Divergence of Stocks Above MA50 v.s. US-Stock MarketEnglish:
This indicator has been developed as an early warning tool to estimate the probability of correction in the US stock market. It works best in the daily chart.
Function:
1.) "Index-line"
The underlying stock index is converted to a scale between 0% and 100% based on its 52-week highs and lows. Where 100% is closing price at 52-week high and 0% is closing price at 52-week low.
2nd) "Stocks Above MA50".
For each major stock index, there is an index that determines the percentage of stocks above its 50 moving average. For example, for the S&P 500, this is the S5FI.
3) "Divergence
In an efficient market, both lines (index and number of stocks above the 50 MA) would run more or less in sync. A new high in the index would also mean a new high in the stocks trading above the 50 moving average. Often, however, a correction in the index is announced when the number of stocks trading above their 50 MA do not make a new, or even a lower, high while the underlying index marks a new high. The divergence signal measures this divergence of the indices. The higher the bar, the more pronounced the divergence.
How to read the indicator?
If a divergence occurs, then the stops should be tightened. As with any indicator, false signals can occur because a divergence does not automatically lead to a correction. The higher the divergence is indicated, the higher the probability. The strength of a correction cannot be predicted with the indicator.
For which symbols does the indicator work?
The indicator works exclusively for the following symbols:
S&P500: SPX, SPY, ES1!, US500 Index above MA50: S5FI
Russel2000: IWM, US2000, RTY1!, RUT, IWO Index above MA50: R2FI
NASDAQ100: NDX, NAS100, NQ1!, US100, QQQ Index above MA50: NDFI
NASDAQ: IXIC, ONEQ, QCN1!, NDAQ Index above MA50: NCFI
NYSE: XAX, NYA Index above MA50: MMFI
DowJones100: DJX, DJI, DIA, MYM1!, YM1! Index above MA50: DIFI
DowJonesComp: DOW, IYY Index above MA50: DCFI
Deutsch:
Dieser Indikator ist als Frühwarninstrument zur Einschätzung der Korrekturwahrscheinlichkeit im US-Aktienmarkt entwickelt worden. Er funktioniert am besten im Tages-Chart.
Funktion:
1.) „Index-line“
Der zugrunde liegende Aktienindex wird bezogen auf seine 52Wochen Hochs und Tiefs in eine Skala zwischen 0% und 100% umgerechnet. Dabei sind 100% Schlusskurs auf 52-Wochen Hoch und 0% Schlusskurs auf 52-Wochen Tief.
2.) „Stocks Above MA50“
Zu jedem Hauptaktienindex gibt es einen Index, der den Prozentwert der Aktien über Ihrem 50 gleitenden Durchschnitt ermittelt. Beim S&P 500 ist das z.B. der S5FI.
3.) „Divergence“
In einem effizienten Markt würden beide Linien (Index und Anzahl Aktien über dem 50 MA) mehr oder weniger synchron laufen. Ein neues Hoch im Index würde auch ein neues Hoch bei den Aktien, die über dem 50 gleitenden Durchschnitt notieren, bedeuten. Oft jedoch kündigt sich eine Korrektur im Index an, wenn die Anzahl der Aktien, die über ihrem 50 MA notieren kein neues, oder sogar ein niedrigeres Hoch machen, während der zu Grunde liegende Index ein neues Hoch markiert. Das Divergenz-Signal misst diese auseinanderlaufen der Indices. Je höher der Balken, umso stärker ist die Divergenz ausgeprägt.
Wie ist der Indikator zu lesen?
Wenn eine Divergenz auftritt, dann sollten die Stopps enger herangezogen werden. Es kann wie bei jedem Indikator zu Fehlsignalen kommen, da eine Divergenz nicht automatisch zu einer Korrektur führen muss. Die Wahrscheinlichkeit ist um so höher, je höher die Divergenz angezeigt wird. Die Stärke einer Korrektur kann mit dem Indikator nicht prognostiziert werden.
Für welche Symbole funktioniert der Indikator?
Der Indikator funktioniert ausschließlich für folgende Symbole:
S&P500: SPX, SPY, ES1!, US500 Index über MA50: S5FI
Russel2000: IWM, US2000, RTY1!, RUT, IWO Index über MA50: R2FI
NASDAQ100: NDX, NAS100, NQ1!, US100, QQQ Index über MA50: NDFI
NASDAQ: IXIC, ONEQ, QCN1!, NDAQ Index über MA50: NCFI
NYSE: XAX, NYA Index über MA50: MMFI
DowJones100: DJX, DJI, DIA, MYM1!, YM1! Index über MA50: DIFI
DowJonesComp: DOW, IYY Index über MA50: DCFI
Cerca negli script per "spy"
Indices trendsAccording to the Dow theory, indices must confirm each other. Based on this idea, I develop an indices trends indicator, including SPY, DIA, and QQQ. The indices trends were calculated based on the average of the short- (blue) and intermediate-term (orange) changes of indices moving average slopes. In addition, IWM trends are shown as a reference in gray color.
Use this indicator together with one of SPY, DIA, QQQ, or IWM to show the overall market conditions.
Trendflex - Another new Ehlers indicatorSource: Stocks and Commodities V38
Hooray! Another new John Ehlers indicator!
John claims this indicator is lag-less and uses the SPY on the Daily as an example.
