**: Begin with the default settings for your timeframe before customizing
2. **Adjust One Component at a Time**: Make incremental changes and test the impact
3. **Match MA Types to Market Conditions**: Use appropriate moving average types based on the Market Condition Optimization table
4. **Timeframe Synergy**: Create logical relationships between timeframes (e.g., 5min chart with 15min and 4h higher timeframes)
5. **Periodic Retuning**: Markets evolve - regularly review and adjust parameters
## Common Setups
### Crypto Trend-Following
- MLMA with EMA or HMA
- Higher RSI thresholds (75/25)
- KEMAD filter on mtf1
- Breakout entry strategy
### Stock Swing Trading
- MLMA with SMA for stability
- Volume filter with higher threshold
- KEMAD with increased filter order
- Pullback entry strategy
### Forex Scalping
- MLMA with WMA and lower noise parameter
- RSI filter on current timeframe
- Use highest timeframe for trend direction only
- Mean Reversion strategy
## Webhook Configuration
- **Benefits**:
- Automated trade execution without manual intervention
- Immediate response to market conditions
- Consistent execution of your strategy
- **Implementation Notes**:
- Requires proper webhook configuration on your exchange or platform
- Test thoroughly with small position sizes before full deployment
- Consider latency between signal generation and execution
### Backtesting Period
Define a specific historical period to evaluate the bot's performance:
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Start Date** | Beginning of backtest period | January 1, 2025 |
| **End Date** | End of backtest period | December 31, 2026 |
- **Best Practice**: Test across different market conditions (bull markets, bear markets, sideways markets)
- **Limitation**: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
## Entry and Exit Strategies
### Dual-Channel System
A key innovation of the Bober XM is its dual-channel approach:
- **Independent Parameters**: Each trade direction has its own channel settings
- **Asymmetric Trading**: Recognizes that markets often behave differently in uptrends versus downtrends
- **Optimized Performance**: Fine-tune settings for both bullish and bearish conditions
This approach allows the bot to adapt to the natural asymmetry of markets, where uptrends often develop gradually while downtrends can be sharp and sudden.
### Channel Types
#### 1. Keltner Channels
Traditional volatility-based channels using EMA and ATR:
| Setting | Long Default | Short Default |
|---------|--------------|---------------|
| **EMA Length** | 37 | 20 |
| **ATR Length** | 13 | 17 |
| **Multiplier** | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| **Source** | low | high |
- **Strengths**:
- Reliable in trending markets
- Less prone to whipsaws than Bollinger Bands
- Clear visual representation of volatility
- **Weaknesses**:
- Can lag during rapid market changes
- Less effective in choppy, non-trending markets
#### 2. Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA)
Advanced predictive model using kernel regression (RBF kernel):
| Setting | Description | Options |
|---------|-------------|--------|
| **Source MA** | Price data used for MA calculations | Any price source (low/high/close/etc.) |
| **Moving Average Type** | Type of MA algorithm for calculations | SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, RMA, HMA |
| **Trend Source** | Price data used for trend determination | Any price source (close default) |
| **Window Size** | Historical window for MLMA calculations | 5+ (default: 16) |
| **Forecast Length** | Number of bars to forecast ahead | 1+ (default: 3) |
| **Noise Parameter** | Controls smoothness of prediction | 0.01+ (default: ~0.43) |
| **Band Multiplier** | Multiplier for channel width | 0.1+ (default: 0.5-0.6) |
- **Strengths**:
- Predictive rather than reactive
- Adapts quickly to changing market conditions
- Better at identifying trend reversals early
- **Weaknesses**:
- More computationally intensive
- Requires careful parameter tuning
- Can be sensitive to input data quality
### Entry Strategies
| Strategy | Description | Ideal Market Conditions |
|----------|-------------|-------------------------|
| **Breakout** | Enters when price breaks through channel bands, indicating strong momentum | High volatility, emerging trends |
| **Pullback** | Enters when price retraces to the middle band after testing extremes | Established trends with regular pullbacks |
| **Mean Reversion** | Enters at channel extremes, betting on a return to the mean | Range-bound or oscillating markets |
#### Breakout Strategy (Default)
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price crosses above the upper band, short when price crosses below the lower band
- **Strengths**: Captures strong momentum moves, performs well in trending markets
- **Weaknesses**: Can lead to late entries, higher risk of false breakouts
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Increase channel multiplier for fewer but more reliable signals
- Combine with volume confirmation for better accuracy
#### Pullback Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price pulls back to middle band during uptrend, short during downtrend pullbacks
- **Strengths**: Better entry prices, lower risk, higher probability setups
- **Weaknesses**: Misses some strong moves, requires clear trend identification
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Use with trend filters to confirm overall direction
- Adjust middle band calculation for market volatility
#### Mean Reversion Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long at lower band, short at upper band, expecting price to revert to the mean
- **Strengths**: Excellent entry prices, works well in ranging markets
- **Weaknesses**: Dangerous in strong trends, can lead to fighting the trend
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Implement strong trend filters to avoid counter-trend trades
- Use smaller position sizes due to higher risk nature
### Confirmation Indicators
#### Pivot Point SuperTrend
Combines pivot points with ATR-based SuperTrend for trend confirmation:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Pivot Period** | 25 |
| **ATR Factor** | 2.2 |
| **ATR Period** | 41 |
- **Function**: Identifies significant market turning points and confirms trend direction
- **Implementation**: Requires price to respect the SuperTrend line for trade confirmation
#### Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Provides additional confirmation layer for entries:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Period** | 15 |
| **Source** | ohlc4 (average of Open, High, Low, Close) |
- **Function**: Confirms trend direction and filters out low-quality signals
- **Implementation**: Price must be above WMA for longs, below for shorts
### Exit Strategies
#### On-Balance Volume (OBV) Based Exits
Uses volume flow to identify potential reversals:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Source** | ohlc4 |
| **MA Type** | HMA (Options: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA, HMA) |
| **Period** | 22 |
- **Function**: Identifies divergences between price and volume to exit before reversals
- **Implementation**: Exits when OBV crosses its moving average in the opposite direction
- **Customizable MA Type**: Different MA types provide varying sensitivity to OBV changes:
- **SMA**: Traditional simple average, equal weight to all periods
- **EMA**: More weight to recent data, responds faster to price changes
- **WMA**: Weighted by recency, smoother than EMA
- **RMA**: Similar to EMA but smoother, reduces noise
- **VWMA**: Factors in volume, helpful for OBV confirmation
- **HMA**: Reduces lag while maintaining smoothness (default)
#### ADX Exit Confirmation
Uses Average Directional Index to confirm trend exhaustion:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **ADX Threshold** | 35 |
| **ADX Smoothing** | 60 |
| **DI Length** | 60 |
- **Function**: Confirms trend weakness before exiting positions
- **Implementation**: Requires ADX to drop below threshold or DI lines to cross
## Filter System
### RSI Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on momentum conditions
- **Parameters**:
- Period: 15 (default)
- Overbought level: 71
- Oversold level: 23
- Multi-timeframe support: Current, MTF1 (15min), or MTF2 (4h)
- Customizable price source (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
- **Implementation**: Blocks long entries when RSI > overbought, short entries when RSI < oversold
### Volatility Filter
- **Function**: Prevents trading during excessive market volatility
- **Parameters**:
- Measure: ATR (Average True Range)
- Period: Customizable (default varies by timeframe)
- Threshold: Adjustable multiplier
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Blocks trades when current volatility exceeds threshold × average volatility
### Volume Filter
- **Function**: Ensures adequate market liquidity for trades
- **Parameters**:
- Threshold: 0.4× average (default)
- Measurement period: 5 (default)
- Moving average type: Customizable (HMA default)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Requires current volume to exceed threshold × average volume
### Bollinger Bands Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on price relative to statistical boundaries
- **Parameters**:
- Period: Customizable
- Standard deviation multiplier: Adjustable
- Moving average type: Customizable
