Relative Strength/Weakness ArrowsHello everyone,
This Script is designed to show relative strength or relative weakness. It takes the stock your looking at and compares it to the sector it is in and to SPY. It evaluates strength or weakness on every candle. In this specific script it is only designed for the communications sector(XLC), so all the names I have inputted into the script fall within XLC. It works for all timeframes. It really helps me stay in trades longer as even though stock might be consolidating it can still be weak, making me more confident in holding. Each green arrow shows that the stock is relatively strong compared to SPY and its SECTOR, in this case, XLC. Each red arrow means that the stock is relatively weak to the market and its sector. When there are no arrows on the candles, then the stock is following the market and its sector. Tell me what yall think.
Just add it to your chart, go to any of the stocks within XLC and it will populate arrows based on relative strength and relative weakness. The weakness and strength is based on movement of price using ATR. So if the price of the stock is moving up and so is the sector it will only populate based on how large the move is. So if SPY had ATR of 1 and it moved up .50c that means the stock you're looking at would need to move more than .50c in the same candle if it also had an ATR or 1.
You can add or delete tickers in the code by going to the list of symbols and adding or removing them. Just remember that if you add a stock that doesn't fall within XLC then the arrows wont represent strength/weakness properly.
Cerca negli script per "spy"
Munich's Momentum Wave V2MUNICH'S MOMENTUM WAVE VERSION 2 IS LIVE!!!
There are a few big things to note with this one.
I decided to upload this as an entirely new script due to the number of changes differing from the first version, but as the last one, this will still work on ANY TIMEFRAME, ANY ASSET CLASS, ANY PRICE! .
This momentum wave indicator now will give you data for when trend could turn, and two momentum indicators to help you decide when to take an entry.
First off,
*I have added an alma ma (alma) that will track momentum alongside price action and further lead the indicator consisting of the Munich waves.
* The background feature will track the price using a method derived from the Bollinger bands, after calculations, it will color the background based on the average of the momentum's ema's, the alma ma, and also the alma in comparison to the alma's value pre offset ( the offset is 3, following the basis).
*There are now 5 basis values given from the increase in ema samples.
If anyone has any questions feel free to pm me or comment below. Thank you guys for the support! :)
INDEX:BTCUSD TVC:NDQ AMEX:SPY BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT FX:USDJPY NASDAQ:AAPL
Strategy: Combo Z ScoreStrategy version of Combo Z Score
Objective:
Can we use both VIX and MOVE relationships to indicate movement in the SPY? VIX (forward contract on SPY options) correlations are quite common as forward indicators however MOVE (forward contract on bonds) also provides a slightly different level of insight
Using the Z-Score of VIX vs VVIX and MOVE vs inverted VIX (there is no M of Move so we use inverted Vix as a proxy) we get some helpful indications of potential future moves. Added %B to give us some exposure to momentum. Toggle VIX or MOVE.
If anyone has a better idea of inverted Vix to proxy forward interest in MOVE let me know.
Noticeable delta is that Vix only approach over the back test period is slightly better. Questions would be, what is the structure and nature of the market over the test period and in a bear market would MOVE or combined perform better.
Combo Z ScoreObjective:
Can we use both VIX and MOVE relationships to indicate movement in the SPY? VIX (forward contract on SPY options) correlations are quite common as forward indicators however MOVE (forward contract on bonds) also provides a slightly different level of insight
Using the Z-Score of VIX vs VVIX and MOVE vs inverted VIX (there is no M of Move so we use inverted Vix as a proxy) we get some helpful indications of potential future moves. Added %B to give us some exposure to momentum. Toggle VIX or MOVE.
If anyone has a better idea of inverted Vix to proxy forward interest in MOVE let me know.
Gap Size Outcome Statistics [vnhilton]This indicator displays a table with statistics showing the outcomes of gap ups or downs based on your threshold (i.e. does the day end in green or red?). This can be useful for trading, where you're using relevant ETFs & see that they've gapped up/down, & can assume based on statistics that the ETF will end in green/red depending on which has the higher probability (however, you can use these on any other instruments such as stocks to find edges e.g. seeing whether stock XYZ is more likely to end in green/red when it gaps up 100%).
The table also includes sample sizes for your threshold tests for more confidence in the statistics, & also displays average gap up & downs & their respective sample sizes as well. This indicator is intended to be used on the daily timeframe, but can be used on lower or higher timeframes if you prefer.
In the chart snapshot image above, we can see that when the SPY gaps up > 1%, the day is more likely to end in green than in red. But when the SPY gaps down < -1%, it's also more likely to end in green than in red.
