Resistance Breakout LevelsResistance Breakout Levels
An advanced TradingView indicator that detects significant resistance pivots and marks confirmed breakouts.
Description:
This Pine Script automatically identifies swing-high pivot points as potential resistance levels. It confirms a breakout only after a configurable number of consecutive closes above the pivot, reducing noise and avoiding false signals. Once validated, it draws a horizontal breakout line at the pivot price and adds a label with the breakout value. Traders can choose to display all breakout lines or only the single highest breakout within a specified lookback period. Additionally, a dynamic current price line spans the chart for quick reference.
Features:
• Pivot High Detection for Resistance Levels
• N-Consecutive Close Breakout Confirmation
• Toggle Between All Breakouts or Highest Breakout with Lookback Window
• Full-Width Live Current Price Line
• Customizable Line Colors, Widths, and Extension Direction
• Price Labels Directly on Breakout Lines
User Inputs:
• Pivot Bars (Left/Right): Number of bars used to detect pivot highs
• Consecutive Closes Above: Closes required above pivot to confirm breakout
• Show All Breakouts: Option to plot every confirmed breakout line
• Highest Lookback Bars: Lookback window for retaining only the highest breakout
• Breakout Line Color & Width: Customize breakout line appearance
• Price Line Color & Width: Customize live current price line appearance
Cerca negli script per "如何用wind搜索股票的发行价和份数"
Q Impulse EntryQ Impulse Entry
A directional entry system combining impulse breakouts, Elder's momentum confirmation, and ADX trend validation. Designed for clean trade setups with multi-step filtering, entry markers, and real-time alerts.
🔧 Core Logic
This is not a basic mashup — each filter plays a distinct technical role:
1. Impulse Breakout Engine
• Detects sharp directional price breaks using ATR-adjusted dynamic zones
• Impulse window controls sensitivity to local highs/lows
2. Elder Momentum Filter
• Confirms signal using MACD histogram and EMA alignment
• Blocks entries when internal momentum contradicts price move
3. ADX Trend Strength Filter
• Uses threshold-based ADX logic to validate trend power
• Filters out noise in flat or weak markets
The system requires all three filters to agree before confirming an entry.
📈 Visual Feedback
• ⇑ / ⇓ arrows mark confirmed entry signals
• Colored entry dots plotted at signal price help confirm timing and aid in multi-position layering
• Impulse breakout zones and EMA are displayed for directional context
• Clean layout, no repainting, designed for real-time use
⚙️ Configurable Inputs
• Impulse Window — controls breakout signal sensitivity
• ATR Multiplier — defines width of impulse breakout zones
(Elder and ADX filters are embedded and fine-tuned)
✨ Highlights
• Triple-filter signal logic = fewer false positives
• Entry dots + arrows for visual clarity and scaling in
• Lightweight, non-repainting, and alert-ready
• Best suited for Forex and all timeframes
• Ideal for breakout, trend-following, or hybrid systems
• Built-in alerts and customizable zones
• Always apply risk management suited to your capital and strategy
Trade with clarity — stay for quality.
Opening Range Retest█ OVERVIEW
This indicator shows the opening range as a box. It also draws markers and triggers alerts when the opening range is retested. The opening range time is configurable, as is the period of time that must elapse before each return to the opening range is considered a retest.
█ FEATURES
Opening range time configurable in bars or minutes
Configurable "resting" period between the end of the opening range or since the last retest before a new retest is considered valid
Configurable tolerance so that a retest can trigger sooner
Active time range can be used to filter alerts and markers to a specific time window
Visual box showing the opening range, which can be optionally limited to the above-mentioned active time window
Well-documented, high-quality, open-source code for those interested
█ CONCEPTS
This indicator can be used for an opening range retest trading strategy, where long or short positions are taken on the retest of the opening range.
The opening range can be user-configured, so it is suitable for use with any opening range time period (e.g., 1-min, 5-min, 15-min, etc.).
The markers and alerts are equivalent, in the sense that whenever a marker appears, an alert will also trigger (assuming the user has set an alert up).
The alert active time range is simply used as a filter for markers and alerts, meaning that these will not draw or trigger outside of the specified time range.
█ LIMITATIONS
The indicator is intended for equities that have a highly active regular market open. For other security types, it will draw the opening range box from whenever TradingView specifies the market open time.
Bober XM v2.0# ₿ober XM v2.0 Trading Bot Documentation
**Developer's Note**: While our previous Bot 1.3.1 was removed due to guideline violations, this setback only fueled our determination to create something even better. Rising from this challenge, Bober XM 2.0 emerges not just as an update, but as a complete reimagining with multi-timeframe analysis, enhanced filters, and superior adaptability. This adversity pushed us to innovate further and deliver a strategy that's smarter, more agile, and more powerful than ever before. Challenges create opportunity - welcome to Cryptobeat's finest work yet.
## !!!!You need to tune it for your own pair and timeframe and retune it periodicaly!!!!!
## Overview
The ₿ober XM v2.0 is an advanced dual-channel trading bot with multi-timeframe analysis capabilities. It integrates multiple technical indicators, customizable risk management, and advanced order execution via webhook for automated trading. The bot's distinctive feature is its separate channel systems for long and short positions, allowing for asymmetric trade strategies that adapt to different market conditions across multiple timeframes.
### Key Features
- **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Analyze price data across multiple timeframes simultaneously
- **Dual Channel System**: Separate parameter sets for long and short positions
- **Advanced Entry Filters**: RSI, Volatility, Volume, Bollinger Bands, and KEMAD filters
- **Machine Learning Moving Average**: Adaptive prediction-based channels
- **Multiple Entry Strategies**: Breakout, Pullback, and Mean Reversion modes
- **Risk Management**: Customizable stop-loss, take-profit, and trailing stop settings
- **Webhook Integration**: Compatible with external trading bots and platforms
### Strategy Components
| Component | Description |
|---------|-------------|
| **Dual Channel Trading** | Uses either Keltner Channels or Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA) with separate settings for long and short positions |
| **MLMA Implementation** | Machine learning algorithm that predicts future price movements and creates adaptive bands |
| **Pivot Point SuperTrend** | Trend identification and confirmation system based on pivot points |
| **Three Entry Strategies** | Choose between Breakout, Pullback, or Mean Reversion approaches |
| **Advanced Filter System** | Multiple customizable filters with multi-timeframe support to avoid false signals |
| **Custom Exit Logic** | Exits based on OBV crossover of its moving average combined with pivot trend changes |
### Note for Novice Users
This is a fully featured real trading bot and can be tweaked for any ticker — SOL is just an example. It follows this structure:
1. **Indicator** – gives the initial signal
2. **Entry strategy** – decides when to open a trade
3. **Exit strategy** – defines when to close it
4. **Trend confirmation** – ensures the trade follows the market direction
5. **Filters** – cuts out noise and avoids weak setups
6. **Risk management** – controls losses and protects your capital
To tune it for a different pair, you'll need to start from scratch:
1. Select the timeframe (candle size)
2. Turn off all filters and trend entry/exit confirmations
3. Choose a channel type, channel source and entry strategy
4. Adjust risk parameters
5. Tune long and short settings for the channel
6. Fine-tune the Pivot Point Supertrend and Main Exit condition OBV
This will generate a lot of signals and activity on the chart. Your next task is to find the right combination of filters and settings to reduce noise and tune it for profitability.
### Default Strategy values
Default values are tuned for: Symbol BITGET:SOLUSDT.P 5min candle
Filters are off by default: Try to play with it to understand how it works
## Configuration Guide
### General Settings
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Long Positions** | Enable or disable long trades | Enabled |
| **Short Positions** | Enable or disable short trades | Enabled |
| **Risk/Reward Area** | Visual display of stop-loss and take-profit zones | Enabled |
| **Long Entry Source** | Price data used for long entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
| **Short Entry Source** | Price data used for short entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
The bot allows you to trade long positions, short positions, or both simultaneously. Each direction has its own set of parameters, allowing for fine-tuned strategies that recognize the asymmetric nature of market movements.
### Multi-Timeframe Settings
1. **Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Toggle 'Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis' in the Multi-Timeframe Settings section
2. **Configure Timeframes**: Set appropriate higher timeframes based on your trading style:
- Timeframe 1: Default is now 15 minutes (intraday confirmation)
- Timeframe 2: Default is 4 hours (trend direction)
3. **Select Sources per Indicator**: For each indicator (RSI, KEMAD, Volume, etc.), choose:
- The desired timeframe (current, mtf1, or mtf2)
- The appropriate price type (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
### Entry Strategies
- **Breakout**: Enter when price breaks above/below the channel
- **Pullback**: Enter when price pulls back to the channel
- **Mean Reversion**: Enter when price is extended from the channel
You can enable different strategies for long and short positions.
