Pi Cycle Top IndicatorIndicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA not the number of days.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking.
It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. Though in this instance it does so with a high degree of accuracy over the past 7 years.
How It Can Be Used
Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter term moving average, which is the 111 day moving average, has reached a x2 multiple of the 350 day moving average. Historically it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin at this time in Bitcoin's price cycles.
Created By
Philip Swift
TOP-6
Sharktank - Pi Cycle PredictionThe Pi Cycle indicator has called tops in Bitcoin quite accurately. Assuming history repeats itself, knowledge about when it might happen again could benefit you.
The indicator is fairly simple:
- A daily moving average of 350 ("long_ma" in script)
- A daily moving average of 111 ("short_ma" in script)
The value of the long moving average is multiplied by two. This way the longer moving average appears above the shorter one.
When the shorter one (orange colored) crosses above the longer (green colored) one, it could mean the top is in.
These moving averages rise at a certain rate. Using these rates we could try to estimate a possible crossover moment. That's exactly what this indicator does! It gives the user a prediction of when a crossover might happen.
Special thanks to:
- Ninorigo, for making his indicator public. This one uses his as a starting point.
- The_Caretaker, for coming up with this idea about calling a top. Yet, his is more price-based, this one is more time-based.
UNI Top Cap [jcray]Top cap indicator for UNI, the Uniswap Protocol token. Modified from BTC Top Cap by aamonkey
Comparison (Malaysia Index & Sector)This is just a simple tool for convenient to compare and showing a clear image of all sector and index in Malaysia. They are just in one indicator. From this indicator, you can predict momentum of each sector in Malaysia, which is currently in bull or bear trend.
STRUCTURE
In the setting, the first line with the option of the following index (Malaysia Index) :
1. FBMKLCI
2. FTSEMYX:FBMSCAP
3. FTSEMYX:FBMACE
4. FTSEMYX:FBM70
5. FTSEMYX:FBMT100
6. FTSEMYX:FBMFLG
7. FTSEMYX:FBMEMAS
8. FTSEMYX:FA40
9. FTSEMYX:FBMMSCS
10. FTSEMYX:FBMAPMYR
11. FTSEMYX:FBMMSCAP
The rest of lines is all of the following sector (Malaysia Sector):
1. Technology
2. Telecommunication
3. Health
4. Consumer Product
5. Industrial Product
6. Construction
7. Property
8. Plantation
9. Utilities
10. Transportation
11. Energy
12. REIT
13. Finance
The last line (Line 15) is provided for other stock/index which is not available in option to manually fill.
All sector and index price are smoothen by Moving Average (MA). The default moving average is Relative Moving Average (RMA) which is used in Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) Oscillator. But the range is different from RSI , it is from -100 to 100 instead of 0 to 100. In the end, result and interpretation are just the same as RSI . Green area indicates oversold area, while red area is overbought.
Other choice of Moving Averages are available to change.
The problem of putting all together is the script may take longer to process. It is just for convenient use.
Bottom-Up or Top-Down Invest?
Catch the Big FishVolume based script to catch a big move. Works best on 5 min timeframe.
The default sma duration for volume is set to 150 = number of candles in 5 mins timeframe for 2 days.
Heavy volume is defined as = more than 9 times of sma.
Both parameters are configurable.
Trading strategy: Long buy at high / Short sell at low of the candle where the script gives the signal.
Important note regarding SL - for Long / Short positions respectively, the SL should be placed at low / high of previous candle, and NOT of the same candle.
RSI Call-outs [BigBitsIO]This is a simple RSI indicator that overlays the current chart to show labels for specified oversold and overbought areas defined with inputs.
It will delete any labels of the same kind within the last 3 candles so you don't see as many labels as you would otherwise.
Red labels with white text represent overbought RSI levels as defined by the user.
Green labels with black test represent oversold RSI levels as defined by the user.
This RSI overlay help easily call-out overbought and oversold candles on a chart without sacrificing screen space for a traditional RSI indicator that is not overlayed on the chart.
MACD Divergence Tops + BottomsMACD Indicator which plots local peaks and troughs in divergence.
"Classic" Divergence is specified as:
- A higher price, with reduced MACD high --> Potential Sell Point
- A lower price, with higher MACD low --> Potential Buy Point
"Alternative" Divergence is specified as:
- A higher MACD high, with reduced price --> Potential Sell Point
- A lower MACD low, with higher price --> Potential Buy Point
MACD Divergence should be used in combination with other indicators. This indicator identifies local tops and bottoms, with potential for macro trend shifts.
Golden Ratio Fibonacci Multipliers Top Detector [UO]Fibonacci levels that show the critical top and bottom levels. There is no way to miss the top and bottom. And a top detector.
Also the most important SMA lines (SMA 50, 200), EMA21. Those are the most frequently used lines by traders.
This indicator is based on the work of www.tradingview.com
His work set me thinking. Could I also see the bottom using Fibonacci numbers? Yes, of course.
My favorite timeframes with this indicator are 6H, 1D, 3D.
Intensively used for BTC and BNB. And useful for any other coin.
Top Cap [aamonkey]Historically matched market tops for BTC.
