Stochastic RSI OHLC StrategyThe script titled "Stochastic RSI High Low Close Bars" is a versatile trading strategy implemented in Pine Script, designed for TradingView. Here's an overview of its features:
Description
This strategy leverages the Stochastic RSI to determine entry and exit signals in the market, focusing on high, low, and close values of the indicator. It incorporates various trading styles, stop-loss mechanisms, and multi-timeframe analysis to adapt to different market conditions.
Key Features
Stochastic RSI Analysis:
Uses the Stochastic RSI to identify potential entry points for long and short positions.
Tracks high, low, and close values for more granular analysis.
Multiple Trading Styles:
Supports diverse trading styles like Volume Color Swing, RSI Divergence, RSI Pullback, and more.
Allows switching between these styles to suit market dynamics.
Session-Based Trading:
Offers session control, limiting trades to specific hours (e.g., NY sessions).
Can close all positions at the end of the trading day.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Mechanisms:
Includes both static and dynamic stop-losses, with options for time-based stops, trailing stops, and momentum-based exits.
Customizable take-profit levels ensure efficient trade management.
Volume Analysis:
Integrates volume indicators to add a bias for trade entries and exits, enhancing signal reliability.
Multi-Timeframe Integration:
Employs multi-timeframe RSI analysis, allowing the strategy to capture broader trends and optimize entries.
This script is designed to provide flexibility and adaptability, making it useful for different trading strategies and market conditions. It is suitable for traders looking to refine their entries and exits with a focus on the Stochastic RSI.
Cerca negli script per "the strat"
Support Resistance Pivot EMA Scalp Strategy [Mauserrifle]A strategy that creates signals based on: pivots, EMA 9+20, RSI, ATR, VWAP, wicks and volume.
The strategy is developed as a helper for quick long option scalping. This strategy is primarily designed for intraday trading on the 2m SPY chart with extended hours. However, users can adapt it for use on different symbols and timeframes. These signals are meant as a helper rather than fully automated trading bots.
One of the key elements is its pivot-based calculation, driven by my integrated indicator "Support and Resistance Pivot Points/Lines ". It enables multi-timeframe pivot calculations which are used to generate the signals and offers customizability, allowing you to define rounding methods and cooldown periods to refine pivot levels. The pivots, in combination with EMA crossovers, VWAP trend, and additional filters (RSI, ATR, VWAP, wicks and volume), create an entry and exit strategy for scalping opportunities that is useful for 0/1 DTE options with an average trade time of six minutes with the default setup for SPY. Option trading should be done outside TradingView. At this moment of release there is no option trading support.
All parameters used in the strategy are tweaked based on deep backtests results and real-time behavior. Be mindful that past performance does not guarantee future results.
The strategy is designed for intermediate and advanced users who are familiar intraday option scalping techniques.
How It Works
The strategy identifies entries based on multiple conditions, including: recently above pivot, recent EMA crossovers, RSI range, candle patterns, and VWAP uptrend. It avoids trades below the VWAP lower band due to poor backtesting results in those conditions. It creates a great number of signals when it detects an uptrend, which entails: VWAP and its lower/upper band slopes are going up, and the number of next high pivot points is greater than the number of lower pivot points. This indicates that we hope it will keep going up. In historical testing, this showed favorable results. This uptrend criteria runs on 15m charts max (where up to the VWAP effectiveness is the greatest).
The strategy also checks for candle and volume patterns, identified in backtesting to improve entry levels on historic data. Which include:
A red candle after multiple green ones, hoping to jump on a trend during a small pullback
Zero lower wick
Percentage and volume is up after lower volume candles
Percentage is up and the first and second EMA slopes are going up
Percentage is up, the first EMA is higher than the second, the price low is below the second EMA and price close above it
The VWAP uptrend overrules the candle and volume conditions (thus lots of signals during those moments).
The above is the base for many signals. There is a strict mode that adds extra checks such as:
not trading when there is no next low or high pivot
requiring a VWAP uptrend only
minimum candle percentages
This mode is for analyzing history and seeing performance during these conditions. It is worth it to create a separate alert for strict mode so you are aware of these conditions during trading.
When no stop has been defined, exits will always happen on pivot crossunder confirmations. If a stop is defined (default config), the strategy exits a position when:
the position is negative or no trail has been set
at least 1 bar has past
OR no stop has been defined (overrules previous)
trail has not been activated
The second exit condition happens when the close is below first EMA(9 by default) and when:
the position has been above first EMA
the gap between close and last pivot isn't small
the position is negative or no trail has been set
OR no stop has been defined (overrules above)
trail has not been activated
There are some more variations on this but the above are the most common. These exit conditions are a safety net because the strategy heavily relies on and favors stops. The settings allow changing stops, profit takers and trails. You can configure it to always sell without the conditions above.
The script will paint the pivot lines, trailing activation/stops, EMAs and entry/exits; with extra information in the data panel. For a complete view add VWAP and RSI to your chart, which are available from TradingView official indicator library. The strategy will not rely on those added indicators since VWAP and RSI are programmed in. You can add them to track the behavior of the signals based on these filters you have configured and have a complete view trading this strategy.
As mentioned earlier, the default settings are built for SPY 2m charts, with extended hours and real-time data. Open the strategy on this chart to study how all input parameters are used. If you don't have real-time data you need to adjust the minimum volume settings (set it to 0 at first).
The backtest
The default backtest configuration is set up to simulate SPY option trading.
Start capital is set to 10,000 and we risk around 5% of that per trade (1 contract)
Commission is set to 0.005%. The reason: at the time of this publication the SPY index price is approximately $580. Two ITM 0/1 DTE options contracts, each priced around $280, which is approximately $560. The typical commission for such a trade is around $3. To simulate this commission in the backtest on the SPY index itself, a commission of 0.005% per trade has been applied, approximating the options trading costs.
Slippage of 3 is set reflecting liquid SPY
The bar magnifier feature is turned on to have more realistic fills
Trading
In backtesting, setting commission and slippage to 0 on the SPY 2m chart shows many trades result around breaking even. Personally, I view them as an opportunity and safety net to help manage emotional decisions for exits. The signals are designed for short option scalps, allowing traders to take small profits and potentially re-enter during the strategy’s position window. It's advisable to take small potential profits, such as 4%, whenever the opportunity arises and consider re-entering if the setup still looks favorable, for example price still above ema9. Exiting a long position below ema9 is a common strategy for 2m scalping.
The average trade duration is approximately 6 minutes (3 bars). The choice between ITM (in-the-money), ATM (at-the-money), or OTM (out-of-the-money) options will depend on your trading style. Personally, I’ve seen better results with ITM options because they tend to move more in sync with the underlying index, thanks to their higher delta.
It’s important to note that the signals are designed to be a helper for manual trading rather than to automate a bot. Users are encouraged to take small profits and re-enter positions if favorable conditions persist. Be mindful that past performance does not guarantee future results.
For the default SPY setup the losses will mostly be 4-10% for ITM options. Be mindful of extreme volatile conditions where losses may reach 30% quickly, especially when trading ATM/OTM options.
The following settings can be changed:
8 pivot timeframes with left/right bars and days rendered
Here you can configure the timeframes for the pivots, which are crucial. The strategy wants that a crossover has happened recently (so it might enter after a crossunder if the crossover was recent) or the price is still above the crossed pivot.
When you decide to use a pivot timeframe higher than your chart, make sure it aligns the same starting point as the chart timeframe. As stated in the 43000478429 docs, there is a dependency between the resolution and the alignment of a starting point:
1–14 minutes — aligns to the beginning of a week
15–29 minutes — aligns to the beginning of a month
from 30 minutes and higher — aligns to the beginning of a year
This alignment also affects the setting of rendered days. I recommend a max value of 5 days for 1-14 minutes timeframes.
Also make sure a higher pivot timeframe can be divided by the lower. For instance I had repaint issues using 3m pivots on a 2m chart. But 4m pivots work fine.
Please look up docs 43000478429 to make sure this information is still up to date.
Pivot rounding
The pivot rounding option is used to add pivots based on a rounded price and limit the number of pivots. While this feature is disabled by default it can be useful with tweaking strategy variations, because many orders are placed at rounded levels and tend to act as strong price barriers.
There are multiple rounding methods: round, ceil/floor, roundn (decimal) and rounding to the minimal tick.
The next feature is a powerful extension called "Cooldown rounding":
Pivot cooldown rounding
This rounds new pivot levels for a cooldown period to keep the previous pivot line instead of adding a new line when they match the rounded value within the cooldown period. The existing line will be extended. This feature is useful because it makes sure the initial line is added to the exact high/low pivot level but any future lines within the rounding will just extend the existing line. This limits the number of pivots while still having precise levels (which normal rounding lacks) and allows more precise pivot trading.
This feature also helps ensure that the number of rendered lines will not exceed 500 too much, which is the render limit on TradingView.
You can set a maximum minutes for the cooldown. The default is 3 years which will enable the cooldown rounding permanently on the intraday (due to the max bar limit).
Pivot always added when new higher/lower pivot
When using cooldown rounding, one may find it useful to override this behavior when a new lower or higher pivot level has been reached. When enabled the new level will be added despite the fact that they may be rounded the same in the cooldown check. This is a good balance between limiting pivots but also allowing preciser trading.
VWAP bands multiplier
This is used to tweak the inner VWAP working for the upper and lower band. The default VWAP multiplier (0.9) is set based on backtesting since it performed better on historic data (the strategy does not trade below the lowerband). When you add the VWAP indicator from the TradingView library to the chart, make sure it uses the same multiplier setting as within this strategy so you have a correct view of the conditions the strategy acts on.
ATR EMA smoothing length
Used to tweak the ATR EMA smoothing. By default it is set up to 4 based on deep backtesting historic data.
EMA lengths
Changing the EMA length allows you to fine tune the EMA crossing behavior. By default the strategy is set up to EMA 9 and 20 which are considered commonly used values on the 2-minute chart.