### Core Components
### Risk Management
- **Position Size**: Control risk with percentage-based position sizing
- **Stop Loss Options**:
- Fixed: Set a specific price or percentage from entry
- ATR-based: Dynamic stop-loss based on market volatility
- Swing: Uses recent swing high/low points
- **Take Profit**: Multiple targets with percentage allocation
- **Trailing Stop**: Dynamic stop that follows price movement
## Advanced Usage Strategies
### Moving Average Type Selection Guide
- **SMA**: More stable in choppy markets, good for higher timeframes
- **EMA/WMA**: More responsive to recent price changes, better for entry signals
- **VWMA**: Adds volume weighting for stronger trends, use with Volume filter
- **HMA**: Balance between responsiveness and noise reduction, good for volatile markets
### Multi-Timeframe Strategy Approaches
- **Trend Confirmation**: Use higher timeframe RSI (mtf2) for overall trend, current timeframe for entries
- **Entry Precision**: Use KEMAD on current timeframe with volume filter on mtf1
- **False Signal Reduction**: Apply RSI filter on mtf1 with strict KEMAD settings
### Market Condition Optimization
| Market Condition | Recommended Settings |
|------------------|----------------------|
| **Trending** | Use Breakout strategy with KEMAD filter on higher timeframe |
| **Ranging** | Use Mean Reversion with strict RSI filter (mtf1) |
| **Volatile** | Increase ATR multipliers, use HMA for moving averages |
| **Low Volatility** | Decrease noise parameters, use pullback strategy |
## Webhook Integration
The strategy features a professional webhook system that allows direct connectivity to your exchange or trading platform of choice through third-party services like 3commas, Alertatron, or Autoview.
The webhook payload includes all necessary parameters for automated execution:
- Entry price and direction
- Stop loss and take profit levels
- Position size
- Custom identifier for webhook routing
## Performance Optimization Tips
1. **Start with Defaults**: Begin with the default settings for your timeframe before customizing
2. **Adjust One Component at a Time**: Make incremental changes and test the impact
3. **Match MA Types to Market Conditions**: Use appropriate moving average types based on the Market Condition Optimization table
4. **Timeframe Synergy**: Create logical relationships between timeframes (e.g., 5min chart with 15min and 4h higher timeframes)
5. **Periodic Retuning**: Markets evolve - regularly review and adjust parameters
## Common Setups
### Crypto Trend-Following
- MLMA with EMA or HMA
- Higher RSI thresholds (75/25)
- KEMAD filter on mtf1
- Breakout entry strategy
### Stock Swing Trading
- MLMA with SMA for stability
- Volume filter with higher threshold
- KEMAD with increased filter order
- Pullback entry strategy
### Forex Scalping
- MLMA with WMA and lower noise parameter
- RSI filter on current timeframe
- Use highest timeframe for trend direction only
- Mean Reversion strategy
## Webhook Configuration
- **Benefits**:
- Automated trade execution without manual intervention
- Immediate response to market conditions
- Consistent execution of your strategy
- **Implementation Notes**:
- Requires proper webhook configuration on your exchange or platform
- Test thoroughly with small position sizes before full deployment
- Consider latency between signal generation and execution
### Backtesting Period
Define a specific historical period to evaluate the bot's performance:
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Start Date** | Beginning of backtest period | January 1, 2025 |
| **End Date** | End of backtest period | December 31, 2026 |
- **Best Practice**: Test across different market conditions (bull markets, bear markets, sideways markets)
- **Limitation**: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
## Entry and Exit Strategies
### Dual-Channel System
A key innovation of the Bober XM is its dual-channel approach:
- **Independent Parameters**: Each trade direction has its own channel settings
- **Asymmetric Trading**: Recognizes that markets often behave differently in uptrends versus downtrends
- **Optimized Performance**: Fine-tune settings for both bullish and bearish conditions
This approach allows the bot to adapt to the natural asymmetry of markets, where uptrends often develop gradually while downtrends can be sharp and sudden.
### Channel Types
#### 1. Keltner Channels
Traditional volatility-based channels using EMA and ATR:
| Setting | Long Default | Short Default |
|---------|--------------|---------------|
| **EMA Length** | 37 | 20 |
| **ATR Length** | 13 | 17 |
| **Multiplier** | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| **Source** | low | high |
- **Strengths**:
- Reliable in trending markets
- Less prone to whipsaws than Bollinger Bands
- Clear visual representation of volatility
- **Weaknesses**:
- Can lag during rapid market changes
- Less effective in choppy, non-trending markets
#### 2. Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA)
Advanced predictive model using kernel regression (RBF kernel):
| Setting | Description | Options |
|---------|-------------|--------|
| **Source MA** | Price data used for MA calculations | Any price source (low/high/close/etc.) |
| **Moving Average Type** | Type of MA algorithm for calculations | SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, RMA, HMA |
| **Trend Source** | Price data used for trend determination | Any price source (close default) |
| **Window Size** | Historical window for MLMA calculations | 5+ (default: 16) |
| **Forecast Length** | Number of bars to forecast ahead | 1+ (default: 3) |
| **Noise Parameter** | Controls smoothness of prediction | 0.01+ (default: ~0.43) |
| **Band Multiplier** | Multiplier for channel width | 0.1+ (default: 0.5-0.6) |
- **Strengths**:
- Predictive rather than reactive
- Adapts quickly to changing market conditions
- Better at identifying trend reversals early
- **Weaknesses**:
- More computationally intensive
- Requires careful parameter tuning
- Can be sensitive to input data quality
### Entry Strategies
| Strategy | Description | Ideal Market Conditions |
|----------|-------------|-------------------------|
| **Breakout** | Enters when price breaks through channel bands, indicating strong momentum | High volatility, emerging trends |
| **Pullback** | Enters when price retraces to the middle band after testing extremes | Established trends with regular pullbacks |
| **Mean Reversion** | Enters at channel extremes, betting on a return to the mean | Range-bound or oscillating markets |
#### Breakout Strategy (Default)
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price crosses above the upper band, short when price crosses below the lower band
- **Strengths**: Captures strong momentum moves, performs well in trending markets
- **Weaknesses**: Can lead to late entries, higher risk of false breakouts
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Increase channel multiplier for fewer but more reliable signals
- Combine with volume confirmation for better accuracy
#### Pullback Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price pulls back to middle band during uptrend, short during downtrend pullbacks
- **Strengths**: Better entry prices, lower risk, higher probability setups
- **Weaknesses**: Misses some strong moves, requires clear trend identification
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Use with trend filters to confirm overall direction
- Adjust middle band calculation for market volatility
#### Mean Reversion Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long at lower band, short at upper band, expecting price to revert to the mean
- **Strengths**: Excellent entry prices, works well in ranging markets
- **Weaknesses**: Dangerous in strong trends, can lead to fighting the trend
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Implement strong trend filters to avoid counter-trend trades
- Use smaller position sizes due to higher risk nature
### Confirmation Indicators
#### Pivot Point SuperTrend
Combines pivot points with ATR-based SuperTrend for trend confirmation:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Pivot Period** | 25 |
| **ATR Factor** | 2.2 |
| **ATR Period** | 41 |
- **Function**: Identifies significant market turning points and confirms trend direction
- **Implementation**: Requires price to respect the SuperTrend line for trade confirmation
#### Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Provides additional confirmation layer for entries:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Period** | 15 |
| **Source** | ohlc4 (average of Open, High, Low, Close) |
- **Function**: Confirms trend direction and filters out low-quality signals
- **Implementation**: Price must be above WMA for longs, below for shorts
### Exit Strategies
#### On-Balance Volume (OBV) Based Exits
Uses volume flow to identify potential reversals:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Source** | ohlc4 |
| **MA Type** | HMA (Options: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA, HMA) |
| **Period** | 22 |
- **Function**: Identifies divergences between price and volume to exit before reversals
- **Implementation**: Exits when OBV crosses its moving average in the opposite direction
- **Customizable MA Type**: Different MA types provide varying sensitivity to OBV changes:
- **SMA**: Traditional simple average, equal weight to all periods
- **EMA**: More weight to recent data, responds faster to price changes
- **WMA**: Weighted by recency, smoother than EMA
- **RMA**: Similar to EMA but smoother, reduces noise
- **VWMA**: Factors in volume, helpful for OBV confirmation
- **HMA**: Reduces lag while maintaining smoothness (default)
#### ADX Exit Confirmation
Uses Average Directional Index to confirm trend exhaustion:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **ADX Threshold** | 35 |
| **ADX Smoothing** | 60 |
| **DI Length** | 60 |
- **Function**: Confirms trend weakness before exiting positions
- **Implementation**: Requires ADX to drop below threshold or DI lines to cross
## Filter System
### RSI Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on momentum conditions
- **Parameters**:
- Period: 15 (default)
- Overbought level: 71
- Oversold level: 23
- Multi-timeframe support: Current, MTF1 (15min), or MTF2 (4h)
- Customizable price source (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
- **Implementation**: Blocks long entries when RSI > overbought, short entries when RSI < oversold
### Volatility Filter
- **Function**: Prevents trading during excessive market volatility
- **Parameters**:
- Measure: ATR (Average True Range)
- Period: Customizable (default varies by timeframe)
- Threshold: Adjustable multiplier
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Blocks trades when current volatility exceeds threshold × average volatility
### Volume Filter
- **Function**: Ensures adequate market liquidity for trades
- **Parameters**:
- Threshold: 0.4× average (default)
- Measurement period: 5 (default)
- Moving average type: Customizable (HMA default)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Requires current volume to exceed threshold × average volume
