ATR Screener with Labels and ShapesWeekly Daily ATR Pine Scanner
To find out tightness or contraction in a stock we needs to check if volatality is decreasing as well as compared to previous 14 or 10 bars volatility . we check this for weekly and then for Daily , so that we can enter in a stock which is tightest in recent times.
Condition is :
1. Weekly Candle ATR x 0.8 < 10 Week ATR
2. Daily Candle ATR x 0.6 < 14 Day ATR
When both of the conditions are met then they signifies that the stock has tightened in weekly and daily aswell . so now we can find ways to enter during max squeeze.
How to scan in Pine Scanner ?
FIrst add indicator as favourite and Go to pine scanner page in trading view and then scan your watchlist and there you will see 3 columns 1 with only Weekly conditions met , 2 with only Daily and 3rd with Both conditions met .
Select stocks and move to new watchlist and now you have those stocks which has contracted the most in recent times .
Cerca negli script per "weekly"
Weekly Vertical Lines (Sunday 6 PM) Weekly BarsSimply a light blue vertical line at the beginning of each week at exactly Sunday at 6 pm.
Weekly Futures VWAP (Major Indices) - StableAutomatically puts the VWAP anchor on Sunday opening of futures at 16:00, you are able to toggle on/off VWAP bands and of course enter alerts
Weekly Breakout Screenermencari harga saham yang kuat breakout harga mingguan. potensi swing trading
Weekly Confluence Setup [Final v6]Trend: EMA 21 and SMA 50
Momentum: MACD and RSI in a separate pane
Volume: Anchored VWAP from recent swing low
Confluence Signals: Clear triangle markers with optional alerts to the chart timeframe
Weekly Covered Calls Strategy with IV & Delta LogicWhat Does the Indicator Do?
this is interactive you must use it with your options chain to input data based on the contract you want to trade.
Visualize three strike price levels for covered calls based on:
Aggressive (closest to price, riskier).
Moderate (mid-range, balanced).
Low Delta (farthest, safer).
Incorporate Implied Volatility (IV) from the options chain to make strike predictions more realistic and aligned with market sentiment. Adjust the risk tolerance by modifying Delta inputs and IV values. Risk is defined for example .30 delta means 30% chance of your shares being assigned. If you want to generate steady income with your shares you might want to lower the risk of them being assigned to .05 or 5% etc.
How to Use the Indicator with the Options Chain
Start with the Options Chain:
Look for the following data points from your options chain:
Implied Volatility (IV Mid): Average IV for a particular strike price.
Delta:
~0.30 Delta: Closest strike (Aggressive).
~0.15–0.20 Delta: Mid-range strike (Moderate).
~0.05–0.10 Delta: Far OTM, safer (Low Delta).
Strike Price: Identify strike prices for the desired Deltas.
Open Interest: Check liquidity; higher OI ensures tighter spreads.
Input IV into the Indicator:
Enter the IV Mid value (e.g., 0.70 for 70%) from the options chain into the Implied Volatility field of the indicator.
Adjust Delta Inputs Based on Risk Tolerance:
Aggressive Delta: Increase if you want strikes closer to the current price (riskier, higher premium).
Default: 0.2 (20% chance of shares being assigned).
Moderate Delta: Balanced risk/reward.
Default: 0.12 (12%)
Low Delta: Decrease for safer, farther OTM strikes.
Default: 0.05 (5%)
Visualize the Chart:
Once inputs are updated:
Red Line: Aggressive Strike (closest, riskiest, higher premium).
Blue Line: Moderate Strike (mid-range).
Green Line: Low Delta Strike (farthest, safer).
Step-by-Step Workflow Example
Open the options chain and note:
Implied Volatility (IV Mid): Example 71.5% → input as 0.715.
Delta for desired strikes:
Aggressive: 0.30 Delta → Closest strike ~ $455.
Moderate: 0.15 Delta → Mid-range strike ~ $470.
Low Delta: 0.05 Delta → Farther strike ~ $505.
Open the indicator and adjust:
IV Mid: Enter 0.715.
Aggressive Delta: Leave at 0.12 (or adjust to bring strikes closer).
Moderate Delta: Leave at 0.18.
Low Delta: Adjust to 0.25 for safer, farther strikes.