( IMPORTANT NOTE : There's 1 limitation with this indicator & it's that it assumes that days where close=open are green days, & that 0% gaps exact are considered gap ups.)
Parabolic SAR Heikin Ashi MTF Candle ScalperThis is scalper strategy designed around parabolic sar indicator, where as an input candle value it uses the heikinashi from a higher timeframe.
This example has been adapted to SPY/SPX chart
In this case ,we are using a 5 min chart, but the calculations are made on a 15 min heikin ashi chart for the PSAR and then on 5 min chart we plot the results.
At the same time we are conditioning the entry to be base on a time/session for daytrading/scalper mentality
In this case we only enter within the first 30 min of SPY opening session , and then we exit after 3-4 hours of staying in the position ( unless we hit a reverse condition).
For long condition we enter when the mtf ha candle close is above the mtf psar and for short condition we enter when the mtf ha candle close is below the mtf psar
This script is made with an educational purpose to show the power of multiple time frame approach compared to a single chart.
If you have any questions, let me know !
HLC True Strength Indicator (with Vix)HLC True Strength Indicator Volume Weighted with Vix Line by SpreadEagle71
This indicator is a True Strength Indicator with Close, High and Low used together, along with the TSI of the Vix.
The white line is the close. The red line is the lows and the blue is the highs. These are also volume-weighted.
How to Interpret:
1. zero line crosses. If SPY/SPX500 crosses the zero line, then its bullish. If the purple Vix line crosses up, watch out because this is bearish.
2. white/blue/red lines cross purple (Vix). If they cross upwards, this is bullish. If downward, this is bearish. Basically, SPX, ES1!, SPY or even DIA can be used. The security and the Vix should travel in opposite directions and cross the zero-line at the same time. But this is not always the case.
3. Black area infills. These are used between the close and the highs (blue) and the lows(red). Close should not be between these in order to have momentum.
4. Close (white line) leads. Close is the last price so it tends to show where the others (highs and lows) are going. If the close is sagging below a high where the blue lines are on top, this could mean that there is a reversal coming. Same holds true for a white line above a "valley" formed by the blue and red lines; it could mean a reversal to the upside soon.
5. The Black Infill areas as a squeeze or contraction/expansion area. The thinner the black infill areas, the more of a momentum "squeeze" could be present. Wide black infill areas mean increased volatility and what may come next is a reversion to the mean for volatility. See TTM Squeeze Indicator or the Squeeze Momentum Indicator (kudos LazyBear).
Lastly, just remember indicators indicate; they are not magic. :)
SpreadEagle71
Z-Score with Buy & Sell SignalsThis is my open-source indicator of z-score with buy and sell indicators.
I see there are other z-score indicators, I just am particular about how I like my z-scores calculated and so decided to make my own and add buy and sell signals to help guide me. And I figured I could share it openly here!
What is a Z-Score
A z-score is a statistical measures of the distance, in standard deviations, a value is from its given mean. It is expressed as a standard deviation (or SD). The further a value (in this case, a stock) is from their mean, the more likely a regression to the mean is possible (i.e. a return to the average). So if a stock is trading at 3 standard deviations away from its mean, then we can anticipate it wanting to regress back towards 1 to 0 standard deviations from its mean (i.e. sell off back to a value that brings it closer to that SD).
The inverse is true if it is trading below.
Z-Scores and Stocks
Stocks, like everything in nature, like to trade between -1 and +1 SD away from its mean. Anything above this, we can interpret that there is "stress" on the stock. Anything over 2.50 is tremendous stress on the stock and we can anticipate that it will want to revert to its mean in the near future and bring that value down to at least 1, ideally between the -0.5 and 0.5 range.
Please note, I set the standard VERY high for the indicator to issue a buy and sell signal (/=2.50). Lately with the volatility, stocks have been entering these ranges frequently and so there have been plenty of signals, but traditionally in a stable environment you may not get these signals. I set the bar extremely high because I want to avoid false buy and sell signals (you will still get them though, nothing is perfect!). So the value in this indicator is in interpreting the actual z-score itself, so please be sure you understand exactly what the Z-score is (see the description above).
How the indicator works
The indicator works by calculating the average Z-Score between a stocks high and low. This indicator will present the average deviation a stock has from its high and low average. The higher the Z-Score, the more "overbought" the stock is. The lower the z-score, the more "oversold" the stock is. It uses the previous 500 candles worth of data to calculate its SMA and its Standard deviation in order to calculate the z-score.
