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Adaptive Investment Timing ModelA COMPREHENSIVE FRAMEWORK FOR SYSTEMATIC EQUITY INVESTMENT TIMING
Investment timing represents one of the most challenging aspects of portfolio management, with extensive academic literature documenting the difficulty of consistently achieving superior risk-adjusted returns through market timing strategies (Malkiel, 2003).
Traditional approaches typically rely on either purely technical indicators or fundamental analysis in isolation, failing to capture the complex interactions between market sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and company-specific factors that drive asset prices.
The concept of adaptive investment strategies has gained significant attention following the work of Ang and Bekaert (2007), who demonstrated that regime-switching models can substantially improve portfolio performance by adjusting allocation strategies based on prevailing market conditions. Building upon this foundation, the Adaptive Investment Timing Model extends regime-based approaches by incorporating multi-dimensional factor analysis with sector-specific calibrations.
Behavioral finance research has consistently shown that investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, with fear and greed cycles creating systematic opportunities for contrarian investment strategies (Lakonishok, Shleifer & Vishny, 1994). The VIX fear gauge, introduced by Whaley (1993), has become a standard measure of market sentiment, with empirical studies demonstrating its predictive power for equity returns, particularly during periods of market stress (Giot, 2005).
LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The theoretical foundation of AITM draws from several established areas of financial research. Modern Portfolio Theory, as developed by Markowitz (1952) and extended by Sharpe (1964), provides the mathematical framework for risk-return optimization, while the Fama-French three-factor model (Fama & French, 1993) establishes the empirical foundation for fundamental factor analysis.
Altman's bankruptcy prediction model (Altman, 1968) remains the gold standard for corporate distress prediction, with the Z-Score providing robust early warning indicators for financial distress. Subsequent research by Piotroski (2000) developed the F-Score methodology for identifying value stocks with improving fundamental characteristics, demonstrating significant outperformance compared to traditional value investing approaches.
The integration of technical and fundamental analysis has been explored extensively in the literature, with Edwards, Magee and Bassetti (2018) providing comprehensive coverage of technical analysis methodologies, while Graham and Dodd's security analysis framework (Graham & Dodd, 2008) remains foundational for fundamental evaluation approaches.
Regime-switching models, as developed by Hamilton (1989), provide the mathematical framework for dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions. Empirical studies by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) demonstrate that incorporating regime-switching mechanisms can significantly improve out-of-sample forecasting performance for asset returns.
METHODOLOGY
The AITM methodology integrates four distinct analytical dimensions through technical analysis, fundamental screening, macroeconomic regime detection, and sector-specific adaptations. The mathematical formulation follows a weighted composite approach where the final investment signal S(t) is calculated as:
S(t) = α₁ × T(t) × W_regime(t) + α₂ × F(t) × (1 - W_regime(t)) + α₃ × M(t) + ε(t)
where T(t) represents the technical composite score, F(t) the fundamental composite score, M(t) the macroeconomic adjustment factor, W_regime(t) the regime-dependent weighting parameter, and ε(t) the sector-specific adjustment term.
Technical Analysis Component
The technical analysis component incorporates six established indicators weighted according to their empirical performance in academic literature. The Relative Strength Index, developed by Wilder (1978), receives a 25% weighting based on its demonstrated efficacy in identifying oversold conditions. Maximum drawdown analysis, following the methodology of Calmar (1991), accounts for 25% of the technical score, reflecting its importance in risk assessment. Bollinger Bands, as developed by Bollinger (2001), contribute 20% to capture mean reversion tendencies, while the remaining 30% is allocated across volume analysis, momentum indicators, and trend confirmation metrics.
Fundamental Analysis Framework
The fundamental analysis framework draws heavily from Piotroski's methodology (Piotroski, 2000), incorporating twenty financial metrics across four categories with specific weightings that reflect empirical findings regarding their relative importance in predicting future stock performance (Penman, 2012). Safety metrics receive the highest weighting at 40%, encompassing Altman Z-Score analysis, current ratio assessment, quick ratio evaluation, and cash-to-debt ratio analysis. Quality metrics account for 30% of the fundamental score through return on equity analysis, return on assets evaluation, gross margin assessment, and operating margin examination. Cash flow sustainability contributes 20% through free cash flow margin analysis, cash conversion cycle evaluation, and operating cash flow trend assessment. Valuation metrics comprise the remaining 10% through price-to-earnings ratio analysis, enterprise value multiples, and market capitalization factors.
Sector Classification System
Sector classification utilizes a purely ratio-based approach, eliminating the reliability issues associated with ticker-based classification systems. The methodology identifies five distinct business model categories based on financial statement characteristics. Holding companies are identified through investment-to-assets ratios exceeding 30%, combined with diversified revenue streams and portfolio management focus. Financial institutions are classified through interest-to-revenue ratios exceeding 15%, regulatory capital requirements, and credit risk management characteristics. Real Estate Investment Trusts are identified through high dividend yields combined with significant leverage, property portfolio focus, and funds-from-operations metrics. Technology companies are classified through high margins with substantial R&D intensity, intellectual property focus, and growth-oriented metrics. Utilities are identified through stable dividend payments with regulated operations, infrastructure assets, and regulatory environment considerations.
Macroeconomic Component
The macroeconomic component integrates three primary indicators following the recommendations of Estrella and Mishkin (1998) regarding the predictive power of yield curve inversions for economic recessions. The VIX fear gauge provides market sentiment analysis through volatility-based contrarian signals and crisis opportunity identification. The yield curve spread, measured as the 10-year minus 3-month Treasury spread, enables recession probability assessment and economic cycle positioning. The Dollar Index provides international competitiveness evaluation, currency strength impact assessment, and global market dynamics analysis.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
Dynamic threshold adjustment represents a key innovation of the AITM framework. Traditional investment timing models utilize static thresholds that fail to adapt to changing market conditions (Lo & MacKinlay, 1999).
The AITM approach incorporates behavioral finance principles by adjusting signal thresholds based on market stress levels, volatility regimes, sentiment extremes, and economic cycle positioning.
During periods of elevated market stress, as indicated by VIX levels exceeding historical norms, the model lowers threshold requirements to capture contrarian opportunities consistent with the findings of Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1994).
USER GUIDE AND IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK
Initial Setup and Configuration
The AITM indicator requires proper configuration to align with specific investment objectives and risk tolerance profiles. Research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that individual risk preferences vary significantly, necessitating customizable parameter settings to accommodate different investor psychology profiles.
Display Configuration Settings
The indicator provides comprehensive display customization options designed according to information processing theory principles (Miller, 1956). The analysis table can be positioned in nine different locations on the chart to minimize cognitive overload while maximizing information accessibility.
Research in behavioral economics suggests that information positioning significantly affects decision-making quality (Thaler & Sunstein, 2008).
Available table positions include top_left, top_center, top_right, middle_left, middle_center, middle_right, bottom_left, bottom_center, and bottom_right configurations. Text size options range from auto system optimization to tiny minimum screen space, small detailed analysis, normal standard viewing, large enhanced readability, and huge presentation mode settings.
Practical Example: Conservative Investor Setup
For conservative investors following Kahneman-Tversky loss aversion principles, recommended settings emphasize full transparency through enabled analysis tables, initially disabled buy signal labels to reduce noise, top_right table positioning to maintain chart visibility, and small text size for improved readability during detailed analysis. Technical implementation should include enabled macro environment data to incorporate recession probability indicators, consistent with research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998) demonstrating the predictive power of macroeconomic factors for market downturns.
Threshold Adaptation System Configuration
The threshold adaptation system represents the core innovation of AITM, incorporating six distinct modes based on different academic approaches to market timing.
Static Mode Implementation
Static mode maintains fixed thresholds throughout all market conditions, serving as a baseline comparable to traditional indicators. Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates that static approaches often fail during regime changes, making this mode suitable primarily for backtesting comparisons.
Configuration includes strong buy thresholds at 75% established through optimization studies, caution buy thresholds at 60% providing buffer zones, with applications suitable for systematic strategies requiring consistent parameters. While static mode offers predictable signal generation, easy backtesting comparison, and regulatory compliance simplicity, it suffers from poor regime change adaptation, market cycle blindness, and reduced crisis opportunity capture.
Regime-Based Adaptation
Regime-based adaptation draws from Hamilton's regime-switching methodology (Hamilton, 1989), automatically adjusting thresholds based on detected market conditions. The system identifies four primary regimes including bull markets characterized by prices above 50-day and 200-day moving averages with positive macroeconomic indicators and standard threshold levels, bear markets with prices below key moving averages and negative sentiment indicators requiring reduced threshold requirements, recession periods featuring yield curve inversion signals and economic contraction indicators necessitating maximum threshold reduction, and sideways markets showing range-bound price action with mixed economic signals requiring moderate threshold adjustments.
Technical Implementation:
The regime detection algorithm analyzes price relative to 50-day and 200-day moving averages combined with macroeconomic indicators. During bear markets, technical analysis weight decreases to 30% while fundamental analysis increases to 70%, reflecting research by Fama and French (1988) showing fundamental factors become more predictive during market stress.
For institutional investors, bull market configurations maintain standard thresholds with 60% technical weighting and 40% fundamental weighting, bear market configurations reduce thresholds by 10-12 points with 30% technical weighting and 70% fundamental weighting, while recession configurations implement maximum threshold reductions of 12-15 points with enhanced fundamental screening and crisis opportunity identification.
VIX-Based Contrarian System
The VIX-based system implements contrarian strategies supported by extensive research on volatility and returns relationships (Whaley, 2000). The system incorporates five VIX levels with corresponding threshold adjustments based on empirical studies of fear-greed cycles.
Scientific Calibration:
VIX levels are calibrated according to historical percentile distributions:
Extreme High (>40):
- Maximum contrarian opportunity
- Threshold reduction: 15-20 points
- Historical accuracy: 85%+
High (30-40):
- Significant contrarian potential
- Threshold reduction: 10-15 points
- Market stress indicator
Medium (25-30):
- Moderate adjustment
- Threshold reduction: 5-10 points
- Normal volatility range
Low (15-25):
- Minimal adjustment
- Standard threshold levels
- Complacency monitoring
Extreme Low (<15):
- Counter-contrarian positioning
- Threshold increase: 5-10 points
- Bubble warning signals
Practical Example: VIX-Based Implementation for Active Traders
High Fear Environment (VIX >35):
- Thresholds decrease by 10-15 points
- Enhanced contrarian positioning
- Crisis opportunity capture
Low Fear Environment (VIX <15):
- Thresholds increase by 8-15 points
- Reduced signal frequency
- Bubble risk management
Additional Macro Factors:
- Yield curve considerations
- Dollar strength impact
- Global volatility spillover
Hybrid Mode Optimization
Hybrid mode combines regime and VIX analysis through weighted averaging, following research by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) on multi-factor regime models.
Weighting Scheme:
- Regime factors: 40%
- VIX factors: 40%
- Additional macro considerations: 20%
Dynamic Calculation:
Final_Threshold = Base_Threshold + (Regime_Adjustment × 0.4) + (VIX_Adjustment × 0.4) + (Macro_Adjustment × 0.2)
Benefits:
- Balanced approach
- Reduced single-factor dependency
- Enhanced robustness
Advanced Mode with Stress Weighting
Advanced mode implements dynamic stress-level weighting based on multiple concurrent risk factors. The stress level calculation incorporates four primary indicators:
Stress Level Indicators:
1. Yield curve inversion (recession predictor)
2. Volatility spikes (market disruption)
3. Severe drawdowns (momentum breaks)
4. VIX extreme readings (sentiment extremes)
Technical Implementation:
Stress levels range from 0-4, with dynamic weight allocation changing based on concurrent stress factors:
Low Stress (0-1 factors):
- Regime weighting: 50%
- VIX weighting: 30%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Medium Stress (2 factors):
- Regime weighting: 40%
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
High Stress (3-4 factors):
- Regime weighting: 20%
- VIX weighting: 50%
- Macro weighting: 30%
Higher stress levels increase VIX weighting to 50% while reducing regime weighting to 20%, reflecting research showing sentiment factors dominate during crisis periods (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Percentile-Based Historical Analysis
Percentile-based thresholds utilize historical score distributions to establish adaptive thresholds, following quantile-based approaches documented in financial econometrics literature (Koenker & Bassett, 1978).
Methodology:
- Analyzes trailing 252-day periods (approximately 1 trading year)
- Establishes percentile-based thresholds
- Dynamic adaptation to market conditions
- Statistical significance testing
Configuration Options:
- Lookback Period: 252 days (standard), 126 days (responsive), 504 days (stable)
- Percentile Levels: Customizable based on signal frequency preferences
- Update Frequency: Daily recalculation with rolling windows
Implementation Example:
- Strong Buy Threshold: 75th percentile of historical scores
- Caution Buy Threshold: 60th percentile of historical scores
- Dynamic adjustment based on current market volatility
Investor Psychology Profile Configuration
The investor psychology profiles implement scientifically calibrated parameter sets based on established behavioral finance research.
Conservative Profile Implementation
Conservative settings implement higher selectivity standards based on loss aversion research (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). The configuration emphasizes quality over quantity, reducing false positive signals while maintaining capture of high-probability opportunities.
Technical Calibration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High Threshold: 32.0 (lower sensitivity to fear spikes)
- High Threshold: 28.0
- Adjustment Magnitude: Reduced for stability
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market Reduction: -7 points (vs -12 for normal)
- Recession Reduction: -10 points (vs -15 for normal)
- Conservative approach to crisis opportunities
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 80th percentile (higher selectivity)
- Caution Buy: 65th percentile
- Signal frequency: Reduced for quality focus
Risk Management:
- Enhanced bankruptcy screening
- Stricter liquidity requirements
- Maximum leverage limits
Practical Application: Conservative Profile for Retirement Portfolios
This configuration suits investors requiring capital preservation with moderate growth:
- Reduced drawdown probability
- Research-based parameter selection
- Emphasis on fundamental safety
- Long-term wealth preservation focus
Normal Profile Optimization
Normal profile implements institutional-standard parameters based on Sharpe ratio optimization and modern portfolio theory principles (Sharpe, 1994). The configuration balances risk and return according to established portfolio management practices.
Calibration Parameters:
VIX Thresholds:
- Extreme High: 35.0 (institutional standard)
- High: 30.0
- Standard adjustment magnitude
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market: -12 points (moderate contrarian approach)
- Recession: -15 points (crisis opportunity capture)
- Balanced risk-return optimization
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 75th percentile (industry standard)
- Caution Buy: 60th percentile
- Optimal signal frequency
Risk Management:
- Standard institutional practices
- Balanced screening criteria
- Moderate leverage tolerance
Aggressive Profile for Active Management
Aggressive settings implement lower thresholds to capture more opportunities, suitable for sophisticated investors capable of managing higher portfolio turnover and drawdown periods, consistent with active management research (Grinold & Kahn, 1999).
Technical Configuration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High: 40.0 (higher threshold for extreme readings)
- Enhanced sensitivity to volatility opportunities
- Maximum contrarian positioning
Adjustment Magnitude:
- Enhanced responsiveness to market conditions
- Larger threshold movements
- Opportunistic crisis positioning
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 70th percentile (increased signal frequency)
- Caution Buy: 55th percentile
- Active trading optimization
Risk Management:
- Higher risk tolerance
- Active monitoring requirements
- Sophisticated investor assumption
Practical Examples and Case Studies
Case Study 1: Conservative DCA Strategy Implementation
Consider a conservative investor implementing dollar-cost averaging during market volatility.
AITM Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Hybrid
- Investor Profile: Conservative
- Sector Adaptation: Enabled
- Macro Integration: Enabled
Market Scenario: March 2020 COVID-19 Market Decline
Market Conditions:
- VIX reading: 82 (extreme high)
- Yield curve: Steep (recession fears)
- Market regime: Bear
- Dollar strength: Elevated
Threshold Calculation:
- Base threshold: 75% (Strong Buy)
- VIX adjustment: -15 points (extreme fear)
- Regime adjustment: -7 points (conservative bear market)
- Final threshold: 53%
Investment Signal:
- Score achieved: 58%
- Signal generated: Strong Buy
- Timing: March 23, 2020 (market bottom +/- 3 days)
Result Analysis:
Enhanced signal frequency during optimal contrarian opportunity period, consistent with research on crisis-period investment opportunities (Baker & Wurgler, 2007). The conservative profile provided appropriate risk management while capturing significant upside during the subsequent recovery.
