Vo-S-Di-T-I - Volatility Scaled Directional Trend IndicatorThis code represents just the foundation for what's to come. It lays the groundwork for a more sophisticated quant trading model, offering a glimpse into the potential of future developments. I hope my contribution to this community will be valued. I'm here for idea exchanges and coding together, with the key emphasis on ensuring everything we do is grounded on a solid statistical basis.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The developed code is based on a rigorous quantitative approach for analyzing price trends in the equity sector, utilizing advanced statistical methodology to scale returns based on the volatility observed over predefined periods of 20 and 50 days. This technique for normalizing returns allows us to eliminate distortions due to the intrinsic variability of prices and focus on the underlying structure of price behavior. The primary goal of the code is not to speculatively predict future market movements but rather to identify potential reversal trend signals through price dynamics analysis, within an optimized risk and return context.
Our approach is distinguished by the use of statistical decomposition techniques and time series analysis to interpret price variations as indicators of possible shifts in market behavior. This allows distinguishing between random or short-term price movements and true trend changes, providing a solid foundation for more informed investment decisions.
The current code represents the initial phase of a broader project that envisages the integration of machine learning algorithms to further refine the ability to detect significant changes in price trends. Through the application of predictive models and machine learning techniques, we intend to explore complex patterns in historical price data that may precede trend reversals, always respecting the principles of rigorous statistical analysis and risk management. This development and learning path will allow us to continuously improve investment strategies, leveraging the analytical capabilities of modern data science algorithms applied to the financial sector.
HOW TO READ
Simply put, Z values above 0 indicate an uptrend, while values below indicate a downtrend. IMPORTANT: It is not necessary to consider any crosses between Z-Short and Z-Long, but only potential crosses with 0.
The initial values are set at 20 and 50, but everyone is free to choose the most suitable periods, as long as all choices have valid statistical significance. My advice is to use R or MatLab to explore the best correlation between N and price movements. The reason I have set two values for N (Short and Long) is because it's interesting to assess short-term and medium-to-long-term trends to understand if price movements can lead to reversals only in the short term or also in the medium to long term. This idea came to me because I believe all other trend determination systems have too much lag and unpredictability.
Cerca negli script per "trend"
Trend FinderThe "𝙏𝙍𝙀𝙉𝘿 𝙁𝙄𝙉𝘿𝙀𝙍" indicator is a powerful tool designed to detect trends and identify potential reversal points in asset prices. It operates as both a trend-following and mean reversion indicator, offering insights into market movements.
Trend Identification:
Trend Detection:
This indicator primarily identifies trends in asset prices.
When the "𝙏𝙍𝙀𝙉𝘿 𝙁𝙄𝙉𝘿𝙀𝙍" value is above the middle line, it typically indicates an upward trend in the asset's price.
Color Coding: During an upward trend, the bars are colored green, signaling strength in the upward movement. Conversely, during a downtrend, the bars turn red, indicating a potential downward movement in the asset's price.
Calculation Process:
Moving Averages: The calculation involves using multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) based on the open and close prices of the asset.
Incremental SMA Lengths: These SMAs are calculated with increasing lengths, creating a series of comparisons between closing and opening SMAs. If the closing SMA exceeds the opening SMA, a value of 1 is assigned; otherwise, it's assigned as 0.
Aggregation: All these SMA values are compiled into an array and processed to derive an average, emphasizing the trend direction and strength.
Application:
Trend Strength: The indicator's value reflects the overall strength and direction of the trend. Higher values suggest an end or reversing of trend, while lower values what crosses over or under Midline may indicate a trend changing and indicate incrising of trend strength.
Reversal Indication: Besides identifying trends, it can also serve as a mean reversion indicator, potentially pinpointing potential tops and bottoms in the market.
Midline: Additional in settings can be changed a position of midline to up or down to your personal preference.
The "𝙏𝙍𝙀𝙉𝘿 𝙁𝙄𝙉𝘿𝙀𝙍" indicator amalgamates moving averages and trend analysis, offering a comprehensive view of market trends and potential reversal points. Its adaptability through parameter adjustments allows for fine-tuning to suit various market conditions.
RMI Trend Sync - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The "RMI Trend Sync - Strategy " combines the strength of the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) with the dynamic nature of the Supertrend indicator. This strategy diverges from traditional methodologies by incorporating a dual analytical framework, leveraging both momentum and trend indicators to offer a more holistic market perspective. The integration of the RMI provides an enhanced understanding of market momentum, while the Super Trend indicator offers clear insights into the end of market trends, making this strategy particularly effective in diverse market conditions.
BTC 4h long/short performance
█ Strategy: How It Works - Detailed Explanation
- Understanding the Relative Momentum Index (RMI)
The Relative Momentum Index (RMI) is an adaptation of the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI), designed to measure the momentum of price movements over a specified period. While RSI focuses on the speed and change of price movements, RMI incorporates the direction and magnitude of those movements, offering a more nuanced view of market momentum.
- Principle of RMI
Calculation Method: RMI is calculated by first determining the average gain and average loss over a given period (Length). It differs from RSI in that it uses the price change (close-to-close) rather than absolute gains or losses. The average gain is divided by the average loss, and this ratio is then normalized to fit within a 0-100 scale.