View the chart:
Compare the indicator's strikes (red, blue, green) with actual options chain strikes.
Use the visualization to: Validate the risk/reward for each strike.
Align strikes with technical trends, support/resistance.
Adjusting Inputs Based on Risk Tolerance
Higher Risk: Increase Aggressive Delta (e.g., 0.15) for closer strikes.
Use higher IV values for volatile stocks.
Moderate Risk: Use default values (0.12–0.18 Delta).
Balance premiums and probability.
Lower Risk: Increase Low Delta (e.g., 0.30) for farther, safer strikes.
Focus on higher IV stocks with good open interest.
Key Benefits
Simplifies Strike Selection: Visualizes the three risk levels directly on the chart.
Aligns with Market Sentiment: Incorporates IV for realistic forecasts.
Customizable for Risk: Adjust inputs to match personal risk tolerance.
By combining the options chain (IV, Delta, and liquidity) with the technical chart, you get a powerful, visually intuitive tool for covered call strategies.
Weekly COTAdjusted COT Index
Improves upon: "COT Index Commercials vs large and small Speculators" by SystematicFutures
How: CoT Indexes are adjusted by Open Interest to normalise data over time, and threshold background colours are in-line with Larry Williams recommendations from his book.
Note: This indicator is **only** accurate on the Daily time-frame due to the mid-week release date for CoT data.
This script calculates and plots the Adjusted Commitment of Traders (COT) Index for Commercial, Large Speculator, and Retail (Small Speculator) categories.
The CoT Index is adjusted by Open Interest to normalise data through time, following the methodology of Larry Williams, providing insights into how these groups are positioned in the market with an arguably more historically accurate context.
COT Categories
-------------------
- Commercials (Producers/Hedgers): Large entities hedging against price changes in the underlying asset.
- Large Speculators (Non-commercials): Professional traders and funds speculating on price movements.
- Retail Traders (Nonreportable/Small Speculators): Small individual traders, typically less informed.
Features
----------
- Open Interest Adjustment
- The net positions for each category are normalized by Open Interest to account
for varying contract sizes.
- Customisable Look-back Period
- You can adjust the number of weeks for the index calculation to control the
historical range used for comparison.
- Thresholds for Extremes
- Upper and lower thresholds (configurable) are provided to mark overbought and
oversold conditions.
- Defaults
- Overbought: <=20
- Oversold: >= 80
- Hide Current Week Option
- Optionally hide the current week's data until market close for more accurate comparison.
- Visual Aids
- Plot the Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retail indexes, and optionally highlight extreme positioning.
Inputs
--------
- weeks
- Number of weeks for historical range comparison.
- upperExtreme and lowerExtreme
- Thresholds to identify overbought/oversold conditions (default 80/20).
- hideCurrentWeek
- Option to hide current week's data until market close.
- markExtremes
- Highlight extremes where any index crosses the upper or lower thresholds.
- Options to display or hide indexes for Commercials, Large Speculators, and Small Speculators.
Outputs
----------
- The script plots the COT Index for each of the three categories and highlights periods of extreme positioning with customisable thresholds.
Usage
-------
- This tool is useful for traders who want to track the positioning of different market participants over time.
- By identifying the extreme positions of Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retail traders, it can give insights into market sentiment and potential reversals.
- Reversals of trend can be confirmed with RSI Divergence (daily), for example
- Continuation can be confirmed with RSI overbought/oversold conditions (daily), and/or hidden RSI Hidden Divergence, for example
Weekly BoxThe indicator shows a box based on the high and low of the previous week that extends into the current week. The box is used to monitor breakouts or break downs of the price with respect to the previous week levels.
The box is colored:
- green, if there is a breakout above the previous week high; or
- red, if there is a break down below the previous week low; or
- yellow, if the price stays inside of the box.
during the current week.
Labels for the box top and bottom prices can be enabled or disabled in the settings.
Weekly Opening Gap (cryptonnnite)In the context of general equities, opening price that is substantially higher or lower than the previous day's closing price, usually because of some extraordinarily positive or negative news. Opening gap using as a potential target which market usually trades to.
RTI Pivot Points StandardWeekly daily Pivot point for ease.
This is will show support and resistance on 15 minutes and 30 minutes time frame.