This indicator is a slight modification of Reflex, which I have posted here
I think it's better for Stocks and ETFs than Reflex since it factors in long trends. It tends to keep you in winning trades for a long time.
I believe this indicator can be used for entries or exits, potentially both.
Entry
1. Entering Long positions at the pivot low points (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Entering Long when the Reflex crosses above the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities )
Exit
1. Exiting Long positions at a new pivot high point (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Exiting Long when the Reflex crosses below the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities )
In this example, I place a Long order on the SPY every time the Reflex crosses above the zero level and exit when it crosses below or pops my stop loss, set at 1.5 * Daily ATR.
2/3 Wins
+16.05%
Let me know in the comment section if you're able to use this in a strategy.
Reflex - A new Ehlers indicatorSource: Stocks and Commodities V38
Hooray! A new John Ehlers indicator!
John claims this indicator is lag-less and uses the SPY on the Daily as an example.
He states that drawing a line from peak to peak (or trough to trough) will correspond perfectly with the Asset.
I have to say I agree! There is typically one bar of lag or no lag at all!
I believe this indicator can be used for either entries or exits, but not both.
Entry
1. Entering Long positions at the pivot low points (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Entering Long when the Reflex crosses above the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities)
Exit
1. Exiting Long positions at a new pivot high point (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Exiting Long when the Reflex crosses below the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities)
In this example, I place a Long order on the SPY every time the Reflex crosses above the zero level and exit when it crosses below or pops my stop loss, set at 1.5 * Daily ATR.
4/6 Wins
+10.76%
For me, that's good enough to create a strategy and backtest on several Indices and ETFs, which is what I have a hunch this will work on.
I think there is a lot of promise from a single Indicator!
Let me know in the comment section if you're able to use this in a strategy.
Hide Extended Hours/non-intraday American BarsOnly works with American bar style.
Not works with Candles.
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This script can hide the extended hours/non-intraday bars and leave the intraday bars only, especially for future users, such as ES/NQ/RTY/YM, etc.,.
Now you can find the intraday support/resistance quite easily!
Example, as a ES investor, you can easily find the intraday support/resistance level ,which is almost equal to SPY / SPX , no longer need to check SPY / SPX separately again, saving your time a lot.
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IMPORTANT INSTRUCTION
In order to make the script work, you have to bring it to the most top visual layer.
Please do as the following steps:
Add the script to chart
Hover mouse on the script name, and tap the right-most 'more' button (which appears as 3 dots)
Select "Visual Order", then select "Bring to front".
Done!
Also, in order to have a better view effect and make the bars COMPLETELY "Hidden", you can adjust the hidden bar color in the "setting" menu to the exact color of your chart background.
Swing-Trade-Stocks SystemThis is a simple swing trade system inspired by sources on the internet. The rules are as follows:
Buy when first green arrow appears after 10ma above 30ma
Set stop-loss below most recent support
Set take-profit below most recent swing point high or wait until price closes below 30ma (red)
Short when first purple arrow appears after 10ma below 30ma
Set stop-loss above most recent resistance
Set take-profit above most recent swing point low or wait until price closes above 30ma (red)
The background color changes based on the direction of SPY. If SPY is going down (10ma < 30ma) the
background will be red and only short indicators (purple arrows) will appear. If SPY is going up (10ma > 30ma),
the background will be green and only long indicators (green arrows) will appear.
Happy trading!
Market Internals [Makit0] MARKET INTERNALS INDICATOR v0.5beta
Market Internals are suitable for day trade equity indices, named SPY or /ES, please do your own research about what they are and how to use them
This scripts plots the NYSE market internals charts as an indicator for an easy and full visualization of market internal structure all in one chart, useful for SPY and /ES trading
Description of the Market Internals
- TICK: NYSE stocks ticking up vs stocks ticking down, extreme values may point to trend continuation on trending days or reversal in non trending days, example of extreme values can be 800 and 1000
- ADD: NYSE stocks going up vs stocks going down, if price auctions around the zero line may be a non trend day, otherwise may be a trend day
- VOLD: NYSE volume of stocks up vs volume of stocks going down, identify clearly where the volume is going, as example if volume is flowing down may be a good idea no to place longs
- TRIN: NYSE up stocks vs down stocks ratio divided by up volume vs down volume ratio. A value of 1 indicates parity, below that the strength is on the long side, above the strength is in the short side.
A basic use of market internals may be looking for divergences, for example:
- /ES is trading in a range but ADD and VOLD are trending up nonstop, may /ES will break the range to the upside
- /ES is trading in a range and ADD and VOLD are trading around the zero line but got an extreme reading on TICK, may be a non trending day and the TICK extreme reading is at one of the extremes of the /ES range, may be a good probability trade to fade that move
- /ES is trading in a trend to the downside, ADD and VOLD too, you catch a good portion of the move but are fearful to flat and miss more gains, you see in the TICK a lot of extreme values below -800 so your're confident in the continuation of the downtrend, until the TICK goes beyond -1000 and you use that signal to go flat
Market internals give you context and confirmation, price in /ES may be trending but if market internals do not confirm the move may a reversal is on its way
Price is an advertise, you can see the real move in the structure below, in the behavior of the individual components of the market, those are the real questions:
- How many stocks are going up/down (ADD)
- How many volume is flowing up/down (VOLD)
- How many stocks are ticking up/down (TICK)
- What is the overall volume breath of the market (TRIN)
FEATURES:
- Plot one of the four basic market internal indices: TICK, ADD, VOLD and TRIN
- Show labels with values beyond an user defined threshold
- Show ZERO line
- Show user defined Dotted and Dashed lines
- Show user defined moving average
SETTINGS:
- Market internal: ticker to plot in the indicator, four options to choose from (TICK, ADD, VOLD and TRIN)
- Labels threshold: all values beyond this will be ploted as labels
- Dot lines at: two dotted lines will be plotted at this value above and below the zero line
- Dash lines at: two dashed lines will be plotted at this value above and below the zero line
- MA type: two options avaiable SMA (Simple Moving Average) or EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
- MA length: number of bars to calculate the moving average
- Show zero line: show or hide zero line
- Show dot line: show or hide dotted lines
- Show dash line: show or hide dashed lines
- Show labels: show or hide labels
GOOD LUCK AND HAPPY TRADING
Hide extended hours/non-intraday barsEspecially for future users, such as ES/NQ/RTY/YM, etc., this script can hide the extended hours/non-intraday bars and leave the intraday bars only.