Trading intraday time restrictions
For intraday charts you can configure when the strategy starts trading after market open and when it stops, including a hard sell. This makes sure there are no open positions left for the day during backtesting and can also aid in your trading style. For example some scalpers will not trade in the first two hours. Having no signals during this time can be beneficial. It is possible to configure these settings based on the number of bars or minutes.
Not trading on days the market closes earlier
By default the strategy does not trade on days the market closes earlier in the US. This makes sure there are no open positions left open during backtesting. Make sure to change it when using it on such a day. The days are: day before independence day, day after thanksgiving, Christmas eve and new years eve.
Not trading below VWAP lowerband
Backtesting has shown poor performance when trading below the VWAP lowerband but you are free to allow it to trade in such conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Minimum volume
A minimum volume can be set up. The current value is based on better deep backtest results for SPY using real-time data (48000). When you do not have a data plan for SPY, please set it to 0 and tweak based on backtests.
Minimum ATRP
The strategy has shown during my trading that it is sensitive to higher ATRP values and more volatile market conditions. There is more chance the index moves and we can profit from this during option scalping (if it moves in your favor). The default is based on SPY backtesting (0.04%), as a balance to have a lot of trades but also capture minimal movement.
RSI range
A RSI range can be set using a minimum and maximum value so we can limit trading during overbought/oversold conditions. Backtesting for SPY has shown the strategy performs better on historic data within a tighter range, so a default range has been set to 40-65.
Allow orders on every tick (no effect on stop/profit/trail)
This setting is used to allow orders on every tick. The strategy has been developed without trading on every tick but you can change this, for example when you have configured a setup different than the default configuration that you know works well with this. The default setup will not work well with it due to too many constant signals.
Stop percentage + ATRP threshold
One of the most important settings for managing the risk. I recommend setting a stop percentage first and later the ATRP threshold where the stop is calculated based on the current ATRP value. The calculated value will only be in effect when it is greater than the normal stop--the normal stop acts as baseline. The default stop is low (0.03). With a default ATRP threshold stop of 1.12, the calculated value overrules the normal stop when the value is greater. 0.03 acts as a minimum value but in reality the stop will most likely be higher on average for SPY with the default ATRP threshold.
For the default SPY setup the losses will be around 4-10% for ITM options. Be mindful of extreme volatile conditions where losses may reach 30% quickly, especially when trading ATM/OTM options.
Profit taker percentage + ATRP threshold
Same principles as the stop percentage above, but for profit taking. There is a very high ATRP threshold of 4 set by default. Backtests showed that trailing stops perform better on historic data.
Trailing stop
Used to set up a trailing stop. A useful feature to secure profit after a run-up, or get out with a small loss after initial activation. It is important to not use too tight values because they will give unrealistic backtest results and trigger too fast in real-time. Both the trail activation level and trail stop itself can be configured with a percentage value and ATRP value. I recommend setting up the ATRP last. By default the values are 0.05 for activation and 0.03 for the stop based on SPY real-time behavior.
Always sell on pivot crossunder confirmation
The strategy includes pivot crossunder confirmations as sell condition. By default it will not sell on every crossunder confirmation but checks for different conditions (explained in detail earlier in this description). You can change this behavior.
Always sell below first EMA when position has been above
The strategy sells below the first EMA when the position has been above it. By default it will not always sell but checks for different conditions (mentioned earlier in this description). You can change this behavior.
Buy modes pivot
By default the strategy buys between pivots as long as there has been a pivot crossover and EMAs crossover recently or price is still above it. You can change the behavior so it only buys on pivot crossovers or pivot crossover confirmations. Backtesting on the default setup shows decreased performance but for other strategy variations and pivot setups this feature can be useful since many scalpers do not buy between pivots.
Strict mode
There is a strict mode that adds extra checks such as not trading when there is no next low or high pivot, requiring a VWAP uptrend only and minimum candle percentages. This mode is for analyzing history and seeing performance during these conditions. It is worth it to create a separate alert for strict mode so you are aware of these conditions during trading. The deep backtests improved with these setting but past performance does not guarantee future results.
In the strict mode section you can override the stop, minimum ATRP, set up a minimum percentage, only trade VWAP uptrends and to not trade candles without a wick.
A summary and some extra detail
At the time of release only long trades are supported
The strategy is meant for quick scalping but one might find other uses for it
Enable extended hours on intraday charts so it captures more pivots
It does not trade extended hours (pre and post market) since options do not trade during those times
real-time data is recommended and required if a symbol has delayed data by default
You can configure that it trades minutes after market open and hard sells minutes after market open
The entries have a specific label text, example: "833 LE1 / 569.71 / P:569.8". This means: / / . The condition number is only for development/debug purposes for me when you have an issue.
The strategy cannot be tweaked to work on multiple symbols and timeframes with a single config. So you will have to make a config for every timeframe and symbol. I recommend using the Indicator Templates feature of TradingView. This way you can save the settings per timeframe and symbol
The strategy is per default config very dependent on (trailing) stops because it trades between pivots too. It wants that a pivot and EMA crossover has happened more recently than a crossunder. But you can change this behavior to always force crossover buys and crossunder sells.
It’s recommended to set up alerts to notify you of entry and exit signals. Watching the chart alone might cause you to miss trades, especially in fast-moving markets.
Only a max of 500 lines can be rendered on the chart, but the strategy will function with more under the hood. When you exceed 500 you will notice the beginning of the chart has no pivots, but beneath everything functions for backtesting.
Changing settings
Changing the settings for a different symbol and/or timeframe can be a challenging task. Here's a how-to you could use the first time to help you get going:
Set commission and slippage to 0. I prefer to do this so it is more clear whether you are balancing on break-even trades
Enable the pivot timeframe equal or above your chart timeframe. Avoid repainting as discussed earlier by choosing timeframes that align with the same timeframe
Set all volume, ATR, stop, profit takers and trail values to 0
Make sure strict mode is disabled at the bottom of the settings
You now have a clean state and you should see the backtest results purely based on pivot and EMA conditions
Tweak the stop and profit taker, beginning with the simple values and then ATRP threshold
At the last moment tweak the trailing stops. Tight trailing stops create an unrealistic backtest so you will need to tweak them based on real-time behavior of the symbol you're using which you will have to monitor during signals while the market is open. The default values are low (2m intraday SPY). Only with the bar magnifier feature it is somewhat possible to tweak realistic with history data. The tighter they are, the more unrealistic your backtest results. As a starting point, set the trailing stop low and find the highest activation level that doesn't change the results drastically, then increase the stop to the value you think reflects real-time behavior.
Keep refining by testing it during real-time behavior. Does it exit too early according to your own judgment? You need to increase the stop and maybe the activation level.
I hope you will find this useful!
DISCLAIMER
Trading is risky & most day traders lose money. This indicator is purely for informational & educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Chande Momentum Oscillator StrategyThe Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Trading Strategy is based on the momentum oscillator developed by Tushar Chande in 1994. The CMO measures the momentum of a security by calculating the difference between the sum of recent gains and losses over a defined period. The indicator offers a means to identify overbought and oversold conditions, making it suitable for developing mean-reversion trading strategies (Chande, 1997).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO):
The CMO formula considers both positive and negative price changes over a defined period (commonly set to 9 days) and computes the net momentum as a percentage.
The formula is as follows:
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)
This approach distinguishes the CMO from other oscillators like the RSI by using both price gains and losses in the numerator, providing a more symmetrical measurement of momentum (Chande, 1997).
Entry Condition:
The strategy opens a long position when the CMO value falls below -50, signaling an oversold condition where the price may revert to the mean. Research in mean-reversion, such as by Poterba and Summers (1988), supports this approach, highlighting that prices often revert after sharp movements due to overreaction in the markets.
Exit Conditions:
The strategy closes the long position when:
The CMO rises above 50, indicating that the price may have become overbought and may not provide further upside potential.
Alternatively, the position is closed 5 days after the buy signal is triggered, regardless of the CMO value, to ensure a timely exit even if the momentum signal does not reach the predefined level.
This exit strategy aligns with the concept of time-based exits, reducing the risk of prolonged exposure to adverse price movements (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages the well-known phenomenon of mean-reversion in financial markets. According to research by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), prices tend to revert to their mean over short periods following strong movements, creating opportunities for traders to profit from temporary deviations.
The CMO captures this mean-reversion behavior by monitoring extreme price conditions. When the CMO reaches oversold levels (below -50), it signals potential buying opportunities, whereas crossing overbought levels (above 50) indicates conditions for selling.
Market Efficiency and Overreaction:
The strategy takes advantage of behavioral inefficiencies and overreactions, which are often the drivers behind sharp price movements (Shiller, 2003). By identifying these extreme conditions with the CMO, the strategy aims to capitalize on the market’s tendency to correct itself when price deviations become too large.
Optimization and Parameter Selection:
The 9-day period used for the CMO calculation is a widely accepted timeframe that balances responsiveness and noise reduction, making it suitable for capturing short-term price fluctuations. Studies in technical analysis suggest that oscillators optimized over such periods are effective in detecting reversals (Murphy, 1999).
Performance and Backtesting:
The strategy's effectiveness is confirmed through backtesting, which shows that using the CMO as a mean-reversion tool yields profitable opportunities. The use of time-based exits alongside momentum-based signals enhances the reliability of the strategy by ensuring that trades are closed even when the momentum signal alone does not materialize.
Conclusion:
The Chande Momentum Oscillator Trading Strategy combines the principles of momentum measurement and mean-reversion to identify and capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. By using a widely tested oscillator like the CMO and integrating a systematic exit approach, the strategy effectively addresses both entry and exit conditions, providing a robust method for trading in diverse market environments.
References:
Chande, T. S. (1997). The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging into the Latest Indicators. John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Simple RSI stock Strategy [1D] The "Simple RSI Stock Strategy " is designed to long-term traders. Strategy uses a daily time frame to capitalize on signals generated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This strategy is suitable for low-leverage trading environments and focuses on identifying potential buy opportunities when the market is oversold, while incorporating strong risk management with both dynamic and static Stop Loss mechanisms.
