Yield CurveThis script tracks the U.S. 2Yr/10Yr Spread and uses inversions of the curve to predict recessions. Whenever a red arrow appear on the yield curve, expect a recession to begin within the next 2 years. Use this signal to either exit the market, or hedge current positions. Whenever a green arrow appears on the yield curve, expect a recession to have nearly ended. Use this signal to enter the market, or cut current hedges against a recession. (I may update this script in the future to better incorporate the effective federal funds rate into exit points, but for now I am satisfied with the results).
S&P 500 (SPX500)
Equity Index Extended HoursHighlights the extended hours/Globex session for US Equity Index Futures.
Overnight Bollinger Band ExtremesThis script is a combination of my overnight fakeout script and bollinger band color bars. It's designed to be used on CME/CBOT Equity Indexes during their GLOBEX session. It uses the built in Bollinger Band script and highlights bars that exceed the upper/lower bands during the overnight session.
VIX Term StructureThis script allows users to visualize the state of the VIX Futures Term Structure. The user is able to select from five CBOE VIX Indices; VIX, VIX9D, VIX3M, VIX6M, and VIX1Y and the script will color the candles based on the price relationship between selected indices. Visit the CBOE website for more info on how the various VIX indices are calculated.
Percentage Relative StrengthA relative strength indicator that compares your main symbol (one on your chart) strength to another symbol by percentage.
The result is plotted as a histogram showing which symbol is rising or falling more in percentage.
In case your chart symbol is TSLA (Tesla) and the indicator 'Symbol to compare' is SPX:
GREEN area (above zero) means TSLA is rising more than the SPX.
RED area (below zero) means TSLA is falling more than the SPX.
To these who wants to understand calculation, it's pretty straightforward.
For each asset we calculate everyday percentage change based on previous close and current close.
We take main asset (chart symbol) percentage and subtract it from percent of change of the symbol we want to compare to.
Result are smoothed by SMA (Simple Moving Average)
You can select different indexes or cfds such as S&P500 (SPX), NASDAQ 100 (NSX), RUSSELL 2000 (RUT) and NASDAQ (IXIC).
Default is S&P 500 (SPX).
Enjoy and Like if you like.
Simple Bollinger Band and stochastic oscillator strategy for SPXThis is a very simple Bollinger Band strategy with stochastic oscillator added. Main trend is determined by Band breakout while (5,3,3) stochastic crosses is used for additional entries. Alert function is configured as "one alert for any events", so that free users can set up and get alert for every events in the script. The following code segment can be manipulated as your needs, by removing or keeping "//" comment slashes etc. Entries should be above/below the signal bars and 7-8 points should be regarded as first target, trail the left. Good luck !
signal = bbupcross or bbdowncross //or add_long or add_short
Buffett Indicator [Bitcoin Machine]This is the Warren Buffett Indicator, the total market cap relative to the US gross domestic product (GDP). It is also called "Market Cap to GDP Indicator". For the market cap typically the Wilshire 5000 total market cap is used, which is representing the value of all stocks traded in the United States. Tradingview just provides the Wilshire W4500. We can calculate the W5000 by adding the S&P500 to the W4500.
Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator and as pointed by Warren Buffett, the indicator is “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.” It used as a broad way of assessing whether the country’s stock market is overvalued or undervalued, compared to a historical average.
Remark: The Wilshire W4500 and the S&P500 are indices and denoted in "index points" (not USD). The Original Buffett Indicator is using market cap in US-Dollar. So the right scale of the indicator is different to the original one.
Terminal : Important U.S Indices Change (%) DataHello.
This script is a simple U.S Indices Data Terminal.
You can also set the period to look back manually in the menu.
In this way, an idea can be obtained about Major U.S Indices.
Features
Value changes on a percentage basis (%)
Recently, due to increasing interest, the NQNACE index has been added.
Index descriptions are printed on the information panel.
Sentiment NYSE ARCA and AMEX indices added.
