MACD Full [Titans_Invest]MACD Full — A Smarter, More Flexible MACD.
Looking for a MACD with real customization power?
We present one of the most complete public MACD indicators available on TradingView.
It maintains the classic MACD structure but is enhanced with 20 fully customizable long entry conditions and 20 short entry conditions , giving you precise control over your strategy.
Plus, it’s fully automation-ready, making it ideal for quantitative systems and algorithmic trading.
Whether you're a discretionary trader or a bot developer, this tool is built to seamlessly adapt to your style.
⯁ WHAT IS THE MACD❓
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a technical analysis indicator developed by Gerald Appel. It measures the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price to identify changes in momentum, direction, and strength of a trend. The MACD is composed of three components: the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram.
⯁ HOW TO USE THE MACD❓
The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. A 9-period EMA of the MACD line, called the signal line, is then plotted on top of the MACD line. The MACD histogram represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line.
Here are the primary signals generated by the MACD:
Bullish Crossover: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating a potential buy signal.
Bearish Crossover: When the MACD line crosses below the signal line, indicating a potential sell signal.
Divergence: When the price of the security diverges from the MACD, suggesting a potential reversal.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Indicated by the MACD line moving far away from the signal line, though this is less common than in oscillators like the RSI.
⯁ ENTRY CONDITIONS
The conditions below are fully flexible and allow for complete customization of the signal.
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🔹 CONDITIONS TO BUY 📈
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
🔹 MACD > Signal Smoothing
🔹 MACD < Signal Smoothing
🔹 Histogram > 0
🔹 Histogram < 0
🔹 Histogram Positive
🔹 Histogram Negative
🔹 MACD > 0
🔹 MACD < 0
🔹 Signal > 0
🔹 Signal < 0
🔹 MACD > Histogram
🔹 MACD < Histogram
🔹 Signal > Histogram
🔹 Signal < Histogram
🔹 MACD (Crossover) Signal
🔹 MACD (Crossunder) Signal
🔹 MACD (Crossover) 0
🔹 MACD (Crossunder) 0
🔹 Signal (Crossover) 0
🔹 Signal (Crossunder) 0
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🔸 CONDITIONS TO SELL 📉
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
🔸 MACD > Signal Smoothing
🔸 MACD < Signal Smoothing
🔸 Histogram > 0
🔸 Histogram < 0
🔸 Histogram Positive
🔸 Histogram Negative
🔸 MACD > 0
🔸 MACD < 0
🔸 Signal > 0
🔸 Signal < 0
🔸 MACD > Histogram
🔸 MACD < Histogram
🔸 Signal > Histogram
🔸 Signal < Histogram
🔸 MACD (Crossover) Signal
🔸 MACD (Crossunder) Signal
🔸 MACD (Crossover) 0
🔸 MACD (Crossunder) 0
🔸 Signal (Crossover) 0
🔸 Signal (Crossunder) 0
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🤖 AUTOMATION 🤖
• You can automate the BUY and SELL signals of this indicator.
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⯁ UNIQUE FEATURES
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Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL
Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Table of Conditions: BUY/SELL
Conditions Label: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the graph above: BUY/SELL
Automate & Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
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📜 SCRIPT : MACD Full
🎴 Art by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
👨💻 Dev by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
🎑 Titans Invest — The Wizards Without Gloves 🧤
✨ Enjoy!
______________________________________________________
o Mission 🗺
• Inspire Traders to manifest Magic in the Market.
o Vision 𐓏
• To elevate collective Energy 𐓷𐓏
Cerca negli script per "跨境通12月4日地天板"
Yearly Performance Table with CAGROverview
This Pine Script indicator provides a clear table displaying the annual performance of an asset, along with two different average metrics: the arithmetic mean and the geometric mean (CAGR).
Core Features
Annual Performance Calculation:
Automatically detects the first trading day of each calendar year.
Calculates the percentage return for each full calendar year.
Based on closing prices from the first to the last trading day of the respective year.
Flexible Display:
Adjustable Period: Displays data for 1-50 years (default: 10 years).
Daily Timeframe Only: Functions exclusively on daily charts.
Automatic Update: Always shows the latest available years.
Two Average Metrics:
AVG (Arithmetic Mean)
A simple average of all annual returns. (Formula: (R₁ + R₂ + ... + Rₙ) ÷ n)
Important: Can be misleading in the presence of volatile returns.
GEO (Geometric Mean / CAGR)
Compound Annual Growth Rate. (Formula: ^(1/n) - 1)
Represents the true average annual growth rate.
Fully accounts for the compounding effect.
Limitations
Daily Charts Only: Does not work on intraday or weekly/monthly timeframes.
Calendar Year Basis: Calculations are based on calendar years, not rolling 12-month periods.
Historical Data: Dependent on the availability of historical data from the broker/data provider.
Interpretation of Results
CAGR as Benchmark: The geometric mean is more suitable for performance comparisons.
Annual Patterns: Individual year figures can reveal seasonal or cyclical trends.
DCI### 📌 **DCI – Direction Correlation Index**
#### 🔹 **What It Is**
The **Direction Correlation Index (DCI)** is a tool for measuring how closely a group of up to 10 symbols move together in both *trend correlation* and *short-term direction*. It helps identify whether a group of assets is acting in unison or moving independently.
---
#### ⚙️ **How It Works**
DCI outputs three key metrics:
1. **Average Correlation**
* Measures the average of all pairwise correlations between the selected symbols.
* Prices are first standardized using a z-score (based on simple moving average and standard deviation over a user-defined lookback period).
* Correlation is calculated using Pearson’s method for all 45 symbol pairs.
* Result ranges from:
* `+1.00` = strong positive correlation
* `0.00` = no correlation
* `-1.00` = strong inverse correlation
2. **Direction Agreement %**
* Checks whether each symbol is moving up or down compared to its previous bar.
* Calculates the percentage of symbols moving in the same direction.
* For example: if 7 of 10 symbols are moving up and 3 are moving down, the direction agreement is 70%.
3. **Strong Correlation Count**
* Counts how many of the 45 symbol pairs have an absolute correlation above `0.7`.
* Helps highlight how many pairs are currently highly correlated.
---
#### 📈 **How to Use It**
1. **Select Symbols**
* In the **Settings**, you can input up to 10 custom symbols. These can be stocks, indices, forex pairs, crypto, or any tradable asset.
2. **Adjust the Lookback Period**
* Defines how many bars back are used to calculate z-scores and correlations.
* Default is `12`. Use shorter periods for faster response; longer periods for smoother, slower data.
3. **Interpret the Table (Plotted on Chart)**
* **Avg Corr**: Tells you how much the group is co-moving. High correlation often reflects unified market behavior.
* **Dir Agr %**: Shows directional sync. High values mean most instruments are trending the same way in the current bar.
* **> 0.7**: The number of pairs currently strongly correlated (|corr| > 0.7).
---
#### 🧠 **Practical Usage Tips**
* Use DCI to monitor **sector alignment**, **portfolio behavior**, or **market group momentum**.
* Confirm trend strength by checking if high correlation aligns with a strong direction agreement.
* Low correlation + mixed direction can signal **choppy or indecisive markets**.
* High correlation + strong direction = **trend confirmation** across your selected instruments.
- Made with DeepSeek
HTF Overlay Candles (Aggregated)🕯️ Synthetic Aggregated Candles
Created by: The_Forex_Steward
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0
🔍 Description
This indicator creates visually aggregated candles directly on your chart, allowing you to view synthetic candlesticks that combine multiple bars into one. It enables a higher-level perspective of price action without switching timeframes.
Each synthetic candle is built by combining a user-defined number of consecutive bars (e.g., 4 bars from the current timeframe form one aggregated candle). It accurately tracks open, high, low, and close values, then draws a colored box and wick to represent the aggregated data.