### Bollinger Bands Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on price relative to statistical boundaries
- **Parameters**:
- Period: Customizable
- Standard deviation multiplier: Adjustable
- Moving average type: Customizable
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Can require price to be within bands or breaking out of bands depending on strategy
### KEMAD Filter (Kalman EMA Distance)
- **Function**: Advanced trend confirmation using Kalman filter algorithm
- **Parameters**:
- Process Noise: 0.35 (controls smoothness)
- Measurement Noise: 24 (controls reactivity)
- Filter Order: 6 (higher = more smoothing)
- ATR Length: 8 (for bandwidth calculation)
- Upper Multiplier: 2.0 (for long signals)
- Lower Multiplier: 2.7 (for short signals)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable visual indicators
- **Implementation**: Generates signals based on price position relative to Kalman-filtered EMA bands
## Risk Management System
### Position Sizing
Automatically calculates position size based on account equity and risk parameters:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk % of Equity** | 50% |
- **Implementation**:
- Position size = (Account equity × Risk %) ÷ (Entry price × Stop loss distance)
- Adjusts automatically based on volatility and stop placement
- **Best Practices**:
- Start with lower risk percentages (1-2%) until strategy is proven
- Consider reducing risk during high volatility periods
### Stop-Loss Methods
Multiple stop-loss calculation methods with separate configurations for long and short positions:
| Method | Description | Configuration |
|--------|-------------|---------------|
| **ATR-Based** | Dynamic stops based on volatility | ATR Period: 14, Multiplier: 2.0 |
| **Percentage** | Fixed percentage from entry | Long: 1.5%, Short: 1.5% |
| **PIP-Based** | Fixed currency unit distance | 10.0 pips |
- **Implementation Notes**:
- ATR-based stops adapt to changing market volatility
- Percentage stops maintain consistent risk exposure
- PIP-based stops provide precise control in stable markets
### Trailing Stops
Locks in profits by adjusting stop-loss levels as price moves favorably:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
| **Activation Threshold** | 2.1% |
| **Trailing Distance** | 1.4% |
- **Implementation**:
- Initial stop remains fixed until profit reaches activation threshold
- Once activated, stop follows price at specified distance
- Locks in profit while allowing room for normal price fluctuations
### Risk-Reward Parameters
Defines the relationship between risk and potential reward:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk-Reward Ratio** | 1.4 |
| **Take Profit %** | 2.4% |
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
- **Implementation**:
- Take profit distance = Stop loss distance × Risk-reward ratio
- Higher ratios require fewer winning trades for profitability
- Lower ratios increase win rate but reduce average profit
### Filter Combinations
The strategy allows for simultaneous application of multiple filters:
- **Recommended Combinations**:
- Trending markets: RSI + KEMAD filters
- Ranging markets: Bollinger Bands + Volatility filters
- All markets: Volume filter as minimum requirement
- **Performance Impact**:
- Each additional filter reduces the number of trades
- Quality of remaining trades typically improves
- Optimal combination depends on market conditions and timeframe
### Multi-Timeframe Filter Applications
| Filter Type | Current Timeframe | MTF1 (15min) | MTF2 (4h) |
|-------------|-------------------|-------------|------------|
| RSI | Quick entries/exits | Intraday trend | Overall trend |
| Volume | Immediate liquidity | Sustained support | Market participation |
| Volatility | Entry timing | Short-term risk | Regime changes |
| KEMAD | Precise signals | Trend confirmation | Major reversals |
## Visual Indicators and Chart Analysis
The bot provides comprehensive visual feedback on the chart:
- **Channel Bands**: Keltner or MLMA bands showing potential support/resistance
- **Pivot SuperTrend**: Colored line showing trend direction and potential reversal points
- **Entry/Exit Markers**: Annotations showing actual trade entries and exits
- **Risk/Reward Zones**: Visual representation of stop-loss and take-profit levels
These visual elements allow for:
- Real-time strategy assessment
- Post-trade analysis and optimization
- Educational understanding of the strategy logic
## Implementation Guide
### TradingView Setup
1. Load the script in TradingView Pine Editor
2. Apply to your preferred chart and timeframe
3. Adjust parameters based on your trading preferences
4. Enable alerts for webhook integration
### Webhook Integration
1. Configure webhook URL in TradingView alerts
2. Set up receiving endpoint on your trading platform
3. Define message format matching the bot's output
4. Test with small position sizes before full deployment
### Optimization Process
1. Backtest across different market conditions
2. Identify parameter sensitivity through multiple tests
3. Focus on risk management parameters first
4. Fine-tune entry/exit conditions based on performance metrics
5. Validate with out-of-sample testing
## Performance Considerations
### Strengths
- Adaptability to different market conditions through dual channels
- Multiple layers of confirmation reducing false signals
- Comprehensive risk management protecting capital
- Machine learning integration for predictive edge
### Limitations
- Complex parameter set requiring careful optimization
- Potential over-optimization risk with so many variables
- Computational intensity of MLMA calculations
- Dependency on proper webhook configuration for execution
### Best Practices
- Start with conservative risk settings (1-2% of equity)
- Test thoroughly in demo environment before live trading
- Monitor performance regularly and adjust parameters
- Consider market regime changes when evaluating results
## Conclusion
The ₿ober XM v2.0 represents a significant evolution in trading strategy design, combining traditional technical analysis with machine learning elements and multi-timeframe analysis. The core strength of this system lies in its adaptability and recognition of market asymmetry.
### Market Asymmetry and Adaptive Approach
The strategy acknowledges a fundamental truth about markets: bullish and bearish phases behave differently and should be treated as distinct environments. The dual-channel system with separate parameters for long and short positions directly addresses this asymmetry, allowing for optimized performance regardless of market direction.
### Targeted Backtesting Philosophy
It's counterproductive to run backtests over excessively long periods. Markets evolve continuously, and strategies that worked in previous market regimes may be ineffective in current conditions. Instead:
- Test specific market phases separately (bull markets, bear markets, range-bound periods)
- Regularly re-optimize parameters as market conditions change
- Focus on recent performance with higher weight than historical results
- Test across multiple timeframes to ensure robustness
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis as a Game-Changer
The integration of multi-timeframe analysis fundamentally transforms the strategy's effectiveness:
- **Increased Safety**: Higher timeframe confirmations reduce false signals and improve trade quality
- **Context Awareness**: Decisions made with awareness of larger trends reduce adverse entries
- **Adaptable Precision**: Apply strict filters on lower timeframes while maintaining awareness of broader conditions
- **Reduced Noise**: Higher timeframe data naturally filters market noise that can trigger poor entries
The ₿ober XM v2.0 provides traders with a framework that acknowledges market complexity while offering practical tools to navigate it. With proper setup, realistic expectations, and attention to changing market conditions, it delivers a sophisticated approach to systematic trading that can be continuously refined and optimized.
Thai Gold BahtIndicator Name: Thai Gold Baht
Short Title: Thai Gold Baht
Purpose
This indicator calculates and visualizes the real-time price of 1 Thai Gold Baht (15.244 grams) based on the global gold price ( XAU/USD ) and the USD/THB exchange rate .
Users can customize gold weight and purity to simulate the local Thai gold market price.
What it does
Retrieves live gold price per troy ounce in USD
Retrieves current USD to Thai Baht exchange rate
Converts the value using user-defined weight and purity
Displays result as a real-time chart
Shows calculation details in the Data Window
Ideal for
Traders tracking Thai gold based on international prices
Analysts comparing local and global bullion markets
Anyone needing a configurable, transparent gold price conversion
Pine Script Functionality
// Uses XAU/USD and USD/THB as inputs
// Calculates 1 Baht Gold (96.5% default purity)
// Outputs the value in THB as a chart line
ชื่ออินดิเคเตอร์: Thai Gold Baht
ชื่อย่อ: Thai Gold Baht
วัตถุประสงค์
อินดิเคเตอร์นี้ใช้คำนวณและแสดงราคาทองคำไทย 1 บาท (15.244 กรัม) แบบเรียลไทม์
โดยอ้างอิงจากราคาทองคำในตลาดโลก ( XAU/USD ) และอัตราแลกเปลี่ยน USD/THB
ผู้ใช้สามารถกำหนดน้ำหนักทองและความบริสุทธิ์เองได้ เพื่อจำลองราคาทองคำในประเทศไทยอย่างแม่นยำ
สิ่งที่อินดิเคเตอร์นี้ทำ
ดึงราคาทองคำแบบเรียลไทม์ต่อทรอยออนซ์ในสกุลเงิน USD
ดึงอัตราแลกเปลี่ยน USD → THB แบบเรียลไทม์
คำนวณราคาจากน้ำหนักและเปอร์เซ็นต์ความบริสุทธิ์ที่ผู้ใช้กำหนด
แสดงผลลัพธ์เป็นกราฟแบบเรียลไทม์ในหน่วยบาทไทย
แสดงรายละเอียดการคำนวณในหน้าต่าง Data Window ของ TradingView
เหมาะสำหรับ
นักเทรดที่ต้องการติดตามราคาทองคำไทยจากราคาทองคำตลาดโลก
นักวิเคราะห์ที่เปรียบเทียบราคาทองคำในประเทศและต่างประเทศ
ผู้ใช้งานที่ต้องการการแปลงราคาทองคำระหว่างประเทศให้โปร่งใสและปรับแต่งได้
การทำงานของ Pine Script
// ใช้ข้อมูล XAU/USD และ USD/THB เป็นอินพุต
// คำนวณราคาทองคำไทย 1 บาท (ความบริสุทธิ์เริ่มต้นที่ 96.5%)
// แสดงผลเป็นเส้นกราฟของราคาทองคำในหน่วยบาทไทย
ICT Intraday FrameworkAutomating The Basics Of ICT Intraday Concepts:
NWOG/NDOG
-from 4:14pm to 9:29am a line will be drawn from 4:14pm close to anticipate ndog/nwog
-once 9:30am or later NDOG/NWOG is drawn with High, Mid, and Low prices
-has option to extend High, Mid, and Low price lines until start of new day at 2/3pm
First Presented Imbalance
-draws fp imb from 9:30-10am
-has option to extend High, Mid, and Low price lines until start of new day at 2/3pm
Custom Macro Window
-draw box around high and low of macro
-first presented imbalance of macro window
Future concepts im planning to add:
Asia BSL/SSL Highlight
Sharpe Ratio Forced Selling StrategyThis study introduces the “Sharpe Ratio Forced Selling Strategy”, a quantitative trading model that dynamically manages positions based on the rolling Sharpe Ratio of an asset’s excess returns relative to the risk-free rate. The Sharpe Ratio, first introduced by Sharpe (1966), remains a cornerstone in risk-adjusted performance measurement, capturing the trade-off between return and volatility. In this strategy, entries are triggered when the Sharpe Ratio falls below a specified low threshold (indicating excessive pessimism), and exits occur either when the Sharpe Ratio surpasses a high threshold (indicating optimism or mean reversion) or when a maximum holding period is reached.
