BTCUSD - D1/H4 - WHY I REMAIN BEARISH ?
A lot of my followers asked me recently... why I was so bearish ?
I will try to "justify" my bearish view in looking today, at the daily and at the 4 hours time frames, which, for me, both of them are quite
representative of the recent and current price action which is likely to trigger further downside move towards the 60'000 at least if some important support levels
were to be broken on a daily closing basis !!!
DAILY
Under the pressure of a RSI bearish divergence confirmed a couple days ago which is also showing a double top formation in progress, which is for the time being, of course,
still quite far away of its trigger level @ 56'425 !
In addition, the global picture is also showing a rising wedge pattern in progress, with its support line, which also coincides with the important D1 cluster level (currently @ 62'700).
Last daily closing level was below TS & conversion line and should be seen as the first warning signal for further downside which would be confirmed by ongoing closing level below TS or better
below the pivot support level @ 62'700.
Confirmation of the rising wedge downside breakout (@ 62'700) would give a technical target of 52'000 which is also currently the daily clouds bottom support level !!!
4 HOURS
The double top target (@ 63'000) has already been filled in this time frame; it has been followed by a pullback attempt which has been, so far, rejected by all three major resistances !!!
Currently under pressure, slightly below the H4 clouds support zone.
RSI below 50
Failure to quickly recover above MBB (currently @ 64'945) should open the door for former recent bottom @ 62'300 and then 61'700 (very minor uptrend line support level) ahead of the psychological
60'000 level or even potentially lower.
CONCLUSION :
D1 :
Levels to watch, on a daily closing basis, are the following :
R1 : 64'550
S1 : 62'700
A daily close either above or below one of the level above mentioned should trigger a roughly 4'500 points.
Have a great weekend and may your long goes up and your short goes down
Do you like my analysis ?
If yes, please do not forget :
1) to like it
2) to add Ironman8848 on your following list
that will be great :-)
Many thanks in advance.
All the best and take care.
Ironman8848
I will try to "justify" my bearish view in looking today, at the daily and at the 4 hours time frames, which, for me, both of them are quite
representative of the recent and current price action which is likely to trigger further downside move towards the 60'000 at least if some important support levels
were to be broken on a daily closing basis !!!
DAILY
Under the pressure of a RSI bearish divergence confirmed a couple days ago which is also showing a double top formation in progress, which is for the time being, of course,
still quite far away of its trigger level @ 56'425 !
In addition, the global picture is also showing a rising wedge pattern in progress, with its support line, which also coincides with the important D1 cluster level (currently @ 62'700).
Last daily closing level was below TS & conversion line and should be seen as the first warning signal for further downside which would be confirmed by ongoing closing level below TS or better
below the pivot support level @ 62'700.
Confirmation of the rising wedge downside breakout (@ 62'700) would give a technical target of 52'000 which is also currently the daily clouds bottom support level !!!
4 HOURS
The double top target (@ 63'000) has already been filled in this time frame; it has been followed by a pullback attempt which has been, so far, rejected by all three major resistances !!!
Currently under pressure, slightly below the H4 clouds support zone.
RSI below 50
Failure to quickly recover above MBB (currently @ 64'945) should open the door for former recent bottom @ 62'300 and then 61'700 (very minor uptrend line support level) ahead of the psychological
60'000 level or even potentially lower.
CONCLUSION :
D1 :
Levels to watch, on a daily closing basis, are the following :
R1 : 64'550
S1 : 62'700
A daily close either above or below one of the level above mentioned should trigger a roughly 4'500 points.
Have a great weekend and may your long goes up and your short goes down
Do you like my analysis ?
If yes, please do not forget :
1) to like it
2) to add Ironman8848 on your following list
that will be great :-)
Many thanks in advance.
All the best and take care.
Ironman8848
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