Ripster Clouds (EMA + MTF)v6 EnhancedThis is the most complete, modern, and user-friendly version of the classic Ripster EMA Clouds indicator yet — fully updated for Pine Script @version
=6 (January 2026 compliant).What It DoesPlots up to 5 local timeframe EMA clouds (8-9, 5-12, 34-50, 72-89, 180-200) with authentic Ripster coloring and transparency.
Adds 3 higher-timeframe (MTF) clouds pulled from a user-defined resolution (default Daily): 50-55, 20-21, and 34-50 — perfect for big-picture bias on intraday charts.
Clouds dynamically change color based on which EMA is on top (bullish green/blue/teal/purple → bearish red/orange/yellow).
Optional slope-colored lines for short/long EMAs.
Clean, grouped inputs with intuitive toggles.
Why This Version Is Better Than Prior OnesFeature
Older Versions (v4/v5 originals & early ports)
This v6 Enhanced Version
Pine Version
v4 or v5 (some no longer fully supported)
Fully v6 compliant – compiles cleanly today
MTF Clouds
Either none or only 2, often no color flip
3 MTF clouds with full color flipping for clear higher-TF bias
Usability
Limited toggles, cluttered defaults
"Show All Clouds & Lines" quick toggle + per-cloud on/off + sensible defaults (clouds 4/5 off)
Visual Clarity
Mixed transparency, sometimes too busy
Optimized transparency & modern color palette (works great in dark/light themes)
Flexibility
Fixed source (usually hl2)
Choice of source (close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, etc.)
Alerts
Usually none
Built-in alerts on tightest cloud (8-9) cross – great for momentum entries
Performance
No limits set
max_lines_count, max_labels_count, max_bars_back for smooth operation
Code Quality
Older syntax, scattered inputs
Clean, well-commented, grouped sections – easy to read/modify
Best Use CasesIntraday (10–30 min): Local clouds for entries/pullbacks, MTF for daily bias.
Swing trading (1H, 4H, Daily): Wider clouds + MTF weekly for multi-day holds.
Works beautifully on QQQ, SPY, TSLA, NVDA and any liquid stock/ETF/index.
This script combines the best of the original Ripster local clouds with powerful multi-timeframe context — all in one clean, publish-ready indicator.Copy-paste ready for TradingView public library. Enjoy the edge! Here are examples of how this enhanced version looks on charts (rich layered clouds with MTF overlay):
Cerca negli script per "spy"
Power Hour Trendlines [LuxAlgo]The Power Hour Trendlines indicator is based on Power Hours detection, and includes up to three displayed trendlines derived from the closing prices of all the bars within the last user-selected Power Hours.
Users can edit the time of Power Hours, choose how many sessions to take into account, enable or disable any trendlines, and change their colors.
🔶 USAGE
The Power Hour is defined as the last hour of the trading session and is set by default from 3:00 p.m. to 4:00 p.m. New York time. During this period, volume and volatility enter the market. Traders using higher timeframes may use this period to enter or exit positions by placing MOC (Market on Close) orders.
This tool works under the hypothesis that prices made during power hours (periods with high trading activity) are more relevant when used for the construction of trendlines.
An initial trendline is fit using linear regression; prices from power hours located above this initial fit are used for the upper trendline, while the ones below the fit are used for the lower one.
As with any trendline, traders can analyze the slope to determine the market's direction:
Positive slope: The market is trending up.
Negative slope: The market is trending down.
No slope: The market is trending sideways.
As we can see in the image, Nasdaq and Bitcoin are clearly in downtrends, gold is clearly in an uptrend, and the euro/U.S. dollar is in a sideways market over the last visible sessions.
As you can see, the trend lines may or may not be parallel to each other. The wider the area, the more volatile the data. The narrower the area, the less volatile the data. Let's look at an example.
In the image, the Dow30 and the euro/U.S. dollar have opposite behaviors. The volatility above the middle trendline is growing in the first case but shrinking in the second. In both cases, the volatility in the bottom area seems steady, so there are no big surprises there.
Traders can adjust the number of sessions for calculations, making the tool ideal for analyzing price behavior over different time frames.
As the image shows, we can clearly see how the market behaves over different time periods. XLY has been moving down over the last 10, 20, and 40 sessions, with a steeper decline over shorter periods. However, it has been moving sideways over the last 70 sessions.
One of the main uses of trendlines is to provide key support and resistance. In the image, SPY is shown with trendlines over the last 20 sessions. These lines provide excellent reference points for trading and observing price behavior in those areas, such as whether prices are accepted or rejected, which may trigger a response from other traders.
🔹 Not Allowed Timeframes
For obvious reasons, timeframes larger than 1H are not allowed. The Power Hour is defined as the last hour of the trading session. The tool will display a warning message if the timeframe is longer than 60 minutes.
🔶 SETTINGS
Power Hour (NY Time): Choose a custom Power Hour in New York time
Sessions Memory: Select how many Power Hours to take into account for calculations.
🔹 Style
Top: Enable or disable the top line and choose the line and background colors.
Middle: Enable or disable the middle line and choose the line color.
Bottom: Enable or disable the bottom line and choose the line and background colors.
Background: Enable or disable the background color for top and bottom lines.
Mashrab | Momentum X-RayStop guessing if a stock is strong or weak. The Momentum X-Ray is a professional Heads-Up Display (HUD) that tells you the truth about a stock in seconds.
Most indicators just look at price. This dashboard looks at the Context:
Relative Strength (The "King of the Hill" Check):
It doesn't just compare stocks to the S&P 500.
It automatically detects the stock's specific industry (e.g., Semiconductors, Regional Banks, Gold Miners) and compares it against its actual peers.
Green = The stock is a Leader (Beating its sector).
Red = The stock is a Laggard (Losing to its sector).
Fundamental Health (The "Engine" Check):
Instantly see Revenue Growth (QoQ and YoY) and Net Profit Margins.
Filters out "junk" stocks that are moving up on hype but have no real business growth.
Volatility Scanner:
Calculates the ADR (Average Daily Range) to help you size your positions correctly.
How to Read the Signals:
Top Table (Momentum): Look for Double Green. If a stock is beating the SPY and its Sector, it is an "Alpha Leader."
Bottom Table (Context): Check the "Industry" row to see exactly which ETF the script is using for comparison (e.g., SMH for Chips, KRE for Banks).
Options Liquidity Meter (OLM)❓ The question behind this indicator
When trading options, it is common to experience situations where price moves in the expected direction, yet the option contract does not increase in value as anticipated.
This typically happens when one or more of the following conditions is missing:
Insufficient liquidity participation
Lack of volatility expansion
Weak or passive order flow
Options Liquidity Meter (OLM) was created to address this specific question:
“If price moves from here, are there conditions for option premiums to actually expand?”
🎯 What this indicator does
Options Liquidity Meter is a context tool, not a trading system.
It evaluates whether the current market environment is favorable for option premium expansion , based on three core engines:
Liquidity (Relative Volume)
Measures whether price movement is supported by meaningful participation.
Volatility State
Identifies compression, release, and expansion phases, where options tend to respond differently.
Order Flow Activity (OBV-based)
Acts as a proxy for active vs. passive participation, helping filter hollow moves.
These components are combined into a single, easy-to-read options context.
🟢🟡🔴 Options Context Output
The indicator displays one consolidated state:
RED — NO EXPANSION
Price may move, but option premiums often do not respond.
YELLOW — BUILDING
Liquidity or volatility is developing. Conditions are improving but not fully aligned.
GREEN — EXPANSION LIKELY
Liquidity, volatility expansion, and active flow are aligned.
This is a favorable environment for option premium expansion.
The same logic is reflected visually through the background color and summarized in the dashboard.
📊 How to read the dashboard
The dashboard shows:
Liquidity: LOW / OK / HIGH
Volatility: COMPRESSED / RELEASED / EXPANDING
Order Flow: FLAT / ACTIVE
Options Context: NO EXPANSION / BUILDING / EXPANSION LIKELY
Below, a Background Color Meaning section explains what each color represents, making the indicator intuitive and educational.
📍 Where to apply this indicator
Options Liquidity Meter must be applied to the underlying asset chart, such as:
Indices (SPY, SPX, QQQ, etc.)
Stocks
Futures
ETFs
It is not designed to be applied to option contracts themselves.
The indicator evaluates the market conditions of the underlying, which are the drivers that influence option premium behavior.
Contract selection (strike, delta, gamma, expiration) remains the trader’s responsibility.
🧠 How to use it
Use your own methodology to define:
Direction
Structure
Entries and exits
Use Options Liquidity Meter to evaluate:
Whether the current environment supports option premium expansion
If the context is RED, be cautious — price may move without rewarding options.
If the context is GREEN, the environment is statistically more favorable for options responsiveness.
🔗 Complementary tools
Options Liquidity Meter is designed to complement, not replace, other tools.
It works well alongside:
Opening Path Selector (EMA200 Context Tool)
For deciding which asset offers the cleanest directional context.
Multi-Tool VWAP + EMAs (Multi-Timeframe) + Key Levels
For in-chart structure, bias, and reference levels.
Each tool addresses a different stage of the decision process and can be used independently.
⚠️ Important notes
This indicator provides context only
It does not generate trading signals
No indicator guarantees results
Use at your own risk.
0DTE Credit-Spread Morning FilterUPDATE: NATIVE ALERTS ADDED!
You asked, we delivered. You no longer need to sit and stare at the dashboard waiting for a green signal.
1. New "Trade Entry Signal" Alert:
I have added a custom alert condition to the code. This triggers the exact moment the dashboard flips from "NO TRADE" to "GREEN" (Strategy Found).
2. How to set it:
Simply click the "Create Alert" button (clock icon) in TradingView, select this indicator, and choose "Trade Entry Signal" from the list.
Now you can get notified on your phone or desktop instantly when the market conditions align for a 0DTE play.
Happy Trading!