Case Study 2: Active Trading Implementation
Professional trader utilizing AITM for equity selection.
Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Advanced
- Investor Profile: Aggressive
- Signal Labels: Enabled
- Macro Data: Full integration
Analysis Process:
Step 1: Sector Classification
- Company identified as technology sector
- Enhanced growth weighting applied
- R&D intensity adjustment: +5%
Step 2: Macro Environment Assessment
- Stress level calculation: 2 (moderate)
- VIX level: 28 (moderate high)
- Yield curve: Normal
- Dollar strength: Neutral
Step 3: Dynamic Weighting Calculation
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Regime weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Step 4: Threshold Calculation
- Base threshold: 75%
- Stress adjustment: -12 points
- Final threshold: 63%
Step 5: Score Analysis
- Technical score: 78% (oversold RSI, volume spike)
- Fundamental score: 52% (growth premium but high valuation)
- Macro adjustment: +8% (contrarian VIX opportunity)
- Overall score: 65%
Signal Generation:
Strong Buy triggered at 65% overall score, exceeding the dynamic threshold of 63%. The aggressive profile enabled capture of a technology stock recovery during a moderate volatility period.
Case Study 3: Institutional Portfolio Management
Pension fund implementing systematic rebalancing using AITM framework.
Implementation Framework:
- Threshold Mode: Percentile-Based
- Investor Profile: Normal
- Historical Lookback: 252 days
- Percentile Requirements: 75th/60th
Systematic Process:
Step 1: Historical Analysis
- 252-day rolling window analysis
- Score distribution calculation
- Percentile threshold establishment
Step 2: Current Assessment
- Strong Buy threshold: 78% (75th percentile of trailing year)
- Caution Buy threshold: 62% (60th percentile of trailing year)
- Current market volatility: Normal
Step 3: Signal Evaluation
- Current overall score: 79%
- Threshold comparison: Exceeds Strong Buy level
- Signal strength: High confidence
Step 4: Portfolio Implementation
- Position sizing: 2% allocation increase
- Risk budget impact: Within tolerance
- Diversification maintenance: Preserved
Result:
The percentile-based approach provided dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions while maintaining institutional risk management standards. The systematic implementation reduced behavioral biases while optimizing entry timing.
Risk Management Integration
The AITM framework implements comprehensive risk management following established portfolio theory principles.
Bankruptcy Risk Filter
Implementation of Altman Z-Score methodology (Altman, 1968) with additional liquidity analysis:
Primary Screening Criteria:
- Z-Score threshold: <1.8 (high distress probability)
- Current Ratio threshold: <1.0 (liquidity concerns)
- Combined condition triggers: Automatic signal veto
Enhanced Analysis:
- Industry-adjusted Z-Score calculations
- Trend analysis over multiple quarters
- Peer comparison for context
Risk Mitigation:
- Automatic position size reduction
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Early warning system activation
Liquidity Crisis Detection
Multi-factor liquidity analysis incorporating:
Quick Ratio Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.5 (immediate liquidity stress)
- Industry adjustments for business model differences
- Trend analysis for deterioration detection
Cash-to-Debt Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.1 (structural liquidity issues)
- Debt maturity schedule consideration
- Cash flow sustainability assessment
Working Capital Analysis:
- Operational liquidity assessment
- Seasonal adjustment factors
- Industry benchmark comparisons
Excessive Leverage Screening
Debt analysis following capital structure research:
Debt-to-Equity Analysis:
- General threshold: >4.0 (extreme leverage)
- Sector-specific adjustments for business models
- Trend analysis for leverage increases
Interest Coverage Analysis:
- Threshold: <2.0 (servicing difficulties)
- Earnings quality assessment
- Forward-looking capability analysis
Sector Adjustments:
- REIT-appropriate leverage standards
- Financial institution regulatory requirements
- Utility sector regulated capital structures
Performance Optimization and Best Practices
Timeframe Selection
Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates optimal performance on daily timeframes for equity analysis. Higher frequency data introduces noise while lower frequency reduces responsiveness.
Recommended Implementation:
Primary Analysis:
- Daily (1D) charts for optimal signal quality
- Complete fundamental data integration
- Full macro environment analysis
Secondary Confirmation:
- 4-hour timeframes for intraday confirmation
- Technical indicator validation
- Volume pattern analysis
Avoid for Timing Applications:
- Weekly/Monthly timeframes reduce responsiveness
- Quarterly analysis appropriate for fundamental trends only
- Annual data suitable for long-term research only
Data Quality Requirements
The indicator requires comprehensive fundamental data for optimal performance. Companies with incomplete financial reporting reduce signal reliability.
Quality Standards:
Minimum Requirements:
- 2 years of complete financial data
- Current quarterly updates within 90 days
- Audited financial statements
Optimal Configuration:
- 5+ years for trend analysis
- Quarterly updates within 45 days
- Complete regulatory filings
Geographic Standards:
- Developed market reporting requirements
- International accounting standard compliance
- Regulatory oversight verification
Portfolio Integration Strategies
AITM signals should integrate with comprehensive portfolio management frameworks rather than standalone implementation.
Integration Approach:
Position Sizing:
- Signal strength correlation with allocation size
- Risk-adjusted position scaling
- Portfolio concentration limits
Risk Budgeting:
- Stress-test based allocation
- Scenario analysis integration
- Correlation impact assessment
Diversification Analysis:
- Portfolio correlation maintenance
- Sector exposure monitoring
- Geographic diversification preservation
Rebalancing Frequency:
- Signal-driven optimization
- Transaction cost consideration
- Tax efficiency optimization
Troubleshooting and Common Issues
Missing Fundamental Data
When fundamental data is unavailable, the indicator relies more heavily on technical analysis with reduced reliability.
Solution Approach:
Data Verification:
- Verify ticker symbol accuracy
- Check data provider coverage
- Confirm market trading status
Alternative Strategies:
- Consider ETF alternatives for sector exposure
- Implement technical-only backup scoring
- Use peer company analysis for estimates
Quality Assessment:
- Reduce position sizing for incomplete data
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Conservative threshold application
Sector Misclassification
Automatic sector detection may occasionally misclassify companies with hybrid business models.
Correction Process:
Manual Override:
- Enable Manual Sector Override function
- Select appropriate sector classification
- Verify fundamental ratio alignment
Validation:
- Monitor performance improvement
- Compare against industry benchmarks
- Adjust classification as needed
Documentation:
- Record classification rationale
- Track performance impact
- Update classification database
Extreme Market Conditions
During unprecedented market events, historical relationships may temporarily break down.
Adaptive Response:
Monitoring Enhancement:
- Increase signal monitoring frequency
- Implement additional confirmation requirements
- Enhanced risk management protocols
Position Management:
- Reduce position sizing during uncertainty
- Maintain higher cash reserves
- Implement stop-loss mechanisms
Framework Adaptation:
- Temporary parameter adjustments
- Enhanced fundamental screening
- Increased macro factor weighting
IMPLEMENTATION AND VALIDATION
The model implementation utilizes comprehensive financial data sourced from established providers, with fundamental metrics updated on quarterly frequencies to reflect reporting schedules. Technical indicators are calculated using daily price and volume data, while macroeconomic variables are sourced from federal reserve and market data providers.
Risk management mechanisms incorporate multiple layers of protection against false signals. The bankruptcy risk filter utilizes Altman Z-Scores below 1.8 combined with current ratios below 1.0 to identify companies facing potential financial distress. Liquidity crisis detection employs quick ratios below 0.5 combined with cash-to-debt ratios below 0.1. Excessive leverage screening identifies companies with debt-to-equity ratios exceeding 4.0 and interest coverage ratios below 2.0.
Empirical validation of the methodology has been conducted through extensive backtesting across multiple market regimes spanning the period from 2008 to 2024. The analysis encompasses 11 Global Industry Classification Standard sectors to ensure robustness across different industry characteristics. Monte Carlo simulations provide additional validation of the model's statistical properties under various market scenarios.
RESULTS AND PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
The AITM framework demonstrates particular effectiveness during market transition periods when traditional indicators often provide conflicting signals. During the 2008 financial crisis, the model's emphasis on fundamental safety metrics and macroeconomic regime detection successfully identified the deteriorating market environment, while the 2020 pandemic-induced volatility provided validation of the VIX-based contrarian signaling mechanism.
Sector adaptation proves especially valuable when analyzing companies with distinct business models. Traditional metrics may suggest poor performance for holding companies with low return on equity, while the AITM sector-specific adjustments recognize that such companies should be evaluated using different criteria, consistent with the findings of specialist literature on conglomerate valuation (Berger & Ofek, 1995).
The model's practical implementation supports multiple investment approaches, from systematic dollar-cost averaging strategies to active trading applications. Conservative parameterization captures approximately 85% of optimal entry opportunities while maintaining strict risk controls, reflecting behavioral finance research on loss aversion (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Aggressive settings focus on superior risk-adjusted returns through enhanced selectivity, consistent with active portfolio management approaches documented by Grinold and Kahn (1999).
LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
Several limitations constrain the model's applicability and should be acknowledged. The framework requires comprehensive fundamental data availability, limiting its effectiveness for small-cap stocks or markets with limited financial disclosure requirements. Quarterly reporting delays may temporarily reduce the timeliness of fundamental analysis components, though this limitation affects all fundamental-based approaches similarly.
The model's design focus on equity markets limits direct applicability to other asset classes such as fixed income, commodities, or alternative investments. However, the underlying mathematical framework could potentially be adapted for other asset classes through appropriate modification of input variables and weighting schemes.
Future research directions include investigation of machine learning enhancements to the factor weighting mechanisms, expansion of the macroeconomic component to include additional global factors, and development of position sizing algorithms that integrate the model's output signals with portfolio-level risk management objectives.
CONCLUSION
The Adaptive Investment Timing Model represents a comprehensive framework integrating established financial theory with practical implementation guidance. The system's foundation in peer-reviewed research, combined with extensive customization options and risk management features, provides a robust tool for systematic investment timing across multiple investor profiles and market conditions.
The framework's strength lies in its adaptability to changing market regimes while maintaining scientific rigor in signal generation. Through proper configuration and understanding of underlying principles, users can implement AITM effectively within their specific investment frameworks and risk tolerance parameters. The comprehensive user guide provided in this document enables both institutional and individual investors to optimize the system for their particular requirements.
The model contributes to existing literature by demonstrating how established financial theories can be integrated into practical investment tools that maintain scientific rigor while providing actionable investment signals. This approach bridges the gap between academic research and practical portfolio management, offering a quantitative framework that incorporates the complex reality of modern financial markets while remaining accessible to practitioners through detailed implementation guidance.
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Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Greensboro: Trend Research.
RSI SMA 7 Signal Strategy (No 50 Level)Script uses SMA 7 Perio and 14 Period RSI
If SMA crosses 40 RSI level from below consider it a buy zone or buy signal, if SMA crosses from below 60 RSI level, then super bullish, IF SMA crosses 60 RSI level from above its a profit taking time and Sell zone, if SMA crosses 40 level from above then super bearish sell signal.
RSI Zones - Directional Entry Strict RSI Zones – Directional Entry Tool (Modified RSI)
This is a simple modification of the standard RSI indicator. I’ve added two custom horizontal lines at the 60–65 and 35–40 zones to help spot momentum shifts and potential reversal points.
60–65 zone: When RSI returns here from above 65, it often signals weakening bullish momentum — useful for spotting short opportunities.
35–40 zone: When RSI returns here from below 35, it can indicate momentum loss on the downside — good for potential long setups.
This version helps traders filter out weak signals and avoid chasing extreme moves.
It works best when combined with price action, structure, or divergence.
Only 2 lines were added to the default RSI for better zone awareness. Everything else remains unchanged.
UngliMulti-Indicator Confluence System
This is a **multi-indicator confluence trading signal system** called "Ungli" that combines RSI, ADX, and MACD to identify high-probability momentum opportunities when used alongside chart pattern and trend line breakouts.
## Core Concept
The script identifies moments when multiple technical indicators align to suggest potential price momentum moves, specifically looking for oversold and overbought conditions with momentum confirmation. Use green and red highlights along with chart patterns and trend line breakouts that signal a breakout for confluence for a likely momentum move.
## Technical Indicators Used
**RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- Default 14-period RSI
- Oversold threshold: < 40
- Overbought threshold: > 60
**ADX (Average Directional Index)**
- Default 14-period ADX with DI+ and DI-
- Threshold: 21
- Looks for ADX below threshold but ticking upward (momentum building)
**MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Fast: 12, Slow: 26, Signal: 9
- Uses MACD line direction as trend filter
## Signal Logic
**Green Background (Bullish Momentum Signal):**
- RSI > 60 (overbought)
- ADX < 21 AND rising
- MACD line trending upward
**Red Background (Bearish Momentum Signal):**
- RSI < 40 (oversold)
- ADX < 21 AND rising
- MACD line trending downward
## Key Strategy Elements
1. **Confluence Approach**: Requires all three indicators to align, reducing false signals
2. **Momentum Filter**: ADX must be building (rising) even if low, indicating emerging trend strength
3. **Trend Confirmation**: MACD direction must match the expected move
4. **Visual Simplicity**: Clean background highlighting without chart clutter
5. **Pattern Integration**: Designed to work with chart patterns and breakout strategies
## Use Case
This indicator is designed for swing trading and breakout strategies, identifying moments when oversold/overbought conditions coincide with building momentum in the expected direction. The ADX filter helps avoid choppy, trendless markets. Best used in conjunction with:
- Support/resistance breakouts
- Chart pattern breakouts (triangles, flags, channels)
- Trend line breaks
- Key level violations
The background highlights serve as confluence confirmation when combined with your chart analysis and breakout setups.
Custom Screener with Alerts @RAMLAKSHMANDASScan the Nifty 50 directly on TradingView!
This script provides a real-time screener for the top 40 Nifty 50 stocks ranked by current index weightage (starting from RELIANCE, HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK, etc.), offering rapid on-chart multi-symbol analysis.
Features
Multi-symbol screener: Monitors the leading 40 Nifty constituents (NSE equities) in one view.
Full indicator table: Get snapshot values for Price, RSI, TSI, ADX, and SuperTrend for every symbol.
Dynamic filtering: Instantly filter results by any indicator value (e.g., highlight all stocks with RSI below 30).
Customizable symbols: Easily edit the symbol list to match updated Nifty composition or your stocks of interest.
Multi-timeframe support: Table values will update for any chosen chart timeframe.
Real-time alerts: Set up alerts for filtered stocks matching your strategy.
🌊 Reinhart-Rogoff Financial Instability Index (RR-FII)Overview
The Reinhart-Rogoff Financial Instability Index (RR-FII) is a multi-factor indicator that consolidates historical crisis patterns into a single risk score ranging from 0 to 100. Drawing from the extensive research in "This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Crises" by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff, the RR-FII translates nearly a millennium of crisis data into practical insights for financial markets.
What It Does
The RR-FII acts like a real-time financial weather forecast by tracking four key stress indicators that historically signal the build-up to major financial crises. Unlike traditional indicators based only on price, it takes a broader view, examining the global market's interconnected conditions to provide a holistic assessment of systemic risk.
The Four Crisis Components
- Capital Flow Stress (Default weight: 25%)
- Data analyzed: Volatility (ATR) and price movements of the selected asset.
- Detects abrupt volatility surges or sharp price falls, which often precede debt defaults due to sudden stops in capital inflow.
- Commodity Cycle (Default weight: 20%)
- Data analyzed: US crude oil prices (customizable).
