Drawdown Distribution Analysis (DDA) ACADEMIC FOUNDATION AND RESEARCH BACKGROUND
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator implements quantitative risk management principles, drawing upon decades of academic research in portfolio theory, behavioral finance, and statistical risk modeling. This tool provides risk assessment capabilities for traders and portfolio managers seeking to understand their current position within historical drawdown patterns.
The theoretical foundation of this indicator rests on modern portfolio theory as established by Markowitz (1952), who introduced the fundamental concepts of risk-return optimization that continue to underpin contemporary portfolio management. Sharpe (1966) later expanded this framework by developing risk-adjusted performance measures, most notably the Sharpe ratio, which remains a cornerstone of performance evaluation in financial markets.
The specific focus on drawdown analysis builds upon the work of Chekhlov, Uryasev and Zabarankin (2005), who provided the mathematical framework for incorporating drawdown measures into portfolio optimization. Their research demonstrated that traditional mean-variance optimization often fails to capture the full risk profile of investment strategies, particularly regarding sequential losses. More recent work by Goldberg and Mahmoud (2017) has brought these theoretical concepts into practical application within institutional risk management frameworks.
Value at Risk methodology, as comprehensively outlined by Jorion (2007), provides the statistical foundation for the risk measurement components of this indicator. The coherent risk measures framework developed by Artzner et al. (1999) ensures that the risk metrics employed satisfy the mathematical properties required for sound risk management decisions. Additionally, the focus on downside risk follows the framework established by Sortino and Price (1994), while the drawdown-adjusted performance measures implement concepts introduced by Young (1991).
MATHEMATICAL METHODOLOGY
The core calculation methodology centers on a peak-tracking algorithm that continuously monitors the maximum price level achieved and calculates the percentage decline from this peak. The drawdown at any time t is defined as DD(t) = (P(t) - Peak(t)) / Peak(t) × 100, where P(t) represents the asset price at time t and Peak(t) represents the running maximum price observed up to time t.
Statistical distribution analysis forms the analytical backbone of the indicator. The system calculates key percentiles using the ta.percentile_nearest_rank() function to establish the 5th, 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, and 95th percentiles of the historical drawdown distribution. This approach provides a complete picture of how the current drawdown compares to historical patterns.
Statistical significance assessment employs standard deviation bands at one, two, and three standard deviations from the mean, following the conventional approach where the upper band equals μ + nσ and the lower band equals μ - nσ. The Z-score calculation, defined as Z = (DD - μ) / σ, enables the identification of statistically extreme events, with thresholds set at |Z| > 2.5 for extreme drawdowns and |Z| > 3.0 for severe drawdowns, corresponding to confidence levels exceeding 99.4% and 99.7% respectively.
ADVANCED RISK METRICS
The indicator incorporates several risk-adjusted performance measures that extend beyond basic drawdown analysis. The Sharpe ratio calculation follows the standard formula Sharpe = (R - Rf) / σ, where R represents the annualized return, Rf represents the risk-free rate, and σ represents the annualized volatility. The system supports dynamic sourcing of the risk-free rate from the US 10-year Treasury yield or allows for manual specification.
The Sortino ratio addresses the limitation of the Sharpe ratio by focusing exclusively on downside risk, calculated as Sortino = (R - Rf) / σd, where σd represents the downside deviation computed using only negative returns. This measure provides a more accurate assessment of risk-adjusted performance for strategies that exhibit asymmetric return distributions.
The Calmar ratio, defined as Annual Return divided by the absolute value of Maximum Drawdown, offers a direct measure of return per unit of drawdown risk. This metric proves particularly valuable for comparing strategies or assets with different risk profiles, as it directly relates performance to the maximum historical loss experienced.
Value at Risk calculations provide quantitative estimates of potential losses at specified confidence levels. The 95% VaR corresponds to the 5th percentile of the drawdown distribution, while the 99% VaR corresponds to the 1st percentile. Conditional VaR, also known as Expected Shortfall, estimates the average loss in the worst 5% of scenarios, providing insight into tail risk that standard VaR measures may not capture.
To enable fair comparison across assets with different volatility characteristics, the indicator calculates volatility-adjusted drawdowns using the formula Adjusted DD = Raw DD / (Volatility / 20%). This normalization allows for meaningful comparison between high-volatility assets like cryptocurrencies and lower-volatility instruments like government bonds.
The Risk Efficiency Score represents a composite measure ranging from 0 to 100 that combines the Sharpe ratio and current percentile rank to provide a single metric for quick asset assessment. Higher scores indicate superior risk-adjusted performance relative to historical patterns.
COLOR SCHEMES AND VISUALIZATION
The indicator implements eight distinct color themes designed to accommodate different analytical preferences and market contexts. The EdgeTools theme employs a corporate blue palette that matches the design system used throughout the edgetools.org platform, ensuring visual consistency across analytical tools.
The Gold theme specifically targets precious metals analysis with warm tones that complement gold chart analysis, while the Quant theme provides a grayscale scheme suitable for analytical environments that prioritize clarity over aesthetic appeal. The Behavioral theme incorporates psychology-based color coding, using green to represent greed-driven market conditions and red to indicate fear-driven environments.
Additional themes include Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic schemes, each designed for specific market conditions or user preferences. All themes function effectively with both dark and light mode trading platforms, ensuring accessibility across different user interface configurations.
PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
Asset allocation and portfolio construction represent primary use cases for this analytical framework. When comparing multiple assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and the S&P 500, traders can examine Risk Efficiency Scores to identify instruments offering superior risk-adjusted performance. The 95% VaR provides worst-case scenario comparisons, while volatility-adjusted drawdowns enable fair comparison despite varying volatility profiles.
The practical decision framework suggests that assets with Risk Efficiency Scores above 70 may be suitable for aggressive portfolio allocations, scores between 40 and 70 indicate moderate allocation potential, and scores below 40 suggest defensive positioning or avoidance. These thresholds should be adjusted based on individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Risk management and position sizing applications utilize the current percentile rank to guide allocation decisions. When the current drawdown ranks above the 75th percentile of historical data, indicating that current conditions are better than 75% of historical periods, position increases may be warranted. Conversely, when percentile rankings fall below the 25th percentile, indicating elevated risk conditions, position reductions become advisable.
Institutional portfolio monitoring applications include hedge fund risk dashboard implementations where multiple strategies can be monitored simultaneously. Sharpe ratio tracking identifies deteriorating risk-adjusted performance across strategies, VaR monitoring ensures portfolios remain within established risk limits, and drawdown duration tracking provides valuable information for investor reporting requirements.
Market timing applications combine the statistical analysis with trend identification techniques. Strong buy signals may emerge when risk levels register as "Low" in conjunction with established uptrends, while extreme risk levels combined with downtrends may indicate exit or hedging opportunities. Z-scores exceeding 3.0 often signal statistically oversold conditions that may precede trend reversals.
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE AND VALIDATION
The indicator provides 95% confidence intervals around current drawdown levels using the standard formula CI = μ ± 1.96σ. This statistical framework enables users to assess whether current conditions fall within normal market variation or represent statistically significant departures from historical patterns.
Risk level classification employs a dynamic assessment system based on percentile ranking within the historical distribution. Low risk designation applies when current drawdowns perform better than 50% of historical data, moderate risk encompasses the 25th to 50th percentile range, high risk covers the 10th to 25th percentile range, and extreme risk applies to the worst 10% of historical drawdowns.
Sample size considerations play a crucial role in statistical reliability. For daily data, the system requires a minimum of 252 trading days (approximately one year) but performs better with 500 or more observations. Weekly data analysis benefits from at least 104 weeks (two years) of history, while monthly data requires a minimum of 60 months (five years) for reliable statistical inference.
IMPLEMENTATION BEST PRACTICES
Parameter optimization should consider the specific characteristics of different asset classes. Equity analysis typically benefits from 500-day lookback periods with 21-day smoothing, while cryptocurrency analysis may employ 365-day lookback periods with 14-day smoothing to account for higher volatility patterns. Fixed income analysis often requires longer lookback periods of 756 days with 34-day smoothing to capture the lower volatility environment.
Multi-timeframe analysis provides hierarchical risk assessment capabilities. Daily timeframe analysis supports tactical risk management decisions, weekly analysis informs strategic positioning choices, and monthly analysis guides long-term allocation decisions. This hierarchical approach ensures that risk assessment occurs at appropriate temporal scales for different investment objectives.
Integration with complementary indicators enhances the analytical framework. Trend indicators such as RSI and moving averages provide directional bias context, volume analysis helps confirm the severity of drawdown conditions, and volatility measures like VIX or ATR assist in market regime identification.
ALERT SYSTEM AND AUTOMATION
The automated alert system monitors five distinct categories of risk events. Risk level changes trigger notifications when drawdowns move between risk categories, enabling proactive risk management responses. Statistical significance alerts activate when Z-scores exceed established threshold levels of 2.5 or 3.0 standard deviations.
New maximum drawdown alerts notify users when historical maximum levels are exceeded, indicating entry into uncharted risk territory. Poor risk efficiency alerts trigger when the composite risk efficiency score falls below 30, suggesting deteriorating risk-adjusted performance. Sharpe ratio decline alerts activate when risk-adjusted performance turns negative, indicating that returns no longer compensate for the risk undertaken.
TRADING STRATEGIES
Conservative risk parity strategies can be implemented by monitoring Risk Efficiency Scores across a diversified asset portfolio. Monthly rebalancing maintains equal risk contribution from each asset, with allocation reductions triggered when risk levels reach "High" status and complete exits executed when "Extreme" risk levels emerge. This approach typically results in lower overall portfolio volatility, improved risk-adjusted returns, and reduced maximum drawdown periods.
Tactical asset rotation strategies compare Risk Efficiency Scores across different asset classes to guide allocation decisions. Assets with scores exceeding 60 receive overweight allocations, while assets scoring below 40 receive underweight positions. Percentile rankings provide timing guidance for allocation adjustments, creating a systematic approach to asset allocation that responds to changing risk-return profiles.
Market timing strategies with statistical edges can be constructed by entering positions when Z-scores fall below -2.5, indicating statistically oversold conditions, and scaling out when Z-scores exceed 2.5, suggesting overbought conditions. The 95% VaR serves as a stop-loss reference point, while trend confirmation indicators provide additional validation for position entry and exit decisions.
LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Several statistical limitations affect the interpretation and application of these risk measures. Historical bias represents a fundamental challenge, as past drawdown patterns may not accurately predict future risk characteristics, particularly during structural market changes or regime shifts. Sample dependence means that results can be sensitive to the selected lookback period, with shorter periods providing more responsive but potentially less stable estimates.
Market regime changes can significantly alter the statistical parameters underlying the analysis. During periods of structural market evolution, historical distributions may provide poor guidance for future expectations. Additionally, many financial assets exhibit return distributions with fat tails that deviate from normal distribution assumptions, potentially leading to underestimation of extreme event probabilities.
Practical limitations include execution risk, where theoretical signals may not translate directly into actual trading results due to factors such as slippage, timing delays, and market impact. Liquidity constraints mean that risk metrics assume perfect liquidity, which may not hold during stressed market conditions when risk management becomes most critical.
Transaction costs are not incorporated into risk-adjusted return calculations, potentially overstating the attractiveness of strategies that require frequent trading. Behavioral factors represent another limitation, as human psychology may override statistical signals, particularly during periods of extreme market stress when disciplined risk management becomes most challenging.
TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION
Performance optimization ensures reliable operation across different market conditions and timeframes. All technical analysis functions are extracted from conditional statements to maintain Pine Script compliance and ensure consistent execution. Memory efficiency is achieved through optimized variable scoping and array usage, while computational speed benefits from vectorized calculations where possible.
Data quality requirements include clean price data without gaps or errors that could distort distribution analysis. Sufficient historical data is essential, with a minimum of 100 bars required and 500 or more preferred for reliable statistical inference. Time alignment across related assets ensures meaningful comparison when conducting multi-asset analysis.
The configuration parameters are organized into logical groups to enhance usability. Core settings include the Distribution Analysis Period (100-2000 bars), Drawdown Smoothing Period (1-50 bars), and Price Source selection. Advanced metrics settings control risk-free rate sourcing, either from live market data or fixed rate specification, along with toggles for various risk-adjusted metric calculations.
Display options provide flexibility in visual presentation, including color theme selection from eight available schemes, automatic dark mode optimization, and control over table display, position lines, percentile bands, and standard deviation overlays. These options ensure that the indicator can be adapted to different analytical workflows and visual preferences.
CONCLUSION
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator provides risk management tools for traders seeking to understand their current position within historical risk patterns. By combining established statistical methodology with practical usability features, the tool enables evidence-based risk assessment and portfolio optimization decisions.
The implementation draws upon established academic research while providing practical features that address real-world trading requirements. Dynamic risk-free rate integration ensures accurate risk-adjusted performance calculations, while multiple color schemes accommodate different analytical preferences and use cases.
Academic compliance is maintained through transparent methodology and acknowledgment of limitations. The tool implements peer-reviewed statistical techniques while clearly communicating the constraints and assumptions underlying the analysis. This approach ensures that users can make informed decisions about the appropriate application of the risk assessment framework within their broader trading and investment processes.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.M. and Heath, D. (1999) 'Coherent Measures of Risk', Mathematical Finance, 9(3), pp. 203-228.
Chekhlov, A., Uryasev, S. and Zabarankin, M. (2005) 'Drawdown Measure in Portfolio Optimization', International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 8(1), pp. 13-58.
Goldberg, L.R. and Mahmoud, O. (2017) 'Drawdown: From Practice to Theory and Back Again', Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, 10(2), pp. 140-152.
Jorion, P. (2007) Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. 3rd edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Markowitz, H. (1952) 'Portfolio Selection', Journal of Finance, 7(1), pp. 77-91.
Sharpe, W.F. (1966) 'Mutual Fund Performance', Journal of Business, 39(1), pp. 119-138.
Sortino, F.A. and Price, L.N. (1994) 'Performance Measurement in a Downside Risk Framework', Journal of Investing, 3(3), pp. 59-64.
Young, T.W. (1991) 'Calmar Ratio: A Smoother Tool', Futures, 20(1), pp. 40-42.
Cerca negli script per "stop loss"
Risk Guardian Pro📊 Risk Guardian Pro - Complete Script Summary
🎯 Overview
Risk Guardian Pro is a comprehensive Pine Script indicator for advanced trading risk management. It provides real-time position sizing, risk calculation, fee tracking, and profit/loss analysis with intelligent profit stop detection.