Options Chain Table [Enhanced]The primary purpose of this script is Unusual Options Activity (UOA) Detection.Identifying "Whales": Traders use it to spot when large institutions or "smart money" are aggressively buying Calls (betting price goes up) or Puts (betting price goes down).Contextualizing Volume: Instead of just showing raw volume (e.g., "10,000 contracts traded"), it calculates a Ratio. If the average volume is 1,000 and today's volume is 10,000, that is a 10x Spike, which is highly significant.0DTE & Short-Term Trading: It is optimized for analyzing the "Active Expiration" (often the current day for SPX/NDX), making it useful for 0DTE (Zero Days to Expiration) strategies.2. Key Features & VisualsThe script overlays a table on your chart with the following columns:ColumnDescriptionCall AvgThe historical average volume (Moving Average) for the Call option.Call RatioThe "Spike Factor." calculated as $ NSE:CURRENT Volume / Average Volume$$. High ratios turn Green.Call VolThe actual volume traded today for that Call strike.StrikeThe Strike Price of the option (e.g., 5800). The "At-The-Money" (ATM) strike is highlighted Blue.Put VolThe actual volume traded today for that Put strike.Put RatioThe "Spike Factor" for Puts. High ratios turn Red/Fuchsia.Put AvgThe historical average volume (Moving Average) for the Put option.3. How It Works (Technical Breakdown)This script uses advanced Pine Script techniques to bypass some of TradingView's limitations regarding options data.A. Dynamic Symbol ConstructionTradingView does not have a simple function to "get the option chain." This script manually constructs the ticker symbol for each option contract using the OPRA format:Format: OPRA:ROOT Example: OPRA:SPXW251226C5800 (SPX Weekly, Dec 26, 2025, Call, 5800 Strike).B. Tuple Fetching (Optimization)TradingView limits scripts to 40 request.security calls. To display 11 rows of data (which would normally require 44 calls: Call Vol, Call MA, Put Vol, Put MA per row), the script uses Tuple Fetching. It requests the Volume and the Moving Average in a single request, cutting the data usage in half and allowing the table to load faster without errors.C. Spike LogicIt calculates a moving average (EMA or SMA) of the volume over a set lookback period (default 20 bars).Medium Spike (M): Volume is > 2x the average.Large Spike (L): Volume is > 3.5x the average.Extreme Spike (E): Volume is > 5x the average.4. How to Use It (User Guide)To use this script effectively, you must configure the "Inputs" correctly, as it cannot always guess the correct expiration dates automatically.Add to Chart: Add the script to a chart (works best on indices like SPX, NDX, SPY, QQQ).Set the Center Price (Crucial):In the settings, look for "Manual Center Price".Input the current price of the asset (e.g., if SPX is at 5815, enter 5815).Why? The script generates strikes around this number. If you leave it 0, it might try to use the close price, which can be buggy during pre-market or if data is delayed.Set the Expiration (DTE):The script attempts to default to "Today," but for best results, manually enter the date in YYMMDD format in the "Manual DTE" field.Example: For December 26, 2025, enter 251226.Read the Alerts:The script allows you to set alerts in TradingView."Any Spike → CALL": Tells you a Call option just had a massive volume spike."Any Spike → PUT": Tells you a Put option just had a massive volume spike.5. Strategy ExampleA trader using this script might see the following scenario:Market: SPX is trading sideways at 5800.Signal: The table flashes a bright green cell on the 5850 Call with a ratio of "E 6.2x" (Extreme, 6.2 times normal volume).Interpretation: Someone is aggressively buying out-of-the-money Calls. The trader might interpret this as a bullish signal (Gamma exposure increasing at 5850) and enter a long position, expecting the price to be magnetized toward 5850.
Mag 7 EMA Trend MonitorDashboard Layout:
1. Symbol Column: The Mag 7 tickers.
2. Trend Column: Visual Bull/Bear status.
3. Strength Column: Percentage distance from the mean (EMA 21).
4. Aggregate Row: Summary of market breadth and average sector pull/push.
How to Interpret the Trend Strength:
• Positive %: The stock is trading above its 21 EMA. A very high number (e.g., $+15\%$) might suggest the stock is "overbought" or overextended.
• Negative %: The stock is trading below its 21 EMA. A very low number (e.g., $-10\%$) might suggest it is "oversold."
• Avg Strength: This gives you a bird's-eye view of the sector. If the aggregate is "5 Up / 2 Down" but the Avg Strength is only $+0.5\%$, the trend is weak and might be exhausting.
"Pro-tips" for tool:
• Multi-Timeframe Correlation: Try setting the Dashboard Timeframe to "D" (Daily) while trading on a "5m" or "15m" chart. This allows you to see if your intraday trade is aligned with the "Big Money" trend of the week.
• The 4/7 Rule: Watch for that Aggregate row to hit 4 out of 7. In the Mag 7, since these stocks carry so much weight in the SPY and QQQ, a shift to a majority (4+) often precedes a move in the overall market indices.
Buying Opportunity Score V2.2Buying Opportunity Indicator V2.2
What This Indicator Does
This indicator identifies potential buying opportunities during market fear and pullbacks by combining multiple technical signals into a single composite score (0-100). Higher scores indicate more fear/oversold conditions are present simultaneously.
Why These Components?
Market bottoms typically occur when multiple fear signals align. This indicator combines five complementary measurements that each capture different aspects of market stress:
1. VIX Level (30 points) - Measures implied volatility/fear. VIX spikes during selloffs as traders buy protection. Thresholds based on historical percentiles (VIX 25+ is ~85th percentile historically).
2. Price Drawdown (30 points) - Distance from 52-week high. Larger drawdowns create better risk/reward for mean reversion entries. A 10%+ drawdown from highs historically presents better entry points than buying at all-time highs.
3. RSI 14 (12 points) - Classic momentum oscillator measuring oversold conditions. RSI below 30 indicates short-term selling exhaustion.
4. Bollinger Band Position (13 points) - Statistical measure of price extension. Price below the lower band (2 standard deviations) indicates statistically unusual weakness.
5. VIX Timing (15 points) - Bonus points when VIX is declining from a recent peak. This helps avoid catching falling knives by waiting for fear to subside.
How The Score Works
- Each component contributes points based on severity
- Components are weighted by predictive value from historical analysis
- Score of 70+ means multiple fear signals are present
- Score of 80+ means extreme fear across most components
How To Use
1. Apply to SPY, QQQ, or IWM on daily timeframe
2. Monitor the Current Score in the statistics table
3. Scores below 50 = normal conditions, no action needed
4. Scores 60-69 = elevated fear, monitor closely
5. Scores 70+ = consider entering long positions
6. Scores 80+ = strongest historical entry points
Important Limitations
- This is a research tool, not financial advice
- Past patterns may not repeat in the future
- Signals are infrequent (typically 2-4 per year reaching 70+)
- Works best on broad market ETFs; not validated for individual stocks
- Always use proper position sizing and risk management
- The indicator identifies conditions that have historically been favorable, but cannot predict future returns
Statistics Table
The table shows:
- Current Score with context message
- Chart Results: Rolling 1Y/3Y/5Y statistics from your loaded chart data
Alerts
Multiple alert options available for different score thresholds.
Open Source
Code is fully visible for review and educational purposes.
NeuralFlow Forecast Levels - User InputsThis is a companion indicator that plots AI-adaptive market equilibrium and expansion mapping levels directly on the SPY chart.
NeuralFlow Forecast Levels are generated through a Artificial Intelligence framework trained to identify:
Where price is statistically inclined to re-balance
Where expansion zones historically exhaust rather than extend
This is structure mapping, not prediction.
......................................................................................
What the Bands Represent?
AI Equilibrium (white core)
Primary weekly balance zone where price is most likely to mean-revert.
Predictive Rails (aqua / purple)
High-confidence corridor of institutional flow containment.
Outer Zones (green / red)
Expansion limits where continuation historically begins to decay.
Extreme Zones (top / bottom)
Rare deviation envelope where auction completion is statistically favored.
.The engine updates only when underlying structure changes —
not when candles fluctuate intraday.
.................................................................................................................
Usage Context
These levels are contextual reference zones, not entry signals. They are designed to answer:
Where does price matter?
Where does continuation weaken?
Where does balance statistically reassert itself?
Risk Disclaimer
Educational and analytical use only. Not financial advice.
TRS (Trend Readiness System)TRS – Trend Readiness System
TRS (Trend Readiness System) is a trend-aligned trading framework designed to help you identify stocks that are becoming ready for entry , not just those already breaking out.
Instead of producing noisy buy/sell signals, TRS evaluates trend quality, pullback structure, momentum rebuilding, and market context , and converts them into clear scores, states, and timing awareness — both on the chart and inside the TradingView Screener.
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Core Philosophy
Strong trends don’t start at the breakout — they start when conditions quietly align.
TRS focuses on:
• Primary trend alignment
• Healthy pullbacks above long-term support
• Early momentum recovery
• Market regime confirmation
• Entry timing (fresh vs late)
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What TRS Measures
1. Setup Score (Trend Quality)
Answers the question: “Is this stock structurally worth watching?”
Based on:
• Price position relative to MA150
• Long-term trend direction
• Higher-low structure
• Distance from MA150 (overextension control)
• Market regime (bullish / bearish)
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2. Entry Score (Timing Quality)
Answers the question: “Is the timing right — or still early?”
Based on:
• Short and mid-term moving averages
• Pullback behavior
• Momentum stabilization
• Volume confirmation
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3. General Score
A combined readiness score used for ranking in the TradingView Screener:
General Score = Setup Score + Entry Score
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Entry State Tracking (Key Feature)
TRS tracks the full entry lifecycle , not just signals:
• Valid Entry
• Pending Entry (almost ready)
• Bars Since Valid Entry
• Entry Window (Fresh / Expired)
• Entry Still Valid (Yes / No)
This helps avoid chasing late or already-played setups.
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Market Regime Filter
Signals automatically adapt to overall market conditions:
• Market trend confirmation (e.g. SPY / QQQ)
• Reduced false signals during weak markets
• Clear explanation when setups are blocked
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Visual Dashboard (Optional)
The on-chart dashboard can display:
• General Score
• Market state
• Setup quality
• Entry status
• Entry window
• Bars since entry
• Blocking reason (if any)
You can switch between:
• Minimal mode – essential info only
• Full table mode – detailed diagnostics
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Screener Integration
TRS exposes clean numeric outputs for the TradingView Pine Screener:
• Setup Score
• Entry Score
• General Score
• Pending Entry (1 / 0)
• Valid Entry (1 / 0)
• Bars Since Valid Entry
• Market Bullish (1 / 0)
Example Screener Filters:
• Setup Score ≥ 50
• Pending Entry = 1
• Bars Since Valid Entry ≤ 3
• Market Bullish = 1
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How to Use TRS (Daily Routine)
Step 1 – Scan
• Look for high Setup Score
• Prefer Pending Entry = 1
Step 2 – Review
• Confirm pullback quality
• Check MA150 support
• Observe momentum rebuilding
Step 3 – Act
• Enter only on Valid Entry
• Avoid expired entry windows
• Skip setups blocked by market regime
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What TRS Is NOT
• Not a breakout chaser
• Not a day-trading system
• Not signal spam
TRS is a decision-support system for swing and position traders who value structure, context, and timing.
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Best Used On
• Daily timeframe (1D)
• Liquid stocks & ETFs
• Trend-following strategies
• Portfolio-level screening
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Heikin Ashi Wick Strategy
🔥 Heikin Ashi Wick Momentum Strategy
“Trade momentum decay before the trend breaks.
>> FOCUS ON WICKS, NOT ONLY CANDLE COLOR<<
What Makes This Different (Traffic Driver)
✔ Uses Heikin Ashi wicks (almost nobody does this correctly)
✔ Captures trend continuation, not breakouts
✔ Exits before momentum collapse, not after
✔ Non-repainting
✔ Clean charts, instant readability
This Strategy Is REALLY Trading
This is a Heikin Ashi momentum-decay system:
• Enters when trend is strong but not euphoric
• Exits when:
o Trend stops probing higher
o Sellers gain relative strength
It avoids:
• Chasing strong breakout candles
• Holding through momentum rollovers
Candle Type Used: Heikin Ashi (manually calculated)
NOTE: The script does not use regular candles.
It reconstructs Heikin Ashi (HA) candles from raw OHLC:
• HA Close = average of open, high, low, close
• HA Open = midpoint of prior HA candle (smoothed)
• HA High / Low = extremes of HA open/close vs real high/low
➡️ This filters noise and emphasizes trend structure and momentum.