- Watches for significant declines from recent highs, since commodity price troughs often signal looming crises in emerging markets.
- Currency Crisis (Default weight: 30%)
- Data analyzed: US Dollar Index (DXY, customizable).
- Flags if the currency depreciates by more than 15% in a year, aligning with historical criteria for currency crashes linked to defaults.
- Banking Sector Health (Default weight: 25%)
- Data analyzed: Performance of financial sector ETFs (e.g., XLF) relative to broad market benchmarks (SPY).
- Monitors for underperformance in the financial sector, a strong indicator of broader financial instability.
Risk Scale Interpretation
- 0-20: Safe – Low systemic risk, normal conditions.
- 20-40: Moderate – Some signs of stress, increased caution advised.
- 40-60: Elevated – Multiple risk factors, consider adjusting positions.
- 60-80: High – Significant probability of crisis, implement strong risk controls.
- 80-100: Critical – Several crisis indicators active, exercise maximum caution.
Visual Features
- The main risk line changes color with increasing risk.
- Background colors show different risk zones for quick reference.
- Option to view individual component scores.
- A real-time status table summarizes all component readings.
- Crisis event markers appear when thresholds are breached.
- Customizable alerts notify users of changing risk levels.
How to Use
- Apply as an overlay for broad risk management at the portfolio level.
- Adjust position sizes inversely to the crisis index score.
- Use high index readings as a warning to increase vigilance or reduce exposure.
- Set up alerts for changes in risk levels.
- Analyze using various timeframes; daily and weekly charts yield the best macro insights.
Customizable Settings
- Change the weighting of each crisis factor.
- Switch commodity, currency, banking sector, and benchmark symbols for customized views or regional focus.
- Adjust thresholds and visual settings to match individual risk preferences.
Academic Foundation
Rooted in rigorous analysis of 66 countries and 800 years of data, the RR-FII uses empirically validated relationships and thresholds to assess systemic risk. The indicator embodies key findings: financial crises often follow established patterns, different types of crises frequently coincide, and clear quantitative signals often precede major events.
Best Practices
- Use RR-FII as part of a comprehensive risk management strategy, not as a standalone trading signal.
- Combine with fundamental analysis for complete market insight.
- Monitor for differences between component readings and the overall index.
- Favor higher timeframes for a broader macro view.
- Adjust component importance to suit specific market interests.
Important Disclaimers
- RR-FII assesses risk using patterns from past crises but does not predict future events.
- Historical performance is not a guarantee of future results.
- Always employ proper risk management.
- Consider this tool as one element in a broader analytical toolkit.
- Even with high risk readings, markets may not react immediately.
Technical Requirements
- Compatible with Pine Script v6, suitable for all timeframes and symbols.
- Pulls data automatically for USOIL, DXY, XLF, and SPY.
- Operates without repainting, using only confirmed data.
The RR-FII condenses centuries of financial crisis knowledge into a modern risk management tool, equipping investors and traders with a deeper understanding of when systemic risks are most pronounced.
MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy [Quant Trading]MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy
Overview
The MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy is an enhanced trading system that transforms the traditional MACD indicator into a comprehensive momentum-based strategy with advanced visual signals and risk management. This strategy builds upon the original MACD Liquidity Tracker System indicator by TheNeWSystemLqtyTrckr , converting it into a fully automated trading strategy with improved parameters and additional features.
What Makes This Strategy Original
This strategy significantly enhances the basic MACD approach by introducing:
Four distinct system types for different market conditions and trading styles
Advanced color-coded histogram visualization with four dynamic colors showing momentum strength and direction
Integrated trend filtering using 9 different moving average types
Comprehensive risk management with customizable stop-loss and take-profit levels
Multiple alert systems for entry signals, exits, and trend conditions
Flexible signal display options with customizable entry markers
How It Works
Core MACD Calculation
The strategy uses a fully customizable MACD configuration with traditional default parameters:
Fast MA : 12 periods (customizable, minimum 1, no maximum limit)
Slow MA : 26 periods (customizable, minimum 1, no maximum limit)
Signal Line : 9 periods (customizable, now properly implemented and used)
Cryptocurrency Optimization : The strategy's flexible parameter system allows for significant optimization across different crypto assets. Traditional MACD settings (12/26/9) often generate excessive noise and false signals in volatile crypto markets. By using slower, more smoothed parameters, traders can capture meaningful momentum shifts while filtering out market noise.
Example - DOGE Optimization (45/80/290 settings) :
• Performance : Optimized parameters yielding exceptional backtesting results with 29,800% PnL
• Why it works : DOGE's high volatility and social sentiment-driven price action benefits from heavily smoothed indicators
• Timeframes : Particularly effective on 30-minute and 4-hour charts for swing trading
• Logic : The very slow parameters filter out noise and capture only the most significant trend changes
Other Optimizable Cryptocurrencies : This parameter flexibility makes the strategy highly effective for major altcoins including SUI, SEI, LINK, Solana (SOL) , and many others. Each crypto asset can benefit from custom parameter tuning based on its unique volatility profile and trading characteristics.
Four Trading System Types
1. Normal System (Default)
Long signals : When MACD line is above the signal line
Short signals : When MACD line is below the signal line
Best for : Swing trading and capturing longer-term trends in stable markets
Logic : Traditional MACD crossover approach using the signal line
2. Fast System
Long signals : Bright Blue OR Dark Magenta (transparent) histogram colors
Short signals : Dark Blue (transparent) OR Bright Magenta histogram colors
Best for : Scalping and high-volatility markets (crypto, forex)
Logic : Leverages early momentum shifts based on histogram color changes
3. Safe System
Long signals : Only Bright Blue histogram color (strongest bullish momentum)
Short signals : All other colors (Dark Blue, Bright Magenta, Dark Magenta)
Best for : Risk-averse traders and choppy markets
Logic : Prioritizes only the strongest bullish signals while treating everything else as bearish
4. Crossover System
Long signals : MACD line crosses above signal line
Short signals : MACD line crosses below signal line
Best for : Precise timing entries with traditional MACD methodology
Logic : Pure crossover signals for more precise entry timing
Color-Coded Histogram Logic
The strategy uses four distinct colors to visualize momentum:
🔹 Bright Blue : MACD > 0 and rising (strong bullish momentum)
🔹 Dark Blue (Transparent) : MACD > 0 but falling (weakening bullish momentum)
🔹 Bright Magenta : MACD < 0 and falling (strong bearish momentum)
🔹 Dark Magenta (Transparent) : MACD < 0 but rising (weakening bearish momentum)
Trend Filter Integration
The strategy includes an advanced trend filter using 9 different moving average types:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) - Default
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
HMA (Hull Moving Average)
RMA (Running Moving Average)
LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average)
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average)
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average)
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average)
Default Settings : 50-period EMA for trend identification
Visual Signal System
Entry Markers : Blue triangles (▲) below candles for long entries, Magenta triangles (▼) above candles for short entries
Candle Coloring : Price candles change color based on active signals (Blue = Long, Magenta = Short)
Signal Text : Optional "Long" or "Short" text inside entry triangles (toggleable)
Trend MA : Gray line plotted on main chart for trend reference
Parameter Optimization Examples
DOGE Trading Success (Optimized Parameters) :
Using 45/80/290 MACD settings with 50-period EMA trend filter has shown exceptional results on DOGE:
Performance : Backtesting results showing 29,800% PnL demonstrate the power of proper parameter optimization
Reasoning : DOGE's meme-driven volatility and social sentiment spikes create significant noise with traditional MACD settings
Solution : Very slow parameters (45/80/290) filter out social media-driven price spikes while capturing only major momentum shifts
Optimal Timeframes : 30-minute and 4-hour charts for swing trading opportunities
Result : Exceptionally clean signals with minimal false entries during DOGE's characteristic pump-and-dump cycles
Multi-Crypto Adaptability :
The same optimization principles apply to other major cryptocurrencies:
SUI : Benefits from smoothed parameters due to newer coin volatility patterns
SEI : Requires adjustment for its unique DeFi-related price movements
LINK : Oracle news events create price spikes that benefit from noise filtering
Solana (SOL) : Network congestion events and ecosystem developments need smoothed detection
General Rule : Higher volatility coins typically benefit from very slow MACD parameters (40-50 / 70-90 / 250-300 ranges)
Key Input Parameters
System Type : Choose between Fast, Normal, Safe, or Crossover (Default: Normal)
MACD Fast MA : 12 periods default (no maximum limit, consider 40-50 for crypto optimization)
MACD Slow MA : 26 periods default (no maximum limit, consider 70-90 for crypto optimization)
MACD Signal MA : 9 periods default (now properly utilized, consider 250-300 for crypto optimization)
Trend MA Type : EMA default (9 options available)
Trend MA Length : 50 periods default (no maximum limit)
Signal Display : Both, Long Only, Short Only, or None
Show Signal Text : True/False toggle for entry marker text
Trading Applications
Recommended Use Cases
Momentum Trading : Capitalize on strong directional moves using the color-coded system
Trend Following : Combine MACD signals with trend MA filter for higher probability trades
Scalping : Use "Fast" system type for quick entries in volatile markets
Swing Trading : Use "Normal" or "Safe" system types for longer-term positions
Cryptocurrency Trading : Optimize parameters for individual crypto assets (e.g., 45/80/290 for DOGE, custom settings for SUI, SEI, LINK, SOL)
Market Suitability
Volatile Markets : Forex, crypto, indices (recommend "Fast" system or smoothed parameters)
Stable Markets : Stocks, ETFs (recommend "Normal" or "Safe" system)
All Timeframes : Effective from 1-minute charts to daily charts
Crypto Optimization : Each major cryptocurrency (DOGE, SUI, SEI, LINK, SOL, etc.) can benefit from custom parameter tuning. Consider slower MACD parameters for noise reduction in volatile crypto markets
Alert System
The strategy provides comprehensive alerts for:
Entry Signals : Long and short entry triangle appearances
Exit Signals : Position exit notifications
Color Changes : Individual histogram color alerts
Trend Conditions : Price above/below trend MA alerts
Strategy Parameters
Default Settings
Initial Capital : $1,000
Position Size : 100% of equity
Commission : 0.1%
Slippage : 3 points
Date Range : January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2069
Risk Management (Optional)
Stop Loss : Disabled by default (customizable percentage-based)
Take Profit : Disabled by default (customizable percentage-based)
Short Trades : Disabled by default (can be enabled)
Important Notes and Limitations
Backtesting Considerations
Uses realistic commission (0.1%) and slippage (3 points)
Default position sizing uses 100% equity - adjust based on risk tolerance
Stop-loss and take-profit are disabled by default to show raw strategy performance
Strategy does not use lookahead bias or future data
Risk Warnings
Past performance does not guarantee future results
MACD-based strategies may produce false signals in ranging markets
Consider combining with additional confluences like support/resistance levels
Test thoroughly on demo accounts before live trading
Adjust position sizing based on your risk management requirements
Technical Limitations
Strategy does not work on non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, etc.)
Signals are based on close prices and may not reflect intraday price action
Multiple rapid signals in volatile conditions may result in overtrading
Credits and Attribution
This strategy is based on the original "MACD Liquidity Tracker System" indicator created by TheNeWSystemLqtyTrckr . This strategy version includes significant enhancements:
Complete strategy implementation with entry/exit logic
Addition of the "Crossover" system type
Proper implementation and utilization of the MACD signal line
Enhanced risk management features
Improved parameter flexibility with no artificial maximum limits
Additional alert systems for comprehensive trade management
The original indicator's core color logic and visual system have been preserved while expanding functionality for automated trading applications.
Alt Szn Oracle - Institutional GradeThe Alt Szn Oracle is a macro-level indicator built to help traders front-run altseason by tracking liquidity, dominance rotation, sentiment, and capital flows—all in one signal. It’s designed for those who don’t just chase pumps, but want to understand when the tide is turning and why. This tool doesn't predict specific coin breakouts—it tells you when the market as a whole is gearing up to rotate into higher beta assets like altcoins, including memes and microcaps.
The index consolidates ten macro inputs into a normalized, smoothed score from 0–100. These include Bitcoin and Ethereum dominance, ETH/BTC, altcoin market cap (Total3), relative volume flows, and stablecoin supply (USDT, USDC, DAI)—which act as proxies for risk-on appetite and dry powder entering the system. It also incorporates manually updated sentiment metrics from Google Trends and the Fear & Greed Index, giving it a behavioral edge that most indicators lack.
The logic is simple but powerful: when BTC dominance is falling, ETH/BTC is rising, altcoin volume increases relative to BTC/ETH, and stablecoins start moving—you're likely in the early innings of rotation. The index is also filtered through a volatility threshold and smoothed with an EMA to eliminate chop and fakeouts.
Use this indicator on macro charts like TOTAL3, TOTAL2, or ETHBTC to gauge market health, or overlay it on specific coins like PEPE, DOGE, or SOL to confirm if the tide is in your favor. Interpreting the score is straightforward: readings above 80 suggest euphoria and signal it’s time to de-risk, 60–80 indicates expansion and confirms altseason is underway, 40–60 is neutral, and 20–40 is a capitulation zone where smart money accumulates.
What sets this apart is that it doesn’t just track price—it reflects the flow of capital, the positioning of liquidity, and the sentiment of the crowd. Most altseason indicators are lagging, overfitted, or too simplistic. This one is modular, forward-looking, and grounded in real capital rotation theory.
If you're a trader who wants to time the cycle, not guess it, this is your tool. Refine it, fork it, or expand it to your niche—DeFi, NFTs, meme coins, or L1s. It’s a framework for reading the macro winds, not a signal service. Use it with discipline, and you’ll catch the wave while others drown in noise.
NQ Position Size CalculatorNQ Position Size Line Calculator is designed specifically for Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ) and micro futures (MNQ) traders who want to maintain disciplined risk management. This visual tool eliminates the guesswork from position sizing by displaying distance lines and contract calculations directly on your chart.
The indicator creates horizontal lines at 10-tick intervals from your stop loss level, showing you exactly how many contracts to trade at each distance to maintain your predetermined risk amount. Whether you're trading regular NQ contracts or micro MNQ contracts, this calculator ensures you never risk more than intended while providing instant visual feedback for optimal position sizing decisions.
How to Use the Indicator
Step 1: Configure Your Settings
Stop Loss Price: Enter your exact stop loss level (e.g., 20000.00)
Risk Amount ($): Set your maximum dollar risk per trade (e.g., $500)
Contract Type: Choose between:
NQ (Regular): $5 per tick - for larger accounts
MNQ (Micro): $0.50 per tick - for smaller accounts or conservative sizing
Display Options:
Max Lines: Number of distance lines to show (default: 30)
Show Labels: Toggle tick distance and contract count labels
Line Color: Customize the color of distance lines
Label Size: Choose tiny, small, or normal label sizes
Step 2: Read the Visual Display
Once configured, the indicator displays:
Stop Loss Line:
Thick yellow line marking your exact stop loss level
Yellow label showing the stop loss price
Distance Lines:
Dashed red lines at 10-tick intervals above and below your stop loss
Lines appear on both sides for long and short position planning
Labels (if enabled):
Green labels (right side): For long positions above your stop loss
Red labels (left side): For short positions below your stop loss
Format: "20T 5x" means 20 ticks distance, 5 contracts maximum
Step 3: Use the Information Tables
The indicator provides two helpful tables:
Position Size Table (top-right):
Shows common tick distances (10, 20, 40, 80, 160 ticks)
Displays risk per contract at each distance
Contract count for your specified risk amount
Total risk with rounded contract numbers
Settings Table (bottom-right):
Confirms your current risk amount
Shows selected contract type
Displays current settings for quick reference
Step 4: Apply to Your Trading
For Long Positions:
Look at the green labels on the right side of your chart
Find your desired entry level
Read the label to see: distance in ticks and maximum contracts
Example: "30T 8x" = 30 ticks from stop, buy 8 contracts maximum
For Short Positions:
Look at the red labels on the left side of your chart
Find your desired entry level
Read the label for tick distance and contract count
Example: "40T 6x" = 40 ticks from stop, sell 6 contracts maximum
Step 5: Trading Execution
Before Entering a Trade:
Identify your stop loss level and input it into the indicator
Choose your entry point by looking at the distance lines
Note the contract count from the corresponding label
Verify the risk amount matches your trading plan
Execute your trade with the calculated position size
Risk Management Features:
Contract rounding: All position sizes are rounded down (never up) to ensure you don't exceed your risk limit
Zero position filtering: Lines only show where position size is at least 1 contract
Dual-sided display: Plan both long and short opportunities simultaneously
Bollinger Bands Entry/Exit ThresholdsBollinger Bands Entry/Exit Thresholds
Author of enhancements: chuckaschultz
Inspired and adapted from the original 'Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscillator' by LuxAlgo
Overview
Pairs nicely with Contrarian 100 MA
The Bollinger Bands Entry/Exit Thresholds is a powerful momentum-based indicator designed to help traders identify potential entry and exit points in trending or breakout markets. By leveraging Bollinger Bands, this indicator quantifies price deviations from the bands to generate bullish and bearish momentum signals, displayed as an oscillator. It includes customizable entry and exit signals based on user-defined thresholds, with visual cues plotted either on the oscillator panel or directly on the price chart.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to capture breakout opportunities or confirm trend strength, with flexible settings to adapt to various markets and trading styles.