Indices
SP1! : S&P 500 Futures Index
DJI : Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
NDX : Nasdaq 100 Index
RUT : Russell 2000 Index
NYA : NYSE Composite Index
OSX : PHLX Oil Service Sector Index
HGX : PHLX Housing Sector Index
UTY : PHLX Utility Sector Index
SOX : PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index
SPSIBI : S&P Biotechnology Select Industry Index
XNG : NYSE ARCA Natural Gas Index
SPGSCI : S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index
XAU : PHLX Gold and Silver Sector Index
SPSIOP : S&P Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Select Industry Index
GDM : NYSE ARCA Gold Miners Index
DRG : NYSE ARCA Pharmaceutical Index
TOB : NYSE ARCA Tobacco Index
DFI : NYSE ARCA Defense Index
NWX : NYSE ARCA Networking Index
XCI : NYSE ARCA Computer Technology
XOI : AMEX Oil Index
XAL : AMEX Airline Index
NQNACE : Nasdaq Yewno North America Cannabis Economy Index
Terminal : USD Based Stock Markets Change (%)Hello.
This script is a simple USD Based Stock Markets Change (%) Data Terminal.
You can also set the period to look back manually in the menu.
In this way, an idea can be obtained about Countries' Stock Markets.
And you can observe the stock exchanges of relatively positive and negative countries from others.
Features
Value changes on a percentage basis (%)
Stock exchange values are calculated in dollar terms.
Due to the advantage of movement, future data were chosen instead of spot values on the required instruments.
Stock Markets
Usa : S&P 500 Futures
Japan: Nikkei 225 Futures
England: United Kingdom ( FTSE ) 100
Australia: Australia 200
Canada: S&P / TSX Composite
Switzerland: Swiss Market Index
New Zealand: NZX 50 Index
China: SSE Composite (000001)
Denmark: OMX Copenhagen 25 Index
Hong-Kong: Hang Seng Index Futures
India: Nifty 50
Norway: Oslo Bors All Share Index
Russia: MOEX Russia Index
Sweden: OMX Stockholm Index
Singapore: Singapore 30
Turkey: BIST 100
South Africa: South Africa Top 40 Index
Spain: IBEX 35
France: CAC 40
Italy: FTSE MIB Index
Netherlands: Netherlands 25
Germany : DAX
Regards.
Trend Follow with 8/34 EMA and Stoch RSI for 1 Hour SPX
The script determines and plots entry points for 1 hour S&P index using 8/34 emas and stochastic RSI. When 8 ema above/below 34 ema up/down crosses of stochastic RSI are considered as long/short entries. Entry prices should be above/below high/low of the signal bars accordingly. Ichimoku cloud can be used as extra filtering.
S&P 5Tracks the 5 largest stocks by market cap in the S&P 500. As of May 2020 they make up 50% of the index
Strategy - Bobo PAPATRHi I've revamped this bot mentioned in the linked idea to make it work with v4 of pine. In doing so there are some very significant changes to how it works. The main one is that it no longer uses traditional daily pivot calculations to calculate the bands. It creates a more dynamic intraday set of pivot points based on recent price action rather than yesterday's ohlc. As published, the bot is tuned for a 15 min time frame. But it actually works well on lower time frames you just need to adjust the lookback periods in settings a bit to re tune it. It's also tuned to ES really but will need tweaking for a different instrument at the very least.
The basic concept is recent price action is used to calculate a 'middle' around which red and green bands are located. Their position or width is largely determined by recent volatility. The middle line is again calculated from recent price action. The three lines from that form a tradeable range with green at the top and red at the bottom. The strategy is simple enough, it shorts as it sinks from outside red, and longs when rising above green. The basic principle being that once you enter that range you have a high probability of hitting the middle before you hit your stop loss. So the basic principle is you are trying to capture the inherent ranginess of liquid indices like S&P 500. That back and forth movement that happens. The bot is capturing this by fading extremes of a recent range but the problem with that is you'dd get murdered in a strong trend. To mitigate that there is a trend calculation running in the background the will prevent trading against firm trends mostly. So the bot should trade mostly in rangy conditions because that is what it is trying to do.
Bot will close issue close signals automatically upon crossing the middle, it also will close automatically at predefined stops or limits. These values are denominated in market mintick values. For example the CFD SPX500 has a mintick of 0.1. Therefore a stop value of 100 will equate to 10 points on the index. If trading the same market via ES1! the mintick value is different - 0.25. So in this case a value of 40 is required to set the stop at 10 points.
Anyway shout if you have questions. Hope it's useful.