Anytime a stock trades 2.50 SDs or more above or below its mean, you will be presented with a Buy or Sell signal, as generally, statistically speaking, after something has travelled 2.50 SDs aware from its mean, there is an increased probability of a reversion happening.
You can use this indicator to determine whether the stock is trading within normal parameters or not and to help you in your analysis as to whether or not a stock could be shorted or longed.
I personally like this for swing trading on the 1 hour chart; however, this can be used on any time from 1 minute to 1 hour. It also allows you to track a stocks progress in its reversion to the mean.
Examples of it in Use:
Gold ETF (ARCA: GLD) on 1 minute
Dow Jones ETF (ARCA: DIA) on 1 minute (my favourite Stock!)
SPY ETF (ARCA: SPY) on 1 hour chart
Disclaimer:
This is not meant to be placed as a sole and single strategy. It should be used in COJUNCTION with your other strategies to help you make a determination.
No indicator is infallible and should never be relied on 100%!
Please let me know your questions/comments/experiences/recommendations below!
Thanks everyone!
Auto Support & Resistance From Option Strike Price + PercentagesAUTO SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE FROM OPTIONS STRIKE PRICES WITH PERCENTAGE GAPS
This is an auto support and resistance level indicator that uses options strike prices or psychological numbers as the relevant levels. Set your starting level or strike price and input the options strike price gaps for that ticker and 15 lines in either direction will automatically populate on the chart. It also has a table in the bottom right corner that tells you how far the current price is from the next closest support and resistance levels.
Everything is easily customizable in the indicator input settings including turning the lines on/off, turning the percentage gaps table on/off, setting the options strike price gaps, setting the starting level, setting the position of the percentage gaps table, changing support and resistance line colors all at once and updating the linewidth of all of the support and resistance lines at once.
***HOW TO USE***
First, go into the indicator settings and set the starting level to use. If you are trading SPY and it is near 450, then set your starting level at 450. If you are trading SQQQ and it is near 38, set your starting level to 38. If you are trading crypto, set your levels to the nearest psychological or round number such as 40,000 for BTC or 2,500 for ETH or 16.50 for LINK.
Second, set your options strike price gaps. If you are trading SPY, this will be 2.5. If you are trading SQQQ this number would be 1. If you are trading crypto, try using psychological price levels instead of strike prices, such as 500, 1000 or 5000 for BTC and 100, 250 or 500 for ETH. For small priced cryptos, use decimals such as .25, .50, etc.
Once these inputs are filled in, 15 levels in each direction will automatically populate on the chart for you.
If price is above a level, it will paint green. If price is below a level it will paint red. These colors represent support and resistance visually for you on the chart and will change dynamically as price moves above or below these levels. These colors can be customized in the indicator input settings to change all lines by only updating one color.
There is a table of percentage gap updates that will tell you in real time how far away the price is from the nearest support and resistance lines so you always know your risk to reward ratios. Each label will also be colored the same as the corresponding support or resistance line as a visual aid.
***MARKETS***
This indicator can be used as a signal on all markets, including stocks, crypto, futures and forex.
***TIMEFRAMES***
This support and resistance indicator can be used on all timeframes.
***TIPS***
Try using numerous indicators of ours on your chart so you can instantly see the bullish or bearish trend of multiple indicators in real time without having to analyze the data. Some of our favorites are our Auto Fibonacci, Directional Movement Index, Volume Profile, Momentum and Money Flow Index in combination with this auto support and resistance indicator. They all have real time Bullish and Bearish labels as well so you can immediately understand each indicator's trend.
Volume Pace & Pressure TableHave you ever wanted to know if a particular tickers volume is above or below average while still in the trading day? This indicator displays an easy-to-read table that informs the user exactly what is occurring in intraday volume. And a whole lot more!
Description
This indicator displays a variable table with either two or three columns and always three rows. It packs everything a user needs to know about volume in one small table. The table shows:
Current trading days volume
Average daily volume
Volume Pace
Volume Pressure (Buying & Selling)
Volume Pace
Volume Pace is a mathematical calculation invented by the author, Infinity_Trading . The problem was to figure out a way to know if the current days volume was below average or above average while still in the trading day. Calculations like Percent Daily Volume don’t work during the intraday trading hours. For example, say SPY has a 20-day volume average of 100 million shares. If in the first hour SPY has only traded 10 million shares then dividing the current volume into the average daily volume doesn’t tell the user anything when there is still 5.5 hours of trading left in the trading day. There had to be a better way! The solution was to chop up the trading day into evenly divisible time periods (i.e. <= 30 minutes). The Volume Pace algorithm takes the average daily volume and chops it up into small time periods based upon the charts current timeframe. This is the average volume per smaller time period. Then use the current days volume and the number of time periods that have occurred in the trading day so far (at the current moment in time i.e. the current candlestick) to form a calculation that returns the volume above or below the average volume up to that point in time.
