Gold 1H - test of 0.618 and possible reversal

On the hourly gold chart, price continues to correct after breaking out of the broadening channel. Current consolidation is forming below the 0.5 Fibo (3338), and the structure suggests a high probability of a drop toward the key 0.618 Fibo support zone at 3322–3310. This level also aligns with a previous major reversal point, adding to its significance. If the market reaches this zone and prints a reversal pattern, technical conditions will be set for a potential bullish move back toward 3370 and higher.

From a fundamental standpoint, gold trades in an environment of uncertainty, with the market assessing the Fed’s monetary policy outlook and reacting to shifts in inflation expectations. The absence of strong USD pressure leaves room for a recovery if large-scale buying appears near 3322.

Tactical plan: watch for price action in the 3322–3310 zone - a confirmed bullish signal could trigger longs targeting 3370 and 3400. A break below 3310 invalidates the bullish setup. As often happens with gold, the most interesting moves start right where most traders run out of patience.