Crypto Macro CockpitCrypto Macro Cockpit — Institutional Liquidity Regime Detection
🔍 Overview
This script introduces a modern macro framework for crypto market regime detection, leveraging newly added stablecoin market data on TradingView. It’s designed to guide traders through the evolving institutional era of crypto — where liquidity, not just price, is king.
🌐 Why This Matters
Historically, traditional proxies like M2 money supply or bond yields were referenced to infer macro liquidity shifts. But with the regulatory green light and institutional embrace of stablecoins, on-chain fiat liquidity is now directly observable.
Stablecoins = The new M2 for crypto.
This script utilizes real-time data from:
📊 CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C (Total Stablecoin Market Cap)
📊 CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C.D (Stablecoin Dominance)
to assess dry powder, risk appetite, and macro regime transitions.
📋 How to Read the Crypto Macro Cockpit
This dashboard updates every few bars and is organized into four actionable segments:
1️⃣ Macro Spreads
Metric --> Interpretation
Risk Flow --> Measures capital flow between stablecoins and total crypto market cap. → Green = risk deploying.
ETH vs BTC --> Shift in dominance between ETH and BTC → rotation gauge.
ETHBTC --> Price ratio movement → confirms leadership tilt.
ALTs (TOTAL3ES) --> Momentum in altcoin market, excluding BTC/ETH/stables → key for alt season timing.
2️⃣ Liquidity & Risk Appetite
Metric --> Interpretation
Liquidity --> Directional change in stablecoin cap → more stables = more dry powder.
Risk Appetite --> Inverse of stablecoin dominance → falling dominance = capital rotating into risk.
3️⃣ Stablecoin Context
Metric --> Interpretation
StableCap ROC --> Growth rate of stablecoin market cap → proxy for fiat inflows.
StableDom ROC --> Change in stablecoin dominance → reflects market caution or aggression.
4️⃣ Composite Labels
Label --> Interpretation
Rotation --> Sector tilt (BTC-led vs ETH/Alts)
Regime --> Synthesized macro environment → "Risk-ON", "Caution", "Waiting", or "Risk-OFF"
Background Color --> Optional tint reflecting regime for quick glance validation
All metrics are evaluated with directional arrows (▲/▼/•) and acceleration overlays, using user-defined thresholds scaled by timeframe for precision.
🔔 Built-in Alerts
Predefined, non-repainting alerts include:
Regime transitions
Sector rotations
Confirmed ETH/ALT rotations
Stablecoin market cap spikes
Risk Flow acceleration
You can use these alerts for discretionary trading or automated system triggers.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
✅ Ready to Use
No configuration needed — just load the script
Works on all timeframes (optimized for 1D)
Thresholds and smoothing are customizable
Table positioning and sizing is user-controlled
If you find this helpful, feel free to ⭐️ favorite or leave feedback. Questions welcome in the comments.
Let’s trade with macro awareness in this new era.
Cerca negli script per "roc"
Dip Hunter [BackQuant]Dip Hunter
What this tool does in plain language
Dip Hunter is a pullback detector designed to find high quality buy-the-dip opportunities inside healthy trends and to avoid random knife catches. It watches for a quick drop from a recent high, checks that the drop happened with meaningful participation and volatility, verifies short-term weakness inside a larger uptrend, then scores the setup and paints the chart so you can act with confidence. It also draws clean entry lines, provides a meter that shows dip strength at a glance, and ships with alerts that match common execution workflows.
How Dip Hunter thinks
It defines a recent swing reference, measures how far price has dipped off that high, and only looks at candidates that meet your minimum percentage drop.
It confirms the dip with real activity by requiring a volume spike and a volatility spike.
It checks structure with two EMAs. Price should be weak in the short term while the larger context remains constructive.
It optionally requires a higher-timeframe trend to be up so you focus on pullbacks in trending markets.
It bundles those checks into a score and shows you the score on the candles and on a gradient meter.
When everything lines up it paints a green triangle below the bar, shades the background, and (if you wish) draws a horizontal entry line at your chosen level.
Inputs and what they mean
Dip Hunter Settings
• Vol Lookback and Vol Spike : The script computes an average volume over the lookback window and flags a spike when current volume is a multiple of that average. A multiplier of 2.0 means today’s volume must be at least double the average. This helps filter noise and focuses on dips that other traders actually traded.
• Fast EMA and Slow EMA : Short-term and medium-term structure references. A dip is more credible if price closes below the fast EMA while the fast EMA is still below the slow EMA during the pullback. That is classic corrective behavior inside a larger trend.
• Price Smooth : Optional smoothing length for price-derived series. Use this if you trade very noisy assets or low timeframes.
• Volatility Len and Vol Spike (volatility) : The script checks both standard deviation and true range against their own averages. If either expands beyond your multiplier the market confirms the move with range.
• Dip % and Lookback Bars : The engine finds the highest high over the lookback window, then computes the percentage drawdown from that high to the current close. Only dips larger than your threshold qualify.
Trend Filter
• Enable Trend Filter : When on, Dip Hunter will only trigger if the market is in an uptrend.
• Trend EMA Period : The longer EMA that defines the session’s backbone trend.
• Minimum Trend Strength : A small positive slope requirement. In practice this means the trend EMA should be rising, and price should be above it. You can raise the value to be more selective.
Entries
• Show Entry Lines : Draws a horizontal guide from the signal bar for a fixed number of bars. Great for limit orders, scaling, or re-tests.
• Line Length (bars) : How far the entry guide extends.
• Min Gap (bars) : Suppresses new entry lines if another dip fired recently. Prevents clutter during choppy sequences.
• Entry Price : Choose the line level. “Low” anchors at the signal candle’s low. “Close” anchors at the signal close. “Dip % Level” anchors at the theoretical level defined by recent_high × (1 − dip%). This lets you work resting orders at a consistent discount.
Heat / Meter
• Color Bars by Score : Colors each candle using a red→white→green gradient. Red is overheated, green is prime dip territory, white is neutral.
• Show Meter Table : Adds a compact gradient strip with a pointer that tracks the current score.
• Meter Cells and Meter Position : Resolution and placement of the meter.
UI Settings
• Show Dip Signals : Plots green triangles under qualifying bars and tints the background very lightly.
• Show EMAs : Plots fast, slow, and the trend EMA (if the trend filter is enabled).
• Bullish, Bearish, Neutral colors : Theme controls for shapes, fills, and bar painting.
Core calculations explained simply
Recent high and dip percent
The script finds the highest high over Lookback Bars , calls it “recent high,” then calculates:
dip% = (recent_high − close) ÷ recent_high × 100.
If dip% is larger than Dip % , condition one passes.
Volume confirmation
It computes a simple moving average of volume over Vol Lookback . If current volume ÷ average volume > Vol Spike , we have a participation spike. It also checks 5-bar ROC of volume. If ROC > 50 the spike is forceful. This gets an extra score point.
Volatility confirmation
Two independent checks:
• Standard deviation of closes vs its own average.
• True range vs ATR.
If either expands beyond Vol Spike (volatility) the move has range. This prevents false triggers from quiet drifts.
Short-term structure
Price should close below the Fast EMA and the fast EMA should be below the Slow EMA at the moment of the dip. That is the anatomy of a pullback rather than a full breakdown.
Macro trend context (optional)
When Enable Trend Filter is on, the Trend EMA must be rising and price must be above it. The logic prefers “micro weakness inside macro strength” which is the highest probability pattern for buying dips.
Signal formation
A valid dip requires:
• dip% > threshold
• volume spike true
• volatility spike true
• close below fast EMA
• fast EMA below slow EMA
If the trend filter is enabled, a rising trend EMA with price above it is also required. When all true, the triangle prints, the background tints, and optional entry lines are drawn.
Scoring and visuals
Binary checks into a continuous score
Each component contributes to a score between 0 and 1. The script then rescales to a centered range (−50 to +50).
• Low or negative scores imply “overheated” conditions and are shaded toward red.
• High positive scores imply “ripe for a dip buy” conditions and are shaded toward green.
• The gradient meter repeats the same logic, with a pointer so you can read the state quickly.
Bar coloring
If you enable “Color Bars by Score,” each candle inherits the gradient. This makes sequences obvious. Red clusters warn you not to buy. White means neutral. Increasing green suggests the pullback is maturing.
EMAs and the trend EMA
• Fast EMA turns down relative to the slow EMA inside the pullback.
• Trend EMA stays rising and above price once the dip exhausts, which is your cue to focus on long setups rather than bottom fishing in downtrends.
Entry lines
When a fresh signal fires and no other signal happened within Min Gap (bars) , the indicator draws a horizontal level for Line Length bars. Use these lines for limit entries at the low, at the close, or at the defined dip-percent level. This keeps your plan consistent across instruments.
Alerts and what they mean
• Market Overheated : Score is deeply negative. Do not chase. Wait for green.
• Close To A Dip : Score has reached a healthy level but the full signal did not trigger yet. Prepare orders.
• Dip Confirmed : First bar of a fresh validated dip. This is the most direct entry alert.
• Dip Active : The dip condition remains valid. You can scale in on re-tests.
• Dip Fading : Score crosses below 0.5 from above. Momentum of the setup is fading. Tighten stops or take partials.