With this script , you can find the intraday support/resistance quite easily!
Example, if you are a ES investor, you can easily find the intraday support/resistance level ,which is almost equal to SPY, with this script, and no need to check SPY separately again , saving your time a lot.
Note: Please couple this script with American Bars. If you use candle charts, the upper/lower pins of the candle can't be hidden with the bars together, which is restricted by the code editor itself...
Kozlod - RSI Strategy - 1 minuteStarted to play with very simple strategies. Trying to find ones with optimal parameters which work well for certain symbols/timeframe.
Found that basic RSI strategy without any position management with high RSI length (65 in this script) works pretty good for 1m chart for few stocks.
It's also not bad for AAPL , SPY .
It might not work very good on it's not but can give you a pretty good base for more complicated indicators.
And remember:
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Willams %RwEMAspy
Was looking for something else when surfed into an old question
wanting %R 21 period with EMA 13 period of the %R signal
and being a rookie at this, made this code to post for them.
Tried to comment the script in such a way that other rookies
like me could make better sense of what is being done. Hope
this helps someone. I find it useful as one of my indicators for
trading.
Pinescript for tradingview.com user Tom1trader
All time frames.
Interpretation:
%R (Red) crosses above it's average (Blue) - bull
%R crosses below it's average - bear. Background
color changes green-up red-down with above crossings.
Most but not all of serious price movement takes place
from the time the %R (red) goes into oversold (or bought) and
exits again.
%R centerline crosses can also be useful.
I use various indicators and want all of the confirmation
that I can get for expectations BUT I never know what the
next bar will do and define my risks accordingly.
Sectors Relative Strength Normal DistributionI wrote this indicator as an attempt to see the Relative Strengths of different sectors in the same scale, but there is also other ways to do that.
This indicator plots the normal distribution for the 10 sectors of the SPY for the last X bars of the selected resolution, based on the selected comparative security. It shows which sectors are outperforming and underperforming the SPY (or any other security) relatively to each other by the given deviation.
MarketRSThe strength of a stock relative to the market (SPY) is an import indicator accumulation of a stock by institutionan funds, especially during a market decline. This indicator plot the ratio of a security/SPY and plots a fast (5 period) and slow (21 period) EMA.
OBV + WaveTrend Volume Scalper [GratefulFutures]This script is a combination script of three different strategies that provides buy and sell signals based on the change of volume with momentum confirmations.
Sources used:
This script relies on the outstanding scripts of the great script writer LazyBear: LazyBear
The following scripts were used in this publication:
1. A modified "On-Balance Volume Oscillator" modified from LazyBear's original script:
2. Wavetrend Oscillator with crosses, Author: LazyBear
3. Squeeze Momentum Oscillator, Author: LazyBear
This script functions based on the following criteria being true:
1. On balance volume oscillator turning from negative to positive (buy) or positive to negative (sell)
2. Squeeze Momentum value is increasing (buy) or decreasing (sell)
3. Wavetrend 1 (wt1) is greater than wavetrend 2 (wt2) (buy)/ Wavetrend 1 (wt1) is less than wavetrend 2 (wt2) (sell)
By combining these factors the indicator is able to signal exactly when net buying turns to net selling (OBV) and when this change is most advantageous to continue based on the momentum and price action of the underlying asset (SQMOMO and Wavetrend).
This allows you to pair volume and price action for a powerful tool to identify where price will reverse or continue providing exceptional entries for short term trades, especially when combined with other aspects such as support and resistance, or volume profile.
How to use:
Simply adjust the settings to your preference and read the given signals as generated.
Settings
There are multiple ways to tune the signals generated. It is set standard for my preferred use on a 1 minute chart.
OBV Oscillator Settings
The first 4 dropdowns in the Inputs section tune the On Balance Volume Oscillator (OBVO) portion of the indicator. You can choose if you want it to calculate based on close, open, high, low, or other value.
The most impactful in the entire settings is going to be the length and smoothing of the OBVO EMA. Making this number lower increasing the sensitivity to changes in volume, making the signals come quicker but is more susceptible to quick fluctuations. A value of between (5-20) is reasonable for the OBVO EMA length. There is a separate smoothing factor titled OBV Smoothing Length and below that, OBV Smoothing Type , a value of (2) is standard with "SMA" for smoothing type with a value of between 2-10 being reasonable. You may also play with these values to see what you like for your trading style.