⚙️ Settings Sections
1. Account Settings
2. Risk Management
3. Stop Loss Settings
4. Trading Fees Settings
5. Display Settings
6. Table Row Toggles
7. Position Settings
🧮 Core Calculations
Risk Analysis
Position Risk
Risk Percentage
Risk:Reward Ratio
Fee Calculations
Trading Fee: Position Size × Leverage × Trading Fee %
Funding Rate: Full Margin × Funding Rate % × 8-Hour Periods
Total Fees: Trading Fee + Accumulated Funding Fees
P&L Calculations
Gross P&L: Position Size × Leverage × Price Movement / Entry Price
Net P&L: Gross P&L - Total Fees
Adjusted Risk/Reward: All targets include fee impact
🎨 Visual Display System
Risk Management Table
Header: "RISK GUARDIAN PRO" with version info
Status Bar: Position direction + Risk heat level with color coding
Main Metrics (11 configurable rows):
Account Balance: Total trading capital
Position Size: Trade allocation with size warnings
Risk %: Percentage at risk with progress bars
Risk:Reward: Current ratio with quality indicators
Stop Loss: Exit price with profit stop intelligence
Take Profit: Target price for profits
Trading Fee: One-time entry cost
Funding Rate: 8-hour accumulation with auto-timer
Total Fees: Complete cost breakdown
Potential Loss: Maximum risk including fees
Potential Win: Profit target minus fees
Chart Elements
Entry Line: Blue horizontal line at entry price
Stop Loss Line: Red line (turns green for profit stops)
Take Profit Line: Green horizontal line
Live P&L Plot: Real-time profit/loss line
Price Labels
Entry Label: "ENTRY" - Blue box
Stop Label: "STOP or "PROFIT STOP"
"PROFITSTOP" - Red/Green
Target Label: "TARGET" - Green box
Live P&L Label: "NET P&L" - Dynamic colour
🧠 Intelligent Features
Profit Stop Detection
Automatically detects when stop loss moves into profit territory:
Long Position: Stop above entry price
Short Position: Stop below entry price
Smart Transformations:
Status → "PROFIT SECURED" 🔒
Stop Loss → "Profit Stop" (green)
Risk % → "Secured Profit %"
Risk:Reward → "Secured:Additional"
Chart elements turn green
Risk Heat Levels
LOW: <2% risk (Green indicators)
MODERATE: 2-3% risk (Yellow indicators)
HIGH: >3% risk (Red indicators)
PROFIT SECURED: Stop in profit (Dark green)
Dynamic Color Coding
Table borders change based on risk level
Position size warnings for oversized trades
Progress bars show risk proximity to limits
All elements adapt to profit stop status
⏰ Time & Fee Management
Automatic Fee Accumulation
Set trade entry time using calendar picker
Funding fees automatically increase every 8 hours
Real-time progression as chart time advances
Visual feedback shows elapsed time and periods
Fee Impact Integration
All P&L calculations include fee deductions
Risk calculations add fee costs to potential loss
Take profit targets account for fee impact
Breakeven point automatically adjusts for fees
🚨 Alert System
Risk Alerts
High Risk: When risk exceeds 3% of capital
High Fees: When fees exceed 10% of position risk
Long Hold: Position held over 10 days
Extended Trade: Trade duration review reminder
Profit Alerts
Profit Secured: Stop loss moved to profit territory
🎛️ Customization Options
Visual Customization
2 Currency options with proper symbols
9 Table positions around chart
4 Size options for table and labels
200-bar range for label positioning
Progress bar toggles for risk visualization
Data Display Control
11 Individual row toggles for table content
Percentage displays in chart labels
Emoji options for visual enhancement
Tooltip information on hover
💡 Key Benefits
Professional Risk Management
✅ Comprehensive fee tracking with real-time accumulation
✅ Intelligent profit stop detection with visual adaptation
✅ Multi-method stop loss (ATR, percentage, manual)
✅ Advanced R:R calculations with fee impact
User Experience
✅ Date/time picker for precise entry timing
✅ Real-time updates as market moves
✅ Visual risk indicators with progress bars
✅ Extensive customization for personal preferences
Trading Integration
✅ Works with any timeframe and instrument
✅ Suitable for long-term use on charts
✅ Accurate fee modeling for realistic P&L
✅ Professional alert system for risk management
🎯 Perfect For
Active traders needing precise risk management
Position traders with long-term holds
Leveraged trading with fee-conscious strategies
Professional risk assessment and portfolio management
Risk Guardian Pro V2.5 represents a complete, professional-grade risk management solution that adapts intelligently to your trading style while providing comprehensive oversight of costs, risks, and profit potential.
Easy Position Size Calculator with Fees# Easy Position Size Calculator with Fees - Manual
## Overview
The Easy Position Size Calculator is a Pine Script indicator designed to help traders calculate the optimal position size for their trades while accounting for trading fees. This tool automatically determines whether you're planning a long or short position and calculates the exact position size needed to risk a specific dollar amount.
## Key Features
- **Automatic Trade Direction Detection**: Determines if you're going long or short based on entry price vs stop loss
- **Fee Integration**: Accounts for trading fees in position size calculations
- **Risk Management**: Calculates position size based on your specified risk amount
- **Risk Factor Adjustment**: Allows you to scale your position size up or down
- **Visual Display**: Shows all calculations in a clear, organized table
## Input Parameters
### Entry Price ($)
- **Purpose**: The price at which you plan to enter the trade
- **Default**: 0.0
- **Range**: Any positive value
- **Step**: 0.01
### Stop Loss ($)
- **Purpose**: The price at which you will exit the trade if it goes against you
- **Default**: 0.0
- **Range**: Any positive value
- **Step**: 0.01
### Risk ($)
- **Purpose**: The maximum dollar amount you're willing to lose on this trade
- **Default**: 0.0
- **Range**: Any positive value
- **Step**: 0.01
### Risk Factor
- **Purpose**: A multiplier to scale your position size up or down
- **Default**: 1.0 (no scaling)
- **Range**: 0.0 to 10.0
- **Step**: 0.1
- **Examples**:
- 1.0 = Normal position size
- 2.0 = Double the position size
- 0.5 = Half the position size
### Fee (%)
- **Purpose**: The percentage fee charged per transaction (buy/sell)
- **Default**: 0.01% (0.01)
- **Range**: 0.0% to 1.0%
- **Step**: 0.001
## How It Works
### Trade Direction Detection
The script automatically determines your trade direction:
- **Long Trade**: Entry price > Stop loss price
- **Short Trade**: Entry price < Stop loss price
### Position Size Calculation
#### For Long Trades:
```
Position Size = -Risk Factor × Risk Amount / (Stop Loss × (1 - Fee) - Entry Price × (1 + Fee))
```
#### For Short Trades:
```
Position Size = -Risk Factor × Risk Amount / (Entry Price × (1 - Fee) - Stop Loss × (1 + Fee))
```
### Fee Adjustment
The script accounts for fees on both entry and exit:
- **Long trades**: You pay fees when buying (entry) and selling (exit)
- **Short trades**: You pay fees when shorting (entry) and covering (exit)
## Output Display
The indicator displays a table with the following information:
### Trade Information
- **Trade Type**: Shows whether it's a LONG, SHORT, or INVALID trade
- **Entry Price**: Your specified entry price
- **Stop Loss**: Your specified stop loss price
- **Fee (%)**: The fee percentage being used
### Risk Parameters
- **Risk Amount**: The dollar amount you're willing to risk
- **Risk Factor**: The multiplier being applied
### Calculated Values
- **Effective Entry**: The actual cost per share including fees
- **Effective Exit**: The actual exit value per share including fees
- **Expected Loss**: The calculated loss if stop loss is hit
- **Deviation from Risk %**: Shows how close the expected loss is to your target risk
- **Position Size**: The number of shares/units to trade
## Usage Examples
### Example 1: Long Trade
- Entry Price: $100.00
- Stop Loss: $95.00
- Risk Amount: $500.00
- Risk Factor: 1.0
- Fee: 0.01%
**Result**: The script will calculate how many shares to buy so that if the stop loss is hit, you lose approximately $500 (accounting for fees). Position Size: 99.61152
### Example 2: Short Trade
- Entry Price: $50.00
- Stop Loss: $55.00
- Risk Amount: $300.00
- Risk Factor: 1.0
- Fee: 0.01%
**Result**: The script will calculate how many shares to short so that if the stop loss is hit, you lose approximately $300 (accounting for fees). Position Size: 59.87426
## Important Notes
### Validation Requirements
For the script to work properly, all of the following must be true:
- Entry price > 0
- Stop loss > 0
- Risk amount > 0
- Entry price ≠ Stop loss (to determine direction)
### Negative Position Sizes
The script may show negative position sizes, which is normal:
- **Negative values for long trades**: Represents shares to buy
- **Negative values for short trades**: Represents shares to short
### Risk Deviation
The "Deviation from Risk %" shows how closely the calculated position size matches your target risk. Small deviations are normal due to:
- Fee calculations
- Rounding
- Market precision
## Color Coding
The table uses color coding for easy identification:
- **Green**: Long trade information
- **Red**: Short trade information
- **Gray**: Invalid trade (when inputs are incorrect)
- **Blue**: Final position size
- **Red background**: Risk-related calculations
## Troubleshooting
### Common Issues
1. **Position Size shows 0**
- Check that all inputs are greater than 0
- Ensure entry price is different from stop loss
2. **Trade Type shows INVALID**
- Verify that entry price and stop loss are both positive
- Make sure entry price ≠ stop loss
3. **Large Risk Deviation**
- This is normal for very small position sizes
- Consider adjusting your risk amount or price levels
## Best Practices
1. **Always validate your inputs** before placing actual trades
2. **Double-check the trade direction** shown in the table
3. **Review the expected loss** to ensure it aligns with your risk management
4. **Consider the effective entry/exit prices** which include fees
5. **Use appropriate risk factors** - avoid extreme values that could lead to overexposure
## Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and planning purposes only. Always verify calculations manually and consider market conditions, liquidity, and other factors before placing actual trades. The script assumes that fees are charged on both entry and exit transactions.
PineConnector [Extension] | FractalystWhat is the PineConnector Extension?
The PineConnector Extension is a sophisticated bridge indicator designed to seamlessly connect Quantify trading signals with PineConnector's automated execution system.
This extension transforms manual signal monitoring into fully automated trading by interpreting Quantify's signal outputs and converting them into executable PineConnector commands.
Unlike standalone trading indicators, this extension serves as a communication layer between your signal generation (Quantify indicator) and trade execution (PineConnector), enabling hands-free trading across multiple timeframes and instruments.
How does the signal processing work?
The extension processes four distinct signal types from Quantify indicators:
Signal Values:
1 = Buy/Long signal - Opens bullish positions
-1 = Sell/Short signal - Opens bearish positions
0.5 = Close Long - Closes all long positions
-0.5 = Close Short - Closes all short positions
The script continuously monitors the "Signal Source" input, which should be connected to any Quantify indicator's output. When a signal is detected, the extension automatically generates the corresponding PineConnector command with your configured parameters.
What are the available order types and how do they work?
The extension supports three order execution modes:
Market Orders:
- Execute immediately at current market price
- Highest execution probability
- Subject to slippage during volatile conditions
Limit Orders:
- Execute only when price reaches a more favorable level
- Buy limits placed below current price
- Sell limits placed above current price
- Dynamic pip offset calculated using ATR-based volatility
Stop Orders:
- Execute when price breaks beyond specified levels
- Buy stops placed above current price
- Sell stops placed below current price
- Useful for breakout strategies
Dynamic Pricing Calculation:
The extension calculates optimal entry prices using volatility-adjusted pip offsets:
priceVolatility = ta.atr(14) / close * 100
volatilityFactor = math.min(math.max(priceVolatility / 0.1, 0.5), 2.0)
pipsOffset = 10 * volatilityFactor
How does the risk management system work?
Risk Percentage:
The extension uses percentage-based position sizing where you specify the risk per trade (0.1% to 10.0%). This value is passed to PineConnector, which calculates the exact position size based on:
- Account balance
- Stop loss distance
- Instrument specifications
- Broker settings
Stop Loss Integration:
- The "Stop Source" input connects to external stop loss levels from Quantify or other indicators. - This ensures:
- Consistent risk-reward ratios
- Dynamic stop placement based on market structure
- Automatic position sizing calculations
Multi-Asset Compatibility:
The extension automatically detects instrument types and adjusts pip calculations:
Forex: mintick * 10
Crypto: mintick * 10
Other assets: mintick * 1
What does the information display table show?
The real-time status table provides essential configuration monitoring:
Status Indicators:
- License: Shows PineConnector license ID status (Blue = Set, Red = Missing)
- Security: Displays secret key status (Blue = Set, Orange = Disabled)
- Comment: Shows trade comment or timeframe if empty
- Symbol: Current trading symbol (manual override or chart symbol)
- Order Type: Active execution mode (Market/Limit/Stop)
- Risk: Risk percentage with color coding (Blue ≤1%, Orange >1%)
- Signal: Connection status (Blue = Connected, Red = Not Set)
- Stop: Stop loss source status (Blue = Connected, Red = Not Set)
Color Coding System:
Blue: Optimal/Connected
Orange: Warning/Moderate risk
Red: Error/Not configured
How do I connect this to my Quantify indicator?
Step-by-Step Connection:
Add the PineConnector Extension to your chart containing Quantify indicator
Configure Signal Source:
In the extension settings, locate "Signal Source"
Click the dropdown and select your Quantify indicator's signal output
The extension will automatically detect custom sources vs. default price data
Configure Stop Source:
Connect "Stop Source" to your Quantify indicator's stop loss output
This enables dynamic position sizing based on stop distance
Verify Connection:
Check the information table for "Signal" and "Stop" status
Blue indicates successful connection
Red indicates default price data (not connected)
Compatible Quantify Indicators:
- Quantify Trading Model
- Any indicator outputting standardized signals (1, -1, 0.5, -0.5)
What PineConnector setup is required?
Prerequisites:
- Active PineConnector License - Required for all functionality
- MetaTrader 4/5 or supported broker platform
- PineConnector EA installed and configured
- TradingView Pro/Pro+/Premium for alert functionality
Configuration Steps:
- License ID: Enter your PineConnector license ID in the extension
- Secret Key: Optional security layer for command verification
- Symbol Mapping: Ensure symbol names match between TradingView and broker
- Alert Setup: Create TradingView alerts using this indicator
- Webhook Configuration: Point alerts to your PineConnector webhook URL
Security Features:
- Optional secret key encryption
- Symbol-specific commands
- Debug mode for testing and validation
What makes this extension unique?
Seamless Integration:
- Unlike manual signal copying, this extension provides:
- Zero-latency signal translation
- Automated parameter passing
- Consistent execution across timeframes
- No human intervention required
Dynamic Adaptability:
Volatility-adjusted pricing for limit/stop orders
Automatic symbol detection and conversion
Multi-asset pip calculations
Intelligent timeframe formatting
Professional Risk Management:
- Percentage-based position sizing
- External stop loss integration
- Multi-order type support
- Real-time status monitoring
Robust Architecture:
- Error-resistant signal processing
- Comprehensive input validation
- Debug and testing capabilities
- Security features for live trading
Installation and Setup Guide
Quick Start:
- Add "PineConnector | Fractalyst" to your chart
- Configure your PineConnector license ID
- Connect Signal Source to your Quantify indicator
- Connect Stop Source to your stop loss indicator
- Set your preferred risk percentage
- Choose order type (Market recommended for beginners)
- Create TradingView alert using this indicator
- Ensure PineConnector EA is running on your trading platform
Advanced Configuration:
- Custom symbol mapping for cross-platform trading
- Secret key implementation for enhanced security
- Comment customization for trade tracking
- Debug mode for strategy validation
Legal Disclaimers and Risk Acknowledgments
Trading Risk Disclosure
This PineConnector Extension is provided for informational, educational, and automation purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. The extension facilitates automated trading connections but does not guarantee profitable outcomes, successful trade execution, or positive investment returns.
Automated trading systems carry substantial risks including but not limited to total capital loss, system failures, connectivity issues, and adverse market conditions. The extension's performance depends on multiple third-party services including PineConnector, MetaTrader platforms, TradingView infrastructure, and broker execution quality, any of which may experience downtime, technical failures, or service interruptions that could affect trading performance.
System Dependency Acknowledgment
The extension requires continuous operation of multiple interconnected systems: TradingView charts and alerts, PineConnector services and Expert Advisors, MetaTrader platforms, broker connectivity, and stable internet connections. Any interruption or malfunction in these systems may result in missed signals, failed executions, or unexpected trading behavior.
Users acknowledge that neither the seller nor the creator of this extension has control over these third-party services and cannot guarantee their availability, accuracy, or performance. Market conditions, broker execution policies, slippage, and technical factors may significantly affect actual trading results compared to theoretical or backtested performance.
Liability Limitation
By utilizing this extension, users acknowledge and agree that they assume full responsibility and liability for all trading decisions, financial outcomes, and potential losses resulting from the use of this automated trading system. Neither the seller nor the creator shall be liable for any unfavorable outcomes, financial losses, missed opportunities, or damages resulting from the development, use, malfunction, or performance of this extension.
Past performance of connected indicators, strategies, or the extension itself does not guarantee future results. Trading outcomes depend on numerous factors including market conditions, economic events, broker execution quality, network connectivity, and proper system configuration, all of which are beyond the control of the extension creator.
User Responsibility Statement
Users are solely responsible for understanding the risks associated with automated trading, properly configuring all system components, maintaining adequate capitalization and risk management, and regularly monitoring system performance. Users should thoroughly test the extension in demo environments before live deployment and should never risk more capital than they can afford to lose.
This extension is designed to automate signal execution but does not replace the need for proper risk management, market understanding, and trading discipline. Users should maintain active oversight of their automated trading systems and be prepared to intervene manually when necessary.
Lorentzian Classification - Advanced Trading DashboardLorentzian Classification - Relativistic Market Analysis
A Journey from Theory to Trading Reality
What began as fascination with Einstein's relativity and Lorentzian geometry has evolved into a practical trading tool that bridges theoretical physics and market dynamics. This indicator represents months of wrestling with complex mathematical concepts, debugging intricate algorithms, and transforming abstract theory into actionable trading signals.
The Theoretical Foundation
Lorentzian Distance in Market Space
Traditional Euclidean distance treats all feature differences equally, but markets don't behave uniformly. Lorentzian distance, borrowed from spacetime geometry, provides a more nuanced similarity measure:
d(x,y) = Σ ln(1 + |xi - yi|)
This logarithmic formulation naturally handles:
Scale invariance: Large price moves don't overwhelm small but significant patterns
Outlier robustness: Extreme values are dampened rather than dominating
Non-linear relationships: Captures market behavior better than linear metrics
K-Nearest Neighbors with Relativistic Weighting
The algorithm searches historical market states for patterns similar to current conditions. Each neighbor receives weight inversely proportional to its Lorentzian distance:
w = 1 / (1 + distance)
This creates a "gravitational" effect where closer patterns have stronger influence on predictions.