Strengths
✅ Works well in strong, smooth trends
✅ Very clean logic (no indicators)
✅ Non-repainting
✅ Early exits protect capital
Best Use
This works best on:
• Daily timeframe
• Strong trend ETFs / megacaps
o QQQ
o SPY
o NVDA, MSFT, AAPL
• When combined with:
o EMA 21 trend filter (your preference)
o Market regime filter (e.g., above 50/200 SMA)
o Rising 10 EMA and 20 EMA
________________________________________
8️⃣ Weaknesses (Important)
⚠️ No stop loss (only structure-based exits)
⚠️ Can exit too early in explosive trends
⚠️ Will chop in sideways markets
⚠️ No volatility filter (ATR, EMA, regime)
How to Avoid the Weaknesses — Summary
Turn the setup from a concept into a robust strategy by adding these controls:
1. Trade Only Trends
o Require price above EMA-21 (optionally EMA-21 > EMA-50)
o Eliminates chop and sideways markets
2. Improve Exits (Avoid Leaving Winners Too Early)
o Partial exit when upper wick disappears
o Full exit only when lower wick dominates
o Optional: require 2 consecutive exit candles
3. Add Risk Protection
o Use a volatility stop: ~1.5× ATR(14) below entry or below HA swing low
o Protects against gaps and sudden reversals
4. Filter Weak Signals
o Require meaningful wick size (≈30–40% of candle range)
o Avoids low-quality indecision candles
5. Avoid Bad Volatility
o Skip entries when ATR is expanding aggressively
o Focus on calmer, controllable trends
6. Limit Time in Trade
o Add a max bars hold (e.g., 10–15 bars on daily)
o Prevents capital getting stuck in fading trends
⚠️ Educational use only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk and losses can exceed expectations. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use at your own risk.
Market Pressure Regime [Interakktive]The Market Pressure Regime (MPR) is a 4-state market classifier that models how structural forces create "pressure zones" — regions where price movement is either supported (Release) or suppressed (Pinned) by market microstructure.
It combines compression analysis, follow-through efficiency, and stress detection into a composite pressure score, classifying markets into Release, Suppressed, Transition, or Trap states — helping traders understand WHY price is moving (or not moving) in the current environment.
█ USAGE
MPR addresses a core question traders face: Is the market in a regime where directional moves are likely to follow through, or is it structurally pinned?
For swing traders, MPR identifies Release phases where momentum strategies work best, and Suppressed phases where mean reversion dominates.
For day traders, it highlights Trap conditions — high effort with no follow-through — where reversals are probable and trend entries fail.
🔹 The 4-State Model
The indicator classifies markets into four distinct regimes:
• Release (Teal): Pressure score ≥ +5. Directional flow dominates. Price moves efficiently with follow-through. Favor trend continuation.
• Suppressed (Grey): Pressure score ≤ -5. Compression dominates. Price is range-bound or pinned. Fade extremes, expect reversion.
• Transition (Amber): Score between thresholds OR instability detected. Regime is uncertain — wait for confirmation before committing.
• Trap (Magenta): High stress + low follow-through. Effort without result. Expect reversals.
🔹 Reading the Pressure Histogram
The histogram displays the composite Pressure Score (range approximately -100 to +100):
• Positive values: Follow-through exceeds compression. Market is "releasing" — directional moves are supported.
• Negative values: Compression exceeds follow-through. Market is "suppressed" — price movement is constrained.
• Color reflects confirmed state: The histogram uses persistence filtering — a state must hold for N bars before the color changes, preventing false signals from noise.
🔹 The 5-Stage Calculation
MPR synthesizes five analytical stages into the final state:
1. Compression Score: Measures how tight the current range is relative to ATR. High compression suggests structural forces are pinning price.
2. Follow-Through Score: Measures price path efficiency (MER-style). Efficient moves indicate genuine directional flow, not chop.
3. Stress Score: Detects effort-without-result (ERD-style). High volume or range with no price progress = absorption.
4. Composite Pressure: Combines follow-through and compression into a single directional score.
5. Persistence Filter: Requires states to hold for configurable bars before confirming, eliminating flickering.
█ SETTINGS
Core Settings
• ATR Length: Period for volatility normalization. Default 14.
• Baseline Lookback: Period for compression and efficiency baselines. Default 20.
• Volume Average Length: Period for stress calculation baseline. Default 20.
State Classification
• Release Threshold: Pressure score above this = Release. Default +5.
• Suppressed Threshold: Pressure score below this = Suppressed. Default -5.
• Trap Threshold: Stress score above this (with low follow-through) = Trap. Default 30.
• Persistence Bars: Bars required to confirm state change. Default 3.
• Stability Lookback: Period for stability calculation. Default 20.
• Stability Threshold: Below this = forced Transition state. Default 0.5.
Visual Settings
• Show Pressure Histogram: Display the main pressure score histogram.
• Show Zero Line: Display the zero reference line.
• Show Background Tint: Subtle background color by state (default OFF).
Data Window
• Show Data Window Values: Export all calculated scores for analysis.
█ INTERPRETATION GUIDE
When to Use Trend Strategies (Release):
• Histogram tall and positive
• Teal coloring confirmed
• Price making efficient higher highs or lower lows
When to Use Mean Reversion (Suppressed):
• Histogram flat or negative
• Grey coloring confirmed
• Price oscillating without follow-through
When to Wait (Transition):
• Amber coloring
• Mixed signals — don't force trades
• Wait for state to resolve
When to Expect Reversals (Trap):
• Magenta coloring
• High volume moves that don't stick
• Often occurs at structural inflection points
█ COMPLEMENTARY TOOLS
MPR pairs well with:
• Volatility State Index (VSI) — Confirms whether volatility is expanding into the pressure regime
• Effort-Result Divergence (ERD) — Provides bar-by-bar absorption/vacuum detection
• Market Efficiency Ratio (MER) — Validates follow-through quality
█ SUITABLE MARKETS
Works across all liquid markets:
• Equities: SPY, QQQ, liquid single stocks
• Futures: ES, NQ, CL, GC
• Crypto: BTC, ETH
• Forex: Major pairs
Works on any timeframe, but 1H–Daily provides cleanest regime classification. Intraday (5m–15m) useful for session-level tactical decisions.
█ OPEN SOURCE
This indicator is open-source for educational purposes. Review the code to understand the full calculation methodology.
█ DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management.
ODTE Layman Signals 📌 Script Name
Layman Options Signals – Structured BUY CALL / BUY PUT with SL & TP
📖 Overview
This indicator is a complete, finished intraday trading system designed to simplify options trading (including 0DTE and weekly options) by converting price action and market structure into clear, actionable signals.
The script performs all analysis in the background and displays only what the trader needs to execute consistently:
BUY CALL or BUY PUT
Predefined Stop Loss (SL)
Two Take Profit levels (TP1 and TP2)
Trade status and levels displayed in a live status box
The focus of this tool is execution discipline, not prediction.
🧠 Core Concepts Used (What Makes This Script Original)
This script combines multiple price-action concepts into a single, rule-based framework:
1️⃣ Opening Range Breakout (ORB)
The script calculates the opening range high and low using the first X minutes of the regular session.
Trades are only allowed above ORB high for CALLs and below ORB low for PUTs.
This filters low-quality trades during early chop.
2️⃣ Market Structure Confirmation
CALL trades require higher highs and higher lows
PUT trades require lower lows and lower highs
This prevents trading against structure.
3️⃣ Retest & Liquidity Sweep Validation
Breakouts are validated using:
ORB retests (price accepts above/below the range)
Liquidity sweeps (false breakouts that trap traders)
This helps reduce fake breakouts.
4️⃣ Volatility-Aware Risk Management
Stop losses are placed using market structure + ATR buffer
This avoids stops being placed at obvious levels.
5️⃣ Multi-Target Trade Management
TP1 = partial profit (risk reduction)
TP2 = runner target (trend continuation)
After TP1, stop loss can move to breakeven (optional)
6️⃣ Discipline Controls
Only one active trade at a time
Cooldown period after a stop loss
Prevents over-trading and revenge trading
📊 What the Indicator Displays
The script plots the following directly on the chart:
Entry level
Stop Loss (SL)
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
Opening Range High & Low
It also includes a Status Box that always shows one of the following states:
WAIT
BUY CALL
BUY PUT
IN TRADE
COOLDOWN
This allows traders to understand the current state at a glance without reading code.
▶️ How to Use the Indicator
Recommended Timeframes
1-minute or 2-minute charts
Intraday use only
Entry Rules
When BUY CALL appears → Buy an ATM or slightly ITM call
When BUY PUT appears → Buy an ATM or slightly ITM put
Risk Management
Exit immediately if price hits the SL line
Take partial profits at TP1
Hold remaining position for TP2 if conditions allow
When Status Shows WAIT or COOLDOWN
No trade should be taken
⚙️ Recommended Instruments
SPY / QQQ
Liquid large-cap stocks
Intraday options (0DTE / weeklies)
⚠️ Important Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice
It does not guarantee profits
It does not place trades automatically
Options trading involves significant risk
Always test using paper trading or small size before live use.
🎯 Who This Script Is For
✔ Traders who want clear rules
✔ Traders who prefer price action over indicators
✔ Options traders who value risk management
✔ Users who want less chart clutter and more discipline
❌ Not intended for swing trading
❌ Not intended for automated trading systems
🧩 Final Notes
This is a complete, finished indicator, not a test or experimental script.
All logic is deterministic, non-repainting, and designed for real-time use.
The philosophy behind this tool is simple:
Good trading comes from structure, discipline, and risk control — not prediction.
Trading Volatility Clock⏰ TRADING VOLATILITY CLOCK - Know When the Action Happens (Anywhere in the World)
A real-time session tracker with multi-timezone support for active traders who need to know when US market volatility strikes - no matter where they are in the world. Perfect for day traders, scalpers, and anyone trading liquid US markets.