COT Net Positions BTC & ETH FO_ALLWeekly Commitment of Traders Report for Futures positions, as well as futures plus options positions.
This is only for Bitcoin and Ether.
OPEN INTEREST
DEALER
ASSET MANAGER
LEVERAGED FUNDS
OTHER REPORTABLE
TOTAL REPORTABLE
NON REPORTABLE
Weekly currency strength indicatorThe indicator uses the SAXO feed for the currencies USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, AUD and CAD. This can easily be changed to your preferred feed and currencies by changing the code.
The overall idea is to get a clear picture of which currencies are strengthening and weakening. This indicator does not predict future price movements.
Weekly & Daily Percantage Price OscillatorMy first script.
By Vitali Apirine. Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities ( February 2018, Vol.36 Issue 2). Thank you.
Mavilim Multiple Trend By BDweekly mavilim line,daily mavilim line and more,within your current chart. and shows multiple mavilim trend. if u need something like this
Multiple Trend Indicatorweekly 21wma,daily 21wma and more,within your current chart. and shows multiple trend. if u need something like this
One for AllOne for All (OFA) - Complete ICT Analysis Suite
Version 3.3.0 by theCodeman
📊 Overview
One for All (OFA) is a comprehensive TradingView indicator designed for traders who follow Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts. This all-in-one tool combines essential ICT analysis features—sessions, kill zones, previous period levels, and higher timeframe candles with Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Volume Imbalances (VIs)—into a single, highly customizable indicator. Whether you're a beginner learning ICT concepts or an experienced trader refining your edge, OFA provides the visual structure needed for precise market analysis and execution.
✨ Key Features
- 🏷️ Customizable Watermark**: Display your trading identity with customizable titles, subtitles, symbol info, and full style control
- 🌍 Trading Sessions**: Visualize Asian, London, and New York sessions with high/low lines, range boxes, and open/close markers
- 🎯 Kill Zones**: Highlight 5 critical ICT kill zones with precise timing and visual boxes
- 📈 Previous Period H/L**: Track Daily, Weekly, and Monthly highs/lows with customizable styles and lookback periods
- 🕐 Higher Timeframe Candles**: Display up to 5 HTF timeframes with OHLC trace lines, timers, and interval labels
- 🔍 FVG & VI Detection**: Automatically detect and visualize Fair Value Gaps and Volume Imbalances on HTF candles
- ⚙️ Universal Timezone Support**: Works globally with GMT-12 to GMT+14 timezone selection
- 🎨 Full Customization**: Control colors, styles, visibility, and layout for every feature
🚀 How to Use
Watermark Setup
The watermark overlay helps you identify your charts and maintain focus on your trading principles:
1. Enable/disable watermark via "Show Watermark" toggle
2. Customize the title (default: "Name") to display your trading name or account identifier
3. Set up to 3 subtitles (default: "Patience", "Confidence", "Execution") as trading reminders
4. Choose position (9 locations available), size, color, and transparency
5. Toggle symbol and timeframe display as needed
Use Case: Display your trading principles or account name for multi-monitor setups or content creation.
Trading Sessions Analysis
Sessions define market character and liquidity availability:
1. Enable "Show All Sessions" to visualize all three sessions
2. Adjust timezone to match your local market (default: UTC-5 for EST)
3. Customize session times if needed (defaults cover standard hours)
4. Enable session range boxes to see consolidation zones
5. Use session high/low lines to identify key levels for the current session
6. Enable open/close markers to track session transitions
Use Case: Identify which session you're trading in, track session highs/lows for liquidity, and anticipate session transition volatility.
Kill Zones Trading
Kill zones are ICT's high-probability trading windows:
1. Enable individual kill zones or use "Show All Kill Zones"
2. **Asian Kill Zone** (2000-0000 GMT): Early positioning and smart money accumulation
3. **London Kill Zone** (0300-0500 GMT): European market opening volatility
4. **NY AM Kill Zone** (0930-1100 EST): Post-NYSE open expansion
5. **NY Lunch Kill Zone** (1200-1300 EST): Midday consolidation or manipulation
6. **NY PM Kill Zone** (1330-1600 EST): Afternoon positioning and closes
7. Customize colors and times to match your trading style
8. Set max days display to control historical visibility (default: 30 days)
Use Case: Focus entries during high-probability windows. Watch for liquidity sweeps at kill zone openings and institutional positioning.