This strategy is recommended for use with a relatively small amount of capital and is best applied by diversifying across multiple stocks in a strong uptrend, particularly in the S&P 500 stock market. It is specifically designed for equities, and may not perform well in other markets such as commodities, forex, or cryptocurrencies, where different market dynamics and volatility patterns apply.
Indicators Used in the Strategy:
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- The RSI is a momentum oscillator used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market.
- This strategy enters long positions when the RSI drops below the oversold level (default: 30), indicating a potential buying opportunity.
- It focuses on oversold conditions but uses a filter (SMA 200) to ensure trades are only made in the context of an overall uptrend.
2. SMA 200 (Simple Moving Average):
- The 200-period SMA serves as a trend filter, ensuring that trades are only executed when the price is above the SMA, signaling a bullish market.
- This filter helps to avoid entering trades in a downtrend, thereby reducing the risk of holding positions in a declining market.
3. ATR (Average True Range):
- The ATR is used to measure market volatility and is instrumental in setting the Stop Loss.
- By multiplying the ATR value by a custom multiplier (default: 1.5), the strategy dynamically adjusts the Stop Loss level based on market volatility, allowing for flexibility in risk management.
How the Strategy Works:
Entry Signals:
The strategy opens long positions when RSI indicates that the market is oversold (below 30), and the price is above the 200-period SMA. This ensures that the strategy buys into potential market bottoms within the context of a long-term uptrend.
Take Profit Levels:
The strategy defines three distinct Take Profit (TP) levels:
TP 1: A 5% from the entry price.
TP 2: A 10% from the entry price.
TP 3: A 15% from the entry price.
As each TP level is reached, the strategy closes portions of the position to secure profits: 33% of the position is closed at TP 1, 66% at TP 2, and 100% at TP 3.
Visualizing Target Points:
The strategy provides visual feedback by plotting plotshapes at each Take Profit level (TP 1, TP 2, TP 3). This allows traders to easily see the target profit levels on the chart, making it easier to monitor and manage positions as they approach key profit-taking areas.
Stop Loss Mechanism:
The strategy uses a dual Stop Loss system to effectively manage risk:
ATR Trailing Stop: This dynamic Stop Loss adjusts based on the ATR value and trails the price as the position moves in the trader’s favor. If a price reversal occurs and the market begins to trend downward, the trailing stop closes the position, locking in gains or minimizing losses.
Basic Stop Loss: Additionally, a fixed Stop Loss is set at 25%, limiting potential losses. This basic Stop Loss serves as a safeguard, automatically closing the position if the price drops 25% from the entry point. This higher Stop Loss is designed specifically for low-leverage trading, allowing more room for market fluctuations without prematurely closing positions.
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni, here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
Together, these mechanisms ensure that the strategy dynamically manages risk while offering robust protection against significant losses in case of sharp market downturns.
The position size has been estimated by me at 75% of the total capital. For optimal capital allocation, a recommended value based on the Kelly Criterion, which is calculated to be 59.13% of the total capital per trade, can also be considered.
Enjoy !
Overnight Positioning w EMA - Strategy [presentTrading]I've recently started researching Market Timing strategies, and it’s proving to be quite an interesting area of study. The idea of predicting optimal times to enter and exit the market, based on historical data and various indicators, brings a dynamic edge to trading. Additionally, it is integrated with the 3commas bot for automated trade execution.
I'm still working on it. Welcome to share your point of view.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Overnight Positioning with EMA " is designed to capitalize on market inefficiencies during the overnight trading period. This strategy takes a position shortly before the market closes and exits shortly after it opens the following day. What sets this strategy apart is the integration of an optional Exponential Moving Average (EMA) filter, which ensures that trades are aligned with the underlying trend. The strategy provides flexibility by allowing users to select between different global market sessions, such as the US, Asia, and Europe.
It is integrated with the 3commas bot for automated trade execution and has a built-in mechanism to avoid holding positions over the weekend by force-closing positions on Fridays before the market closes.
BTCUSD 20 mins Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The core logic of this strategy is simple: enter trades before market close and exit them after market open, taking advantage of potential price movements during the overnight period. Here’s how it works in more detail:
🔶 Market Timing
The strategy determines the local market open and close times based on the selected market (US, Asia, Europe) and adjusts entry and exit points accordingly. The entry is triggered a specific number of minutes before market close, and the exit is triggered a specific number of minutes after market open.
🔶 EMA Filter
The strategy includes an optional EMA filter to help ensure that trades are taken in the direction of the prevailing trend. The EMA is calculated over a user-defined timeframe and length. The entry is only allowed if the closing price is above the EMA (for long positions), which helps to filter out trades that might go against the trend.
The EMA formula:
```
EMA(t) = +
```
Where:
- EMA(t) is the current EMA value
- Close(t) is the current closing price
- n is the length of the EMA
- EMA(t-1) is the previous period's EMA value
🔶 Entry Logic
The strategy monitors the market time in the selected timezone. Once the current time reaches the defined entry period (e.g., 20 minutes before market close), and the EMA condition is satisfied, a long position is entered.
- Entry time calculation:
```
entryTime = marketCloseTime - entryMinutesBeforeClose * 60 * 1000
```
🔶 Exit Logic
Exits are triggered based on a specified time after the market opens. The strategy checks if the current time is within the defined exit period (e.g., 20 minutes after market open) and closes any open long positions.
- Exit time calculation:
exitTime = marketOpenTime + exitMinutesAfterOpen * 60 * 1000
🔶 Force Close on Fridays
To avoid the risk of holding positions over the weekend, the strategy force-closes any open positions 5 minutes before the market close on Fridays.
- Force close logic:
isFriday = (dayofweek(currentTime, marketTimezone) == dayofweek.friday)
█ Trade Direction
This strategy is designed exclusively for long trades. It enters a long position before market close and exits the position after market open. There is no shorting involved in this strategy, and it focuses on capturing upward momentum during the overnight session.
█ Usage
This strategy is suitable for traders who want to take advantage of price movements that occur during the overnight period without holding positions for extended periods. It automates entry and exit times, ensuring that trades are placed at the appropriate times based on the market session selected by the user. The 3commas bot integration also allows for automated execution, making it ideal for traders who wish to set it and forget it. The strategy is flexible enough to work across various global markets, depending on the trader's preference.
█ Default Settings
1. entryMinutesBeforeClose (Default = 20 minutes):
This setting determines how many minutes before the market close the strategy will enter a long position. A shorter duration could mean missing out on potential movements, while a longer duration could expose the position to greater price fluctuations before the market closes.
2. exitMinutesAfterOpen (Default = 20 minutes):
This setting controls how many minutes after the market opens the position will be exited. A shorter exit time minimizes exposure to market volatility at the open, while a longer exit time could capture more of the overnight price movement.
3. emaLength (Default = 100):
The length of the EMA affects how the strategy filters trades. A shorter EMA (e.g., 50) reacts more quickly to price changes, allowing more frequent entries, while a longer EMA (e.g., 200) smooths out price action and only allows entries when there is a stronger underlying trend.
The effect of using a longer EMA (e.g., 200) would be:
```
EMA(t) = +
```
4. emaTimeframe (Default = 240):
This is the timeframe used for calculating the EMA. A higher timeframe (e.g., 360) would base entries on longer-term trends, while a shorter timeframe (e.g., 60) would respond more quickly to price movements, potentially allowing more frequent trades.
5. useEMA (Default = true):
This toggle enables or disables the EMA filter. When enabled, trades are only taken when the price is above the EMA. Disabling the EMA allows the strategy to enter trades without any trend validation, which could increase the number of trades but also increase risk.
6. Market Selection (Default = US):
This setting determines which global market's open and close times the strategy will use. The selection of the market affects the timing of entries and exits and should be chosen based on the user's preference or geographic focus.
Martingale with MACD+KDJ opening conditionsStrategy Overview:
This strategy is based on a Martingale trading approach, incorporating MACD and KDJ indicators. It features pyramiding, trailing stops, and dynamic profit-taking mechanisms, suitable for both long and short trades. The strategy increases position size progressively using a Multiplier, a key feature of Martingale systems.
Key Concepts:
Martingale Strategy: A trading system where positions are doubled or increased after a loss to recover previous losses with a single successful trade. In this script, the position size is incremented using a Multiplier for each addition.
Pyramiding: Allows adding to existing trades when market conditions are favorable, enhancing profitability during trends.
Settings:
Basic Inputs:
Initial Order: Defines the starting size of the position.
Default: 150.0
MACD Settings: Customize the fast, slow, and signal smoothing lengths.
Default: Fast Length: 9, Slow Length: 26, Signal Smoothing: 9
KDJ Settings: Customize the length and smoothing parameters for KDJ.
Default: Length: 14, Smooth K: 3, Smooth D: 3
Max Additions: Sets the number of additional positions (pyramiding).
Default: 5 (Min: 1, Max: 10)
Position Sizing: Percent to add to positions on favorable conditions.
Default: 1.0%
Martingale Multiplier:
Add Multiplier: This value controls the scaling of additional positions according to the Martingale principle. After each loss, a new position is added, and its size is increased by the Multiplier factor. For example, with a multiplier of 2, each new addition will be twice as large as the previous one, accelerating recovery if the price moves favorably.
Default: 1.0 (no multiplication)
Can be adjusted up to 10x to aggressively increase position size after losses.
Trade Execution:
Long Trades:
Entry Condition: A long position is opened when the MACD line crosses over the signal line, and the KDJ’s %K crosses above %D.
Additions (Martingale): After the initial long position, new positions are added if the price drops by the defined percentage, and each new addition is increased using the Multiplier. This continues up to the set Max Additions.
Short Trades:
Entry Condition: A short position is opened when the MACD line crosses under the signal line, and the KDJ’s %K crosses below %D.