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📊 WHAT IT DOES
This indicator displays a live clock showing:
- Current time in YOUR selected timezone (10 major timezones supported)
- Active US market session with color-coded volatility levels
- Countdown timer showing time remaining in current session
- Preview of the next upcoming session
- Optional alerts when entering high-volatility periods
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🌍 MULTI-TIMEZONE SUPPORT
SESSIONS ALWAYS TRACK US MARKET HOURS (Eastern Time):
No matter which timezone you select, the sessions always trigger at the correct US market times. Perfect for international traders who want to:
• See their local time while tracking US market sessions
• Know exactly when US volatility hits in their timezone
• Plan their trading day around US market hours
SUPPORTED TIMEZONES:
• America/New_York (ET) - Eastern Time
• America/Chicago (CT) - Central Time
• America/Los_Angeles (PT) - Pacific Time
• Europe/London (GMT) - Greenwich Mean Time
• Europe/Berlin (CET) - Central European Time
• Asia/Tokyo (JST) - Japan Standard Time
• Asia/Shanghai (CST) - China Standard Time
• Asia/Hong_Kong (HKT) - Hong Kong Time
• Australia/Sydney (AEDT) - Australian Eastern Time
• UTC - Coordinated Universal Time
EXAMPLE: A trader in Tokyo selects "Asia/Tokyo"
• Clock shows: 11:30 PM JST
• Session shows: "Opening Drive" 🔥 HIGH
• They know: US market just opened (9:30 AM ET in New York)
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🎯 WHY IT'S USEFUL
Whether you trade futures, high-volume stocks, or ETFs, volatility isn't constant throughout the day. Knowing WHEN to expect movement is critical:
🔥 HIGH VOLATILITY (Red):
• Opening Drive (9:30-10:30 AM ET) - Highest volume of the day
• Power Hour (3:00-4:00 PM ET) - Second-highest volume, final push
⚡ MEDIUM VOLATILITY (Yellow):
• Pre-Market (8:00-9:30 AM ET) - Building momentum
• Lunch Return (1:00-2:00 PM ET) - Traders returning
• Afternoon Session (2:00-3:00 PM ET) - Trend continuation
• After Hours (4:00-5:00 PM ET) - News reactions
💤 LOW VOLATILITY (Gray):
• Overnight Grind (12:00-8:00 AM ET) - Thin volume
• Mid-Morning Chop (10:30-11:30 AM ET) - Ranges form
• Lunch Hour (11:30 AM-1:00 PM ET) - Dead zone
• Evening Fade (5:00-8:00 PM ET) - Volume dropping
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
⚙️ CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
TIMEZONE SETTINGS:
• Select from 10 major timezones worldwide
• Clock automatically displays in your local time
• Sessions remain locked to US market hours
SESSION TIME CUSTOMIZATION:
• Every session boundary is adjustable (in minutes from midnight ET)
• Perfect for traders who define sessions differently
• Advanced users can create custom volatility schedules
DISPLAY OPTIONS:
• Toggle next session preview on/off
• Enable/disable high volatility alerts
• Clean, unobtrusive table display in top-right corner
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
💡 HOW TO USE
1. Add indicator to any chart (works on all timeframes)
2. Select your timezone in Settings → Timezone Settings
3. Set your chart to 1-minute timeframe for real-time updates
4. Customize session times if needed (Settings → Session Time Customization)
5. Watch the top-right corner for live session tracking
TRADING APPLICATIONS:
• Avoid trading during dead zones (lunch hour, mid-morning chop)
• Increase position size during high volatility windows
• Set alerts for Opening Drive and Power Hour
• Plan your trading day around US market volatility schedule
• International traders can track US sessions in their local time
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🎓 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
This indicator teaches traders:
• Market microstructure and volume patterns
• Why certain times produce better opportunities
• How institutional flows create intraday patterns
• The importance of timing in active trading
• How to adapt US market trading to any timezone
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
- Works best on 1-minute charts for frequent updates
- Sessions are ALWAYS based on US Eastern Time (ET)
- Timezone selection only changes the clock display
- Clock updates when new bar closes (not tick-by-tick)
- Alerts trigger once per bar when enabled
- Perfect for international traders tracking US markets
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📈 BEST USED WITH
- High-volume US stocks: TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, AMD, META
- Major US ETFs: SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA
- US Futures: ES, NQ, RTY, YM, MES, MNQ
- Any liquid US instrument with clear intraday volume patterns
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🌏 FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADERS
This tool is specifically designed for traders outside the US who need to:
• Track US market sessions in their local timezone
• Know when to be at their desk for US volatility
• Avoid waking up for low-volatility periods
• Maximize trading efficiency around US market hours
No more timezone confusion. No more missing the opening bell. Just set your timezone and trade with confidence.
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
This is an open-source educational tool. Feel free to modify and adapt to your trading style!
Happy Trading! 🚀
Market Regime# MARKET REGIME IDENTIFICATION & TRADING SYSTEM
## Complete User Guide
---
## 📋 TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. (#overview)
2. (#regimes)
3. (#indicator-usage)
4. (#entry-signals)
5. (#exit-signals)
6. (#regime-strategies)
7. (#confluence)
8. (#backtesting)
9. (#optimization)
10. (#examples)
---
## OVERVIEW
### What This System Does
This is a **complete market regime identification and trading system** that:
1. **Identifies 6 distinct market regimes** automatically
2. **Adapts trading tactics** to each regime
3. **Provides high-probability entry signals** with confluence scoring
4. **Shows optimal exit points** for each trade
5. **Can be backtested** to validate performance
### Two Components Provided
1. **Indicator** (`market_regime_indicator.pine`)
- Visual regime identification
- Entry/exit signals on chart
- Dynamic support/resistance
- Info tables with live data
- Use for manual trading
2. **Strategy** (`market_regime_strategy.pine`)
- Fully automated backtestable version
- Same logic as indicator
- Position sizing and risk management
- Performance metrics
- Use for backtesting and automation
---
## THE 6 MARKET REGIMES
### 1. 🟢 BULL TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong uptrend
- Price above SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Higher highs and higher lows
- DI+ > DI- (bullish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear upward direction
- Buyers in control
- Pullbacks are buying opportunities
- Strongest regime for long positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY dips to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 60 on pullback
- ✅ Hold through minor corrections
- ❌ Don't short against the trend
- ❌ Don't sell too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Pullbacks are shallow (5-10%)
- Bounces are strong
- Support at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on rallies
---
### 2. 🔴 BEAR TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong downtrend
- Price below SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Lower highs and lower lows
- DI- > DI+ (bearish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear downward direction
- Sellers in control
- Rallies are selling opportunities
- Strongest regime for short positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL rallies to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 40 on bounce
- ✅ Hold through minor bounces
- ❌ Don't buy against the trend
- ❌ Don't cover shorts too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Rallies are weak (5-10%)
- Selloffs are strong
- Resistance at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on declines
---
### 3. 🔵 BULL RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bullish bias but consolidating
- Price near or above SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Uptrend is pausing
- Accumulation phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY at support zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 40
- ✅ Take profits at resistance
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Support bounces repeatedly
- Resistance rejections common
- Eventually breaks higher (usually)
---
### 4. 🟠 BEAR RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bearish bias but consolidating
- Price near or below SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Downtrend is pausing
- Distribution phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL at resistance zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 60
- ✅ Take profits at support
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Resistance holds repeatedly
- Support bounces are weak
- Eventually breaks lower (usually)
---
### 5. ⚪ CONSOLIDATION
**Characteristics:**
- No clear direction
- Range compression
- Very low ADX (< 15 often)
- Price inside tight range
- Neutral sentiment
**What It Means:**
- Market is coiling
- Building energy for next move
- Indecision between buyers/sellers
- Calm before the storm
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **WAIT for breakout direction**
- ✅ Enter on high-volume breakout
- ✅ Direction becomes clear
- ❌ Don't trade inside the range
- ❌ Avoid choppy scalping
**Expected Behavior:**
- Narrow range
- Low volume
- False breakouts possible
- Explosive move when it breaks
---
### 6. 🟣 CHAOS (High Volatility)
**Characteristics:**
- Extreme volatility
- No clear direction
- Erratic price swings
- ATR > 2x average
- Unpredictable
**What It Means:**
- Market panic or euphoria
- News-driven moves
- Emotion dominates logic
- Highest risk environment
**How to Trade:**
- ❌ **STAY OUT!**
- ❌ No positions
- ❌ Wait for stability
- ✅ Protect existing positions
- ✅ Reduce risk
**Expected Behavior:**
- Large intraday swings
- Gaps up/down
- Stop hunts
- Whipsaws
- Eventually calms down
---
## INDICATOR USAGE
### Visual Elements
#### 1. Background Colors
- **Light Green** = Bull Trending (go long)
- **Light Red** = Bear Trending (go short)
- **Light Teal** = Bull Ranging (buy dips)
- **Light Orange** = Bear Ranging (sell rallies)
- **Light Gray** = Consolidation (wait)
- **Purple** = Chaos (stay out!)
#### 2. Regime Labels
- Appear when regime changes
- Show new regime name
- Positioned at highs (bullish) or lows (bearish)
#### 3. Entry Signals
- **Green "LONG"** labels = Buy here
- **Red "SHORT"** labels = Sell here
- Number shows confluence score (X/5 signals)
- Hover for details (stop, target, RSI, etc.)
#### 4. Exit Signals
- **Orange "EXIT LONG"** = Close long position
- **Orange "EXIT SHORT"** = Close short position
- Shows exit reason in tooltip
#### 5. Support/Resistance Lines
- **Green line** = Dynamic support (buy zone)
- **Red line** = Dynamic resistance (sell zone)
- Adapts to regime automatically
#### 6. Moving Averages
- **Blue** = SMA 20 (short-term trend)
- **Orange** = SMA 50 (medium-term trend)
- **Purple** = SMA 200 (long-term trend)
### Information Tables
#### Top Right Table (Main Info)
Shows real-time market conditions:
- **Current Regime** - What regime we're in
- **Bias** - Long, Short, Breakout, or Stay Out
- **ADX** - Trend strength (>25 = strong)
- **Trend** - Strong, Moderate, or Weak
- **Volatility** - High or Normal
- **Vol Ratio** - Current vs average volatility
- **RSI** - Momentum (>70 overbought, <30 oversold)
- **vs SMA50/200** - Price position relative to MAs
- **Support/Resistance** - Exact price levels
- **Long/Short Signals** - Confluence scores (X/5)
#### Bottom Right Table (Regime Guide)
Quick reference for each regime:
- What action to take
- What strategy to use
- Color-coded for quick identification
---
## ENTRY SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Confluence Scoring System (5 Factors)
Each entry signal is scored 0-5 based on how many factors align:
#### For LONG Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bull Trending or Bull Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Pullback** - RSI between 35-50 (not overbought)
3. ✅ **Near Support** - Price within 2% of dynamic support
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Up** - Momentum shifting bullish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
#### For SHORT Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bear Trending or Bear Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Rejection** - RSI between 50-65 (not oversold)
3. ✅ **Near Resistance** - Price within 2% of dynamic resistance
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Down** - Momentum shifting bearish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
### Confluence Requirements
**Minimum Confluence** (default = 2):
- 2/5 = Entry signal triggered
- 3/5 = Good signal
- 4/5 = Strong signal
- 5/5 = Excellent signal (rare)
**Higher confluence = Higher probability = Better trades**
### Specific Entry Patterns
#### 1. Bull Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Trending
- Price pulls back to EMA20
- Close above EMA20 (bounce)
- Up candle (close > open)
- RSI < 60
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 2. Bear Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Trending
- Price rallies to EMA20
- Close below EMA20 (rejection)
- Down candle (close < open)
- RSI > 40
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 3. Bull Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Ranging
- RSI < 40 (oversold)
- Price at or below support
- Up candle (reversal)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 4. Bear Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Ranging
- RSI > 60 (overbought)
- Price at or above resistance
- Down candle (rejection)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 5. Consolidation Breakout
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Consolidation
- Price breaks above/below range
- Volume > 1.5x average (explosive)
- Strong directional candle
```
---
## EXIT SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Three Types of Exits
#### 1. Regime Change Exits (Automatic)
- **Long Exit**: Regime changes to Bear Trending or Chaos
- **Short Exit**: Regime changes to Bull Trending or Chaos
- **Reason**: Market character changed, strategy no longer valid
#### 2. Support/Resistance Break Exits
- **Long Exit**: Price breaks below support by 2%
- **Short Exit**: Price breaks above resistance by 2%
- **Reason**: Key level violated, trend may be reversing
#### 3. Momentum Exits
- **Long Exit**: RSI > 70 (overbought) AND down candle
- **Short Exit**: RSI < 30 (oversold) AND up candle
- **Reason**: Overextension, take profits
### Stop Loss & Take Profit
**Stop Loss** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry - (ATR × 2)
- Adapts to volatility
- Protected from whipsaws
- Typically 2-4% for stocks, 5-10% for crypto
**Take Profit** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry + (Stop Distance × R:R Ratio)
- Default 2.5:1 reward:risk
- Example: $2 risk = $5 reward target
- Allows winners to run
---
## TRADING EACH REGIME
### BULL TRENDING - Most Profitable Long Environment
**Strategy: Buy Every Dip**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for pullback to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI < 60
3. Enter when candle closes above MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below the recent swing low
- Or 2 × ATR below entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous high
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, pulls back to $98 (EMA20)
Entry: $98.50 (close above EMA)
Stop: $96.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $103.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BEAR TRENDING - Most Profitable Short Environment
**Strategy: Sell Every Rally**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for bounce to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI > 40
3. Enter when candle closes below MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above the recent swing high
- Or 2 × ATR above entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous low
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, rallies to $102 (EMA20)
Entry: $101.50 (close below EMA)
Stop: $103.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $96.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BULL RANGING - Buy Low, Sell High
**Strategy: Range Trading (Long Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at support zone
2. Look for RSI < 40
3. Enter on reversal candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below support zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At resistance zone
- Don't hold through resistance
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $96 (at support, RSI 35)
Stop: $94 (below support)
Target: $104 (at resistance)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### BEAR RANGING - Sell High, Buy Low
**Strategy: Range Trading (Short Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at resistance zone
2. Look for RSI > 60
3. Enter on rejection candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above resistance zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At support zone
- Don't hold through support
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $104 (at resistance, RSI 65)
Stop: $106 (above resistance)
Target: $96 (at support)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### CONSOLIDATION - Wait for Breakout
**Strategy: Breakout Trading**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Identify consolidation range
2. Wait for VOLUME SURGE (1.5x+ avg)
3. Enter on close outside range
4. Direction must be clear
**Stop Loss:**
- Opposite side of range
- Or 2 ATR
**Take Profit:**
- Measure range height, project it
- Example: $10 range = $10 move expected
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1% risk
- 50% false breakout rate
**Example Trade:**
```
Consolidation: $98-$102 (4-point range)
Breakout: $102.50 (high volume)
Entry: $103
Stop: $100 (back in range)
Target: $107 (4-point range projected)