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Can require price to be within bands or breaking out of bands depending on strategy
### KEMAD Filter (Kalman EMA Distance)
- **Function**: Advanced trend confirmation using Kalman filter algorithm
- **Parameters**:
- Process Noise: 0.35 (controls smoothness)
- Measurement Noise: 24 (controls reactivity)
- Filter Order: 6 (higher = more smoothing)
- ATR Length: 8 (for bandwidth calculation)
- Upper Multiplier: 2.0 (for long signals)
- Lower Multiplier: 2.7 (for short signals)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable visual indicators
- **Implementation**: Generates signals based on price position relative to Kalman-filtered EMA bands
## Risk Management System
### Position Sizing
Automatically calculates position size based on account equity and risk parameters:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk % of Equity** | 50% |
- **Implementation**:
- Position size = (Account equity × Risk %) ÷ (Entry price × Stop loss distance)
- Adjusts automatically based on volatility and stop placement
- **Best Practices**:
- Start with lower risk percentages (1-2%) until strategy is proven
- Consider reducing risk during high volatility periods
### Stop-Loss Methods
Multiple stop-loss calculation methods with separate configurations for long and short positions:
| Method | Description | Configuration |
|--------|-------------|---------------|
| **ATR-Based** | Dynamic stops based on volatility | ATR Period: 14, Multiplier: 2.0 |
| **Percentage** | Fixed percentage from entry | Long: 1.5%, Short: 1.5% |
| **PIP-Based** | Fixed currency unit distance | 10.0 pips |
- **Implementation Notes**:
- ATR-based stops adapt to changing market volatility
- Percentage stops maintain consistent risk exposure
- PIP-based stops provide precise control in stable markets
### Trailing Stops
Locks in profits by adjusting stop-loss levels as price moves favorably:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
| **Activation Threshold** | 2.1% |
| **Trailing Distance** | 1.4% |
- **Implementation**:
- Initial stop remains fixed until profit reaches activation threshold
- Once activated, stop follows price at specified distance
- Locks in profit while allowing room for normal price fluctuations
### Risk-Reward Parameters
Defines the relationship between risk and potential reward:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk-Reward Ratio** | 1.4 |
| **Take Profit %** | 2.4% |
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
- **Implementation**:
- Take profit distance = Stop loss distance × Risk-reward ratio
- Higher ratios require fewer winning trades for profitability
- Lower ratios increase win rate but reduce average profit
### Filter Combinations
The strategy allows for simultaneous application of multiple filters:
- **Recommended Combinations**:
- Trending markets: RSI + KEMAD filters
- Ranging markets: Bollinger Bands + Volatility filters
- All markets: Volume filter as minimum requirement
- **Performance Impact**:
- Each additional filter reduces the number of trades
- Quality of remaining trades typically improves
- Optimal combination depends on market conditions and timeframe
### Multi-Timeframe Filter Applications
| Filter Type | Current Timeframe | MTF1 (15min) | MTF2 (4h) |
|-------------|-------------------|-------------|------------|
| RSI | Quick entries/exits | Intraday trend | Overall trend |
| Volume | Immediate liquidity | Sustained support | Market participation |
| Volatility | Entry timing | Short-term risk | Regime changes |
| KEMAD | Precise signals | Trend confirmation | Major reversals |
## Visual Indicators and Chart Analysis
The bot provides comprehensive visual feedback on the chart:
- **Channel Bands**: Keltner or MLMA bands showing potential support/resistance
- **Pivot SuperTrend**: Colored line showing trend direction and potential reversal points
- **Entry/Exit Markers**: Annotations showing actual trade entries and exits
- **Risk/Reward Zones**: Visual representation of stop-loss and take-profit levels
These visual elements allow for:
- Real-time strategy assessment
- Post-trade analysis and optimization
- Educational understanding of the strategy logic
## Implementation Guide
### TradingView Setup
1. Load the script in TradingView Pine Editor
2. Apply to your preferred chart and timeframe
3. Adjust parameters based on your trading preferences
4. Enable alerts for webhook integration
### Webhook Integration
1. Configure webhook URL in TradingView alerts
2. Set up receiving endpoint on your trading platform
3. Define message format matching the bot's output
4. Test with small position sizes before full deployment
### Optimization Process
1. Backtest across different market conditions
2. Identify parameter sensitivity through multiple tests
3. Focus on risk management parameters first
4. Fine-tune entry/exit conditions based on performance metrics
5. Validate with out-of-sample testing
## Performance Considerations
### Strengths
- Adaptability to different market conditions through dual channels
- Multiple layers of confirmation reducing false signals
- Comprehensive risk management protecting capital
- Machine learning integration for predictive edge
### Limitations
- Complex parameter set requiring careful optimization
- Potential over-optimization risk with so many variables
- Computational intensity of MLMA calculations
- Dependency on proper webhook configuration for execution
### Best Practices
- Start with conservative risk settings (1-2% of equity)
- Test thoroughly in demo environment before live trading
- Monitor performance regularly and adjust parameters
- Consider market regime changes when evaluating results
## Conclusion
The ₿ober XM v2.0 represents a significant evolution in trading strategy design, combining traditional technical analysis with machine learning elements and multi-timeframe analysis. The core strength of this system lies in its adaptability and recognition of market asymmetry.
### Market Asymmetry and Adaptive Approach
The strategy acknowledges a fundamental truth about markets: bullish and bearish phases behave differently and should be treated as distinct environments. The dual-channel system with separate parameters for long and short positions directly addresses this asymmetry, allowing for optimized performance regardless of market direction.
### Targeted Backtesting Philosophy
It's counterproductive to run backtests over excessively long periods. Markets evolve continuously, and strategies that worked in previous market regimes may be ineffective in current conditions. Instead:
- Test specific market phases separately (bull markets, bear markets, range-bound periods)
- Regularly re-optimize parameters as market conditions change
- Focus on recent performance with higher weight than historical results
- Test across multiple timeframes to ensure robustness
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis as a Game-Changer
The integration of multi-timeframe analysis fundamentally transforms the strategy's effectiveness:
- **Increased Safety**: Higher timeframe confirmations reduce false signals and improve trade quality
- **Context Awareness**: Decisions made with awareness of larger trends reduce adverse entries
- **Adaptable Precision**: Apply strict filters on lower timeframes while maintaining awareness of broader conditions
- **Reduced Noise**: Higher timeframe data naturally filters market noise that can trigger poor entries
The ₿ober XM v2.0 provides traders with a framework that acknowledges market complexity while offering practical tools to navigate it. With proper setup, realistic expectations, and attention to changing market conditions, it delivers a sophisticated approach to systematic trading that can be continuously refined and optimized.
Hurst-Based Trend Persistence w/Poisson Prediction
---
# **Hurst-Based Trend Persistence w/ Poisson Prediction**
## **Introduction**
The **Hurst-Based Trend Persistence with Poisson Prediction** is a **statistically-driven trend-following oscillator** that provides traders with **a structured approach to identifying trend strength, persistence, and potential reversals**.
This indicator combines:
- **Hurst Exponent Analysis** (to measure how persistent or mean-reverting price action is).
- **Color-Coded Trend Detection** (to highlight bullish and bearish conditions).
- **Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Probability Projection** (to anticipate when a trend is likely to end based on statistical models).
By integrating **fractal market theory (Hurst exponent)** with **Poisson probability distributions**, this indicator gives traders a **probability-weighted view of trend duration** while dynamically adapting to market volatility.
---
## **Simplified Explanation (How to Read the Indicator at a Glance)**
1. **If the oscillator line is going up → The trend is strong.**
2. **If the oscillator line is going down → The trend is weakening.**
3. **If the color shifts from red to green (or vice versa), a trend shift has occurred.**
- **Strong trends can change color without weakening** (meaning a bullish or bearish move can remain powerful even as the trend shifts).
4. **A weakening trend does NOT necessarily mean a reversal is coming.**
- The trend may slow down but continue in the same direction.
5. **A strong trend does NOT guarantee it will last.**
- Even a powerful move can **suddenly reverse**, which is why the **Poisson-based background shading** helps anticipate probabilities of change.