The underlying economic intuition stems from institutional behavior. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and mutual funds, are often subject to risk management mandates and performance benchmarking, requiring them to reduce exposure to assets that exhibit deteriorating risk-adjusted returns over rolling periods (Greenwood and Scharfstein, 2013). When risk-adjusted performance improves, institutions may rebalance or liquidate positions to meet regulatory requirements or internal mandates, a behavior that can be proxied effectively through a rising Sharpe Ratio.
By systematically monitoring the Sharpe Ratio, the strategy anticipates when “forced selling” pressure is likely to abate, allowing for opportunistic entries into assets priced below fundamental value. Exits are equally mechanized, either triggered by Sharpe Ratio improvements or by a strict time-based constraint, acknowledging that institutional rebalancing and window-dressing activities are often time-bound (Coval and Stafford, 2007).
The Sharpe Ratio is particularly suitable for this framework due to its ability to standardize excess returns per unit of risk, ensuring comparability across timeframes and asset classes (Sharpe, 1994). Furthermore, adjusting returns by a dynamically updating short-term risk-free rate (e.g., US 3-Month T-Bills from FRED) ensures that macroeconomic conditions, such as shifting interest rates, are accurately incorporated into the risk assessment.
While the Sharpe Ratio is an efficient and widely recognized measure, the strategy could be enhanced by incorporating alternative or complementary risk metrics:
• Sortino Ratio: Unlike the Sharpe Ratio, the Sortino Ratio penalizes only downside volatility (Sortino and van der Meer, 1991). This would refine entries and exits to distinguish between “good” and “bad” volatility.
• Maximum Drawdown Constraints: Integrating a moving window maximum drawdown filter could prevent entries during persistent downtrends not captured by volatility alone.
• Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): A measure of expected shortfall beyond the Value at Risk, CVaR could further constrain entry conditions by accounting for tail risk in extreme environments (Rockafellar and Uryasev, 2000).
• Dynamic Thresholds: Instead of static Sharpe thresholds, one could implement dynamic bands based on the historical distribution of the Sharpe Ratio, adjusting for volatility clustering effects (Cont, 2001).
Each of these risk parameters could be incorporated into the current script as additional input controls, further tailoring the model to different market regimes or investor risk appetites.
References
• Cont, R. (2001) ‘Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues’, Quantitative Finance, 1(2), pp. 223-236.
• Coval, J.D. and Stafford, E. (2007) ‘Asset Fire Sales (and Purchases) in Equity Markets’, Journal of Financial Economics, 86(2), pp. 479-512.
• Greenwood, R. and Scharfstein, D. (2013) ‘The Growth of Finance’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27(2), pp. 3-28.
• Rockafellar, R.T. and Uryasev, S. (2000) ‘Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk’, Journal of Risk, 2(3), pp. 21-41.
• Sharpe, W.F. (1966) ‘Mutual Fund Performance’, Journal of Business, 39(1), pp. 119-138.
• Sharpe, W.F. (1994) ‘The Sharpe Ratio’, Journal of Portfolio Management, 21(1), pp. 49-58.
• Sortino, F.A. and van der Meer, R. (1991) ‘Downside Risk’, Journal of Portfolio Management, 17(4), pp. 27-31.
Sharpe & Sortino Ratio PROSharpe & Sortino Ratio PRO offers an advanced and more precise way to calculate and visualize the Sharpe and Sortino Ratios for financial assets on TradingView. Its main goal is to provide a scientifically accurate method for assessing the risk-adjusted performance of assets, both in the short and long term. Unlike TradingView’s built-in metrics, this script correctly handles periodic returns, uses optional logarithmic returns, properly annualizes both returns and volatility, and adjusts for the risk-free rate — all critical factors for truly meaningful Sharpe and Sortino calculations.
Users can customize the rolling analysis window (e.g., 252 periods for one year on daily data) and the long-term smoothing period (e.g., 1260 periods for five years). There’s also an option to select between linear and logarithmic returns and to manually input a risk-free rate if real-time data from FRED (the 3-Month T-Bill Rate via FRED:DGS3MO) is unavailable. Based on the chart’s timeframe (daily, weekly, or monthly), the script automatically adjusts the risk-free rate to a per-period basis.
The Sharpe Ratio is calculated by first determining the asset’s excess returns (returns after subtracting the risk-free return per period), then computing the average and standard deviation of those excess returns over the specified window, and finally annualizing these figures separately — in line with best scientific practices (Sharpe, 1994). The Sortino Ratio follows a similar approach but only considers negative returns, focusing specifically on downside risk (Sortino & Van der Meer, 1991).
To enhance readability, the script visualizes the ratios using a color gradient: strong negative values are shown in red, neutral values in yellow, and strong positive values in green. Additionally, the long-term averages for both Sharpe and Sortino are plotted with steady colors (teal and orange, respectively), making it easier to spot enduring performance trends.
Why calculating Sharpe and Sortino Ratios manually on TradingView is necessary?
While TradingView provides basic Sharpe and Sortino Ratios, they come with significant methodological flaws that can lead to misleading conclusions about an asset’s true risk-adjusted performance.
First, TradingView often computes volatility based on the standard deviation of price levels rather than returns (TradingView, 2023). This method is problematic because it causes the volatility measure to be directly dependent on the asset’s absolute price. For instance, a stock priced at $1,000 will naturally show larger absolute daily price moves than a $10 stock, even if their percentage changes are similar. This artificially inflates the measured standard deviation and, as a result, depresses the calculated Sharpe Ratio.
Second, TradingView frequently neglects to adjust for the risk-free rate. By treating all returns as risky returns, the computed Sharpe Ratio may significantly underestimate risk-adjusted performance, especially when interest rates are high (Sharpe, 1994).
Third, and perhaps most critically, TradingView doesn’t properly annualize the mean excess return and the standard deviation separately. In correct financial math, the mean excess return should be multiplied by the number of periods per year, while the standard deviation should be multiplied by the square root of the number of periods per year (Cont, 2001; Fabozzi et al., 2007). Incorrect annualization skews the Sharpe and Sortino Ratios and can lead to under- or overestimating investment risk.
These flaws lead to three major issues:
• Overstated volatility for high-priced assets.
• Incorrect scaling between returns and risk.
• Sharpe Ratios that are systematically biased downward, especially in high-price or high-interest environments.
How to properly calculate Sharpe and Sortino Ratios in Pine Script?
To get accurate results, the Sharpe and Sortino Ratios must be calculated using the correct methodology:
1. Use returns, not price levels, to calculate volatility. Ideally, use logarithmic returns for better mathematical properties like time additivity (Cont, 2001).
2. Adjust returns by subtracting the risk-free rate on a per-period basis to obtain true excess returns.
3. Annualize separately:
• Multiply the mean excess return by the number of periods per year (e.g., 252 for daily data).
• Multiply the standard deviation by the square root of the number of periods per year.
4. Finally, divide the annualized mean excess return by the annualized standard deviation to calculate the Sharpe Ratio.
The Sortino Ratio follows the same structure but uses downside deviations instead of standard deviations.
By following this scientifically sound method, you ensure that your Sharpe and Sortino Ratios truly reflect the asset’s real-world risk and return characteristics.
References
• Cont, R. (2001). Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues. Quantitative Finance, 1(2), pp. 223–236.
