买在哀鸿遍野，卖在人声鼎沸！认知层面的投资第一堂课

l’altro ieri

买在哀鸿遍野，卖在人声鼎沸，炮火中挺进，烟花中撤退，大家恐惧我贪婪，大家贪婪我恐惧。喜绿爱跌、愁红恨涨、追跌杀涨、买阴卖阳，这些都是认知层面的投资第一堂课


上证综合指数（沪指）在不同时间周期下的**供需关系**，结合供需区间和K线走势可以进行分析。以下是详细解读：

1. **供需关系基础理解**
- **绿色区域**代表**需求区**（支撑区域）：价格在这些区域附近有较强的买入意愿，通常会反弹。
- **红色区域**代表**供给区**（压力区域）：价格接近这些区域时，会遇到较强的卖出压力，可能回落。
- 通过这些区域可以判断价格反转的潜在区域，并结合K线形态验证供需力量的平衡或失衡。

2. **各周期供需分析**
**5分钟图（左上角）**
- 价格下跌后反弹，目前接近短期供给区（红色区域）。
- 说明短期卖压较强，如果价格未能突破供给区，则可能回落。

**15分钟图（上中）**
- 同样显示一个较强的供给区，价格接近此区域后遇阻下跌。
- 需求区（绿色区域）在更低的位置起到支撑作用。
**1小时图（上右中）**
- 价格在供给区附近回落，体现出卖方力量主导。
- 下方需求区有支撑，短期内可能震荡。

**2小时图（右上）**
- 价格接近长期供给区后再次回落，显示出更强的卖压。
- 下方需求区分布较大，价格支撑的力度更强。

**4小时图（左下角）**
- 价格在供需平衡中波动，短期内需求区提供支撑，反弹动能较弱。

**日线图（中下）**
- 日线显示出价格正在触及供需平衡点。
- 如果需求区支撑有效，价格有望在此区域反弹。

**周线图（下右中）**
- 价格反弹遇到供给区，显示出较强的卖压。
- 下方需求区支撑仍然有效，长期走势需要关注多空力量平衡。

**月线图（右下角）**
- 大级别月线图显示长期供给区压力较大。
- 下方需求区则表现为关键支撑区域，说明中长期需要积累动能突破压力区。

3. **总结与建议**
- **短期策略**：价格在5分钟和15分钟图供给区遇阻，短线回调概率较高，需关注需求区的支撑情况。
- **中期策略**：1小时到4小时图供需平衡区显示多空力量相对均衡，可等待突破方向。
- **长期策略**：日线、周线及月线级别显示长期供给区压力较强，投资者需关注需求区的反弹力度以及未来量能配合情况。
Buy in the midst of widespread grief, sell in the midst of a clamor of people, advance in the midst of gunfire, retreat in the midst of fireworks, everyone is afraid but I am greedy, everyone is greedy but I am afraid. I like green and love falling, I hate red and hate rising, I chase falling and kill rising, I buy Yin and sell Yang, these are the first lessons of investment at the cognitive level

This technical analysis chart shows the **supply and demand relationship** of the **Shanghai Composite Index** (Shanghai Stock Index) in different time periods, which can be analyzed by combining the supply and demand range and the K-line trend. The following is a detailed interpretation:

1. **Basic understanding of supply and demand relationship**

- **Green areas** represent **demand areas** (support areas): Prices have a strong willingness to buy near these areas and usually rebound.

- **Red areas** represent **supply areas** (pressure areas): When prices approach these areas, they will encounter strong selling pressure and may fall back.

- Through these areas, the potential areas for price reversal can be judged, and the balance or imbalance of supply and demand forces can be verified by combining the K-line pattern.

2. **Supply and demand analysis of each cycle**
**5-minute chart (upper left corner)**
- After the price fell, it rebounded and is currently close to the short-term supply area (red area).
- It shows that the short-term selling pressure is strong. If the price fails to break through the supply area, it may fall back.

**15-minute chart (upper middle)**
- It also shows a strong supply area. The price encounters resistance and falls after approaching this area.
- The demand area (green area) plays a supporting role at a lower position.
**1-hour chart (upper right middle)**
- The price fell back near the supply area, reflecting the dominant force of sellers.
- There is support in the demand area below, and it may fluctuate in the short term.

**2-hour chart (upper right)**
- After the price approaches the long-term supply area, it fell again, showing stronger selling pressure.
- The demand area below is larger, and the price support is stronger.

**4-hour chart (lower left corner)**
- The price fluctuates in the balance of supply and demand. The demand area provides support in the short term, and the rebound momentum is weak.

**Daily chart (lower middle)**
- The daily chart shows that the price is reaching the balance point of supply and demand.
- If the demand zone support is effective, the price is expected to rebound in this area.

**Weekly chart (lower right middle)**
- The price rebound encounters the supply zone, showing strong selling pressure.
- The support of the lower demand zone is still effective, and the long-term trend needs to pay attention to the balance of long and short forces.

**Monthly chart (lower right corner)**
- The large-scale monthly chart shows that the long-term supply zone has greater pressure.
- The lower demand zone is a key support area, indicating that it is necessary to accumulate momentum to break through the pressure zone in the medium and long term.

3. **Summary and suggestions**
- **Short-term strategy**: The price encounters resistance in the supply zone of the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, and the probability of short-term correction is high. It is necessary to pay attention to the support of the demand zone.
- **Medium-term strategy**: The supply and demand balance zone of the 1-hour to 4-hour chart shows that the long and short forces are relatively balanced, and the breakthrough direction can be waited for.
- **Long-term strategy**: Daily, weekly and monthly levels show that the long-term supply zone has strong pressure. Investors need to pay attention to the rebound strength of the demand zone and the future volume coordination.

Through the above analysis of **supply and demand relationship**, the potential price trend can be comprehensively judged by combining trading volume, K-line pattern and market momentum. For traders, the supply and demand area is an important support and pressure point, which helps to optimize entry and exit strategies.

通过以上**供需关系**的分析，可以结合成交量、K线形态和市场动能综合判断价格的潜在走势。对于交易者来说，供需区域是重要的支撑和压力点，有助于优化入场和出场策略。