⚙️ Features
Aggregation Factor: Combine candles over a custom number of bars (e.g., 4 = 4x current TF)
Timezone Alignment: Aggregation is aligned with midnight in UTC-5 (modifiable in code)
Custom Colors: Choose colors for bullish and bearish synthetic candles
Body Opacity: Control the opacity of the candle body for visual clarity
Wick Width: Customize the thickness of the candle wick
📌 Use Case
Ideal for traders looking to:
- Reduce noise in lower timeframes
- Visualize price action in broader chunks
- Spot larger structure and swing patterns without switching charts
📈 How It Works
At every bar, the script checks whether a new aggregation interval has begun (aligned to the day start). If so, it finalizes the previous candle and starts a new one. On the last bar of the chart, it ensures the final synthetic candle is drawn.
✅ Tip
For best results, apply this script on intraday timeframes and experiment with different aggregation factors (4, 6, 12, etc.) to discover the most insightful compression for your strategy.
Note: This script is optimized for visual representation only. It does not repaint, but it is not intended for algorithmic strategies or alerts.
NY ORB + Fakeout Detector🗽 NY ORB + Fakeout Detector
This indicator automatically plots the New York Opening Range (ORB) based on the first 15 minutes of the NY session (15:30–15:45 CEST / 13:30–13:45 UTC) and detects potential fakeouts (false breakouts).
🔍 Key Features:
✅ Plots ORB high and low based on the 15-minute NY open range
✅ Automatically detects fake breakouts (price wicks beyond the box but closes back inside)
✅ Visual markers:
🔺 "Fake ↑" if a fake breakout occurs above the range
🔻 "Fake ↓" if a fake breakout occurs below the range
✅ Gray background highlights the ORB session window
✅ Designed for scalping and short-term breakout strategies
🧠 Best For:
Intraday traders looking for NY volatility setups
Scalpers using ORB-based entries
Traders seeking early-session fakeout traps to avoid false signals
Those combining with EMA 12/21, volume, or other confluence tools
Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM)Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM): A Multi-Factor Fundamental Analysis Framework for Oil Market Assessment
## 1. Introduction
The petroleum market represents one of the most complex and globally significant commodity markets, characterized by intricate supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical influences, and substantial price volatility (Hamilton, 2009). Traditional fundamental analysis approaches often struggle to synthesize the multitude of relevant indicators into actionable insights due to data heterogeneity, temporal misalignment, and subjective weighting schemes (Baumeister & Kilian, 2016).
The Advanced Petroleum Market Model addresses these limitations through a systematic, quantitative approach that integrates 16 verified fundamental indicators across five critical market dimensions. The model builds upon established financial engineering principles while incorporating petroleum-specific market dynamics and adaptive learning mechanisms.
## 2. Theoretical Framework
### 2.1 Market Efficiency and Information Integration
The model operates under the assumption of semi-strong market efficiency, where fundamental information is gradually incorporated into prices with varying degrees of lag (Fama, 1970). The petroleum market's unique characteristics, including storage costs, transportation constraints, and geopolitical risk premiums, create opportunities for fundamental analysis to provide predictive value (Kilian, 2009).
### 2.2 Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Theory
Drawing from Ross's (1976) Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the model treats petroleum prices as driven by multiple systematic risk factors. The five-factor decomposition (Supply, Inventory, Demand, Trade, Sentiment) represents economically meaningful sources of systematic risk in petroleum markets (Chen et al., 1986).
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Data Sources and Quality Framework
The model integrates 16 fundamental indicators sourced from verified TradingView economic data feeds:
Supply Indicators:
- US Oil Production (ECONOMICS:USCOP)
- US Oil Rigs Count (ECONOMICS:USCOR)
- API Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USACR)
Inventory Indicators:
- US Crude Stock Changes (ECONOMICS:USCOSC)
- Cushing Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCCOS)
- API Crude Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCSC)
- API Gasoline Stocks (ECONOMICS:USGS)
- API Distillate Stocks (ECONOMICS:USDS)
Demand Indicators:
- Refinery Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USRCR)
- Gasoline Production (ECONOMICS:USGPRO)
- Distillate Production (ECONOMICS:USDFP)
- Industrial Production Index (FRED:INDPRO)
Trade Indicators:
- US Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCOI)
- US Oil Exports (ECONOMICS:USOE)
- API Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCI)
- Dollar Index (TVC:DXY)
Sentiment Indicators:
- Oil Volatility Index (CBOE:OVX)
### 3.2 Data Quality Monitoring System
Following best practices in quantitative finance (Lopez de Prado, 2018), the model implements comprehensive data quality monitoring:
Data Quality Score = Σ(Individual Indicator Validity) / Total Indicators
Where validity is determined by:
- Non-null data availability
- Positive value validation
- Temporal consistency checks
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization Framework
#### 3.3.1 Z-Score Normalization
The model employs robust Z-score normalization as established by Sharpe (1994) for cross-indicator comparability:
Z_i,t = (X_i,t - μ_i) / σ_i
Where:
- X_i,t = Raw value of indicator i at time t
- μ_i = Sample mean of indicator i
- σ_i = Sample standard deviation of indicator i
Z-scores are capped at ±3 to mitigate outlier influence (Tukey, 1977).
#### 3.3.2 Percentile Rank Transformation
For intuitive interpretation, Z-scores are converted to percentile ranks following the methodology of Conover (1999):
Percentile_Rank = (Number of values < current_value) / Total_observations × 100
### 3.4 Exponential Smoothing Framework
Signal smoothing employs exponential weighted moving averages (Brown, 1963) with adaptive alpha parameter:
S_t = α × X_t + (1-α) × S_{t-1}
Where α = 2/(N+1) and N represents the smoothing period.
### 3.5 Dynamic Threshold Optimization
The model implements adaptive thresholds using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Dynamic_Threshold = μ ± (k × σ)
Where k is the threshold multiplier adjusted for market volatility regime.
### 3.6 Composite Score Calculation
The fundamental score integrates component scores through weighted averaging:
Fundamental_Score = Σ(w_i × Score_i × Quality_i)
Where:
- w_i = Normalized component weight
- Score_i = Component fundamental score
- Quality_i = Data quality adjustment factor
## 4. Implementation Architecture
### 4.1 Adaptive Parameter Framework
The model incorporates regime-specific adjustments based on market volatility:
Volatility_Regime = σ_price / μ_price × 100
High volatility regimes (>25%) trigger enhanced weighting for inventory and sentiment components, reflecting increased market sensitivity to supply disruptions and psychological factors.
### 4.2 Data Synchronization Protocol
Given varying publication frequencies (daily, weekly, monthly), the model employs forward-fill synchronization to maintain temporal alignment across all indicators.
### 4.3 Quality-Adjusted Scoring
Component scores are adjusted for data quality to prevent degraded inputs from contaminating the composite signal:
Adjusted_Score = Raw_Score × Quality_Factor + 50 × (1 - Quality_Factor)
This formulation ensures that poor-quality data reverts toward neutral (50) rather than contributing noise.
## 5. Usage Guidelines and Best Practices
### 5.1 Configuration Recommendations
For Short-term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
- Lookback Period: 26 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 3-5 periods
- Confidence Period: 13 weeks
- Increase inventory and sentiment weights
For Medium-term Analysis (1-3 months):
- Lookback Period: 52 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 5-8 periods
- Confidence Period: 26 weeks
- Balanced component weights
For Long-term Analysis (3+ months):
- Lookback Period: 104 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 8-12 periods
- Confidence Period: 52 weeks
- Increase supply and demand weights
### 5.2 Signal Interpretation Framework
Bullish Signals (Score > 70):
- Fundamental conditions favor price appreciation
- Consider long positions or reduced short exposure
- Monitor for trend confirmation across multiple timeframes
Bearish Signals (Score < 30):
- Fundamental conditions suggest price weakness
- Consider short positions or reduced long exposure
- Evaluate downside protection strategies
Neutral Range (30-70):
- Mixed fundamental environment
- Favor range-bound or volatility strategies
- Wait for clearer directional signals
### 5.3 Risk Management Considerations
1. Data Quality Monitoring: Continuously monitor the data quality dashboard. Scores below 75% warrant increased caution.
2. Regime Awareness: Adjust position sizing based on volatility regime indicators. High volatility periods require reduced exposure.