- Momentum Analysis in the Strategy
Thresholds for Decision Making: The strategy uses predetermined thresholds (pmom for positive momentum and nmom for negative momentum) to trigger trading decisions. When RMI crosses above the positive threshold and other conditions align (e.g., a bullish trend), it signals a potential long entry. Similarly, crossing below the negative threshold in a bearish trend may trigger a short entry.
- Super Trend and Trend Analysis
The Super Trend indicator is calculated based on a higher time frame, providing a broader view of the market trend. This indicator uses the Average True Range (ATR) to adapt to market volatility, making it an effective tool for identifying trend reversals.
The strategy employs a Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) alongside the Super Trend, enhancing its capability to identify significant trend shifts.
ETH 4hr long/short performance
█ Trade Direction
The strategy offers flexibility in selecting the trading direction: long, short, or both. This versatility allows traders to adapt to their market outlook and risk tolerance, whether looking to capitalize on bullish trends, bearish trends, or a combination of both.
█ Usage
To effectively use the "RMI Trend Sync" strategy, traders should first set their preferred trading direction and adjust the RMI and Super Trend parameters according to their risk appetite and trading goals.
The strategy is designed to adapt to various market conditions, making it suitable for different asset classes and time frames.
█ Default Settings
RMI Settings: Length: 21, Positive Momentum Threshold: 70, Negative Momentum Threshold: 30
Super Trend Settings: Length: 10, Higher Time Frame: 480 minutes, Super Trend Factor: 3.5, MA Source: WMA
Visual Settings: Display Range MA: True, Bullish Color: #00bcd4, Bearish Color: #ff5252
Additional Settings: Band Length: 30, RWMA Length: 20
Double AI Super Trend Trading - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How It is Different
The Double AI Super Trend Trading Strategy is a cutting-edge approach that leverages the power of not one, but two AI algorithms, in tandem with the SuperTrend technical indicator. The strategy aims to provide traders with enhanced precision in market entry and exit points. It is designed to adapt to market conditions dynamically, offering the flexibility to trade in both bullish and bearish markets.
*The KNN part is mainly referred from @Zeiierman.
BTCUSD 8hr performance
ETHUSD 8hr performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
1. SuperTrend Calculation
The SuperTrend is a popular indicator that captures market trends through a combination of the Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and the Average True Range (ATR). This strategy utilizes two sets of SuperTrend calculations with varying lengths and factors to capture both short-term and long-term market trends.
2. KNN Algorithm
The strategy employs k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithms, which are supervised machine learning models. Two sets of KNN algorithms are used, each focused on different lengths of historical data and number of neighbors. The KNN algorithms classify the current SuperTrend data point as bullish or bearish based on the weighted sum of the labels of the k closest historical data points.
3. Signal Generation
Based on the KNN classifications and the SuperTrend indicator, the strategy generates signals for the start of a new trend and the continuation of an existing trend.
4. Trading Logic
The strategy uses these signals to enter long or short positions. It also incorporates dynamic trailing stops for exit conditions.
Local picture
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to specify their trading direction: long, short, or both. This enables the strategy to be versatile and adapt to various market conditions.
█ Usage
ToolTips: Comprehensive tooltips are provided for each parameter to guide the user through the customization process.
Inputs: Traders can customize numerous parameters including the number of neighbors in KNN, ATR multiplier, and types of moving averages.
Plotting: The strategy also provides visual cues on the chart to indicate bullish or bearish trends.
Order Execution: Based on the generated signals, the strategy will execute buy or sell orders automatically.
█ Default Settings
The default settings are configured to offer a balanced approach suitable for most scenarios:
Initial Capital: $10,000
Default Quantity Type: 10% of equity
Commission: 0.1%
Slippage: 1
Currency: USD
These settings can be modified to suit various trading styles and asset classes.
[tradinghook] - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy V2Title: Renko Trend Reversal Strategy
Short Title: - Renko TRS
> Special thanks to for manually calculating `renkoClose` and `renkoOpen` values in order to remove the infamous repaint issue
Description:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy ( - Renko TRS) is a powerful and original trading approach designed to identify trend reversals in financial markets using Renko charts. Renko charts differ from traditional time-based charts, as they focus solely on price movements and ignore time, resulting in a clearer representation of market trends. This strategy leverages Renko charts in conjunction with the Average True Range (ATR) to capture trend reversals with high precision and effectiveness.
Key Concepts:
Renko Charts: Renko charts are unique chart types that only plot price movements beyond a predefined brick size, ignoring time and noise. By doing so, they provide a more straightforward depiction of market trends, eliminating insignificant price fluctuations and making it easier to spot trend reversals.
Average True Range (ATR): The strategy utilizes the ATR indicator, which measures market volatility and provides valuable insights into potential price movements. By setting the brick size of the Renko chart based on the ATR, the strategy adapts to changing market conditions, ensuring optimal performance across various instruments and timeframes.