---
## **How to Use the Indicator**
### **1. Understanding the Rolling Hurst-Based Trend Oscillator (Main Line)**
The **oscillator line** is based on the **Hurst exponent (H)**, which quantifies whether price movements are:
- **Trending** (values above 0 → momentum-driven, persistent trends).
- **Mean-reverting** (values below 0 → price action is choppy, likely to revert to the mean).
- **Neutral (Random Walk)** (values around 0 → price behaves like a purely stochastic process).
#### **Interpreting the Oscillator:**
- **H > 0.5 → Persistent Trends:**
- Price moves tend to sustain in one direction for longer periods.
- Example: Strong uptrends in bull markets.
- **H < 0.5 → Mean-Reverting Behavior:**
- Price has a tendency to revert back to its mean.
- Example: Sideways markets or fading momentum.
- **H ≈ 0.5 → Random Walk:**
- No clear trend; price is unpredictable.
A **gray dashed horizontal line at 0** serves as a **baseline**, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is **favoring trends or mean reversion**.
---
### **2. Color-Coded Trend Signal (Visual Confirmation of Trend Shifts)**
The oscillator **changes color** based on **price slope** over the lookback period:
- **🟢 Green → Uptrend (Price Increasing)**
- Price is rising relative to the selected lookback period.
- Suggests sustained bullish pressure.
- **🔴 Red → Downtrend (Price Decreasing)**
- Price is falling relative to the selected lookback period.
- Suggests sustained bearish pressure.
#### **How to Use This in Trading**
✔ **Stay in trends until a color change occurs.**
✔ **Use color changes as confirmation for trend reversals.**
✔ **Avoid counter-trend trades when the oscillator remains strongly colored.**
---
### **3. Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Projection (Anticipating Future Shifts)**
The **shaded orange background** represents a **Poisson-based probability estimation** of when the trend is likely to reverse.
- **Darker Orange = Higher Probability of Trend Reversal**
- **Lighter Orange / No Shade = Low Probability of Immediate Reversal**
💡 **The idea behind this model:**
✔ Trends **don’t last forever**, and their duration follows **statistical patterns**.
✔ By calculating the **average historical trend duration**, the indicator predicts **how likely a trend shift is at any given time**.
✔ The **Poisson probability function** is applied to determine the **expected likelihood of a reversal as time progresses**.
---
## **Mathematical Foundations of the Indicator**
This indicator is based on **two primary statistical models**:
### **1. Hurst Exponent & Trend Persistence (Fractal Market Theory)**
- The **Hurst exponent (H)** measures **autocorrelation** in price movements.
- If past trends **persist**, H will be **above 0.5** (meaning trend-following strategies are favorable).
- If past trends tend to **mean-revert**, H will be **below 0.5** (meaning reversal strategies are more effective).
- The **Rolling Hurst Oscillator** calculates this exponent over a moving window to track real-time trend conditions.
#### **Formula Breakdown (Simplified for Traders)**
The Hurst exponent (H) is derived using the **Rescaled Range (R/S) Analysis**:
\
Where:
- **R** = **Range** (difference between max cumulative deviation and min cumulative deviation).
- **S** = **Standard deviation** of price fluctuations.
- **Lookback** = The number of periods analyzed.
---
### **2. Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Probability (Stochastic Process Modeling)**
The **Poisson process** is a **probabilistic model used for estimating time-based events**, applied here to **predict trend reversals based on past trend durations**.
#### **How It Works**
- The indicator **tracks trend durations** (the time between color changes).
- A **Poisson rate parameter (λ)** is computed as:
\
- The **probability of a reversal at any given time (t)** is estimated using:
\
- **As t increases (trend continues), the probability of reversal rises**.
- The indicator **shades the background based on this probability**, visually displaying the likelihood of a **trend shift**.
---
## **Dynamic Adaptation to Market Conditions**
✔ **Volatility-Adjusted Trend Shifts:**
- A **custom volatility calculation** dynamically adjusts the **minimum trend duration** required before a trend shift is recognized.
- **Higher volatility → Requires longer confirmation before switching trend color.**
- **Lower volatility → Allows faster trend shifts.**
✔ **Adaptive Poisson Weighting:**
- **Recent trends are weighted more heavily** using an exponential decay function:
- **Decay Factor (0.618 by default)** prioritizes **recent intervals** while still considering historical trends.
- This ensures the model adapts to changing market conditions.
---
## **Key Takeaways for Traders**
✅ **Identify Persistent Trends vs. Mean Reversion:**
- Use the oscillator line to determine whether the market favors **trend-following or counter-trend strategies**.
✅ **Visual Trend Confirmation via Color Coding:**
- **Green = Uptrend**, **Red = Downtrend**.
- Trend changes help confirm **entry and exit points**.
✅ **Anticipate Trend Reversals Using Probability Models:**
- The **Poisson projection** provides a **statistical edge** in **timing exits before trends reverse**.
✅ **Adapt to Market Volatility Automatically:**
- Dynamic **volatility scaling** ensures the indicator remains effective in **both high and low volatility environments**.
Happy trading and enjoy!
Super CCI By Baljit AujlaThe indicator you've shared is a custom CCI (Commodity Channel Index) with multiple types of Moving Averages (MA) and Divergence Detection. It is designed to help traders identify trends and reversals by combining the CCI with various MAs and detecting different types of divergences between the price and the CCI.
Key Components of the Indicator:
CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
The CCI is an oscillator that measures the deviation of the price from its average price over a specific period. It helps identify overbought and oversold conditions and the strength of a trend.
The CCI is calculated by subtracting a moving average (SMA) from the price and dividing by the average deviation from the SMA. The CCI values fluctuate above and below a zero centerline.
Multiple Moving Averages (MA):
The indicator allows you to choose from a variety of moving averages to smooth the CCI line and identify trend direction or support/resistance levels. The available types of MAs include:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
HMA (Hull Moving Average)
RMA (Running Moving Average)
SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average)
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average)
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average)
VWMA (Volume-Weighted Moving Average)
ZLEMA (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average)
You can select the type of MA to use with a specified length to help identify the trend direction or smooth out the CCI.
Divergence Detection:
The indicator includes a divergence detection mechanism to identify potential trend reversals. Divergences occur when the price and an oscillator like the CCI move in opposite directions, signaling a potential change in price momentum.
Four types of divergences are detected:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the CCI makes a higher low. This indicates a potential reversal to the upside.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes a higher high, but the CCI makes a lower high. This indicates a potential reversal to the downside.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes a higher low, but the CCI makes a lower low. This suggests a continuation of the uptrend.
Hidden Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes a lower high, but the CCI makes a higher high. This suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
Each type of divergence is marked on the chart with arrows and labels to alert traders to potential trading opportunities. The labels include the divergence type (e.g., "Bull Div" for Bullish Divergence) and have customizable text colors.
Visual Representation:
The CCI and its associated moving average are plotted on the indicator panel below the price chart. The CCI is plotted as a line, and its color changes depending on whether it is above or below the moving average:
Green when the CCI is above the MA (indicating bullish momentum).
Red when the CCI is below the MA (indicating bearish momentum).
Horizontal lines are drawn at specific levels to help identify key CCI thresholds:
200 and -200 levels indicate extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
75 and -75 levels represent less extreme levels of overbought or oversold conditions.
The 0 level acts as a neutral or baseline level.
A background color fill between the 75 and -75 levels helps highlight the neutral zone.
Customization Options:
CCI Length: You can customize the length of the CCI, which determines the period over which the CCI is calculated.
MA Length: The length of the moving average applied to the CCI can also be adjusted.
MA Type: Choose from a variety of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, etc.) to smooth the CCI.
Divergence Detection: The indicator automatically detects the four types of divergences (bullish, bearish, hidden bullish, hidden bearish) and visually marks them on the chart.
How to Use the Indicator:
Trend Identification: When the CCI is above the selected moving average, it suggests bullish momentum. When the CCI is below the moving average, it suggests bearish momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The CCI values above 100 or below -100 indicate overbought and oversold conditions, respectively.