3. Correlation Analysis: Monitor correlation with crude oil prices to validate model effectiveness.
4. Fundamental-Technical Divergence: Pay attention when fundamental signals diverge from technical indicators, as this may signal regime changes.
### 5.4 Alert System Optimization
Configure alerts conservatively to avoid false signals:
- Set alert threshold at 75+ for high-confidence signals
- Enable data quality warnings to maintain system integrity
- Use trend reversal alerts for early regime change detection
## 6. Model Validation and Performance Metrics
### 6.1 Statistical Validation
The model's statistical robustness is ensured through:
- Out-of-sample testing protocols
- Rolling window validation
- Bootstrap confidence intervals
- Regime-specific performance analysis
### 6.2 Economic Validation
Fundamental accuracy is validated against:
- Energy Information Administration (EIA) official reports
- International Energy Agency (IEA) market assessments
- Commercial inventory data verification
## 7. Limitations and Considerations
### 7.1 Model Limitations
1. Data Dependency: Model performance is contingent on data availability and quality from external sources.
2. US Market Focus: Primary data sources are US-centric, potentially limiting global applicability.
3. Lag Effects: Some fundamental indicators exhibit publication lags that may delay signal generation.
4. Regime Shifts: Structural market changes may require model recalibration.
### 7.2 Market Environment Considerations
The model is optimized for normal market conditions. During extreme events (e.g., geopolitical crises, pandemics), additional qualitative factors should be considered alongside quantitative signals.
## References
Baumeister, C., & Kilian, L. (2016). Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us. *Journal of Economic Perspectives*, 30(1), 139-160.
Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. McGraw-Hill.
Brown, R. G. (1963). *Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series*. Prentice-Hall.
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., & Ross, S. A. (1986). Economic forces and the stock market. *Journal of Business*, 59(3), 383-403.
Conover, W. J. (1999). *Practical Nonparametric Statistics* (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. *Journal of Finance*, 25(2), 383-417.
Hamilton, J. D. (2009). Understanding crude oil prices. *Energy Journal*, 30(2), 179-206.
Kilian, L. (2009). Not all oil price shocks are alike: Disentangling demand and supply shocks in the crude oil market. *American Economic Review*, 99(3), 1053-1069.
Lopez de Prado, M. (2018). *Advances in Financial Machine Learning*. John Wiley & Sons.
Ross, S. A. (1976). The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. *Journal of Economic Theory*, 13(3), 341-360.
Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe ratio. *Journal of Portfolio Management*, 21(1), 49-58.
Tukey, J. W. (1977). *Exploratory Data Analysis*. Addison-Wesley.
Pin Bar Reversal StrategyStrategy: Pin Bar Reversal with Trend Filter
One effective high-probability setup is a Pin Bar reversal in the direction of the larger trend. A pin bar is a candlestick with a tiny body and a long wick, signaling a sharp rejection of price
By itself, a pin bar often marks a potential reversal, but not all pin bars lead to profitable moves. To boost reliability, this strategy trades pin bars only when they align with the prevailing trend – for example, taking a bullish pin bar while the market is in an uptrend, or a bearish pin bar in a downtrend. The trend bias can be determined by a long-term moving average or higher timeframe analysis.
Why it works: In an uptrend, a bullish pin bar after a pullback often indicates that sellers tried to push price down but failed, and buyers are resuming control. Filtering for pin bars near key support or moving averages further improves odds of success. This aligns the entry with both a strong price pattern and the dominant market direction, yielding a higher win rate. The pin bar’s own structure provides natural levels for stop and target placement, keeping risk management straightforward.
Example Setup:
USDCHF - 4 Hour Chart
Trend SMA 12
Max Body - 34
Min Wick - 66
ATR -15
ATR Stop Loss Multiplier - 2.3
ATR Take Profit Multiplier - 2.9
Minimum ATR to Enter - 0.0025
Timeframe % TrakcerPulls historical closes from nine higher-timeframe look-backs (1 H, 12 H, 1 D, 7 D, 14 D, 1 M, 3 M, 6 M, 1 Y, 3 Y) with request.security().
2. Calculates the percent change between each look-back close and the current price:
(close − close₍look-back₎) / close₍look-back₎ × 100
3. Renders a two-column table in the chart’s top-right corner.
• Left column = timeframe label
• Right column = % move, rounded to two decimals
4. Heat-codes the cells — green if the asset is up, red if it’s down — so you can spot momentum (or pain) instantly.
5. Stays lightweight by updating only on the last bar; no excess runtimes.
Dr Avinash Talele momentum indicaterTrend and Volatility Metrics
EMA10, EMA20, EMA50:
Show the percentage distance of the current price from the 10, 20, and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages.
Positive values indicate the price is above the moving average (bullish momentum).
Negative values indicate the price is below the moving average (bearish or corrective phase).
Use: Helps traders spot if a stock is extended or pulling back to support.
RVol (Relative Volume):
Compares current volume to the 20-day average.
Positive values mean higher-than-average trading activity (potential institutional interest).
Negative values mean lower activity (less conviction).
Use: High RVol often precedes strong moves.
ADR (Average Daily Range):
Shows the average daily price movement as a percentage.
Use: Higher ADR = more volatility = more trading opportunities.
50D Avg. Vol & 50D Avg. Vol ₹:
The 50-day average volume (in millions) and value traded (in crores).
Use: Confirms liquidity and suitability for larger trades.
ROC (Rate of Change) Section
1W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 12M:
Show the percentage price change over the last 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months.
Positive values (green) = uptrend, Negative values (red) = downtrend.
Use: Quickly see if the stock is gaining or losing momentum over different timeframes.
Momentum Section
1M, 3M, 6M:
Show the percentage gain from the lowest price in the last 1, 3, and 6 months.
Use: Measures how much the stock has bounced from recent lows, helping find strong rebounds or new leaders.
52-Week High/Low Section
From 52WH / From 52WL:
Show how far the current price is from its 52-week high and low, as a percentage.
Closer to 52WH = strong uptrend; Closer to 52WL = possible value or turnaround setup.
Use: Helps traders identify stocks breaking out to new highs or rebounding off lows.
U/D Ratio
U/D Ratio:
The ratio of up-volume to down-volume over the last 50 days.
Above 1 = more buying volume (bullish), Below 1 = more selling volume (bearish).
Use: Confirms accumulation or distribution.
How This Table Helps Analysts and Traders
Instant Trend Assessment:
With EMA distances and ROC, analysts can instantly see if the stock is trending, consolidating, or reversing.
Momentum Confirmation:
ROC and Momentum sections highlight stocks with strong recent moves, ideal for momentum and breakout traders.
Liquidity and Volatility Check:
Volume and ADR ensure the stock is tradable and has enough price movement to justify a trade.
Relative Positioning:
52-week high/low stats show whether the stock is near breakout levels or potential reversal zones.
Volume Confirmation:
RVol and U/D ratio help confirm if moves are backed by real buying/selling interest.
Actionable Insights:
By combining these metrics, traders can filter for stocks with strong trends, robust momentum, and institutional backing—ideal for swing, position, or even intraday trading.
MTF MACD 4-Color Momentum System🎯 Overview
The MTF MACD 4-Color Momentum System is an advanced MACD indicator that provides crystal-clear momentum visualization through an innovative 4-color state system. Unlike traditional MACD indicators that only show positive/negative values, this indicator identifies four distinct market states to help traders make more informed decisions.