Volume Pace Equations
Intraday Vol. Pace = Today’s Current Vol. - ( ( Average Daily Vol. / Time periods in trading day ) * Time periods that have occurred so far in trading day )
Postday Vol. Pace = Today’s Trading Vol. - Average Daily Vol.
^ Vol. = Volume (because TradingViews pine tags are dumb)
Volume Pace Definitions
Volume Pace is the difference in cumulative volume between todays current volume and the average daily volume up to same time of the day
Volume Pace Usage
If the Volume Pace is a positive number then it means that up to the current trading time the volume is that amount greater than the average daily volume over that same intraday time span.
If the Volume Pace is a negative number then it means that up to the current trading time the volume is that amount smaller than the average daily volume over that same intraday time span.
If the Volume Pace is positive during the intraday then the volume is on track to be an above average volume trading day.
If the Volume Pace is negative during the intraday then the volume is on track to be a below average volume trading day.
The Percent Volume Pace is the percent increase or decrease of the current volume compared to the average volume up to the same time of day. Or the Percent Volume Pace is the Volume Pace expressed as a percentage.
After the trading day is complete the Volume Pace will be the difference between the Daily Volume and the Average Daily Volume. And the same thing applies to the Percent Volume Pace.
Volume Pressure
The author, Infinity_Trading, did not invent the calculations for Volume Pressure but the definitions and explanations of Volume Pressure are their own creations. In specific terms, Volume Pressure is a mathematical calculation that uses the direction and distances of individual candlesticks bodies and wicks to assign a numerical value to volume.
buyingPressure = vol * (close - low) / (high - low)
sellingPressure = vol * (high - close) / (high - low)
^ vol = Volume (because TradingViews pine tags are dumb)
The author wants to make clear that volume “pressure” isn’t a real thing. Trades in any market require a buyer and a seller. So there is always an equal number of buyers and sellers. Thus, the idea that there are more buyers or more sellers isn’t rooted in reality. BUT the author believes that the calculation and understanding of “volume pressure” takes a very complex subject (price moment in a market) and condenses into something that intuitively makes sense to humans (pressure) and places it onto something that is already on everyone’s charts (volume bars).
The calculation for Buying Pressure is really calculating the upward distance between the low and the close of the candle. While Selling Pressure is measuring the downward distance from the high to the close. And both are using volume bars to express these measurements. So if an individual candle goes down then the red Selling Pressure will be more on the stacked bar chart than the green Buying Pressure. And vice versa for candles that went up. If a Volume Pressure bar is completely one color then it means, for a downward candle, the low and close were equivalent, and for an upward candle, the high and the close were the same. Lastly, the Buying & Selling Pressure will always add up to 100%.
Inputs and Style
In the Input section the user can set the number of days to use for all of the average calculations. All aspects of the table can be controlled. The background color, text color, border widths, and border colors. Also, the table can be moved to 9 unique locations around the chart for complete user control. Also, the user can use their cursor to hover over each cell in the table to reveal a tooltip definition of the calculation in the cell.
Special Notes
The volume table won’t display when the chart timeframe is weekly or monthly because the logic uses “daily” volume.
The Volume Pace column in the table disappears when the timeframe is greater than 30 minutes. Because for Volume Pace to work the time periods must be equally divisible into 6.5 hours (the duration of trading day).
Federal Funds Rate and Overnight Bank Fund RateAMEX:SPY
Comparison of the Overnight Bank Fund Rate and the Effective Federal Funds Rate.
The Fed sets a discount rate of 100 basis points above the effective federal funds rate to discourage ("penalize") banks from borrowing from its reserves. If lending banks have excess in their reserves, the borrowing banks have ease in negotiating a lower rate overnight to maintain its requirements. For this reason its a good indicator of the economy. If it becomes more difficult for banks to maintain the required reserve amount they may charge borrowing banks higher rates.
Both the Effective Federal Funds Rate and Overnight Bank Fund Rate use the same data. Except, the OBFR includes overnight Eurodollar transaction data and certain overnight “selected deposit” transactions that are placed at domestic bank branches controlled by a U.S. banking office.
