AMD is currently trading near 114-115, moving within an ascending channel. The stock is facing resistance at 115.55, which aligns with a gamma resistance zone. If buyers push it past this level, AMD could test 116-120, but failure to hold support could lead to a move back toward 110 or lower.
📌 Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover—momentum is weakening. * Stoch RSI: Near oversold (31.96), meaning downside may be limited. * Volume Profile: Heavy trading volume around 114-115, meaning price could consolidate before its next move.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment 🔹 Call Walls (Resistance): * 115.55-116.11: Short-term resistance; needs momentum to break. * 120: Highest call resistance—bulls must sustain a breakout.
🔹 Put Walls (Support): * 110: Strong put support; if broken, could trigger downside to 108-105. * 105: Critical support—bears need volume to push below.
🔹 Options Sentiment: * IVR: 9 (low implied volatility—potential for a breakout). * Call Open Interest: 28.6% – Bullish positioning is growing.
❌ Bearish Setup: * If AMD fails at 115 and breaks below 113, expect a move toward 110-108. * Ideal entry: Below 113, stop-loss above 115. * Profit targets: 110, 108, 105.
Probability Estimate for AMD’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 115.55 (Targets 116-120) Scenario Probability (%): 50% Reasoning: AMD is in an ascending channel, meaning bulls are still in control. • Needs strong volume to break through 115.55-116 levels. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 113-115.55) | 35% | - Volume profile suggests heavy trading activity around 114-115, meaning price may consolidate.
* MACD suggests weak momentum, signaling possible chop before a breakout. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 113 (Targets 110-105) | 15% | - Bearish MACD crossover signals weakening momentum.
* If 113 fails, expect downside toward 110-105. |
Final Thoughts * AMD needs to break 115.55 to continue higher toward 116-120. * If 113 fails, selling pressure could increase, pushing price to 110-105. * IVR is low, meaning options are cheap, but also suggests low volatility.
🔹 Best Trading Plan: * Bullish Play: Look for a breakout above 115.55 → target 116-120. * Bearish Play: Watch for rejection at 115.55 or a break below 113 → target 110-105.
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade with proper risk management.
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Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.