• Trend Blocked Signal : All dip conditions passed but the trend filter is offside. Either reduce risk or skip, depending on your plan.
How to trade with Dip Hunter
Classic pullback in uptrend
Turn on the trend filter.
Watch for a Dip Confirmed alert with green triangle.
Use the entry line at “Dip % Level” to stage a limit order. This keeps your entries consistent across assets and timeframes.
Initial stop under the signal bar’s low or under the next lower EMA band.
First target at prior swing high, second target at a multiple of risk.
If you use partials, trail the remainder under the fast EMA once price reclaims it.
Aggressive intraday scalps
Lower Dip % and Lookback Bars so you catch shallow flags.
Keep Vol Spike meaningful so you only trade when participation appears.
Take quick partials when price reclaims the fast EMA, then exit on Dip Fading if momentum stalls.
Counter-trend probes
Disable the trend filter if you intentionally hunt reflex bounces in downtrends.
Require strong volume and volatility confirmation.
Use smaller size and faster targets. The meter should move quickly from red toward white and then green. If it does not, step aside.
Risk management templates
Stops
• Conservative: below the entry line minus a small buffer or below the signal bar’s low.
• Structural: below the slow EMA if you aim for swing continuation.
• Time stop: if price does not reclaim the fast EMA within N bars, exit.
Position sizing
Use the distance between the entry line and your structural stop to size consistently. The script’s entry lines make this distance obvious.
Scaling
• Scale at the entry line first touch.
• Add only if the meter stays green and price reclaims the fast EMA.
• Stop adding on a Dip Fading alert.
Tuning guide by market and timeframe
Equities daily
• Dip %: 1.5 to 3.0
• Lookback Bars: 5 to 10
• Vol Spike: 1.5 to 2.5
• Volatility Len: 14 to 20
• Trend EMA: 100 or 200
• Keep trend filter on for a cleaner list.
Futures and FX intraday
• Dip %: 0.4 to 1.2
• Lookback Bars: 3 to 7
• Vol Spike: 1.8 to 3.0
• Volatility Len: 10 to 14
• Use Min Gap to avoid clusters during news.
Crypto
• Dip %: 3.0 to 6.0 for majors on higher timeframes, lower on 15m to 1h
• Lookback Bars: 5 to 12
• Vol Spike: 1.8 to 3.0
• ATR and stdev checks help in erratic sessions.
Reading the chart at a glance
• Green triangle below the bar: a validated dip.
• Light green background: the current bar meets the full condition.
• Bar gradient: red is overheated, white is neutral, green is dip-friendly.
• EMAs: fast below slow during the pullback, then reclaim fast EMA on the bounce for quality continuation.
• Trend EMA: a rising spine when the filter is on.
• Entry line: a fixed level to anchor orders and risk.
• Meter pointer: right side toward “Dip” means conditions are maturing.
Why this combination reduces false positives
Any single criterion will trigger too often. Dip Hunter demands a dip off a recent high plus a volume surge plus a volatility expansion plus corrective EMA structure. Optional trend alignment pushes odds further in your favor. The score and meter visualize how many of these boxes you are actually ticking, which is more reliable than a binary dot.
Limitations and practical tips
• Thin or illiquid symbols can spoof volume spikes. Use larger Vol Lookback or raise Vol Spike .
• Sideways markets will show frequent small dips. Increase Dip % or keep the trend filter on.
• News candles can blow through entry lines. Widen stops or skip around known events.
• If you see many back-to-back triangles, raise Min Gap to keep only the best setups.
Quick setup recipes
• Clean swing trader: Trend filter on, Dip % 2.0 to 3.0, Vol Spike 2.0, Volatility Len 14, Fast 20 EMA, Slow 50 EMA, Trend 100 EMA.
• Fast intraday scalper: Trend filter off, Dip % 0.7 to 1.0, Vol Spike 2.5, Volatility Len 10, Fast 9 EMA, Slow 21 EMA, Min Gap 10 bars.
• Crypto swing: Trend filter on, Dip % 4.0, Vol Spike 2.0, Volatility Len 14, Fast 20 EMA, Slow 50 EMA, Trend 200 EMA.
Summary
Dip Hunter is a focused pullback engine. It quantifies a real dip off a recent high, validates it with volume and volatility expansion, enforces corrective structure with EMAs, and optionally restricts signals to an uptrend. The score, bar gradient, and meter make reading conditions instant. Entry lines and alerts turn that read into an executable plan. Tune the thresholds to your market and timeframe, then let the tool keep you patient in red, selective in white, and decisive in green.
Market Regime Matrix [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated market regime classification system that combines multiple technical analysis components into an intelligent scoring framework to identify and track dominant market conditions. Utilizing advanced ADX-based trend detection, EMA directional analysis, volatility assessment, and crash protection protocols, the Market Regime Matrix delivers institutional-grade regime classification with BULL, BEAR, and CHOP states. The system features intelligent scoring with smoothing algorithms, duration filters for stability, and structure-based conviction adjustments to provide traders with clear, actionable market context.
🔶 Multi-Component Regime Engine Integrates five core analytical components: ADX trend strength detection, EMA-200 directional bias, ROC momentum analysis, Bollinger Band volatility measurement, and zig-zag structure verification. Each component contributes to a sophisticated scoring system that evaluates market conditions across multiple dimensions, ensuring comprehensive regime assessment with institutional precision.
// Gate Keeper: ADX determines market type
is_trending = adx_value > adx_trend_threshold
is_ranging = adx_value <= adx_trend_threshold
is_maximum_chop = adx_value <= adx_chop_threshold
// BULL CONDITIONS with Structure Veto
if price_above_ema and di_bullish
if use_structure_filter and isBullStructure
raw_bullScore := 5.0 // MAXIMUM CONVICTION: Strong signals + Bull structure
else if use_structure_filter and not isBullStructure
raw_bullScore := 3.0 // REDUCED: Strong signals but broken structure
🔶 Intelligent Scoring System Employs a dynamic 0-5 scale scoring mechanism for each regime type (BULL/BEAR/CHOP) with adaptive conviction levels. The system automatically adjusts scores based on signal alignment, market structure confirmation, and volatility conditions. Features decision margin requirements to prevent false regime changes and includes maximum conviction thresholds for high-probability setups.
🔶 Advanced Structure Filter Implements zig-zag based market structure analysis using configurable deviation thresholds to identify significant pivot points. The system tracks Higher Highs/Higher Lows (HH/HL) for bullish structure and Lower Lows/Lower Highs (LL/LH) for bearish structure, applying structure veto logic that reduces conviction when price action contradicts the underlying trend framework.
// Define Market Structure (Bull = HH/HL, Bear = LL/LH)
isBullStructure = not na(last_significant_high) and not na(prev_significant_high) and
not na(last_significant_low) and not na(prev_significant_low) and
last_significant_high > prev_significant_high and last_significant_low > prev_significant_low
isBearStructure = not na(last_significant_high) and not na(prev_significant_high) and
not na(last_significant_low) and not na(prev_significant_low) and
last_significant_low < prev_significant_low and last_significant_high < prev_significant_high
🔶 Superior Engine Components Features dual-layer regime stabilization through score smoothing and duration filtering. The score smoothing component reduces noise by averaging raw scores over configurable periods, while the duration filter requires minimum regime persistence before confirming changes. This eliminates whipsaws and ensures regime transitions represent genuine market shifts rather than temporary fluctuations.
🔶 Crash Detection & Active Penalties Incorporates sophisticated crash detection using Rate of Change (ROC) analysis with severity classification. When crash conditions are detected, the system applies active penalties (-5.0) to BULL and CHOP scores while boosting BEAR conviction based on crash severity. This ensures immediate regime response to major market dislocations and drawdown events.
// === CRASH OVERRIDE (Active Penalties) ===
is_crash = roc_value < crash_threshold
if is_crash
// Calculate crash severity
crash_severity = math.abs(roc_value / crash_threshold)
crash_bonus = 4.0 + (crash_severity - 1.0) * 2.0
// ACTIVE PENALTIES: Force bear dominance
raw_bearScore := math.max(raw_bearScore, crash_bonus)
raw_bullScore := -5.0 // ACTIVE PENALTY
raw_chopScore := -5.0 // ACTIVE PENALTY
❓How It Works
🔶 ADX-Based Market Classification The Market Regime Matrix uses ADX (Average Directional Index) as the primary gatekeeper to distinguish between trending and ranging market conditions. When ADX exceeds the trend threshold, the system activates BULL/BEAR regime logic using DI+/DI- crossovers and EMA positioning. When ADX falls below the ranging threshold, CHOP regime logic takes precedence, with maximum conviction assigned during ultra-low ADX periods.
🔶 Dynamic Conviction Scaling Each regime receives conviction ratings from UNCERTAIN to MAXIMUM based on signal alignment and score magnitude. MAXIMUM conviction (5.0 score) requires perfect signal alignment plus favorable market structure. The system progressively reduces conviction when signals conflict or structure breaks, ensuring traders understand the reliability of each regime classification.
🔶 Regime Transition Management Implements decision margin requirements where new regimes must exceed existing regimes by configurable thresholds before transitions occur. Combined with duration filtering, this prevents premature regime changes and maintains stability during consolidation periods. The system tracks both raw regime signals and final regime output for complete transparency.
