đź’ˇ Idea / Thesis
Gold (
GOLD ) has gone almost vertical — up ~150% since late-2022 and +54% YTD.
The monthly RSI(14) just hit 91.36, a level we haven’t seen since the 1980 peak.
That doesn’t mean “sell now,” but it’s a clear sign of euphoria and extreme momentum — the type of move that usually ends with a pause or correction.
⚠️ Why I’m cautious
RSI >90 = extremely rare, often followed by several months of consolidation.
Parabolic breakout: The rally above 3400-3500 left little support underneath.
Sentiment: Everyone’s talking about gold again → signs of FOMO and crowded trades.
🎯 How I’d approach it
If you’re long:
Lock in some profits or hedge part of the position. Continue DCA strategy
Watch for a pullback to increase exposure like for example the area 3,300–3,500.
đźš§ Risks
Strong uptrends can stay overbought for months — RSI ≠sell trigger.
Central banks & geopolitics can keep gold strong.
Manage position size and respect stops.
📊 Bias: Long-term bullish, short-term cautious
Not financial advice. DYOR.
Gold (
The monthly RSI(14) just hit 91.36, a level we haven’t seen since the 1980 peak.
That doesn’t mean “sell now,” but it’s a clear sign of euphoria and extreme momentum — the type of move that usually ends with a pause or correction.
⚠️ Why I’m cautious
RSI >90 = extremely rare, often followed by several months of consolidation.
Parabolic breakout: The rally above 3400-3500 left little support underneath.
Sentiment: Everyone’s talking about gold again → signs of FOMO and crowded trades.
🎯 How I’d approach it
If you’re long:
Lock in some profits or hedge part of the position. Continue DCA strategy
Watch for a pullback to increase exposure like for example the area 3,300–3,500.
đźš§ Risks
Strong uptrends can stay overbought for months — RSI ≠sell trigger.
Central banks & geopolitics can keep gold strong.
Manage position size and respect stops.
📊 Bias: Long-term bullish, short-term cautious
Not financial advice. DYOR.
Declinazione di responsabilitĂ
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.
Declinazione di responsabilitĂ
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.