Risk: $3, Reward: $4
```
---
### CHAOS - STAY OUT!
**Strategy: Preservation**
**What to Do:**
- ❌ NO new positions
- ✅ Close existing positions if near entry
- ✅ Tighten stops on profitable trades
- ✅ Reduce position sizes dramatically
- ✅ Wait for regime to stabilize
**Why It's Dangerous:**
- Stop hunts are common
- Whipsaws everywhere
- News-driven volatility
- No technical reliability
- Even "perfect" setups fail
**When Does It End:**
- Volatility ratio drops < 1.5
- ADX starts rising (direction appears)
- Price respects support/resistance again
- Usually 1-5 days
---
## CONFLUENCE SYSTEM
### How It Works
The system scores each potential entry on 5 factors. More factors aligning = higher probability.
### Confluence Requirements by Regime
**Trending Regimes** (strictest):
- Minimum 2/5 required
- 3/5 = Good
- 4-5/5 = Excellent
**Ranging Regimes** (moderate):
- Minimum 1-2/5 required
- 2/5 = Good
- 3+/5 = Excellent
**Consolidation** (breakout only):
- Volume is most critical
- Direction confirmation
- Less confluence needed
### Adjusting Minimum Confluence
**If too few signals:**
- Lower from 2 to 1
- More trades, lower quality
**If too many false signals:**
- Raise from 2 to 3
- Fewer trades, higher quality
**Recommendation:**
- Start at 2
- Adjust based on win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
---
## STRATEGY BACKTESTING
### Loading the Strategy
1. Copy `market_regime_strategy.pine`
2. Open Pine Editor in TradingView
3. Paste and "Add to Chart"
4. Strategy Tester tab opens at bottom
### Initial Settings
```
Risk Per Trade: 2%
ATR Stop Multiplier: 2.0
Reward:Risk Ratio: 2.5
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✓
Trade Trending Only: ✗ (test both)
Avoid Chaos: ✓
Minimum Confluence: 2
```
### What to Look For
**Good Results:**
- Win Rate: 50-60%
- Profit Factor: 1.8-2.5
- Net Profit: Positive
- Max Drawdown: <20%
- Consistent equity curve
**Warning Signs:**
- Win Rate: <45% (too many losses)
- Profit Factor: <1.5 (barely profitable)
- Max Drawdown: >30% (too risky)
- Erratic equity curve (unstable)
### Testing Different Regimes
**Test 1: Trending Only**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✓
Result: Higher win rate, fewer trades
```
**Test 2: All Regimes**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✗
Result: More trades, potentially lower win rate
```
**Test 3: Long Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✗
Result: Works in bull markets
```
**Test 4: Short Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✗
Trade Shorts: ✓
Result: Works in bear markets
```
---
## SETTINGS OPTIMIZATION
### Key Parameters to Adjust
#### 1. Risk Per Trade (Most Important)
- **0.5%** = Very conservative
- **1.0%** = Conservative (recommended for beginners)
- **2.0%** = Moderate (recommended)
- **3.0%** = Aggressive
- **5.0%** = Very aggressive (not recommended)
**Impact:** Higher risk = higher returns BUT bigger drawdowns
#### 2. Reward:Risk Ratio
- **2:1** = More wins needed, hit target faster
- **2.5:1** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3:1** = Fewer wins needed, hold longer
- **4:1** = Very patient, best in trending
**Impact:** Higher R:R = can have lower win rate
#### 3. Minimum Confluence
- **1** = More signals, lower quality
- **2** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3** = Fewer signals, higher quality
- **4** = Very selective
- **5** = Almost never triggers
**Impact:** Higher = fewer but better trades
#### 4. ADX Thresholds
- **Trending: 20-30** (default 25)
- Lower = detect trends earlier
- Higher = only strong trends
- **Ranging: 15-25** (default 20)
- Lower = identify ranging earlier
- Higher = only weak trends
#### 5. Trend Period (SMA)
- **20-50** = Short-term trends
- **50** = Medium-term (default, recommended)
- **100-200** = Long-term trends
**Impact:** Longer period = slower regime changes, more stable
### Optimization Workflow
**Step 1: Baseline**
- Use all default settings
- Test on 3+ years
- Record: Win Rate, PF, Drawdown
**Step 2: Risk Optimization**
- Test 1%, 1.5%, 2%, 2.5%
- Find best risk-adjusted return
- Balance profit vs drawdown
**Step 3: R:R Optimization**
- Test 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1
- Check which maximizes profit factor
- Consider holding time
**Step 4: Confluence Optimization**
- Test 1, 2, 3
- Find sweet spot for win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
**Step 5: Regime Filter**
- Test with/without trend filter
- Test with/without chaos filter
- Find what works for your asset
---
## REAL TRADING EXAMPLES
### Example 1: Bull Trending - SPY
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- Price pulls back from $450 to $445
- EMA20 at $444
- RSI drops to 45
- Confluence: 4/5
**Entry:**
- Price closes at $445.50 (above EMA20)
- LONG signal appears
- Enter at $445.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $443 (2 ATR = $2.50)
- Target: $451.75 (2.5:1 = $6.25)
- Risk: $2.50 per share
- Position: 80 shares (2% of $10k = $200 risk)
**Outcome:**
- Price rallies to $452 in 3 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk (excellent)
---
### Example 2: Bear Ranging - AAPL
**Setup:**
- Regime: BEAR RANGING
- Range: $165-$175
- Price rallies to $174
- Resistance at $175
- RSI at 68
- Confluence: 3/5
**Entry:**
- Rejection candle at $174
- SHORT signal appears
- Enter at $173.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $176 (above resistance)
- Target: $166 (support)
- Risk: $2.50
- Position: 80 shares
**Outcome:**
- Price drops to $167 in 2 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk
---
### Example 3: Consolidation Breakout - BTC
**Setup:**
- Regime: CONSOLIDATION
- Range: $28,000 - $30,000
- Compressed for 2 weeks
- Volume declining
**Breakout:**
- Price breaks $30,000
- Volume surges 200%
- Close at $30,500
- LONG signal
**Entry:**
- Enter at $30,500
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $29,500 (back in range)
- Target: $32,000 (range height = $2k)
- Risk: $1,000
- Position: 0.2 BTC ($200 risk on $10k)
**Outcome:**
- Price runs to $33,000
- Target exceeded
- Profit: $2,500 × 0.2 = $500
- Return: 2.5 × risk
---
### Example 4: Avoiding Chaos - Tesla
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- LONG position from $240
- Elon tweets something crazy
- Regime changes to CHAOS
**Action:**
- EXIT signal appears
- Close position immediately
- Current price: $242 (small profit)
**Outcome:**
- Next 3 days: wild swings
- High $255, Low $230
- By staying out, avoided:
- Potential stop out
- Whipsaw losses
- Stress
**Result:**
- Small profit preserved
- Capital protected
- Re-enter when regime stabilizes
---
## ALERTS SETUP
### Available Alerts
1. **Bull Trending Regime** - Market goes bullish
2. **Bear Trending Regime** - Market goes bearish
3. **Chaos Regime** - High volatility, stay out
4. **Long Entry Signal** - Buy opportunity
5. **Short Entry Signal** - Sell opportunity
6. **Long Exit Signal** - Close long
7. **Short Exit Signal** - Close short
### How to Set Up
1. Click **⏰ (Alert)** icon in TradingView
2. Select **Condition**: Choose indicator + alert type
3. **Options**: Popup, Email, Webhook, etc.
4. **Message**: Customize notification
5. Click **Create**
### Recommended Alert Strategy
**For Active Traders:**
- Long Entry Signal
- Short Entry Signal
- Long Exit Signal
- Short Exit Signal
**For Position Traders:**
- Bull Trending Regime (enter longs)
- Bear Trending Regime (enter shorts)
- Chaos Regime (exit all)
**For Conservative:**
- Only regime change alerts
- Manually review entries
- More selective
---
## TIPS FOR SUCCESS
### 1. Start Small
- Paper trade first
- Then 0.5% risk
- Build to 1-2% over time
### 2. Follow the Regime
- Don't fight it
- Adapt your style
- Different tactics for each
### 3. Trust the Confluence
- 4-5/5 = Best trades
- 2-3/5 = Good trades
- 1/5 = Skip unless desperate
### 4. Respect Exits
- Don't hope and hold
- Cut losses quickly
- Take profits at targets
### 5. Avoid Chaos
- Seriously, just stay out
- Protect your capital
- Wait for clarity
### 6. Keep a Journal
- Record every trade
- Note regime and confluence
- Review weekly
- Learn patterns
### 7. Backtest Thoroughly
- 3+ years minimum
- Multiple market conditions
- Different assets
- Walk-forward test
### 8. Be Patient
- Best setups are rare
- 1-3 trades per week is normal
- Quality over quantity
- Compound over time
---
## COMMON QUESTIONS
**Q: How many trades per month should I expect?**
A: Depends on timeframe and settings. Daily chart: 5-15 trades/month. 4H chart: 15-30 trades/month.