Divergence Analysis: The detection of bullish or bearish divergences can signal potential trend reversals. Hidden divergences may suggest trend continuation.
Trading Signals: You can use the divergence markers (arrows and labels) as potential buy or sell signals, depending on whether the divergence is bullish or bearish.
Practical Application:
This indicator is useful for traders who want to:
Combine the CCI with different moving averages for trend-following strategies.
Identify overbought and oversold conditions using the CCI.
Use divergence detection to anticipate potential trend reversals or continuations.
Have a highly customizable tool for various trading strategies, including trend trading, reversal trading, and divergence-based trading.
Overall, this is a comprehensive tool that combines multiple technical analysis techniques (CCI, moving averages, and divergence) in a single indicator, providing traders with a robust way to analyze price action and spot potential trading opportunities.
Cumulative Volume Delta Histogram [TradingFinder] CVD Histogram🔵 Introduction
To fully understand Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), it’s important to start by explaining Volume Delta. In trading, "Delta" refers to the difference between two values or the rate of change between two data points. Volume Delta represents the difference between buying and selling pressure for each candlestick on a chart, and this difference can vary across different time frames.
A positive delta indicates that buying volume exceeds selling volume, while a negative delta shows that selling pressure is stronger. When buying and selling volumes are equal, the volume delta equals zero.
The Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicator tracks the cumulative difference between buying and selling volumes over time, helping traders analyze market dynamics and identify reliable trading signals through CVD divergences.
🔵 How to Use
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is an essential technical analysis tool that aggregates delta values for each candlestick, creating a comprehensive indicator. This helps traders evaluate overall buying and selling pressure over market swings.
Unlike standard Volume Delta, which compares the delta on a candle-by-candle basis, CVD provides a broader view of buying and selling pressure during market trends. A downward-trending CVD suggests that selling pressure is dominant, which is typically a bearish signal.
Conversely, an upward-trending CVD indicates bullish sentiment, suggesting buyers are in control. This analysis becomes even more valuable when compared with price action and market structure, helping traders predict the direction of asset prices.
🟣 How to Use CVD in Trend Analysis and Market Reversals
Understanding how to detect trend changes using Cumulative Volume Delta is crucial for traders. Typically, CVD aligns with market structure, moving in the same direction as price trends.
However, divergences between CVD and price movements or signs of volume exhaustion can be powerful indicators of potential market reversals. Recognizing these patterns helps traders make more informed decisions and improve their trading strategies.
🟣 How to Spot Trend Exhaustion with CVD
CVD is particularly effective for identifying trend exhaustion in the market. For instance, if an asset's price hits a new low, but CVD doesn’t follow, this might indicate a lack of seller interest, signaling potential exhaustion and a possible reversal.
Similarly, if an asset reaches a new high but CVD fails to follow, it can suggest that buyers lack the strength to push the market higher, indicating a possible reversal to the downside.
🟣 How to Use CVD Divergence in Price Trend Analysis
Another effective use of CVD is identifying divergences in price trends. For example, if CVD breaks a previous high or low while the price remains stable, this divergence may indicate that buying or selling pressure is being absorbed.
For instance, if CVD rises sharply without a corresponding increase in asset prices, it may suggest that sellers are absorbing the buying pressure, which could lead to a strong sell-off. Conversely, if prices remain stable while CVD declines, it may indicate that buyers are absorbing selling pressure, likely leading to a price increase once the selling subsides.
🟣 CVD Display, Candlestick vs. Histogram – What’s the Difference?
CVD can be displayed in two different formats :
Candlestick Display : In this format, the data is shown as green and red candlesticks, each representing the difference in buying and selling pressure over a given time period. This display allows traders to visually analyze market pressure along with price changes.
Histogram Display : Here, the data is represented as vertical green and red bars, where each bar’s height corresponds to the volume delta. This format offers a clearer view of the strengths and weaknesses in market buying and selling pressure.
🟣 What are the Key Settings for CVD?
Cumulative Mode : CVD offers three modes: "Total," "Periodic," and "EMA." In "Total" mode, CVD accumulates the delta from the beginning to the end of the session. In "Periodic" mode, it accumulates volume periodically, resetting at specific intervals. In "EMA" mode, the CVD is smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to filter out short-term fluctuations.
Period : The "Period" setting allows you to define the number of bars or intervals for "Periodic" and "EMA" modes. A shorter period captures more short-term movements, while a longer period smooths out the fluctuations and provides a broader view of market trends.
Market Ultra Data : This feature integrates data from 26 major brokers into the volume calculations, providing more reliable volume data. It’s important to specify the type of market you are analyzing (Forex, crypto, etc.) as different brokers contribute to different markets. Enabling this setting ensures the highest accuracy in volume analysis.
🔵 Conclusion
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is a powerful technical indicator that helps traders assess buying and selling pressure by aggregating the delta values of each candlestick. Whether displayed as candlesticks or histograms, CVD provides insights into market trends, helping traders make informed decisions.
CVD is particularly useful in identifying divergences and exhaustion in market trends. For example, if CVD does not align with price movements, it can signal a potential trend reversal. Traders use this tool to fine-tune their entry and exit points and better predict future market movements.
In summary, CVD is a versatile tool for analyzing volume data and understanding the balance of buying and selling pressure in the market, making it an invaluable asset in any trader’s toolkit
Dema EFI Volume | viResearchDema EFI Volume | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Dema EFI Volume" indicator from viResearch integrates the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) with the Elder Force Index (EFI), providing a dynamic approach to analyzing both price trends and volume strength. The DEMA is applied to smooth out price fluctuations while minimizing lag, which enhances the ability to detect trend direction. The EFI, developed by Dr. Alexander Elder, measures the power behind price movements by incorporating both price change and volume. This indicator, when combined with DEMA smoothing, gives traders a more accurate understanding of whether the current price movements are supported by significant volume, helping them make more informed trading decisions. The combination of DEMA and EFI allows traders to track trend strength while assessing the market’s volume dynamics, offering a more reliable method for identifying potential trend continuations or reversals.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Dema EFI Volume" script consists of two key components: the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) and the Elder Force Index (EFI). The DEMA is applied to the selected source price over a user-defined length, providing a smoothed representation of price movements while reducing the noise that can occur with traditional moving averages. The EFI is calculated by multiplying the change in the DEMA by the volume over a user-defined period, which indicates whether the price movement is being driven by strong or weak volume. The script monitors the EFI values and volume data to generate trend signals. If the EFI is positive and volume increases, this indicates bullish pressure, while a negative EFI with decreasing volume suggests bearish conditions. The combination of these signals helps traders determine whether a price move is backed by sufficient volume, making it easier to identify trend continuations or potential reversals.
Features and User Inputs
The "Dema EFI Volume" script offers several customizable inputs, allowing traders to adapt the indicator to their specific strategies. The DEMA Length controls the smoothing applied to the price data, while the EFI Length defines the period over which the force index is calculated. Additionally, traders can set alert conditions for when a bullish or bearish EFI signal occurs, enabling them to react quickly to changing market conditions.