🔶 Visual Regime Mapping Provides comprehensive visual feedback through colored candle overlays, background regime highlighting, and real-time information tables. The system displays regime history, conviction levels, structure status, and key metrics in an organized dashboard format. Regime changes trigger immediate visual alerts with detailed transition information.
🔶 Performance Optimization Features efficient array management for zig-zag calculations, smart variable updating to prevent recomputation, and configurable debug modes for strategy development. The system maintains optimal performance across all timeframes while providing institutional-grade analytical depth.
Why Choose Market Regime Matrix ?
The Market Regime Matrix represents the evolution of market regime analysis, combining traditional technical indicators with modern algorithmic decision-making frameworks. By integrating multiple analytical dimensions with intelligent scoring, structure verification, and crash protection, it provides traders with institutional-quality market context that adapts to changing conditions. The sophisticated filtering system eliminates noise while preserving responsiveness, making it an essential tool for traders seeking to align their strategies with dominant market regimes and avoid adverse market environments.
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
Inflection PointInflection Point - The Adaptive Confluence Reversal Engine
This is not just another peak and valley indicator; it is a complete and total reimagining of how market turning points are detected, qualified, and acted upon. Born from the foundational concepts explored in systems like my earlier creation, DAFE - Turning Point, Inflection Point is a ground-up engineering feat designed for the modern trader. It moves beyond static rules and simple pattern recognition into the realm of dynamic, multi-factor confluence analysis and adaptive machine learning.
Where other indicators provide a guess, Inflection Point provides a probability. It meticulously analyzes the market's deepest currents—momentum, exhaustion, and reversal velocity—and fuses them into a single, unified "Confluence Score." This is not a simple combination of indicators; it is an intelligent, weighted system where each component works in concert, creating an analytical engine that is orders of magnitude more sophisticated and reliable than any standard reversal tool.
Furthermore, Inflection Point learns. Through its advanced Adaptive Learning Engine, it constantly monitors its own performance, adjusting its confidence and selectivity in real-time based on its recent success rate. This allows it to adapt its behavior to any security, on any timeframe, with remarkable success.
Theoretical Foundation - Confluence Core
Inflection Point's predictive power does not come from a single, magical formula. It comes from the intelligent synthesis of three critical market phenomena, weighted and scored in real-time to generate a single, high-conviction probability rating.
1. Factor One: Pre-Reversal Momentum State (RSI Analysis)
Instead of reacting to a simple RSI cross, Inflection Point proactively scans for the build-up of momentum that precedes a reversal.
• Formulaic Concept: It measures the highest RSI value over a lookback period for peaks and the lowest RSI for valleys. A signal is only considered valid if significant momentum has been established before the turn, indicating a stretched market condition ripe for reversal.
• Asymmetric Sophistication: The engine uses different, optimized thresholds for bull and bear momentum, recognizing that markets often fall faster than they rise.
2. Factor Two: Volatility Exhaustion (Bollinger Band Analysis)
A true reversal often occurs when price makes a final, exhaustive push into unsustainable territory.
• Formulaic Concept: The engine detects when price has significantly pierced the outer Bollinger Bands. This is not just a touch, but a statistical deviation from the mean that signals volatility exhaustion, where the energy for the current move is likely depleted.
3. Factor Three: Reversal Strength (Rate of Change Analysis)
The character of a reversal matters. A sharp, decisive turn is more significant than a slow, meandering one.
• Formulaic Concept: Using a short-term Rate of Change (ROC), the engine measures the velocity of the reversal itself. A higher ROC score adds significant weight to the final probability, confirming that the new direction has conviction.
4. The Final Calculation: The Adaptive Learning Engine
This is the system's "brain." It maintains a history of its past signals and calculates its real-time win rate. This hitRate is then used to generate an adaptiveMultiplier.
• Self-Correction: In "Quality Control" mode, a high win rate makes the indicator more selective, demanding a higher probability score to issue a signal, thereby protecting streaks. A lower win rate makes it slightly less selective to ensure it continues learning from new market conditions.
• The result is a system that is not static, but a living, breathing tool that adapts its personality to the unique rhythm of any chart.
Why Inflection Point is a Paradigm Shift
Inflection Point is fundamentally different from other reversal indicators for three key reasons:
Confluence Over Isolation: Standard indicators look at one thing (e.g., RSI > 70). Inflection Point simultaneously analyzes momentum, volatility, and velocity, understanding that true reversals are a product of multiple converging factors. It answers not just "if," but "why" a reversal is likely.
Probabilistic Over Binary: Other tools give you a simple "yes" or "no." Inflection Point provides a probability score from 0-100, allowing you to gauge the conviction of every potential signal. This empowers you to differentiate between a weak setup and an A+ opportunity.
Adaptive Over Static: Every other indicator uses the same rules forever. Inflection Point's Adaptive Engine means it is constantly refining its own logic based on what is actually working in the current market, on the specific asset you are trading. It is tailored to the now.
The Inputs Menu - Your Command Center
Every setting is a lever of control, allowing you to tune the engine to your precise trading style and market focus.
🧠 Neural Core Engine
Analysis Depth: This is the primary lookback for the Bollinger Band and other core calculations. A shorter depth makes the indicator faster and more sensitive, ideal for scalping. A longer depth makes it slower and more stable, ideal for swing trading.
Minimum Probability %: This is your master signal filter. It sets the minimum Confluence Score required to plot a signal. Higher values (85-95) will give you only the highest-conviction A+ setups. Lower values (70-80) will show more potential opportunities.
🤖 Adaptive Neural Learning
Enable Adaptive Learning Engine: Toggles the entire learning system. Disabling it will make the indicator's logic static.
Peak/Valley Success Threshold (ATR): This defines what constitutes a "successful" trade for the learning engine. A value of 1.5 means price must move 1.5x the ATR in your favor for the signal to be marked as a win. Adjust this to match your personal take-profit strategy.
Adaptive Mode: This dictates how the engine uses its hitRate. "Quality Control" is recommended for its intelligent filtering. "Aggressive" will always boost signal scores, useful for finding more setups in a known, trending environment.
Asymmetric Balance: Allows you to apply a "boost" to either peak (short) or valley (long) signals. If you find the market you're trading has stronger long reversals, you can increase the "Valley Signal Boost" to catch them more effectively.
🛡️ Elite Filters
Market Noise Filter: An exceptional tool for avoiding choppy markets. It counts the number of directional changes in the last 5 bars. If the market is whipping back and forth too much, it will block the signal. Lower the "Max Direction Changes" to be extremely selective.
Volume Filter: Requires signal confirmation from a significant volume spike. The "Volume Multiplier" dictates how large this spike must be (e.g., 1.2 = 20% above average volume). This is invaluable for filtering out low-conviction moves in stocks and crypto.
The Dashboard - Your Analytical Co-Pilot
The dashboard is not just a set of numbers; it is a holistic overview of the market's health and the engine's current state.
Unified AI Score: This section provides the most critical, at-a-glance information. "Total Score" is the current probability reading, while "Quality" gives you a human-readable interpretation. "Win Rate" shows the real-time performance of the Adaptive Engine.
Order Flow (OFPI): This measures the "weight" of money behind recent price moves by analyzing price change relative to volume. A high positive OFPI suggests strong buying pressure, while a high negative value suggests strong selling pressure. It gives you a peek into the market's underlying flow.
Component Analysis: This allows you to see the individual "Peak" and "Valley" confidence scores before they are filtered, giving you insight into building momentum before a signal forms.
Market Structure: This panel assesses the broader environment. "HTF Trend" tells you the direction of the larger trend (based on EMAs), while "Vol Regime" tells you if the market is in a high, medium, or low volatility state. Use this to align your signals with the broader market context.
Filter & Engine Statistics: Available on the "Large" dashboard, this provides deep insight into how many signals are being blocked by your filters and the current status of the Adaptive Engine's multiplier.
The Visual Interface - A Symphony of Data
Every visual element on the chart is designed for instant interpretation and insight.
Signal Markers: Simple, clean triangles mark the exact bar of a valid signal. A box is drawn around the high/low of the signal bar to highlight the precise point of inflection.
Dynamic Support/Resistance Zones: These are the glowing lines on your chart. They are not static lines; they are dynamic levels that represent the current battlefield between buyers and sellers.
Cyber Cyan (Valley Blue): This is the current Support Zone. This is the price level the market is currently trying to defend.
Neural Pink (Peak Red): This is the current Resistance Zone. This is the price level the market is currently trying to break through.
Grey (Next Level): This line is a projection, based on the current momentum and the size of the S/R range, of where the next major level of conflict will likely be. It acts as a potential price target.
Development & Philosophy
Inflection Point was not assembled; it was engineered. It represents hundreds of hours of research into market dynamics, statistical analysis, and machine learning principles. The goal was to create a tool that moves beyond the limitations of traditional technical analysis, which often fails in modern, algorithm-driven markets. By building a system based on multi-factor confluence and self-adaptive logic, Inflection Point provides a quantifiable, statistical edge that is simply unattainable with simpler tools. This is the result of a relentless pursuit of a better, more intelligent way to trade.