Additions (Martingale): After the initial short position, new positions are added if the price rises by the defined percentage, and each new addition is increased using the Multiplier.
Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: Exits are triggered when the price reaches the take-profit threshold.
Stop Loss: If the price moves unfavorably, the position will be closed at the set stop-loss level.
Trailing Stop: Adjusts dynamically as the price moves in favor of the trade to lock in profits.
On-Chart Visuals:
Long Signals: Blue triangles below the bars indicate long entries, and green triangles mark additional long positions.
Short Signals: Red triangles above the bars indicate short entries, and orange triangles mark additional short positions.
Information Table:
The strategy displays a table with key metrics:
Open Price: The entry price of the trade.
Average Price: The average price of the current position.
Additions: The number of additional positions taken.
Next Add Price: The price level for the next position.
Take Profit: The price at which profits will be taken.
Stop Loss: The stop-loss level to minimize risk.
Usage Instructions:
Adjust the parameters to your trading style using the input settings.
The Multiplier amplifies your position size after each addition, so use it cautiously, especially in volatile markets.
Monitor the signals and table on the chart for entry/exit decisions and trade management.
RSI Crossover Strategy with Compounding (Monthly)Explanation of the Code:
Initial Setup:
The strategy initializes with a capital of 100,000.
Variables track the capital and the amount invested in the current trade.
RSI Calculation:
The RSI and its SMA are calculated on the monthly timeframe using request.security().
Entry and Exit Conditions:
Entry: A long position is initiated when the RSI is above its SMA and there’s no existing position. The quantity is based on available capital.
Exit: The position is closed when the RSI falls below its SMA. The capital is updated based on the net profit from the trade.
Capital Management:
After closing a trade, the capital is updated with the net profit plus the initial investment.
Plotting:
The RSI and its SMA are plotted for visualization on the chart.
A label displays the current capital.
Notes:
Test the strategy on different instruments and historical data to see how it performs.
Adjust parameters as needed for your specific trading preferences.
This script is a basic framework, and you might want to enhance it with risk management, stop-loss, or take-profit features as per your trading strategy.
Feel free to modify it further based on your needs!
KAMA Cloud STIndicator:
Description:
The KAMA Cloud indicator is a sophisticated trading tool designed to provide traders with insights into market trends and their intensity. This indicator is built on the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA), which dynamically adjusts its sensitivity to filter out market noise and respond to significant price movements. The KAMA Cloud leverages multiple KAMAs to gauge trend direction and strength, offering a visual representation that is easy to interpret.
How It Works:
The KAMA Cloud uses twenty different KAMA calculations, each set to a distinct lookback period ranging from 5 to 100. These KAMAs are calculated using the average of the open, high, low, and close prices (OHLC4), ensuring a balanced view of price action. The relative positioning of these KAMAs helps determine the direction of the market trend and its momentum.
By measuring the cumulative relative distance between these KAMAs, the indicator effectively assesses the overall trend strength, akin to how the Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility. This cumulative measure helps in identifying the trend’s robustness and potential sustainability.
The visualization component of the KAMA Cloud is particularly insightful. It plots a 'cloud' formed between the base KAMA (set at a 100-period lookback) and an adjusted KAMA that incorporates the cumulative relative distance scaled up. This cloud changes color based on the trend direction — green for upward trends and red for downward trends, providing a clear, visual representation of market conditions.
How the Strategy Works:
The KAMA Cloud ST strategy employs multiple KAMA calculations with varying lengths to capture the nuances of market trends. It measures the relative distances between these KAMAs to determine the trend's direction and strength, much like the original indicator. The strategy enhances decision-making by plotting a 'cloud' formed between the base KAMA (set to a 100-period lookback) and an adjusted KAMA that scales according to the cumulative relative distance of all KAMAs.
Key Components of the Strategy:
Multiple KAMA Layers: The strategy calculates KAMAs for periods ranging from 5 to 100 to analyze short to long-term market trends.
Dynamic Cloud: The cloud visually represents the trend’s strength and direction, updating in real-time as the market evolves.
Signal Generation: Trade signals are generated based on the orientation of the cloud relative to a smoothed version of the upper KAMA boundary. Long positions are initiated when the market trend is upward, and the current cloud value is above its smoothed average. Conversely, positions are closed when the trend reverses, indicated by the cloud falling below the smoothed average.
Suggested Usage:
Market: Stocks, not cryptocurrency
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Indicator:
Trend Following ADX + Parabolic SAR### Strategy Description: Trend Following using **ADX** and **Parabolic SAR**
This strategy is designed to follow market trends using two popular indicators: **Average Directional Index (ADX)** and **Parabolic SAR**. The strategy attempts to enter trades when the market shows a strong trend (using ADX) and confirms the trend direction using the Parabolic SAR. Here's a breakdown:
### Key Indicators:
1. **ADX (Average Directional Index)**:
- **Purpose**: ADX measures the strength of a trend, regardless of direction.
- **Usage**: The strategy uses ADX to confirm that the market is trending. When ADX is above a certain threshold (e.g., 25), it indicates a strong trend.
- **Directional Indicators**:
- **DI+ (Directional Indicator Plus)**: Indicates upward movement strength.
- **DI- (Directional Indicator Minus)**: Indicates downward movement strength.
2. **Parabolic SAR**:
- **Purpose**: Parabolic SAR is a trend-following indicator used to identify potential reversals in the price direction.
- **Usage**: It provides specific price points above or below which the strategy confirms buy or sell signals.
### Strategy Logic:
#### **Entry Conditions**:
1. **Long Position** (Buy):
- **ADX** is above the threshold (default: 25), indicating a strong trend.
- **DI+ > DI-**, indicating the upward trend is stronger than the downward.
- The price is above the **Parabolic SAR** level, confirming the upward trend.
2. **Short Position** (Sell):
- **ADX** is above the threshold (default: 25), indicating a strong trend.
- **DI- > DI+**, indicating the downward trend is stronger than the upward.
- The price is below the **Parabolic SAR** level, confirming the downward trend.
#### **Exit Conditions**:
- Positions are closed when an opposite signal is detected.
- For example, if a long position is open and the conditions for a short position are met, the long position is closed, and a short position is opened.
### Parameters:
1. **ADX Period**: Defines the length of the period for the ADX calculation (default: 14).
2. **ADX Threshold**: The minimum value of ADX to confirm a strong trend (default: 25).
3. **Parabolic SAR Start**: The initial step for the SAR (default: 0.02).
4. **Parabolic SAR Increment**: The step increment for SAR (default: 0.02).
5. **Parabolic SAR Max**: The maximum step for SAR (default: 0.2).
### Example Trade Flow:
#### **Long Trade**:
1. ADX > 25, confirming a strong trend.
2. DI+ > DI-, indicating the market is trending upward.
3. The price is above the Parabolic SAR, confirming the upward direction.
4. **Action**: Enter a long (buy) position.
5. Exit the long position when a short signal is triggered (i.e., DI- > DI+, price below Parabolic SAR).
#### **Short Trade**:
1. ADX > 25, confirming a strong trend.
2. DI- > DI+, indicating the market is trending downward.
3. The price is below the Parabolic SAR, confirming the downward direction.
4. **Action**: Enter a short (sell) position.
5. Exit the short position when a long signal is triggered (i.e., DI+ > DI-, price above Parabolic SAR).
### Strengths of the Strategy:
- **Trend-Following**: It performs well in markets with strong trends, whether upward or downward.
- **Dual Confirmation**: The combination of ADX and Parabolic SAR reduces false signals by ensuring both trend strength and direction are considered before entering a trade.
### Weaknesses:
- **Range-Bound Markets**: This strategy may perform poorly in choppy, non-trending markets because both ADX and SAR are trend-following indicators.
- **Lagging Nature**: Since both ADX and SAR are lagging indicators, the strategy may enter trades after the trend has already started, potentially missing early profits.
### Customization:
- **ADX Threshold**: You can increase the threshold if you only want to trade in very strong trends, or lower it to capture more moderate trends.
- **SAR Parameters**: Adjusting the SAR `start`, `increment`, and `max` values will make the Parabolic SAR more or less sensitive to price changes.
### Summary:
This strategy combines the ADX and Parabolic SAR to take advantage of strong market trends. By confirming both trend strength (ADX) and trend direction (Parabolic SAR), it aims to enter high-probability trades in trending markets while minimizing false signals. However, it may struggle in sideways or non-trending markets.
For Educational purposes only !!!
Fibonacci Swing Trading BotStrategy Overview for "Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot"
Strategy Name: Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot
Version: Pine Script v5
Purpose: This strategy is designed for swing traders who want to leverage Fibonacci retracement levels and candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades on higher time frames.
Key Components:
1. Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
The strategy uses a customizable timeframe for analysis. You can choose between 4hour, daily, weekly, or monthly time frames to fit your preferred trading horizon. The high and low-price data is retrieved from the selected timeframe to identify swing points.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The script calculates two key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.618: A common level where price often retraces before resuming its trend.
0.786: A deeper retracement level, often used to identify stronger support/resistance areas.
These levels are dynamically plotted on the chart based on the highest high and lowest low over the last 50 bars of the selected timeframe.
3. Candlestick Based Entry Signals:
The strategy uses candlestick patterns as the only indicator for trade entries:
Bullish Candle: A green candle (close > open) that forms between the 0.618 retracement level and the swing high.
Bearish Candle: A red candle (close < open) that forms between the 0.786 retracement level and the swing low.
When these candlestick patterns align with the Fibonacci levels, the script triggers buy or sell signals.
4. Risk Management:
Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at 1% below the entry price for long trades and 1% above the entry price for short trades. This tight risk management ensures controlled losses.
Take Profit: The strategy uses a 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio. The take profit is automatically calculated based on this ratio relative to the stop loss.
5. Buy/Sell Logic:
Buy Signal: Triggered when a bullish candle forms above the 0.618 retracement level and below the swing high. The bot then places a long position.
