True High/Low RSI for DivergenceThis Pine Script creates a highly specialized RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator designed to provide a more accurate signal for divergence trading. Its official title is "True High/Low RSI for Divergence."
Here is a breakdown of its core features:
1. Dual RSI Calculation based on Highs and Lows:
Unlike a standard RSI that typically uses the closing price of a candle, this indicator calculates two separate RSI lines:
A "High RSI" : This line calculates the RSI based on the high price of each candle. It is intended to track momentum peaks more accurately.
A "Low RSI" : This line calculates the RSI based on the low price of each candle. It is designed to track momentum troughs more accurately.
The main purpose of this separation is to avoid the potential errors that can occur when using an average price (like the close or hl2) during periods of high volatility. By using the true extremes of the price candles, the indicator aims to show a more "true" representation of momentum for identifying divergences between price and the indicator.
2. Dynamic Transparency:
This is a key visual feature. The RSI lines are not always fully visible. They dynamically fade into view as they enter significant overbought or oversold zones:
The Low RSI line (red by default) is invisible when above a value of 50. As it drops from 49 towards 30, it becomes progressively more opaque (more visible). It reaches full opacity at an RSI value of 30, visually alerting the user to strengthening oversold conditions.
The High RSI line (blue by default) is invisible when below a value of 50. As it rises from 51 towards 70, it also becomes progressively more opaque. It is fully opaque at an RSI value of 70, highlighting strengthening overbought conditions.
3. User Customization:
The script allows for user flexibility. You can change:
The colors for both the High and Low RSI lines.
The RSI calculation length (default is 14).
The price source for each RSI line (though they are specifically designed to use high and low).
In summary, this indicator is a purpose-built tool for traders who rely on divergence. It provides a more precise and visually intuitive way to track momentum at its true peaks and troughs, helping to make more informed trading decisions.
Cerca negli script per "欧元汇率走势30天"
Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector# Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector: User Guide
## Overview
The Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector is a TradingView indicator designed to track sector performance and identify market rotations in real-time. It monitors key sector ETFs, calculates performance metrics, and provides actionable stock recommendations based on sector strength and weakness.
## Purpose
This indicator helps traders identify when capital is moving from one sector to another (sector rotation), which can provide valuable trading opportunities. It also detects risk-off conditions in the market and highlights sectors with abnormal trading volume.
## Table Columns Explained
### 1. Sector
Displays the sector name being monitored. The indicator tracks six primary sectors plus the S&P 500:
- Energy (XLE)
- Financial (XLF)
- Technology (XLK)
- Consumer Staples (XLP)
- Utilities (XLU)
- Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
- S&P 500 (SPY)
### 2. Perf %
Shows the daily percentage performance of each sector ETF. Values are color-coded:
- Green: Positive performance
- Red: Negative performance
Positive values display with a "+" sign (e.g., +1.25%)
### 3. RSI
Displays the Relative Strength Index value for each sector, which helps identify overbought or oversold conditions:
- Values above 70 (highlighted in red): Potentially overbought
- Values below 30 (highlighted in green): Potentially oversold
- Values between 30-70 (highlighted in blue): Neutral territory
### 4. Vol Ratio
Shows the volume ratio, which compares today's volume to the average volume over the lookback period:
- Values above 1.5x (highlighted in yellow): Indicates abnormally high trading volume
- Values below 1.5x (highlighted in blue): Normal trading volume
This helps identify sectors with unusual activity that may signal important price movements.
### 5. Trend
Displays the current price trend direction with symbols:
- ▲ (green): Uptrend (today's close > yesterday's close)
- ▼ (red): Downtrend (today's close < yesterday's close)
- ◆ (gray): Neutral (today's close = yesterday's close)
## Summary & Recommendations Section
The summary section provides:
1. **Sector Rotation Detection**: Identifies when there's a significant performance gap (>2%) between the strongest and weakest sectors.
2. **Risk-Off Mode Detection**: Alerts when defensive sectors (Consumer Staples and Utilities) are positive while Technology is negative, which often signals investors are moving to safer assets.
3. **Strong Volume Detection**: Indicates when any sector shows abnormally high trading volume.
4. **Stock Recommendations**: Suggests specific stocks to consider for long positions (from the strongest sectors) and short positions (from the weakest sectors).
## Example Interpretations
### Example 1: Sector Rotation
If you see:
- Technology: -1.85%
- Financial: +2.10%
- Summary shows: "SECTOR ROTATION DETECTED: Rotation from Technology to Financial"
**Interpretation**: Capital is moving out of tech stocks and into financial stocks. This could be due to rising interest rates, which typically benefit banks while pressuring high-growth tech companies. Consider looking at financial stocks like JPM, BAC, and WFC for potential long positions.
### Example 2: Risk-Off Conditions
If you see:
- Consumer Staples: +0.80%
- Utilities: +1.20%
- Technology: -1.50%
- Summary shows: "RISK-OFF MODE DETECTED"
**Interpretation**: Investors are seeking safety in defensive sectors while selling growth-oriented tech stocks. This often occurs during market uncertainty or ahead of economic concerns. Consider reducing exposure to high-beta stocks and possibly adding defensive names like PG, KO, or NEE.
### Example 3: Volume Spike
If you see:
- Energy: +3.20% with Volume Ratio 2.5x (highlighted in yellow)
- Summary shows: "STRONG VOLUME DETECTED"
**Interpretation**: The energy sector is making a strong move with significantly higher-than-average volume, suggesting conviction behind the price movement. This could indicate the beginning of a sustained trend in energy stocks. Consider names like XOM, CVX, and COP.
## How to Use the Indicator
1. Apply the indicator to any chart (works best on daily timeframes).
2. Customize settings if needed:
- Timeframe: Choose between intraday (60 or 240 minutes), daily, or weekly
- Lookback Period: Adjust the historical comparison period (default: 20)
- RSI Period: Modify the RSI calculation period (default: 14)
3. To refresh the data: Click the settings icon, increase the "Click + to refresh data" counter, and click "OK".
4. Identify opportunities based on sector performance, RSI levels, volume ratios, and the summary recommendations.
This indicator helps traders align with market rotation trends and identify which sectors (and specific stocks) may outperform or underperform in the near term.
RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD)RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD) - Advanced Momentum Acceleration Analysis
What is RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD)?
RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD) is a insightful momentum indicator that transcends traditional oscillator analysis by measuring the acceleration of momentum through sophisticated mathematical layering. By calculating RSI on RSI itself (RSI²) and applying advanced statistical deviation analysis with T3 smoothing, RoRD reveals hidden market dynamics that single-layer indicators miss entirely.
This isn't just another RSI variant—it's a complete reimagining of how we measure and visualize momentum dynamics. Where traditional RSI shows momentum, RoRD shows momentum's rate of change . Where others show static overbought/oversold levels, RoRD reveals statistically significant deviations unique to each market's character.
Theoretical Foundation - The Mathematics of Momentum Acceleration
1. RSI² (RSI of RSI) - The Core Innovation
Traditional RSI measures price momentum. RoRD goes deeper:
Primary RSI (RSI₁) : Standard RSI calculation on price
Secondary RSI (RSI²) : RSI calculated on RSI₁ values
This creates a "momentum of momentum" indicator that leads price action
Mathematical Expression:
RSI₁ = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS₁))
RSI² = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS₂))
Where RS₂ = Average Gain of RSI₁ / Average Loss of RSI₁
2. T3 Smoothing - Lag-Free Response
The T3 Moving Average, developed by Tim Tillson, provides:
Superior smoothing with minimal lag
Adaptive response through volume factor (vFactor)
Noise reduction while preserving signal integrity
T3 Formula:
T3 = c1×e6 + c2×e5 + c3×e4 + c4×e3
Where e1...e6 are cascaded EMAs and c1...c4 are volume-factor-based coefficients
3. Statistical Z-Score Deviation
RoRD employs dual-layer Z-score normalization :
Initial Z-Score : (RSI² - SMA) / StDev
Final Z-Score : Z-score of the Z-score for refined extremity detection
This identifies statistically rare events relative to recent market behavior
4. Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Compares current timeframe Z-score with higher timeframe (HTF)
Provides directional confirmation across time horizons
Filters false signals through timeframe alignment
Why RoRD is Different & More Sophisticated
Beyond Traditional Indicators:
Acceleration vs. Velocity : While RSI measures momentum (velocity), RoRD measures momentum's rate of change (acceleration)
Adaptive Thresholds : Z-score analysis adapts to market conditions rather than using fixed 70/30 levels
Statistical Significance : Signals are based on mathematical rarity, not arbitrary levels
Leading Indicator : RSI² often turns before price, providing earlier signals
Reduced Whipsaws : T3 smoothing eliminates noise while maintaining responsiveness
Unique Signal Generation:
Quantum Orbs : Multi-layered visual signals for statistically extreme events
Divergence Detection : Automated identification of price/momentum divergences
Regime Backgrounds : Visual market state classification (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral)
Particle Effects : Dynamic visualization of momentum energy
Visual Design & Interpretation Guide
Color Coding System:
Yellow (#e1ff00) : Neutral/balanced momentum state
Red (#ff0000) : Overbought/extreme bullish acceleration
Green (#2fff00) : Oversold/extreme bearish acceleration
Orange : Z-score visualization
Blue : HTF Z-score comparison
Main Visual Elements:
RSI² Line with Glow Effect
Multi-layer glow creates depth and emphasis
Color dynamically shifts based on momentum state
Line thickness indicates signal strength
Quantum Signal Orbs
Green Orbs Below : Statistically rare oversold conditions
Red Orbs Above : Statistically rare overbought conditions
Multiple layers indicate signal strength
Only appear at Z-score extremes for high-conviction signals
Divergence Markers
Green Circles : Bullish divergence detected
Red Circles : Bearish divergence detected
Plotted at pivot points for precision
Background Regimes
Green Background : Bullish momentum regime
Grey Background : Bearish momentum regime
Blue Background : Neutral/transitioning regime
Particle Effects
Density indicates momentum energy
Color matches current RSI² state
Provides dynamic market "feel"
Dashboard Metrics - Deep Dive
RSI² ANALYSIS Section:
RSI² Value (0-100)
Current smoothed RSI of RSI reading
>70 : Strong bullish acceleration
<30 : Strong bearish acceleration
~50 : Neutral momentum state
RSI¹ Value
Traditional RSI for reference
Compare with RSI² for acceleration/deceleration insights
Z-Score Status
🔥 EXTREME HIGH : Z > threshold, statistically rare bullish
❄️ EXTREME LOW : Z < threshold, statistically rare bearish
📈 HIGH/📉 LOW : Elevated but not extreme
➡️ NEUTRAL : Normal statistical range
MOMENTUM Section:
Velocity Indicator
▲▲▲ : Strong positive acceleration
▼▼▼ : Strong negative acceleration
Shows rate of change in RSI²
Strength Bar
██████░░░░ : Visual power gauge
Filled bars indicate momentum strength
Based on deviation from center line
SIGNALS Section:
Divergence Status
🟢 BULLISH DIV : Price making lows, RSI² making highs
🔴 BEARISH DIV : Price making highs, RSI² making lows
⚪ NO DIVERGENCE : No divergence detected
HTF Comparison
🔥 HTF EXTREME : Higher timeframe confirms extremity
📊 HTF NORMAL : Higher timeframe is neutral
Critical for multi-timeframe confirmation
Trading Application & Strategy
Signal Hierarchy (Highest to Lowest Priority):
Quantum Orb + HTF Alignment + Divergence
Highest conviction reversal signal
Z-score extreme + timeframe confluence + divergence
Quantum Orb + HTF Alignment
Strong reversal signal
Wait for price confirmation
Divergence + Regime Change
Medium-term reversal signal
Monitor for orb confirmation
Threshold Crosses
Traditional overbought/oversold
Use as alert, not entry
Entry Strategies:
For Reversals:
Wait for Quantum Orb signal
Confirm with HTF Z-score direction
Enter on price structure break
Stop beyond recent extreme
For Continuations:
Trade with regime background color
Use RSI² pullbacks to center line
Avoid signals against HTF trend
For Scalping:
Focus on Z-score extremes
Quick entries on orb signals
Exit at center line cross
Risk Management:
Reduce position size when signals conflict with HTF
Avoid trades during regime transitions (blue background)
Tighten stops after divergence completion
Scale out at statistical mean reversion
Development & Uniqueness
RoRD represents months of research into momentum dynamics and statistical analysis. Unlike indicators that simply combine existing tools, RoRD introduces several genuine innovations :
True RSI² Implementation : Not a smoothed RSI, but actual RSI calculated on RSI values
Dual Z-Score Normalization : Unique approach to finding statistical extremes
T3 Integration : First RSI² implementation with T3 smoothing for optimal lag reduction
Quantum Orb Visualization : Revolutionary signal display method
Dynamic Regime Detection : Automatic market state classification
Statistical Adaptability : Thresholds adapt to market volatility
This indicator was built from first principles, with each component carefully selected for its mathematical properties and practical trading utility. The result is a professional-grade tool that provides insights unavailable through traditional momentum analysis.
