Idee operative BTCUSDT.5S
trendline broken Despite BTC price not respecting the target and POI levels as well as it usually does, it still confirmed the analysis, which led me to keep a positive outlook on the strategy. The bullish trendline was broken on Sunday, November 24th, at 98,500, after reaching the last all-time high at 99,588 USDT (since the past week saw a new ATH every day). The recovery was mandatory, even though at this point, I was honestly convinced we would reach the psychological 100K, with stronger buying strength. Another point in favor of this view was the high liquidation zone between 99.9K and 100K (just a $100 range, the 0.1001% increment needed).
Now, let’s quickly review the analysis output. We already looked at the behavior at 86.5K (0.27 Monthly target and 0.618 Weekly), which was corrected to 88.5K due to liquidation and volume dynamics. This level was respected but not perfectly. The first leg up closed around 89K, followed by a pullback that closed the second leg at 92.5K (0.27 target on the 4H timeframe). A second pullback then restored the price to the 86.5K–88K range. Since November 12th, a new fork from the original trendline emerged due to momentum changes. The first bullish movement on the 4H timeframe was extinguished by reaching a new ATH at 93.2K. On the daily timeframe, the last leg up had a final target between 98.5K and 99K. This level was highly respected, with a double top, no higher high, and a trend reversal. Practically speaking, many positions were liquidated between 99K and 99.5K.
The final target to evaluate is 96K, the short-term take profit on a daily basis. Two main points: The market strongly recovered on November 21st due to inefficiency left behind and was respected in the bearish trend from Sunday, November 24th, to now.
In conclusion: The post-halving targets were reached but strongly broken, and my strategy focuses on identifying POI and POL zones, not simple targets. In other words, I expect more price action in the areas we’ve identified. We must adjust the analysis as quickly as news and changes in dynamics or politics arise. In this case, the hype created after and during the US elections should have led us to move the target closer to the new liquidity cluster. The analysis was respected by the price action (by “respected,” I mean that what we thought would happen is actually happening or almost happening), but to identify more precise areas and targets, adjustments need to be made with the right momentum.
Both trendlines were broken. On a monthly basis, we are still bullish unless BTC falls below 62K. In the short term, we are retracing right now, having broken two uptrend trendlines and forming a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe. Several inefficiencies and liquidity clusters remain above. I believe BTC is consolidating before starting the real rally to altcoin season!
Last updated target analysis will arrive soon!!!
BTC sempre rialzistaIl prezzo del BTC rimbalza più volte sulla linea di tendenza rialzista con regolarità, dimostrando la forza del supporto. Inoltre, il prezzo è rimbalzato su un SIBI per riprendere la salita. I movimenti di rimbalzo dentro e fuori dal RSI confermano una tendenza rialzista costante.
BTC 88kQuesta fase lunga consolidamento è abbastanza complessa, forma un canale dove nel suo reang trova diverse chiusure di gradi ode diversi.
Il primo massimo quello che rimane attualmente il massimo storico va chiudere con una onda 3 di grado minuto.
La 3 di grado più alto minore, si va chiudere quasi sul massimino formando onda 5 (minuto) chiudendo la 3 minore formando cosi un oda 5 troncata.
Di conseguenza essendo che il range del canale mantiene i prezzi schiacciati va a formare anche l'onda di grado più alto delle seguenti cioè 5 intermedia su un livello sempre più basso dei gradi più bassi seguenti.
Da inizio anno e uscito ETF che pompato il prezzo formando la 3 minore, con i sui sotto grati (minuto ed minuetto) in esplosione di acquisiti "massimi non più tocat"
L'onda 3intermadia non riesce chiudere sopra la 5 minore precedente, e chiude tutto il ciclo di grado minore
Ora dopo più di 200 giorni in questo range di 20.000$ sul tocco del canale si è concluso un bel ciclo impulsino di gradi minuto, formando un onda 1 e una ipotetica 2 di grado minore più elevato.
Questa 2 porta una bella correzione del 50% di fib, da ha il target di grado intermedio ed minore a un livello di 88k
Per concludere si capisce che secondo me dopo questa lunga fase di congestione è arrivata l'ora dei 88k