Previous Period High/Low Levels
Previous period levels act as magnetic price targets and support/resistance:
1. Enable Daily (PDH/PDL), Weekly (PWH/PWL), or Monthly (PMH/PML) levels individually
2. Set lookback period (how many previous periods to display)
3. Choose line style: Solid (current emphasis), Dashed (standard), or Dotted (subtle)
4. Customize colors per timeframe for visual hierarchy
5. Adjust line width (1-5) for visibility preference
6. Enable gradient effect to fade older periods
7. Position labels left or right based on chart layout
8. Customize label text for your preferred notation
Use Case: Identify key levels where price is likely to react. Daily levels work on intraday timeframes, Weekly on daily charts, Monthly for swing trading.
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Candles
HTF candles reveal the larger market context while trading lower timeframes:
1. Enable up to 5 HTF slots simultaneously (default: 5m, 15m, 1H, 4H, Daily)
2. Choose display mode: "Below Chart" (stacked rows) or "Right Side" (compact column)
3. Customize timeframe, colors (bull/bear), and titles for each slot
4. **OHLC Trace Lines**: Visual lines connecting HTF candle levels to chart bars
5. **HTF Timer**: Countdown showing time remaining until HTF candle close
6. **Interval Labels**: Display day of week (Daily+) or time (intraday) on each candle
7. For Daily candles: Choose open time (Midnight, 8:30, 9:30) to match your market structure preference
Use Case: Trade lower timeframes while respecting higher timeframe structure. Watch for HTF candle closes to confirm directional bias.
FVG & VI Detection
Fair Value Gaps and Volume Imbalances highlight inefficiencies that price often revisits:
1. **Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)**: Detected when HTF candle wicks don't overlap between 3 consecutive candles
- Bullish FVG: Gap between candle 1 high and candle 3 low (green box by default)
- Bearish FVG: Gap between candle 1 low and candle 3 high (red box by default)
2. **Volume Imbalances (VIs)**: Similar detection but focuses on body gaps
- Bullish VI: Gap between candle 1 close and candle 3 open
- Bearish VI: Gap between candle 1 open and candle 3 close
3. Enable FVG/VI detection per HTF slot individually
4. Customize colors and transparency for each imbalance type
5. Boxes appear on chart at formation and remain visible as retracement targets
**Use Case**: Identify high-probability retracement zones. Price often returns to fill FVGs and VIs before continuing the trend. Use as entry zones or profit targets.
🎨 Customization
OFA is built for flexibility. Every feature includes extensive customization options:
Visual Customization
- **Colors**: Independent color control for every element (sessions, kill zones, lines, labels, FVGs, VIs)
- **Transparency**: Adjust box and label transparency (0-100%) for clean charts
- **Line Styles**: Choose Solid, Dashed, or Dotted for previous period lines
- **Sizes**: Control text size, line width, and box borders
- **Positions**: Place watermark in 9 positions, labels left/right
Layout Control
- **HTF Display Mode**: "Below Chart" for detailed analysis, "Right Side" for space efficiency
- **Drawing Limits**: Set max days for sessions/kill zones to manage chart clutter
- **Lookback Periods**: Control how many previous periods to display (1-10)
- **Gradient Effects**: Enable fading for older previous period lines
Timing Adjustments
- **Timezone**: Universal GMT offset selector (-12 to +14) for global markets
- **Session Times**: Customize each session's start/end times
- **Kill Zone Times**: Adjust kill zone windows to match your market's characteristics
- **Daily Open**: Choose Midnight, 8:30, or 9:30 for Daily HTF candle open time
💡 Best Practices
1. Start Simple: Enable one feature at a time to learn how each element affects your analysis
2. Match Your Timeframe: Use Daily levels on intraday charts, Weekly on daily charts, HTF candles one or two levels above your trading timeframe
3. Kill Zone Focus: Concentrate your trading activity during kill zones for higher probability setups
4. HTF Confirmation: Wait for HTF candle closes before committing to directional bias
5. FVG/VI Entries: Look for price to return to unfilled FVGs/VIs for entry opportunities with favorable risk/reward