Best Practices & Tips
Start with default settings - they're optimized for most markets
Always check HTF alignment before taking signals
Use divergences as early warning , orbs as confirmation
Respect regime backgrounds - trade with them, not against
Combine with price action - RoRD shows when, price shows where
Adjust Z-score thresholds based on market volatility
Monitor dashboard metrics for complete market context
Conclusion
RoRD isn't just another indicator—it's a complete momentum analysis system that reveals market dynamics invisible to traditional tools. By combining momentum acceleration, statistical analysis, and multi-timeframe confluence with intuitive visualization, RoRD provides traders with a sophisticated edge in any market condition.
Whether you're scalping rapid reversals or positioning for major trend changes, RoRD's unique approach to momentum analysis will transform how you see and trade market dynamics.
See momentum's future. Trade with statistical edge.
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
RSI Divergence StrategyOverview
The RSI Divergence Strategy Indicator is a trading tool that uses the RSI and divergences created to generate high-probability buy and sell signals.
I have provided the best formula of numbers to use for BTC on a 30 minute timeframe.
You can change where on RSI you enter and exit both long or short trades. This way you can experiment on different tokens using different entry/exit points. Can use on multiple timeframes.
This strategy is designed to open and close long or short trades based on the levels you provide it. You can then check on the RSI where the best levels are for each token you want to trade and amend it as required to generate a profitable strategy.
How It Works
The RSI Divergence Strategy Indicator uses bear and bull divergences in conjuction with a level you have input on the RSI.
RSI for Overbought/Oversold:
• Input variables for entry and exit levels and when the entry levels combine with a bear or bull divergence signal, a trade is alerted.
RSI Divergence:
• Buy and sell signals are confirmed when the RSI creates bearish or bullish divergences and these divergences are in the same area as your levels you input for entry to short or long.
After 7 years of experience and testing I have calculated the exact numbers required and produced a formula to calculate the exact input variables for a 30 minute Bitcoin chart.
Key Features
1️⃣ Divergence Identification – Ensures trades are taken only when a bull or bear divergence has formed.
2️⃣ Overbought/Oversold Input Filtering – Set up your own variables on the RSI for different markets after identifying patterns on the RSI in relation to a bearish or bullish divergence.
3️⃣ Works on any chart – Suitable for all markets and timeframes once you input the correct variables for entry and exit levels.
How to Use
🟢 Basic Trading:
• Use on any timeframe.
• Enter trade only when alert has fired off. Close when it says to exit.
• Change entry and exit levels in the properties of the strategy indicator.
• Make entry and exit levels coincide with bearish or bullish divergences on the RSI.
Check the strategy tester to see backtesting so you know if the indicator is profitable or not for that market and timeframe as each crypto token is different and so is the timeframe you choose.
📢 Webhook Automation:
• Set up TradingView Alerts to auto-execute trades via Webhook-compatible platforms.
Key additions for divergence visualization:
Divergence Arrows:
Bullish divergence: Green label with white 'bull ' text
Bearish divergence: Red label with white 'bear' text
Positioned at the pivot point
Divergence Lines:
Connects consecutive RSI pivot points
Automatically drawn between consecutive pivot points
Enhanced RSI Coloring:
Overbought zone: Red
Oversold zone: Green
Neutral zone: Gray
The visualization helps you instantly spot:
Where divergences are forming on the RSI
The pattern of higher lows (bullish) or lower highs (bearish)
Contextual coloring of RSI relative to standard levels
All divergence markers appear at the correct historical pivot points, making it easy to visually confirm divergence patterns as they develop.
Strategy levels and background zones also shown to help visual look.
Why This Combination?
This indicator is just a simple RSI tool.
It is designed to filter out weak trades and only execute trades that have:
✅ RSI Divergence
✅ Overbought or Oversold Conditions
It does not calculate downtrends or bear markets so care is recommended taking long trades during these times.
Why It’s Worth Using?
📈 Open Source – Free to use and learn from.
📉 Long or Short Term Trading Style – Entry/Exit parameters options are designed for both short or long term trades allowing you to experiment until you find a profitable strategy for that market you want to trade.
📢 Seamless Webhook Automation – Execute trades automatically with TradingView alerts.
💲 Ready to trade smarter?
✅ Add the RSI Divergence Strategy Indicator to your TradingView chart.
TableRSI and Ichimoku Strength Table
This indicator displays whole-number RSI values (1h, 4h, 1d, 3d, 1w) and Ichimoku strengths (Conversion Line, Base Line, Cloud, Lagging Span) in a customizable table. Toggle between horizontal (9x2) or vertical (2x10) layouts, with adjustable position (e.g., Top Right), text size (Tiny to Large), and colors (border, header, text, RSI: >70 red, <30 green, 30-70 yellow; Ichimoku: >50 green, <50 red). Ichimoku components are plotted on the chart. It offers a clear view of momentum and trend strength for traders.
Donchian x WMA Crossover (2025 Only, Adjustable TP, Real OHLC)Short Description:
Long-only breakout system that goes long when the Donchian Low crosses up through a Weighted Moving Average, and closes when it crosses back down (with an optional take-profit), restricted to calendar year 2025. All signals use the instrument’s true OHLC data (even on Heikin-Ashi charts), start with 1 000 AUD of capital, and deploy 100 % equity per trade.
Ideal parameters configured for Temple & Webster on ASX 30 minute candles. Adjust parameter to suit however best to download candle interval data and have GPT test the pine script for optimum parameters for your trading symbol.
Detailed Description
1. Strategy Concept
This strategy captures trend-driven breakouts off the bottom of a Donchian channel. By combining the Donchian Low with a WMA filter, it aims to:
Enter when volatility compresses and price breaks above the recent Donchian Low while the longer‐term WMA confirms upward momentum.
Exit when price falls back below that same WMA (i.e. when the Donchian Low crosses back down through WMA), but only if the WMA itself has stopped rising.
Optional Take-Profit: you can specify a profit target in decimal form (e.g. 0.01 = 1 %).
2. Timeframe & Universe
In-sample period: only bars stamped between Jan 1 2025 00:00 UTC and Dec 31 2025 23:59 UTC are considered.
Any resolution (e.g. 30 m, 1 h, D, etc.) is supported—just set your preferred timeframe in the TradingView UI.
3. True-Price Execution
All indicator calculations (Donchian Low, WMA, crossover checks, take-profit) are sourced from the chart’s underlying OHLC via request.security(). This guarantees that:
You can view Heikin-Ashi or other styled candles, but your strategy will execute on the real OHLC bars.
Chart styling never suppresses or distorts your backtest results.
4. Position Sizing & Equity
Initial capital: 1 000 AUD
Size per trade: 100 % of available equity
No pyramiding: one open position at a time
5. Inputs (all exposed in the “Inputs” tab):
Input Default Description
Donchian Length 7 Number of bars to calculate the Donchian channel low
WMA Length 62 Period of the Weighted Moving Average filter
Take Profit (decimal) 0.01 Exit when price ≥ entry × (1 + take_profit_perc)
6. How It Works
Donchian Low: ta.lowest(low, DonchianLength) over the specified look-back.
WMA: ta.wma(close, WMALength) applied to true closes.
Entry: ta.crossover(DonchianLow, WMA) AND barTime ∈ 2025.
Exit:
Cross-down exit: ta.crossunder(DonchianLow, WMA) and WMA is not rising (i.e. momentum has stalled).
Take-profit exit: price ≥ entry × (1 + take_profit_perc).
Calendar exit: barTime falls outside 2025.
7. Usage Notes
After adding to your chart, open the Strategy Tester tab to review performance metrics, list of trades, equity curve, etc.
You can toggle your chart to Heikin-Ashi for visual clarity without affecting execution, thanks to the real-OHLC calls.
AWR Pearsons R & LR Oscillator MTF1. Overview
This indicator is designed to analyze the correlation between a price series (or any custom indicator) and the bar index using Pearson’s correlation coefficient. It performs multiple linear regressions over shifted periods and then aggregates these results to create an oscillator. In addition, it integrates a multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis by retrieving the same calculations on 3 different time intervals, providing a more comprehensive view of the trend evolution.
2. User Parameters
The indicator offers several configurable parameters that allow the user to adjust both the calculations and the display:
Source (Linear Regression): The data source on which the regressions are applied (by default, the closing price).
Number of Linear Regressions (numOfLinReg): Allows choosing the number of correlation calculations (up to 10) to be carried out on different shifted periods.
Start Period (startPeriod) and Period Increment (periodIncrement): These parameters define the reference window for each regression. The calculation starts with a base period and then increases with each regression by a fixed increment, creating several time windows to assess the relationship between price evolution and time progression.
Deviation (def_deviation): Although defined, this parameter is intended to control the sensitivity of the calculations. It can be used in further developments of the indicator.
For Multi Time Frames analysis, three additional timeframes are provided through inputs in addition of the current period:
Sum up :
Timeframe 1 = current
Timeframe 2 = 30-minute (default settings)
Timeframe 3 = 1-hour (default settings)
Timeframe 4 = 4-hour (default settings)
These different timeframes allow you to obtain consistent or divergent signals over multiple resolutions, thereby enhancing the confidence of trading decisions.
3. Calculation Logic
At the core of the indicator is the f_calcConditions() function, which performs several essential tasks:
Calculating Pearson's Coefficients For each linear regression, the script uses ta.correlation() to measure the correlation between the chosen source (for example, the closing price) and the chronological index (bar_index). Up to 10 coefficients are computed over shifted windows, providing an evolving view of the linear relationship over different intervals.
Averaging the Results Once the coefficients are calculated, they are stored in an array and averaged to produce a global correlation value called avgPR_local.
Applying Moving Averages
The resulting average is then smoothed using several moving averages (SMA):
A short-term SMA (period of 14),
An intermediate SMA (period of 100),
A long-term SMA (period of 400).
These moving averages help to highlight the underlying trend of the oscillator by indicating the direction in which the correlation is moving.
Defining Trading Conditions Based on avgPR_local and its associated SMAs, multiple conditions are set to generate buy or sell signals:
Simple SMA Conditions :
Small signal :
Light blue below bar signal :
When the averaged coefficients lie between -1 and -0.63, are above the short-term SMA (14 periods), and are increasing, it may indicate a bullish dynamic (buy signal).
Orange above bar signal :
Conversely, when the value is higher (between 0.63 and 1) and below its SMA (14 periods), and are decreasing the trend is considered bearish (sell signal).
Medium signal :
Dark green signal
When the averaged coefficients lie between -1 and -0.45, are above the short-term SMA (14 periods), and are increasing, and also the average 100 is increasing. It may indicate a bullish dynamic (buy signal).
Light red signal :
Conversely, when the value is higher (between 0.45 and 1) and below its SMA (14 periods), the trend and are decreasing, and also the average 100 is decreasing. It may indicate a bearish dynamic(sell signal).
Light green signal :
When the averaged coefficients lie between -1 and -0.15, are above the short-term SMA (14 periods), and are increasing, and also the average 100 & 400 is increasing . It may indicate a bullish dynamic (buy signal).
Dark red signal :
Conversely, when the value is higher (between 0.45 and 1) and below its SMA (14 periods), the trend and are decreasing, and also the average 100 & 400 is decreasing. It may indicate a bearish dynamic(sell signal).
These additional conditions further refine the signals by verifying the consistency of the movement over longer periods. They check that the trends from the respective averages (intermediate and long-term) are in line with the direction indicated by the initial moving average.
These conditions are designed to capture moments when the oscillator's dynamics change, which can be interpreted as opportunities to enter or exit a trade.
4. Multi-Timeframes and Display
One of the main strengths of this indicator is its multi-timeframe approach.
This offers several advantages:
Comparative Analysis: Compare short-term dynamics with broader trends.
Enhanced Signal Reliability: A signal confirmed across multiple timeframes has a higher probability of success.
To visually highlight these signals on the chart, the indicator uses the plotchar() function with distinct symbols for each timeframe:
Current Timeframe: Signals are represented by the character "1"
30-Minute Timeframe: Displayed with the character "2".
1-Hour Timeframe: Displayed with the character "3".
4-Hour Timeframe: Displayed with the character "4".
The colors used are various shades of green for buy signals and shades of red/orange for sell signals, making it easy to distinguish between the different alerts.
5. Integrated Alerts
To avoid missing any trading opportunities, the indicator includes an alert condition via the alertcondition() function. This alert is triggered if any buy or sell signal is generated on any of the analyzed timeframes. The message "MTF valide" indicates that multiple timeframes are confirming the signal, enabling more informed decision-making.
6. How to Use This Indicator
Installation and Configuration: Copy the script into the TradingView Pine Script editor and add it to your chart. The default parameters can be tuned according to market behavior or personal preferences regarding sensitivity and responsiveness.
Interpreting the Signals:
Watch for the symbols on the chart corresponding to each timeframe.
A buy signal appears as a specific symbol below the bar (indicating a bullish condition based on a rising or less negative correlation), while a sell signal appears above the bar.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: By comparing signals across timeframes, you can filter out false signals. For example, if the short-term timeframe shows a buy signal but the 4-hour timeframe indicates a bearish trend, you may need to reassess your position.
