Bitcon long term prediction model S2F
Model for next two halvenings
HALVENING May 2020
1.80% Inflation rate
Next BTC overextension - 2022
>100K vs USD
2 Trillion USD Marketcap is needed for this to happen.
HALVENING 2024
0.9% inflation rate
Next BTC overextension - 2026
10 - 20 Trillion USD Marketcap = 500K - 1M USD
About $15 trillion of government bonds worldwide trade at negative yields.
In the next two years (2022) that amount needs to expand to cover for all the debt that accured during the expansion.
Today we would need 15% of that debt to seek refuge in BTC, which is the requirement for 100K USD per BTC
We would need 100 Trillion USD in negative interest rates until 2022 and just 1% of that in btc for same 100K per BTC
I don't think all of this money will come from negative interest rates bonds.
BTC showed us that it is quite capable in cannibalizing other markets.
HALVENING May 2020
1.80% Inflation rate
Next BTC overextension - 2022
>100K vs USD
2 Trillion USD Marketcap is needed for this to happen.
HALVENING 2024
0.9% inflation rate
Next BTC overextension - 2026
10 - 20 Trillion USD Marketcap = 500K - 1M USD
About $15 trillion of government bonds worldwide trade at negative yields.
In the next two years (2022) that amount needs to expand to cover for all the debt that accured during the expansion.
Today we would need 15% of that debt to seek refuge in BTC, which is the requirement for 100K USD per BTC
We would need 100 Trillion USD in negative interest rates until 2022 and just 1% of that in btc for same 100K per BTC
I don't think all of this money will come from negative interest rates bonds.
BTC showed us that it is quite capable in cannibalizing other markets.
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