The Implementation Challenge
Creating meaningful market features required extensive experimentation:
Price Features: Multi-timeframe momentum (1, 2, 3, 5, 8 bar lookbacks) Volume Features: Relative volume analysis against 20-period average
Volatility Features: ATR and Bollinger Band width normalization Momentum Features: RSI deviation from neutral and MACD/price ratio
Each feature undergoes min-max normalization to ensure equal weighting in distance calculations.
The Prediction Mechanism
For each current market state:
Feature Vector Construction: 12-dimensional representation of market conditions
Historical Search: Scan lookback period for similar patterns using Lorentzian distance
Neighbor Selection: Identify K nearest historical matches
Outcome Analysis: Examine what happened N bars after each match
Weighted Prediction: Combine outcomes using distance-based weights
Confidence Calculation: Measure agreement between neighbors
Technical Hurdles Overcome
Array Management: Complex indexing to prevent look-ahead bias
Distance Calculations: Optimizing nested loops for performance
Memory Constraints: Balancing lookback depth with computational limits
Signal Filtering: Preventing clustering of identical signals
Advanced Dashboard System
Main Control Panel
The primary dashboard provides real-time market intelligence:
Signal Status: Current prediction with confidence percentage
Neighbor Analysis: How many historical patterns match current conditions
Market Regime: Trend strength, volatility, and volume analysis
Temporal Context: Real-time updates with timestamp
Performance Analytics
Comprehensive tracking system monitors:
Win Rate: Percentage of successful predictions
Signal Count: Total predictions generated
Streak Analysis: Current winning/losing sequence
Drawdown Monitoring: Maximum equity decline
Sharpe Approximation: Risk-adjusted performance estimate
Risk Assessment Panel
Multi-dimensional risk analysis:
RSI Positioning: Overbought/oversold conditions
ATR Percentage: Current volatility relative to price
Bollinger Position: Price location within volatility bands
MACD Alignment: Momentum confirmation
Confidence Heatmap
Visual representation of prediction reliability:
Historical Confidence: Last 10 periods of prediction certainty
Strength Analysis: Magnitude of prediction values over time
Pattern Recognition: Color-coded confidence levels for quick assessment
Input Parameters Deep Dive
Core Algorithm Settings
K Nearest Neighbors (1-20): More neighbors create smoother but less responsive signals. Optimal range 5-8 for most markets.
Historical Lookback (50-500): Deeper history improves pattern recognition but reduces adaptability. 100-200 bars optimal for most timeframes.
Feature Window (5-30): Longer windows capture more context but reduce sensitivity. Match to your trading timeframe.
Feature Selection
Price Changes: Essential for momentum and reversal detection Volume Profile: Critical for institutional activity recognition Volatility Measures: Key for regime change detection Momentum Indicators: Vital for trend confirmation
Signal Generation
Prediction Horizon (1-20): How far ahead to predict. Shorter horizons for scalping, longer for swing trading.
Signal Threshold (0.5-0.9): Confidence required for signal generation. Higher values reduce false signals but may miss opportunities.
Smoothing (1-10): EMA applied to raw predictions. More smoothing reduces noise but increases lag.
Visual Design Philosophy
Color Themes
Professional: Corporate blue/red for institutional environments Neon: Cyberpunk cyan/magenta for modern aesthetics
Matrix: Green/red hacker-inspired palette Classic: Traditional trading colors
Information Hierarchy
The dashboard system prioritizes information by importance:
Primary Signals: Largest, most prominent display
Confidence Metrics: Secondary but clearly visible
Supporting Data: Detailed but unobtrusive
Historical Context: Available but not distracting
Trading Applications
Signal Interpretation
Long Signals: Prediction > threshold with high confidence
Look for volume confirmation
- Check trend alignment
- Verify support levels
Short Signals: Prediction < -threshold with high confidence
Confirm with resistance levels
- Check for distribution patterns
- Verify momentum divergence
- Market Regime Adaptation
Trending Markets: Higher confidence in directional signals
Ranging Markets: Focus on reversal signals at extremes
Volatile Markets: Require higher confidence thresholds
Low Volume: Reduce position sizes, increase caution
Risk Management Integration
Confidence-Based Sizing: Larger positions for higher confidence signals
Regime-Aware Stops: Wider stops in volatile regimes
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Align signals across timeframes
Volume Confirmation: Require volume support for major signals
Originality and Innovation
This indicator represents genuine innovation in several areas:
Mathematical Approach
First application of Lorentzian geometry to market pattern recognition. Unlike Euclidean-based systems, this naturally handles market non-linearities.
Feature Engineering
Sophisticated multi-dimensional feature space combining price, volume, volatility, and momentum in normalized form.
Visualization System
Professional-grade dashboard system providing comprehensive market intelligence in intuitive format.
Performance Tracking
Real-time performance analytics typically found only in institutional trading systems.
Development Journey
Creating this indicator involved overcoming numerous technical challenges:
Mathematical Complexity: Translating theoretical concepts into practical code
Performance Optimization: Balancing accuracy with computational efficiency
User Interface Design: Making complex data accessible and actionable
Signal Quality: Filtering noise while maintaining responsiveness
The result is a tool that brings institutional-grade analytics to individual traders while maintaining the theoretical rigor of its mathematical foundation.
Best Practices
- Parameter Optimization
- Start with default settings and adjust based on:
Market Characteristics: Volatile vs. stable
Trading Timeframe: Scalping vs. swing trading
Risk Tolerance: Conservative vs. aggressive
Signal Confirmation
Never trade on Lorentzian signals alone:
Price Action: Confirm with support/resistance
Volume: Verify with volume analysis
Multiple Timeframes: Check higher timeframe alignment
Market Context: Consider overall market conditions
Risk Management
Position Sizing: Scale with confidence levels
Stop Losses: Adapt to market volatility
Profit Targets: Based on historical performance
Maximum Risk: Never exceed 2-3% per trade
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee profitable trading results. The Lorentzian classification system reveals market patterns but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Market dynamics are inherently uncertain, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This tool should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, not as a standalone solution.
Bringing the elegance of relativistic geometry to market analysis through sophisticated pattern recognition and intuitive visualization.
Thank you for sharing the idea. You're more than a follower, you're a leader!
@vasanthgautham1221
Trade with precision. Trade with insight.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Risk Calculator PRO — manual lot size + auto lot-suggestionWhy risk management?
90 % of traders blow up because they size positions emotionally. This tool forces Risk-First Thinking: choose the amount you’re willing to lose, and the script reverse-engineers everything else.
Key features
1. Manual or Market Entry – click “Use current price” or type a custom entry.
2. Setup-based ₹-Risk – four presets (A/B/C/D). Edit to your workflow.
3. Lot-Size Input + Auto Lot Suggestion – you tell the contract size ⇒ script tells you how many lots.
4. Auto-SL (optional) – tick to push stop-loss to exactly 1-lot risk.
5. Instant Targets – 1 : 2, 1 : 3, 1 : 4, 1 : 5 plotted and alert-ready.
6. P&L Preview – table shows potential profit at each R-multiple plus real ₹ at SL.
7. Margin Column – enter per-lot margin once; script totals it for any size.
8. Clean Table UI – dark/light friendly; updates every 5 bars.
9. Alert Pack – SL, each target, plus copy-paste journal line on the chart.
How to use
1. Add to chart > “Format”.
2. Type the lot size for the symbol (e.g., 1250 for Natural Gas, 1 for cash equity).
3. Pick Side (Buy / Sell) & Setup grade.
4. ✅ If you want the script to place SL for you, tick Auto-SL (risk = 1 lot).
5. Otherwise type your own Stop-loss.
6. Read the table:
• Suggested lots = how many to trade so risk ≤ setup ₹.
• Risk (currency) = real money lost if SL hits.
7. Set TradingView alerts on the built-in conditions (T1_2, SL_hit, etc.) if you’d like push / email.
8. Copy the orange CSV label to Excel / Sheets for journalling.
Best practices
• Never raise risk to “fit” a trade. Lower size instead.
• Review win-rate vs. R multiple monthly; adjust setups A–D accordingly.
• Test Auto-SL in replay before going live.
Disclaimer
This script is educational. Past performance ≠ future results. The author isn’t responsible for trading losses.
OTE & A-B-C Zone Indicator SwiftEdgeOTE & A-B-C Zone Indicator SwiftEdge
Overview
The OTE & A-B-C Zone Indicator SwiftEdge is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify high-probability trading setups using a combination of Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zones, Fibonacci levels, and A-B-C price patterns. This indicator is particularly useful for traders who rely on price action and Fibonacci-based strategies to find entry points, set stop-losses, and target potential take-profit levels. By integrating swing point detection, trend analysis, and Fibonacci projections, SwiftEdge provides a clear visual framework for making informed trading decisions across various timeframes.
What It Does
SwiftEdge identifies key price levels and zones to guide your trading:
OTE Zone: Highlights the Optimal Trade Entry zone between swing points A (swing high) and B (swing low) using Fibonacci retracement levels (default: 0.618 to 0.786). This zone represents a high-probability area for price reversals, making it an ideal entry point for trades.
A-B-C Pattern: Marks the latest swing points as A (swing high), B (swing low), and C (projected take-profit level) with dashed lines and labels. A solid line connects A to B to C, visually illustrating the price movement from entry to target.
Take-Profit Zones: Projects three customizable take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3) based on Fibonacci extensions (default: 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) from the A-B swing, helping traders plan exits with favorable risk-reward ratios.
How It Works
SwiftEdge combines several technical components to create a cohesive trading system:
Swing Point Detection: Identifies significant swing highs (A) and swing lows (B) using a dynamic lookback period that adjusts to the selected timeframe. On lower timeframes like 1-minute charts, an ATR-based filter reduces noise by requiring price movements to exceed a threshold (0.5 * ATR(14)).
Trend Analysis: Uses an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to determine the trend direction (default: 50-period EMA on 1H). The indicator marks uptrends (price above EMA) in green and downtrends (price below EMA) in red, ensuring trades align with the market's direction.
Fibonacci Levels: Applies Fibonacci retracement to define the OTE zone between A and B, and Fibonacci extensions to project take-profit levels (C) beyond the initial swing. This approach leverages the natural tendency of markets to respect Fibonacci ratios for reversals and extensions.
Visual Clarity: Displays only the latest A-B-C pattern with three dashed lines (A, B, C) and a solid connecting line, ensuring the chart remains uncluttered and easy to interpret.
The combination of these elements creates a structured setup where the OTE zone (between A and B) serves as an entry point, while the projected C level offers a target, all within the context of the prevailing trend. This synergy makes SwiftEdge a powerful tool for traders seeking to combine price action, trend analysis, and Fibonacci strategies.
How to Use
Add the Indicator: Apply the indicator to your chart via TradingView's indicator menu.
Identify the Trend: The OTE zone and A-B-C pattern will be colored green in uptrends (price above EMA) or red in downtrends (price below EMA). Use this to determine the market direction.
Entry Point: Look for price reversals within the OTE zone (between A and B). This zone is typically between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels of the A-B swing, making it a high-probability area for entries.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss below the OTE zone in an uptrend (or above in a downtrend) to protect against false breakouts.
Take-Profit Targets: Use the projected take-profit zones (TP1, TP2, TP3) as potential exit levels. These are based on Fibonacci extensions and can be toggled on/off in the settings.
Customization:
Adjust the Fibonacci levels for the OTE zone (Fibonacci Level 1 and Fibonacci Level 2) to suit your strategy.
Modify the take-profit levels (Fibonacci Extension Level for TP1/TP2/TP3) to target different extension ratios.
Change the lookback period (Base Lookback Period) and EMA period (Base EMA Period) to fine-tune swing point detection and trend sensitivity.
Customize colors for uptrends, downtrends, and A-B-C lines to match your preferences.
What Makes It Unique
SwiftEdge stands out by integrating swing point detection, Fibonacci-based OTE zones, and A-B-C price patterns into a single, visually intuitive indicator. Unlike standalone Fibonacci tools or trend indicators, SwiftEdge combines these elements to provide a complete trading setup: it identifies entry zones (OTE), confirms trend direction (EMA), and projects take-profit targets (Fibonacci extensions). The dynamic timeframe adjustment ensures consistent performance across all chart intervals, while the clean A-B-C visualization (with only the latest pattern displayed) prevents chart clutter, making it easier to focus on the most relevant price levels.
Notes
This indicator is designed for traders familiar with price action and Fibonacci strategies. It does not guarantee profits and should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools and proper risk management.
Performance may vary depending on market conditions and timeframe. Test the indicator on a demo account before using it in live trading.
Momentum Volume Divergence (MVD) EnhancedMomentum Volume Divergence (MVD) Enhanced is a powerful indicator that detects price-momentum divergences and momentum suppression for reversal trading. Optimized for XRP on 1D charts, it features dynamic lookbacks, ATR-adjusted thresholds, and SMA confirmation. Signals include strong divergences (triangles) and suppression warnings (crosses). Includes a detailed user guide—try it out and share your feedback!
Setup: Add to XRP 1D chart with defaults (mom_length_base=8, vol_length_base=10). Signals: Red triangle (sell), Green triangle (buy), Orange cross (bear warning), Yellow cross (bull warning). Confirm with 5-day SMA crossovers. See full guide for details!
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves risk—use at your discretion.
Momentum Volume Divergence (MVD) Enhanced Indicator User Guide
Version: Pine Script v6
Designed for: TradingView
Recommended Use: XRP on 1-day (1D) chart
Date: March 18, 2025
Author: Herschel with assistance from Grok 3 (xAI)
Overview
The Momentum Volume Divergence (MVD) Enhanced indicator is a powerful tool for identifying price-momentum divergences and momentum suppression patterns on XRP’s 1-day (1D) chart. Plotted below the price chart, it provides clear visual signals to help traders spot potential reversals and trend shifts.
Purpose
Detect divergences between price and momentum for buy/sell opportunities.
Highlight momentum suppression as warnings of fading trends.
Offer actionable trading signals with intuitive markers.
Indicator Components
Main Plot
Volume-Weighted Momentum (vw_mom): Blue line showing momentum adjusted by volume.
Above 0 = bullish momentum.
Below 0 = bearish momentum.
Zero Line: Gray dashed line at 0, separating bullish/bearish zones.
Key Signals
Strong Bearish Divergence:
Marker: Red triangle at the top.
Meaning: Price makes a higher high, but momentum weakens, confirmed by a drop below the 5-day SMA.
Action: Potential sell/short signal.
Strong Bullish Divergence:
Marker: Green triangle at the bottom.
Meaning: Price makes a lower low, but momentum strengthens, confirmed by a rise above the 5-day SMA.
Action: Potential buy/long signal.
Bearish Suppression:
Marker: Orange cross at the top + red background.
Meaning: Strong bullish momentum with low volume in a volume downtrend, suggesting fading strength.
Action: Warning to avoid longs or exit early.
Bullish Suppression:
Marker: Yellow cross at the bottom + green background.
Meaning: Strong bearish momentum with low volume in a volume uptrend, suggesting fading weakness.
Action: Warning to avoid shorts or exit early.
Debug Plots (Optional)
Volume Ratio: Gray line (volume vs. its MA) vs. yellow line (threshold).
Momentum Threshold: Purple lines (positive/negative momentum cutoffs).
Smoothed Momentum: Orange line (raw momentum).
Confirmation SMA: Purple line (price trend confirmation).
Labels
Text labels (e.g., "Bear Div," "Bull Supp") mark detected patterns.
How to Use the Indicator
Step-by-Step Trading Process
1. Monitor the Chart
Load your XRP 1D chart with the indicator applied.
Observe the blue vw_mom line and signal markers.
2. Spot a Signal
Primary Signals: Look for red triangles (strong_bear) or green triangles (strong_bull).
Warnings: Note orange crosses (suppression_bear) or yellow crosses (suppression_bull).
3. Confirm the Signal
For Strong Bullish Divergence (Buy):
Green triangle appears.
Price closes above the 5-day SMA (purple line) and a recent swing high.
Optional: Volume ratio (gray line) exceeds the threshold (yellow line).
For Strong Bearish Divergence (Sell):
Red triangle appears.
Price closes below the 5-day SMA and a recent swing low.
Optional: Volume ratio (gray line) falls below the threshold (yellow line).