Sell Signal: Triggered when a bearish candle forms below the 0.786 retracement level and above the swing low. The bot then places a short position.
The stop loss and take profit levels are automatically managed once the trade is placed.
Strengths of This Strategy:
Swing Trading Focus: The strategy is ideal for swing traders, targeting longer-term price moves that can take days or weeks to play out.
Simple Yet Effective Indicators: By only relying on Fibonacci retracement levels and basic candlestick patterns, the strategy avoids complexity while capitalizing on well-known support and resistance zones.
Automated Risk Management: The built-in stop loss and take profit mechanism ensures trades are protected, adhering to a strict 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis: The script adapts to various market conditions by allowing users to switch between different timeframes (4hour, daily, weekly, monthly), giving traders flexibility.
Strategy Use Cases:
Retracement Traders: Traders who focus on entering the market at key retracement levels (0.618 and 0.786) will find this strategy especially useful.
Trend Reversal Traders: The strategy’s reliance on candlestick formations at Fibonacci levels helps traders spot potential reversals in price trends.
Risk Conscious Traders: With its 1% risk per trade and 2:1 risk/reward ratio, the strategy is ideal for traders who prioritize risk management in their trades.
Commitment of Trader %R StrategyThis Pine Script strategy utilizes the Commitment of Traders (COT) data to inform trading decisions based on the Williams %R indicator. The script operates in TradingView and includes various functionalities that allow users to customize their trading parameters.
Here’s a breakdown of its key components:
COT Data Import:
The script imports the COT library from TradingView to access historical COT data related to different trader groups (commercial hedgers, large traders, and small traders).
User Inputs:
COT data selection mode (e.g., Auto, Root, Base currency).
Whether to include futures, options, or both.
The trader group to analyze.
The lookback period for calculating the Williams %R.
Upper and lower thresholds for triggering trades.
An option to enable or disable a Simple Moving Average (SMA) filter.
Williams %R Calculation: The script calculates the Williams %R value, which is a momentum indicator that measures overbought or oversold levels based on the highest and lowest prices over a specified period.
SMA Filter: An optional SMA filter allows users to limit trades to conditions where the price is above or below the SMA, depending on the configuration.
Trade Logic: The strategy enters long positions when the Williams %R value exceeds the upper threshold and exits when the value falls below it. Conversely, it enters short positions when the Williams %R value is below the lower threshold and exits when the value rises above it.
Visual Elements: The script visually indicates the Williams %R values and thresholds on the chart, with the option to plot the SMA if enabled.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
The COT report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that provides a breakdown of open interest positions held by different types of traders in the U.S. futures markets. It is widely used by traders and analysts to gauge market sentiment and potential price movements.
Data Collection: The COT data is collected from futures commission merchants and is published every Friday, reflecting positions as of the previous Tuesday. The report categorizes traders into three main groups:
Commercial Traders: These are typically hedgers (like producers and processors) who use futures to mitigate risk.
Non-Commercial Traders: Often referred to as speculators, these traders do not have a commercial interest in the underlying commodity but seek to profit from price changes.
Non-reportable Positions: Small traders who do not meet the reporting threshold set by the CFTC.
Interpretation:
Market Sentiment: By analyzing the positions of different trader groups, market participants can gauge sentiment. For instance, if commercial traders are heavily short, it may suggest they expect prices to decline.
Extreme Positions: Some traders look for extreme positions among non-commercial traders as potential reversal signals. For example, if speculators are overwhelmingly long, it might indicate an overbought condition.
Statistical Insights: COT data is often used in conjunction with technical analysis to inform trading decisions. Studies have shown that analyzing COT data can provide valuable insights into future price movements (Lund, 2018; Hurst et al., 2017).
Scientific References
Lund, J. (2018). Understanding the COT Report: An Analysis of Speculative Trading Strategies.
Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds, 24(1), 41-52. DOI:10.1057/s41260-018-00107-3
Hurst, B., O'Neill, R., & Roulston, M. (2017). The Impact of COT Reports on Futures Market Prices: An Empirical Analysis. Journal of Futures Markets, 37(8), 763-785.
DOI:10.1002/fut.21849
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). (2024). Commitment of Traders. Retrieved from CFTC Official Website.
Advanced Position Management [Mr_Rakun]Advanced Position Management
This Pine Script code is for a strategy titled "Advanced Position Management," aimed at effective trade execution and management using multiple take profit levels, trailing stop loss, and dynamic position sizing.
Take Profit Levels: It defines up to three take profit (TP) levels, allowing partial position exits at different price thresholds. The take profit levels and their respective quantities are adjustable using inputs.
Stop Loss and Trailing Stop: The script implements an initial stop loss based on a percentage from the entry price. Additionally, it features a trailing stop that moves based on either a percentage or previous TP levels, dynamically adjusting to maximize gains while protecting profits.
Position Size: The position size is customizable and based on USD value, allowing the trader to manage risk more effectively.
Advantages:
Flexibility: Multiple take profit levels and a dynamic stop loss system allow traders to lock in profits while keeping the position open for further gains.
Risk Management: The initial stop loss and trailing stop help to limit losses and protect profits as the trade moves in the desired direction.
Automation: Once the strategy is deployed, it automatically handles entry, exit, and stop management, reducing the need for constant monitoring.
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Gelişmiş Pozisyon Yönetimi
Bu Pine Script kodu, Gelişmiş Pozisyon Yönetimi için kendi stratejilerinize kolayca entegre edeceğiniz bir risk yönetimidir. Çoklu kâr al seviyeleri, takip eden stop-loss ve dinamik pozisyon büyüklüğü kullanarak işlem yürütme ve yönetiminde etkilidir.
Gelişmiş Pozisyon Yönetimi
Kâr Alma Seviyeleri;
Kod, pozisyonların farklı fiyat seviyelerinde kısmi kapatılmasını sağlayan üç farklı kâr alma (TP) seviyesini tanımlar. Bu kâr alma seviyeleri ve ilgili miktarları, girişlerle ayarlanabilir.
Stop Loss ve Takip Eden Stop;
Koda, giriş fiyatından bir yüzdeye dayalı olarak başlangıçta stop-loss uygulanır. Ayrıca, fiyat hareketine göre kendini ayarlayan takip eden bir stop-loss sistemi bulunur. Ayrıca TP seviyelerini takip eden stop loss özelliğide vardır.
Avantajları:
Esneklik;
Çoklu kâr alma seviyeleri ve dinamik stop-loss sistemi, trader'ların kazançlarını kilitleyip aynı zamanda pozisyonu açık tutmalarına olanak tanır.
Risk Yönetimi;
Başlangıç stop-loss ve takip eden stop, zararı sınırlamaya ve kazançları korumaya yardımcı olur.
Otomasyon;
Strateji bir kez devreye alındığında, giriş, çıkış ve stop yönetimi otomatik olarak gerçekleştirilir, bu da sürekli takip ihtiyacını azaltır.
High Yield Spread Strategy with SMA FilterThis Pine Script strategy is designed for statistical analysis and research purposes only, not for live trading or financial decision-making. The script evaluates the relationship between financial volatility (measured by either the VIX or the High Yield Spread) and market positioning strategies (long or short) based on user-defined conditions. Specifically, it allows users to test the assumption that elevated levels of VIX or the High Yield Spread may justify short positions in the market—a widely held belief in financial circles—but this script demonstrates that shorting is not always the optimal choice, even under these conditions.
Key Components:
1. High Yield Spread and VIX:
• High Yield Spread is the difference between the yields of corporate high-yield (or “junk”) bonds and U.S. Treasury securities. A rising spread often reflects increased market risk perception.
• VIX (Volatility Index) is often referred to as the market’s “fear gauge.” Higher VIX levels usually indicate heightened market uncertainty or expected volatility.
2. Strategy Logic:
• The script allows users to specify a threshold for the VIX or High Yield Spread, and it automatically evaluates if the spread exceeds this level, which traditionally would suggest an environment for higher market risk and thus potentially favoring short trades.
• However, the strategy provides flexibility to enter long or short positions, even in a high-risk environment, emphasizing that a high VIX or High Yield Spread does not always warrant shorting.
3. SMA Filter:
• A Simple Moving Average (SMA) filter can be applied to the price data, where positions are only entered if the price is above or below the SMA (depending on the trade direction). This adds a technical component to the strategy, incorporating price trends into decision-making.
4. Hold Duration:
• The script also allows users to define how long to hold a position after entering, enabling an analysis of different timeframes.
Theoretical Background:
The traditional belief that high VIX or High Yield Spreads favor short positions is not universally supported by research. While a spike in the VIX or credit spreads is often associated with increased market risk, research suggests that excessive volatility does not always lead to negative returns. In fact, high volatility can sometimes signal an approaching market rebound.
For example:
• Studies have shown that long-term investments during periods of heightened volatility can yield favorable returns due to mean reversion. Whaley (2000) notes that VIX spikes are often followed by market recoveries as volatility tends to revert to its mean over time .
• Research by Blitz and Vliet (2007) highlights that low-volatility stocks have historically outperformed high-volatility stocks, suggesting that volatility may not always predict negative returns .
• Furthermore, credit spreads can widen in response to broader market stress, but these may overshoot the actual credit risk, presenting opportunities for long positions when spreads are high and risk premiums are mispriced .
Educational Purpose:
The goal of this script is to challenge assumptions about shorting during volatile periods, showing that long positions can be equally, if not more, effective during market stress. By incorporating an SMA filter and customizable logic for entering trades, users can test different hypotheses regarding the effectiveness of both long and short positions under varying market conditions.
Note: This strategy is not intended for live trading and should be used solely for educational and statistical exploration. Misinterpreting financial indicators can lead to incorrect investment decisions, and it is crucial to conduct comprehensive research before trading.
