Bearish continuation: bear flag

29 mag

Chart description:
- Expect (at least) one more low to be made.
- Finished ABC
- Potential 2 short setup with conservative targets laid out in the chart.
- Expect a minimum 1fib extension target to be reached.

30 mag

Nota

Could already partially close this short. C-wave (miniscule) looks almost completed. RSI(1h) shows some 5th wave divergence. Price will most likely move a bit lower towards $ 0.01567 and then move upwards for a b-wave.

30 mag

Nota

Counting 5 waves up. Waiting for confirmation, expect a pullback to the 0.5-0.618fib before continue higher.

30 mag

Nota

divergence got invalidated. still pushing higher.

30 mag

Nota

Divergence MACD(5m) still remains. RSI(5m) trend break, channel break, and MACD(15m) crossing would give me a reasonable indication that we're starting a consolidation for a ABC(wxy) retracement. As the prior move down was a c-wave, I'm expecting this entire move to become a zigzag.

30 mag

Nota

Relabelled ew count. 5min chart sometimes hard to read.

31 mag

Nota

Expect retracement to hit 0.764-0.854fib lvl before moving impulsive up.

31 mag

Nota

Idea still remains, still expect a b-wave (c-wave to finish).

31 mag

Nota

Update Bitcoin v0.6.

31 mag

Nota

**correction 'label: this structure is not impulsive' in bitcoin chart can be identified as a leading diagonal, see invalidation lvl in chart.

1 giu

Nota

Double top, potential short setup.

1 giu

Nota

RR 3.36

1 giu

Nota

Update Bitcoin v0.6.1.

1 giu

Nota

Bullish alternative for Bitcoin. Keeping it simple.

1 giu

Nota

Target reached

1 giu

Nota

This is the most rewarding short, RR 17.17 with low risk, invalidated lvl 0.618fib retracement. Expect an extended 3rd. In chart a standard 1.618fib extension, but can easily go further.

2 giu

Nota

Above scenario didn't play out. Potential other scenario might be a leading diagonal for a w1.

4 giu

Trade chiuso manualmente

Above scenario got invalidated and broke above $0.018224. Will close this thread and start fresh.

7 giu

Nota

Have several scenario's in mind, but no time to explore further. Could be a redestribution schematic (UTAD phase). Still leaning towards a bearish outlook for CKB. For example, I can only identify 3 waves (ABC) from the the low. Wave C can either be a rare ending expanding diagonal or in other classical terms a broading wedge pattern. 1.618 fib extension has a nice confluence with the length of wave-A (trend-based 1fib lvl), so that would make a nice final target.

29 giu

Nota

Good time to start accumulating (entry positions between 0.009x and $0.012).

30 giu

Nota

Have this Bitcoin scenario in mind, since we printed a double top. Let's see.

22 ago

Nota

Penny for your thoughts

24 ago

Nota

I was suprised we broke the .618lvl and consequently invalidated a w4. Thus indicating that this a corrective structure. Found the complete CKB price chart, which does support that, and suggests a very long consolidation. If history repeats we might still see a v-shape recovery with a potential 3x from here.