Practical Applications
The "Dema EFI Volume" indicator is designed for traders who want to combine price trend analysis with volume dynamics in a single tool. This makes it particularly effective for identifying trend continuations, as rising volume alongside a positive EFI suggests that the market move is supported by strong momentum. Conversely, decreasing volume and a negative EFI may indicate a weakening trend, giving traders early warning of potential reversals. The combination of DEMA and EFI also makes this indicator valuable for detecting trend strength by measuring whether price movements are backed by strong volume, confirming trend reversals by comparing price changes with volume activity, and improving trade entries and exits by analyzing both price and volume for more robust signals.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The "Dema EFI Volume" script offers significant advantages by combining the DEMA’s smoothing power with the EFI’s volume analysis. This integration allows traders to filter out noise in price data while ensuring that trend signals are backed by meaningful volume. The result is a more reliable tool for trend-following and reversal detection, making it easier for traders to stay aligned with strong market moves while avoiding false signals caused by low-volume fluctuations. The dual focus on price and volume makes the "Dema EFI Volume" an ideal tool for traders who value a comprehensive approach to market analysis.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes alert conditions that notify traders when a significant EFI signal occurs. The "EFI Volume Long" alert is triggered when the EFI is positive and volume increases, indicating a potential upward trend. The "EFI Volume Short" alert signals a possible downward trend when the EFI turns negative and volume decreases. Visual cues, such as the color and direction of the plotted EFI line, help traders quickly identify trend shifts and make timely decisions.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Dema EFI Volume | viResearch" indicator provides traders with a powerful tool for analyzing both price trends and volume strength. By incorporating this script into your trading strategy, you can improve your ability to detect trend continuations and reversals, making more informed decisions based on a combination of price movement and volume dynamics. Whether you are focused on identifying trend strength or looking for early reversal signals, the "Dema EFI Volume" offers a reliable and customizable solution for traders of all levels.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Price Action Smart Money Concepts [BigBeluga]THE SMART MONEY CONCEPTS Toolkit
The Smart Money Concepts [ BigBeluga ] is a comprehensive toolkit built around the principles of "smart money" behavior, which refers to the actions and strategies of institutional investors.
The Smart Money Concepts Toolkit brings together a suite of advanced indicators that are all interconnected and built around a unified concept: understanding and trading like institutional investors, or "smart money." These indicators are not just randomly chosen tools; they are features of a single overarching framework, which is why having them all in one place creates such a powerful system.
This all-in-one toolkit provides the user with a unique experience by automating most of the basic and advanced concepts on the chart, saving them time and improving their trading ideas.
Real-time market structure analysis simplifies complex trends by pinpointing key support, resistance, and breakout levels.
Advanced order block analysis leverages detailed volume data to pinpoint high-demand zones, revealing internal market sentiment and predicting potential reversals. This analysis utilizes bid/ask zones to provide supply/demand insights, empowering informed trading decisions.
Imbalance Concepts (FVG and Breakers) allows traders to identify potential market weaknesses and areas where price might be attracted to fill the gap, creating opportunities for entry and exit.
Swing failure patterns help traders identify potential entry points and rejection zones based on price swings.
Liquidity Concepts, our advanced liquidity algorithm, pinpoints high-impact events, allowing you to predict market shifts, strong price reactions, and potential stop-loss hunting zones. This gives traders an edge to make informed trading decisions based on liquidity dynamics.
🔵 FEATURES
The indicator has quite a lot of features that are provided below:
Swing market structure
Internal market structure
Mapping structure
Adjustable market structure
Strong/Weak H&L
Sweep
Volumetric Order block / Breakers
Fair Value Gaps / Breakers (multi-timeframe)
Swing Failure Patterns (multi-timeframe)
Deviation area
Equal H&L
Liquidity Prints
Buyside & Sellside
Sweep Area
Highs and Lows (multi-timeframe)
🔵 BASIC DEMONSTRATION OF ALL FEATURES
1. MARKET STRUCTURE
The preceding image illustrates the market structure functionality within the Smart Money Concepts indicator.
➤ Solid lines: These represent the core indicator's internal structure, forming the foundation for most other components. They visually depict the overall market direction and identify major reversal points marked by significant price movements (denoted as 'x').
➤ Internal Structure: These represent an alternative internal structure with the potential to drive more rapid market shifts. This is particularly relevant when a significant gap exists in the established swing structure, specifically between the Break of Structure (BOS) and the most recent Change of High/Low (CHoCH). Identifying these formations can offer opportunities for quicker entries and potential short-term reversals.
➤ Sweeps (x): These signify potential turning points in the market where liquidity is removed from the structure. This suggests a possible trend reversal and presents crucial entry opportunities. Sweeps are identified within both swing and internal structures, providing valuable insights for informed trading decisions.
➤ Mapping structure: A tool that automatically identifies and connects significant price highs and lows, creating a zig-zag pattern. It visualizes market structure, highlights trends, support/resistance levels, and potential breakouts. Helps traders quickly grasp price action patterns and make informed decisions.
➤ Color-coded candles based on market structure: These colors visually represent the underlying market structure, making it easier for traders to quickly identify trends.
➤ Extreme H&L: It visualizes market structure with extreme high and lows, which gives perspective for macro Market Structure.
2. VOLUMETRIC ORDER BLOCKS
Order blocks are specific areas on a financial chart where significant buying or selling activity has occurred. These are not just simple zones; they contain valuable information about market dynamics. Within each of these order blocks, volume bars represent the actual buying and selling activity that took place. These volume bars offer deeper insights into the strength of the order block by showing how much buying or selling power is concentrated in that specific zone.
Additionally, these order blocks can be transformed into Breaker Blocks. When an order block fails—meaning the price breaks through this zone without reversing—it becomes a breaker block. Breaker blocks are particularly useful for trading breakouts, as they signal that the market has shifted beyond a previously established zone, offering opportunities for traders to enter in the direction of the breakout.
Here's a breakdown:
➤ Bear Order Blocks (Red): These are zones where a lot of selling happened. Traders see these areas as places where sellers were strong, pushing the price down. When the price returns to these zones, it might face resistance and drop again.
➤ Bull Order Blocks (Green): These are zones where a lot of buying happened. Traders see these areas as places where buyers were strong, pushing the price up. When the price returns to these zones, it might find support and rise again.
These Order Blocks help traders identify potential areas for entering or exiting trades based on past market activity. The volume bars inside blocks show the amount of trading activity that occurred in these blocks, giving an idea of the strength of buying or selling pressure.
➤ Breaker Block: When an order block fails, meaning the price breaks through this zone without reversing, it becomes a breaker block. This indicates a significant shift in market liquidity and structure.
➤ A bearish breaker block occurs after a bullish order block fails. This typically happens when there's an upward trend, and a certain level that was expected to support the market's rise instead gives way, leading to a sharp decline. This decline indicates that sellers have overcome the buyers, absorbing liquidity and shifting the sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Conversely, a bullish breaker block is formed from the failure of a bearish order block. In a downtrend, when a level that was expected to act as resistance is breached, and the price shoots up, it signifies that buyers have taken control, overpowering the sellers.
3. FAIR VALUE GAPS:
A fair value gap (FVG), also referred to as an imbalance, is an essential concept in Smart Money trading. It highlights the supply and demand dynamics. This gap arises when there's a notable difference between the volume of buy and sell orders. FVGs can be found across various asset classes, including forex, commodities, stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
FVGs in this toolkit have the ability to detect raids of FVG which helps to identify potential price reversals.
Mitigation option helps to change from what source FVGs will be identified: Close, Wicks or AVG.
4. SWING FAILURE PATTERN (SFP):
The Swing Failure Pattern is a liquidity engineering pattern, generally used to fill large orders. This means, the SFP generally occurs when larger players push the price into liquidity pockets with the sole objective of filling their own positions.
SFP is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential market reversals. It works by detecting instances where the price briefly breaks a previous high or low but fails to maintain that breakout, quickly reversing direction.
How it works:
Pattern Detection: The indicator scans for price movements that breach recent highs or lows.
Reversal Confirmation: If the price quickly reverses after breaching these levels, it's identified as an SFP.
➤ SFP Display:
Bullish SFP: Marked with a green symbol when price drops below a recent low before reversing upwards.
Bearish SFP: Marked with a red symbol when price rises above a recent high before reversing downwards.
➤ Deviation Levels: After detecting an SFP, the indicator projects white lines showing potential price deviation:
For bullish SFPs, the deviation line appears above the current price.
For bearish SFPs, the deviation line appears below the current price.
These deviation levels can serve as a potential trading opportunity or areas where the reversal might lose momentum.
With Volume Threshold and Filtering of SFP traders can adjust their trading style:
Volume Threshold: This setting allows traders to filter SFPs based on the volume of the reversal candle. By setting a higher volume threshold, traders can focus on potentially more significant reversals that are backed by higher trading activity.