TVC:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD
Strategy - Bobo Intraday Swing Bot with filtersThis is an adapted version of my swing bot with additional filters that mean it works quite well on lower timeframes like 1min, 5 mins as long as you adjust the setting accordingly (reduce pivot timescale, band width)
Entry conditions are filtered by an invisible trend calculation running in the background so the bot doesn't repeatedly try and fail to fade a strong trend. It has just about everything you should need for basic use, stop losses and targets, automatically close trade at pivot.
I get good results on rangey instruments like major indices such as SPX / ES that kind of thing. Make sure you understand the minmum tick value of an index so the stop setting on the bot work properly
Hope it's useful!
Relative Strength(RSMK) + Perks - Markos KatsanosIf you are desperately looking for a novel RSI, this isn't that. This is another lesser known novel species of indicator. Hot off the press, in multiple stunning color schemes, I present my version of "Relative Strength (RSMK)" employing PSv4.0, originally formulated by Markos Katsanos for TASC - March 2020 Traders Tips. This indicator is used to compare performance of an asset to a market index of your choosing. I included the S&P 500 index along side the Dow Jones and the NASDAQ indices selectively by an input() in "Settings". You may comparatively analyze other global market indices by adapting the code, if you are skilled enough in Pine to do so.
With this contribution to the Tradingview community, also included is MY twin algorithmic formulation of "Comparative Relative Strength" as a supplementary companion indicator. They are eerily similar, so I decided to include it. You may easily disable my algorithm within the indicator "Settings". I do hope you may find both of them useful. Configurations are displayed above in multiple scenarios that should be suitable for most traders.
As always, I have included advanced Pine programming techniques that conform to proper "Pine Etiquette". For those of you who are newcomers to Pine Script, this script may also help you understand advanced programming techniques in Pine and how they may be utilized in a most effective manner. Utilizing the "Power of Pine", I included the maximum amount of features I could surmise in an ultra small yet powerful package, being less than a 60 line implementation at initial release.
Unfortunately, there are so many Pine mastery techniques included, I don't have time to write about all of them. I will have to let you discover them for yourself, excluding the following Pine "Tricks and Tips" described next. Of notable mention with this release, I have "overwritten" the Pine built-in function ema(). You may overwrite other built-in functions too. If you weren't aware of this Pine capability, you now know! Just heed caution when doing so to ensure your replacement algorithms are 100% sound. My ema() will also accept a floating point number for the period having ultimate adjustability. Yep, you heard all of that properly. Pine is becoming more impressive than `impressive` was originally thought of...
Features List Includes:
Dark Background - Easily disabled in indicator Settings->Style for "Light" charts or with Pine commenting
AND much, much more... You have the source!
The comments section below is solely just for commenting and other remarks, ideas, compliments, etc... regarding only this indicator, not others. When available time provides itself, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and concepts presented below in the comments section, should you have any questions or comments regarding this indicator. When my indicators achieve more prevalent use by TV members, I may implement more ideas when they present themselves as worthy additions. As always, "Like" it if you simply just like it with a proper thumbs up, and also return to my scripts list occasionally for additional postings. Have a profitable future everyone!
Candlesticks ANN for Stock Markets TF : 1WHello, this script consists of training candlesticks with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN).
In addition to the first series, candlesticks' bodies and wicks were also introduced as training inputs.
The inputs are individually trained to find the relationship between the subsequent historical value of all candlestick values 1.(High,Low,Close,Open)
The outputs are adapted to the current values with a simple forecast code.
Once the OHLC value is found, the exponential moving averages of 5 and 20 periods are used.
Reminder : OHLC = (Open + High + Close + Low ) / 4
First version :
Script is designed for S&P 500 Indices,Funds,ETFs, especially S&P 500 Stocks,and for all liquid Stocks all around the World.
NOTE: This script is only suitable for 1W time-frame for Stocks.
The average training error rates are less than 5 per thousand for each candlestick variable. (Average Error < 0.005 )
I've just finished it and haven't tested it in detail.
So let's use it carefully as a supporter.
Best regards !
Extreme VolumeThis indicator colors volume bars that are significantly higher volume than the vol moving average ( SMA ). Utilizes two multiplier that can be adjusted by user. Defaults are that the indicator colors volume bars yellow if 20% higher than average, and orange if over 50% higher than average.
Reason why i created this indicator is i typically don't care about volume unless it is significantly higher than average. I find extreme volume useful for confirmation of a breakout, etc. This is why the rest of the volume bars are gray, they are still available for reference, but I dont pay much attention until volume is higher than average.