• Fabozzi, F.J., Gupta, F. and Markowitz, H.M. (2007). The Legacy of Modern Portfolio Theory. Journal of Investing, 16(3), pp. 7–22.
• Sharpe, W.F. (1994). The Sharpe Ratio. Journal of Portfolio Management, 21(1), pp. 49–58.
• Sortino, F.A. and Van der Meer, R. (1991). Downside Risk: Capturing What’s at Stake in Investment Situations. Journal of Portfolio Management, 17(4), pp. 27–31.
• TradingView (2023). Help Center - Understanding Sharpe and Sortino Ratios. Available at: www.tradingview.com (Accessed: 25 April 2025).
NIG Probability TableNormal-Inverse Gaussian Probability Table
This indicator implements the Normal-Inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution to estimate the likelihood of future price based on recent market behavior.
📊 Key Features:
- Estimates the parameters (α: tail heaviness, β: skewness, δ: scale, μ: location)
of the NIG distribution using a sliding window over log returns.
- Uses a numerically approximated version of the modified Bessel function (K₁)
to calculate the NIG probability density function (PDF).
- Normalizes the total probability across all bins to ensure the values are interpretable.
- Displays a dynamic probability table showing the chance of future returns falling into each bin.
⚠️ Notes:
- This is a real-time approximation. The Bessel function and posterior inference are simplified.
- Tail probabilities and shape parameters are sensitive to the window size and input settings.
- Useful for risk analysis, option overlays, and strategy filters.
Nasan Market Phase ClassifierThe Nasan Market Phase Classifier indicator designed to classify market phases using volume, volatility (or momentum), and statistical analysis. Here's a summary of how it works and what it does:
🔍 Core Concept
This indicator classifies the market into four phases based on volume and ATR (or optionally momentum):
High Volume / High ATR or Momentum (HV/HATR): Strong Trend
Low Volume / High ATR or Momentum (LV/HATR): False Breakout / Exhaustion
High Volume / Low ATR or Momentum (HV/LATR): Consolidation
Low Volume / Low ATR or Momentum (LV/LATR): Stagnation
⚙️ Key Settings
Short-Term Length: Used for the active market phase.
Long-Term Length: Used as the expected/benchmark distribution.
Use Momentum: Replaces volatility (ATR) with momentum (custom ROC-based formula).
Use Fixed Alpha: Toggles adaptive vs. fixed weighting in scoring (this is based on variation of the volatility - standard deviation of true range).
📊 How It Works
Volatility or Momentum Scoring:
Uses ATR-based or Momentum-based score depending on the setting.
Applies weighing (alpha) which is based on variability of the volatility itself.
Market Phase Count:
Measures how often each of the 4 volume/volatility combinations occur in:
Short-term window (observed phase)
Long-term window (expected distribution)
Category Proportions:
Calculates percentage share of each category (e.g., % time in HV/HATR).
Plots these on chart to visually see market phase dominance (can be used for screening of pine screener).
Statistical Testing:
IQV (Index of Qualitative Variation): Measures phase diversity (0 = focused, 1 = mixed).
Chi-Squared Test: Compares current vs. historical phase distribution.
Z-Test: Tests if current phase dominance is statistically significant.
📋 Outputs
On-Chart Plots and Tabels:
Strong Trend, False Breakout/Exhaustion, Consolidation, Stagnation
Strength Quality Plot: Trend strength normalized by IQV.
Dynamic Table (Top Right):
Shows each phase’s proportion (the current phase cell is highlighted in yellow), IQV, Chi² value, and current dominant phase. The current candle classification (text) is in purple.
Highlights the dominant phase classification and color-codes significance (the cell highlighted in green highly confident about the classification, orange intermediate confidence and red low confidence). This color coding is not just based on statistical significance it is based on IQV which takes into account how spread the proportions are.
🧠 Interpretation
A dominant HV/HATR phase with low IQV and high Z-Score indicates a strong and statistically significant trend.
High IQV suggests uncertainty or mixed market behavior.
Chi² spike indicates a shift from historical behavior can be used to see is the market behavior changing by changing the long term length say to 252 and short term length to 21 this will tell if the short term behavior is different from the past 252 day behavior.
Compare Strength with SLOPE Description
This indicator compares the relative strength between the current asset and a benchmark (e.g., BTC vs. ETH or AAPL vs. SPY) using a linear regression slope of their ratio over time.
The ratio is calculated as: close / benchmark
A linear regression slope is computed over a user-defined window
The slope represents trend strength: if it’s rising, the current asset is outperforming the benchmark
Plots
Gray Line: The raw ratio between the asset and benchmark
Orange Line: The slope of the ratio (shows momentum)
Background Color :
Green: The asset is significantly stronger than the benchmark
Red: The asset is significantly weaker than the benchmark
No color: No clear trend
Settings
Slope Window Length: Number of candles used in the regression (default = 10)
Slope Threshold: Sensitivity of trend detection. Smaller values detect weaker trends.
Example Use Cases
Style Rotation Strategy: Use the slope to determine whether "Growth" or "Value" style is leading.
Pair Trading / Relative Performance: Track which asset is leading in a pair (e.g., BTC vs ETH).
Factor Timing: Serve as a timing model to allocate between different sectors or factors.
Happy trading!
LUX CLARA - EMA + VWAP (No ATR Filter) - v6EMA STRAT SHOUT OUTOUTLIERSSSSS
Overview:
an intraday strategy built around two core principles:
Trend Confirmation using the 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) in relation to the VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price).
Entry Signals triggered by the 8 EMA crossing the 50 EMA in the direction of that confirmed trend.
Key Logic:
Bullish Trend if the 50 EMA is above VWAP. Only long entries are allowed when the 8 EMA crosses above the 50 EMA during that bullish phase.
Bearish Trend if the 50 EMA is below VWAP. Only short entries are allowed when the 8 EMA crosses below the 50 EMA during that bearish phase.
Intraday Focus: Trades are restricted to a user-defined session window (default 7:30 AM–11:30 AM), aligning entries/exits with peak intraday liquidity.
Exit Rule: Positions close automatically when the 8 EMA crosses back in the opposite direction of the entry.
Why It Works:
EMA + VWAP helps detect both immediate momentum (EMAs) and overall institutional bias (VWAP).
By confining trades to a set intraday window, the strategy aims to capture morning volatility while avoiding choppy afternoon or overnight sessions.
Customization:
Users can adjust EMA lengths, session times, or incorporate stops/targets for additional risk management.
It can be tested on various symbols and intraday timeframes to gauge performance and robustness.
STH Unrealized Profit/Loss Ratio (STH-NUPL) | [DeV]STH-NUPL
The Short-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss Ratio (STH-NUPL) is an analytical tool designed to approximate the unrealized profit or loss of Bitcoin’s short-term holders (STHs)—typically those holding coins for less than 155 days—within the constraints of TradingView’s price-based environment. Drawing inspiration from the canonical STH-NUPL metric, which assesses the difference between the market value and realized value of STH-held coins, this indicator adapts the concept into a normalized ratio using Bitcoin’s price data as a proxy. It offers a window into the sentiment and behavior of short-term market participants, who are often more sensitive to price fluctuations than long-term holders.
In its raw form, STH-NUPL oscillates around a break-even threshold of 0, where positive values indicate aggregate unrealized profits for STHs (market value exceeds realized value), and negative values suggest losses. This inflection point frequently acts as a key level: in bear markets, it can signal capitulation as STHs sell at break-even or below, while in bull markets, it may reflect reluctance to realize losses, providing support. The indicator enhances this metric with smoothing, a moving average overlay, and sophisticated visualization options, delivering a statistically informed perspective on short-term holder dynamics tailored for institutional-grade analysis.
STH-NUPL Settings -
Lookback Length (Default: 150 days): Defines the SMA period for estimating realized value. This 150-day window aligns with traditional STH definitions (e.g., <155 days), capturing a broad yet relevant historical cost basis for short-term holders, ideal for assessing cyclical behavior.
Smoothing Period (Default: 5 days): Applies an EMA to the raw STH-NUPL ratio, with a short default period to maintain responsiveness to recent price shifts while filtering out daily volatility. This setting is particularly suited for tactical analysis.
Moving Average Settings -
MA Lookback Length (Default: 90 days): Sets the period for the STH-NUPL’s moving average, offering a medium-term trend signal that contrasts with the 150-day lookback, enabling detection of momentum shifts within broader market phases.
MA Type (Default: EMA): Provides six moving average types, from the straightforward SMA to the volume-sensitive VWMA. The default EMA balances smoothness and reactivity, while options like HMA or VWMA cater to specialized needs, such as emphasizing recent action or volume trends.
Display Settings -
Show Moving Average (Default: True): Toggles the visibility of the STH-NUPL MA plot, allowing users to focus solely on the smoothed ratio when desired.
Show Background Colors (Default: True): Activates dynamic background shading to visually reinforce market regimes.
Background Color Source (Default: STH-NUPL): Enables users to tie the background to either the STH-NUPL’s midline (reflecting sthNupl > 0) or the MA’s trend direction (maNupl > maNupl ), aligning the visual context with the chosen analytical focus.