The indicator includes the lower and upper bound target rate set by the Federal Reserve.
An interesting note:
Notice the jump in the Overnight Bank Rate followed by Fed buying to provide liquidity and lower rates in Sept 2019.
Naked Bar Upward ReversalAMEX:SPY
The Naked Bar Upward Reversal is a three bar candlestick pattern with an inside candle as a entry point. This pattern is bullish since it has a candle closing red from the previous candle; the most bearish pattern possible. The following inside candle is a reversal of its previous candle with an open above the previous candle's close. Look to buy the next open above the inside candle's close.
This is a bullish reversal pattern and should be used in this context. Successful entries are found in corrections along an upward trend, or buying into a dip. Performance drops when the pattern appears at tops. To improve profitability, use a cluster of evidence to enhance the performance of this pattern. The intended time frame is within the daily and weekly.
Live off your portofolio (decumulate)This indicator simulates living off your portofolio consisting of a single security or stock such as the SPY etf or even Bitcoin. The simulation starts at a certain point on the chart (which you input as year and month).
Withrawals from the portofolio are made each month according to the yearly withdrawal rate you enter, such as the 4% SWR. The monthly withdrawal income is calculated in USD at the beginning of the retirement period and then adjusted according to the US inflation (CPI) on 01/01 of each year.
The blue graph represents the USD value of the remaining portofolio.
This indicator is meant to be used on daily, weekly or monthly time frame. It may not work properly (and makes little sense to use) on intraday timeframe or larger time frames such as quarterly (3M).
When withdrawing, the indicator considers that fractional stock values can be used (the portofolio value is kept as a float). This may not be true, as most stock brokers currently don't allow this.
It does not explicitly take into account dividends. In order to do this you will have to enable "Adjust for dividends" by clicking on "adj" in the lower right corner of the screen, or by using the indicator on a Total Return (TR) index such as DAX. Unfortunately SPX does not have dividend data, you will have to use the SPY etf (which doesn't have a long history)
Random Entries Work!" tHe MaRkEtS aRe RaNdOm ", say moron academics.
The purpose of this study is to show that most markets are NOT random! Most markets show a clear bias where we can make such easy money, that a random number generator can do it.
=== HOW THE INDICATOR WORKS ===
The study will randomly enter the market
The study will randomly exit the market if in a trade
You can choose a Long Only, Short Only, or Bidirectional strategy
=== DEFAULT VALUES AND THEIR LOGIC ===
Percent Chance to Enter Per Bar: 10%
Percent Chance to Exit Per Bar: 3%
Direction: Long Only
Commission: 0
Each bar has a 10% chance to enter the market. Each bar has a 3% to exit the market . It will only enter long.
I included zero commission for simplification. It's a good exercise to include a commission/slippage to see just how much trading fees take from you.
=== TIPS ===
Increasing "Percent Chance to Exit" will shorten the time in a trade. You can see the "Avg # Bars In Trade" go down as you increase. If "Percent Chance to Exit" is too high, the study won't be in the market long enough to catch any movement, possibly exiting on the same bar most of the time.
If you're getting the red screen, that means the strategy lost so much money it went broke. Try reducing the percent equity on the Properties tab.
Switch the start year to avoid/minimize black swan events like the covid drop in 2020.
=== FINDINGS ===
Most markets lose money with a "Random" direction strategy.
Most markets lose ALL money with a "Short Only" strategy.
Most markets make money with a "Long Only" strategy.
Try this strategy on: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the NASDAQ (QQQ).
There are two popular memes right now: "Bitcoin to the moon" and "Stocks only go up". Both are seemingly true. Bitcoin was the best performing asset of the 2010's, gaining several billion percent in gains. The stock market is on a 100 year long uptrend. Why? BECAUSE FIAT CURRENCIES ALWAYS GO DOWN! This is inflation. If we measure the market in terms of others assets instead of fiat, the Long Only strategy doesn't work anymore (or works less well).
Try this strategy on: Bitcoin/GLD (BTCUSD/GLD), the Eurodollar (EURUSD), and the S&P 500 measured in gold (SPY/GLD).
Bitcoin measured in gold (BTCUSD/GLD) still works with a Long Only strategy because Bitcoin increased in value over both USD and gold.
The Eurodollar (EURUSD) generally loses money no matter what, especially if you add any commission. This makes sense as they are both fiat currencies with similar inflation schedules.