Universal Applicability
The principles of momentum, exhaustion, and velocity are universal to all freely traded markets. Because of its adaptive core and robust filtering options, Inflection Point has proven to be exceptionally effective on any security (stocks, crypto, forex, indices, futures) and on any timeframe (from 1-minute scalping charts to daily swing trading charts).
" Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected. "
— George Soros
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Rifle UnifiedThis script is designed for use on 30-second charts of Dow Jones-related symbols (YM, MYM, US30). It provides automated buy and sell signals using a combination of price action, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and volume analysis. The script is intended for both live trading signals and backtesting, with configurable risk management and debugging features.
Core Functionality
1. Signal Generation Logic
Trigger: The algorithm looks for a sharp price move (drop or rise) of a user-defined threshold (default: 80 points) within a specified lookback window (default: 20 minutes).
Levels: It monitors for price drops below specific numerical levels ending in 23, 43, or 73 (e.g., 42223, 42273).
RSI Condition: When price falls below one of these levels and the RSI is below 30, the setup is considered active.
Buy Signal: A buy is triggered if, after setup:
Price rises back above the level,
The RSI rate of change (ROC) indicates exhaustion of the drop,
The current bar shows positive momentum.
2. Trade Management
Stop Loss & Take Profit: Configurable fixed or trailing stop loss and take profit levels are plotted and managed automatically.
Exit Signals: The script signals exit based on price action relative to these risk management levels.
3. Filters & Enhancements
Parabolic Move Filter: Prevents entries during extreme price moves.
Dead Cat Bounce Filter: Avoids false signals after sharp reversals.
Volume Filter: Optionally requires volume conditions for trade entries (especially for shorts).
Multiple Confirmation Layers : Includes checks for 5-minute RSI, momentum, and price retracement.
User Inputs & Customization
Trade Direction: Toggle between LONG and SHORT signal generation.
Trigger Settings: Adjust thresholds for price moves, lookback windows, RSI ROC, and volume requirements.
Trade Settings: Set take profit, stop loss, and trailing stop behavior.
Debug & Visualization: Enable or disable various plots, labels, and debug tables for in-depth analysis.
Backtesting: Integrated backtester with summary and detailed statistics tables.
Technical Features
Uses External Libraries: Relies on RifleShooterLib for core logic and BackTestLib for backtesting and statistics.
Multi-timeframe Analysis: Incorporates both 30-second and 5-minute RSI calculations.
Chart Annotations: Plots entry/exit points, risk levels, and debug information directly on the chart.
Alert Conditions: Built-in alert triggers for key events (initial move, stall, entry).
Intended Use
Markets: Dow Jones symbols (YM, MYM, US30, or US30 CFD).
Timeframe: 30-second chart.
Purpose: Automated signal generation for discretionary or algorithmic trading, with robust risk management and backtesting support.
Notable Customization & Extension Points
Momentum Calculation: Plans to replace the current momentum measure with "sqz momentum".
Displacement Logic: Future update to use "FVG concept" for displacement.
High-Contrast RSI: Optional visual enhancements for RSI extremes.
Time-based Stop: Consideration for adding a time-based stop mechanism.
This script is highly modular, with extensive user controls, and is suitable for both live trading and historical analysis of Dow Jones index movements
BBS – Bond Breadth Signal"When bonds scream, breadth collapses, and fear spikes — BBS listens."
🧠 BBS – Bond Breadth Signal
A reversal timing tool built on macro conviction, not price noise.
The Bond Breadth Signal (BBS) was developed to identify major market inflection points by combining four key market stress indicators:
1) 10-Year Yield ROC – Measures sharp moves in the bond market
2) Z-Score of the 10Y – Captures statistical extremes
3) NSHF (Net Highs–Lows) – Signals internal market strength or weakness
4) TLT ROC + VIX – Confirmations of flight to safety and volatility-driven fear
When all conditions align, BBS marks either a For-Sure Buy or For-Sure Sell — these are rare, high-confidence signals designed to cut through noise and focus on true market dislocations.
🔧 Features:
-Background color and signal arrows on confirmation days
-Signals remain visually active for 3 days for added clarity
-Fully adjustable thresholds and alert toggles
-Plot panel for yield, TLT, NSHF, VIX, and Z-score visuals
This tool isn’t designed to fire every day. It’s meant to wait for those moments when the market truly bends — not just wiggles.
Best used on major indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM) to assess macro turning points.
Z-Score Adaptive Connors RSIZ-Score Adaptive Connors RSI blends the classic three-component Connors RSI (RSI, Up/Down streak RSI, and Percentile Rank of 1-bar ROC) with a dynamic z-score filter that distinguishes trending vs. mean-reverting market regimes.
When the indicator detects an extreme deviation (|z-score| > threshold) , it switches to “trending” mode and tightens entry thresholds for capturing momentum. When markets are in a more neutral regime, it reverts to wider thresholds, hunting for overbought/oversold reversals.
Key Features
Connors RSI Core: Combines price momentum, streak measurements, and velocity for a robust baseline oscillator. Z-Score Regime Filter: Computes the z-score of the Connors RSI over a lookback window to adapt your trading style to trending vs. reverting environments.
Dynamic Thresholds: Separate user-configurable thresholds for trending (“tight” entries) and mean-reverting (“wide” entries) scenarios.
Inputs & Parameters
Connors RSI Settings
RSI Source: Price series for RSI calculation (default: Close)
RSI Length: Period for price‐change RSI (default: 24)
Up/Down Length: Period for streak RSI (default: 20)
ROC Length: Period for percentile‐rank of 1-bar return (default: 75)
Z-Score Filter
Lookback: Number of bars to compute mean and standard deviation of Connors RSI (default: 14)
Threshold: Minimum |z-score| to enter “trending” mode (default: 1.5)
Entry Thresholds
Trending Long/Short: Upper and lower RSI Thresholds when trending
Reverting Long/Short: Upper and lower RSI Thresholds when reverting
Canuck Trading IndicatorOverview
The Canuck Trading Indicator is a versatile, overlay-based technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in identifying potential trading opportunities across various timeframes and market conditions. By combining multiple technical indicators—such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, EMAs, VWAP, MACD, Stochastic RSI, ADX, HMA, and candlestick patterns—the indicator provides clear visual signals for bullish and bearish entries, breakouts, long-term trends, and options strategies like cash-secured puts, straddles/strangles, iron condors, and short squeezes. It also incorporates 20-day and 200-day SMAs to detect Golden/Death Crosses and price positioning relative to these moving averages. A dynamic table displays key metrics, and customizable alerts help traders stay informed of market conditions.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Adaptability: Automatically adjusts parameters (e.g., ATR multiplier, ADX period, HMA length) based on the chart's timeframe (minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly) for optimal performance.
Comprehensive Signal Generation: Identifies short-term entries, breakouts, long-term bullish trends, and options strategies using a combination of momentum, trend, volatility, and candlestick patterns.
Candlestick Pattern Detection: Recognizes bullish/bearish engulfing, hammer, shooting star, doji, and strong candles for precise entry/exit signals.
Moving Average Analysis: Plots 20-day and 200-day SMAs, detects Golden/Death Crosses, and evaluates price position relative to these averages.
Dynamic Table: Displays real-time metrics, including zone status (bullish, bearish, neutral), RSI, MACD, Stochastic RSI, short/long-term trends, candlestick patterns, ADX, ROC, VWAP slope, and MA positioning.
Customizable Alerts: Over 20 alert conditions for entries, exits, overbought/oversold warnings, and MA crosses, with actionable messages including ticker, price, and suggested strategies.
Visual Clarity: Uses distinct shapes, colors, and sizes to plot signals (e.g., green triangles for bullish entries, red triangles for bearish entries) and overlays key levels like EMA, VWAP, Bollinger Bands, support/resistance, and HMA.
Options Strategy Signals: Suggests opportunities for selling cash-secured puts, straddles/strangles, iron condors, and capitalizing on short squeezes.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to any TradingView chart by selecting "Canuck Trading Indicator" from the Pine Script library.
Interpret Signals:
Bullish Signals: Green triangles (short-term entry), lime diamonds (breakout), blue circles (long-term entry).
Bearish Signals: Red triangles (short-term entry), maroon diamonds (breakout).
Options Strategies: Purple squares (cash-secured puts), yellow circles (straddles/strangles), orange crosses (iron condors), white arrows (short squeezes).
Exits: X-cross shapes in corresponding colors indicate exit signals.
Monitor: Gray circles suggest holding cash or monitoring for setups.
Review Table: Check the top-right table for real-time metrics, including zone status, RSI, MACD, trends, and MA positioning.
Set Alerts: Configure alerts for specific signals (e.g., "Short-Term Bullish Entry" or "Golden Cross") to receive notifications via TradingView.
Adjust Inputs: Customize input parameters (e.g., RSI period, EMA length, ATR period) to suit your trading style or market conditions.
Input Parameters
The indicator offers a wide range of customizable inputs to fine-tune its behavior:
RSI Period (default: 14): Length for RSI calculation.
RSI Bullish Low/High (default: 35/70): RSI thresholds for bullish signals.
RSI Bearish High (default: 65): RSI threshold for bearish signals.
EMA Period (default: 15): Main EMA length (15 for day trading, 50 for swing).