How it Works:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify trend reversal points and generate buy or sell signals based on the following principles:
Renko Brick Generation: The strategy calculates the ATR over a user-defined period (ATR Length) and utilizes this value to determine the size of Renko bricks. Larger ATR values result in bigger bricks, capturing higher market volatility, while smaller ATR values create smaller bricks for calmer market conditions.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy generates buy signals when the Renko chart's open price crosses below the close price, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal. Conversely, sell signals are generated when the open price crosses above the close price, suggesting a bearish trend reversal. These signals help traders identify potential entry points to capitalize on market movements.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Management: To manage risk and protect profits, the strategy incorporates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. The stop-loss level is calculated as a percentage of the Renko open price, ensuring a fixed risk amount for each trade. Similarly, the take-profit level is set as a percentage of the Renko open price to secure potential gains.
How to Use:
Inputs: Before using the strategy, traders can customize several parameters to suit their trading preferences. These inputs include the ATR Length, Stop Loss Percentage, Take Profit Percentage, Start Date, and End Date. Adjusting these settings allows users to optimize the strategy for different market conditions and risk tolerances.
Chart Setup: Apply the - Renko TRS script to your desired financial instrument and timeframe on TradingView. The Renko chart will dynamically adjust its brick size based on the ATR Length parameter.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy will generate green "Buy" labels below bullish reversal points and red "Sell" labels above bearish reversal points on the Renko chart. These labels indicate potential entry points for long and short trades, respectively.
Risk Management: The strategy automatically calculates stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the user-defined percentages. Traders can ensure proper risk management by using these levels to protect their capital and secure profits.
Backtesting and Optimization: Before implementing the strategy live, traders are encouraged to backtest it on historical data to assess its performance across various market conditions. Adjust the input parameters through optimization to find the most suitable settings for specific instruments and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is a unique and versatile tool for traders looking to identify trend reversals with greater accuracy. By combining Renko charts and the Average True Range (ATR) indicator, this strategy adapts to market dynamics and provides clear entry and exit signals. Traders can harness the power of Renko charts while effectively managing risk through stop-loss and take-profit levels. Before using the strategy in live trading, backtesting and optimization will help traders fine-tune the parameters for optimal performance. Start exploring trend reversals with the - Renko TRS and take your trading to the next level.
(Note: This description is for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders are advised to thoroughly test the strategy and exercise sound risk management practices when trading in real markets.)
Trend Correlation HeatmapHello everyone!
I am excited to release my trend correlation heatmap, or trend heatmap for short.
Per usual, I think its important to explain the theory before we get into the use of the indicator, so let's get into the theory!
The theory:
So what is a correlation?
Correlation is the relationship one variable has to another. Correlations are the basis of everything I do as a quantitative trader. From the correlation between the same variables (i.e. autocorrelation), the correlation between other variables (i.e. VIX and SPY, SPY High and SPY Low, DXY and ES1! close, etc.) and, as well, the correlation between price and time (time series correlation).
This may sound very familiar to you, especially if you are a user, observer or follower of my ideas and/or indicators. Ninety-five percent of my indicators are a function of one of those three things. Whether it be a time series based indicator (i.e.my time series indicator), whether it be autocorrelation (my autoregressive cloud indicator or my autocorrelation oscillator) or whether it be regressive in nature (i.e. my SPY Volume weighted close, or even my expected move which uses averages in lieu of regressive approaches but is foundational in regression principles. Or even my VIX oscillator which relies on the premise of correlations between tickers.) So correlation is extremely important to me and while its true I am more of a regression trader than anything, I would argue that I am more of a correlation trader, because correlations are the backbone of how I develop math models of stocks.
What I am trying to stress here is the importance of correlations. They really truly are foundational to any type of quantitative analysis for stocks. And as such, understanding the current relationship a stock has to time is pivotal for any meaningful analysis to be conducted.
So what is correlation to time and what does it tell us?
Correlation to time, otherwise known and commonly referred to as "Time Series", is the relationship a ticker's price has to the passing of time. It is displayed in the traditional Pearson Correlation Coefficient or R value and can be any value from -1 (strong negative relationship, i.e. a strong downtrend) to + 1 (i.e. a strong positive relationship, i.e. a strong uptrend). The higher or lower the value the stronger the up or downtrend is.
As such, correlation to time tells us two very important things. These are:
a) The direction of the stock; and
b) The strength of the trend.
Let's take a look at an example:
Above we have a chart of QQQ. We can see a trendline that seems to fit well. The questions we ask as traders are:
1. What is the likelihood QQQ breaks down from this trendline?
2. What is the likelihood QQQ continues up?
3. What is the likelihood QQQ does a false breakdown?
There are numerous mathematical approaches we can take to answer these questions. For example, 1 and 2 can be answered by use of a Cumulative Distribution Density analysis (CDDA) or even a linear or loglinear regression analysis and 3 can be answered, more or less, with a linear regression analysis and standard error ascertainment, or even just a general comparison using a data science approach (such as cosine similarity or Manhattan distance).