📊 Key Features
1. Four-State Color System:
🟢 Lime: Above zero + Rising (Strong Bullish Momentum)
🟢 Dark Green: Above zero + Falling (Weakening Bullish Momentum)
🔴 Red: Below zero + Falling (Strong Bearish Momentum)
🔴 Maroon: Below zero + Rising (Weakening Bearish Momentum)
2. Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
View higher timeframe MACD on lower timeframe charts
Confirm trends across multiple timeframes
Reduce false signals with multi-timeframe confluence
3. Flexible Display Options:
Three visualization styles: Histogram, Columns, or Line
Toggle individual color states on/off
Customizable colors and line widths
4. Advanced Features:
Optional histogram smoothing to reduce noise
Zero-cross alerts with visual markers
Color state change alerts
Real-time value display
Customizable signal line overlay
💡 How to Use
1. Momentum Identification:
Lime bars indicate strong upward momentum - ideal for long entries
Dark green suggests momentum is slowing - consider taking profits
Red bars show strong downward momentum - ideal for short entries
Maroon indicates potential reversal brewing - prepare for direction change
2. Zero Line Crosses:
Blue triangles mark bullish crosses above zero
Pink triangles mark bearish crosses below zero
Use these as confirmation signals with other indicators
3. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:
Set to higher timeframe (e.g., 4H on 15m chart)
Look for alignment between timeframes before entering trades
Avoid trades against higher timeframe momentum
⚙️ Settings Guide
MACD Parameters:
Fast EMA: 12 (default) - Adjust for more/less sensitivity
Slow EMA: 26 (default) - Standard MACD setting
Signal: 9 (default) - Smoothing period
Display Customization:
Choose between Histogram, Columns, or Line display
Enable/disable specific color states
Adjust visual properties to match your chart theme
Alerts:
Zero cross alerts for trend changes
Color state alerts for momentum shifts
📈 Trading Strategies
1. Momentum Continuation:
Enter longs when MACD turns lime (above zero + rising)
Enter shorts when MACD turns red (below zero + falling)
Exit when color shifts to "weakening" state
2. Reversal Trading:
Watch for maroon in downtrends (potential bottom)
Watch for dark green in uptrends (potential top)
Confirm with price action and support/resistance
3. Multi-Timeframe Confluence:
Use daily MACD on 1H chart for trend direction
Enter on lower timeframe signals in direction of higher timeframe
Avoid counter-trend trades when higher timeframe shows strong momentum
🎓 Pro Tips
Combine with volume indicators for confirmation
Use with support/resistance levels for better entries
Enable smoothing in choppy markets to reduce false signals
Pay attention to divergences between price and MACD
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management and combine with other analysis methods. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Custom Paul MACD-likePaul MACD is an indicator created by David Paul. It is implemented to effectively represent trend periods and non-trend (sideways/consolidation) periods, and its calculation method is particularly designed to reduce whipsaw.
Unlike the existing MACD which uses the difference between short-term (12) and long-term (26) exponential moving averages (EMA), Paul MACD has a different calculation method. This indicator uses a "center value" or "intermediate value". Calculation occurs when this intermediate value is higher than the High value (specifically, the difference between the center and High is calculated) or lower than the Low value (specifically, the difference between the center and Low is calculated). Otherwise, the value becomes 0. Here, the High and Low values are intended to be smoothly reflected using Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA). The indicator's method itself (using SMMA and ZLMA) is aimed at diluting whipsaws.
Thanks to this calculation method, in sections where whipsaw occurs, meaning when the intermediate value is between High and Low, the indicator value is expressed as 0 and appears as a horizontal line (zero line). This serves to visually clearly show sideways/consolidation periods.
MestreDoFOMO MACD VisualMasterDoFOMO MACD Visual
Description
MasterDoFOMO MACD Visual is a custom indicator that combines a unique approach to MACD with stochastic logic and simulated Renko-based direction signals. It is designed to help traders identify entry and exit opportunities based on market momentum and trend changes, with a clear and intuitive visualization.
How It Works
Stylized MACD with Stochastic: The indicator calculates the MACD using EMAs (exponential moving averages) normalized by stochastic logic. This is done by subtracting the lowest price (lowest low) from a defined period and dividing by the range between the highest and lowest price (highest high - lowest low). The result is a MACD that is more sensitive to market conditions, magnified by a factor of 10 for better visualization.
Signal Line: An EMA of the MACD is plotted as a signal line, allowing you to identify crossovers that indicate potential trend reversals or continuations.
Histogram: The difference between the MACD and the signal line is displayed as a histogram, with distinct colors (fuchsia for positive, purple for negative) to make momentum easier to read.
Simulated Renko Direction: Uses ATR (Average True Range) to calculate the size of Renko "bricks", generating signals of change in direction (bullish or bearish). These signals are displayed as arrows on the chart, helping to identify trend reversals.
Purpose
The indicator combines the sensitivity of the Stochastic MACD with the robustness of Renko signals to provide a versatile tool. It is ideal for traders looking to capture momentum-based market movements (using the MACD and histogram) while confirming trend changes with Renko signals. This combination reduces false signals and improves accuracy in volatile markets.
Settings
Stochastic Period (45): Sets the period for calculating the Stochastic range (highest high - lowest low).
Fast EMA Period (12): Period of the fast EMA used in the MACD.
Slow EMA Period (26): Period of the slow EMA used in the MACD.
Signal Line Period (9): Period of the EMA of the signal line.
Overbought/Oversold Levels (1.0/-1.0): Thresholds for identifying extreme conditions in the MACD.
ATR Period (14): Period for calculating the Renko brick size.
ATR Multiplier (1.0): Adjusts the Renko brick size.
Show Histogram: Enables/disables the histogram.
Show Renko Markers: Enables/disables the Renko direction arrows.
How to Use
MACD Crossovers: A MACD crossover above the signal line indicates potential bullishness, while below suggests bearishness.
Histogram: Fuchsia bars indicate bullish momentum; purple bars indicate bearish momentum.
Renko Arrows: Green arrows (upward triangle) signal a change to an uptrend; red arrows (downward triangle) signal a downtrend.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Use the levels to identify potential reversals when the MACD reaches extreme values.
Notes
The chart should be set up with this indicator in isolation for better clarity.
Adjust the periods and ATR multiplier according to the asset and timeframe used.
Use the built-in alerts ("Renko Up Signal" and "Renko Down Signal") to set up notifications of direction changes.
This indicator is ideal for day traders and swing traders who want a visually clear and functional tool for trading based on momentum and trends.
EMA5/21 + VWAP + MACD HistogramScript Summary: EMA + VWAP + MACD + RSI Strategy
Objective: Combine multiple technical indicators to identify market entry and exit opportunities, aiming to increase signal accuracy.
Indicators Used:
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Periods of 5 (short-term) and 21 (long-term) to identify trend crossovers.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Serves as a reference to determine if the price is in a fair value zone.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Standard settings of 12, 26, and 9 to detect momentum changes.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Period of 14 to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
Entry Rules:
Buy (Long): 5-period EMA crosses above the 21-period EMA, price is above VWAP, MACD crosses above the signal line, and RSI is above 40.
Sell (Short): 5-period EMA crosses below the 21-period EMA, price is below VWAP, MACD crosses below the signal line, and RSI is below 60.
Exit Rules:
For long positions: When the 5-period EMA crosses below the 21-period EMA or MACD crosses below the signal line.
For short positions: When the 5-period EMA crosses above the 21-period EMA or MACD crosses above the signal line.
Visual Alerts:
Buy and sell signals are highlighted on the chart with green (buy) and red (sell) arrows below or above the corresponding candles.
Indicator Plotting:
The 5 and 21-period EMAs, as well as the VWAP, are plotted on the chart to facilitate the visualization of market conditions.
This script is a versatile tool for traders seeking to combine multiple technical indicators into a single strategy. It can be used across various timeframes and assets, allowing adjustments according to the trader's profile and market characteristics.
Juliano Einhardt Ulguim, Brazil, 05/27/2025.
magic wand STSM"Magic Wand STSM" Strategy: Trend-Following with Dynamic Risk Management
Overview:
The "Magic Wand STSM" (Supertrend & SMA Momentum) is an automated trading strategy designed to identify and capitalize on sustained trends in the market. It combines a multi-timeframe Supertrend for trend direction and potential reversal signals, along with a 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) for overall market bias. A key feature of this strategy is its dynamic position sizing based on a user-defined risk percentage per trade, and a built-in daily and monthly profit/loss tracking system to manage overall exposure and prevent overtrading.