Adjusting the Settings: Depending on the asset type or market volatility, you might need to tweak the periods (startPeriod, periodIncrement) or the number of linear regressions to generate signals that better align with the price dynamics.
Using Alerts: Activate the built-in alert feature so that TradingView notifies you as soon as a multi-timeframe signal is detected. This ensures you stay informed even if you are not continuously monitoring the chart.
In Conclusion
The AWR Pearsons R & LR Oscillator MTF is a powerful tool for traders seeking a detailed understanding of market trends by combining statistical rigor (via Pearson's correlation coefficient) with a multi-timeframe approach. It is capable of generating clear entry and exit signals, visualized with specific symbols and colors depending on the timeframe. By adjusting the parameters to match your trading strategy and leveraging the alert system, you now have a robust instrument for making well-informed market decisions.
Feel free to dive deeper into each component and experiment with different configurations to see how the oscillator integrates with your overall technical analysis strategy. Enjoy exploring its potential and refining your trading approach!
DCA Investment Tracker Pro [tradeviZion]DCA Investment Tracker Pro: Educational DCA Analysis Tool
An educational indicator that helps analyze Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies by comparing actual performance with historical data calculations.
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💡 Why I Created This Indicator
As someone who practices Dollar-Cost Averaging, I was frustrated with constantly switching between spreadsheets, calculators, and charts just to understand how my investments were really performing. I wanted to see everything in one place - my actual performance, what I should expect based on historical data, and most importantly, visualize where my strategy could take me over the long term .
What really motivated me was watching friends and family underestimate the incredible power of consistent investing. When Napoleon Bonaparte first learned about compound interest, he reportedly exclaimed "I wonder it has not swallowed the world" - and he was right! Yet most people can't visualize how their $500 monthly contributions today could become substantial wealth decades later.
Traditional DCA tracking tools exist, but they share similar limitations:
Require manual data entry and complex spreadsheets
Use fixed assumptions that don't reflect real market behavior
Can't show future projections overlaid on actual price charts
Lose the visual context of what's happening in the market
Make compound growth feel abstract rather than tangible
I wanted to create something different - a tool that automatically analyzes real market history, detects volatility periods, and shows you both current performance AND educational projections based on historical patterns right on your TradingView charts. As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time.
This isn't just another calculator - it's a visualization tool that makes the magic of compound growth impossible to ignore.
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🎯 What This Indicator Does
This educational indicator provides DCA analysis tools. Users can input investment scenarios to study:
Theoretical Performance: Educational calculations based on historical return data
Comparative Analysis: Study differences between actual and theoretical scenarios
Historical Projections: Theoretical projections for educational analysis (not predictions)
Performance Metrics: CAGR, ROI, and other analytical metrics for study
Historical Analysis: Calculates historical return data for reference purposes
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🚀 Key Features
Volatility-Adjusted Historical Return Calculation
Analyzes 3-20 years of actual price data for any symbol
Automatically detects high-volatility stocks (meme stocks, growth stocks)
Uses median returns for volatile stocks, standard CAGR for stable stocks
Provides conservative estimates when extreme outlier years are detected
Smart fallback to manual percentages when data insufficient
Customizable Performance Dashboard
Educational DCA performance analysis with compound growth calculations
Customizable table sizing (Tiny to Huge text options)
9 positioning options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
Theme-adaptive colors (automatically adjusts to dark/light mode)
Multiple display layout options
Future Projection System
Visual future growth projections
Timeframe-aware calculations (Daily/Weekly/Monthly charts)
1-30 year projection options
Shows projected portfolio value and total investment amounts
Investment Insights
Performance vs benchmark comparison
ROI from initial investment tracking
Monthly average return analysis
Investment milestone alerts (25%, 50%, 100% gains)
Contribution tracking and next milestone indicators
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📊 Step-by-Step Setup Guide
1. Investment Settings 💰
Initial Investment: Enter your starting lump sum (e.g., $60,000)
Monthly Contribution: Set your regular DCA amount (e.g., $500/month)
Return Calculation: Choose "Auto (Stock History)" for real data or "Manual" for fixed %
Historical Period: Select 3-20 years for auto calculations (default: 10 years)
Start Year: When you began investing (e.g., 2020)
Current Portfolio Value: Your actual portfolio worth today (e.g., $150,000)
2. Display Settings 📊
Table Sizes: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, or Huge
Table Positions: 9 options - Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right
Visibility Toggles: Show/hide Main Table and Stats Table independently
3. Future Projection 🔮
Enable Projections: Toggle on to see future growth visualization
Projection Years: Set 1-30 years ahead for analysis
Live Example - NASDAQ:META Analysis:
Settings shown: $60K initial + $500/month + Auto calculation + 10-year history + 2020 start + $150K current value
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🔬 Pine Script Code Examples
Core DCA Calculations:
// Calculate total invested over time
months_elapsed = (year - start_year) * 12 + month - 1
total_invested = initial_investment + (monthly_contribution * months_elapsed)
// Compound growth formula for initial investment
theoretical_initial_growth = initial_investment * math.pow(1 + annual_return, years_elapsed)
// Future Value of Annuity for monthly contributions
monthly_rate = annual_return / 12
fv_contributions = monthly_contribution * ((math.pow(1 + monthly_rate, months_elapsed) - 1) / monthly_rate)
// Total expected value
theoretical_total = theoretical_initial_growth + fv_contributions
Volatility Detection Logic:
// Detect extreme years for volatility adjustment
extreme_years = 0
for i = 1 to historical_years
yearly_return = ((price_current / price_i_years_ago) - 1) * 100
if yearly_return > 100 or yearly_return < -50
extreme_years += 1
// Use median approach for high volatility stocks
high_volatility = (extreme_years / historical_years) > 0.2
calculated_return = high_volatility ? median_of_returns : standard_cagr
Performance Metrics:
// Calculate key performance indicators
absolute_gain = actual_value - total_invested
total_return_pct = (absolute_gain / total_invested) * 100
roi_initial = ((actual_value - initial_investment) / initial_investment) * 100
cagr = (math.pow(actual_value / initial_investment, 1 / years_elapsed) - 1) * 100
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📊 Real-World Examples
See the indicator in action across different investment types:
Stable Index Investments:
AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500) - Shows steady compound growth with standard CAGR calculations
Classic DCA success story: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking.
MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - Shows both data limitation and solution approaches
Data limitation example: VUAA shows "Manual (Auto Failed)" and "No Data" when default 10-year historical setting exceeds available data. The indicator gracefully falls back to manual percentage input while maintaining all DCA calculations and projections.
MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - European ETF with successful 5-year auto calculation
Solution demonstration: By adjusting historical period to 5 years (matching available data), VUAA auto calculation works perfectly. Shows how users can optimize settings for newer assets. European market exposure with EUR denomination, demonstrating DCA effectiveness across different markets and currencies.
NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway) - Quality value investment with Warren Buffett's proven track record
Value investing approach: Berkshire Hathaway's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility than tech stocks = standard CAGR calculations used.
High-Volatility Growth Stocks:
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) - Demonstrates volatility-adjusted calculations for extreme price swings
High-volatility example: NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger volatility detection. The indicator automatically switches to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates based on outlier performance periods.
NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla) - Shows how 10-year analysis can stabilize volatile tech stocks
Stable long-term growth: Despite Tesla's reputation for volatility, the 10-year historical analysis (34.8% CAGR) shows consistent enough performance that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Demonstrates how longer timeframes can smooth out extreme periods for more reliable projections.
NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms) - Shows stable tech stock analysis using standard CAGR calculations
Tech stock with stable growth: Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. The indicator uses standard CAGR calculations, demonstrating how not all tech stocks require conservative median adjustments.
Notice how the indicator automatically detects high-volatility periods and switches to median-based calculations for more conservative projections, while stable investments use standard CAGR methods.
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📈 Performance Metrics Explained
Current Portfolio Value: Your actual investment worth today
Expected Value: What you should have based on historical returns (Auto) or your target return (Manual)
Total Invested: Your actual money invested (initial + all monthly contributions)
Total Gains/Loss: Absolute dollar difference between current value and total invested
Total Return %: Percentage gain/loss on your total invested amount
ROI from Initial Investment: How your starting lump sum has performed
CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate of your initial investment (Note: This shows initial investment performance, not full DCA strategy)
vs Benchmark: How you're performing compared to the expected returns
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⚠️ Important Notes & Limitations
Data Requirements: Auto mode requires sufficient historical data (minimum 3 years recommended)
CAGR Limitation: CAGR calculation is based on initial investment growth only, not the complete DCA strategy
Projection Accuracy: Future projections are theoretical and based on historical returns - actual results may vary
Timeframe Support: Works ONLY on Daily (1D), Weekly (1W), and Monthly (1M) charts - no other timeframes supported
Update Frequency: Update "Current Portfolio Value" regularly for accurate tracking
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📚 Educational Use & Disclaimer
This analysis tool can be applied to various stock and ETF charts for educational study of DCA mathematical concepts and historical performance patterns.
Study Examples: Can be used with symbols like AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , AMEX:VTI , NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:NVDA for learning purposes.
EDUCATIONAL DISCLAIMER: This indicator is a study tool for analyzing Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies. It does not provide investment advice, trading signals, or guarantees. All calculations are theoretical examples for educational purposes only. Past performance does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own research and consult qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
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© 2025 TradeVizion. All rights reserved.
AWR R & LR Oscillator with plots & tableHello trading viewers !
I'm glad to share with you one of my favorite indicator. It's the aggregate of many things. It is partly based on an indicator designed by gentleman goat. Many thanks to him.
1. Oscillator and Correlation Calculations
Overview and Functionality: This part of the indicator computes up to 10 Pearson correlation coefficients between a chosen source (typically the close price, though this is user-configurable) and the bar index over various periods. Starting with an initial period defined by the startPeriod parameter and increasing by a set increment (periodIncrement), each correlation coefficient is calculated using the built-in ta.correlation function over successive ranges. These coefficients are stored in an array, and the indicator calculates their average (avgPR) to provide a complete view of the market trend strength.
Display Features: Each individual coefficient, as well as the overall average, is plotted on the chart using a specific color. Horizontal lines (both dashed and solid) are drawn at levels 0, ±0.8, and ±1, serving as visual thresholds. Additionally, conditional fills in red or blue highlight when values exceed these thresholds, helping the user quickly identify potential extreme conditions (such as overbought or oversold situations).
2. Visual Signals and Automated Alerts
Graphical Signal Enhancements: To reinforce the analysis, the indicator uses graphical elements like emojis and shape markers. For example:
If all 10 curves drop below -0.79, a 🌋 emoji appears at the bottom of the chart;
When curves 2 through 10 are below -0.79, a ⛰️ emoji is displayed below the bar, potentially serving as a buy signal accompanied by an alert condition;
Likewise, symmetrical conditions for correlations exceeding 0.79 produce corresponding emojis (🤿 and 🏖️) at the top or bottom of the chart.
Alerts and Notifications: Using these visual triggers, several alertcondition statements are defined within the script. This allows users to set up TradingView alerts and receive real-time notifications whenever the market reaches these predefined critical zones identified by the multi-period analysis.
3. Regression Channel Analysis
Principles and Calculations: In addition to the oscillator, the indicator implements an analysis of regression channels. For each of the 8 configurable channels, the user can set a range of periods (for example, min1 to max1, etc.). The function calc_regression_channel iterates through the defined period range to find the optimal period that maximizes a statistical measure derived from a regression parameter calculated by the function r(p). Once this optimal period is identified, the indicator computes two key points (A and B) which define the main regression line, and then creates a channel based on the calculated deviation (an RMSE multiplied by a user-defined factor).
The regression channels are not displayed on the chart but are used to plot shapes & fullfilled a table.
Blue shapes are plotted when 6th channel or 7th channel are lower than 3 deviations
Yellow shapes are plotted when 6th channel or 7th channel are higher than 3 deviations
4. Scores, Conditions, and the Summary Table
Scoring System: The indicator goes further by assigning scores across multiple analytical categories, such as:
1. BigPear Score
What It Represents: This score is based on a longer-term moving average of the Pearson correlation values (SMA 100 of the average of the 10 curves of correlation of Pearson). The BigPear category is designed to capture where this longer-term average falls within specific ranges.
Conditions: The script defines nine boolean conditions (labeled BigPear1up through BigPear9up for the “up” direction).
Here's the rules :
BigPear1up = (bigsma_avgPR <= 0.5 and bigsma_avgPR > 0.25)
BigPear2up = (bigsma_avgPR <= 0.25 and bigsma_avgPR > 0)
BigPear3up = (bigsma_avgPR <= 0 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.25)
BigPear4up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.25 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.5)
BigPear5up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.5 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.65)
BigPear6up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.65 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.7)
BigPear7up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.7 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.75)
BigPear8up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.75 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.8)
BigPear9up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.8)
Conditions: The script defines nine boolean conditions (labeled BigPear1down through BigPear9down for the “down” direction).