SFP Filtering: This feature enables traders to filter SFP detection. It includes parameters such as:
5. LIQUIDITY CONCEPTS:
➤ Equal Lows (EQL) and Equal Highs (EQH) are important concepts in liquidity-based trading.
EQL: A series of two or more swing lows that occur at approximately the same price level.
EQH: A series of two or more swing highs that occur at approximately the same price level.
EQLs and EQHs are seen as potential liquidity pools where a large number of stop loss orders or limit orders may be clustered. They can be used as potential reverse points for trades.
This multi-period feature allows traders to select less and more significant EQL and EQH:
➤ Liquidity wicks:
Liquidity wicks are a minor representation of a stop-loss hunt during the retracement of a pivot point:
➤ Buy and Sell side liquidity:
The buy side liquidity represents a concentration of potential buy orders below the current price level. When price moves into this area, it can lead to increased buying pressure due to the execution of these orders.
The sell side liquidity indicates a pool of potential sell orders below the current price level. Price movement into this area can result in increased selling pressure as these orders are executed.
➤ Sweep Liquidation Zones:
Sweep Liquidation Zones are crucial for understanding market structure and potential future price movements. They provide insights into areas where significant market participants have been forced out of their positions, potentially setting up new trading opportunities.
🔵 USAGE & EXAMPLES
The core principle behind the success of this toolkit lies in identifying "confluence." This refers to the convergence of multiple trading indicators all signaling the same information at a specific point or area. By seeking such alignment, traders can significantly enhance the likelihood of successful trades.
MS + OBs
The chart illustrates a highly bullish setup where the price is rejecting from a bullish order block (POC), while simultaneously forming a bullish Swing Failure Pattern (SFP). This occurs after an internal structure change, marked by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH). The price broke through a bearish order block, transforming it into a breaker block, further confirming the bullish momentum.
The combination of these elements—bullish order blocks, SFP, and CHoCH—creates a powerful bullish signal, reinforcing the potential for upward movement in the market.
SFP + Bear OB
This chart above displays a bearish setup with a high probability of a price move lower. The price is currently rejecting from a bear order block, which represents a key resistance area where significant selling pressure has previously occurred. A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) has also formed near this bear order block, indicating that the price briefly attempted to break above a recent high but failed to sustain that upward movement. This failure suggests that buyers are losing momentum, and the market could be preparing for a move to the downside.
Additionally, we can toggle on the Deviation Area in the SFP section to highlight potential levels where price deviation might occur. These deviation areas represent zones where the price is likely to react after the Swing Failure Pattern:
BUY – SELL sides + EQL
The chart showcases a bullish setup with a high probability of price breaking out of the current sell-side resistance level. The market structure indicates a formation of Equal Lows (EQL), which often suggests a build-up of liquidity that could drive the price higher.
The presence of strong buy-side pressure (69%), indicated by the green zone at the bottom, reinforces this bullish outlook. This area represents a key support zone where buyers are outpacing sellers, providing the foundation for a potential upward breakout.
EQL + Bull ChoCh
This chart illustrates a potential bullish setup, driven by the formation of Equal Lows (EQL) followed by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH). The presence of Equal Lows often signals a liquidity build-up, which can lead to a reversal when combined with additional bullish signals.
Liquidity grab + Bull ChoCh + FVGs
This chart demonstrates a strong bullish scenario, where several important market dynamics are at play. The price begins its upward momentum from Liquidity grab following a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling the transition from a bearish phase to a bullish one.
As the price progresses, it performs liquidity grabs, which serve to gather the necessary fuel for further movement. These liquidity grabs often occur before significant price surges, as large market participants exploit these areas to accumulate positions before pushing the price higher.
The chart also highlights a market imbalance area, showing strong momentum as the price moves swiftly through this zone.
In this examples, we see how the combination of multiple “smart money” tools helps identify a potential trade opportunities. This is just one of the many scenarios that traders can spot using this toolkit. Other combinations—such as order blocks, liquidity grabs, fair value gaps, and Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs)—can also be layered on top of these concepts to further refine your trading strategy.
🔵 SETTINGS
Window: limit calculation period
Swing: limit drawing function
Mapping structure: show structural points
Algorithmic Logic: (Extreme-Adjusted) Use max high/low or pivot point calculation
Algorithmic loopback: pivot point look back
Show Last: Amount of Order block to display
Hide Overlap: hide overlapping order blocks
Construction: Size of the order blocks
Fair value gaps: Choose between normal FVG or Breaker FVG
Mitigation: (close - wick - avg) point to mitigate the order block/imbalance
SFP lookback: find a higher / lower point to improve accuracy
Threshold: remove less relevant SFP
Equal H&L: (short-mid-long term) display longer term
Liquidity Prints: Shows wicks of candles where liquidity was grabbed
Sweep Area: Identify Sweep Liquidation areas
By combining these indicators in one toolkit, traders are equipped with a comprehensive suite of tools that address every angle of the Smart Money Concept. Instead of relying on disparate tools spread across various platforms, having them integrated into a single, cohesive system allows traders to easily see confluence and make more informed trading decisions.
ChartArt-Bankniftybuying5minName: ChartArt-BankNifty Buying Strategy (5-Minute)
Timeframe: 5-Minute Candles
Asset: BankNifty (Indian Stock Market Index)
Trading Hours: 9:30 AM - 2:45 PM IST (Indian Standard Time)
This strategy is designed for BankNifty intraday traders who want to capitalize on short-term price movements within a defined trading window. It combines technical indicators like Simple Moving Averages (SMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and candlestick patterns to identify potential buy signals during intraday downtrends. The strategy employs specific entry, stop-loss, and target conditions to manage trades effectively and minimize risk.
Technical Indicators Used
Simple Moving Averages (SMA):
EMA7: 7-period SMA on closing price.
EMA5: 5-period SMA on closing price.
Purpose: Used to identify the intraday trend by comparing short-term moving averages. The strategy focuses on situations where the market is in a minor downtrend, indicated by EMA5 being below EMA7.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI14: 14-period RSI, a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
SMA14: 14-period SMA of the RSI.
Purpose: RSI is used to identify potential reversal points. The strategy looks for situations where the RSI is below its own moving average, suggesting weakening momentum in the downtrend.
Candlestick Patterns:
Relaxed Hammer or Doji (2nd Candle): A pattern where the second candle in a 3-candle sequence shows a potential reversal signal (Hammer or Doji), indicating indecision or a potential turning point.
Bearish 1st Candle: The first candle is bearish, setting up the context for a potential reversal.
Bullish 3rd Candle: The third candle must be bullish with specific characteristics (closing near the high, surpassing the previous high), confirming the reversal.
Strategy Conditions
Time Condition:
The strategy is only active during specific hours (9:30 AM to 2:45 PM IST). This ensures that trades are only taken during the most liquid hours of the trading day, avoiding potential volatility or lack of liquidity towards market close.
Intraday Downtrend Condition:
EMA5 < EMA7: Indicates that the market is in a minor downtrend. The strategy looks for reversal opportunities within this trend.
RSI Condition:
RSI14 <= SMA14: Indicates that the current RSI value is below its 14-period SMA, suggesting potential weakening momentum, which can precede a reversal.
Candlestick Patterns:
1st Candle: Must be bearish, setting up the context for a potential reversal.
2nd Candle: Must either be a Hammer or Doji, indicating a potential reversal pattern.
3rd Candle: Must be bullish, with specific characteristics (closing near the high, breaking the previous high, etc.), confirming the reversal.
RSI Crossover Condition:
A crossover of the RSI over its SMA in the last 5 periods is also checked, adding further confirmation to the reversal signal.
Entry and Exit Rules
Entry Signal:
A buy signal is generated when all the conditions (time, intraday downtrend, bearish 1st candle, hammer/doji 2nd candle, bullish 3rd candle, and RSI condition) are met. The trade is entered at the high of the bullish third candle.
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is calculated based on the difference between the entry price and the low of the second candle. If this difference is greater than 90 points, the stop loss is placed at the midpoint of the second candle's range (average of high and low). Otherwise, it is placed at the low of the second candle.