Wavetrend Settings
The next 3 options are to modify the wavetrend portion of the indicator. I do not modify these from standard, and feel that they work appropriately on all time frames at the following values: n1 length (10), n2 length (20), Wavetrend Signal SMA length (4)
Squeeze Momentum Settings
The following 5 options through the end modify the Squeeze momentum portion of the indicator. The only one that modifies the signals generated is the KC Length , Making this number lower increasing the sensitivity to changes in price action, making the signals come quicker but is more susceptible to quick fluctuations. A value of between (18-25) is reasonable for KC Length .
Style Setting
You may select if you want to see the buy and sell signals. The following 5 options Raw OBV Osc through Squeeze Momentum allow you to see where each specific requirement was met, posted as a vertical line, but for live use it is recommended to turn all of these vertical lines off and only use the buy and sell signals.
Time Frames:
While this script is most effective on shorter time frames (1 minute for scalping and daytrading) it is also viable to use it on longer timeframes, due to the nature of its components being independent of time frame.
Examples of use - (Green and red vertical lines are for visualization purpose and are not part of the script)
SPY 1 Minute (Factory Settings):
SPX 15 minutes (Factory Settings):
Considerations
This script is meant primarily for short term trading, trades on the basis of seconds to minutes primarily. While they can be a good indication of volume lining up with momentum, it is always wise to use them in combination with other factors such as support, resistance, market structure, volume levels, or the many other techniques out there...
As Always... Happy Trading.
-Not_A_Mad_Scientist (GreatfulFutures Trade University)
VB Finviz-style MTF Screener📊 VB Multi-Timeframe Stock Screener (Daily + 4H + 1H)
A structured, high-signal stock screener that blends Daily fundamentals, 4H trend confirmation, and 1H entry timing to surface strong trading opportunities with institutional discipline.
🟦 1. Daily Screener — Core Stock Selection
All fundamental and structural filters run strictly on Daily data for maximum stability and signal quality.
Daily filters include:
📈 Average Volume & Relative Volume
💲 Minimum Price Threshold
📊 Beta vs SPY
🏢 Market Cap (Billions)
🔥 ATR Liquidity Filter
🧱 Float Requirements
📘 Price Above Daily SMA50
🚀 Minimum Gap-Up Condition
This layer acts like a Finviz-style engine, identifying stocks worth trading before momentum or timing is considered.
🟩 2. 4H Trend Confirmation — Momentum Check
Once a stock passes the Daily screen, the 4-hour timeframe validates trend strength:
🔼 Price above 4H MA
📈 MA pointing upward
This removes structurally good stocks that are not in a healthy trend.
🟧 3. 1H Entry Alignment — Timing Layer
The Hourly timeframe refines near-term timing:
🔼 Price above 1H MA
📉 Short-term upward movement detected
This step ensures the stock isn’t just good on paper—it’s moving now.
🧪 MTF Debug Table (Your Transparency Engine)
A live diagnostic table shows:
All Daily values
All 4H checks
All 1H checks
Exact PASS/FAIL per condition
Perfect for tuning thresholds or understanding why a ticker qualifies or fails.
🎯 Who This Screener Is For
Swing traders
Momentum/trend traders
Systematic and rules-based traders
Traders who want clean, multi-timeframe alignment
By combining Daily fundamentals, 4H trend structure, and 1H momentum, this screener filters the market down to the stocks that are strong, aligned, and ready.
Sector Rotation - Risk Preference Indicator# Sector Rotation - Risk Preference Indicator
## Overview
This indicator measures market risk appetite by comparing the relative strength between **Aggressive** and **Defensive** sectors. It provides a clean, single-line visualization to help traders identify market sentiment shifts and potential trend reversals.
## How It Works
The indicator calculates a **Bullish/Bearish Ratio** by dividing the average price of aggressive sector ETFs by defensive sector ETFs, then normalizing to a baseline of 100.