**Q: What's a good win rate?**
A: 55-65% is excellent. 50-55% is good. Below 50% needs adjustment.
**Q: Should I trade all regimes?**
A: Beginners: Only trending. Intermediate: Trending + ranging. Advanced: All except chaos.
**Q: Can I use this on any timeframe?**
A: Best on Daily and 4H. Works on 1H with more noise. Not recommended <1H.
**Q: What if I'm in a trade and regime changes?**
A: Exit immediately (if using indicator) or let strategy handle it automatically.
**Q: How do I know if I'm over-optimizing?**
A: If results are perfect on one period but fail on another. Use walk-forward testing.
**Q: Should I always take 5/5 confluence trades?**
A: Yes, but they're rare (1-2/month). Don't wait only for these.
**Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?**
A: Yes, but keep it simple. RSI, MACD already included. Maybe add volume profile.
**Q: What assets work best?**
A: Liquid stocks, major crypto, futures. Avoid forex spot (use futures), penny stocks.
**Q: How long to hold positions?**
A: Trending: Days to weeks. Ranging: Hours to days. Breakout: Days. Let the regime guide you.
---
## FINAL THOUGHTS
This system gives you:
- ✅ Clear market context (regime)
- ✅ High-probability entries (confluence)
- ✅ Defined exits (automatic signals)
- ✅ Adaptable tactics (regime-specific)
- ✅ Backtestable results (strategy version)
**Success requires:**
- 📚 Understanding each regime
- 🎯 Following the signals
- 💪 Discipline to wait
- 🧠 Emotional control
- 📊 Proper risk management
**Start your journey:**
1. Load the indicator
2. Watch for 1 week (no trading)
3. Identify regime patterns
4. Paper trade for 1 month
5. Go live with small size
6. Scale up as you gain confidence
**Remember:** The market will always be here. There's no rush. Master one regime at a time, and you'll be profitable in all conditions!
Good luck! 🚀
Pair Creation🙏🏻 The one and only pair construction tech you need, unlike others:
Applies one consistent operation to all the data features (not only prices). Then, the script outputs these, so you can apply other calculations on these outputs.
calculates a very fast and native volatility based hedge ratio, that also takes into account point value (think SPY vs ES) so you can easily use it in position sizing
Has built-in forward pricing aka cost of carry model , so you can de-drift pairs from cost of carry, discover spot price of oil based on futures, and ofc find arbitrage opportunities
Also allows to make a pair as a product of 2 series, useful for triangular arbitrage
This script can make a pair in 2 ways:
Ratio, by dividing leg 1 by leg 2
Product, by multiplying leg 1 by leg 2
The real mathematically right way to construct a pair is a ratio/product (Spreads are in fact = 2 legged portfolio, but I ain't told ya that ok). Why? Because a pair of 2 entities has a mathematically unique beauty, it allows direct comparisons and relationship analysis, smth you can't do directly with 3 and more components.
Multiplication (think inversions like (EURUSD -> USDEUR), and use cases for triangular arbitrage) is useful sometimes too.
...
Quickguide:
First, "Legs" are pair components: make a pair of related assets. Don’t be guided exclusively by clustering, cointegrations, mutual information etc. Common sense and exogenous info can easily made them all Forward pricing model: is useful when u work with spot vs futures pairs. Otherwise: put financing, storage and yield all on zeros, this way u will turn it off and have a pure ratio/product of 2 legs.
Look at the 2 numbers on the script’s status line: the first one would always be 1), and the second one is a variable.
First number (always 1) is multiplier for your position size on leg 1
The second number is the multiplier for your position size on leg 2 in the opposite direction.
If both legs are related, trading your sizes with these multipliers makes you do statistical arbitrage -> trading ~ volatility in risk free mode, while the relationship between the assets is still in place.
Also guys srsly, nobody ‘ever’ made a universal law that somewhy somehow for whatever secret conspiracy reason one shall only trade pairs in mean reverting style xd. You can do whatever you want:
Tilt hedge ratio significantly based on relative strength of legs
Trade the pair in momentum style
Ignore hedge ratio all together
And more and more, the limit is your imagination, e.g.:
Anticipate hedge ratio changes based on exogenous info and act accordingly
Scalp a pair just like any other asset
Make a pair out of 2 pairs
Like I mean it, whatever you desire
About forward pricing model:
It’s applied only to leg 2;
Direct: takes spot price and finds out implied futures price
Inverse: takes futures price and finds out implied spot price (try on oil)
Pls read online how to choose parameters, it’s open access reliable info
About the hedge ratio I use:
You prolly noticed the way I prefer to use inferred volumes vs the “real” ones. In pairs it’s especially meaningful, because real volumes lose sense in pair creation. And while volumes are closely tied to volatility, the inferred volumes ‘Are’ volatility irl (and later can be converted to currency space by using point value, allowing direct comparisons symbol vs symbol).
This hedge ratio is a good example of how discovering the real nature of entities beats making 100s of inventions, why domain knowledge and proper feature engineering beats difficult bulky models, neural networks etc. How simple data understanding & operations on it is all you need.
This script simply does this:
Takes inferred volume delta of both assets, makes a ratio, normalizes it by tick sizes and points values of both legs, calculates a typical value of this series.
That’s it, no step 2, we’re done. No Kalman filters, no TLS regression, no vine copulas, or whatever new fancy keywords you can come up with etc.
...
^^ comparing real ES prices vs theoretical ones by forward-pricing model. Financing: 0.04, yield 0.0175
^^ EURUSD, 6E futures with theoretical futures price calculated with interest rate differential 0.02 (4% USD - 2% EUR interest rates)
^^4 different pairs (RTY/ES, YM/ES, NQ/ES, ES/ZN) each with different plot style (pick one you like in script's Style settings)
^^ YM/RTY pair, each plot represents ratio of different features: ratio of prices, ratio of inferred volume deltas, ratio of inferred volumes, ratio of inferred tick counts (also can be turned on/off in Style settings)
...
How can u upgrade it and make a step forward yourself:
On tradingview missing values are automatically fixed by backfilling, and this never becomes a thing until you hit high frequency data. You can do better and use Kalman filter for filling missing values.
Script contains the functions I use everywhere to calculate inferred volume delta, inferred volume, and inferred tick count.
...
∞
Quality Detector (Buffett Style) + Beta [Solid]This indicator acts as an on-chart fundamental screener, designed to instantly evaluate the quality and financial health of a company directly on your price chart.
The concept is inspired by "Buffettology" principles: looking for large, profitable companies with low debt. Additionally, it includes a Beta calculation to assess market volatility risk.
The tool displays a panel in the bottom-right corner featuring four key metrics and a final verdict.
How it Works & Metrics Used
The script retrieves quarterly fundamental data ("FQ") and performs calculations to verify if the asset meets specific criteria.
1. Market Cap (Size)
What it is: The total market value of the company's outstanding shares.
Goal: To identify established, large-cap companies.
Default Threshold: Must be greater than $10 Billion.
2. ROE - Return on Equity (Quality)
What it is: A measure of financial performance calculated by dividing net income by shareholders' equity.
Goal: To find companies that are efficient at generating profits from shareholders' capital.
Default Threshold: Must be higher than 15%.
3. Total Debt to Equity (Health)
What it is: A ratio indicating the relative proportion of shareholders' equity and debt used to finance a company's assets.
Calculation: This script manually calculates this ratio by fetching TOTAL_DEBT and dividing it by TOTAL_EQUITY from fundamental data to ensure robustness across different symbols.
Goal: To ensure the company is not overly leveraged.
Default Threshold: Must be lower than 1.5.
4. Beta (Risk/Volatility)
What it is: A measure of a stock's volatility in relation to the overall market (S&P 500).
Calculation: It is calculated by comparing the asset's returns against SPY (S&P 500 ETF) returns over a 252-day period (approx. 1 trading year).
Goal: To understand if the stock is more volatile (Beta > 1) or less volatile (Beta < 1) than the market.
Note: Beta does not affect the final "Quality" score but serves as an extra risk indicator, highlighting in orange if Beta > 1.
The Verdict (Scoring System)
The indicator assigns a score from 0 to 3 based on the first three fundamental metrics (Size, ROE, and Debt/Equity).
If a metric passes the threshold, it gets a green background and +1 point.
If it fails, it gets a red background.
Final Verdict:
💎 QUALITY GEM: The company passed all 3 fundamental checks (Score = 3/3).
⚠️ DISCARD: The company failed one or more fundamental checks.
Settings
You can customize the thresholds to fit your own investment strategy in the indicator settings:
Minimum Market Cap (in Billions).
Minimum ROE (%).
Maximum Debt/Equity Ratio.
Disclaimer: This tool is for informational and educational purposes only. It relies on third-party fundamental data which may sometimes be delayed or unavailable. Do not base investment decisions solely on this indicator.
Trinity ATR Real Move DetectorTrinity ATR Real Move Detector
This ATR Energy Table indicator is one of the simplest yet most powerful filters you can have on a chart when trading short-dated or 0DTE options or swing trades on any timeframe from 1-minute up to 4-hour. Its entire job is to answer the single most important question in intraday and swing trading: “Does the underlying actually have enough short-term explosive energy right now to make a directional position worth the theta and the spread, or is this just pretty candles that will die in ten minutes?”
Most losing 0DTE and short-dated option trades happen because people buy or sell direction on a “nice-looking” breakout or pullback while the underlying is actually in low-energy grind mode. The premium decays faster than the move develops, and you lose even when you’re “right” on direction. This little table stops that from ever happening again.
Here’s what it does in plain English:
Every bar it measures two things:
- The current ATR on whatever timeframe you are using (1 min, 3 min, 5 min, 10 min, etc.). This tells you how big the average true range of the last 14 bars has been — in other words, how violently the stock or index is actually moving right now.
- The daily ATR (14-period on the daily chart). This is your benchmark for “normal” daily movement over the last two–three weeks.
It then multiplies the daily ATR by a small number (the multiplier you set) and compares the two. If the short-term ATR is bigger than that percentage of the daily ATR, the table turns bright green and says “ENOUGH ENERGY”. If not, it stays red and says “NOT ENOUGH”.
Why this works so well:
- Real explosive moves that carry for 0DTE and 1–3 DTE options almost always show a short-term ATR spike well above the recent daily average. Quiet grind moves never do.
- The comparison is completely adaptive — on a high-vol day the threshold automatically rises, on a low-vol day it automatically drops. You never have to guess if “2 points on SPY is big today”.
- It removes emotion completely. You simply wait for green before you even think about clicking buy or sell on an option.
Key settings and what to do with them:
- Energy Multiplier — this is the only number you ever touch. It is expressed as a decimal (0.15 = 15 % of the daily ATR). Lower = more signals, higher = stricter and higher win rate. The tooltip gives you the exact sweet-spot numbers for every popular timeframe (0.09 for 1-minute scalping, 0.13 for 3-minute, 0.14–0.16 for 5-minute, 0.15–0.19 for 10-minute, etc.). Just pick your timeframe once and type the number — done forever.
- ATR Length — leave it at 14. That’s the standard and works perfectly.
- Table Position — move the table to wherever you want on the chart (top-right, bottom-right, bottom-left, top-left).
- Table Size — make the text Tiny, Small, Normal or Large depending on how much screen space you have.
