The chart displays Bitcoin’s technical analysis against Tether (BTC/USDT) on a daily timeframe, along with key price levels, trendlines, and indicators. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis:
1. Descending Triangle Formation: - The red descending resistance line connects lower highs since early in the chart, indicating a bearish trend where each rally is met with selling pressure. - The green ascending support line connects higher lows, showing that buyers are stepping in at higher levels. The two trendlines form a descending triangle pattern, which typically signals potential downward continuation, though a breakout in either direction is possible.
2. Resistance and Support Levels: - The red resistance line has been tested twice recently (highlighted by the two green circles), and Bitcoin has been rejected near this level both times, suggesting strong resistance. - Key Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn on the chart, indicating potential support and resistance points: - 61.8% Fibonacci Level (~64,309 USD): This key retracement level aligns with a strong resistance zone just above the current price, making it a crucial area for a breakout. - 50% Fibonacci Level (~60,532 USD): This acts as a potential support if the price falls from current levels. - 38.2% Fibonacci Level (~56,618 USD): A lower support level in case of a breakdown.
3. Volume Analysis (VRVP): - Volume Profile (VRVP) shows volume concentration at specific price levels. A large volume is clustered around the 65,396 USD mark, where much of the trading activity occurred, indicating a strong area of interest for traders. - The volume bars at the bottom of the chart show a relatively consistent volume, but there’s no significant spike, suggesting that a major move or breakout might still be pending.
4. Key Levels: - Current Price: Around 63,928 USD (Ask), close to a resistance zone around 64,000 USD. The price is currently fluctuating near a critical decision point — a breakout above this level could open the way for further bullish movement. - Maximum Resistance (~73,787 USD): Marked on the chart, this represents the highest potential resistance. - Support Levels: Lower support levels are around 60,000 USD and 56,000 USD, which align with the Fibonacci levels and could act as strong areas for buyers if the price retraces.
5. Bearish Divergence Potential: - The rejection at the red descending resistance line and the failure to make higher highs can signal weakness. Without a breakout above the descending trendline, the chart leans bearish.
Conclusion: - Bitcoin is currently testing a major resistance level near 64,000 USD. If it successfully breaks above the descending triangle and resistance trendline, it could push toward the next significant resistance levels around 65,396 USD and potentially up to 73,787 USD. - However, failure to break out could lead to a correction down to key support levels like 60,500 USD or 56,600 USD, in line with Fibonacci retracement levels. - The market is at a crucial decision point, and a breakout or breakdown from this triangle pattern will likely define the next trend direction.
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