COOKIE / USDT — Final Support Test: Breakout or Breakdown?

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📊 Overview
COOKIE price is currently sitting at a critical decision point: resting right on the major support zone (yellow box) that has held multiple times, while also being pressed down by a long-term descending trendline from January 2025. This forms a classic descending triangle pattern — historically a bearish continuation, but in crypto it can also act as an accumulation base before a strong breakout.

In short, the market is in a make-or-break phase.

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🔎 Pattern & Price Structure

1. Descending Triangle

Clear lower highs from the 0.825 peak.

Horizontal support zone (yellow box) repeatedly absorbing selling pressure.

Price now squeezed into the apex → signaling that a strong move is imminent.



2. Support Zone (Demand Area)

The 0.12 – 0.13 region is the last line of defense for bulls.

A breakdown below this would validate the bearish structure.



3. Key Resistance Levels

0.1658 → first breakout target.

0.2195 → key resistance above the breakout zone.

0.3074 → major resistance, ideal swing target.

0.5806 → long-term bullish extension if momentum sustains.

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🚀 Bullish Scenario

Catalyst: confirmed breakout above descending trendline with strong 2D candle close + increased volume.

Additional validation: successful retest of the breakout line showing buyers’ dominance.

Upside targets:

Target 1: 0.1658 (≈ +27%)

Target 2: 0.2195 (≈ +69%)

Target 3: 0.3074 (≈ +137%)

Extended target: 0.5806 (multi-month rally potential).


Bullish strategy: enter on confirmation, take profits gradually, and move stop-loss to breakeven after first target is hit.

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🐻 Bearish Scenario

Catalyst: breakdown below the yellow support zone (close 2D < 0.12).

Downside targets:

0.09 (≈ -30% from current price).

0.065 (≈ -50%).

Extreme case: retest historical low at 0.0192 (≈ -85%).


Bearish strategy: beware of false breakdowns (long wicks below support quickly reclaimed). Always wait for confirmation.

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📌 Trading Strategy & Risk Management

Conservative traders: wait for a clear breakout/breakdown confirmation on the 2D timeframe.

Aggressive traders: may play the bounce off support, but must use strict stop-loss just below the yellow zone.

Position sizing: limit risk per trade (1–2% of capital) given the potential volatility once the pattern resolves.

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📝 Conclusion

COOKIE is at a critical junction. The descending triangle often favors the bears, but in crypto, patterns are frequently invalidated by short squeezes or hidden accumulation. A confirmed breakout could spark a strong rally toward 0.1658 – 0.3074, while a breakdown may drag price below 0.09 and even to 0.065.

Bottom line: COOKIE is in an energy build-up phase. The next breakout or breakdown will likely define the medium-term trend — whether COOKIE becomes a “big winner rally” or continues deeper correction.

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