It is only necessary to come back to DUSK/BTC and explain why many retail traders don't make money on daily basis: it is because they lack discipline.
So, what has happened here? Why has the supposedly "golden secret" of trading failed? That's because it hasn't failed. You have. The first standard deviation marks two conditions:
Trending - price is trading outside the 1st standard deviation. Trend is friend.
Not-Trending - price is trading inside the 1st standard deviation. Return to the mean is inbound with 90% accuracy.
These statistics are among the highest and most reliable in trading. And yet, people have been accusal, because they still managed to lose money. Why is that? Because they lack discipline. Setting stop losses should be your number one priority in risk management. When the price leaves the 1st standard deviation, and therefore the market condition of not-trending is broken, you should already be out of the market. When the price re-enters the 1st standard deviation, so should you.
Many retail strategies look as following: small win, small win, small win, and then BIG loss. I make consistent results, but only because I learned to be disciplined and know my strategy works the other way around: small loss, small loss, and eventually BIG win. If you had set stop losses, you would have lost only about 3.5%. And guess what? You would already be making more money by re-entering the chart!
The current pivot and the target is the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement, corresponding with the upper 200 4H Bollinger Band and soon to be the 50 moving average.
Commodity Channel Index, custom volatility indicators and Bollinger Bands and their derivatives were used in the technical analysis. This is not a financial advice and you agree to take 100% responsibility.
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