4. Enter the Trade
Long:
Buy at the close of the signal bar.
Stop loss: Below the recent swing low or 2 × ATR(14) below entry.
Short:
Sell/short at the close of the signal bar.
Stop loss: Above the recent swing high or 2 × ATR(14) above entry.
5. Manage the Trade
Take Profit:
Aim for a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-reward ratio (e.g., risk $0.05, target $0.10-$0.15).
Or exit when an opposite suppression signal appears (e.g., orange cross for longs).
Trailing Stop:
Move stop to breakeven after a 1:1 RR move.
Trail using the 5-day SMA or 2 × ATR(14).
Early Exit:
Exit if a suppression signal appears against your position (e.g., suppression_bull while short).
6. Filter Out Noise
Avoid trades if a suppression signal precedes a divergence within 2-3 days.
Optional: Add a 50-day SMA on the price chart:
Longs only if price > 50-SMA.
Shorts only if price < 50-SMA.
Example Trades (XRP 1D)
Bullish Trade
Signal: Green triangle (strong_bull) at $0.55.
Confirmation: Price closes above 5-SMA and $0.57 high.
Entry: Buy at $0.58.
Stop Loss: $0.53 (recent low).
Take Profit: $0.63 (2:1 RR) or exit on suppression_bear.
Outcome: Price hits $0.64, exit at $0.63 for profit.
Bearish Trade
Signal: Red triangle (strong_bear) at $0.70.
Confirmation: Price closes below 5-SMA and $0.68 low.
Entry: Short at $0.67.
Stop Loss: $0.71 (recent high).
Take Profit: $0.62 (2:1 RR) or exit on suppression_bull.
Outcome: Price drops to $0.61, exit at $0.62 for profit.
Tips for Success
Combine with Price Levels:
Use support/resistance zones (e.g., weekly pivots) to confirm entries.
Monitor Volume:
Rising volume (gray line above yellow) strengthens signals.
Adjust Sensitivity:
Too many signals? Increase div_strength_threshold to 0.7.
Too few signals? Decrease to 0.3.
Backtest:
Review 20-30 past signals on XRP 1D to assess performance.
Avoid Choppy Markets:
Skip signals during low volatility (tight price ranges).
Troubleshooting
No Signals:
Lower div_strength_threshold to 0.3 or mom_threshold_base to 0.2.
Check if XRP’s volatility is unusually low.
False Signals:
Increase sma_confirm_length to 7 or add a 50-SMA filter.
Indicator Not Loading:
Ensure the script compiles without errors.
Customization (Optional)
Change Colors: Edit color.* values (e.g., color.red to color.purple).
Add Alerts: Use TradingView’s alert menu for "Strong Bearish Divergence Confirmed," etc.
Test Other Assets: Experiment with BTC or ETH, adjusting inputs as needed.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Use at your own discretion.
Setup: Use on XRP 1D with defaults (mom_length_base=8, vol_length_base=10). Signals: Red triangle (sell), Green triangle (buy), Orange cross (bear warning), Yellow cross (bull warning). Confirm with 5-day SMA cross. Stop: 2x ATR(14). Profit: 2:1 RR or suppression exit. Full guide available separately!
BUY & SELL Dynamic DCA StrategyOverview
The BUY & SELL Dynamic DCA Strategy is a versatile Pine Script indicator designed for traders seeking a robust Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) approach to manage both long and short positions across various market conditions and timeframes. This innovative tool combines breakout-based level initiation with a dynamic volatility adjustment, enabling traders to enter positions at optimal DCA points, average them strategically, and manage risk with adjustable stop-loss and take-profit levels. Ideal for scalping on short timeframes (1-minute, 5-minute) or swing trading on longer ones (15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour).
Purpose and Originality
The "BUY & SELL Dynamic DCA Strategy" stands out by integrating several trading concepts into a cohesive, trader-friendly system. While it leverages familiar elements like breakout points and ATR (Average True Range), its originality lies in:
Dynamic Volatility Adjustment: A custom volatility factor, derived from a capped ATR calculation, dynamically scales DCA entry, averaging, and stop-loss levels. This ensures the strategy adapts to market conditions, tightening in low volatility for scalping and widening in high volatility for swing trading.
Dual-Direction DCA: Supports both buy (long) entries on pullbacks and sell (short) entries on rallies, with tailored averaging and exit strategies for each.
Timeframe Versatility: Adjusts its sensitivity based on the chart timeframe, making it suitable for rapid scalping or longer-term trend riding without requiring manual recalibration.
This unique synthesis justifies its publication as a invite-only script, offering a practical tool that enhances traditional DCA methods with adaptive precision.
How It Works
The indicator operates through a multi-step process designed to optimize entry, averaging, and exit points:
1. Initial Level Setting:
Utilizes high and low threshold (calculated over a user-defined period) to establish initial DCA entry levels. If no threshold is detected, it defaults to the previous bar’s price, ensuring immediate applicability.
2. Dynamic DCA Entry:
Entry levels are adjusted using a proprietary volatility factor, which scales the distance from the current price. Long entries trigger when the price falls below this level, while short entries trigger when the price rises above it, with a volume confirmation filter to reduce noise.
3. Averaging Mechanism:
A secondary level (Averaging Level) allows traders to add to their position when the price moves further against the trade (down for longs, up for shorts). This level is also volatility-adjusted, providing a structured cost-reduction strategy.
4. Risk and Reward Management:
A Final Stop-Loss (Final SL) is set farther out, calculated as a multiple of the volatility-adjusted risk distance, offering protection after averaging.
Take-Profit (TP) levels are determined using a user-defined risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring a balanced exit strategy tailored to market movement.
5. Performance Tracking:
A real-time win/loss table in the top-right corner records trade outcomes, with wins and losses color-coded based on the trade direction (green/red for long, red/green for short), aiding performance evaluation.
Features
1. Dual-Mode Operation : Facilitates both long entries on price dips and short entries on price surges, adaptable to bullish and bearish markets.
2. Volatility-Adaptive Levels: Employs a custom ATR-based adjustment to scale entry, averaging, and stop-loss levels, enhancing responsiveness across timeframes.
3. Visual Tools: Features dashed lines and labels for DCA Entry (green for long, red for short), Final SL (red), and TP (cyan), with debug labels for entries and averages.
4. Timeframe Flexibility: Automatically adjusts threshold periods and volatility factors based on the chart timeframe (1m, 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h), optimizing for scalping or swing trading.
5. Customizable Parameters: Allows fine-tuning of period, DCA factors, and visibility options.
Settings
Base Length (default: 10): Base period for pivot calculations, scaled by timeframe (e.g., 10 becomes 20 on 5m).
Type: 'Wicks' (high/low) or 'Body' (open/close) for price-based levels.
RR Ratio (default: 1.2): Risk-to-reward ratio for TP calculation.
DCA Entry Factor (default: 1.0): Multiplier for volatility-adjusted DCA entry distance.
Avg Level Factor (default: 2.0): Multiplier for averaging level distance.
Final SL Factor (default: 3.0): Multiplier for final stop-loss distance.
SL Type: 'Close' or 'High/Low' for stop-loss evaluation.
Show DCA Entry, Show Avg Level, Show Final SL: Toggle visibility of respective lines.
Show Win/Loss Table: Enable/disable performance tracking.
Line Style: Select 'Solid', 'Dashed', or 'Dotted'.
Usage Instructions
1. Application:
Add the "BUY & SELL Dynamic DCA Strategy - JOAT" via the Pine Editor or community scripts on TradingView.
2. Configuration:
Scalping (1m, 5m): Set Base Length to 5-10, use a low DCA Entry Factor (0.5-1.0) for tight entries, and a Final SL Factor of 2.0-3.0.
Swing Trading (15m, 1h, 4h): Increase Base Length to 15-20, use a higher DCA Entry Factor (1.0-2.0), and set Final SL Factor to 3.0-4.0 for wider stops.
Enable visual elements and adjust Line Style as preferred.
3. Signal Interpretation:
Long Trade: A green dashed "DCA Entry" line below the price triggers a "Long Entry" label on crossover down.
Short Trade: A red dashed "DCA Entry" line above the price triggers a "Short Entry" label on crossover up.
Averaging: A yellow "Avg" label (long) or magenta "Avg" label (short) appears at the respective averaging level.
Exits: TP (cyan) for wins, Final SL (red) for losses, tracked in the win/loss table.
Trade Management:
Scalping: Use 1m/5m for quick trades, averaging as price moves against you.
Swing Trading: Use 15m/1h/4h to capture trends, averaging for cost adjustment.
Manually adjust position size for averaging based on risk tolerance.
5. Performance Monitoring:
The top-right table updates with wins (green/red) and losses (red/green) per trade type, helping assess strategy effectiveness.
Limitations
Manual Averaging: Requires manual position size adjustment at the Averaging Level; automation is not included.
Timeframe Sensitivity: May require parameter tuning for optimal performance across 1m to 4h.
No Trend Filter: Sideways markets may generate noise; adding a trend indicator could enhance accuracy (future development).
Initialization Delay: First trade may be delayed until a pivot is detected, using the current price as a fallback.
Originality Justification
The custom volAdj method, which caps ATR at a percentage of price and scales it by timeframe, offering a unique volatility adjustment not found in standard indicators.
The dual-direction DCA with averaging, combining long and short strategies with volatility-modulated levels, providing a comprehensive trading framework.
The timeframe-adaptive design, automatically adjusting pivot periods and volatility factors, making it a versatile tool across scalping and swing trading.
SiCInside Sweep Close (ISC):
This concept captures a specific price action behavior and can help refine trading strategies for better precision. Here's a detailed explanation:
Inside:
The closing price of the candle stays within the range of the previous candle.
This indicates a containment of price action, suggesting indecision or preparation for a significant move.
Sweep:
The wick of the candle takes out (or "sweeps") the low (or high) of the previous candle.
This sweep can trigger stop-losses of retail traders or activate pending orders, often used by smart money strategies.
Close:
The candle ultimately closes inside the range of the previous candle.
This close signifies that the sweep was a liquidity grab rather than a genuine breakout, providing an actionable trading signal.
How ISC Can Be Used in Trading:
Liquidity Grab Recognition:
ISC can indicate when liquidity is swept from the market, making it an ideal entry point for traders anticipating a reversal or continuation.
Smart Money Concept (SMC) Synergy:
If you follow SMC principles, ISC aligns with key concepts like liquidity sweeps, order blocks, and mitigation zones.
Risk Management:
By identifying the ISC setup, you can place tighter stop-loss levels just outside the sweep, optimizing risk-reward ratios.
Entry Signals:
When you spot an ISC, you can enter trades at the close of the candle, anticipating a move in the direction opposite to the sweep.
Example of ISC in Action:
Imagine a bearish candle:
The wick sweeps the low of the previous candle, possibly triggering stop-losses.
However, the close stays inside the previous candle’s range.
This setup might indicate a reversal, where price moves upward after grabbing liquidity.
Why This Name Works:
It’s concise, professional, and directly linked to the trading action you’re describing.
The short form, ISC, is easy to remember and discuss within trading circles or while teaching others.
It ties into widely known concepts like smart money, price action, and liquidity sweeps, making it relatable yet unique.
Does this align with how you envision using the concept? Let me know if you’d like more refinements or visual examples!
Marcel's Dynamic Profit / Loss Calculator for GoldOverview
This Dynamic Risk / Reward Tool for Gold is designed to help traders efficiently plan and manage their trades in the volatile gold market. This script provides a clear visualisation of trade levels (Entry, Stop Loss, Take Profit) while dynamically calculating potential profit and loss. It ensures gold traders can assess their positions with precision, saving time and improving risk management.
Key Features
1. Trade Level Visualisation:
Plots Entry (Blue), Stop Loss (Red), and Take Profit (Green) lines directly on the chart.
Helps you visualise and confirm trade setups quickly which is good for scalping and day trades.
2. Dynamic Risk and Reward Calculations:
Calculates potential profit and loss in real time based on user-defined inputs such as position size, leverage, and account equity.
Displays a summary panel showing risk/reward metrics directly on the chart.
3. Customisable Settings:
Allows you to adjust key parameters like account equity, position size, leverage, and specific price levels for Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit.
Defaults are dynamically generated for convenience but remain fully adjustable for flexibility.
How It Works
The script uses gold-specific conventions (e.g., 1 lot = 100 ounces, 1 pip = 0.01 price change) to calculate accurate risk and reward metrics.
It dynamically positions Stop Loss and Take Profit levels relative to the entry price, based on user-defined or default offsets.
A real-time summary panel is displayed in the bottom-right corner of the chart, showing:
Potential Profit: The monetary value if the Take Profit is hit.
Potential Lo
ss: The monetary value if the Stop Loss is hit.
How to Use It
1. Add the script to your chart on a gold trading pair (e.g., XAUUSD).
2. Input your:
Account equity.
Leverage.
Position size (in lots).
Desired En
try Price (default: current close price).
3. Adjust the Stop Loss and Take Profit levels to your strategy, or let the script use default offsets of:
500 pips below the Entry for Stop Loss.
1000 pips above the Entry for Take Profit.
4. Review the plotted levels and the summary panel to confirm your trade aligns with your risk/reward goals.
Why Use This Tool?
Clarity and Precision:
Provides clear trade visuals and financial metrics for confident decision-making.
Time-Saving:
Automates the calculations needed to evaluate trade risk and reward.
Improved Risk Management:
Ensures you never trade without knowing your exact potential loss and gain.
This script is particularly useful for both novice and experienced traders looking to enhance their risk management and trading discipline in the Gold market. Enjoy clearer trades at speed.
CPR by NKDCentral Pivot Range (CPR) Trading Strategy:
The Central Pivot Range (CPR) is a widely-used tool in technical analysis, helping traders pinpoint potential support and resistance levels in the market. By using the CPR effectively, traders can better gauge market trends and determine favorable entry and exit points. This guide explores how the CPR works, outlines its calculation, and describes how traders can enhance their strategies using an extended 10-line version of CPR.
What Really Central Pivot Range (CPR) is?
At its core, the CPR consists of three key lines:
Pivot Point (PP) – The central line, calculated as the average of the previous day’s high, low, and closing prices.
Upper Range (R1) – Positioned above the Pivot Point, acting as a potential ceiling where price may face resistance.
Lower Range (S1) – Found below the Pivot Point, serving as a potential floor where price might find support.
Advanced traders often expand on the traditional three-line CPR by adding extra levels above and below the pivot, creating up to a 10-line system. This extended CPR allows for a more nuanced understanding of the market and helps identify more detailed trading opportunities.
Applying CPR for Trading Success
1. How CPR is Calculation
The CPR relies on the previous day's high (H), low (L), and close (C) prices to create its structure:
Pivot Point (PP) = (H + L + C) / 3
First Resistance (R1) = (2 * PP) - L
First Support (S1) = (2 * PP) - H
Additional resistance levels (R2, R3) and support levels (S2, S3) are calculated by adding or subtracting multiples of the previous day’s price range (H - L) from the Pivot Point.
2. Recognizing the Market Trend
To effectively trade using CPR, it’s essential to first determine whether the market is trending up (bullish) or down (bearish). In an upward-trending market, traders focus on buying at support levels, while in a downward market, they look to sell near resistance.
3. Finding Ideal Entry Points
Traders often look to enter trades when price approaches key levels within the CPR range. Support levels (S1, S2) offer buying opportunities, while resistance levels (R1, R2) provide selling opportunities. These points are considered potential reversal zones, where price may bounce or reverse direction.
4. Managing Risk with Stop-Loss Orders
Proper risk management is crucial in any trading strategy. A stop-loss should be set slightly beyond the support level for buy positions and above the resistance level for sell positions, ensuring that losses are contained if the market moves against the trader’s position.
5. Determining Profit Targets
Profit targets are typically set based on the distance between entry points and the next support or resistance level. Many traders apply a risk-reward ratio, aiming for larger potential profits compared to the potential losses. However, if the next resistance and support level is far then middle levels are used for targets (i.e. 50% of R1 and R2)
6. Confirmation Through Other Indicators
While CPR provides strong support and resistance levels, traders often use additional indicators to confirm potential trade setups. Indicators such as moving averages can
help validate the signals provided by the CPR.
7. Monitoring Price Action At CPR Levels
Constantly monitoring price movement near CPR levels is essential. If the price fails to break through a resistance level (R1) or holds firm at support (S1), it can offer cues on when to exit or adjust a trade. However, a strong price break past these levels often signals a continued trend.
8. Trading Breakouts with CPR
When the price breaks above resistance or below support with strong momentum, it may signal a potential breakout. Traders can capitalize on these movements by entering positions in the direction of the breakout, ideally confirmed by volume or other technical indicators.