**Formula:**
- Ratio = (Aggressive Sectors Average / Defensive Sectors Average) × 100
**Interpretation:**
- **Ratio > 100**: Risk-on sentiment (Aggressive sectors outperforming Defensive)
- **Ratio < 100**: Risk-off sentiment (Defensive sectors outperforming Aggressive)
- **Ratio ≈ 100**: Neutral (Both sector groups performing equally)
## Default Sectors
**Defensive Sectors** (Safe havens during uncertainty):
- XLP - Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund
- XLU - Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund
- XLV - Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund
**Aggressive Sectors** (Growth-oriented, higher risk):
- XLK - Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
- XBI - SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
- XRT - SPDR S&P Retail ETF
## Features
✅ **Fully Customizable Sectors** - Choose any ETFs/tickers for each sector group
✅ **Smoothing Control** - Adjustable SMA period to reduce noise (default: 2)
✅ **Clean Visualization** - Single blue line for easy interpretation
✅ **Multi-timeframe Support** - Works on any timeframe
✅ **Lightweight** - Minimal calculations for fast performance
## Settings
### Defensive Sectors Group
- **Defensive Sector 1**: First defensive ETF ticker (default: XLP)
- **Defensive Sector 2**: Second defensive ETF ticker (default: XLU)
- **Defensive Sector 3**: Third defensive ETF ticker (default: XLV)
### Aggressive Sectors Group
- **Aggressive Sector 1**: First aggressive ETF ticker (default: XLK)
- **Aggressive Sector 2**: Second aggressive ETF ticker (default: XBI)
- **Aggressive Sector 3**: Third aggressive ETF ticker (default: XRT)
### Display Settings
- **Smoothing Length**: SMA period for ratio smoothing (default: 2, range: 1-50)
- Lower values = More responsive but noisier
- Higher values = Smoother but more lagging
## Use Cases
### 1. Market Regime Identification
- **Rising Ratio (trending up)** → Bull market / Risk-on environment
- Aggressive sectors leading, investors chasing growth
- Favorable for long positions in tech, growth stocks
- **Falling Ratio (trending down)** → Bear market / Risk-off environment
- Defensive sectors leading, investors seeking safety
- Consider defensive positioning or short opportunities
### 2. Divergence Analysis
- **Bullish Divergence**: Price makes new lows but ratio rises
- Suggests underlying strength returning
- Potential market bottom forming
- **Bearish Divergence**: Price makes new highs but ratio falls
- Suggests weakening momentum
- Potential market top forming
### 3. Trend Confirmation
- **Strong uptrend + Rising ratio** → Confirmed bullish trend
- **Strong downtrend + Falling ratio** → Confirmed bearish trend
- **Uptrend + Falling ratio** → Weakening trend, watch for reversal
- **Downtrend + Rising ratio** → Potential trend exhaustion
## Best Practices
⚠️ **Timeframe Selection**
- Recommended: Daily, 4H, 1H for cleaner signals
- Lower timeframes (15m, 5m) may produce noisy signals
⚠️ **Complementary Analysis**
- Use alongside price action and volume analysis
- Combine with support/resistance levels
- Not designed as a standalone trading system
⚠️ **Market Conditions**
- Most effective in trending markets
- Less reliable during ranging/consolidation periods
- Works best in liquid, well-traded sectors
⚠️ **Customization Tips**
- Can substitute with international sectors (EWU, EWZ, etc.)
- Can use crypto sectors (DeFi vs Layer1, etc.)
- Adjust smoothing based on trading style (day trading = 2-5, swing = 10-20)
## Display Options
### Default View (overlay=false)
- Shows in separate pane below chart
- Dedicated scale for ratio values
### Alternative View
- Can be moved to main chart pane (drag indicator)
I typically overlay this indicator on the SPY daily chart to observe divergences. I don’t focus on specific values but rather on the direction of the trend.
The author is not responsible for any trading losses incurred using this indicator.
## Support & Feedback
For questions, feature requests, or bug reports:
- Comment below
- Send a private message
- Check for updates regularly
If you find this indicator useful, please:
- ⭐ Leave a like/favorite
- 💬 Share your experience in comments
- 📊 Share charts showing interesting patterns
Adaptive Trend Navigator [ATH Filter & Risk Engine]Description:
This strategy implements a systematic Trend Following approach designed to capture major moves while actively protecting capital during severe bear markets. It combines a classic Moving Average "Fan" logic with two advanced risk management layers: a 4-Stage Dynamic Stop Loss and a macro-economic "Circuit Breaker" filter.
Core Concepts:
1. Trend Identification (Entry Logic) The script uses a cascade of Simple Moving Averages (SMA 25, 50, 100, 200) to identify the maturity of a trend.
Entries are triggered by specific crossovers (e.g., SMA 25 crossing SMA 50) or by breaking above the previous trade's high ("High-Water Mark" Re-Entry).
2. The "Circuit Breaker" (Crash Protection) To prevent trading during historical market collapses (like 2000 or 2008), the strategy monitors the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as a global benchmark:
Normal Regime: If the market is within 20% of its All-Time High, the strategy operates normally.
Crisis Regime: If the QQQ falls more than 20% from its ATH, the "Circuit Breaker" activates (Visualized by a Red Background).
Recovery Rule: In a Crisis Regime, new long positions are blocked unless the QQQ reclaims its SMA 200. This filters out "bull traps" in secular bear markets.
3. 4-Stage Risk Engine (Exit Logic) Once in a trade, the risk management adapts to the position's performance:
Stage 1: Fixed initial Stop Loss (default 10%) for breathing room.
Stage 2: Moves to Break-Even area once the price rises 12%.
Stage 3: Tightens to a trailing stop (8%) after 25% profit.
Stage 4: Maximizes gains with a tight trailing stop (5%) during parabolic moves (>40% profit).
Visual Guide:
SMAs: 25/50/100/200 period lines for trend visualization.
Red Background: Indicates the "Crisis Regime" where trading is halted due to broad market weakness.
Blue Background: Indicates a "Recovery Phase" (Crisis is active, but market is above SMA 200).
Red Line: Shows the dynamic Stop Loss level for active positions.
Settings: All parameters (SMA lengths, Drawdown threshold, Risk Stages) are fully customizable. The QQQ benchmark ticker can also be changed to SPY or other indices depending on the asset class traded.
MA200 Deviation Percentile200-Day MA Deviation with Dynamic Thresholds
OVERVIEW
This indicator measures price deviation from the 200-day moving average as a percentage, with dynamically calculated overbought/oversold thresholds based on historical percentiles.
Best suited for broad market indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM, etc.) where the 200-day MA serves as a reliable long-term trend indicator. Individual stocks may exhibit more erratic behavior around this level.