Also, when you load this indicator it will be in its own pane below the chart. To try and figure out how to add it to same pane as the chart was a huge pain in the ass. Once you figure it out it is pretty easy. I'll try to explain below...
Next to the indicator name you have the following options ... Hide, Settings, Show Source Code{}, Delete(X), and More (3 dots)
1) Click on "More" (3 dots)
2) Click on "Move To" then chose "Existing Pane Above"
3) Volume will likely be too large. Volume scale should be on left side, use your mouse to adjust volume smaller
4) Volume will likely be in the middle of your chart, click on it and drag it down.
Charles Recession WatchThe “Recession Watch” indicator tracks 7 key economic metrics which have historically preceded US recessions. It provides a real-time indication of incoming recession risk.
This indicator gives a picture of when risk is increasing, and therefore when you might want to start taking some money out of risky assets.
All of the last seven recessions were preceded by a risk score of 3 or higher. Six of them were preceded by a risk score of 4 or higher. Unfortunately data prior to 1965 was inconsistent and prior recessions could not be considered.
Based on the indicator hit rate at successfully flagging recessions over the last 50 years, risk scores have the following approximate probabilities of recession:
- 0-1: Low
- 2: 25% within next 18 months
- 3: 30% within next 12 months
- 4-7: 50% within next 12 months
Note that a score of 3 is not necessarily a cause for panic. After all, there are substantial rewards to be had in the lead up to recessions (averaging 19% following yield curve inversion). For the brave, staying invested until the score jumps to 4+, or until the S&P500 drops below the 200day MA, will likely yield the best returns.
Notes on use:
- use MONTHLY time period only (the economic metrics are reported monthly)
- If you want to view the risk Score (1-7) you need to set your chart axis to "Logarithmic"
Enjoy and good luck!
(JS)S&P 500 Volatility Oscillator For Options 2.0I am going to start taking requests to open source my indicators and they will also be updated to Version 4 of Pinescript.
I added some features to the original code such the ability to smooth the oscillator and select the look back periods for the historical volatility.
Link to original:
Original post:
"The idea for this started here: www.tradingview.com with the user @dime
This should only be used on SPX or SPY (though you could use it on other things for correlation I suppose) given that the instrument used to create this calculation is derived from the S&P 500 (thank you VIX ). There's a lot of moving parts here though, so allow me to explain...
First: The main signal is when Implied Volatility (from VIX ) drops beneath Historical Volatility - which is what you want to see so you aren't purchasing a ton of premium on long options. Green and above 0 means that IV% has dropped lower than Historical Volatility . (this signal, for example, would suggest using a Long Call or Put depending on your sentiment)
Second: The green line running underneath zero is the bottom portion of the "Average True Range" derived from the values used to create the oscillator. the closer the bottom histogram is to the green line, the more "normal" IV% is. Obviously, if this gets far away from the line then it could be setting up nicely to short options and sell the IV premium to someone else. (this signal, for example, would suggest using something like a Bull Put Spread)
Third: The red background along with the white line that drops down below zero signals when (and how far) the IV% from 3 months out (from VIX3M ) is less than the current IV%. This would signal the current environment has IV way too high, a signal to short options once again (and don't take any long option positions!).
Tried to make this simple, yet effective. If you trade options on SPX , SPY , even ES1! futures - this is a tool tailored specifically for you! As I said before, if you want you can use it for correlation on other securities. Any other ideas or suggestions surrounding this, please let me know! Enjoy!
Feb 17, 2019
Release Notes: Cosmetic update for a much cleaner look:
-Replaced the "HIGH IV" with a simlple "H"
-Now the white line is constantly showing you the relationship between VIX and VIX3M - when VIX is greater than VIX3M the background still goes red
-However, now when VIX drops below Historical Volatility, the background is bright green
-When both above are true - it's dark green
-The Average True Range on the bottom is now a series of crosses"
Mega Trend Plus - S&P 500 Trend Follower / Market GaugeFirstly, 100% of the credit goes to Greg Morris @ Stockcharts.com for the article detailing the concept and most of the settings/components. I've simply implemented his idea. I haven't sought permission from him, but given that he was open with the components of the indicator I'm assuming he's happy for me to go ahead and code this in pinescript. See the article here: stockcharts.com
Okay, so this is part of a system/indicator Greg outlined in the article that he calls Trend Gauge. The idea is fairly simple: take a group of indexes that cover the breadth of the market you want to trade, track their relationship/position to their 200 period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and assign scores to bull/bear crosses + relative location to the EMA. Once you've normalized and aggregated the scores you finish up with a trend following indicator that works surprisingly well.