9. Adapting to Changing Market Conditions
CPR should be used in the context of broader market influences, such as economic reports, news events, or geopolitical shifts. These factors can dramatically affect market direction and how price reacts to CPR levels, making it important to stay informed about external market conditions.
10. Practice and Backtesting for Improvements
Like any trading tool, the CPR requires practice. Traders are encouraged to backtest their strategies on historical price data to get a better sense of how CPR works in different market environments. Continuous analysis and practice help improve decision-making and strategy refinement.
The Advantages of Using a 10-Line CPR System
An extended 10-line CPR system—comprising up to five resistance and five support levels—provides more granular control and insight into market movements. This expanded view helps traders better gauge trends and identify more opportunities for entry and exit. Key benefits include:
R2, S2 Levels: These act as secondary resistance or support zones, giving traders additional opportunities to refine their trade entries and exits.
R3, S3 Levels: Provide an even wider range for identifying reversals or trend continuations in more volatile markets.
Flexibility: The broader range of levels allows traders to adapt to changing market conditions and make more precise decisions based on market momentum.
So in Essential:
The Central Pivot Range is a valuable tool for traders looking to identify critical price levels in the market. By providing a clear framework for identifying potential support and resistance zones, it helps traders make informed decisions about entering and exiting trades. However, it’s important to combine CPR with sound risk management and additional confirmation through other technical indicators for the best results.
Although no trading tool guarantees success, the CPR, when used effectively and combined with practice, can significantly enhance a trader’s ability to navigate market fluctuations.
DILM TRADING - Market Sentiment and FibonacciDILM TRADING - Market Sentiment and Fibonacci
Overview
The DILM TRADING - Market Sentiment and Fibonacci indicator is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of market trends and potential trading opportunities. By combining several popular technical indicators such as the SuperTrend, Fibonacci levels, and multiple sentiment indicators, this tool offers a deep analysis of market dynamics. Each component has been carefully selected to work in harmony, providing users with reliable entry and exit signals and helping them navigate volatile markets.
Why This Combination?
This indicator brings together different elements with specific purposes:
SuperTrend: A trend-following indicator that helps identify the market's current direction and acts as a dynamic stop-loss tool.
Fibonacci Levels: Known for pinpointing potential market reversal points, these levels provide crucial support and resistance areas for traders to set stop-losses and take-profits.
Sentiment Indicators: Tools like RSI, MACD, and Ichimoku are combined to gauge market momentum, allowing traders to assess whether a market is overbought or oversold, and whether the current trend is strong enough to continue or reverse.
The combination of these indicators gives traders a complete framework for analyzing the market: trend direction, market sentiment, and key price levels. Each of these elements works in tandem to provide signals that are both timely and accurate.
Key Features
SuperTrend
Based on the Average True Range (ATR), the SuperTrend indicator is an excellent way to determine the current trend. If the price is above the SuperTrend line, it suggests an uptrend, whereas if the price is below it, a downtrend is indicated. It is also a highly effective tool for setting trailing stop-losses, thereby improving risk management.
Fibonacci Levels
The script automatically calculates Fibonacci retracement levels based on the highest and lowest points within a specific timeframe. These levels are essential for identifying potential reversal zones, key areas for stop-losses, and take-profit levels. The levels adjust according to the prevailing trend, making them a dynamic and responsive tool for any market condition.
Sentiment Indicators
This section integrates multiple sentiment indicators to give a holistic view of market direction:
Ichimoku Cloud: Measures the strength of trends and identifies potential reversal zones using clouds (Kumo).
OBV (On-Balance Volume): Tracks volume changes to confirm the direction of price movements.
CMF (Chaikin Money Flow): Monitors the money flow to identify buying or selling pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Highlights overbought or oversold conditions, signaling potential trend reversals.
MACD: A reliable tool for identifying bullish and bearish crossovers.
ADX (Average Directional Index): Determines the strength of the prevailing trend, helping to confirm whether it's likely to continue or weaken.
Volatility Filter
The ATR (Average True Range) acts as a filter to identify periods of high or low volatility, helping traders to adapt their strategies to the current market environment. High volatility suggests larger price swings, potentially offering better trading opportunities, while low volatility indicates consolidation or range-bound conditions.
Order Blocks
The script visually identifies bullish and bearish order blocks on the chart. These zones represent areas where significant buying or selling occurred, making them crucial for spotting potential breakout or reversal points.
How to Use
Entry/Exit: Fibonacci levels (50% or 61.8%) serve as potential entry points, while the 0% and 100% levels can be used to set take-profit and stop-loss levels.
Sentiment Analysis: The overall market sentiment is derived from the combination of Ichimoku, OBV, CMF, RSI, ADX, and other tools, helping traders make informed decisions on whether to buy or sell.
Risk Management: Use SuperTrend and Fibonacci levels to set precise stop-loss points and improve risk management.
New Feature: Moving Average and RSI Confirmation
A recent addition allows users to calculate two moving averages (short and long) and the RSI on a timeframe of their choice. An entry signal is generated when the short moving average crosses above the long, and the RSI is below a specific threshold. Conversely, a sell signal is displayed when the short moving average crosses below the long, and the RSI is above a defined level.
Limitations
This indicator may be less effective during periods of low volatility or range-bound markets. It's important to use this tool in conjunction with other analysis techniques, as relying on a single indicator could lead to false signals.
DILM TRADING - Sentiment de marché et Fibonacci
Vue d'ensemble
L'indicateur DILM TRADING - Sentiment de marché et Fibonacci a été conçu pour offrir une vue d'ensemble des tendances du marché et des opportunités de trading potentielles. En combinant plusieurs indicateurs techniques populaires, tels que le SuperTrend, les niveaux de Fibonacci, et divers indicateurs de sentiment, cet outil fournit une analyse complète des dynamiques du marché. Chaque composant a été soigneusement sélectionné pour fonctionner ensemble, offrant des signaux d'entrée et de sortie fiables.
Pourquoi cette combinaison ?
Cette combinaison d'indicateurs permet de fournir un cadre complet pour analyser le marché. Le SuperTrend permet d'identifier la tendance, tandis que les niveaux de Fibonacci aident à déterminer les zones de retournement clés. Les indicateurs de sentiment, comme le RSI et le MACD, ajoutent une dimension supplémentaire en mesurant la force et la direction du marché.
Caractéristiques clés et Utilisation
SuperTrend : Indique la tendance actuelle et propose des niveaux de stop-loss dynamiques.
Niveaux de Fibonacci : Utilisés pour repérer des points de retournement potentiels et définir des niveaux de stop-loss et de take-profit.
Indicateurs de Sentiment : Outils comme l'Ichimoku, le RSI, et l'ADX fournissent une analyse globale du marché, permettant de prendre des décisions éclairées.
Nouvelle fonctionnalité : Confirmation des Moyennes Mobiles et RSI
Cette fonctionnalité permet d'utiliser deux moyennes mobiles et le RSI pour générer des signaux d'achat et de vente basés sur les croisements et les niveaux de surachat/survente du RSI.
Conclusion
Le DILM TRADING - Sentiment de marché et Fibonacci est un outil puissant et polyvalent, conçu pour les traders cherchant à affiner leurs stratégies grâce à une analyse complète des tendances et du sentiment du marché.
OrderFlow [Adjustable] | FractalystWhat's the indicator's purpose and functionality?
This indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying real-time probabilities of buyside and sellside liquidity .
It allows for an adjustable pivot level , enabling traders to customize the level they want to use for their entries.
By doing so, traders can evaluate whether their chosen entry point would yield a positive expected value over a large sample size, optimizing their strategy for long-term profitability.
For advanced traders looking to enhance their analysis, the indicator supports the incorporation of up to 7 higher timeframe biases .
Additionally, the higher timeframe pivot level can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences,
Offering maximum adaptability to different strategies and needs, further helping to maximize positive EV.
EV=(P(Win)×R(Win))−(P(Loss)×R(Loss))
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What's the purpose of these levels? What are the underlying calculations?
1. Understanding Swing highs and Swing Lows
Swing High: A Swing High is formed when there is a high with 2 lower highs to the left and right.
Swing Low: A Swing Low is formed when there is a low with 2 higher lows to the left and right.
2. Understanding the purpose and the underlying calculations behind Buyside, Sellside and Pivot levels.
3. Identifying Discount and Premium Zones.
4. Importance of Risk-Reward in Premium and Discount Ranges
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How does the script calculate probabilities?
The script calculates the probability of each liquidity level individually. Here's the breakdown:
1. Upon the formation of a new range, the script waits for the price to reach and tap into pivot level level. Status: "⏸" - Inactive
2. Once pivot level is tapped into, the pivot status becomes activated and it waits for either liquidity side to be hit. Status: "▶" - Active
3. If the buyside liquidity is hit, the script adds to the count of successful buyside liquidity occurrences. Similarly, if the sellside is tapped, it records successful sellside liquidity occurrences.
4. Finally, the number of successful occurrences for each side is divided by the overall count individually to calculate the range probabilities.
Note: The calculations are performed independently for each directional range. A range is considered bearish if the previous breakout was through a sellside liquidity. Conversely, a range is considered bullish if the most recent breakout was through a buyside liquidity.
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What does the multi-timeframe functionality offer?
In the adjustable version of the orderflow indicator, you can incorporate up to 7 higher timeframe probabilities directly into the table.
This feature allows you to analyze the probabilities of buyside and sellside liquidity across multiple timeframes, without the need to manually switch between them.
By viewing these higher timeframe probabilities in one place, traders can spot larger market trends and refine their entries and exits with a better understanding of the overall market context.
This multi-timeframe functionality helps traders:
1. Simplify decision-making by offering a comprehensive view of multiple timeframes at once.
2. Identify confluence between timeframes, enhancing the confidence in trade setups.
3. Adapt strategies more effectively, as the higher timeframe pivot levels can be customized to meet individual preferences and goals.
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What are the multi-timeframe underlying calculations?
The script uses the same calculations (mentioned above) and uses security function to request the data such as price levels, bar time, probabilities and booleans from the user-input timeframe.
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How does the Indicator Identifies Positive Expected Values?
OrderFlow indicator instantly calculates whether a trade setup has the potential for positive expected value (EV) in the long run.
To determine a positive EV setup, the indicator uses the formula:
EV=(P(Win)×R(Win))−(P(Loss)×R(Loss))
where:
P(Win) is the probability of a winning trade.
R(Win) is the reward or return for a winning trade, determined by the current risk-to-reward ratio (RR).
P(Loss) is the probability of a losing trade.
R(Loss) is the loss incurred per losing trade, typically assumed to be -1.
By calculating these values based on historical data and the current trading setup, the indicator helps you understand whether your trade has a positive expected value over a large sample size.
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How can I know that the setup I'm going to trade with has a postive EV?
If the indicator detects that the adjusted pivot and buy/sell side probabilities have generated positive expected value (EV) in historical data, the risk-to-reward (RR) label within the range box will be colored blue and red .
If the setup does not produce positive EV, the RR label will appear gray.
This indicates that even the risk-to-reward ratio is greater than 1:1, the setup is not likely to yield a positive EV because, according to historical data, the number of losses outweighs the number of wins relative to the RR gain per winning trade.
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What is the confidence level in the indicator, and how is it determined?
The confidence level in the indicator reflects the reliability of the probabilities calculated based on historical data. It is determined by the sample size of the probabilities used in the calculations. A larger sample size generally increases the confidence level, indicating that the probabilities are more reliable and consistent with past performance.
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How does the confidence level affect the risk-to-reward (RR) label?
The confidence level (★) is visually represented alongside the probability label. A higher confidence level indicates that the probabilities used to determine the RR label are based on a larger and more reliable sample size.
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How can traders use the confidence level to make better trading decisions?
Traders can use the confidence level to gauge the reliability of the probabilities and expected value (EV) calculations provided by the indicator. A confidence level above 95% is considered statistically significant and indicates that the historical data supporting the probabilities is robust. This high confidence level suggests that the probabilities are reliable and that the indicator’s recommendations are more likely to be accurate.
In data science and statistics, a confidence level above 95% generally means that there is less than a 5% chance that the observed results are due to random variation. This threshold is widely accepted in research and industry as a marker of statistical significance. Studies such as those published in the Journal of Statistical Software and the American Statistical Association support this threshold, emphasizing that a confidence level above 95% provides a strong assurance of data reliability and validity.
Conversely, a confidence level below 95% indicates that the sample size may be insufficient and that the data might be less reliable . In such cases, traders should approach the indicator’s recommendations with caution and consider additional factors or further analysis before making trading decisions.
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How does the sample size affect the confidence level, and how does it relate to my TradingView plan?
The sample size for calculating the confidence level is directly influenced by the amount of historical data available on your charts. A larger sample size typically leads to more reliable probabilities and higher confidence levels.
Here’s how the TradingView plans affect your data access:
Essential Plan
The Essential Plan provides basic data access with a limited amount of historical data. This can lead to smaller sample sizes and lower confidence levels, which may weaken the robustness of your probability calculations. Suitable for casual traders who do not require extensive historical analysis.
Plus Plan
The Plus Plan offers more historical data than the Essential Plan, allowing for larger sample sizes and more accurate confidence levels. This enhancement improves the reliability of indicator calculations. This plan is ideal for more active traders looking to refine their strategies with better data.
Premium Plan
The Premium Plan grants access to extensive historical data, enabling the largest sample sizes and the highest confidence levels. This plan provides the most reliable data for accurate calculations, with up to 20,000 historical bars available for analysis. It is designed for serious traders who need comprehensive data for in-depth market analysis.
PRO+ Plans
The PRO+ Plans offer the most extensive historical data, allowing for the largest sample sizes and the highest confidence levels. These plans are tailored for professional traders who require advanced features and significant historical data to support their trading strategies effectively.
For many traders, the Premium Plan offers a good balance of affordability and sufficient sample size for accurate confidence levels.
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What is the HTF probability table and how does it work?
The HTF (Higher Time Frame) probability table is a feature that allows you to view buy and sellside probabilities and their status from timeframes higher than your current chart timeframe.
Here’s how it works:
Data Request : The table requests and retrieves data from user-defined higher timeframes (HTFs) that you select.
Probability Display: It displays the buy and sellside probabilities for each of these HTFs, providing insights into the likelihood of price movements based on higher timeframe data.
Detailed Tooltips: The table includes detailed tooltips for each timeframe, offering additional context and explanations to help you understand the data better.
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What do the different colors in the HTF probability table indicate?
The colors in the HTF probability table provide visual cues about the expected value (EV) of trading setups based on higher timeframe probabilities:
Blue: Suggests that entering a long position from the HTF user-defined pivot point, targeting buyside liquidity, is likely to result in a positive expected value (EV) based on historical data and sample size.
Red: Indicates that entering a short position from the HTF user-defined pivot point, targeting sellside liquidity, is likely to result in a positive expected value (EV) based on historical data and sample size.
Gray: Shows that neither long nor short trades from the HTF user-defined pivot point are expected to generate positive EV, suggesting that trading these setups may not be favorable.
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How to use the indicator effectively?
For Amateur Traders:
Start Simple: Begin by focusing on one timeframe at a time with the pivot level set to the default (50%). This helps you understand the basic functionality of the indicator.
Entry and Exit Strategy: Focus on entering trades at the pivot level while targeting the higher probability side for take profit and the lower probability side for stop loss.
Use simulation or paper trading to practice this strategy.
Adjustments: Once you have a solid understanding of how the indicator works, you can start adjusting the pivot level to other values that suit your strategy.
Ensure that the RR labels are colored (blue or red) to indicate positive EV setups before executing trades.
For Advanced Traders:
1. Select Higher Timeframe Bias: Choose a higher timeframe (HTF) as your main bias. Start with the default pivot level and ensure the confidence level is above 95% to validate the probabilities.
2. Align Lower Timeframes: Switch between lower timeframes to identify which ones align with your predefined HTF bias. This helps in synchronizing your trading decisions across different timeframes.
3. Set Entries with Current Pivot Level: Use the current pivot level for trade entries. Ensure the HTF status label is active, indicating that the probabilities are valid and in play.
4. Target HTF Liquidity Level: Aim for liquidity levels that correspond to the higher timeframe, as these levels are likely to offer better trading opportunities.
5. Adjust Pivot Levels: As you gain experience, adjust the pivot levels to further optimize your strategy for high EV. Fine-tune these levels based on the aggregated data from multiple timeframes.
6. Practice on Paper Trading: Test your strategies through paper trading to eliminate discretion and refine your approach without financial risk.