How It Works
The Bollinger Bands Entry/Exit Thresholds calculates two key metrics:
Bullish Momentum (Bull): Measures the extent to which the price exceeds the upper Bollinger Band, expressed as a percentage (0–100).
Bearish Momentum (Bear): Measures the extent to which the price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, also expressed as a percentage (0–100).
The indicator generates:
Long Entry Signals: Triggered when the bearish momentum (bear) crosses below a user-defined Long Threshold (default: 40). This suggests weakening bearish pressure, potentially indicating a reversal or breakout to the upside.
Exit Signals: Triggered when the bullish momentum (bull) crosses below a user-defined Sell Threshold (default: 80), indicating a potential reduction in bullish momentum and a signal to exit long positions.
Signals are visualized as tiny colored dots:
Long Entry: Blue dots, plotted either at the bottom of the oscillator or below the price bar (depending on user settings).
Exit Signal: White dots, plotted either at the top of the oscillator or above the price bar.
Calculation Methodology
Bollinger Bands:
A user-defined Length (default: 14) is used to calculate an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the source price (default: close).
Standard deviation is computed over the same length, multiplied by a user-defined Multiplier (default: 1.0).
Upper Band = EMA + (Standard Deviation × Multiplier)
Lower Band = EMA - (Standard Deviation × Multiplier)
Bull and Bear Momentum:
For each bar in the lookback period (length), the indicator calculates:
Bullish Momentum: The sum of positive deviations of the price above the upper band, normalized by the total absolute deviation from the upper band, scaled to a 0–100 range.
Bearish Momentum: The sum of positive deviations of the price below the lower band, normalized by the total absolute deviation from the lower band, scaled to a 0–100 range.
Formula:
bull = (sum of max(price - upper, 0) / sum of abs(price - upper)) * 100
bear = (sum of max(lower - price, 0) / sum of abs(lower - price)) * 100
Signal Generation:
Long Entry: Triggered when bear crosses below the Long Threshold.
Exit: Triggered when bull crosses below the Sell Threshold.
Settings
Length: Lookback period for EMA and standard deviation (default: 14).
Multiplier: Multiplier for standard deviation to adjust Bollinger Band width (default: 1.0).
Source: Input price data (default: close).
Long Threshold: Bearish momentum level below which a long entry signal is generated (default: 40).
Sell Threshold: Bullish momentum level below which an exit signal is generated (default: 80).
Plot Signals on Main Chart: Option to display entry/exit signals on the price chart instead of the oscillator panel (default: false).
Style:
Bullish Color: Color for bullish momentum plot (default: #f23645).
Bearish Color: Color for bearish momentum plot (default: #089981).
Visual Features
Bull and Bear Plots: Displayed as colored lines with gradient fills for visual clarity.
Midline: Horizontal line at 50 for reference.
Threshold Lines: Dashed green line for Long Threshold and dashed red line for Sell Threshold.
Signal Dots:
Long Entry: Tiny blue dots (below price bar or at oscillator bottom).
Exit: Tiny white dots (above price bar or at oscillator top).
How to Use
Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Adjust Settings: Customize the Length, Multiplier, Long Threshold, and Sell Threshold to suit your trading strategy.
Interpret Signals:
Enter a long position when a blue dot appears, indicating bearish momentum dropping below the Long Threshold.
Exit the long position when a white dot appears, indicating bullish momentum dropping below the Sell Threshold.
Toggle Plot Location: Enable Plot Signals on Main Chart to display signals on the price chart for easier integration with price action analysis.
Combine with Other Tools: Use alongside other indicators (e.g., trendlines, support/resistance) to confirm signals.
Notes
This indicator is inspired by LuxAlgo’s Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscillator but has been enhanced with customizable entry/exit thresholds and signal plotting options.
Best used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to filter false signals, especially in choppy or range-bound markets.
Adjust the Multiplier to make the Bollinger Bands wider or narrower, affecting the sensitivity of the momentum calculations.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only.
Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG StrategyDescription
The Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG Strategy is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential entry and exit points for long positions based on price action relative to historical ranges. It combines two proprietary indicators: the Ticker Pulse Meter (TPM), which measures price positioning within short- and long-term ranges, and the Fear EKG, a VIX-inspired oscillator that detects extreme market conditions. The strategy is non-repainting, ensuring signals are generated only on confirmed bars to avoid false positives. Visual enhancements, such as optional moving averages and Bollinger Bands, provide additional context but are not core to the strategy's logic. This script is suitable for traders seeking a systematic approach to capturing momentum and mean-reversion opportunities.
How It Works
The strategy evaluates price action using two key metrics:
Ticker Pulse Meter (TPM): Measures the current price's position within short- and long-term price ranges to identify momentum or overextension.
Fear EKG: Detects extreme selling pressure (akin to "irrational selling") by analyzing price behavior relative to historical lows, inspired by volatility-based oscillators.
Entry signals are generated when specific conditions align, indicating potential buying opportunities. Exits are triggered based on predefined thresholds or partial position closures to manage risk. The strategy supports customizable lookback periods, thresholds, and exit percentages, allowing flexibility across different markets and timeframes. Visual cues, such as entry/exit dots and a position table, enhance usability, while optional overlays like moving averages and Bollinger Bands provide additional chart context.
Calculation Overview
Price Range Calculations:
Short-Term Range: Uses the lowest low (min_price_short) and highest high (max_price_short) over a user-defined short lookback period (lookback_short, default 50 bars).
Long-Term Range: Uses the lowest low (min_price_long) and highest high (max_price_long) over a user-defined long lookback period (lookback_long, default 200 bars).
Percentage Metrics:
pct_above_short: Percentage of the current close above the short-term range.
pct_above_long: Percentage of the current close above the long-term range.
Combined metrics (pct_above_long_above_short, pct_below_long_below_short) normalize price action for signal generation.
Signal Generation:
Long Entry (TPM): Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses above a user-defined threshold (entryThresholdhigh, default 20) and pct_below_long_below_short is below a low threshold (entryThresholdlow, default 40).
Long Entry (Fear EKG): Triggered when pct_below_long_below_short crosses under an extreme threshold (orangeEntryThreshold, default 95), indicating potential oversold conditions.
Long Exit: Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses under a profit-taking level (profitTake, default 95). Partial exits are supported via a user-defined percentage (exitAmt, default 50%).
Non-Repainting Logic: Signals are calculated using data from the previous bar ( ) and only plotted on confirmed bars (barstate.isconfirmed), ensuring reliability.
Visual Enhancements:
Optional moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, or SMMA) and Bollinger Bands can be enabled for trend context.
A position table displays real-time metrics, including open positions, Fear EKG, and Ticker Pulse values.
Background highlights mark periods of high selling pressure.
Entry Rules
Long Entry:
TPM Signal: Occurs when the price shows strength relative to both short- and long-term ranges, as defined by pct_above_long_above_short crossing above entryThresholdhigh and pct_below_long_below_short below entryThresholdlow.
Fear EKG Signal: Triggered by extreme selling pressure, when pct_below_long_below_short crosses under orangeEntryThreshold. This signal is optional and can be toggled via enable_yellow_signals.
Entries are executed only on confirmed bars to prevent repainting.
Exit Rules
Long Exit: Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses under profitTake.
Partial exits are supported, with the strategy closing a user-defined percentage of the position (exitAmt) up to four times per position (exit_count limit).
Exits can be disabled or adjusted via enable_short_signal and exitPercentage settings.
Inputs
Backtest Start Date: Defines the start of the backtesting period (default: Jan 1, 2017).
Lookback Periods: Short (lookback_short, default 50) and long (lookback_long, default 200) periods for range calculations.
Resolution: Timeframe for price data (default: Daily).
Entry/Exit Thresholds:
entryThresholdhigh (default 20): Threshold for TPM entry.
entryThresholdlow (default 40): Secondary condition for TPM entry.
orangeEntryThreshold (default 95): Threshold for Fear EKG entry.
profitTake (default 95): Exit threshold.
exitAmt (default 50%): Percentage of position to exit.
Visual Options: Toggle for moving averages and Bollinger Bands, with customizable types and lengths.
Notes
The strategy is designed to work across various timeframes and assets, with data sourced from user-selected resolutions (i_res).
Alerts are included for long entry and exit signals, facilitating integration with TradingView's alert system.
The script avoids repainting by using confirmed bar data and shifted calculations ( ).
Visual elements (e.g., SMA, Bollinger Bands) are inspired by standard Pine Script practices and are optional, not integral to the core logic.
Usage
Apply the script to a chart, adjust input settings to suit your trading style, and use the visual cues (entry/exit dots, position table) to monitor signals. Enable alerts for real-time notifications.
Designed to work best on Daily timeframe.
Simple Multi-Timeframe Trends with RSI (Realtime)Simple Multi-Timeframe Trends with RSI Realtime Updates
Overview
The Simple Multi-Timeframe Trends with RSI Realtime Updates indicator is a comprehensive dashboard designed to give you an at-a-glance understanding of market trends across nine key timeframes, from one minute (M1) to one month (M).
It moves beyond simple moving average crossovers by calculating a sophisticated Trend Score for each timeframe. This score is then intelligently combined into a single, weighted Confluence Signal , which adapts to your personal trading style. With integrated RSI and divergence detection, SMTT provides a powerful, all-in-one tool to confirm your trade ideas and stay on the right side of the market.
Key Features
Automatic Trading Presets: The most powerful feature of the script. Simply select your trading style, and the indicator will automatically adjust all internal parameters for you:
Intraday: Uses shorter moving averages and higher sensitivity, focusing on lower timeframe alignment for quick moves.
Swing Trading: A balanced preset using medium-term moving averages, ideal for capturing trends that last several days or weeks.
Investment: Uses long-term moving averages and lower sensitivity, prioritizing the major trends on high timeframes.
Advanced Trend Scoring: The trend for each timeframe isn't just "up" or "down". The score is calculated based on a combination of:
Price vs. Moving Average: Is the price above or below the MA?
MA Slope: Is the trend accelerating or decelerating? A steep slope indicates a strong trend.
Price Momentum: How quickly has the price moved recently?
Volatility Adjustment: The score's quality is adjusted based on current market volatility (using ATR) to filter out choppy conditions.
Weighted Confluence Score: The script synthesizes the trend scores from all nine timeframes into a single, actionable signal. The weights are dynamically adjusted based on your selected Trading Style , ensuring the most relevant timeframes have the most impact on the final result.
Integrated RSI & Divergence: Each timeframe includes a smoothed RSI value to help you spot overbought/oversold conditions. It also flags potential bullish (price lower, RSI higher) and bearish (price higher, RSI lower) divergences, which can be early warnings of a trend reversal.
Clean & Customizable Dashboard: The entire analysis is presented in a clean, easy-to-read table on your chart. You can choose its position and optionally display the raw numerical scores for a deeper analysis.
How to Use It
1. Add to Chart: Apply the "Simple Multi-Timeframe Trends" indicator to your chart.
2. Select Your Style: This is the most important step. Go to the indicator settings and choose the Trading Style that best fits your strategy (Intraday, Swing Trading, or Investment). All calculations will instantly adapt.
3. Analyze the Dashboard:
Look at the Trend row to see the direction and strength of the trend on individual timeframes. Strong alignment (e.g., all green or all red) indicates a powerful, market-wide move.
Check the RSI row. Is the trend overextended (RSI > 60) or is there room to run? Look for the fuchsia color, which signals a divergence and warrants caution.
Focus on the Signal row. This is your summary. A "STRONG SIGNAL" with high alignment suggests a high-probability setup. A "NEUTRAL" or "Weak" signal suggests waiting for a better opportunity.
4. Confirm Your Trades: Use the SMTT dashboard as a confirmation tool. For example, if you are looking for a long entry, wait for the dashboard to show a "BULLISH" or "STRONG SIGNAL" to confirm that the broader market structure supports your trade.
Dashboard Legend
Trend Row
This row shows the trend direction and strength for each timeframe.
⬆⬆ (Dark Green): Ultra Bullish - Very strong, established uptrend.
⬆ (Green): Strong Bullish - Confident uptrend.
▲ (Light Green): Bullish - The beginning of an uptrend or a weak uptrend.
━ (Orange): Neutral - Sideways or consolidating market.
▼ (Light Red): Bearish - The beginning of a downtrend or a weak downtrend.
⬇ (Red): Strong Bearish - Confident downtrend.
⬇⬇ (Dark Red): Ultra Bearish - Very strong, established downtrend.
RSI Row
This row displays the smoothed RSI value and its condition.
Green Text: Oversold (RSI < 40). Potential for a bounce or reversal upwards.
Red Text: Overbought (RSI > 60). Potential for a pullback or reversal downwards.
Fuchsia (Pink) Text: Divergence Detected! A potential reversal is forming.
White Text: Neutral (RSI between 40 and 60).
Signal Row
This is the final, weighted confluence of all timeframes.
Label:
🚀 STRONG SIGNAL / 💥 STRONG SIGNAL: High confluence and strong momentum.
🟢 BULLISH / 🔴 BEARISH: Clear directional bias across relevant timeframes.
🟡 Weak + / 🟠 Weak -: Minor directional bias, suggests caution.
⚪ NEUTRAL: No clear directional trend; market is likely choppy or undecided.
Numerical Score: The raw weighted confluence score. The further from zero, the stronger the signal.
Alignment %: The percentage of timeframes (out of 9) that are showing a clear bullish or bearish trend. Higher percentages indicate a more unified market.
Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)# Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)
## Advanced Multi-Dimensional Mathematical Analysis System
*Where Quantum Mathematics Meets Market Structure*
---
## 🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a revolutionary synthesis of three cutting-edge mathematical frameworks that have never before been combined for comprehensive market analysis. This indicator transcends traditional technical analysis by implementing advanced mathematical concepts from quantum mechanics, information theory, and fractal geometry.
### 🌊 Multi-Dimensional Volatility with Jump Detection
**Hawkes Process Implementation:**
The TMAE employs a sophisticated Hawkes process approximation for detecting self-exciting market jumps. Unlike traditional volatility measures that treat price movements as independent events, the Hawkes process recognizes that market shocks cluster and exhibit memory effects.
**Mathematical Foundation:**
```
Intensity λ(t) = μ + Σ α(t - Tᵢ)
```
Where market jumps at times Tᵢ increase the probability of future jumps through the decay function α, controlled by the Hawkes Decay parameter (0.5-0.99).
**Mahalanobis Distance Calculation:**
The engine calculates volatility jumps using multi-dimensional Mahalanobis distance across up to 5 volatility dimensions:
- **Dimension 1:** Price volatility (standard deviation of returns)
- **Dimension 2:** Volume volatility (normalized volume fluctuations)
- **Dimension 3:** Range volatility (high-low spread variations)
- **Dimension 4:** Correlation volatility (price-volume relationship changes)
- **Dimension 5:** Microstructure volatility (intrabar positioning analysis)
This creates a volatility state vector that captures market behavior impossible to detect with traditional single-dimensional approaches.