How this helps you make money and stop losing it:
- On most days you will see red 80–90 % of the time — that’s good! It is forcing you to sit on your hands instead of overtrading low-energy chop that eats premium.
- When it finally flips green you know institutions are actually pushing size right now — follow-through probability jumps from ~40 % to 65–75 % depending on the stock and timeframe.
- You stop buying calls on every green candle and puts on every red candle. You only strike when the market is genuinely “awake”.
- Over a week you take dramatically fewer trades, but your win rate and average winner size go way up — which is exactly how consistent intraday option profits are made.
In short, this tiny table is the closest thing to an “edge on/off switch” that exists for short-dated options. Red = preserve capital and go do something else. Green = pull the trigger with confidence. Use it religiously and you’ll immediately feel the difference in your P&L.
Advanced Confluence DashboardAdvanced Confluence Dashboard - Multi-Indicator Technical Analysis Tool
OVERVIEW
The Advanced Confluence Dashboard is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify high-probability trade setups by tracking multiple technical indicators simultaneously. The indicator displays up to 13 different technical confluences in an easy-to-read dashboard format, providing both individual signals and an overall market bias percentage. Switch between full table view and condensed view for maximum chart flexibility.
FEATURES
- 13 Technical Confluences: RSI, VWAP, EMA Cross (9/21), MACD, Stochastic, Trend (50 EMA), Bollinger Bands, ADX Strength, Price Momentum, Volume Breakout, VWAP Bands, 200 EMA, and Price Action (Higher Highs/Lower Lows)
- Real-time Confluence Scoring: Automatically calculates bullish vs bearish signal strength
- Multi-Timeframe Support: Analyze indicators on any timeframe while viewing your chart on another
- Customizable Display: Toggle individual indicators on/off, adjust table position, size, and transparency
- ATR Information: Optional ATR display for volatility-based position sizing
- Condensed View Mode: Ultra-minimal display showing only confluence score and ATR (perfect for scalpers who want maximum chart visibility)
- Full Table View: Detailed breakdown of each indicator's value and signal
- Color-Coded Signals: Green (bullish), red (bearish), white (neutral) for instant visual clarity
HOW IT WORKS
The indicator evaluates each enabled technical indicator and assigns it either a bullish or bearish signal based on its current state. The confluence score shows how many indicators are aligned in each direction, giving you a clear percentage-based view of market bias. For example, if 8 out of 13 indicators are bullish, you'll see a 62% LONG BIAS signal.
DISPLAY MODES
Full View: Shows all enabled indicators with their current values and signals in a detailed table format. Perfect for understanding exactly which indicators are bullish or bearish and why.
Condensed View: Shows only the confluence score (e.g., "4/13 LONG | 9/13 SHORT - SHORT BIAS 69%") and optional ATR information. This minimal display keeps your chart clean while still providing the essential confluence data you need for quick trading decisions. Ideal for scalpers and traders who want maximum chart space.
CONFLUENCES EXPLAINED
- RSI: Momentum oscillator (>50 bullish, <50 bearish, shows overbought/oversold)
- VWAP: Volume-weighted average price (above = bullish, below = bearish)
- EMA Cross: Fast EMA (9) vs Slow EMA (21) with price position
- MACD: Trend-following momentum (line above signal = bullish)
- Stochastic: Momentum oscillator (>50 bullish, <50 bearish)
- Trend (50 EMA): Price position relative to 50-period EMA
- Bollinger Bands: Volatility and mean reversion (above middle = bullish)
- ADX Strength: Trend strength indicator (shows strong trends)
- Price Momentum: Rate of price change over specified period
- Volume Breakout: Detects unusual volume with directional bias
- VWAP Bands: Standard deviation bands around VWAP
- 200 EMA: Long-term trend indicator
- Price Action: Higher Highs and Lower Lows pattern detection
SETTINGS
Timeframe Settings:
- Indicator Timeframe: Analyze indicators on a different timeframe than your chart
Display Options:
- Condensed View: Toggle between full table and minimal display
- Show ATR Info: Display/hide ATR information
- Table Position: 9 positions (top/middle/bottom + left/center/right)
- Text Size: Auto, tiny, small, normal, large, huge
- Table Transparency: 0-100%
- Border Width: 1-5 pixels
Confluence Toggles:
- Enable/disable any of the 13 confluences individually
- Confluence score automatically adjusts based on enabled indicators
Indicator Settings:
- RSI Length (default: 14)
- ATR Length (default: 14)
- Fast/Slow EMA (default: 9/21)
- Trend EMA (default: 50)
- Volume SMA Length (default: 20)
- Volume Breakout Multiplier (default: 2.0x)
- Bollinger Bands Length/StdDev (default: 20/2.0)
- ADX Length (default: 14)
- ADX Strength Threshold (default: 25)
- Momentum Length (default: 10)
IDEAL USE CASES
- Scalping: Quick identification of confluence for fast entries/exits - use condensed view for clean charts
- Day Trading: Multi-timeframe analysis for intraday setups
- Swing Trading: Confirmation of longer-term bias
- Risk Management: Higher confluence = higher probability trades
- Trade Filtering: Only take trades when confluence reaches your threshold
- Multi-Monitor Setups: Use condensed view on execution charts, full view on analysis charts
HOW TO USE
1. Add the indicator to your chart
2. Toggle on/off the confluences you prefer to use
3. Choose between Full View (detailed) or Condensed View (minimal)
4. Adjust the table position and size to your preference
5. Look for high confluence percentages (70%+ is strong bias)
6. Use the individual indicator signals (full view) to understand market structure
7. Combine with your trading strategy for entry/exit confirmation
TIPS
- Use Condensed View when scalping to keep your chart clean and uncluttered
- Switch to Full View when you need to analyze which specific indicators are conflicting
- Higher confluence doesn't guarantee success - always use proper risk management
- Consider using 60%+ confluence as a minimum threshold for trades
- Pay attention to which specific indicators are aligned vs conflicting
- Use the ATR display for quick reference on position sizing
- Experiment with different timeframes to find what works for your style
- Disable indicators you don't use to simplify your confluence scoring
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or any other type of advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Granger Causality Flow IndicatorGranger Causality Flow Indicator
█ OVERVIEW
The Granger Causality Flow Indicator is a statistical analysis tool designed to identify predictive relationships between two assets (Symbol X and Symbol Y). In econometrics, "Granger Causality" does not test for actual physical causation (e.g., rain causes mud); rather, it tests for predictive causality .
This script is designed to answer a specific question for traders: "Does the past price action of Asset X provide statistically significant information about the future price of Asset Y, beyond what is already contained in the past prices of Asset Y itself?"
This tool is particularly useful for Pairs Traders , Arbitrageurs , and Macro Analysts looking to identify lead-lag relationships between correlated assets (e.g., BTC vs. ETH, NASDAQ vs. SPY, or Gold vs. Silver).
█ CONCEPTS & CALCULATIONS
To determine if Symbol X "Granger-causes" Symbol Y, this script utilizes a variance-reduction approach based on Auto-Regressive (AR) models. Due to the runtime constraints of Pine Script™, we employ an optimized proxy for the standard Granger test using an AR(1) logic (looking back 1 period).
The calculation performs a comparative test over a rolling window (Default: 50 bars):
The Restricted Model (Baseline):
We attempts to predict the current value of Y using only the previous value of Y (Auto-Regression). We measure the error of this prediction (the "Residuals") and calculate the Variance of the Restricted Model (Var_R) .
The Unrestricted Model (Proxy):
We then test if the past value of X can explain the errors made by the Restricted Model. If X contains predictive power, including it should reduce the error variance. We calculate the remaining Variance of the Unrestricted Model (Var_UR) .
The GC Score:
The script calculates a score based on the ratio of variance reduction:
Score = 1 - (Var_UR / Var_R)
If the Score is High (> 0) : It implies that including X significantly reduced the prediction error for Y. Therefore, X "Granger-causes" Y.
If the Score is Low or 0 : It implies X added no predictive value.
█ HOW TO USE
This indicator is not a simple Buy/Sell signal generator; it is a context filter for cross-asset analysis.
1. Setup
Symbol 1 (X): The potential "Leader" (e.g., BINANCE:BTCUSDT).
Symbol 2 (Y): The potential "Follower" (e.g., BINANCE:ETHUSDT).
Differencing: Enabled by default. This checks the changes in price rather than absolute price, which is crucial for statistical stationarity.
2. Interpreting the Visuals
The script changes the background color and displays a table to indicate the current flow of causality:
Green Background (X → Y): Symbol 1 is leading Symbol 2. Price moves in Symbol 1 are statistically likely to foreshadow moves in Symbol 2.
Orange Background (Y → X): Symbol 2 is leading Symbol 1. The relationship has inverted.
Blue Background (Bidirectional): Both assets are predicting each other (tight coupling or feedback loop).
Gray/No Color: No statistically significant relationship detected.
3. Trading Application
Trend Confirmation: If you trade Symbol Y, wait for the background to turn Green . This indicates that the "Leader" (Symbol X) is currently exerting predictive influence, potentially making trend-following setups on Symbol Y more reliable.
Divergence Warning: If you are trading a correlation pair and the causality breaks (turns Gray), the correlation may be weakening, signaling a higher risk of divergence.
█ SETTINGS
Symbol 1 (X) & Symbol 2 (Y): The two tickers to analyze.
Use Differencing: (Default: True) Converts prices to price-changes. Highly recommended for accurate statistical results to avoid spurious regression.
Calculation Window: The number of bars used to compute the variance and coefficients. Larger windows provide smoother, more stable signals but react slower to regime changes.
Significance Threshold: (0.01 - 0.99) The minimum variance reduction score required to trigger a causal signal.
█ DISCLAIMER
This tool provides statistical analysis of historical price data and does not guarantee future performance. Granger Causality is a measure of predictive capability, not necessarily fundamental causation. Always use appropriate risk management.
Relative Value & Risk Analytics DashboardThis is your risk-adjusted alpha analysis tool - exactly what hedge fund and insurance company clients want to see.
Attractiveness Score | Composite score combining RV and Risk (0-100)
Relative Performance | vs Benchmark (SET/SPY), RS Ratio Trend, 52W Position, Spread Z-Score
Risk Metrics | Beta, Alpha, Sharpe, Sortino, Information Ratio, Volatility
Correlation | Benchmark Correlation, R-Squared, Regime Change Detection
Pair Trade | Peer Correlation, Pair Z-Score, Long/Short Signals
Factor Exposure | Momentum (1/3/6M), Mean Reversion Signal, Distance from SMA50
Drawdown | Current DD, Max DD, Recovery Needed, Ulcer Index, Calmar, VaR
Key Features:
Benchmark-Relative Analysis: Compare any stock vs SET Index or any other benchmark
Pair Trade Signals: Automatically generates long/short signals based on Z-score
Risk-Adjusted Returns: Sharpe, Sortino, Information Ratio - what your clients actually care about
Regime Change Detection: Alert when correlation dynamics shift
Drawdown Risk: VaR, Ulcer Index, Calmar Ratio for risk-conscious clients
Reversal WaveThis is the type of quantitative system that can get you hated on investment forums, now that the Random Walk Theory is back in fashion. The strategy has simple price action rules, zero over-optimization, and is validated by a historical record of nearly a century on both Gold and the S&P 500 index.