BigPear1down = (bigsma_avgPR >= -0.5 and bigsma_avgPR < -0.25)
BigPear2down = (bigsma_avgPR >= -0.25 and bigsma_avgPR < 0)
BigPear3down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.25)
BigPear4down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.25 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.5)
BigPear5down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.5 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.65)
BigPear6down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.65 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.7)
BigPear7down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.7 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.75)
BigPear8down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.75 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.8)
BigPear9down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.8)
Weighting:
If BigPear1up is true, 1 point is added; if BigPear2up is true, 2 points are added; and so on up to 9 points from BigPear9up.
Total Score:
The positive score (posScoreBigPear) is the sum of these weighted conditions.
Similarly, there is a negative score (negScoreBigPear) that is calculated using a mirrored set of conditions (named BigPear1down to BigPear9down), each contributing a negative weight (from -1 to -9).
In essence, the BigPear score tells you—in a weighted cumulative way—where the longer-term correlation average falls relative to predefined thresholds.
2. Pear Score
What It Represents: This category uses the immediate average of the Pearson correlations (avgPR) rather than a longer-term smoothed version. It reflects a more current picture of the market’s correlation behavior.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions: There are nine conditions defined for the “up” scenario (named Pear1up through Pear9up), which partition the range of avgPR into intervals. For instance:
Pear1up = (avgPR > -0.2 and avgPR <= 0)
Pear2up = (avgPR > -0.4 and avgPR <= -0.2)
Pear3up = (avgPR > -0.5 and avgPR <= -0.4)
Pear4up = (avgPR > -0.6 and avgPR <= -0.5)
Pear5up = (avgPR > -0.65 and avgPR <= -0.6)
Pear6up = (avgPR > -0.7 and avgPR <= -0.65)
Pear7up = (avgPR > -0.75 and avgPR <= -0.7)
Pear8up = (avgPR > -0.8 and avgPR <= -0.75)
Pear9up = (avgPR > -1 and avgPR <= -0.8)
There are nine conditions defined for the “down” scenario (named Pear1down through Pear9down), which partition the range of avgPR into intervals. For instance:
Pear1down = (avgPR >= 0 and avgPR < 0.2)
Pear2down = (avgPR >= 0.2 and avgPR < 0.4)
Pear3down = (avgPR >= 0.4 and avgPR < 0.5)
Pear4down = (avgPR >= 0.5 and avgPR < 0.6)
Pear5down = (avgPR >= 0.6 and avgPR < 0.65)
Pear6down = (avgPR >= 0.65 and avgPR < 0.7)
Pear7down = (avgPR >= 0.7 and avgPR < 0.75)
Pear8down = (avgPR >= 0.75 and avgPR < 0.8)
Pear9down = (avgPR >= 0.8 and avgPR <= 1)
Weighting:
Each condition has an associated weight, such as 0.9 for Pear1up, 1.9 for Pear2up, and so on, up to 9 for Pear9up.
Sum up :
Pear1up = 0.9
Pear2up = 1.9
Pear3up = 2.9
Pear4up = 3.9
Pear5up = 4.99
Pear6up = 6
Pear7up = 7
Pear8up = 8
Pear9up = 9
Total Score:
The positive score (posScorePear) is the sum of these values for each condition that returns true.
A corresponding negative score (negScorePear) is calculated using conditions for when avgPR falls on the positive side, with similar weights in the negative direction.
This score quantifies the current correlation reading by translating its relative level into a numeric score through a weighted sum.
3. Trendpear Score
What It Represents: The Trendpear score is more dynamic as it compares the current avgPR with its short-term moving average (sma_avgPR / 14 periods ) and also considers its relationship with an even longer moving average (bigsma_avgPR / 100 periods). It is meant to capture the trend or momentum in the correlation behavior.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions: Nine conditions (from Trendpear1up to Trendpear9up) are defined to check:
Whether avgPR is below, equal to, or above sma_avgPR by different margins;
Whether it is trending upward (i.e., it is higher than its previous value).
Here are the rules
Trendpear1up = (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.2) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear2up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.2) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.07) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear3up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.07) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.03) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear4up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.03) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.02) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear5up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.02) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.01) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear6up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.01) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.001) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear7up = (avgPR >= sma_avgPR) and (avgPR >= avgPR ) and (avgPR <= bigsma_avgPR)
Trendpear8up = (avgPR >= sma_avgPR) and (avgPR >= avgPR ) and (avgPR >= bigsma_avgPR -0.03)
Trendpear9up = (avgPR >= sma_avgPR) and (avgPR >= avgPR ) and (avgPR >= bigsma_avgPR)
Weighting:
The weights here are not linear. For example, the lightest condition may add 0.1 point, whereas the most extreme condition (e.g., when avgPR is not only above the moving average but also reaches a high proportion relative to bigsma_avgPR) might add as much as 90 points.
Trendpear1up = 0.1
Trendpear2up = 0.2
Trendpear3up = 0.3
Trendpear4up = 0.4
Trendpear5up = 0.5
Trendpear6up = 0.69
Trendpear7up = 7
Trendpear8up = 8.9
Trendpear9up = 90
Total Score:
The positive score (posScoreTrendpear) is the sum of the weights from all conditions that are satisfied.
A negative counterpart (negScoreTrendpear) exists similarly for when the trend indicates a downward bias.
Trendpear integrates both the level and the direction of change in the correlations, giving a strong numeric indication when the market starts to diverge from its short-term average.
4. Deviation Score
What It Represents: The “Écart” score quantifies how far the asset’s price deviates from the boundaries defined by the regression channels. This metric can indicate if the price is excessively deviating—which might signal an eventual reversion—or confirming a breakout.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions: For each channel (with at least seven channels contributing to the scoring from the provided code), there are three levels of deviation:
First tier (EcartXup): Checks if the price is below the upper boundary but above a second boundary.
Second tier (EcartXup2): Checks if the price has dropped further, between a lower and a more extreme boundary.
Third tier (EcartXup3): Checks if the price is below the most extreme limit.
Weighting:
Each tier within a channel has a very small weight for the lowest severities (for example, 0.0001 for the first tier, 0.0002 for the second, 0.0003 for the third) with weights increasing with the channel index.
First channel : 0.0001 to 0.0003 (very short term)
Second channel : 0.001 to 0.003 (short term)
Third channel : 0.01 to 0.03 (short mid term)
4th channel : 0.1 to 0.3 ( mid term)
5th channel: 1 to 3 (long mid term)
6th channel : 10 to 30 (long term)
7th channel : 100 to 300 (very long term)
Total Score:
The overall positive score (posScoreEcart) is the sum of all the weights for conditions met among the first, second, and third tiers.
The corresponding negative score (negScoreEcart) is calculated similarly (using conditions when the price is above the channel boundaries), with the weights being the same in magnitude but negative in sign.
This layered scoring method allows the indicator to reflect both minor and major deviations in a gradated and cumulative manner.
Example :
Score + = 321.0001
Score - = -0.111
The asset price is really overextended in long term view, not for mid term & short term expect the in the very short term.
Score + = 0.0033
Score - = -1.11
The asset price is really extended in short term view, not for mid term (even a bit underextended) & long term is neutral
5. Slope Score
What It Represents: The Slope score captures the trend direction and steepness of the regression channels. It reflects whether the regression line (and hence the underlying trend) is sloping upward or downward.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions:
if the slope has a uptrend = 1
if the slope has a downtrend = -1
Weighting:
First channel : 0.0001 to 0.0003 (very short term)
Second channel : 0.001 to 0.003 (short term)
Third channel : 0.01 to 0.03 (short mid term)
4th channel : 0.1 to 0.3 ( mid term)
5th channel: 1 to 3 (long mid term)
6th channel : 10 to 30 (long term)
7th channel : 100 to 300 (very long term)
The positive slope conditions incrementally add weights from 0.0001 for the smallest positive slopes to 100 for the largest among the seven checks. And negative for the downward slopes.
The positive score (posScoreSlope) is the sum of all the weights from the upward slope conditions that are met.
The negative score (negScoreSlope) sums the negative weights when downward conditions are met.
Example :
Score + = 111
Score - = -0.1111
Trend is up for longterm & down for mid & short term
The slope score therefore emphasizes both the magnitude and the direction of the trend as indicated by the regression channels, with an intentional asymmetry that flags strong downtrends more aggressively.
Summary
For each category—BigPear, Pear, Trendpear, Écart, and Slope—the indicator evaluates a defined set of conditions. Each condition is a binary test (true/false) based on different thresholds or comparisons (for example, comparing the current value to a moving average or a channel boundary). When a condition is true, its assigned weight is added to the cumulative score for that category. These individual scores, both positive and negative, are then displayed in a table, making it easy for the trader to see at a glance where the market stands according to each analytical dimension.
This comprehensive, weighted approach allows the indicator to encapsulate several layers of market information into a single set of scores, aiding in the identification of potential trading opportunities or market reversals.
5. Practical Use and Application
How to Use the Indicator:
Interpreting the Signals:
On your chart, observe the following components:
The individual correlation curves and their average, plotted with visual thresholds;
Visual markers (such as emojis and shape markers) that signal potential oversold or overbought conditions
The summary table that aggregates the scores from each category, offering a quick glance at the market’s state.
Trading Alerts and Decisions: Set your TradingView alerts through the alertcondition functions provided by the indicator. This way, you receive immediate notifications when critical conditions are met, allowing you to react as soon as the market reaches key levels. This tool is especially beneficial for advanced traders who want to combine multiple technical dimensions to optimize entry and exit points with a confluence of signals.
Conclusion and Additional Insights
In summary, this advanced indicator innovatively combines multi-scale Pearson correlation analysis (via multiple linear regressions) with robust regression channel analysis. It offers a deep and nuanced view of market dynamics by delivering clear visual signals and a comprehensive numerical summary through a built-in score table.
Combine this indicator with other tools (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, volume indicators) to enhance overall strategy robustness.
Adjustable Vertical LinesThe script provides an indicator which will plot lines - 15 min, 30 min and 60 min. You can customize the time intervals and go to as low as one minute, but I found the 15-minute and 30-minute intervals works best for me when trying to find setups, and the lower time-frame intervals, is just pointless to use if you're not scalping on the seconds timeframe.
You can customize inputs for the line style. Line thickness, colour, etc.
I've seen this work using the OBR theory and applying it to the one-minute candle then looking for other confluences like order blocks, or breakers, FVGs, BOS/CHoC for further confirmation for scalping. It's important to backtest though and see for yourself.
Thanks for the boost.
NY ORB + Fakeout Detector🗽 NY ORB + Fakeout Detector
This indicator automatically plots the New York Opening Range (ORB) based on the first 15 minutes of the NY session (15:30–15:45 CEST / 13:30–13:45 UTC) and detects potential fakeouts (false breakouts).
🔍 Key Features:
✅ Plots ORB high and low based on the 15-minute NY open range
✅ Automatically detects fake breakouts (price wicks beyond the box but closes back inside)
✅ Visual markers:
🔺 "Fake ↑" if a fake breakout occurs above the range
🔻 "Fake ↓" if a fake breakout occurs below the range
✅ Gray background highlights the ORB session window
✅ Designed for scalping and short-term breakout strategies
🧠 Best For:
Intraday traders looking for NY volatility setups
Scalpers using ORB-based entries
Traders seeking early-session fakeout traps to avoid false signals
Those combining with EMA 12/21, volume, or other confluence tools
CHN BUY SELL with EMA 200Overview
This indicator combines RSI 7 momentum signals with EMA 200 trend filtering to generate high-probability BUY and SELL entry points. It uses colored candles to highlight key market conditions and displays clear trading signals with built-in cooldown periods to prevent signal spam.
Key Features
Colored Candles: Visual momentum indicators based on RSI 7 levels
Trend Filtering: EMA 200 confirms overall market direction
Signal Cooldown: Prevents over-trading with adjustable waiting periods
Clean Interface: Simple BUY/SELL labels without clutter
How It Works
Candle Coloring System
Yellow Candles: Appear when RSI 7 ≥ 70 (overbought momentum)
Purple Candles: Appear when RSI 7 ≤ 30 (oversold momentum)
Normal Candles: All other market conditions
Trading Signals
BUY Signal: Triggered when closing price > EMA 200 AND yellow candle appears
SELL Signal: Triggered when closing price < EMA 200 AND purple candle appears
Signal Cooldown
After a BUY or SELL signal appears, the same signal type is suppressed for a specified number of candles (default: 5) to prevent excessive signals in ranging markets.
