- The market trades inside a slightly bearish channel, which took place following a 6-months bullish trend that sent prices to a new all-time high above 73K. This consolidation started in March 2024, comes as a correction of the underlying bullish trend so far.
- However, with this week's new sell-off, Bitcoin is testing a key short-term support sell-off around $55,250.00 (38.2% Fibonacci). Both mid-term moving averages are dangerously reversing, and the RSI indicator evolves inside its oversold zone.
- All these bearish technical signs piling up tend to keep investors cautious on the short-term basis. The market has registered a new market bottom for the first time since the long-term bullish trend started, and a failure to clear the $58,000 level very quickly could dramatically affect market sentiment on this asset by triggering a reversal double top pattern.
On the other hand, until prices break the $55,250.00 level, the consolidation scenario should still be seen as the most likely. Indeed, some bullish divergences registered by the two last market bottom on a H4 timescale, tend to support this case. In this configuration, a rebound over the current zone to the upper bound of the channel as a first target, should be the preferred scenario.
Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades
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