CALCULATION
Deviation (%) = (Close - 200MA) / 200MA x 100
Dynamic thresholds are derived from actual historical distribution rather than assuming normal distribution:
- Overbought threshold = 97.5th percentile of historical deviations
- Oversold threshold = 2.5th percentile of historical deviations
SETTINGS
MA Length (default: 200)
Moving average period.
Lookback Period (default: 1260)
Historical window for threshold calculation. 1260 bars approximates 5 years of daily data.
Threshold Percentile (default: 5%)
Two-tailed threshold. 5% places overbought/oversold boundaries at the 97.5th and 2.5th percentiles respectively.
INTERPRETATION
Deviation Value
- Positive: Price trading above 200MA
- Negative: Price trading below 200MA
- Magnitude indicates extent of deviation
Percentile Ranking (0-100%)
- Shows where current deviation ranks historically
- Above 90%: Historically elevated
- Below 10%: Historically depressed
Dynamic Threshold Lines
- Red line: Upper boundary based on historical distribution
- Green line: Lower boundary based on historical distribution
- These adapt automatically to each asset's volatility characteristics
APPLICATION
Mean Reversion
Extreme deviations tend to normalize over time. When deviation exceeds dynamic thresholds, probability of mean reversion increases.
Trend Assessment
Sustained positive/negative deviation confirms trend direction. Zero-line crossovers may signal trend changes.
NOTES
- Optimized for daily timeframe on market indices
- Requires sufficient historical data (minimum equal to lookback period)
- Extreme readings do not guarantee immediate reversals
- Use in conjunction with other analysis methods
Mebane Faber GTAA 5In 2007, Mebane Faber published research that challenged the conventional wisdom of buy-and-hold investing. His paper, titled "A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation" and published in the Journal of Wealth Management, demonstrated that a simple timing mechanism could reduce portfolio volatility and drawdowns while maintaining competitive returns (Faber, 2007). This indicator implements his Global Tactical Asset Allocation strategy, known as GTAA5, following the original methodology.
The core insight of Faber's research stems from a century of market data. By analyzing asset class performance from 1901 onwards, Faber found that a ten-month simple moving average served as an effective trend filter across major asset classes. When an asset trades above its ten-month moving average, it tends to continue its upward trajectory; when it falls below, significant drawdowns often follow (Faber, 2007, pp. 12-16). This observation aligns with momentum research by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), who documented that intermediate-term momentum persists across equity markets.
The GTAA5 strategy allocates capital equally across five diversified asset classes: domestic equities (SPY), international developed markets (EFA), aggregate bonds (AGG), commodities (DBC), and real estate investment trusts (VNQ). Each asset receives a twenty percent allocation when trading above its ten-month moving average. When an asset falls below this threshold, its allocation moves to short-term treasury bills (SHY), creating a dynamic cash position that scales with market risk (Cambria Investment Management, 2013).
The strategy's historical performance during market crises illustrates its function. During the 2008 financial crisis, traditional sixty-forty portfolios experienced drawdowns exceeding forty percent. The GTAA5 strategy limited losses to approximately twelve percent by reducing equity exposure as prices declined below their moving averages (Faber, 2013). This asymmetric return profile represents the strategy's primary characteristic.
This implementation uses monthly closing prices retrieved via request.security() to calculate the ten-month simple moving average. This distinction matters, as approximations using daily data (such as a 200-day moving average) can generate different signals during volatile periods. Monthly data ensures the indicator produces signals consistent with published academic research.
The indicator provides position monitoring, automatic rebalancing detection on either the first or last trading day of each month, and share calculations based on user-defined capital. A dashboard displays current trend status for each asset class, target versus actual weightings, and trade instructions for rebalancing. Performance metrics including annualized volatility and Sharpe ratio provide ongoing risk assessment.
Several limitations warrant acknowledgment. First, the strategy rebalances monthly, meaning it cannot respond to intra-month market crashes. Second, transaction costs and taxes from monthly rebalancing may reduce net returns for taxable accounts. Third, the ten-month lookback period, while historically robust, offers no guarantee of future effectiveness. As Ilmanen (2011) notes in "Expected Returns", all timing strategies face the risk of regime change, where historical relationships break down.
This indicator serves educational purposes and portfolio monitoring. It does not constitute financial advice.
References:
Cambria Investment Management (2013). Global Tactical Asset Allocation: An Introduction to the Approach. Research Report, Los Angeles.
Faber, M.T. (2007). A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation. Journal of Wealth Management, Spring 2007, pp. 9-79.
Faber, M.T. (2013). Global Asset Allocation: A Survey of the World's Top Asset Allocation Strategies. Cambria Investment Management, Los Angeles.
Ilmanen, A. (2011). Expected Returns: An Investor's Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.
Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), pp. 65-91.
Classic Wave: The Easy WayClassic Wave is a simple strategy with few rules and no over-optimization. Despite its simplicity, it is backed by a nearly century-long historical track record, delivering excellent returns on the weekly chart of the SPX (TVC).
I also recommend observing its strong performance on the SPY (weekly), which is the perfect instrument for executing this strategy with futures in the future.
Strategy Rules and Parameters
When a bullish candle closes above the 20-period EMA, we place the stop-loss below the low of that candle and target a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.
A second, more profitable variant is to change the risk-reward ratio in the code to 2:1.
-Total capital: $10,000
-We use 10% of the total capital per trade.
-Commissions: 0.1% per trade.
The code construction is simple and very well detailed within the script itself.