Settings
RSI 7 Length: Period for RSI calculation (default: 7)
RSI 7 Overbought: Threshold for yellow candles (default: 70)
RSI 7 Oversold: Threshold for purple candles (default: 30)
EMA Length: Period for trend filter (default: 200)
Signal Cooldown: Candles to wait between same signal type (default: 5)
How to Use
Apply the indicator to your chart
Look for yellow or purple colored candles
For LONG entries: Wait for yellow candle above EMA 200, then enter BUY when signal appears
For SHORT entries: Wait for purple candle below EMA 200, then enter SELL when signal appears
Use appropriate risk management and position sizing
Best Practices
Works best on timeframes M15 and higher
Suitable for Forex, Gold, Crypto, and Stock markets
Consider market volatility when setting stop-loss and take-profit levels
Use in conjunction with proper risk management strategies
Technical Details
Overlay: True (plots directly on price chart)
Calculation: Based on RSI momentum and EMA trend analysis
Signal Logic: Combines momentum exhaustion with trend direction
Visual Feedback: Colored candles provide immediate market condition awareness
GoatsGlowingRSIGoatsGlowingRSI is a visually enhanced and feature-rich RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator designed for deeper market insight and clearer signal visualization. It combines standard RSI analysis with gradient-colored backgrounds, glowing effects, and automated divergence detection to help traders spot potential reversals and momentum shifts more effectively.
Key Features:
✅ Multi-Timeframe RSI:
Calculate RSI from any timeframe using the custom input. Leave it blank to use the current chart's timeframe.
✅ Dynamic Gradient Background:
A smooth gradient fill is applied between RSI levels from the lower band (30) to the upper band (70). The gradient shifts from blue (oversold) to red (overbought), visually highlighting the RSI's position and strength.
✅ Glowing RSI Line:
A three-layered glow effect surrounds the main RSI line, creating a striking white core with a purple aura that enhances visibility against dark or light chart themes.
✅ Custom RSI Levels:
Dashed horizontal lines at RSI 70 (overbought), RSI 30 (oversold), and a dotted midline at 50 help you interpret trend momentum and strength.
✅ Automatic Divergence Detection:
Built-in logic identifies bullish and bearish divergences by comparing RSI and price pivot points:
🟢 Bullish Divergence: RSI makes a higher low while price makes a lower low.
🔴 Bearish Divergence: RSI makes a lower high while price makes a higher high.
Divergences are marked on the RSI line with colored lines and labels ("Bull"/"Bear").
✅ Alerts Ready:
Get notified in real-time with alert conditions for both bullish and bearish divergence setups.
BK AK-Scope🔭 Introducing BK AK-Scope — Target Locked. Signal Acquired. 🔭
After building five precision weapons for traders, I’m proud to unveil the sixth.
BK AK-Scope — the eye of the arsenal.
This is not just an indicator. It’s an intelligence system for volatility, signal clarity, and rate-of-change dynamics — forged for elite vision in any market terrain.
🧠 Why “Scope”? And Why “AK”?
Every shooter knows: you can’t hit what you can’t see.
The Scope brings range, clarity, and target distinction. It filters motion from noise. Purpose from panic.
“AK” continues to honor the man who trained my sight — my mentor, A.K.
His discipline taught me to wait for alignment. To move with reason, not emotion.
His vision lives in every code line here.
🔬 What Is BK AK-Scope?
A Triple-Tier TSI Correlation Engine, fused with adaptive opacity logic, a volatility scoring system, and real-time signal clarity. It’s momentum dissected — by speed, depth, and rate of change.
Built to serve traders who:
Need visual hierarchy between fast, mid, and slow TSI responses.
Want adaptive fills that pulse with volatility — not static zones.
Require a volatility scoring overlay that reads the battlefield in real time.
⚙️ Core Systems: How BK AK-Scope Works
✅ Fast/Mid/Slow TSI →
Three layers of correlation: like scopes with zoom levels.
You track micro moves, mid swings, and macro flow simultaneously.
✅ Rate-of-Change Adaptive Opacity →
Momentum fills fade or flash based on speed — giving you movement density at a glance.
Bull vs. Bear zones adapt to strength. You feel the market’s pulse.
✅ Volatility Score Intelligence →
Custom algorithm measuring:
Range expansion
Rate-of-change differentials
ATR dynamics
Standard deviation pressure
All combined into a score from 0–100 with live icons:
🔥 = Extreme Heat (70+)
🧊 = Cold Zone (<30)
⚠️ = ROC Warning
• = Neutral drift
✅ Auto-Detect Volatility Modes →
Scalp = <15min
Swing = intraday/hourly
Macro = daily/weekly
Or override manually with total control.
🎯 How To Use BK AK-Scope
🔹 Trend Continuation → When all three TSI layers align in direction + volatility score climbs, ride with the trend.
🔹 Early Reversals → Opposing TSI + rapid opacity change + volatility shift = sniper reversal zone.
🔹 Consolidation Filter → Neutral fills + score < 30 = stay out, wait for signal surge.
🔹 Signal Confluence → Pair with:
• Gann fans or angles
• Fib time/price clusters
• Elliott Wave structure
• Harmonics or divergence
To isolate entry perfection.
🛡️ Why This Indicator Changes the Game
It's not just momentum. It’s TSI with depth hierarchy.
It’s not just color. It’s real-time strength visualization.
It’s not just volatility. It’s rate-weighted market intelligence.
This is market optics for the advanced trader — built for vision, clarity, and discipline.
🙏 Final Thoughts
🔹 In honor of A.K., my mentor. The man who taught me to see what others miss.
🔹 Inspired by the power of vision — because execution without clarity is chaos.
🔹 Powered by faith — because Gd alone gives sight beyond the visible.
“He gives sight to the blind and wisdom to the humble.” — Psalms 146
Every tool I build is a prayer in code — that it helps someone trade with clarity, integrity, and precision.
⚡ Zoom In. Focus Deep. Trade Clean.
BK AK-Scope — Lock on the target. See what others don’t.
🔫 Clarity is power. 🔫
Gd bless. 🙏
MNQ EMA StrategyThis strategy is not perfected yet. ONE MINUTE TIMEFRAME
The goal is to take Longs above the 5 ema when price is above all the 200, 30, and 5 ema.
Short side is when candle closes below the 5 ema and price is below the 300, 30, and 5 ema.
I use candle range blocks for different time zones to avoid excess orders from being triggered. As well as blocks when stoploss is hit or after a profitable trade of certain ticks.
There is an RSI to avoid trades when there isn't too much movement.
My goal is to get an entry when price trades above the 5 ema and then next candle passes it by .25 instead of entering immediately. The stoploss as the low of candle before entry and TP as 3 times the stoploss. I've tried a million times to make it like this but I don't know how to use pine script or Code.
The sell side is basically the same, enter at candle close below 5 ema wait for low to get swept to enter and stoploss above previous high, with TP 3 times the stoploss.
Publishing in hopes anyone knows how to adjust this
CAUTION THIS STRATEGY WORKS WITH CURRENT PRICE ACTION DUE TO ME USING RECENT TICK COUNT RATHER THAN BASED ON CANDLES OR PERCENTAGES. THIS WILL ONLY WORK AS LONG AS MARKET MOVES AS IT HAS BEEN SINCE 2024. CME_MINI:MNQ1!
Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) - Quantum Flow Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) – Quantum Flow
See the Feedback Loops. Anticipate the Regime Shift.
What is the RRF – Quantum Flow?
The Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) – Quantum Flow is a next-generation market regime detector and energy oscillator, inspired by George Soros’ theory of reflexivity and modern complexity science. It is designed for traders who want to visualize the hidden feedback loops between market perception and participation, and to anticipate explosive regime shifts before they unfold.
Unlike traditional oscillators, RRF does not just measure price momentum or volatility. Instead, it models the dynamic feedback between how the market perceives itself (perception) and how it acts on that perception (participation). When these feedback loops synchronize, they create “resonance” – a state of amplified reflexivity that often precedes major market moves.
Theoretical Foundation
Reflexivity: Markets are not just driven by external information, but by participants’ perceptions and their actions, which in turn influence future perceptions. This feedback loop can create self-reinforcing trends or sudden reversals.
Resonance: When perception and participation align and reinforce each other, the market enters a high-energy, reflexive state. These “resonance” events often mark the start of new trends or the climax of existing ones.
Energy Field: The indicator quantifies the “energy” of the market’s reflexivity, allowing you to see when the crowd is about to act in unison.
How RRF – Quantum Flow Works
Perception Proxy: Measures the rate of change in price (ROC) over a configurable period, then smooths it with an EMA. This models how quickly the market’s collective perception is shifting.
Participation Proxy: Uses a fast/slow ATR ratio to gauge the intensity of market participation (volatility expansion/contraction).
Reflexivity Core: Multiplies perception and participation to model the feedback loop.
Resonance Detection: Applies Z-score normalization to the absolute value of reflexivity, highlighting when current feedback is unusually strong compared to recent history.
Energy Calculation: Scales resonance to a 0–100 “energy” value, visualized as a dynamic background.
Regime Strength: Tracks the percentage of bars in a lookback window where resonance exceeded the threshold, quantifying the persistence of reflexive regimes.
Inputs:
🧬 Core Parameters
Perception Period (pp_roc_len, default 14): Lookback for price ROC.
Lower (5–10): More sensitive, for scalping (1–5min).
Default (14): Balanced, for 15min–1hr.
Higher (20–30): Smoother, for 4hr–daily.
Perception Smooth (pp_smooth_len, default 7): EMA smoothing for perception.
Lower (3–5): Faster, more detail.
Default (7): Balanced.
Higher (10–15): Smoother, less noise.
Participation Fast (prp_fast_len, default 7): Fast ATR for immediate volatility.
5–7: Scalping.
7–10: Day trading.
10–14: Swing trading.
Participation Slow (prp_slow_len, default 21): Slow ATR for baseline volatility.
Should be 2–4x fast ATR.
Default (21): Works with fast=7.
⚡ Signal Configuration
Resonance Window (res_z_window, default 50): Z-score lookback for resonance normalization.
20–30: More reactive.
50: Medium-term.
100+: Very stable.
Primary Threshold (rrf_threshold, default 1.5): Z-score level for “Active” resonance.
1.0–1.5: More signals.
1.5: Balanced.
2.0+: Only strong signals.
Extreme Threshold (rrf_extreme, default 2.5): Z-score for “Extreme” resonance.
2.5: Major regime shifts.
3.0+: Only the most extreme.
Regime Window (regime_window, default 100): Lookback for regime strength (% of bars with resonance spikes).
Higher: More context, slower.
Lower: Adapts quickly.
🎨 Visual Settings
Show Resonance Flow (show_flow, default true): Plots the main resonance line with glow effects.
Show Signal Particles (show_particles, default true): Circular markers at active/extreme resonance points.
Show Energy Field (show_energy, default true): Background color based on resonance energy.
Show Info Dashboard (show_dashboard, default true): Status panel with resonance metrics.
Show Trading Guide (show_guide, default true): On-chart quick reference for interpreting signals.
Color Mode (color_mode, default "Spectrum"): Visual theme for all elements.
“Spectrum”: Cyan→Magenta (high contrast)
“Heat”: Yellow→Red (heat map)
“Ocean”: Blue gradients (easy on eyes)
“Plasma”: Orange→Purple (vibrant)
Color Schemes
Dynamic color gradients are used for all plots and backgrounds, adapting to both resonance intensity and direction:
Spectrum: Cyan/Magenta for bullish/bearish resonance.
Heat: Yellow/Red for bullish, Blue/Purple for bearish.
Ocean: Blue gradients for both directions.
Plasma: Orange/Purple for high-energy states.
Glow and aura effects: The resonance line is layered with multiple glows for depth and signal strength.
Background energy field: Darker = higher energy = stronger reflexivity.
Visual Logic
Main Resonance Line: Shows the smoothed resonance value, color-coded by direction and intensity.
Glow/Aura: Multiple layers for visual depth and to highlight strong signals.
Threshold Zones: Dotted lines and filled areas mark “Active” and “Extreme” resonance zones.
Signal Particles: Circular markers at each “Active” (primary threshold) and “Extreme” (extreme threshold) event.
Dashboard: Top-right panel shows current status (Dormant, Building, Active, Extreme), resonance value, energy %, and regime strength.
Trading Guide: Bottom-right panel explains all states and how to interpret them.
How to Use RRF – Quantum Flow
Dormant (💤): Market is in equilibrium. Wait for resonance to build.
Building (🌊): Resonance is rising but below threshold. Prepare for a move.
Active (🔥): Resonance exceeds primary threshold. Reflexivity is significant—consider entries or exits.
Extreme (⚡): Resonance exceeds extreme threshold. Major regime shift likely—watch for trend acceleration or reversal.
Energy >70%: High conviction, crowd is acting in unison.
Above 0: Bullish reflexivity (positive feedback).
Below 0: Bearish reflexivity (negative feedback).
Regime Strength: % of bars in “Active” state—higher = more persistent regime.
Tips:
- Use lower lookbacks for scalping, higher for swing trading.
- Combine with price action or your own system for confirmation.
- Works on all assets and timeframes—tune to your style.
Alerts
RRF Activation: Resonance crosses above primary threshold.
RRF Extreme: Resonance crosses above extreme threshold.
RRF Deactivation: Resonance falls below primary threshold.
Originality & Usefulness
RRF – Quantum Flow is not a mashup of existing indicators. It is a novel oscillator that models the feedback loop between perception and participation, then quantifies and visualizes the resulting resonance. The multi-layered color logic, energy field, and regime strength dashboard are unique to this script. It is designed for anticipation, not confirmation—helping you see regime shifts before they are obvious in price.