This part is called Mega Trend Plus, and tracks whether an index is above or below its 200 period EMA. I'll be releasing the second part ("Trend Strength") soon. Once that's done I'll combine them to form the full "Trend Gauge" indicator.
I decided to provide the base version that people can then experiment with and tweak to their liking, so Greg's version shown in the article is smoother than the one provided here. It's up to you to play with smoothing options, and potentially tweak the weightings of the various components. Please see the script for info on what the various inputs are - I've added notes there.
So, how does it do? Well, as you can see from the chart above it works pretty well overall. The S&P 500 has been fairly trendy over the last few decades, so it's been prime territory for a system like this. It would have kept you out of the big bear markets (particularly GFC & 2015-16), and that's the goal of any trend-based system. They thrive on how little they lose, not necessarily on how much they make.
As you can see, the indicator is pretty choppy. So it's not designed (in the current configuration) to provide accurate buy/hold/sell signals. It currently functions more as a market gauge / strength indicator.
Hopefully you find this concept interesting. It's simple, but the best systems often are.
Please add comments below if you come up with an interesting configuration or variation.
Let me know if you have any queries.
DD
A.I.Driven TradersAI Model Trades for 20190612The entry and exit levels here are NOT derived from any specific indicator but are coming from our A.I. driven proprietary models.
This is an attempt at exploring the trading community here at TradingView and sharing our daily trading plans published at our site with the community here in the form a Pine Script - just starting and learning this platform. Please help point out any obvious errors or gotchas committed in the scripts. Thanks and have a great trading day!
**** The Trading Plan Published for today ****
>>>> Medium-Frequency Models: <<<<< For today, Wednesday 06/12, our medium-frequency models indicate using the 2895 as a pivot point - opening a long on a break above 2895, and opening a short on a break below 2895 (wait for a close on at least a five minute chart to determine the break), both sides with a 9-point trailing stop.
Note: For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during the regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. By design, these models do NOT open any new positions after 3:45pm. Only one open position at any given time.
>>>>> Aggressive Intraday Models: <<<<< For today, Wednesday 06/12, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 2892 or 2875 with an 6-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 2887 or 2878 with an 8-point trailing stop.
Note: For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. Due to the intraday nature of these aggressive models, they indicate closing any open trades at 3:55pm and remaining flat into the session close. No opening of new positions after 3:45pm. Only one open position at any given time.
Market direction and pullback based on S&P 500.A simple indicator based on www.swing-trade-stocks.com The link is also the guide for how to use it.
0 - nothing. If the indicator is showing 0 for a prolonged amount of time, it is likely the market is in "momentum mode" (referred to in the link above).
1 - indicates an uptrend based on SMA and EMA and also a place where a reversal to the upside is likely to occur. You should look only for long trades in the stock market when you see a spike upwards and S&P 500 is showing an obvious uptrend.
-1 - indicates a downtrend based on SMA and EMA and also a place where a reversal to the downside is likely to occur. You should look only for short trades in the stock market when you see a spike upwards and S&P 500 is showing an obvious uptrend.
@WACC Volatility Weighted PUT/CALL Positions [SPX]This indicator is based on Volatility and Market Sentiment. When volatility is high, and market sentiment is positive, the indicator is in a low or 'buy state'. When volatility is low and market sentiment is poor, the indicator is high.
The indicator uses the VIX as it's volatility input.
The indicator uses the spread between the Call Volume on SPX/SPY and the Put Volume.
This is pulled from CVSPX and PVSPX.
When volatility and put/call reaches a critical level, such as the levels present in a crisis or a sell off, the line will be green. See Sept 2015, 2008, and Feb 2018.
This level can be edited in the source code.
As the indicator is based on Put/Call, the indicator works best on larger time frames as the put/call ratio becomes a more discernible measure of sentiment over time.
SMI-VIX-SPY-NDX-Index
This script offers an SMI index of VIX, SPY, and NDX. Rather than overlaying VIX, NDX and SPY on the same chart.
It's much easier to see the correlation between VIX's price and NDX / SPY price in this manner.
Thanks to Buckkets & William Blau for the TSI smoothing method.