### 📐 Hurst Exponent Regime Detection
**Fractal Market Hypothesis Integration:**
The TMAE implements advanced Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis to calculate the Hurst exponent in real-time, providing dynamic regime classification:
- **H > 0.6:** Trending (persistent) markets - momentum strategies optimal
- **H < 0.4:** Mean-reverting (anti-persistent) markets - contrarian strategies optimal
- **H ≈ 0.5:** Random walk markets - breakout strategies preferred
**Adaptive R/S Analysis:**
Unlike static implementations, the TMAE uses adaptive windowing that adjusts to market conditions:
```
H = log(R/S) / log(n)
```
Where R is the range of cumulative deviations and S is the standard deviation over period n.
**Dynamic Regime Classification:**
The system employs hysteresis to prevent regime flipping, requiring sustained Hurst values before regime changes are confirmed. This prevents false signals during transitional periods.
### 🔄 Transfer Entropy Analysis
**Information Flow Quantification:**
Transfer entropy measures the directional flow of information between price and volume, revealing lead-lag relationships that indicate future price movements:
```
TE(X→Y) = Σ p(yₜ₊₁, yₜ, xₜ) log
```
**Causality Detection:**
- **Volume → Price:** Indicates accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume:** Suggests retail participation or momentum chasing
- **Balanced Flow:** Market equilibrium or transition periods
The system analyzes multiple lag periods (2-20 bars) to capture both immediate and structural information flows.
---
## 🔧 COMPREHENSIVE INPUT SYSTEM
### Core Parameters Group
**Primary Analysis Window (10-100, Default: 50)**
The fundamental lookback period affecting all calculations. Optimization by timeframe:
- **1-5 minute charts:** 20-30 (rapid adaptation to micro-movements)
- **15 minute-1 hour:** 30-50 (balanced responsiveness and stability)
- **4 hour-daily:** 50-100 (smooth signals, reduced noise)
- **Asset-specific:** Cryptocurrency 20-35, Stocks 35-50, Forex 40-60
**Signal Sensitivity (0.1-2.0, Default: 0.7)**
Master control affecting all threshold calculations:
- **Conservative (0.3-0.6):** High-quality signals only, fewer false positives
- **Balanced (0.7-1.0):** Optimal risk-reward ratio for most trading styles
- **Aggressive (1.1-2.0):** Maximum signal frequency, requires careful filtering
**Signal Generation Mode:**
- **Aggressive:** Any component signals (highest frequency)
- **Confluence:** 2+ components agree (balanced approach)
- **Conservative:** All 3 components align (highest quality)
### Volatility Jump Detection Group
**Volatility Dimensions (2-5, Default: 3)**
Determines the mathematical space complexity:
- **2D:** Price + Volume volatility (suitable for clean markets)
- **3D:** + Range volatility (optimal for most conditions)
- **4D:** + Correlation volatility (advanced multi-asset analysis)
- **5D:** + Microstructure volatility (maximum sensitivity)
**Jump Detection Threshold (1.5-4.0σ, Default: 3.0σ)**
Standard deviations required for volatility jump classification:
- **Cryptocurrency:** 2.0-2.5σ (naturally volatile)
- **Stock Indices:** 2.5-3.0σ (moderate volatility)
- **Forex Major Pairs:** 3.0-3.5σ (typically stable)
- **Commodities:** 2.0-3.0σ (varies by commodity)
**Jump Clustering Decay (0.5-0.99, Default: 0.85)**
Hawkes process memory parameter:
- **0.5-0.7:** Fast decay (jumps treated as independent)
- **0.8-0.9:** Moderate clustering (realistic market behavior)
- **0.95-0.99:** Strong clustering (crisis/event-driven markets)
### Hurst Exponent Analysis Group
**Calculation Method Options:**
- **Classic R/S:** Original Rescaled Range (fast, simple)
- **Adaptive R/S:** Dynamic windowing (recommended for trading)
- **DFA:** Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (best for noisy data)
**Trending Threshold (0.55-0.8, Default: 0.60)**
Hurst value defining persistent market behavior:
- **0.55-0.60:** Weak trend persistence
- **0.65-0.70:** Clear trending behavior
- **0.75-0.80:** Strong momentum regimes
**Mean Reversion Threshold (0.2-0.45, Default: 0.40)**
Hurst value defining anti-persistent behavior:
- **0.35-0.45:** Weak mean reversion
- **0.25-0.35:** Clear ranging behavior
- **0.15-0.25:** Strong reversion tendency
### Transfer Entropy Parameters Group
**Information Flow Analysis:**
- **Price-Volume:** Classic flow analysis for accumulation/distribution
- **Price-Volatility:** Risk flow analysis for sentiment shifts
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Cross-timeframe causality detection
**Maximum Lag (2-20, Default: 5)**
Causality detection window:
- **2-5 bars:** Immediate causality (scalping)
- **5-10 bars:** Short-term flow (day trading)
- **10-20 bars:** Structural flow (swing trading)
**Significance Threshold (0.05-0.3, Default: 0.15)**
Minimum entropy for signal generation:
- **0.05-0.10:** Detect subtle information flows
- **0.10-0.20:** Clear causality only
- **0.20-0.30:** Very strong flows only
---
## 🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM
### Tensor Volatility Field Visualization
**Five-Layer Resonance Bands:**
The tensor field creates dynamic support/resistance zones that expand and contract based on mathematical field strength:
- **Core Layer (Purple):** Primary tensor field with highest intensity
- **Layer 2 (Neutral):** Secondary mathematical resonance
- **Layer 3 (Info Blue):** Tertiary harmonic frequencies
- **Layer 4 (Warning Gold):** Outer field boundaries
- **Layer 5 (Success Green):** Maximum field extension
**Field Strength Calculation:**
```
Field Strength = min(3.0, Mahalanobis Distance × Tensor Intensity)
```
The field amplitude adjusts to ATR and mathematical distance, creating dynamic zones that respond to market volatility.
**Radiation Line Network:**
During active tensor states, the system projects directional radiation lines showing field energy distribution:
- **8 Directional Rays:** Complete angular coverage
- **Tapering Segments:** Progressive transparency for natural visual flow
- **Pulse Effects:** Enhanced visualization during volatility jumps
### Dimensional Portal System
**Portal Mathematics:**
Dimensional portals visualize regime transitions using category theory principles:
- **Green Portals (◉):** Trending regime detection (appear below price for support)
- **Red Portals (◎):** Mean-reverting regime (appear above price for resistance)
- **Yellow Portals (○):** Random walk regime (neutral positioning)
**Tensor Trail Effects:**
Each portal generates 8 trailing particles showing mathematical momentum:
- **Large Particles (●):** Strong mathematical signal
- **Medium Particles (◦):** Moderate signal strength
- **Small Particles (·):** Weak signal continuation
- **Micro Particles (˙):** Signal dissipation
### Information Flow Streams
**Particle Stream Visualization:**
Transfer entropy creates flowing particle streams indicating information direction:
- **Upward Streams:** Volume leading price (accumulation phases)
- **Downward Streams:** Price leading volume (distribution phases)
- **Stream Density:** Proportional to information flow strength
**15-Particle Evolution:**
Each stream contains 15 particles with progressive sizing and transparency, creating natural flow visualization that makes information transfer immediately apparent.
### Fractal Matrix Grid System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Levels:**
The system calculates and displays fractal highs/lows across five Fibonacci periods:
- **8-Period:** Short-term fractal structure
- **13-Period:** Intermediate-term patterns
- **21-Period:** Primary swing levels
- **34-Period:** Major structural levels
- **55-Period:** Long-term fractal boundaries
**Triple-Layer Visualization:**
Each fractal level uses three-layer rendering:
- **Shadow Layer:** Widest, darkest foundation (width 5)
- **Glow Layer:** Medium white core line (width 3)
- **Tensor Layer:** Dotted mathematical overlay (width 1)
**Intelligent Labeling System:**
Smart spacing prevents label overlap using ATR-based minimum distances. Labels include:
- **Fractal Period:** Time-based identification
- **Topological Class:** Mathematical complexity rating (0, I, II, III)
- **Price Level:** Exact fractal price
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Current mathematical field strength
- **Hurst Exponent:** Current regime classification
- **Anomaly Indicators:** Visual strength representations (○ ◐ ● ⚡)
### Wick Pressure Analysis
**Rejection Level Mathematics:**
The system analyzes candle wick patterns to project future pressure zones:
- **Upper Wick Analysis:** Identifies selling pressure and resistance zones
- **Lower Wick Analysis:** Identifies buying pressure and support zones
- **Pressure Projection:** Extends lines forward based on mathematical probability
**Multi-Layer Glow Effects:**
Wick pressure lines use progressive transparency (1-8 layers) creating natural glow effects that make pressure zones immediately visible without cluttering the chart.
### Enhanced Regime Background
**Dynamic Intensity Mapping:**
Background colors reflect mathematical regime strength:
- **Deep Transparency (98% alpha):** Subtle regime indication
- **Pulse Intensity:** Based on regime strength calculation
- **Color Coding:** Green (trending), Red (mean-reverting), Neutral (random)
**Smoothing Integration:**
Regime changes incorporate 10-bar smoothing to prevent background flicker while maintaining responsiveness to genuine regime shifts.
### Color Scheme System
**Six Professional Themes:**
- **Dark (Default):** Professional trading environment optimization
- **Light:** High ambient light conditions
- **Classic:** Traditional technical analysis appearance
- **Neon:** High-contrast visibility for active trading
- **Neutral:** Minimal distraction focus
- **Bright:** Maximum visibility for complex setups
Each theme maintains mathematical accuracy while optimizing visual clarity for different trading environments and personal preferences.
---
## 📊 INSTITUTIONAL-GRADE DASHBOARD
### Tensor Field Status Section
**Field Strength Display:**
Real-time Mahalanobis distance calculation with dynamic emoji indicators:
- **⚡ (Lightning):** Extreme field strength (>1.5× threshold)
- **● (Solid Circle):** Strong field activity (>1.0× threshold)
- **○ (Open Circle):** Normal field state
**Signal Quality Rating:**
Democratic algorithm assessment:
- **ELITE:** All 3 components aligned (highest probability)
- **STRONG:** 2 components aligned (good probability)
- **GOOD:** 1 component active (moderate probability)
- **WEAK:** No clear component signals
**Threshold and Anomaly Monitoring:**
- **Threshold Display:** Current mathematical threshold setting
- **Anomaly Level (0-100%):** Combined volatility and volume spike measurement
- **>70%:** High anomaly (red warning)
- **30-70%:** Moderate anomaly (orange caution)
- **<30%:** Normal conditions (green confirmation)
### Tensor State Analysis Section
**Mathematical State Classification:**
- **↑ BULL (Tensor State +1):** Trending regime with bullish bias
- **↓ BEAR (Tensor State -1):** Mean-reverting regime with bearish bias
- **◈ SUPER (Tensor State 0):** Random walk regime (neutral)
**Visual State Gauge:**
Five-circle progression showing tensor field polarity:
- **🟢🟢🟢⚪⚪:** Strong bullish mathematical alignment
- **⚪⚪🟡⚪⚪:** Neutral/transitional state
- **⚪⚪🔴🔴🔴:** Strong bearish mathematical alignment
**Trend Direction and Phase Analysis:**
- **📈 BULL / 📉 BEAR / ➡️ NEUTRAL:** Primary trend classification
- **🌪️ CHAOS:** Extreme information flow (>2.0 flow strength)
- **⚡ ACTIVE:** Strong information flow (1.0-2.0 flow strength)
- **😴 CALM:** Low information flow (<1.0 flow strength)
### Trading Signals Section
**Real-Time Signal Status:**
- **🟢 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Long signal availability
- **🔴 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Short signal availability
- **Components (X/3):** Active algorithmic components
- **Mode Display:** Current signal generation mode
**Signal Strength Visualization:**
Color-coded component count:
- **Green:** 3/3 components (maximum confidence)
- **Aqua:** 2/3 components (good confidence)
- **Orange:** 1/3 components (moderate confidence)
- **Gray:** 0/3 components (no signals)
### Performance Metrics Section
**Win Rate Monitoring:**
Estimated win rates based on signal quality with emoji indicators:
- **🔥 (Fire):** ≥60% estimated win rate
- **👍 (Thumbs Up):** 45-59% estimated win rate
- **⚠️ (Warning):** <45% estimated win rate
**Mathematical Metrics:**
- **Hurst Exponent:** Real-time fractal dimension (0.000-1.000)
- **Information Flow:** Volume/price leading indicators
- **📊 VOL:** Volume leading price (accumulation/distribution)
- **💰 PRICE:** Price leading volume (momentum/speculation)
- **➖ NONE:** Balanced information flow
- **Volatility Classification:**
- **🔥 HIGH:** Above 1.5× jump threshold
- **📊 NORM:** Normal volatility range
- **😴 LOW:** Below 0.5× jump threshold
### Market Structure Section (Large Dashboard)
**Regime Classification:**
- **📈 TREND:** Hurst >0.6, momentum strategies optimal
- **🔄 REVERT:** Hurst <0.4, contrarian strategies optimal
- **🎲 RANDOM:** Hurst ≈0.5, breakout strategies preferred
**Mathematical Field Analysis:**
- **Dimensions:** Current volatility space complexity (2D-5D)
- **Hawkes λ (Lambda):** Self-exciting jump intensity (0.00-1.00)
- **Jump Status:** 🚨 JUMP (active) / ✅ NORM (normal)
### Settings Summary Section (Large Dashboard)
**Active Configuration Display:**
- **Sensitivity:** Current master sensitivity setting
- **Lookback:** Primary analysis window
- **Theme:** Active color scheme
- **Method:** Hurst calculation method (Classic R/S, Adaptive R/S, DFA)
**Dashboard Sizing Options:**
- **Small:** Essential metrics only (mobile/small screens)
- **Normal:** Balanced information density (standard desktop)
- **Large:** Maximum detail (multi-monitor setups)
**Position Options:**
- **Top Right:** Standard placement (avoids price action)
- **Top Left:** Wide chart optimization
- **Bottom Right:** Recent price focus (scalping)
- **Bottom Left:** Maximum price visibility (swing trading)
---
## 🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
### Multi-Component Convergence System
**Component Signal Architecture:**
The TMAE generates signals through sophisticated component analysis rather than simple threshold crossing:
**Volatility Component:**
- **Jump Detection:** Mahalanobis distance threshold breach
- **Hawkes Intensity:** Self-exciting process activation (>0.2)
- **Multi-dimensional:** Considers all volatility dimensions simultaneously
**Hurst Regime Component:**
- **Trending Markets:** Price above SMA-20 with positive momentum
- **Mean-Reverting Markets:** Price at Bollinger Band extremes
- **Random Markets:** Bollinger squeeze breakouts with directional confirmation
**Transfer Entropy Component:**
- **Volume Leadership:** Information flow from volume to price
- **Volume Spike:** Volume 110%+ above 20-period average
- **Flow Significance:** Above entropy threshold with directional bias
### Democratic Signal Weighting
**Signal Mode Implementation:**
- **Aggressive Mode:** Any single component triggers signal
- **Confluence Mode:** Minimum 2 components must agree
- **Conservative Mode:** All 3 components must align
**Momentum Confirmation:**
All signals require momentum confirmation:
- **Long Signals:** RSI >50 AND price >EMA-9
- **Short Signals:** RSI <50 AND price 0.6):**
- **Increase Sensitivity:** Catch momentum continuation
- **Lower Mean Reversion Threshold:** Avoid counter-trend signals
- **Emphasize Volume Leadership:** Institutional accumulation/distribution
- **Tensor Field Focus:** Use expansion for trend continuation
- **Signal Mode:** Aggressive or Confluence for trend following
**Range-Bound Markets (Hurst <0.4):**
- **Decrease Sensitivity:** Avoid false breakouts
- **Lower Trending Threshold:** Quick regime recognition
- **Focus on Price Leadership:** Retail sentiment extremes
- **Fractal Grid Emphasis:** Support/resistance trading
- **Signal Mode:** Conservative for high-probability reversals
**Volatile Markets (High Jump Frequency):**
- **Increase Hawkes Decay:** Recognize event clustering
- **Higher Jump Threshold:** Avoid noise signals
- **Maximum Dimensions:** Capture full volatility complexity
- **Reduce Position Sizing:** Risk management adaptation
- **Enhanced Visuals:** Maximum information for rapid decisions
**Low Volatility Markets (Low Jump Frequency):**
- **Decrease Jump Threshold:** Capture subtle movements
- **Lower Hawkes Decay:** Treat moves as independent
- **Reduce Dimensions:** Simplify analysis
- **Increase Position Sizing:** Capitalize on compressed volatility
- **Minimal Visuals:** Reduce distraction in quiet markets
---
## 🚀 ADVANCED TRADING STRATEGIES
### The Mathematical Convergence Method
**Entry Protocol:**
1. **Fractal Grid Approach:** Monitor price approaching significant fractal levels
2. **Tensor Field Confirmation:** Verify field expansion supporting direction
3. **Portal Signal:** Wait for dimensional portal appearance
4. **ELITE/STRONG Quality:** Only trade highest quality mathematical signals
5. **Component Consensus:** Confirm 2+ components agree in Confluence mode