Gold and the S&P 500 have gained roughly the same amount since ~2000. Some years will show better results for a long strategy, while others will favor a short strategy. Now look at just SPY or GLD (which are both measured in USD by default!) and you'll see the same trend again: a Long Only strategy crushes even when entering and exiting randomly.
=== " JUST TELL ME WHAT TO DO, YOU NERD! " ===
Bulls always win and Bears always lose because fiat currencies go to zero.
You're not underperforming a random number generator, are you?
EMA_cumulativeVolume_crossover[Strategy V2]This is variation of EMA_cumulativeVolume_crossover strategy.
instead of cumulative volume crossover, I have added the EMA to cumulative volume of same EMA length.
when EMA crossover EMACumulativeVolume , BUY
when already in LONG position and price crossing over EMACumulativeVolume*2 (orange line in the chart) , Add more
Partial Exit , when RSI 5 crossdown 90
Close All when EMA cross down EMACumulativeVolume
Note
Black Line on the chart is the historical value of EMACumulativeVolume . when EMA area is green and price touch this line closes above it , you can consider consider BUY
I have tested it on SPY , QQQ and UDOW on hourly chart.
EMA setting 25 is working for all of these.
but SPY produces better results on EMA 35 setting
warning
This strategy is published educational purposes only.
Divergence of Stocks Above MA50 v.s. US-Stock MarketEnglish:
This indicator has been developed as an early warning tool to estimate the probability of correction in the US stock market. It works best in the daily chart.
Function:
1.) "Index-line"
The underlying stock index is converted to a scale between 0% and 100% based on its 52-week highs and lows. Where 100% is closing price at 52-week high and 0% is closing price at 52-week low.
2nd) "Stocks Above MA50".
For each major stock index, there is an index that determines the percentage of stocks above its 50 moving average. For example, for the S&P 500, this is the S5FI.
3) "Divergence
In an efficient market, both lines (index and number of stocks above the 50 MA) would run more or less in sync. A new high in the index would also mean a new high in the stocks trading above the 50 moving average. Often, however, a correction in the index is announced when the number of stocks trading above their 50 MA do not make a new, or even a lower, high while the underlying index marks a new high. The divergence signal measures this divergence of the indices. The higher the bar, the more pronounced the divergence.
How to read the indicator?
If a divergence occurs, then the stops should be tightened. As with any indicator, false signals can occur because a divergence does not automatically lead to a correction. The higher the divergence is indicated, the higher the probability. The strength of a correction cannot be predicted with the indicator.
For which symbols does the indicator work?
The indicator works exclusively for the following symbols:
S&P500: SPX, SPY, ES1!, US500 Index above MA50: S5FI
Russel2000: IWM, US2000, RTY1!, RUT, IWO Index above MA50: R2FI
NASDAQ100: NDX, NAS100, NQ1!, US100, QQQ Index above MA50: NDFI
NASDAQ: IXIC, ONEQ, QCN1!, NDAQ Index above MA50: NCFI
NYSE: XAX, NYA Index above MA50: MMFI
DowJones100: DJX, DJI, DIA, MYM1!, YM1! Index above MA50: DIFI
DowJonesComp: DOW, IYY Index above MA50: DCFI
Deutsch:
Dieser Indikator ist als Frühwarninstrument zur Einschätzung der Korrekturwahrscheinlichkeit im US-Aktienmarkt entwickelt worden. Er funktioniert am besten im Tages-Chart.
Funktion:
1.) „Index-line“
Der zugrunde liegende Aktienindex wird bezogen auf seine 52Wochen Hochs und Tiefs in eine Skala zwischen 0% und 100% umgerechnet. Dabei sind 100% Schlusskurs auf 52-Wochen Hoch und 0% Schlusskurs auf 52-Wochen Tief.
2.) „Stocks Above MA50“
Zu jedem Hauptaktienindex gibt es einen Index, der den Prozentwert der Aktien über Ihrem 50 gleitenden Durchschnitt ermittelt. Beim S&P 500 ist das z.B. der S5FI.
3.) „Divergence“
In einem effizienten Markt würden beide Linien (Index und Anzahl Aktien über dem 50 MA) mehr oder weniger synchron laufen. Ein neues Hoch im Index würde auch ein neues Hoch bei den Aktien, die über dem 50 gleitenden Durchschnitt notieren, bedeuten. Oft jedoch kündigt sich eine Korrektur im Index an, wenn die Anzahl der Aktien, die über ihrem 50 MA notieren kein neues, oder sogar ein niedrigeres Hoch machen, während der zu Grunde liegende Index ein neues Hoch markiert. Das Divergenz-Signal misst diese auseinanderlaufen der Indices. Je höher der Balken, umso stärker ist die Divergenz ausgeprägt.