But, the reality is, all 3 of these questions can be visualized, at least in some way, by simply looking at the correlation to time. Let's look at this chart again, this time with the correlation heatmap applied:
If we look at the indicator we can see some pivotal things. These are:
1. We have 4, very strong uptrends that span both higher AND lower timeframes. We have a strong uptrend of 0.96 on the 5 minute, 50 candle period. We have a strong uptrend at the 300 candle lookback period on the 1 minute, we have a strong uptrend on the 100 day lookback on the daily timeframe period and we have a strong uptrend on the 5 minute on the 500 candle lookback period.
2. By comparison, we have 3 downtrends, all of which have correlations less than the 4 uptrends. All of the downtrends have a correlation above -0.8 (which we would want lower than -0.8 to be very strong), and all of the uptrends are greater than + 0.80.
3. We can also see that the uptrends are not confined to the smaller timeframes. We have multiple uptrends on multiple timeframes and both short term (50 to 100 candles) and long term (up to 500 candles).
4. The overall trend is strengthening to the upside manifested by a positive Max Change and a Positive Min change (to be discussed later more in-depth).
With this, we can see that QQQ is actually very strong and likely will continue at least some upside. If we let this play out:
We continued up, had one test and then bounced.
Now, I want to specify, this indicator is not a panacea for all trading. And in relation to the 3 questions posed, they are best answered, at least quantitatively, not only by correlation but also by the aforementioned methods (CDDA, etc.) but correlation will help you get a feel for the strength or weakness present with a stock.
What are some tangible applications of the indicator?
For me, this indicator is used in many ways. Let me outline some ways I generally apply this indicator in my day and swing trading:
1. Gauging the strength of the stock: The indictor tells you the most prevalent behavior of the stock. Are there more downtrends than uptrends present? Are the downtrends present on the larger timeframes vs uptrends on the shorter indicating a possible bullish reversal? or vice versa? Are the trends strengthening or weakening? All of these things can be visualized with the indicator.
2. Setting parameters for other indicators: If you trade EMAs or SMAs, you may have a "one size fits all" approach. However, its actually better to adjust your EMA or SMA length to the actual trend itself. Take a look at this:
This is QQQ on the 1 hour with the 200 EMA with 200 standard deviation bands added. If we look at the heatmap, we can see, yes indeed 200 has a fairly strong uptrend correlation of 0.70. But the strongest hourly uptrend is actually at 400 candles, with a correlation of 0.91. So what happens if we change the EMA length and standard deviation to 400? This:
The exact areas are circled and colour coded. You can see, the 400 offers more of a better reference point of supports and resistances as well as a better overall trend fit. And this is why I never advocate for getting married to a specific EMA. If you are an EMA 200 lover or 21 or 51, know that these are not always the best depending on the trend and situation.
Components of the indicator:
Ah okay, now for the boring stuff. Let's go over the functionality of the indicator. I tried to keep it simple, so it is pretty straight forward. If we open the menu here are our options:
We have the ability to toggle whichever timeframes we want. We also have the ability to toggle on or off the legend that displays the colour codes and the Max and Min highest change.
Max and Min highest change: The max and min highest change simply display the change in correlation over the previous 14 candles. An increasing Max change means that the Max trend is strengthening. If we see an increasing Max change and an increasing Min change (the Min correlation is moving up), this means the stock is bullish. Why? Because the min (i.e. ideally a big negative number) is going up closer to the positives. Therefore, the downtrend is weakening.
If we see both the Max and Min declining (red), that means the uptrend is weakening and downtrend is strengthening. Here are some examples:
Final Thoughts:
And that is the indicator and the theory behind the indicator.
In a nutshell, to summarize, the indicator simply tracks the correlation of a ticker to time on multiple timeframes. This will allow you to make judgements about strength, sentiment and also help you adjust which tools and timeframes you are using to perform your analyses.
As well, to make the indicator more user friendly, I tried to make the colours distinctively different. I was going to do different shades but it was a little difficult to visualize. As such, I have included a toggle-able legend with a breakdown of the colour codes!
That's it my friends, I hope you find it useful!
Safe trades and leave your questions, comments and feedback below!
Prevailing Trend IndicatorOVERVIEW
The Prevailing Trend indicator is a technical indicator that gauges whether the price is currently trending up or down. The purpose of this indicator is to call and/or filter with-trend signals.
CONCEPTS
This indicator assists traders in identifying high-probability trend entries. The upper line (blue line on the indicator) is calculated by taking the average range (high-low) of all bullish candles. The lower line (red line on the indicator) is calculated by taking the average range of all bearish candles. When these two lines intersect and cross each other, a buy and sell signal is generated. For example, if the blue line crosses over the red line, this indicates that the average size of all bullish bars are larger than the average size of all bearish bars. This is a good sign that an uptrend might occur. Vice versa for downtrends.
HOW DO I READ THIS INDICATOR
As an entry indicator:
When the blue line crosses over the red line, go long.
When the red line crosses over the blue line, go short.
As a signal filter:
If the blue line is above the red line, only take long trades.
If the red line is above the blue line, only take short trades.
Pivot Trendlines with Breaks [HG]🧾 Pivot Trendlines and Breaks
A script meant to debut and provide an example usage of the Simple Trendlines library using Pine Script's built-in pivot system.
In under 50 lines of code, with inputs, plots, styling, and alerts included we're able to create trendlines with a breakout system.