References:
1. Whaley, R. E. (2000). “The Investor Fear Gauge”. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
2. Blitz, D., & van Vliet, P. (2007). “The Volatility Effect: Lower Risk Without Lower Return”. Journal of Portfolio Management, 34(1), 102-113.
3. Bhamra, H. S., & Kuehn, L. A. (2010). “The Determinants of Credit Spreads: An Empirical Analysis”. Journal of Finance, 65(3), 1041-1072.
This explanation highlights the academic and research-backed foundation of the strategy and the nuances of volatility, while cautioning against the assumption that high VIX or High Yield Spread always calls for shorting.
Ichimoku Crosses_RSI_AITIchimoku Crosser_RSI_AIT
Overview
The "Ichimoku Cloud Crosses_AIT" strategy is a technical trading strategy that combines the Ichimoku Cloud components with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to generate trade signals. This strategy leverages the crossovers of the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines of the Ichimoku Cloud, along with RSI levels, to identify potential entry and exit points for long and short trades. This guide explains the strategy components, conditions, and how to use it effectively in your trading.
1. Strategy Parameters
User Inputs
Tenkan-sen Period (tenkanLength): Default value is 21. This is the period used to calculate the Tenkan-sen line (conversion line) of the Ichimoku Cloud.
Kijun-sen Period (kijunLength): Default value is 120. This is the period used to calculate the Kijun-sen line (base line) of the Ichimoku Cloud.
Senkou Span B Period (senkouBLength): Default value is 52. This is the period used to calculate the Senkou Span B line (leading span B) of the Ichimoku Cloud.
RSI Period (rsiLength): Default value is 14. This period is used to calculate the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
RSI Long Entry Level (rsiLongLevel): Default value is 60. This level indicates the minimum RSI value for a long entry signal.
RSI Short Entry Level (rsiShortLevel): Default value is 40. This level indicates the maximum RSI value for a short entry signal.
2. Strategy Components
Ichimoku Cloud
Tenkan-sen: A short-term trend indicator calculated as the simple moving average (SMA) of the highest high and the lowest low over the Tenkan-sen period.
Kijun-sen: A medium-term trend indicator calculated as the SMA of the highest high and the lowest low over the Kijun-sen period.
Senkou Span A: Calculated as the average of the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Senkou Span B: Calculated as the SMA of the highest high and lowest low over the Senkou Span B period, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Chikou Span: The closing price plotted 26 periods behind.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
3. Entry and Exit Conditions
Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
The Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen (bullish crossover).
The RSI value is greater than or equal to the rsiLongLevel.
Short Entry:
The Tenkan-sen crosses below the Kijun-sen (bearish crossover).
The RSI value is less than or equal to the rsiShortLevel.
Exit Conditions
Exit Long Position: The Tenkan-sen crosses below the Kijun-sen.
Exit Short Position: The Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen.
4. Visual Representation
Tenkan-sen Line: Plotted on the chart. The color changes based on its relation to the Kijun-sen (green if above, red if below) and is displayed with a line width of 2.
Kijun-sen Line: Plotted as a white line with a line width of 1.
Entry Arrows:
Long Entry: Displayed as a yellow triangle below the bar.
Short Entry: Displayed as a fuchsia triangle above the bar.
5. How to Use
Apply the Strategy: Apply the "Ichimoku Cloud Crosses_AIT" strategy to your chart in TradingView.
Configure Parameters: Adjust the strategy parameters (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, Senkou Span B, and RSI settings) according to your trading preferences.
Interpret the Signals:
Long Entry: A yellow triangle appears below the bar when a long entry signal is generated.
Short Entry: A fuchsia triangle appears above the bar when a short entry signal is generated.
Monitor Open Positions: The strategy automatically exits positions based on the defined conditions.
Backtesting and Live Trading: Use the strategy for backtesting and live trading. Adjust risk management settings in the strategy properties as needed.
Conclusion
The "Ichimoku Cloud Crosses_AIT" strategy uses Ichimoku Cloud crossovers and RSI to generate trading signals. This strategy aims to capture market trends and potential reversals, providing a structured way to enter and exit trades. Make sure to backtest and optimize the strategy parameters to suit your trading style and market conditions before using it in a live trading environment.
ETH Signal 15m
This strategy uses the Supertrend indicator combined with RSI to generate buy and sell signals, with stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) conditions based on ATR (Average True Range). Below is a detailed explanation of each part:
1. General Information BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Strategy Name: "ETH Signal 15m"
Designed for use on the 15-minute time frame for the ETH pair.
Default capital allocation is 15% of total equity for each trade.
2. Backtest Period
start_time and end_time: Define the start and end time of the backtest period.
start_time = 2024-08-01: Start date of the backtest.
end_time = 2054-01-01: End date of the backtest.
The strategy will only run when the current time falls within this specified range.
3. Supertrend Indicator
Supertrend is a trend-following indicator that provides buy or sell signals based on the direction of price changes.
factor = 2.76: The multiplier used in the Supertrend calculation (increasing this value makes the Supertrend less sensitive to price movements).
atrPeriod = 12: Number of periods used to calculate ATR.
Output:
direction: Determines the buy/sell direction based on Supertrend.
If direction decreases, it signals a buy (Long).
If direction increases, it signals a sell (Short).
4. RSI Indicator
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum indicator, often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
rsiLength = 12: Number of periods used to calculate RSI.
rsiOverbought = 70: RSI level considered overbought.
rsiOversold = 30: RSI level considered oversold.
5. Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Supertrend gives a buy signal (ta.change(direction) < 0).
RSI must be below the overbought level (rsi < rsiOverbought).
Short Entry:
Supertrend gives a sell signal (ta.change(direction) > 0).
RSI must be above the oversold level (rsi > rsiOversold).
The strategy will only execute trades if the current time is within the backtest period (in_date_range).
6. Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Conditions
ATR (Average True Range) is used to calculate the distance for Stop Loss and Take Profit based on price volatility.
atr = ta.atr(atrPeriod): ATR is calculated using 12 periods.
Stop Loss and Take Profit are calculated as follows:
Long Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close - 4 * atr (current price minus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close + 2 * atr (current price plus 2 times the ATR).
Short Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close + 4 * atr (current price plus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close - 2.237 * atr (current price minus 2.237 times the ATR).
Summary:
This strategy enters a Long trade when the Supertrend indicates an upward trend and RSI is not in the overbought region. Conversely, a Short trade is entered when Supertrend signals a downtrend, and RSI is not oversold.
The trade is exited when the price reaches the Stop Loss or Take Profit levels, which are determined based on price volatility (ATR).
Disclaimer:
The content provided in this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading in cryptocurrency, stocks, or any financial markets involves significant risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of profit can be made. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this strategy is not responsible for any financial losses or damages incurred as a result of following this strategy. All trades are executed at your own risk.
TPS Short Strategy by Larry ConnersThe TPS Short strategy aims to capitalize on extreme overbought conditions in an ETF by employing a scaling-in approach when certain technical indicators signal potential reversals. The strategy is designed to short the ETF when it is deemed overextended, based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages.
Components:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA):
Purpose: Acts as a long-term trend filter. The ETF must be below its 200-day SMA to be eligible for shorting.
Rationale: The 200-day SMA is widely used to gauge the long-term trend of a security. When the price is below this moving average, it is often considered to be in a downtrend (Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll, "The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging Into the Latest Indicators").
2-Period RSI:
Purpose: Measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought conditions.
Criteria: Short 10% of the position when the 2-period RSI is above 75 for two consecutive days.
Rationale: A high RSI value (above 75) indicates that the ETF may be overbought, which could precede a price reversal (J. Welles Wilder, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems").
Scaling-In Mechanism:
Purpose: Gradually increase the short position as the ETF price rises beyond previous entry points.
Scaling Strategy:
20% more when the price is higher than the first entry.
30% more when the price is higher than the second entry.
40% more when the price is higher than the third entry.
Rationale: This incremental approach allows for an increased position size in a worsening trend, potentially increasing profitability if the trend continues to align with the strategy’s premise (Marty Schwartz, "Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Day Trader").
Exit Conditions:
Criteria: Close all positions when the 2-period RSI drops below 30 or the 10-day SMA crosses above the 30-day SMA.
Rationale: A low RSI value (below 30) suggests that the ETF may be oversold and could be poised for a rebound, while the SMA crossover indicates a potential change in the trend (Martin J. Pring, "Technical Analysis Explained").
Risks and Considerations:
Market Risk:
The strategy assumes that the ETF will continue to decline once shorted. However, markets can be unpredictable, and price movements might not align with the strategy's expectations, especially in a volatile market (Nassim Nicholas Taleb, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable").
Scaling Risks:
Scaling into a position as the price increases may increase exposure to adverse price movements. This method can amplify losses if the market moves against the position significantly before any reversal occurs.
Liquidity Risk:
Depending on the ETF’s liquidity, executing large trades in increments might affect the price and increase trading costs. It is crucial to ensure that the ETF has sufficient liquidity to handle large trades without significant slippage (James Altucher, "Trade Like a Hedge Fund").
Execution Risk:
The strategy relies on timely execution of trades based on specific conditions. Delays or errors in order execution can impact performance, especially in fast-moving markets.
Technical Indicator Limitations:
Technical indicators like RSI and SMA are based on historical data and may not always predict future price movements accurately. They can sometimes produce false signals, leading to potential losses if used in isolation (John Murphy, "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets").
Conclusion
The TPS Short strategy utilizes a combination of long-term trend filtering, overbought conditions, and incremental shorting to potentially profit from price reversals. While the strategy has a structured approach and leverages well-known technical indicators, it is essential to be aware of the inherent risks, including market volatility, liquidity issues, and potential limitations of technical indicators. As with any trading strategy, thorough backtesting and risk management are crucial to its successful implementation.
TradeCreator Pro - Moving Averages, RSI, Volume, Trends, Levels█ Overview
TradeCreator Pro is designed to help you build successful trades by streamlining the processes of trade planning, evaluation, and execution. With a focus on data accuracy, speed, precision, and ease of use, this all-in-one tool assists in identifying optimal entry and exit points, calculating risk/reward ratios, and executing trades efficiently. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, TradeCreator Pro empowers you to make informed, data-driven decisions with real-time signals and fully customizable settings.