It's the Average Cap (see my other indicator) multiplied by 35.
The default settings are for BTC.
If you want to test this indicator on another chart you have to change the launch date settings (and maybe play around with the multiplier).
Some Interesting Launch dates:
- BTC: 3 JAN 2009
- ETH: 30. JUL 2015
- LTC: 7. OCT 2011
Stoch_BBW_invTop signal: reaches -100 when the color is yellow
Bottom signal: reaches -100 when the color is red
This script calculate a stochastic oscillator of BBW, and defines a top and a bottom as its highest in N bars.
TOP & BOTTOM Cycle [aamonkey]Works best on BTC and only on the daily timeframe!
This is a TOP / BOTTOM indicator for big market cycles.
These tops and bottoms are based on the difference between the 200MA on the daily and the price.
Tops & Bottoms FinderIntroduction
I already shared a method to estimate tops and bottoms (1), the number of parameters could lead to optimization issues so i tried to make a simpler method. In this method i use a simple rescaling method based on individual direction deviation. I will explain further details below.
The Indicator
I use as source for the entire calculation an exponential moving average, the first reaction to this choice would be to think that i wanted to filter signals in order to reduce them, but the truth is that i wanted to have more signals instead, this is because the first calculations involving standard deviations are based on price direction, so by using a smooth input we can get more persistent values in a and b , but its totally up to you to use whatever you want in a , just take into account that less smooth = less signals, this is why i used this calculation process.
a = close and length = 7
a = least squares moving average and length = 25
So you could use pretty much everything you want as input.
Conclusion
The accuracy of such indicators is still relatively low but i presented a way to estimate tops and bottoms without using highest/lowest or differencing thus creating a totally new approach. I encourage you to experiment with it and share your results. If you learned something with this post then i'am happy :)
Notes
Based on several complaints i will have to leave even sooner, i think the 7 of June will be a good day, so if you need something i encourage you to ask me now. With the hope you can understand.
Thanks for reading !
(1)
pipe_finder. Reversal Indicator for Pipe Top & Bottom Patterns.Simple indicator to find pipe bottom and top patterns.
Definition:
- Pipe Bottom:
- Positive Difference from Open and Close is greater than the average thickness of the last "x" candles multiplied by sensitivity "y"
- The previous candle is red and the current candle is green
- Trend Definition - (Trend for EMA length 'z" has a slope less than 0 or pointed downwards)
- The average of the current and previous candle's volume is greater than the average volume for the last "n" candles.
- Pipe Top:
- Positive Difference from Open and Close is greater than the average thickness of the last "x" candles multiplied by sensitivity "y"
- The previous candle is green and the current candle is red
- Trend Definition - (Trend for EMA length 'z" has a slope greater than 0 or pointed upwards)
- The average of the current and previous candle's volume is greater than the average volume for the last "n" candles.
Settings:
Sensitivity: How thick do the pipe candles have to be? (Greater sensitivity = more alerts)
Candle Thickness Average Period: The number of past candles used for measuring the average body size of candlestick.
Filter EMA Length: Length of the EMA used to filter between bull trends and bear trends.
Volume EMA Length: Length of the volume EMA.
PorcupineDisplays "spike days" by colouring the bars (Default: yellow for a Spike High and blue for a Spike Low)
Spike Day's definition taken from Jack D Schwager's Book: A Complete Guide to the Futures Market: Technical Analysis, Trading Systems, Fundamental Analysis, Options, Spreads, and Trading Principles
A spike is:
A wide difference between the spike high and the highs of the preceding and succeeding days.
A close near the low of the day's range.
A substantial price advance preceding the spike's formation.
The more extreme each of these conditions, the greater the likelihood that a spike high will prove to be an important relative high or even a major top.
(inverse is true for lows, basically)
Enjoy!
Tops/BottomsUsing Modified code from Lazybear's CVI 0.17% indicator and some logic, this script can help identify value buy and sell opportunities at a very early phase. Best used as a confirmation tool. This is a beta, so use it as such. Enjoy.
Sometimes "top" indications in an uptrend mean to look for an opportunity to add to position while "bottom" indications during a downtrend can represent the same thing. The trend is your friend, use it to your advantage!
Red star above bar == potential top
Green star below bar == potential bottom
MACD Divergence MultiTimeFrame [FantasticFox]This is a MACD divergence on 3 time-frames, 1h, 4h and 1D.
Please insert the indicator into a 1h chart, otherwise change the lengths' inputs.
you will see H1,H2, H3, R1, R2 and R3 in green and maroon colors.
H means hidden divergence, 1 regards to 1h, 2 to 4h, and 3 to 1D. If the color is green, its bullish, and if its maroon the divergence is bearish.
Gray circles on 4h macd is for those traders who want to check the confirmation on Elliott wave changes.
*Thanks to RicardoSantos MACD divergence.
Spinning TopsThis is my script for a spinning top. It is just another form of a doji. It is an indecision bar. Enjoy.
UCS_Top & Bottom CandleThis is an experimental Indicator based on Momentum. Picks the Top & Bottom Candle for most Swing. Please post your opinion or suggestion to improve this indicator.
I have not back tested this completely. This is recently developed Indicator.