▶️ How it works
Calculating pivot points helps traders identify moments at which the market's attitude can shift from bullish to bearish. In the background, the script tracks pivot events for trendlines and uses a system that prevents any leakage between the trendlines before they are drawn.
⚫️ Settings
Pivot Length
Color Adjustments
⚫️ Alerts
Extended Price Volume Trend Strategy : EducationalThe Extended Price Volume Trend (EPVT) is a technical indicator that is used to identify potential trend changes and measure the strength of a trend. In this strategy, we combine the EPVT with other indicators to create a trading system that aims to capture trend reversals and momentum shifts.
The EPVT indicator is calculated by taking the cumulative volume and multiplying it by the percentage change in price. We then find the highest and lowest values of this indicator over a certain period of time to determine the baseline. The difference between the EPVT and the baseline is then plotted on a chart to create the EPVT line.
To use this indicator for trading, we look for crossovers of the EPVT line with zero. When the EPVT crosses above zero, it indicates that buying pressure is increasing, and we may consider taking a long position. Conversely, when the EPVT crosses below zero, it indicates that selling pressure is increasing, and we may consider taking a short position.
To further refine our trading signals, we use three take-profit levels, which we set as a percentage of the current EPVT value. We also use a simple moving average to provide additional confirmation of trend changes.
In summary, the EPVT trading strategy is a technical analysis-based approach to trading that aims to identify potential trend reversals and momentum shifts. By combining the EPVT indicator with other technical tools, we can create a comprehensive trading system that provides clear entry and exit signals for both long and short positions. Please note that this strategy is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice.
[@btc_charlie] Trader XO Macro Trend ScannerWhat is this script?
This script has two main functions focusing on EMAs (Exponential Moving Average) and Stochastic RSI.
EMAs
EMAs are typically used to give a view of bullish / bearish momentum. When the shorter EMA (calculated off more recent price action) crosses, or is above, the slower moving EMA (calculated off a longer period of price action), it suggests that the market is in an uptrend. This can be an indication to either go long on said asset, or that it is more preferable to take long setups over short setups. Invalidation on long setups is usually found via price action (e.g. previous lows) or simply waiting for an EMA cross in the opposite direction (i.e. shorter EMA crosses under longer term EMA).
This is not a perfect system for trade entry or exit, but it does give a good indication of market trends. The settings for the EMAs can be changed based on user inputs, and by default the candles are coloured based on the crosses to make it more visual. The default settings are based on “Trader XO’s” settings who is an exceptional swing trader.
RSI
Stochastic RSI is a separate indicator that has been added to this script. RSI measures Relative Strength (RSI = Relative Strength Index). When RSI is <20 it is considered oversold, and when >80 it is overbought. These conditions suggests that momentum is very strong in the direction of the trend.
If there is a divergence between the price (e.g. price is creating higher highs, and stoch RSI is creating lower highs) it suggests the strength of the trend is weakening. Whilst this script does not highlight divergences, what it does highlight is when the shorter term RSI (K) crosses over D (the average of last 3 periods). This can give an indication that the trend is losing strength.
Combination
The EMAs indicate when trend shifts (bullish or bearish).
The RSI indicates when the trend is losing momentum.
The combination of the two can be used to suggest when to prefer a directional bias, and subsequently shift in anticipation of a trend reversal.
Note that no signal is 100% accurate and an interpretation of market conditions and price action will need to be overlayed to
Why is it different to others?
I have not found other scripts that are available in this way visually including alerts when Stoch RSI crosses over/under the extremes; or the mid points.
Whilst these indicators are default, the combination of them and how they are presented is not and makes use of the TradingView colouring functionalities.
What are the features?
Customise the variables (averages) used in the script.
Display as one EMA or two EMAs (the crossing ones).
Alerts on EMA crosses.
Alerts on Stoch RSI crosses - slow/fast, upper, lower areas.
- Currently set on the chart to show alerts when Stoch RSI is above 80, then falls below 80 (and colours it red).
Customisable colours.
What are the best conditions for this?
It is designed for high timeframe charts and analysis in crypto, since crypto tends to trend.
It can however be used for lower timeframes.
Disclaimer/Notes:
I have noticed several videos appearing suggesting that this is a "100% win rate indicator" .
NO indicator has 100% win rate.
An indicator is an *indicator* that is all.
Please use responsibly and let me know if there are any mods or updates you would like to see.
Trend SuggestionsThis brings together a number of variables to produce trend predictions that could be utilized as decision-making tools.
Uses the aforementioned price and volume derivatives
- A moving average and three weighted moving averages (WMA1, WMA2, WMA3)
- Super Trend Line (ST)
- Opening Range Breakout on Five Minutes, Resistance Bands Pocket pivots, support, and price volume
he Direction is determined by the High and Low Bands of WMAs and the Supertrend Line, which are used to determine the Upper and Lower Lines around the Price. When the price passes below the lower boundary of the band, a downtrend is said to have begun.
Similarly, for an uptrend, this continues until the price passes over the upper edge of the band. Teal for an uptrend and fuchsia for a downturn area shared by the band to identify the trend.
