In Wednesday’s New York session, the EUR/USD pair surged to a monthly high, nearing 1.0870. This rise in the major currency pair was fueled by developments such as the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) easing in line with estimates, and the monthly Retail Sales figures remaining stagnant for April.
The anticipated decrease in price pressures within the US economy, coupled with lackluster Retail Sales data, has created an unfavorable environment for the US Dollar and bond yields.
Simultaneously, there are indications suggesting potential opportunities for the USD to capitalize on the EUR rally, primarily evident in inefficiencies within the price footprint. These inefficiencies could potentially exert downward pressure on the EUR in the short term.
Furthermore, from a technical perspective, the EUR has reached a premium selling area, indicating the possibility of a double local top formation. This is complemented by divergence in the RSI and an overbought condition observed in both the RSI and Stochastic indicators. These technical signals suggest a potential reversal in the EUR's upward trend, presenting trading opportunities for market participants.
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