Chart Info
Script Name: Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) – Quantum Flow
Recommended Use: Any asset, any timeframe. Tune parameters to your style.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or direct buy/sell signals. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Bear Market Probability Model# Bear Market Probability Model: A Multi-Factor Risk Assessment Framework
The Bear Market Probability Model represents a comprehensive quantitative framework for assessing systemic market risk through the integration of 13 distinct risk factors across four analytical categories: macroeconomic indicators, technical analysis factors, market sentiment measures, and market breadth metrics. This indicator synthesizes established financial research methodologies to provide real-time probabilistic assessments of impending bear market conditions, offering institutional-grade risk management capabilities to retail and professional traders alike.
## Theoretical Foundation
### Historical Context of Bear Market Prediction
Bear market prediction has been a central focus of financial research since the seminal work of Dow (1901) and the subsequent development of technical analysis theory. The challenge of predicting market downturns gained renewed academic attention following the market crashes of 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008, leading to the development of sophisticated multi-factor models.
Fama and French (1989) demonstrated that certain financial variables possess predictive power for stock returns, particularly during market stress periods. Their three-factor model laid the groundwork for multi-dimensional risk assessment, which this indicator extends through the incorporation of real-time market microstructure data.
### Methodological Framework
The model employs a weighted composite scoring methodology based on the theoretical framework established by Campbell and Shiller (1998) for market valuation assessment, extended through the incorporation of high-frequency sentiment and technical indicators as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2006) in their seminal work on investor sentiment.
The mathematical foundation follows the general form:
Bear Market Probability = Σ(Wi × Ci) / ΣWi × 100
Where:
- Wi = Category weight (i = 1,2,3,4)
- Ci = Normalized category score
- Categories: Macroeconomic, Technical, Sentiment, Breadth
## Component Analysis
### 1. Macroeconomic Risk Factors
#### Yield Curve Analysis
The inclusion of yield curve inversion as a primary predictor follows extensive research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who demonstrated that the term spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury securities has historically preceded all major recessions since 1969. The model incorporates both the 2Y-10Y and 3M-10Y spreads to capture different aspects of monetary policy expectations.
Implementation:
- 2Y-10Y Spread: Captures market expectations of monetary policy trajectory
- 3M-10Y Spread: Traditional recession predictor with 12-18 month lead time
Scientific Basis: Harvey (1988) and subsequent research by Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei (2006) established the theoretical foundation linking yield curve inversions to economic contractions through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.
#### Credit Risk Premium Assessment
High-yield credit spreads serve as a real-time gauge of systemic risk, following the methodology established by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) in their excess bond premium research. The model incorporates the ICE BofA High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread as a proxy for credit market stress.
Threshold Calibration:
- Normal conditions: < 350 basis points
- Elevated risk: 350-500 basis points
- Severe stress: > 500 basis points
#### Currency and Commodity Stress Indicators
The US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum serves as a risk-off indicator, while the Gold-to-Oil ratio captures commodity market stress dynamics. This approach follows the methodology of Akram (2009) and Beckmann, Berger, and Czudaj (2015) in analyzing commodity-currency relationships during market stress.
### 2. Technical Analysis Factors
#### Multi-Timeframe Moving Average Analysis
The technical component incorporates the well-established moving average convergence methodology, drawing from the work of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), who provided empirical evidence for the profitability of technical trading rules.
Implementation:
- Price relative to 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages
- Moving average convergence/divergence analysis
- Multi-timeframe MACD assessment (daily and weekly)
#### Momentum and Volatility Analysis
The model integrates Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis following Wilder's (1978) original methodology, combined with maximum drawdown analysis based on the work of Magdon-Ismail and Atiya (2004) on optimal drawdown measurement.
### 3. Market Sentiment Factors
#### Volatility Index Analysis
The VIX component follows the established research of Whaley (2009) and subsequent work by Bekaert and Hoerova (2014) on VIX as a predictor of market stress. The model incorporates both absolute VIX levels and relative VIX spikes compared to the 20-day moving average.
Calibration:
- Low volatility: VIX < 20
- Elevated concern: VIX 20-25
- High fear: VIX > 25
- Panic conditions: VIX > 30
#### Put-Call Ratio Analysis
Options flow analysis through put-call ratios provides insight into sophisticated investor positioning, following the methodology established by Pan and Poteshman (2006) in their analysis of informed trading in options markets.
### 4. Market Breadth Factors
#### Advance-Decline Analysis
Market breadth assessment follows the classic work of Fosback (1976) and subsequent research by Brown and Cliff (2004) on market breadth as a predictor of future returns.
Components:
- Daily advance-decline ratio
- Advance-decline line momentum
- McClellan Oscillator (Ema19 - Ema39 of A-D difference)
#### New Highs-New Lows Analysis
The new highs-new lows ratio serves as a market leadership indicator, based on the research of Zweig (1986) and validated in academic literature by Zarowin (1990).
## Dynamic Threshold Methodology
The model incorporates adaptive thresholds based on rolling volatility and trend analysis, following the methodology established by Pagan and Sossounov (2003) for business cycle dating. This approach allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing market conditions.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
- Warning Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.0)
- Danger Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.5)
- Bounds: ±10-20 points from base threshold
## Professional Implementation
### Institutional Usage Patterns
Professional risk managers typically employ multi-factor bear market models in several contexts:
#### 1. Portfolio Risk Management
- Tactical Asset Allocation: Reducing equity exposure when probability exceeds 60-70%
- Hedging Strategies: Implementing protective puts or VIX calls when warning thresholds are breached
- Sector Rotation: Shifting from growth to defensive sectors during elevated risk periods
#### 2. Risk Budgeting
- Value-at-Risk Adjustment: Incorporating bear market probability into VaR calculations
- Stress Testing: Using probability levels to calibrate stress test scenarios
- Capital Requirements: Adjusting regulatory capital based on systemic risk assessment
#### 3. Client Communication
- Risk Reporting: Quantifying market risk for client presentations
- Investment Committee Decisions: Providing objective risk metrics for strategic decisions
- Performance Attribution: Explaining defensive positioning during market stress
### Implementation Framework
Professional traders typically implement such models through:
#### Signal Hierarchy:
1. Probability < 30%: Normal risk positioning
2. Probability 30-50%: Increased hedging, reduced leverage
3. Probability 50-70%: Defensive positioning, cash building
4. Probability > 70%: Maximum defensive posture, short exposure consideration
#### Risk Management Integration:
- Position Sizing: Inverse relationship between probability and position size
- Stop-Loss Adjustment: Tighter stops during elevated risk periods
- Correlation Monitoring: Increased attention to cross-asset correlations
## Strengths and Advantages
### 1. Comprehensive Coverage
The model's primary strength lies in its multi-dimensional approach, avoiding the single-factor bias that has historically plagued market timing models. By incorporating macroeconomic, technical, sentiment, and breadth factors, the model provides robust risk assessment across different market regimes.
### 2. Dynamic Adaptability
The adaptive threshold mechanism allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing volatility conditions, reducing false signals during low-volatility periods and maintaining sensitivity during high-volatility regimes.
### 3. Real-Time Processing
Unlike traditional academic models that rely on monthly or quarterly data, this indicator processes daily market data, providing timely risk assessment for active portfolio management.
### 4. Transparency and Interpretability
The component-based structure allows users to understand which factors are driving risk assessment, enabling informed decision-making about model signals.
### 5. Historical Validation
Each component has been validated in academic literature, providing theoretical foundation for the model's predictive power.
## Limitations and Weaknesses
### 1. Data Dependencies
The model's effectiveness depends heavily on the availability and quality of real-time economic data. Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) updates may have lags that could impact model responsiveness during rapidly evolving market conditions.
### 2. Regime Change Sensitivity
Like most quantitative models, the indicator may struggle during unprecedented market conditions or structural regime changes where historical relationships break down (Taleb, 2007).
### 3. False Signal Risk
Multi-factor models inherently face the challenge of balancing sensitivity with specificity. The model may generate false positive signals during normal market volatility periods.
### 4. Currency and Geographic Bias
The model focuses primarily on US market indicators, potentially limiting its effectiveness for global portfolio management or non-USD denominated assets.
### 5. Correlation Breakdown
During extreme market stress, correlations between risk factors may increase dramatically, reducing the model's diversification benefits (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002).
## References
Akram, Q. F. (2009). Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar. Energy Economics, 31(6), 838-851.
Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M. (2006). What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? Journal of Econometrics, 131(1-2), 359-403.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.
Beckmann, J., Berger, T., & Czudaj, R. (2015). Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach. Economic Modelling, 48, 16-24.
Bekaert, G., & Hoerova, M. (2014). The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 183(2), 181-192.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1998). Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(2), 11-26.
Dow, C. H. (1901). Scientific stock speculation. The Magazine of Wall Street.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261.
Fosback, N. G. (1976). Stock market logic: A sophisticated approach to profits on Wall Street. The Institute for Econometric Research.
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012). Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations. American Economic Review, 102(4), 1692-1720.
Harvey, C. R. (1988). The real term structure and consumption growth. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(2), 305-333.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Magdon-Ismail, M., & Atiya, A. F. (2004). Maximum drawdown. Risk, 17(10), 99-102.
Nickerson, R. S. (1998). Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises. Review of General Psychology, 2(2), 175-220.
Pagan, A. R., & Sossounov, K. A. (2003). A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 23-46.
Pan, J., & Poteshman, A. M. (2006). The information in option volume for future stock prices. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 871-908.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. Random House.
Whaley, R. E. (2009). Understanding the VIX. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(3), 98-105.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
Zarowin, P. (1990). Size, seasonality, and stock market overreaction. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25(1), 113-125.
Zweig, M. E. (1986). Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books.
Multi-Session ORBThe Multi-Session ORB Indicator is a customizable Pine Script (version 6) tool designed for TradingView to plot Opening Range Breakout (ORB) levels across four major trading sessions: Sydney, Tokyo, London, and New York. It allows traders to define specific ORB durations and session times in Central Daylight Time (CDT), making it adaptable to various trading strategies.
Key Features:
1. Customizable ORB Duration: Users can set the ORB duration (default: 15 minutes) via the inputMax parameter, determining the time window for calculating the high and low of each session’s opening range.
2. Flexible Session Times: The indicator supports user-defined session and ORB times for:
◦ Sydney: Default ORB (17:00–17:15 CDT), Session (17:00–01:00 CDT)
◦ Tokyo: Default ORB (19:00–19:15 CDT), Session (19:00–04:00 CDT)
◦ London: Default ORB (02:00–02:15 CDT), Session (02:00–11:00 CDT)
◦ New York: Default ORB (08:30–08:45 CDT), Session (08:30–16:00 CDT)
3. Session-Specific ORB Levels: For each session, the indicator calculates and tracks the high and low prices during the specified ORB period. These levels are updated dynamically if new highs or lows occur within the ORB timeframe.
4. Visual Representation:
◦ ORB high and low lines are plotted only during their respective session times, ensuring clarity.
◦ Each session’s lines are color-coded for easy identification:
▪ Sydney: Light Yellow (high), Dark Yellow (low)
▪ Tokyo: Light Pink (high), Dark Pink (low)
▪ London: Light Blue (high), Dark Blue (low)
▪ New York: Light Purple (high), Dark Purple (low)
◦ Lines are drawn with a linewidth of 2 and disappear when the session ends or if the timeframe is not intraday (or exceeds the ORB duration).
5. Intraday Compatibility: The indicator is optimized for intraday timeframes (e.g., 1-minute to 15-minute charts) and only displays when the chart’s timeframe multiplier is less than or equal to the ORB duration.
How It Works:
• Session Detection: The script uses the time() function to check if the current bar falls within the user-defined ORB or session time windows, accounting for all days of the week.
• ORB Logic: At the start of each session’s ORB period, the script initializes the high and low based on the first bar’s prices. It then updates these levels if subsequent bars within the ORB period exceed the current high or fall below the current low.
• Plotting: ORB levels are plotted as horizontal lines during the respective session, with visibility controlled to avoid clutter outside session times or on incompatible timeframes.
Use Case:
Traders can use this indicator to identify key breakout levels for each trading session, facilitating strategies based on price action around the opening range. The flexibility to adjust ORB and session times makes it suitable for various markets (e.g., forex, stocks, or futures) and time zones.
Limitations:
• The indicator is designed for intraday timeframes and may not display on higher timeframes (e.g., daily or weekly) or if the timeframe multiplier exceeds the ORB duration.
• Time inputs are in CDT, requiring users to adjust for their local timezone or market requirements.
• If you need to use this for GC/CL/SPY/QQQ you have to adjust the times by one hour.
This indicator is ideal for traders focusing on session-based breakout strategies, offering clear visualization and customization for global market sessions.
HVC Daily LevelsDaily High Volume Candle Levels Marked on all Timeframes
HVC Level Sentinel v6 — High Volume Candle Levels
HVC Level Sentinel v6 automatically detects and highlights “High Volume Candles” (HVCs) — bars with the highest trading volume in a rolling, user-defined window (e.g., 30 days). This tool helps you spot key price levels where significant trading activity occurred, which can act as important support or resistance zones.