Recommended Markets
SPX (Weekly, Monthly)
SPY (Monthly)
Tesla (Weekly)
XAUUSD (Weekly, Monthly)
NVDA (Weekly, Monthly)
Meta (Weekly, Monthly)
GOOG (Weekly, Monthly)
MSFT (Weekly, Monthly)
AAPL (Weekly, Monthly)
System Rules and Parameters
Total capital: $10,000
We will use 10% of the total capital per trade
Commissions will be 0.1% per trade
Condition 1: Previous Bearish Candle (isPrevBearish) (the closing price was lower than the opening price).
Condition 2: Midpoint of the Body The script calculates the exact midpoint of the body of that previous bearish candle.
• Formula: (Previous Open + Previous Close) / 2.
Condition 3: 50% Recovery (longCondition) The current candle must be bullish (green) and, most importantly, its closing price must be above the midpoint calculated in the previous step.
Once these parameters are met, the system executes a long entry and calculates the exit parameters:
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at the low of the candle that generated the entry signal.
Take Profit (TP): Calculated by projecting the risk distance upward.
• Calculation: Entry Price + (Risk * 1).
Risk:Reward Ratio of 1:1.
About the Profit Factor
In my experience, TradingView calculates profits and losses based on the percentage of movement, which can cause returns to not match expectations. This doesn’t significantly affect trending systems, but it can impact systems with a high win rate and a well-defined risk-reward ratio. It only takes one large entry candle that triggers the SL to translate into a major drop in performance.
For example, you might see a system with a 60% win rate and a 1:1 risk-reward ratio generating losses, even though commissions are under control relative to the number of trades.
My recommendation is to manually calculate the performance of systems with a well-defined risk-reward ratio, assuming you will trade using a fixed amount per trade and limit losses to a fixed percentage.
Remember that, even if candles are larger or smaller in size, we can maintain a fixed loss percentage by using leverage (in cases of low volatility) or reducing the capital at risk (when volatility is high).
Implementing leverage or capital reduction based on volatility is something I haven’t been able to incorporate into the code, but it would undoubtedly improve the system’s performance dramatically, as it would fix a consistent loss percentage per trade, preventing losses from fluctuating with volatility swings.
For example, we can maintain a fixed loss percentage when volatility is low by using the following formula:
Leverage = % of SL you’re willing to risk / % volatility from entry point to exit or SL
And if volatility is high and exceeds the fixed percentage we want to expose per trade (if SL is hit), we could reduce the position size.
For example, imagine we only want to risk 15% per SL on Tesla, where volatility is high and would cause a 23.57% loss. In this case, we subtract 23.57% from 15% (the loss percentage we’re willing to accept per trade), then subtract the result from our usual position size.
23.57% - 15% = 8.57%
Suppose I use $200 per trade.
To calculate 8.57% of $200, simply multiply 200 by 8.57/100. This simple calculation shows that 8.57% equals about $17.14 of the $200. Then subtract that value from $200:
$200 - $17.14 = $182.86
In summary, if we reduced the position size to $182.86 (from the usual $200, where we’re willing to lose 15%), no matter whether Tesla moves up or down 23.57%, we would still only gain or lose 15% of the $200, thus respecting our risk management.
Final Notes
The code is extremely simple, and every step of its development is detailed within it.
If you liked this strategy, which complements very well with others I’ve already published, stay tuned. Best regards.
Absorption RatioThe Hidden Connections Between Markets
Financial markets are not isolated islands. When panic spreads, seemingly unrelated assets suddenly begin moving in lockstep. Stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies that normally provide diversification benefits start falling together. This phenomenon, where correlations spike during crises, has devastated portfolios throughout history. The Absorption Ratio provides a quantitative measure of this hidden fragility.
The concept emerged from research at State Street Associates, where Mark Kritzman, Yuanzhen Li, Sebastien Page, and Roberto Rigobon developed a novel application of principal component analysis to measure systemic risk. Their 2011 paper in the Journal of Portfolio Management demonstrated that when markets become tightly coupled, the variance explained by the first few principal components increases dramatically. This concentration of variance signals elevated systemic risk.
What the Absorption Ratio Measures
Principal component analysis, or PCA, is a statistical technique that identifies the underlying factors driving a set of variables. When applied to asset returns, the first principal component typically captures broad market movements. The second might capture sector rotations or risk-on/risk-off dynamics. Additional components capture increasingly idiosyncratic patterns.
The Absorption Ratio measures the fraction of total variance absorbed or explained by a fixed number of principal components. In the original research, Kritzman and colleagues used the first fifth of the eigenvectors. When this fraction is high, it means a small number of factors are driving most of the market movements. Assets are moving together, and diversification provides less protection than usual.
Consider an analogy: imagine a room full of people having independent conversations. Each person speaks at different times about different topics. The total "variance" of sound in the room comes from many independent sources. Now imagine a fire alarm goes off. Suddenly everyone is talking about the same thing, moving in the same direction. The variance is now dominated by a single factor. The Absorption Ratio captures this transition from diverse, independent behavior to unified, correlated movement.
The Implementation Approach
TradingView does not support matrix algebra required for true principal component analysis. This implementation uses a closely related proxy: the average absolute correlation across a universe of major asset classes. This approach captures the same underlying phenomenon because when assets are highly correlated, the first principal component explains more variance by mathematical necessity.
The asset universe includes eight ETFs representing major investable categories: SPY and QQQ for large cap US equities, IWM for small caps, EFA for developed international markets, EEM for emerging markets, TLT for long-term treasuries, GLD for gold, and USO for oil. This selection provides exposure to equities across geographies and market caps, plus traditional diversifying assets.
From eight assets, there are twenty-eight unique pairwise correlations. The indicator calculates each using a rolling window, takes the absolute value to measure coupling strength regardless of direction, and averages across all pairs. This average correlation is then transformed to match the typical range of published Absorption Ratio values.
The transformation maps zero average correlation to an AR of 0.50 and perfect correlation to an AR of 1.00. This scaling aligns with empirical observations that the AR typically fluctuates between 0.60 and 0.95 in practice.
Interpreting the Regimes
The indicator classifies systemic risk into four regimes based on AR levels.
The Extreme regime occurs when the AR exceeds 0.90. At this level, nearly all asset classes are moving together. Diversification has largely failed. Historically, this regime has coincided with major market dislocations: the 2008 financial crisis, the 2020 COVID crash, and significant correction periods. Portfolios constructed under normal correlation assumptions will experience larger drawdowns than expected.
The High regime, between 0.80 and 0.90, indicates elevated systemic risk. Correlations across asset classes are above normal. This often occurs during the build-up to stress events or during volatile periods where fear is spreading but has not reached panic levels. Risk management should be more conservative.
The Normal regime covers AR values between 0.60 and 0.80. This represents typical market conditions where some correlation exists between assets but diversification still provides meaningful benefits. Standard portfolio construction assumptions are reasonable.
The Low regime, below 0.60, indicates that assets are behaving relatively independently. Diversification is working well. Idiosyncratic factors dominate returns rather than systematic risk. This environment is favorable for active management and security selection strategies.
The Relationship to Portfolio Construction
The implications for portfolio management are significant. Modern portfolio theory assumes correlations are stable and uses historical estimates to construct efficient portfolios. The Absorption Ratio reveals that this assumption is violated precisely when it matters most.
When AR is elevated, the effective number of independent bets in a diversified portfolio shrinks. A portfolio holding stocks, bonds, commodities, and real estate might behave as if it holds only one or two positions during high AR periods. Position sizing based on normal correlation estimates will underestimate portfolio risk.
Conversely, when AR is low, true diversification opportunities expand. The same nominal portfolio provides more independent return streams. Risk can be deployed more aggressively while maintaining the same effective exposure.
Component Analysis
The indicator separately tracks equity correlations and cross-asset correlations. These components tell different stories about market structure.
Equity correlations measure coupling within the stock market. High equity correlation indicates broad risk-on or risk-off behavior where all stocks move together. This is common during both rallies and selloffs driven by macroeconomic factors. Stock pickers face headwinds when equity correlations are elevated because individual company fundamentals matter less than market beta.
Cross-asset correlations measure coupling between different asset classes. When stocks, bonds, and commodities start moving together, traditional hedges fail. The classic 60/40 stock/bond portfolio, for example, assumes negative or low correlation between equities and treasuries. When cross-asset correlation spikes, this assumption breaks down.
During the 2022 market environment, for instance, both stocks and bonds fell significantly as inflation and rate hikes affected all assets simultaneously. High cross-asset correlation warned that the usual defensive allocations would not provide their expected protection.
Mean Reversion Characteristics
Like most risk metrics, the Absorption Ratio tends to mean-revert over time. Extremely high AR readings eventually normalize as panic subsides and assets return to more independent behavior. Extremely low readings tend to rise as some level of systematic risk always reasserts itself.
The indicator tracks AR in statistical terms by calculating its Z-score relative to the trailing distribution. When AR reaches extreme Z-scores, the probability of normalization increases. This creates potential opportunities for strategies that bet on mean reversion in systemic risk.
A buy signal triggers when AR recovers from extremely elevated levels, suggesting the worst of the correlation spike may be over. A sell signal triggers when AR rises from unusually low levels, warning that complacency about diversification benefits may be excessive.
Momentum and Trend
The rate of change in AR carries information beyond the absolute level. Rapidly rising AR suggests correlations are increasing and systemic risk is building. Even if AR has not yet reached the high regime, acceleration in coupling should prompt increased vigilance.
Falling AR momentum indicates normalizing conditions. Correlations are decreasing and assets are returning to more independent behavior. This often occurs in the recovery phase following stress events.
Practical Application
For asset allocators, the AR provides guidance on how much diversification benefit to expect from a given allocation. During high AR periods, reducing overall portfolio risk makes sense because the usual diversifiers provide less protection. During low AR periods, standard or even aggressive allocations are more appropriate.
For risk managers, the AR serves as an early warning indicator. Rising AR often precedes large market moves and volatility spikes. Tightening risk limits before correlations reach extreme levels can protect capital.
For systematic traders, the AR provides a regime filter. Mean reversion strategies may work better during high AR periods when panics create overshooting. Momentum strategies may work better during low AR periods when trends can develop independently across assets.
Limitations and Considerations
The proxy methodology introduces some approximation error relative to true PCA-based AR calculations. The asset universe, while representative, does not include all possible diversifiers. Correlation estimates are inherently backward-looking and can change rapidly.
The transformation from average correlation to AR scale is calibrated to match typical published ranges but is not mathematically equivalent to the eigenvalue ratio. Users should interpret levels directionally rather than as precise measurements.
Correlation regimes can persist longer than expected. Mean reversion signals indicate elevated probability of normalization but do not guarantee timing. High AR can remain elevated throughout extended crisis periods.
References
Kritzman, M., Li, Y., Page, S., and Rigobon, R. (2011). Principal Components as a Measure of Systemic Risk. Journal of Portfolio Management, 37(4), 112-126.
Kritzman, M., and Li, Y. (2010). Skulls, Financial Turbulence, and Risk Management. Financial Analysts Journal, 66(5), 30-41.
Billio, M., Getmansky, M., Lo, A., and Pelizzon, L. (2012). Econometric Measures of Connectedness and Systemic Risk in the Finance and Insurance Sectors. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(3), 535-559.