7. Focus on Trade Management: Ultimately, effective trade management is crucial. Concentrate on managing your trades well to ensure long-term success. By aiming for setups that produce positive EV, you can position yourself similarly to how a casino operates.
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🎲 Becoming the House (Gaining Edge Over the Market):
In American roulette, the house has a 5.26% edge due to the 0 and 00. This means that while players have a 47.37% chance of winning on even-money bets, the true odds are 50%. The discrepancy between the true odds and the payout ensures that, statistically, the casino will win over time.
From the Trader's Perspective: In trading, you gain an edge by focusing on setups with positive expected value (EV). If you have a 55.48% chance of winning with a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio, your setup has a higher probability of profitability than the losing side. By consistently targeting such setups and managing your trades effectively, you create a statistical advantage, similar to the casino’s edge.
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🎰 Applying the Concept to Trading:
Just as casinos rely on their mathematical edge, you can achieve long-term success in trading by focusing on setups with positive EV. By ensuring that your probabilities and risk-to-reward (RR) ratios are in your favor, you create an edge similar to that of the house.
And by systematically targeting trades with favorable probabilities and managing your trades effectively, you improve your chances of profitability over the long run. Which is going to help you “become the house” in your trading, leveraging statistical advantages to enhance your overall performance.
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What makes this indicator original?
Real-Time Probability Calculations: The indicator provides real-time calculations of buy and sell probabilities based on historical data, allowing traders to assess the likelihood of positive expected value (EV) setups instantly.
Adjustable Pivot Levels: It features an adjustable pivot level that traders can modify according to their preferences, enhancing the flexibility to align with different trading strategies.
Multi-Timeframe Integration: The indicator supports up to 7 higher timeframes, displaying their probabilities and biases in a single view, which helps traders make informed decisions without switching timeframes.
Confidence Levels: It includes confidence levels based on sample sizes, offering insights into the reliability of the probabilities. Traders can gauge the strength of the data before making trades.
Dynamic EV Labels: The indicator provides color-coded EV labels that change based on the validity of the setup. Blue indicates positive EV in a long bias, red indicates positive EV in a short bias and gray signals caution, making it easier for traders to identify high-quality setups.
HTF Probability Table: The HTF probability table displays buy and sell probabilities from user-defined higher timeframes, helping traders integrate broader market context into their decision-making process.
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Terms and Conditions | Disclaimer
Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
Built-in components, features, and functionalities of our charting tools are the intellectual property of @Fractalyst use, reproduction, or distribution of these proprietary elements is prohibited.
By continuing to use our charting tools, the user acknowledges and accepts the Terms and Conditions outlined in this legal disclaimer and agrees to respect our intellectual property rights and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
Market Structure Break Targets [UAlgo]The "Market Structure Break Targets " indicator is designed to identify and visualize key market structure points such as Market Structure Breaks (MSBs) and Break of Structures (BoS). These points are crucial for understanding market trends and potential reversal zones. By plotting these structures on the chart, traders can easily spot significant support and resistance levels, as well as potential entry and exit points.
This indicator uses a combination of swing highs and lows to determine market structures and calculates targets based on user-defined percentages or Average True Range (ATR) multipliers. It provides visual cues in the form of lines, labels, and boxes to help traders quickly interpret market conditions.
🔶 Key Features
Customizable Swing Length: Users can set the swing length to identify the pivot highs and lows, which are crucial for determining market structure.
Target Duration Bars: Defines the maximum duration (in bars) for which the targets will be considered valid.
Target Calculation Methods: The target levels are crucial for setting potential price objectives. The calculation can be based on a percentage move from the identified pivot or using the ATR to factor in market volatility. These targets help in setting realistic profit-taking levels or identifying stop-loss placements.
Bullish and Bearish Market Structure Break (MSB): Detects and highlights bullish and bearish market structure breaks with customizable colors and target percentages.
Bullish MSB
When the price closes above a significant pivot high, a bullish MSB is identified. The indicator will draw a line at this level and calculate a target based on the chosen method (percentage or ATR). The target is visualized with a dotted line, and a label "MSB" is displayed. Additionally, an order block is created at the level of the bullish MSB. This order block is highlighted with a semi-transparent box, representing a potential area where price might find support in the future.
Bearish MSB
Conversely, when the price closes below a significant pivot low, a bearish MSB is marked. Similar to bullish MSBs, targets are calculated and displayed on the chart. An order block is also generated at the level of the bearish MSB, visualized with a semi-transparent box. This box highlights a potential resistance area where price might face selling pressure.
Bullish and Bearish Break of Structure (BoS): Identifies break of structures for both bullish and bearish scenarios, providing additional target levels.
Bullish BoS
If the price continues to rise and breaks another significant level, a bullish BoS is detected. This break is also marked with lines and labels, providing additional target levels for traders. An order block is created at the BoS level, serving as a potential support zone.
Bearish BoS
If the price falls further after a bearish MSB, a bearish BoS is identified and visualized similarly. The indicator creates an order block at the BoS level, which acts as a potential resistance zone.
🔶 Disclaimer:
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
BB Position CalculatorPosition Size Calculator Instructions
Overview
The Position Size Calculator is designed to help traders automatically determine the appropriate lot size based on the dollar amount they are willing to risk. It includes features for automatic lot sizing, fixed lot risk calculations, take profit calculations (both automatic and fixed), max run-up, and max drawdown. Calculated values are displayed in ticks, points, and USD.
Key Features
• Automatic Lot Sizing: Automatically calculates lot size based on the amount of money you are willing to risk.
• Fixed Lot Risk Calculations: Provides risk calculations for fixed lot sizes.
• Take Profit Calculations: Offers both automatic and fixed take profit calculations.
• Max Run-Up and Max Drawdown: Monitors and displays the maximum run-up and drawdown of your trade.
• Detailed Metrics: Displays all calculated values in ticks, points, and USD.
Setup Instructions
1. Add and Remove for Each Position: The calculator is designed to be added to your chart for each new position. Once your preferences are set the first time, save them as your default to retain your settings for future use.
2. Adding the Indicator to Favorites:
• Use the TradingView keyboard shortcut “/” then type “pos.”
• Use the arrow key to select the Position Size Calculator and press enter.
• Close the indicator selection pop-up.
3. Setting the Trigger Price:
• A blue pop-up labeled “SET TRIGGER PRICE” will appear at the bottom of the chart.
• Click on the chart at the price level where you want to enter the trade.
4. Setting the Stop Loss:
• The pop-up will change to “SET STOP LOSS.”
• Click on the chart at the price level where your stop loss will be set.
5. Setting the Take Profit:
• The pop-up will change to “SET TAKE PROFIT.”
• Click on the chart at the price level where you want to take profit. If you have selected the option to overwrite with a set risk/reward ratio (R:R), the calculation will use this price level.
6. Setting the Trade Window Start:
• The pop-up will change to “SET TRADE WINDOW START.”
• Click on the bar in time where you want the indicator to start monitoring for price to trigger the position.
7. Adjusting the Position:
• Clicking on any part of the indicator will display draggable lines, allowing you to fine-tune the position that was previously plotted by the first four chart clicks.
Additional Notes
• Compatibility: This calculator has only been tested with futures trading.
• Customization: Once your preferences are set, save them as your default to make setup quicker for future trades.
• Support: If you have any questions or feature requests, please feel free to reach out.
Signals & Overlays [UAlgo]The Signals & Overlays indicator is a comprehensive trading tool designed to provide traders with a holistic view of market conditions. It combines multiple analysis techniques to offer insights into trend direction, potential reversal points, and optimal entry and exit levels. This versatile indicator is suitable for various trading styles and timeframes, also has Beginner-Friendly presets to enable multiple features at once within one-click.
🔶 Key Features:
🔹 Contrarian Signals:
This feature identifies potential trend reversals and market turning points. These contrarian signals are displayed as arrow markers on the chart, alerting traders to possible opportunities that go against the prevailing trend. The signals are based on a combination of price action, momentum, and volatility factors, providing a multi-faceted approach to market analysis.
Customizable Settings :
Signal Sensitivity: Adjustable from 0.1 to 10.0. This controls how sensitive the indicator is to potential reversal signals.
🔹 Reversal Zones:
This feature utilizes statistical methods that compute a smoothed average and associated bands around a data series using Gaussian weights. The Gaussian distribution helps to assign more weight to data points near the center of the window, and the bands represent the average plus/minus a scaled measure of deviation.
This technique is often used in financial analysis to detect trends and measure volatility to identify key areas where price reversals are more likely to occur. These zones providing a dynamic representation of potential support and resistance areas. Traders can use these zones to anticipate potential price reactions and plan their entries and exits accordingly.
Users can also customize the responsiveness of the Reversal Zones through the "Zone Speed" setting. This allows for fine-tuning the model's sensitivity to price changes:
Swift Mode: Quickly adapts to recent price movements, ideal for short-term trading.
Standard Mode: Balances recent and historical data for a medium-term perspective.
Slow Mode: Emphasizes longer-term trends, suitable for position trading.
Customizable Settings :
Zone Data Source: Users can select which price data (open, high, low, close, etc.) to use for zone calculations.
Zone Speed: Choosable between "Swift", "Standard", and "Slow", affecting how quickly the zones adapt to price changes.
🔹 Smart Trail:
The Smart Trail feature provides an adaptive trend-following mechanism. It plots a dynamic line that adjusts based on price action and volatility, helping traders stay in trending moves while providing a trailing stop-loss reference. This feature is particularly useful for managing open positions and optimizing exit points.
🔹 Trend Cloud:
Generates a specialized trend indicator using double-smoothed EMAs applied to closing prices and the high-low price range. It visualizes market trends and volatility by shading the area between different indicator values over time. The color of the shading changes to reflect whether the current trend is strengthening or weakening.
The Trend Cloud feature provides a visually intuitive representation of the overall market trend. It generates a dynamic colored cloud on the chart that helps traders quickly assess the current market direction and strength. Bullish trends represented by blue clouds and bearish trends by red clouds.
🔹 Trend Analyzer:
The Trend Analyzer component provides an in-depth analysis of the current market trend. It uses a customizable moving average system to determine the trend direction and strength. The analyzer can be configured to focus on short-term, medium-term, or long-term trends, allowing traders to align their strategy with their preferred trading timeframe.
Customizable Settings :
Analyzer Calculation Period: Adjustable period for trend analysis calculations.
Analyzer Mode: Selectable between "Short-Term", "Medium-Term", and "Long-Term".
Analyzer Calculation Source: Customizable price data source for trend analysis.
Use Heikin Ashi: Option to use Heikin Ashi candles instead of regular candles for calculations.
🔹 TP/Exit/Entry Levels:
The indicator calculates and displays potential take profit (TP), exit, and entry levels based on market structure and volatility. These levels are marked on the chart, offering traders guidance on optimal points for trade management. This feature can be particularly helpful for setting profit targets and managing risk.
🔹 Dashboard:
The customizable dashboard provides a quick overview of key market metrics. It displays information such as trend strength, volume analysis, market volatility, the current state of the Trend Catcher and the market is "Bearish" or "Bullish". This at-a-glance summary helps traders make informed decisions without the need to switch between multiple indicators.
Customizable Settings :
Toggle: Option to display or hide the dashboard.
Dashboard Position and Size: Selectable between "Top Right", "Bottom Right", and "Bottom Left". Adjustable size to "Tiny", "Small" or "Normal".
🔶 Disclaimer:
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
ICT Concept [TradingFinder] Order Block | FVG | Liquidity Sweeps🔵 Introduction
The "ICT" style is one of the subsets of "Price Action" technical analysis. ICT is a method created by "Michael Huddleston", a professional forex trader and experienced mentor. The acronym ICT stands for "Inner Circle Trader".
The main objective of the ICT trading strategy is to combine "Price Action" and the concept of "Smart Money" to identify optimal entry points into trades. However, finding suitable entry points is not the only strength of this approach. With the ICT style, traders can better understand price behavior and adapt their trading approach to market structure accordingly.
Numerous concepts are discussed in this style, but the key practical concepts for trading in financial markets include "Order Block," "Liquidity," and "FVG".
🔵 How to Use
🟣Order Block
Order blocks are a specific type of "Supply and Demand" zones formed when a series of orders are placed in a block. These orders could be created by banks or other major players. Banks typically execute large orders in blocks during their trading sessions. If they were to enter the market directly with a small quantity, significant price movements would occur before the orders are fully executed, resulting in less profit. To avoid this, they divide their orders into smaller, manageable positions. Traders should look for "buy" opportunities in "demand order blocks" areas and "sell" opportunities in "supply order blocks".
🟣Liquidity
These levels are where traders aim to exit their trades. "Market Makers" or smart money usually collects or distributes their trading positions near levels where many retail traders have placed their "Stop Loss" orders. When the liquidity resulting from these losses is collected, the price often reverses direction.
A "Stop Hunt" is a move designed to neutralize liquidity generated by triggered stop losses. Banks often use significant news events to trigger stop hunts and acquire the liquidity released in the market. If, for example, they intend to execute heavy buy orders, they encourage others to sell through stop hunts.
As a result, if there is liquidity in the market before reaching the order block region, the credibility of that order block is higher. Conversely, if liquidity is near the order block, meaning the price reaches the order block before reaching the liquidity area, the credibility of that order block is lower.
🟣FVG (Fair Value Gap)
To identify the "Fair Value Gap" on the chart, one must analyze candle by candle. Focus on candles with large bodies, examining one candle and the one before it. The candles before and after this central candle should have long shadows, and their bodies should not overlap with the body of the central candle. The distance between the shadows of the first and third candles is called the FVG range.
These zone function in two ways :
•Supply and Demand zone: In this case, the price reacts to these zone, and its trend reverses.
•Liquidity zone: In this scenario, the price "fills" the zone and then reaches the order block.
Important Note: In most cases, FVG zone with very small width act as supply and demand zone, while zone with a significant width act as liquidity zone, absorbing the price.
🔵 Setting
🟣Order Block
Refine Order Block : When the option for refining order blocks is Off, the supply and demand zones encompass the entire length of the order block (from Low to High) in their standard state and remain unaltered. On the option for refining order blocks triggers the improvement of supply and demand zones using the error correction algorithm.
Refine Type : The enhancement of order blocks via the error correction algorithm can be executed through two methods: Defensive and Aggressive. In the Aggressive approach, the widest possible range is taken into account for order blocks.
Show High Levels : If major high levels are to be displayed, set the option for showing high level to Yes.
Show Low Levels : If major low levels are to be displayed, set the option for showing low level to Yes.
Show Last Support : If showing the last support is desired, set the option for showing last support to Yes.
Show Last Resistance : If showing the last resistance is desired, set the option for showing last resistance to Yes.
🟣 FVG
FVG Filter : When FVG filtering is activated, the number of FVG areas undergoes filtration based on the specified algorithm.
FVG Filter Types :
1. Very Aggressive : Apart from the initial condition, an additional condition is introduced. For an upward FVG, the maximum price of the last candle should exceed the maximum price of the middle candle. Similarly, for a downward FVG, the minimum price of the last candle should be lower than the minimum price of the middle candle. This mode eliminates a minimal number of FVGs.
2. Aggressive : In addition to the conditions of the Very Aggressive mode, this mode considers the size of the middle candle; it should not be small. Consequently, a larger number of FVGs are eliminated in this mode.
3. Defensive : Alongside the conditions of the Very Aggressive mode, this mode takes into account the size of the middle candle, which should be relatively large with the majority of it comprising the body. Furthermore, to identify upward FVGs, the second and third candles must be positive, whereas for downward FVGs, the second and third candles must be negative. This mode filters out a considerable number of FVGs, retaining only those of suitable quality.
4. Very Defensive : In addition to the conditions of the Defensive mode, the first and third candles should not be very small-bodied doji candles. This mode filters out the majority of FVGs, leaving only the highest quality ones. Show Demand FVG: Enables the display of demand-related boxes, which can be toggled between off and on. Show Supply FVG: Enables the display of supply-related boxes along the path, which can also be toggled between off and on.
🟣 Liquidity
Statics Liquidity Line Sensitivity : A value ranging from 0 to 0.4. Increasing this value reduces the sensitivity of the "Statics Liquidity Line Detection" function and increases the number of identified lines. The default value is 0.3.
Dynamics Liquidity Line Sensitivity : A value ranging from 0.4 to 1.95. Increasing this value enhances the sensitivity of the "Dynamics Liquidity Line Detection" function and decreases the number of identified lines. The default value is 1.
Statics Period Pivot : Default value is set to 8. By adjusting this value, you can specify the period for static liquidity line pivots.