How it Works (Underlying Concepts):
Multi-Timeframe Trend Confirmation (Supertrend):
The strategy uses two Supertrend indicators: one on the current chart timeframe and another on a higher timeframe (e.g., if your chart is 5-minute, the higher timeframe Supertrend might be 15-minute).
Trend Identification: The Supertrend's direction output is crucial. A negative direction indicates a bearish trend (price below Supertrend), while a positive direction indicates a bullish trend (price above Supertrend).
Confirmation: A core principle is that trades are only considered when the Supertrend on both the current and the higher timeframe align in the same direction. This helps to filter out noise and focus on stronger, more confirmed trends. For example, for a long trade, both Supertrends must be indicating a bearish trend (price below Supertrend line, implying an uptrend context where price is expected to stay above/rebound from Supertrend). Similarly, for short trades, both must be indicating a bullish trend (price above Supertrend line, implying a downtrend context where price is expected to stay below/retest Supertrend).
Trend "Readiness": The strategy specifically looks for situations where the Supertrend has been stable for a few bars (checking barssince the last direction change).
Long-Term Market Bias (200 SMA):
A 200-period Simple Moving Average is plotted on the chart.
Filter: For long trades, the price must be above the 200 SMA, confirming an overall bullish bias. For short trades, the price must be below the 200 SMA, confirming an overall bearish bias. This acts as a macro filter, ensuring trades are taken in alignment with the broader market direction.
"Lowest/Highest Value" Pullback Entries:
The strategy employs custom functions (LowestValueAndBar, HighestValueAndBar) to identify specific price action within the recent trend:
For Long Entries: It looks for a "buy ready" condition where the price has found a recent lowest point within a specific number of bars since the Supertrend turned bearish (indicating an uptrend). This suggests a potential pullback or consolidation before continuation. The entry trigger is a close above the open of this identified lowest bar, and also above the current bar's open.
For Short Entries: It looks for a "sell ready" condition where the price has found a recent highest point within a specific number of bars since the Supertrend turned bullish (indicating a downtrend). This suggests a potential rally or consolidation before continuation downwards. The entry trigger is a close below the open of this identified highest bar, and also below the current bar's open.
Candle Confirmation: The strategy also incorporates a check on the candle type at the "lowest/highest value" bar (e.g., closevalue_b < openvalue_b for buy signals, meaning a bearish candle at the low, suggesting a potential reversal before a buy).
Risk Management and Position Sizing:
Dynamic Lot Sizing: The lotsvalue function calculates the appropriate position size based on your Your Equity input, the Risk to Reward ratio, and your risk percentage for your balance % input. This ensures that the capital risked per trade remains consistent as a percentage of your equity, regardless of the instrument's volatility or price. The stop loss distance is directly used in this calculation.
Fixed Risk Reward: All trades are entered with a predefined Risk to Reward ratio (default 2.0). This means for every unit of risk (stop loss distance), the target profit is rr times that distance.
Daily and Monthly Performance Monitoring:
The strategy tracks todaysWins, todaysLosses, and res (daily net result) in real-time.
A "daily profit target" is implemented (day_profit): If the daily net result is very favorable (e.g., res >= 4 with todaysLosses >= 2 or todaysWins + todaysLosses >= 8), the strategy may temporarily halt trading for the remainder of the session to "lock in" profits and prevent overtrading during volatile periods.
A "monthly stop-out" (monthly_trade) is implemented: If the lres (overall net result from all closed trades) falls below a certain threshold (e.g., -12), the strategy will stop trading for a set period (one week in this case) to protect capital during prolonged drawdowns.
Trade Execution:
Entry Triggers: Trades are entered when all buy/sell conditions (Supertrend alignment, SMA filter, "buy/sell situation" candle confirmation, and risk management checks) are met, and there are no open positions.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: The stop loss is dynamically placed at the upTrendValue for long trades and downTrendValue for short trades. These values are derived from the Supertrend indicator, which naturally adjusts to market volatility.
Take Profit: The take profit is calculated based on the entry price, the stop loss, and the Risk to Reward ratio (rr).
Position Locks: lock_long and lock_short variables prevent immediate re-entry into the same direction once a trade is initiated, or after a trend reversal based on Supertrend changes.
Visual Elements:
The 200 SMA is plotted in yellow.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit lines are plotted in white, red, and green respectively when a trade is active, with shaded areas between them to visually represent risk and reward.
Diamond shapes are plotted at the bottom of the chart (green for potential buy signals, red for potential sell signals) to visually indicate when the buy_sit or sell_sit conditions are met, along with other key filters.
A comprehensive trade statistics table is displayed on the chart, showing daily wins/losses, daily profit, total deals, and overall profit/loss.
A background color indicates the active trading session.
Ideal Usage:
This strategy is best applied to instruments with clear trends and sufficient liquidity. Users should carefully adjust the Your Equity, Risk to Reward, and risk percentage inputs to align with their individual risk tolerance and capital. Experimentation with different ATR Length and Factor values for the Supertrend might be beneficial depending on the asset and timeframe.
Zero Lag Multi Timeframe MACDCommon parts of the Multi Time Frame MACD
Why This MACD is Special
Traditional MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a powerful trend-following indicator, but it has a key limitation: it only reflects price action on a single timeframe. Traders who rely on top-down analysis—analyzing higher timeframes first before moving to lower ones—often face a frustrating delay.
The Problem with Traditional Multi-Timeframe MACD with top down analysis:
If you’re on a 5-minute chart and want to see the 1-hour MACD, you must wait for 12 candles (1 hour) to close before the MACD updates.
This lag means you miss real-time signals and react too late to trend changes.
The Zero Lag Multi-Timeframe MACD solves this by using a custom time-adjusted formula (developed by CoffeeShopCrypto) that projects higher timeframe MACD values onto lower timeframe charts in real time.
How Traders Normally Use MACD
Single-Timeframe MACD (Traditional Approach)
Used for trend identification (bullish/bearish).
Crossovers (MACD line crossing signal line) signal potential entries.
Divergences (price vs. MACD direction) warn of trend exhaustion.
Top-Down Analysis with Standard MACD (Manual Switching)
1. Check higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour) for trend direction.
2. Switch to lower timeframe (e.g., 5-minute) for entries.
Problem: You must constantly switch charts and wait for higher timeframe candles to close.
This MACD Eliminates the Need for Switching
Higher timeframe MACD is plotted in real time on your lower timeframe chart.
No waiting for candle closes—instant trend confirmation.
Single-chart top-down analysis without switching timeframes.
How to Use This MACD for Trading
Since the MACD is an averaging indicator, it works best when trading with the trend. This version enhances that by showing two trends at once:
Lower Timeframe (LTF) MACD – Your current chart’s trend.
Higher Timeframe (HTF) MACD – The dominant trend.
Key Trading Rules
1. Strong Uptrend Setup (Best for Long Entries)
HTF MACD line is rising & above zero (strong bullish momentum).
LTF MACD line is also rising (confirms alignment).
Entry: Look for LTF MACD to cross above signal line.
Long Entry Confirmation:
When both the High Timeframe and Low Timeframe MACD Lines are moving in the same direction, this is a confirmation that both the HTF is matching the direction of the LTF.
In this example both MACD Lines are moving long so we are only looking to take long entries at this point forward.
Short Entry Confirmation:
When both the High Timeframe and Low Timeframe MACD Lines are moving in the same direction, this is a confirmation that both the HTF is matching the direction of the LTF.
In this example both MACD Lines are moving short so we are only looking to take long entries at this point forward.
2. Potential Reversal or Weak Uptrend
Trend Divergence Confirmation
This example shows you a confirmation of divergence between the trends. Its best to watch for a continuation of the previous major trend. In this example, we just came off a downtrend with a GAP DOWN.
How to see it: (Trend Divergence)
Two things will help you confirm this divergence
1.Notice the LTF and HTF MACD are moving away from each other.