Target 1:
The first target is set at 1.8 times the difference between the entry price and the stop loss. When this target is hit, half of the position is exited to lock in partial profits.
Target 2:
The second target is set at 3 times the difference between the entry price and the stop loss. The remaining position is exited at this point, or if the price hits the stop loss.
Originality and Usefulness
This strategy is original in its combination of multiple technical indicators and candlestick patterns to identify potential reversals in a specific intraday timeframe. By focusing on minor downtrends and utilizing a 3-candle reversal pattern, the strategy seeks to capture quick price movements with a structured approach to risk management.
Key Benefits:
High Precision: The strategy’s multi-step filtering process (time condition, trend confirmation, candlestick pattern analysis, and momentum evaluation via RSI) increases the likelihood of accurate trade signals.
Risk Management: The use of a dynamic stop-loss based on candle characteristics, combined with partial profit-taking, allows traders to lock in profits while still giving the trade room to develop further.
Structured Approach: The strategy provides a clear, rule-based system for entering and exiting trades, which can help remove emotional decision-making from the trading process.
Charts and Signals
The strategy produces signals in the form of labels on the chart:
Buy Signal: A green label is plotted below the candle that meets all entry conditions, indicating a potential buy opportunity.
Stop Loss (SL): A red dashed line is drawn at the stop-loss level with a label indicating "SL".
Target 1 (1st TG): A blue dashed line is drawn at the first target level with a label indicating "1st TG".
Target 2 (2nd TG): Another blue dashed line is drawn at the second target level with a label indicating "2nd TG".
These visual aids help traders quickly identify entry points, stop loss levels, and target levels on the chart, making the strategy easy to follow and implement.
Backtesting and Optimization
Backtesting: The strategy can be backtested on TradingView using historical data to evaluate its performance. Traders should consider testing across different market conditions to ensure the strategy's robustness.
Optimization: Parameters such as the RSI period, moving averages, and target multipliers can be optimized based on backtesting results to refine the strategy further.
Conclusion
The ChartArt-BankNifty Buying Strategy offers a well-rounded approach to intraday trading, focusing on capturing reversals in minor downtrends. With a strong emphasis on technical analysis, precise entry and exit rules, and robust risk management, this strategy provides a solid framework for traders looking to engage in intraday trading on BankNifty.
MTF HalfTrendIntroduction
A half-trend indicator is a technical analysis tool that uses moving averages and price data to find potential trend reversal and entry points in the form of graphical arrows showing market turning points.
The salient features of this indicator are:
- It uses the phenomenon of moving averages.
- It is a momentum indicator.
- It can indicate a trend change.
- It is capable of detecting a bullish or bearish trend reversal.
- It can signal to sell/buy.
- It is a real-time indicator.
Multi-Timeframe Application
A standout feature is its flexibility across timeframes. Traders have the liberty to choose any timeframe on the chart, enhancing the tool's versatility and making it suitable for both short-term and long-term analyses.
Principle of the Half Trend indicator
This indicator is based on the moving averages. The moving average is the average of the fluctuation or change in the price of an asset. These averages are taken for a time interval.
So, a half-trend indicator takes the moving averages phenomenon as its principle for working. The most commonly used moving averages in a half trend indicator are:
- Relative strength index (RSI)
- EMA (estimated moving average)
Components of a Half Trend indicator
There are two main components of a half trend indicator:
- Half trend line
- Arrows
- ATR lines
Half trend line
Half trend line represents this indicator on a candlestick chart. This line shows the trend of a chart in real-time. A half-trend line is based on the moving averages.
There are two further components of a half-trend line:
- Redline
- Blue line
A red line represents a bearish trend. When the half-trend line turns red, a trend is facing a dip. It is time for the bears to take control of the market. A bearish control of the market represents the domination of sellers in the market.
On the other hand, the blue line represents the bullish nature of the market. It tells a trader that the bullish sentiment of the market is prevailing. A bullish market means the number of buyers is significantly greater than the number of sellers.
Moreover, a trader can change these colors to his choice by customization.
Arrows
There are two types of arrows in this indicator which help a trader with the entry and exit points. These arrows are,
- Blue arrow
- Red arrow
A blue arrow signals a buying trade; on the other hand, a red arrow tells a trader about the selling of the assets. These arrows work with the moving average line to formulate a trading strategy.
The color of these arrows is changed if a trader desires so.
ATR lines
The ATR blue and red lines represent the Average True Range of the Half trend line. They may be used as stop loss or take profit levels.
Pros and Cons
Pros
- It is a very easy to eyes indicator.
- This is a very useful friendly indicator.
- It provides sufficient information to beginner traders.
- It provides sufficient information for entry points in a trade.
- A half-trend indicator provides a good exit strategy for a trader.
- It provides information about market reversals.
- It helps a trader to find a bullish and bearish sentiment in the market.
Cons
- It is a real-time indicator. So, it can lag.
- The lagging of this indicator can lead to miss opportunities.
- The most advanced and professional traders may not rely on this indicator for crucial trading decisions.
- The lagging of this indicator can predict false reversals of the market.
- It can create false signals.
- It requires the confluence of the other technical tools for a better success ratio.
Settings for Half Trend indicator
The default settings for half trend indicator are:
Amplitude = 2
Channel deviation = 2
Different markets or financial instruments may require different settings for optimal execution.
Amplitude: The degree that the Half trend line takes the internal variables into consideration. The higher the number, the fewer trades. The default value is 2.
Channel deviation: The ATR value calculation from the Half trend line. The default value is 2.
Trading strategy
It is an effective indicator in terms of strategy formation for a trading setup. The new and beginner trades can take benefit from this indicator for the formulation of a good trading setup. This indicator also helps seasoned and professional traders formulate a good trading setup with other technical tools.
The trading strategy involving a half-trend indicator is divided into three parts:
- Entry and exit
- Risk management
- Take profit
Entry and exit
It is an effective indicator that provides sufficient information about the entry and exit points in a trading setup. The profit of a trader is directly proportional to the appropriate entry and exit points. So, it is a crucial step in any trading setup.
The blue and red arrows provide information about the entry and exit points in a trading setup. Furthermore, the entry and exit for the bullish and bearish setups are as follows.
Entry and exit for a bullish setup
If a blue arrow appears under the half-trend line, it means the bullish sentiment of the market is getting stronger in the future. So, it is a signal for entry in a bullish setup.
As the red arrow appears on the chart, it is a signal to exit your trade. The red arrow represents a reversal in the market, so it is a good opportunity to close your trade in a bullish setup.
Entry and exit for a bearish setup
Suppose a red arrow appears above the red moving average line. It is a good opportunity to enter a trade in a bearish setup. The red line represents that sooner the sellers are going to take control and the value of the asset is about to face a dip. So it is the best time to make your move.
As the opposite arrow appears in the chart, it is time to exit from a bearish trade setup.
Re-entering a position
Bullish setup
- The half-trend line is blue.
- At least one candle closes below the blue half-trend line.
- Enter on the candle that closes above the blue half-trend line.
Bearish setup
- The half-trend line is red.
- At least one candle closes above the red half-trend line.
- Enter on the candle that closes below the red half-trend line.
Risk management
Risk management is an integral part of a trading setup. It is an important step to protect your potential profits and losses.
When trading in a bullish market, place the stop loss at the prior swing low. It will help you to cut your losses in case the prices move to the lower end.
In the case of a bearish market, place your stop loss above the prior swing high.
A trader may trail the stop loss using the ATR lines.
The new trader often makes mistakes in the placement of the stop loss. If you don’t place the stop loss at an appropriate point. It can drain your bank account and ruin your trading experience. Is is recommended not to risk more than 2% of your trading account, per trade.
Take profit
The blue ATR line may be used as one take profit level on a bullish setup followed by the previous swing high. The signal reversal would indicate the final take profit and closing of any position.
The red ATR line may be used as one take profit level on a bearish setup followed by the previous swing low. The signal reversal would indicate the final take profit and closing of any position.
