Can EURJPY push a bit lower in the short-run?

A QUICK TECHNICAL OVERVIEW

The technical picture of EURJPY on our 4-hour chart shows that after a strong run to the upside that the pair experienced through the month of June, now it is starting to show signs of weakness, after finding resistance near the 158.00 territory. The rate recently fell below a short-term upside support line drawn from the low of June 20th. At the time of writing the pair is testing the 50-day EMA.
Although there are signs for a possible further decline, we would still prefer to wait for a strong drop below the 50-day EMA and also below the 156.69 zone, marked by the low of June 30th. If such a move occurs, this could open the door towards the 100-day EMA and the 23.6% retracement on the Fibonacci, or even lower, potentially targeting the 38.2% retracement.
We will scrap the downside scenario in the short-run if EURJPY pushes above the 158.00 zone. Such a move would confirm a forthcoming higher high and could clear the path to some higher areas.


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