**Example Implementation:**
- Price approaching 21-period fractal high
- Tensor field expanding upward (bullish mathematical alignment)
- Green portal appears below price (trending regime confirmation)
- ELITE quality signal with 3/3 components active
- Enter long position with stop below fractal level
**Risk Management:**
- **Stop Placement:** Below/above fractal level that generated signal
- **Position Sizing:** Based on Mahalanobis distance (higher distance = smaller size)
- **Profit Targets:** Next fractal level or tensor field resistance
### The Regime Transition Strategy
**Regime Change Detection:**
1. **Monitor Hurst Exponent:** Watch for persistent moves above/below thresholds
2. **Portal Color Change:** Regime transitions show different portal colors
3. **Background Intensity:** Increasing regime background intensity
4. **Mathematical Confirmation:** Wait for regime confirmation (hysteresis)
**Trading Implementation:**
- **Trending Transitions:** Trade momentum breakouts, follow trend
- **Mean Reversion Transitions:** Trade range boundaries, fade extremes
- **Random Transitions:** Trade breakouts with tight stops
**Advanced Techniques:**
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Confirm regime on higher timeframe
- **Early Entry:** Enter on regime transition rather than confirmation
- **Regime Strength:** Larger positions during strong regime signals
### The Information Flow Momentum Strategy
**Flow Detection Protocol:**
1. **Monitor Transfer Entropy:** Watch for significant information flow shifts
2. **Volume Leadership:** Strong edge when volume leads price
3. **Flow Acceleration:** Increasing flow strength indicates momentum
4. **Directional Confirmation:** Ensure flow aligns with intended trade direction
**Entry Signals:**
- **Volume → Price Flow:** Enter during accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume Flow:** Enter on momentum confirmation breaks
- **Flow Reversal:** Counter-trend entries when flow reverses
**Optimization:**
- **Scalping:** Use immediate flow detection (2-5 bar lag)
- **Swing Trading:** Use structural flow (10-20 bar lag)
- **Multi-Asset:** Compare flow between correlated assets
### The Tensor Field Expansion Strategy
**Field Mathematics:**
The tensor field expansion indicates mathematical pressure building in market structure:
**Expansion Phases:**
1. **Compression:** Field contracts, volatility decreases
2. **Tension Building:** Mathematical pressure accumulates
3. **Expansion:** Field expands rapidly with directional movement
4. **Resolution:** Field stabilizes at new equilibrium
**Trading Applications:**
- **Compression Trading:** Prepare for breakout during field contraction
- **Expansion Following:** Trade direction of field expansion
- **Reversion Trading:** Fade extreme field expansion
- **Multi-Dimensional:** Consider all field layers for confirmation
### The Hawkes Process Event Strategy
**Self-Exciting Jump Trading:**
Understanding that market shocks cluster and create follow-on opportunities:
**Jump Sequence Analysis:**
1. **Initial Jump:** First volatility jump detected
2. **Clustering Phase:** Hawkes intensity remains elevated
3. **Follow-On Opportunities:** Additional jumps more likely
4. **Decay Period:** Intensity gradually decreases
**Implementation:**
- **Jump Confirmation:** Wait for mathematical jump confirmation
- **Direction Assessment:** Use other components for direction
- **Clustering Trades:** Trade subsequent moves during high intensity
- **Decay Exit:** Exit positions as Hawkes intensity decays
### The Fractal Confluence System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Analysis:**
Combining fractal levels across different periods for high-probability zones:
**Confluence Zones:**
- **Double Confluence:** 2 fractal levels align
- **Triple Confluence:** 3+ fractal levels cluster
- **Mathematical Confirmation:** Tensor field supports the level
- **Information Flow:** Transfer entropy confirms direction
**Trading Protocol:**
1. **Identify Confluence:** Find 2+ fractal levels within 1 ATR
2. **Mathematical Support:** Verify tensor field alignment
3. **Signal Quality:** Wait for STRONG or ELITE signal
4. **Risk Definition:** Use fractal level for stop placement
5. **Profit Targeting:** Next major fractal confluence zone
---
## ⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE RISK MANAGEMENT
### Mathematical Position Sizing
**Mahalanobis Distance Integration:**
Position size should inversely correlate with mathematical field strength:
```
Position Size = Base Size × (Threshold / Mahalanobis Distance)
```
**Risk Scaling Matrix:**
- **Low Field Strength (<2.0):** Standard position sizing
- **Moderate Field Strength (2.0-3.0):** 75% position sizing
- **High Field Strength (3.0-4.0):** 50% position sizing
- **Extreme Field Strength (>4.0):** 25% position sizing or no trade
### Signal Quality Risk Adjustment
**Quality-Based Position Sizing:**
- **ELITE Signals:** 100% of planned position size
- **STRONG Signals:** 75% of planned position size
- **GOOD Signals:** 50% of planned position size
- **WEAK Signals:** No position or paper trading only
**Component Agreement Scaling:**
- **3/3 Components:** Full position size
- **2/3 Components:** 75% position size
- **1/3 Components:** 50% position size or skip trade
### Regime-Adaptive Risk Management
**Trending Market Risk:**
- **Wider Stops:** Allow for trend continuation
- **Trend Following:** Trade with regime direction
- **Higher Position Size:** Trend probability advantage
- **Momentum Stops:** Trail stops based on momentum indicators
**Mean-Reverting Market Risk:**
- **Tighter Stops:** Quick exits on trend continuation
- **Contrarian Positioning:** Trade against extremes
- **Smaller Position Size:** Higher reversal failure rate
- **Level-Based Stops:** Use fractal levels for stops
**Random Market Risk:**
- **Breakout Focus:** Trade only clear breakouts
- **Tight Initial Stops:** Quick exit if breakout fails
- **Reduced Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Range-Based Targets:** Profit targets at range boundaries
### Volatility-Adaptive Risk Controls
**High Volatility Periods:**
- **Reduced Position Size:** Account for wider price swings
- **Wider Stops:** Avoid noise-based exits
- **Lower Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Faster Exits:** Take profits more quickly
**Low Volatility Periods:**
- **Standard Position Size:** Normal risk parameters
- **Tighter Stops:** Take advantage of compressed ranges
- **Higher Frequency:** Trade more setups
- **Extended Targets:** Allow for compressed volatility expansion
### Multi-Timeframe Risk Alignment
**Higher Timeframe Trend:**
- **With Trend:** Standard or increased position size
- **Against Trend:** Reduced position size or skip
- **Neutral Trend:** Standard position size with tight management
**Risk Hierarchy:**
1. **Primary:** Current timeframe signal quality
2. **Secondary:** Higher timeframe trend alignment
3. **Tertiary:** Mathematical field strength
4. **Quaternary:** Market regime classification
---
## 📚 EDUCATIONAL VALUE AND MATHEMATICAL CONCEPTS
### Advanced Mathematical Concepts
**Tensor Analysis in Markets:**
The TMAE introduces traders to tensor analysis, a branch of mathematics typically reserved for physics and advanced engineering. Tensors provide a framework for understanding multi-dimensional market relationships that scalar and vector analysis cannot capture.
**Information Theory Applications:**
Transfer entropy implementation teaches traders about information flow in markets, a concept from information theory that quantifies directional causality between variables. This provides intuition about market microstructure and participant behavior.
**Fractal Geometry in Trading:**
The Hurst exponent calculation exposes traders to fractal geometry concepts, helping understand that markets exhibit self-similar patterns across multiple timeframes. This mathematical insight transforms how traders view market structure.
**Stochastic Process Theory:**
The Hawkes process implementation introduces concepts from stochastic process theory, specifically self-exciting point processes. This provides mathematical framework for understanding why market events cluster and exhibit memory effects.
### Learning Progressive Complexity
**Beginner Mathematical Concepts:**
- **Volatility Dimensions:** Understanding multi-dimensional analysis
- **Regime Classification:** Learning market personality types
- **Signal Democracy:** Algorithmic consensus building
- **Visual Mathematics:** Interpreting mathematical concepts visually
**Intermediate Mathematical Applications:**
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Statistical distance in multi-dimensional space
- **Rescaled Range Analysis:** Fractal dimension measurement
- **Information Entropy:** Quantifying uncertainty and causality
- **Field Theory:** Understanding mathematical fields in market context
**Advanced Mathematical Integration:**
- **Tensor Field Dynamics:** Multi-dimensional market force analysis
- **Stochastic Self-Excitation:** Event clustering and memory effects
- **Categorical Composition:** Mathematical signal combination theory
- **Topological Market Analysis:** Understanding market shape and connectivity
### Practical Mathematical Intuition
**Developing Market Mathematics Intuition:**
The TMAE serves as a bridge between abstract mathematical concepts and practical trading applications. Traders develop intuitive understanding of:
- **How markets exhibit mathematical structure beneath apparent randomness**
- **Why multi-dimensional analysis reveals patterns invisible to single-variable approaches**
- **How information flows through markets in measurable, predictable ways**
- **Why mathematical models provide probabilistic edges rather than certainties**
---
## 🔬 IMPLEMENTATION AND OPTIMIZATION
### Getting Started Protocol
**Phase 1: Observation (Week 1)**
1. **Apply with defaults:** Use standard settings on your primary trading timeframe
2. **Study visual elements:** Learn to interpret tensor fields, portals, and streams
3. **Monitor dashboard:** Observe how metrics change with market conditions
4. **No trading:** Focus entirely on pattern recognition and understanding
**Phase 2: Pattern Recognition (Week 2-3)**
1. **Identify signal patterns:** Note what market conditions produce different signal qualities
2. **Regime correlation:** Observe how Hurst regimes affect signal performance
3. **Visual confirmation:** Learn to read tensor field expansion and portal signals
4. **Component analysis:** Understand which components drive signals in different markets
**Phase 3: Parameter Optimization (Week 4-5)**
1. **Asset-specific tuning:** Adjust parameters for your specific trading instrument
2. **Timeframe optimization:** Fine-tune for your preferred trading timeframe
3. **Sensitivity adjustment:** Balance signal frequency with quality
4. **Visual customization:** Optimize colors and intensity for your trading environment
**Phase 4: Live Implementation (Week 6+)**
1. **Paper trading:** Test signals with hypothetical trades
2. **Small position sizing:** Begin with minimal risk during learning phase
3. **Performance tracking:** Monitor actual vs. expected signal performance
4. **Continuous optimization:** Refine settings based on real performance data
### Performance Monitoring System
**Signal Quality Tracking:**
- **ELITE Signal Win Rate:** Track highest quality signals separately
- **Component Performance:** Monitor which components provide best signals
- **Regime Performance:** Analyze performance across different market regimes
- **Timeframe Analysis:** Compare performance across different session times
**Mathematical Metric Correlation:**
- **Field Strength vs. Performance:** Higher field strength should correlate with better performance
- **Component Agreement vs. Win Rate:** More component agreement should improve win rates
- **Regime Alignment vs. Success:** Trading with mathematical regime should outperform
### Continuous Optimization Process
**Monthly Review Protocol:**
1. **Performance Analysis:** Review win rates, profit factors, and maximum drawdown
2. **Parameter Assessment:** Evaluate if current settings remain optimal
3. **Market Adaptation:** Adjust for changes in market character or volatility
4. **Component Weighting:** Consider if certain components should receive more/less emphasis
**Quarterly Deep Analysis:**
1. **Mathematical Model Validation:** Verify that mathematical relationships remain valid
2. **Regime Distribution:** Analyze time spent in different market regimes
3. **Signal Evolution:** Track how signal characteristics change over time
4. **Correlation Analysis:** Monitor correlations between different mathematical components
---
## 🌟 UNIQUE INNOVATIONS AND CONTRIBUTIONS
### Revolutionary Mathematical Integration
**First-Ever Implementations:**
1. **Multi-Dimensional Volatility Tensor:** First indicator to implement true tensor analysis for market volatility
2. **Real-Time Hawkes Process:** First trading implementation of self-exciting point processes
3. **Transfer Entropy Trading Signals:** First practical application of information theory for trade generation
4. **Democratic Component Voting:** First algorithmic consensus system for signal generation
5. **Fractal-Projected Signal Quality:** First system to predict signal quality at future price levels
### Advanced Visualization Innovations
**Mathematical Visualization Breakthroughs:**
- **Tensor Field Radiation:** Visual representation of mathematical field energy
- **Dimensional Portal System:** Category theory visualization for regime transitions
- **Information Flow Streams:** Real-time visual display of market information transfer
- **Multi-Layer Fractal Grid:** Intelligent spacing and projection system
- **Regime Intensity Mapping:** Dynamic background showing mathematical regime strength
### Practical Trading Innovations
**Trading System Advances:**
- **Quality-Weighted Signal Generation:** Signals rated by mathematical confidence
- **Regime-Adaptive Strategy Selection:** Automatic strategy optimization based on market personality
- **Anti-Spam Signal Protection:** Mathematical prevention of signal clustering
- **Component Performance Tracking:** Real-time monitoring of algorithmic component success
- **Field-Strength Position Sizing:** Mathematical volatility integration for risk management
---
## ⚖️ RESPONSIBLE USAGE AND LIMITATIONS
### Mathematical Model Limitations
**Understanding Model Boundaries:**
While the TMAE implements sophisticated mathematical concepts, traders must understand fundamental limitations:
- **Markets Are Not Purely Mathematical:** Human psychology, news events, and fundamental factors create unpredictable elements
- **Past Performance Limitations:** Mathematical relationships that worked historically may not persist indefinitely
- **Model Risk:** Complex models can fail during unprecedented market conditions
- **Overfitting Potential:** Highly optimized parameters may not generalize to future market conditions
### Proper Implementation Guidelines
**Risk Management Requirements:**
- **Never Risk More Than 2% Per Trade:** Regardless of signal quality
- **Diversification Mandatory:** Don't rely solely on mathematical signals
- **Position Sizing Discipline:** Use mathematical field strength for sizing, not confidence
- **Stop Loss Non-Negotiable:** Every trade must have predefined risk parameters
**Realistic Expectations:**
- **Mathematical Edge, Not Certainty:** The indicator provides probabilistic advantages, not guaranteed outcomes
- **Learning Curve Required:** Complex mathematical concepts require time to master
- **Market Adaptation Necessary:** Parameters must evolve with changing market conditions
- **Continuous Education Important:** Understanding underlying mathematics improves application
### Ethical Trading Considerations
**Market Impact Awareness:**
- **Information Asymmetry:** Advanced mathematical analysis may provide advantages over other market participants
- **Position Size Responsibility:** Large positions based on mathematical signals can impact market structure
- **Sharing Knowledge:** Consider educational contributions to trading community
- **Fair Market Participation:** Use mathematical advantages responsibly within market framework
### Professional Development Path
**Skill Development Sequence:**
1. **Basic Mathematical Literacy:** Understand fundamental concepts before advanced application
2. **Risk Management Mastery:** Develop disciplined risk control before relying on complex signals
3. **Market Psychology Understanding:** Combine mathematical analysis with behavioral market insights
4. **Continuous Learning:** Stay updated on mathematical finance developments and market evolution
---
## 🔮 CONCLUSION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a quantum leap forward in technical analysis, successfully bridging the gap between advanced pure mathematics and practical trading applications. By integrating multi-dimensional volatility analysis, fractal market theory, and information flow dynamics, the TMAE reveals market structure invisible to conventional analysis while maintaining visual clarity and practical usability.