Analytical Applications -
Bear Market Capitulation: When the smoothed STH-NUPL approaches or falls below zero, it often signals loss realization among STHs, a precursor to capitulation in downtrends. A declining MA crossing zero can confirm this selling pressure.
Bull Market Support: Positive STH-NUPL values with a rising MA indicate STHs are in profit and reluctant to sell at a loss, forming support zones in uptrends as sell pressure wanes.
Sentiment Extremes: Significant deviations above or below zero highlight over-optimism or despair among STHs, offering contrarian opportunities when paired with price action or other on-chain metrics.
**Limitations**
As a TradingView-based approximation, this indicator uses price data (close) rather than true on-chain STH supply and realized price, which are available through providers like Glassnode. The 150-day SMA for realized value simplifies the cost basis, potentially underrepresenting the diversity of STH transactions. Despite this, the smoothed ratio and moving average overlay provide a practical proxy for tracking STH sentiment within TradingView’s ecosystem.
Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) Z-Score | [DeV]SOPR Z-Score
The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is an advanced on-chain metric designed to provide deep insights into Bitcoin market dynamics by measuring the ratio between the combined USD value of all Bitcoin outputs spent on a given day and their combined USD value at the time of creation (typically, their purchase price). As a member of the Realized Profit/Loss family of metrics, SOPR offers a window into aggregate seller behavior, effectively representing the USD amount received by sellers divided by the USD amount they originally paid. This indicator enhances this metric by normalizing it into a Z-Score, enabling a statistically robust analysis of market sentiment relative to historical trends, augmented by a suite of customizable features for precision and visualization.
SOPR Settings -
Lookback Length (Default: 150 days): Determines the historical window for calculating the Z-Score’s mean and standard deviation. A longer lookback captures broader market cycles, providing a stable baseline for identifying extreme deviations, which is particularly valuable for long-term strategic analysis.
Smoothing Period (Default: 100 days): Applies an EMA to the raw SOPR, balancing responsiveness to recent changes with noise reduction. This extended smoothing period ensures the indicator focuses on sustained shifts in seller behavior, ideal for institutional-grade trend analysis.
Moving Average Settings -
MA Lookback Length (Default: 90 days): Sets the period for the Z-Score’s moving average, offering a shorter-term trend signal relative to the 150-day Z-Score lookback. This contrast enhances the ability to detect momentum shifts within the broader context.
MA Type (Default: EMA): Provides six moving average types, from the simple SMA to the volume-weighted VWMA. The default EMA strikes an optimal balance between smoothness and responsiveness, while alternatives like HMA (Hull) or VWMA (volume-weighted) allow for specialized applications, such as emphasizing recent price action or incorporating volume dynamics.
Display Settings -
Show Moving Average (Default: True): Toggles the visibility of the Z-Score MA plot, enabling users to focus solely on the raw Z-Score when preferred.
Show Background Colors (Default: True): Activates dynamic background shading, enhancing visual interpretation of market regimes.
Background Color Source (Default: SOPR): Allows users to tie the background color to either the SOPR Z-Score’s midline (reflecting adjustedZScore > 0) or the MA’s trend direction (zScoreMA > zScoreMA ). This dual-source option provides flexibility to align the visual context with the primary analytical focus.
Analytical Applications -
Bear Market Resistance: When the Z-Score approaches or exceeds zero (raw SOPR near 1), it often signals resistance as sellers rush to exit at break-even, a pattern historically observed during downtrends. A rising Z-Score MA crossing zero can confirm this pressure.
Bull Market Support: Conversely, a Z-Score dropping below zero in uptrends indicates reluctance to sell at a loss, forming support as sell pressure diminishes. The MA’s bullish coloring reinforces confirmation of renewed buying interest.
Extreme Deviations: Values significantly above or below zero highlight overbought or oversold conditions, respectively, offering opportunities for contrarian positioning when paired with other on-chain or price-based metrics.
ATR SL and TP with Candle Freeze & DataWindowThis indicator uses the Average True Range (ATR) to automatically calculate your stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels based on the current market volatility and your chosen multipliers. Here's how it works:
ATR Calculation:
The indicator computes the ATR, which measures the average market volatility over a set period. This value helps gauge how much the price typically moves.
SL and TP Determination:
Depending on whether you're in a long or short trade, the SL and TP are calculated relative to the current price:
For a long trade, the stop loss is set below the current price (by subtracting a multiple of the ATR) and the take profit is set above it (by adding a multiple of the ATR).
For a short trade, the calculations are reversed.
Candle Freeze Feature:
Once a new candle starts, the calculated SL and TP values are "frozen" for that candle. This means they remain constant during the candle's formation, preventing them from updating continuously as the price fluctuates. This can make it easier to plan your trades without the levels shifting mid-candle.
Data Window & Labels:
The SL and TP values are plotted on the chart as lines and displayed in labels for quick reference. Additionally, they appear in TradingView's Data Window, so you can easily copy the price numbers if needed.
Overall, the indicator is designed to help you manage your trades by setting dynamic, volatility-adjusted SL and TP levels that only update at the start of each new candle, aligning with your chosen timeframe. Let me know if you have any more questions or need further adjustments!
Close Price PercentileClose Price Percentile with Range Distribution
This indicator helps traders identify where the current price stands relative to its historical context using percentile ranking. It calculates and displays the current price's percentile position within a customizable lookback window (default: 365 periods).
Key Features:
• Percentile Ranking: Shows where the current price falls within its historical range (0-100%)
• Customizable Thresholds: Set your own high/low percentile boundaries for analysis
• Statistical Distribution: Tracks and displays the number and percentage of data points falling in each range (below threshold, between thresholds, above threshold)
• Visual References: Includes dashed lines at threshold levels for easy visual reference
• Clean Data Presentation: Organized table display in the top-right corner
Perfect for:
• Understanding price extremes
• Identifying potential overbought/oversold conditions
• Statistical analysis of price movements
• Mean reversion strategies
Fully customizable with adjustable window length, thresholds, and visual settings.
Elastic Volume-Weighted Student-T TensionOverview
The Elastic Volume-Weighted Student-T Tension Bands indicator dynamically adapts to market conditions using an advanced statistical model based on the Student-T distribution. Unlike traditional Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels, this indicator leverages elastic volume-weighted averaging to compute real-time dispersion and location parameters, making it highly responsive to volatility changes while maintaining robustness against price fluctuations.
This methodology is inspired by incremental calculation techniques for weighted mean and variance, as outlined in the paper by Tony Finch:
📄 "Incremental Calculation of Weighted Mean and Variance" .
Key Features
✅ Adaptive Volatility Estimation – Uses an exponentially weighted Student-T model to dynamically adjust band width.
✅ Volume-Weighted Mean & Dispersion – Incorporates real-time volume weighting, ensuring a more accurate representation of market sentiment.
✅ High-Timeframe Volume Normalization – Provides an option to smooth volume impact by referencing a higher timeframe’s cumulative volume, reducing noise from high-variability bars.
✅ Customizable Tension Parameters – Configurable standard deviation multipliers (σ) allow for fine-tuned volatility sensitivity.
✅ %B-Like Oscillator for Relative Price Positioning – The main indicator is in form of a dedicated oscillator pane that normalizes price position within the sigma ranges, helping identify overbought/oversold conditions and potential momentum shifts.
✅ Robust Statistical Foundation – Utilizes kurtosis-based degree-of-freedom estimation, enhancing responsiveness across different market conditions.
How It Works
Volume-Weighted Elastic Mean (eμ) – Computes a dynamic mean price using an elastic weighted moving average approach, influenced by trade volume, if not volume detected in series, study takes true range as replacement.
Dispersion (eσ) via Student-T Distribution – Instead of assuming a fixed normal distribution, the bands adapt to heavy-tailed distributions using kurtosis-driven degrees of freedom.
Incremental Calculation of Variance – The indicator applies Tony Finch’s incremental method for computing weighted variance instead of arithmetic sum's of fixed bar window or arrays, improving efficiency and numerical stability.
Tension Calculation – There are 2 dispersion custom "zones" that are computed based on the weighted mean and dynamically adjusted standard student-t deviation.
%B-Like Oscillator Calculation – The oscillator normalizes the price within the band structure, with values between 0 and 1:
* 0.00 → Price is at the lower band (-2σ).
* 0.50 → Price is at the volume-weighted mean (eμ).
* 1.00 → Price is at the upper band (+2σ).
* Readings above 1.00 or below 0.00 suggest extreme movements or possible breakouts.
Recommended Usage
For scalping in lower timeframes, it is recommended to use the fixed α Decay Factor, it is in raw format for better control, but you can easily make a like of transformation to N-bar size window like in EMA-1 bar dividing 2 / decayFactor or like an RMA dividing 1 / decayFactor.
The HTF selector catch quite well Higher Time Frame analysis, for example using a Daily chart and using as HTF the 200-day timeframe, weekly or monthly.
Suitable for trend confirmation, breakout detection, and mean reversion plays.
The %B-like oscillator helps gauge momentum strength and detect divergences in price action if user prefer a clean chart without bands, this thanks to pineScript v6 force overlay feature.