Wie ist der Indikator zu lesen?
Wenn eine Divergenz auftritt, dann sollten die Stopps enger herangezogen werden. Es kann wie bei jedem Indikator zu Fehlsignalen kommen, da eine Divergenz nicht automatisch zu einer Korrektur führen muss. Die Wahrscheinlichkeit ist um so höher, je höher die Divergenz angezeigt wird. Die Stärke einer Korrektur kann mit dem Indikator nicht prognostiziert werden.
Für welche Symbole funktioniert der Indikator?
Der Indikator funktioniert ausschließlich für folgende Symbole:
S&P500: SPX, SPY, ES1!, US500 Index über MA50: S5FI
Russel2000: IWM, US2000, RTY1!, RUT, IWO Index über MA50: R2FI
NASDAQ100: NDX, NAS100, NQ1!, US100, QQQ Index über MA50: NDFI
NASDAQ: IXIC, ONEQ, QCN1!, NDAQ Index über MA50: NCFI
NYSE: XAX, NYA Index über MA50: MMFI
DowJones100: DJX, DJI, DIA, MYM1!, YM1! Index über MA50: DIFI
DowJonesComp: DOW, IYY Index über MA50: DCFI
Indices trendsAccording to the Dow theory, indices must confirm each other. Based on this idea, I develop an indices trends indicator, including SPY, DIA, and QQQ. The indices trends were calculated based on the average of the short- (blue) and intermediate-term (orange) changes of indices moving average slopes. In addition, IWM trends are shown as a reference in gray color.
Use this indicator together with one of SPY, DIA, QQQ, or IWM to show the overall market conditions.
Trendflex - Another new Ehlers indicatorSource: Stocks and Commodities V38
Hooray! Another new John Ehlers indicator!
John claims this indicator is lag-less and uses the SPY on the Daily as an example.
This indicator is a slight modification of Reflex, which I have posted here
I think it's better for Stocks and ETFs than Reflex since it factors in long trends. It tends to keep you in winning trades for a long time.
I believe this indicator can be used for entries or exits, potentially both.
Entry
1. Entering Long positions at the pivot low points (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Entering Long when the Reflex crosses above the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities )
Exit
1. Exiting Long positions at a new pivot high point (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Exiting Long when the Reflex crosses below the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities )
In this example, I place a Long order on the SPY every time the Reflex crosses above the zero level and exit when it crosses below or pops my stop loss, set at 1.5 * Daily ATR.
2/3 Wins
+16.05%
Let me know in the comment section if you're able to use this in a strategy.
Reflex - A new Ehlers indicatorSource: Stocks and Commodities V38
Hooray! A new John Ehlers indicator!
John claims this indicator is lag-less and uses the SPY on the Daily as an example.
He states that drawing a line from peak to peak (or trough to trough) will correspond perfectly with the Asset.
I have to say I agree! There is typically one bar of lag or no lag at all!
I believe this indicator can be used for either entries or exits, but not both.
Entry
1. Entering Long positions at the pivot low points (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Entering Long when the Reflex crosses above the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities)
Exit
1. Exiting Long positions at a new pivot high point (Stocks and ETFs)
2. Exiting Long when the Reflex crosses below the zero lines (Stocks, ETFs, Commodities)
In this example, I place a Long order on the SPY every time the Reflex crosses above the zero level and exit when it crosses below or pops my stop loss, set at 1.5 * Daily ATR.
4/6 Wins
+10.76%
For me, that's good enough to create a strategy and backtest on several Indices and ETFs, which is what I have a hunch this will work on.
I think there is a lot of promise from a single Indicator!
Let me know in the comment section if you're able to use this in a strategy.
Hide Extended Hours/non-intraday American BarsOnly works with American bar style.
Not works with Candles.
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This script can hide the extended hours/non-intraday bars and leave the intraday bars only, especially for future users, such as ES/NQ/RTY/YM, etc.,.
Now you can find the intraday support/resistance quite easily!
Example, as a ES investor, you can easily find the intraday support/resistance level ,which is almost equal to SPY / SPX , no longer need to check SPY / SPX separately again, saving your time a lot.
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IMPORTANT INSTRUCTION
In order to make the script work, you have to bring it to the most top visual layer.