6. Customize Colors: Use a consistent color scheme that matches your chart theme and reduces visual fatigue
7. Reduce Clutter: Disable features you're not actively using in your current trading plan
8. Session Context: Understand which session controls the market—trade with session direction or anticipate reversals at session transitions
⚙️ Settings Guide
OFA organizes settings into logical groups for easy navigation:
- **═══ WATERMARK ═══**: Title, subtitles, position, style, symbol/timeframe display
- **═══ SESSIONS ═══**: Enable/disable sessions, times, colors, high/low lines, boxes, markers
- **═══ KILL ZONES ═══**: Individual kill zone toggles, times, colors, max days display
- **═══ PREVIOUS H/L - DAILY ═══**: Daily high/low lines, style, color, lookback, labels
- **═══ PREVIOUS H/L - WEEKLY ═══**: Weekly high/low lines, style, color, lookback, labels
- **═══ PREVIOUS H/L - MONTHLY ═══**: Monthly high/low lines, style, color, lookback, labels
- **═══ HTF CANDLES ═══**: Global display mode, layout settings
- **═══ HTF SLOT 1-5 ═══**: Individual HTF configuration (timeframe, colors, title, FVG/VI detection, trace lines, timer, interval labels)
Each setting includes tooltips explaining its function. Hover over any input for detailed guidance.
📝 Final Notes
One for All (OFA) represents a complete ICT analysis toolkit in a single indicator. By combining watermark customization, session visualization, kill zone highlighting, previous period levels, and higher timeframe candles with FVG/VI detection, OFA eliminates the need for multiple indicators cluttering your chart.
**Version**: 3.3.0
**Author**: theCodeman
**Pine Script**: v6
**License**: Mozilla Public License 2.0
Start with default settings to learn the indicator's structure, then customize extensively to match your personal trading style. Remember: tools provide information, but your edge comes from disciplined execution of a proven strategy.
Happy Trading! 📈
STRAT - MTF Dashboard + FTFC + Reversals v2.7# STRAT Indicator - Complete Description
## Overview
A comprehensive multi-timeframe STRAT trading system indicator that combines market structure analysis, flip levels, Full Timeframe Continuity (FTFC), and reversal pattern detection across 12 timeframes.
## Core Features
### 1. **Multi-Timeframe STRAT Dashboard**
- Displays STRAT combos (1, 2u, 2d, 3) across 12 timeframes: 1m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1H, 4H, 12H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly
- Color-coded directional bias (green/red/doji)
- Inside bars (●) and Outside bars (●) highlighted
- Current timeframe marked with ★
### 2. **HTF Flip Levels with Smart Grouping**
- Displays higher timeframe (HTF) flip levels (open prices) as labels on the right side
- Automatically groups multiple timeframes at the same price level (e.g., "★ 1H/4H/D")
- Current timeframe flip level always displayed with ★ marker
- Color-coded: Green (above price) / Red (below price)
### 3. **Full Timeframe Continuity (FTFC)**
- User-selectable 4 timeframes for FTFC analysis (default: D, W, M, Q)
- Green line: FTFC Up (highest open of 4 timeframes)
- Red line: FTFC Down (lowest open of 4 timeframes)
- Identifies when price is above/below all 4 timeframe opens
### 4. **Hammer & Shooting Star Detection**
- **Hammer Pattern**: Long lower wick (≥2x body), small upper wick, signals potential bottom reversal
- **Shooting Star Pattern**: Long upper wick (≥2x body), small lower wick, signals potential top reversal
- Scans last 100 bars (adjustable) and marks ALL historical patterns
- Chart markers: 🔨 (Hammer) below bars, 🔻 (Shooting Star) above bars
- Dashboard column shows reversal patterns for each timeframe
- Adjustable wick-to-body ratio sensitivity (1.5 to 5.0)
### 5. **Debug Tables**
- **FTFC Debug**: Shows close vs. 4 timeframe opens, confirms all-green/all-red conditions
- **Reversal Debug**: Real-time analysis of current bar - body size, wick measurements, ratios, and pattern qualification
## Settings
### Display Settings
- Dashboard position (9 options: top-left to bottom-right)
- Dashboard text size (tiny to huge)
- Label offset and text size
- Toggle individual features on/off
### FTFC Settings
- Select 4 custom timeframes for continuity analysis