Ideal for markets with volume-driven momentum shifts (e.g., futures, forex, crypto).
Customization Parameters
Fixed α Decay Factor – Controls the rate of volume weighting influence for an approximation EWMA approach instead of using sum of series or arrays, making the code lightweight & computing fast O(1).
HTF Volume Smoothing – Instead of a fixed denominator for computing α , a volume sum of the last 2 higher timeframe closed candles are used as denominator for our α weight factor. This is useful to review mayor trends like in daily, weekly, monthly.
Tension Multipliers (±σ) – Adjusts sensitivity to dispersion sigma parameter (volatility).
Oscillator Zone Fills – Visual cues for price positioning within the cloud range.
Posible Interpretations
As market within indicators relay on each individual edge, this are just some key ideas to glimpse how the indicator could be interpreted by the user:
📌 Price inside bands – Market is considered somehow "stable"; price is like resting from tension or "charging batteries" for volume spike moves.
📌 Price breaking outer bands – Potential breakout or extreme movement; watch for reversals or continuation from strong moves. Market is already in tension or generating it.
📌 Narrowing Bands – Decreasing volatility; expect contraction before expansion.
📌 Widening Bands – Increased volatility; prepare for high probability pull-back moves, specially to the center location of the bands (the mean) or the other side of them.
📌 Oscillator is just the interpretation of the price normalized across the Student-T distribution fitting "curve" using the location parameter, our Elastic Volume weighted mean (eμ) fixed at 0.5 value.
Final Thoughts
The Elastic Volume-Weighted Student-T Tension indicator provides a powerful, volume-sensitive alternative to traditional volatility bands. By integrating real-time volume analysis with an adaptive statistical model, incremental variance computation, in a relative price oscillator that can be overlayed in the chart as bands, it offers traders an edge in identifying momentum shifts, trend strength, and breakout potential. Think of the distribution as a relative "tension" rubber band in which price never leave so far alone.
DISCLAIMER:
The Following indicator/code IS NOT intended to be a formal investment advice or recommendation by the author, nor should be construed as such. Users will be fully responsible by their use regarding their own trading vehicles/assets.
The following indicator was made for NON LUCRATIVE ACTIVITIES and must remain as is, following TradingView's regulations. Use of indicator and their code are published for work and knowledge sharing. All access granted over it, their use, copy or re-use should mention authorship(s) and origin(s).
WARNING NOTICE!
THE INCLUDED FUNCTION MUST BE CONSIDERED FOR TESTING. The models included in the indicator have been taken from open sources on the web and some of them has been modified by the author, problems could occur at diverse data sceneries, compiler version, or any other externality.
Recency-Weighted Market Memory w/ Quantile-Based DriftRecency-Weighted Market Memory w/ Quantile-Based Drift
This indicator combines market memory, recency-weighted drift, quantile-based volatility analysis, momentum (RoC) filtering, and historical correlation checks to generate dynamic forecasts of possible future price levels. It calculates bullish and bearish forecast lines at each horizon, reflecting how the price might behave based on historical similarities.
Trading Concepts & Mathematical Foundations Explained
1) Market Memory
Concept:
Markets tend to repeat past behaviors under similar conditions. By identifying historical market states that closely match current conditions, we predict future price movements based on what happened historically.
Calculation Steps:
We select a historical lookback window (for example, 210 bars).
Each historical bar within this window is evaluated to see if its conditions match the current market. Conditions include:
Correlation between price change and bullish/bearish volume changes (over a user-defined correlation lookback period).
Momentum (Rate of Change, RoC) measured over a separate lookback period.
Only bars closely matching current conditions (within user-defined tolerance percentages) are included.
2) Recency-Weighted Drift
Concept:
Recent market movements often influence future direction. We assign more importance to recent bars to capture the current market bias effectively.
Calculation Steps:
Consider recent price changes between opens and closes for a user-defined drift lookback (for example, last 20 bars).
Give higher weight to recent bars (the most recent bar gets the highest weight, and weights decrease progressively for older bars).
Average these weighted changes separately for upward and downward movements, then combine these averages to calculate a final drift percentage relative to the current price.
3) Correlation Filtering
Concept:
Price changes often correlate strongly with bullish or bearish volume activity. By using historical correlation comparisons, we focus only on past market states with similar volume-price dynamics.
Calculation Steps:
Compute current correlations between price changes and bullish/bearish volume over the user-defined correlation lookback.
Evaluate each historical bar to see if its correlation closely matches the current correlation (within a user-specified percentage tolerance).
Only historical bars meeting this correlation criterion are selected.
4) Momentum (RoC) Filtering
Concept:
Two market periods may exhibit similar correlation structures but differ in how fast prices move (momentum). To ensure true similarity, momentum is checked as an additional filter.
Calculation Steps:
Compute the current Rate of Change (RoC) over the specified RoC lookback.
For each candidate historical bar, calculate its historical RoC.
Only include historical bars whose RoC closely matches the current RoC (within the RoC percentage tolerance).
5) Quantile-Based Volatility and Drift Amplification
Concept:
Quantiles (such as the 95th, 50th, and 5th percentiles) help gauge if current prices are near historical extremes or the median. Quantile bands measure volatility expansions and contractions.
Calculation Steps:
Calculate the 95%, 50%, and 5% quantiles of price over the quantile lookback period.
Add and subtract multiples of the standard deviation to these quantiles, creating upper and lower bands.
Measure the bands' widths relative to the current price as volatility indicators.
Determine the active quantile (95%, 50%, or 5%) based on proximity to the current price (within a percentage tolerance).
Compute the rate of change (RoC) of the active quantile to detect directional bias.
Combine volatility and quantile RoC into a scaling factor that amplifies or dampens expected price moves.
6) Expected Value (EV) Computation & Forecast Lines
Concept:
We forecast future prices based on how similarly-conditioned historical periods performed. We average historical moves to estimate the expected future price.
Calculation Steps:
For each forecast horizon (e.g., 1 to 27 bars ahead), collect all historical price moves that passed correlation and RoC filters.
Calculate average historical moves for bullish and bearish cases separately.
Adjust these averages by applying recency-weighted drift and quantile-based scaling.
Translate adjusted percentages into absolute future price forecasts.
Draw bullish and bearish forecast lines accordingly.
Indicator Inputs & Their Roles
Correlation Tolerance (%)
Adjusts how strictly the indicator matches historical correlation. Higher tolerance includes more matches, lower tolerance selects fewer but closer matches.
Price RoC Lookback and Price RoC Tolerance (%)
Controls how momentum (speed of price moves) is matched historically. Increasing tolerance broadens historical matches.
Drift Lookback (bars)
Determines the number of recent bars influencing current drift estimation.
Quantile Lookback Period and Std Dev Multipliers
Defines quantile calculation and the size of the volatility bands.
Quantile Contact Tolerance (%)
Sets how close the current price must be to a quantile for it to be considered "active."
Forecast Horizons
Specifies how many future bars to forecast.
Continuous Forecast Lines
Toggles between drawing continuous lines or separate horizontal segments for each forecast horizon.
Practical Trading Applications
Bullish & Bearish EV Lines
These forecast lines indicate expected price levels based on historical similarity. Green indicates positive expectations; red indicates negative.
Momentum vs. Mean Reversion
Wide quantile bands and high drift suggest momentum, while extremes may signal possible reversals.
Volatility Sensitivity
Forecasts adapt dynamically to market volatility. Broader bands increase forecasted price movements.
Filtering Non-Relevant Historical Data
By using both correlation and RoC filtering, irrelevant past periods are excluded, enhancing forecast reliability.
Multi-Timeframe Suitability
Adaptable parameters make this indicator suitable for different trading styles and timeframes.
Complementary Tool
This indicator provides probabilistic projections rather than direct buy or sell signals. Combine it with other trading signals and analyses for optimal results.
Important Considerations
While historically-informed forecasts are valuable, market behavior can evolve unpredictably. Always manage risks and use supplementary analysis.
Experiment extensively with input settings for your specific market and timeframe to optimize forecasting performance.
Summary
The Recency-Weighted Market Memory w/ Quantile-Based Drift indicator uniquely merges multiple sophisticated concepts, delivering dynamic, historically-informed price forecasts. By combining historical similarity, adaptive drift, momentum filtering, and quantile-driven volatility scaling, traders gain an insightful perspective on future price possibilities.
Feel free to experiment, explore, and enjoy this powerful addition to your trading toolkit!
TradFi Fundamentals: Momentum Trading with Macroeconomic DataIntroduction
This indicator combines traditional price momentum with key macroeconomic data. By retrieving GDP, inflation, unemployment, and interest rates using security calls, the script automatically adapts to the latest economic data. The goal is to blend technical analysis with fundamental insights to generate a more robust momentum signal.
Original Research Paper by Mohit Apte, B. Tech Scholar, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, COEP Technological University, Pune, India
Link to paper
Explanation
Price Momentum Calculation:
The indicator computes price momentum as the percentage change in price over a configurable lookback period (default is 50 days). This raw momentum is then normalized using a rolling simple moving average and standard deviation over a defined period (default 200 days) to ensure comparability with the economic indicators.