Features
Customizable Lookback: Choose how many bars to look back for HVC detection (default: 30 days, adjustable).
Automatic Highlighting: HVC candles are highlighted on your chart with a customizable color.
Level Lines: Draws horizontal lines at the Open, High, Low, and Close of each recent HVC, so you can easily track these key levels.
Line Fading: Only the most recent N HVCs (user-adjustable) have lines, with older lines fading out or disappearing for clarity.
Per-Line Control: Turn on/off Open, High, Low, and Close lines individually in the settings.
Fully Customizable: Adjust colors, line styles, widths, and opacity to fit your chart style.
How It Works
On each new bar, the script checks if the current bar’s volume is the highest in the last N bars.
If so, it marks the bar as an HVC and draws lines at its O/H/L/C (if enabled).
You can highlight all HVCs historically, but only the most recent N will have lines for a clean, focused chart.
Use Cases
Identify major breakout or reversal points driven by high volume.
Track where institutional or “smart money” activity may have occurred.
Use HVC levels as dynamic support/resistance for entries, exits, or stop placement.
Tip :
Adjust the lookback window and number of HVCs with lines to match your trading style—shorter for active trading, longer for swing/position trading.
Ultimate Scalping Tool[BullByte]Overview
The Ultimate Scalping Tool is an open-source TradingView indicator built for scalpers and short-term traders released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. It uses a custom Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) oscillator to combine multiple market forces into one visual signal. In plain terms, the script reads momentum, trend strength, volatility, and volume together and plots a special “candlestick” each bar (the QFC) that reflects the overall market bias. This unified view makes it easier to spot entries and exits: the tool labels signals as Strong Buy/Sell, Pullback (a brief retracement in a trend), Early Entry, or Exit Warning . It also provides color-coded alerts and a small dashboard of metrics. In practice, traders see green/red oscillator bars and symbols on the chart when conditions align, helping them scalp or trend-follow without reading multiple separate indicators.
Core Components
Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) Construction
The QFC is the heart of the indicator. Rather than using raw price, it creates a candlestick-like bar from the underlying oscillator values. Each QFC bar has an “open,” “high/low,” and “close” derived from calculated momentum and volatility inputs for that period . In effect, this turns the oscillator into intuitive candle patterns so traders can recognize momentum shifts visually. (For comparison, note that Heikin-Ashi candles “have a smoother look because take an average of the movement”. The QFC instead represents exact oscillator readings, so it reflects true momentum changes without hiding price action.) Colors of QFC bars change dynamically (e.g. green for bullish momentum, red for bearish) to highlight shifts. This is the first open-source QFC oscillator that dynamically weights four non-correlated indicators with moving thresholds, which makes it a unique indicator on its own.
Oscillator Normalization & Adaptive Weights
The script normalizes its oscillator to a fixed scale (for example, a 0–100 range much like the RSI) so that various inputs can be compared fairly. It then applies adaptive weighting: the relative influence of trend, momentum, volatility or volume signals is automatically adjusted based on current market conditions. For instance, in very volatile markets the script might weight volatility more heavily, or in a strong trend it might give extra weight to trend direction. Normalizing data and adjusting weights helps keep the QFC sensitive but stable (normalization ensures all inputs fit a common scale).
Trend/Momentum/Volume/Volatility Fusion
Unlike a typical single-factor oscillator, the QFC oscillator fuses four aspects at once. It may compute, for example, a trend indicator (such as an ADX or moving average slope), a momentum measure (like RSI or Rate-of-Change), a volume-based pressure (similar to MFI/OBV), and a volatility measure (like ATR) . These different values are combined into one composite oscillator. This “multi-dimensional” approach follows best practices of using non-correlated indicators (trend, momentum, volume, volatility) for confirmation. By encoding all these signals in one line, a high QFC reading means that trend, momentum, and volume are all aligned, whereas a neutral reading might mean mixed conditions. This gives traders a comprehensive picture of market strength.
Signal Classification
The script interprets the QFC oscillator to label trades. For example:
• Strong Buy/Sell : Triggered when the oscillator crosses a high-confidence threshold (e.g. breaks clearly above zero with strong slope), indicating a well-confirmed move. This is like seeing a big green/red QFC candle aligned with the trend.
• Pullbacks : Identified when the trend is up but momentum dips briefly. A Pullback Buy appears if the overall trend is bullish but the oscillator has a short retracement – a typical buying opportunity in an uptrend. (A pullback is “a brief decline or pause in a generally upward price trend”.)
• Early Buy/Sell : Marks an initial swing in the oscillator suggesting a possible new trend, before it is fully confirmed. It’s a hint of momentum building (an early-warning signal), not as strong as the confirmed “Strong” signal.
• Exit Warnings : Issued when momentum peaks or reverses. For instance, if the QFC bars reach a high and start turning red/green opposite, the indicator warns that the move may be ending. In other words, a Momentum Peak is the point of maximum strength after which weakness may follow.
These categories correspond to typical trading concepts: Pullback (temporary reversal in an uptrend), Early Buy (an initial bullish cross), Strong Buy (confirmed bullish momentum), and Momentum Peak (peak oscillator value suggesting exhaustion).
Filters (DI Reversal, Dynamic Thresholds, HTF EMA/ADX)
Extra filters help avoid bad trades. A DI Reversal filter uses the +DI/–DI lines (from the ADX system) to require that the trend direction confirms the signal . For example, it might ignore a buy signal if the +DI is still below –DI. Dynamic Thresholds adjust signal levels on-the-fly: rather than fixed “overbought” lines, they move with volatility so signals happen under appropriate market stress. An optional High-Timeframe EMA or ADX filter adds a check against a larger timeframe trend: for instance, only taking a trade if price is above the weekly EMA or if weekly ADX shows a strong trend. (Notably, the ADX is “a technical indicator used by traders to determine the strength of a price trend”, so requiring a high-timeframe ADX avoids trading against the bigger trend.)
Dashboard Metrics & Color Logic
The Dashboard in the Ultimate Scalping Tool (UST) serves as a centralized information hub, providing traders with real-time insights into market conditions, trend strength, momentum, volume pressure, and trade signals. It is highly customizable, allowing users to adjust its appearance and content based on their preferences.
1. Dashboard Layout & Customization
Short vs. Extended Mode : Users can toggle between a compact view (9 rows) and an extended view (13 rows) via the `Short Dashboard` input.
Text Size Options : The dashboard supports three text sizes— Tiny, Small, and Normal —adjustable via the `Dashboard Text Size` input.
Positioning : The dashboard is positioned in the top-right corner by default but can be moved if modified in the script.
2. Key Metrics Displayed
The dashboard presents critical trading metrics in a structured table format:
Trend (TF) : Indicates the current trend direction (Strong Bullish, Moderate Bullish, Sideways, Moderate Bearish, Strong Bearish) based on normalized trend strength (normTrend) .
Momentum (TF) : Displays momentum status (Strong Bullish/Bearish or Neutral) derived from the oscillator's position relative to dynamic thresholds.
Volume (CMF) : Shows buying/selling pressure levels (Very High Buying, High Selling, Neutral, etc.) based on the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator.
Basic & Advanced Signals:
Basic Signal : Provides simple trade signals (Strong Buy, Strong Sell, Pullback Buy, Pullback Sell, No Trade).
Advanced Signal : Offers nuanced signals (Early Buy/Sell, Momentum Peak, Weakening Momentum, etc.) with color-coded alerts.
RSI : Displays the Relative Strength Index (RSI) value, colored based on overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral conditions.
HTF Filter : Indicates the higher timeframe trend status (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) when using the Leading HTF Filter.
VWAP : Shows the V olume-Weighted Average Price and whether the current price is above (bullish) or below (bearish) it.
ADX : Displays the Average Directional Index (ADX) value, with color highlighting whether it is rising (green) or falling (red).
Market Mode : Shows the selected market type (Crypto, Stocks, Options, Forex, Custom).
Regime : Indicates volatility conditions (High, Low, Moderate) based on the **ATR ratio**.
3. Filters Status Panel
A secondary panel displays the status of active filters, helping traders quickly assess which conditions are influencing signals:
- DI Reversal Filter: On/Off (confirms reversals before generating signals).
- Dynamic Thresholds: On/Off (adjusts buy/sell thresholds based on volatility).
- Adaptive Weighting: On/Off (auto-adjusts oscillator weights for trend/momentum/volatility).
- Early Signal: On/Off (enables early momentum-based signals).
- Leading HTF Filter: On/Off (applies higher timeframe trend confirmation).
4. Visual Enhancements
Color-Coded Cells : Each metric is color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for neutral) for quick interpretation.
Dynamic Background : The dashboard background adapts to market conditions (bullish/bearish/neutral) based on ADX and DI trends.
Customizable Reference Lines : Users can enable/disable fixed reference lines for the oscillator.
How It(QFC) Differs from Traditional Indicators
Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) Versus Heikin-Ashi
Heikin-Ashi candles smooth price by averaging (HA’s open/close use averages) so they show trend clearly but hide true price (the current HA bar’s close is not the real price). QFC candles are different: they are oscillator values, not price averages . A Heikin-Ashi chart “has a smoother look because it is essentially taking an average of the movement”, which can cause lag. The QFC instead shows the raw combined momentum each bar, allowing faster recognition of shifts. In short, HA is a smoothed price chart; QFC is a momentum-based chart.
Versus Standard Oscillators
Common oscillators like RSI or MACD use fixed formulas on price (or price+volume). For example, RSI “compares gains and losses and normalizes this value on a scale from 0 to 100”, reflecting pure price momentum. MFI is similar but adds volume. These indicators each show one dimension: momentum or volume. The Ultimate Scalping Tool’s QFC goes further by integrating trend strength and volatility too. In practice, this means a move that looks strong on RSI might be downplayed by low volume or weak trend in QFC. As one source notes, using multiple non-correlated indicators (trend, momentum, volume, volatility) provides a more complete market picture. The QFC’s multi-factor fusion is unique – it is effectively a multi-dimensional oscillator rather than a traditional single-input one.
Signal Style
Traditional oscillators often use crossovers (RSI crossing 50) or fixed zones (MACD above zero) for signals. The Ultimate Scalping Tool’s signals are custom-classified: it explicitly labels pullbacks, early entries, and strong moves. These terms go beyond a typical indicator’s generic “buy”/“sell.” In other words, it packages a strategy around the oscillator, which traders can backtest or observe without reading code.
Key Term Definitions
• Pullback : A short-term dip or consolidation in an uptrend. In this script, a Pullback Buy appears when price is generally rising but shows a brief retracement. (As defined by Investopedia, a pullback is “a brief decline or pause in a generally upward price trend”.)
• Early Buy/Sell : An initial or tentative entry signal. It means the oscillator first starts turning positive (or negative) before a full trend has developed. It’s an early indication that a trend might be starting.
• Strong Buy/Sell : A confident entry signal when multiple conditions align. This label is used when momentum is already strong and confirmed by trend/volume filters, offering a higher-probability trade.
• Momentum Peak : The point where bullish (or bearish) momentum reaches its maximum before weakening. When the oscillator value stops rising (or falling) and begins to reverse, the script flags it as a peak – signaling that the current move could be overextended.
What is the Flux MA?
The Flux MA (Moving Average) is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) applied to a normalized oscillator, referred to as FM . Its purpose is to smooth out the fluctuations of the oscillator, providing a clearer picture of the underlying trend direction and strength. Think of it as a dynamic baseline that the oscillator moves above or below, helping you determine whether the market is trending bullish or bearish.
How it’s calculated (Flux MA):
1.The oscillator is normalized (scaled to a range, typically between 0 and 1, using a default scale factor of 100.0).
2.An EMA is applied to this normalized value (FM) over a user-defined period (default is 10 periods).
3.The result is rescaled back to the oscillator’s original range for plotting.
Why it matters : The Flux MA acts like a support or resistance level for the oscillator, making it easier to spot trend shifts.
Color of the Flux Candle
The Quantum Flux Candle visualizes the normalized oscillator (FM) as candlesticks, with colors that indicate specific market conditions based on the relationship between the FM and the Flux MA. Here’s what each color means:
• Green : The FM is above the Flux MA, signaling bullish momentum. This suggests the market is trending upward.
• Red : The FM is below the Flux MA, signaling bearish momentum. This suggests the market is trending downward.
• Yellow : Indicates strong buy conditions (e.g., a "Strong Buy" signal combined with a positive trend). This is a high-confidence signal to go long.
• Purple : Indicates strong sell conditions (e.g., a "Strong Sell" signal combined with a negative trend). This is a high-confidence signal to go short.
The candle mode shows the oscillator’s open, high, low, and close values for each period, similar to price candlesticks, but it’s the color that provides the quick visual cue for trading decisions.
How to Trade the Flux MA with Respect to the Candle
Trading with the Flux MA and Quantum Flux Candle involves using the MA as a trend indicator and the candle colors as entry and exit signals. Here’s a step-by-step guide:
1. Identify the Trend Direction
• Bullish Trend : The Flux Candle is green and positioned above the Flux MA. This indicates upward momentum.