Conclusion
A half trend indicator is a decent indicator that can transform your trading experience. It is a dual indicator that is based on the moving averages as well as helps you to form a trading strategy. If you are a new trader, this indicator can help you to learn and flourish in the trading universe. If you are a seasoned trader, I recommend you use this indicator with other technical analysis tools to enhance your success ratio.
All credits go to:
- @everget the original creator of this indicator (I just added the MTF capability).
- Ali Muhammad original author of much of the description used.
Adaptive Timber! Indicator (ATI)The Adaptive Timber! Indicator (ATI) is a powerful tool designed to identify potential overbought conditions and generate reversal signals in financial markets. It combines multiple technical indicators and market conditions to provide a comprehensive assessment of the likelihood of a price reversal.
How it works:
The ATI uses a combination of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), momentum, and volume to detect overbought conditions and potential reversals. The indicator adapts to the current timeframe, adjusting its parameters accordingly to provide more accurate signals.
Key components:
RSI: The ATI uses the RSI to determine overbought conditions. When the RSI exceeds a specified reversal threshold, it indicates a potential overbought state.
MACD: The indicator monitors the MACD line and signal line to identify moments when they are close to crossing, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Momentum: The ATI checks if the momentum is increasing, providing confirmation of a potential reversal.
Volume: It analyzes volume to confirm the strength of the reversal signal. A decrease in volume along with overbought conditions adds confidence to the reversal indication.
Timeframe Adaptability: The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on the current timeframe, ensuring optimal performance across different time horizons.
How to use:
When the ATI identifies a potential reversal, it displays a colored triangle above the price bars. The color of the triangle represents the strength of the reversal signal: red for a strong signal, orange for a moderate signal, and yellow for a weak signal. Additionally, the indicator plots purple triangles below the price bars as an early warning signal for potential trend reversals.
Traders can use these visual cues along with other technical analysis techniques and risk management strategies to make informed trading decisions. The ATI can be particularly useful for identifying potential short-selling opportunities or for determining exit points in existing long positions.
Creators:
The Adaptive Timber! Indicator (ATI) is the result of a collaborative effort led by Claude , an AI assistant with expertise in financial analysis and programming. The development of the ATI was made possible through the valuable contributions and insights from GPT4 , an advanced language model, Clay , a skilled trader, and Pi AI , Clay's trading assistant.
Claude played a crucial role in designing and implementing the indicator's algorithm, ensuring its robustness and adaptability across different timeframes. GPT4 provided guidance and suggestions for refining the indicator's logic and optimizing its performance. Clay and Pi AI offered their trading expertise and real-world experience to help shape the indicator's functionality and usability.
We would like to express our gratitude to all the members of our trading team for their dedication and hard work in bringing the Adaptive Timber! Indicator to life. We wish all traders the best of luck in their trading endeavors and hope that the ATI will be a valuable addition to their technical analysis toolkit, empowering them to make more informed and profitable trading decisions.
RSI Custom LevelsRSI Custom Levels is a "one stop shop" for a complete strategy based on RSI.
AS per principal: RSI oscillates between 0-100 and therefore the indicator is build around various parameters of RSI. It comprises of 4 different levels of RSI and therefore highlights the candles accordingly.
Understanding each LEVEL:
Level 1 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) less than Level 1 specified value (default 20)
Level 2 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) greater than Level 1 specified value (default 20) and less than Level 2 specified value (default 45)
Level 4 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) greater than Level 4 specified value (default 80)
Level 3 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) greater than Level 3 specified value (default 55) and less than Level 4 specified value (default 80)
The most efficient way to trade is as follows:
TRENDING SETUPS:
Uptrend Setups: When RSI enters Level 3 with exit at Level 4
Downtrend Setups: When RSI enters Level 2 with exit at Level 1
SIDEWAYS APPLICATION:
When RSI is in between Level 2 and 3 that area has no highlights as the system considers it to be FLAT and non oscillating.
OVERSTRETCHED APPLICATIONS:
Downtrend Reversal: When RSI enters Level 2 from Level 1 that is a sign for a downtrend reversal.
Uptrend Reversal: When RSI enters Level 3 from Level 2 that is a sign for a uptrend reversal.
Moreover the most ideal scenario is to convert the colour of all candles into white (in dark theme) or black(in light theme) for best performance.
Adaptive MA-Bollinger HistogramVisualize two of your favorite moving averages in a fun new way.
This script calculates the distance (or difference) between the price and two moving averages of your choosing and then creates two histograms.
The two histograms are plotted inversely, so if the price is over both moving averages, one will be positive above the centerline while the other still positive will be below the centerline.
(In a future update you will have the option to have them both positive at the same time)
Next, what it does is apply Bollinger Bands (optional) to each of the histograms.
This creates a very interesting effect that can highlight areas of interest you may miss with other indicators.
You have plenty of options for coloring, the type of moving average, Bollinger Band length, and toggling features on and off.
Give it a few minutes of your time to study, and see what information you can learn from watching this indicator by comparing it with the chart.
Here is a full user guide:
Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram Indicator User Guide
Welcome to the user guide for the **Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram** indicator. This custom indicator is designed to help traders analyze trends and potential reversals in a financial instrument's price movements. The indicator combines two Moving Averages (MA) and Bollinger Bands to provide valuable insights into market conditions.
### Indicator Overview
The Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram indicator comprises the following components:
1. **Moving Averages (MA1 and MA2):** The indicator uses two moving averages, namely MA1 and MA2, to track different time periods. MA1 has a user-defined length (default: 50) and MA2 has a longer user-defined length (default: 100). These moving averages can be calculated using different methods such as Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), or Smoothed Moving Average (RMA).
2. **Histograms:** The indicator displays histograms based on the differences between the price source and the respective moving averages. Positive values of the histogram for MA1 are plotted in one color (default: green), while negative values are plotted in another color (default: red). Similarly, positive values of the histogram for MA2 are plotted in one color (default: blue), while negative values are plotted in another color (default: yellow). It's important to note that the histogram for MA1 is plotted positively, while the histogram for MA2 is plotted inversely.
3. **Bollinger Bands:** The indicator also features Bollinger Bands calculated based on the differences between the price source and the respective moving averages (dist1 and dist2). Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: the middle band, upper band, and lower band. These bands help visualize the potential volatility and overbought/oversold levels of the instrument's price.
### Understanding the Indicator
- **Histograms:** The histograms highlight the divergence between the price and the two moving averages. When the histogram for MA1 is positive, it indicates that the price is above the MA1. Conversely, when the histogram for MA1 is negative, it suggests that the price is below the MA1. Similarly, the histogram for MA2 is plotted inversely.
- **Bollinger Bands:** The Bollinger Bands consist of three lines. The middle band represents the moving average (MA1 or MA2), while the upper and lower bands are calculated based on the standard deviation of the differences between the price source and the moving average. The bands expand during periods of higher volatility and contract during periods of lower volatility.
### Possible Trading Ideas
1. **Trend Confirmation:** When the histograms for both MA1 and MA2 are consistently positive, it may indicate a strong bullish trend. Conversely, when both histograms are consistently negative, it may suggest a strong bearish trend.
2. **Divergence:** Divergence between price and the histograms could signal potential reversals. For example, if the price is making new highs while the histogram is declining, it might indicate a bearish divergence and a possible upcoming trend reversal.
3. **Bollinger Bands Squeeze:** A narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates lower volatility and often precedes a significant price movement. Traders might consider a potential breakout trade when the bands start to expand again.
4. **Overbought/Oversold Levels:** Prices touching or exceeding the upper Bollinger Band could suggest overbought conditions, while prices touching or falling below the lower Bollinger Band could indicate oversold conditions. Traders might look for reversals or corrections in such scenarios.
### Customization
- You can adjust the parameters such as MA lengths, Bollinger Bands length, width, and colors to suit your preferences and trading strategy.
### Conclusion
The **Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram** indicator provides a comprehensive view of price trends, divergences, and potential reversal points. Traders can use the information from this indicator to make informed decisions in their trading strategies. However, like any technical tool, it's recommended to combine this indicator with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques for optimal results.