The first five minutes of the breakout lines have a tiny buffer augmentation of 11% applied to them.
Based on what has been observed, support and resistance zones have been somewhat changed from the figures that are often utilized (might work other markets as well)
The markings that may be seen are as follows:
- Blue Triangle indicates a pocket pivot with an upward bias;
- Maroon Triangle indicates a pocket pivot with a downward bias;
- Teal colored Diamonds indicate price upthrusts and potential trend confirmation locations, depending on success or failure.
- Similar backdrop color changes that look as vertical shading are also used to identify them.
- Fuchsia-colored diamonds indicate price declines and a potential trend, depending on whether it persists or fails.
- Dark green and maroon square boxes indicate potential price reversals in the support and resistance bands, respectively.
It goes without saying that this work is derived from numerous other open-source community initiatives.
Feel free to adjust anything you'd like, and we appreciate any feedback.
HHV & LLV based TrendHHV and LLV gives good information about the trend.
A trend will be visible when its seen with fast and slow line cross
UP trend: HHV_fastline = HHV Slowline and LLVfastline crossover LLVSlowline
DOWN trend: HHV_fastline crossunder HHV Slowline and LLVfastline !=LLVSlowline
Attempted to plot the same with multiple options to choose fastline length, slowline length, Multi time frame.
Interactive trendlineThis is a concept that I have been playing with
to make a manual trend line that has more then just two connecting dots
but that has sequential data connected on every bar between the
beginning an the end point that can then be used to determine a break of trend or
a bounce.
This is added in a few simple steps
1) add the indicator to your chart
2) set the x_1 time bar
3) set the y_1 price
4) set the x_2 time bar
5) set the y_2 price
6) check the table that calculated the run value and enter that value in the settings box in the "Run" input box
Multi-Timeframe Simple TrendSimple Trend State Indicator inspired by @TaPlot's Price Time Frame Continuity indicator. Indicator works well on any Chart Timeframe although some aliasing of the State Response should be expected when comparing a State Response calculated on one Chart Timeframe to a Higher Chart Timeframe ie. comparing the State Result for 30 min from both a 1D Chart and 130 min Chart.
Current Trend State is calculated based on the Current Angle of the SMA Length "L". A Simple moving average is used as an Array Function has to be used to calculate the current MA Value for Time Frames < Chart.
Current Trend State Control is as follows:
Long Trend State = Current Angle > Min Long Angle
Bullish Trend State = Current Angle < Min Long Angle and Current Angle > Max Reversal Angle
Neutral Trend State = Current Angle < Max Reversal Angle and Current Angle > Min Reversal Angle
Bearish Trend State = Current Angle < Min Reversal Angle and Current Angle > Max Short Angle
Short Trend State = Current Angle < Max Short Angle
I use Gann Angle based State Angle definitions in my charts.
Visualization of the Trend State is controlled via the colors selected in the GUI.
Indicator output creates 6 Panels organized linearly at the Location defined via the GUI. Each panel identifies the Timeframe and Timeframe State for the Timeframes selected in the GUI.
IMPORTANT - Timeframes 4-6 MUST be < Current Chart. Timeframes 1-3 should be >= Current Chart
What does the Tool give you? It enables you to see, based on a standardized measure, the relative behavior of the underlying trends on the selected Timeframe ie . the current Asset Trend Support Structure.
So for Simple Trend Following: an identified Bullish Pulse could be Identified, and then followed to the highest Timeframe that is able to maintain that Bullish State. This is your Pivotal Timeframe. If a Bearish Pulse is identified then ride it until it grows strong enough to change the Trend State of the panel below your Pivotal Timeframe.
Retail Insider Trend Following (HTF ONLY)Before I begin, here is a disclaimer: None of this is financial advice, and I'll recommend you to do your own research or talk to your financial advisor, if you want to use this. And also make sure you understand the risks properly before taking any trades. This particular indicator is a work of experiment, and I am publishing the optimized code. Please leave a comment below if you have any queries.
As per the logic, I am taking the highest point in a particular time window (used the in built ta.highest function) , and the lowest point in a particular time window (used the ta.lowest), and averaged it using the in built function (
RMA(which is the B33 Mean.)
For the offset, I am simply calculating and adding some values (which can also be input by the user.)
and this user input is in percentage.
So if you observe the lines, the Red line in between is the mean, and the Yellow lines are the offsets. (Everything can be changed in settings)
In simple layperson terms, if the price goes above the Red line, it's an uptrend,
and if the price goes below the Red line, it is in a downtrend.
Now I just wanted to keep the offset because I wanted more confirmation before actually entering a trade. (the offset can be changed again, from the settings, and the offset is in percentage)
A lot of times, you will see that the price is kind of going sideways, where, a lot of traders get trapped, as there is no clear trend.
So in order to eliminate that choppy price action and stay out, I'm using this offset. This should probably save a lot of bad trades.
So basically, if the price goes and closes above the higher offset, it will confirm a trend change, and a possible bull market.
Similarly, if the price goes and closes below the lower offset, it will confirm the end of the bull market, or a corrective phase, or a bear market.
A few things to note, however...
