BTCUSD Trend-based Fibonacci Extension

22 gen 2021

When it broke above 20k plus, 35k was the target. It was hit, overshot (went even higher to 40-ish) and then corrected.

The good news is that if bullish trend continues we might see 53-54k soon.
The bad news is that if correction continues we might see 22-23k soon (28% down from here).
If you are a buy-and-holder then I guess just news (neither good nor bad).

If these levels are correct (and happens) then the risk-reward is around 3:1
Everyone's risk tolerance is different but 3:1 is not a bad ratio.

Personally I had more success riding an already upward trend (recent 7k, 11k, 21k with strong confirmations and higher-high, higher-lows) and miss out on some early gains than to bottom fish and catch the lows. So I would enter at these levels only on short-term trades (for example higher-highs, higher-lows on hourly chart/bars).

I expect some notable support at those 20k level (not to mention it's a round number psychological level).
But if that breaks too then maybe more downside may be coming.

We'll see

14 feb 2021

Trade attivo

trade still on (at least for weekly horizon)

27 feb 2021

Trade chiuso: obiettivo raggiunto

54k was reached and corrected
next station is around 73k

14 mar 2021

Nota

next target is 73k

2 mag 2021

Nota

If it stays above 54k then chances of 73k soon is possible.

With that said ETH still has relatively strength but BTC doing that will support the whole market upward.

4 mag 2021

Nota

54k is looking good so far. it might still take time but it's not getting beaten down easily

22 mag 2021

Trade attivo

54k was line on the sandbox, when that was broken downside continued
if it consolidates around 34k (plus minus few thousands) then it's finding good foundation before resuming up
below the 30k low then more downside maybe coming

3 set 2021

Trade attivo

Let's see if the 54k rejection comes - if not then we're off to 74k