Risk-Reward Ratio 2:1
Using a 2:1 risk-reward ratio reduces the win rate but significantly increases profitability.
Across the full historical data of the SPX index (weekly), the system would have generated 236 trades, with a win rate of 51.27% and a profit factor of 2.53.
From January 1, 2023, to November 28, 2025, the system would have generated 5 trades, with an 80% win rate and a profit factor of 9.244.
What makes this system so good?
-It takes advantage of the long-term bullish bias of U.S. stock indices and traditional markets.
-It filters out a lot of noise thanks to the weekly timeframe.
-It uses simple parameters with no over-optimization.
Final Notes:
This strategy has consistently outperformed the returns offered by most traditional funds over time, with fewer drawdowns and significantly less stress. I hope you like it.
Elite Correlation Matrix AIThe Elite Correlation Matrix AI indicator provides comprehensive real-time correlation analysis across multiple asset classes, displaying the interrelationships between equities, bonds, commodities, currencies, and volatility instruments.
The indicator calculates and displays correlation coefficients between a predefined set of major market indices and instruments, including:
• Major equity indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM)
• Long-term Treasury bonds (TLT)
• Gold (GLD)
• Crude oil (USO)
• Volatility (VIX)
• US Dollar Index (DXY)
• Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Key features include:
• Rolling correlation calculations across user-defined periods to identify both short-term and longer-term relationships
• Visual correlation heat map showing the strength and direction of relationships between all tracked instruments
• Detection of correlation breakdowns, which often precede significant market regime shifts
• Dashboard display providing summary metrics of prevailing correlation patterns
The indicator enables users to monitor the current state of market relationships and identify when traditional correlations begin to break down, which frequently serves as an early warning of impending changes in market behavior. By tracking the degree of connectedness between different asset classes, the indicator provides insight into the current risk environment and the potential for diversification effectiveness.
This analysis is particularly valuable for understanding periods of market stress when asset relationships deviate from their normal patterns, as well as identifying environments where traditional correlations hold and where they are undergoing structural changes.
Trend Breakout & Ratchet Stop System [Market Filter]Description:
This strategy implements a robust trend-following system designed to capture momentum moves while strictly managing downside risk through a multi-stage "Ratchet" exit mechanism and broad market filters.
It is designed for swing traders who want to align individual stock entries with the overall market direction.
How it works:
1. Market Regime Filters (The "Safety Check") Before taking any position, the strategy checks the health of the broader market to avoid "catching falling knives."
Broad Market Filter: By default, it checks NASDAQ:QQQ (adjustable). If the benchmark is trading below its SMA 200, the strategy assumes a Bear Market and suppresses all new long entries.
Volatility Filter (VIX): Uses CBOE:VIX to gauge fear. If the VIX is above a specific threshold (Default: 32), entries are paused, and existing positions can optionally be closed to preserve capital.
2. Entry Logic Entries are based on Momentum and Trend confirmation. A position is opened if filters are clear AND one of the following occurs:
Golden Cross: SMA 25 crosses over SMA 50.
SMA Breakouts: A "Three-Bar-Break" logic confirms a breakout above the SMA 50, 100, or 200 (price must establish itself above the moving average).
3. The "Ratchet" Exit System The exit logic evolves as the trade progresses, tightening risk like a ratchet:
Stage 0 (Initial Risk): Starts with a standard percentage Stop Loss from the entry price.
Stage 1 (Breakeven/Lock): Once the price rises by Profit Step 1 (e.g., +10%), the Stop Loss jumps to a tighter level and locks there. This secures the initial move.
Stage 2 (Trailing Mode): If the price continues to rise to Profit Step 2 (e.g., +15%), the Stop Loss converts into a dynamic Trailing Stop relative to the Highest High. This allows the trade to run as long as the trend persists.
Additional Exits:
Dead Cross: Closes position if SMA 25 crosses under SMA 50.
VIX Panic: Emergency exit if volatility spikes above the threshold.
Settings & Customization:
SMAs: Adjustable lengths for all Moving Averages.
Filters: Toggle Market/VIX filters on/off and choose your benchmark ticker (e.g., SPY or QQQ).
Risk Management: Fully customizable percentages for the Ratchet steps (Initial SL, Stage 1 Trigger, Trailing distance).
Best Entry Swing MASTER v3 PUBLIC (S.S)Strategy Description (English)
Best Entry Swing MASTER v3 – Quality Mode
The Best Entry Swing MASTER v3 is a structured swing trading and trend-following strategy designed to identify high-probability long and short entries during directional markets.
It combines three core setup types commonly used by momentum and breakout traders:
Breakout (BO)
Pullback Reversal (PB)
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)
The strategy applies multiple layers of confirmation, including multi-EMA trend structure, volatility contraction, volume filters, and an optional market regime filter.
It is suitable for swing trading on higher timeframes (4H, Daily), as well as medium-term trend continuation setups.
Core Concepts
1. Trend Structure
A trend is considered valid when:
Uptrend: Price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA100
Downtrend: Price < EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA100
In addition, a simple but effective trend-strength metric is calculated using the percentage spread between EMA20 and EMA100.
This helps avoid signals during sideways or low-volatility environments.
2. Market Regime Filter
The market environment is determined using a higher timeframe benchmark (default: SPY on Daily).
Only long trades are allowed in bullish market conditions
Only short trades in bearish conditions
This significantly reduces false signals in counter-trend conditions.
