Analysis
Bias: Bullish with caution
Market Structure:
The EUR/USD pair is currently trading at 1.0821, showing bullish price action in the most recent days after a period of decline. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we see a strong upward move in early March followed by a correction and consolidation phase. The price is now attempting to form higher lows after reaching a recent bottom at around 1.0740.
On the 1-hour chart, the price has formed a series of higher lows over the past 2 days, suggesting some bullish momentum building. However, the overall structure shows range-bound movement between approximately 1.0740 and 1.0850.
The 15-minute chart confirms the short-term bullish bias with recent candles making higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.0850 (recent swing high)
Support: 1.0740 (recent swing low)
Immediate resistance: 1.0830
Trade Setup
Entry: Limit order at 1.0800 (pullback to retest broken minor resistance)
Stop Loss: 1.0765 (35 pips below entry, below recent structure low)
Take Profit (TP): 1.0850 (previous resistance level)
Extended Take Profit (TP2): 1.0900 (psychological level)
Order Type: Limit order
Rationale:
The market is showing signs of bullish momentum, but we want to wait for a pullback to a better entry price rather than chasing the current move. The 1.0800 level has acted as both support and resistance in recent price action. A pullback to this area would provide a better risk-to-reward ratio.
If no pullback occurs and price continues upward, consider an alternative entry on a clean break and retest of the 1.0850 resistance level, with stop loss 35 pips below that entry point.
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks below 1.0740 convincingly, the bullish bias would be invalidated, and a bearish setup could emerge. In this case, wait for a potential short opportunity after a retest of the broken level.
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Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.