- Default: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly
### Reversal Settings
- **Wick to Body Ratio**: Sensitivity for pattern detection (default 2.0)
- **Lookback Bars**: How many historical bars to scan (default 100, max 500)
- Show/hide reversal markers on chart
- Show/hide reversal debug table
## Use Cases
1. **Momentum Trading**: Identify STRAT setups (2-2, 2-1-2 reversals, 3-bar plays) across multiple timeframes
2. **Swing Trading**: Use HTF flip levels as support/resistance and FTFC for trend confirmation
3. **Reversal Trading**: Catch hammer/shooting star patterns at key levels for counter-trend entries
4. **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Confirm alignment across timeframes before entering trades
## How to Use
### For STRAT Traders
- Look for 2-1-2 reversal setups in the dashboard
- Watch for inside bars (●) at HTF flip levels for breakout trades
- Use outside bars (●) to identify potential volatility expansion
### For Reversal Traders
- 🔨 Hammers after downtrends = potential long entries
- 🔻 Shooting stars after uptrends = potential short entries
- Combine with HTF flip levels for high-probability setups
### For Trend Followers
- FTFC green line above = bullish structure
- FTFC red line below = bearish structure
- Enter when price breaks and holds above/below FTFC levels
## Visual Elements
- **Green Labels**: HTF flip levels above current price (resistance)
- **Red Labels**: HTF flip levels below current price (support)
- **Lime Line**: FTFC Up (highest timeframe open)
- **Red Line**: FTFC Down (lowest timeframe open)
- **🔨 Icon**: Hammer pattern (potential reversal up)
- **🔻 Icon**: Shooting Star pattern (potential reversal down)
- **★ Symbol**: Current timeframe or multiple timeframes grouped
## Performance Notes
This indicator performs 12 multi-timeframe security calls and may take 15-30 seconds to calculate on initial load. This is normal for comprehensive MTF analysis.
## Version
v2.7 - Simplified reversal detection, current TF labeling, optimized performance
---
**Perfect for**: STRAT traders, multi-timeframe analysts, reversal pattern traders, swing traders looking for high-probability setups with confluence across timeframes.
BTC Price Prediction Model [Global PMI]V2🇺🇸 English Guide
1. Introduction
This indicator was created by GW Capital using Gemini Vibe Coding technology. It leverages advanced AI coding capabilities to reconstruct complex macroeconomic models into actionable trading tools.
2. Credits
Special thanks to the original model author, Marty Kendall. His research into the correlation between Bitcoin's price and macroeconomic factors lays the foundation for this algorithm.
3. Model Principles & Formula
This model calculates the "Fair Value" of Bitcoin based on four key macroeconomic pillars. It assumes that Bitcoin's price is a function of Global Liquidity, Network Security, Risk Appetite, and the Economic Cycle.
💡 Unique Insight: PMI & The 4-Year Cycle
A key distinguishing feature of this model is the hypothesis that Bitcoin's famous "4-Year Halving Cycle" may be intrinsically linked to the Global Business Cycle (PMI), rather than just supply shocks.
Therefore, the model incorporates PMI as a valuation "Amplifier".
Note: Due to TradingView data limitations, US PMI is currently used as the proxy for the global cycle.
The Formula
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
Global Liquidity (M2): Sum of M2 supply from US, China, Eurozone, and Japan (converted to USD). Represents the pool of fiat money available to flow into assets.
Network Security (Hashrate): Bitcoin's hashrate, representing the physical security and utility of the network.
Risk Appetite (S&P 500): Used as a proxy for global risk sentiment.
Economic Cycle (PMI Z-Score): US Manufacturing PMI is used to amplify or dampen the valuation based on where we are in the business cycle (Expansion vs. Contraction).
4. How to Use
The indicator plots the Fair Value (White Line) and four sentiment bands based on statistical deviation (Z-Score).
Sentiment Zones
🚨 Extreme Greed (Red Zone): Price > +0.3 StdDev. Historically indicates a market top or overheated sentiment.
⚠️ Greed (Orange Zone): Price > +0.15 StdDev. Bullish momentum is strong but caution is advised.