2. Both the HTF and LTF Histogram are shrinking.
This is an expression of lack of trend.
What to do:
High Timeframe Trends are always the lead so wait for the Low Timeframe to catch up to the High Timeframe trend.
Limitations:
The Exponential Moving Average calculation can only be applied to the Low Timeframe MACD because of the way its weighted against more recent price action and closing values.
This same EMA calculation can not be applied to the High Timeframe MACD as its being recalculated and the result means you can not weigh values against its current plot point.
Low Timeframe MACD can use EMA / SMA
High Timeframe MACD can only use SMA
Parabolic-Fibonacci MA ForecastThis indicator displays a series of projected price levels based on Fibonacci moving averages. For each selected Fibonacci period, it calculates a simple moving average (SMA) and mirrors the distance from the current price to that SMA in the opposite direction, creating a vertical forecast distance. These forecast distances are drawn forward into the future using geometric spacing (squared increments: 1², 2², 3², etc.), creating a fan-like or polyline visual structure.
Users can choose between three display modes:
Fan: Lines drawn from the current price to projected values at increasing intervals
Polyline: Forecast points connected to form a jagged projection path
Both: Displays both fan and polyline structures simultaneously
Options are provided to adjust the number of Fibonacci lines (up to 12), line width, and colors for lines above/below price or up/down slope.
This tool can help visualize directional price tendencies using multiple SMA-based forecasts in a spatially meaningful layout.
Mad Trading Scientist - Guppy MMA with Bollinger Bands📘 Indicator Name:
Guppy MMA with Bollinger Bands
🔍 What This Indicator Does:
This TradingView indicator combines Guppy Multiple Moving Averages (GMMA) with Bollinger Bands to help you identify trend direction and volatility zones, ideal for spotting pullback entries within trending markets.
🔵 1. Guppy Multiple Moving Averages (GMMA):
✅ Short-Term EMAs (Blue) — represent trader sentiment:
EMA 3, 5, 8, 10, 12, 15
✅ Long-Term EMAs (Red) — represent investor sentiment:
EMA 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 60
Usage:
When blue (short) EMAs are above red (long) EMAs and spreading → Strong uptrend
When blue EMAs cross below red EMAs → Potential downtrend
⚫ 2. Bollinger Bands (Volatility Envelopes):
Length: 300 (captures the longer-term price range)
Basis: 300-period SMA
Upper & Lower Bands:
±1 Standard Deviation (light gray zone)
±2 Standard Deviations (dark gray zone)
Fill Zones:
Highlights standard deviation ranges
Emphasizes extreme vs. normal price moves
Usage:
Price touching ±2 SD bands signals potential exhaustion
Price reverting to the mean suggests pullback or re-entry opportunity
💡 Important Note: Use With Momentum Filter
✅ For superior accuracy, this indicator should be combined with your invite-only momentum filter on TradingView.
This filter helps confirm whether the trend has underlying strength or is losing momentum, increasing the probability of successful entries and exits.
🕒 Recommended Timeframe:
📆 1-Hour Chart (60m)
This setup is optimized for short- to medium-term swing trading, where Guppy structures and Bollinger reversion work best.
🔧 Practical Strategy Example:
Long Trade Setup:
Short EMAs are above long EMAs (strong uptrend)
Price pulls back to the lower 1 or 2 SD band
Momentum filter confirms bullish strength
Short Trade Setup:
Short EMAs are below long EMAs (strong downtrend)
Price rises to the upper 1 or 2 SD band
Momentum filter confirms bearish strength
ROC Convergence IndicatorROC Convergence indicator overlays the 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12 period ROC and then plots the mean absolute deviation of the all ROC's. The goal is to identify times when the ROC spread is the lowest. I made this for myself to identify points at which it may be wise to enter into a trend following or volatility breakout system. Inspired by Linda Raschke.
Lorentzian Classification - Advanced Trading DashboardLorentzian Classification - Relativistic Market Analysis
A Journey from Theory to Trading Reality
What began as fascination with Einstein's relativity and Lorentzian geometry has evolved into a practical trading tool that bridges theoretical physics and market dynamics. This indicator represents months of wrestling with complex mathematical concepts, debugging intricate algorithms, and transforming abstract theory into actionable trading signals.
The Theoretical Foundation
Lorentzian Distance in Market Space
Traditional Euclidean distance treats all feature differences equally, but markets don't behave uniformly. Lorentzian distance, borrowed from spacetime geometry, provides a more nuanced similarity measure:
d(x,y) = Σ ln(1 + |xi - yi|)
This logarithmic formulation naturally handles:
Scale invariance: Large price moves don't overwhelm small but significant patterns
Outlier robustness: Extreme values are dampened rather than dominating
Non-linear relationships: Captures market behavior better than linear metrics
K-Nearest Neighbors with Relativistic Weighting
The algorithm searches historical market states for patterns similar to current conditions. Each neighbor receives weight inversely proportional to its Lorentzian distance:
w = 1 / (1 + distance)
This creates a "gravitational" effect where closer patterns have stronger influence on predictions.
The Implementation Challenge
Creating meaningful market features required extensive experimentation:
Price Features: Multi-timeframe momentum (1, 2, 3, 5, 8 bar lookbacks) Volume Features: Relative volume analysis against 20-period average
Volatility Features: ATR and Bollinger Band width normalization Momentum Features: RSI deviation from neutral and MACD/price ratio
Each feature undergoes min-max normalization to ensure equal weighting in distance calculations.
The Prediction Mechanism
For each current market state:
Feature Vector Construction: 12-dimensional representation of market conditions
Historical Search: Scan lookback period for similar patterns using Lorentzian distance
Neighbor Selection: Identify K nearest historical matches
Outcome Analysis: Examine what happened N bars after each match
Weighted Prediction: Combine outcomes using distance-based weights
Confidence Calculation: Measure agreement between neighbors
Technical Hurdles Overcome
Array Management: Complex indexing to prevent look-ahead bias
Distance Calculations: Optimizing nested loops for performance
Memory Constraints: Balancing lookback depth with computational limits
Signal Filtering: Preventing clustering of identical signals
Advanced Dashboard System
Main Control Panel
The primary dashboard provides real-time market intelligence:
Signal Status: Current prediction with confidence percentage
Neighbor Analysis: How many historical patterns match current conditions
Market Regime: Trend strength, volatility, and volume analysis
Temporal Context: Real-time updates with timestamp
Performance Analytics
Comprehensive tracking system monitors:
Win Rate: Percentage of successful predictions
Signal Count: Total predictions generated
Streak Analysis: Current winning/losing sequence
Drawdown Monitoring: Maximum equity decline
Sharpe Approximation: Risk-adjusted performance estimate
Risk Assessment Panel
Multi-dimensional risk analysis:
RSI Positioning: Overbought/oversold conditions
ATR Percentage: Current volatility relative to price
Bollinger Position: Price location within volatility bands
MACD Alignment: Momentum confirmation
Confidence Heatmap
Visual representation of prediction reliability:
Historical Confidence: Last 10 periods of prediction certainty
Strength Analysis: Magnitude of prediction values over time
Pattern Recognition: Color-coded confidence levels for quick assessment
Input Parameters Deep Dive
Core Algorithm Settings
K Nearest Neighbors (1-20): More neighbors create smoother but less responsive signals. Optimal range 5-8 for most markets.
Historical Lookback (50-500): Deeper history improves pattern recognition but reduces adaptability. 100-200 bars optimal for most timeframes.
Feature Window (5-30): Longer windows capture more context but reduce sensitivity. Match to your trading timeframe.
Feature Selection
Price Changes: Essential for momentum and reversal detection Volume Profile: Critical for institutional activity recognition Volatility Measures: Key for regime change detection Momentum Indicators: Vital for trend confirmation
Signal Generation
Prediction Horizon (1-20): How far ahead to predict. Shorter horizons for scalping, longer for swing trading.
Signal Threshold (0.5-0.9): Confidence required for signal generation. Higher values reduce false signals but may miss opportunities.