Short/Long EMA Length (default: 3/20): For momentum oscillator.
T3 Smoothing Length (default: 5): Smooths momentum signals.
Long-Term EMA/RSI Length (default: 20/15): For long-term trend analysis.
Support/Resistance Lookback (default: 5): Periods for support/resistance levels.
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal (default: 12/26/9): MACD parameters.
Bollinger Bands Period/StdDev (default: 15/2): BB settings.
Stochastic RSI Period/Smoothing (default: 14/3/3): Stochastic RSI settings.
Uptrend/Short-Term/Long-Term Lookback (default: 2/2/5): Candles for trend detection.
ATR Period (default: 14): For volatility and price targets.
VWAP Sensitivity (default: 0.1%): Threshold for VWAP-based signals.
Volume Oscillator Period (default: 14): For volume surge detection.
Pattern Detection Threshold (default: 0.3%): Sensitivity for candlestick patterns.
ROC Period (default: 3): Rate of change for momentum.
VWAP Slope Period (default: 5): For VWAP trend analysis.
TradingView Publishing Compliance
Originality: The Canuck Trading Indicator is an original script, combining multiple technical indicators and custom logic to provide unique trading signals. It does not replicate existing public scripts.
No Guaranteed Profits: This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and does not guarantee profits. Trading involves risks, and users should conduct their own research and risk management.
Clear Instructions: The description and usage guide are detailed and accessible, ensuring users understand how to apply the indicator effectively.
No External Dependencies: The script uses only built-in Pine Script functions (e.g., ta.rsi, ta.ema, ta.vwap) and requires no external libraries or data sources.
Performance: The script is optimized for performance, using efficient calculations and adaptive parameters to minimize lag on various timeframes.
Visual Clarity: Signals are plotted with distinct shapes and colors, and the table provides a concise summary of market conditions, enhancing usability.
Limitations and Risks
Market Conditions: The indicator may generate false signals in choppy or low-liquidity markets. Always confirm signals with additional analysis.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Performance varies by timeframe; test settings on your preferred chart (e.g., 5-minute for day trading, daily for swing trading).
Risk Management: Use stop-losses and position sizing to manage risk, as suggested in alert messages (e.g., "Stop -20%").
Options Trading: Options strategies (e.g., straddles, iron condors) carry unique risks; consult a financial advisor before trading.
Feedback and Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please leave a comment on the TradingView script page or contact the author via TradingView. Your feedback helps improve the indicator for the community.
Disclaimer
The Canuck Trading Indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Combined Up down with volumeIndicator Description: "Combined Up/Down with Volume"
This Pine Script indicator combines price momentum and volume spikes to identify potential trend reversals or breakouts. It checks two key conditions:
Price Movement – A minimum percentage change (% check) in closing price.
Volume Spike – Trading volume exceeding a user-defined threshold (Volume above).
How It Works
1. Price Momentum Check
Calculates the 1-period Rate of Change (ROC) of the closing price.
Triggers when the absolute ROC ≥ % check (e.g., 5%).
2. Volume Spike Check
Compares current volume against a threshold (e.g., 1,000,000).
Triggers when volume exceeds this level.
3. Signal Plotting
If use = true:
Plots a purple circle below the bar when both conditions are met.
If use = false:
Plots a circle below the bar for price momentum alone.
Plots a circle (default position) for high volume alone.
Math by Thomas Order Blocks🔥 Description:
🚀 Math by Thomas Order Blocks is a precision tool for Smart Money Concept (SMC) and price action traders, designed to automatically detect Bullish and Bearish Order Blocks (OBs). It highlights key institutional trading zones where large orders are placed, helping you identify potential reversal and continuation areas.
⚙️ Key Features:
✅ Automatic Order Block Detection:
Detects Bearish OBs when price sharply reverses after a significant bullish move.
Identifies Bullish OBs following a sharp reversal from a bearish push.
✅ Dynamic Sensitivity & Volume Filter:
Sensitivity Control: Customize OB detection precision.
Minimum Volume Filter: Ensures OBs form only on significant volume spikes.
✅ Flexible OB Mitigation:
Choose between "Close" or "Wick" mitigation for OB invalidation.
Mitigated OBs are automatically removed from the chart.
✅ Adaptive Swing & Price Change Detection:
Adjusts OB detection logic based on timeframe for flexibility.
Uses adaptive rate of change (ROC) calculations to spot momentum shifts.
✅ Visual Customization:
OBs are displayed as shaded boxes with configurable background and border colors.
Bullish OBs = Green (support zones).
Bearish OBs = Red (resistance zones).
✅ Alerts for OB Touch:
Get real-time alerts when price touches a Bullish or Bearish OB.
Helps you catch potential reversal points without constant chart monitoring.
📊 How It Works:
Bullish OB Logic:
Detected when price crosses over a positive momentum threshold (ROC) with high volume.
Plots a green OB box from the low of the swing candle.
Bearish OB Logic:
Identified when price crosses under a negative momentum threshold with high volume.
Plots a red OB box from the high of the swing candle.
Mitigation Rules:
OBs are removed once invalidated by price action based on your chosen mitigation type (Close or Wick).
📈 Usage Tips:
Use Bullish OBs as potential support areas for buy entries.
Treat Bearish OBs as resistance zones for sell setups.
Combine with Fair Value Gaps, volume profile, and RSI for confluence.
Adjust sensitivity and volume filters to fine-tune OB detection.
✅ Chart Example:
The script displays:
Bullish OBs in green, marking potential support zones.
Bearish OBs in red, indicating resistance zones.
Real-time alerts when price touches OBs.
🔥 Why Use This Indicator?
Designed for intraday and swing traders aiming to identify institutional trading zones.
Helps you spot reversal and continuation setups with precision.
Ideal for Smart Money Concept (SMC), price action, and order flow traders.
Fuzzy SMA with DCTI Confirmation[FibonacciFlux]FibonacciFlux: Advanced Fuzzy Logic System with Donchian Trend Confirmation
Institutional-grade trend analysis combining adaptive Fuzzy Logic with Donchian Channel Trend Intensity for superior signal quality
Conceptual Framework & Research Foundation
FibonacciFlux represents a significant advancement in quantitative technical analysis, merging two powerful analytical methodologies: normalized fuzzy logic systems and Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI). This sophisticated indicator addresses a fundamental challenge in market analysis – the inherent imprecision of trend identification in dynamic, multi-dimensional market environments.
While traditional indicators often produce simplistic binary signals, markets exist in states of continuous, graduated transition. FibonacciFlux embraces this complexity through its implementation of fuzzy set theory, enhanced by DCTI's structural trend confirmation capabilities. The result is an indicator that provides nuanced, probabilistic trend assessment with institutional-grade signal quality.
Core Technological Components
1. Advanced Fuzzy Logic System with Percentile Normalization
At the foundation of FibonacciFlux lies a comprehensive fuzzy logic system that transforms conventional technical metrics into degrees of membership in linguistic variables:
// Fuzzy triangular membership function with robust error handling
fuzzy_triangle(val, left, center, right) =>
if na(val)
0.0
float denominator1 = math.max(1e-10, center - left)
float denominator2 = math.max(1e-10, right - center)
math.max(0.0, math.min(left == center ? val <= center ? 1.0 : 0.0 : (val - left) / denominator1,
center == right ? val >= center ? 1.0 : 0.0 : (right - val) / denominator2))
The system employs percentile-based normalization for SMA deviation – a critical innovation that enables self-calibration across different assets and market regimes:
// Percentile-based normalization for adaptive calibration
raw_diff = price_src - sma_val
diff_abs_percentile = ta.percentile_linear_interpolation(math.abs(raw_diff), normLookback, percRank) + 1e-10
normalized_diff_raw = raw_diff / diff_abs_percentile
normalized_diff = useClamping ? math.max(-clampValue, math.min(clampValue, normalized_diff_raw)) : normalized_diff_raw
This normalization approach represents a significant advancement over fixed-threshold systems, allowing the indicator to automatically adapt to varying volatility environments and maintain consistent signal quality across diverse market conditions.
2. Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI) Integration
FibonacciFlux significantly enhances fuzzy logic analysis through the integration of Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI) – a sophisticated measure of trend strength based on the relationship between short-term and long-term price extremes:
// DCTI calculation for structural trend confirmation
f_dcti(src, majorPer, minorPer, sigPer) =>
H = ta.highest(high, majorPer) // Major period high
L = ta.lowest(low, majorPer) // Major period low
h = ta.highest(high, minorPer) // Minor period high
l = ta.lowest(low, minorPer) // Minor period low
float pdiv = not na(L) ? l - L : 0 // Positive divergence (low vs major low)
float ndiv = not na(H) ? H - h : 0 // Negative divergence (major high vs high)
float divisor = pdiv + ndiv
dctiValue = divisor == 0 ? 0 : 100 * ((pdiv - ndiv) / divisor) // Normalized to -100 to +100 range
sigValue = ta.ema(dctiValue, sigPer)
DCTI provides a complementary structural perspective on market trends by quantifying the relationship between short-term and long-term price extremes. This creates a multi-dimensional analysis framework that combines adaptive deviation measurement (fuzzy SMA) with channel-based trend intensity confirmation (DCTI).
