AVGO Earnings Signal | 2025-12-11
Primary Recommendation: BUY PUTS
Conviction: 55% (Low–Medium)
Reason: Katy AI shows consistent bearish pressure despite composite model suggesting calls.
🧠 Why PUTS? (Key Evidence)
Katy AI Prediction
Predicts 0.5%–1.2% downside into the next session
85% of 420 predictions are below current price
Multiple targets near $400–401
Overbought technicals + bearish intraday momentum
Technical Setup
Current price: $405.5
Daily range: $394–$414 (trading near top)
Stochastics: 95+ (extremely overbought)
Light volume = weak support at highs
Options Flow & IV
PCR: 1.13 → mild put bias
IV: 150–210% → earnings volatility extremely high
OTM puts show unusual activity
💰 Trade Setup
Instrument: AVGO 400 PUT
Expiry: 12/12 (1-day)
Entry: $6.05 – $6.15
Target 1: $9.08
Target 2: $12.10
Stop Loss: $4.84
Position Size: 2% portfolio (high-risk)
Risk Level: 🔴 HIGH
⚠️ Risk Notes
1-day expiry → extreme theta decay
Earnings → binary outcome
Composite model shows CALL, but Katy AI + technicals favor PUT
IV crush will be severe after earnings
📝 Quick Summary
Overbought AVGO + bearish Katy AI + high IV + weak volume → short-term downside probability higher.
PUTS are the asymmetric play, but risk is high.
Primary Recommendation: BUY PUTS
Conviction: 55% (Low–Medium)
Reason: Katy AI shows consistent bearish pressure despite composite model suggesting calls.
🧠 Why PUTS? (Key Evidence)
Katy AI Prediction
Predicts 0.5%–1.2% downside into the next session
85% of 420 predictions are below current price
Multiple targets near $400–401
Overbought technicals + bearish intraday momentum
Technical Setup
Current price: $405.5
Daily range: $394–$414 (trading near top)
Stochastics: 95+ (extremely overbought)
Light volume = weak support at highs
Options Flow & IV
PCR: 1.13 → mild put bias
IV: 150–210% → earnings volatility extremely high
OTM puts show unusual activity
💰 Trade Setup
Instrument: AVGO 400 PUT
Expiry: 12/12 (1-day)
Entry: $6.05 – $6.15
Target 1: $9.08
Target 2: $12.10
Stop Loss: $4.84
Position Size: 2% portfolio (high-risk)
Risk Level: 🔴 HIGH
⚠️ Risk Notes
1-day expiry → extreme theta decay
Earnings → binary outcome
Composite model shows CALL, but Katy AI + technicals favor PUT
IV crush will be severe after earnings
📝 Quick Summary
Overbought AVGO + bearish Katy AI + high IV + weak volume → short-term downside probability higher.
PUTS are the asymmetric play, but risk is high.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
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Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.