Smoothing (1-10): EMA applied to raw predictions. More smoothing reduces noise but increases lag.
Visual Design Philosophy
Color Themes
Professional: Corporate blue/red for institutional environments Neon: Cyberpunk cyan/magenta for modern aesthetics
Matrix: Green/red hacker-inspired palette Classic: Traditional trading colors
Information Hierarchy
The dashboard system prioritizes information by importance:
Primary Signals: Largest, most prominent display
Confidence Metrics: Secondary but clearly visible
Supporting Data: Detailed but unobtrusive
Historical Context: Available but not distracting
Trading Applications
Signal Interpretation
Long Signals: Prediction > threshold with high confidence
Look for volume confirmation
- Check trend alignment
- Verify support levels
Short Signals: Prediction < -threshold with high confidence
Confirm with resistance levels
- Check for distribution patterns
- Verify momentum divergence
- Market Regime Adaptation
Trending Markets: Higher confidence in directional signals
Ranging Markets: Focus on reversal signals at extremes
Volatile Markets: Require higher confidence thresholds
Low Volume: Reduce position sizes, increase caution
Risk Management Integration
Confidence-Based Sizing: Larger positions for higher confidence signals
Regime-Aware Stops: Wider stops in volatile regimes
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Align signals across timeframes
Volume Confirmation: Require volume support for major signals
Originality and Innovation
This indicator represents genuine innovation in several areas:
Mathematical Approach
First application of Lorentzian geometry to market pattern recognition. Unlike Euclidean-based systems, this naturally handles market non-linearities.
Feature Engineering
Sophisticated multi-dimensional feature space combining price, volume, volatility, and momentum in normalized form.
Visualization System
Professional-grade dashboard system providing comprehensive market intelligence in intuitive format.
Performance Tracking
Real-time performance analytics typically found only in institutional trading systems.
Development Journey
Creating this indicator involved overcoming numerous technical challenges:
Mathematical Complexity: Translating theoretical concepts into practical code
Performance Optimization: Balancing accuracy with computational efficiency
User Interface Design: Making complex data accessible and actionable
Signal Quality: Filtering noise while maintaining responsiveness
The result is a tool that brings institutional-grade analytics to individual traders while maintaining the theoretical rigor of its mathematical foundation.
Best Practices
- Parameter Optimization
- Start with default settings and adjust based on:
Market Characteristics: Volatile vs. stable
Trading Timeframe: Scalping vs. swing trading
Risk Tolerance: Conservative vs. aggressive
Signal Confirmation
Never trade on Lorentzian signals alone:
Price Action: Confirm with support/resistance
Volume: Verify with volume analysis
Multiple Timeframes: Check higher timeframe alignment
Market Context: Consider overall market conditions
Risk Management
Position Sizing: Scale with confidence levels
Stop Losses: Adapt to market volatility
Profit Targets: Based on historical performance
Maximum Risk: Never exceed 2-3% per trade
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee profitable trading results. The Lorentzian classification system reveals market patterns but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Market dynamics are inherently uncertain, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This tool should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, not as a standalone solution.
Bringing the elegance of relativistic geometry to market analysis through sophisticated pattern recognition and intuitive visualization.
Thank you for sharing the idea. You're more than a follower, you're a leader!
@vasanthgautham1221
Trade with precision. Trade with insight.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
MACD Crossover with Price Action and AlertsThe MACD should use the default parameters (12, 26, 9) for fast EMA, slow EMA, and signal EMA, respectively, applied to the Close price. Instead of simple MACD crossovers, the indicator should analyze price action in relation to the MACD histogram to generate signals. Specifically: 1. BUY signal: Generate a buy signal (an up arrow displayed below the low of the signal bar in green color) when the MACD histogram crosses above zero AND the price action shows a bullish engulfing pattern (the current candle's body completely engulfs the previous candle's body). 2. SELL signal: Generate a sell signal (a down arrow displayed above the high of the signal bar in red color) when the MACD histogram crosses below zero AND the price action shows a bearish engulfing pattern (the current candle's body completely engulfs the previous candle's body). The arrows should be non-repainting, meaning that once an arrow is plotted on a bar, it should not disappear or change position as the chart updates. The indicator should also plot the MACD line, signal line, and histogram using their default calculations. The MACD line should be blue, the signal line should be orange, and the histogram should be displayed using green bars for positive values and red bars for negative values. The indicator should also have customizable inputs for the MACD fast EMA period, slow EMA period, signal EMA period and engulfing pattern check enabled/disabled. If engulfing pattern check disabled, the indicator will generate signals based only on MACD histogram crossing zero.
Bear Market Probability Model# Bear Market Probability Model: A Multi-Factor Risk Assessment Framework
The Bear Market Probability Model represents a comprehensive quantitative framework for assessing systemic market risk through the integration of 13 distinct risk factors across four analytical categories: macroeconomic indicators, technical analysis factors, market sentiment measures, and market breadth metrics. This indicator synthesizes established financial research methodologies to provide real-time probabilistic assessments of impending bear market conditions, offering institutional-grade risk management capabilities to retail and professional traders alike.
## Theoretical Foundation
### Historical Context of Bear Market Prediction
Bear market prediction has been a central focus of financial research since the seminal work of Dow (1901) and the subsequent development of technical analysis theory. The challenge of predicting market downturns gained renewed academic attention following the market crashes of 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008, leading to the development of sophisticated multi-factor models.
Fama and French (1989) demonstrated that certain financial variables possess predictive power for stock returns, particularly during market stress periods. Their three-factor model laid the groundwork for multi-dimensional risk assessment, which this indicator extends through the incorporation of real-time market microstructure data.
### Methodological Framework
The model employs a weighted composite scoring methodology based on the theoretical framework established by Campbell and Shiller (1998) for market valuation assessment, extended through the incorporation of high-frequency sentiment and technical indicators as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2006) in their seminal work on investor sentiment.
The mathematical foundation follows the general form:
Bear Market Probability = Σ(Wi × Ci) / ΣWi × 100
Where:
- Wi = Category weight (i = 1,2,3,4)
- Ci = Normalized category score
- Categories: Macroeconomic, Technical, Sentiment, Breadth
## Component Analysis
### 1. Macroeconomic Risk Factors
#### Yield Curve Analysis
The inclusion of yield curve inversion as a primary predictor follows extensive research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who demonstrated that the term spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury securities has historically preceded all major recessions since 1969. The model incorporates both the 2Y-10Y and 3M-10Y spreads to capture different aspects of monetary policy expectations.
Implementation:
- 2Y-10Y Spread: Captures market expectations of monetary policy trajectory
- 3M-10Y Spread: Traditional recession predictor with 12-18 month lead time
Scientific Basis: Harvey (1988) and subsequent research by Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei (2006) established the theoretical foundation linking yield curve inversions to economic contractions through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.
#### Credit Risk Premium Assessment
High-yield credit spreads serve as a real-time gauge of systemic risk, following the methodology established by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) in their excess bond premium research. The model incorporates the ICE BofA High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread as a proxy for credit market stress.
Threshold Calibration:
- Normal conditions: < 350 basis points
- Elevated risk: 350-500 basis points
- Severe stress: > 500 basis points
#### Currency and Commodity Stress Indicators
The US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum serves as a risk-off indicator, while the Gold-to-Oil ratio captures commodity market stress dynamics. This approach follows the methodology of Akram (2009) and Beckmann, Berger, and Czudaj (2015) in analyzing commodity-currency relationships during market stress.
### 2. Technical Analysis Factors
#### Multi-Timeframe Moving Average Analysis
The technical component incorporates the well-established moving average convergence methodology, drawing from the work of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), who provided empirical evidence for the profitability of technical trading rules.
Implementation:
- Price relative to 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages
- Moving average convergence/divergence analysis
- Multi-timeframe MACD assessment (daily and weekly)
#### Momentum and Volatility Analysis
The model integrates Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis following Wilder's (1978) original methodology, combined with maximum drawdown analysis based on the work of Magdon-Ismail and Atiya (2004) on optimal drawdown measurement.