Multi-Dimensional Fuzzy Input Variables
FibonacciFlux processes four distinct technical dimensions through its fuzzy system:
Normalized SMA Deviation: Measures price displacement relative to historical volatility context
Rate of Change (ROC): Captures price momentum over configurable timeframes
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Evaluates cyclical overbought/oversold conditions
Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI): Provides structural trend confirmation through channel analysis
Each dimension is processed through comprehensive fuzzy sets that transform crisp numerical values into linguistic variables:
// Normalized SMA Deviation - Self-calibrating to volatility regimes
ndiff_LP := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, norm_scale * 0.3, norm_scale * 0.7, norm_scale * 1.1)
ndiff_SP := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, norm_scale * 0.05, norm_scale * 0.25, norm_scale * 0.5)
ndiff_NZ := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 0.1, 0.0, norm_scale * 0.1)
ndiff_SN := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 0.5, -norm_scale * 0.25, -norm_scale * 0.05)
ndiff_LN := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 1.1, -norm_scale * 0.7, -norm_scale * 0.3)
// DCTI - Structural trend measurement
dcti_SP := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, 60.0, 85.0, 101.0) // Strong Positive Trend (> ~85)
dcti_WP := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, 20.0, 45.0, 70.0) // Weak Positive Trend (~30-60)
dcti_Z := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -30.0, 0.0, 30.0) // Near Zero / Trendless (~+/- 20)
dcti_WN := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -70.0, -45.0, -20.0) // Weak Negative Trend (~-30 - -60)
dcti_SN := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -101.0, -85.0, -60.0) // Strong Negative Trend (< ~-85)
Advanced Fuzzy Rule System with DCTI Confirmation
The core intelligence of FibonacciFlux lies in its sophisticated fuzzy rule system – a structured knowledge representation that encodes expert understanding of market dynamics:
// Base Trend Rules with DCTI Confirmation
cond1 = math.min(ndiff_LP, roc_HP, rsi_M)
strength_SB := math.max(strength_SB, cond1 * (dcti_SP > 0.5 ? 1.2 : dcti_Z > 0.1 ? 0.5 : 1.0))
// DCTI Override Rules - Structural trend confirmation with momentum alignment
cond14 = math.min(ndiff_NZ, roc_HP, dcti_SP)
strength_SB := math.max(strength_SB, cond14 * 0.5)
The rule system implements 15 distinct fuzzy rules that evaluate various market conditions including:
Established Trends: Strong deviations with confirming momentum and DCTI alignment
Emerging Trends: Early deviation patterns with initial momentum and DCTI confirmation
Weakening Trends: Divergent signals between deviation, momentum, and DCTI
Reversal Conditions: Counter-trend signals with DCTI confirmation
Neutral Consolidations: Minimal deviation with low momentum and neutral DCTI
A key innovation is the weighted influence of DCTI on rule activation. When strong DCTI readings align with other indicators, rule strength is amplified (up to 1.2x). Conversely, when DCTI contradicts other indicators, rule impact is reduced (as low as 0.5x). This creates a dynamic, self-adjusting system that prioritizes high-conviction signals.
Defuzzification & Signal Generation
The final step transforms fuzzy outputs into a precise trend score through center-of-gravity defuzzification:
// Defuzzification with precise floating-point handling
denominator = strength_SB + strength_WB + strength_N + strength_WBe + strength_SBe
if denominator > 1e-10
fuzzyTrendScore := (strength_SB * STRONG_BULL + strength_WB * WEAK_BULL +
strength_N * NEUTRAL + strength_WBe * WEAK_BEAR +
strength_SBe * STRONG_BEAR) / denominator
The resulting FuzzyTrendScore ranges from -1.0 (Strong Bear) to +1.0 (Strong Bull), with critical threshold zones at ±0.3 (Weak trend) and ±0.7 (Strong trend). The histogram visualization employs intuitive color-coding for immediate trend assessment.
Strategic Applications for Institutional Trading
FibonacciFlux provides substantial advantages for sophisticated trading operations:
Multi-Timeframe Signal Confirmation: Institutional-grade signal validation across multiple technical dimensions
Trend Strength Quantification: Precise measurement of trend conviction with noise filtration
Early Trend Identification: Detection of emerging trends before traditional indicators through fuzzy pattern recognition
Adaptive Market Regime Analysis: Self-calibrating analysis across varying volatility environments
Algorithmic Strategy Integration: Well-defined numerical output suitable for systematic trading frameworks
Risk Management Enhancement: Superior signal fidelity for risk exposure optimization
Customization Parameters
FibonacciFlux offers extensive customization to align with specific trading mandates and market conditions:
Fuzzy SMA Settings: Configure baseline trend identification parameters including SMA, ROC, and RSI lengths
Normalization Settings: Fine-tune the self-calibration mechanism with adjustable lookback period, percentile rank, and optional clamping
DCTI Parameters: Optimize trend structure confirmation with adjustable major/minor periods and signal smoothing
Visualization Controls: Customize display transparency for optimal chart integration
These parameters enable precise calibration for different asset classes, timeframes, and market regimes while maintaining the core analytical framework.
Implementation Notes
For optimal implementation, consider the following guidance:
Higher timeframes (4H+) benefit from increased normalization lookback (800+) for stability
Volatile assets may require adjusted clamping values (2.5-4.0) for optimal signal sensitivity
DCTI parameters should be aligned with chart timeframe (higher timeframes require increased major/minor periods)
The indicator performs exceptionally well as a trend filter for systematic trading strategies
Acknowledgments
FibonacciFlux builds upon the pioneering work of Donovan Wall in Donchian Channel Trend Intensity analysis. The normalization approach draws inspiration from percentile-based statistical techniques in quantitative finance. This indicator is shared for educational and analytical purposes under Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) license.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk. This indicator should be used as one component of a comprehensive analysis framework.
Shout out @DonovanWall
Geometric Momentum Breakout with Monte CarloOverview
This experimental indicator uses geometric trendline analysis combined with momentum and Monte Carlo simulation techniques to help visualize potential breakout areas. It calculates support, resistance, and an aggregated trendline using a custom Geo library (by kaigouthro). The indicator also tracks breakout signals in a way that a new buy signal is triggered only after a sell signal (and vice versa), ensuring no repeated signals in the same direction.
Important:
This script is provided for educational purposes only. It is experimental and should not be used for live trading without proper testing and validation.
Key Features
Trendline Calculation:
Uses the Geo library to compute support and resistance trendlines based on historical high and low prices. The midpoint of these trendlines forms an aggregated trendline.
Momentum Analysis:
Computes the Rate of Change (ROC) to determine momentum. Breakout conditions are met only if the price and momentum exceed a user-defined threshold.
Monte Carlo Simulation:
Simulates future price movements to estimate the probability of bullish or bearish breakouts over a specified horizon.
Signal Tracking:
A persistent variable ensures that once a buy (or sell) signal is triggered, it won’t repeat until the opposite signal occurs.
Geometric Enhancements:
Calculates an aggregated trend angle and channel width (distance between support and resistance), and draws a perpendicular “breakout zone” line.
Table Display:
A built-in table displays key metrics including:
Bullish probability
Bearish probability
Aggregated trend angle (in degrees)
Channel width
Alerts:
Configurable alerts notify when a new buy or sell breakout signal occurs.
Inputs
Resistance Lookback & Support Lookback:
Number of bars to look back for determining resistance and support points.
Momentum Length & Threshold:
Period for ROC calculation and the minimum percentage change required for a breakout confirmation.
Monte Carlo Simulation Parameters:
Simulation Horizon: Number of future bars to simulate.
Simulation Iterations: Number of simulation runs.
Table Position & Text Size:
Customize where the table is displayed on the chart and the size of the text.
How to Use
Add the Script to Your Chart:
Copy the code into the Pine Script editor on TradingView and add it to your chart.
Adjust Settings:
Customize the inputs (e.g., lookback periods, momentum threshold, simulation parameters) to fit your analysis or educational requirements.
Interpret Signals:
A buy signal is plotted as a green triangle below the bar when conditions are met and the state transitions from neutral or sell.
A sell signal is plotted as a red triangle above the bar when conditions are met and the state transitions from neutral or buy.
Alerts are triggered only on the bar where a new signal is generated.
Examine the Table:
The table displays key metrics (breakout probabilities, aggregated trend angle, and channel width) to help evaluate current market conditions.
Disclaimer
This indicator is experimental and provided for educational purposes only. It is not intended as a trading signal or financial advice. Use this script at your own risk, and always perform your own research and testing before using any experimental tools in live trading.
Credit
This indicator uses the Geo library by kaigouthro. Special thanks to Cryptonerds and @Hazzantazzan for their contributions and insights.
XGBoost Approximation Indicator with HTF Filter Ver. 3.2XGBoost Approx Indicator with Higher Timeframe Filter Ver. 3.2
What It Is
The XGBoost Approx Indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to generate trading signals based on a composite of multiple indicators. It combines Simple Moving Average (SMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, Rate of Change (ROC), and Volume to create a composite indicator score. Additionally, it incorporates a higher timeframe filter (HTF) to enhance trend confirmation and reduce false signals.
This indicator helps traders identify long (buy) and short (sell) opportunities based on a weighted combination of trend-following and momentum indicators.