█ Key Benefits & Use Cases
TradeCreator Pro is designed to help you effortlessly discover profitable trades by evaluating and testing multiple setups across different assets and timeframes. Key use cases include:
Quick Strategy Testing: Rapidly test multiple setups and strategies, gaining immediate insights into their potential outcomes.
Risk/Reward Evaluation: Quickly identify which trade ideas are worth pursuing based on their profitability and associated risk.
Multi-Timeframe Testing: Seamlessly test the same trading setup across various timeframes and tickers.
Backtesting: Analyze the historical performance of specific setups to gauge their effectiveness.
Key Level Identification: Instantly spot critical support and resistance levels, improving your decision-making process.
Custom Alerts: Set personalized notifications for key levels, ensuring timely action on potential trade opportunities.
█ Core Features
Dashboard: A real-time view of critical metrics such as trend strength, support/resistance levels, volume profiles, RSI divergence, and trade scoring. Designed to provide a comprehensive snapshot of your trading environment and potential trading outcome.
Trend Analysis: Detect prevailing trends by analyzing multiple moving averages, support/resistance zones, volume profile and linear regressions for RSI and closing prices.
Support & Resistance Identification: Automatically identify support and resistance levels.
Volume Profile: Visualize volume profile and its point of control across support/resistance ranges, helping you spot key consolidation areas.
RSI & Price Divergence Detection: Identify potential divergences between RSI and price through linear regressions, providing valuable trade signals.
Risk Management Tools: Set equity loss levels based on specified leverage, allowing you to manage risk effectively for both long and short trades.
Entry & Exit Recommendations: Identify multiple options for optimal entry and exit levels based on current market conditions.
Trade Scoring: Score each trade setup on a 0-100 scale, factoring in potential ROI, ROE, P&L, and Risk-Reward Ratios to ensure high-quality trade execution.
Dynamic Execution & Monitoring: Benefit from multi-stage exit strategies, dynamic trailing stop losses, and the ability to backtest setups with historical data.
Alerts & Automation: Customize alerts for key market movements and opt for manual or automated trading through TradingView’s supported partners.
█ How to Use
Installation: Add TradeCreator Pro to your TradingView chart.
Trend Adjustment: The system automatically detects the current market trend, but you can fine-tune all trend detection parameters as needed.
Trading Parameter Configuration: Customize entry, exit, profitability, and risk-reward settings to match your trading style.
Entry and Exit Level Refinement: Use the automated suggestions, or choose from conceptual or arbitrary levels for greater control.
Stop Loss and Profit Target Fine-Tuning: Apply the system’s recommendations or adjust them by selecting from multiple available options.
Backtest Setup: Run the backtester to analyze past performance and assess how the strategy would have performed historically.
Set Alerts: Stay informed by setting alerts to notify you when a trade setup is triggered.
█ Notes
The first time you apply the indicator to a chart, it may take a few moments to compile. If it takes too long, switch timeframes temporarily to restart the process.
█ Risk Disclaimer
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. The use of TradeCreator Pro, as well as any other tools provided by AlgoTrader Pro, is purely for informational and educational purposes. These tools are not intended to provide financial advice, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is essential to do your own research, practice proper risk management, and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. AlgoTrader Pro is not responsible for any financial losses you may incur through the use of these tools.
123 Reversal Trading StrategyThe 123 Reversal Trading Strategy is a technical analysis approach that seeks to identify potential reversal points in the market by analyzing price patterns. This Pine Script™ code implements a version of this strategy, and here’s a detailed description:
Strategy Overview
Objective: The strategy aims to identify bullish reversal patterns using the 123 pattern and manage trades with a specified holding period and a 20-day moving average as an additional exit condition.
Key Components:
Holding Period: The number of days to hold a trade is adjustable, with the default set to 7 days.
Moving Average: A 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is used to determine an exitcondition based on the price crossing this average.
Pattern Recognition:
Condition 1: The low of the current day must be lower than the low of the previous day.
Condition 2: The low of the previous day must be lower than the low from three days ago.
Condition 3: The low two days ago must be lower than the low from four days ago.
Condition 4: The high two days ago must be lower than the high three days ago.
Entry Condition: All four conditions must be met for a buy signal.
Exit Condition: The position is closed either after the specified holding period or when the price reaches or exceeds the 200-day moving average.
Relevant Literature
Graham, B., & Dodd, D. L. (1934). Security Analysis. This classic work introduces fundamental analysis and technical analysis principles which are foundational to understanding patterns like the 123 reversal.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. Murphy provides an extensive overview of technical indicators and chart patterns, including reversal patterns similar to the 123 pattern.
Elder, A. (1993). Trading for a Living. Elder discusses various trading strategies and technical analysis techniques that complement the understanding of reversal patterns and their application in trading.
Risks and Considerations
Pattern Reliability: The 123 reversal pattern, like many technical patterns, is not foolproof. It can generate false signals, especially in volatile or trending markets. This may lead to losses if the pattern does not play out as expected.
Market Conditions: The strategy may perform differently under various market conditions. In strongly trending markets, reversal patterns might not be as reliable.
Lagging Indicators: The use of the 200-day moving average as an exit condition can be considered a lagging indicator. This means it reacts to price movements with a delay, which might result in late exits and missed profit opportunities.
Holding Period: The fixed holding period of 7 days may not be optimal for all market conditions or stocks. It is essential to adjust the holding period based on market dynamics and individual stock behavior.
Overfitting: The parameters used (like the number of days and moving average length) are set based on historical data. Overfitting can occur if these parameters are tailored too specifically to past data, leading to reduced performance in future scenarios.
Conclusion
The 123 Reversal Trading Strategy is designed to identify potential market reversals using specific conditions related to price lows and highs. While it offers a structured approach to trading, it is essential to be aware of its limitations and potential risks. As with any trading strategy, it should be tested thoroughly in various market conditions and adjusted according to the individual trading style and risk tolerance.
PVT Crossover Strategy**Release Notes**
**Strategy Name**: PVT Crossover Strategy
**Purpose**: This strategy aims to capture entry and exit points in the market using the Price-Volume Trend (PVT) and its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). It specifically uses the crossover of PVT with its EMA as signals to identify changes in market trends.
**Uniqueness and Usefulness**
**Uniqueness**: This strategy is unique in its use of the PVT indicator, which combines price changes with trading volume to track trends. The filtering with EMA reduces noise and provides more accurate signals compared to other indicators.
**Usefulness**: This strategy is effective for traders looking to detect trend changes early. The signals based on PVT and its EMA crossover work particularly well in markets where volume fluctuations are significant.
**Entry Conditions**
**Long Entry**:
- **Condition**: A crossover occurs where PVT crosses above its EMA.
- **Signal**: A buy signal is generated, indicating a potential uptrend.
**Short Entry**:
- **Condition**: A crossunder occurs where PVT crosses below its EMA.
- **Signal**: A sell signal is generated, indicating a potential downtrend.
**Exit Conditions**
**Exit Strategy**:
- The strategy does not explicitly program exit conditions beyond the entry signals, but traders are encouraged to close positions manually based on signals or apply their own risk management strategy.
**Risk Management**
This strategy does not include default risk management rules, so traders should implement their own. Consider using trailing stops or fixed stop losses to manage risk.
**Account Size**: ¥100,000
**Commissions and Slippage**: 94 pips per trade for commissions and 1 pip for slippage
**Risk per Trade**: 10% of account equity
**Configurable Options**
**Configurable Options**:
- **EMA Length**: The length of the EMA used to calculate the EMA of PVT (default is 20).
- **Signal Display Control**: The option to turn the display of signals on or off.
**Adequate Sample Size**
To ensure the robustness and reliability of this strategy, it is recommended to backtest it with a sufficiently long period of historical data, especially across different market conditions.
**Credits**
**Acknowledgments**:
This strategy is based on the concept of the PVT indicator and its application in strategy design, drawing on contributions from technical analysis and the trading community.
**Clean Chart Description**
**Chart Appearance**:
This strategy is designed to maintain a clean and simple chart by turning off the plot of PVT, its EMA, and entry signals. This reduces clutter and allows for more effective trend analysis.
**Addressing the House Rule Violations**
**Omissions and Unrealistic Claims**
**Clarification**:
This strategy does not make unrealistic or unsupported claims about its performance, and all signals are for educational purposes only, not guaranteeing future results. It is important to understand that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.
Economic Policy Uncertainty StrategyThis Pine Script strategy is designed to make trading decisions based on the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the United States (USEPUINDXD) using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a dynamic threshold. The strategy identifies opportunities by entering long positions when the SMA of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index crosses above a user-defined threshold. An exit is triggered after a set number of bars have passed since the trade was opened. Additionally, the background is highlighted in green when a position is open to visually indicate active trades.
This strategy is intended to be used in portfolio management and trading systems where economic policy uncertainty plays a critical role in decision-making. The index provides insight into macroeconomic conditions, which can affect asset prices and investment returns.
The Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index is a significant metric used to gauge uncertainty related to economic policies in the United States. This index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles discussing economic uncertainty, government policies, and their potential impact on the economy. It has become a popular indicator for both academics and practitioners to analyze the effects of policy uncertainty on various economic and financial outcomes.
Importance of the EPU Index for Portfolio Decisions:
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Investment Decisions:
Research by Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016) introduced the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index and explored how increased uncertainty leads to delays in investment and hiring decisions. Their study shows that heightened uncertainty, as captured by the EPU index, is associated with a contraction in economic activity and lower stock market returns. Investors tend to shift their portfolios towards safer assets during periods of high policy uncertainty .