⚖️ Fair Value (White Line): The theoretical "correct" price based on macro data.
😨 Fear (Teal Zone): Price < -0.15 StdDev. Undervalued territory.
💎 Extreme Fear (Green Zone): Price < -0.3 StdDev. Historically a generational buying opportunity.
Sentiment Score (0-100)
100: Maximum Greed (Top)
50: Fair Value
0: Maximum Fear (Bottom)
5. Usage Recommendations
Timeframe: Daily (1D) or Weekly (1W) ONLY.
Reason: The underlying data sources (M2, PMI) are updated monthly. The S&P 500 and Hashrate are daily. Using this indicator on intraday charts (e.g., 15m, 1h, 4h) adds no value because the fundamental data does not change that fast.
Long-Term View: This is a macro-cycle indicator designed for identifying cycle tops and bottoms over months and years, not for day trading.
6. Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. The model relies on historical correlations which may not hold true in the future. All trading involves risk. GW Capital and the creators assume no responsibility for any trading losses.
7. Support Us ❤️
If you find this indicator useful, please Boost 👍, Comment, and add it to your Favorites! Your support keeps us going.
🇨🇳 中文说明 (Chinese Version)
1. 简介
本指标由 GW Capital 使用 Gemini Vibe Coding 技术制作。利用先进的 AI 编程能力,将复杂的宏观经济模型重构为可执行的交易工具。
2. 致谢
特别感谢模型原作者 Marty Kendall。他对这一算法的研究奠定了基础,揭示了比特币价格与宏观经济因素之间的深层联系。
3. 模型原理与公式
该模型基于四大宏观经济支柱计算比特币的“公允价值”。它假设比特币的价格是全球流动性、网络安全性、风险偏好和经济周期的函数。
💡 独家洞察:PMI 与 4年周期
本模型的一个核心独特之处在于:我们认为比特币著名的“4年减半周期”背后的真正驱动力,可能与全球商业周期 (PMI) 高度同步,而不仅仅是供应减半。
因此,模型特别引入 PMI 作为估值的“放大器” (Amplifier)。
注:由于 TradingView 数据源限制,目前采用历史数据最详尽的美国 PMI 作为全球周期的代理指标。
模型公式
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
全球流动性 (M2): 美、中、欧、日四大经济体的 M2 总量(折算为美元)。代表可流入资产的法币资金池。
网络安全性 (Hashrate): 比特币全网算力,代表网络的物理安全性和实用价值。
风险偏好 (S&P 500): 作为全球风险情绪的代理指标。
经济周期 (PMI Z-Score): 美国制造业 PMI 用于根据商业周期(扩张 vs 收缩)来放大或抑制估值。
4. 指标用法
指标会在图表上绘制 公允价值 (白线) 以及基于统计偏差 (Z-Score) 的四条情绪带。
情绪区间
🚨 极度贪婪 (红色区域): 价格 > +0.3 标准差。历史上通常预示市场顶部或情绪过热。
⚠️ 一般贪婪 (橙色区域): 价格 > +0.15 标准差。多头动能强劲,但需谨慎。
⚖️ 公允价值 (白线): 基于宏观数据的理论“正确”价格。
😨 一般恐惧 (青色区域): 价格 < -0.15 标准差。进入低估区域。
💎 极度恐惧 (绿色区域): 价格 < -0.3 标准差。历史上通常是代际级别的买入机会。
情绪评分 (0-100)
100: 极度贪婪 (顶部)
50: 公允价值
0: 极度恐惧 (底部)
5. 使用建议
周期: 仅限日线 (1D) 或周线 (1W)。
原因: 底层数据源(M2, PMI)是月度更新的。标普500和算力是日度更新的。在日内图表(如15分钟、1小时、4小时)上使用此指标没有任何意义,因为基本面数据不会变化得那么快。
长期视角: 这是一个宏观周期指标,旨在识别数月甚至数年的周期顶部和底部,而非用于日内交易。
6. 免责声明
本指标仅供教育和参考使用,不构成任何财务建议。该模型依赖于历史相关性,未来可能不再适用。所有交易均涉及风险。GW Capital 及制作者不对任何交易损失承担责任。






