How to Use It Properly
Setup and Configuration:
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Customize input settings based on your trading strategy. Key configurable inputs include:
HTF filter (default: 1-hour)
SMA, RSI, MACD, and ROC lengths
Custom weightings for each component
Thresholds for buy and sell signals
Understanding the Signals:
Green "Long" Label: Appears when the composite indicator crosses above the buy threshold, signaling a potential buy opportunity.
Red "Short" Label: Appears when the composite indicator crosses below the sell threshold, signaling a potential sell opportunity.
These signals are filtered by a higher timeframe SMA trend to improve accuracy.
Alerts:
The indicator provides alert conditions for long and short entries.
Traders can enable alerts in TradingView to receive real-time notifications when a new signal is triggered.
Safety and Best Practices
Use in Conjunction with Other Analysis: Do not rely solely on this indicator. Combine it with price action, support/resistance levels, and fundamental analysis for better decision-making.
Adjust Settings for Your Strategy: The default settings may not suit all markets or timeframes. Test different configurations before trading live.
Backtest Before Using in Live Trading: Evaluate the indicator’s past performance on historical data to assess its effectiveness in different market conditions.
Avoid Overtrading: False signals can occur, especially in low volatility or choppy markets. Use additional confirmation (e.g., trendlines or moving averages).
Risk Management: Always set stop-loss levels and position sizes to limit potential losses.
Dynamic Ticks Oscillator Model (DTOM)The Dynamic Ticks Oscillator Model (DTOM) is a systematic trading approach grounded in momentum and volatility analysis, designed to exploit behavioral inefficiencies in the equity markets. It focuses on the NYSE Down Ticks, a metric reflecting the cumulative number of stocks trading at a lower price than their previous trade. As a proxy for market sentiment and selling pressure, this indicator is particularly useful in identifying shifts in investor behavior during periods of heightened uncertainty or volatility (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Theoretical Basis
The DTOM builds on established principles of momentum and mean reversion in financial markets. Momentum strategies, which seek to capitalize on the persistence of price trends, have been shown to deliver significant returns in various asset classes (Carhart, 1997). However, these strategies are also susceptible to periods of drawdown due to sudden reversals. By incorporating volatility as a dynamic component, DTOM adapts to changing market conditions, addressing one of the primary challenges of traditional momentum models (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
Sentiment and Volatility as Core Drivers
The NYSE Down Ticks serve as a proxy for short-term negative sentiment. Sudden increases in Down Ticks often signal panic-driven selling, creating potential opportunities for mean reversion. Behavioral finance studies suggest that investor overreaction to negative news can lead to temporary mispricings, which systematic strategies can exploit (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By incorporating a rate-of-change (ROC) oscillator into the model, DTOM tracks the momentum of Down Ticks over a specified lookback period, identifying periods of extreme sentiment.
In addition, the strategy dynamically adjusts entry and exit thresholds based on recent volatility. Research indicates that incorporating volatility into momentum strategies can enhance risk-adjusted returns by improving adaptability to market conditions (Moskowitz, Ooi, & Pedersen, 2012). DTOM uses standard deviations of the ROC as a measure of volatility, allowing thresholds to contract during calm markets and expand during turbulent ones. This approach helps mitigate false signals and aligns with findings that volatility scaling can improve strategy robustness (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
Practical Implications
The DTOM framework is particularly well-suited for systematic traders seeking to exploit behavioral inefficiencies while maintaining adaptability to varying market environments. By leveraging sentiment metrics such as the NYSE Down Ticks and combining them with a volatility-adjusted momentum oscillator, the strategy addresses key limitations of traditional trend-following models, such as their lagging nature and susceptibility to reversals in volatile conditions.
References
• Barroso, P., & Santa-Clara, P. (2015). Momentum Has Its Moments. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 111–120.
• Carhart, M. M. (1997). On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. The Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57–82.
• De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793–805.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65–91.
• Moskowitz, T. J., Ooi, Y. H., & Pedersen, L. H. (2012). Time Series Momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 228–250.
Trend Stability Index (TSI)Overview
The Trend Stability Index (TSI) is a technical analysis tool designed to evaluate the stability of a market trend by analyzing both price movements and trading volume. By combining these two crucial elements, the TSI provides traders with insights into the strength and reliability of ongoing trends, assisting in making informed trading decisions.
Key Features
• Dual Analysis: Integrates price changes and volume fluctuations to assess trend stability.
• Customizable Periods: Allows users to set evaluation periods for both trend and volume based on their trading preferences.
• Visual Indicators: Displays the Trend Stability Index as a line chart, highlights neutral zones, and uses background colors to indicate trend stability or instability.
Configuration Settings
1. Trend Length (trendLength)
• Description: Determines the number of periods over which the price stability is evaluated.
• Default Value: 15
• Usage: A longer trend length smooths out short-term volatility, providing a clearer picture of the overarching trend.
2. Volume Length (volumeLength)
• Description: Sets the number of periods over which trading volume changes are assessed.
• Default Value: 15
• Usage: Adjusting the volume length helps in capturing significant volume movements that may influence trend strength.
Calculation Methodology
The Trend Stability Index is calculated through a series of steps that analyze both price and volume changes:
1. Price Change Rate (priceChange)
• Calculation: Utilizes the Rate of Change (ROC) function on the closing prices over the specified trendLength.
• Purpose: Measures the percentage change in price over the trend evaluation period, indicating the direction and momentum of the price movement.
2. Volume Change Rate (volumeChange)
• Calculation: Applies the Rate of Change (ROC) function to the trading volume over the specified volumeLength.
• Purpose: Assesses the percentage change in trading volume, providing insight into the conviction behind price movements.
3. Trend Stability (trendStability)
• Calculation: Multiplies priceChange by volumeChange.
• Purpose: Combines price and volume changes to gauge the overall stability of the trend. A higher positive value suggests a strong and stable trend, while negative values may indicate trend weakness or reversal.
4. Trend Stability Index (TSI)
• Calculation: Applies a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to the trendStability over the trendLength period.
• Purpose: Smooths the trend stability data to create a more consistent and interpretable index.
Trend/Ranging Determination
• Stable Trend (isStable)
• Condition: When the TSI value is greater than 0.
• Interpretation: Indicates that the current trend is stable and likely to continue in its direction.
• Unstable Trend / Range-bound Market
• Condition: When the TSI value is less than or equal to 0.
• Interpretation: Suggests that the trend may be weakening, reversing, or that the market is moving sideways without a clear direction.
Visualization
The TSI indicator employs several visual elements to convey information effectively:
1. TSI Line
• Representation: Plotted as a blue line.
• Purpose: Displays the Trend Stability Index values over time, allowing traders to observe trend stability dynamics.
2. Neutral Horizontal Line
• Representation: A gray horizontal line at the 0 level.
• Purpose: Serves as a reference point to distinguish between stable and unstable trends.
3. Background Color
• Stable Trend: Green background with 80% transparency when isStable is true.
• Unstable Trend: Red background with 80% transparency when isStable is false.
• Purpose: Provides an immediate visual cue about the current trend’s stability, enhancing the interpretability of the indicator.
Usage Guidelines
• Identifying Trend Strength: Utilize the TSI to confirm the strength of existing trends. A consistently positive TSI suggests strong trend momentum, while a negative TSI may signal caution or a potential reversal.
• Volume Confirmation: The integration of volume changes helps in validating price movements. Significant price changes accompanied by corresponding volume shifts can reinforce the reliability of the trend.
• Entry and Exit Signals: Traders can use crossovers of the TSI with the neutral line (0 level) as potential entry or exit points. For instance, a crossover from below to above 0 may indicate a bullish trend initiation, while a crossover from above to below 0 could suggest bearish momentum.
• Combining with Other Indicators: To enhance trading strategies, consider using the TSI in conjunction with other technical indicators such as Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD for comprehensive market analysis.
Example Scenario
Imagine analyzing a stock with the following observations using the TSI:
• The TSI has been consistently above 0 for the past 30 periods, accompanied by increasing trading volume. This scenario indicates a strong and stable uptrend, suggesting that buying opportunities may be favorable.
• Conversely, if the TSI drops below 0 while the price remains relatively flat and volume decreases, it may imply that the current trend is losing momentum, and the market could be entering a consolidation phase or preparing for a trend reversal.
Conclusion
The Trend Stability Index is a valuable tool for traders seeking to assess the reliability and strength of market trends by integrating price and volume dynamics. Its customizable settings and clear visual indicators make it adaptable to various trading styles and market conditions. By incorporating the TSI into your trading analysis, you can enhance your ability to identify and act upon stable and profitable trends.
Momentum-Based Buy/Sell SignalsBuy Signal:
Triggered when ROC > threshold and the MACD line crosses above the Signal line.
Sell Signal:
Triggered when ROC < threshold and the MACD line crosses below the Signal line.
Visual Elements:
Green labels with "Buy" are displayed below the bars for buy signals.
Red labels with "Sell" are displayed above the bars for sell signals.
The background turns green during a buy signal and red during a sell signal for better visual clarity.
Support Resistance base Volume RSIThe indicator displays support and resistance levels based on volume and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Variable and Input Assignment:
lookback: Determines the period for data lookback.
