GBPCAD Rejected on the 1D MA50. Action plan ahead.

20 giu 2022The GBPCAD pair has been trading within a Falling Wedge pattern, which broke last Thursday to the upside. So far this move has been short-lived as the price got rejected on Friday on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and continues today this trend.

While the 1D price action has been on Lower Lows (Falling Wedge's bottom), the RSI has been on Higher Lows, indicating a hidden bullish divergence. The very same divergence was last seen in November/ early December 2021 with the pair trading again within a Falling Wedge. After again a 1D MA50 rejection, the price made an pull-back, then upside fake-out above the 1D MA50, which was still rejected on the Resistance of the previous Lower High, before finally making a Lower Low. That Low led to the true technical break-out that extended as high as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).

Right now the 0.618 Fib is around 1.66500. Our trading plan is to either buy on the previous Lower Low (around 1.5500) or if the 1.62100 Resistance level breaks first, and target the 0.618 Fib, which by the time will be on or above the 1D MA200, fulfilling the fractal analogy. An alternative to take profit on those buys would be when the RSI hits its Resistance level.


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