Dynamics Period Pivot : Default value is set to 3. By adjusting this value, you can specify the period for dynamic liquidity line pivots.
You can activate or deactivate liquidity lines as necessary using the buttons labeled "Show Statics High Liquidity Line," "Show Statics Low Liquidity Line," "Show Dynamics High Liquidity Line," and "Show Dynamics Low Liquidity Line".
[Options Strategies] Selling Covered Calls and Puts (TSO) This trading indicator assists with traditional covered options trading strategies like Covered Calls, Covered Puts, and Cash Secured Puts. It also offers advanced features for trading options intelligently by utilizing options specific levels, such as BE (Break Even) and Strike (all visually shown on chart) in combination with S&R (Support and Resistance), Trend Lines, and other technical analysis tools such as MA (Moving Averages) and ATR Average True Range, all integrated within the indicator.
* Covered options approach over trading shares or options separately offers distinct advantages:
- Reduced Risk and Flexibility : Covered options strategy provides a more conservative approach by combining stock ownership with options trading. It reduces risk exposure compared to buying options outright or trading shares alone. Additionally, it offers flexibility in various market conditions.
- Profitability in Sideways Markets: Covered options allow for profitability in scenarios where the stock price is either moving optimally or remaining sideways. In contrast, just holding stocks might not yield significant gains in a sideways market, and buying options can result in losses due to time decay.
- Protection Against Price Movements: In covered options, if the stock price goes against the trade, the loss is mitigated by the premium received from selling the options. This provides a level of protection compared to other trading strategies where losses can accumulate more rapidly.
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Strategies / Visual Examples:
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Up to 3 Symbols can be monitored at the same time with alerts for each Symbol and a Stats Table. To see Symbol's visuals (Date Range, Strike, BE, etc.) - the chart has to be loaded with that Symbol. Here is an example of trading multiple stocks at same layout on different charts trading AAPL, BAC and TSLA.
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An example of a Smart Covered Calls trading SPY.
STRATEGY EXPLANATION:
* Trade Open Trigger (Bullish/Sideway)
>>> S&R (Support and Resistance) or Trend Line broken, bounced off or simply near (if price is near/slightly crossing S&R/Trend Line > a bounce often takes place)
>>> Confirmation by additional TA (Technical Analysis) tools.
>>> EXAMPLE: Broken Resistance combined with a Trend Line up-bounce, confirmed by bullish 200EMA.
* TP (Take-Profit)
>>> Contracts Expire at Expiration date: Premium received for selling contracts kept.
>>> Assignment: Premium received for selling contracts kept + stock assigned/sold at a higher price than it was purchased.
* BE/SL (Break Even Stop-Loss) |
>>> BE/SL hit: stock sold at a slight loss with options contracts bought out (BTC - Buy to Close) at a lower price than initially sold (since price went down and these are calls), so technically the loss is reduced by the partial Premium still kept from initially sold contracts at trade open.
>>> Increasing the BE/SL distance: for wider BE/SL > Bid Price needs to be increased:
- Set longer Expiration date.
- Set closer Strike price.
NOTE: With longer Expiration date and closer Strike, chances of assignment increase as well. It's best to find an optimal level, where BE/SL is behind a Support/Resistance level and/or an established trend line and/or Large Length Moving Average, yet not extremely far away.
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An example of a Smart Covered Puts trading SPY.
STRATEGY EXPLANATION:
* Trade Open Trigger (Bearish/Sideway)
>>> S&R (Support and Resistance) or Trend Line broken, bounced off or simply near (if price is near/slightly crossing S&R/Trend Line > a bounce often takes place)
>>> Confirmation by additional TA (Technical Analysis) tools.
>>> EXAMPLE: Broken Resistance combined with a Trend Line down-bounce, confirmed by bearish 200EMA.
* TP (Take-Profit)
>>> Contracts Expire at Expiration date: Premium received for selling contracts kept.
>>> Assignment: Premium received for selling contracts kept + stock assigned/bought-to-cover at a lower price than it was shorted.
* BE/SL (Break Even Stop-Loss) |
>>> BE/SL hit: stock bought-to-cover at a slight loss with options contracts bought out (BTC - Buy to Close) at a lower price than initially sold (since price went up and these are puts), so technically the loss is reduced by the partial Premium still kept from initially sold contracts at trade open.
>>> Increasing the BE/SL distance: for wider BE/SL > Bid Price needs to be increased:
- Set longer Expiration date.
- Set closer Strike price.
NOTE: With longer Expiration date and closer Strike, chances of assignment increase as well. It's best to find an optimal level, where BE/SL is behind a Support/Resistance level and/or an established trend line and/or Large Length Moving Average, yet not extremely far away.
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An example of a Smart Secured Cash Puts trading SPY.
STRATEGY EXPLANATION:
* Trade Open Trigger (Bullish/Sideway)
>>> Bullish steady trend.
>>> Confirmation by additional TA (Technical Analysis) tools.
>>> EXAMPLE: Slowly rising price action above 200EMA.
* TP (Take-Profit)
>>> Early BTC: BTC (Buy to Close) before Expiration date if options premium/contract price already reduced by at least 50-90% (the reduced price is the profit, if premium lost 90% - only 10% will need to be paid to buy options out to close the trade) and if the stock price is nearing Resistance, Trend Line or big length moving average (like 200EMA) as a bounce may happen or even a potential reverse of the trend. If there is no trend reversal or a small correction bounce occurs, with further trend continuation > another Cash Secured Puts trade can be opened with new Expiration date and Strike.
>>> Contracts Expire at Expiration date: Premium received for selling contracts kept, considering the Strike was never hit.
>>> Assignment with stock closing below Strike and above/near BE (Break Even): Premium received for selling contracts kept. NOTE: It is best to get rid of the stock ASAP to then open a new Cash Secured Puts trade with lower Strike and a new Expiration date.
* BE/SL (Break Even Stop-Loss) |
>>> BE/SL hit: contracts bought out (BTC - Buy to Close) at a higher price than initially sold (since price went down and these are puts), the amount/difference in current contract price is the loss (as premium received + contract price increase is the total cost, which will have to be paid to buy the countracts out).
>>> Increasing the BE/SL distance: for wider BE/SL > Bid Price needs to be increased:
- Set longer Expiration date.
- Set closer Strike price.
NOTE: With longer Expiration date and closer Strike, chances of assignment increase as well. It's best to find an optimal level, where BE/SL is behind a Support/Resistance level and/or an established trend line and/or Large Length Moving Average, yet not extremely far away.
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An example of Options Wheel strategy trading TQQQ. See how Strike and BE (Break Even) hits are displayed every time they occur.
STRATEGY EXPLANATION:
* Trade Open Trigger (Bullish/Sideway)
>>> Options Wheel strategy combines Cash Secured Puts with Covered Calls, so a steady bullish trend is preferred with lower volatility.
>>> It's best to start with Cash Secured Puts until assignment hits (stocks purchased), then switch to Covered Calls until assignment hits (stocks sold) and so on.
* TP (Take-Profit)
>>> Contracts Expire at Expiration date: Premium received for selling contracts kept.
>>> Assignment: Premium received for selling contracts kept. Stock is assigned (purchased if Cash Secured Puts were sold | sold if Covered Calls were sold ).
* BE/SL (Break Even Stop-Loss)
>>> Assignment is the stop-loss for this strategy, which ends current trade and starts next one. It is not a direct loss, but could result a long unrealized losses if after stock purchase assignment it goes down for a while or even a complete loss if low-cap company is used and it goes out of business.
>>> BE/SL distance can still be increased/kept optimal: for wider BE/SL > Bid Price needs to be increased:
- Set longer Expiration date.
- Set closer Strike price.
NOTE: With longer Expiration date and closer Strike, chances of assignment increase as well. It's best to find an optimal level, where BE/SL is behind a Support/Resistance level and/or an established Trend Line and/or Large Length Moving Average, yet not extremely far away.
| 3.0_wheel_strategy_tqqq_example.png
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Trading open/close/TP/SL labels, plots and colors explanations:
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There are 3 approaches: Cashed Secured Puts, Covered Puts, Covered Calls. Here is an example showing all 3 (the Strikes, Bid prices, Expirations were chosen realistically).
>>> There are 3 symbol templates, the color can be changed for each and each symbol template can be unchecked to be fully hidden or all 3 can be used.
>>> Strike: dashed horizontal line plotted at chosen Strike, if Strike is hit within the Date Range - there will be a label shown.
>>> BE (Break Even): dotted horizontal line plotted at calculated BE, if BE is hit within the Date Range - there will be a label shown.
>>> Stock Purchased: solid horizontal line plotted at input price at which the stock was purchased.
>>> Date Range (STO >>> Expiration ): vertical lines with arrows (arrows direction is based on the approach), which connect Strike, BE (Break Even) and Stock Purchased creating an square/rectangle of the whole trade, making it easy to see everything at once.
>>> Stats Table: shows all the necessary data for each symbol.
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GLOBAL SETTINGS ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> Show: week divider vertical lines: Will show vertical divider lines separating each week.
>>> Show: Mondays and Fridays: Will show M - for Monday, F - for Friday, T - for Tuesday (Tuesday will be shown if there is a Holiday on Monday)
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OPTIONS SETUP: SYMBOL0X /////////////////////////////////////////////////// | (identical for all 3 symbols)
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>>> Symbol0X | Show Table: Turns on symbol01, all visuals on chart, calculations, etc. Table can be separately hidden if desired.
>>> Label Size: Size of the labels on chart showing Strike, BE (Break Even), etc.
>>> Label Color: Color for all symbol0X labels.
>>> Text Color: Text color for all symbol0X labels.
>>> Options Trading Style: 1)Covered Calls: Bullish-sideways market approach (need to own 100 shares of stock per each contract sold), Strike price has to be set above the current stock price | 2)Covered Puts: Bearish-sideways market approach (need to own 100 shares of stock per each contract sold), Strike price has to be set below the current stock price | 3)Cash Secured Puts: Bullish-sideways approach (need to have enough cash to acquire shares at Strike price if hit), Strike price has to be set below the current stock price.
>>> # of contracts sold (1 contract > 100shares): # of contracts sold per trade, for Covered Calls and Covered Puts, every contract must be backed up by 100shares of the underlying stock.
>>> Price per 1 contract (Bid): Premium received per each contract sold.
>>> Strike Price.
>>> Stock Purchase Price: Stock purchase price (NOTE: This is only for Covered Call and Covered Puts, for Secured Cash Puts - stock is only purchased if at Expiration it closes beyond Strike price).
>>> STO (Sell to Open) Date: date at which the contracts were sold and Premium received.
>>> Exp (Expiration) Date: date at which contracts expire, if price never breaks the Strike at Expiration - contracts become worthless!
>>> Alert/Label: Futures Expire Soon: With this setting turned on, an Alert will trigger and a Label will be shown at opening of the first candle bar on the Expiration date. It will certainly be before the end of the day, however depending on the chart TimeFrame during alert creation - it may trigger at a different time. For Example: On a Daily chart TimeFrame SPY (S&P500) will trigger such alert at 9:30AM ET. ||| NOTE: Due to difference in timezones - the solid lines representing the STO >>> Exp range may be off by 1 business day from the date input in the indicator Settings > Inputs, so double check and calibrate the date by setting it 1 day behind/ahead from actual dates so that Alert is received on the actual Expiration date.
>>> Strike price Broken - Style: 'Close': Show/Alert Strike price broken only once candle bar is closed | 'Live': Show/Alert Strike price broken immediately once it happens, before candle bar is closed.
>>> Show: Strike price Broken: will show a label near candle bar breaking the Strike price.
>>> Alert: Strike price Broken: will alert at price breaking the Strike price.
>>> BE (Break Even) price Broken - Alert Style: 'Close': Show/Alert BE (Break Even) price broken only once candle bar is closed | 'Live': Show/Alert BE (Break Even) price broken immediately once it happens, before candle bar is closed.
>>> Show: BE (Break Even) price Broken: will show a label near candle bar breaking the BE price.
>>> Alert: BE (Break Even) price Broken: will alert at price breaking the BE price.
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TA: TREND LINES ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> Trend Lines - Uptrend/downtrend colors
>>> Show: Trend Lines: Show/Hide trend lines
>>> Show: Trend Line Breaks: Show/Hide labels where trend lines were broken
>>> Alert: Trend Line Breaks: Alert when trend line is broken
>>> Trend Lines - Search - Left Bars / Trend Lines - Search - Right Bars: how many candle bars will be used to calculate Trend Lines, the bigger the number > the more precise and less amount of trend lines will be found
>>> Trend Lines - Extend Setting
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TA: S&R (SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE) //////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> S&R (Support and Resistance) - Support/Resistance colors.
>>> Show: S&R (Support and Resistance) Top/Bottom Levels.
>>> Show: S&R (Support and Resistance) Top/Bottom Level Breaks: Show/Hide labels where support/resistance levels were broken
>>> Alert: S&R (Support and Resistance) Top/Bottom Level Breaks: Alert when S&R (Support and Resistance) level is broken
>>> S&R (Support and Resistance) - Search - Left Bars / S&R (Support and Resistance) - Search - Right Bars: how many candle bars will be used to calculate S&R (Support & Resistance) Levels, the bigger the number > the more precise and less amount of support and resistance levels will be found.
>>> S&R Search - Custom Resolution: This is a custom timeframe setting specifically for S&R Search, it disregards current chart timeframe. This is great to use for scalping, for example: with main chart set to 1min and the custom timeframe set to 3min or 5min - there will be stronger support/resistance levels with more detailed price action.
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TA: ADDITIONAL TOOLS //////////////////////////////////////////////////////
>>> Show - MA (Moving Average).
>>> Show - ATR (Average True Range).
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STATS TABLE ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Stats Table displays all the necessary date about each options setup.
>>> Table positioning
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Adding Alerts in TradngView
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-Add indicator to chart and make sure to check/uncheck which alerts are required, then simply create it.
-Right-click anywhere on the TradingView chart
-Click on Add alert
-Condition: Select this indicator by it’s name
-Immediately below, change it to "alert() function calls only"
-Expiration: Open-ended (that may require higher tier TradingView account, otherwise the alert will need to be occasionally re-triggered)
-Alert name: Whatever you desire
-Hit “Create”
-Note: If you change ANY Settings within the indicator – you must DELETE the current alert and create a new one per steps above, otherwise it will continue triggering alerts per old Settings!
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If you have any questions or issues with the indicator, please message me directly via TradingView.
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Good Luck! (NOTE: Trading is very risky, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, so please trade responsibly!)
01 Position CalculatorI present to your attention a calculator for calculating the volume per position.
This calculator is tested on cryptocurrency trading and MOEX liquid shares!
This calculator is suitable for beginners to make it easier to study trading and not get confused at the very beginning with volume calculations, I also use it for virtual trading, a position is drawn on the chart in real time, which shows the amount of loss or profit, that is, with the help of it I I practice different strategies without losing real money on experiments.
All calculations are made at your risk.
You need to indicate what your working deposit is, what percentage of it you are willing to risk per day, the number of your losing trades for one trading session, after which you will stop trading for that day, the amount of risk will be divided by the number of unprofitable trades.
The principle of operation is as simple as possible, you need to indicate three lines on the chart 1 - time line: it is needed so that a position on the chart can be drawn from it. 2 – Entry line for entering a position: the price at which you want to buy an asset. 3 – stop loss line “SL”: the price upon reaching which your losing trade will be closed. If the 3-stop loss line is placed below the 2-Entry line, then a long position will be calculated, if the stop loss line is above the Entry line, then a short position will be calculated. take profit "TP" is calculated automatically according to your settings in the menu.
And so on in order through the menu from top to bottom.
1. Rounding the volume to a whole number: if you select “round”, then the volume of the acquired asset (shares, coins, etc.) will be rounded to a whole number, but be careful if your deposit is $100, and the cost of 1 unit of the asset is more than $1000, then the calculator will give error. MOEX shares are traded only in whole lots, so rounding occurs automatically.
2. Automatic calculation of SL in 1 ATR of the selected TF (auto/manual) (ATR...): if you select auto and specify, for example, ATR 1h, then your “SL” will be calculated automatically and set at a distance from Entry of 1 ATR of the hourly time frame (this is the average price change over 1 hour)
3. Cryptocurrency deposit commission, MOEX deposit commission: I made two different deposits on purpose so as not to change the settings each time, depending on the schedule you choose, MOEX or cryptocurrency, the required deposit and commission will be automatically taken into account.
4. Slippage: this is the percentage of slippage on closing a position at a stop loss.
5. Daily drawdown % (...): this is the percentage of your trading deposit that you are willing to risk for one trading session, the amount at risk.
