Let's make this really simple:
Based on the weekly range the range low is at 25.937$ and #btc currently is trading below. Bulls need a daily close above that line in the sand otherwise it would increasingly look like a bearish retest pointing south.
Weekly supports at 24.316$, 21.830$ and 19.291$.
Monthly support at 23.300$.
There's strong confluence around that level with a long standing trendline I expect not to be broken without fundamentally negative news.
My current best guess:
1. Back up into the range making this a deviation.
2. Local top around range mid-point.
3. Sideways and bleeding out from there.
4. Strong bounce around monthly support / trendline.