### Mathematical Innovation Legacy
This indicator establishes new paradigms in technical analysis:
- **Tensor analysis for market volatility understanding**
- **Stochastic self-excitation for event clustering prediction**
- **Information theory for causality-based trade generation**
- **Democratic algorithmic consensus for signal quality enhancement**
- **Mathematical field visualization for intuitive market understanding**
### Practical Trading Revolution
Beyond mathematical innovation, the TMAE transforms practical trading:
- **Quality-rated signals replace binary buy/sell decisions**
- **Regime-adaptive strategies automatically optimize for market personality**
- **Multi-dimensional risk management integrates mathematical volatility measures**
- **Visual mathematical concepts make complex analysis immediately interpretable**
- **Educational value creates lasting improvement in trading understanding**
### Future-Proof Design
The mathematical foundations ensure lasting relevance:
- **Universal mathematical principles transcend market evolution**
- **Multi-dimensional analysis adapts to new market structures**
- **Regime detection automatically adjusts to changing market personalities**
- **Component democracy allows for future algorithmic additions**
- **Mathematical visualization scales with increasing market complexity**
### Commitment to Excellence
The TMAE represents more than an indicator—it embodies a philosophy of bringing rigorous mathematical analysis to trading while maintaining practical utility and visual elegance. Every component, from the multi-dimensional tensor fields to the democratic signal generation, reflects a commitment to mathematical accuracy, trading practicality, and educational value.
### Trading with Mathematical Precision
In an era where markets grow increasingly complex and computational, the TMAE provides traders with mathematical tools previously available only to institutional quantitative research teams. Yet unlike academic mathematical models, the TMAE translates complex concepts into intuitive visual representations and practical trading signals.
By combining the mathematical rigor of tensor analysis, the statistical power of multi-dimensional volatility modeling, and the information-theoretic insights of transfer entropy, traders gain unprecedented insight into market structure and dynamics.
### Final Perspective
Markets, like nature, exhibit profound mathematical beauty beneath apparent chaos. The Tensor Market Analysis Engine serves as a mathematical lens that reveals this hidden order, transforming how traders perceive and interact with market structure.
Through mathematical precision, visual elegance, and practical utility, the TMAE empowers traders to see beyond the noise and trade with the confidence that comes from understanding the mathematical principles governing market behavior.
Trade with mathematical insight. Trade with the power of tensors. Trade with the TMAE.
*"In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them." - John von Neumann*
*With the TMAE, mathematical market understanding becomes not just possible, but intuitive.*
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Setup Score OscillatorSetup Score Oscillator – Full Description
🎯 Purpose of the Script
This script is a manual trading setup scoring tool, designed to help traders quantify the quality of a trade setup by combining multiple technical, cyclical, and contextual signals.
Instead of relying on a single indicator, the trader manually selects which signals are present, and the script calculates a total score (0–100%), displayed as an oscillator in a separate panel (like RSI or MACD).
🔧 How it works in practice
1. Manual signal inputs
The script presents a set of checkboxes in the settings, where the trader can enable/disable the following signals:
✅ Confirmed Support/Resistance
✅ Aligned Volume Profile
✅ Favorable Cyclic Timing
✅ Valid Trend Line
✅ Aligned Cyclical Moving Averages
✅ Relevant Fibonacci Level
✅ Classic Volume Signal (spike, dry-up, etc.)
✅ Oscillator confirmation (e.g., divergences)
✅ Extreme Sentiment
✅ Relevant or incoming News
Each selected signal contributes to the total score based on its weight.
2. Scoring system
Each signal has a default weight (e.g., 20% for support/resistance, 15% for cycles, etc.).
Optionally, the trader can enable the “custom weights” checkbox and adjust each signal’s weight directly in the settings.
3. Score visualization
The final score (sum of all active weights) is plotted as an oscillator ranging from 0 to 100%, with dynamic coloring:
Range Color Meaning
0–39% Red No valid setup
40–54% Yellow Watchlist only
55–69% Orange Good setup
70–100% Green Strong setup
Several horizontal threshold lines are displayed:
50% → neutral threshold
40%, 55%, 70% → operational levels
4. Optional background coloring
When the score exceeds 55% or 70%, the oscillator background lightly changes color to highlight stronger setups (non-intrusive).
📌 Practical benefits
Objectifies subjective analysis: each decision becomes a number.
Prevents overtrading: no entries if the score is too low.
Adaptable to any trading style: swing, intraday, positional.
User-friendly: no coding needed – just tick boxes.
Italiano:
Setup Score Oscillator – Descrizione completa
🎯 Obiettivo dello script
Lo script è uno strumento manuale di valutazione dei setup di trading, pensato per aiutare il trader a quantificare la qualità di un'opportunità operativa basandosi su più segnali tecnici, ciclici e contestuali.
Invece di affidarsi a un solo indicatore, il trader seleziona manualmente quali segnali sono presenti, e lo script calcola un punteggio complessivo percentuale (0–100%), rappresentato come oscillatore in una finestra separata (tipo RSI, MACD, ecc.).
🔧 Come funziona operativamente
1. Input manuale dei segnali
Lo script mostra una serie di checkbox nelle impostazioni, dove il trader può attivare o disattivare i seguenti segnali:
✅ Supporto/Resistenza confermata
✅ Volume Profile allineato
✅ Cicli o timing favorevole
✅ Trend line valida
✅ Medie mobili cicliche allineate
✅ Livello di Fibonacci rilevante
✅ Volume classico significativo (spike, dry-up)
✅ Conferme da oscillatori (es. divergenze)
✅ Sentiment estremo (es. euforia o panico)
✅ News importanti imminenti o appena uscite
Ogni casella attiva contribuisce al punteggio totale, con un peso specifico.
2. Sistema di punteggio
Ogni segnale ha un peso predefinito (es. 20% per supporti/resistenze, 15% per cicli, ecc.).
Facoltativamente, il trader può attivare la funzione “Enable custom weights” per personalizzare i pesi di ciascun segnale direttamente da input.
3. Visualizzazione del punteggio
Il punteggio complessivo (somma dei pesi attivati) viene tracciato come oscillatore da 0 a 100%, con colori dinamici:
Range Colore Significato
0–39% Rosso Nessun setup valido
40–54% Giallo Osservazione
55–69% Arancione Setup buono
70–1005 Verde Setup forte
Sono tracciate anche delle linee guida orizzontali a:
50% → soglia neutra
40%, 55%, 70% → soglie operative
4. Colorazione dello sfondo (facoltativa)
Quando il punteggio supera 55% o 70%, lo sfondo dell’oscillatore cambia leggermente colore per evidenziare il segnale (non invasivo).
📌 Vantaggi pratici
Oggettivizza l’analisi soggettiva: ogni decisione manuale si trasforma in un numero.
Evita overtrading: se il punteggio è troppo basso, non si entra.
Adattabile a ogni stile: swing, intraday, position.
Facile da usare anche senza codice: basta spuntare le caselle.
CCO_LibraryLibrary "CCO_Library"
Contrarian Crowd Oscillator (CCO) Library - Multi-oscillator consensus indicator for contrarian trading signals
@author B3AR_Trades
calculate_oscillators(rsi_length, stoch_length, cci_length, williams_length, roc_length, mfi_length, percentile_lookback, use_rsi, use_stochastic, use_williams, use_cci, use_roc, use_mfi)
Calculate normalized oscillator values
Parameters:
rsi_length (simple int) : (int) RSI calculation period
stoch_length (int) : (int) Stochastic calculation period
cci_length (int) : (int) CCI calculation period
williams_length (int) : (int) Williams %R calculation period
roc_length (int) : (int) ROC calculation period
mfi_length (int) : (int) MFI calculation period
percentile_lookback (int) : (int) Lookback period for CCI/ROC percentile ranking
use_rsi (bool) : (bool) Include RSI in calculations
use_stochastic (bool) : (bool) Include Stochastic in calculations
use_williams (bool) : (bool) Include Williams %R in calculations
use_cci (bool) : (bool) Include CCI in calculations
use_roc (bool) : (bool) Include ROC in calculations
use_mfi (bool) : (bool) Include MFI in calculations
Returns: (OscillatorValues) Normalized oscillator values
calculate_consensus_score(oscillators, use_rsi, use_stochastic, use_williams, use_cci, use_roc, use_mfi, weight_by_reliability, consensus_smoothing)
Calculate weighted consensus score
Parameters:
oscillators (OscillatorValues) : (OscillatorValues) Individual oscillator values
use_rsi (bool) : (bool) Include RSI in consensus
use_stochastic (bool) : (bool) Include Stochastic in consensus
use_williams (bool) : (bool) Include Williams %R in consensus
use_cci (bool) : (bool) Include CCI in consensus
use_roc (bool) : (bool) Include ROC in consensus
use_mfi (bool) : (bool) Include MFI in consensus
weight_by_reliability (bool) : (bool) Apply reliability-based weights
consensus_smoothing (int) : (int) Smoothing period for consensus
Returns: (float) Weighted consensus score (0-100)
calculate_consensus_strength(oscillators, consensus_score, use_rsi, use_stochastic, use_williams, use_cci, use_roc, use_mfi)
Calculate consensus strength (agreement between oscillators)
Parameters:
oscillators (OscillatorValues) : (OscillatorValues) Individual oscillator values
consensus_score (float) : (float) Current consensus score
use_rsi (bool) : (bool) Include RSI in strength calculation
use_stochastic (bool) : (bool) Include Stochastic in strength calculation
use_williams (bool) : (bool) Include Williams %R in strength calculation
use_cci (bool) : (bool) Include CCI in strength calculation
use_roc (bool) : (bool) Include ROC in strength calculation
use_mfi (bool) : (bool) Include MFI in strength calculation
Returns: (float) Consensus strength (0-100)
classify_regime(consensus_score)
Classify consensus regime
Parameters:
consensus_score (float) : (float) Current consensus score
Returns: (ConsensusRegime) Regime classification
detect_signals(consensus_score, consensus_strength, consensus_momentum, regime)
Detect trading signals
Parameters:
consensus_score (float) : (float) Current consensus score
consensus_strength (float) : (float) Current consensus strength
consensus_momentum (float) : (float) Consensus momentum
regime (ConsensusRegime) : (ConsensusRegime) Current regime classification
Returns: (TradingSignals) Trading signal conditions
calculate_cco(rsi_length, stoch_length, cci_length, williams_length, roc_length, mfi_length, consensus_smoothing, percentile_lookback, use_rsi, use_stochastic, use_williams, use_cci, use_roc, use_mfi, weight_by_reliability, detect_momentum)
Calculate complete CCO analysis
Parameters:
rsi_length (simple int) : (int) RSI calculation period
stoch_length (int) : (int) Stochastic calculation period
cci_length (int) : (int) CCI calculation period
williams_length (int) : (int) Williams %R calculation period
roc_length (int) : (int) ROC calculation period
mfi_length (int) : (int) MFI calculation period
consensus_smoothing (int) : (int) Consensus smoothing period
percentile_lookback (int) : (int) Percentile ranking lookback
use_rsi (bool) : (bool) Include RSI
use_stochastic (bool) : (bool) Include Stochastic
use_williams (bool) : (bool) Include Williams %R
use_cci (bool) : (bool) Include CCI
use_roc (bool) : (bool) Include ROC
use_mfi (bool) : (bool) Include MFI
weight_by_reliability (bool) : (bool) Apply reliability weights
detect_momentum (bool) : (bool) Calculate momentum and acceleration
Returns: (CCOResult) Complete CCO analysis results
calculate_cco_default()
Calculate CCO with default parameters
Returns: (CCOResult) CCO result with standard settings
cco_consensus_score()
Get just the consensus score with default parameters
Returns: (float) Consensus score (0-100)
cco_consensus_strength()
Get just the consensus strength with default parameters
Returns: (float) Consensus strength (0-100)
is_panic_bottom()
Check if in panic bottom condition
Returns: (bool) True if panic bottom signal active
is_euphoric_top()
Check if in euphoric top condition
Returns: (bool) True if euphoric top signal active
bullish_consensus_reversal()
Check for bullish consensus reversal
Returns: (bool) True if bullish reversal detected
bearish_consensus_reversal()
Check for bearish consensus reversal
Returns: (bool) True if bearish reversal detected
bearish_divergence()
Check for bearish divergence
Returns: (bool) True if bearish divergence detected
bullish_divergence()
Check for bullish divergence
Returns: (bool) True if bullish divergence detected
get_regime_name()
Get current regime name
Returns: (string) Current consensus regime name
get_contrarian_signal()
Get contrarian signal
Returns: (string) Current contrarian trading signal
get_position_multiplier()
Get position size multiplier
Returns: (float) Recommended position sizing multiplier
OscillatorValues
Individual oscillator values
Fields:
rsi (series float) : RSI value (0-100)
stochastic (series float) : Stochastic value (0-100)
williams (series float) : Williams %R value (0-100, normalized)
cci (series float) : CCI percentile value (0-100)
roc (series float) : ROC percentile value (0-100)
mfi (series float) : Money Flow Index value (0-100)
ConsensusRegime
Consensus regime classification
Fields:
extreme_bearish (series bool) : Extreme bearish consensus (<= 20)
moderate_bearish (series bool) : Moderate bearish consensus (20-40)
mixed (series bool) : Mixed consensus (40-60)
moderate_bullish (series bool) : Moderate bullish consensus (60-80)
extreme_bullish (series bool) : Extreme bullish consensus (>= 80)
regime_name (series string) : Text description of current regime
contrarian_signal (series string) : Contrarian trading signal
TradingSignals
Trading signals
Fields:
panic_bottom_signal (series bool) : Extreme bearish consensus with high strength
euphoric_top_signal (series bool) : Extreme bullish consensus with high strength
consensus_reversal_bullish (series bool) : Bullish consensus reversal
consensus_reversal_bearish (series bool) : Bearish consensus reversal
bearish_divergence (series bool) : Bearish price-consensus divergence
bullish_divergence (series bool) : Bullish price-consensus divergence
strong_consensus (series bool) : High consensus strength signal
CCOResult
Complete CCO calculation results
Fields:
consensus_score (series float) : Main consensus score (0-100)
consensus_strength (series float) : Consensus strength (0-100)
consensus_momentum (series float) : Rate of consensus change
consensus_acceleration (series float) : Rate of momentum change
oscillators (OscillatorValues) : Individual oscillator values
regime (ConsensusRegime) : Regime classification
signals (TradingSignals) : Trading signals
position_multiplier (series float) : Recommended position sizing multiplier
Choppiness ZONE OverlayPurpose
This script overlays choppiness zones directly onto the price chart to help traders identify whether the market is trending or ranging. It is designed to filter out low-probability trades during high choppiness conditions.
How It Works
Calculates the Choppiness Index over a user-defined period using ATR and price range.
Divides choppiness into four zones:
30 to 40: Low choppiness, possible trend initiation, shown in yellow.
40 to 50: Moderate choppiness, transition zone, shown in orange.
50 to 60: High choppiness, weakening momentum, shown in red.
60 and above: Extreme choppiness, avoid trading, shown in purple.