Entry Logic
Breakout (BO)
A long breakout triggers when:
Price closes above the highest high of the lookback period
Volume exceeds its 20-period average
Trend and market regime confirm
(Optional A+ mode): true volatility contraction is required
Similar logic applies for short breakdowns.
Pullback (PB)
A pullback entry triggers after:
At least two corrective candles
A strong reversal candle (close above previous high for long)
Volume confirmation
Price interacts with EMA20
This structure models classical trend-reentry conditions.
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)
A VCP entry triggers when:
True range contracts over multiple bars
Price holds near the breakout zone
Volume contracts
Trend and market regime are aligned
This setup aims to capture explosive continuation moves.
Quality Modes
The strategy offers two modes:
Balanced Mode
Moderate signal frequency
Broader trend-strength allowance
Suitable for more active traders
A+ Only Mode
Strict confirmation requirements
Only high-quality setups with multiple confluences
Designed to avoid low-probability trades entirely
Risk Management
Risk is managed using an ATR-based stop and target:
Long SL = Close − ATR × 1.5
Long TP = Close + ATR × 3
(Equivalent logic for short positions)
This provides a balanced reward-to-risk profile and avoids overly tight stops.
Early Entry Signals (Optional)
The script offers optional “Early Entry” markers that highlight when a setup is forming but not yet confirmed.
These are not entry signals and are disabled by default for public use.
Intended Use
This strategy is designed for:
Swing trading
Momentum continuation
Trend-following
Multi-day to multi-week trades
It performs best on:
4H
Daily
High-liquidity equities, indices, and futures
Disclaimer
This script is intended for educational and research purposes.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Always backtest thoroughly and use appropriate risk management.
stock-vs-industry using NQUSB benchmark idexesOriginal idea from Stock versus Industry by Tr33man .
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
═══ PRIMARY IMPROVEMENT: NQUSB Hierarchical Index Benchmarks ═══
The KEY improvement: Multi-Level Industry Granularity with Drill-Down/Drill-Up Navigation
From: Simple ETF Comparison (1 Level) Stock → Industry ETF (e.g., "SOXX" for all semiconductors)
To: NQUSB Hierarchical Comparison (4 Levels)
Level 4 (Primary): NQUSB10102010 → Semiconductors (most specific)
Level 3 (Secondary): NQUSB101020 → Technology Hardware and Equipment
Level 2 (Tertiary): NQUSB101010 → Software and Computer Services
Level 1 (Quaternary): NQUSB10 → Technology (broadest sector)
Users can now drill up and down the industry hierarchy to see how their stock performs against different levels of industry classification!
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
═══ WHY THIS MATTERS ═══
Original Limitations:
Single comparison level - ETF only
No drill-down capability - Can't zoom in to more specific industries
No drill-up capability - Can't zoom out to broader sectors
ETF limitations - Not all industries have dedicated ETFs
Arbitrary mappings - Manual ETF selection may not represent true industry
Improved Capabilities:
4-level hierarchical navigation - Drill-down and drill-up through industry classifications
361 NQUSB official indices - NASDAQ US Benchmark Index structure
Official NASDAQ classification - Industry-standard taxonomy
Large Mid Cap (LM) option - Focus on larger companies when needed
Enhanced UI - Clear level indicators and full index descriptions
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
═══ EXAMPLE: ANALYZING NVDA (Semiconductors) ═══
Level 4 - Primary (Most Specific):
NQUSB10102010 - Semiconductors
→ NVDA vs. AMD, AVGO, QCOM, TXN, etc. (direct competitors)
Level 3 - Secondary (Broader):
NQUSB101020 - Tech Hardware & Equipment
→ NVDA vs. AAPL, CSCO + semiconductors
Level 2 - Tertiary (Even Broader):
NQUSB101010 - Software and Computer Services
→ NVDA vs. all tech hardware
Level 1 - Quaternary (Broadest):
NQUSB10 - Technology Sector
→ NVDA vs. entire technology sector
You can now zoom in to see direct competitors or zoom out to understand macro sector trends - all in one indicator!
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
═══ COMPARISON SUMMARY ═══
Original Version:
Comparison System: Industry ETFs
Industry Levels: 1 (flat ETF mapping)
Total Classifications: ~140 industries
Hierarchy Navigation: ❌ No
Data Source: Manual ETF curation
Improved Version:
Comparison System: NQUSB Official Indices
Industry Levels: 4 (hierarchical drill-down/up)
Total Classifications: 361 NQUSB indices
Hierarchy Navigation: ✅ 4-level drill navigation
Data Source: NASDAQ official taxonomy
Large/Mid Cap Option: ✅ LM variant toggle
Level Indicator: ✅ to labels
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
═══ ADDITIONAL FEATURES ═══
Dual Comparison System - Toggle between ETF mode (original) and Index Benchmark mode (NQUSB hierarchy)
Better Fallback Logic - Manual Override > NQUSB Index > ETF > SPY default
Enhanced Display - 4-row information table with full NQUSB index description
Backward Compatible - All original ETF mappings still work, existing charts won't break
Large Mid Cap Toggle - Optional "LM" suffix for focusing on larger companies only
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For complete documentation, data files, technical details, and the full NQUSB hierarchy structure, visit the GitHub repository.
The result: More accurate, more flexible, and more comprehensive industry strength analysis - enabling traders to understand exactly where their stock's performance comes from by drilling through multiple levels of industry classification.