Fetching and Normalizing Economic Data:
Instead of manually inputting economic values, the script uses TradingView’s security function to retrieve:
GDP from ticker "GDP"
Inflation (CPI) from ticker "USCCPI"
Unemployment rate from ticker "UNRATE"
Interest rates from ticker "USINTR"
Each series is normalized over a configurable normalization period (default 200 days) by subtracting its moving average and dividing by its standard deviation. This standardization converts each economic indicator into a z-score for direct integration into the momentum score.
Combined Momentum Score:
The normalized price momentum and economic indicators are each multiplied by user-defined weights (default: 50% price momentum, 20% GDP, and 10% each for inflation, unemployment, and interest rates). The weighted components are then summed to form a comprehensive momentum score. A horizontal zero line is plotted for reference.
Trading Signals:
Buy signals are generated when the combined momentum score crosses above zero, and sell signals occur when it crosses below zero. Visual markers are added to the chart to assist with trade timing, and alert conditions are provided for automated notifications.
Settings
Price Momentum Lookback: Defines the period (in days) used to compute the raw price momentum.
Normalization Period for Price Momentum: Sets the window over which the price momentum is normalized.
Normalization Period for Economic Data: Sets the window over which each macroeconomic series is normalized.
Weights: Adjust the influence of each component (price momentum, GDP, inflation, unemployment, and interest rate) on the overall momentum score.
Conclusion
This implementation leverages TradingView’s economic data feeds to integrate real-time macroeconomic data into a momentum trading strategy. By normalizing and weighting both technical and economic inputs, the indicator offers traders a more holistic view of market conditions. The enhanced momentum signal provides additional context to traditional momentum analysis, potentially leading to more informed trading decisions and improved risk management.
The next script I release will be an improved version of this that I have added my own flavor to, improving the signals.
[SHORT ONLY] ATR Sell the Rip Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "ATR Sell the Rip Mean Reversion Strategy" is a contrarian system that targets overextended price moves on stocks and ETFs. It calculates an ATR‐based trigger level to identify shorting opportunities. When the current close exceeds this smoothed ATR trigger, and if the close is below a 200-period EMA (if enabled), the strategy initiates a short entry, aiming to profit from an anticipated corrective pullback.
█ HOW IS THE ATR SIGNAL BAND CALCULATED?
This strategy computes an ATR-based signal trigger as follows:
Calculate the ATR
The strategy computes the Average True Range (ATR) using a configurable period provided by the user:
atrValue = ta.atr(atrPeriod)
Determine the Threshold
Multiply the ATR by a predefined multiplier and add it to the current close:
atrThreshold = close + atrValue * atrMultInput
Smooth the Threshold
Apply a Simple Moving Average over a specified period to smooth out the threshold, reducing noise:
signalTrigger = ta.sma(atrThreshold, smoothPeriodInput)
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The current close is above the smoothed ATR signal trigger.
The trade occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
If the EMA filter is enabled, the close must also be below the 200-period EMA.
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low (close < low ), indicating a potential bearish reversal and prompting the strategy to close its short position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
ATR Period: The period used to calculate the ATR, allowing for adaptability to different volatility conditions (default is 20).
ATR Multiplier: The multiplier applied to the ATR to determine the raw threshold (default is 1.0).
Smoothing Period: The period over which the raw ATR threshold is smoothed using an SMA (default is 10).
Start Time and End Time: Defines the time window during which trades are allowed.
EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, short entries are only executed if the current close is below the 200-period EMA, confirming a bearish trend.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for use on the Daily timeframe, targeting stocks and ETFs by capitalizing on overextended price moves.
It utilizes a dynamic, ATR-based trigger to identify when prices have potentially peaked, setting the stage for a mean reversion short entry.
The optional EMA filter helps align trades with broader market trends, potentially reducing false signals.
Backtesting is recommended to fine-tune the ATR multiplier, smoothing period, and EMA settings to match the volatility and behavior of specific markets.
[SHORT ONLY] Consecutive Close>High[1] Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Consecutive Close > High " Mean Reversion Strategy is a contrarian daily trading system for stocks and ETFs. It identifies potential shorting opportunities by counting consecutive days where the closing price exceeds the previous day's high. When this consecutive day count reaches a predetermined threshold, and if the close is below a 200-period EMA (if enabled), a short entry is triggered, anticipating a corrective pullback.
█ HOW ARE THE CONSECUTIVE BULLISH COUNTS CALCULATED?
The strategy uses a counter variable called `bullCount` to track how many consecutive bars meet a bullish condition. Here’s a breakdown of the process:
Initialize the Counter
var int bullCount = 0
Bullish Bar Detection
Every time the close exceeds the previous bar's high, increment the counter:
if close > high
bullCount += 1
Reset on Bearish Bar
When there is a clear bearish reversal, the counter is reset to zero:
if close < low
bullCount := 0
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The count of consecutive bullish closes (where close > high ) reaches or exceeds the defined threshold (default: 3).
The signal occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low (close < low ), prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Threshold: The number of consecutive bullish closes required to trigger a short entry (default is 3).
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, short entries are only triggered if the current close is below the 200-period EMA.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for Stocks and ETFs on the Daily timeframe and targets overextended bullish moves.
It aims to capture mean reversion by entering short after a series of consecutive bullish closes.
Further optimization is possible with additional filters (e.g., EMA, volume, or volatility).
Backtesting should be used to fine-tune the threshold and filter settings for specific market conditions.
[SHORT ONLY] Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Strategy" is a mean-reversion strategy designed to identify trading opportunities based on the closing price's position within the daily price range. It enters a short position when the IBS indicates overbought conditions and exits when the IBS reaches oversold levels. This strategy is Short-Only and was designed to be used on the Daily timeframe for Stocks and ETFs.
█ WHAT IS INTERNAL BAR STRENGTH (IBS)?
Internal Bar Strength (IBS) measures where the closing price falls within the high-low range of a bar. It is calculated as:
IBS = (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
- Low IBS (≤ 0.2) : Indicates the close is near the bar's low, suggesting oversold conditions.
- High IBS (≥ 0.8) : Indicates the close is near the bar's high, suggesting overbought conditions.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The IBS value rises to or above the Upper Threshold (default: 0.9).
The Closing price is greater than the previous bars High (close>high ).
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the IBS value drops to or below the Lower Threshold (default: 0.3). This prompts the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Upper Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy enters trades. Default is 0.9.
Lower Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy exits short positions. Default is 0.3.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for Stocks and ETFs markets and performs best when prices frequently revert to the mean.
The strategy can be optimized further using additional conditions such as using volume or volatility filters.
It is sensitive to extreme IBS values, which help identify potential reversals.
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the Upper/Lower Thresholds for specific instruments and market conditions.
End-of-Session ProbabilityThis indicator estimates the probability that the market will finish the session above a specified target price. It blends a statistical probability model with directional bias and optional morning momentum weighting to help traders gauge end-of-day market expectations.
Key Features:
• Statistical Probability Model:
Uses a normal distribution (with a custom normal CDF approximation) scaled by the square-root-of-time rule. The indicator dynamically adjusts the standard deviation for the remaining session time to compute a z‑score and ultimately the probability that the session close exceeds the target.
• Directional Bias via Daily HullMA (Exponential):
A daily Hull Moving Average (calculated using an exponential method) is used as a big-picture trend indicator. The model allows you to select your bias method—either by comparing the current price to the daily HullMA (Price method) or by using the HullMA’s slope (Slope method). A drift multiplier scales this bias, which then shifts the mean used in the probability calculations.
• Optional Morning Momentum Weight:
For traders who believe that early session moves provide useful clues about the day’s momentum, you can enable an optional weighting. The indicator captures the percentage change from the morning open (within a user-defined time window) and adjusts the expected move accordingly. A multiplier lets you control the strength of this adjustment.
• Visual Outputs:
The indicator plots quantile lines (approximately the 25%, 50%, and 75% levels) for the expected price distribution at session end. An abbreviated on-chart label displays key information:
• Target: The target price (current price plus a user-defined offset)
• Prob Above: The probability (in percentage) that the session close will exceed the target price
• Time: The time remaining in the session (in minutes)
How to Use:
1. Set Your Parameters:
• Expected Session Move: Input your estimated standard deviation for the full-session move in price units.
• Daily Hull MA Settings: Adjust the period for the daily HullMA and choose the bias method (Price or Slope). Modify the drift multiplier to tune the strength of the directional bias.
• Target Offset: Specify an offset from the current price to set your target level.
• Morning Momentum (Optional): Enable the morning momentum weight if you want the indicator to adjust the expected move based on early session price changes. Define the morning session window and set the momentum multiplier.
2. Interpret the Output:
• Quantile Lines: These represent the range of possible end-of-session prices based on your model.
• Abbreviated Label: Provides a quick snapshot of the target price, probability of finishing above that target, and time remaining in the session.
3. Trading Application:
Use the probability output as a guide to assess if the market is likely to continue in the current direction or reverse by session close. The indicator can help you decide on trade entries, exits, or adjustments based on your overall strategy and risk management approach.
This tool is designed to offer a dynamic, statistically driven snapshot of the market’s expected end-of-day behavior, combining both longer-term trend bias and short-term momentum cues.