Please do as the following steps:
Add the script to chart
Hover mouse on the script name, and tap the right-most 'more' button (which appears as 3 dots)
Select "Visual Order", then select "Bring to front".
Done!
Also, in order to have a better view effect and make the bars COMPLETELY "Hidden", you can adjust the hidden bar color in the "setting" menu to the exact color of your chart background.
Swing-Trade-Stocks SystemThis is a simple swing trade system inspired by sources on the internet. The rules are as follows:
Buy when first green arrow appears after 10ma above 30ma
Set stop-loss below most recent support
Set take-profit below most recent swing point high or wait until price closes below 30ma (red)
Short when first purple arrow appears after 10ma below 30ma
Set stop-loss above most recent resistance
Set take-profit above most recent swing point low or wait until price closes above 30ma (red)
The background color changes based on the direction of SPY. If SPY is going down (10ma < 30ma) the
background will be red and only short indicators (purple arrows) will appear. If SPY is going up (10ma > 30ma),
the background will be green and only long indicators (green arrows) will appear.
Happy trading!
Market Internals [Makit0] MARKET INTERNALS INDICATOR v0.5beta
Market Internals are suitable for day trade equity indices, named SPY or /ES, please do your own research about what they are and how to use them
This scripts plots the NYSE market internals charts as an indicator for an easy and full visualization of market internal structure all in one chart, useful for SPY and /ES trading
Description of the Market Internals
- TICK: NYSE stocks ticking up vs stocks ticking down, extreme values may point to trend continuation on trending days or reversal in non trending days, example of extreme values can be 800 and 1000
- ADD: NYSE stocks going up vs stocks going down, if price auctions around the zero line may be a non trend day, otherwise may be a trend day
- VOLD: NYSE volume of stocks up vs volume of stocks going down, identify clearly where the volume is going, as example if volume is flowing down may be a good idea no to place longs
- TRIN: NYSE up stocks vs down stocks ratio divided by up volume vs down volume ratio. A value of 1 indicates parity, below that the strength is on the long side, above the strength is in the short side.
A basic use of market internals may be looking for divergences, for example:
- /ES is trading in a range but ADD and VOLD are trending up nonstop, may /ES will break the range to the upside
- /ES is trading in a range and ADD and VOLD are trading around the zero line but got an extreme reading on TICK, may be a non trending day and the TICK extreme reading is at one of the extremes of the /ES range, may be a good probability trade to fade that move
- /ES is trading in a trend to the downside, ADD and VOLD too, you catch a good portion of the move but are fearful to flat and miss more gains, you see in the TICK a lot of extreme values below -800 so your're confident in the continuation of the downtrend, until the TICK goes beyond -1000 and you use that signal to go flat
Market internals give you context and confirmation, price in /ES may be trending but if market internals do not confirm the move may a reversal is on its way
Price is an advertise, you can see the real move in the structure below, in the behavior of the individual components of the market, those are the real questions:
- How many stocks are going up/down (ADD)
- How many volume is flowing up/down (VOLD)
- How many stocks are ticking up/down (TICK)
- What is the overall volume breath of the market (TRIN)
FEATURES:
- Plot one of the four basic market internal indices: TICK, ADD, VOLD and TRIN
- Show labels with values beyond an user defined threshold
- Show ZERO line
- Show user defined Dotted and Dashed lines
- Show user defined moving average
SETTINGS:
- Market internal: ticker to plot in the indicator, four options to choose from (TICK, ADD, VOLD and TRIN)
- Labels threshold: all values beyond this will be ploted as labels
- Dot lines at: two dotted lines will be plotted at this value above and below the zero line
- Dash lines at: two dashed lines will be plotted at this value above and below the zero line
- MA type: two options avaiable SMA (Simple Moving Average) or EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
- MA length: number of bars to calculate the moving average
- Show zero line: show or hide zero line
- Show dot line: show or hide dotted lines
- Show dash line: show or hide dashed lines
- Show labels: show or hide labels
GOOD LUCK AND HAPPY TRADING
Hide extended hours/non-intraday barsEspecially for future users, such as ES/NQ/RTY/YM, etc., this script can hide the extended hours/non-intraday bars and leave the intraday bars only.
With this script , you can find the intraday support/resistance quite easily!
Example, if you are a ES investor, you can easily find the intraday support/resistance level ,which is almost equal to SPY, with this script, and no need to check SPY separately again , saving your time a lot.
Note: Please couple this script with American Bars. If you use candle charts, the upper/lower pins of the candle can't be hidden with the bars together, which is restricted by the code editor itself...