RsiVisible, RsilabelSize, OversoldForRsi, OverboughtForRsi: Various inputs to adjust RSI indicator parameters.
Indicator Calculation:
highestVol: Finds the highest volume within a certain period.
Rsi: Calculates the RSI value with a period of 14.
roc: Calculates the Rate of Change.
Support and Resistance Level Determination:
Uses a comparison between price change (roc) and RSI value to determine whether the price is rising or falling.
If the price is rising and the current volume is greater than the previous highest volume, a new resistance level is established.
If the price is falling and the current volume is greater than the previous highest volume, a new support level is established.
Support and Resistance Lines:
Creates lines indicating the latest support and resistance levels.
These lines are updated whenever there is a change in support or resistance levels.
RSI Labels:
Displays the RSI value above or below the price chart depending on whether the RSI is above or below the overbought or oversold levels.
If the RSI value is above the overbought level, the label is displayed above the price.
If the RSI value is below the oversold level, the label is displayed below the price.
Labels are removed if the corresponding conditions are not met.
Additional RSI Label:
Adds an additional label displaying the RSI value next to the price chart on the last bar.
The main purpose of this script is to assist traders in identifying support and resistance levels based on price movement, volume, and the RSI indicator. Thus, traders can use this information to make better trading decisions.
Reversal Pivot PointsThis indicator aims to identify price levels where price action has quickly reversed from. These "pivots" establish major levels where major liquidity is located. Unlike standard support and resistance levels, when price breaks below or above a pivot, these pivots disappear from the chart. Comes with various customization features built to fit all.
Features
Pivot Timeframe: Identify and plot pivots from one specific timeframe and see it from all lower timeframes
Pivot left/right bar limit: A feature aimed at preventing false pivots identification
Remove On Close (ROC): Feature to only remove pivots once price close under it
ROC Timeframe: The timeframe the script uses to determine if the candle closed under the level
Wait For Close: Will only remove the pivot after the current candle closes
Line Extension Type: The extension of the line. None - extends line to current time, left - only extends line to the left, right - only extends line to the right, both - extends line both directions
Line Offset: How much to offset (in bars) the line and label from the current candle
Line Type: The style of line when plotted. Solid (─), dotted (┈), dashed (╌), arrow left (←), arrow right (→), arrows both (↔)
Display Level: Whether to or not to display the price of the pivot
Display Perfect Level: Whether to or not to display levels where price perfectly rejected off of
Alerts: Creates an alert when a level has been crossed
How to trade
1. Pivots can be traded to or from. The stock market (market makers) will tend to "chase" liquidity in order to fill orders at better averages. This allows us retail traders to to participate alongside these moves to these pivots. Once price action hits a pivot, it can do two things: break the pivot and continue or bounce off it. We can participate alongside these bounces after confirmation of a reversal (doji, volume, etc). These bounce plays are high risk as it's generally 50-50, but the risk to reward is typically also very high, making them very valuable to take.
2. Typically, the market is a fluid environment and should be "natural," so perfect things (manmade and filled with liquidity) should not occur. With this knowledge, we can expect these perfect levels, "PDT/PDB," to break as they are not natural occurrence and have heavy liquidity on and above/below them. We can trade to these levels and expect them to break/sweep if price action comes near them again.
DynamicFunctionsLibrary "DynamicFunctions"
Custom Dynamic functions that allow an adaptive calculation beginning from the first bar
RoC(src, period)
Dynamic RoC
Parameters:
src (float) : and period
Custom function to calculate the actual period considering non-na source values
period (int)
dynamicMedian(src, length)
Dynamic Median
Parameters:
src (float) : and length
length (int)
kernelRegression(src, bandwidth, kernel_type)
Dynamic Kernel Regression Calculation \n Uses either of the following inputs for kernel_type:\nEpanechnikov\nLogistic\nWave
Parameters:
src (float)
bandwidth (int)
kernel_type (string)
waveCalculation(source, bandwidth, width)
Use together with kernelRegression function to get chart applicable band
Parameters:
source (float)
bandwidth (int)
width (float)
Rsi(src, length)
Dynamic RSI function
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
dynamicStdev(src, period)
Dynamic SD function
Parameters:
src (float)
period (int)
stdv_bands(src, length, mult)
Dynamic SD Bands
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
mult (float)
Returns: Basis, Positive SD, Negative SD
Adx(dilen, adxlen)
Dynamic ADX
Parameters:
dilen (int)
adxlen (int)
Returns: adx
Atr(length)
Dynamic ATR
Parameters:
length (int)
Returns: ATR
Macd(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalSmoothing)
Dynamic MACD
Parameters:
source (float)
fastLength (int)
slowLength (int)
signalSmoothing (int)
Returns: macdLine, signalLine, histogram
Change in DominanceTitle: Change in Dominance Indicator
Description:
This is a tool designed to gauge the prevailing trend in the cryptocurrency market. By analyzing the Rate of Change (ROC) in percentage terms over the previous 9 bars for BTC Dominance (BTC.D), Ethereum Dominance (ETH.D), Other Altcoins Dominance (OTHER.D), and USDT Dominance (USDT.D).
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the ROC for BTC.D, ETH.D (aggregated as part of the Altcoin market), OTHER.D (also included in the Altcoin calculation), and USDT.D.
Three lines represent the trends for Bitcoin (BTC), Altcoins (ETH and OTHER combined), and USDT respectively:
Green Line: Represents the trend for BTC. A higher green line indicates a dominance of BTC in the market trend, suggesting money flow into Bitcoin.
Silver Line: Indicates the Altcoin trend (combining ETH and OTHER). When the silver line is the highest among the three, it signals that Altcoins are leading the market, which can be considered bullish as it suggests money is flowing into Altcoins.
Red Line: Represents the USDT trend. A dominant red line over others implies a bearish market sentiment, indicating money flow out of cryptocurrencies and into USDT.
Usage Tips:
Altcoin Bullishness: When the silver line is above both the red and green lines, it suggests a bullish trend for Altcoins, indicating that money is flowing into the Altcoin sector of the market.
Market Bearishness: If the red line surpasses the silver and green lines, it could be a signal that investors are moving their funds into USDT, often a sign of bearish market sentiment.
BTC Bullishness: A higher green line compared to the silver and red lines implies that Bitcoin is the dominant force in the market, suggesting a bullish sentiment for BTC.
Greenblatts Magic Formula - A multiple approachThis indicator is supposed to help find undervalued stocks. Inspired by Joel Greenblatt's strategy where he ranks stocks with the lowest EV/EBIT and the highest ROC. Inspired by the ERP5 strategy I have added Earnings Yield together with ROC.
My approach and how I use the indicator is to see Magic Formula score as a multiple, rather than ranking the numbers between different stocks. Like P/E for comparison. Different kinds of companies trades at different multiples so you have to compare the current MF Score in relation to historical MF Score to get an idea if it truly is undervalued. You also want to see that price actually reacts to a low MF Score.
As i general rule for myself I stay away from companies with EV/EBIT above 13 and generally want to see MF Score below 6-7. A company trading at a negative MF Score indicates that the company may be heavily undervalued.
Red line = EV/EBIT
Green line = ROC + EY / 2
Yellow line = "MF Score" EVEBIT - (ROC+EY/2)
Blue line = The 50 EMA of MF score
The strategy is simple. Look for companies which might be undervalued. Compare the current MF score to it's history. If it's trading near a previous bottom it indicates that the company might be undervalued. You can also use the MF EMA to see a more smooth curve to interpret the multiple.
Crypto Market OverviewCrypto Market Overview
The Crypto Market Overview (CMO) indicator is your one-stop tool for keeping tabs on the cryptocurrency market. It provides a comprehensive snapshot of key data and trends, helping you make informed decisions in the fast-paced world of crypto trading. Here's what this indicator offers:
1. Lookback Period Control:
You can customize the lookback period for percentage change calculations, tailoring it to your specific analysis needs.
2. Currency Selection:
Choose your preferred currency to view market data in your desired denomination.
3. Major Market Cap Data:
Real-time information on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) market caps.
Total market capitalization data for the entire crypto market.
4. Stablecoin Market Cap Data:
Keep track of stablecoin market caps, including USDT, USDC, DAI, TUSD, and BUSD.
Get a clear picture of the stablecoin segment of the market.
5. Shitcoin Market Cap Data:
An interesting category that represents the market cap of all cryptocurrencies not classified as major or stable.
6. Dominance Data:
Dominance percentages for BTC, ETH, stablecoins and shitcoins.
Total market dominance, allowing you to gauge the influence of major cryptocurrencies.
7. Rate of Change (RoC) Metrics:
Monitor the RoC for market caps and dominance percentages.
Positive or negative trends are clearly highlighted with color-coded indicators.
8. Intuitive Table Layout:
A user-friendly table layout displays all the data.
Key assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are listed along with their market caps and dominance.
9. Color Coding:
Upward and downward trends are easily identifiable with color-coded cells.
A white background with bold text ensures readability.
The Crypto Market Overview indicator is an invaluable tool for cryptocurrency traders and enthusiasts, offering a quick and convenient way to stay updated on market dynamics. It's perfect for making data-driven decisions in the ever-changing world of digital assets.