Impact on Asset Prices:
Gulen and Ion (2016) demonstrated that policy uncertainty adversely affects corporate investment, leading to lower stock market returns. The study emphasized that firms reduce investment during periods of high policy uncertainty, which can significantly impact the pricing of risky assets. Consequently, portfolio managers need to account for policy uncertainty when making asset allocation decisions .
Global Implications:
Policy uncertainty is not only a domestic issue. Brogaard and Detzel (2015) found that U.S. economic policy uncertainty has significant spillover effects on global financial markets, affecting equity returns, bond yields, and foreign exchange rates. This suggests that global investors should incorporate U.S. policy uncertainty into their risk management strategies .
These studies underscore the importance of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index as a tool for understanding macroeconomic risks and making informed portfolio management decisions. Strategies that incorporate the EPU index, such as the one described above, can help investors navigate periods of uncertainty by adjusting their exposure to different asset classes based on economic conditions.
Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-LossThe "Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-Loss" is a trading strategy designed to capitalize on market momentum while managing risk through volatility-based stop-losses. Here's a detailed breakdown of the strategy:
Strategy Overview:
Market Breadth Analysis: The strategy uses the "Breadth Thrust Indicator," which evaluates market momentum by calculating the ratio of advancing stocks to the total number of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). This indicator helps identify bullish market conditions. An optional feature allows for the inclusion of volume data in this calculation, enhancing the signal's robustness.
Signal Generation: A long position is triggered when the smoothed breadth ratio (or the combined breadth and volume ratio) crosses above a specified low threshold (e.g., 0.4). This crossover indicates a potential shift towards positive market momentum.
Key Parameters:
Smoothing Length (length): Defines the period over which the breadth or combined ratio is smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise and highlight the underlying trend.
Low Threshold (threshold_low): The level below which the smoothed ratio must fall before crossing back above to trigger a long signal.
Hold Periods (hold_periods): The minimum number of periods for which the position will be held once entered, ensuring the strategy captures a meaningful move.
Volatility Multiplier (volatility_multiplier): A multiplier applied to the Average True Range (ATR) to determine the distance of the stop-loss from the entry price, which adjusts according to market volatility.
Trade Management:
Entry Signal: The strategy enters a long position when the smoothed combined ratio crosses above the low threshold, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
ATR-Based Stop-Loss: Upon entering a trade, the strategy calculates a stop-loss level based on the ATR, which measures market volatility. The stop-loss is set at a distance from the entry price, determined by multiplying the ATR by the specified volatility multiplier. This adaptive stop-loss mechanism helps protect the position from adverse market moves.
Stop-Loss Adjustment: While the position is open, the stop-loss level is dynamically updated, ensuring it never decreases (trailing stop-loss effect) but can be adjusted upwards to reflect the latest price action relative to volatility.
Position Closure: The position is closed if:
The market price falls to or below the stop-loss level.
The position has been held for the specified number of periods (hold_periods), after which it is automatically closed.
Additional Settings:
Initial Capital: The strategy starts with an initial capital of $10,000.
Commissions and Slippage: Each trade incurs a commission of $5 per order, and slippage is accounted for at $1 per trade.
Background Highlighting: The chart background turns green when a position is open, providing a clear visual indication of the active trade.
This strategy is designed to identify and capitalize on upward momentum in the market while employing a volatility-adjusted stop-loss to manage risk. By combining market breadth analysis with volatility-based stop-losses, the strategy aims to balance profit potential with protection against sudden market reversals.
Zero-lag TEMA Crosses Strategy[Pakun]Here's the adjusted strategy description in English, aligned with the house rules:
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### Strategy Name: Zero-lag TEMA Cross Strategy
**Purpose:** This strategy aims to identify entry and exit points in the market using Zero-lag Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA). It focuses on minimizing lag and improving the accuracy of trend-following signals.
### Uniqueness and Usefulness
**Uniqueness:** This strategy employs the less commonly used Zero-lag TEMA, compared to standard moving averages. This unique approach reduces lag and provides more timely signals.
**Usefulness:** This strategy is valuable for traders looking to capture trend reversals or continuations with reduced lag. It has the potential to enhance the profitability and accuracy of trades.
### Entry Conditions
**Long Entry:**
- **Condition:** A crossover occurs where the short-term Zero-lag TEMA surpasses the long-term Zero-lag TEMA.
- **Signal:** A buy signal is generated, indicating a potential uptrend.
**Short Entry:**
- **Condition:** A crossunder occurs where the short-term Zero-lag TEMA falls below the long-term Zero-lag TEMA.
- **Signal:** A sell signal is generated, indicating a potential downtrend.
### Exit Conditions
**Exit Strategy:**
- **Stop Loss:** Positions are closed if the price moves against the trade and hits the predefined stop loss level. The stop loss is set based on recent highs/lows.
- **Take Profit:** Positions are closed when the price reaches the profit target. The profit target is calculated as 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop loss level.
### Risk Management
**Risk Management Rules:**
- This strategy incorporates a dynamic stop loss mechanism based on recent highs/lows over a specified period.
- The take profit level ensures a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.5 times the stop loss distance.
- These measures aim to manage risk and protect capital.
**Account Size:** ¥500,000
**Commissions and Slippage:** 94 pips per trade and 1 pip slippage
**Risk per Trade:** 1% of account equity
### Configurable Options
**Configurable Options:**
- Lookback Period: The number of bars to calculate recent highs/lows.
- Fast Period: Length of the short-term Zero-lag TEMA (69).
- Slow Period: Length of the long-term Zero-lag TEMA (130).
- Signal Display: Option to display buy/sell signals on the chart.
- Bar Color: Option to change bar colors based on trend direction.
### Adequate Sample Size
**Sample Size Justification:**
- To ensure the robustness and reliability of the strategy, it should be tested with a sufficiently long period of historical data.
- It is recommended to backtest across multiple market cycles to adapt to different market conditions.
- This strategy was backtested using 10 days of historical data, including 184 trades.
### Notes
**Additional Considerations:**
- This strategy is designed for educational purposes and should be thoroughly tested in a demo environment before live trading.
- Settings should be adjusted based on the asset being traded and current market conditions.
### Credits
**Acknowledgments:**
- The concept and implementation of Zero-lag TEMA are based on contributions from technical analysts and the trading community.
- Special thanks to John Doe for the TEMA concept.
- Thanks to Zero-lag TEMA Crosses .
- This strategy has been enhanced by adding new filtering algorithms and risk management rules to the original TEMA code.
### Clean Chart Description
**Chart Appearance:**
- This strategy provides a clean and informative chart by plotting Zero-lag TEMA lines and optional entry/exit signals.
- The display of signals and color bars can be toggled to declutter the chart, improving readability and analysis.
Multi-Regression StrategyIntroducing the "Multi-Regression Strategy" (MRS) , an advanced technical analysis tool designed to provide flexible and robust market analysis across various financial instruments.
This strategy offers users the ability to select from multiple regression techniques and risk management measures, allowing for customized analysis tailored to specific market conditions and trading styles.
Core Components:
Regression Techniques:
Users can choose one of three regression methods:
1 - Linear Regression: Provides a straightforward trend line, suitable for steady markets.
2 - Ridge Regression: Offers a more stable trend estimation in volatile markets by introducing a regularization parameter (lambda).
3 - LOESS (Locally Estimated Scatterplot Smoothing): Adapts to non-linear trends, useful for complex market behaviors.
Each regression method calculates a trend line that serves as the basis for trading decisions.
Risk Management Measures:
The strategy includes nine different volatility and trend strength measures. Users select one to define the trading bands:
1 - ATR (Average True Range)
2 - Standard Deviation
3 - Bollinger Bands Width
4 - Keltner Channel Width
5 - Chaikin Volatility
6 - Historical Volatility
7 - Ulcer Index
8 - ATRP (ATR Percentage)
9 - KAMA Efficiency Ratio
The chosen measure determines the width of the bands around the regression line, adapting to market volatility.
How It Works:
Regression Calculation:
The selected regression method (Linear, Ridge, or LOESS) calculates the main trend line.
For Ridge Regression, users can adjust the lambda parameter for regularization.
LOESS allows customization of the point span, adaptiveness, and exponent for local weighting.
Risk Band Calculation:
The chosen risk measure is calculated and normalized.
A user-defined risk multiplier is applied to adjust the sensitivity.
Upper and lower bounds are created around the regression line based on this risk measure.
Trading Signals:
Long entries are triggered when the price crosses above the regression line.
Short entries occur when the price crosses below the regression line.
Optional stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms use the calculated risk bands.
Customization and Flexibility:
Users can switch between regression methods to adapt to different market trends (linear, regularized, or non-linear).
The choice of risk measure allows adaptation to various market volatility conditions.
Adjustable parameters (e.g., regression length, risk multiplier) enable fine-tuning of the strategy.
Unique Aspects:
Comprehensive Regression Options:
Unlike many indicators that rely on a single regression method, MRS offers three distinct techniques, each suitable for different market conditions.
Diverse Risk Measures: The strategy incorporates a wide range of volatility and trend strength measures, going beyond traditional indicators to provide a more nuanced view of market dynamics.
Unified Framework:
By combining advanced regression techniques with various risk measures, MRS offers a cohesive approach to trend identification and risk management.
Adaptability:
The strategy can be easily adjusted to suit different trading styles, timeframes, and market conditions through its various input options.
How to Use:
Select a regression method based on your analysis of the current market trend (linear, need for regularization, or non-linear).
Choose a risk measure that aligns with your trading style and the market's current volatility characteristics.
Adjust the length parameter to match your preferred timeframe for analysis.
Fine-tune the risk multiplier to set the desired sensitivity of the trading bands.
Optionally enable stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms using the calculated risk bands.
Monitor the regression line for potential trend changes and the risk bands for entry/exit signals.
By offering this level of customization within a unified framework, the Multi-Regression Strategy provides traders with a powerful tool for market analysis and trading decision support. It combines the robustness of regression analysis with the adaptability of various risk measures, allowing for a more comprehensive and flexible approach to technical trading.