If you change the timeframe, you will see that the lines are not shifting/changing that much. This is because, it will consider the highest and the lowest points and average it.
So, basically, if you do the math, you will understand why,... and this logic is purely for a higher timeframe analysis/confirmation.
I'll personally recommend this kind of a setup for swing trading/confirmation on the daily or the 4H charts, mostly for longer timeframes. (If you are on the pro/pro+ or premium, you can try out 6H or 12H timeframes as well)
If you are looking for scalping, setups and indicators, this is not the right one.
If you liked it, don't forget to give a follow :)
Trend Following with Bollinger BandsThis is a trend following system which uses the Bollinger Bands instead of the Donchian Channels.
Long position:
* Price closes above the middle line.
* The fast EMA (in this case the 40) crosses over or is above the slow one (in this case the 120)
Short position:
* Price closes below the middle line.
* The fast EMA crosses under or is below the slow one.
Stoploss:
* 4 ATRs away from the price.
10X Bars - Directional TrendsMy interpretation of John Carter's popular Simpler Trading 10X Bars indicator.
Momentum is displayed to quickly see the quality and strength of a trend based on a calculation of the Directional Movement Index (DMI). The DMI is an indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978 that identifies in which direction the price of an asset is moving. The DMI is calculated by comparing prior highs and lows and produces 2 measurements illustrating the strength of the current trend:
-> a positive directional movement line (+DI); and
-> a negative directional movement line (-DI).
The average directional index (ADX) measures the strength of the current trend, either +DI or +DI; a reading above 20 typically indicates a strong trend.
-> Green bars indicate an uptrend i.e. when +DI is above -DI and ADX is greater than 20 - there is more upward pressure than downward pressure in the price;
-> Red bars indicate a downtrend i.e. when -DI is above +DI and ADX is greater than 20 - there is more downward pressure on the price; and
-> Yellow bars indicate no strong directional trend and potential for a reversal.
Volume spikes 50% above average volume are then flagged as dots at the bottom of the chart (although you can change this location), confirming the momentum further.
This indicator should compliment other popular indicators, as confirmation whether to stay in a position or not.
[blackcat] L3 M.H. Pee Trend Continuation FactorLevel: 3
Background
Developed by M. H. Pee, the Trend Continuation Factor aims to help traders identify whether the market is trending, and, in case it is, in what direction it is headed. It can be used in any time frame, with every currency pair and is suitable for beginner traders.
Function
The indicator is comprised of two lines, namely the PlusTCF and MinusTCF, which separately correspond to bullish and bearish momentum, respectively. If the PlusTCF line is positive, then the prevailing trend is bullish, while a positive MinusTCF line signifies a bearish trend. Logically, both lines cannot be positive at the same time because the market cannot be in a bullish and a bearish trend simultaneously. However, they both can be negative at a current moment, implying that the market has consolidated in a trading range.
As for trading this indicator, it is generally interpreted and acted upon in a similar way as trading the Average Directional Movement Index. The most basic trading strategy involving the TCF is to enter long positions when the PlusTCF line is positive and to enter short positions when the MinusTCF is positive.
Traders also tend to regard the crossovers of the PlusTCF and MinusTCF lines as entry signals in the direction of the advancing line. Thus, if the PlusTCF crosses the MinusTCF and becomes positive, you should initiate a long entry, and vice versa.
Key Signal
PlusTCF Line --> bullish momentum line in yellow;
MinusTCF Line --> bearish momentum line in fuchsia.
Alerts are available.
Remarks
This is a Level 3 free and open source indicator.
Feedbacks are appreciated.
Trend ExplorerAre we in a bull or a bear market?
From the technical analysis point of view, the answer is "It depends". It depends from the parameters of your indicator, the timeframe of the pair you are looking and the volatility of that specific market you are looking to.
After I experimented with various trending indicators I decided to develop a framework that potentially could "embed" already existing logic from well known indicators (e.g. Supertrend OTT etc.).
The most important part is that I managed to abstract that logic away and experiment even further to produce some more robust, market and timeframe resolution agnostic results. While at the same time I was able to switch between market and timeframe resolution specific configuration to take some decision.
Finally, I decided to share this code with you folks! Developed this indicator "Trend Explorer" in an effort to make the aforementioned abstraction of all those trending indicators.
The goal is to enable the user to explore and combine different approaches in order to create a more robust and market general/specific, timeframe resolution invariant/fluctuating and volatility auto/manual adjusted indicator according to his needs.
The logic behind the abstraction is fairly simple. The trending indicator consists of two boundary lines the "bull trend low boundary" (green) and the "bear trend high boundary" (red). The indicator also has a control line (orange). Every time the control line crosses a boundary there is a trend reversal! The boundary lines are defined by the thresholds. To be more precise, boundaries are pulled upwards by thresholds (blue) during a bull market and downwards during a bear market. I challenge the user to experiment with the different ways of calculating the thresholds and the control. I am open to suggestions that might improve and extend the possibilities of this indicator. Any feedback, comments, general thoughts or bug reports are welcome.
Why did I chose those defaults?