### 3. Market Sentiment Factors
#### Volatility Index Analysis
The VIX component follows the established research of Whaley (2009) and subsequent work by Bekaert and Hoerova (2014) on VIX as a predictor of market stress. The model incorporates both absolute VIX levels and relative VIX spikes compared to the 20-day moving average.
Calibration:
- Low volatility: VIX < 20
- Elevated concern: VIX 20-25
- High fear: VIX > 25
- Panic conditions: VIX > 30
#### Put-Call Ratio Analysis
Options flow analysis through put-call ratios provides insight into sophisticated investor positioning, following the methodology established by Pan and Poteshman (2006) in their analysis of informed trading in options markets.
### 4. Market Breadth Factors
#### Advance-Decline Analysis
Market breadth assessment follows the classic work of Fosback (1976) and subsequent research by Brown and Cliff (2004) on market breadth as a predictor of future returns.
Components:
- Daily advance-decline ratio
- Advance-decline line momentum
- McClellan Oscillator (Ema19 - Ema39 of A-D difference)
#### New Highs-New Lows Analysis
The new highs-new lows ratio serves as a market leadership indicator, based on the research of Zweig (1986) and validated in academic literature by Zarowin (1990).
## Dynamic Threshold Methodology
The model incorporates adaptive thresholds based on rolling volatility and trend analysis, following the methodology established by Pagan and Sossounov (2003) for business cycle dating. This approach allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing market conditions.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
- Warning Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.0)
- Danger Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.5)
- Bounds: ±10-20 points from base threshold
## Professional Implementation
### Institutional Usage Patterns
Professional risk managers typically employ multi-factor bear market models in several contexts:
#### 1. Portfolio Risk Management
- Tactical Asset Allocation: Reducing equity exposure when probability exceeds 60-70%
- Hedging Strategies: Implementing protective puts or VIX calls when warning thresholds are breached
- Sector Rotation: Shifting from growth to defensive sectors during elevated risk periods
#### 2. Risk Budgeting
- Value-at-Risk Adjustment: Incorporating bear market probability into VaR calculations
- Stress Testing: Using probability levels to calibrate stress test scenarios
- Capital Requirements: Adjusting regulatory capital based on systemic risk assessment
#### 3. Client Communication
- Risk Reporting: Quantifying market risk for client presentations
- Investment Committee Decisions: Providing objective risk metrics for strategic decisions
- Performance Attribution: Explaining defensive positioning during market stress
### Implementation Framework
Professional traders typically implement such models through:
#### Signal Hierarchy:
1. Probability < 30%: Normal risk positioning
2. Probability 30-50%: Increased hedging, reduced leverage
3. Probability 50-70%: Defensive positioning, cash building
4. Probability > 70%: Maximum defensive posture, short exposure consideration
#### Risk Management Integration:
- Position Sizing: Inverse relationship between probability and position size
- Stop-Loss Adjustment: Tighter stops during elevated risk periods
- Correlation Monitoring: Increased attention to cross-asset correlations
## Strengths and Advantages
### 1. Comprehensive Coverage
The model's primary strength lies in its multi-dimensional approach, avoiding the single-factor bias that has historically plagued market timing models. By incorporating macroeconomic, technical, sentiment, and breadth factors, the model provides robust risk assessment across different market regimes.
### 2. Dynamic Adaptability
The adaptive threshold mechanism allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing volatility conditions, reducing false signals during low-volatility periods and maintaining sensitivity during high-volatility regimes.
### 3. Real-Time Processing
Unlike traditional academic models that rely on monthly or quarterly data, this indicator processes daily market data, providing timely risk assessment for active portfolio management.
### 4. Transparency and Interpretability
The component-based structure allows users to understand which factors are driving risk assessment, enabling informed decision-making about model signals.
### 5. Historical Validation
Each component has been validated in academic literature, providing theoretical foundation for the model's predictive power.
## Limitations and Weaknesses
### 1. Data Dependencies
The model's effectiveness depends heavily on the availability and quality of real-time economic data. Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) updates may have lags that could impact model responsiveness during rapidly evolving market conditions.
### 2. Regime Change Sensitivity
Like most quantitative models, the indicator may struggle during unprecedented market conditions or structural regime changes where historical relationships break down (Taleb, 2007).
### 3. False Signal Risk
Multi-factor models inherently face the challenge of balancing sensitivity with specificity. The model may generate false positive signals during normal market volatility periods.
### 4. Currency and Geographic Bias
The model focuses primarily on US market indicators, potentially limiting its effectiveness for global portfolio management or non-USD denominated assets.
### 5. Correlation Breakdown
During extreme market stress, correlations between risk factors may increase dramatically, reducing the model's diversification benefits (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002).
## References
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Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
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Bekaert, G., & Hoerova, M. (2014). The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 183(2), 181-192.
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Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1998). Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(2), 11-26.
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Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261.
Fosback, N. G. (1976). Stock market logic: A sophisticated approach to profits on Wall Street. The Institute for Econometric Research.
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012). Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations. American Economic Review, 102(4), 1692-1720.
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Pan, J., & Poteshman, A. M. (2006). The information in option volume for future stock prices. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 871-908.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. Random House.
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Dual Pwma Trends [ZORO_47]Key Features:
Dual PWMA System: Combines a fast and slow Parabolic Weighted Moving Average to identify momentum shifts and trend changes with precision.
Dynamic Color Coding: The indicator lines change color to reflect market conditions—green for bullish crossovers (potential buy signals) and red for bearish crossunders (potential sell signals), making it easy to interpret at a glance.
Customizable Parameters: Adjust the fast and slow PWMA lengths, power settings, and source data to tailor the indicator to your trading style and timeframe.
Clean Visualization: Plotted with bold, clear lines (3px width) for optimal visibility on any chart, ensuring you never miss a signal.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates two PWMAs using the imported ZOROLIBRARY by ZORO_47. When the fast PWMA crosses above the slow PWMA, both lines turn green, signaling a potential bullish trend. Conversely, when the fast PWMA crosses below the slow PWMA, the lines turn red, indicating a potential bearish trend. The color persists until the next crossover or crossunder, providing a seamless visual cue for trend direction.
Ideal For:
Trend Traders: Identify trend reversals and continuations with clear crossover signals.
Swing Traders: Use on higher timeframes to capture significant price moves.
Day Traders: Fine-tune settings for faster signals on intraday charts.
Settings:
Fast Length/Power: Control the sensitivity of the fast PWMA (default: 12/2).
Slow Length/Power: Adjust the smoother, slower PWMA (default: 21/1).
Source: Choose your preferred data input (default: close price).
Day of Week and HTF Period SeparatorDay of Week & HTF Period Separator
A minimalist Pine Script indicator that adds clear, time-based separators and labels to intraday charts for better structure and analysis.
Key Features
• Day Labels
• Displays abbreviated weekday names (MON, TUE, WED, etc.) at a user-defined hour
• Custom text color and position
• Limits display to the most recent 28 days for a clean view
• Time Separators
• Daily: Vertical line at 00:00 each trading day
• 4-Hour: Lines at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00
• Hourly: Divisions at every hour for detailed timing
• Customization
• Individual color picker for each separator type
• Choose line style: Solid, Dashed or Dotted
• Enable or disable any separator or label independently
• Smart limits to avoid clutter on extended history
• Smart Behavior
• Active only on intraday timeframes
• Projects upcoming separators into the future for planning
• Automatically caps historical plotting for performance
• Lines extend across full visible price range
Perfect for traders who need distinct session breaks, precise time-based zoning and an organized chart layout.
Inputs
• Show Day Labels (true/false)
• Label Hour (0–23)
• Day Label Color
• Show Daily Separators (true/false)
• Show 4H Separators (true/false)
• Show 1H Separators (true/false)
• Daily Line Color, Style
• 4H Line Color, Style
• Hourly Line Color, Style
• Max Days to Display
Enhance your intraday analysis with clean, customizable time markers. 👁
