ETH/USDT Update.

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ETH/USDT weekly chart with those yellow trend lines forming what looks like a long-term ascending triangle / resistance ceiling just under the $4,300–$4,400.
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1. Big Picture

The top yellow line is a multi-year resistance connecting the Nov 2021 and Mar 2022 highs.

ETH is right at that line now — this is where historically heavy selling pressure has appeared.

If ETH closes a weekly candle above $4,400 with strong volume, that’s a confirmed breakout of a 3-year structure.



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2. Breakout Scenario

If we get a breakout:

Measured move from the base of the triangle (~$880 low to $4,400 resistance) = ~$3,520 height.

Add that to the breakout zone (~$4,400) → Target $7,900–$8,000 over months (not days).

First resistance after breakout: $4,870 (Fibonacci 2.0 extension & historical supply).



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3. Rejection Scenario

If rejection happens here:

Possible pullback to $3,760–$3,820 (weekly demand / order block).

Deeper correction could target $3,130 if BTC also cools off.



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4. Smart Money View

This is a high-liquidity zone — institutions & whales often engineer fake breakouts here to trap longs.

A weekly candle wick above $4,400 but close below could be a bull trap.



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⚠️ Key takeaway:

Above $4,400 weekly close = bullish continuation → long-term $6.5k–$8k targets.

Fail to break $4,400 = short-term correction back toward $3.8k or lower.

Watch BTC at the same time — ETH almost never breaks multi-year highs alone.

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