• Bearish Trend : The Flux Candle is red and positioned below the Flux MA. This indicates downward momentum.
The Flux MA serves as the reference line—candles above it suggest buying pressure, while candles below it suggest selling pressure.
2. Interpret Candle Colors for Trade Signals
• Green Candle : General bullish momentum. Consider entering or holding a long position.
• Red Candle : General bearish momentum. Consider entering or holding a short position.
• Yellow Candle : A strong buy signal. This is an ideal time to enter a long trade.
• Purple Candle : A strong sell signal. This is an ideal time to enter a short trade.
3. Enter Trades Based on Crossovers and Colors
• Long Entry : Enter a buy position when the Flux Candle turns green and crosses above the Flux MA. If it turns yellow, this is an even stronger signal to go long.
• Short Entry : Enter a sell position when the Flux Candle turns red and crosses below the Flux MA. If it turns purple, this is an even stronger signal to go short.
4. Exit Trades
• Exit Long : Close your buy position when the Flux Candle turns red or crosses below the Flux MA, indicating the bullish trend may be reversing.
• Exit Short : Close your sell position when the Flux Candle turns green or crosses above the Flux MA, indicating the bearish trend may be reversing.
•You might also exit a long trade if the candle changes from yellow to green (weakening strong buy signal) or a short trade from purple to red (weakening strong sell signal).
5. Use Additional Confirmation
To avoid false signals, combine the Flux MA and candle signals with other indicators or dashboard metrics (e.g., trend strength, momentum, or volume pressure). For example:
•A yellow candle with a " Strong Bullish " trend and high buying volume is a robust long signal.
•A red candle with a " Moderate Bearish " trend and neutral momentum might need more confirmation before shorting.
Practical Example
Imagine you’re scalping a cryptocurrency:
• Long Trade : The Flux Candle turns yellow and is above the Flux MA, with the dashboard showing "Strong Buy" and high buying volume. You enter a long position. You exit when the candle turns red and dips below the Flux MA.
• Short Trade : The Flux Candle turns purple and crosses below the Flux MA, with a "Strong Sell" signal on the dashboard. You enter a short position. You exit when the candle turns green and crosses above the Flux MA.
Market Presets and Adaptation
This indicator is designed to work on any market with candlestick price data (stocks, crypto, forex, indices, etc.). To handle different behavior, it provides presets for major asset classes. Selecting a “Stocks,” “Crypto,” “Forex,” or “Options” preset automatically loads a set of parameter values optimized for that market . For example, a crypto preset might use a shorter lookback or higher sensitivity to account for crypto’s high volatility, while a stocks preset might use slightly longer smoothing since stocks often trend more slowly. In practice, this means the same core QFC logic applies across markets, but the thresholds and smoothing adjust so signals remain relevant for each asset type.
Usage Guidelines
• Recommended Timeframes : Optimized for 1 minute to 15 minute intraday charts. Can also be used on higher timeframes for short term swings.
• Market Types : Select “Crypto,” “Stocks,” “Forex,” or “Options” to auto tune periods, thresholds and weights. Use “Custom” to manually adjust all inputs.
• Interpreting Signals : Always confirm a signal by checking that trend, volume, and VWAP agree on the dashboard. A green “Strong Buy” arrow with green trend, green volume, and price > VWAP is highest probability.
• Adjusting Sensitivity : To reduce false signals in fast markets, enable DI Reversal Confirmation and Dynamic Thresholds. For more frequent entries in trending environments, enable Early Entry Trigger.
• Risk Management : This tool does not plot stop loss or take profit levels. Users should define their own risk parameters based on support/resistance or volatility bands.
Background Shading
To give you an at-a-glance sense of market regime without reading numbers, the indicator automatically tints the chart background in three modes—neutral, bullish and bearish—with two levels of intensity (light vs. dark):
Neutral (Gray)
When ADX is below 20 the market is considered “no trend” or too weak to trade. The background fills with a light gray (high transparency) so you know to sit on your hands.
Bullish (Green)
As soon as ADX rises above 20 and +DI exceeds –DI, the background turns a semi-transparent green, signaling an emerging uptrend. When ADX climbs above 30 (strong trend), the green becomes more opaque—reminding you that trend-following signals (Strong Buy, Pullback) carry extra weight.
Bearish (Red)
Similarly, if –DI exceeds +DI with ADX >20, you get a light red tint for a developing downtrend, and a darker, more solid red once ADX surpasses 30.
By dynamically varying both hue (green vs. red vs. gray) and opacity (light vs. dark), the background instantly communicates trend strength and direction—so you always know whether to favor breakout-style entries (in a strong trend) or stay flat during choppy, low-ADX conditions.
The setup shown in the above chart snapshot is BTCUSD 15 min chart : Binance for reference.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profits. Backtest or paper trade this tool to understand its behavior in your market. Always use proper position sizing and stop loss orders.
Good luck!
- BullByte
ORB-HL1. Opening Range Detection
Automatically calculates the high and low of the first 15 minutes after the selected session opens.
Supported sessions:
New York (Futures): 08:30–08:45 EST
New York (Equities): 09:30–09:45 EST
London: 03:00–03:15 GMT
Asia: 19:00–19:15 JST
Plots ORB high/low lines for the rest of the day.
2. Breakout Signals
Highlights the first valid breakout above or below the ORB range on the:
5-minute timeframe
15-minute timeframe
Green arrows = breakout up (long)
Red arrows = breakout down (short)
3. 1-Minute Projection
When a breakout is confirmed on a higher timeframe (5m or 15m), a projection label (e.g., "5m", "15m") appears on the 1-minute chart.
Purple label = 5m breakout
Teal label = 15m breakout
Helps you confirm momentum in real time while on the 1-minute chart.
4. Trailing Stop System
Uses ATR to create an adaptive trailing stop after breakout.
Turns green when price is above stop (bullish), red when below (bearish).
Optional Buy / Sell signal labels appear on crossover events.
5. Session High/Low Visualization
Tracks and displays the previous session’s High and Low for:
Tokyo
London
New York
Lines extend into the current session to act as S/R reference.
Labels like "NY High", "Asia Low" are placed at the end of each line.
6. Alerts
Built-in alerts for:
First 5m or 15m breakout (long/short)
Trailing stop Buy/Sell crossover
7. Customization Options
Turn session H/L lines on/off per session
Customize projection visibility
Adjust ATR period and sensitivity
Set how far each session line extends using bar offsets
Multi VWAPsMulti VWAPs Inspired by Biran Shannon and his book:
"MAXIMUM TRADING GAINS WITH ANCHORED VWAP . The Perfect Combination of Price, Time & Volume."
(ISBN 9798986868004)
A comprehensive VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) indicator that combines multiple timeframes and sessions in one view. Perfect for day trading and swing trading across different markets.
Features:
• Multiple VWAP Timeframes:
- Daily VWAP
- Weekly VWAP
- Monthly VWAP
- Quarterly VWAP
- Yearly VWAP
• Session-specific VWAPs:
- London Session (3:00 AM - 11:30 AM NY time)
- New York Session (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM NY time)
• Additional Indicators:
- Midnight Price Line (Previous day's closing price)
- 5-Day Moving Average
- 50-Day Moving Average
• Customization Options:
- Toggle individual VWAPs and indicators
- Customize colors for each component
- Adjustable label positioning
- MA smoothing settings
- Option to show/hide previous day's midnight price
• Smart Features:
- Auto-adjusting calculations based on timeframe
- Clear session boundaries
- Optimized for all chart timeframes
- Clean label system
Perfect for:
• Day traders tracking multiple timeframe momentum
• Swing traders using longer-term VWAPs
• Session traders focusing on London/NY hours
• Multi-timeframe analysis
• Price action trading with VWAP support/resistance
This indicator combines essential trading tools in one clean interface, helping you make informed decisions without cluttering your chart.
Goldman Sachs Risk Appetite ProxyRisk appetite indicators serve as barometers of market psychology, measuring investors' collective willingness to engage in risk-taking behavior. According to Mosley & Singer (2008), "cross-asset risk sentiment indicators provide valuable leading signals for market direction by capturing the underlying psychological state of market participants before it fully manifests in price action."
The GSRAI methodology aligns with modern portfolio theory, which emphasizes the importance of cross-asset correlations during different market regimes. As noted by Ang & Bekaert (2002), "asset correlations tend to increase during market stress, exhibiting asymmetric patterns that can be captured through multi-asset sentiment indicators."
Implementation Methodology
Component Selection
Our implementation follows the core framework outlined by Goldman Sachs research, focusing on four key components:
Credit Spreads (High Yield Credit Spread)
As noted by Duca et al. (2016), "credit spreads provide a market-based assessment of default risk and function as an effective barometer of economic uncertainty." Higher spreads generally indicate deteriorating risk appetite.
Volatility Measures (VIX)
Baker & Wurgler (2006) established that "implied volatility serves as a direct measure of market fear and uncertainty." The VIX, often called the "fear gauge," maintains an inverse relationship with risk appetite.
Equity/Bond Performance Ratio (SPY/IEF)
According to Connolly et al. (2005), "the relative performance of stocks versus bonds offers significant insight into market participants' risk preferences and flight-to-safety behavior."
Commodity Ratio (Oil/Gold)
Baur & McDermott (2010) demonstrated that "gold often functions as a safe haven during market turbulence, while oil typically performs better during risk-on environments, making their ratio an effective risk sentiment indicator."
Standardization Process
Each component undergoes z-score normalization to enable cross-asset comparisons, following the statistical approach advocated by Burdekin & Siklos (2012). The z-score transformation standardizes each variable by subtracting its mean and dividing by its standard deviation: Z = (X - μ) / σ
This approach allows for meaningful aggregation of different market signals regardless of their native scales or volatility characteristics.
Signal Integration
The four standardized components are equally weighted and combined to form a composite score. This democratic weighting approach is supported by Rapach et al. (2010), who found that "simple averaging often outperforms more complex weighting schemes in financial applications due to estimation error in the optimization process."
The final index is scaled to a 0-100 range, with:
Values above 70 indicating "Risk-On" market conditions
Values below 30 indicating "Risk-Off" market conditions
Values between 30-70 representing neutral risk sentiment
Limitations and Differences from Original Implementation
Proprietary Components
The original Goldman Sachs indicator incorporates additional proprietary elements not publicly disclosed. As Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research (2019) notes, "our comprehensive risk appetite framework incorporates proprietary positioning data and internal liquidity metrics that enhance predictive capability."
Technical Limitations
Pine Script v6 imposes certain constraints that prevent full replication:
Structural Limitations: Functions like plot, hline, and bgcolor must be defined in the global scope rather than conditionally, requiring workarounds for dynamic visualization.
Statistical Processing: Advanced statistical methods used in the original model, such as Kalman filtering or regime-switching models described by Ang & Timmermann (2012), cannot be fully implemented within Pine Script's constraints.
Data Availability: As noted by Kilian & Park (2009), "the quality and frequency of market data significantly impacts the effectiveness of sentiment indicators." Our implementation relies on publicly available data sources that may differ from Goldman Sachs' institutional data feeds.
Empirical Performance
While a formal backtest comparison with the original GSRAI is beyond the scope of this implementation, research by Froot & Ramadorai (2005) suggests that "publicly accessible proxies of proprietary sentiment indicators can capture a significant portion of their predictive power, particularly during major market turning points."
References
Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2002). "International Asset Allocation with Regime Shifts." Review of Financial Studies, 15(4), 1137-1187.
Ang, A., & Timmermann, A. (2012). "Regime Changes and Financial Markets." Annual Review of Financial Economics, 4(1), 313-337.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baur, D. G., & McDermott, T. K. (2010). "Is Gold a Safe Haven? International Evidence." Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1886-1898.
Burdekin, R. C., & Siklos, P. L. (2012). "Enter the Dragon: Interactions between Chinese, US and Asia-Pacific Equity Markets, 1995-2010." Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 20(3), 521-541.
Connolly, R., Stivers, C., & Sun, L. (2005). "Stock Market Uncertainty and the Stock-Bond Return Relation." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 40(1), 161-194.
Duca, M. L., Nicoletti, G., & Martinez, A. V. (2016). "Global Corporate Bond Issuance: What Role for US Quantitative Easing?" Journal of International Money and Finance, 60, 114-150.
Froot, K. A., & Ramadorai, T. (2005). "Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional-Investor Flows." Journal of Finance, 60(3), 1535-1566.
Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research (2019). "Risk Appetite Framework: A Practitioner's Guide."
Kilian, L., & Park, C. (2009). "The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the U.S. Stock Market." International Economic Review, 50(4), 1267-1287.
Mosley, L., & Singer, D. A. (2008). "Taking Stock Seriously: Equity Market Performance, Government Policy, and Financial Globalization." International Studies Quarterly, 52(2), 405-425.
Oppenheimer, P. (2007). "A Framework for Financial Market Risk Appetite." Goldman Sachs Global Economics Paper.
Rapach, D. E., Strauss, J. K., & Zhou, G. (2010). "Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy." Review of Financial Studies, 23(2), 821-862.