6. Ratio rice /profit 1/ (...): you need to indicate the SL/TP ratio, based on this your income per trade is calculated and the distance to TP is outlined on the graph.
7. Number of losing trades (...): this is the number of your trades per trading session after receiving which you will end trading for that day, the amount of risk will be divided by the number of losing trades.
8. Position: you can enter the start date of the position and Entry and SL prices
9. ATR – specify the number of last candles to calculate the average price movement of the selected time frame
Now, as for the tables located by default on the left and right at the bottom of the screen, I made windows with descriptions; when you hover the cursor over a cell, a description pops up.
RU
Этот калькулятор проверен, на торговле криптовалюты и ликвидных акциях MOEX!
Этот калькулятор подойдет начинающим, чтоб облегчить изучение торговли и не запутаться в самом начале с расчётами объемов, так же я использую его для виртуальной торговли, на графике в реальном времени рисуется позиция, на которой видно суму убытка или прибыли, то есть с помощью него я отрабатываю разные стратегии, не теряя реальные деньги на эксперименты.
Все расчеты делаются от вашего риска.
Вам необходимо указать какой ваш рабочий депозит, каким процентом от него вы готовы рискнуть на день, количество ваших убыточных сделок на одну торговую сессию, после которых вы прекратите торговлю на этот день, сумма риска будет поделена на количество убыточных сделок.
Принцип работы максимально прост, вам нужно указать на графике три линии 1 - линия время: она нужна чтоб от нее рисовался позиция на графике. 2 –линия Entry входа в позицию: цена по которой вы хотите купить актив. 3 – линия stop loss «SL»: цена при достижении которой закроется ваша убыточная сделка. Если линию 3-stop loss разместить под линией 2-Entry то будет рассчитываться длинная позиция, ели лини stop loss будет над линией Entry то будет рассчитываться короткая позиция. take profit «TP» рассчитывается автоматически согласно вашим настройкам в меню.
И так по порядку по меню с верху в низ.
1. Округление объема до целого: если выбрать «round -округлить», то объем приобретаемого актива (акции, монеты и другого) будет округлен до целого числа, но будьте внимательны если ваш депозит 100$, а стоимость 1 единицы актива более 1000$ то калькулятор выдаст ошибку. Акции MOEX торгуются только целыми лотами потому округление происходит автоматически.
2. Авто расчёт SL в 1 ATR выбранного TF (auto/manual) (ATR…): если выбрать auto и указать, к примеру ATR 1h, то ваш «SL», будет рассчитан автоматически и выставлен на расстоянии от Entry в 1 ATR часового time frame (это усредненное изменение цены за 1 час)
3. Депозит крипто валюты комиссия, депозит MOEX комиссия: сделал специально два разных депозита чтоб каждый раз не менять настройки, в зависимости от выбранного вами графика, MOEX или криптовалюта, будет автоматически браться в расчет нужный депозит и комиссия.
4. Проскальзывание: это процент на проскальзывание закрытия позиции по stop loss.
5. Просадка на день % (…): это процент от вашего торгового депозита, которым вы готовы рискнуть на одну торговую сессию, сумма риска надень.
6. Соотношение рис /прибыль 1/ (…): вам нужно указать соотношение SL/TP на основе этого рассчитывается ваш доход на сделку и на графике обрисовывается расстояние до TP.
7. Количество убыточных сделок (…): это количество ваших сделок на торговую сессию после получения, которых вы закончите торговлю на этот день, сумма риска надень будет поделена на количество убыточных сделок.
8. Позиция: можно вписать дату начала позиции и цены Entry и SL
9. ATR – укажите количество последних свечей для расчета среднего движения цены выбранного time frame
Теперь что касается таблиц расположенных по умолчанию с лева и справа в низу экрана, я сделал окна с описаниями, при наведении курсора на ячейку всплывает описание.
PTS Pi-Osc V1
The PTS - Pi-Osc know as Precision Index Oscillator by Roger Medcalf - Precision Trading Systems.
How does the Pi-Osc work?
Pi-Osc is a highly sophisticated consensus type indicator comprising of many different component signals.
A technical traders tool that measures everything from divergences to probabilities all blended into one simple to use product.
The buy and selling opportunities are highlighted by the moves away from + or - 3.14.
Simple to use for all levels of experience from beginner to expert and offers a unique edge in terms of precision.
The components that go into computations are identified below.
Money flow index provides a simple snapshot of how sold out or pumped up a stock or future really is and when measured in three different time frames gives a slick consensus view of money flow.
Relative strength index (RSI) still the No1 most popular indicator in use today as its power to identify overbought and oversold qualities in sideways markets is exceptional.
Its poor performance in trends is greatly reduced when seamlessly integrated with the PI-Osc algorithm.
Demand index being one of the designers favourite indicators for measuring the future direction caused by a large volume trade is incorporated here as well as its exceptional efficiency as a divergence indicator.
James Sibbet's creation provides an additional stellar incisive cutting accuracy to the Pi-Osc. Sibbets creation is one of the only indicators with true predictive qualities as a leading indicator.
Divergences. Pi-Osc measures divergences which occur over many look back periods from two different indicators, realising that divergences are often spurious in their reliability, the indicator only factors 4% of the total indicator
reading from these. Paradoxically the buy and sell zones have to have at least one observation of a divergence to trigger a signal.
Volume is always a factor that precedes a price change, as stock prices cannot move without a real money value being assigned to it either as a recent trade or a bid-offer order being placed.
The designer's understanding of volume patterns is a very useful addition incorporated into the Pi-Osc indicators unique conception.
Momentum frequently decelerates prior to market turning points and PI-osc is monitoring several timeframes of smoothed momentum samples in its calculations.
But unlike a conventional rate of change or momentum indicator the Pi-Osc indicator scores a neutral reading when momentum is rising or falling fast, and a reading is only factored into the output when momentum is reducing, thus
indicating a higher probability of success.
Probability is another feature of this algorithm.
Although rarely used in industry standard oscillators, the designer has added a standard deviation (2.9) factor into this indicator as the more usual 2 standard deviations used in Bollinger bands is just not reliable enough to bet hard earned cash on.
Normally distributed price sets have a 99.9% containment within 3.3 standard deviations, so when this is breached the Pi-Osc adds or deducts a further value to its output number.
Stochastics have similar attributes to RSI oscillators and have contributed a factor into PI-osc due to their smooth and reliable ability to identify buying and selling points in non trending markets.
Price patterns. Generally the industry standard oscillators just use the closing price to calculate their values, and although some indicators such as the stochastic use the high and low in their mathematics, few oscillators are actually programmed to respond to unique candlestick chart set ups.
PI-osc is setting the standard with its intelligent programming to recognise when the current chart pattern is shouting buy signals. Several of the more reliable patterns are factored into the algorithm.
When all the maths is done, Pi-Osc does an exceptional job of determining true buying and selling points.
Basically the trading interpretation is made very simple for you, as the buy and sell zones are so logically determined, not by one factor but from a large consensus "vote" from more than one different computation.
The benefits of this indicator are that it saves valuable time in "confirming technical analysis signals" and all trades know time is precious as large price changes can be missed in seconds while checking other confirming factors.
It takes the hard work out of it, and lets your computer do the brain work.
Ideally this indicator is best as an entry signal, and exits are best done with a trailing stop which has a logical trend following exit, as its quite rare that the Pi-Osc will run right to the other extreme and issue a reverse signal.
Precision Index Oscillator has now got a new rule as a result of the gradual rise in market volatility.
Apart from the other well known main rules to wait for the bounce away from Pi and trade in the direction of the major trend, the new rule is to experiment to find the best historical timeframe.
In the old days it would fire up very nicely on a 10 minute chart of most things, and still does (sometimes) but the futures markets and the very volatile cryptocurrencies now go way out of the old extremities in terms of deviations from the norm.
So it is essential to know what the market volatility is capable of on each instrument.
The point being made here is that using this on very short term time frames is not as safe as used to be.
Institutions enjoy working together to drive the prices into areas where most traders did not expect them to go, taking out all the stops and getting a better price for themselves.
So the first task after ordering this product is to create multiple minute chart settings in your Trading View platform and then click through them and there you will find hopefully find the holy grail, just like finding the best guitar,
amplifier and effects pedal settings for creating your own personalized type of music, finding the best timeframe to use you Pi-Osc is the essential work.
The holy grail usually turns out to be nothing more complex than a stop watch:
If the best setting turns out to be 15 minutes or 30 seconds on a volatile market or a 4 hours minute chart on a very volatile market then so be it.
Who cares? Does it matter?
All that matters is you find the way to get to the best results from this product.
Precision Index Oscillator has eight rules
1. Trade in the direction of the major trend
2. Find the time frame that has worked best in historical testing ( This can be a different setting for each market )
3. ALWAYS use a stop loss
4. Wait for the bounce away from Pi
5. Wait for the bounce away from Pi
6 Wait for the bounce away from Pi
7 Wait for the bounce away from Pi
8. Remember the other seven rules.
Precision Index Oscillator clarification of rules 3 to 7
This indicator can stay locked at the extreme Pi level for many bars, days, hours, minutes, seconds etc.
Taking the signal before the bounce comes is like the well known phrase "catching the falling knife".
Taking the signal before the bounce is a "Pi-Crime" and is a bad idea. Ignoring this point will likely result in losses
As Ed Seykota puts it in his usual amusing style, the problem with catching falling knives is that there are more knives than we have fingers.
He is referring to a market sell off rather than a sell off in one market.
When everything is crashing and we buy all of the crashing things at once, yes you guessed it: A painful day for the fingers!
Suggested settings for various lengths:
There are no settings to change. The beauty of Pi-Osc is there are no settings to be changed.
Your testing of "Pi signal qualifications" is confined only to selecting a time frame which appears to have offered good Pi-trades in the past.
This does not guarantee future signals will be good, and this is why risk control is essential.
Of course it is smart to experiement with different time periods of chart.
Execution of trades:
Exercise caution with this product.
Risk control is essential and risking more than 1% to 1.5% of your capital from entry price to stop would NOT be advised:
As with hunting, firing out lots of small trades in a shot gun approach will lead to better results than gambling all on the first signal you see.
There is much more chance of hitting a bird with a shot gun than a canon and the ammunition is much cheaper.
Always always use a stop loss. Something like 3 to 7 times a fifty period average true range for example.
Whilst it is often possible that a Pi-bounce appears exactly at the precise high or low of the week and could be the only one you see it is risky just to pile into it instantly as some markets produce several failed signals which continue to move in the same direction.
The safest and least risky method is to wait for the trend to change after the Pi-bounce. This is subjective to your own definition of how to measure the trend as "changing" but I would suggest waiting for a 8-20 period Exponential average to turn around before entering a trade.
Once the trade is entered you can implement a trailing stop to allow maximum potential gains and if your style is one of wanting to take quick profits then it is wise to take only some partial profits and give the move a chance to go somewhere and exit the remainder when the trend changes.
If the move was picked up near the absolute top or bottom it could be a large mistake to bail out of all of it early.
Market selection is important:
Avoid markets in endless smooth trends. These are best trading with trend following products ( Pi-Osc is not a trend following product )
Look for a choppy up or down trend or sideways market with some cycle qualities to it.
Best results are on liquid markets, you can observe the past signals and often history repeats with the good previous signals tending to indicate that future signals may also be good. (This is not certain of course)
This is also true of a market showing several historically bad signals which may be leading to more bad signals.
If the past performance of this indicator is poor on the market you are viewing, then move to another market until one is found where the readings show good price action after the signals in historical data.
Time frames:
This product can be applied to any time frame of market but be aware as is stated above, the slower time frames yield more valid signals and shorter time frames lead to more randomness and noise ridden plots of lower significance.
That said, it provides a valid reason to enter a trade and can give good results providing good stops and risk control are used. I have seen plenty of valid signals on 30 second charts right up to weekly charts.
The reliability of short term intra day time frames is usually lower than weekly or daily time frames. As 10 minute time frame is more reliable than a 30 second chart.
Please take this into consideration, try slowing down the impulses to go fast.
I am now accepting payments in USD or CHF for this product
This is not because I expect a US Dollar collapse but as a precaution to spread currency risk over different classes.
As FX rates vary substantially you can find the option that is cheaper than the other and it is fine to do that and choose the cheaper payment option.
Thanks for reading and I hope you do well with Pi-Osc on Trading View, just remember all the eight rules. You do remember them don't you?
Roger Medcalf - Precision Trading Systems
(Simple) Lot Size CalculatorPip Calculator: A Guide for Traders
The Pip Calculator is a powerful tool designed to help traders calculate their lot size based on their account balance, risk percentage, and stop loss in pips. This guide will walk you through using the Pip Calculator script and explain its features.
Features of the Pip Calculator:
User-friendly UI : The Pip Calculator provides a simple and intuitive user interface, making it easy to input your account details and obtain the desired lot size.
Flexible Inputs : The Pip Calculator allows you to enter your account balance, risk percentage, and stop loss in pips. This flexibility enables you to customize the calculation according to your trading strategy.
Dynamic Currency Pair Support : The Pip Calculator supports various currency pairs and their respective pip values. The script automatically detects the currency pair of the chart you're viewing, ensuring accurate calculations.
Real-time Lot Size Display : The Pip Calculator instantly calculates and displays the lot size based on your inputs. The lot size is updated in real-time as you adjust your account balance, risk percentage, or stop loss.
Visual Representation : The Pip Calculator visually presents the calculated lot size on the chart, making it easy to understand and reference during your trading activities.
Using the Pip Calculator:
Install and Apply the Script : To use the Pip Calculator, install it as an extension on your preferred trading platform (such as TradingView). Apply the script to the chart of the desired currency pair.
Enter Account Details : In the script's user interface, enter your account balance, risk percentage, and stop loss in pips. These details are essential for accurate lot size calculation.
Review Currency Pair Support : The Pip Calculator automatically detects the currency pair of the chart. Ensure that the currency pair is supported by checking the "Currency pair not supported" message. Currently, GBPJPY is the supported pair.
Observe Real-time Lot Size : Once you've entered the required information, the script will calculate and display the lot size in real-time. The lot size is adjusted automatically as you modify your inputs.
Visualize the Lot Size : The calculated lot size is displayed on the chart as a label. You can easily view and reference the lot size while analyzing price movements.
Customize the UI : The Pip Calculator allows you to customize the appearance of the lot size label. You can adjust the text color, background color, and choose whether to show or hide the lot size label.
Note: The Pip Calculator script is intended as a tool to assist traders in determining an appropriate lot size based on their account balance, risk percentage, and stop loss. It should be used in conjunction with a comprehensive trading strategy and risk management principles.
Advantages of the Pip Calculator:
Accuracy: The Pip Calculator incorporates accurate pip values for supported currency pairs, ensuring precise lot size calculations.
Simplicity: The user-friendly interface and intuitive design make it easy for traders to calculate their lot size without complex calculations or manual estimations.
Real-time Updates: The Pip Calculator provides instant lot size updates, allowing traders to adapt their position sizing based on changes in account balance, risk percentage, or stop loss.
Visibility: The visual representation of the lot size on the chart helps traders quickly identify their desired position size and monitor it during trading activities.
The Pip Calculator offers a convenient and efficient way to determine lot sizes based on your trading parameters. By using this tool, you can enhance your risk management practices, maintain consistency, and stay aligned with your trading plan.
Disclaimer: The Pip Calculator script is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in the financial markets carries inherent risks, and it is essential to perform your own analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bounce Manager S/RThis script is based on the bounce manager ATR script
The S/R script is made for manual input of horizontal S/R lines, the script will then see if price respects these levels by the parameters you input in settings panel. On a respectable bounce it will print buy/sell arrows. The script also has functionality to send alerts, this is helpful if you want to automate S/R lines.
An easy strategy to use would be the one you see in the preview using a grid of round numbers. This script in no way shape or form promises easy gains and like all algorithms should be forward tested on a paper trading account before using real money.
components:
- Max violation: When price moves past this the script will no longer look for entry until a new trend has been established. The line can also be used as a stop loss.
- Confirmation line: When price touches the line during a trend it
will wait to cross over this line to confirm a reaction from the line.
- Min past distance: A trend filtering system, this is a distance from
the line price has to break to confirm trend direction.
- Stop loss: This can be set to a percentage distance from the low after
bounce. Or it can be set to the max violation line
- Take profit: This can be a fixed take profit target or a risk to reward
based take profit. With risk to reward it will multiply the stop loss
distance by the input and use that to create target (green cross)
- ATR based or % based: there are 2 versions of the script, one for strict
percentage based logic and another one based on ATR values
Part of the Honest Algo service.