For threshold calculation I chose MINMAX which calculates the local minimum and maximum using a sliding window. As far as I know it is not used in any existing trending indicator, but it seems reasonable for a trader to search for local min and max to make a decision. The width of the sliding window a.k.a the "period to remember" the local min and max is 30 days by default, just because I believe that for regular people it is a reasonable period of time to forget too.
Also, compared to the SUBADD method MINMAX does not seem to lag behind, especially when using averages in the SUBADD mode. Moreover, I consider MINMAX to be more general than the margins used by the SUBADD since margins should be configured based on the underlying market volatility.
For a source of min and max I chose the low and high values just because they are timeframe resolution invariant, meaning that they have the same (not exactly due to number precision and rounding, but very close) results for a single pair whether you use "4 hour" or "1 day" time interval! Another popular choice might be (close, close) since many traders wait for the daily candle to close in order to discard outliers. However, this approach is not resolution invariant and it depends from the time interval the user has selected.
Do you have any interesting trending indicator you would like to see how it performs in this framework logic? Let me know!
Do you have in mind any variation of Control or Thresholds calculation you would like to test? Please describe it in the comments below so I can add it in my implementation for you!
Did you find any other bug or you experienced any strange behavior? PM me with a description of the bug, the trading pair the timeframe resolution the exact time (candle) and all the necessary configurations for this indicator so I can reproduce it on my machine!
Please enjoy with caution,
Jason
Keltner TrendThis indicator takes the concept of Keltner Channels and uses them as a trend following system by using a deviation band of 1 ATR, such that when the price closes above the upper band a bull trend is predicted to follow, and when the price closes below the lower band the start of a bear trend is assumed.
Only 1 band is plotted at all times depending on the bias of the trend.
Default settings are a 21 EMA as a centerline with a 13 period ATR.
Enjoy!
sadosi trends and barrierThis indicator should be used for give ideas.
what they can do?
draw up and down trend lines
draw support and resistance lines
to inform about the current price
signal for high and low prices
how can?
By analyzing the prices in the 3 selected periods, 3 highs and 3 lows prices are marked. With the marked points, trend and resistance lines are drawn. The current price is analyzed and useful calculations displayed in the info box. Finaly adding moving averages. After all these transactions, the trend and resistances become easily visible on the chart.
You can fine-tune the angle of the trend using high and low extensions
you can catch different trend lines by changing the high and low trend points
By changing the periods, you can set position the trend lines more accurately.
When the price is too low or too high, the information box will warn you by change color.
The trend lines to be created are for the purpose of giving an idea and convenience. It can be used on all timeframes, including horizontal trends.
Trend Persistence Rate Indicator [CC]The Trend Persistence Rate Indicator was created by Richard Poster (Stocks and Commodities Feb 2021 pg 12) and this indicator is a good trend strength indicator similar to ADX. A good strategy with this indicator according to the author is to combine this with a moving average crossover strategy and a volatility indicator. Buy when the price crosses over the moving average and when the volatility and this indicator are over a selected minimum. I think 30-40 as a minimum for this indicator works well. Exit that position when this indicator peaks and starts to go down and it should be very profitable for you. I have included general buy and sell signals with this indicator as well.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
[SK] Fibonacci Auto Trend ScouterThe FATS - Fibonacci Auto Trend Scouter automatically draws active trends from 2 different timeframes along with Fibonacci Support and Resistance levels. It also has a Sights feature for each timeframe which points from it's middle towards the current price. The tool is also highly customizable for you to take this indicator over 9000. If you like the tool and it adds value to you - share the love on the like button and visit my profile to check out my other indicators and subscribe, so you're notified of my next scripts and ideas!
Automatic Trend Lines
The indicator takes in 2 timeframes to detect High and Low values from which to draw the trend lines of each timeframe.
As the values change with price movement, the lines are updated. They are color coded for uptrend and downtrend based on the direction of each individual line. Trend lines can be set up to color with only the default value on the configurations panel.
- Toggle on/off Color Coded
- Change Default, Uptrend, Downtrend color
- Change Line Width
- Change Line Style
- Toggle on/off Line Extensions
- Change Extended Line Width
- Change Extended Line Style
- Toggle On/Off labels for 7 data points of each timeframe
Automatic Trend Sights
This is a neat feature that may help you get a better feel for the direction the current movement is heading towards in correlation with the short or medium length timeframe trends. The sight draws a line from the middle vertical point of the trend coordinates towards the current price. They are toggled off by default but can be enabled in the configurations panel.
- Toggle on/off sight on each timeframe
- Change Width
- Change Line Style
Automatic Fibonacci Levels
The tool has a very useful feature to automatically detect the highest and lowest value from the short timeframe to calculate Fibonacci support and resistant levels. To keep the chart area clean, the lines are drawn short by default towards the right side of the price but provide inputs to increase the size of the level lines towards the left and right direction. A triangle label appears to the side of each line which holds the Fibonacci level and price data inside the tooltip, hover over them to activate.
- Toggle on/off color coded
- Change Default, Resistance, Support colors
- Change line size towards the left and right side
- Change line width
- Change Resistance line style
- Change Support line style
- Toggle on/off High and Low source line
- Toggle on/off High and Low source labels