Highlights each zone with customizable color fills between the high and low of the selected range.
Triggers a real-time alert when choppiness exceeds 60.
Features
Customizable choppiness zones and color settings.
Real-time alert when market becomes extremely choppy (choppiness ≥ 60).
Visual zone overlay on the price chart.
Compatible with all timeframes.
Lightweight and responsive for scalping, intraday, or swing trading.
Tip
Use this tool as a volatility or trend filter. Combine it with momentum or trend-following indicators to improve trade selection.
ATR, ADX, RSI TableATR, ADX & RSI Dashboard (Color-Coded)
Overview
This indicator provides a clean, all-in-one dashboard that displays the current values for three of the most popular technical indicators: Average True Range (ATR), Average Directional Index (ADX), and Relative Strength Index (RSI).
To make analysis faster and more intuitive, the values in the table are dynamically color-coded based on key thresholds. This allows you to get an immediate visual summary of market volatility, trend strength, and momentum without cluttering your main chart area.
Features
The indicator displays a simple table in the bottom-right corner of your chart with the following color logic:
ATR (Volatility): Measures the average volatility of an asset.
Green: Low Volatility (ATR is less than 3% of the current price).
Orange: Moderate Volatility (ATR is between 3% and 5%).
Red: High Volatility (ATR is greater than 5%).
ADX (Trend Strength): Measures the strength of the underlying trend, regardless of its direction.
Red: Weak or Non-Trending Market (ADX is below 20).
Orange: Developing or Neutral Trend (ADX is between 20 and 25).
Green: Strong Trend (ADX is above 25).
RSI (Momentum): Measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
Green: Potentially Oversold (RSI is below 40).
Orange: Neutral/Normal Conditions (RSI is between 40 and 70).
Red: Potentially Overbought (RSI is above 70).
How to Use
This tool is perfect for traders who want a quick, at-a-glance understanding of the current market state. Instead of analyzing three separate indicators, you can use this dashboard to:
Quickly confirm if a strong trend is present before entering a trade.
Assess volatility to adjust your stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Instantly spot potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Customization
All input lengths for the ATR, ADX, and RSI are fully customizable in the indicator's settings menu, allowing you to tailor the calculations to your specific trading style and timeframe.
Mariam Market DashboardMariam Market Dashboard – A Quick Guide
Purpose:
Shows if the market is trending, volatile, or stuck so you can decide when to trade or wait.
How to Use
Add the indicator to your chart. Adjust basic settings like EMA, RSI, ATR lengths, and timezone if needed. Use it before entering any trade to confirm market conditions.
What Each Metric Means (with general ranges)
Session: Identifies which market session is active (New York, London, Tokyo).
Trend: Shows current market direction. “Up” means price above EMA and VWAP, “Down” means price below. Use this to confirm bullish or bearish bias.
HTF Trend: Confirms trend on a higher timeframe for stronger signals.
ATR (Average True Range): Measures market volatility or price movement speed.
Low ATR (e.g., below 0.5% of price) means quiet or slow market; high ATR (above 1% of price) means volatile or fast-moving market, good for active trades.
Strong Bar: A candlestick closing near its high (above 75% of range) indicates strong buying momentum; closing near its low indicates strong selling momentum.
Higher Volume: Volume higher than average (typically 10-20% above normal) means more market activity and stronger moves.
Volume / Avg Volume: Ratio above 1.2 (120%) shows volume is significantly higher than usual, signaling strong interest.
RVol % (Relative Volume %): Above 100% means volume is hotter than normal, increasing chances of strong moves; below 50% means low activity and possible indecision.
Delta: Difference between buying and selling volume (if available). A positive delta means buyers dominate; negative means sellers dominate.
ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures trend strength:
Below 20 means weak or no trend;
Above 25 means strong trend;
Between 20-25 is moderate trend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Momentum oscillator:
Below 30 = oversold (potential buy);
Above 70 = overbought (potential sell);
Between 40-60 means neutral momentum.
MACD: Confirms momentum direction:
Positive MACD histogram bars indicate bullish momentum;
Negative bars indicate bearish momentum.
Choppiness Index: Measures how much the market is ranging versus trending:
Above 60 = very choppy/sideways market;
Below 40 = trending market.
Consolidation: When true, price is stuck in a narrow range, signaling indecision. Avoid breakout trades during this.
Quick Trading Reminder
Trade only when the trend is clear and volume is above average. Avoid trading in low volume or choppy markets.
Average RSI (Daily + Weekly)📈 Average RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Beginner’s Guide
What it is:
The Average RSI is a technical indicator that combines multiple RSI values—such as daily and weekly RSI—into a single, smoothed line. This helps traders get a clearer picture of a stock’s momentum over both short- and medium-term timeframes.
Why it matters:
The RSI tells you whether a stock is potentially overbought (priced too high and due for a pullback) or oversold (priced too low and due for a bounce). Traditional RSI uses a scale from 0 to 100, with key levels at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold).
By averaging RSI across different timeframes, you reduce noise and get a better signal for trends and reversals.
How traders use it:
✅ Buy zone: When the average RSI dips below 40, it could signal a good entry point.
⚠️ Neutral zone: Between 40 and 60 means the trend isn’t strong—wait for more confirmation.
🚫 Sell zone: Above 60–70 may indicate the asset is overbought or due for a pullback.
Helpful for:
Spotting better entry/exit points
Filtering out false signals
Staying in trend-following trades longer
Enhanced Cycle IndicatorEnhanced Cycle Indicator Guide
DISCLAIMER
"This PineScript indicator evolved from a foundational algorithm designed to visualize cycle-based center average differentials. The original concept has been significantly enhanced and optimized through collaborative refinement with AI, resulting in improved functionality, performance, and visualization capabilities while maintaining the core mathematical principles of the original design"
Overview
The Enhanced Cycle Indicator is designed to identify market cycles with minimal lag while ensuring the cycle lows and highs correspond closely with actual price bottoms and tops. This indicator transforms price data into observable cycles that help you identify when a market is likely to change direction.
Core Principles
Cycle Detection: Identifies natural market rhythms using multiple timeframes
Dynamic Adaptation: Adjusts to changing market conditions for consistent performance
Precise Signals: Provides clear entry and exit points aligned with actual market turns
Reduced Lag: Uses advanced calculations to minimize delay in cycle identification
How To Use
1. Main Cycle Interpretation
Green Histogram Bars: Bullish cycle phase (upward momentum)
Red Histogram Bars: Bearish cycle phase (downward momentum)
Cycle Extremes: When the histogram reaches extreme values (+80/-80), the market is likely approaching a turning point
Zero Line: Crossovers often indicate a shift in the underlying market direction
2. Trading Signals
Green Triangle Up (bottom of chart): Strong bullish signal - ideal for entries or covering shorts
Red Triangle Down (top of chart): Strong bearish signal - ideal for exits or short entries
Diamond Shapes: Indicate divergence between price and cycle - early warning of potential reversals
Small Circles: Minor cycle turning points - useful for fine-tuning entries/exits
3. Optimal Signal Conditions
Bullish Signals Work Best When:
The cycle is deeply oversold (below -60)
RSI is below 40 or turning up
Price is near a significant low
Multiple confirmation bars have occurred
Bearish Signals Work Best When:
The cycle is heavily overbought (above +60)
RSI is above 60 or turning down
Price is near a significant high
Multiple confirmation bars have occurred
4. Parameter Adjustments
For Shorter Timeframes: Reduce cycle periods and smoothing factor for faster response
For Daily/Weekly Charts: Increase cycle periods and smoothing for smoother signals
For Volatile Markets: Reduce cycle responsiveness to filter noise
For Trending Markets: Increase signal confirmation requirement to avoid false signals
Recommended Settings
Default (All-Purpose)
Main Cycle: 50
Half Cycle: 25
Quarter Cycle: 12
Smoothing Factor: 0.5
RSI Filter: Enabled
Signal Confirmation: 2 bars
Faster Response (Day Trading)
Main Cycle: 30
Half Cycle: 15
Quarter Cycle: 8
Smoothing Factor: 0.3
Cycle Responsiveness: 1.2
Signal Confirmation: 1 bar
Smoother Signals (Swing Trading)
Main Cycle: 80
Half Cycle: 40
Quarter Cycle: 20
Smoothing Factor: 0.7
Cycle Responsiveness: 0.8
Signal Confirmation: 3 bars
Advanced Features
Adaptive Period
When enabled, the indicator automatically adjusts cycle periods based on recent price volatility. This is particularly useful in markets that alternate between trending and ranging behaviors.
Momentum Filter
Enhances cycle signals by incorporating price momentum, making signals more responsive during strong trends and less prone to whipsaws during consolidations.
RSI Filter
Adds an additional confirmation layer using RSI, helping to filter out lower-quality signals and improve overall accuracy.
Divergence Detection
Identifies situations where price makes a new high/low but the cycle doesn't confirm, often preceding significant market reversals.
Best Practices
Use the indicator in conjunction with support/resistance levels
Look for signal clusters across multiple timeframes
Reduce position size when signals appear far from cycle extremes
Pay special attention to signals that coincide with divergences
Customize cycle periods to match the natural rhythm of your traded instrument
Troubleshooting
Too Many Signals: Increase signal confirmation bars or reduce cycle responsiveness
Missing Major Turns: Decrease smoothing factor or increase cycle responsiveness
Signals Too Late: Decrease cycle periods and smoothing factor
False Signals: Enable RSI filter and increase signal confirmation requirement
Hidden Gap`s VSA Volume Auto-TimeframeHidden Gap's VSA Volume with Auto-Timeframe Adaptation
Enhanced Version of Classic Volume Spread Analysis Indicator
Description:
This evolved version of the original "Hidden Gap's VSA Volume" indicator introduces intelligent timeframe adaptation while preserving its core Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) logic. The key enhancement automatically synchronizes volume calculations with your chart's current timeframe, eliminating manual resolution adjustments.
New Features:
✅ Auto-Timeframe Detection
Dynamically adjusts to any chart timeframe (1M/5M/1H/4H/D/W/M)
✅ Smart Resolution Switching
Seamlessly works across multiple timeframes without parameter changes
✅ Manual Override Option
Retains custom resolution input for multi-timeframe analysis (e.g., view weekly volume on daily charts)
✅ Modernized Engine
Upgraded to Pine Script v6 for optimal TradingView performance
Core Functionality Preserved:
• Multi-layer volume analysis using 40/20/2-period comparisons
• Color-coded histogram detecting:
Black: 40-period high volume
Gray: 20-period low volume
Purple: 2-period volume contraction
Blue/Red: Immediate volume changes
• Integrated 20-period SMA reference line
Usage Scenarios:
Intraday Trading: Auto-adjusts from 1-minute to 4-hour charts
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Compare current volume against higher timeframe patterns
Swing Trading: Maintain consistent analysis across D/W/M timeframes
Liquid Pulse Liquid Pulse by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems
Liquid Pulse is a trading algo built by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems for futures markets like NQ1!, designed to snag high-probability trades with tight risk control. it fuses a confluence system—VWAP, MACD, ADX, volume, and liquidity sweeps—with a trade scoring setup, daily limits, and VIX pauses to dodge wild volatility. visuals include simple signals, VWAP bands, and a dashboard with stats.
Core Components for Liquid Pulse
Volume Sensitivity (volumeSensitivity) controls how much volume spikes matter for entries. options: 'Low', 'Medium', 'High' default: 'High' (catches small spikes, good for active markets) tweak it: 'Low' for calm markets, 'High' for chaos.
MACD Speed (macdSpeed) sets the MACD’s pace for momentum. options: 'Fast', 'Medium', 'Slow' default: 'Medium' (solid balance) tweak it: 'Fast' for scalping, 'Slow' for swings.
Daily Trade Limit (dailyTradeLimit) caps trades per day to keep risk in check. range: 1 to 30 default: 20 tweak it: 5-10 for safety, 20-30 for action.
Number of Contracts (numContracts) sets position size. range: 1 to 20 default: 4 tweak it: up for big accounts, down for small.
VIX Pause Level (vixPauseLevel) stops trading if VIX gets too hot. range: 10 to 80 default: 39.0 tweak it: 30 to avoid volatility, 50 to ride it.
Min Confluence Conditions (minConditions) sets how many signals must align. range: 1 to 5 default: 2 tweak it: 3-4 for strict, 1-2 for more trades.
Min Trade Score (Longs/Shorts) (minTradeScoreLongs/minTradeScoreShorts) filters trade quality. longs range: 0 to 100 default: 73 shorts range: 0 to 100 default: 75 tweak it: 80-90 for quality, 60-70 for volume.
Liquidity Sweep Strength (sweepStrength) gauges breakouts. range: 0.1 to 1.0 default: 0.5 tweak it: 0.7-1.0 for strong moves, 0.3-0.5 for small.
ADX Trend Threshold (adxTrendThreshold) confirms trends. range: 10 to 100 default: 41 tweak it: 40-50 for trends, 30-35 for weak ones.
ADX Chop Threshold (adxChopThreshold) avoids chop. range: 5 to 50 default: 20 tweak it: 15-20 to dodge chop, 25-30 to loosen.
VWAP Timeframe (vwapTimeframe) sets VWAP period. options: '15', '30', '60', '240', 'D' default: '60' (1-hour) tweak it: 60 for day, 240 for swing, D for long.
Take Profit Ticks (Longs/Shorts) (takeProfitTicksLongs/takeProfitTicksShorts) sets profit targets. longs range: 5 to 100 default: 25.0 shorts range: 5 to 100 default: 20.0 tweak it: 30-50 for trends, 10-20 for chop.
Max Profit Ticks (maxProfitTicks) caps max gain. range: 10 to 200 default: 60.0 tweak it: 80-100 for big moves, 40-60 for tight.
Min Profit Ticks to Trail (minProfitTicksTrail) triggers trailing. range: 1 to 50 default: 7.0 tweak it: 10-15 for big gains, 5-7 for quick locks.
Trailing Stop Ticks (trailTicks) sets trail distance. range: 1 to 50 default: 5.0 tweak it: 8-10 for room, 3-5 for fast locks.
Trailing Offset Ticks (trailOffsetTicks) sets trail offset. range: 1 to 20 default: 2.0 tweak it: 1-2 for tight, 5-10 for loose.
ATR Period (atrPeriod) measures volatility. range: 5 to 50 default: 9 tweak it: 14-20 for smooth, 5-9 for reactive.
Hardcoded Settings volLookback: 30 ('Low'), 20 ('Medium'), 11 ('High') volThreshold: 1.5 ('Low'), 1.8 ('Medium'), 2 ('High') swingLen: 5
Execution Logic Overview trades trigger when confluence conditions align, entering long or short with set position sizes. exits use dynamic take-profits, trailing stops after a profit threshold, hard stops via ATR, and a time stop after 100 bars.
Features Multi-Signal Confluence: needs VWAP, MACD, volume, sweeps, and ADX to line up.
Risk Control: ATR-based stops (capped 15 ticks), take-profits (scaled by volatility), and trails.
Market Filters: VIX pause, ADX trend/chop checks, volatility gates. Dashboard: shows scores, VIX, ADX, P/L, win %, streak.
Visuals Simple signals (green up triangles for longs, red down for shorts) and VWAP bands with glow. info table (bottom right) with MACD momentum. dashboard (top right) with stats.
Chart and Backtest:
NQ1! futures, 5-minute chart. works best in trending, volatile conditions. tweak inputs for other markets—test thoroughly.
Backtesting: NQ1! Frame: Jan 19, 2025, 09:00 — May 02, 2025, 16:00 Slippage: 3 Commission: $4.60
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Disclaimer this is for education only. past results don’t predict future wins. trading’s risky—only use money you can lose. backtest and validate before going live. (expect moderators to nitpick some random chart symbol rule—i’ll fix and repost if they pull it.)
About the Author Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems crafts killer trading algos. Liquid Pulse is pure research and grit, built for smart, bold trading. Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter. I’ll keep dropping badass strategies ‘til i build a brand or someone signs me up.
2025 Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
